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Real Estate
Market Overview
2016
2 MESSAGE CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview
Message from
General Manager
2016 is a tremendously challenging year for KSA economy. A major cut in government
spending, elimination of government subsidies on utilities, introduction of land tax and
other related taxes, will further tighten the situation for consumers and businesses.
Economic slowdown has impacted real estate sector during 2016 and we witnessed a
decrease in number and value of real estate transactions.
We are expecting that government steps toward a more prosper economy with less
reliance on oil sector by supporting non-oil sector will have positive impact on real estate
sector in long run. Although, real estate sector is suffering currently because of newly
implemented land tax and other taxes but it is expected that the market will regain its
momentum once investor’s trust will be recuperated through more transparent market.
Al Waleed Binzouman Working with our partners, which include real estate marketers, valuers and other
General Manager specialists, we continue to deliver our clients an individual, delicate service tailored to
their needs.
As a leading real estate service provider in KSA we are looking forward to add value,
professionalism and passion to support the market expansion for our business partners.
4 KSA ECONOMY CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview
Table 2
Year
Eastern Ring Road
Min
550
Max
650
Revenue Expenditure Surplus/Deficit
Khurais Road 600 750
Khalid Bin Waleed Road
Northern Ring Road
550
1000 Projected
600
1300 Actual Projected Actual Projected Actual
Anas bin Malik Road 550 700
2011
Ayesha bint Abu Bakkar Road
King Fahad Road
350
800
540
400
1000
1,110 580 804 -40 206
Olaya Road 650 750
2012
Tahlia Road
Oroba Street
850
650
702
900
800
1,240 690 853 12 387
Al Takhasusi Road 650 800
2013
Salah-U-Din Road Malaz 650 829
800 1,131 820 925 9 206
2014 855 1,046 855 1,100 0 -54.0
2015 715 608 860 975 -145 -367
2016 514 -- 840 -- -326 --
1300 400
300
KSA Economic Profile 975 200
2014 2015 2016 F 100
Nominal GDP (% Change) 1.1 -2.3 1.90 650 0
Real GDP (% Change) 3.6 2.5 1.60 -100
Inflation 2.7 2.6 2.0 325 -200
GDP Per Capita ( SR) 91,421 86,771 -- -300
0 -400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Budgeted
In Budget 2016 the largest amount has been allocated to Military &
Expenditures Allocation - Budget 2016
Security Services which represents 25% of the overall spending. The
Sector Amount SR - Billion Percentage
government aims to boost the Education and Training by pumping in
Education and Training 192 23%
the second largest share of the budget spending. While health & social
development represents 13% of the budget. Health and Social Development 105 13%
Municipality Services 21 3%
A new budget support provision of 22% represents the government’s Military and Security Services 213 25%
initiative towards mitigating the risk against volatility in oil prices. These Infrastructure and Transportation 24 3%
funds will remain as a back up against shortages of revenues. Economic Resources 78 9%
Public Administration 24 3%
Budget Support Provision 183 22%
• Impact: Land tax will increase the real estate activity in the market as more lands will be available for development.
• Value: 67% increase on (Octane - 91) and 50% increase on (Octane - 95).
• Impact: Will generate extra revenue for the government and also act as a domestic cushion against lower oil prices.
Topic : Creating the largest sovereign wealth fund (Public Investment Fund - PIF) in the world
• Impact: Will become the main investment arm for the KSA government and will act as a shield against oil prices shocks as the biggest oil
exporter in the world.
Negative: It will impact the spending pattern of the people as approximately 70% of Saudis work in the Public sector.
Value: The fee rates vary as per the type & category of Visa.
Negative: It will impact the business & religious tourism as people might travel less due to increased visa costs.
Supply
Century21Saudi did not observe any major additions to the residential
Riyadh Residential Projects – Anticipated Supply
supply except the Rafal Residence project vertical tower with 172
apartments. Project Name No. of Units
Expected Year of
Completion
Most of the upcoming developments are in the north of Riyadh and Illoura Villas 70 2016
some are expected to hit the market by 2017.
Al Casaba Project 46 2016
Masharef Hills project by KINAN International Real Estate Development Masharif Hills 700 2016-17
is one of the key projects located in An Narjis District consisting of 700
Ritaj Residential Project 292 2016-17
villas. It is expected that around 169 villas will be completed by the end
of 2016 and will be handed over to respective owners. Damac Esclusiva 216 2016-17
Demand
The key factors acting as a catalyst for the Capital’s residential sector
demand is the growing population, increase in average family size and
100%
early marriages. All these factors are contributing towards the rising 8%
demand.
75%
Market Performance
When compared Y-O-Y bases with 2015, the residential real estate has 67%
Average Sale Prices (SR) of Apartments (130 - 160 sqm) Average Annual Rents for Apartments (130 - 160 sq m) (SR)
Supply
The completion date of KAFD is not certain in this year therefore
2016 is witnessing some other high rise office building in existing
stock. The Nakhlah tower by Al Nakhlah Real Estate Company near
the KAFD is a key office development with 25,000 sqm of office
space. While in the CBD Hamad tower is a unique business address
facing the King Fahad Road with a GLA of 31,000 sqm approximately.
The Majdoul tower is a key project and will be the first twisted
tower for the Capital. It is anticipated that the tower will add a GLA
of 70,000 sqm in the market.
Another new unique architectural milestone in the capital is the Al King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD)
Rajhi Bank Headquarter Building. This Tower will add 66,000 sqm The much anticipated and argued KAFD project which was initially
of office space and it is expected to be operational by the start of designed to be the hub of the banking & financial sector will now be
next year. owned by the “Public Investment Fund”(PIF).
Demand This district will now be the headquarter of ‘PIF’ the expected largest
Demand for Riyadh office sector is mainly driven by public sector sovereign wealth fund in the world. KAFD will be a special zone that will
tenants. Recent Royal decree of National Transformation Program (NTP) have competitive regulations and procedures, with visa exemptions,
under Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030’s strategic objective of economic and directly connected to the King Khaled International Airport.
diversification has further increased the opportunity for economic
growth and Public-Private partnership is another decisive step for The plan is to redesign the mix-use of its current space and focusing
boosting the demand for office market. more towards the hospitality and residential sectors respectively.
Furthermore demand for office space is generated by activities of local The above steps are part of the Vision 2030 and a significant step
and multinational companies, Banking sector, and none another than keeping in mind KAFD’s economic feasibility for future.
an infrastructure giant of Riyadh Metro.
CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview OFFICE 13
Market Performance
During H1-2016, Century21 Saudi did not witness any major change in
market situation as market still remains declined towards the supply-
15%
side.
The Riyadh metro project is still acting as a catalyst towards the shifting
and moving trend for office space in the CBD. Most of the tenants have
moved towards the northern side of the Capital for better parking and
accessibility. The negative trend in rentals has been observed in the to
CBD where rentals went down on average between 5%-7% respectively.
Current office market vacancy rate varies between 15% to 20% and
further supply in office space will exert upward pressure on vacancy rate.
975
650
325
Min Max
0
Eastern Ring Road
Khurais Road
Tahlia Road
Oroba Street
Al Takhasusi Road
Olaya Road
14 OFFICE CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview
H1- 2016
Area Min Max
Eastern Ring Road 550 650
Supply
During 2015-16, we witnessed several openings of community malls,
strip retail and commercial centers where “Al Makan Mall” and “Al Anticipated Supply
Thaghir Mall” were the two major openings with the collective GLA of Expected
Project Name GLA (sqm)
58,000 sqm approx. Besides community malls, major developments Completion
on strip retail centers has also been witnessed especially on the The Boulevard 30,000 2016
Northern districts of Riyadh. Najd Mall 57,000 2017
Nakheel Mall (Extension) 39,036 2017
“Mall of Saudi”, “Najd Mall”, “Riyadh Park” and “Nakheel Center” are
some of the major ongoing retail developments. It is expected Mall of Arabia 163,000 2017
that more than 1.2 million square meters of retail space (GLA) will Al Ghadeer Square 8,504 2017
enter the market in coming years. Historically, Riyadh has been able One Square 14,000 2017
to absorb high amount of retail GLA during the past years, but by
Nakheel Center 15,000 2017
considering the current situation and a slowdown in economy we
Riyadh Park 92,000 2017
can expect that market may take some time to absorb new supply
as retailers are revising their expansion plans because a cut in The Corner 8,044 2017
consumer’s spending is directly impacting their revenue and profit Al Diriyah Festival City Mall 250,000 2018
projections. The total supply of retail space in Riyadh has reached up City Center Ishbiliah 100,000 2018
to 2.97 million square meters after addition of new retail space in the
The Avenues 400,000 2020
stock during 2015-16. By considering the space (GLA) of anticipated
supply, we can assume that Riyadh’s total retail space will reach up Mall of Saudi 300,000 2022
to 4 million square meters by the end of 2022.
CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview RETAIL 17
1,800
1,200
600
0
Eastern Ring Road
Khurais Road
Olaya Road
Tahlia Road
Oroba Street
Al Takhasusi Road
Dabbab Street
Makkah Road
Al Hasa Road
Al Nahda Road
Min Max
18 RETAIL CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview
Retail Showrooms Rental Rates H1-2016 ( Line Shops -Outside Malls) - SR/Sqm
2016 is a slow year for hospitality sector. Both, occupancy rates and HOTELS
5%
ADR are showing negative trends, causing a reduction in RevPAR
occupancy rate reduced by
Century21 Saudi witnessed a slowdown in the construction of ongoing
hospitality projects.
IN RIYADH
Supply
Century21 Saudi witnessed a sluggish H1 -2016 for hotel market
supply. The Key addition during first half of the year was Rosh Rayhan Upcoming Key Hotels in Riyadh
hotel by Rotana and Riyadh Copthorne Hotel by Millennium Hotel &
Resorts. Expected
Hotel Name No. of Rooms
Completion
Both hotels collectively added 409 keys in the market and took the Marriot Courtyard Hotel (Olaya) 229 2016
Capital’s Hotel inventory to around 12,000 keys.
Studio M 145 2016
A major portion of supply is anticipated to be delivered during next
year (2017). The major upcoming addition in the Capital’s hotel industry Radisson Park Inn 168 2016
will be “Hilton Hotel & Furnished Apartments”, Intercontinental and
Wyndham hotels in K.A.F.D. Swiss-Bel Hotel Riyadh 126 2016
Boudl Hotel & Resort is expanding aggressively and after successful Hilton Riyadh Hotel & Residence 830 2017
“Ascott” is a new addition in Riyadh hospitality sector, offering 234 Centro Riyadh 160 2017
branded apartments of different sizes.
Gran Melia 252 2017
Century21 Saudi is of the opinion that upcoming supply (particularly
in 5 star segment) will not only effect the ADR but will also make
this segment less attractive for the investment (becuase of higher
development cost and lower return).
CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview HOSPITALITY 21
Government’s initiatives to boost the city’s leisure tourism will also be 3 - Star
source of demand for hospitality sector in coming years. 13%
Market Performance
Hotels occupancy rate reached around 60% with a reduction of 5%
when compared Y-O-Y bases with 2015. The decrease in occupancy is
because of slow economic performance during the year.
HOSPITALITY
The average daily rate (ADR) went down by 5% to 6% when compared
Y-O-Y bases with 2015. Because of lower occupancy and reduced
average daily rates the RevPAR also went down significantly.
DECREASE
bases with 2015.
22,500
15,000
7,500
Min
0 Max
Eastern Ring Road
Khurais Road
Kharj Road
Olaya Road
Tahliah Street
Urobah Street
CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview LAND 25
H1-2016
Area
Min Max
Riyadh East
Eastern Ring Road 7,000 7,500
Khurais Road 6,000 7,500
Dammam Road 5,000 7,000
Al shaik Jaber Alahmed Alsabah Road 4,500 5,000
Saad Bin Abdulrehman Road 4,500 5,500
King Abdullah Road 7,000 8,000
Imam Abdullah bin Saud 4,000 4,500
Hassan Bin Hussain Bin Ali Road 4,500 5,000
Riyadh West
Western Ring Road 4,500 5,500
Madina Al-Munawrah Road 4,000 4,500
Riyadh North
King Fahad Road 12,000 15,000
Northern Ring Road 9,500 12,000
Prince Saud bin Mohammad bin Muqrin Road 5,000 5,500
Anas bin Malik Road 7,500 8,500
King Salman bin Abdul Aziz Road 7,500 9,500
King Abdul Aziz Road 7,500 11,000
Abu Bakr Siddique Road 5,500 6,500
Otman bin Affan Road 6,000 7,000
Al Khair Road 6,500 7,500
Salboukh Road 1,200 1,800
Olaya Road 10,000 12,000
Riyadh South
Kharj Road 1,850 2,500
Southern Ring Road 5,000 5,500
Hamzah bin Abdul Mutlib Road 3,600 4,500
Ayesha bint Abu Bakkar Road 4,000 4,800
Riyadh Central
King Fahad Road 17,000 22,000
Olaya Road 13,000 15,000
Prince Mohammad bin Abdul Aziz Road (Tahlia) 13,500 15,000
Oroba Street 8,500 10,000
Al Takhasusi Road 10,000 12,000
King Abdul Aziz Road 9,500 10,000
Dabbab Street 7,500 8,500
King Abdullah Road 10,000 13,000
Makkah Road 7,500 8,500
Prince Sultan Street 6,500 7,500
Imam Saud bin Abdul Aziz Road 7,000 7,500
Moosa Bin Naseer Road 6,000 7,000
Salah-U-Din Road Malaz 8,000 10,500
Al Hasa Road 5,000 6,000
Al Nahda Road 4,500 5,500
26 LAND CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview
Prices
In H1-2016, total 20,321 transactions worth SR 24 billion have been
executed, with a decline of 47% when compared with last year.
in Northern Riyadh
6%) at northern districts of the capital city that are mainly located
after King Salman road.
3,750
SR/Sqm
2,500
1,250
Min
Max
0
Al Hamra
Al Yarmook
Ishbiliah
Arqa
Nakheel
Al Ghadeer
Al Yasmeen
Al Malqa
Al Aziziah
Al Shifa
Al Swaidi
Al Badiah
Al Olaya
Al Murooj
Al Sulaymania
Al Warud
CENTURY21 SAUDI® RIYADH Real Estate Market Overview LAND 27
H1-2016 H1-2016
Area Area
Min Max Min Max
Riyadh East Riyadh South
Qurtaba 2,600 2,800 Dar Albaiza 1,100 1,200
Al Monisiyah 1,800 2,300 Al Aziziah 1,200 1,400
Al Rimal 1,350 1,650 Al Mansooriah 1,500 1,800
Gharnada & Alshahda 3,200 3,500 Al Shifa 1,300 1,400
Al Hamra 3,100 3,500 Badr 750 1,000
Al Quds 2,850 3,300 Ahad 650 800
Al Yarmook 2,200 2,500 Al Marwah 1,300 1,400
Al Qadsiah 1,350 1,500 Shabra 1,650 1,800
Al Ma'eezlah 1,300 1,600 Al Swaidi 1,500 1,700
Ishbiliah 2,300 2,600 Al Zahrah 1,400 1,700
Al Nazeem 850 1,200 Al Areeja 1,200 1,400
Al Janadriah 1,100 1,300 Al Badiah 1,250 1,300
Al Salaam 2,300 2,600 Taweeq 950 1,100
Al Naseem (East) 1,300 1,850 Namar 1,100 1,250
Al Naseem (West) 1,400 1,800 Al Hazm 1,200 1,400
Al Manar 2,500 3,000 Al Hair 390 600
Al Nahdha 1,600 1,900 Al Darehmiah 1,400 1,600
Al Sulai 1,600 1,750 Riyadh Central
Al Jazira 1,800 2,000 Al Olaya 3,500 4,000
Al Sa'adah 1,500 1,650 Al Mazar 3,500 4,000
Riyadh West Al Murooj 2,800 3,100
Al Mahdiah 1,000 1,200 King Fahad 2,500 2,800
Al Hada 2,400 3,000 Al Nazha 3,200 3,700
Arqa 2,100 2,700 Al Izdhar 2,700 3,000
Khuzami 3,900 4,500 Al Ta'awun 3,000 3,350
Nakheel 3,600 4,500 Al Museef 2,450 2,800
Zahrah Laban 1,400 1,700 Salahuddin 3,800 4,200
Riyadh North Al Mursalat 2,800 3,300
Al Aarz 1,600 2,200 Al Sulaymania 3,000 4,000
Al Qeerwan 2,000 2,100 Al Warud 3,750 4,200
Al Ghadeer 3,800 4,500 Al Malaz 2,700 3,000
Al Rabeeh 2,800 2,900 Jarir 2,500 2,700
Al Nada 2,500 3,000 Al Rahmaniyah 3,500 4,500
Al Nafal 2,700 3,000 Al Mohammadiyah 3,700 4,700
Al Wadi 2,500 2,800 Al Maghrazat 2,600 3,000
Al Yasmeen 2,000 3,000
As Sahafah 2,200 2,900
Hittin 4,500 5,000
Al Aqeeq 2,800 3,800
Al Malqa 2,500 3,500
About Us
About Century21®
Century21® is one of the most recognized name in Real Estate Market with approximately 6,700 independently owned and operated franchised
brokerage offices in 75 countries and territories worldwide and represented by more than 102,000 real estate experts.
Contacts Us:
For Assistance in the following Departments: Valuation / Marketing & Development / Research and Advisory.
Al Waleed Hamd Binzouman Bandar Bin Sultan Al Shnif Asif Iqbal Abdulaziz Al-Mohaiza
General Manager Head of Valuation Head of Research and Advisory Head of Marketing
alwaleed@century21Saudi.com balshnif@century21saudi.com asif@century21saudi.com abdulaziz@century21saudi.com
Mobile: 0555 194 919 Mobile: 0505 399 900 Mobile: 0555 177 076 Mobile: 0505 983 926
Disclaimer
In order to prepare this report, Century21 Saudi collected the data from outside sources as well as by survey of Century21 Saudi research team. Century21 Saudi is confident about the
reliability of published data. However, we do not guarantee the completeness and accuracy of the data.
This report is prepared for information only. The assessments and values articulated in this report are subject to change without any notice. Therefore, no investment decision should be
made based on the information presented in this report. Century21 Saudi will not be responsible for any loss that may be sustained as a result of the information enclosed in this report.