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Received 5 May 2014; accepted after revision 11 May 2014; online publish-ahead-of-print 17 June 2014
Aims We examined the prognostic significance of abnormal electrocardiographic QRS transition zone (clockwise and coun-
terclockwise horizontal rotations) in individuals free of cardiovascular disease (CVD).
.....................................................................................................................................................................................
Methods A total of 5541 adults (age 53 + 10.4 years, 54% women, 24% non-Hispanic black, 25% Hispanic) without CVD or any
and results major electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities from the US Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
were included in this analysis. Clockwise and counterclockwise horizontal rotations were defined from standard 12-
lead ECG using Minnesota ECG Classification. Mortality and cause of death were assessed through 2006. At baseline,
282 participants had clockwise rotation and 3500 had counterclockwise rotation. During a median follow of 14.6
years, 1229 deaths occurred of which 415 were due to CVD. In multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard analysis
and compared with normal rotation, clockwise rotation was significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mor-
tality {hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 1.43 (1.15– 1.78); P ¼ 0.002} and CVD mortality [HR (95% CI):
1.61 (1.09, 2.37) P ¼ 0.016]. In contrast, counterclockwise rotation was associated with significantly lower risk of all-
cause mortality [HR (95% CI): 0.86 (0.76, 0.97); P ¼ 0.017] and non-significant association with CVD mortality [HR
(95% CI): 1.07 (0.86, 1.33); P ¼ 0.549]. These results were consistent in subgroup analysis stratified by age, sex, and race.
.....................................................................................................................................................................................
Conclusion In a diverse community-based population free of CVD and compared with normal rotation, clockwise rotation was asso-
ciated with increased risk of all-cause and CVD mortality while counterclockwise rotation was associated with lower risk
of all-cause mortality and non-significant association with CVD mortality. These findings call for attention to these often
neglected ECG markers, and probably call for revising the current definition of normal rotation.
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Keywords Clockwise rotation † Counterclockwise rotation † Transition zone † Mortality † Electrocardiogram
* Corresponding author. Tel: +1 336 716 8632; fax: +1 336 716 0834. E-mail address: esoliman@wakehealth.edu
Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. & The Author 2014. For permissions please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.
132 N. Bradford et al.
The statistical analysis was conducted using SAS 9.3 (SAS Institute Inc.). cause and CVD mortality, separately. As shown, clockwise rotation
Statistical significant was specified at P , 0.05. was significantly associated with increased risk of both all-cause mor-
The NHANES III protocol was approved by the institutional review tality and CVD mortality in all models. On the other hand, counter-
board of the CDC and all participants provided written informed clockwise rotation was associated with significantly lower risk of
consent.
all-cause mortality and no statistically significant association with
CVD mortality in all models (Table 2). This pattern of associations
was consistent across subgroups of the study participants stratified
Results by age, sex, and race (Table 3).
Of the 5541 participants included in this analysis, 1759 had normal ro-
tation, 282 had clockwise rotation, and 3500 had counterclockwise
rotation. The mean age was 55.0 + 10.4 years, with 54% women,
Discussion
24% non-Hispanic black, and 25% Hispanic. Table 1 shows the base- Although easily detectable, electrocardiographic rotation in the hori-
line characteristics of the study participants stratified by rotation zontal plane is an underutilized parameter which is often overlooked.
status. Participants with clockwise rotation were more likely to be This is probably because there are not much data on its mechanisms
older with a higher body mass index and a higher prevalence of dia- or prognostic significance. In this analysis from the NHANES III
betes, smoking, and pulmonary disease compared with participants survey, we showed that deviation from what is considered as
with normal rotation. On the other hand, participants with counter- normal rotation is common in individuals free of CVD. The preva-
clockwise rotation were more likely to be female and Hispanic com- lence rates of clockwise and counterclockwise rotations in our
pared with those with normal rotation (Table 1). study were 5.1 and 63.2%, respectively, while normal rotation was
During a median follow-up of 14.6 years, a total of 1229 deaths oc- present in only 31.7% according to the current standards of defin-
curred (incidence rate 16.1 per 1000 person-years) of which 415 ition.22,23 We also showed that clockwise rotation is associated
deaths (5.4 per 1000 person-years) were due to CVD death. The in- with increased risk of all-cause and CVD mortality, while counter-
cidence rates of all-cause and CVD mortality were higher in the clockwise rotation is associated with less risk of all-cause mortality
clockwise rotation group compared with the rates in the normal ro- and no significant association with CVD mortality. These findings
tation group (27.7 vs. 17.4 per 1000 person-years for all-cause mor- call for attention to these common yet neglected ECG markers.
tality and 9.2 vs. 5.1 per 1000 person-years for CVD mortality). On The facts that counterclockwise rotation in our study was more
the other hand, the incidence rate of all-cause mortality was lower common than what is typically considered as a normal rotation,
in the counterclockwise rotation group compared with the rate in and is prognostically more benign, mandate reconsidering what
the normal rotation group (14.6 vs. 17.4 per 1000 person-years), should really be labelled as ‘normal’ rotation.
but not difference in the incidence rates of CVD mortality (5.4 vs. Tahara et al.24 evaluated the association of anatomic rotation of the
5.3 per 1000 person-years, respectively). Figures 1 and 2 show the heart as demonstrated by cardiac computed tomography with hori-
Kaplan–Meier survival curves for all-cause mortality and CVD mortality, zontal rotation on ECG. Two-thirds of rotated transition zones were
respectively, in the study participants stratified by rotation status. related to anatomic rotations of the heart with a smaller measured
Table 2 shows the association between clockwise rotation and septal angle in the majority of clockwise rotated hearts and a larger
counterclockwise rotation (compared with normal rotation) with all- septal angle and thickened intraventricular septum in the majority
134 N. Bradford et al.
1.0
+ Censored
0.8
Survival probability
0.6 Normal rotation
Clockwise rotation
Counterclockwise
0.4
0.2
0.0
0 5 10 15
Follow-up in years
Figure 1 Kaplan– Meier survival curves for all-cause mortality stratified by rotation status. Number of participants at risk (surviving) at Years 5, 10,
and 15 is 5963, 5262, and 2431, respectively.
1.0 + Censored
0.8
Survival probability
0.2
0.0
0 5 10 15
Follow-up in years
Figure 2 Kaplan– Meier survival curves for cardiovascular mortality stratified by rotation status. Number of participants at risk (surviving) at Years
5, 10, and 15 is 5963, 5262, and 2431, respectively.
Table 2 Rotation status and risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality
a
Adjusted for age, sex, and race.
b
Adjusted for variables in Model 1 variables plus smoking status, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, blood pressure medications, dyslipidaemia, and diabetes mellitus.
c
Adjusted for variables in Model 2 plus any other ECG abnormalities, cancer, and pulmonary disease (bronchial asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease).
Transition zone and mortality 135
Adjusted for age, sex, and race, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, blood pressure medications, dyslipidaemia, diabetes mellitus, any other ECG abnormalities, cancer, and pulmonary disease (bronchial asthma and chronic
Interaction P-value
.........................................................................................................
..................................................
.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
quently seen with right ventricular heart disease compressing the
left ventricle and noted in dilated cardiomyopathy when the septal
angle was not elevated. In other previous reports, clockwise rotation
has been reported with acute massive pulmonary embolism.25,26 In
Counterclockwise rotation our study and despite excluding participants with history of CVD, de-
0.667
0.816
0.529
viation from normal rotation was very common. This suggests that
not all deviation from normal rotation has an anatomical basis, but
1.10 (0.79, 1.55)
1.02 (0.77, 1.37)
1.06 (0.79, 1.43)
1.02 (0.73, 1.41)
1.22 (0.74, 2.03)
01.02 (0.80, 1.30)
instead could implicate electrophysiological changes that worth
HR (95% CI)a
further investigation.
To this point, there has been limited literature concerning the clin-
ical associations and prognostic significance of horizontal rotation. In
1987, Rajala et al.27 reported an association between clockwise rota-
tion and cerebrovascular accident mortality in a geriatric sample of
.................................................
Interaction P-value
Finnish population. Also, Horibe et al.28 published data from the Japa-
nese National Surgery NIPPON DATA80 which showed a high rate
of all-cause mortality with clockwise rotation. Most recently, Naka-
Table 3 Rotation status and risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in sex, race, and age subgroups
0.511
0.346
0.386
0.946
0.764
read. This risks the reproducibility of the results. Finally, there was
lack of ethnic diversity in all of prior studies. In contrast, in
NHANES, digital ECG tracings were recorded using a chest elec-
0.854(0.70, 1.01)
0.84 (0.70, 1.01)
0.88 (0.75, 1.04)
0.83 (0.70, 0.98)
0.401
0.408
because such data were not available. In addition, NHANES III does
All-cause mortality
Clockwise rotation
not have serial ECGs that could have enabled us to examine the
natural history of rotation over time. Despite these limitations, this
1.47 (1.05, 2.04)
1.47 (1.09, 1.98)
1.57 (1.14, 2.17)
1.30 (0.96, 1.77)
1.71 (1.07, 2.74)
1.35 (1.05,1.74)
a
HR (95% CI)
Whites
cause mortality and no significant association with CVD mortality. 12. Rautaharju PM, Zhang ZM, Haisty WK Jr, Prineas RJ, Kucharska-Newton AM,
Rosamond WD et al. Electrocardiographic predictors of incident heart failure in
These findings suggest that horizontal rotation carries important
men and women free from manifest cardiovascular disease (from the Atheroscler-
prognostic information, which may merit routine evaluation. osis Risk in Communities [ARIC] study). Am J Cardiol 2013;112:843 –9.
Further investigation is needed to look into the mechanisms of devel- 13. Zhang ZM, Rautaharju PM, Soliman EZ, Manson JE, Martin LW, Perez M et al. Differ-
ent patterns of bundle-branch blocks and the risk of incident heart failure in the
oping rotation and its progression overtime as well as considering re-
Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) study. Circ Heart Fail 2013;6:655–61.
defining normal rotation. 14. Rautaharju PM, Zhang ZM, Warren J, Gregg RE, Haisty WK, Kucharska-Newton AM
et al. Electrocardiographic predictors of coronary heart disease and sudden cardiac
Conflict of interest: none declared. deaths in men and women free from cardiovascular disease in the Atherosclerosis
Risk in Communities study. J Am Heart Assoc 2013;2:e000061.
15. Li Y, Dawood FZ, Chen H, Jain A, Walsh JA III, Alonso A et al. Minor isolated Q waves
Funding and cardiovascular events in the MESA study. Am J Med 2013;126:450.e9 –16.
16. Mandyam MC, Soliman EZ, Heckbert SR, Vittinghoff E, Marcus GM. Long-term out-
This work was supported in part by the National Center for Advancing
comes of left anterior fascicular block in the absence of overt cardiovascular disease.
Translational Sciences of the National Institutes of Health under Award JAMA 2013;309:1587 –8.
Number UL1TR000454 and KL2TR000455 to A.J.S. 17. Carnethon MR, Ning H, Soliman EZ, Lewis CE, Schreiner PJ, Sidney S et al. Associ-
ation of electrocardiographically determined left ventricular mass with incident dia-
betes, 1985 –1986 to 2010 –2011: Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young
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