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EQUITY VALUATION
securing 17.73% market shares. The company
manufactures and distributes pharmaceuticals
drugs, medicine, basic chemicals, animal health
REPORT product, agrovet and pesticide products.
(Initiation Coverage)
We initiated a valuation based on Discounted Cash Flow method and Relative Valuation method while assuming next
5-Years’ CAGR of revenue will be 15.02%. Historical 5-Years’ CAGR of revenue was 15.25%. Currently, SQURPHARMA
is traded at BDT 297.2. In our valuation, the target price based on DCF and Relative Valuation is determined at BDT
346.85 per share which represents 16.71% upside from current market price.
Market Leader 27
17.7% Blockbuster Drugs
Market Share
Consistent
Cash Dividend: 15.25% 25.00%
2014-15 & 2015-16 information has been restated because of the change in accounting period
*For 18 month Period April 2015- March 2016
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Bangladesh Pharmaceutical Industry Overview
According to Bangladesh
Pharmaceuticals Market Size of Pharmaceuticals Product of Bangladesh and
Association of Pharmaceutical
industry of Bangladesh Growth (amount in BDT million)
Industries (BAPI), approximately 200 ,000
of 15% from 2012 to manufacturers are operating in 160 ,000 CAGR 15%
2017, five years period; Bangladesh and about 150 are 140 ,000
13% from 2010-11 to received registration for export $10 0.00 25. 00%
2015-16, five years over the last two years and are 23.98%
4.91%
13.04% 15. 00%
products worth USD 89.17 million $48.25 $59.82 $69.24 $72.64 $82.11 $89.82 $96.60
as against USD 82.11 million in $0. 00 0.0 0%
2015-16. From July to October 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18*
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Key drivers for growth of Pharmaceuticals company in Bangladesh:
1. Economic Growth of the country: In the year 2016-17, Bangladesh has achieved GDP growth rate of
7.24% (Source: Bangladesh Bank). World Bank predicts that Bangladesh will earn GDP growth rate of 6.4%
to 6.8% for the year 2017 and 2018. Bangladesh has entered the socio-economic classification of Lower
Middle Income Group. It is targeted that Bangladesh will become higher Middle Income Group and Higher
Income Group by 2021 and 2041 respectively. With the GDP growth, per capita income is likely to rise
which will lead to higher health care expenditure by both individual and government.
2. Population growth rate: Bangladesh is one of the highly populated country in the world with 168 million
people. According to World Bank report 2016, population growth rate of Bangladesh is 1.1% annually. This
contributes to the growth of Pharmaceuticals sector of Bangladesh.
2. Growing Income level of people: Average income level of people of Bangladesh has increased. According
to BBS provisional estimation, the per capita income rose to $1,602 in the 2016-17 fiscal year which was
$1,465 in the 2015-16 financial year. Average income grew by 9.4% from 2015-16 to 2016-17. Thus, people
have more money to allocate for medical expenditure.
3. Increase in modern healthcare facilities: Medical and Pharmaceutical facilities in Bangladesh is adopting
modern technology. This will Market Share of Top 20 Companies
largely contribute to the growth of 2017 Q2 2016 Q2 Change (YoY)
Pharmaceuticals industry of 1 Square 17.73% 18.83% -1.10
Bangladesh. 2 Incepta pharma 10.21% 10.18% 0.03
4. Health awareness of mass 3 Beximco 8.39% 8.52% -0.13
people: People of Bangladesh is 4 Opsonin pharma 5.54% 5.55% -0.01
becoming aware of health day by
5 Renata 4.97% 5.03% -0.06
day. Increased awareness of
health and high life expectancy 6 Healthcare pharma 4.57% 3.78% 0.79
will lead to the growth of 7 A.C.I. 4.43% 4.31% 0.12
pharmaceutical sector of 8 Aristopharma 4.38% 4.41% -0.03
Bangladesh. 9 Eskayef 4.36% 4.50% -0.14
Market Position of Different 10 Acme 3.91% 3.90% 0.01
Top 20 Companies
Companies 11 General 2.42% 2.22% 0.20
dominate the Pharmaceutical companies in
pharmaceuticals market;
12 Radiant pharma 2.26% 2.02% 0.24
Bangladesh usually provide
holds about 86.33% of branded-generic products as a 13 Drug international 2.06% 2.21% -0.15
pharma market share result of which established brands 14 Sanofi bangladesh 2.04% 1.98% 0.06
are able to charge premium price 15 Popular pharma 1.90% 1.88% 0.02
for its products. According to IMS 16 Unimed &unihealth 1.82% 1.61% 0.21
Health Care Report Q2, 2017 top 17 Novo nordisk 1.77% 1.76% 0.01
10 companies hold 68.49% of
Pharma market share. Companies 18 Sun pharma 1.22% 0.96% 0.26
that secured position ranging 19 Novartis 1.22% 1.26% -0.04
from 11th to 20th on the basis of 20 Ibn sina 1.13% 1.06% 0.07
their relative market shares hold Source: IMS Health Report 2017 Q2 and 2016 Q2
only 17.84% market share.
Summing up, top 20 companies hold 86.33% market share, leaving 13.67% market share to other existing
companies. It is to be noted that top 20 companies held 85.97% market share in 2016 Q2. Aggregate market
share of top 20 companies has increased (Source: IMS Health Report 2017 Q2).
The Pharmaceuticals market is concentrated among few local companies only and entry barrier is higher
due to large capital investment and legislative bindings. Square Pharmaceutical is the market leader having
17.73% market share followed by Incepta, Beximco, Opsonin and Renata. The table above shows the
current market share hold by leading pharmaceutical companies as per IMS health report Q2, 2017 and
comparison against 2016 Q2.
An API Park is going to API Park: Pharmaceuticals industry of Bangladesh is dependent on imported raw materials for
manufacturing drugs. According to International Trade Administration, about 80% of raw material is
established
establish in
in Munshigonj
imported. Main suppliers of raw materials are India and China. Bangladesh also imports API from Germany,
Munshigonj
to reduce theto reduce France & USA. Bangladesh Small and Cottage Industries Corporation (BSCIC) has begun the work of setting
the dependency
dependency of
of imported up Active Pharmaceuticals Ingredients (API) Park on 200 acres of land at Baushia, Gazaria, Munshigonj in
raw
imported
materials
raw materials 2008. The park is being built under the public-private initiative with the Bangladesh Association of
Pharmaceutical Industries (BAPI). After revising two times, the estimated cost of the project was BDT
3,318.60 million. According to the director of the project, the cost of the project is likely to increase above
9% of original estimation. There will be about 42 number of plots in the API Park. The cost of each acre of
land is estimated at BDT 31 million. The Companies will get 10 years time to pay for the plot. There are 30
plots in “A” category (3.27 acre each), 5 plots in “B” category (2.35 acre each), and 7 plots in “S” category
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
(different size). 32 member companies of BAPI has applied for 57 plots. All infrastructural facilities
including Common Effluent Treatment Plant (CETP) and Waste Dumping Yard will be available in this
project. The cost of the Common Effluent Treatment Plant (CETP) is estimated at BDT 800 million, to be
established by the companies. With the completion of API Park, Bangladesh will be able to decrease the
cost of locally manufactured drugs. API can also be exported to other countries. Currently, Global API
market stands at USD 135 billion. It is to be noted that major raw materials supplying countries such as
India and China are not legally able to produce the patented raw materials due to the WTO restriction. At
the same time, The Government of Bangladesh has declared Pharmaceuticals sector as thrust sectors. This
gives immense opportunity for Bangladesh to export API to these countries.
It has been announced that Square Pharmaceuticals Limited and Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited have
been approved three plots in the API Park.
As a least developed Trade Related Aspect of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS): Being a least-developed country, Bangladesh
has been exempted from the obligations to implement patents and data protection for pharmaceutical
country, Bangladesh is
products until January 2033 by the World Trade Organization. As a result, Bangladesh is allowed to produce
enjoying TRIPS waiver up to any patented medicines without taking prior permission from innovator. Also, Bangladesh has the
2033 opportunity to export to any country if the medicine is not under patent.
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
imposed Pharmaceuticals Policy for the country. After the announcement of drug policy 1986, which
banned the foreign pharmaceuticals company to operate in Bangladesh without partners from Bangladesh,
foreign Pharmaceuticals companies lost their market shares. Capitalizing this favorable government policy,
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited became market leader in 1987 among all the national and multinational
companies. Since then Square Pharmaceuticals Limited stayed as the market leader for the last 30 years.
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited was the first ever company of Bangladesh to get UK MHRA (United
Kingdom Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency) approval in 2007. Currently, the company
has an agreement with M/S NAAFCO Pharma Limited and M/S Sharif Pharmaceuticals Limited for contract
manufacturing of some products of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited to meet increased demand of existing
products as well as to introduce new products.
Founder: Late Samson H Chowdhury
Establishment: In 1958 as a Partnership Enterprise with the name “Square Pharmaceuticals Works”
Commencement of Manufacturing Operations: In 1959
Incorporation: In November 10, 1964 as a Private Limited Company
Conversion into Public Limited Company: In 1991
Listing: Dhaka Stock Exchange & Chittagong Stock Exchange: In December, 1995
Credit Rating: Long Term: AAA, Short Term: ST-1, Outlook: Stable (By CRISL)
Key personnel:
Chairman Mr. Samuel S Chowdhury
Vice-chairman Mr. Ratna Patra
Managing Director Mr. Tapan Chowdhury
Director Mr. Anjan Chowdhury
Director Mr. Kaji Iqbal Harun
Independent Director Mr. M Sekandar Ali
Independent Director Mrs. Nihad Kabir
Company secretary Mr. Khandaker Habibuzzaman
Shareholding Structure (Sept 2017)
Sponsors Institution Foreign Public Shareholding Pattern
36.11% Sept 30 2013 Sept 30 2014 Sept 30 2015 Sept 30 2016 Sept 30 2017
Sponsors 54.21% 54.21% 53.52% 36.34% 34.43%
Institution 27.18% 10.34% 10.85% 11.88% 10.13%
34.43% Foreign 9.65% 15.05% 15.85% 15.71% 19.33%
Public 8.96% 20.40% 19.78% 36.07% 36.11%
Samuel S
Ratna Patra Tapan Chowdhury Anjan Chowdhury
Chowdhury
Chairman, Square Vice Chairman, Square Managing Director, Director, Square
Pharmaceuticals Pharmaceuticals Square Pharmaceuticals Pharmaceuticals
Limited Limited Limited Limited
Chowdhury Family members hold 28.36% shares of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited as on June 30, 2016
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Blockbuster drugs: Top 20 brands of Square Pharma contribute 46.38% of total revenue where top 10
brands contribute 32.19% of total sales. Square Pharmaceuticals Limited possesses 27 blockbuster drugs
among the top 100 brands sold in Bangladesh which constitutes 9.41% market share. In Bangladesh top 20
brand constitutes 14.07% of total market among which more than half of this portion belongs to Square
Pharmaceuticals Limited. Below table gives the list of 15 blockbuster drugs among the top 50 brands sold
in Bangladesh that constitutes 7.11% of total market.
Drugs Brand Value (BDT million) Market Share
Seclo 3,766.56 2.01%
CEF-3 1,546.20 0.82%
Zimax 842.20 0.45%
Neotack 778.78 0.42%
Neuro-b 709.57 0.38%
Comet 666.60 0.36%
Calbo-d 635.12 0.34%
Ciprocin 619.95 0.33%
Nexum 574.72 0.31%
Angilock 573.29 0.31%
Alatrol 568.35 0.30%
Entacyd plus 539.02 0.29%
Ceevit 519.82 0.28%
Ace 496.13 0.26%
Ceftron 473.29 0.25%
Total 13,309.6 7.11%
Source: IMS Health Report 2017 Q2
Product Quality: Square Pharmaceuticals Limited produces product by following GMP (Good
manufacturing practice) standards of World Health Organization. The company also maintains strict
surveillance to withdraw expired product from the market.
Foreign Accreditation: UK-MHRA (United Kingdom Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory
Agency), TGA (Therapeutic Goods Administration)-Australia, EMEA (European Medicines Evaluation
Agency), US-FDA (US Food and Drug Administration)
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
In the Pharmaceuticals
industry of Bangladesh, Pharma Market Growth vs Square Pharma Growth
Alimentary T. & Metabolism 30% Pharma Market Growth Rate Square Pharma Growth Rate
and Systemic Anti-Infectives
have grabbed almost 58.87% 25%
of total market. Of these two
20%
therapeutic group Square
Pharmaceuticals Limited 15%
grabbed 52.77% of market
shares. Possessing a large 10%
market share in the top two
5%
therapeutic group makes
Square Pharmaceuticals 0%
Limited market leader in the 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Pharmaceuticals Industry of Source: Annual Report of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited
Bangladesh. Apart from
those Therapeutic group, Square Pharmaceuticals Limited holds strong market share in other therapeutic
group too. Only in parasitology and diagnostic agents Square Pharmaceuticals Limited could not secure top
six position.
2. Pabna Unit: Pabna Plant is the first manufacturing facility of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited and
started operation in 1958. This plant complies with WHO – cGMP (current Good manufacturing
Practice) requirement. The production facilities in this units are:
a) Hormone & Steroid Unit: Manufacturing procedures including Tablet Compression, Tablet Coating,
Tablet Blistering, Personal Cleaning, and Dispensing Booth & Automatic Granulation for producing
hormones & steroids products are completed in Hormone & Steroid unit.
b) Liquid Unit: This unit produces syrup, suspension, dry-powder, cream gel. This unit started its
operation from 2010.
c) Penicillin Unit: According to cGMP requirement, Pharmaceuticals companies need to set up penicillin
unit separately to avoid cross contamination of other drugs with penicillin. To meet up the
requirement with cGMP, Square Pharmaceuticals Limited has set up penicillin unit separately.
d) Agro Vet Division: Agro vet Division produces 73 types of poultry and livestock products. This division
has started operation in 1998. The company produces different therapeutic classes comprising
antibacterial agents, anthelmintics, NSAIDs, antihistamine, antidiarrhoea, vitamins, digestive
stimulants etc. in this unit.
e) Pesticide Unit: The main operations include repacking, selling and marketing of insecticides,
fungicides, and herbicides of Chimac-Agriphar s.a., Belgium and FMC Corporation, USA. This unit also
produces formulation of mosquito control aerosol.
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
f) Pharmaceutical Bulk Manufacturing Plant (API Unit): Pharmaceutical bulk manufacturing unit is one
of the largest pharmaceuticals bulk producing units of the country. This unit was established in 1992
and started operation in 1995. The company used the product of this unit for own consumption until
1996. From 1997, the company marketed API products to many pharmaceutical companies including
(but not limited to) Aventis Pharma, Novartis Bangladesh Ltd., ACI Ltd., Beximco Pharmaceuticals Ltd.,
The Acme Laboratories Ltd, Eskayef Bangladesh Ltd., Opsonin Chemicals, Renata Ltd., Essential Drugs
Co. Ltd.
3. Square Formulations Limited: The factory of Square Formulation Unit is located at Momin Nagar,
Gorai, Mirzapur, Tangail. This unit started operations in 2014. The company has the capacity to
produce 8,000 million tablet and 2,000 million capsule annually.
4. Pet bottle unit: PET bottle unit has the production capacity to produce 5,000 piece per hour. It can
run 24 hours continuously in a day. This unit started its operation from 2004. The whole process of
producing pet bottle is completed in this division.
Production Capacity
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited produces medicine in different forms. Those forms include tablet, capsule,
liquid etc. In the year 2015-16, production capacity of tablet was 11,279 million pieces where actual
production was 6,647 million pieces. Capacity utilization rate was 59%. The production capacity of tablet
has increased 1.54 times from 2011-12 to 2015-16, 5 years period. Capacity utilization rate has increased
by 5.38% over the five years period. Average capacity utilization rate was 58.2% over the last five years.
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited always maintains buffer production capacity. Competitive structure of the
industry forces the company to maintain buffer capacity so that they can meet up any unforeseen demand
promptly which will help them to remain market leader.
Tablet (in million unit)
Production Capacity Actual Production Capacity Utilization
12, 000
66% 70%
65%
10, 000
59%
8,0 00 58%
56% 60%
6,0 00
52% 55%
4,0 00
45%
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
From 2011-12 to 2015-16 period, the company had the highest capacity utilization in the year 2011-12.
Higher demand for capsule forces the company to increase the capacity. Current capacity of capsule stands
at 2,211 million piece where capacity utilization rate is 55%.
102% 120 %
2,0 00
100 %
63%
1,5 00 54% 55% 80%
60%
1,0 00
500
20%
It is important for the Pharmaceuticals Company of Bangladesh to ensure uninterrupted production and
supply of the pharmaceutical products. Failure to meet the demand may result in switch to substitute
products by the customer, thus will result in the reduction of market share of the company. The production
capacity utilization of capsule unit has decreased over the time as company increased its capacity to
maintain a buffer capacity of production. These steps ensure that the company can quickly response to any
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
unforeseen demand. Improved production capacity and a slight increased demand caused decrease of
capacity utilization.
Distribution network: Square Pharmaceuticals Limited has a large distribution network to ensure
uninterrupted supply of pharmaceutical products. The company has 22 depot in 22 different districts of
the country.
Export: Square Pharmaceuticals Limited
Export Sales of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited (Solo)-
pioneered the export of medicine from (Amonunt in BDT million)
Bangladesh in 1987. The company exports 1,60 0 60. 00%
Export Growth
pharmaceuticals finished products since 1,40 0
50. 00%
1,00 0
5.92% 23.05%
30. 00%
10. 00%
The company exports pharmaceuticals 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 (15
Month)
product in the market of Europe, Australia
and USA and finished formulations to ASEAN,
SAARC region.
Square
Pharmaceuticals
Limited
1 Subsidiay & 3 Associates
Square Texcom
Square Yarns Limited
Limited
99.48% ownership to 95% ownership to
SQUARETEX SQUARETEX
Subsidiary Company
Square Formulations Limited: Square Formulations Limited was incorporated in 21st November, 2011. The
company started its commercial operation in 1st April, 2014. Square Formulations Limited is involved in
producing formulation products. Square Pharmaceuticals Limited has announced on 22nd October 2017
that Square Formulations Limited will merge with Square Pharmaceuticals Limited. Authorized Capital of
the company is BDT 500 million and Paid up capital is BDT 100 million. Currently, Square Pharmaceuticals
Limited holds 99.5% share of Square Formulations Limited. ROA of the company stands at 7.5% in 2016
Associates:
1. Square Textile Limited: Square Revenue, NPAT and NPAT margin of Square Textile Limited (Amount in
BDT million)
group enters into the textile
10,0 00 14. 00%
11.70%
12. 00%
10.25%
10. 00%
8.77%
6,00 0 6.65% 9.01%
of manufacturing cotton ring spun 9,391 8,742 8,164 8,109 8,447
8.0 0%
5,00 0
6,096
yarn for hosiery. Square Textile 4,00 0
6.0 0%
industry. The company started 713 824 581 837 805 761 2.0 0%
1,00 0
establishment cost of BDT 1,600 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-16
million. Square Textile Limited *2015-16 18 month data has been annualized
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
subsequently established its second unit and third unit with an establishment cost of BDT 1,080 million
and BDT 960 million in the year 1998 and 2000 respectively.
Production Capacity
Unit Machinery Production capacity per day
Unit 1 36,288 Spindles 20,000 kilograms
Unit 2 23,184 Spindles & 768 Rotors 20,000 kilograms
Unit 3 3,192 open end heads 8,000 kilograms
With its sophisticated vertically integrated technology, Square Textile is producing 48,000 kilograms
of yarns every day. Authorized Capital of the company is BDT 3,000 million and Paid Up capital is BDT
1,789.13 million. Square Pharmaceuticals Limited holds 46.36% share of Square Textile Limited.
Square Textile Limited has two subsidiary companies. They are
a) Square Yarns Limited: Square Yarns Limited was established in 2006 with an establishment cost
of BDT 1,600 million. Square Yarns Limited has 31,248 spindles with daily production capacity of
18,500 kilograms. Square Textile Limited holds 99.48% shares of Square Yarns Limited.
b) Square Texcom Limited: Square Texcom Limited belongs to the textile industry. Square Textile
Limited holds 95% shares of Square Texcom Limited.
13.5% 13.5%
14. 0%
8.1% 8.3%
8.0 %
0.9%
4.0 %
216 245
97
2.0 %
8 18
aspiration cytology, bone 0 0.0 %
Marrow therapy, intensive 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-16
care unit, coronary care unit,
cardiac care, neonatal incentive care, physiotherapy, telemetry service and cardiac surgical intensive care.
Square hospitals Limited has appointed highly qualified physician from Bangladesh as well as from foreign
countries. The main building of the hospital is 18 storeyed and the second building is 16 storeyed with an
area of 450,000 square feet and 136,000 square feet respectively. The second building started its
commercial operation in 2011. The outpatient department of the company has the capacity to serve 1,200
patient daily. The hospital is an affiliate partner of Methodist Healthcare, Memphis, Tennessee, USA,
SingHealth, Singapore, Bangkok Hospital Medical Centre, Thailand and Christian Medical College, Vellore,
India. Square Pharmaceuticals Limited holds 49.94% share of Square Hospitals Limited.
kids wear etc. Square Pharmaceuticals Limited holds 48.63% share of Square Fashions Limited.
Prospects of Textile Industry in which Square Textile Limited & Square Fashion Belong: According to
Mckinsey & Company report titled “The appeal sourcing caravan’s next stop: digitalization”, Bangladesh is
the top choice of foreign importers of apparel product. Foreign importers of apparel product chose their
target country based on cost of raw material, exchange rate, labor cost, trade agreement, compliance cost,
transportation cost etc. Bangladesh is currently in favorable position in considering these aspects. Foreign
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
buyers demand huge quantity of product with a low cost. Bangladesh is ahead of other apparel exporting
countries like Ethopia, Mayanmar, Vietnam and India. Considering this demand Bangladesh is likely to
remain the number one choice for foreign importer of apparel product.
Minority Investments:
Name of the company Share Number Amount
Square Informatix Limited 1,000,000 ordinary shares n.a.
United Hospital Limited 120,000 shares n.a.
Central Depository Bangladesh Limited 5,711,804 shares n.a.
LankaBangla Finance Limited 100,000 zero coupon bond BDT 87, 125, 691
IDLC Finance Limited 250,000 zero coupon bond BDT 177,827,691
Bangladesh Steels Re-rolling mills 200,000 zero coupon bond BDT 177,827,691
Source: Annual Report 2015-16
Investment in marketable securities: Square Pharmaceuticals limited has an investment of BDT 2,695
million (market value) in marketable securities according to the Financial Statement 2017-18 Q1.
Dissolved subsidiaries and associates of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited
1. Square Cephalosporin Limited
2. Square Biotechs Limited
3. Square Multi Fabrics Limited
4. Square Knit Fabrics Limited
Approved merger: Square Formulations Limited (a subsidiary of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited) and
Square Herbal & Nutraceuticals (a concern of Square Group) will be merged with Square Pharmaceuticals
Limited. At the same time, Square Yarns Limited (a subsidiary of Square Textile Limited) will be merged
with Square Textile Limited.
2013-14
2012-13
2011-12
2010-11
Regulatory law that affect the business operation of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited
VAT exemption to 93 items of life saving drugs and Duty exemption facility to various raw materials
used in pharmaceutical industry will facilitate the business operation of Square Pharmaceuticals
Limited.
Duty exemption facility to various raw materials used in this industry such as API will help the company
to maintain the cost of raw materials at current level
20% cash incentive on the amount of exported Active Pharmaceuticals Ingredient
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Competitor Analysis (Based on the 2017 Q3 Financial Statements)
ACI (Solo) ACMELAB BXPHARMA RENETA (Solo) SQURPHARMA IBN Sina
Revenue (in BDT mn) 13,677 9,057 11,445 11,221 26,642 2,964
Gross Profit (in BDT mn) 6,001 3,588 5,340 5,918 13,571 1,225
Operating Profit(in BDT mn) 1,356 2,362 2,585 2,925 9,189 260
Net Profit (in BDT mn) 872 1,146 1,634 1,802 7,252 184
Margin
Gross Profit 43.88% 39.62% 46.66% 52.74% 50.94% 41.33%
Operating Profit 9.91% 26.08% 22.58% 26.07% 34.49% 8.76%
Net Profit 6.38% 12.65% 14.28% 16.06% 27.22% 6.21%
ROA 3.3% 3.9% 4.9% 10.3% 14.07% 8.8%
ROE 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 15.5% 14.01% 16.1%
Financial Performance
In order to analyze financial performance of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited, annual information from
2012-13 to 2015-16 and 2016-17 (9 month annualized) information is considered.
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 A 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
A
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Square Pharma has
Payables Payment Period (Days) Cash Conversion Cycle (Days)
significantly decreased its
time on inventory
conversion period over
the last five years, 18.9
meaning that the 14.2 63.4
46.8 42.5
company is turning its 9.8 38.1 27.4
inventory into cash in a 2.5 4.1
shorter period of time. 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 A 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 A
During the period, 2012-
17, the inventory conversion period was 53 days while it was 33 Total Asset Turnover
days in the period 2016-17. The company decreased its inventory
conversion period about 20 days.
At the same time the company has increased its payable
payment period, meaning that the company is getting more time
0.8
to pay its debt. During the period 2012-13, payable payment 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8
period was 2.5 days while in 2016-17 (9 month annualized),
payable payment period was 18.9 days. The company is now
deferring its payment by almost 16 days. 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 A
Together with static average collection period, shorter inventory turnover period and payable payment
period, the cash conversion cycle of the company has decreased, meaning that the company requires less
working capital for running its operation than it required earlier.
However, the company’s asset turnover ratio remained almost static over the five years period. During the
period 2012-13, the total asset turnover was 0.8 times. The asset turnover increased in the following two
years. In the last two period, 2015-16 and 2016-17, the asset turnover ratio stayed at 0.8 times.
Profitability: INCREASED
Square Pharma retains a
Gross Profit Margin (GPM) Operating Profit Margin (OPM)
healthy amount of its
revenue. The gross profit
of the company stands at
48.4% in the year 2016-17
(9 month annualized). The
gross profit margin tends
to increase over the 44.2% 43.9% 44.6% 48.4% 48.4% 26.1% 26.0% 27.7% 32.6% 32.0%
period and currently 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 A 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 A
highest among the last
five years. Operating profit margin also shows an increasing Net Profit Margin (NPM)
trends over the five years period. Currently. Operating profit
margin is 32%. Net profit margin of the company also shows
increasing trend over the five years period. Current net profit
margin is 24.4% in 2016-17. It is to be noted that gross profit
margin, operating profit margin and net profit margin of Square
Pharmaceuticals Limited is the highest in the Pharmaceuticals 18.3% 17.8% 20.0% 25.1% 24.4%
Industry of Bangladesh. Highest margin of the company are one 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
A
of the main reasons of Square Pharma’s being the market leader
in the industry.
13
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Other profitability margin also
ROE ROA
shows increasing trend over the
five years period. In the period
2011-12, ROA and ROE was
17.2% and 12.4% while in 2016-
17 (9 month annualized), ROE
and ROA was 23.2% and 19.6%. 17.3% 20.5% 19.6%
12.4% 14.7% 15.2%
Although the profitability is
slightly decreased in 2016-17 17.2% 21.6% 20.4% 22.0% 24.2% 23.2%
period compared with 2015-16, 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 A
de-growth is not quite significant.
It is to be noted that ROA and ROE of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited is the highest in the Pharmaceuticals
industry of Bangladesh.
Investment Insights
Investment Positive
The Pharmaceuticals industry of Bangladesh is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15% over the next five years
due to economic growth as well as population growth, growth of income level of people and increased
health awareness. Being the leader in the growing Pharmaceuticals industry; Square Pharmaceuticals
Limited is expected to grow at the same pace with the industry.
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited is the market leader of pharmaceutical industry in Bangladesh and possess
17.73% market share as per IMS Health Report for Q2, 2017. The Company has strong fundamentals
compared to other pharmaceutical companies. It possess 27 blockbuster drugs among the top 100
medicines sold in Bangladesh according to IMS Health Care Report 2017 Q2.
The company achieved 5 years revenue CAGR of 15.25% and NPAT CAGR of 25% respectively. It is expected
that the revenue and NPAT of the company will grow at this level in the future. Current NPAT margin stands
at 24.4% which is the highest in the industry.
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited maintains huge capital expenditure. Average capital expenditure of the
company from 2011-12 to 2015-16 is more than BDT 3,500 million. Recently, Square Pharmaceuticals
Limited has decided to invest BDT 2.02 billion in order to import machinery and purchase land to upgrade
their facility. It is expected that new machinery and capital expenditure will help the company to generate
more turnover in the future.
The company is setting up a subsidiary manufacturing plant in Nairobi, Kenya. It’s investment on this plant
will be USD 20 million (BDT 1,670 million). It is expected to complete the plant by June 2019. It is expected
that the revenue of the company will boost up with the commercial operation of the subsidiary.
Square Formulations Limited and Square Herbal & Nutraceuticals Limited will merge with Square
Pharmaceuticals Limited. It is expected that Square Pharmaceuticals Limited will achieve economy of scale
after the merger.
Square Pharma remained market leader of the Pharma industry since 1985. It is expected that the company
will continue to dominate the Pharma market.
According to Q1 financials for 2017-18, Square Pharmaceuticals Limited has only BDT 218 million short
term debt. Lower debt creates lower financial expense for the company.
14
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Profit margins (gross, operating, pretax and net) are highest in the industry. The company also has higher
ROA and ROE as compared to other pharmaceutical companies, (19.6% and 23.2% respectively) where the
average ROA and ROE of its close competitors stand at 8.2% and 12.6% respectively.
Square Formulation Limited, (a subsidiary of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited), incurred loss during 2014-
15. But the company turned into a profitable one during 2015-16 period. With the approved merger the
profitability of this company is likely to increase.
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited has been allocated three plots in API Park in Munshigonj. It is expected
that the cost of raw material will significantly decrease with the commercial operation of API Park.
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited is reputed for its high standard of corporate governance. The company
regularly communicates its shareholder about company’s actions, financials, and future plan through
different media. Square Pharma maintains transparency in its activities.
Investment Concern
IMS 2017 Q2 report reveals that Square Pharmaceuticals Limited’s market share has slightly decreased.
Currently it holds 17.73% where it was 18.83% in 2016 Q2. Fierce competition in the pharma market may
negatively affect market share of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited in future.
The Company is exposed to foreign exchange risk because ≈80% of the company’s raw materials are
imported thus any unfavorable change in currency rate will adversely affect company profit.
The establishment of subsidiary in Kenya required debt finance of USD 12 million. It might cause cash
outflow of BDT 335 million in the future as financial expense.
Local Growth
45. 00%
40,0 00
38.21%
40. 00%
year on year growth. The average year on year 35,0 00 35. 00%
local sales growth was 20.28% from the period 30,0 00 30. 00%
significant growth rate during the five years 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 (15
Month)
from 2012-13 to 2016-17. The company
experienced an average YoY growth of over 11% over this five years. Square Pharma achieved a significant
YoY growth of 20.35% and 18.75% in the year 2015-16 and 2016-17. From 2011-12 to 2016-17, for five
years period revenue CAGR was 15.25%.
15
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Considering the fact that company will grow with the growth of pharma industry of Bangladesh, it is
assumed that the revenue will grow at a high rate in the first few years. Revenue growth rate is assumed
conservatively for the subsequent period.
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited is going to set up a subsidiary in Nairobi, Kenya. The cost of the project is
USD 20 million of which USD 8 million will be equity financed and rest of the part will be debt financed.
The project is expected to be completed by 2019.
It is expected that the subsidiary of Kenya will generate BDT 1,920 revenue in the first year of operation. It
is also anticipated that the revenue will grow at the rate of 10% in the two subsequent year. The revenue
growth of Square Pharmaceuticals Limited and the revenue of subsidiary of Square Pharmaceuticals
Limited in Kenya is summed up to forecast the revenue of total business.
20%
90,0 00
19%
80,0 00
18% 20%
70,0 00
14% 15% 15%
15%
60,0 00
11% 12% 12%
15%
50,0 00
40,0 00 10%
30,0 00
20,0 00 5%
10,0 00
24,930 27,942 31,845 38,325 45,510 53,702 61,757 71,088 81,539 91,612
- 0%
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-2022
16
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
17
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
company will be able to increase its dividend payout ratio in future. The historical and forecast dividend
payout ratio is as follows.
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
49.6% 36.2% 41.1% 32.1% 30.8% 22.6% 36.2% 52.5% 61.3% 66.4% 63.8%
Long term Loans, current portion of long term debt and Short term debt: Square Pharmaceuticals Limited
currently has no debt outstanding according to Q3, 2017 financial statement. As the company is setting up
a subsidiary in Nairobi, Kenya; the company has to take long term debt of BDT 993.6 million (Considering
BDT 1 =USD 82.8, Debt required for the subsidiary is USD 12 million). The expected completion date of the
project is by 2019. It is assumed that Square Pharmaceuticals Limited will take 50% of this debt amount in
each year of 2017-18 and 2018-19 for the completion of the work in two phrase. The debt is will be repaid
in equal three installment over the period from 2019-20 to 2021-22.
ii) Square textile Limited: Revenue growth and Net profit growth of Square Textile Limited has experienced
volatility over the time. However, glorious prospect of textile industry of Bangladesh is very likely to occur
in the near future.
Recently, Square Textile Limited has announced Revenue and NPAT Growth of Square Textile
Limited
an investment plan in 17th October, 2017 to
Revenue Growth NPAT Growth
build a yarn production unit with a production
capacity of 4,510 ton per annum. Estimated cost 54%
of the project is BDT 1,194 million and expected 41.85% 44.04%
18
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
iii) Square Fashions Limited: Square
Pharmaceuticals Limited holds 6.18% of Square NPAT of Square Fashions Limited
NPAT YoY NPAT growth
Fashions Limited. As Square Fashion Limited 1,20 0 113.5% 120 .0%
18.0% 26.6%
NPAT of Square Fashions Limited will increase at
400 40. 0%
3.1%
200 20. 0%
the 4% in the forecasted years. As Square 1,004 974 782 366 311
- 0.0 %
19
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Free cash flow to firm Valuation
With discount rate of 10.75% and terminal growth rate of 5%. Free cash Flow to firm analysis gives Net
Present Value (PV) of Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) of BDT 262.26 billion as of June, 2017. The fair value
using DCF method stands at BDT 355.67 per share for the company, which implies an upside of 19.7% from
current market price.
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-2022 Terminal
Profit for the Year 11,455 13,147 15,159 17,410 19,580
Add: After Tax Interest Expenses 34 68 51 35 19
Add: Depreciation & Amortization 2,036 2,316 2,297 3,244 3,240
Less: Investment (Divestment) in NWC 976 699 1,503 1,048 951
Less: CAPEX 4,662 5,730 6,797 4,026 4,630
Free Cash Flow to the Firm 7,887 9,102 9,207 15,614 17,257 315,150
Sensitivity Analysis
We have also checked the sensitivity analysis of FCFF value per share on different discount rate and
terminal growth rate. We considered a discount with a range from 9.0% to 12.0% and terminal rate with a
range from 3.5% to 6.5%. As a result, we got values range from 251.1 to 780.2
Sensitivity Analysis of Free Cash flow to firm
Discount Rates
9.0% 9.5% 10.0% 10.75% 10.9% 11.0% 11.7% 12.0%
Terminal Growth
20
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Sensitivity Analysis
We have also checked the sensitivity analysis of RE value per share on discount rate and terminal growth
rate. We considered a discount with a range from 9.0% to 12.0% and terminal rate with a range from 3.5%
to 6.5%. As a result, we got values range from 216.9 to 622.5
Terminal Growth
3.50% 343.4 313.4 288.0 256.6 252.6 247.6 226.2 216.9
4.00% 366.7 331.9 303.0 267.8 263.3 257.7 234.1 224.0
5.00% 430.6 381.3 341.9 295.9 290.1 283.1 253.7 241.3
5.50% 476.3 415.3 367.9 313.9 307.3 299.2 265.8 251.9
6.00% 537.2 458.9 400.4 335.8 328.0 318.6 280.1 264.3
6.50% 622.5 517.2 442.1 362.8 353.4 342.2 297.1 279.0
Determination of Price in Discounted Cash Flow Method: We put equal weight on the value derived from
free cash flow to firm model and residual earnings model to determine the price under discounted cash
flow method.
Discounted Cash flow Price Weight
Free Cash flow to firm 355.67 50%
Residual Earnings Model 295.88 50%
Weighted Average 325.8
Relative Valuation Methods
We conducted relative valuation using different relative valuations techniques.
Relative Valuations
Multiple Expected EPS Valuations
Peers P/E (Note 1) 23.84 16.70 398.17
Average Historical P/E 24.31 16.70 406.04
multiple (Note 2)
Multiple Expected NAVPS Valuations
Peers P/B (Note 1) 3.81 82.81 315.29
Multiple Expected Sales/ Share Valuations
Peers P/S (Note 1) 4.04 78.29 316.15
Average
21
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Note 1: Calculations of Peer’s multiples
* P/S multiple of Acme Laboratories is excluded to calculate average multiple as the P/S of ACMELAB is
outlier
Note 2: Calculations of Historical P/E
Historical PE P/E
Current P/E 25.17
TTM PE 18.96
PE at YE 2016 17.18
PE at YE 2015 27.41
PE at YE 2014 29.93
PE at YE 2013 21.88
Average 24.31
22
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Appendix
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited: Consolidated Statement of Profit and Loss and other comprehensive Income
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
Revenue 27,942 31,845 38,325 45,510 53,702 61,757
Less: Vat 3,766 4,313 5,252 6,815 8,041 9,248
Net Revenue 24,176 27,532 33,073 38,695 45,660 52,509
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Amount in BDT million (Except Otherwise Stated)
Square Pharmaceuticals Limited: Consolidated Statement of Financial Position
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
ASSETS
Non-Current Assets 18,614 25,600 27,240 29,645 34,547 40,940
Property, Plant and Equipment 11,747 18,148 18,848 20,022 23,628 27,042
Capital Work-in-Progress 2,894 88
Investment 3,166 234 556 556 556 556
Investment in Marketable Securities 807 898 1,072 1,072 1,072 2,684
Investment in Associates Companies 6,160 6,765 7,996 9,291 10,658
Deferred tax asset 72 - - -
Net Asset Value (NAV) per share 36.9 48.0 59.1 72.0 82.8 91.0
24
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Financial Analysis
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
Liquidity Ratios:
Current Ratio 5.0 4.3 6.3 7.8 8.3 7.5
Quick Ratio 3.6 2.8 5.0 6.4 6.9 6.3
Cash Ratio 2.7 2.2 4.0 0.8 0.9 0.9
Leverage Ratios
Total Debt to Equity 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1.6%
Debt to Total Assets 1.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.4%
Coverage Ratios
Times Interest Earned (TIE) 37.6 65.9 2,159.2 333.7 191.9
Enterprise Value
Market Value of Equity 142,762 158,327 155,901 221,203 232,263 238,069
Short Term Loan 264 75 3 - - -
Long Term Loan 100 237 - - 497 994
Total Debt 364 312 3 - 497 994
Cash & Cash Equivalents 2,893 4,524 8,523 14,579 16,882 16,128
Enterprise Value 140,234 154,115 147,382 206,623 215,878 222,935
Valuation Ratios
P/B (price to book) Ratio 7.0 5.3 4.2 4.2 3.6 3.3
Book Value Per Share 36.9 48.0 59.1 72.0 82.8 91.0
EPS 7.3 9.3 13.0 15.6 16.7 19.2
Dividend per Share 3 3 4.0 3.50 6.00 10.00
Dividend Payout Ratio 41.1% 32.1% 30.8% 22.5% 35.9% 52.2%
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Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Retention Rate 59% 68% 69% 78% 64% 48%
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
P/E Ratio 35.3 27.2 19.3 19.3 18.0 15.7
EV/EBITDA 18.7 16.0 13.1 14.4 12.7 11.4
EV/Sales 5.8 5.6 4.5 5.3 4.7 4.2
Price/Sales 2.7 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.0 1.7
Tobin's q 7.0 5.3 4.2 4.2 3.6 3.3
Sales/ Share 93.9 108.4 132.3 129.0 152.2 175.0
Growth Rates
EPS Growth Rate 5.6% 28.1% 38.9% 20.1% 7.2% 14.8%
Dividend Growth Rate 0.2 - 0.3 (0.1) 0.7 0.7
Sales Growth Rate 12.2% 13.9% 20.1% 17.0% 18.0% 15.0%
Gross Profit Growth Rate 11.4% 15.7% 30.3% 17.0% 19.6% 15.0%
EBIT Growth Rate 11.9% 21.2% 41.7% 14.8% 20.4% 15.0%
Net Income Growth Rate 9.4% 29.7% 48.5% 14.1% 21.1% 14.8%
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.1 (0.2) (0.0) (0.3) 0.6 0.5
Retention Rate (0.1) 0.2 0.0 0.1 (0.2) (0.3)
Total Asset Growth Rate -1.6% 30.7% 20.9% 21.0% 15.7% 10.8%
Other Data
Stock price- Period End 257.6 253.9 250.01 300 300 300
Number of shares outstanding 554.2 623.58 623.58 737 774 794
Market Cap 142,762 158,327 155,901 221,203 232,263 238,069
EBITDA 7,506 9,616 11,277 14,328 16,959 19,477
Depreciation 1,221 1,999 481 1,933 2,036 2,316
DUPONT ANALYSIS
Net profit margin 17.8% 20.3% 25.1% 24.4% 25.1% 25.0%
Asset Turnover 85.5% 85.1% 81.7% 79.0% 79.0% 80.3%
ROA 15.2% 17.3% 20.5% 19.3% 19.8% 20.1%
Return on Asset 15.2% 17.3% 20.5% 19.3% 19.8% 20.1%
Equity Multiplier 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
ROE 20.4% 22.0% 24.2% 23.8% 21.6% 22.1%
26
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Risk Distribution
Z > 2.9
27
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Quarterly Statement of Comprehensive Income
Less: Tax 1,156 1,307 1,243 1,277 1,426 1,385 1,383 1,482
Net Revenue 7,351 8,058 7,614 8,459 8,942 8,433 8,700 9,509
Cost of Goods Sold 3,875 4,110 3,717 4,556 4,700 4,267 4,257 4,797
Gross Profit 3,476 3,949 3,897 3,903 4,242 4,166 4,443 4,712
Operating Expenses: 1,337 1,434 1,362 1,091 1,308 1,359 1,507 1,266
Selling & Distribution
Expenses 1,095 1,225 1,043 913 1,169 1,160 1,288 1,079
Administrative Expenses 242 209 320 178 139 199 219 187
Operating Profit 2,139 2,515 2,535 2,813 2,934 2,808 2,936 3,446
Other Non-Operating Income 103 115 156 189 197 217 221 301
Profit Before WPPF 2,228 2,625 2,691 3,001 3,131 3,024 3,157 3,747
Provision For WPPF 114 124 128 143 149 144 159 178
Profit Before Tax 2,114 2,501 2,563 2,858 2,982 2,880 2,998 3,569
Current Tax 546 629 527 572 662 622 732 797
Total Tax 557 658 558 705 695 659 719 815
Earning After Tax 1,557 1,843 2,004 2,153 2,287 2,221 2,279 2,754
Profit/(Loss) from Associates
Undertaking 259 141 198 342 236 204 179 180
Restated EPS 2.65 2.89 3.08 3.64 3.36 3.54 3.58 4.28
28
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
Calculations used in relative valuations
Acme Laboratories Beximco Pharma IBNE Sina Renata (Consolidated)
Number of Share 211.6 405.6 25.8 1,166.7
Outstanding
Price 115.4 107.5 253.8 60.9
Market Value of Equity 24,418.6 43,597.7 6,553.4 71,048.0
Short Term Loan 6,170.0 8,395.0 141.3 1,567.0
Long Term Loan 3,411.0 2,701.0 123.0
Total Debt 9,581.0 11,096.0 141.3 1,690.0
Cash & Cash Equivalents 1,278.0 237.8 176.5 627.0
Enterprise Value 32,721.6 54,455.9 6,518.2 72,111.0
TERMINOLOGIES
P/E = Price to Earning
P/B = Price to Book Value
P/S = Price to sales
EBIT = Earnings before Interest and Tax
EBITDA = Earnings before Interest, tax, depreciation and amortization
STOCK RATING
Overweight: Overweight indicates that the stock is expected to outperform the broader market averages. In our analysis, we refer to
overweight as an indication to make a “buy” call. It usually derives the rating from comparing the expected return from the stock in a specified
time period with weighted average cost of capital. Overweight concludes that expected return from the stock is greater than the weighted
average cost of capital.
Market weight: Market weight indicates that the stock is expected to equal performance of broader market averages. In our analysis, we refer
to market weight as an indication to make a “hold call”. It usually derives the rating from comparing the expected return from the stock in a
specified time period with weighted average cost of capital. Market weight concludes that expected return from the stock is equal to
weighted average cost of capital.
Underweight: Underweight indicates that the stock is expected to underperform broader market averages. In our analysis, we refer to
overweight as an indication to make a “sell” call. It usually derives the rating from comparing the expected return from the stock in a specified
time period with weighted average cost of capital. Underweight concludes that expected return from the stock is less than the weighted
average cost of capital.
Not-Rated: “Not-Rated” implies that currently the analyst does not have adequate conviction about the stock's total return relative to the
broader market average.
29
Valuation Report on SQURPHARMA Date: 16th November, 2017
Current Price (BDT): 297.2 Target Price (BDT): 346.8
DISCLAIMER
This document has been prepared by the Research Team of EBL Securities Limited (EBLSL) for information only of its clients
residing both in Bangladesh and abroad, on the basis of the publicly available information in the market and own research.
This document has been prepared for information purpose only and does not solicit any action based on the material contained
herein and should not be taken as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell or subscribe to any security. Neither EBLSL nor any of
its directors, shareholders, member of the management or employee represents or warrants expressly or impliedly that
the information or data of the sources used in the documents are genuine, accurate, complete, authentic and correct.
However all reasonable care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the contents of this document. EBLSL will not take any
responsibility for any decisions made by investors based on the information herein.
ANALYST DISCLAIMER
The person or persons named as the author(s) of this report hereby certify that the views expressed in the research report
accurately reflect their personal views about the subject matters discussed. No part of their compensation was, is, or will
be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the research report. The views of the
author(s) do not necessarily reflect the views of the EBL Securities Limited (EBLSL) and are subject to change without any
notice. All reasonable care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the contents of this document and the author(s) will not
take any responsibility for any decisions made by investors based on the information herein.
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