Course Covered • Lack of Supply Chain co-ordination and the Bullwhip effect • Effect of lack of co-ordination on performance • Obstacles to co-ordination in a Supply chain • Managerial Levers to achieve coordination. • Role of IT in coordination, forecasting and Replenishment Lack of Supply Chain Co-ordination and the Bullwhip Effect • Supply chain coordination improves if all stages of the chain take action that together to increase total supply chain profits. • Supply chain coordination requires each stage of the supply chain to take into account the impact its actions have on other stages. • A lack of coordination occurs either because different stages of the supply chain have objectives that conflict or because information moving between stages is delayed and distorted. CONTI.. • Different stages of a supply chain may have conflicting objectives if each stages has a different owners. • Information is distorted as it moves across the supply chain because complete information is not shared between stages. • This may cause huge changes in the information that is shared at each stage of the supply chain. As we can say there are thousands of dealers and suppliers, if information distorts this may increase huge product verity and it’s amount. [Bullwhip effect] • One outcome of the lack of supply chain coordination is the bullwhip effect, in which fluctuation in orders increase as they move up the supply chain from retailers to wholesalers to manufacturers to suppliers. The Bullwhip Effect • Fluctuation in orders increase as they move up the supply chain (see Fig.16.1) • Demand information is distorted as it travels within the supply chain, so that different stages have different perspectives and estimates of the chain demand • Examples: – Proctor & Gamble Pampers diapers – HP printers • Trying to run each stage of the SC based on this partial distorted demand information can have dire consequences for all parties involved! The effect of lack of coordination on performance • A supply chain lacks coordination if each stage optimizes only it’s local objectives, without considering the impact on the complete chain. Total supply chain profits are thus less than what could be achieved through coordination’s. • Each stage of a supply chain, in trying to optimize its local objectives, takes actions that end up hurting the performance of the entire supply chain. • Lack of coordination also results if information distortion occurs within the supply chain. The effect of lack of coordination on performance • Manufacturing cost • Inventory cost • Replenishment lead time • Transportation cost • Labor cost for shipping and receiving • Level of product availability • Relationships across the supply chain #@#*&@*! • Profitability • Remark: All of the above essentially result from the increased variability experienced by certain parts of the supply chain, due to information distortion and lack of coordination. CONTI…
• Manufacturing cost: The lack of coordination increases
manufacturing cost in the supply chain. AAs a result, of the bullwhip effect, P&G and its suppliers must satisfy a stream of orders that is much more variable than customer demand. • Inventory cost: The lack of coordination increases inventory cost in the supply chain. To handle the increased variability in demand, P&G has to carry a higher level of inventory than would be required if the supply chain were coordinated. As a result, inventory costs in the supply chain increases. The high levels of inventory also increase the warehousing space required and thus the warehousing cost incurred. CONTI.. • Replenishment Lead Time: Lack of coordination increases replenishment lead times in the supply chain. The increased variability as a result of the bullwhip effect makes scheduling at P&G and supplier plants must more difficult compared to a situation with level demand. There are times when the available capacity and inventory cannot supply the order coming in. • Transportation cost: The lack of coordination increases transportation cost in the supply chain. The transportation requirements over time at P&G and its suppliers are correlated with the orders being filled. As a result of the bullwhip effect, transportation requirements fluctuate significantly over time. This raises transportation cost because surplus transportation capacity needs to be maintained to cover high-demand periods. CONTI.. • Labor cost for shipping receiving: The lack of coordination increases labor costs associated with shipping and receiving in the supply chain. Labor requirements for shipping at P&G and its suppliers fluctuate with orders. • The supply chain stages have the option of carrying excess labor capacity or varying labor capacity in response to the fluctuation in orders. • The level of product availability: Lack of coordination hurts the level of product availability and results in more stock outs in the supply chain. This increases the likelihood that retailers will run out of stock resulting in lost sales for the supply chain. Obstacles to Coordination in a SC
received orders • Lack of information sharing among the various stages of the chain Potential Remedies • Sharing point of sale data • Collaborative forecasting and planning • Single stage control of replenishment – Continuous replenishment programs (CRP) – Vendor managed inventory (VMI) Operational Obstacles • Ordering in large lots in order to reduce the fixed costs associated with order placement and transportation. • Large replenishment lead times that expose the company to higher levels of variability, and raise the need for higher levels of safety stock. • Rationing and shortage gaming: Ordering larger quantities than necessary, in order to eventually get what you need. Potential Remedies • Reduce replenishment lead times, by taking advantage of modern IT capabilities – Computer-assisted ordering – EDI • Reduce lot sizes – Computer-assisted ordering – Shipping in LTL sizes by combining shipments – Exploit technology and other methods to simplify receiving • Ration based on past sales and information sharing to limit gaming Pricing Obstacles
• Lot size-based discounts
• Price fluctuations (e.g., due to promotions) resulting in “forward buying” Potential Remedies • Move from lot size-based to volume-based quantity discounts (consider total purchases over a specified period) • Stabilize pricing – Eliminate promotions (EDLP) – Limit quantity purchased during a promotion Incentive Obstacles
• E.g., sales force incentives based on the amount of
sells during an evaluation period in a month or quarter. • “Sell-in” rather than “sell-through” based evaluation. • Local optimization within functions or stages of the supply chain (e.g., the shipping department trying to control the transportation cost by reducing the frequency of the shipments, ignoring the impact of this decision on the inventory costs and the customer service) Potential Remedies • Align incentives across functions • Alter sales force incentives from sell-in to sell- through • Pricing for coordination, e.g., – Buy-back contracts – Quantity-flexibility contracts • Build strategic partnerships and trust! Behavioral Obstacles • Each stage of the supply chain views its actions locally, being unable to see the impact of its actions on other stages • Different stages react to the current local situation rather than trying to identify the root causes • Eventually, stages start blaming each other for the experienced problems, becoming enemies rather than partners • Lack of trust results in opportunism, duplication of effort and lack of information sharing • From a more pragmatic standpoint, it is generally hard to trace the consequences of certain actions because they will occur in some other stage(s) of the supply chain. Managerial Levers to achieve coordination. • Aligning of goals and incentives • Improving information accuracy • Improving operational performance • Designing pricing strategies to stabilize orders • Building strategic partnerships and trust Role of IT in Coordination • Information availability • To use the visible information to make decision Building Trust into a Supply Chain Relationship • Deterrence-based view – Use formal contracts – Parties behave in trusting manner out of self-interest • Process-based view – Trust and cooperation are built up over time as a result of a series of interactions – Positive interactions strengthen the belief in cooperation of other party • Neither view holds exclusively in all situations