Professional Documents
Culture Documents
5. Financial Highlights
1
1. Introduction to Chandra Asri Petrochemical
2
Chandra Asri – Indonesia’s Leading and Preferred
Petrochemical Company
Largest Integrated Petrochemical Producer in Indonesia
Largest integrated petrochemical producer in Indonesia and operates the
country’s only naphtha cracker, styrene monomer and butadiene plants
Market leadership in highly attractive Indonesia and SE Asia petrochemical market
̶ Market share of approximately 52%, 24%, and 29% of the domestic market
(including imports) in olefin, polyethylene, and polypropylene, respectively
Support from Barito Pacific Group and Siam Cement Group
Transformed in 2016 following the 4Q2015 Naphtha Cracker expansion,
resulting in Adjusted EBITDA increase, reinforced balance sheet, and a more
diversified product mix
̶ 2015 – 2016 Adjusted EBITDA growth of +229%; LTM EBITDA (as of 30 Jun
2017) peaked at US$ 580 million (1)
̶ Reduced debt and Debt / Adjusted EBITDA dropped to 0.8x as of FY2016 and
further to 0.6x as of 30 Jun 2017 (1)
Vital National Object status
510m
2011 2015
Merger of CA and TPI
155m effective from 1 Jan 2011
Completed cracker
expansion project and
(US$)
Adjusted
135m
2.1bn Completed de-
bottlenecking to raise
TAM
2017
polypropylene capacity to
EBITDA 1.9bn
1.9bn 480 KT/A
SCG Chemicals acquired
Total
23.0% of Company from 2017
assets Appleton Investments
Upgrade of
2014 2015 2016 Limited, a wholly-owned
subsidiary of Temasek
2016 long-term
2007 corporate credit
2010 Holdings (Private) Limited,
rating from "B1"
Added a furnace at its Issued and 7.0% from Barito
to "Ba3" by
Pacific
naphtha cracker to increase
ethylene production to 600
inaugural
5-year
2015 Moody's in
2016 August 2017
2004 KT/A, propylene production to US$230m
1995 Public offering of Completed
Commercial
Product 320 KT/A, pygas production Bond 2013 CAP I Bonds 2016 rights issue of
CA
4
Vision to be Indonesia’s Leading and Preferred
Petrochemical Company
5
Integrated Production of Diverse Products
Use of Goods (examples)
Capacity (KT/A)
Capacity
(KT/A) Polyethylene (336)
Naphtha
Ethylene (860) Styrene
Naphtha Monomer (340)
consumption of
2,450 KT/A at full Merchant
capacity market (430)
Pyrolysis
Gasoline (400)
CAP’s products encompass a wide range across the consumer products value-chain, and its
leading position and strategic location enhances its competitiveness
6
2. Petrochemicals Industry Outlook
7
Ethylene World Supply Growth and Capacity
Ethylene World Supply Growth
(million tons) (Operating rates)
250 Actual Forecast 100%
200
90%
150
100
80%
50
0 70%
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023
Ethylene Consumption Total Capacity (with Unsactioned Capacity) Total Capacity (with No Unsactioned Capacity)
Operating Rates (with Unsactioned Capacity) Operating Rates (with No Unsactioned Capacity)
Ethylene Production Capacity: 218MT in 2023 New Capacity by Region: 25MT (2017 – 2023)
- Global ethylene demand
CTO/MTO and forecasted to grow at c.3.2% Asia Pacific (exc.
SEA and China)
Shale Gas
Others CAGR between 2017 – 2023 SEA
5% 1%
6% - As many as 20-26 new ethylene 9%
plants expected to be build
- 7 – 8 years required from
Americas
planning to startup Middle East/Africa
34%
17%
Naphtha
Naphtha/Liquids
NGLs Cracking Cracking
44% 45% Europe
19%
China
20%
8
The Petrochemical Industry is in a Long Term Cyclical
Phase
700 100%
90%
500
Average 2020-2023: US$424
400
80%
Average 2009-2012: US$306
300
200
70%
100
0 60%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Ethylene Delta Over Net Raw Material Cost Global Operating Rates with Unsanctioned Capacity
Global Operating Rates with no Unsanctioned Capacity
9
Strong Demand Growth for Petrochemicals in Indonesia
Ethylene (CAGR ’17 – ’23) Propylene (CAGR ’17 – ’23) Butadiene (CAGR ’17 – ’23)
1.7% 5.5%
2.4%
Polyethylene (CAGR ’17 – ’23) Polypropylene (CAGR ’17 – ’23) Styrene Monomer (CAGR ’17 – ’23)
4.7%
4.4% 4.2% 10.5%
3.9%
3.4% 3.6%
2.3%
1.6%
10
3. Key Investment Highlights
11
2. Key Investment Highlights
12
1 Attractive Industry Fundamentals Providing Tailwinds
for Petrochemicals Demand Growth in SEA
Polyolefins Demand in SEA Expected to Outpace Global
Market Growth… Polyolefin Spreads Expected to Remain Resilient
(US$/t)
Polyethylene consumption growth (2017 – 2023E CAGR) 850
4.4% 800
3.4% 3.9%
750
700
Global SEA Indonesia 650
600
Polypropylene consumption growth (2017 – 2023E CAGR) 550
4.7% 500
3.6% 4.2%
450
400
…while Asian Naphtha Prices Remain Below Historical LDPE - Naphtha LLDPE - Naphtha
HDPE - Naphtha PP - Naphtha
Average
(US$/t, real prices)
(US$/t) Last 5 Years Average Next 5 Years Average
1200
LDPE – Naphtha 662 754
900 Past 5-year average price: US$713/t
LLDPE – Naphtha 631 705
600
HDPE – Naphtha 630 689
300
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017F 2019F 2021F 2023F PP – Naphtha 582 583
Domestic trends
Urbanization Manufacturing
(1) GDP, constant prices; IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2017
(2) SEA excludes Indonesia
(3) Polyolefins include HDPE, LLDPE, LDPE and PP
(4) FSU means Former Soviet Union, CE means Central Europe, WE means Western Europe 14
Source: Nexant Industry Report, IMF, BKPM
2 Strong Demand Growth for Petrochemical Products in
Indonesia
Total Demand Growth (1)
End Markets (2017F – 2023F CAGR)
Plastic films
Containers 4.4%
Polyethylene PE
Bottles 3.4%
Plastic bags
Packaging
Films and sheets 4.7%
Polypropylene Fibers and filaments PP
3.6%
Toys
Automotive parts
Drinks cups
Food containers 10.5%
Styrene Monomer SM
Car interiors 1.6%
Helmet padding
Petrochemical products are fundamental to the production of a wide variety of consumer and
industrial products, such as packaging, containers, automotive and construction materials
(1) By volume
Source: Nexant
15
2 Petrochemical Market in Indonesia will Continue to See an
Increasing Gap Between Supply and Demand
1,900(1)
1,078 1,078 1,078 1,824
1,625
1,638 1,658 899 1,317
1,384 811 876 1,231 1,231
860 890 900 833
2,127
1,894
1,513 165 178
137 137 341 366 365 347
765 845 845 100
64 255
185
36
156
(28) 111
(748) (41)
(1,049) (1,282) 18
2016 2020 2023 2016 2020 2023 2016 2020 2023
PTTGC
SCG
PCG
Pertamina
ExxonMobil
IRPC
Shell/QPI
Lotte Chemical
Sumitomo
Chandra Asri
Titan
Import
24% Import
45% Ethylene Propylene
Ethylene Capacity Addition Propylene Capacity Addition
SCG
PTTGC
PCG
Lotte Chemical
TPC
IRPC
ExxonMobil
Chandra Asri
Chevron Phillips
JG Summit
Titan
Import
53%
HD LL LD PP Polyolefins Capacity Addition
Total Supply: 1.6M tons Total Supply: 0.3M tons
CAP is a market leader in Indonesia across all of its products, and a leading player in the region
CAP offers the most diverse product range and is a dominant producer with market share of approximately 52%, 24%,
and 29% of the domestic market (including imports) in olefin, polyethylene, and polypropylene, respectively
Source: Nexant
18
4 Highly Integrated Production Process with Operational
Flexibility
2 emergency
SM Plant 1 generators
One of our polyethylene plants is a swing plant that
SM Plant 2 allows production to be switched between LLDPE and
HDPE based on market demand
Propylene PP Train 2
Specialised software considers variables such as
PP Train 3 product prices, freight, product yield of naphtha and
naphtha prices to determine the optimum ratio of
naphtha grades required
Pyrolysis
Gasoline
Intermediate product
Process plant in Cilegon
Process plant in Serang
Integration allows us to take advantage of operational savings and synergies, and provides
flexibility to respond to changes of key products
19
5 Strategically Located to Supply Key Customers
− Polyethylene: 336
TITAN PE
− Polypropylene: 480 Amoco Mitsui UAP
Butadiene Plant: 100 KT/A Cabot Dow Chemical
On-Site Power Siemens KS Air Liquide Indonesia
Hoechst
ARCO PPG
Polyprima PTA Cilegon
Polypet PET
Asahimas
Lautan Otsuka
Dongjin Cilegon
NSI
Sriwie Jakarta
Anyer
Integrated Complex
Jetty Toll Road CAP Pipeline Road Customers with pipeline access
Location proximity and well established pipeline ensures excellent connectivity to key customers. This coupled with
reliability of supply lead to premium pricing, with integration of facilities creating significant barriers to entry.
20
5 Diversified Client Base of Industry Leaders
Sales & Marketing Strategy Top 10 Customers (2016)
% of Customer
Long term relationships with key customers Customer Products Revenue Since Location
Connected to production facilities via CAP’s pipeline (ethylene and Customer 1
Polyethylene,
7.4% 1995 Indonesia
propylene customers) polypropylene
Ethylene, propylene
Network of 300+ customers, with diversified clientele Customer 2
and styrene monomer
5.1% 2002 Japan
– Top 10 customers account for only 43.6% of revenues in 2016 Styrene monomer and
Customer 3 5.1% 2004 Indonesia
butadiene
– Majority of top 10 customers have been with CAP for >10 years
Polyethylene,
Customer 4 4.6% 1995 Indonesia
Trademarked brand names polypropylene
– “Asrene” for polyethylene products, “Trilene” for polypropylene Customer 5 Ethylene 4.5% 1995 Indonesia
products, “Grene” for resin products Customer 6 Ethylene 4.1% 2007 Indonesia
Butadiene, raffinate,
Strong marketing and distribution platform with nation-wide network Customer 7 3.9% 2002 Singapore
styrene monomer, C4
– Short delivery times result in premium pricing over benchmarks Customer 8 Pygas 3.7% 2011 Thailand
Customer 9 Propylene 2.8% 2011 Indonesia
– Onground technical support Customer 10 Ethylene 2.5% 2006 Indonesia
Top 10 Customers % of Revenue 43.6%
514 171 610 1,303 869 885 419 256 289 219 78 139 2,455 1,374 1,923
2% 2% 4%
26% 23% 17% 26%
41% 42% 35% 31%
51%
81% 82% 80%
98% 98% 96%
74% 77% 83% 74%
59% 58% 65% 69%
49%
19% 18% 20%
2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016
Olefins & by-products(1) Polyolefin Styrene Monomer & by- Butadiene & by-products Total
products
(1) Includes ethylene, propylene, and by-products such as pygas and mixed C4
- Propylene: Majority used as feedstock for polypropylene production internally
- Mixed C4: Majority used as feedstock for butadiene production internally
- Pygas: Primarily sold to SCG 21
6 Stable and Flexible Feedstock Supply
Feedstock Procurement Overview Main Raw Materials (2016)
Long-standing stable supplier relationships
Naphtha/
100%
No material feedstock supply disruption historically Condensate
Supplier US$m %
30% 30% 24%
Vitol Asia Pte Ltd 304.2 35.6%
Marubeni Petroleum C Ltd 237.5 27.8%
SCG Chemicals Co. Ltd 81.8 9.6%
76% Chevron U.S.A. Inc 78.4 9.2%
70% 70%
Shell International Eastern Trading 69.4 8.1%
Shell MDS (Malaysia) Sendirian 26.2 3.1%
Konsorsium PT. Titis Sampurna 22.0 2.6%
2014 2015 2016 PT Surya Mandala SaKTi 3.2 0.4%
PT Sadikun Chemical Indonesia 0.5 0.1%
Contract Purchase Spot Purchase
Others 31.6 3.7%
Total 854.9 100.0%
Prajogo Marigold
Public
Pangestu(1) Resources(2)
Strong backing from long term marquee strategic regional investors committed to the
development of the business
(1) Owns 69.23% of PT Barito Pacific Tbk as of 30 Sep 2017
(2) Subsidiary of PT Barito Pacific Tbk
23
8 Strong Management Team with Substantial Industry
Experience
Board of Commissioners
DJOKO SUYANTO TAN EK KIA HO HON CHEONG AGUS SALIM LOEKI SUNDJAJA CHAOVALIT CHOLANAT
President Commissioner VP Commissioner Commissioner, PANGESTU PUTERA EKABUT(1) YANARANOP(1)
Independent Independent Independent Commissioner Commissioner Commissioner Commissioner
Commissioner Commissioner Commissioner
2 years in Industry 44 years in Industry 2 years in Industry 11 years in Industry 15 years in Industry 11 years in Industry 30 years in Industry
2 year with CAP 6 years with CAP 2 years with CAP 11 years with CAP 15 years with CAP 5 years with CAP 5 years with CAP
Board of Directors
ERWIN CIPUTRA KULACHET BARITONO LIM CHONG THIAN SURYANDI PIBOON FRANSISKUS RULY
President Director DHARACHANDRA(1) PRAJOGO Director of Finance Director of Human SIRINANTANAKUL(1) ARYAWAN
VP Director of Operations PANGESTU Resource and Corp. Director of Director of Monomer
VP Director of Polymer Administration, Manufacturing Commercial
Commercial Independent Director
13 years in Industry 23 years in Industry 12 years in Industry 37 years in Industry 27 years in Industry 24 years in Industry 15 years in Industry
13 years with CAP 1 year with CAP 12 years with CAP 12 years with CAP 27 years with CAP 1 year with CAP 15 years with CAP
11%
2Q2014
3Q2014
4Q2014
1Q2015
2Q2015
3Q2015
4Q2015
1Q2016
2Q2016
3Q2016
4Q2016
1Q2017
2Q2017
Polyethylene Plant Utilization Polypropylene Plant Utilization Styrene Monomer Plant Utilization Butadiene Plant Utilization
98% (2)
99% 96% 116%
92% 92% 103%
86% 89%
82% 88%
67% 74% 79%
69%
47%
2014 2015 2016 1H2017 2014 2015 2016 1H2017 2014 2015 2016 1H2017 2014 2015 2016 1H2017
Plant utilization has remained high due to our operational process optimization initiatives
(1) In September to December 2015, we conducted a scheduled TAM and expansion tie-in-works in conjunction with our cracker expansion project, which resulted in the shutdown of our cracker facility for
85 days and limited our production capacity for 2015. 2016 utilisation was reduced due to ramp-up in 1Q 2016
(2) Lower utilization due to unscheduled maintenance outages, the impacts of which were not material
25
8 Strong Success of Both Vertical and Horizontal
Expansion
(KT/A)
Successfully acquired and integrated SMI and TPI
Cracker Merger with
expansion & TPI & BD Plant Cracker
Acquisiton Increase PE operation expansion
of SMI Capacity
Expanded naphtha cracker in 2015 to achieve
economies of scale and take advantage of significant
ethylene shortage in Indonesia
3,301 3,301
− Mechanical completion on 9 Dec 2015, on time and
625 within budget (c. US$380m)
2,676
2,576
100
C2: ∆260KT
BD: ∆100KT C3: ∆150KT
496
2,080 − Total actual project cost in line with budget (c.
Pygas:∆120KT
US$380m)
PE: ∆16KT C4:∆95KT
570
1,510 PP: ∆480KT(1)
Expansion of production capacity and product range has enabled us to maintain our market
leading position
(1) Represents addition to capacity due to merger with TPI that had installed propylene capacity of 480 KT/A at the time of merger 26
4. Attractive Growth Profile
27
Strategic Growth via Expansion and Debottlenecking
(Excluding Second Petrochemical Complex)
2016 – 2020
CAGR: 6.2%
C2: ∆40KT
C3: ∆20KT
PE: ∆400KT
SSBR: ∆120KT MTBE: ∆130KT
PP: ∆110KT
BD: ∆37KT B1: ∆43KT
After doubling the size of production capacity over historical 10-yrs, expected further growth in
the next 5-yrs will come from several expansion & debottlenecking initiatives.
Note:
SSBR – Solution Styrene Butadiene Rubber PP – Polypropylene 28
BD Expansion - Butadiene Plant Expansion MTBE - Methyl tert-butyl ether
PE - Polyethylene C2 / C3 – Refers to furnace revamp
Strategic Growth via Expansion and Debottlenecking
Increase Production Capacity
Butadiene Plant Expansion New Polyethylene Plant Furnace Revamp
Increase BD capacity by 100 KT/A to 137 KT/A New facility of total 400 KT/A to produce LLDPE, Increase cracker capacity by modifying heat
Rationale: HDPE and Metallocene LLDPE internals to increase ethylene capacity from 860
− Add value to incremental C4 post 2015 Further vertical integration KT/A to 900 KT/A and propylene capacity from
cracker expansion Rationale: 470 KT/A to 490 KT/A
− Avoid opportunity loss of exporting excess C4 − Further vertical integration; Proposed start-up: 1Q2020
− Enjoy BD domestic premium and fulfill SRI’s − Protect and grow leading polymer market Estimated cost: US$ 45.0 million
BD requirement position in Indonesia
Proposed start-up: 2Q2018 Proposed start-up: 4Q2019
Estimated cost: US$ 41.2 million Estimated cost: US$ 347.0 million
29
5. Financial Highlights
30
Prudent Financial Policies
Maintain natural economic hedge as underlying sales and majority of costs and borrowings are
denominated in US$
Foreign Exchange Treasury risk management on Rupiah currency risks:
− Sales are hedged via pricing to customers and forward swaps with reputable banks
− Minimum Rupiah cash holdings of up to 10 – 15% of idle cash to meet operational needs
31
Resilient Revenue Driven by Diverse Product Portfolio and
Increased Volumes
2,460
5
1,908
219
85
32
Strong Gross Margins Reflecting Improved
Supply/Demand Balance & Higher Utilization Rates
Olefins Polyolefins
32.2% 32.0%
27.2% 28.2%
15.8%
2.0% 7.0%
(0.9%)
8.7% 16.9%
7.1% 11.1%
5.0%
2.9%
1.7%
(5.1%)
33
Strong Financials Further Enhanced by Economies of
Scale
Net Profit
1% 2% 16% 15%
Margin CFO Capex (unaudited)
476
300
194 224
174 180
116 105 73 69
18 26
34
Strong Balance Sheet Supported by
Financial Profile Strengthening
548
491
Rights 451 425
Issue: 373
299 377 *Net cash
283 position after
208 Rights Offering
161
97 126
212
16.0x 16.5x
3.6x 3.5x
0.8x 0.6x
2.9x
2.1x
6.9x 36% 38% 0.2x 0.3x
4.2x Min Max 27% 24%
3.0x 40%
81 39 30
45 42
9
24 10
11
62 16
12
8
98 137
63
19 23 -
2017F 2018F 2019F
BD expansion PE expansion
PP expansion Furnace Revamp
Others/TAM MTBE & Butene-1
New cracker initial spend
Estimated US$1.2b over next 3 years, mainly for Expansion and Debottlenecking
36