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UA'Uranium Project PDF
UA'Uranium Project PDF
September 2020
Summary
PREVALENT SICAV a.s. invites investors to Uranium Industry a.s. investment Project
o PREVALENT (SICAV based in the Czech Republic) via its company Uranium Industry a.s. acquired uranium
mining assets in Mongolia from Denison Mines Corp; as of 2015 Denison Mines invested USD 37.4 mln into
exploration activities. Uranium Industry nvested 11 million USD as of the 1st half of 2020
o Gurvan Saihan LLC – the project SPV received exclusive rights for extraction of uranium in Mongolia within
four licensed areas (the Project); the licenses are valid until 2046 with a possibility of extension
o Projects advantages and status:
• Technical and commercial assessment performed by world class experts (Denison Mines,
Kazatomprom) confirmed significant uranium resources of 170+ mlbs in different stages of exploration
• The most economically favorable extraction methods – In Situ Leaching (ISL) and Heap Leaching (HL) –
are amenable on the licensed fields
• According to international uranium market fundamentals, a strong growth of demand and uranium
price is anticipated for the next decade
• Project is supported by Mongolian Government as an important FDI
• The project is fully permitted and ready to start; geological exploration, laboratory tests, feasibility
study and detailed design are completed; off-take agreement is in place; debt financing is pre-
arranged.
o Financial evaluation demonstrates robust figures with significant upside potential:
• Conservative evaluation of known resources development provides NPV of USD 161 mln and IRR 45%
• When project enters industrial-scale production phase in 2026 NPV will rise to USD 252, and in case
of positive results of geological exploration of potential resources and realization of stage 2 – to USD
393 mln.
2
Project Ownership Structure
30
deficit and drive the price down.
20
This situation cannot and will not last, 10 Uranium Industry Project cash cost, USD/LB
DCF model, 2028
the market price for next decade is 0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
expected at the level of 45-50 USD/lb: Source: SRK URANIUM PRODUCTION, MLB
The Project is fully permitted and ready to start the implementation phase
Mining licenses obtained in 2016
Preliminary geological exploration completed
Project Licenses Preliminary laboratory tests completed
Raw material suppliers pre-selected
Feasibility Study and detailed design for Hairhan deposit completed
Off-take agreement concluded
Technology and equipment suppliers pre-selected
Construction supervisor selected
Debt financing for Hairhan deposit development pre-arranged
7
Project Implementation Stages
• Denison Mines • Pilot • 1st stage • Construction • Industrial- • 2nd stage • 2nd stage
invested USD 37.4 construction pilot works scale construction production
mln into exploration starts
on Hairhan production • Exploration production
• Additional USD 11
mln invested to deposit start-up and • Lower
reach current stage begins confirmation implementa
• Project in of potential tion risk =>
preparation stage: resources discount
bank financing & rate 12%
capital raise for 1st
Stage to be
completed
• Medium
implementation risk
=> discount rate 16%
9
Production Plan by Stages
ths lbs
Stage 1 - А
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046
Hairhan 0 0 268 268 520 1,820 1,820 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Choir 0 0 0 0 0 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gurvan Saihan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ulziit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 0 0 268 268 520 3,120 3,120 4,420 4,420 4,420 4,420 4,420 4,420 4,420 4,420 1,820 1,820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stage 2 - Б
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046
Hairhan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Choir 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,080 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gurvan Saihan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ulziit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,080 2,600 3,900 5,200 5,200 5,200 5,200 3,900 3,900 3,900 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stage 2
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046
Hairhan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,300 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 0 0 0 0 0 0
Choir 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,300 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600
Gurvan Saihan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,300 1,300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ulziit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 0 0
Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,600 5,200 5,200 6,499 6,499 5,200 5,200 5,200 5,200 5,200 3,900 3,900 3,900 3,900 2,600 2,600
Total Stages 0 0 268 268 520 3,120 3,120 6,499 7,019 8,319 9,619 12,219 14,819 14,819 14,819 12,219 10,919 6,499 6,499 6,499 6,499 3,900 3,900 3,900 3,900 2,600 2,600
10
Project Performance Indicators and Sources of Financing
Structure of CAPEX financing*, USD mln Performance indicators, USD mln
CAPEX Debt Own sources ** Operational CF
1st stage - A 132,209 92,940 32,660 6,609
Stage 1 Stage 1 Stages 1+2
medium risk*** low risk*** low risk
1st stage - B 130,278 0 0 130,278
2nd stage 185,493 0 0 185,493
Total 447,981 92,940 32,660 322,381 161 252 393 NPV, USD mln
11
Project Actual and Potential Value
12
Uranium Price Sensitivity
3% annual growth of U3O8 market price is Sensitivity of NPV to U3O8 price growth*
assumed in the Project financial model. NPV, USD mln
13
Project Value Comparison
• Alexandr Budunov
- Chief project geologist since 1994
- 40 years experience with uranium exploration, 25 years in Mongolia
- Member of «Sosnovgeology state enterprise» geologic party, which conducted initial survey of
the project areas in the 1980s’ and eventually discovered the uranium occurrences
- Led and supervised exploration program, responsible for exploration data collection and
processing
• Vladimir Barmasov
- Mining engineer, geologist
- 2013 – 2019 head of the Mining department of JSC NAC Kazatomprom, 1997 – 2013 various
positions in JSC NAC Kazatomprom
- extensive experience in all areas of uranium prospection, ISL mining and processing
• Alexandr Vershkov
- Mining engineer, geologist
- Worked on various positions in Volkov Geology since 1978, leading geologist since 1988, director
of various departments since 1999, 2015 – 2020 deputy chairman of Board and chief geologist of
Volkov Geology (subsidiary of JSC NAC Kazatomprom)
• Bat-Ochir Bayantur
- Director of Gurvansaikhan JVC
- Employee of GSJV since 2008
- Management of day-to-day company activities, local technical support, communication with
local authorities, responsible for company and licensing compliance on local level
- since 1985 occupied various positions at the Ministry of Mining of Mongolia and in several state
enterprises
16
SWOT Analysis
Strengths Weaknesses
• Strong relationship with Kazatomprom and access to market leading • Lack of financial capital to cover all exploration and construction
technology and know-how works during the first years of project realization
• Low extraction and operation costs with both ISL and HL • Dependence of CAPEX/OPEX level on Kazatomprom role in the
project
• 4 deposits proximity synergies
• Large distance and time zone difference between Mongolia and
• Leading international experts working on the project Prague create some difficulties in management.
• Intra-governmental support
• Proximity to China and India - key drivers of future U3O8 demand
• Project is fully licensed and ready to commence construction phase
Opportunities Threats
• Significant upside in further resource discovery at Ulziit depression • Long-term political risk in Mongolia, especially considering
• Possible more favorable offtake agreements with Chinese companies geopolitical situation with Russia and China.
• Possible more favorable raw material contracts with Oyu Tolgoi mine • Long-term regulatory risks associated with uranium commodities
and trade.
• Further licenses from Mongolian government based on previous
studies
• Strong market fundamentals for uranium demand growth
17
Free Cash Flow to Equity: 1st Stage, Medium Implementation Risk
Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
Revenue 3,701,775 0 0 7,119 7,624 15,951 104,617 113,517 247,090 254,137 306,219 365,170 376,607 388,388 400,522 357,207 253,234 259,786 59,869 60,704 61,564 62,450
Cost 1,632,715 0 1,892 5,583 5,872 8,759 45,349 48,844 101,661 111,376 137,084 161,255 164,753 168,945 172,149 151,608 108,254 110,309 29,286 28,865 29,258 29,662
Production/processing 329,677 0 0 791 807 1,599 9,783 9,979 21,205 23,359 28,239 33,304 33,970 34,650 35,343 31,178 21,863 22,301 5,170 5,273 5,379 5,486
Geological network 472,012 0 0 1,133 1,156 2,289 14,007 14,287 30,360 33,444 40,430 47,683 48,636 49,609 50,601 44,638 31,303 31,929 7,402 7,550 7,701 7,855
Personnel 48,389 0 223 548 559 620 1,855 1,892 2,997 3,201 3,616 4,024 4,104 4,186 4,270 3,992 3,252 3,317 1,391 1,419 1,447 1,476
Personnel travel and accomodation 20,284 0 94 230 234 261 777 792 1,255 1,344 1,515 1,685 1,719 1,758 1,789 1,672 1,362 1,393 583 594 606 620
Repair/modernisation 16,017 0 0 118 118 118 542 609 1,840 823 1,132 1,235 1,509 2,410 2,256 845 675 675 277 277 277 277
Electricity 101,372 0 0 404 412 490 2,999 3,058 6,499 7,160 8,655 10,208 10,412 10,620 10,833 9,556 6,701 6,835 1,585 1,616 1,649 1,682
Repair and restoration work 305,208 0 138 141 295 471 5,572 7,050 16,628 19,812 27,108 32,461 33,110 33,772 34,448 30,388 21,310 21,736 5,039 5,140 5,242 5,347
Transportation 74,978 0 0 161 165 326 1,996 2,252 4,547 5,349 6,448 7,495 7,645 7,798 7,954 7,119 5,233 5,338 1,858 1,076 1,098 1,120
Ancillary production 815 0 0 25 26 26 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 32 32 33 34 34 35 36 36
Water 2,642 0 0 6 6 13 78 80 170 187 226 267 272 278 283 250 175 179 41 42 43 44
Royalty 185,089 0 0 356 381 798 5,231 5,676 12,354 12,707 15,311 18,258 18,830 19,419 20,026 17,860 12,662 12,989 2,993 3,035 3,078 3,123
Property tax 25,353 0 52 137 177 185 574 1,229 1,476 1,594 1,860 1,941 1,838 1,727 1,616 1,505 1,394 1,282 1,171 1,060 949 838
Administrative cost 43,973 0 1,385 1,513 1,516 1,525 1,675 1,682 1,816 1,843 1,894 1,945 1,957 1,969 1,981 1,950 1,864 1,874 1,645 1,651 1,657 1,663
Selling expenses 6,908 0 0 20 20 39 233 233 485 524 621 718 718 718 718 621 427 427 97 97 97 97
EBITDA 2,069,060 0 -1,892 1,535 1,752 7,191 59,268 64,672 145,429 142,761 169,135 203,915 211,855 219,443 228,373 205,599 144,980 149,478 30,583 31,839 32,306 32,788
Depreciation -454,278 0 0 -2,832 -3,342 -4,240 -11,282 -16,155 -28,574 -30,057 -35,706 -41,270 -41,270 -39,420 -39,072 -35,408 -28,388 -25,486 -11,621 -11,571 -10,288 -9,055
EBIT 1,614,782 0 -1,892 -1,296 -1,590 2,952 47,987 48,517 116,855 112,704 133,429 162,645 170,585 180,023 189,301 170,191 116,592 123,991 18,961 20,268 22,019 23,732
Interest Expense 34,615 0 0 1,137 1,482 1,627 1,634 3,866 4,522 4,069 3,617 3,165 2,713 2,261 1,809 1,356 904 452 0 0 0 0
EBT 1,580,167 0 -1,892 -2,433 -3,072 1,325 46,353 44,651 112,334 108,635 129,811 159,480 167,872 177,762 187,493 168,835 115,688 123,539 18,961 20,268 22,019 23,732
Losses Carry-Forward -6,830 0 0 0 0 -1,325 -5,505 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Income Taxes -359,593 0 0 0 0 0 -8,904 -9,744 -24,995 -23,982 -28,625 -35,305 -37,260 -39,586 -41,867 -37,744 -25,757 -27,637 -3,992 -4,308 -4,735 -5,152
Net Income 1,213,744 0 -1,892 -2,433 -3,072 0 31,943 34,907 87,339 84,653 101,186 124,175 130,611 138,176 145,626 131,091 89,931 95,902 14,969 15,960 17,284 18,580
CAPEX -469,578 -11,008 -24,487 -7,006 -2,696 -1,649 -76,708 -55,223 -18,750 -49,227 -51,537 -25,974 -25,974 -25,974 -25,974 -22,464 -15,444 -15,444 -3,510 -3,510 -3,510 -3,510
Change of WC -134,881 0 -1,130 -1,631 -507 -2,031 -24,140 -8,986 -28,334 -11,218 -20,196 -20,699 -13,985 -14,257 -14,768 -4,560 8,551 -9,151 29,362 -2,065 -2,160 -2,163
Net borrowings 0 0 22,733 5,904 2,395 647 45,651 13,104 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 0 0 0 0
(+) Debd issued 92,940 0 22,733 5,904 2,395 2,154 46,651 13,104 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(-) Debt repayed -92,940 0 0 0 0 -1,507 -1,000 0 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 0 0 0 0
Net Equity Cash Flow 1,063,563 -11,008 -4,776 -2,334 -539 1,207 -11,972 -43 59,785 45,222 56,116 109,728 122,879 128,322 134,913 130,432 102,382 87,750 52,443 21,955 21,901 21,963
Accumulated Cash Flow 14,935,041 -11,008 -15,784 -18,118 -18,656 -17,449 -29,421 -29,464 30,322 75,543 131,660 241,388 364,267 492,589 627,501 757,933 860,315 948,065 1,000,508 1,022,463 1,044,365 1,066,327
Discounted FCFE 161,279 -11,008 -4,117 -1,734 -345 667 -5,700 -18 21,154 13,794 14,756 24,874 24,013 21,617 19,593 16,329 11,050 8,164 4,206 1,518 1,305 1,129
Accumulated Discounted FCFE -11,008 -15,125 -16,860 -17,205 -16,538 -22,238 -22,255 -1,102 12,692 27,448 52,322 76,334 97,952 117,545 133,874 144,924 153,088 157,295 158,813 160,118 161,247
18
Free Cash Flow to Equity: 1st Stage, Low Implementation Risk
Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
Revenue 3,701,775 0 0 7,119 7,624 15,951 104,617 113,517 247,090 254,137 306,219 365,170 376,607 388,388 400,522 357,207 253,234 259,786 59,869 60,704 61,564 62,450
Cost 1,632,715 0 1,892 5,583 5,872 8,759 45,349 48,844 101,661 111,376 137,084 161,255 164,753 168,945 172,149 151,608 108,254 110,309 29,286 28,865 29,258 29,662
Production/processing 329,677 0 0 791 807 1,599 9,783 9,979 21,205 23,359 28,239 33,304 33,970 34,650 35,343 31,178 21,863 22,301 5,170 5,273 5,379 5,486
Geological network 472,012 0 0 1,133 1,156 2,289 14,007 14,287 30,360 33,444 40,430 47,683 48,636 49,609 50,601 44,638 31,303 31,929 7,402 7,550 7,701 7,855
Personnel 48,389 0 223 548 559 620 1,855 1,892 2,997 3,201 3,616 4,024 4,104 4,186 4,270 3,992 3,252 3,317 1,391 1,419 1,447 1,476
Personnel travel and accomodation 20,284 0 94 230 234 261 777 792 1,255 1,344 1,515 1,685 1,719 1,758 1,789 1,672 1,362 1,393 583 594 606 620
Repair/modernisation 16,017 0 0 118 118 118 542 609 1,840 823 1,132 1,235 1,509 2,410 2,256 845 675 675 277 277 277 277
Electricity 101,372 0 0 404 412 490 2,999 3,058 6,499 7,160 8,655 10,208 10,412 10,620 10,833 9,556 6,701 6,835 1,585 1,616 1,649 1,682
Repair and restoration work 305,208 0 138 141 295 471 5,572 7,050 16,628 19,812 27,108 32,461 33,110 33,772 34,448 30,388 21,310 21,736 5,039 5,140 5,242 5,347
Transportation 74,978 0 0 161 165 326 1,996 2,252 4,547 5,349 6,448 7,495 7,645 7,798 7,954 7,119 5,233 5,338 1,858 1,076 1,098 1,120
Ancillary production 815 0 0 25 26 26 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 32 32 33 34 34 35 36 36
Water 2,642 0 0 6 6 13 78 80 170 187 226 267 272 278 283 250 175 179 41 42 43 44
Royalty 185,089 0 0 356 381 798 5,231 5,676 12,354 12,707 15,311 18,258 18,830 19,419 20,026 17,860 12,662 12,989 2,993 3,035 3,078 3,123
Property tax 25,353 0 52 137 177 185 574 1,229 1,476 1,594 1,860 1,941 1,838 1,727 1,616 1,505 1,394 1,282 1,171 1,060 949 838
Administrative cost 43,973 0 1,385 1,513 1,516 1,525 1,675 1,682 1,816 1,843 1,894 1,945 1,957 1,969 1,981 1,950 1,864 1,874 1,645 1,651 1,657 1,663
Selling expenses 6,908 0 0 20 20 39 233 233 485 524 621 718 718 718 718 621 427 427 97 97 97 97
EBITDA 2,069,060 0 -1,892 1,535 1,752 7,191 59,268 64,672 145,429 142,761 169,135 203,915 211,855 219,443 228,373 205,599 144,980 149,478 30,583 31,839 32,306 32,788
Depreciation -454,278 0 0 -2,832 -3,342 -4,240 -11,282 -16,155 -28,574 -30,057 -35,706 -41,270 -41,270 -39,420 -39,072 -35,408 -28,388 -25,486 -11,621 -11,571 -10,288 -9,055
EBIT 1,614,782 0 -1,892 -1,296 -1,590 2,952 47,987 48,517 116,855 112,704 133,429 162,645 170,585 180,023 189,301 170,191 116,592 123,991 18,961 20,268 22,019 23,732
Interest Expense 34,615 0 0 1,137 1,482 1,627 1,634 3,866 4,522 4,069 3,617 3,165 2,713 2,261 1,809 1,356 904 452 0 0 0 0
EBT 1,580,167 0 -1,892 -2,433 -3,072 1,325 46,353 44,651 112,334 108,635 129,811 159,480 167,872 177,762 187,493 168,835 115,688 123,539 18,961 20,268 22,019 23,732
Losses Carry-Forward -6,830 0 0 0 0 -1,325 -5,505 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Income Taxes -359,593 0 0 0 0 0 -8,904 -9,744 -24,995 -23,982 -28,625 -35,305 -37,260 -39,586 -41,867 -37,744 -25,757 -27,637 -3,992 -4,308 -4,735 -5,152
Net Income 1,213,744 0 -1,892 -2,433 -3,072 0 31,943 34,907 87,339 84,653 101,186 124,175 130,611 138,176 145,626 131,091 89,931 95,902 14,969 15,960 17,284 18,580
CAPEX -469,578 -11,008 -24,487 -7,006 -2,696 -1,649 -76,708 -55,223 -18,750 -49,227 -51,537 -25,974 -25,974 -25,974 -25,974 -22,464 -15,444 -15,444 -3,510 -3,510 -3,510 -3,510
Change of WC -134,881 0 -1,130 -1,631 -507 -2,031 -24,140 -8,986 -28,334 -11,218 -20,196 -20,699 -13,985 -14,257 -14,768 -4,560 8,551 -9,151 29,362 -2,065 -2,160 -2,163
Net borrowings 0 0 22,733 5,904 2,395 647 45,651 13,104 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 0 0 0 0
(+) Debd issued 92,940 0 22,733 5,904 2,395 2,154 46,651 13,104 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(-) Debt repayed -92,940 0 0 0 0 -1,507 -1,000 0 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 0 0 0 0
Net Equity Cash Flow 1,063,563 -11,008 -4,776 -2,334 -539 1,207 -11,972 -43 59,785 45,222 56,116 109,728 122,879 128,322 134,913 130,432 102,382 87,750 52,443 21,955 21,901 21,963
Accumulated Cash Flow 14,935,041 -11,008 -15,784 -18,118 -18,656 -17,449 -29,421 -29,464 30,322 75,543 131,660 241,388 364,267 492,589 627,501 757,933 860,315 948,065 1,000,508 1,022,463 1,044,365 1,066,327
Discounted FCFE 251,516 -11,008 -4,264 -1,860 -383 767 -6,793 -22 27,044 18,264 20,236 35,330 35,325 32,937 30,918 26,689 18,705 14,314 7,638 2,855 2,543 2,277
Accumulated Discounted FCFE -11,008 -15,272 -17,133 -17,516 -16,749 -23,542 -23,564 3,480 21,745 41,981 77,310 112,635 145,572 176,490 203,179 221,884 236,198 243,836 246,691 249,234 251,511
19
Free Cash Flow to Equity: 2nd Stage, Low Implementation Risk, 1
Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
Revenue 7,150,669 0 0 7,119 7,624 15,951 104,617 113,517 247,090 254,137 306,219 365,170 478,393 598,328 617,021 636,275 541,000 495,937 298,973 302,849 306,842 310,955
Cost 3,100,930 0 1,892 5,583 5,872 8,759 45,349 48,844 101,661 111,376 137,084 161,774 208,318 257,222 262,418 265,962 225,297 206,153 128,020 129,402 131,647 133,957
Production/processing 637,296 0 0 791 807 1,599 9,783 9,979 21,205 23,359 28,239 33,304 43,151 53,379 54,447 55,535 46,708 42,574 25,849 26,366 26,893 27,431
Geological network 912,441 0 0 1,133 1,156 2,289 14,007 14,287 30,360 33,444 40,430 47,683 61,781 76,425 77,953 79,512 66,874 60,955 37,008 37,749 38,504 39,274
Personnel 84,311 0 223 548 559 620 1,855 1,892 2,997 3,201 3,616 4,024 4,738 5,426 5,534 5,645 5,128 4,890 3,653 3,726 3,801 3,877
Personnel travel and accomodation 35,340 0 94 230 234 261 777 792 1,255 1,344 1,515 1,685 1,985 2,278 2,318 2,364 2,148 2,053 1,530 1,561 1,592 1,628
Repair/modernisation 23,713 0 0 118 118 118 542 609 1,840 823 1,132 1,235 1,742 3,123 2,924 1,195 1,064 995 729 729 729 729
Electricity 195,657 0 0 404 412 490 2,999 3,058 6,499 7,160 8,655 10,208 13,226 16,361 16,688 17,022 14,316 13,049 7,923 8,081 8,243 8,408
Repair and restoration work 605,038 0 138 141 295 471 5,572 7,050 16,628 19,812 27,108 32,461 42,059 52,028 53,068 54,130 45,526 41,496 25,194 25,698 26,212 26,736
Transportation 145,895 0 0 161 165 326 1,996 2,252 4,547 5,349 6,448 7,495 9,519 11,862 12,347 12,594 10,818 10,000 6,613 5,926 6,045 6,166
Ancillary production 815 0 0 25 26 26 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 32 32 33 34 34 35 36 36
Water 5,107 0 0 6 6 13 78 80 170 187 226 267 346 428 436 445 374 341 207 211 215 220
Royalty 357,533 0 0 356 381 798 5,231 5,676 12,354 12,707 15,311 18,258 23,920 29,916 30,851 31,814 27,050 24,797 14,949 15,142 15,342 15,548
Property tax 36,965 0 52 137 177 185 574 1,229 1,476 1,594 1,860 2,461 2,877 2,741 2,581 2,419 2,256 2,093 1,929 1,766 1,613 1,470
Administrative cost 48,284 0 1,385 1,513 1,516 1,525 1,675 1,682 1,816 1,843 1,894 1,945 2,033 2,118 2,133 2,149 2,089 2,063 1,917 1,928 1,939 1,951
Selling expenses 12,534 0 0 20 20 39 233 233 485 524 621 718 912 1,106 1,106 1,106 912 815 485 485 485 485
EBITDA 4,049,739 0 -1,892 1,535 1,752 7,191 59,268 64,672 145,429 142,761 169,135 203,396 270,075 341,106 354,603 370,313 315,703 289,784 170,953 173,447 175,195 176,998
Depreciation -739,677 0 0 -2,833 -3,344 -4,243 -11,299 -16,172 -28,609 -30,095 -35,751 -41,322 -54,742 -59,894 -59,564 -59,412 -52,378 -45,975 -32,086 -32,035 -30,752 -29,648
EBIT 3,310,062 0 -1,892 -1,298 -1,592 2,949 47,970 48,500 116,820 112,666 133,383 162,073 215,333 281,212 295,039 310,901 263,325 243,809 138,867 141,412 144,443 147,350
Interest Expense 34,615 0 0 1,137 1,482 1,627 1,634 3,866 4,522 4,069 3,617 3,165 2,713 2,261 1,809 1,356 904 452 0 0 0 0
EBT 3,275,447 0 -1,892 -2,435 -3,073 1,322 46,336 44,634 112,298 108,597 129,766 158,908 212,620 278,951 293,230 309,544 262,421 243,357 138,867 141,412 144,443 147,350
Losses Carry-Forward -6,830 0 0 0 0 -1,322 -5,508 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Income Taxes -730,005 0 0 0 0 0 -8,899 -9,739 -24,986 -23,972 -28,614 -35,162 -47,175 -62,259 -65,595 -69,433 -58,843 -54,640 -30,980 -31,567 -32,275 -32,951
Net Income 2,538,613 0 -1,892 -2,435 -3,073 0 31,929 34,894 87,312 84,624 101,152 123,746 165,445 216,692 227,635 240,112 203,578 188,717 107,887 109,844 112,167 114,399
CAPEX -767,391 -11,008 -24,487 -7,006 -2,696 -1,649 -76,708 -55,223 -18,750 -49,227 -51,537 -116,107 -32,994 -40,264 -40,264 -40,014 -32,994 -29,484 -17,550 -17,550 -19,350 -19,350
Change of WC -277,374 0 -1,130 -1,630 -507 -2,031 -24,138 -8,986 -28,331 -11,217 -20,195 -29,637 -31,943 -37,583 -22,710 -23,077 -1,595 -7,988 21,916 -9,685 -10,089 -10,102
Net borrowings 0 0 22,733 5,904 2,395 647 45,651 13,104 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 0 0 0 0
(+) Debd issued 92,940 0 22,733 5,904 2,395 2,154 46,651 13,104 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(-) Debt repayed -92,940 0 0 0 0 -1,507 -1,000 0 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 -9,043 0 0 0 0
Net Equity Cash Flow 2,233,525 -11,008 -4,776 -2,333 -539 1,210 -11,968 -38 59,797 45,232 56,129 10,281 146,207 189,696 215,182 227,389 212,323 188,176 144,339 114,645 113,481 114,596
Accumulated Cash Flow 24,021,259 -11,008 -15,784 -18,117 -18,656 -17,446 -29,414 -29,452 30,345 75,576 131,705 141,986 288,193 477,889 693,071 920,460 1,132,784 1,320,960 1,465,299 1,579,944 1,693,425 1,808,020
Discounted FCFE 393,111 -11,008 -4,264 -1,860 -383 769 -6,791 -19 27,049 18,268 20,241 3,310 42,031 48,690 49,314 46,528 38,791 30,696 21,022 14,908 13,176 11,880
Accumulated Discounted FCFE -11,008 -15,272 -17,132 -17,516 -16,747 -23,538 -23,557 3,492 21,760 42,001 45,311 87,342 136,032 185,346 231,875 270,666 301,361 322,383 337,292 350,468 362,347
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Free Cash Flow to Equity: 2nd Stage, Low Implementation Risk, 2
Total 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046
Revenue 7,150,669 189,277 190,675 190,675 190,675 190,675 190,675
Cost 3,100,930 84,082 85,410 86,697 88,022 89,371 90,755
Production/processing 637,296 16,788 17,123 17,466 17,815 18,171 18,535
Geological network 912,441 24,035 24,516 25,006 25,507 26,017 26,537
Personnel 84,311 2,911 2,969 3,028 3,089 3,150 3,213
Personnel travel and accomodation 35,340 1,219 1,244 1,268 1,297 1,320 1,346
Repair/modernisation 23,713 536 536 536 536 536 536
Electricity 195,657 5,145 5,248 5,353 5,460 5,570 5,681
Repair and restoration work 605,038 16,363 16,690 17,024 17,364 17,711 18,066
Transportation 145,895 4,005 4,085 4,167 4,250 4,335 4,422
Ancillary production 815 37 38 39 39 40 41
Water 5,107 135 137 140 143 146 149
Royalty 357,533 9,464 9,534 9,534 9,534 9,534 9,534
Property tax 36,965 1,316 1,151 988 830 673 517
Administrative cost 48,284 1,837 1,847 1,857 1,867 1,877 1,887
Selling expenses 12,534 291 291 291 291 291 291
EBITDA 4,049,739 105,194 105,266 103,978 102,653 101,304 99,920
Depreciation -739,677 -18,953 -18,692 -18,519 -18,458 -18,436 -16,464
EBIT 3,310,062 86,241 86,574 85,459 84,195 82,867 83,456
Interest Expense 34,615 0 0 0 0 0 0
EBT 3,275,447 86,241 86,574 85,459 84,195 82,867 83,456
Losses Carry-Forward -6,830 0 0 0 0 0 0
Income Taxes -730,005 -19,194 -19,260 -18,981 -18,665 -18,333 -18,481
Net Income 2,538,613 67,047 67,314 66,478 65,530 64,534 64,975
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PROJECT INPUTS
• Denison Mines acquired the assets of GSJV and became its co-owner in 1997
• During 1997-2015 Denison Mines invested USD 37,4 mln in GSJV exploration
Denison is a uranium exploration and activities:
development company with head office in
Toronto, Canada. Denison's common shares • total drilling work of 446,000 m
are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (the • vast gamma spectrometric survey (completed on 22,000 km)
'TSX') under the symbol 'DML' and on the
NYSE American exchange under the symbol Uranium Industries continued Project development based on resource estimate reports
'DNN'. (NI 43-101 standard), developed scoping studies and test reports received from Denison
The Company is focused on the uranium Mines, investing additional USD 11 mln to reach construction stage.
projects in Saskatchewan. In addition, Denison
has an extensive portfolio of exploration Project input by Uranium Industries a.s.
projects in the Athabasca Basin region.
• exclusive rights for extraction of uranium in Mongolia
• additional technical and commercial assessment performed by world class experts
• ensured Project support by Mongolian Government
• completed pilot stage detailed design
• pre-selected Engineering and Procurement contractors
• selected know-how & technology supplier, technical supervision on Customer’s side
• pre-agreed support during operation period
• concluded off-take agreement
• pre-arranged debt financing
www.denisonmines.com 22
Production
Target product: Yellowcake – the typically yellow, powdered form of uranium oxide
(U3O8) is a commodity traded on the market.
In Situ Leaching (ISL) and Heap Leaching (HL) extraction technology will be used for
industrial scale production. This technology has been successfully used in a number of
fields for uranium mining and production by the world leader in the industry --
Kazatomprom.
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URANIUM LIFECYCLE
Uranium ore is mined around the world and refined into a powder commonly called
yellowcake (U3O8).
• Yellowcake is transported to a conversion facility and chemically bonded to Fluoride
to makingUF6.
• From there, it is transported to an Enrichment facility where its concentration of the
isotope235U is increased from 0.7% to up to 5%. Major commercial enrichment
plants are in operation in France, Germany, the Netherlands, the UK, the United
States, and Russia.
• At a fuel fabrication facility it is de-converted back to a powder (UO2), turned into
small, ceramic pellets of about 1cm, and inserted into bundled fuel rods. One of
these small pellets has the same energy density as 1 ton of coal.
• Fuel bundles spend roughly 6 years in a light water reactor before they are removed
and placed into a spent fuel pool until it can be reprocessed.
• Some spent fuel is reprocessed into "Mixed Oxide" Fuel or MOX fuel re-entering the
fuel cycle, while other spent fuel is retired to a final repository in suitable geological
locations.
Currently the JV holds one exploration license for the Kholboo exploration area
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License 1: Hairhan
• The most explored out of the four project deposits and the first deposit scheduled to
be mined in scope of 1st Stage of the project
• Discovered by a geologist party led by Alexandr Budunov in 1996 during exploration in
the Central Gobi aimag
• Initial licensed exploration area: 31 702 hectare
• Reduced licensed mining area: 4 628.42 hectare
• Favorable location: proximity to extensive road network and electricity supply; strategic
railway station Choir (with direct connection to Ulaanbaatar and Beijing) is located 250
km from the Hairhan deposit
• Works done: Systematic intensive drilling, gamma spectrometry, hydrogeologic and
technological exploration conducted in the 1990s and 2000s; leaching tests conducted
successfully in 1998, establishing the feasibility of ISL on Hairhan; ISL feasibility study
and mining project prepared by NAC Kazatomprom
• The registered reserve only includes sections with a maximum depth of 100 m.
Exploration results prove that the depth of the central ore block is at least 200 m,
indicating a significant reserve potential and requiring further exploration
simultaneously with 1st Stage mining activities
License 2: Choir/Haraat
• The 200 km long Ulziit depression was surveyed by GSJV, “Sosnovgeology” and
“Geologorazvedka” in the 2010s. Only 15% of the Ulziit depression was explored on the
grounds of the Ulziit exploration license
• The mining license application for Ulziit included a significantly reduced area to avoid
extra cost in annual mining license fees, hence a much larger portion of the Ulziit
depression was released from the license
• Initial licensed exploration area: 79 365.00 hectare
• Reduced licensed mining area: 10 665.22 hectare
• Primary data gathered by “Sosnovgeology” and “Geologorazvedka” gives sufficient
grounds to expect a significant reserve potential on the released areas of the initial
exploration license area
• Further exploration and reserve identification is possible once exploration licenses are re-
applied for and granted
• A preliminary exploration plan envisages approximately 100 000 m of drilling work, which
should result in the confirmation of a mineable reserve of around 40 000 tons, making
Ulziit a prospective ISL deposit, generating an annual production of 1 000 tons
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