Professional Documents
Culture Documents
The N t Frontiers
January 2021
About the Authors
Roopa Kudva
Siddharth Nautiyal
Partner at Omidyar Network India
A special thanks to
Aman Totla, Badri Pillapakkam, Kartik Sahni, Rohan Vyavaharkar,
and Shreya Deb
Roopa Kudva
Siddharth Nautiyal
Partner at Omidyar Network India
A special thanks to
Aman Totla, Badri Pillapakkam, Kartik Sahni, Rohan Vyavaharkar,
and Shreya Deb
Chapter 1
Recap of our NHB thesis 6
Chapter 2
NHB definition 8
Chapter 3
Digital journey of the NHB 10
Chapter 4
Progress on the barriers that the NHB face 13
Chapter 5
Building an NHB focused portfolio 17
Chapter 6
The evolution of NHB business models 21
6.1 From online to “mobile-first”; and “consumer” solutions to “small business” solutions
Chapter 7
The next frontiers 28
Chapter 8
Conclusion 32
Annexure 33
Executive Summary
The Next Half Billion (NHB) refers to the nearly 500 million Indians who will come online for
the first time by 2022, and predominantly from the bottom 60% of India’s income
distribution. Our investment thesis postulated that internet and mobile phones could
unlock greater incomes, opportunities and choices for the NHB through new tech-led
business models. Five years since we began focusing on this segment, this paper takes
stock of how our thesis is playing out and how NHB-focused business models have
evolved. It also anticipates the next frontiers in the NHB’s digital journey and the
opportunities for entrepreneurs serving them.
A
Significant progress in addressing barriers in the NHB’s digital journey, though much remains
to be done
Expansion of internet and mobile services, public digital infrastructure and entrepreneurial
innovations have spurred an increase in both the quantum and range of uses of the internet.
Covid-19 significantly accelerated this trend.
Affordable access to data: Good progress
Local language content proliferating; video becoming the dominant mode of content
consumption
Online social communities, simple payment mechanisms and vernacular language are
increasing trust
Low rates of internet access amongst women: Progress made | more to be done
03
B
“Utilitarian” sectors have taken centre-stage in serving the NHB
“Utilitarian” sectors have gained momentum as the NHB became more comfortable with
accessing various services on the internet. Business models in each of these sectors have
evolved alongside the NHB’s digital journey:
Agri-tech:
from consumer credit to their financial health; early stages of inclusive solutions for small
businesses
Health-tech:
C
Next frontiers for NHB business models will see deepening of “utilitarian” sectors
The digital journey of the NHB will continue to accelerate post-Covid-19.
The constrained income growth of the NHB will require frugality and patience, as
monetisation may be slow post-Covid
Entrepreneurs will have to push the bar on addressing barriers in the NHB’s digital journey,
such as addressing language barriers, contextualising models for the NHB and increasing
women’s participation.
Focus on essential services and products will be accentuated; shifts towards the more
aspirational areas will be slower than previously anticipated.
We will see new opportunities and greater deepening in the utilitarian segments below:
04
Transition towards agri-outputs (from inputs) | newer
agri-verticals (e.g. dairy, livestock) | wider range of
Agri tech
business models (e.g. marketplaces, SaaS, IoT
mechanization)
At Omidyar Network India, we have built a ‘tech-led’ portfolio focused on the NHB, shaped
by our thesis on their digital journey. We have seen that while tech-based innovations might
initially serve customers higher up in the income pyramid, over time, they tend to find
acceptance amongst the NHB. Nearly 33% of our investees’ customers are from the NHB; we
aim to increase this to 50% in the next two years. Our equity portfolio, including ~50 active
investments, has reached 365 million1 Indians. As early stage investors, it is encouraging to
see that over half the companies we have invested in are impacting more than one million
lives each, valued at more than INR 5 billion, or both. We are encouraged by this experience,
which reinforces our conviction about the potential to build large, sustainable and valuable
businesses serving the NHB.
1 As of June 2019; reach does not include unique lives since the same individual might be served by multiple investees
05
Recap of our NHB thesis
In December 2017, our publication “Innovating for the Next Half Billion” (NHB) laid out a
thesis on the internet journey of India’s NHB - the next wave of new internet users coming
online through their mobile phones for the first time by 2022. Our thesis was rooted in the
belief that technology has the power to connect individuals and dramatically increase
people’s incomes, opportunities and choices,as witnessed in the case of India’s urban
middle class in the last two decades. We envisaged the NHB’s journey as starting with
them coming online, then moving forward step-by-step to eventually making commercial
transactions on the internet for essential as well as aspirational products and services.
The NHB differ in many ways from the initial waves of mobile internet users – they have
very different income profiles, education levels, language skills, and social/cultural milieus.
We had outlined seven barriers that the NHB face in their internet journey and how
addressing them could create exciting business opportunities for purpose-driven
entrepreneurs wanting to serve this segment.
Much has changed during the intervening period since our thesis was first published.
Internet access has continued to expand at a rapid pace and India’s entrepreneurial
ecosystem is brimming with innovation. Yet, the growth in income of the NHB, and indeed
the country as a whole, has been slower than we had anticipated. To add to this, a
devastating pandemic has created several uncertainties and accelerated many
pre-existing trends. Three years on (and five years since we started focusing on this
segment), this paper takes stock of how our thesis is playing out. It also anticipates what
lies ahead in the digital journey of the NHB and opportunities for entrepreneurs to serve
this segment.
07
02
NHB Definition
The Next Half Billion refers to the 500 million Indians who will come online for the first time
by 2022. The NHB come predominantly from the bottom 60% of India’s income distribution.
They encompass a wide spectrum – a portion of middle income, the lower middle-income
(aspirers) and a portion of lower income (deprived) households. Within this spectrum, the
Figure 1
Rich
Middle Income
2
Aspirers
Domestic help, small shop owners, entry
level white collar jobs security guards
60%
2
Deprived
Small farmers, rural
artisans
We’ve anchored the Deprived definition on World Bank’s 2011 global poverty line (<$1.9 per person per day in 2011 PPP)
and the Aspirers definition on the low income line ($3.2 per person per day in 2011 PPP). We have used $9 per person per
day in 2011 PPP as the Middle Income threshold, which aligns with CMIE (2018) data. 2. We have used the average
exchange rate for 2018 i.e. 1 USD = 68.41 INR. 3. The total population of India is 1.353B in 2018 (World Bank) and the average
number of people per household is 4.85 (NSSO, 2011). 2018 NSSO data is expected to be published in a few months, at
which point, we will refine our analysis.
Notwithstanding the differences in incomes, education levels and internet access that
exist within this group, all of them tend to have significant unmet financial and daily living
needs and are vulnerable to economic shocks. However, with the proliferation of mobile
phones and affordable mobile data they can benefit from tech-led business models that
provide them access to a range of affordable services and products that can improve their
lives. With the mobile phone, businesses and governments can also reach and serve this
09
03
Digital Journey of the NHB
Although a large segment of the NHB has internet access via a mobile device, that has yet
to drive significant economic activity, since the number of users conducting financial and
commercial transactions on their mobile devices remains relatively low.
3
The number of active internet users from the NHB segment is estimated at 200-250 million.
While this still represents just a third of the total internet users in India, this segment of
users is growing at a rapid pace. The largest use case of the internet by far is for personal
communication. From there, users move gradually towards more sophisticated use cases -
consuming online content such as entertainment and gaming, engaging in online
communities and conducting low value recharge transactions and money transfers.
‘Utilitarian’ services such as education, health and travel represent the next phase. The final
transition – making regular purchases/transactions — is the hardest step in this digital
journey (see Figure 2).
FIGURE 2
200-250M
140-170M
70-100M
25-35M
5-10M
2-5M
Chrome Local stories Social media app Indian digital Travel booking & Personal
for videos payments information digital credit
Note: User numbers are cumulative. All subsets of the graph are a subset of the preceding segments. Numbers estimated based of users figures for
market leaders in each segment. Shopping users includes both NHB and buyers.
Source: ‘India’s Digital Future’- KPMG, ‘Unlocking Digital for Bharat’ (Bain, Google, and ONI, 2018) TechCrunch(2019), Livemint (2019), App Annie user
data literature search, ONI analysis.
3
Calculated as 30-35% of total internet users in India (~700M; Source: Statista)
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For entrepreneurs to serve the NHB effectively and build sustainable businesses, fostering
NHB trust and confidence in the internet and online transactions / purchases is essential.
Success requires addressing the barriers that this population segment perceives and
experiences, as well as being attuned to their cultural contexts and social norms. The first
step is simply to get more people online more frequently. The next step is to build their
comfort level and trust with using the internet. That will likely follow the same evolution
from simple to more sophisticated use cases outlined in the chart above.
The Covid-19 pandemic has been a game changer in this respect. It has rapidly increased
comfort in using the internet and undoubtedly accelerated the digital journey of the NHB
by several years. For instance, rural mobile data consumption in India grew nearly 30% in
the first three months of the nation-wide lockdown imposed in March 2020, bridging the
gap with urban consumption, which grew at 15-20%4. Indians on average spent nearly 30
minutes extra per day on their smartphones during the lockdown compared to earlier5.
Not only did the quantum of mobile and internet usage increase, the reasons for using
them have also changed. At the heights of the lockdown during the pandemic, four out of
five smartphone users relied on their device for information about government schemes,
weather updates and market-related information on agricultural produce6. As children
became homebound, schools increased digital3 instruction and outreach. All this has
perforce provided a massive surge in exposure of NHB families to the digital medium,
building a familiarity and comfort that would otherwise have taken much longer to
achieve. Vedantu and Doubtnut, which provide app-based and online education
solutions to children, witnessed rapid growth in customer adoption during the pandemic,
with number of users growing 3-5x and number of paid users growing by more than 5x.
cities-120050801805_1.html
6 https://www.livemint.com/news/india/use-of-smartphones-for-productivity-grew-120-during-lockdown-in-india-report-
11597222796805.html
12
04
Progress on the barriers that
the NHB face
The digital journey of the NHB is not without obstacles. At the time of publishing our thesis,
we had identified seven such barriers that the NHB face. Over the years, we have built a
portfolio of investments addressing these barriers and creating business models to provide
the NHB access to aspirational services. Figure 3 below provides some examples:
FIGURE 3
The barriers the NHB face along their digital journey and our portfolio
How has India progressed on addressing some of these barriers? Indeed, significant
advances have been made. Digital maturity has dramatically increased in recent years
and the average Indian mobile phone user today consumes more mobile internet data
than users in more advanced economies like USA, UK, China, France, Germany, and South
7
Korea. The digital infrastructure created by the government and private sector, together
with the various innovative start-ups founded by Indian entrepreneurs have helped build
far greater familiarity and comfort with the internet in the last 18-24 months. Consequently,
we have seen progress in addressing each of the barriers:
Low data costs, attributable mainly to the advent of Jio, dramatically changed the mobile broadband
landscape in India and led to data costs in India being amongst the lowest in the world. As of 2020, the
average cost of 1 GB mobile data in India was $0.09 – nearly one-90th of the per-GB cost in the US and
8
one-60th of the global average. In an important move to improve internet accessibility, the PM–WANI (Wi-Fi
Access Network Interface) was announced in December 2020. The new architecture expects to unleash
growth of 10 million small Wi-Fi hotspots in the country anchored by small retailers in low income areas. This
will enable high speed internet in low income areas as well as extra income for small retailers. At the same
time, it will make it easier for consumers to access low-cost public wi-fi on the go through a simplified mobile
app-based infrastructure.
Local language content is proliferating, and video is the dominant mode of content consumption. Nine out
ten new internet users added between 2015-20 consume content 9
in Indian languages. Nearly 70% of Indian
internet users are expected to be consumers of video content. Nevertheless, satisfaction with the local
language experience still has some way to go. A recent survey showed
10
that more than one-fourth of users
feel that the search results in their local language are inaccurate. The same survey reported that 43% of the
housewives surveyed feel that there are limited options to choose their preferred language on online
shopping websites.
Online social communities, which are built into the models of many start-ups, are helping build trust in the
internet. Simple payment mechanisms (e.g. UPI) are also increasing confidence in transacting online. It also
helps that many of these apps can be used in vernacular languages, further contributing to users’ comfort.
Women play an important role in decisions relating to basic and utilitarian consumption; bringing women
online is therefore essential to be able to meaningfully harness the power of the internet for the NHB.
Women’s use of mobile phones is increasing. In 11 states/union territories, more than 70% women now have
their own personal mobile.12 Building off this, several women-centric digital platforms have emerged and are
seeing strong traction. Healofy, a women-only platform fostering communities focused on maternity and
childcare, has grown to 2 million monthly users engaging and transacting on its app. Pratilipi, a platform for
online creation and consumption of content, mostly long-form written content, counts women as the
majority of its 20 million monthly users. Nevertheless, there is much more work to be done. The digital divide
between genders remains a harsh reality– it is estimated that still nearly twice as many men use mobile
1
internet as compared to women. Research by Dvara and GSMA shows that women also use fewer features
3
1 ,1
and a smaller range of services on the phone as compared to men. They are more constrained in the
4 5
geographic location where they use the phone, for how long and for what purpose. The gender gap in
smartphone ownership is higher than the gap in mobile phone usage, and women lack agency in making
purchase decisions for smartphones. Removing the imbalance in phone usage patterns across genders
represents an important imperative for the NHB to be able to fully leverage the power of the internet.
16
05
Building an NHB focused
portfolio
Our thesis about the digital journey of the NHB has been key in shaping our investment
decisions at Omidyar Network India. Consequently, we have built a ‘tech-led’ portfolio
focused on serving this segment. These include businesses that have NHB customers, are
owned by the NHB or employ NHB workers in large numbers.
A 2019 survey of 3400+ customers of 16 organisations in our portfolio provided some useful
insights about the profile of the NHB users (see Figure 4). On average, an NHB customer is a
32-year old man, living in a household of 6, who used a smartphone in the last week. A
fourth of them are ‘new’ smartphone users, that is, those who began using a smartphone in
the last two years.
In our work, we typically see ‘mixed income’ business models that serve customers
across income levels. Based on the 2019 survey, we are encouraged to see that on
average, 33% of our investees’ customers are from the NHB (varying, across the portfolio,
from 15% to 59%). This early data validates our thesis that even though tech-based
innovations might initially serve customers higher up in the income pyramid, over time
they do tend to find acceptance amongst the NHB.
End-customer demographics
Note: This illustration represents only our end-customers who fall within the NHB; i.e. earn less than $3.20 (2011 PP) per person per day.
Source: Lean Data studies for 16 investees conducted in partnership with 60 Decibels in mid-2019
Smartphone usage
18
We believe our experience provides an emerging answer to the oft-asked question about
whether it is possible to build large, sustainable and valuable businesses serving the NHB,
given their lower income levels. As an early-stage investor, it is encouraging for us to see
several examples of investees heading towards meaningful scale and valuations. In Figure
5 below, 14 early-stage startups (indicated in bold) have both a reach of 1 million+ lives
and a valuation exceeding INR 5 billion. Another 12 more have either touched 1 million+
lives or have valuations exceeding INR 5 billion.
A good example of this is Bounce, India's first smart urban mobility solution. It provides
two-wheelers for short-term rentals, with the goal of making daily commute time-saving,
reliable and convenient. Riding a two-wheeler hired from Bounce is now cheaper than
taking public bus transport in Bangalore. Similarly, Zest Money uses algorithmic credit
underwriting to provide short-tenure consumer loans including personal credit lines,
consumer durable financing, and funding major life expenses like education and
healthcare. More than 30% of Zest Money’s 400,000+ customers are new to credit and have
got access to their first significant line of formal institutional credit through the
organisation. Transerve, a location intelligence platform, has impacted over 4 million
households across urban India. Its geospatial analytics platform helps address complex
urban development problems, such as inventorying city assets, revenue enhancement for
urban bodies and property records modernisation.
FIGURE 5
K12 education
Access to
Centre for Teacher
Accreditation (CENTA)
Aspirational
Blackboard Radio
Services Doubtnut
Financial Health Local Content
English Helper
0.5Bn
Varthana Healofy
Affordplan
Vedantu Pratilipi
Gramcover
Kaleidofin WhiteHat Jr.* Dailyhunt
Scripbox Uolo Vyng
Sewa Grih Rin
Swarna Pragati
MyShubhLife Utilitarian Products
Toffee Insurance & Services
Zest Money
Axio Indus OS
Digital Health Bounce Quikr
1MG CredR RailYatri
Healthkart Dealshare U2Opia*
myUpchar DrinkPrime ZipGo
Secure property
rights SME Connected
Transerve
Solutions Skilling &
Technologies Employability
GramFactory
i2e1
Indifi Ag-tech Aspiring Minds*
Intellegrow Bijak
Neogrowth Credenc
NowFloats* Krishify iMerit Technology
Pickrr
Vistaar Finance
opportunities opportunities
for
for
productivity employment
20
06
The evolution of NHB
business models
The evolution of our investee portfolio at Omidyar Network India offers a fascinating insight
into the NHB’s digital journey and the progression of business models that can reach and
serve them. Over the last decade, we have noted three trends across our portfolio which
reflect the changing habits and preferences of the NHB alongside progress in their digital
journey:
6.1
From online to “mobile-first”; and “consumer”
solutions to “small business” solutions
Initially, a tech-led approach meant that our investments were in online businesses, for example Quikr, an
online marketplace and classified advertising platform that we invested in in 2009. This coincided with a period
of rapid expansion in e-commerce services in India. Since 2015, business models have moved to “mobile first”
solutions (Railyatri, Kaleidofin, Doubtnut, and ZestMoney to name a few). Additionally, from an initial focus on
consumer solutions, entrepreneurs began focusing on small business solutions, as these too created a “digital
exhaust” – data trails that enable entrepreneurs to provide tech-led, personalised and affordable services to
small businesses. Indifi, Gramfactory and Pickrr are some examples of such companies in our portfolio.
6.2
Local language provides the
breakthrough into the NHB
The breakthrough into the NHB segment came from local language solutions. Two investees, Dailyhunt and
Indus OS, were pioneers in this respect and contributed to this learning.
In 2015, the main offering of Indus OS was an Indian language mobile phone operating system working primarily
with Indian handset makers, with features many of us take for granted today – Indian language keyboard,
translation and transliteration, customised app launcher for Indian audience etc. The smartphone market in
India shifted radically and in working with top foreign handset brands, the company found good
product-market-fit with its Indian language app store App Bazaar. App Bazaar now reaches ~100 million users.
Free for users and most long-tail apps, Indus monetises the app store by charging apps that run targeted
promotional campaigns.
When we invested in Dailyhunt (VerSe) in 2010, it was a provider of value-added services that telecom
companies could offer to their customers on a subscription basis. Their core offering at the time was general
classifieds. With the acquisition of Newshunt in 2012, it pivoted to becoming an Indian language news
aggregator. Today, it has over 160 million monthly users on its app, offers 100,000 news articles in 14 languages,
and reaches 95% of India’s pin codes. In addition, Dailyhunt operates Josh, which is amongst the leading Indian
short-video creation and sharing apps, with more than 30 million monthly users.
Since then, B2C solutions incorporating Indian language or “Hinglish” in their offering has become a common
feature.
22
6.3
The rise of the “utilitarian” segments
While e-commerce and gig-economy start-ups were in the limelight, momentum was also building in the
less high-profile but more “utilitarian” sectors such as health, mobility, job platforms, agri-tech, financial
inclusion, and education. For investors like us seeking to serve the NHB, this was an opportunity to make a
big leap forward. In recent years, these sectors have taken center-stage in the Indian entrepreneurship
ecosystem.
a Agri-tech: from eliminating intermediaries to serving the entire agriculture value chain
The earliest models in agri-tech were “farm to fork” focused on eliminating intermediaries in the
agriculture value chain. This value chain in India is indeed very complex, with at least five intermediaries
between the farm and the consumer. While startups are working on disintermediation, this has primarily
been at either of the two ends of the value chain.
Newer models are addressing problems across the value chain. For instance, Bijak, a company we
invested in in 2019, connects buyers and sellers of agri commodities on a real-time trading platform.
Besides helping multiple trading parties discover each other, Bijak is also helping in digitisation of
physical mandis, artiyas (commission agents), dalaals (brokers), loaders, mills, and middlemen. In 18
months, Bijak has scaled to 600 regions across 25 states, and facilitated trade in over 100 agricultural
commodities. From a gross merchandise value (GMV) of Rs 5 million in October 2019, the platform now has
an annualised GMV of over Rs 13 billion. Bijak records daily trading volumes of 2,000 tonnes. Its app has
16
connected more than 25,000 buyers and suppliers across several states.
b Education: from Brick & Mortar to online; from asynchronous to live learning
Learning solutions have also expanded beyond curriculum-aligned after-school “tuitions” and test prep to
newer areas like doubt resolution, coding skills, and English language training. We are also seeing
experiments in education financing with models such as income-sharing arrangements and loans not linked
to parent income but to estimated earning potential of the students, like those offered by Credenc.
16 https://yourstory.com/2020/10/sequoia-surge-omidyar-agritech-startup-bijak-growth
23
DoubtNut is a doubt resolution app for math and
science subjects for grades 6 through 12. 60% of
its users come from state board affiliated schools,
where typically the medium of instruction is not
English. And over half its 7 million monthly app
users have come online for the first time in the
last 12 months. 85% of students live outside India’s
top 10 cities. A quick study of sample student
profiles indicates locations like Balliya, Supaul,
Itarsi and Bettiah with their parents working as A student in Sitapur, Uttar Pradesh using Doubtnut
farm-labourers, drivers, vegetable sellers and for live classes
shop owners.
Another trend in the rise of ed-tech is the increasing receptiveness among schools themselves to adopt
solutions that support various non-pedagogical functions. For instance, Uolo partners with private schools to
bring the teacher-student-parent community online through its mobile app. The Uolo platform helps schools
to connect, collaborate and communicate with parents as a step to helping students learn better. Uolo works
with more than 2,000 schools and 1 million students in more than 200 Indian cities. 30% of its students are
located in Tier 3 cities with a population of below 1 million. And in 21% of its partner schools, the monthly fee
per student is less than INR 1,000.
Arguably the most exciting development has been the move from asynchronous models to live learning in
large “virtual classrooms” – this not only enhances the learning experience, but also makes ed-tech more
affordable. Live interaction with teachers helps students understand concepts, clarify doubts, and benefit
from peer interaction with other students. Self-paced learning can be hard for most students and assisted
learning helps provide guidance and structure in the learning process.
Financial Inclusion: from consumer credit to financial health; early stages of inclusive
c
solutions for small businesses
India has become a beacon for financial inclusion globally, led by rapid expansion in access to formal
financial services through bank accounts and an efficient, low-cost digital payments infrastructure. However,
the financial services industry continues to largely serve the urban, richer India, with usage among the NHB
continuing to be a challenge. The small business segment too continues to remain underserved by formal
financial services. The goal of taking mainstream finance in full measure to the masses is yet to be
accomplished.
In the past few years, many nimble fintech firms have emerged that leverage public data platforms (such as
India Stack) and seek to serve the NHB and small businesses with low-cost, low-ticket financial solutions.
Fintech firms use alternative data for underwriting and finding the best solution for the customer, and deliver
their products to the consumers using technology.
24
The visible increase in startups that go beyond payments and credit, and into areas like savings,
investments and insurance is an encouraging trend. We are also seeing the advent of neo-banks which
eschew a provider and product-centric view of financial services – instead they structure and bundle
products that are embedded in the business value chain or life of the consumers.
The evolution of our own portfolio reflects these shifts. We have constructed our financial services
portfolio with the thesis that financial solutions relevant to the context of consumers and provided in a
low-cost and personalised manner can help bridge the usage gap and increase penetration of formal
financial services among the NHB and small businesses.
Our initial investments in brick and mortar lending businesses – such as Vistaar, lending to rural SMEs;
Varthana, lending to affordable private schools; Swarnapragati and Sitara, both providing loans for
affordable housing – were followed by a gradual movement towards digital lending businesses. Today,
Sitara has helped over 10,000 families build their own homes and 47% of these properties are owned by
women.
A family in Jaipur that availed its first mortgage loan through Sitara
Indifi is a digital lending platform for small businesses that uses anchors/aggregators (for example, travel
portals) to source potential borrowers and enable digital collections. It combines this with a marketplace
model for third-party lenders (banks and non-banking financial corporations) to benefit from Indifi's sectoral
knowledge, technology platform, and underwriting capabilities. Of the 30,000+ loans that Indifi has extended
to date, 25%+ are to first-time borrowers, 20%+ are to small businesses with women promoters, 35%+ are to
businesses with less than two years of operations, and 30%+ of the borrowers do not own property of any kind.
Looking beyond payments and access to credit, we considered the wider issue of NHB financial health. This
led to investments in insure-tech (GramCover and Toffee), savings & investment products (Affordplan and
Scripbox) and neo-banks (Kaleidofin and Yelo). GramCover, for instance has reached 1.3 million unique
farmers in rural India. 90% of these customers are buying insurance for the first time. The company is now
moving beyond crop to personal accident, hospital cash, and two-wheeler insurance. Kaleidofin is a
neo-bank, providing tailored ‘wealth-tech’ solutions to customers so that they can meet their real-life
financial goals. It serves women working in the informal segment with no verifiable evidence of occupation
or income. 97% of its customers have income below INR 25,000 per month and 73% have income below INR
10,000 per month. Over 90% of Kaleidofin’s users are new to capital market products.
In a further evolution, we recognise that solutions - digital “pipes” - that enable large incumbent players to
more effectively reach a larger consumer base with insurance products, as well as reach small businesses
with digital financial products, can potentially deepen inclusive finance for the NHB. We have an active
pipeline of opportunities in these areas.
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d Health-tech: from content to community, medical advice and commerce
myUpchar offers healthcare Healofy and myUpchar led the foray into Indian language-led
services in five Indian languages health information and online community platforms. This
apart from English enabled both companies to build a strong presence outside the
metros. 64% of Healofy’s users come from outside the top 6 metro cities in India, with cities/towns outside the
top 25 cities accounting for a quarter of the company’s users. For myUpchar, metro cities account for only
10% of users, with Tier II cities accounting for 30%, Tier III towns accounting for 50% and the balance coming
from even smaller urban and rural agglomerations. Healofy is today amongst the largest women-focused
online platforms in India, and myUpchar has established itself as the leading online source of
health-content in Indian languages.
26
As this sector progressed, the subsequent developments were in the form of business models offering
various mobility-sharing services for the less affluent. Bounce is a dockless self-drive scooter service. Before
17
the Covid-19 lockdown, Bounce did about 130,000 rides every day, and plans to transition to a 100% electric
vehicle fleet over the next few quarters.
f SME digital solutions: from bringing small businesses online to embedded solutions
NowFloats, an early entrant into the small business solutions space, helps SMEs establish an online and
social media presence so that their potential customers could better discover them. Business models
serving small businesses now include other embedded solutions. GramFactory is a fast growing B2B
ordering app for small retailers (kirana stores). It streamlines their sourcing, better monetises their assets
through branding support and modernising the stores, and gets them access to trade credit. It has built
expertise in sourcing and merchandising to partner with kiranas and launched 100 neighbourhood-format
branded stores offering discounted prices and large product assortment to NHB customers. The typical
kirana that partners with Gramfactory to open a neigbourhood-format modern store is able to double its
income within 3-6 months, while offering significantly lower prices to a much larger customer base.
Pickrr helps small businesses get access to best-in-class logistics services. With Pickrr, Micro, Small &
Medium Enterprises (MSME) are able to digitise their shipping workflow, lower their courier rates and
improve efficiency of delivery, resulting in greater revenue and profits.
17 https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/startups/bounce-to-add-4000-electric-scooters-to-its-fleet-by-february/articleshow/7967649
0.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
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07
The next frontiers
What do these trends augur for the NHB and the businesses that serve them? What are
next frontiers to be overcome and where will opportunities lie for entrepreneurs and
investors seeking to play a supporting role?
As we think about these questions, we are also mindful that in the medium term, the NHB
thesis will play out in the context of the massive health and economic shock that the global
Covid-19 pandemic has created. Looking forward, there are a few trends that we expect :
7.1
The digital journey of the NHB will continue to accelerate post-Covid
Users are clearly more willing to experiment with the digital medium. This is good news for entrepreneurs – we
expect sustained innovation across all the “utilitarian” segments, with expansion and deepening of
opportunities (see point 5 below) as the openness of users to new solutions and business models increases.
7.2
The constrained income growth of the NHB will require frugality and patience
In the aftermath of Covid-19, income levels of the NHB have been adversely hit and indeed, the vulnerability of
a large part of this population has increased. Frugality will therefore be vital, and investors will need to be
patient as monetisation continues to be slow.
7.3
There is work to be done on addressing the barriers and inequities in the NHB’s
digital journey
Entrepreneurs will need to push the bar further on the language barriers, further contextualise models for
the NHB context and increase women’s participation. Through 2021, we will conduct new deep-dive
research on the digital journey of the NHB and synthesise more nuanced learnings from our portfolio on
the NHB’s digital journey and share them widely for entrepreneurs to leverage in their innovation journey.
7.4
Within the utilitarian segment, the focus on essential services and products
will be accentuated
The shifts towards the more aspirational areas (for example branded products, sports etc.) will be slower
than previously anticipated, and customers will be highly value conscious in their buying decisions. Newer
models like social commerce or group buying, which provide lower prices and better assortments in
addition to providing opportunities to earn livelihoods, will begin to take off and further drive e-commerce
adoption amongst the NHB.
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7.5
We will see newer opportunities and greater deepening in each of the
utilitarian segments
Agri-Tech
Investment opportunities will be driven by some clear trends:
Education
The new National Education Policy (NEP) emphasises early childhood education, foundational literacy and
numeracy, life skills and a greater focus on learning outcomes. We see the strong momentum in ed-tech
continuing, with the following areas seeing greater traction:
Life skills
Basic life skills, such as socio-emotional awareness and interpersonal relationships, as well as cognitive
skills, such as critical thinking, problem solving, creativity and digital literacy.
Parent engagement
The pandemic has led to a meaningful increase in parent engagement (including fathers) with their
children s education as reflected in Pratham s recent Annual Status of Education eport
’ ’ R - various
2020
family members such as mothers, fathers, older siblings and others like uncles, aunts, and grandparents
helped children in studying at home. amily involvement positively impacts children s academic
F ’
achievement. These findings point to the potential for enhanced collaboration between homes and
schools, as evidenced by our investee olo.
U
W orkforce readiness
The trend of workforce readiness has seen shifts from traditional skill development courses with limited
linkage to employment outcomes to more holistic and outcome-linked models and areas like upskilling
and reskilling. This space will see continuous evolution to meet the needs of a large young working age
population as massive changes in technology redefine the future of work.
30
Financial inclusion ₹
We are at the very early stages of the journey of solutions beyond credit for the NHB consumer. Inclusive
financial services for small businesses too are at a relatively nascent stage. In the coming years we see
significant potential for growth in insure-tech and savings opportunities for the NHB and providing small
businesses access to the full range of formal financial services and business-tech services.
Health tech
For the NHB, the most meaningful solutions will be those at the intersection of being technology-led
(asset-light, capital-efficient, scalable), patient-centric (affordability, accessibility) and focused on
improving health outcomes and not just reducing process inefficiencies or streamlining workflows of care
providers. Key opportunity areas include:
Information and networks
Tools promoting credible and relatable health information will become more prominent, such as those
providing information for preventive care, knowledge platforms for care providers and networking with
patients undergoing similar medical conditions.
Tech led access to healthcare products ser ices
- & v
D igital solutions such as e-consultations, e-diagnostics, e-pharmacy, remote monitoring solutions and
employer wellness programs have already started to emerge. nline-to-offline plays such as utilisation
O
of excess capacity for non-critical surgeries and at-home care will also gain traction.
IT solutions and analytics focused on quality care
Electronic health records (EMR/EHR) management and transmission, population health data, data
analytics on health records for early warning signals, telemedicine, remote ICU care, and AI-based
screening/ diagnostic software are some solutions that could emerge to solve critical gaps in patient
care.
Digital therapeutics
Software solutions to track, prevent and treat chronic medical disorders or diseases such as diabetes,
hypertension, congestive heart failure, asthma, anxiety, depression, Alzheimer’s and dementia using
evidence-based therapeutic interventions will emerge.
mo ilityb
With the growing urban population and increasing migration to the cities, there is tremendous need for
accessible affordable intra-city mobility solutions tailored to the needs of the NHB. Companies such as
&
Bounce are focused on providing convenient and inexpensive first-mile and last-mile linkages that can be
pivotal in accelerating adoption of public transportation infrastructure as well. oing forward, we expect
G
much of this last-mile commute infrastructure, as well as last-mile logistics infrastructure, to shift to electric
vehicles (E ). This transition should further improve affordability and help address the challenge of
V
O ther areas
We expect to see emergence of several nascent areas related to providing citizen services to the NHB, such
as civic-tech and legal-tech. ther areas like privacy-tech and prop-tech will also gather momentum. This
O
will create opportunities for entrepreneurs to provide these services, including by partnering actively with
the government and other stakeholders .
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08
Conclusion
The Next Half Billion represent the heartbeat of an aspiring India. The fortunes
of this segment will determine India’s future for the next several decades. The
shock of a world altering pandemic has placed them at a critical juncture. For
us at Omidyar Network India, it has been inspiring to partner with bold and
purpose-driven entrepreneurs who seek to improve the lives of the NHB. A deep
and nuanced understanding of this rapidly evolving segment with its diverse
understanding, sharing our learnings and working with entrepreneurs who will
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Legal Disclaimer
This whitepaper is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other
professional advice. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but Omidyar
Network and Omidyar Network India do not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Omidyar Network and
Omidyar Network India own a significant equity stake in some of the companies referenced in this report,
and expect to continue making investments in these and other companies in this sector.