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1 connect with us
APA Social Media
3 in memoriam
James Arthur
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2 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
MEMBERSHIP NEWS
IN MEMORIAM
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Charles R. Honts, Ph. D.: Dr. Charles Honts is a Professor with the Department of
Psychology in Boise State University. He earned his Ph.D. in Psychology in 1986
from the University of Utah. Dr. Honts’ research interests have involved scientific
credibility assessment with adults and children, specifically the psychophysiological
detection of deception. Other interests include quantitative methods, jury behavior,
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served as a reviewer for a variety of publications and in 1996 founded the Journal of
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Erika E. Thiel, LPC: Ms. Erika Thiel is a Board Member with the APA and serves as
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SAFETY
President´s Message
Darryl Starks, President
I hope you and your love ones are remaining safe and enjoying the summer months.
It’s amazing how fast time flies and how different our lives are from just 12 months
ago. Notwithstanding these unprecedented times, the Board of Director’s continues to
work diligently on behalf of the membership and the polygraph profession.
As you all know, in July the Board of Director’s made the difficult decision to cancel the
2020 annual seminar that was scheduled to be held in New Orleans, LA from August
30th to September 4th. Concerns related to the continued spread of COVID-19 in the
New Orleans region and around the world, created an environment that was not safe for
the membership to assemble. I will miss seeing and spending time with each of you in
New Orleans, but our safety comes first. Also, I’d like to thank APA Seminar Chairman
Mike Gougler, APA General Counsel Gordon Vaughan, National Office Manager Lisa Ja-
cocks and the entire seminar committee for the many hours of hard work they devoted
to the original planning, subsequent modifications and eventual penalty free cancella-
tion of the seminar. Now, Onward and Upward as we begin plans for the 2021 seminar
in my hometown of Chicago, IL.
In June, a record number of members cast their electronic ballots in the 2020 APA elec-
tions! Congratulations are in order, for the new President-Elect Roy Ortiz, newly elected
board member Chip Morgan and returning board members Raymond Nelson, Donnie
Dutton and Walt Goodson. Thank you for committing your time and expertise to the
betterment of the APA and the polygraph profession as a whole.
Finally, this is my last board report as your APA President. Although COVID-19 created
conditions that no one could have predicted for the year, it has truly been an honor
to serve as your President. Thank you for trusting me to lead this association and I
look forward to working closely with the new president, Sabino Martinez and the entire
board as we continue to work on behalf of the APA.
Hello, fellow APA Members. I hope eve- As always, feel free to call me (706-506-
ryone has had a good summer in spite of 0830) or email me (sduncan071@gmail.
the challenges we have faced. I trust all com) if I can be of assistance to you.
are following CDC Guidelines as well as
State, Local and Agency recommenda- Gordon Vaughan
tions and requirements to keep you and Director
your examinees safe.
As you know the APA’s 55th Annual Semi-
Your Board has still been at work on pro- nar and Workshop that was scheduled
jects as needed and has continued to for the New Orleans Riverside Hilton has
function through telephone conferen- been cancelled. Since shortly after the
cing. As I’m sure you’re aware by now the COVID-19 reached the United States,
Annual Conference in New Orleans in Au- Seminar Chair Mike Gougler and I, with
gust, 2020 has been cancelled. President guidance from President Starks and the
Starks and the Board struggled with the APA Board of Directors, have worked with
decision and decided based on restric- our Hilton National Accounts representa-
tions and safety for all, cancellation of tive and representatives of the Riverside
the Seminar was the best option. Hilton regarding the potential impact of
COVID-19.
It is with mixed emotions that I compose
this, my last Board Member Report. I will To provide some insight on the process,
be leaving the Board as Chairman with it is important to know that, because of
the installation of new Officers. I have the size and length of time of our annual
enjoyed serving the APA for many years seminars, the APA, for some time now,
as Vice President for Law Enforcement, has had to contract with host hotels se-
Board Member, President Elect, President veral years in advance. There are only a
and Chairman of the Board. I truly appre- few hotels that have conference space
ciate the Members who have supported that will accommodate our size without
me and the fellow Board Members and using the host city convention facilities
APA Staff I have worked with over the – which would increase the expense of
years to achieve the mission of the Ameri- the seminar. Also complicating the selec-
can Polygraph Association. tion process is that, because of the large
number of government attendees, the ho-
As a Member of the APA I will continue tel needs to offer rooms at or below go-
to assist other Members and the Board of vernment per-diem rates for all attendees.
Directors with issues as requested. I re- And we try to choose venues that will be
main committed to the growth of ethical close to restaurants and other activities.
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 17
FROM THE BOARD
Like virtually all such contracts between penalty-free option to cancel the seminar.
organizations and the host hotel, the APA Hilton agreed to a penalty-free option for
agrees to occupy a minimum amount of cancellation if the APA would agree to
rooms and incur a minimum food and continued monitoring until July 20, 2020,
beverage spend. Penalties for cancella- to determine if there was an improvement
tion for a conference is quite steep. For regarding COVID-19 sufficient to permit a
example, the penalty for cancellation for limited seminar with the modifications
the New Orleans seminar would have to limit potential exposure to those who
been $400,000 had we have not worked would choose to attend the seminar. The
through the issue with the hotel and uni- APA agreed to that request. Following a
laterally cancelled the event. While the conference with Hilton on July 20, 2020,
New Orleans contract had an impossibi- it was agreed that the APA would be per-
lity of performance clause, the APA would mitted to cancel the seminar without pen-
have had to demonstrate that at the time alty. A Board meeting was held on July
the event was scheduled it would have 21, 2020, in which the Board unanimously
been impossible to hold the seminar be- agreed to cancel the seminar.
cause of the occurrence of unanticipated
circumstances beyond our control. As part of the agreement with Hilton to
waive the room and food and beverage
Mike and I initiated our discussions with minimum made in June, the APA agreed
Hilton regarding COVID-19 in March and to rebook with the Riverside Hilton for the
by early June we had reached, with appro- next available APA seminar date – which
val of the APA Board of Directors, an agree- was 2024. We completed negotiation of
ment that the APA would not be penalized that contract around the end of June and
if we failed to meet our room and food and that contract was approved by the Board
beverage minimum. (Though the penalty and signed by President Starks. In that
provisions for not having a seminar at contract we negotiated a much more fa-
all were not waived.) At that time there vorable impossibility clause specifically
were indications of improvement regar- addressing pandemic issues. (Lesson
ding COVID-19 and hope that by the end of learned.)
August we might be able to hold the semi-
nar with implementation of certain health
Having spent many hours working this
precautions (social-distanced seating, no
issue since the COVID-19 pandemic
banquet or reception) and Hilton institu-
ting vigorous cleaning and other mitiga- has emerged – working with the Semi-
tion efforts. The APA Board agreed with nar Chair, President Starks, the National
the Hilton to continue to monitor the situa- Office, the Board of Directors and Hilton
tion. By early July, however, it appeared officials – I can assure you that decisions
that COVID-19 was having a resurgence were made with the health of members
and we approached Hilton requesting a and others as the paramount conside-
18 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
FROM THE BOARD
ration. And I am gratified to say that the tioning an individual face-to-face course
APA Board did so in a way that was both within a program to a distance learning
responsible to that consideration as well format is not as simple as it might seem.
as one in which it was a responsible ste- (For clarity, from this point forward, I will
ward of APA funds. refer to a “class” or “classes” rather than
a “course” or “courses” to avoid confusing
I am hopeful that COVID-19 will be in a basic polygraph course [i.e., the entire
program] with the individual courses [e.g.,
our rearview mirror well before the 2021
physiology, psychology] comprising the
Annual Seminar and Workshop in
basic polygraph course.) Transitioning a
Chicago. The Seminar Committee is al- class is certainly an issue for the faculty
ready working to make that Seminar a of each accredited program, but the APA
success. The Committee is also wor- (through the EAC) has its own challenges
king on potential venues for the 2025 and associated with distance learning.
2026 seminars in San Diego and Phoenix
-- as the pandemic has motivated hotel As an accreditor, the APA must, among
properties which would otherwise not other things, be able to ensure it can
offer government per diem rates to step adequately assess distance learning so it
up with such offers. These properties are can carry out one of its chief obligations
as an accreditor, i.e., to provide the public
first class venues and, as those negotia-
with some assurance that APA accredited
tions progress, you will be kept advised.
programs deliver a curriculum that meets
certain minimum standards as set out in
Barry Cushman its accreditation guidelines. The APA has
EAC Coordinator accredited basic polygraph training pro-
grams for over 50 years. We feel pretty
Hello fellow APA members and colleagues. confident that we, the professional poly-
I hope you are doing well in these trou- graph community, know what needs to
bling times. The pandemic has upset life be done to train new examiners using the
everywhere, and the APA is, as you know traditional brick-and-mortar, face-to-face
already, no different. Within the Education approach. That is, what we have done all
Accreditation Committee (EAC), the pan- those years seems to work well (which is
why it has been possible to agree, gene-
demic has accelerated discussions about
rally, on minimum standards for a basic
developing distance learning standards.
polygraph program).
Given the uncertainty of the current pan-
demic, there may be a real need to allow The beauty of training polygraph exami-
some portions of a basic polygraph trai- ners is that even if a competent polygraph
ning program to be delivered via a dis- examiner-instructor knows little about
tance learning format. However, transi- adult learning theory, drafting learning
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 19
FROM THE BOARD
outcome statements, or developing lear- could not do the same in their programs.
ning assessments, he or she has some Others have suggested that with current
sense of what a student needs to know technology, classes can easily be con-
to be minimally proficient in the field. In ducted virtually, as if the students and
other words, when the polygraph exam- instructor(s) were together at a face-to-
iner instructor views polygraph students face meeting. The former statement is
conducting mock exams in field-like con- probably accurate, but the second one
ditions, the instructor can gauge how ef- probably is not. Hannum (2008), in his
fective the theory and lecture portions of chapter on distance learning in a rather
a basic polygraph training program were. well-known text on curriculum design,
I suspect polygraph instructors learned noted the following:
to instruct through trial-and-error over the
years, and new instructors tend to repli- We want to be very clear that sim-
cate what they observed when they were ply placing content into a course
students (particularly if they found some ma-nagement system and declar-
approach more helpful than others). For ing you have developed a distance-
most polygraph instructors, distance learning course is irresponsible. This
learning is new, and they have no experi- is not a defensible practice because
ence learning (or teaching) polygraph us- it is not the technology itself that
ing distance learning methods. They may causes learning—it is the design of
have experience as students for other, the lear-ning process that makes the
nonpolygraph distance learning, but they diffe-rence. Creating and teaching an
have no polygraph mentors or personal effective distance-learning course is
experience with teaching any portions of neither quick nor easy. Teaching a
the basic polygraph curriculum via dis- high quality distance-learning course
tance education. Given that we already may also require that you reach a
know how to train examiners well, we do new level of competency in a number
of areas. (pp. 240–241)
not want to return to the error aspect of
trial and error if we can avoid it. Still, per- Hannum was talking about a much more
haps if only intuitively, we also know that formalized approach to online learning
for some classes in a basic polygraph than simply providing synchronous lec-
program curriculum, distance learning is tures. He was referring to uploading all
certainly possible, and it might even be the content (perhaps even with recorded
beneficial for students—or at least some lectures for students to view) into the
students. cloud using distance learning techno-
logy such as Blackboard, Moodle, Google
Some people have reasoned that universi- Classroom, etc., which should make his
ties now offer degree programs—through chief point all the more clear: Distance
the doctoral level—completely online, learning curriculum must be intentionally
so there is no reason polygraph schools designed.
20 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
FROM THE BOARD
course content. The recommendations Why the need for such intentionality? In
are clearly consistent with the research a face-to-face classroom, the instruc-
summarized by Hannum (2008) above. tor can see students and respond when
students appear, among other things,
Many others could be cited, but I think the confused or bored. Confusion, boredom,
message is clear: Any program desiring straying attention, etc., need to be antici-
to transition to online learning modalities pated in the design of distance learning
either needs to start slowly and reaso- modalities (Hannum, 2008). When lear-
nably or provide significant evidence that ning is asynchronous, students tend to
its distance education curriculum, should achieve learning outcomes a little better
the board ever approve such, is delivered in than with synchronous courses, but stu-
ways that ensure high quality. Those who dents tend to prefer synchronous lear-
want to jump right in to distance learning ning (Hannum, 2008). Reed, Roberts, and
need to remember that the development Heritage (2016) found grades were lower
of the courses they might have taken in when online psychology students worked
college (via distance education) did not in groups but other than that, when online
happen overnight, nor did the training and learning experiences were intentionally
developed to provide equivalent learning
proficiency of the instructors who teach
experiences with face-to-face students,
such courses occur suddenly. It can take
there were no differences. Quite simply,
months or years to develop an online pro-
distance education is different from face-
gram, usually with the assistance of doc-
to-face education, and therefore equiva-
toral-level curriculum designers who offer
lency must be well thought out in advance
guidance on how to ensure quality and
(intentional). Distance learning students
achieve desired student outcomes. I am cannot talk about class topics around the
not saying it would take years to transi- water cooler or coffee pot during breaks,
tion a polygraph curriculum; I am simply so virtual water coolers must be designed
pointing out that a lot more thought and intentionally. Online students tend to pre-
effort goes into transitioning a face-to- fer ways to interact significantly with the
face program to a distance format than instructor and other students (Boling et
many realize, which means if we want al., 2012), and providing those means is
to see our accredited programs transi- one way to maintain an aspect of equiva-
tion some classes to distance learning lency with face-to-face education.
formats, then they will probably need to
so slowly (and they may need some help, This is not meant to be a how-to, as space
so if you have the experience and cre- does not allow for such information here
dentials [and willingness] to offer some (and I do not claim to have sufficient
assistance, please let me know). As an knowledge to provide such a how-to).
accreditor, the APA will have to do the The point is to start the discussion while
same. maintaining a healthy understanding that
22 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
FROM THE BOARD
the issue is probably more complex than example, it is, unfortunately, necessary
many appreciate. The pandemic may be to inform students that attending and
pressuring us to move, but we must do so viewing online lectures with only a cell-
wisely, without sacrificing quality. Perso- phone is not acceptable.) One notewor-
nally, I believe it is possible to transition thy piece of practical information for
to some distance education content, and polygraph training, however, came from
I suspect the board is willing to entertain reported student feedback about syn-
the idea, if it is approached thoughtfully. I chronous learning: A standard, eight-hour
say that based not only on reading the re- day of online training is really hard on stu-
search, but based on some, albeit limited, dents. (Most of the scientific literature
experience. on distance learning is based on college
classes, which we know do not run all day
When the pandemic hit hard in the early long, five or six days each week!) Thus,
part of the year, the EAC informed the there is a lot to consider (and I haven’t
board that some programs in progress even scratched the surface).
were going to need to waivers of some
standards to complete those programs. With all of that said, I am working on stan-
dards for presentation and discussion
Board members understood and provi- with the program directors and faculty
ded the means to respond to such needs members of our accredited programs. My
quickly. For example, several programs hope is that with the limited amount of
knew they would need to shut down and experience in polygraph-related distance
resume training outside of the 17-week learning some gained as a result of the
maximum required by the standards. pandemic, along with the baptism by fire
Others requested the ability to offer some some faculty are getting by delivering con-
distance learning to complete training or tinuing education online (in place of the in-
to ensure students did not forget what person education they normally would be
they had learned during the time they conducting between basic courses), that
were in face-to-face classes. The six pro- we will be able to have a discussion about
grams that requested the ability to con- not only minimum standards for quality
duct distance learning averaged about 30 online training, but successes and fai-
hours out of the 400 minimum hours re- lures experienced during any online trai-
quired by the APA. (More details regarding ning endeavors. (Decisions will need to be
approved waivers will be provided in the made about what subjects/classes are
future as I have gone long here already.) reasonably conducive to distance educa-
The limited feedback I have received is tion too.) If we can educate one another
consistent, unsurprisingly, with what the and agree on sound standards to ensure
research reveals about distance educa- quality, I think the likelihood is good that
tion: It is not the same as face-to-face the board will be receptive to allowing at
training, and there is a learning curve. (For least a serious trial. We need to avoid the
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 23
FROM THE BOARD
The board is now working on a multitude been done in the past within the APA.
of issues that we have never had to work Once such is school accreditations and
on before but I am confident that with how schools are operating under these
President Starks taking over as the Chair-
unique times. With restrictions being in
man of the Board and President Elect
Martinez taking over as our next Presi- place within each state it is hard to know
dent that we will have a smooth transi- if an instructor can teach, quarantine be-
tion and the work that your board does fore teaching, quarantine after teaching,
will continue without missing a beat. or if they are even allowed to go into a
location. The EAC committee is working
Just a quick update on my doings with on these issues and as a board member
the association – Pam Shaw is working I am hoping that I will have some recom-
us like there is no tomorrow on the com-
mendations from the EAC soon on a way
puter algorithm committee. As of this
writing we have completed reviewing a forward for the schools trying to operate.
bucket load of research articles on the This issue is on the board’s mind and we
development and testing of various algo- know that in time something has got to
rithms. Based on this we are now in dis- change, the big problem is what?
cussions as a committee to present our
findings and as hard as she is pushing, I As many of you know from looking at the
think it won’t be long and you will see our
seminar schedule, I was to host a panel
report. More to follow.
discussion with certain board members.
Not to be outdone by Pam is Erica Thiel’s In a prior board report, I had asked you to
PCSOT committee. Erica has taken the send in your questions and that I would
PCSOT model policy and broken it down attempt to get you some answers - well,
into small sections which the committee I have a plan. Some of the questions
has evaluated, commented, and in some that came in were not truly suited for a
situations made changes to more effec- particular panel member and would have
tive clarify APA positions and that work been better answered by a different board
has now been completed. As of this writ- or committee member, that being said I
ing we entering what I think to be some am going to take your questions and ask
final edits and again I think this product
specific board/committee members to
will be out in the very near future that is
comment and will post their responses in
if we can all just finally agree that what
is now in writing is as clearly stated as it upcoming board reports so that everyone
should be. can see.
As many of you are aware with the Lastly, I know that all of you are super
COVID pandemic we at the APA are having heroes please continue being safe this
to reevaluate how certain things have COVID thing is nothing to take lightly.
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 25
FROM THE BOARD
membership, enhancing APA web capa- cations and continuing to refine school
bility and the refinement of APA business accreditation processes. The determina-
practices. The improvement of business tion for success for this goal is to increase
practices will include the development the number of polygraph examiners en-
of comprehensive policies and standard tering the field of polygraph with college
operating procedures as well as transfer- degrees and increases in the number of
ring many routine operational duties from hours of continuing education obtained
the Board of Directors (BOD) to a centra- by our members each year.
lized National Office staff. The measure-
ment of success for this goal is increa- To accomplish these broad objectives, the
sing online interaction by the membership 2016-2020 BODs must develop a compre-
and decreasing operational expenses. hensive understanding of APA functions
and use their diverse expertise to incor-
Influence will be accomplished through porate recommendations for improve-
the growth of a professional member- ment. The following strategies will be the
ship, showcasing the polygraph as a primary focus in accomplishing the broad
critical public safety tool and streng- objective:
thening the professional standards of
the BOD and the Association. Advancing A.Increase the strength and influence of
the standards of the Association will be the APA through the intelligent growth
accomplished through industry partner- and retention of APA membership.
ships that emphasize voluntary compli-
ance over-regulation. The determination 1.From 2013 to 2015, the APA suspended
of success for this goal is to increase in 1,917 of its members for failing to renew
membership, continuing education, par- their membership dues. This indicates
ticipation in APA committees, along with an average of 24% of APA members didn’t
fewer complaints investigated by the Eth- renew their dues for each of these years.
ics and Grievance Committee for alleged Possible reasons for members failing to
violations of the APA Standards of Prac- renew their memberships include poor
tice and Code of Ethics. communication between the APA and its
membership, a complex renewal process,
Educational standards improvement will costs, and a lack of necessity. The goal
focus on methods to increase continu- is to reduce these non-renewals by 3%
ing education among APA members and per year for the next five years to drop the
increase the percentage of polygraph non-renewals to 10% per year by 2020.
exa-miners entering the profession with
co-llege degrees. Raising educational Strategy
standards will be accomplished by offer-
ing and incentivizing continuing educa- • Ensure the APA has the web ca-
tion opportunities through tiered certifi- pability to push notifications to
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 27
FROM THE BOARD
nued growth of ethical and evidence- ways, may those who are fighting for our
based detection of deception through the freedom against threats, both foreign and
use of the polygraph. As always, thank domestic, be safe, and have Godspeed in
you for your expertise, courage, and sacri- their return to friends and loved ones.
fice in protecting our good citizens.
Raymond Nelson
Jamie McCloughan Director
Director
Greetings APA Members. This year (2020)
As we all continue to adjust to the “new will be one for the record books: pande-
normal” since the Covid-19 virus pan- mic, economic shut downs, murder-hor-
demic, I pray that everyone and their fa- nets, fires, earthquakes, flooding. Con-
mily are healthy. These are trying times sidering all this, a zombie horde attack
in many ways. would not be surprising. What does seem
surprising is the cancellation of the APA
Your board continues to transact busi- annual seminar. Unfortunately the rea-
lity of APA members becoming sick as a
ness behind the scenes. With the new
result of a mid-pandemic week-long con-
normal, this is accomplished with remote
ference in New Orleans, together with the
teleconferencing and electronic commu-
economic realities for individuals and the
nication, as face-to-face meetings have
APA, meant that the BOD had to take a se-
not been possible. Your board and I are
rious and hard look at the situation.
here for you and you can reach out to us if
there is anything we can do for you.
We are not alone in the cancellation of
in-person conferences – nearly all of the
New challenges have arisen for educa- other professional conferences I attend
tion and training due to the pandemic. are also canceled this year, including
Because of differing restrictions, this has those in mental health, sex offender
called for innovation and forward think- treatment, forensics, statistics and data-
ing by educators to achieve their mission science. The prospect of facilitating the
while upholding the standards ser forth. exposure of our membership to a poten-
The Education and Accreditation Com- tially life-threatening illness imposes a
mittee has been working hard with educa- somber need for cautious judgment, and
tors to ensure that education and training that is what has occurred. According to
is delivered in a method that adheres to Johns Hopkins University, the U.S. has
the standards. seen 152,075 deaths from COVID-19,
with a worldwide total of approximately
If you have any questions or suggestions 673833, as of July 31. For comparison,
on anything else APA or polygraph rela- the CDC estimates that between 24,000
ted, please feel free to contact me. As al- to 62,000 people in the U.S. died from the
32 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
FROM THE BOARD
flu between October 2019 and April 2020 riodically choose our leadership through
– though the exact number is unknown the process of election. The formation of
because flu is not a reportable disease in a system of leadership based on planned
most parts of the U.S. Of course, there are transitions and elections that survey the
some similarities with flu. Severe flu can goals and intentions of a group is consi-
cause inflammation of the heart, brain, dered by political scientists to be a vital
muscles, and can result in multi-organ part of ensuring that the structural and
failure, whereas severe cases of COVID-19 economic activities of the system as a
can result in lasting damage to the heart, whole are intended to benefit all mem-
lungs, brain, kidneys and other organs. bers of a group. We’ve all seen and read
about the incredible difficulties that have
Despite the disruption of the annual con- occurred in the history of world as a re-
ference, it is the intention of the BOD that sult of overly-centralized leadership with-
we will continue to operate and provide out planned transition. Without an ability
services and information to the APA mem- to periodically vote for our leadership the
bership, with the goal of keeping things dynamic interplay of who works for whom
as normal as possible under the circum- is dangerously altered.
stances of the pandemic. That includes
the recent annual elections – thank you Turning finally to a more practical and
to all who voted. Planned transitions of less philosophical vein, I want thank eve-
leadership at regular and periodic inter- ryone who has reached out to me to talk
vals – together with the an ability for all about or ask about the use of computer
members of a group to come together to algorithms and the on-going project to
elect and select their leadership is among compare them in a head-to-head smack-
the most important ideas and practices down comparison. It has been over 20
in the history of humankind. An ability to years now since the 1999 computer algo-
periodically vote on leadership ensures rithm bake-off, and it’s just about time for
that leaders work for the group. The alter- us to take another look at what we think
native – centralized leadership without we can know about computer algorithms.
regular elections and planned transition It might be tempting to suggest that we
– can be seen throughout the history of already know or have already known the
the world as resulting in leadership that answer. In reality, there are many possi-
becomes inevitably self-serving and dis- bilities for the use of computers that we,
connected from the needs of the group. as individuals and as groups, may have
This is not to suggest that strong leader- difficulty imagining. As it happens, using
ship itself is not a needed and valuable computers can fundamentally alter both
thing – especially during periods of dif- the way we do our work and the econo-
ficulty. But the advantages of strong lea- mics of our work. In publishing, although
dership during periods of difficulty should obvious now, just a few decades ago very
not lead to the reduction of our right to pe- few could have foreseen the slow eco-
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 33
FROM THE BOARD
century of resistance to the idea of mak- algorithms within the constraints of our
ing use of computer scoring algorithms. knowledge of them, and within the con-
But the fact that human scorers are also straints of their capabilities (and within
not infallible seems to suggest that there the constraints of human capabilities
is also some additional motivational in- when unassisted by computer algorithm
centive to reject the use of computers technology).
– no professional anywhere wants to be
replaced by a robot or machine. This is a Providing any form of guidance on this
story as old as the U.S. railroads: recall matter is partially a matter of beginning
the legend of John Henry, a steel-driving to understand how algorithms work and
rail worker who faced a man-vs-machine what they are capable of doing. Anoth-
challenge with a steam-powered rock er part of the formulation of any kind of
drilling engine and won, only to die with guidance is the clarification of our expec-
his hammer in hand as his heart gave out tations. Just exactly what do we want, or
from the stress. what do we need, or what do we expect
from algorithms. Quite often we will see
To understand the situation now before people attempt to avoid the discussion of
us, the question, in my view, is whether how to make use of computer algorithms
and how to make use of computer algo- by explaining how computer scoring algo-
rithms in polygraph field practice. For rithm are not infallible, and how they had a
the moment, the consensus solution at case one time in which the algorithm said
the APA Board of Directors is to provide a person was truthful – but they knew
an absence of information on the mat- the opposite, and obtained a confession.
ter – as in none (as in: nothing, nada, nin- This is a highly efficient form of argument
guno, zippo, zero, or zilch). A couple of because it both denigrates the machine
years ago, the BOD did attempt to provide and boosts the prowess of the story-tell-
some standard guidance, but it seems er. Another common avoidance strategy,
that individuals were still under-prepared when we begin to discuss this matter we
to make use of computers without un- see examiners flagrantly avoid the topic
realistic expectations and without a de- and delve instead into various anecdotes
gree of reactivity – and complete avoid- and rants about examiner incompetence.
ance. That is the current state of things. They state, in some way that “algorithms
It could be helpful, at this point, to clarify cannot make correct use of bad question.”
what some alternatives might be. One Or, “algorithms cannot solve the problem
absurdly short-sighted alternative would of bad exams or bad examiners.”
be for the APA for take a formal position
that examiners should avoid the use of This is, of course, not completely true;
computer algorithms. A more thoughtful algorithms can easily be developed to
alternative would be to begin to formulate determine many aspects of compliance
standard practice guidance for the use of with standard procedures. Does the ex-
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 35
FROM THE BOARD
aminer use the test format correctly, with studies in every field of science, technol-
the correctly labeled questions in the ogy and human activity).
correct sequence? Is there an X and XX
announcement in the correct locations. Anyway, you have the idea: there is al-
Is the question pacing correct? Are their ways a way to argue against something
unplanned or ad-hoc modifications to the we don’t like or don’t want. The real issue
standardized procedure? Etc. Of course is whether we are arguing in bad-faith,
there will always be a need for human ex- with some other preconceived conclu-
pertise – especially in the selection of test sion and a closed position toward learn-
target issue and formulation of test ques- ing the best solution. Learning and devel-
tions. However, computer algorithms can oping the best solution requires that we
be developed to evaluate and reject bad acknowledge that, for the moment, do not
data. More importantly – this discussion know. And holding onto a position of not
is a prime example of what psychologists knowing – long enough to discuss and
refer to as avoidance, deflection, and dis- learn – is hard. It is so hard that some will
traction. Magicians and con-artists are want to make a decision – any decision,
masterful at this kind of thing, as are anx- as long as we all make it together – sim-
ious-avoidant persons. ply to relieve the anxiety of not knowing.
This will feel all well and good – almost
The discussion is about how to make use as if we are smarter together – except
of algorithms – the deflection and avoid- that it will ultimately make us less inte-
ance is a discussion about examiner ex- lligent because our assumption that we
pertise and competence. We have seen a know will prevent us from taking the time
number of catch-22 type scenarios and to actually learn.
inconsistencies applied to the situation.
For example: if we don’t like the results So how to make use of algorithms? A star-
from a field study we can sand-bag a dis- ting place is to clarify what we want? We
cussion about talking about the difficul- did this when we developed the OSS-3?
ties and limitations surrounding ground- What we wanted was an algorithms that
truth - as if they are an insurmountable could perform as well or better than OSS-
obstacle to ever knowing or learning any- 2, but with greater capabilities. Those re-
thing from field data. Or, if we want to de- quired capabilities included an ability to
rail all confidence in a laboratory study work with exams with 2, 3 or 4 RQs, and 3,
– the only way to achieve sufficient ex- 4 or 5 charts. They also include a design
perimental control to study causality – that can accommodate CQT formats with
we can simply inject a lot of confusion by an unequal number of RQs and CQs. In
asserting that laboratory studies cannot addition we required a design that can to-
approximate real life (as if we have not llerate some degree of ad-hoc modifica-
already acquired vast amounts of know- tion to the standard or expected format
ledge and information from laboratory (i.e., repeated or inserted questions, or
36 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
FROM THE BOARD
other problems such as missed ques- unreliable – call it a human fault. In 2011
tions). We also required some method of our requirement was simply that some in-
handling artifacts and bad data – along formation on test reliability should exist
with some way of calculating the likely in the published literature. Oddly, some
cause of data artifacts (whether likely polygraph techniques are without infor-
due to random stuff-happens or strate- mation on this important matter – the
gic intent). Among the most important of degree to which we can reasonably ex-
requirements is that the design must ac- pect to get the same result again, upon
commodate both single issue and multi- repeating a test or repeating an analysis.
ple issue exams. It was not a requirement Which brings us to an important quality
that our algorithm should be perfect or of computer algorithms – they are kind of
infallible – such a requirement would be inherently reliable (which does not mean
absurd. Remember that the purpose of “perfect” but does mean they are less vul-
a scientific test is to quantify, classify or nerable to things like fatigue, annoyance,
predict some phenomena of interest that and simple math errors).
cannot be subject to perfect determinis-
tic observation or direct physical mea- In the array of arguments against the use
surement. of computer algorithms, something we
occasionally hear is this: does it score
An example of clarifying our questions the way I, or other human experts, score?
and expectations can be seen with the Well, no. It’s a computer. Developers of
2011 meta-analytic survey. That report computer algorithms will tend to focus
began with a requirement that examiners mainly on the question of what works the
should begin to use validated polygraph best – without emotional attachment to
techniques. We clarified what exactly we some set of cutscores or some particular
meant, for the purpose of that study, by theory. If it works the best, then great. If it
the term validated. And we were given does not work well enough then find out
a mandate to investigate and list tech- what does and do that. More importantly,
niques for which the reasonable scientific humans – because of their creative inte-
evidence (with some definition for what lligence and other human qualities – are
constitutes reasonable) says they can kind of unreliable, and so different hu-
achieve certain levels of accuracy. For the mans will do things differently even when
purpose of that study we were not given subject to the same simple training and
instructions or requirements around re- procedures. It is, in reality, very difficult
liability, but we chose to impose a mini- to achieve uniformity in the execution of
mal requirement on ourselves – because complex human skills. Why else to we
completely ignoring the matter of reli- watch in awe the USMC Silent Drill Platoon
ability is, well, silly. Spend any amount of or the U.S. Navy Blue Angels. Polygraph
time around actual humans and you will scoring algorithms generally do not, nor
know that humans are kind of inherently should they, score exactly the way you
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 37
FROM THE BOARD
do. Of course there are similarities. But National Academies of Science (2012)
the computer more often requires defined Report on Scientific Evidence includes
logic, and most often do not learn more mention of the fact that it is common for
as they go. Human experts, on the other scientists and analysts to evaluate data
hand, are constantly learning, in every mo- using a variety of methods, and the occa-
ment, and will tend to execute a number sional situation in which the results of dif-
of operations intuitively with seemingly ferent analysis do not concur – a situa-
little actual conscious awareness of the
tion for which the correct solution, how-
exact logic of their decisions. Of course
ever uncomfortable, is to report the result
it is possible to than can “learn” as they
of all completed analysis including those
go – and this is what is meant by the term
“artificial intelligence.” But even if we did for which the results do not concur with
develop an AI solution for polygraphs is the reported conclusion. Does this mean
is likely that it would not score data in the we should never use computer scoring
same way that human experts do. Does algorithms? Most likely, in a serious legal
this mean we should not use algorithms? challenge, the data will be obtained a will
My answer: no, it means we need to learn be subject to a variety of different analy-
to make correct use of them. ses, even if the original examiner did not.
Perhaps it is best to learn to use the al-
So how to make correct use of computer gorithm and avoid surprises in the legal
algorithms? One answer to this is evolu- arena.
tionary – we learn this by doing it. And of
course if we are told not to use algorithms For now, there are things that we can
then we will deny ourselves an opportunity learn from the tools and data we have
to learn. More practically, there are ques- access to today. So I will continue to re-
tions as to how to handle the situation port on progress with algorithm studies.
when we are not completely (emotiona-
Computer scoring algorithms have been
lly) comfortable with an algorithm result.
available to the polygraph profession for
Perhaps the algorithm result does not
nearly 40 years. It will be a tragedy for us
concur with our hand score. What then?
One solution is to encase the algorithm in to reach the half-century mark with still
cement, bury under a large rock and never no adequate guidance – or worse, a pos-
use it again – and of course never men- ture of avoidance – on their use.
tion the algorithm result to the referring
agent. OK, so this is not a great solution In the meantime, I hope that everyone is
– and could possibly lead to legal trouble staying safe and staying well. As always,
around the Brady rule, which requires that please feel free to contact me if I can pro-
prosecutors shall provide access to the vide any information or be of any assis-
defense to all exculpatory evidence. The tance to you.
38 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
FROM THE BOARD
The form to sign up to volunteer your time Obviously our world has not yet returned
for an APA Committee will be made avai- to “normal”, at least not as of the time of
lable soon via email and on social media. this writing, but I hope each of you has
This is one way for you to get involved been able to sustain adequate provisions
and serve the APA. It’s the dedication and found some sense of stability in all
and commitment of our membership that the recent changes. Because the battle
allows the association to thrive. Thank rages on with COVID-19, your APA Board
you to all the members who have previ- recently had to make the tough decision
ously served on committees and to those to cancel the annual APA seminar. It was
who continue to do so, we appreciate a step that we hoped could be avoided,
your help. but clearly numbers are on the rise in a
number of areas, and the restrictions
As it has been announced, the Board of are ever increasing in hot spot states,
Director’s have made the decision to can- like Louisiana. Since we won’t be able
cel the 2020 APA Annual Seminar due to to gather face to face this year, another
increasing amounts of cases and safety board decision that you have likely read
concerns in New Orleans. I would like about by now, is the decision to waive any
to thank APA Seminar Chairman Mike continuing education requirements from
Gougler, APA General Counsel Gordon the APA for 2020. Some of you may still
Vaughan, National Office Manager Lisa have to meet other CEU requirements for
Jacocks and the entire seminar com- your respective state/regional standards,
mittee for all of their hard work and late but hopefully the APA’s decision proves
nights dedicated to the planning of the helpful to most members during these
seminar. We look forward to seeing every- times.
one next year at #APAChicago2021.
Regarding committee projects, as I have
I am wishing you and your families a mentioned in prior reports, the Ad Hoc
healthy, happy and safe end of Summer Algorithm Committee has continued to
and look forward to another year repre- work diligently on its literature review of
senting the membership on the Board. commercially available polygraph algo-
Should you require assistance of any rithms. The initial phases of this project
kind, I am available via email at director- have been completed, but the final stages
ribacoff@polygraph.org. are still on-going. It is our hope to present
the committee’s summary to the board
Pam Shaw within the next few months, and to the
Director membership sometime thereafter.
Hello fellow members, I hope above all that The Member Services Committee had a
you and your families safe and healthy. bylaw proposal that was slated to come
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 41
FROM THE BOARD
before the membership at our annual have not been doing so already. You are
business meeting, but that bylaw change saving lives by doing so.
will be put on hold for a while given the
cancellation of our seminar. The descrip- July has been a chaotic month
tion of this proposed change was sent out but the PCSOT committee continues to
to the membership via email some time make advancements with the updates
ago, but it is also published in this issue the PCSOT model policy. I am happy to
of the magazine for your reference. If you report that we are working through final
have any questions about the proposed revisions now and should hopefully have
change, please feel free to reach out to the model policy ready to vote on for out
me anytime. next board meeting. Once this has occu-
rred, I will be writing a paper (hopefully)
As a serving member of the PCSOT Com- for the next magazine on all the changes
mittee, I can also attest that work has so please be on the look out for that! I
continued on updating the current model cannot thank the members of the PCSOT
policy for PCSOT, and it is quite feasible committee enough for all their hard work,
that we will have a final (and hopefully and their patience with me as we have
Board approved) product by the end of been navigating these edits as well as life
the year. after COVID19.
To the entire examiner community, please I also have to thank all the voting mem-
stay safe and well, and I look forward to bers of the APA! You have done it again!
providing additional updates in the next Another record-breaking year of voter
issue of magazine! turnout. It was very exciting to see all
who have stepped up to run this year.
All the best,
Please do not be discouraged from run-
Pam Shaw
ning again in the future if you did not
make it. I know every person who ran has
Erika Thiel something amazing to offer this associa-
Director tion and I would encourage each of you to
continue to make advancements in poly-
Hello Everyone! I hope you are all well graph where we know you can.
and safe. I know many of you are living
in areas that are reaching new records Though I am saddened by not being able
of COVID19. Living in Connecticut I can to see everyone face to face this year, I
feel your pain. However, what has worked
also think it is very important that we all
for us is wearing our masks, washing our
hands, and limiting social events. I know maintain our health safely to be able to
that not everyone enjoys these ideas but see one another again in the near future.
please consider wearing a mask if you I am wishing you all the best.
42 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
FROM THE BOARD
On June 22, 2020 the APA Board of Directors unanimously voted to approve the Mem-
ber Services Committee’s recommendation to amend current wording within the by-
laws in the area of Science and Technology membership. The general membership will
be asked to vote on this same proposal at our upcoming annual business meeting in
New Orleans in September. A redlined version of this proposal is provided below.
If you have questions or if you would like to share your comments regarding the pro-
posed amendments in advance of the annual meeting, please feel free to reach out to
the Member Services Committee Chair (Pam Shaw) or any other member of the APA
Board.
3.4.a Science and Technology Members Affilliates are those persons who have
demonstrated professional or scientific interest in promotion and advancement of
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 43
FROM THE BOARD
3.4.b.i Not have the right to vote in matters before the General Membership;
3.4.b.iv Meet all APA financial obligations required of Science and Technology
Members Affiliates; and
3.4.b.v Abide by APA’s Code of Ethics and the APA Standards of Practice.
CHESS
A 40X40 CHESS BOARD With 32 PLAYERS MADE
OF PNEUMO AND CARDIO PARTS.
Creation:
Gur Segev Ronen (G.S.R)
Creation is an abstract term that de- Unfortunately, I did not find any documen-
scribes reference to something as the tation of “Polygraph art” from the abstract
product of complex processes of added angle and after conversations with a num-
subjective value. ber of colleagues, I realized that they, too,
did not know about the “polygraph art”.
The practice of polygraph science has To my delight, I found a sympathetic ear
been going on for more than a century, from the publishers to publish in the APA
during which researchers have studied, magazine. They have agreed to give a
developed and created instruments, tech- platform to some of the works of art that
niques, concepts and ideas. I have created over the years.
As a member of the global polygraph Over the coming period we will present
works of art which their common denomi-
community, I was intrigued to find a niche
nator is the Polygraph.I hope that the
that deals with a polygraph from the per- publication will lead other people to deal
spective of free work or as one might say with this issue alongside the important
from the angle of art. profession we deal with on a daily basis.
46 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
REGULAR FEATURES
A basic purpose of any scientific test is to Regardless of the type of test, sample
quantify, classify or predict a phenomena data is not itself the unknown parameter
of interest, sometimes referred to as an or phenomena of interest, but is a proxy
unknown parameter, that cannot be sub- that is correlated with the phenomena of
ject to perfect deterministic observation interest to a sufficient degree that it can
or direct physical measurement. The ba- be useful in making statistical inferences
sic procedure for any test of a test is to about the unknown parameter of interest.
obtain some data, often referred to as a Whereas medical/epidemiological tests,
sample, that can be used to calculate a which make of physical samples, can
statistical classifier – using some form of make use of a single data source, social/
statistical likelihood function (reference behavior tests – including psychological
data or reference distribution) along with tests and actuarial risk measures – will
a structured process or rule to classify the often make use of multiple sources of in-
result of a scientific test or experiment as formation from which response features
either positive or negative. For example: can be extracted and combined.
the basic decision rule in the frequentist
statistical tradition is this: p < a = sig. Test All scientific tests are fundamentally
samples can be in the form of a physical probabilistic and for this reason are not
sample, such as obtained by via nasopha- expected to be infallible – they are expec-
ryngeal swab or blood drawn by a phle- ted to quantify the probabilistic strength
botomist medical technician in the case or margin of uncertainty associated with
of medical tests, and can also be in the a test result or conclusion. When a test is
form of recorded stimulus-and-response used to quantify, vs. classify, an unknown
trials for social/behavioral tests such as parameter, the statistical information will
a polygraph test. attempt to describe the statistical likeli-
48 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
REGULAR FEATURES
hood that the numerical value of the un- psychological or actuarial, the basic con-
known parameter exists within a certain cepts of scientific testing are similar. Also
range. Many tests are intended only to similar are the types of questions and
classify (prediction can be thought of as strategies that developers of scientific
a form of classification). Ideally, though tests will take into consideration when
not always, a statistical classifier will also validating a test method. Another simila-
provide information about the practical rity is that testing is expensive, in terms
strength of the information or conclusion, of financial costs, human activity and
or the margin of uncertainty. time. When it is necessary to conduct a
large volume of tests, efficiency – inclu-
The statistical classifier for some scien- ding time, physical resources and human
tific tests is abstracted from the practical activity – the need to maximize available
context to a degree that, although it can resources can become an important con-
be used to classify a test result, there may sideration. For example, how to test a large
not be convenient or intuitive relationship cohort of public safety applicants for their
between the test statistic and practical history of involvement in multiple possible
considerations such as the actual like-
behavioral issues that make signal their un-
lihood of correct or incorrect test out-
suitability for positions of public trust? Or,
comes – often referred to TP or sensitivity
how to test the population of a large city for
and TN or specificity and FP and FN rates.
SARS-CoV-2 in attempt to isolate and con-
P-values – used to estimate random mea-
tain the spread of disease?
surement error – are an example of this;
they can be used to classify the results of
Multiple testing is a common strategy that
a scientific test or experiment as statisti-
cally significant or not significant accord- can be used to increase testing efficien-
ing to an alpha tolerance level, but do not cy. Use of multiple testing strategies can
provide information about practical likeli- be observed in different testing contexts
hoods associated with the classification. – including multiple issue polygraph tes-
Practical outcomes are most often de- ting, and also in the form of pooled testing
scribed empirically as to the sensitivity, for SARS-CoV-2, the novel coronavirus
specificity and FP or FN error rates that responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic.
are observed at selected numerical or sta- Multiple testing, in this usage, refers to the
tistical decision thresholds. Even more evaluation of multiple targets in a single
practical outcomes can be achieved us- analysis. In the SARS-CoV-2 context mul-
ing Bayesian or a-posteriori methods that tiple testing strategies are referred to as
take into consideration both a test statis- pooled testing, wherein multiple samples
tic and prior information. are pooled together for analysis. Although
other countries have already made use of
Regardless of whether a test is medical/ pooled testing strategies, in the U.S. the
epidemiological or social/behavioral/ FDA and CDC have only recently issued
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 49
REGULAR FEATURES
guidance on the development and valida- without known exposure with the
tion of these methods for diagnostic and intent of making decisions based
screening tests necessitated by SARS- on the test results. Screening tests
CoV-2 and COVID-19. are intended to identify infected in-
dividuals without, or prior to devel-
According to the CDC website: opment of, symptoms who may be
contagious so that measures can
Diagnostic testing for SARS-CoV-2 be taken to prevent further transmis-
is intended to identify occurrence sion. Examples of screening include
at the individual level and is per- testing plans developed by a work-
formed when there is a reason to place to test its employees, and test-
suspect that an individual may be ing plans developed by a school to
infected, such as having symptoms test its students, faculty, and staff.
or suspected recent exposure, or to In both examples, the intent is to use
determine resolution of infection. Ex- the screening testing results to de-
termine who may return and the pro-
amples of diagnostic testing include
tective measures that will be taken.
testing symptomatic individuals who
present to their healthcare provider,
The general concept of diagnostic and
testing individuals through contact
screening tests is essentially identical
tracing efforts, testing individuals
to that describe in the APA Standards of
who indicate that they were exposed
Practice.
to someone with a confirmed or sus-
pected case of coronavirus disease 1.1.5 Diagnostic examination: An
2019 (COVID-19), and testing indi- event-specific evidentiary or inves-
viduals present at an event where an tigative polygraph examination con-
attendee was later confirmed to have ducted to assist in determining the
COVID-19. veracity of an examinee regarding his
or her knowledge of or involvement
The CDC website also provides informa- in a reported issue or allegation. Di-
tion to differentiate diagnostic tests from agnostic examinations may address
screening tests: a single aspect or multiple-facts of
an event.
Screening tests for SARS-CoV-2 are
intended to identify occurrence at 1.1.6 Screening examination: A poly-
the individual level even if there is graph examination conducted in the
no reason to suspect infection—e.g., absence of a reported incident or alle-
there is no known exposure. This in- gation. Screening examinations may
cludes, but is not limited to, screen- be conducted as single issue or mul-
ing of non-symptomatic individuals tiple issue exams.
50 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
REGULAR FEATURES
ting a context for both FP and FN result in recommended based on the patient
the same exam). population included in your clinical
evaluation and the performance data
The FDA website provides additional submitted in your EUA [emergency
guidance of for developers of pooled or use authorization] request.
multiple testing methods for SARS-CoV-2,
with description of two different methods The preceding paragraph is instructive
of combining multiple test samples (ali- for several reasons. Firstly, it acknow-
quot or partial media pooling and media- ledges that multiple testing strategies
swab pooling): can sometimes lead to a reduction of test
sensitivity, and that care must be taken
Generally, FDA recommends valida- to avoid this. In the SARS-CoV-2 context
ting your test with either pooling test sensitivity – the ability of test to de-
approach in a way that preserves tect or identify the unknown phenomena
the sensitivity of your test as much of interest when it is present – is the me-
as possible; that is, it is preferable tric of primary interest. In other contexts,
to use an approach where all speci- it is possible that other metrics may be
mens identified as positive when prioritized; such as test specificity – the
tested individually are also identified ability of a test to correctly determine the
as positive when tested using the absence of problem of interest. Pooled
pooled testing approach. However, testing of SARS-CoV-2 samples differs
a decrease in performance is likely somewhat from the polygraph example
with pooling strategies, due to dilu- (involving multiple behavioral target is-
tion of the primary clinical sample. sues and a single individual) in that it in-
As discussed in the templates, since, volves taking a portion of sample data for
sample pooling will greatly increase multiple individuals and conducting the
the number of individuals that can analysis on a single combined sample.
be tested using existing resources, Classification of pooled test results of
a small reduction in sensitivity may SARS-CoV-2 is similar to the classifica-
be acceptable depending on the poo- tion of multiple issue polygraph results in
ling efficiency and other mitigations that the entire pooled sample will be clas-
in place. Therefore, FDA generally sified as either positive or negative – it is
recommends that, after pooling, test not possible to achieve both positive and
performance includes ≥85% percent negative results within a single analysis.
positive agreement (PPA) when com-
pared with the same test performed Importantly, this (FDA) paragraph il-
on individual samples. Additional lustrates that the selection of a testing
limitations, such as considering ne- strategy is inherently probabilistic and
gative results from pooled samples is always done with consideration for an
to be presumptive negatives, may be ability to understand and interpret both
52 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
REGULAR FEATURES
the scientific/probabilistic and practi- single issue polygraphs, for which overall
cal meaning of the information from the precision is often an intended objective, it
test result. In this (SARS-CoV-2) example, is expected that most classifications will
there is a clearly stated objective that be made using the total score, and for this
the concordance – referred to as percent reason the calculation of ESS-M numeri-
positive agreement (PPA) – is intended to cal cutscores for positive classification
achieve an 85% threshold when compa- of subtotal scores includes a statistical
ring the results of multiple and single correction. For single issue exams there
testing approaches. is no loss of sensitivity due to reliance on
the total score. For these exams the use
A potential hazard of pooled testing of of subtotals with statistical correction
SARS-CoV-2 samples is that combining can actually increase test sensitivity with-
of samples may induce a reduction of out a corresponding increase FP errors.
test sensitivity as a function of the dilu-
tion of the signal of interest in the com- Another interesting aspect of the CDC
bined samples. Imagine, for example, a website information is that information is
combined sample of 20 persons of whom also available on surveillance testing:
only 1 is positive. It may be possible to
dilute the viral load to a degree that falls Surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 includes
below the cutscore or threshold for posi- ongoing systematic activities, inclu-
tive classification. This need to under- ding collection, analysis, and interpre-
stand the test sensitivity rate is the rea- tation of health-related data that are
son pooled testing strategies must be essential to planning, implementing,
subject to validation in addition to the and evaluating public health prac-
validation of the analysis method itself. tice. Surveillance testing is generally
Approval of a pooled or multiple testing used to monitor for a community- or
strategy should only be considered when population-level occurrence, such as
acceptable test accuracy metrics can be an infectious disease outbreak, or
maintained. to characterize the occurrence once
detected, such as looking at the in-
An example of this in the polygraph con- cidence and prevalence of the occu-
text is that numerical cutscores for posi- rrence. Surveillance testing is used to
tive classification of ESS-M subtotals are gain information at a population level,
calculated without statistical correction rather than an individual level, and
for multiple issue tests. Use of a statis- results of surveillance testing can be
tical correction for these classifications returned in aggregate to the reques-
would reduce the incidence of FP errors ting institution. Surveillance testing
but would do so at a cost of reduced test may sample a certain percentage of
sensitivity and increased FN errors. For a specific population to monitor for
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 53
REGULAR FEATURES
increasing or decreasing prevalence of men for Syphilis as they were being in-
and to determine the population ducted into the U.S. military during WWII.
effect from community interventions, In economic terms, the optimal number
such as social distancing. An exam- of samples that should be pooled toge-
ple of surveillance testing is a plan ther can be calculated mathematically as
developed by a state public health a function of several factors, including the
department to randomly select and incidence rate if known (or the known rate
sample a percentage of all indivi of positive test results if not), cost of tes-
duals in a city on a rolling basis to ting, and expected cost savings resulting
assess local infection rates and from negative analytic pools. In practical
trends. terms the cost of testing includes the so-
cial and economic costs associated with
In this context the term surveillance re- an un-contained pandemic.
fers to obtaining and analyzing informa-
tion at the level of the group or popula- In summary, an obvious advantage of
tion – without attempting to monitor or multiple testing is that it can substantia-
diagnose individuals – for the purpose of
lly reduce expenses associated with limi-
understanding disease incidence rates
ted testing supplies such as swabs, re-
(also referred to as base-rates or priors
agents, and testing equipment, as well as
in Bayesian analysis). This usage can be
the time and workload demands placed
thought of as a form of screening, and not
on professionals. A potential disadvan-
as a form of diagnostic testing. The objec-
tage of multiple testing is that it can con-
tive of surveillance testing of SARS-CoV-2
strain the types of conclusions that can
appears to be to gain information about
disease prevalence, which can be used to be made. To the degree that it can provide
optimize a multiple testing strategy, and adequate precision, in terms of required
which can also be used as prior informa- test sensitivity or specificity rates, or an
tion to calculate the Bayesian posterior ability to constrain FP or FN errors to re-
likelihoods of correct or incorrect results. quired levels, multiple testing strategies
can be a viable method of making maxi-
Pooled testing was first described by mum use of available resources, including
economist Robert Dorman in a 1943 arti- material supplies, equipment, and human
cle in the Annals of Mathematical Statistics, effort. As is often the cases, successful
titled “Detection of Defective Members of use of these strategies will depend, to
Large Populations” (an atrocious title for some extent, upon policy administrators,
the social sensibilities of today). The con- field practitioners and a public that po-
text for that publication was the United ssess some knowledge or appreciation
States Public Health Service and the Se- for the issues that influence scientific
lective Service System, and the screening tests and their use.
54 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
REGULAR FEATURES
Welcome to this new column. the school solution. None of the exam-
iner results will be gathered. Examiners
Each issue of the APA Magazine will now are encouraged to track their own perfor-
feature a set of charts which examiners mance. Scorers who find they consistent-
may score for practice. All cases will ly agree with the recommended results
have come from the field. Some charts can become more confident in their field
will be from confirmed cases while others practices. Scorers who are less certain
will have suggested results taken from in- about their decisions may wish to seek
dependent quality control reviews which out opportunities for refresher training.
concurred with the original examiner. The
results of each case will appear in the fo-
llowing issue of the APA Magazine. For the
impatient among us, the results of each
exercise can also be found right away on
the APA website (www.polygraph.org) or
by writing the author directly.
1 Director, Educational Services, Capital Center for Credibility Assessment (C3A). Questions, comments, and suggestions
can be directed to the author at APAkrapohl@gmail.com.
The views expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the American
Polygraph Association or the Capital Center for Credibility Assessment.
C7
the top of the screen, or at the menu bar
click on View > Zoom > Zoom To and
then choose the level of magnification
you prefer. To rotate the charts, click on
R6
View > Rotate View and then choose
either clockwise or counterclockwise.
C5
Magazine. The exam is a mixed-issue
Air Force Modified General Question
Technique with two re-levant questions,
R4
three probable lies and three charts.
Good luck.
C3
Chart
Chart22 Chart
Chart33
C7
C3
R6
R4
C5
C7
R4
R6
C3
C5
PCSOT for thought will be a regularly sub- about Rat Park ( https://www.youtube.
mitted article to the APA Magazine. Ques- com/watch?v=C8AHODc6phg ). When the
tions or comments should be submitted to rat was left alone in a cage with Heroine
the author of the publication to be consi- or Cocaine laced water, the rat would drink
dered for future publication. the laced water until they died. When the
rat was put into a rat park with other rats
Substance abuse addiction and PCSOT where they could play, socialize and have
treatment may have more in common sex, they almost never use the laced wa-
than one might think, and not for the ter, those that did, did not use it chroni-
reasons one might think of it. What we cally and no rat overdosed at any point.
know about substance abuse addiction
is that when we use a containment style So how can Rat Park – a study on addic-
approach, the person is likely to reoffend. tion, help us understating why contain-
This is due to not having natural positive ment may not always be the best for sex
support systems in place as well as be- offenders? It is not because sexual of-
ing unable to construct a positive and fending behavior is an addiction. In fact,
meaningful identity for oneself that al- sex offenses have the lowest recidivism
lows the person to give back to the com- rate out of any felony offense. Instead,
munity. When we isolate people who are we can look at the concept of loneliness.
addicted to substance use, they are not It is human nature to want to socialize
learning the necessary skills that will al- and do better. When a person is stripped
low them to be able become sober and of that ability or is prevented from doing
stay sober. This can be seen by Bruce so, then the person is going to find other
Alexander’s study done in the 1970’s ways to satisfy that common goal of life.
58 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
REGULAR FEATURES
When there is a team approach to helping a long history of other types of felonies
the offender learn the skills needed, and outside of sexual offender. This is not
identify the positive supports in their lives the typical sex offender that is in treat-
that will help them utilize and better de- ment or on a supervision program out
velop positive coping skills then the per- in the community. For the clients where
son can reintegrate back into society in therapy is working hard at helping the
a way that is meaningful and is safe from client succeed in life outside of supervi-
harm to themselves or to other members sion, polygraph should be a helping hand
of society. Now it is true that there are in the process. Having all aspects of the
some high-risk offenders where this con- offender’s post conviction process come
cept will never work and being contained together we can help someone enter into
is the best method to keep everyone safe. their own version of Rat Park where they
These offenders are usually high risk, can be surrounded by positive supports
impulsive, manipulative and may have and learn how to give back to society.
titu
titu
The
The
(800) 295-6041
te
te
22600 Savi Ranch Parkway, Suite A-13
Polygraph-Forensics-Careers Yorba Linda, CA 92887 Polygraph-Forensics-Careers
“Exceeded expectations!”
Practical Polygraph:
Interviewing and Screening Public-Safety Applicants for Social
Intolerance
Raymond Nelson & Mark Handler
Public-safety workers – whether law en- titudes towards diverse members of the
forcement, fire department, homeland community may increase the likelihood
security, border patrol, social services, of systemic failure to serve the goals and
or correctional – carry large measures needs of their communities and agen-
of public trust. Law enforcement officers cies. This failure can result in harm to
have perhaps the most direct and visible both individuals and communities when
contact with most members of the com- manifested in action and behavior.
munity, and for this reason, the charac-
ter and integrity of law enforcement ap- Careful screening and selection of public-
plicants and trainees is among the most safety workers is an important and ongo-
important concerns to law enforcement ing consideration. Screening and selec-
administrators and other public officials. tion processes are often a multiple-hur-
However, an often overlooked vital link dles process that includes; psychological
are emergency services dispatchers. Of- testing, interviews, and the evaluation of
ten, they are the primary means by which physical skills. In addition, polygraph tes-
many citizens interact with public-safety ting of public-safety applicants, in the U.S.
services, and are often the first decision- and other countries, has been regarded
makers in the assignment of services. as a vital part of the screening and selec-
Regardless of their defined role, public- tion process. Polygraph testing is a useful
safety workers who harbor negative at- contribution to the screening and selec-
The authors are grateful to Professor Mike Aamodt of Radford University for providing guidance in writing and review-
ing earlier versions of this paper.
tion process for several reasons. These may be impeded by interviewers who are
include the increase in the confidence unfamiliar or inarticulate with the scope
surrounding conclusions about an appli- and details of the topic. Parallel to this
cant’s honesty and past behavior. Another concern is that unfamiliarity with the con-
useful aspect of polygraph testing is that ceptual and behavioral language of social
is can foster a motivational context in intolerance may be a context for judg-
which there are potential economic ad- ments to be influenced by implicit bias,
vantages for more complete and honest instead of an informed rational process.
disclosure and reporting of past beha- This influence can result in a tendency for
vior. Additionally, there is the potential for reduced diversity in the selection of pub-
deterrence or dissuasion of some appli- lic-safety employees. One view among
cants whose behavioral history may be social scientists is that attitudes of social
unsuitable for public-safety employment. intolerance may be a consequence and
not a cause of unfamiliarity among mem-
Common target issues for public-safety bers of different social groups. For these
applicant screening polygraphs can in- reasons, selection of public-safety em-
clude the individual’s history of serious ployees with diverse backgrounds, and
crimes, involvement with illegal drugs, the ability to identify and screen out per-
unlawful sex acts, acts of domestic or sons with socially intolerant behavioral
intimate partner violence, and history of histories, may provide a useful contribu-
previous administrative disciplinary in- tion to the selection of public-safety ap-
cidents. Another recommended area of plicants with the desired high standards
investigation is the applicant’s history of of character and integrity.
social intolerance. Historically, little at-
tention or discussion has surrounded the For a variety of reasons, there is presently
issue of social intolerance as a polygraph an increased awareness that acts of so-
screening target in the public-safety appli- cial intolerance can at times become an
cant selection process. Although Handler observable failure mode for some public-
et. al., (2009) recommended increased safety workers. This awareness has ad-
use of this topic, little progress has been vanced, among both administrative pro-
made among polygraph field practitioners
fessionals and the public, to a degree
in the U.S. towards the widespread inclu-
where the practical value of this topic
sion of social intolerance as a topical or
target issue in polygraph screening. may be similar to other investigation tar-
gets for public-safety applicant screen-
As with other polygraph screening target ing polygraphs. However, despite the in-
issues, social intolerance can involve a tuitive clarity of the concept, the breadth
variety of social behaviors. An important and variety of manifestations has meant
consideration for polygraph screening that it has been difficult to formulate a de-
programs is that interviewing of this topic scription that is both concise and beha-
62 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
REGULAR FEATURES
use of derogatory, demeaning and insul- of superiority for those of higher socio-
ting words or statements, and/or social economic status. Classism can lead to
or professional advocacy for the restric- blame and hostility, in addition to shame
tion of rights and opportunity to individu- and denial of heritage. When it results
als on the basis of homosexuality or any in the denial of opportunity as a func-
other non-heterosexual sexual orienta- tion of social class, classism is a form
tion. See Appendix F for a mind-map of of discrimination. Classism involves atti-
issues related to homophobia or sexual tudes, behaviors and policy systems that
prejudice. benefit persons in upper classes at the
expense of those in lower classes. Clas-
Religious intolerance – unwillingness to sism overlays with other forms of social
respect or accept others’ religious beliefs intolerance and discrimination, and can
or practices or lack thereof. Also, a re- be institutionalized in the form of cul-
fusal to accept others, their practices, or tural and institutional invisibility of poor
beliefs based on religious grounds. In its and working-class people, educational in-
extreme forms, religious intolerance can equities, health care access, mental
take the form of government sponsor- health care, and inequities in the adminis-
ship or a system of laws that restrict the tration of criminal justice, where persons
rights of or punish individuals for certain of diverse race, ethnicity intellectual dis-
religious beliefs or practices. Religious ability and neurodiversity are overrepre-
intolerance can be observed in the form sented. Appendix H shows a mind-map to
of labels and stereotypes, in addition to illustrate the dimensional interactions of
violence, vandalism, and harassment. Re- attitudes, behaviors, and policies in clas-
ligious intolerance also be observed in sism or class discrimination.
the form of discrimination. Appendix G
shows a mind-map of various aspects of Ageism – prejudice or discrimination
religious intolerance. based on a person’s age. This is can be
manifested in acts, attitudes, policies or
Classism – is an ideological prejudice beliefs about older people, and can also
against others because of their socio- be expressed in terms of limiting beliefs
economic class. This can include distrust about younger persons, including young
or hostility towards persons in the wor- adults, adolescents and children. Age-
king class and can also be observed in ism can be implicit, such as the belief
negative attitudes towards person in the that persons of a certain age should act
wealthy or upper-middle classes. Class a certain way, and also take more overt
discrimination most often affects those and specified assumptions such as the
of lower socioeconomic status. Classism belief that older persons are resistant to
fosters attitudes and feelings of inferio- change, or the belief that younger per-
rity for persons of lower socioeconomic sons are less responsible or less socially
status and corresponding assumptions mature. Some research suggests that
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 67
REGULAR FEATURES
and broad categorical topic of social in- Are you withholding any information
tolerance. Primary emphasis, in these about your involvement in acts of so-
questions, is placed on the investigation cial intolerance?
of hate crimes, with secondary conside-
ration for other acts of social intolerance. Unlike the first examples, these questions
These questions rely on the practice of avoid the stacking similar terms into
stacking similar action verb concepts a single question. Instead, each ques-
into a single question. tion attempts to describe a single action
verb or single behavioral topic. Limiting
Although some traditional wisdom and the relevant question to hate-crimes will
training in polygraph field practices has theoretically narrow the sensitivity of the
emphasized diligently avoiding use of question, and will therefor rely primarily
the word “or” in relevant questions, we on the interview discussion to develop
information on other aspects of social in-
have observed common practices among
tolerance. Conversely, use of the broader
polygraph field practitioners in law en-
term acts of social-intolerance is expect-
forcement, government service and pri-
ed to increase the sensitivity of a relevant
vate practice who make effective use of a
question to a wider range of behaviors.
stacking strategy1 to broaden or increase
As always there may be practical and eco-
the sensitivity of polygraph screening nomic advantages and disadvantages to
questions. For those who prefer to avoid each solution.
this, we offer the following example ques-
tions: Summary
1Stacking, in this usage, is a strategy in polygraph question formulation in which two similar or synonymous words are
used in a single question, separated by the coordinating conjunction “or.” Our view is that the traditional admonition
against the word “or” was intended to prevent the use bifurcated questions in single issue exams. Use of this strategy is
intended to optimize the sensitivity of a small number of stimulus-and-response trials, and is common in the context of
multiple-issue screening polygraphs. Stacking, as we have observed, should involve no more than two synonymous, or
high related terms. For example: “force or threaten,” “physically force or restrain,” “pornographic or X-rated images,”
and “completely alone or unsupervised.”
rance and each of the sub-topics in the intolerance and its varied manifestations.
appendices for those who prefer visual in- It is our view polygraph examiners and
formation or those who make use of tac- others who may interview for informa-
tile and visual aids in the polygraph inter- tion on social intolerance are likely to be
view process. Although not all polygraph less effective at this task if they lack ad-
field practitioners rely on mind-maps (in- equate training and information, and if
terview-route-maps), all polygraph topics they are unaware of their own potential
– and therefor all polygraph interviews biases. Although we do not profess to be
– are necessarily accompanied by some final authority on matters of diversity or
form of description as to the behavioral social intolerance, it is our hope that this
targets or topic for an examination. information will be of some usefulness to
polygraph professionals, personnel ad-
Polygraph examiners who desire to be ministrators and others who wish to in-
of maximum service to their agencies corporate increased discussion of social
and communities, towards the selection intolerance into the interview, testing and
of public-safety applicants and trainees selection processes – with the goal of
of high character and integrity, are obli- improving the overall potential for hiring
gated to familiarize themselves and be- diverse and tolerant public-safety profes-
come conversant with the topic of social sionals.
Reading List
Chan, W., McCrae, R. R., De Fruyt, F., Jussim, L., Löckenhoff, C. E., De Bolle, M., Costa, P.
T. Jr., Sutin, A. R., Realo, A., Allik, J., Nakazato, K., Shimonaka, Y., Hřebíčková, M. ,
Kourilova, A., Yik, M., Ficková, E., Brunner-Sciarra, M., de Figueora, N. L., Schmidt,
V., Ahn, C. K., Ahn, H. N., Aguilar-Vafaie, M. E., Siuta, J. Szmigielska, B., Cain, T. R.,
Crawford, J. T., Mastor, K. A., Rolland, J. P., Nansubuga, F., Miramontez, D. R., Benet-
Martínez, V., Rossier, J., Bratko, D. Halberstadt, J., Yamaguchi, M., Knežević, G.,
Martin, T. A., Gheorghiu, M., Smith, P. B., Barbaranelli, C., Wang, L., Shakespeare-
Finch, J., Lima, M. P., Klinkosz, W., Sekowski, A., Alcalay, L., Simonetti, F., Avdeyeva,
R. V., Pramila, V. S. & and Terracciano, A. (2012). Stereotypes of age differences
in personality traits: Universal and accurate? Journal of Personality and Social
Psychology, 103 (6), 1050–1066.
Handler, M., Honts, C. R. Krapohl, D. J., Nelson, R., & Griffin, S. (2009). Integration of pre-
employment polygraph screening into the police selection process. Journal of
Police and Criminal Psychology, 24(2), 69-86.
Manne, K. (2018). Down girl: the logic of misogyny. Oxford University Press.
Popper, K. R. (1945). The Open Society and Its Enemies. London: Routledge.
Appendix C: Racism
Appendix E: Sexism/Misogyny
Appendix F: Homophobia
Appendix H: Classism
Appendix I: Ageism
Appendix J: Discrimination
This article synopsis is a collaborative ef- for the majority of our clients. We involve
fort from the polygraph team at the Cen- the supervising officers working together
ter for the Treatment of Problem Sexual with therapists and clinicians. This al-
Behavior (CTPSB) to help understand lows us to put in practice some things we
how we can apply this study, Aggression have learned in the video. We will elabo-
vs. Altruism: Crash Course Psychology rate on why we believe both aggression
(2014), to credibility assessment prac- and altruism can play a role in polygraph,
tice. According to Community Justice therapy and supervision.
Services (2020).
The video Aggression vs. Altruism: Crash
The Center for Treatment of Pro- Course Psychology #40 (CrashCourse,
blem Sexual Behavior is committed 2014) discusses the concepts of realistic
to preventing future sexual abuse conflict theory, physical and environmen-
and reducing sexual violence through tal triggers of aggression, frustration-ag-
state-of-the-art assessment, treat- gression hypothesis, altruism, social ex-
ment, and training. We accomplish change theory, the reciprocity norm, the
this work by collaborating with all social responsibility norm, and the social
aspects of the criminal justice sys- traps. For the purposes of our discus-
tem, as well as victim advocates, and sion, aggression is defined as a hostile
using therapeutic techniques that or violent behavior or attitudes toward
have been shown through research another; readiness to attack or confront
to reduce problem sexual behavior. (Oxford Dictionary, 2020). And, altruism is
the belief in or practice of disinterested
The Center for Treatment of Problem Sex- and selfless concern for the well-being of
ual Behavior uses a collaborative model others (Oxford Dictionary, 2020).
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 79
SPECIAL FEATURES
We attempt to apply some of the con- cause of the terms of their probation or
cepts discussed in that video to our parole. We have experienced increases
present work as credibility assessment in disclosures because they become “at
professionals. One of the experiments ease”.
discussed in the video describes a social
science experiment (Robber’s Cave) in At times we have experienced client-
which two groups of adolescent boys are based aggression while trying to accom-
moved from aggression against one an- plish laying down foundation for probable
other to one of cooperation by manipula- lie comparison questions (PLC) while ap-
ting them into situations requiring shared pearing non-judgmental. It is sometimes
goals. From the start of our pretest inter- as though you need to be two people dur-
views we strive to share a goal of coop- ing the exam to accomplish this. If a cli-
eration with our clients. This can include ent is being difficult, examiners should
using active listening, demonstrating provide the best atmosphere to accom-
genuine similar interests, and being em- modate these types of clients as best
pathic. The discussion of cooperation they can. However, it is still important to
from the video reinforces that it can be a consider the behaviors of the client and
skill that examiners can use to overcome address the negative behavior before it
social differences and potential stigmas. impacts the examination. An examiner
Cooperation can also be applied to exa- should not display frustration of their own
miners in relationship building, a skill that with the client as this will negatively im-
has been shown to improve effective tes- pact their ability to communicate laying
ting, through improved communication. the foundation down for probable lie com-
Social scientists have found that rapport- parisons. Additionally, one should not ac-
building skills fosters increased com- quiesce to bad behavior at the potential
munication and disclosure regardless of expense of not properly formulating and
whether a true rapport is ever established discussing PLCs.
(St-Yves, 2006).
If we remain unbiased, neutral, and sep-
The less conflict there is between the ex- arate ourselves from our emotions we
aminer and examinee the more effective should find it easier to conduct an effec-
the test will become. Less conflict is ef- tive test. At times, during post-conviction
fective because it can bring increased dis- sex offender testing (PCSOT), examiners
closures, fewer inconclusive tests, fewer fall short with relationship-building with
retesting, and fewer complaints. As an a client due to the nature of the offense.
example, if an examinee comes into the For some examiners, discussing the con-
test angry or shows aggression the test tent in a PCSOT exam may be difficult.
will become more difficult to obtain dis- In some instances, the examinee may
closures or the desired or intended result. display aggression in having to discuss
In PCSOT clients may be tested often be- transgressions with the examiner. There
80 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
SPECIAL FEATURES
can be many different reasons why they lated to public safety, the mission of the
show this aggression during the exami- team.
nation and it’s our job to identify and at-
tempt to ameliorate the situation in the In regards to the relationship between ag-
most positive and productive way pos- gression and probable lie comparisons,
sible. It is important for the examiner to when the collaborative model is mutually
remain calm during the examination to inclusive, we need to lay the foundation
show professionalism for the examinee for a successful examination based on
to feel confident in the examiners ap- how salient they are with respect to how
proach to administering the test. If the the examinee will be challenged to pass
examinee believes the examiner is judg- the test.
ing them, or being biased, that can result
in aggression from the examinee. We need The uniqueness of PCSOT testing fre-
to be nonjudgmental about their offense quently involves difficult topics to dis-
for them to open up and be comfortable cuss, adding unique challenges the ex-
with us as interviewers and examiners. aminer must face to conduct a success-
ful test. Continued training can provide
If the goals of the polygraph exams are in- an education and understanding of how
tegrated with that of group and probation, to properly communicate and how to pro-
it may allow for the greater overall effec- ceed when challenging situations present
tiveness in the client’s treatment. The cli- themselves. We hope we have provided a
ent’s successes and failures affect every unique glimpse into the world of altruistic
aspect of the treatment team (polygraph, vs aggression in a PCSOT environment
group, supervision) which are directly re- polygraph testing.
Works Cited
Community Justice Services, 2020. The Connection. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://
www.theconnectioninc.org/community-justice-services/
CrashCourse, 2014. Aggression vs. Altruism: crash course psychology #40. [https://
www.youtube.com/watch?v=XoTx7Rt4dig&feature=youtu.be]
St. Yves, M. (2006). Psychology of Rapport: Five Basic Rules (From Investigative Inter-
viewing: Rights, Research, Regulation, P 87-106, 2006, Tom Williamson, ed. -- See
NCJ-214231)
“Without mathematics, there’s nothing you can do. Everything around you is
mathematics. Everything around you is numbers.”
- Shakuntala Devi, (aka the human computer)
Table 1. Criterion accuracy of ESS-M scores of event-specific exams with four relevant questions.
rates. Raskin, Honts, Nelson and Handler They constructed estimates for three pre-
(2015) used Monte Carlo methods to sentations and five presentations of the
calculate the distributions of grand total 4-relevant question tests. With 4-relevant
questions and three charts, sensitivity,
numerical scores of event-specific, sin-
specificity, error rates and inconclusive
gle-issue polygraph examinations with rates are fairly balanced. See Table 3 be-
four relevant question (RQ) test formats. low.
Table 3 shows the Mean (standard deviation) and {95% confidence interval} for criterion accuracy
of the four question event-specific test format with three test charts.
Table 4 below shows data from Raskin et the outcomes as compared to Table 3
al. (2015) with 5 test charts using grand which represents three presentations
total and two-stage decision rules with of 4-relevant questions. Sensitivity and
probability cutting scores for deceptive/
specificity are both very high. Error rates
truthful cutscores (GTR=grand total rule,
TSR = two-stage rule). are balanced and are quite low. The in-
conclusive rates for truthful and decep-
Note how collecting more data improves tive subjects are also balanced and low.
APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4) 85
SPECIAL FEATURES
Table 4. data from Raskin et al. (2015) shows mean (standard deviation) and {95% confidence
interval} for Utah 7-position and ESS scores with 5 test charts.
The point we hope to make in reviewing of a 4-question single issue test format.
these past studies is to show that more The remaining question to answer is how
data are really better in event-specific di- does an examiner go about changing their
agnostic testing. As the number of target test from a 2-question format to a 4-ques-
questions and/or charts increase, sen- tion format? Here we provide a simplified
sitivity and specificity can increase, and rubric for creating diagnostic exams with
error rates and inconclusive rates can de- multiple questions.
crease. It is really a matter of the beauty
of math and hopefully we have shown Statistically and mathematically speak-
you so - or at least got you thinking. ing, when there are more targets for a per-
son to respond to, the more likely you will
The Process have an outcome (scores) that converge
correctly towards deception or truth-tell-
At this point we have hopefully con- ing. In practical terms more data means
vinced you of the value and importance the total score is more likely to meet the
86 APA Magazine 2020, 53 (4)
SPECIAL FEATURES
cut score. It matters not the name of the tercourse with her. The offender
technique used or the scoring technique denies all aspects of the victim
of choice. In single issue testing, having statement and denied ever having
more opportunities to respond, increases sexual contact with the victim.
our ability to separate diagnostic varia-
tion from noise, and lessens the chance a. Q: What is the behavior being
of observing a total score that falls in tested? A: Sexual acts against
the inconclusive range. In simpler terms, the reported victim.
more data will lead to more precision –
reduced inconclusive outcomes while b. Q: What is the clearest way
also reducing false-positive and false- to describe the behavior being
negative errors. One of the most obvi- tested? A: There are several ans-
ous differences may be increases in test wers to this and since the main
specificity to truth-telling. focus of the instant offense is
the one victim, it is okay to use
To some it may seem difficult at first to them all. 1. Penis into vagina,
come up with more than two questions. and 2. physical restraint.
we suggest this formula to help create
relevant questions that are easily under- c. Q; What are two or three ad-
stood and triangulate the behavioral top- ditional synonymous ways to
ic of interest to the test. describe the behavior? A: 1. Sex-
ual contact, and 2. vaginal inter-
1.What is the behavior being tested? course.
References
Nelson, R. (2017a). Multinomial reference distributions for the Empirical Scoring Sys-
tem. Polygraph & Forensic Credibility Assessment, 46(2), 81-115.
Nelson, R., Handler, M., Blalock, B, and Cushman, B. (2016) Blind Scoring of Confirmed
Federal You-Phase Examinations by Experienced and Inexperienced Examiners:
Criterion Validity with the Empirical Scoring System and the Seven-Position Mod-
el. Polygraph, 45(1), 22-38.
Thiel, E. and Nelson, R. (2019). PCSOT Instant Offense Polygraph Exams: A Compari-
son of the Two-Question and Four-Question Test Formats. Polygraph & Forensic
Credibility Assessment Testing 48(2), p. 93-97.