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with regression, and prenatal exposure was not associated with Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia; dDivision of
a risk of ASD. Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland,
California; gDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences,
Kaiser Permanente ASD Center San Jose Northern California
Region, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California; eDepartment of
Population Medicine, Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute,
associated with a 2-SD increase in ethylmercury exposure were 1.12 PEDIATRICS (ISSN Numbers: Print, 0031-4005; Online, 1098-4275).
(0.83–1.51) for prenatal exposure, 0.88 (0.62–1.26) for exposure from Copyright © 2010 by the American Academy of Pediatrics
birth to 1 month, 0.60 (0.36 – 0.99) for exposure from birth to 7 months, FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE: Dr Marcy received honoraria for
speaking for Merck and GlaxoSmithKline within the last 5 years
and 0.60 (0.32– 0.97) for exposure from birth to 20 months. and grant support for studies on Gardasil and ProQuad from
CONCLUSIONS: In our study of MCO members, prenatal and early-life Merck within the last 5 years; Mr Lewis received grant support
from Medimmune, Sanofi Pasteur, Chiron, Wyeth, Merck, and
exposure to ethylmercury from thimerosal-containing vaccines and GlaxoSmithKline; and Dr Bernal received research funding from
immunoglobulin preparations was not related to increased risk of the CDC, the National Institute of Mental Health, Health
Resources and Service Administration, and Autism Speaks. The
ASDs. Pediatrics 2010;126:656–664 other authors have no financial relationships relevant to this
article to disclose.
656 PRICE et al
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ARTICLE
Thimerosal has been used as a preser- comes and evaluated both prenatal and syndrome; tuberous sclerosis; Rett
vative in vaccines since the 1930s.1 It is postnatal exposure. syndrome; congenital rubella syn-
49.6% mercury by weight and is metab- drome; or Angelman syndrome. Re-
olized into ethylmercury and thiosa- METHODS cruitment was attempted for all eligi-
licylate.2 In 1999, the US Food and Drug We performed a case-control study in 3 ble case-children within the MCO
Administration estimated that infants MCOs that participate in the CDC’s Vac- populations. Control children were
who were immunized according to the cine Safety Datalink.7–9 The institu- randomly selected from the MCO pop-
recommended schedule might have tional review boards of the 3 MCOs, ulations to match case-children within
received amounts of ethylmercury that CDC, and Abt Associates Inc approved matching strata defined by birth year,
exceed Environmental Protection the study. The study protocol was de- gender, and MCO.
Agency limits for exposure to methyl- veloped before data collection in con-
mercury.1 As a precautionary mea- sultation with a panel of external Case Enrollment and Verification
sure, the US Public Health Service and consultants that included autism advo- Potential case-children were identified
the American Academy of Pediatrics cates and experts in autism, child de- by searching the MCO computerized
urged vaccine manufacturers to re- velopment, toxicology, epidemiology, records for relevant ASD International
move thimerosal from all infant biostatistics, and vaccine safety. All Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revi-
vaccines as soon as practical and subgroup analyses and interaction sion, codes (299.0-ASD or 299.8-PDD
recommended that studies be con- tests were specified in the study proto- NOS), supplemented by text-string
ducted to investigate the risks associ- col before data collection. searches at 1 MCO, and text strings
ated with ethylmercury exposure from Data sources included MCO comput- and autism registries at another.
thimerosal-containing vaccines.3 In re- erized data files, abstraction of mater- Mothers of case-children were
sponse, the Centers for Disease Con- nal and child medical charts, and administered the Autism Diagnostic
trol and Prevention (CDC) planned standardized telephone interviews Interview-Revised (ADI-R),12 and case-
with the children’s biological mothers. children were directly assessed by us-
studies to examine potential links be-
Case-children underwent standard- ing the Autism Diagnostic Observation
tween ethylmercury exposure and de-
ized in-person assessments to verify Schedule (ADOS).13
velopmental outcomes. The first, a
screening analysis that used com- case status. Additional details regard- ASD consists of qualitative abnormali-
puterized databases from 3 large ing study design, analyses, and results ties in reciprocal social interactions
managed care organizations (MCOs), can be found in technical reports avail- and communication and restrictive,
able online.10,11 repetitive, and stereotyped patterns of
examined relationships between eth-
ylmercury exposure from childhood behavior. Children who meet study cri-
Study Population teria for ASD had ADOS scores that in-
vaccines and several neurodevelop-
mental conditions. No significant as- Children from each MCO were eligible dicated abnormalities in all 3 areas
sociations with autism spectrum dis- to participate if they were born be- and had ADI-R scores that indicated ab-
order (ASD) were found.4 Two tween January 1, 1994, and December normalities in reciprocal social inter-
31, 1999; had been continuously en- actions and either communication or
subsequent CDC-sponsored studies
rolled in the MCO from birth until their patterns of behavior. Children who
examined neuropsychological out-
second birthday and were currently met study criteria for AD were a subset
comes, but ASD was not assessed in
enrolled at the time of sample selec- of ASD children who had higher scores
either of them.5,6
tion; and lived within 60 miles of a on all 3 areas of the ADOS, had ADI-R
Our current study was designed study assessment clinic. Children scores that indicated abnormalities in
to examine the relationships be- were 6 to 13 years old at the time of all 3 areas, and had onset at younger
tween ethylmercury exposure from data collection. Children had to have than 36 months. Using items from the
thimerosal-containing injections (TCIs), lived with their biological mother since ADI-R, ASD with regression was defined
which include thimerosal-containing birth, and their family had to be fluent as the subset of case-children with
vaccines and immunoglobulin prepara- in English. Parents provided written ASD who reported loss of previously
tions, and any of 3 ASD outcomes: ASD; consent to participate in the study. acquired language skills after acquisi-
autistic disorder (AD); and ASD with re- Children were excluded if they had the tion. For additional details on case-
gression. We used state-of-the-art following medical conditions with ascertainment criteria, see the techni-
assessment tools to confirm ASD out- known links to ASD traits: fragile X cal report.10
658 PRICE et al
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ARTICLE
Potential
Potentialcontrols
controls
Potential casesaa
Potentialcases
(n(n==802) (n(n==70 801)
70,801)
802)
M
Maattc
chheed
d
Random
Randomsample
sample
Physician (n
(n==5028)
5,028)
Physician Physician
Physician
consent
consentnot
not consent
consentnotnot
obtained b
obtainedb obtainedbb
obtained
(n(n==31)
31) (n(n==174)
174)
Available
Available
control c
controlpool
poolc
(n
(n==4854)
4,854)
Recruitment
Recruitment Recruitment
Recruitment
attempted
attempted attempted
attempted
(n(n==771)
771) (n(n==2760)
2,760)
Ineligible d
Ineligibled Ineligibledd
Ineligible
(n(n==103)
103) (n(n==316)
103)
eedd
Unlocated
Unlocated
tcchh
t
Unlocated
Unlocated
a
(n(n==27)
27) MMa (n(n
= 467)
= 27)
Refused
Refused Refused
Refused
(n(n==255)
255) (n(n
= 1203)
= 255)
Parent
Parent Parent
Parent
interview
interv
r iew
interview interview
interview
interv
r iew
completed
completed completed
completed
(n(n==386)
386) (n(n==774)
774)
Did
Didnotnot
complete
complete
clinical
clinical
assessment Ineligibleee
Ineligible
assessment (n(n==12)
(n(n==65) 12)
65)
Clinical
Clinical
assessment
Assessment
completed
Completed Controls
Controls
(n(n==321)
321) (n(n==762)
762)
Did
Didnot
not
meet
meetcriteria
criteria
for
forASD
ASD
(n(n==65)
65)
Met
Metstudy
studycriteria
criteriafor
for No
NoASD
ASDcases
casesinin
Controls
Controls
ASD
ASD matching
matchingstratum
f
stratumf
Matched
Matched (n(n==752)
752)
(n(n==256)
256) (n(n==10)
10)
AD No
NoADASD cases
casesin in
AD Controls
Controls
(n(n==187) Matched (n(n==724) matching
matchingstratum
stratum
187) Matched 724)
(n(n==38)
38)
No
NoASD
ASDw/reg
w
w/ reg
w/reg
ASD
ASDwith
with Controls cases
Controls casesininmatching
matching
regression
Regression Matched
Matched (n(n==652)
652) stratum
stratum
(n = 49) (n(n==110)
110)
FIGURE 1
Sample flow diagram. a Potential case-children had a diagnosis of ASD in their medical charts (see text for eligibility criteria). b Before recruitment,
physician consent was required. c Physician consent was obtained for 4854 potential controls. From this group, random samples of controls (totaling 2760)
were drawn, as needed, to match participating case-children within birth year, gender, and MCO matching strata. d Ineligibility was determined during
recruitment or eligibility calls. e Ineligibility was determined from information obtained from parent interview, SCQ, or medical chart abstraction. f Controls
were matched to case-children by birth year, gender, and MCO. If there were no potential case-children who met study criteria for ASD within a birth year,
gender, and MCO matching stratum, the controls in that stratum could not be used in the analysis.
posthoc calculations indicate that the In addition, by adding model terms to thimerosal exposure on the risk of
study had ⬃80% power to detect ORs test for interactions, we examined the 3 ASD outcomes was modified by
of 1.5, 1.7, 2.1, and 2.2, respectively. whether the effect of postnatal the gender of the child, concurrent
participated in standardized assess- agreed to participate within birth year, gender, and MCO matching strata. The lagged recruitment meant that controls were
ments, 256 (79.8%) met study criteria an average of 3 months older than case-children at the time of interview/assessment.
660 PRICE et al
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ARTICLE
b Maximum from child receipt of hepatitis B immunoglobulin (25 g) and hepatitis B vaccine (12.5 g) at birth and hepatitis B vaccine (12.5 g) at 28 days of age.
c Maximum from child receipt of 3 hepatitis B (12.5 g), 3 diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis (25 g), and 3 Hib (25 g) vaccines in first 7 months.
d Maximum from child receipt of 2 hepatitis B (12.5 g), 1 rabies (20 g), 3 diphtheria-tetanus toxoids-pertussis (24.27, 23.28, and 23.28 g), and 3 Hib (25 g) vaccines in first 7 months.
mercury exposures at the end of each to 7 months and birth to 20 months ated was associated with decreased
exposure period (Table 2). Variation were both associated with decreased risk of each of the 3 ASD outcomes. We
among children’s exposure amounts risk of all 3 ASD outcomes. are not aware of a biological mecha-
was attributable to variation in mer- We found no significant differences in nism that would lead to this result.
cury content of TCIs (eg, Haemophilus exposure effects between boys and Analyses to explore potential explana-
influenzae type b [Hib] vaccines in use girls for any of the ASD outcomes, no tions are presented in the technical re-
at the time contained 0, 12.5, or 25 g evidence that higher prenatal expo- port.10,11 For example, there were no
of ethylmercury), use of combined ver- sure exacerbated the effects of post- significant differences between case-
sus separate vaccines (eg, separate natal exposure, and no evidence that children and controls in the numbers
receipts of diphtheria-tetanus toxoids- concurrent ethylmercury exposure of vaccines received up to ages 7 or 20
pertussis and Hib vaccines could re- and antimicrobial use was associated months. Case-children were more
sult in twice the mercury exposure as with risk of ASDs (for full model re- likely to have received thimerosal-free
receipt of a combined diphtheria- sults, see the technical report).10 or combined Hib vaccines than con-
tetanus toxoids-pertussis-Hib vaccine) trols and more likely to have received
and variation in the number of TCIs DISCUSSION thimerosal-free hepatitis B vaccines,
received. We found no evidence that increasing resulting in the slightly lower cumula-
Exposure to ethylmercury from TCIs ethylmercury exposure from TCIs was tive exposure amounts. Knowledge
prenatally or in the first month of life associated with increased risk of ASD, that a child had ASD was not likely to
was not significantly associated with AD, or ASD with regression. The unad- have influenced choice of vaccines be-
any of the ASD outcomes (Table 3). The justed model results showed no signif- cause none of the case-children had
prenatal and birth-to-1-month results icant associations between exposure ASD diagnoses by 7 months old, and
were similar even when adjusted for and risk of ASD or AD. In the covariate few had diagnoses by 20 months.
other covariates. In the adjusted anal- adjusted models, we found that an in- There was no significant association
yses, however, increased cumulative crease in ethylmercury exposure in 2 between having an older autistic sib-
exposures in the age ranges from birth of the 4 exposure time periods evalu- ling and exposure levels. In addition,
measure is 4.08 g/kg U. Similarly, 2 SDs of birth-to-7-month and birth-to-20-month exposures are 15.56 g/kg and 17.82 g/kg.
c 95% CLs for the OR does not include 1.000.
there was no substantive difference in determined that modeling exposure of computerized MCO records, indi-
the association between thimerosal measures as linear terms was appro- cated no significant differences among
exposure and risk for ASD among chil- priate. Use of postnatal exposure vari- participant case-children, nonpartici-
dren with an older autistic sibling com- ables that were not divided by the pant case-children, participant con-
pared with children without an older child’s weight at the time of vaccine trols, and nonparticipant controls in
autistic sibling, nor did we find that ex- receipt did not change our findings. Ex- cumulative exposure amounts at ages
cluding children with older autistic clusion of low birth weight children 1, 7, or 20 months, suggesting that self-
siblings qualitatively changed our from the analyses resulted in only a selection did not bias the results.11 In
results. slight attenuation of exposure effects addition, all study children were MCO
Sensitivity analyses that assessed the toward 0. members for their first 2 years of life,
effects of potentially influential obser- Our study’s primary limitations are and were members of the same MCOs
vations and potential sources of bias those inherent in observational stud- 6 to 13 years later, at the time of sam-
are presented in the technical report.11 ies. Specifically, although we were able ple selection. Although unlikely, if
For example, results from fitting mod- to control for many potential con- there were a relationship between a
els separately to data from the 2 larg- founders, there is no way of knowing family’s decision to leave or remain in
est MCOs showed that the exposure es- whether a critical confounder was the MCO and exposure level that dif-
timates in both were similar to the omitted, and the relatively low re- fered according to case/control sta-
overall results. We found no evidence sponse rates suggest a potential for tus, then the results could be biased.
that the results were sensitive to ex- selection bias to influence the results. Reporting bias can also be a concern
treme exposure amounts, extreme re- However, analysis of ethylmercury ex- with case-control studies, particularly
sidual values, or were being driven by posure levels of the entire selected because of differential recall of expo-
a few unusual individuals. We further sample, as assessed through the use sures by case-children compared with
662 PRICE et al
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ARTICLE
controls. For measures of prenatal ex- studies of prenatal exposure via Population Medicine, Harvard Pilgrim
posure, we used information obtained maternal receipt of thimerosal- Health Care Institute, Harvard Medical
from the maternal interview on vacci- containing immunoglobulin prepara- School; Joanne L. Mitchell (medical co-
nation and immunoglobulin exposures tions during pregnancy did not find as- ordinator) and Deborah Samet (coor-
during pregnancy. However, we at- sociations with ASDs.23,24 dinator) from Harvard Vanguard
tempted to minimize the effects of re- Medical Associates, Developmental
call bias by also using information re- CONCLUSION Consultation Service (Somerville, MA);
corded in maternal medical charts. The results of our study of MCO mem- Emily London (coordinator), Dorothy
ASDs are behaviorally defined and bers do not support the hypothesis that Yungman (autism management pro-
therefore difficult to diagnose defini- ethylmercury exposure from TCIs admin- gram coordinator), Linda Ford (re-
tively. Among the strengths of our istered prenatally or during infancy is re- cruitment), Tynesha Brown (recruit-
study was the use of state-of-the-art lated to increased risk of ASDs. ment and clinic coordinator), Daisy
assessment tools to validate the ASD Gonzalez (recruitment and clinic man-
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS agement), Norma Kirk (recruitment
diagnoses in children’s medical charts This work was supported by a contract
and the use of the SCQ assessment tool and clinic management), Zendi Solano
from the CDC to America’s Health In- (medical chart abstractor), Oliver De-
to exclude children with potentially un- surance Plans and via America’s laCruz (medical chart abstractor),
diagnosed ASDs from the control Health Insurance Plans subcontracts Jerri McIlhagga (medical chart ab-
group. Additional strengths were that to Abt Associates Inc; Department of stractor), Dotty Carmichael (adminis-
measures of childhood exposure to Population Medicine, Harvard Pilgrim trative support), Monica Marshall (ad-
ethylmercury from TCIs were derived Health Care Institute, Harvard Medical ministrative support), and Kathryn Lee
from computerized and medical chart School; Southern California Kaiser Per- (clinic coordinator) from the UCLA Cen-
data sources and were therefore not manente, and Center for Vaccine Re- ter for Vaccine Research and Southern
susceptible to recall bias, and the col- search, University of California Los An- California Kaiser Permanente; Douglas
lection of extensive information re- geles; and Division of Research, Kaiser Frazier (provision of information on
garding potential confounding factors. Permanente Northern California. thimerosal content of immunoglobulin
Given that a large-scale prospective We thank clinical assessors Meg Man- preparations) from the US Food and
randomized trial is not ethically feasi- ning, Seton Lindsay, Rachel Hundley, Drug Administration (Bethesda, MD);
ble, no single study can definitively es- Mary Goyer Shapiro, Thomas Craw- Robert Chen, James Baggs, Fred Mur-
tablish or disprove the hypothesis that ford, Liza Stevens, Anh Weber, Susan phy, John Iskander, and Marshalyn
thimerosal exposure increases the Bassett, Candace Wollard Bivona, Yeargin-Allsopp (for administrative
risk of ASDs. Our study adds to the Stephany Cox, Pegeen Cronin, James and technical support) from the CDC;
growing base of epidemiologic studies Earhart, Angela Geissbuhler, Elizabeth Kevin Fahey (for administrative and
that have been conducted to investi- Lizaola, and Nuri Reyes; Natacha Ak- technical support) from America’s
gate the hypothesis. In 2004 the immu- shoomoff, PhD (quality control clini- Health Insurance Plans (Washington,
nization safety review committee of cian) from the School of Medicine, Uni- DC); Stephen Kennedy (project quality
the Institute of Medicine20 published a versity of California San Diego; Ellen assurance advisor), Patty Connor
review of the research evidence Hanson (clinical quality control man- (field director), Carter Smith (design
concerning relationships between ager), Cathleen Yoshida (program- phase support), Gerrie Stewart (de-
thimerosal-containing vaccines and mer), Roxana Odouli (project man- sign phase support), Amanda Parsad
ASDs. The committee discussed the ager), medical chart abstractors (data analysis), Laura Simpson (data
strengths and limitations of each Darmell Brown, Martha Estrada, Jes- analysis), Julie Williams (data analy-
study reviewed and concluded that sica Locke, Sandy Bauska, Margarita sis), Yeqin He (data analysis), Bulbul
the evidence available at that time Magallon, and Cat Magallon, and clinic Kaul (data analysis), Melanie Brown-
did not demonstrate a link between coordinator Victoria M. Heffernan Lyons (data management), Brenda Ro-
thimerosal-containing vaccines and from the Division of Research, Kaiser driguez (survey management), and Mi-
ASDs. Subsequently, 2 ecological stud- Permanente Northern California; Tracy chael Harnett (survey management)
ies have found that the prevalence of A. Lieu (principal investigator), Xian- from Abt Associates Inc; and external
ASDs continued to increase after the Jie Yu (programmer/analyst), and Ru- expert consultants David S. Baskin (De-
removal of thimerosal from childhood pak Datta (recruiter and medical chart partment of Neurosurgery, Methodist
vaccines that began in 1999,21,22 and 2 abstractor) from the Department of Neurological Institute); Sallie Bernard
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Prenatal and Infant Exposure to Thimerosal From Vaccines and
Immunoglobulins and Risk of Autism
Cristofer S. Price, William W. Thompson, Barbara Goodson, Eric S. Weintraub, Lisa
A. Croen, Virginia L. Hinrichsen, Michael Marcy, Anne Robertson, Eileen Eriksen,
Edwin Lewis, Pilar Bernal, David Shay, Robert L. Davis and Frank DeStefano
Pediatrics originally published online September 13, 2010;
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