NAMA : TEGUH MIRANTO NUGROHO

NIM : 413171100041

SEBUAH PABRIK GARMEN DI BATAM

INSTRUKSI : ISILAH YANG DITANDAI HIJAU DAN JAWABLAH PERTANYAAN !

Produksi Konsumsi (kWh) SEC 1. Buat persamaan energy baseline nya , Y = aX

Total(Pcs)
258,968 149,931.30 0.58 SUMMARY OUTPUT
269,875 131,516.40 0.49
267,878 162,988.50 0.61 Regression Statistics
308,153 151,972.60 0.49 Multiple R 0.72210518
362,623 181,093.70 0.50 R Square 0.52143589
282,275 139,445.70 0.49 Adjusted R Squa 0.47357948
315,202 193,796.40 0.61 Standard Error 18175.7866
307,510 194,290.20 0.63 Observations 12
392,742 180,359.50 0.46
416,135 203,482.00 0.49 ANOVA
374,038 164,340.00 0.44 df
240,361 132,330.00 0.55 Regression 1
Residual 10
Total 11
Chart Title
250,000.00 Coefficients
200,000.00 Intercept 65643.85
Konsumsi energi

f(x) = 0.31556792309555 x + 65643.8500192362

150,000.00 R² = 0.521435888448198 X Variable 1 0.31556792
100,000.00
50,000.00 Dari data tabel dan diagram tersebut didapat
0.00
200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000
Produksi Total

Sweat
Energy T-Shirt Tops Short Skirt/ Dress
Months shirt
Consumption
Y X1 X2 X3 X4 X5
Jan 149,931.30 172,653 30,689 11,138 15,113 3,917
Feb 131,516.40 204,346 6,149 - 39,053 14,971
Mar 162,988.50 162,622 20,629 6,959 26,939 5,922
Apr 151,972.60 212,460 1,282 - 4,807 -
May 181,093.70 182,723 1,288 1,600 973 28,667
Jun 139,445.70 96,136 1,096 - 227 -
 Jul 193,796.40 112,117 3,029 - 1,188 -
Aug 194,290.20 205,040 737 - 2,130 -
Sep 180,359.50 180,558 14,886 - 16,397 384
Oct 203,482.00 17,461 1,922 - 26,409 7,589
Nov 164,340.00 56,875 14,368 2,705 19,834 8,358
Dec 132,330.00 37,489 4,014 - 52,075 4,921

2. Buat persamaan energy baseline nya , Y = aX1 + bX2+ .......+ Constanta

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Dari data regresi tersebut didapatkan persamaan base line nya dimana Y
2,2124X4+1,1345X5-0,5119X6+0,03967X7+0,0856X8 + 257050,87 denga
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8891228317012
R Square 0.79053940985237
Adjusted R Squa0.23197783612534
Standard Error 21954.0012845314
Observations 12

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 8 5457199462.25 6.82E+08 1.4153129163 0.4254739243
Residual 3 1445934517.2 4.82E+08
Total 11 6903133979.45

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept 257050.867556465 212179.661949 1.211477 0.3124340838 -418199.51367 932301.249
X Variable 1 -0.3217354984202 0.76601741776 -0.420011 0.7027450353 -2.7595447993 2.1160738
X Variable 2 1.83438120840906 3.99030332824 0.45971 0.676992404 -10.864544876 14.5333073
X Variable 3 -5.5775688437983 12.856156056 -0.433844 0.6937075255 -46.491595184 35.3364575
X Variable 4 -2.2124847263548 2.60645110411 -0.84885 0.4583297425 -10.507375413 6.08240596
X Variable 5 1.13451934135217 1.84417084994 0.615192 0.5819467588 -4.7344553664 7.00349405
X Variable 6 -0.5119659877144 0.83249042805 -0.614981 0.5820689966 -3.1613220746 2.1373901
X Variable 7 0.03967162674703 0.38572941378 0.102848 0.9245728119 -1.187891521 1.26723477
X Variable 8 0.08567354840395 0.57927095429 0.147899 0.8918037759 -1.7578251598 1.92917226

3. Verifikasi Persamaan Regresinya dengan mencek parameter sbb ;

Regression checks
R2>0.75? 0.790539
Cvrmse<0.2
Mean bias error < 0.005%?
Independent variable sensitivity > 2?
Intercept tstat > 2?
y baseline nya , Y = aX + b

SS MS F Significance F
3599541799.65 3599541800 10.89584187 0.0080015292
3303592179.8 330359218
6903133979.45

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
30691.6897274 2.1388151191 0.058151005 -2741.4962955 134029.1963 -2741.496295 134029.196334
0.09560100453 3.3008850133 0.008001529 0.1025556106 0.528580236 0.1025556106 0.52858023557

an diagram tersebut didapatkan persamaan Y = 0,3156x + 65643,85 dengan R square = 0,52

Energy Usage
Tight Pants (Predicted by
General Jacket regression)
X6 X7 X8
13,458 12,000 -
5,092 264 -
11,358 8,938 24,511
24,874 3,339 61,391
85,524 7,903 53,945
159,988 2,012 22,816
 95,654 28,993 74,221
33,191 46,522 19,890
24,834 151,540 4,143
28,912 288,347 45,495
122,229 120,232 29,437
22,244 113,833 5,785

maan base line nya dimana Y = -0,3127X1+1,8348X2-5,5775X3-

0,0856X8 + 257050,87 dengan R Square = 0,79

Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

-418199.51367 932301.24878
-2.75954479934 2.1160738025
-10.8645448755 14.533307292
-46.4915951845 35.336457497
-10.5073754125 6.0824059598
-4.73445536635 7.0034940491
-3.16132207463 2.1373900992
-1.18789152099 1.2672347745
-1.75782515985 1.9291722567