Maduro's authoritarianism The anti-blockade bill further affects the Venezuelan economy and accentuates the notion of growing authoritarianism. An analysis with experts.
The economic measures that Nicolás Maduro has taken
in Venezuela tend to generate more criticism than praise, and the consequences are evidence of the failure they have had in the past. The new anti-blockade bill does not escape the criticism of financial analysts, but it also reveals between the lines how the Executive will govern the Venezuelan economy in the face of more international sanctions and an endless economic crisis where Venezuela has been in recession for 7 years and 5 years with the highest hyperinflation in the world.
The new anti-blockade bill was born in the midst of a
geopolitical turbulence that puts the permanence of Chavismo in power at risk. In the first place, for analysts it was contradictory that Nicolás Maduro handed over the text of the law for approval by the National Constituent Assembly (ANC), when just a month ago he announced that this body, created by himself, would cease operations in December 2020, when a new National Assembly (NA) would be elected.
The ANC is considered illegitimate by the more than 50
countries that support the AN, which has an opposition majority. Constitutional lawyer Juan Manuel Rafalli said in an interview with DW that he considers that passing this law would be unconstitutional since "regardless of its illegitimacy, in the way it was convened and appointed, the Constituent Assembly in Venezuela is mandated to draft a new Constitution and not to replace any constituted power, as is the case of AN, which has been handcuffed by unpresentable judicial decisions. That is a usurpation of the functions of the AN ".
It would not be the first time that the ANC has
passed laws amid criticisms of usurpation of functions, but it is contradictory to give it that responsibility, a few months after an alleged cessation of operations and a questioned parliamentary election where the opposition majority will not participate. For Rafalli "the anti- blockade law is a law that, curiously, is presented in the midst of a series of doubts about electoral fraud that has been called for December 6, that is, after the European Union (EU) said that there was no conditions, the candidates from Capriles, from the Force of Change, withdrew and, in addition to that, there is a kind of very clear current, in the sense that this electoral event would be a fraud. " Framed in measures to counteract international sanctions that have further affected the Venezuelan economy, the anti-blockade bill deepens outward the notion of growing authoritarianism in Venezuela, as it grants Nicolás Maduro exceptional powers. But it would not be a drastic change to the executive powers currently exercised by the Venezuelan president, since since 2015 27 decrees of State of Exception and Economic Emergency have been approved that grant the president functions similar to that of the new bill.
What changes with the anti-blockade law?
While the economic emergency decrees have been Chavismo's response to what they call an "economic war," the anti-blockade law refers to the US sanctions as the cause of the problems in the Venezuelan economy. The economist Ronald Balza explained to DW that the new law "allows to emphasize the external enemy rather than the internal one." This means that more than economic measures they are political strategies, since "it aims to link the provisions of the law with international legislation, which may force the aforementioned multilateral organizations to establish a position on unilateral sanctions imposed by other governments," says Balza.
One aspect that has caught the attention of some
analysts is that the law would grant Nicolás Maduro the power to modify or manage the operation of public and mixed companies, and how said law is related to private companies to reactivate those that are idle. For Balza it is a novelty that a "possible recognition of ownership to owners who were limited in their exercise is established, although the approval of the plan to put companies into operation continues to give the government the last word."
Maduro's proposal not only indicates that the
government could restore their expropriated companies to former owners. It could also open the doors for the privatization of public companies that have been failing in their services or greater investment by allied countries in Venezuelan industries that have declined, such as the oil company PDVSA. According to Balza, "insisting on the supra-constitutional power of the Executive and the ANC can facilitate alliances or support from countries such as Russia, Iran or China. That is, the sanctions, instead of weakening Maduro, facilitate countries that are contrary to the United States. . alliances with your government. "
Human rights with restrictions
The announcements that promote the presentation of the anti-blockade law explain that the regulatory framework seeks to guarantee the validity of Human Rights in the face of the impact generated by the sanctions on the Venezuelan economy. However, Ronald Balza explains that "of the aforementioned rights, those of life and health stand out, but those of access to information are restricted." In addition, "the reports and statistics that would allow the Executive to de-apply regulations would not necessarily be disclosed, being retained or mediated by an Observatory contemplated in the new law," clarifies Balza.
For the lawyer Juan Manuel Rafalli, much of what the
law itself contemplates is unconstitutional since "it means changing the government system and turning this into a presidentialism without management controls, without a budget regime, without freedom of information, that is, it is a law proper to totalitarian regimes ". Despite the aspects that could be seen as positive to defend and reactivate the economy in Venezuela, the economic forecasts do not improve. The failures of the proposed law to provide transparency and comptroller to the regulatory framework could generate "income from the allies that this regime has but that will swell the coffers not of the republic, but of the rampant corruption that exists in the country "Rafalli sentence.