Professional Documents
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In mamoriam
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1986) In mamoriam, The Military Balance, 86:1, 1-1, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459968
Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained in the
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This volume is dedicated to the memory of
To cite this article: (1986) How to use the military balance, The Military Balance, 86:1, 7-11, DOI:
10.1080/04597228608459969
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in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no
representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the
Content. Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and
are not the views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and
should be independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for
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7
HOW TO USE
THE MILITARY BALANCE
The Military Balance is updated each year to provide a timely, quantitative assessment of
the military forces and defence expenditures of over 140 countries as at 1 July 1986.
General Arrangement
There are three main Sections in The Military Balance. The first groups the national entries
geographically: the USA, the USSR, Europe (the Warsaw Pact, NATO, Other European
Countries), the Middle East and North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia and Australasia
(China, Other Asian and Pacific Countries), and Latin America. Each geographical group of
entries is preceded by a short Introduction describing the international pacts, agreements
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and military aid, significant changes in defence posture and economic positions of the
countries concerned. Inclusion of a particular political entity, or of a military organization
connected to it, in no way implies legal recognition for, or Institute support for, such enti-
ties. The Table of Contents, which precedes this Preface, gives the pages on which this
detail can be found.
The second Section contains summary tables providing comparative information on
nuclear delivery systems world-wide and in the European region, world-wide defence expen-
ditures, military manpower levels, and major identified arms procurement contracts. In a
third, analytical, Section there is an essay and table analysing the conventional European
theatre balance. For estimating the strategic nuclear balance according to the 'rules' estab-
lished by the Strategic Arms Limitation Treaties, there is an essay and summary table.
Economic studies include: an examination of changes in total government revenue and
expenditure, and of the incidence of selected expenditure components, for eight countries
over the period 1973—83; a graphic presentation of trends in the defence expenditure of the
NATO countries, Japan and Sweden from 1972 to 1985; and a discussion of global defence
spending and arms trade patterns. Maps, in polar stereographic projection, inserted with
this edition give a new perspective on the strategic offensive and defensive force deploy-
ments of the two super-powers.
National Entries
Information on each country is given in a format as standard as the available information
permits: economic data (GDP, growth, debt, inflation, defence budget and rate of exchange);
population; military manpower, terms of service, Reserve strengths; the individual armed
services; and para-military forces. In this edition footnotes will be found at the end of the
national entry, rather than at the foot of the page.
the USSR's GNP are based on commercial banking estimates; East European GDP/GNP
figures at factor cost are derived from GNP. China's GDP/GNP is given by the IMF.
Defence Expenditure: We quote the latest defence expenditure or budget data available as at
1 July 1986. Where possible, capital equipment budgets/expenditures have been added to
recurrent/administrative cost. Figures may vary from previous years, often because of
changes made by the governments themselves; the latest figures should be the more accu-
rate. There is often wide variation between sources, but our experience has shown that data
from the central banks is generally the most comprehensive and reliable. Some countries
include internal and border security force expenditures in their defence budgets.
The NATO countries use a 'standard definition' of defence expenditure which includes all
spending on regular military forces, military aid (including equipment and training) to other
nations, military pensions, host government expenses for NATO tenant forces, NATO infra-
structure and civilian staff costs; but excludes spending on para-military forces (e.g.,
gendarmerie). Estimates showing the variation of opinion on Soviet expenditure are cited in
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the introduction to that country's entry. Foreign military aid figures are based on published
data or, in some cases, estimates.
Currency Conversion Rates: National currency figures have been converted into US dollars
to permit comparisons. The rate is averaged for the national financial year (for 1986—7
figures, the mid-1986 rate is used). Wherever possible, exchange rates are taken from IFS,
though they may not be applicable to commercial transactions. High inflation rates in some
countries and dollar distortions affect conversions. For the USSR no adequate conversion
ratio of roubles to dollars is available. For those East European countries which are not
members of the IMF, and Hungary and Romania (which are), the conversion rates used are
those described in T.P. Alton, 'Economic Growth and Resource Allocation in Eastern Eur-
ope', Reorientation and Commercial Relations of the Economies of Eastern Europe, Joint
Economic Committee, 93rd Congress, 2nd Session (Washington DG: USGPO, 1974).
Population: Total populations and the proportions of the population of military age are
taken from World Population Projections 1984 (Washington DC: World Bank, 1984) and cal-
culated trends.
Military Data
Military Formation Strengths: The table below gives the approximate average establishment
strength of the major military formations in selected countries. The manning and structure
of formations may vary.
" These tank strengths are for Soviet divisions in Eastern Europe; other Soviet divisions have fewer.
* Strength of a regiment, which is the equivalent formation in the Soviet and Chinese command structures. (The
term 'regiment' may also describe a battalion-size unit, particularly in Western European countries. The term
'group', often used in Latin American countries, is imprecise and may apply to a reinforced battalion or under-
strength. brigade with AFV and/or artillery.)
c
Infantry division.
d
The war establishment strength is 16,300 men.
9
Divisional strengths cover organic units only. Support and service units outside the div-
isional structure may be included separately where known. The forces of Soviet allies and
other Soviet-supported countries have organizations similar to those of the Soviet Union.
NATO formations and squadrons not included in the table above have similar totals to those
of Germany unless otherwise mentioned in the text. Iran, Pakistan, the Philippines,
Thailand, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan have tended to follow American military
organization, while Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia and Singapore broadly use British
patterns.
Manpower. The 'Regular' total comprises all personnel on full-time duty, including con-
scripts, long-term assignments from the Reserves and para-military elements when so
required by the national authority. The terms of service are given for conscripts where
known. The 'Reserve' component entry includes all personnel, whether in formed units or
not, who are committed to serve as ancillary or mobilization forces. The mobilization
strength would normally be the total of the full-time and reserve strengths. However, some
national reserve service obligations last almost a lifetime; in these cases our strength esti-
mates of militarily effective reservists are based on the terms of service and the number of
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conscripts completing their training each year, multiplied by five (on the assumption that,
after five years, medical and combat training standards decline sharply).
Organization: Expressed in broad terms, data is intended to give the composition of the
major Army formations down to and including battalion level; minor sub-units are shown
only in the forces of smaller nations. Naval and Air operational groupings are given where
known. We do not generally show logistics units, ancillary Naval vessels (such as tugs), or
Air Force ground support equipment.
Para-military: Many countries maintain organizations whose training and equipment goes
beyond those required for civil police duties. Their constitution and control suggests that
they may be usable in support, or in lieu, of regular military forces. Precise definitions as to
what are or are not para-military forces are not always possible, and some degree of latitude
must be allowed. When internal opposition forces appear to pose a significant threat to
internal security of a state, they are shown separately after national para-military forces.
Equipment: Holdings (by type and number) are shown by function. These represent the oper-
ational inventories. Where known, equipment in store is listed separately. Occasionally it
is possible to list equipment in the Reserves; elsewhere the total shown is held to include
items assigned to the Reserves.
For naval vessels, national designation is shown, even though hull size, primary arma-
ment and mission could argue a different category in another fleet. Where appropriate,
major missile systems are listed.
Air Force squadron aircraft strengths vary; attempts have been made to separate total
holdings from reported establishment strengths. When major equipment obtained from one
foreign source may be confused with that from others, we list the country of origin.
On Order: Major equipment being purchased either domestically or abroad is listed with the
Services concerned. (Navy, Naval Air and Marine orders are generally combined.) These
orders may be outstanding over several years; deliveries, particularly of larger equipment,
are often slow. Where deliveries are proceeding, the word 'some' warns that the 'total'
inventory and items remaining 'on order' may vary. Arms purchases reported during the
year ending 1 July 1986 are recorded in Table 3 in Section 2, with details of contract dates,
prices and delivery dates added where known. Expendable stores, such as anti-tank missiles,
may be shown in total when on order, but are not shown in inventory because of the
difficulty in assessing rates of usage. We do not include small arms or their ammunition. In
general, we do not include air defence artillery or automatic weapons with calibres of less
than 14.5mm.
Estimates: Forecasts are made only where clear evidence indicates that changes in
organization or inventory are taking place or are about to.
10
Equipment listings are intended to show what is operational: a total generally well below
total inventory figures. In general, 'some' means 'up to' and 'about' means 'the total could
be slightly higher than given'. For some categories a total figure is given. Where possible,
quantities of individual items are also given. A standard system of punctuation has been
developed for such entries to aid comprehension of detail. Equipment inventories are
difficult to assess, and we welcome informed amendments.
Abbreviations and Definitions
Space and tight production schedules force us to use abbreviations. These are taken from
NATO sources and are commonly used in military circles. An alphabetical list of them can
be found on p. 12. Punctuation is not used, and the abbreviation may have both singular or
plural meanings, e.g., 'elm' = 'element' or 'elements'. Mathematical symbols are used in
three instances: '(-)' means part of a unit is detached; '(+)' means the unit is reinforced; ' ( '
means that a vessel is under 100 tons displacement. Abbreviations of national names (e.g.,
'Ch' = 'Chinese'), are used to denote equipment sources. With regard to financial abbrevi-
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ations, the $ sign refers to US dollars except where otherwise stated; the term billion (bn)
equals 1,000 million (m). 'Combat aircraft' are those normally equipped and configured to
deliver ordnance (bomber (bbr), fighter-bomber, fighter-ground-attack (FGA), strike
(nuclear), interceptor, fighter (ftr), counter-insurgency (COIN) and armed trainer), reconnais-
sance (recce) aircraft (including maritime), armed helicopters (including ASW) and those
aircraft in operational conversion units (OCU) assumed to be available at short notice for
operations. Some helicopters used for troop transport in battle areas may be armed, and
some flexibility in identification must be accepted.
WARNING
The Military Balance is an assessment of the numerical strengths of the world's armed
forces. It is in no way an assessment of their capabilities. It does not evaluate the quality of
units or equipment, nor the impact of geography, doctrine, military technology, deploy-
ment, training, logistic support, morale, leadership, tactical or strategic initiative, terrain,
weather, political will or support from alliance partners.
Nor is the Institute in any position to evaluate and compare directly the performance of
items of equipment. Those who wish to do so can use the data provided to construct their
own balances of forces on a bilateral or regional basis. We have done this only for conven-
tional forces in Europe (see pp. 226—7).
We would warn that such balances are extremely sensitive to assumptions about what
forces to include from what countries, whether such forces can be assembled and brought to
bear in a possible conflict, and their combat effectiveness. These balances at best can only be
an approximation. They cannot predict the results of engagements.
The Military Balance provides the actual numbers of nuclear and conventional forces and
weapons as we know them, not the number that would be assumed for verification purposes
in arms-control agreements.
What all this points to is that great care must be taken in assembling the data presented
here for specific purposes. We provide an up-to-date and detailed catalogue of military
forces in as many dimensions as possible and in a way which we hope will be generally use-
ful. We make no judgments here about quality or effectiveness or the political purposes
underlying the aggregation of power.
The data presented each year in The Military Balance reflect judgments based on infor-
mation available to the Director and staff of the Institute at the time the book is compiled.
Information in subsequent volumes may differ from previous editions for a variety of
reasons, principally as a result of substantive changes in national forces (e.g. procurement of
new equipment, loss or retirement of old). In other cases entries may differ from year to
year as a result of our re-assessment of the evidence supporting past entries. Inevitably, over
the course of time we come to believe that some information presented in earlier versions is
erroneous, or insufficiently supported by reliable evidence. Hence, it is not always possible
11
to construct valid time series comparisons on the basis of succeeding editions of The Mili-
tary Balance.
Errata
In an effort to provide the maximum accuracy, we are, beginning with this edition, provid-
ing a list of emendations to last year's entries, including corrections of typographical or edi-
torial errors that materially affect the substance of the matter presented. These items (listed
on p. 238) do not reflect changes as a result of substantive developments over the past year;
rather, they are corrections of errors and revisions of estimates which we now believe to
have been wrong.
In addition, we wish to call to our readers' attention certain inconsistencies in last year's
edition between material presented in Table 1 (Nuclear Capable Delivery Vehicles World-
wide, pp. G
158—65) and the matter in the two tables appended to the essay 'Estimating the
Soviet—US Strategic Balance' (pp. 180—81). In several cases figures for the number of war-
heads associated with specific delivery systems or the yields of those warheads differ
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between the various tables, and in some instances there is a discrepancy between figures
given in the tables and those in the accompanying footnotes. We regret any confusion this
has created and have endeavoured to clarify these inconsistencies in this year's presentation
of Table 1. Given the difficulties associated with determining reliably the mix of warhead
yields and loadings (which in any case vary depending on operational requirements) we
have not included a table on equivalent megatonnage in this year's edition, although we
have retained the table comparing estimated strategic nuclear warheads.
Conclusion
The Institute owes no allegiance whatever to any government, group of governments, or any
political or any other organization. Our assessments are our own, based on the material
available to us from a wide variety of sources. The co-operation of nearly all governments
has been sought and, in many cases, received. Not all countries have been equally
co-operative, and some of the figures have necessarily been estimated. We take pains to
ensure that these estimates are as professional and free from bias as possible. The Institute
owes a considerable debt to a number of its own members and consultants who have helped
in compiling and checking material. The Director and the staff of the Institute assume full
responsibility for the facts and judgments contained in this study. We would welcome com-
ments and suggestions on the data presented in The Military Balance, since we seek to
make it as comprehensive and accurate as possible.
Readers may use items of information from The Military Balance as required, without
reference to the Institute, on condition that the Institute is cited as the source in any pub-
lished work. However, reproduction of all major portions of the work must be approved in
writing by the Institute prior to publication.
September 1986
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On: 03 November 2014, At: 22:15
Publisher: Routledge
Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House,
37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK
Abbreviations
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1986) Abbreviations, The Military Balance, 86:1, 12-12, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459970
Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained in the
publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations
or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any
opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and are not the
views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and should be
independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses,
actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever
caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content.
This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic
reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing, systematic supply, or distribution in any
form to anyone is expressly forbidden. Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://
www.tandfonline.com/page/terms-and-conditions
12
ABBREVIATIONS
< under 100 tons FRG Federal Republic of MRV multiple re-entry vehicle(s'
part of unit is detached Germany msl missile
+ unit reinforced ftr fighter (aircraft) MT megaton (1 million tons
e estimated FY fiscal year TNT equivalent)
AA anti-aircraft GDP gross domestic product n.a. not available
AAM air-to-air missiles) GDR German Democratic Neth Netherlands
AB airborne Republic NMP net material product
ABM anti-ballistic missile(s) GLCM ground-launched cruise nuc nuclear
ac aircraft missile(s)
AD air defence GNP gross national product ocu operational conversion
adj. adjusted GP general-purpose unit(s)
AEW airborne early warning gP group off. official
AFV armoured fighting vehicle(s) GW guided weapon(s) org organized/organization
ALCM air-launched cruise missile(s)
amph amphibious he] helicopter(s) para parachute
APC armoured personnel carrier(s) how howitzers) pdr pounder
Arg Argentinian hy heavy Pol Polish
armd armoured Port Portuguese
arty artillery ICBM intercontinental ballistic
Downloaded by [UQ Library] at 22:15 03 November 2014
To cite this article: (1986) The United States, The Military Balance, 86:1, 15-30, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459971
Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained
in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no
representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the
Content. Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and
are not the views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and
should be independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for
any losses, actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever
or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of
the Content.
This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic
reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing, systematic supply, or distribution in any
form to anyone is expressly forbidden. Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://
www.tandfonline.com/page/terms-and-conditions
Downloaded by [RMIT University] at 03:03 14 March 2015
PRINCIPAL PACTS
COUNTRIES AND
1
15
versy over the weight of the missile, basing options and the number of warheads to be
deployed may lead to delays.
The US SLBM program has become bound up in the domestic debate over continued
observance of the unratified SALT II Treaty. During the past year the US increased from 6 to
8 the number of operational OA/o-class SSBN (one of which is still on sea trials). This deploy-
ment meant an increase of 48 Trident I (C-4) SLBM. Concurrently, a total of 48 Poseidon
SLBM have been withdrawn, keeping the US within the SALT II ceilings (both for missiles with
MIRV-equipped warheads and for combined MIRV-equipped warheads and heavy bombers
with ALCM). The next year's budget includes funds to begin procurement of the first 21 Tri-
dent II (D-5) SLBM, scheduled to begin deployment at the end of the decade.
Delivery of the B-1B strategic bomber began a year ago; by 1 July 1986 19 of these aircraft
had been fielded. The first squadron will be fully operational in September 1986, while the
second squadron will begin receiving its aircraft in January 1987. Funding has now been auth-
orized for all the 100 planned B-lBs; the US Air Force has no plans at present to purchase
additional bombers of this type, looking instead to deployment of the ATB (or 'Stealth')
bomber in the 1990s.
The United States continues the process of converting B-52 strategic bombers to ALCM car-
riers, with the 131st B-52 to be converted scheduled to be ready by the end of 1986. If no
compensating actions are taken, completion of this conversion will cause the US to exceed the
SALT II limits for missiles with MIRV-equipped warheads and bombers with ALCM.
The programme to improve detection and early warning systems continues. The upgrading of
the BMEWS (Ballistic Missile Early Warning System) radar in Thule, Greenland is near com-
pletion, while work continues at Fylingdales, England (scheduled for completion around 1990).
Construction of the fourth Pave Paws SLBM detection radar in Texas is expected to be com-
pleted in the coming year and work continues on converting the DEW (Distant Early Warning)
line to the updated 'North Warning System', including new unmanned automatic systems.
The catastrophic Challenger shuttle accident and the launch failures of two unmanned
boosters has meant delay in launching a number of planned military and reconnaissance satel-
lite systems, though the extent of the impact on US programmes and capabilities is difficult
to state with certainty.
The US Administration continues to place a high priority on strategic defence research,
funding for which virtually doubled in the last year (from $1.4 billion to $2.7 billion).
The United States has completed the replacement of Pershing IA SSM with the Pershing II,
with the deployment of 108 missiles in West Germany and a training battalion and 42
launchers available in the United States as possible replacement or reinforcement systems.
GLCM deployment in Western Europe continues, with 128 currently operational.
16 UNITED STATES
Conventional Forces
The US Army continues to examine its infantry divisional organization and equipment, and
some further reorganization is reported to be under consideration for the air assault and
airborne divisions. Equipment modernization programmes continue. The proportion of M-l
Abrams in the main battle tank inventory has risen from 21% to 33% at the expense of M-48
and M-60. There has been a 62% increase in the numbers of Bradley M-2/M-3 MICV in the
year. The artillery presentation format has been changed in this edition in order to make
identification of calibres and totals easier.
The Navy shows an increase of six Los Angeles-class attack submarines. In the surface fleet
there are two more Ticonderoga cruisers and five more Perry-class guided-missile frigates. The
deployment of SLCM continues, both in the Los Angeles-class SSN (five of which carry 12
Tomahawk each) and in the battleships (all three of which carry 32). The missile will also be
fitted in the Ticonderoga-class cruisers. The Near Term Prepostioning Force of supply vessels
to support the US Marine Corps deployments abroad has been replaced by three squadrons of
Maritime Pre-positioning Ships. The third squadron, which is now being loaded, will be
deployed to the Philippines later in 1986. There has been a significant increase in naval com-
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bat aviation strength with the delivery of some 180 F/A-18. The US Marine Corps continues
to upgrade its vehicle inventory, with deliveries of the LVT and LAV. Its 105mm light howit-
zers have been withdrawn, replaced by the 155mm. To augment the existing Marine Corps
AV-8A/C Harriers, 30 AV-8B V/STOL attack aircraft have entered service.
The US Air Force's most notable accession has been over 400 F-16, bringing the total of
that type to 977. This increase has also benefited the Air National Guard (ANG) and the Air
Force Reserve, both of which have received some of these aircraft. Procurement of the F-15
continues. The F-4 AD squadron in Iceland has been re-equipped with 18 of the type. The
F-106 in Regular and Air National Guard interceptor duties remains, although replacement of
F-106 with F-15 and F-16 has begun. The F-15 is being improved and the later 'dual role' E
models (air superiority and interdiction) are planned to replace some of the earlier versions in
the active forces.
The Air Force also continues a multi-faceted airlift improvement programme, with com-
pletion of the re-winging of the C-5A inventory, initial deployment of the C-5B and con-
tinued full-scale engineering development of the C-17 intra- and inter-theatre cargo aircraft
all expected in the next year.
The US Coast Guard — whose expenditures fall outside the Department of Defense budget,
but which, nevertheless, is legally a part of the Armed Forces — has made significant increases
to its medium-endurance cutter and patrol craft inventories. Both programmes continue.
There has also been some augmentation and improvement of its helicopter inventory. All
these developments enhance the Coast Guard's capability to conduct anti-drug patrols, a task
in which it is assisted by elements of the other Services.
US Defence Budget
After seven years of rising federal deficits reaching $212 billion in 1985, Congress and the
Administration agreed to an automatic budget cutting plan to balance the US budget by 1991.
The Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 (better known as the
Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Plan) modified the congressional budgeting process and mandated
radical domestic and defence spending reductions over the next five years. Senate conserva-
tives and the Administration saw the law as a means to guarantee domestic spending cuts.
House liberals agreed to the proposal as a means to slash the defence budget and pressure the
Reagan Administration to raise taxes. Both liberals and conservatives viewed automatic
across-the-board spending cuts as the worst-case scenario, should they fail to agree to an
adequate revenue and spending plan to reduce the deficit.
Most importantly, the Gramm-Rudman Act set specific deficit targets for the next five fiscal
years; FY 1986 $172 bn; FY 1987 $144 bn; FY 1988 $108 bn; FY 1989 $72 bn; FY 1990 $36
bn; FY 1991 no deficit. If Congress and the President could not agree to a spending plan
within $10 bn of the maximum deficit amounts, the Act required automatic spending cuts
UNITED STATES 17
(known as sequestration) involving equal percentage reductions in all budget accounts, except
for those exempted: social security, Medicaid, food stamps and interest on the federal debt,
which are more than a third of the domestic budget. The Supreme Court eventually ruled the
enforcement provisions unconstitutional, because they involved a congressional officer (the
Comptroller General) rather than the Executive branch in making the spending cuts. The
Congress is considering ways to meet the Supreme Court's technical objection, and broad
public support exists for meeting the deficit targets.
The new congressional budgeting process contained in the Gramm-Rudman legislation
requires that the President submit his budget in early January. Congress subsequently must
pass one budget resolution (rather than two) which contains specific spending instructions to
the authorization and appropriations committees — known as reconciliation — and requires
these committees to report bills that meet the spending limits set in the budget resolution.
Previously the authorization and appropriations committees could ignore the recommended
spending amounts in congressional budget resolutions. The President cannot veto the budget
resolution but he may, as in the past, veto individual appropriation and authorization bills.
The new budget process is being used in 1986 for the spending decisions for FY 1987.
The Reagan Administration's defence build-up is over. Table I outlines how the final FY 1986
national defence spending total came about. Six months after Reagan's initial request, Con-
gress and the Administration agreed to hold FY 1986 defence spending to 0% real growth,
followed by 3% real growth in FY 1987 and FY 1988. Mid-term re-estimates of defence spend-
ing and the adoption of Gramm-Rudman further reduced Reagan's original request. The first
round of automatic spending cuts, totalling $11.7 bn in federal outlays, were triggered on 1
March 1986. Defence spending for FY 1986 was cut by $5.4 bn in outlays and $14.1 bn in
budget authority. For FY 1986 only, the Gramm-Rudman Act allows the Administration to
shelter some military programmes from automatic reductions. The President chose to protect
most military personnel accounts, SDI funding, and a few multi-year procurement contracts.
The rest of the defence budget was uniformly cut by 4.9%. Despite these measures the current
FY 1986 deficit may be close to $230 bn — leaving some doubt about future abilities to man-
age the deficit. Nearly all observers believe that it will be impossible for the government to
continue increasing defence expenditure in the current political and economic environment.
Major spending categories for the past decade are found in Table II. For FY 1987 the Reagan
Administration requested $320.3 bn in BA and $282.2 bn in outlays, representing 7.9% and
2.0% real increases respectively. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the request
underestimates national defence outlays by almost $15 bn.
The result of the current budget-cutting mood in Washington is that defence spending is
being cut for fiscal rather than strategic reasons. Pentagon planners have already had to cut
more than $250 bn from the $1.8 trillion FY 1987—91 defence plan. In the next few
1977 110.150 97.241 108.057 95.298 1.936 3.075 18.038 409.203 44.945
1978 117.227 104.495 114.620 102.348 2.070 3.926 18.978 458.729 48.630
1979 126.467 116.342 123.659 113.672 2.541 3.655 19.931 503.464 27.694
1980 143.859 133.995 140.711 130.976 2.878 4.723 21.185 590.920 59.563
1981 180.001 157.513 175.977 153.838 3.398 5.095 22.991 678.209 57.932
1982 216.547 185.309 211.594 180.741 4.309 5.416 23.958 745.706 110.609
1983 245.043 209.903 238.682 204.430 5.171 6.613 24.846 808.327 195.407
1984 265.160 227.413 258.152 220.840 6.120 7.924 25.614 851.781 175.358
1985 294.656 252.748 286.802 245.371 7.098 9.391 26.352 946.323 212.266
1986 286.115 265.847 278.412 258.425 7.152 9.695 26.619 979.928 202.789
1987 (Administration Request)
320.340 282.238 311.600 274.265 7.708 10.939 26.420 994.002 143.630
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" Data is from Historical Tables, Budget of the United States Government Fiscal Year 1987 (Washington DC USGPO, 1986), House-
Senate Budget Resolution No. 153 and House Report 99—249 (1986). All categories include off-budget spending.
* The National Defense budget function includes DoD Military Activities, Department of energy Atomic Energy Defense Activi-
ties, and smaller support agencies such as the Federal Management Agency, the Selective Service System and the General Services
Administration Stockpile of Strategic Materials. International Security Assistance and the Veterans Administrations are not part of
the National Defense function. Spending by NASA (1985: BA $7,573 bn, outlays $7,251 bn; 1986: BA $7,306 bn, outlays $7,341 bn)
and the Coast Guard (1985: BA $2,564 bn, outlays $2,539 bn; 1986: BA $2,199 bn, outlays $2,453 bn) have military significance but
are not included in the table.
Billion current $
(Billion constant 1980 $)
months Congress and the Reagan Administration will need to make several strategic as well
as budget-cutting decisions in order to accommodate a decreasing amount of defence
resources. The cuts are such that merely deferring or cancelling a few controversial procure-
ment programmes, such as the C-17 transport aircraft, the Advanced Medium-Range Air-
to-Air Missile (AMRAAM) or the Bradley MICV will be enough. According to analyses by the
Congressional Budget Office, radical cuts in the readiness accounts, including ammunition,
flying time and manning levels, would save only $11—17 bn in outlays and BA for FY 1987.
Cutting procurement levels to below replacement rates while preserving readiness accounts
would offer long-term savings but fewer dividends in the short run (in the region of $10—15
bn in outlays and $54—62 bn in BA for FY 1987). Even if the Pentagon cancelled the major
nuclear programmes and SDI, only about $7.0 bn in outlays and $18.0 bn in BA would be
saved.
Since his first inauguration, President Reagan's defence build-up has been pared down from
the amounts initially planned. In his first comprehensive five-year defence plan submitted in
1982, the Administration projected FY 1986 national defence spending as $375.2 bn in BA
and $324.4 bn in outlays, whereas it actually totalled much less. As shown in Table III, spend-
ing in all major categories has increased, but the biggest increase is the doubling of the pro-
curement account. Both nuclear and conventional force modernization received early spend-
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ing priorities which raised procurement expenditure to a higher plateau than envisaged by
the previous Administration. All four services have benefited from the huge growth in the
investment budget. In fact, the relative budget shares of the Navy, Army and Marine Corps
have remained relatively static, although the Air Force share has grown recently as new
strategic systems are funded.
Historically, American defence spending has shown a series of surges and falls, while Soviet
spending seems to follow a slow steady upward path. President Reagan has improved the
United States military posture with new equipment. The question is whether the United
States will be able to maintain defence expenditure at a high level or whether it will follow the
pattern of the last forty years.
(vii) Alternate Space Defense Center. 1 (MAR)) systems in Alaska, 13 more in Canada
FPS-85 and 1 AN/FSS-7 station in Florida. to be supplemented by 39 auxiliary unmanned
Linked to Spacetrack and NAVSPASUR (see short-range radars (110—150 km), 4 in Green-
below) through NORAD HQ; also to identify land, 1 in Scotland; 2 in Iceland (being
and track fractional-orbit bombardment sys- upgraded) roughly along the 70°N parallel
tems (FOBS). (To be retired when Pave Paws from Point Lay, Alaska to Greenland, then to
completed.) Iceland and Scotland,
(b) USN Space Surveillance System (NAVSPASUR). (c) Tactical Air Command (TAC):
9 field stations in south-east US (3 transmitting, (i) US-Cdn Joint Surveillance System (JSS). 7
6 receiving sites and civilian agencies). Region Operations Control Centers (ROCC):
(c) Perimeter Acquisition Radar Attack Charac- 5 in US (1 in Alaska), 2 in Canada. 5 E-3A
terization System (PARCS). 1 north-facing AWACS ac assigned (1 each per US ROCC).
phased-array system (130° arc, 2,800-km range) (ii) Radars. 60 in US (14 in Alaska), 24 in
at Grand Forks ND. Identifies and tracks indi- Canada: for co-ordination/control with Fed-
vidual re-entry vehicles, incl SLBM, in Central eral Aviation Authority facilities of mili-
US, Arctic Ocean areas. (Was Army Safeguard tary and civil air traffic, surveillance and
system support; to be enhanced.) tracking of objects in high- and medium-
(d) Miscellanous radars. US Army: Kwajalein Atoll altitude trans-polar flight,
(Pacific). USAF: Ascension Island (Atlantic), (iii) Aircraft: 292 (AD).
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(Org still developing: planned to comprise 32 (i) Army National Guard: 450,500 (22,500
Regular, 2 National Guard attack hel bns, women); 3,285 units; capable after mobiliz-
plus tac, tpt bns.) ation of manning 10 divs (2 armd, 2 mech,5
Equipment: hy, 1 It inf); 18 indep bdes (4 'Roundout' with
MBT: 14,296: 1,478 M-48A5, 668 M-60, 7,352 Regular Army divs) (3 armd, 6 mech, 9 inf (3
M-60A3, 4,798 M-l Abrams. It)); 4 armd cav regts (2 to be hy bdes); 1 inf gp
AFV: some 23,772. (Arctic recce, 5 scout/mech bns); 20 fd arty
MICV. some 3,492 M-2/-3 Bradley. bde HQ; 2 Special Forces gps (6 bns). Indep
APC: some 20,280, incl 3,490 M-577, 2,150 bns: 5 tk, 2 mech, 1 mountain inf, 50 arty, 4
M-901 with TOW, 12,690 M-l 13 (some ATK (TOW), 9 AD (1 Roland, 2 Chapparal
with mor, TOW). SAM, 6 M-42 40mm SP AA arty), 62 engr, 23
Arty: how: 5,450: 105mm: (?l,100): (?300) sigs, 141 spt. 760 minor units to fill regular
M-101, (?800) M-102; 155mm: 3,300: (?200) formations/trg units. 105 air units, 150 sec-
M-l 14, 900 M-198 towed, 2,200 M-109; tions; 2,580 ac.
203mm: 1,046 M-l 10A1/A2 SP. (ii) Army Reserve: 285,600 (46,500 women);
MRL: 227mm: 337 MLRS. 3,410 units; 12 trg divs, 3 trg bdes (1 cav, 1 fd
mor: 7,400: 81mm: 3,200; 107mm: 4,200. arty, 1 military police). Indep combat bdes: 1
SSM: 294: 150 Pershing II, 144 Lance launchers. mech, 2 inf (1 'Roundout'); 67 indep bns, incl
ATK: RCU 1,000 90mm and 106mm. 1 tk, 2 inf, 15 arty, 53 engr. 2 Special Forces
ATGW: some 600 Hellfire, 6,000 TOW, 10,000 gps (7 bns:); 3,225 coys and dets incl 130
Dragon launchers. indep air units and sections with 566 ac.
AD: guns: 220 M-l67 Vulcan towed; 20mm:
380 M-l 63.
SAM: Redeye, FIM-92A Stinger, 400 M-54 and NAVY: 570,973 (48,000 women): 4 Fleets: 97
M-48 SP Chaparral, 31 Roland SP, Nike attack subs, 222 principal surface combatants.
Hercules, Improved HAWK, 54 Patriot fire A further 9 SSN, 24 major surface combat
units, 8 Rapier. ships are in active reserve and storage.
Amph: combat spt craft: 268.
Avn: ac: some 526 incl 98 Grumman OV-1C/D, Subs, attack: 97 (incl 10 on refit):
85 nuclear (SSN) with SUBROC ASW:
9 Beech RU-21, 4 Short-330, 19 C-7 (DHC-4), 35 SSN-688 Los Angeles (all with 4 Har-
114 Beech C-12D, 37 Cessna U-3, 50 Beech poon, 5 with 12 Tomahawk SSM).
U-8, 10 UV-18A (DHC-6), 129 U-21A; 2 35 SSN-637 Sturgeon (24 with 4 Harpoon, 1
Cessna T-41, 54 Beech T-42.
with 8 Tomahawk).
hel: some 8,970 incl some 900 Bell AH-1G/Q, 13 SSN-594 Permit (7 with 4 Harpoon).
990 AH-IS, some 68 AH-64A Apache, 3,600 1 SSN-685 Lipscomb.
Bell UH-1 (being replaced), 760 Sikorsky 1 SSN-671 Narwhal.
UH-60A (40 to be EH-60A ECM on conver- 12 (8 SSN, 4 diesel (SS)) without SUBROC:
sion), 392 Boeing CH-47A/B/C, 61 -D, 63 5 SSN-585 Skipjack.
Sikorsky CH-54 Tarhe, 369 Hughes OH-6A, 3 SSN-578 Skate.
1,800 Bell OH-58A/D. 3 SS-580 Barbel.
UNITED STATES 23
Mise: 6 spt sqns with SH-3, 4 with Vertol 2 carrier wings: 17 sqns:
UH-46, 1 with CH-53E. 6 attack (5 with 60 Vought A-7E; 1 with 12
Trg: 2 sqns with Bell TH-57A/B/C. McDonnell-Douglas F/A-18).
Equipment 4 ftr (2 with Grumman F-14; 2 with 24
combat: some 1,746 ac; some 286 hel. McDonnell-Douglas F-4S).
Aircraft: 1 It photo recce with RF-8G.
F-14A Tomcat: 300 (210 ftr, 30 recce, 60 OCU). 2 AEW with 12 Grumman E-2C.
F/A-18 Hornet 196 (120 FGA (11 with Navy 2 ECM with Grumman EA-6A.
Reserve), 54 OCU, 22 F/A-18B trg). 2 tanker with Douglas KA-3B.
F-5A Freedom F/gMer/T-38 Talon: 16. 2 MR wings: 13 sqns with 117 Lockheed P-3A/B.
F-21A Kffr: 12 ('Aggressor' trg). 1 tac spt wing: 13 sqns:
A-4/TA-4F/J Skyhawk: 210 (18 OCU/trg). 2 composite with McDonnell-Douglas TA-4J,
A-6 Intruder: 230: -E: 120 (FGA, OCU); EA-6B A-4E, -F.
Prowler: 58 (EWng); KA-6D: 52 (tanker). 11 spt with McDonnell-Douglas C-9B ÇDC-9).
A-7E Corsair. 262 (FGA); TA-7C (OCU). 1 hel wing: 11 sqns:
E-2C Hawkeye: 64: 52 (AEW); -B/C: 12 (OCU). 5 ASW (2 with 12 Sikorsky SH-3D, 3 with
EA-3 Skywarrior: 21 (ELINT). Kaman SH-2F).
P-3 Orion: 375: -B/-C/-CIII: 322 (MR); 40 (OCU); 2 It attack with 16 Bell AH-1J.
EP-3:13 (ELINT). (30 to convert to CP-3A tpt.) 3 It ASW forming with SH-60.
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A-6 Intruder. 86. -E 67 (60 FGA, 7 trg); EA-6A/B 17 with McDonnell-Douglas F-4.
Prowler. 19 (ECM (15 Regular)). 10 with General Dynamics F-l 11.
OV-10A/D Bronco: 58 (forward air control (36 14withFairchildA-10.
Regular), 4 trg). 5 Wild Weasel (I trg) with F-4.
KC-130F/Ï: 54 (tanker (36 Regular), 6 trg). Recce: 8 sqns with RF-4C.
Helicopters: EWng: 1 Airborne Warning and Control wing;
AH-U/T/W Sea Cobra: 104 (92 attack (72 Reg- 7 sqns:
ular), 12 trg). 4 AWACS (1 trg) with Boeing E-3.
UH-1E/N (Bell 204, 212): 102 (tpt (72 Regular), 3 EWng with Lockheed EC-130, Boeing
8 trg). EC-135,EF-111.
CH-46E: 224 (assault (180 Regular)). Forward air control: 9 tac air control sqns:
CH-53-A/D: 132 (assault (96 Regular), 18 trg); -E: 8 with Rockwell OV-10/Cessna O-2.
58 (assault (48 Regular)). 1 with Sikorsky CH-3 hel.
Missiles: Special Ops: 1 air div: 1 wing 5 sqns:
SAM: 3 bns with Improved HAWK; 3 btys with 3 with Lockheed MC-130.
Stinger. 1 with AC-130.
AAM: Sparrow, Sidewinder. 1 with Sikorsky CH3/HH-53/UH-1 hel.
ASM: Maverick. Idet with Bell UH-1 H hel.
2 Reserve gps.
(On order (authorized and funded): 240 LVT- OCU: 18: 1 with F-l 11; 1 with F-16; 7 with F-4;
7A1, some 290 LAV-25 Piranha APQ M-109 1 with Northrop F-5; 2 with F-15; 2 with
SP 155mm how, 180 Mk-19 40mm grenade Convair F-106; 3 with A-10; 1 with RF-4.
launchers; SMAW 83mm RL; TOW-2 ATGW; Trg: 4 aggressor sqns with F-5E/T-38.
9,359 Stinger SAM. 30 trg sqns with F-16, Lockheed T-33, Cessna
71 F/A-18, 6 EA-6B, 210 AV-8B ftr, 16 A-6 E T-37, Northrop T-38, Rockwell T-39,
attack, 2 KC-130T tanker ac, some 22 AH-1T, Cessna T-41, Boeing T-43, UV-18 (DHC-6),
45 CH-53E, 118 MV-22 Osprey hel; 2,375 Schweizer 2-37, Lockheed C-5, Beech C-12,
AGM-65E Maverick, 512 Sidearm ASM.) C-130, Lockheed C-141 ac and Sikorsky
UH-60, HH-3, HH-53, Bell U/TH-1 hel.
DEPLOYMENT See consolidated entry below. Tpt: 31 sqns:
RESERVES: 43,000 (1,446 women). 17 strategic: 4 with C-5; 13 with C-141.
Equipment listed with Regular units. 14 tac airlift with C-130.
1 Marine div: Units with KC-10, C-135, Boeing C-137,
3 inf, 1 arty regts; 22 combat and spt bns. Lockheed C-140, Beech C-6, C-12,
1 air wing: 100 combat ac, 8 combat hel. Gulfstream C-20, Gates C-21, C-23 Sherpa,
Ftn 3 sqns with McDonnell-Douglas F-4S. Rockwell CT-39.
FGA: 5 sqns with McDonnell-Douglas A-4E/M. SAR: 8 sqns (inc SAC msl spt) with C-130 ac,
EWng: 1 sqn with Grumman EA-6A. Sikorsky HH-3, Sikorsky HH-53, Bell UH-1,
Forward air control: 1 sqn with Rockwell OV-10. Sikorsky UH-60 hel.
Tanken 2 tkr/tpt sqns with KC-130 Hercules. Medical: 3 medical evacuation sqns with
Spt 14 units. McDonnell-Douglas C-9 (DC-9).
UNITED STATES 27
Weather recce: 3 sqns with WC-130, (Boeing 727): 5 (tpt). C-23A {Sherpa): 18 (tpt).
WC-135. C-123K (Air Force Reserve). T-33A: 153 (trg).
Trials/weapons trg units with F-4, F-5, F-15, T-37B: 608 (trg). CT-39 {Sabreliner): 14 (tpt).
F-16, T-38, C-141 ac, UH-1 hei. T-39: 4 (trg). T-38: 812 (trg). T-41A/C: 100
Equipment: (trg). T-43A: 18 (trg). Boeing 737A: 15 (trg).
Strategic: some 345 combat ac. UV-18A {Twin Otter): 2 (trg). Schweizer 2-37:
Aircraft 8 (trg).
B-52 Stratofortress: 241. -G: 151 (90 with ALCM, Helicopters:
61 with Harpoon); -H: 90 strike (30 with HH-3: 53 (SAR, trg). CH-3: 28 (forward air con-
ALCM). A number will be out of service trol, sperial).
undergoing mod. HH-53: 44: -B: 8 (SAR). -C: 27 (SAR, trg). -H Pave
B-1B: 19 (strike). Low. 9 (special).
FB-111A: 60 (55 strike, trg; 5 reserve). UH-1:105. -N (Bell 212): 9 (special). -H (Bell 205):
SR-71A/B Blackbird: 9 (recce). 96 (86 SAR, 10 trg).
U-2CT/R: 7 (recce). UH-60A: 12 (SAR).
TR-1: 14. -A: 10 (recce); -B: 4 (trg).
Missiles:
E-4 (Boeing 747): 4. -A: 1; -B: 3; (comd/control).
AAM: Sidewinder, Sparrow.
C-135 (Boeing 707): 650: RC-135: 16 (comd/
ASM: perhaps 1,170 AGM-69A SRAM, 1,380
control); EC-135A/C/G/L 21 (comd/control);
AGM-86B ALCM. Maverick, Standard ARM,
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(b) Western Pacific (41,400), Seventh Fleet. 1 tactical msl wing, 16 GLCM.
Bases: Japan (Yokosuka; HQ) 7,400. Philip- (b) Britain: 27,500; 290 combat ac, 32 GLCM. 1
pines (Subie Bay) 5,300; Guam, Midway Air Force HQ:
4,900 incl Marine det; Australia some 600. 3 tac ftr ('AFM5) wings; 14 sqns (7 with 150
Some 15 SSN and SS: 2 carriers (1 hei), 23 sur- F-111E/F, 1 with 12 EF-111 Raven, 6 with
face combatants, 6 amph (1 MAU embarked), 108 A-10).
8 spt ships; 1 MPS (4 ships) deploying 1986. 1 tac recce wing; 3 sqns (1 with 18 RF-4C, 1
(c) Indian Ocean. Dets from Seventh/Second with 19 F-5E, 1 with 2 TR-1A (SAC)).
Fleets 11,000. 1 tac tpt wing with 16 C-130 (MAC); 29
Base. Diego Garcia (1,300). KC-135,4EG135H(SAC).
1 carrier battle gp (6 surface combatants). 1 SAR sqn with 5 HC-130, 5 HH-53.
5 MPS (eqpt for one MAB). 1 tactical missile wing, 96 GLCM.
(d) Middle East Force (Persian Gulf/Bahrain): 1 2 Air Base Gps.
comd ship, 4 destroyers/ frigates.
(c) Germany 41,100: 328 combat ac. 1 Air Force
MARINES: HQ: 2 Air Divs.
(i) CONUS: 2 Marine Amphibious Forces (MAF), 4 tac ftr wings: 11 sqns (3 with 72 F-16A/B, 4
(1 East, 1 West coast) each with 1 div, 1 air wing, with 96 F-4E (2 to get F-16), 1 with 24 F4C-,
1 sptgp.// 3with72F-15C/D).
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(ii) Hawaii: 1 amph bde (MAB), service spt gp, ac gp. 1 tac recce wing, 1 sqn with 18 RF-4C.
(iii) Abroad: 42,500. 1 electronic combat, 2 combat spt, 1 tac air
(a) Caribbean: Cuba (Guantanamo Bay) 435; 1 control wings and 1 gp of 3 sqns (2 with 42
reinforced marine coy. OV-10A ac, 1 with 7 CH-53C hel).
(b) Europe: 1,300. 1 tpt wing (MAC) 4 sqns (incl 18 C-23A Sherpa,
(c) Middle East (afloat: Mediterranean (6th Fleet): 16C-130E).
1,900; 1 MAU//). 1 special operations sqn (MAC) with 4 MC-130R
(d) Pacific 2 Air Base Gps.
(i) Japan/Okinawa: 38,150;
(d) Netherlands 2,000:
1 MAF (1 div (-), 1 air wing, 1 log spt gp).
1 tac ftr sqn with 24 F-15C/D.
(ii) Philippines (7th Fleet): 660;
(e) Spain 5,300: 1 Air Force HQ:
1 MAU deployed intermittently.//
1 tac wing of 3 sqns with 72 F-16A/B.
(e) Indian Ocean: 660; 1 MAU deployed
intermittently. 1 ftr trg wing (no ac assigned).
1 Air Base Gp.
AIR FORCE
1 SAR det (MAC) with 3 UH-1N hel.
(i) CONUS: (1 TAC fighter wing (F-4E) in US on call as
(a) Tactical Air Command (TAQ incl AD ac) reinforcements.)
(104,412): 2 Air Forces; 12 air divs; 28 wings (0 Italy 5,800: 1 tac, 1 air base gps, 1 tac msl wing
(15 combat): 36 combat sqns (30 ftr, 3 tac recce
(16 GLCM).
(converting to ftr/recce), 3 tac air control); 6 tac
trgsqns. (g) Greece 2,700: 2 air base gps.
(h) Turkey 3,800: HQ, 1 tac, 1 air base gps.
(b) Alaskan Air Command (10,830): 1 ftr wing
(AD: 1 sqnwithF-15, 1 withT-33), 1 composite (i) Other areas: 1,700. Iceland (TAC, 1,300):
wing (1 sqn with A-10, 1 with O-2A), 1 control 1 AD sqn with 18 F-15,4 T-33,1—3 E-3A AWACS.
(warning) gp, 13 radars (being modernized), 2 1 SAR det (MAC) with 3 HH-3.
combat spt gps, 1 strategic recce wing; 1 air base (iii) Pacifier. Pacific Air Forces (PACAF): 37,000:
gp, 2 sqns. Hawaii; 2 Air Force HQ: 3 air divs; 5 tac ftr wings
(c) Military Airlift Command (MAC) (78,055): 3 and 2 indep ftr sqns; 1 tac control gp; 2 air base
Air Forces; 3 airlift divs; 27 wings (4 tac, 8 wings and 1 indep sqn.
strategic, 1 military airlift spt, 3 air base, 1 SAR, (a) Hawaii: 1 air div, 1 air base, 1 weather wing
1 SAR/weather recce, 1 medical, 1 special ops, 6 (attached from MAC), 1 AWACS sqn, 1 tac tpt sqa
weather, 1 trg); 19 gps (2 tac, 3 strategic, 3 mili- Army National Guard AD direction centre.
tary airlift, 1 spt, 9 air base, 1 airlift/trg). Ac ANG: 1 AD sqn with F-4 (8 AAM).
deployed as required, world-wide. (b) Japan 16,200: 1 Air Force HQ: 1 div:
(d) Spt Elm Comas (171,500): Comms, Log, Sys- 2 wings (3 sqns) with 72 F-15C/D, 2 F-16, 18
tems, Trg, Electronic Security. RF-4C, T-39A ac, UH-1E/F heL
(ii) Europe 92,700: US Air Force, Europe (USAFE>, 3 1 sqn (TAC) with 3 E-3A AWACS ac.
Air Forces, 2 Air Divs, 9 tac ftr, 2 tac recce, 3 tac msl 1 tac tpt wing with 16 C-l 30 ac.
wings; airlift spt Some 734 combat ac, 128 GLCM 1 strategic wing with KC-135 tankers.
(a) Belgium 1,500; 1 SAR sqn (MAC) with 4 HC-130 ac, 5 HH-53 heL
30 UNITED STATES
Forces Abroad: 525,600, ind 64,400 afloat in some sixteen States ind California, Indiana,
(i) By Area. New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oregon,
Europe 354,000 (27,200 afloat). Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia and Washing-
Pacific/Far East 143,800 (33,000 afloat). ton, and in Puerto Rico. 3 of the remaining 34
Caribbean/Latin America: 19,300 (ind Bermuda States report varying degrees of interest and sup-
1,600); Cuba (Guantânamo Bay) 2,500; Hon- port Intended to provide personnel for Home
duras garrison 120; Puerto Rico 3,600; Guard, internal security and disaster relief assist-
Panama 9,300 (900 afloat). ance in support of or replacement for Army
Middle East/N. Africa 7,000 (3,000 afloat): Sinai National Guard or Civil police forces.
(MFO) 1,100; Egypt 1,300; Saudi Arabia 390
(USAF: 4 E-3A, 3 KC-135, 1 KC-10, spt staff);
* Manpower ind in Army, Navy, Air Force totals,
Diego Garcia 1,300..
t 1 National Guard or Reserve bde is incorporated in each
Other areas 1,500 (300 afloat),
of 1 armd, 2 mech and 2 inf divs.
(ii) By Service:
t 1 armd, 3 mech divs, 1 armd cav regt have hy eqpt stock-
ARMY: (257,500). piled in FRG. Storage facilities for 2 more divs being built
NAVY: (92,000) (56,500 afloat). § Ind those stockpiled for the Strategic Reserve forma-
MARINES: (38,200X7,900 afloat). tions. The armd and mech bdes are from the divs in the
AIR FORCE: (135,100).
US earmarked to reinforce 7th Army.
// Marine Amphibious Units (MAU) are light combat
forces, comprising 1,900 marines, 490 Underwater Demo-
PARA-MILITARY: lition (UDT) and Sea-Air-Land teams (SEALS) and 100
Coast Guard (by law a branch of the Armed Forces; in Naval spt personnel, capable of establishing and defending
peacetime under the Department of Transportation): a bridgehead for a brief period unsupported. Based on a
Budget 1985: BA $2.564 bn, outlay $2.539 bit marine inf bn with specialist and log spt elms, MAU hy eqpt
1986: BA $2.199 bn, outlay $2.453 bn ind 5 tks, 8 155mm how, 12 LVCP-7, composite air sqn
Strength: 38,837 (2,374 women). (ind hel), 4 CH-53 hy, 12 CH-46 med and assault 4 AH-IT
243 cutters (ind 15 high-endurance (2,600— 3,000 attack and 2 UH-IN utility hel. 6 AV-8 VSTOL attack ac
tons), 41 med-endurance (1,000+ tons; 8 more could spt This force is lifted in 3—5 amph ships.
ordered)), 5 ocean icebreakers, 8 icebreaking tugs Only 1 MAU in Mediterranean and 1 in Pacific are regu-
(1 more ordered), 93 patrol craft (11 more larly constituted.
ordered), 3 surface effects ships, 28 ocean buoy A Marine Amphibious Bde is 3—5 inf, 1 arty bns, tk coy,
tenders, 93 other vessels; some 2,000 small craft; spt tps ind air, 16,950 personnel.
560 shore installations; 68 ac (41 HU-25A A Marine Amphibious Force varies in size from less
(Dassault Falcon-Gardian), 25 HC-130H than 1 div to more than 2; with an aircraft wing or wings.
(Lockheed Hercules), 1 VC-4A (Gulfstream I), 1 A divisional force would total some 55,000 men, 156 com-
VC-11A (Gulfstream II)); 126 hel (22 HH-65A, 37 bat ac, 24 attack hel, 70 tks, 208 APC, 120 how to 203mm.
HH-3F Pelican, 67 HH-52A (Sikorsky S-62; to be Marine divs, air wings and spt forces when deployed are
replaced by 96 HH-65A (AS-365G Dolphin 2)). called Marine Air-Ground Task Forces (MAGTF).
This article was downloaded by: [Massachusetts Institute of Technology]
On: 26 November 2014, At: 15:18
Publisher: Routledge
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To cite this article: (1986) The Soviet Union, The Military Balance, 86:1, 31-46, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459972
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31
The Soviet Union
Strategic Forces
After the apparent pause noted in The Military Balance 1985—1986, reports on the Soviet
Strategic Forces show major developments in all major weapon categories. Though the
number of ICBM launchers remains at 1,398, 72 of the earliest version of the SS-11 have
been replaced by the SS-25, which is being deployed in units of 9 launchers in former SS-7
ICBM sites. The single warhead of the SS-11 had an estimated yield of 950 KT; the SS-25
also has one warhead but with an estimated 550-KT yield. The loss of some 28.8 MT in yield
is more than compensated for by the increased accuracy of the SS-25: reported as 200
metres, compared with 1,400 metres for the SS-11 mod 1. The SS-25 uses solid fuel, giving
it a shorter launch time, and is road mobile. A second new ICBM, the SS-X-24 is undergoing
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the SA-11 SAM — Gadfly — is noted. The SA-14 is now beginning to replace the SA-7, and
the SA-X-12, an apparent replacement for the SA-4, may come into service soon.
Notwithstanding a number of additional items of information, we still have been unable
to clarify the organization and structure of the Soviet Air Defence Service. That some air
defence aircraft are deployed within the Air Forces of the Military Districts is an added
complication. Modest increases in the numbers of MiG-29 and MiG-31 interceptors appear
to be the only changes of note. Reports continue to suggest that the elderly SA-1 is still in
service, although replacement by the SA-10 continues. The number of SA-10 SAM has
increased by about 50% over the past year.
Organization of the respective Military District Air Forces has been separated from the
aircraft inventories. Readers will find approximate figures in the Deployment section, but it
is not yet possible to provide an overall summary of the number of regiments by role. The
Military Transport arm has equipment assigned outside its direct control to Strategic and
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range of 2—4% since the mid-1970s. Recent American and British estimates suggest that
total annual defence expenditure grew by 4—5% before 1976, decelerated to a 2% annual
rate in 1976—82 and rose at a rate of 3—5% in 1982—85.
There is widespread disagreement over what programmes should be included in the
definition of Soviet defence expenditure. Many Western observers believe that the USSR
includes the civilian space programme, internal security forces, military construction troops
and civil defence as part of its concept of 'national defence'. But estimates based on that
wider definition (which are not included in the Table below) are not comparable to definitions
of Western defence expenditures and will tend to show higher Soviet defence spending.
Billions of Roubles
USSR" Current 17.43 17.054 17.054 17.045 19.063 19.063
CIA* 1970 - 70-75 - - - -
Britain'. Current - 84-92 - - - 120.1
RosefielaV 1970 70.3 _ _ _ _ _
Billions of Dollars
USSR* Current 23.2 24.4 21.3 - 23.4
CIA' 1983 208 225 23.5
DoD* 1984 245 270 -
JCS* 1984 - 295
0
Official declared budget.
* Joint Economic Committee Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China — 1982 (Wash-
ington DC: USGPO, 1983), p. 79. Post-1981 rouble estimates using the new CIA methodology were
classified and unavailable at the time of going to press.
c
Statement of Defence Estimates 1986 (London: HMSO, Cmnd. 9763—1). Calculated estimate from
statement on p. 62.
d
Steven Rosefielde, False Science, Under-estimating the Soviet Arms Build-up (New Brunswick, NJ:
Transnational, 1982), pp. 186—8.
e
Official declared budget divided by official exchange rate.
'Central Intelligence Agency, Press Release: Soviet Defense Spending, 22 February 1985. Data cal-
culated from released graph. The analysis was co-ordinated with the DoD.
* Department of Defense, FY 1984 DoD Program for Research, Development, and Acquisition
(Washington DC: USGPO, 1983), pp. 1—7. Figures taken from graph.
* Organization of Joint Chiefs of Staff, Military Posture for FY 1986 (Washington DC USGPO, 1985).
Western sovietologists use two basic methodologies to calculate Soviet defence outlays.
Some non-government analysts examine the published budget documents and add military-
related expenditures in non-defence line items. Most analysts — including those of the US
CIA, the US DIA and the British MoD — estimate Soviet procurement, RDT&E, O&M, person-
nel costs, etc. individually in either roubles or dollars and then convert to the other. Roubles
are used to indicate the defence burden on the Soviet economy, and dollars facilitate a com-
parison with American programmes. The methodologies for making these government esti-
mates are rarely made public. Both the CIA and DIA collect raw data and have developed
indirect economic analyses in order to calculate the costs to the USSR of producing material
for defence items in dollars and in roubles.
For procurement, they estimate production runs and then estimate the level of spending
from what it would cost in dollars to produce a similar weapon in the West. For example, the
unit price and production estimates for a T-80 tank are $1.2—1.6 m (1982: 400 units); for a
T-72 tank $1.0—1.3 m (1982: 1,000 units); and for a BMP-2 MICV $0.3-0.45 m (1982: 4,000
units). There are obvious difficulties with this method. Production statistics must be based
34 SOVIET UNION
iet and American systems, the USSR managed to produce more than twice as much as the US
using a much smaller rate of procurement growth.
for greater labour productivity. The new leadership has been quick to make senior-level per-
sonnel changes but has been loth to challenge the long-term interests of the powerful
bureaucracies in its economic programme. As a first step Gorbachev has stepped up the
worker productivity campaign, begun by his predecessors, in an attempt to stimulate the
economy. He replaced a number of economic ministers, including the Chairman of the Coun-
cil of Ministers and the chiefs of the construction, service and machine building sectors.
Many of his new economic managers have been recruited from the defence sector, including
the Ministerial Chairman Ryzhkov.
The above short-term measures are intended to be followed by an ambitious plan to replace
one third of the capital stock by 1990. Over 200 bn roubles in capital investment has been
committed between 1986 and 1990 for 'modernizing and technically re-equipping
production'. Gorbachev has hinted at some organizational changes, none of which is wide-
spread, nor do they challenge major bureaucratic interests.
Gorbachev's first Five Year Plan (1986—90) calls for 3.5% annual growth in National
Income (a measure similar to GNP used by Soviet economists). A 7—8% growth rate in the
machine building sector (focused primarily on the electronics, computer and machine tool
industries) is intended to boost total industrial output by 4.5% each year. Ryzhkov
announced major investment increases for the energy and machine building sectors, and
lesser increases for agriculture and consumer investment. Apparently, the Politburo has not
finalized the difficult allocation choices. Most of the planned increases in fixed investment are
scheduled for 1986. Gorbachev intends to increase investment in civilian machinery and
energy by 30% in 1986. It is unlikely that these rates can be sustained for very long. In the
wake of the Chernobyl disaster, the leadership may be forced to spend even more than
planned on its nuclear energy programme. The collapse of prices for petroleum, which the
USSR produces mostly from relatively low-cost Siberian oil fields, cut foreign earnings used
for investment by $5—7 billion.
In the near term (1986—9) the lack of investment should not restrain defence production,
according to several American and European studies. A study released by the Joint Economic
Committee states, 'in view of the immense sunk costs for plant and installed equipment in the
defence production facilities, and the fact that these cannot be readily converted to civilian
use, the industrial modernization goals are unlikely significantly to impede the completion of
the major deployments of strategic weapons that the Soviets have programmed through the
1980s'. Full-scale production lines are producing the newest generation of Soviet weapons
systems including, T-80 tanks, cruise missiles, Su-27 fighters, the Blackjack bomber, and the
SS-25 ICBM.
The Soviet military appears to support Gorbachev's economic plans, because it will
ultimately benefit from any technological advances. The Deputy Minister for military pro-
curement has complained that the poor performance of the civilian economy is a threat to
military procurement objectives. It appears that investment allocations will only affect
defence at the margins over the next few years. Therefore it seems that the Soviet Union is
likely to be well placed to continue its vigorous military modernization programme up to the
36 SOVIET UNION
end of the decade by means of qualitative change, without major new investment, while sim-
ultaneously expanding and improving the civilian sector.
* For further background see R. Kaufmann, S. Rosefielde, H. Schaeffer, in Joint Economic Committee, Congress of
the USA, Hearings (annual); also previous editions of The Military Balance.
† NMP growth 3.2% in 1984 and 3.0% in 1985.
For further details please refer to: R. E. Foelber, Estimates of Soviet Defence Expenditures: Methodological Issues and
Policy Implications (Washington DC Congressional Research Service, 1985); Joint Economic Committee (CIA and
DIA presentation), The Soviet Economy Under a New Leader (Washington DC: JEC 1986); A. S. Becker, Sitting on Bay-
onets: The Soviet Defense Burden and the Slowdown of Soviet Defense Spending (Santa Monica, CA: RAND 1985), R.
Hutchings, The Soviet Budget (Albany, NY: State University of New York Press, 1983); R. Kaufman 'Causes of the
Slowdown in Soviet Defence', Soviet Economy, vol. I, no. 1; and previous editions of The Military Balance, M.
Gorbachev, Political Report of the CPSU Central Committee to the 27th Party Congress. (Moscow: Novosti Press
Agency, 1986).
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1 Army may be for intercontinental roles, 4 for Ministry of Defence tps (all Services):
Theatre spt. HQ tps.
Bbrs: 1,120. Rear Services (finance, justice, log, mainten-
Long-range: 160: ance, medical, procurement, repair,
140 Tupolev Tu-95 Bear A/B/C/G/H (some supplies, transportation, veterinary).
80 B/C/G have AS-3/-4 ASM, 40 H have up Troops of Civil Defence: (150,000 permanent
to 6 AS-15 (ALCM)). staff, 16,000,000+ on mobilization). Nation-
20 Myasishchev Mya-4 Bison. wide programme down to city/rural/
(Blackjack strategic bomber under industrial level incl some 75 comd posts
development.) within 120 km of Moscow, 1,500 hardened
Medium-range: 510: 140 Tu-22M Backfire B/C deep shelters; accommodation for at least
(AS-4 ASM); 240 Tu-16 Badger G (in regts 175,000 officials, and local urban hardened
each with 2 sqns, 36—48 Tu-16, plus 1 com- shelters for essential work-force and some of
posite sqn: 2—4 Badger H, 1—2 J, 3—6 the general population.
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Tu-16A tankers); 130 Tu-22 Blinder A/B. Divs have 3 categories of combat readiness:
Short-range: some 450 Sukhoi Su-24 Fencer. Category 1, full strength on 24 hours notice,
Recce: 116: 4 Tu-95 Bear E, 15 Tu-16 Badger F, eqpt complete;
15 Tu-22 Blinder C, 40 Mikoyan-Guryevich Category 2, 50—75% strength, complete with
MiG-25 Foxbai B/D, 42 Yakovlev Yak-28 fighting vehicles, full manning planned to
Brewer D. take 3 days, fully operational in 30 days;
Ftrs (base defence): some 300 MiG-23 Flogger Category 3, cadre (some 20% strength), combat
B/G, MiG-21 Fishbed J/K/L/N. eqpt possibly complete, older models, planned
ECM: 160: 100 Tu-16 Badger H/J/K, 60 Yak-28 to be fully manned in some 8—9 weeks.
Brewer E. To man these Cat 2 and 3 divs would require
Tankers: 50: 30 Mya-4 Bison A, 20 Tu-16 Badger. some 2,100,000 men.
ASM: AS-3 Kangaroo, AS-4 Kitchen, AS-5 Kelt, The system may now be changing, with some
AS-6 Kingfish. units in a formation being at full strength,
ALCM:AS-15. others at cadre only. 'Second Generation' divs,
(On order Blackjack, Tu-22M Backfire bbrs, using key personnel from the active divs and
Tu-95 Bear H (ALCM mod), AS-15 ALCM.) older reservists and eqpt, could be mobilized
and retrained in some months. Some 13 of
GROUND FORCES: 1,991,000 (perhaps these are reported to exist.
1,400,000 conscripts). The 30 tk and motor rifle divs and 1 arty div in
5 Major Theatres (TVD), 1 Strategic Reserve the four Groups of Soviet Forces in Eastern
Theatre. Europe (see Deployment below), the 7 AB divs
51 tk divs (Type: 3 tk, 1 motor rifle, 1 arty, 1 SAM and the 10 air assault bdes all are at Cat 1.
AA regts; 1 SSM, 1 MRL bns; spt units). Perhaps 15 of the 65 divs in the West and
142 motor rifle divs (Type: 3 motor rifle, 1 tk, 1 South-West European USSR are in Cat 1 or 2.
arty, 1 SAM regts; 1 SSM, 1 ATK, 1 MRL bns; 60% of the remaining 148 divs, 83 of them in
spt units). the Far Eastern, Central and Southern USSR,
7 AB divs (each 3 para, 1 arty regts; 1 AA bn). are likely to be Category 3. Tk divs in Eastern
Front and Army tps: Europe have up to 328 MBT, motor rifle divs
Some 10 air assault bdes (each 4 inf bns (2 with up to 271; holdings elsewhere may be lower.
BMD); arty, SAM, ATK; spt tps). Equipment:
16 arty divs, Front: (Type: 3—4 bdes (11 bns): 3 MBT: some 53,000: some 19,900 T-54/-55,
bns each 24 152mm guns, 3 each 24 152mm 13,700 T-62, some 9,300 T-64, 8,500 T-72 and
gun/how, 3 each 24 220mm MRL, 1 of 12 1,400 T-80 (most fitted for deep fording).
203mm how and 1 of 12 240mm mor (nuc)). It: 1,200 PT-76.
Arty bdes, Army: (Type: 4 bns: 1 of 24 152mm AFV: some 63,000 active plus 20,000 reserve:
guns, 1 of 24 152mm gun/how, 2 each of 24 recce: 6,300:
152mm SP guns). incl BRDM-2, many with ATGW.
Tk, arty, SSM, ATK, AD (SAM and arty), engr MICV: some 27,500:
bdes; sigs, electronic warfare, hy tk tpt regts; some 25,000 BMP-1/-2/-3 with 30mm gun;
NBC defence, CW bns; spt services. some 2,500 BMD (AB).
Special forces (Spetsnaz): 16 bdes, 3 regts. APC: some 29,000:
Army Avn: regts and sqns assigned to division some 26,000 BTR-50P/-60P/-70/-80/-152
and above; some 20 regts are assigned as (BMP-2 replacing -5O/-6O); 2,900 MT-LB
'attack' with 60+ Mi-8 and Mi-24 armed hel. (withSA-9/-13). .
38 SOVIET UNION
Arty: some 29,000 (some 4,580 SP): 150 Mil Mi-8 Hip E, 1,200 Mi-24 Hind.
guns: 122mm: D-74; 130mm: M-46; 152mm: Mi-28 Havoc reported under develop-
?l,500 M-1976, ?2,100 7M-1979 (2-S5) SP; ment.
180mm: 7180 S-23 towed, Tpt: some 2,150;
gun/how: 152mm: ?2,500 M-1937/M-1955 some 1,400 Mi-8 Hip C, 250 Mi-17 Hip H
(D-20) towed, 3,500+ M-1973 (2-S3) SP. (assault); 470 Mi-6 Hook; 18 Mi-26 Halo
how: 120mm: M-1981 SP; 122mm: M-1938/D- A (hy).
30 towed, M-1974 (2-S1) SP; 203mm: 7200 EWng/ECM: 175 Mi-8 Hip J/K.
M-1975SP. General purpose: some 740:
MRL 6,745: 690 Mi-2 Hoplite, 25 Mi-4 Hound; 725 Mi-8
122mm: M-1964 (BM-21)/M-1972 (RM-70) Hip D/G (comms).
40-tube, M-1975 12-tube, M-1976 36-tube;
140mm: BM-14-16/-17 16/17-tube, RPU- AIR DEFENCE TROOPS (VPVO): 371,000
(70-75% conscripts: 7335,000).
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14 16-tube;
220mm: M-1977 (BM-27) 16-tube; 5 Air Defence District Commands: Air regts and
240mm: BM-24 12-tube. indep sqns; AD regts; 14 specialist schools.
mor: 11,100 120mm, 160mm and (7200) ABM: 100 launchers.
240mm M-1975 SP. ABM-IB Galosh: 32: range 320+ km, war-
SSM (nuclear-capable): some 1,570 launchers heads nuclear, 3 MT. 8 sites in 4 complexes
(units organic to formations), incl some 800 around Moscow.
FROG/SS-21, 635 ScudfSS-23, 130 SS-12 (mod). SH-04 exoatmospheric: 68.
GLCM: SSC-X-4 reported under development. SH-08 supersonic endoatmospheric.
ATK: RU 73mm: RPG-16/-18; 82mm: RPG-7. Aircraft: (Aviation of Air Defence — APVO):
RCL 73mm: SPG-9. Interceptors: 1,300: some 430 Mikoyan-
guns: 7,250: 57mm: ASU-85 SP; 76mm; 85mm: Guryevich MiG-23 Flogger B/G (6 AAM); 300
D-44/SD-44, ASU-85 SP; 100mm: T-12/- MiG-25 Foxbat E (4 AAM); 58 MiG-29 Ful-
12A/M-55 towed. crum (6 AA-10); 100 MiG-31 Foxhound A (4
ATGW: AT-2 Swatter, AT-3 Sagger, AT-4 Spigot, AA-9); 200 Sukhoi Su-15 Flagon E/F (2 AAM);
AT-5 Spandrel, AT-6 Spiral. 90 Yakovlev Yak-28P Firebar (2 AA-5); 90
AD: guns: 21,000: 23mm: ZU-23, ZSU-23-4 SP; Tupolev Tu-28P Fiddler B (4 AA-5).
30mm: (incl ZSU-30-6 trials); 37mm; 57mm: Airborne Warning and Control: 7 Tu-126 Moss;
S-60, ZSU-57-2 SP; 85mm; 100mm: KS-19; 4 Ilyushin 11-76 Mainstay (replacing Moss).
130mm towed.
AAM: AA-2 Atoll, AA-3 Anab, AA-5 Ash, A-6
SAM: 4,300 crew-served field mobile systems; Acrid, AA-7 Apex, AA-8 Aphid, AA-9, AA-10.
(some 440 units):
SA-4 Ganef (twin): 1,400 (Army/Front SAM: strategic role; some 9,300 launchers in
weapon). some 1,200 sites:
SA-6 Gainful (triple): 875 (at div). SA-1 Guild: 2,540 (being replaced by SA-10).
SA-7 Grail (man-portable): perhaps 20,000 SA-2 Guideline. 2,730 (SA-10 may be replacing);
(unit weapon, being replaced by SA-14). SA-3 Goa: 1,250 (2 or 4 launcher rails, over
SA-8 Gecko (2 twin or 2 triple): 745 (at div). 300 sites, low- to med-altitude intercept).
SA-9 Gasten (2 twin): 545 (at regt). SA-5 Gammon: 2,050 launchers (130 com-
SA-11 Gadfly (quad): 80 (at div, being plexes, long-range intercept);
introduced). SA-10: some 735 (quad, some 70 complexes
SA-13 Gopher (2 twin): 755 (replacing SA-9). (20 more building); 40 with a strategic role
SA-14 Gremlin 75,000 (replacing SA-7). near Moscow).
SA-X-12 (to replace SA-4 from 1986). Warning Systems: 7,000, incl satellites and EWng
radar and ground control intercept radars.
(i) Surveillance: Long Track (SA-4/-6), P-50 Satellites:
Bar Lock. 9 with highly elliptical semi-synchronous
(ii) Height-finden Thin Skin. orbits (anti-ICBM/SLBM launch detection
(iii) Missile control: Pat Hand (SA-4), capability).
Straight Flush (SA-6), Land Roll (SA-8). Others incl 9 EWng, 6 ELINT, 2—4 recce, 1
(iv) AA arty fire control: Gun Dish (ZSU-23- launch detection.
4), Fire Can (57mm, 85mm), Whiff, Fire Radars:
Wheel (57mm, 130mm). Over-the-horizon (backscatter): 3:
Avn: some 4,400 hel: 2 near Minsk and Nikolayev (Caucasus),
Armed: 1,350; targeted on the US and polar areas;
SOVIET UNION 39
1 near Nikolayev-na-Amur, tar- ASM: AS-7 terry, AS-10.
geted on China. hel-borne: AT-2 Swatter, AT-6 Spiral.
Long-range early-warning: MILITARY TRANSPORT AVIATION (VTA):
(a) ABM-associated: (44,900); 5 divs, each 3 regts, each 30 ac; some
(1) 6 phased-array systems at Lyaki, indep regts.
Krasnoyarsk (under construction), Sary- Eqpt: 623 ac. 260 Antonov An-12 Cub, 310 Ilyushin
shagan, Pechora, Mishelevka; 1 other Ü-76M/MD Candida (replacing Cub), 50 An-22
(reported but not identified). Cock, 3 An-124 Condor (in production). (11-76
(2) 11 House (/fen)-series; range 6,000 km, med tanker under development.)
6 locations covering approaches from Additional ac (VTA augmentation force): Tpt ac
the west and south-west, north-east and in other Air comds (not in VTA): org in indep
south-east and (partially) south. Linked regts and sqns: 1,250: 265 An-2 Colt, An-24
to intermediate-range Dog House (range Coke, An-26 Curl, 11-14 Crate.
2,800 km) and Cat House and Try Add Civilian Aeroflot fleet: 1,600 med- and long-range
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msl control radar. passenger ac, incl some 200 Cub and Candid.
(3) Flat Twin; Pawn Shop
(ABM-3/SH-04/-08). NAVY: 451,000 (some 75% conscripts 7338,000),
(b) AD-associated: incl Strategic (17,000), Naval Air Force
Tall King, few hundred, range 600 km (68,000), Naval Infantry (18,000), Coastal
(SA-5); P-12 Spoon Rest, 275 km (SA-2). Artillery and Rocket Troops (13,000).
Search, surveillance/target-acquisition: (2,000; Subs: 360 (374 — see other roles, below):
1,300 sites): Cruise missile: 63:
Nuclear (SSGN): 48.
Back Trap; P-15 Flat Face/Squat Eye, 200
km (SA-3); P-35 Bar Lock, P-80 Back Net, 1 r-class test boat with 12 SS-NX-24 SLCM.
320 km (SA-5). 3Ck;lasswith24SS-N-19.
Height Finder: 1 P-class with 10 SS-N-9 Siren.
Cake-series (e.g., Rock Cake), 200 km; Side 16 C-class: 10 C-J with 8 SS-N-7; 6 C-//with
Net, 180 km; Odd Pair, Odd Group. 8 SS-N-9.
Missile control: 27 E-II: some 17 with 8 SS-N-3a; some 10
Yo-Yo (SA-1); Fan Song A to E (SA-2); Low with 8 SS-N-12.
Diesel (SSG): 15:
Blow (SA-3); Square Pair (SA-5); Flap
15 /-class with 4 SS-N-3a.
Lid (SA-10). Attack: 200 (214 if all Y-I and H-2 converting
Civilian air control equipment from SSBN were incl):
Nuclear (SSN): 70: 6 A, 12 N, 1 Akula, 1 M, 1 S,
AIR FORCE: 453,000 (70-75% conscripts: 14 V-I, 7 V-II, 20 V-III, 3 E-I, \Y,AH.
7330,000). Strategic (95,000; p. 36) Military Apart from the older TV and E, most SSN
Transport Aviation (VTA (44,900)). probably carry SS-N-16 and/or SS-N-15
Air Forces of the Soviet Union: 17 MD and nuclear ASW weapons, and some may be
Groups of Forces Air Forces (315,000). intended to carry SS-NX-21 SLCM.)
Combat: some 5,150 ac; Forces' strengths vary, Diesel (ss): 130: 11 AT, 18 r , 45 F(K\o replace),
mostly org in divs of 3 regts of 3 sqns, total 135 5 R, 50 W, 1 Z.
ac; the regts' roles incl AD, interdiction, recce, Other roles: 98:
tac air spt. Div roles may be mixed. Comd conversion: 1 H-II; comms: 3 G-I; trg: 4
FGA: some 2,375: 135 Mikoyan-Guryevich MiG- B; rescue: 2 /; research: 3: 1 U SSN, 1 X, 1 L;
21 Fishbed L, 810 MiG-27 Flogger D/J, 80 1 G-F(SLBM).
Sukhoi Su-7 Fitter A, 900 Su-17 Fitter D/H/K, Reserve: 84: 1 5 F . 4 Z . 6 5 W.
250 Su-24 Fencer (450 more with Strategic Converting to other roles incl SSN: 14: 12 Y-I, 2
Air), 200 Su-25 Frogfoot. H-II ex-SSBN.
Ftrs: 2,000: 370 MiG-21 J/K/L/N, 1,500 MiG-23 A new naval cruise msl, SS-NX-21, is under
Flogger B/G, 130 MiG-25 Foxbat A/E, (Su-27 development.
Flanker entering service). Principal Surface Combatants: 269.
Recce: 540: 170 MiG-25 Foxbat B/D, 50 MiG-21 (See also 'additional in Reserve'. For KGB units
Fishbed H, 130 Yakovlev Yak-28 Brewer D, see Para-Military).
170 Su-n Fitter H/K, 20 Su-24 Fencer D. Carriers: 5:
ECM: ac: 30 Yak-28 Brewer E. 3 Kiev (37,000-ton; 1 more on trials) with 4
Trg: some 1,000 ac; some 200 combat capable twin SS-N-12 Sandbox SSM, 2 twin SA-N-3
(OCU). and 2 twin SA-N-4 SAM (or (in 1) 12 SA-NX-
AAM: AA-2 Atoll, AA-7 Apex, AA-8 Aphid, AA-9. 9), 1 twin SUW-N-1 (FRAS-1) ASW, 13
40 SOVIET UNION
Yakovlev Yak-38 Forger A/B V/STOL ac, 16 FAC(T): 115: 20 Pauk with 1 quad SA-N-5
Kamov Ka-25 Hormone A/Ka-27 Helix A (some KGB); 55 Poti, 10 Shershen, 30
ASW, Hormone B/Helix B target acquisition, 7Hrya hydrofoils.
Hormone C/Helix SAR hei. research: 2: 1 Slepen, 1 Babochka hydrofoil.
2 Moskva (17,000-ton) with 2 twin SA-N-3 Patrol: 118:
SAM, 1 twin SUW-N-1 (FRAS-1) ASW, 18 ships: 7: 3 T-58, 4 T-43;
Hormone A hel. large craft 16 SO-1 (some KGB);
Cruisers: 36: riven 95: 15 Yaz, 80 Shmel.
CGN: 2 Kirov with 20 SS-N-19 SSM, 12 SA-N-6, Radar pickets: 10: 3 T-58, 7 T-43/PGR.
2 twin SA-N-4 SAM, 1 twin SS-N-14 Silex Mine warfare: 371:
ASW or 16 SA-NX-9 SAM, 3 Ka-25 Hormone Minelayers: 3 Alesha.
MCMV: (ocean): 127: 35 Natya-I, -II, 45 Yurka, 41
Bhel.
T-43, 4 mod Polnocny B, 2 Andryusha (Ttrials);
CG/ASW: 26:
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9 motor rifle, 1 AB divs, plus 1 arty div and 1 3 Groups of Soviet Forces, Baltic, Belorussian,
air assault bde. Carpathian MDs;
Mobilization could field 1 Front, 2 all-arms 63 divs (31 tk, 30 motor rifle, 2 AB), plus 6
armies with 2,000 MBT; 2,100 arty, MRL, hy arty divs.
mor; 36 FROG/SS-21, 50 Scud/SS-23, 12 Europe: 3 Gp, 8 Army HQ; 14 tk, 12 motor rifle
SS-12 (mod) SSM; Hel: 20 Mil Mi-24 Hind divs.
attack; 20 Mi-8 Hip C assault; 10 Hip J ECM; East Germany (GSFG): (HQ Zossen-
90 Mi-8 Hip, Mi-6 Hook, Mi-2 Hoplite tpt. Wiinsdorf): (380,000):
Tactical Aviation: Leningrad MD Air Force (HQ 1 Gp, 5 Army HQ; 10 tk, 9 motor rifle plus 1
Leningrad): 240 combat ac. arty divs; 1 air assault, 1 SS-12 (mod), 2
FGA: 3 regts (135 ac) MiG-21 Fishbed, MiG-27 SS-23, 5 arty bdes; 5 attack hel regts: some
Flogger, Su-17 Fitter C/D. 600 Mi-8 Hip C/E; some 420 Mi-24 Hind
Ftr. 45Su-17,MiG-23. D/E attack/assault; 5 Mi-8 Hip ECM, some
Recce: 3 sqns (30 ac) MiG-21/-25; 20 tpts.
Su-17 Fitter H.
Poland (NGF): (HQ Legnica): (40,000);
Tpt: 30 ac.
Navy: Northern Fleet (HQ Severomorsk): 1 Gp, 1 Army HQ; 2 tk divs; 1 Scud/SS-23
Bases: Kola Inlet, Motovskiy Gulf, bn; 1 attack hel regt: 120 Mi-8 Hip C/E,
Gremikha, Polyarny. Mi-24 Hind D/E.
Subs: 117: SSGN/SSG: 32; SSN/SS: 85. (8—10 Czechoslovakia (CGF): (HQ Tabor): (80,000):
normally deployed to Mediterranean.) 1 Gp, 2 Army HQ; 2 tk, 3 motor rifle divs; 1
Principal surface combatants: 73: 1 carrier, 12 air assault bn; 1 SS-12 (mod), 2 Scud/SS-
cruisers, 18 destroyers, 18 frigates, 24 cor- 23, 1 arty bdes; 2 attack hel regts: 100
vettes; dets to Mediterranean sqn. (See Mi-8 Hip D/E, Mi-24 Hind D/E.
South-Western TVD below.) Soviet Union: 17 tk, 18 motor rifle, 2 AB.
Minor surface combatants: 45. Baltic MD: (HQ: Kaliningrad):
MCMV: 65. 3 tk, 6 motor rifle, 2 AB plus 2 arty divs, 1 air
Amph: 14 ships, 9 craft. assault bde: 80 Mi-8 Hip/-24 Hind.
Auxiliaries: 119 principal.
Naval Aviation: combat: 325 ac, 70 hel. Belorussian MD: (HQ Minsk):
Bbrs: 60 Tupolev Tu-16 Badger C, 35 Tu-22 10 tk, 4 motor rifle, plus 1 arty divs, 1 air
Blinder B. assault bde: 200 Mi-8 Hip/-24 Hind.
Ftr/FGA: 20 Yakovlev Yak-38 Forger. Carpathian MD: (HQ Lvov):
ASW: 160: ac: Tu-142 Bear F, Ilyushin 11-38 3 Army HQ, 4 tk, 8 motor rifle, plus 2 arty
May, Beriev Be-12 Mail; divs, 1 air assault bde: 50 Mi-8 Hip E, 10
hel: (afloat): Kamov Ka-25 Hormone, (ashore): Mi-24 Hind, 100 other hel.
Ka-25, Ka-27 Helix, Mil Mi-14 Haze. Mobilization of the divs in the TVD could pro-
Recce/MR/ECM: 85: Tu-16 Badger, Tu-95 duce five Fronts, 13—14 Armies (which
Bear, Tu-22 Blinder. would also command the 31+ non-Soviet
Tankers/tpt: 40 ac incl Tu-16, perhaps 60 hel. Warsaw Pact formations).
Naval Infantry: Equipment: up to 19,500 MBT; 14,000 arty, MRL,
Bde: 3,000: 5 bns. mor larger than 120mm; 265 FROG/SS-21,265
WESTERN TVD (with Atlantic OTVD): (HQ Legnica): Scud/SS-23, 65 SS-12 (mod) SSM; 2,500 SAM);
Strategic Forces (msls and ac under central some 1,220 hel, perhaps 420 armed.
command): Tactical Aviation: some 1,680 combat ac.
SOVIET UNION 43
AD Area: (HQ Moscow). 53 divs (7 tk, 45 motor rifle, 1 AB) plus 4 arty
Ftrs: 240: 6 regts: MiG-25 Foxbat, MiG-31 divs; 2 air assault bdes.
Foxhound; MiG-23 Flogger, Su-15 Flagon. Central Asian MD (HQ Alma Ata):
ABM: Moscow complexes: 2 Galosh; 7 new 1 tk, 6 motor rifle, plus 1 arty divs, 1 air
missile sites reported under construction. assault bde; 145 hel incl 70 Mi-8, Mi-24.
SAM: 135 SA-2/-3/-5, 40 SA-10 complexes Siberian MD (HQ Novosibirsk):
and sites. 6 motor rifle plus 1 arty divs.
Ground Forces: Transbaykal MD (HQ Chita):
3 MDs; 18 divs (3 tk, 14 motor rifle, 1 AB). 2 tk, 8 motor rifle, plus 1 arty divs. 225 hel
Roles would be to protect Moscow and to pro- incl Mi-8 Hip, Mi-24 Hind.
vide first-line reinforcement. All 7 AB divs are Far Eastern MD (HQ Khabarovsk):
centrally controlled, though deployed to TVDs 2 tk, 22 motor rifle, 1 AB, plus 1 arty divs, 1
as shown. air assault bde; some 670 hel.
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Amph: (incl 1 Rogov LPD) 18 ships, 41 Mozambique 300; Nicaragua 50; Peru 160;
craft. Syria 4,000; Vietnam 2,500; N. Yemen 500;
' Auxiliaries: 128 principal. Africa (remainder) 900.
Detachments (average 3 subs, 4 principal, 12
minor surface combatants, 2 amph, 12 spt
ships) are normally deployed in the Indian
PARA-MILITARY: 570,000.
Ocean and South China Sea; facilities also
in Vietnam (Cam Ranh Bay), South KGB (Komitet Gosudarstvennoy Bezopasnosti):
Yemen (Aden, Socotra) and Ethiopia 230,000 (70-75% conscripts: 7167,000): bor-
(Dahlak Is, Asmara). der tps (incl Maritime Border Guards,
Naval Air (Pacific Fleet Air Force): (HQ 23,000), Kremlin Guard; Special Guard;
Sovetskaya Gavan): combat: some ac, some Special Sigs unit (40,000 tps).
105 hel. Equipment: tks, SP guns, AFV, ac and ships (2
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Bbrs: 160: 1 regt Tu-22M Backfire, 4 regts Krivak-III (2 twin SA-N-4 SAM), 10 Grisha-II,
Tu-16 Badger C/G. 1 Purga frigates; some Pauk FAC(T); 105
FGA: 30: (afloat): 2 bns Yak-38 Forger A/B. Stenka FAC(P); 8 Muravey, 4 Pchela hydro-
ASW: 175. ac: 70: Tu-142 Bear, 11-38 May, foils; 30 Zhuk, some SO-1, 10 T-58, 14 T-43
Be-12 Mail. patrol craft; 8 Susanin ice-breakers (6
hel: (afloat): 2 bns Ka-25 Hormone A; (ashore): armed)); 11 Sorum, 40 Okhtensky armed tugs.
1 bn Ka-27 Helix, 2 bns Mi-14 Haze. MVD (Ministerstvo Vrutrennikh Del): 340,000:
MR/EWng/ECM: some 35 ac. internal security tps; some 30 divs with tks and
Utility: 65. AFV. By law part of armed forces of USSR.
Naval Infantry: Div HQ, 2 regts.
DOSAAF (Dobrovalnoe Obshchestovo Sodeistviya
Armii, Aviastii I Flotu) (part-time military,
FORCES ABROAD: air, naval training organization; 5 million are
Afghanistan (Southern GTVD): 118,000 (some instructors/activists);
10,000 MVD, KGB). 330,000+ units: flight training, shooting,
Mongolia (Far Eastern GTVD): 65,000. parachuting and 140 hours of pre-military
Vietnam: (7,000); detachments average 20—25 training for those aged 15 and over in
vessels (incl some 3 subs, 4 principal, 12
minor combat vessels, 2 amph auxiliaries), 8 schools, colleges and workers' centres.
Tu-95 Bear, 16 Tu-16 Badger D/K MR or Young Pioneer (ages 8—15), some trg.
ASW, 1 sqn of MiG-23 Flogger ftr ac, AA,
SAM, electronic monitoring station. * Excl KGB, MVD (570,000), but incl some 1,471,000
Other: Algeria 1,000; Angola 1,500, plus 6 railroad construction labour, comd and general spt
ships, MR ac; Congo 100; Cuba some 8,000 (1 tps not otherwise listed.
bde (2,800), advisers (?3,100) plus some t Figures may fluctuate slightly during conversion.
2,100 ELINT technicians); Ethiopia 1,500 % SS-11, SS-17, SS-19 and perhaps SS-25 have vari-
(plus MCMV, dry-dock, 11-38 ac, naval inf able range capability, enabling them to be used for
det); India 200; Iraq 600; Kampuchea 200; theatre support.
Laos 500; Libya 2,000; Mali 200; § Reload capacity has been reported.
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To cite this article: (1986) The Alliances and Europe, The Military Balance, 86:1, 47-88, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459973
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47
Rostock {Koni-class) frigate. The six elderly Hai patrol craft in the East German Navy have
been retired and partially replaced by three Tarantul which carry four SS-N-8 SSM. Some of
the oldest East German and Polish fast attack craft were being withdrawn. East Germany
has retired three Osa-l missile boats and Poland one. Each has also retired, respectively, one
Libelle and thirteen Pilica torpedo boats.
The East European Air Forces entries have also shown changes. Bulgaria and East Ger-
many now have a full squadron of Mi-14 ASW helicopters each. Bulgaria is reducing its
MiG-17 inventory and has increased its MiG-23 FGA and fighter fleets by almost two
squadrons-worth. Its MiG-21 interceptor inventory has also been enlarged. Czechoslovakia
appears slowly to be phasing out its Su-7; its Su-25 Frogfoot squadron is now believed to be
operational (this is one of two non-Soviet Pact deployments of this type). East Germany has
phased out its MiG-17 FGA, replacing them with Su-20. Total numbers are lower as the new
types are phased in. East Germany also appears to have reduced its numbers of interceptors.
As in most of the Pact fighter/interceptor forces it has been difficult to assess the numbers of
squadrons by type and, while we believe modernization is taking place, its extent is not easy
to determine. Earlier assessments of the Hungarian holdings of MiG-23 interceptors may
have been too high. That Air Force, however, has taken on a new role with the introduction
of a squadron of Su-25 Frogfoot, the second such deployment within the Pact. Poland, also,
is reducing its inventory of MiG-17; the replacement is the Su-22. The exception to this pat-
tern is Romania, which seems to have increased its MiG-17 FGA inventory; it also appears
to have added to its MiG-23 interceptor total.
This modernization, though modest, does represent an enhancement of the overall capa-
bilities of the forces concerned. They still, however, remain significantly less well equipped
than the Soviet Union's Forces in Eastern Europe.
Economic Trends in 1985
In 1984 economic growth in the six Warsaw Pact countries rose by over 5%, a substantial
improvement over the 2% fall in Net Material Product (NMP) in 1981, but the performance
was not repeated in 1985 when NMP grew by only 3.5%. Furthermore, the growth rate of
industrial output declined from 4.8% in 1984 to around 4% in 1985. This modest fall
suggests that the largest sector of these economies did not perform as badly as many West-
ern observers claimed.
The unusually severe winter of 1984/5 affected electricity and coal production and dis-
rupted transport services. Czechoslovakia and the GDR apart, all countries had energy
shortages of varying degrees (Romania was badly affected for the second year running) and
this was reflected in a particularly poor performance by the six in the first quarter of 1985.
48 WARSAW PACT
The shortfall in energy supply and the adverse climatic conditions — in addition to the
effects of cold, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania were also affected by drought — translated
into a decline in manufacturing and a more marked drop in agricultural output, which led
in turn, to a reduction of surplus goods available for export and so to a shortfall of hard cur-
rency for imports. Furthermore, the East European countries met greater competition in
world markets from third-world producers, and the decline in economic activity in Western
economies also had a negative effect on export opportunities. The slower growth in dom-
estic production was paralleled by a smaller increase in imports. It also appears that trade
amongst East European countries grew at a slower pace, which might partly reflect attempts
by the Soviet Union to reduce its balance of trade surplus with its partners.
The factors mentioned above had an inhibiting effect on Warsaw Pact economies in the
short run, but in the medium and long term additional problems affect them. East European
industrial output is characterized by very high energy/raw material/labour inputs per unit of
output, a slow growth in the rate of labour productivity, and diminishing capital pro-
ductivity (as measured by NMP/fixed assets).
The new dawn expected by Western observers as a result of the changed leadership in
Moscow will be a long time coming, though it is considered to be an essential prerequisite
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for economic advancement and improving living standards. The Soviet Union appeared to
be making progress in this direction in the first quarter of 1986, and it is clear that substan-
tial encouragement has been given to its partners to improve the quality and level of their
output, and to achieve a greater degree of integration and specialization in production. Of
paramount importance is the better utilization of capital resources, including the creation of
new plant where necessary (though, more importantly by modernizing existing plant), and
trying to hasten the introduction of new technologies and production methods.
The Chernobyl disaster in late April 1986 will have negative repercussions on Warsaw
Pact economies and will delay the ambitious plans set out in the latest Five Year Pro-
grammes (FYPs). All these countries have been affected by restrictions imposed on their
agricultural exports and are likely to suffer from a decrease in tourist flows — an
increasingly important source of hard currency, particularly for the Balkan countries.
The achievements of the different countries over the FYP 1981—85 were varied. Bulgaria
and Czechoslovakia came close to their NMP targets — and the former's performance might
have been substantially better, had it not been for the bad winter of 1984/5 and poor agri-
cultural returns both in 1983 and 1985. Romania, surprisingly, was the second best
achiever (to the GDR) in NMP terms, but Hungary only attained half the annual NMP growth
rate prescribed in the FYP. Poland's results were in line with the FYP for 1983—85, but (for
all that this represented an improvement over the crisis years of 1978—82) NMP in 1985 was
still below that of 1978. The German Democratic Republic continues to outperform the
other economies, with a steady annual rate of NMP growth, as opposed to its partners'
oscilating records.
The new set of FYPs aims at major increases in output, to be gained by more efficient
resource allocation — energy, raw materials, plant and labour — moving from extensive
towards intensive economic development by means of changes in management and plan-
ning structures.
Leaders have called for investment growth above that of consumption and the rebuilding
and upgrading of existing plant, rather than investment in new productive equipment. In
the short run, most Warsaw Pact countries, including the Soviet Union, could make import-
ant gains by improving existing infrastructure. It has been suggested that this 'moderniz-
ation' process will require increased Western technology imports, but these will be limited
by the availability of convertible currencies. These countries may prefer joint projects with
Western firms, with a view to exporting part of the output to obtain hard currency. They are
likely also to expand intra-Pact co-operation in industrial production aimed at improving
standardization and quality of output.
Improvements in standards of living have been emphasized in the new batch of FYPs and
clearly are a pivotal part of the medium- and long-term economic and social development
WARSAW PACT 49
'Voluntary Organization for Co-operation in ATK: grenade launcher: P-27 112mm. RCU 100
National Defence'. 82mm. ATGW. AT-3 Sagger, AT-4 Spigot, AT-5
Spandrel.
* Defence expenditures estimated, since budgets have AD: guns: 400: 57mm: S-60 towed, 30mm:
not been available for over ten years. M-53/59 SP. SAM: SA-4/-6/-7/-8/-9/-13.
NMP 1984: f 804.10 bn AD: 3 ftr regts (9 interceptor sqns) with 120
growth 1984: 2.5% 1985: -1.0% Mikoyan-Guryevich MiG-21F7PF/bis/U, 10
GDP 1984e: $20.368-77.0 bn MiG-23M.
1985e: $20.800-76.0 bn FGA: 1 sqn with 15 Sukhoi Su-25.
Inflation 1984: 8.5% 1985: 6.9% Recce: 1 sqn with (?12) Su-22.
Debt 1984: $9.1 bn. 1985: $9.7 bn Tpfc 1 regt (2 tpt sqns):
Defbdgt 1985: f 37.228 bn (2.402 bn) 24 Antonov An-24/-26, 2 Ilyushin 11-14.
1986s: f 40.745 bn (2.440 bn) Hel: 1 regt (3 hel sqns): 20 Mil Mi-24, 30 Mi-8,
$l=f 1985: 50.090 (off.) 15.5 (adj.) 25 Kamov Ka-26 (trg/civil duties).
1986: 46.003 (off.) 16.7 (adj.) Trg: incl Aero L-29, MÎG-15UTI.
f = forint AAM: AA-2 Atoll.
AD: 1 div: 3 SAM regts, some 20 sites:
Population: 10,789,000 120 SA-2/-3.
18-30 31-45
Men: 964,000 1,161,000
Women: 921,000 1,157,000 PARA-MILITARY:
Border guards 16,000 (11,000 conscripts);
11 districts.
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: Part-time Worker's Militia 60,000.
Regular: 105,000 (58,000 conscripts). 'Sport Association for National Defence'.
Terms of service. Army (incl Border Guard) 18
months; Air Force 24 months.
Reserves: 135,000 (Army and Navy); Air 8,000
(to age 55).
POLAND
ARMY: 83,000 (50,000 conscripts) incl Danube
Flotilla. NMP 1984e: z 5,950.00 bn
1 tk div (at Cat. 2). 1985e: z 7,140.00 bn
5 motor rifle divs (2 at Cat. 2, 3 at 3). growth 1984: 5.6% 1985: 3.0%
1 arty bde, 1 SSM bde with Scud. GDP 1984e: z $95.0-228.0 bn
1 AA arty, 4 SAM regts (1 indep with SA-4, 3 with 1985e: z $90.0-208.0 bn
SA-6 in divs). Inflation 1984: 14.5% 1985: 15.0%
1 AB bn. Debt 1984: $27.5 bn 1985: $25.8 bn
Equipment: Defbdgt 1985: z 307.00 bn (7.309 bn)
Tks: some 1,200 T-54/-55, 60 T-72. It 100 PT-76. 1986: z 347.80 bn (7.729 bn)
AFV: recce: some 350 BRDM-2, 400 FUG (OT- $1 = z 1985: 158.23 (off.) 42 (adj.)
65). MICV: 350 BMP-1. APC: 1,000 PSZH-IV 1986: 165.17 (off.) 45 (adj.)
and MT-LB. z = zlotys
Arty: gun/how: 152mm: 120: 100 D-20, 20 Population: 37,839,000
M-1973(2-S3)SP. 18-30 31-45
how: 122mm: 315: 225 M-1938, 90 M-1974 SP; Men: 3,986,700 3,894,800
152mm: 50 M-l943. Women: 3,853,500 3,863,600
WARSAW PACT 53
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: Naval Aviation: 1 div (2,300); 44 combat ac.
Regulan 402,000 (251,000 conscripts; incl Attack: 1 regt: 3 sqns: 34 Mikoyan-
Internal Defence troops (see Para-Military)). GuryevichMiG-17.
Terms of service. Army, internal security forces, Recce: 1 sqn with 5 Ilyushin 11-28, 5 MiG-17.
Air Force 2 years; Navy, special services, Hel: 1 regt; 3 sqns: 10 Mil Mi-2, 20 Mi-4,
afloat 3 years, ashore 2 years. 5 Mi-8.
Reserves: 501,000: (On order 1 Kaszug frigate, 2 Tarantul I corvettes.)
Army some 415,000; Navy some 55,000 (to age
Coast Defence: arty: ?6 bns; SSM: ?3 bns.
50); Air some 31,000 (to age 60).
Engrs: reported.
ARMY: 295,000 (215,000 conscripts) (incl 65,500 Equipment: (7M-1937) 152mm gun/how, AT-3
Internal Security troops). Sagger ATGW, SS-C-2B Samlet SSM.
3 Military Districts:
5 armd divs (all at Cat 1). AIR FORCE: 88,000 (30,000 conscripts); 675
8 mech divs (3 at Cat 1, 5 at 3). combat ac, some 12 armed hel.
1 AB div (Cat 1). 6 air divs (incl AD):
1 amph assault div (Cat 1). FGA: 240: 3 divs; 6 regts; 18 sqns:
4 arty bdes, 1 arty regt. 3 with some 40 Sukhoi Su-7/-7U;
3 ATK regts. 3 with some 40 Su-20;
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ter value for money. A number of new joint programmes have been announced. These
include studies into a 12-country Precision Guided Missile project; a 7-country Modular
Stand-Off Weapon; a multi-function information distribution systems; a common NATO
Identification System (11 countries); computer language commonality; Stand-Off Radar;
Surveillance and Target Acquisition; and some 13 others. Standardization makes only slow
progress but agreement has been reached on a common fuel for jet aircraft. Although such
agreements are often confined to minor systems and support functions, joint arrangements
are in hand for a new European fighter aircraft (EFA), ASW helicopters, and Tripartite Mine
Counter-Measures vessels (MCMV) and there are signs of movement toward common Euro-
pean combat and transport helicopter programmes.
NATO anticipates European production in 1986 of 500 tanks, some 400 other Armoured
Fighting Vehicles, 100 artillery and field rocket pieces, 550 Milan and TOW ATGW and 800
SAM for the ground forces. New European naval procurement plans include a carrier, three
submarines, four destroyers, ten mine warfare vessels, one landing ship and six landing
craft. The Tornado and F-16 programmes continue, with a total of 180 planned; procure-
ment of 70 other aircraft include tankers and Airborne Early Warning (AEW).
Following the severe recession of the early 1980s, NATO Europe continues to enjoy mod-
est GDP growth, averaging 2.3% in 1985. The GDPs of Canada, Norway and Turkey grew at
a rate of over 4%, while Great Britain followed with about 3.5%; France (1.0%), Greece
(1.5%), and Belgium (1.7%) did less well, with the others ranging between 2 and 3%. (The
United States also achieved 2.3%, but this represented a significant decline from the 6.6%
growth achieved in 1984.)
Europe's success in fighting inflation is uneven. Inflation in 1985 ranged from 2.2% in
West Germany and the Netherlands to as high as 45% in Turkey. Greece and Portugal had
rates approaching 20%. The other states showed figures of 4.9% (Belgium and Denmark),
5.7% and 5.8% (Norway and France), 6.1% (Britain) and almost 9% (Spain). This relative
success is due in part to monetary and fiscal policies but in part also to the decline in the
prices of oil and other key commodities.
Most western countries face increasing government debt and mounting interest rates,
incurred in part because of the oil price rises in the late 1970s and increasing military out-
lays in the 1980s. In 1979 NATO countries had committed themselves to an annual real
increase of 3% in defence outlays, but only a few states have managed to sustain the com-
mitment. After the recession of 1980—82 (when GDP growth rates were in most cases either
negative or negligible), real defence growth in the face of spiralling social costs became for
many countries politically unsustainable. Despite this, half of NATO's members were able to
increase defence outlays until 1986, when Britain and West Germany and even the US were
56 NATO
forced to reduce their defence outlays — in the case of the latter two countries to zero or
even negative real growth.
On the positive side, the drastic decline in oil prices and the appreciation of the European
currencies against the US dollar has had a stimulating effect on European economies. If oil
prices remain at $10—15 a barrel, many European economies should experience a GDP
increase of 3—4%. Britain, however, may experience a serious short-term current account
deficit, while Norway (dependent on oil sales for 22% of government income) seems likely
to experience serious fiscal problems.
In the face of these trends, it is most unlikely that the major European NATO members
will significantly increase their defence outlays.
1985e: fr 4,772.0 bn ($80,366 bn) 1 mech, 1 mot inf bdes; combat, combat spt,
growth 1984: 1.5% 1985: 1.7% log spt tps. Territorial defence: 11 mot inf
Inflation 1984: 6.3% 1985: 4.9% regts, 4 mot inf bns.
Debt 1984: $31.8 bn 1985: $36.5 bn Equipment:
Defexp 1985: fr 106.665 bn ($1,796 bn); Tks: 334 Leopard 1; It 133 Scorpion.
NATO defn $2.69 bn. AFV: recce: 153 Scimitar. MO: 136 AIFV-B.
Defbdgt 1986: fr 110.0 bn ($2,405 bn); APC: 1,272 incl 305 M-113, 262 Spartan,
NATO defn n.a.
AMX-VCI, M-75 (to Reserves).
$l=fr (1983): 51.132 (1984): 57.784
(1985): 59.378 (1986): 45.745 Arty: how: 155mm: 168: 26 M-109A3, 15 M-109
fr = Belgian francs (being upgraded to A3), 127 M-109A2 SP;
203mm: 11 M-l 10 SP (being upgraded to A2);
Population: 9,902,000 SSM: 5 Lance.
18-30 31-45 ATK: guns: 80 JPK-90mm SP. ATGW: 420 Milan,
Men: 1,041,000 1,024,000 43 Striker AFV with Swingfire.
Women: 1,001,000 981,000 AD: guns: 20mm: 46; 35mm: 54 Gepard SP.
SAM: 39 Improved HAWK.
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: Avn: ac: 12 Islander, hel: 64 Alouette II.
Regular 91,428 (3,600 women, 30,300 conscripts). (On order: 378 AIFV, 220 M-l 13A2 APC.)
Terms of service. 8 or 10 months.*
Reserves: 258,940. Army 180,489 (Medical NAVY: 4,500 (1,140 conscripts).
Service 32,600), to age 45; Navy 9,346; Bases: Kallo, Ostend, Zeebrugge.
Air 36,510. Frigates: 4 E-71 with 4 Exocet MM-38 SSM,
1 octuple Sea Sparrow SAM.
ARMY: 67,400 (ind separate Medical Service; MCMV: 6 US Aggressive, 1 Aster (Flower tripar-
25,400 conscripts). tite) ocean, 6 US Adjutant coastal; 14 Herstal
1 Corps HQ, 2 Div HQ.
inshore; 2 log spt/comd ships.
1 armd bde (2 tk, 2 mech inf, 1 SP arty bns, spt
Patrol craft, river: 2.
units).
Auxiliaries: 6 (+1 survey vessel).
3 mech inf bdes each with 1 tk, 2 mech inf, 1 SP
arty, 1 ATK bns, spt units.
1 para-cdo regt (3 para-cdo bns, armd recce and (On order: 9 Flower (tripartite) MCMV.)
spt units).
2 recce bns. AIR FORCE: 19,528 (3,760 conscripts).
2 tk bns. FGA: 5 sqns: 3 with Dassault Mirage 5BA/BD;
2 mot inf bns (territorial def). 2 getting General Dynamics F-16A/B.
4 arty bns (3 SP). AD: 2 ac sqns with F-16A/B; 4 SAM sqns with
1 SSM bn with Lance. Nike Hercules (modernized); 1 NADGE com-
4 AD bns: 2 SAM with 36 Improved HAWK; mand reporting centre, associated radar.
2 AA each with 27 Gepard. Recce: 1 sqn with Mirage 5BR.
NATO 57
Tpt: 2 sqns with Lockheed C-130H Hercules, TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
Boeing 727QC, BAe/HS-748, Fairchild Merlin Regular: 323,800 incl 16,100 women and some
IIIA, Dassault Mystère-Falcon 20. 9,840 enlisted outside Britain.
Liaison: 1 flt with CM-170 Magister. Terms of service, voluntary.
Trg: 3 sqns: 1 with SIAI-Marchetti SF-260MB; Reserves: 305,030.
2 with Breguet-Dornier AlphaJet. Army: 239,300. Regular 153,000; Territorial
SAR hei: 1 sqn with Westland-Sikorsky Sea King Army (TA) 77,000+ (to be 86,000 by 1990);
Mk 48.
Equipment: 144 combat ac (plus 37 in store). Ulster Defence Regt (UDR) 6,500 (3,700
part-time); Home Service Force some 2,800
Aircraft: (to be 4,700).
Mirage: 72: 5BA/BD: 52 (FGA). 5BR: 20 (recce). Navy: 31,670. Regular 23,340; Volunteer
F-16: 72 (109): -A: 53 (27 FGA, 26 AD), plus 37 5,530 (to be 7,800); Auxiliary Service 2,800
in store. -B: 19 (9 FGA, 10 AD).
C-130: 12 (tpt). (to be 3,000).
Boeing 727: 2 (tpt). HS-748: 3 (tpt). Merlin Marines: 3,460. Regular 2,250; Volunteer 1,210.
IIIA: 5 (tpt). Mystère-Falcon 20: 2 (tpt). CM- Air: 30,600. Regular 29,600; Volunteer 1,000.
170: 21 (liaison). SF-260: 31 (trg). AlphaJet:
31 (trg). STRATEGIC FORCES: (2,300):
SLBM: 4 Resolution SSBN, each with 16 Polaris
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Arty: guns: 260: 105mm: 220: 100 towed, 120 Carriers: 3 Invincible ASW, each 5 Sea Harrier
FV 433 Abbot SP; 5.5-in. (140mm): 4 trg; v/STOL ac, 9 Sea King hel, 1 twin Sea Dart
175mm:36M-107SP. SAM, 20mm Phalanx AD system.
how: 155mm: 173: 72 FH-70 towed, 101 Destroyers: 15 GW:
M-109/A2/A3 SP. 203mm: 16 M-l 10 SP. 2 County with 1 twin Seaslug, 2 quad Seacat SAM,
MRL: 4 MLRS 227mm (trials). 4 Exocet SSM, 1 Westland Lynx HAS-2 hel.
SSM: 12 Lance. 1 Bristol with 1 twin Sea Dart SAM (to get Phal-
mor: 81mm. anx AD system).
ATK: RCL 84mm: Carl Gustav, 120mm. 12 Sheffield (Type-42) with 1 twin Sea Dart,
ATGW: Milan (to get FV 103 Spartan SP), 1 Lynx hel.
Swingftre (incl FV 102 Striker, FV 438 SP). Frigates: 39:
SAM: Blowpipe, Javelin; 120 Rapier (some 48 SP). 7 Broadsword (Type-22) with 4 Exocet SSM,
Avn: ac: .9 DHC-2 Beaver AL-1. 2 sextuple Sea Wolf SAM, 2 Lynx hel; 1 trg.
hel: 40 Westland Scout, 9 SA-315 Alouette IIC, 6 Amazon (Type-21) with 4 Exocet SSM,
159 SA-341 Gazelle AH-1,110 Westland Lynx 1 quad Seacat SAM, 1 Lynx hel.
AH-1 (some with TOW), 4 Agusta A-109. 23 Leander (1 trg) with 1 Wasp/Lynx:
Landing craft: 39: 2 Ardennes, 2 Arromanches log, 2 6 with Ikara ASW, 2 quad Seacat,
90-ton -109, 6 small, 1 munitions; 2 tugs, 32 12 with Exocet SSM and SAM (4 with 2 quad
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other service vessels (Royal Corps of Transport). Seacat, 3 with 3 quad Seacat, 5 with 1 sex-
(On order: some 125 Challenger MBT; some tuple Sea Wolf).
1,048 MCV-80 Warrior MICV; some 320 5 with 1 quad Seacat.
AT-105 Saxon APC; LA fF-80 RL, Milan, TOW 3 Rothesay with 1 quad Seacat, 1 Wasp hel.
ATGW; some 30 SP Rapier, Javelin, 48 Blow- Minor Surface Combatants: 72:
pipe SAM; 5 Gazelle, 10 Lynx AH-5 hel (some MCMV: 43:
with TOW), 3 LCM, 3 patrol craft, 12 combat 10 Hunt, 23 7b» (3 reserves, 7 fishery patrol),
spt craft.) 10 River (reserves); 1 Abdiel spt ship.
Patrol vessels: 29: 1 Endurance, 5 Peacock,
DEPLOYMENT (see also Forces Abroad, below): 7 Island, 2 Castle, 5 Bird (2 trg), 3 Protector,
United Kingdom Land Forces (UKLF): 42,100: 4 Fleet tenders (trg); 2 32-metre.
Reinforcements for 1 Br Corps, Germany: Amph:
1 inf div HQ, 4 inf bdes (2 Regular, 2 TA). LPD: 2: each 4 LCU, 4 LCVP, 4 quad Seacat SAM.
United Kingdom Mobile Force (UKMF): 1 air logistic (LSL) (RFA): 6 (1 leased commercial). See
portable inf bde and log spt gp. also Army.
Allied Command Europe Mobile Force (LAND) Spt (all RFA): fleet replenishment ships: 4;
(AML(L)): 1 inf bn, 1 armd recce, 1 sigs sqns, tankers: 14: 4 large, 5 spt, 5 small fleet;
1 arty bty, 1 log bn; 1 avn fit. repair 2 hel spt, 1 forward repair ships.
Home Defence: 10 inf, 1 AB bdes. Mise: 1 Royal Yacht (hospital ship), 1 sub tender,
HQ Northern Ireland: (some 10,200): 2 inf bde 9 survey vessels, 1 seabed ops vessel.
HQ, up to 10 major units in inf role (6 resi- RMAS (see above): 8 coastal trg craft (1 mooring
dent, 4 temporary inf bns), 1 SAS, 1 engr sqn, and salvage vessel, 1 twin unit tractor tug).
2 sqns, army aviation regt. Incl in above refitting or in reserve are: 1 SSBN, 2
SSN, 4 diesel subs, 1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 5 frigates,
NAVY: 68,300 (incl Air, Marines, 3,500 women 4 MCM, 1 patrol vessel, 1 LPD, 2 survey ships.
and 390 enlisted outside Britain).
FLEET AIR ARM (FAA):
Royal Fleet Auxiliary (RFA): (2,350 civilians)
man major spt vessels. AD/attack ac: 3 sqns with BAe Sea Harrier
Royal Maritime Auxiliary Service (RMAS): (2,880). FRS-1, 1 T-4N.
(Reserves): 6 HQ units, 11 Sea Trg Centres (STC), ASW hel: 7 sqns:
6 with Westland-Sikorsky Sea King HAS-2/-5;
12 Comms Trg Centres (CTC), 1 MCM sqn:
1 with Westland Wasp HAS-1 (in indep fits).
9 MSF, 2 MCMV, 9 MCM, 8 patrol, 72 auxiliary ASW/attack hel: 2 sqns with Westland Lynx
service units.
HAS-2/-3 (in indep fits).
Bases: Devonport, Faslane, Portland, Ports- AEW hel: 1 sqn with Sea King AEW-2.
mouth, Rosyth. Cdo/assault rpt hel: 3 sqns:
Subs (attack): 29: 2 with Sea King HC-4;
SSN: 14 (3 Trafalgar, 6 Swiftsure, 2 Valiant, 1 with Westland-Sikorsky Wessex HU-5.
3 Churchill). Spt/SAR hel: 2 sqns with Wessex HU-5.
SS: 15(13 Oberon, 2 Porpoise (to retire 1987)). Trg: 2 sqns: 1 with BAe Jetstream ac; 1 with
Principal Surface Combatants: 59 (incl 2 LPD): SA-341 Gazelle HT-2 hel, Chipmunk T-10 ac.
NATO 59
Fleet spt: BAe Canberra T-18/-22, BAe Hunter AD: 9 sqns:
T-7/-8, GA-11, 3 Dassault Mystère-Falcon 20. 2 with BAe Lightning F-6/F-3/T-5;
Liaison: BAe/HS-125 (VIP), DH Sea Heron, 7 with McDonnell-Douglas Phantom (7 sqns
DH Sea Devon. Tornado F-2 to be formed).
Equipment: 26 combat ac, 154 tned hel. Recce: 2 sqns with Jaguar GR-1; 1 fit with BAe
Aircraft: Canberra PR-9.
Sea Harrier/Harrier: 26. Sea Harrier FRS-1: 23 MR: 4 sqns with BAe Nimrod MR-1/-IA/-2 (Har-
(15 ftr, 8 trg); T-4N: 2 (trg). Harrier T4:1 (trg). poon ASM, Sidewinder AAM being fitted).
Canberra: 10 (spt). Hunter: 24 (spt). HS-125: 2 AEW: 1 sqn with BAe Shackleton AEW-2.
(VIP tpt). Mystere-Falcon 20: 3 (spt). Tanker: 4 sqns:
Jetstream: 20; T-2: 16 (trg). T-3: 4 (trg). Sea 2 with BAe Victor K-2;
Heron: 4 (liaison). Sea Devon: 2 (liaison). 1 with BAe VC-10 K-2/-3;
Chipmunk: 13 (trg). 1 with Lockheed Tris tar K-l.
Helicopters: Tpt: 5 sqns:
Sea King: 113. HAS-2/-5: 83 (61 ASW, 22 trg). 1 strategic with VC-10 C-l/rrâtar-1-500;
HC-4: 26 (cdo). AEW-2: 4. 4 tac with C-130H/-HC3 Hercules.
Lynx: 75. HAS-2: 55. HAS-3: 20. Liaison: 2 comms sqns with BAe (/HS-125, /HS-
Wasp HAS-1: 32 (22 ASW/survey, 10 trg). 748 Andover, Pembroke), Piper Chieftain.
Wessex: 41. HU-5: 21 cdo, 7 SAR, 3 spt, 10 trg. Queen's Fit: BAe/HS-146-100 Andover.
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Nimrod: 34. 3 (ECM); 3 (ocu); MR-1/-1A/-2: GR-3 FGA, 4 Puma hel), 1 Rapier AD det
28 (MR). (4 fire units) RAF Regt.
Shackleton: 10 (5 AEW, 5 reserve). Brunei: Army: some 900: 1 Gurkha inf bn, 1 hel fit
Victor: 23(16 tanker, 7 OCU). (3 ac).
Tristan 9. 2 (tanker/cargo, to be 6), 7 (strategic Canada: Army: training and liaison unit.
tpt, to be 3). Cyprus: 4,664. Army: 3,253: UNFICYP (741):
VC-10: 20. C-1: 11 (strategic tpt); K-2: 5 1 inf bn less 2 coys, 1 armd recce sqn, 1 hel fit,
(tanker); K-3: 4 (tanker, to be 5). engr and log spt; Garrison: 1 inf bn plus 2 inf
C-130: 45 (40 tac tpt, 5 OCU). coys, 1 armd recce, 1 engr spt sqns, 1 hel fit.
Andover. 12 (5 ECM/target facility/ calibration, RAF: 1,393: 1 hel sqn, dets of Phantom, Light-
3 Queens Ht, 4 comms). HS-125: 25; T-1: 19 ning ac, 1 It armd sqn RAF Regt. Navy/
(trg); CC-1/-2: 6 (comms). Pembroke: 6 Marines: 18.
(comms). BAe-146: 1 (comms). Jet Provost: Egypt (Sinai MFO): 38 technical and admin
147 (2 tac weapons unit, 145 trg). Jetstream: personnel.
11 (trg). Chieftain: 3 (comms). Bulldog: 11 Falkland Islands: some 2,000 (being reduced).
(trg). Chipmunk: 60 (trg). Husky: 1 (trg). Army: 1 inf bn gp, 1 AD bty, 1 engr fd sqn,
Helicopters: 1 sqn army air. Navy: 1 SSN/SS, 2 escorts,
Wessex: 56 (20 tac tpt, 18 SAR, 4 OCU, 14 trg). 3 patrol, spt and auxiliary ships. RAF: 1 Phan-
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Chinook: 32 (27 tac tpt, 5 OCU). tom sqn (9), 6 Hercules K-l, 3 Sea King HAR-3,
Puma: 31 (26 tac tpt, 5 OCU). 6 Chinook hel, 1 sqn RAF regt (Rapier SAM).
Sea King: 14 (SAR). (Details may vary through the year.)
Gazelle: 22 (trg). Whirlwind: 5 (trg). Germany: 69,548. Army (BAOR): 55,977; 1 corps
Missiles: HQ; 3 armd divs incl 8 armed, 1 air mobile
AAM: Sidewinder, Sparrow, Red Top, Fire- (trials) inf bdes; 1 arty bde (11 armd, 2 recce, 12
streak, Sky Flash. arty (1 msl), 2 AD, 7 engr, 3 army air (10 air
ASM: Martel, Harpoon, Sea Eagle. sqns, 2 indep fits) regts; 13 inf bns). Berlin Inf
SAM: 64 Bloodhound. Bde: 3,000; 3 inf bns, one armd sqn. RAF:
(On order, Harrier GR-3/T-4, 62 Harrier II 10,571; 13 ac, 2 hel sqns: 2 Phantom FGR-2,
(AV-8B = GR-5), Tornado (some 30 GR-1, 150 6 Tornado, 1 Jaguar (recce), 2 Harrier, 1 Pem-
F-2), 11 Nimrod AEW-3, HS-125-700, BAe- broke (comms); 1 Puma, 1 Chinook (tpt). RAF
146-100 (VIP), 3 VC-10 K-2/-3, 130 Short/ regt 2 Wing HQ; 4 Rapier SAM, 1 It armd sqns.
Embraer Tucano trg; Sea King HAR hel; AIM- Gibraltar 1,947. Army: 771; 1 inf bn, 1 engr team,
9L Sidewinder, Rapier SAM, Sky Flash AAM, 1 arty surveillance tp. Navy/Marines: 720; 1
750 ALARM, Sea Eagle ASM.) escort, 1 spt ship; Marine dets, 2 twin Exocet
ROYAL AIR FORCE REGIMENT: launchers (coast defence). Base unit. RAF: 456;
5 Wing HQ. periodic Jaguar ac dets.
5 It armd sqns. Hong Kong: 8,945: Army: 8,017 (British 1,917,
9 SAM sqns (Rapier). Gurkha 4,765, Hong Kong Regt 1,335); Gurkha
36 Scorpion It tks; 90 Spartan APC; 72 Rapier SAM. Field Force with 1 Br, 4 Gurkha inf bns, 1 each
Gurkha engr, sigs, tpt regts, 1 hel sqn (-) with 10
(Reserves (Royal Auxiliary Air Force)): 1 air Scout AH-1, spt units, 3 small landing craft, 3
movements sqn; 6 fd def sqns; 1 It AA gun sqn other vessels. Navy: 650 (378 locally enlisted); 5
with 1 2 x 2 35mm Oerlikon and Skyguard. Peacock patrol craft, (12 patrol boats in local
DEPLOYMENT: service), 1 Marine Raiding sqn. RAF: 278; 1
Strike Command: 3 Gps; operational home com- Wessex hel sqn (10 HC-2).
mand responsible for the UK Air Defence India/Nepal: Army: 1,330 locally enlisted personnel.
Region and Near and Far East; overseas com- Indian Ocean: Navy: 1 destroyer/frigate, 1 spt
mand (RAF Germany, Belize and Falklands). ship; Diego Garcia, 1 naval party, 1 Marine det.
Support Command: training, supply and mainten- West Indies (see also Belize): Navy: 2 destroyers/
ance support of other commands. frigates, 2 survey vessels, 2 RFA.
Military Advisers: 662 in 30 countries.
Forces Abroad: 93,164 (1985). Army 70,641,
Navy/Marines 5,321, Air Force: 17,202.
Antarctica: Navy: 1 ice patrol ship.
Ascension Island: RAF: Hercules C-1P tanker CANADA
(C-130Hmod)dets.
Belize: 1,500. Army: some 1,200; 1 inf bn, GDP 1984: $C 436.08 bn ($US 330.48 bn)
1 armd recce tp, 1 fd arty bty, 1 engr sqn, 1 hel 1985e: $C 469.78 bn ($US 340.90 bn)
fit (4 Gazelle AH-1). RAF: 200; 1 fit (4 Harrier growth 1984: 4.2% 1985:2.5%
NATO 61
2 Annapolis each with 1 Sea King hel.
Inflation 1984: 4.4% 1985:4.0% 6 St Laurent each with 1 Sea King hel.
Debt 1984: $US 110.0 bn 4 Improved Restigouche with ASROC.
SUS 120.5 bn A Mackenzie.
Def bdgt 1985/6: $C 9.383 bn (SUS 6.809 bn);
3 Restigouche.
NATOdefn* $US 7.4 bn
1986/7: $C 9.955 bn (SUS 7.187 bn); Replenishment spt ships: 3, each with 3 Sea King heL
NATO defn n.a. Auxiliaries (civilian-manned): 11:
$ 1 =$C (1983/4): 1.2395 (1984/5): 1.3196 3 océanographie research, 1 diving spt, 7 tugs (2
(1985/6): 1.3781 (1986): 1.3851 ocean, 5 coastal().
Trg: 22: 6 coastal, 5 gate, 1 yacht(, 10 small.
Population: 25,454,000 (On order 6 Halifax-dass ASW destroyers (DDH-
18-30 31-45 330); 36 RGM-84D Harpoon ASM; Sea Spar-
Men: 3,112,000 2,834,000 row SAM; radar.)
Women: 3,016,000 2,790,000
DEPLOYMENT AND BASES:
Atlantic: Halifax; 3 subs, 4 DDH-280, 2 Anna-
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: polis, 6 St Laurent, 1 Restigouche (in reserve,
Regulan 83,000 (planned 90,000 by 1989; 7,400 non-operational) frigates, 2 replenishment spt
women).t ships, 2 sqns each with 7 Aurora, 1 sqn with 6
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1 with CC-109 Cosmopolitan (Convair 440), Canadian Rangers: 620; Ranger cadets: some 600
CC-132 (DHC-7R Ranger), CC-144 Chal- (component of Militia).
lenger (Canadair 600/601).
SAR: 5 tpt/SAR sqns with CC-130, CC-129 * Canadian fiscal year is 1 April—31 March. NATO data
(DC-3), CC-115 PHC-5 Buffalo), CC-138 refers to calendar year.
(DHC-6 Twin Otter) acr, CH-113/-113A (BV- t The Canadian Armed Forces were unified in 1968.
107) Labrador, CH-135 heL Of the total strength, some 41,200 are not identified by
Liaison hel: 4 base hel flights with CH-118 (Bell service.
205), CH-135. $ Mobile Command commands land combat forces, and
Training Group: Maritime Command all naval forces. Air Command com-
Trg: 3 flying schools with CT-133, CT-134 mands all air forces, but Maritime Command has oper-
ational control of maritime air forces. Mobile Command
(Beech T-34) Musketeer, CT-114 (CL-41) has operational control of TAG. HQ 4 ATAF in Europe has
Tutor, CC-129 (C-47) acr, CH-139 (Bell 206) operational control of CAG.
hel. 1 demonstration unit with CT-114.
Equipment: 140 combat ac; 32 armed hel.
Aircraft
CF-116 (F-5): 49. -A: 24 (FGA); -D: 25 (FGA).
DENMARK
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how. 324: 105mm: 144 M-101; 155mm: 168: 96 (On order 12 F-16A/B FGA/trg; AIM-9L
M-l 14 towed, 72 M-109 SP; 203mm: 12 Sidewinder AAM.
M-l 15 towed.
mor 81mm, 120mm. Forces Abroad:
ATK: RCU 84mm: 400 Carl Gustav, 106mm: 252. Cyprus (UNFICYP): 1 bn: 323.
RL- LAW. ATGW TOW. Other 159.
AD: guns: 40mm: 36 L/60.
SAM: Hamlet (Redeye). * 1 Jan 1985 price levels. Supplemented at year-end with
Avn: ac 16 SAAB T-17 It. hel: 12 Hughes 500M. inflation allowance.
STRATEGIC NUCLEAR FORCES: (18,820, some 1 air mobile div (5,100): 1 inf, 3 combat hel,
2,499 Army, 5,053 Navy, 9,957 Air Force, 747 1 comd/spt regts (to be 2 inf, 4 combat hel
Gendarmerie, 564 others). regts) see ALAT.
SLBM: 6 SSBN: 1 log bde spt units (ind 1 sigs, 1 tpt regts).
1 with 16 M-4/TN-70; Indep regts: 1 EW, 1 para, 6 arty, 4 engr, 6 tpt
5 with 16 M-2Q/TN-60 msls (1 on long refit ind Foreign Legion (8,300). 1 armd, 1 para, 4 inf (trg), 2
conversion to M-4/TN-71, Exocet SM-39 SLCM). engr regts.
IRBM: 18 SSBS S-3D/TN-61 msls in 2 sqns. (Test Reserves: (8,500):
centre: 4 silos). Immediate manning, 1 Army, FAR units, 45,000.
Aircraft; 105 combat ac. Forces in Germany ( 18,500) 1 inf div.
Bbrs: 2 wings, 4 sqns. Military Regions: 7 bdes (each some 3,500 men; It
3 sqns with 22 Dassault Mirage IVA (AN-22 armd, 2 inf regts, engrs); Strategic nuc defence:
nuclear bombs). 1 div (5 inf regts); Frontier defence: 6 inf regts;
1 sqn with 8 Mirage IVP (ASMP nuclear ASM, Territorial defence: 23 regts (each some 1,000
one more sqn to be operational end-1986; 10 men, some with It armd sqn, engrs.
more Mirage IVA being converted to IVP; ARMY AVIATION (ALAT) (7,000). 177 combat hel.
totall8acbyend-1987). 1 Air mobile div:
Trg: 12 Mirage TUB, 2 Dassault Mystère-Falœn 20P. 1 regt with 4 manoeuvre sqns each 11 Puma; 1
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227mm MRL; 58 120mm mor, 12,500 Apilas RL; ASW: 2 fits with Breguet Alizé (mod).
850 HOT (VAB and Gazelle), ACCP ATGW; 170 MR: 6 fits, 4 with Breguet Atlantic, 2 with Dassault
20mm AA guns; 31 Roland, 297 Mistral SAM; Gardian (Mystèi* Façon 20).
AS-332 Super Puma (with battlefield surveillance Recce: 1 fit with Etendard IVP.
radar), 26 SA-342M (HOT) heL) OCU: Etendard IVM; Fouga Zepfer, ^//zi.
Trg: 4 units with Nord 262 Frégate, Piper Navajo,
NAVY: 66,345 ind Naval Air, (1,500 women; EMB-121 Xingu, MS-760 Paris, Mystère-
17,680 conscripts). Falcon 10MER.
Comds: 2 home (CECLANT, CECMED), 2 overseas. Mise 3 comms/liaison units (1 VIP) with DC-6, Fal-
Bases: Cherbourg, Brest, Lorient, Toulon. con 10MER, Nord 262, Navajo.
Subs (attack): 17. 1 trial unit with Nord N-2504.
SSN: 2 Rubis (with SM-39 Exocet SSM). 2 It ac units with 12 Rallye 880, 6 CAP-10.
SS: 15: 4 Agosta, 9 Daphne, 2 Narval. ASW hel: 3 sqns with Westland Lynx.
trials: 1 SSB. Cdo hel: 2 assault sqns with SA-321 Super Frelon.
Principal Surface Combatants: 46. Trg hel: SA-316/-319 Alouette II/HI.
Carriers: 3: Mise hel: 2 comms/SAR units with Alouette II/III,
2 attack Clemenceau, 39 ac (3 fits with 20 SA-332 Super Puma. 1 trials unit with Alouette
Dassault Super Etendard, 1 with 7 F-8E Cru- II/III, Wesüand Lynx, Super Frelon.
Equipment: 122 combat ac, 24 combat heL
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Ftn 11 sqns: 1 with Dassault Mirage IQC (in Noratlas: 19 (10 tac tpt, 5 AEW, 4 OCU).
Djibouti); 8 with Mirage F-1C; 2 with Mirage Frégate: 22 (21 mise, 1 trials). Mystère-Falcon:
2000C/B. 13. -20: 12 (mise), -50: 1 (mise). MS-760: 23
Trg: 1 OCU with Mirage F-1B; 4 trg fits with (mise). Broussard: 38 (trg, mise). DHC-6: 10 (9
CM-170 Magister, MH-1521 Broussard. mise, 1 trials). Caravelle: 4 (mise). Xingu: 25 (17
AD system: automatic STRIDAIL 10 radar stations. trg, 8 mise). Magister 174 (trg). Epsilon: 76
SAM: 12 sqns (1 trg) with 24 Crotale btys (48 fire, (trg). CAP-10B/20: 56 (trg).
24 radar units). Helicopters:
AA: 300 btys (20mm guns). Alouette: 64. Il: 9 (OCU); ll/lll: 48 (It tpt); III: 7 (OCU).
AAM: R-530, Super 530F, R-550 Magic I/H, Puma: 29 (27 tpt, 2 OCU).
Sidewinder. Dauphin: 1 (tpt).
Tactical Air Force (FATAC) (19,350). Ecureuil: 8 (tpt).
FGA: 10 sqns: 3 with Mirage HIE; (On order some 19 Mirage 2000C/B, 47 -2000N, 17
2 with Mirage 5F; 5 with Jaguar A. F-1CR ftrs; 91 Epsilon trg ac; 16 Ecureuil-2 hel, 40
Recce: 3 sqns: 1 with Mirage IIIR/IIIRD; 20mm AA guns.)
2 with Mirage F-1CR.
Trg: 2 OCU: 1 with Mirage mB/E; INTER-SERVICE CENTRAL STAFFS: 4,517.
1 with Jaguar A/E.
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8 trg fits with Magister, Broussard. SERVICE DE SANTÉ: 8,465 (2,140 conscripts).
AAM: Sidewinder, R-550 Mzgic, R-530.
ASM: AS-30/-30L, Martel AS-37. Deployment
(Attached to COTAM): Navy:
AEW: 2 sqns. 1 with Nord-2501 Noratlas; 1 Atlantic Fleet 6 SSBN, 8 other subs, 1 hel carrier, 17
with Douglas DC-8 (EE-51) EUNT. escorts, 11 MCM, 8 amph.
liaison: 3 sqns with Magister, Broussard. Channel Flotilla: 3 frigates, 9 MCM.
Hel: 1 sqn with SA-315/316.4/ot«?ßeII/ffl. Mediterranean Fleet 2 SSN, 9 subs, 2 camers,14
Conuns Gp (GTT): 2 sigs, 1 EWng sqns. escorts, 5 MCM, 5 amph.
Air Transport Command (COTAM) (4,200).
Tpt 21 sqns: Forces Abroad:
1 hy with DC-8F; 6 t a c Europe: Germany. 50,000; 3 armd divs (400 MBT; to
5 with C-160/-160NG, 1 with Noratlas; be increased).
14 It tpt/trg/SAR with Nord 262 Frégate, Berlin: 2,700; 1 armd regt, 1 inf regt
Dassault Mystère-Falcon 50, MS-760 Paris, Overseas Dependencies: 21,500; Army 12,700, Navy
Broussard, DHC-6 Twin Otter, AS Caravelle, 3,350, Air 1,450, Gendarmerie 3,900.
EMB-121 Xingu. Four inter-service overseas commands:
Trg: 1 OCU with Frégate, C-160. Antilles-Guyana 7,900: 1 marine inf, 1 Foreign
Hel: 5 sqns with Alouette II/III, Puma, SA-365 Legion regts, 1 marine inf bn, 2 ships, 1
Dauphin, AS-350 Ecureuil. Atlantic MR ac, 1 air tpt unit (C-160 ac, Puma,
Trg net 1 OCU with Alouette M i l , Puma, Ecureuil. Alouette II hel).
Training Command (CEAA) (5,500). South Indian Ocean (Mayotte, La Reunion):
Trg: Breguet-Dornier AlphaJet, Magister, Noratlas, 3,300 ind AUNDIEN; 1 marine inf regt, 2 inf
Xingu 1, AS Epsilon, Mudry CAP-10B/-20. coys, 1 air tpt unit (C-l 60 ac, Alouette III hel).
Mise (trials units): 1 sqn with Mirage F-l, Mirage New Caledonia 4,900: 1 marine inf regt, 4 inf
2000, Jaguar, 1 sqn with DHC-6, Frégate. coys, 1 air tpt unit (C-l 60 ac, Alouette m hel).
Equipment: 555 combat ac. Polynesia 5,400 (ind AIPACI): 1 marine, 1
Aircraft Foreign Legion regts, 1 air tpt unit (Caravelle,
Mirage: 411. F-1B: 14 (OCU); F-1CR 127 (ftr, trials); Twin Otter ac; Super Puma, Alouette ni hel).
F-1CR: 32 (recce); NIC: 10 (ftr); HIE' 75 (30 strike, Two naval commands:
30 FGA, 15 ftr); IIIB/BE 21 (trg); IHR: 19 (recce); Indian Ocean (A1JNDIEN) (1,800): 5 frigates, 2
IIIRD: 11 (recce); -5F: 30 (FGA); IVA: 22 (bbr); IVP: minor combatants, 2 amph, 4 spt ships (1
8 (bbr); -2000:39 (ftr, trials); (also 1 F-l, 2 -2000 comd), 1 Atlantic MR a c
in trials sqn). Pacific (ALPACI) ( 1,400): 3 frigates, 4 minor com-
Jaguar 138+. -A: 116 (45 strike, 71 FGA, + trg and batants, 8 amph, 12 spt ships, 5 Falcon
trials ac); -E 22 (trg, trials). Gardian MR a c
AlphaJet 102 (trg). Other Overseas (some 11,000 from all services; num-
DC-8: 6 (5 tpt, 1 EE-51 AEW). bers vary according to local circumstances): ind 120
Transall C-160: 62 (T 36 tac tpt, 7 OCU, 19 -NG AFV, spt vessels, 25 combat and 25 tpt ac, 43 heL
tac tpt). Central African Republic (CAR.) (1,600):
NATO 67
ATGVK 1,928 Milan systems, 346 TOW sys- Equipment combat 105 ac; 12 heL
tems, 316 RJPz-iHOT) Jaguar 1, 243 RJPz- Aircraft
(TOW) SP; (see also PAH-1 hel below). F-104:40. F/TF-104G: 25 (FGA); RF-104G: 15 (recce).
AD: guns 2,395. 20mm: 1,712 towed; 35mm: 432 Tornado: 46 (FGA).
Gepard SP; 40mm: 251 L-70. AVanUc: 19 (14 MR, 5 HINT).
SAM: 723 Redeye, 143 Marder/Roland SP. Do-28:19 (17 liaison, 2 environmental protection).
Ara: hel: 187 Bell UH-1D, 148 SA-316 Alouette m , Helicopters:
210 PAH-1 (MBB BO-105P with HOT), 95 Sea Lynx 12 (ASW).
BO-105M, 105 Sikorsky CH-53G. Sea King: 22 (SAR).
(On order 377 Leopard 2 MBP, 312 Wiesel AB recce/ Missiles:
MICV; 114 TPz-1 APC, 198 227mm MLRS MRL; ASM: AS-30, Kormoran.
115 Marder/Roland SAM (with 4,000 missiles).) (On order 66 Tornado, 8 Sea Lynx)
NAVY: 36,300, ind naval air (9,450 conscripts)4 AIR FORCE 108,700 (38,100 conscripts)4
Bases: Borkurn, Cuxhaven, Eckernforde, Emden, Tactical Command (GAFTAC).
Flensburg, Kiel, Olpenitz, Wilhelmshaven. 4 divs: 2 tac, 2 AD.
Subs: 24: 18 Type 206; 6 Type 205. FGA: 20 sqns: 3 with Lockheed F-104G;
Destroyers: 7: 4 with McDonnel-Douglas F-4F;
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Central Military Agencies, Central Medical Agencies and M-101,216 M-102,70 M-52 SP; 155mm: 442:54
6,000 reserve duty training positions. M-44 SP, 240 M-l 14, 40 M-198, 108 M-109 SP;
% Exd inter-service personnel and part-time reservists. 203mm: 72: 40 M-l 15, 32 M-l 10 SP.
mon 81mm: M-l, EBO Type E44, M-125A1 SP,
M-4A1 (M-2/-3 APC) SP, AMX-10M-81 SP,
GREECE Leonidas Gr W.I SP; 107mm: M-2, M-30, M-84
SP (M-59 APC), M-106A1 SP, 120mm: EBO Type
GDP 1984: dr 3,772.30 bn ($33.466 bn) E-56, Leonidas Gr W.2 SP.
1985: dr 4,509.40 bn ($32.648 bn) ATK: RCU 90mm: 1,080 EM-67; 106mm: some 700
growth 1984: 2.6% 1985: 1.8% M40A1.
Inflation 1984: 18.5% 1985: 19.3% ATCW. 82 M-113A2 SP TOW, 14 M-901 Improved
Debt 1984: $14.0 bn 1985: $17.0 bn TOW, SS-11, Cobra, TOW, Milan,
Defexp 1985c dr 281.713 bn ($2.04 bn); AD: guns 20mm: RH-202 twin; 40mm: ind M-42
N A T O dem $2.329 bn twin SP; 75mm: M-51; 90mm: M-l 17/118.
FMA 1984: $530.0 m 1985: $550.0 m SAM: 36 MEM-23B Improved HAWK(216 msls), 37
$1 = d r (1983): 88.06 (1984): 112.72 M-48 Chaparral, Redeye.
(1985): 138.12 (1986): 140.65 Avn: ac 2 Super King Air, 2 Aero Commander, 1
dr = drachmas DHC-2 Beaver, 50 U-17A.
hel: 8 Bell AH-1 with TOW, 10 Boeing-Vertol
Population: 10,372,000 CH-47C, 5 Bdl 47G, 22 Bell UH-1D, 50 Agusta-
18-30 31-45 Bell AB-204B/-205, 10 AB-206A.
Men: 961,00C) 904,000 (On order. 106 Leopard 1 MBT; 36 M-901 Improved
Women: 910.00C1 951,000 TOWSP ATGW (108 msls); 18 M-198 155mm how,
Artemis 30 twin 30mm AA guns; 20 AH-1S attack
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: hel (160 TOW), 20 Naidi-Hughes 300C trg hel; 300
Regular 209,000 (136,500 conscripts, 1,800 women). Milan ATGW.)
Terms of service. Army 21, Navy 25, Air Force TERRITORIAL ARMY: 23,000 (ind 10,000 conscripts,
23 months.
5,000 reservists on refresher trg).
Reserves: some 404,000 (to age 50). Army some 350,000 3 Territorial, 17 Sub-Commands.
(Field Army 227,000, Territorial Army 23,000, 12 indep inf bdes (6 mountain).
National Guard 100,000 (ind 5,000 reservists on 4 armd bns.
4-week tig)); Navy about 24,000, Air about 30,000.
NATIONAL GUARD: 100,000.
ARMY: 165,500 (108,500 conscripts ind 1,400 women). 100 inf bns (mainly coastal defence).
100 It arty btys.
Field Army ( 142,500): 3 Military Regions.
4 corps, 1 special oomd HQ. Equipment
1 armd div (2 armd bdes, 1 arty regt). It has been impossible to reconcile with confidence reports
I mech div (2 mech bdes). of equipment held respectively by the Territorial Army
II infdivs. and the National Guard. Some may be identical to
70 NATO
older items in the Field Army inventory, some no Tpt net 3 sqns with Agusta-Bell AB-205A,
longer in that inventory may include Ihe following AB-206A, Beü 47G, Bell UH-1D, AB-212,
Tks: 28 M-26; It 57 M-41A3. CH-47C Chinook.
AFV: recce: 60 M-20. APC 380 M-2/-3. SAM: 1 wing. 1 gp with Nike Ajax.
Arty: gun/hew 468 25-pdr (88mm) (plus some 33 in store). Air Training Command:
how: 75mm: 108 M-116 pack; 155mm: M-114. Trg: 4 sqns.
mor 60mm, 81mm: M-l, M-4/-5, M-4A1 SP, 1 with T-41A Mescalercr, 1 with T-37B/Q 2 with
107mm: M-2. Rockwell T-2E
ATK: RCi: 57mm: 900 M-l 8; 75mm: 396 M-20; HeL 2 Nardi-Hughes 300.
106mm: 420 M-40A1. Equipment: 292 combat ac.
Aircraft
NAVY: 19,500 (12,000 conscripts ind 200 women); 14 A-7H: 51: 46 (FGA); TA-7H: 5 (FGÀ).
combat heL F-104: 66: F/IF-104G (FGA).
Bases: Salamis, Patras, Mrüini, Thessaloniki, Souda Bay. F-5: 76: -A: 54 (18 FGA, 36 ftr); -B: 8 (6 FGA, 2 ftr);
Subs: lft RF5A: 14 (recce).
8 209-dass: 4 Glavkos (Type-1100), 4 Poseidon F-4E: 54: 47 (ftr); RF4E 7 (recce).
(Type-1200); Mirage F-1GC: 33 (ftr).
F-84F: 32: 16 (trg); RF-84: 16 (trg/recce; in reserve).
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2 US Guppy (trg).
Destroyers: 14: HU-16B: 12 (MR). C-130H: 12 (tpt). YS-11-200: 6
7 Gearing (6 with 1 octuple ASROC, 1 with 1 (tpt). C-47:12 (tpt). Noratlas: 20 (tpt). Guffsfream
SA-316 Alouette m hel); I: 1 (VIP tpt). T-33A: 48 (liaison). T-41: 20 (trg).
1 Sumner (facilities for 1 Alouette hel); T-37: 25. T - 2 36.
6 Fletcher. Helicopters:
Frigates 7: AB-205A: 12 (tpt). AB-206A: 3 (tpt). BeO 47G: 5 (tpt).
2 Kortenaer (8 Harpoon SSM, Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 AB-212: 4 (tpt). CH-47C: 6 (tpt). NH-300: 2 (trg).
AB-212 hel); Missiles:
4 US Cannon; AAM: Sparrow, Sidewinder, Falcon.
1 FRG Rhein (depot ship, employed as frigate). ASM: Maverick Bullpup. SAM: 36 Nike Ajax.
FACXG): 16: 14 La Combattante II/III (8 with 4 (On order 40 Mirage 2000 ac; 18 NH-300 hel; AIM-7
Sparrow AAM; Artemis 2 x 30mm AA guns.)
Exocet, 6 with 6 Penguin SSM);
2L'E«m?/with4SS-12; Forces Abroad: Cyprus: 2,500. 1 inf bn (950), cdos
FAQT): 6 FRG Type-143. (350), spt elms (550); officers/NOOs seconded to
Patrol craft: 9: 8 coastal(, 1 Scimitar. Greek-Cypriot forces (650).
Minelayers: 2 (ex LSM-1).
MCMV: 14 coastal (9 MSC-294, 5 US Adjutant).
Amph: LSD: 1, LST 7, LSM: 5, LOT 2, LCU 6; PARA-MILITARY: Gendarmerie: 25,000; MOWAG
smaller classes: 62. Roland, 15 UR-416 APC. Coastguard and Customs:
Spt 2 support, 4 harbour tankers, 1 depot ship, 3 tpts. 4,000; some 100 patrol craft, 2 Cessna Cutlass ac.
ASW: 1 hel div (3 sqns: 2 with 10 Agusta-Bell AB-212,
1 with 4 Alouette HI).
(On order 2 Poseidon (Type 1200) SS; 10 OL-76 23m ITALY
FAQ 5 LCA; 2 Phalanx 20mm AD, Artemis 30 twin
30mm gun systems.) GDP 1984: L 612,112 bn ($348.385 bn)
1985s L 688,613 bn ($360.643 bn)
AIR FORCE 24,000 (16,000 conscripts ind 200 women). growth 1984: 2.6% 1985: 2.4%
Tactical Air Force: 7 combat wings, 1 tpt wing. Inflation 1984: 10.8% 1985: 9.2%
FGA: 6 sqns: 3 with LTV A-7H Corsair, Debt 1984: $67.5 b a 1985: $73.3 bn
3 with Lockheed F-104G. Defexp 1985: L 16,380 bn ($8.579 bn);
Ftr 7 sqns: 3 with McDonnell-Douglas F-4E; NATO dem $9.458 bn
2 with Northrop F-5A/B; Defbdgt 1986: L 17,600 bn ($14.063 bn);
2 with Dassault Mirage F-1CG. NATO dem n.a.
Recce: 2 sqns: 1 with Republic RF-84F, RF-4E; 1 $1=L (1983): 1,518.8 (1984): 1,757.0
with RF-5A. (1985): 1,909.4 (1986): 1,251.5
MR: 1 sqn with HU-16B Grumman Albatross. L = lire
Tpt 3 sqns with C-130H Hemdes, NAMC YS-11, Population: 57,207,000
Nord-2501 Noratlas, C-47 (Douglas DC-3), 18-30 31-45
Dornier Do-28, Gulfstream. Men: 5,656,000 5,653,000
Liaison: Lockheed T-33A. Women: 5,447,000 5,637,000
NATO 71
4 De Cristofaro,
1 hy spt bde (1 Lance SSM, 3 hy arty, 3 Improved 4 Albatros.
HAWK SAM bns). Hydrofofls: 7 Sparviero with 2 Teseo SSM.
Aviation: MCMV: 24:
4 wings org in sqns and fits (fit usually has 6 ac/heL) 2 Lerid, 4 Storione (US Aggressive) ocean;
9 It ac fits with SIAI-Marchetti SM-1019/Cessna O-1E 7 Mandorlo (US Adjutant) minehunters;
10 hel sqns, 14 fits wilh AB-206. 9 Agave coastal (retiring from 1987X 7 minesweepers).
Multi-role: 17 hel sqns: 1 with AB-204B; 15 with Amph: \ST.2\JSDe Soto County. LEM: 19. LCW. 7.
AB-205; 1 with AB-212B. Spt 2 Stromboli replenishment tankers, 1 spt ship, 5
Med tpt 4 hel sqns with CH-47 Chinook. coastal tpt
Other 1 trg, 1 repair units. Marines:
Equipment: 3gps
Tks: 1,72ft 500 M-47, 300 M-60A1, 920 Leopard 1. 1 ops (frogmen/raiding);
APC: 4,110: M-106, M-113, M-548 and M-577, 1 inf (trg);
AMX-VCI. Hog.
Arty: 1,11ft guns: 18: 175mm: 18 M-107 SP. Equipment 30 VCC-1, 10 LVTP-7 APC, 16 81mm
how: 1,092: 105mm: 320 Model 56 pack; 155mm: mor, 8 106mm RCL, 6 Milan ATGW.
724: incl 164 FH-70 towed, 220 M-109E SP;
203mm: 36 M-l 15, 12 M-l 10 SP. NAVAL AIR ARM (1,500); 83 combat hel.
SSM: 6 Lance. ASW: 5 hel sqns with 30 SH-3D Sea King, 53 Agusta-
mor 81mm, 120mm. Bell AB-212.
ATK: RCL 57mm, some 80mm, 106mm (to retire). ASM: Marte Mk 2.
ATGW: Cobra, SS-11, TOW, Milan. (On order. 2 mod Sauro subs, 2 Audace destroyers, 4
AD: guns: 20mm, 230 40mm. Minerva corvettes with Albatros multi-role weapon
SAM: 60 Improved HAWK, Stinger. system, 2 LPD; 5 SH-3D, 3 AB-212 heL)
Avn: ac 70 SIAI-Marchetti SM-1019, 30 Cessna O-1E
(tgt acquisition/utility). AIR FORCE 70,600 (29,000 conscripts).
hel: AB-47G/J, 5 AB-109 Hirundo, 18 AB-204B FGA: 6 FGA/recce sqns.
(multi-role), 100 AB-205A, 140 AB-206A/A1 3 with Panavia Tornado;
multi-role/utility, 14 AB-212, 24 CH-47C 1 with Lockheed F-104S;
Chinook recce/tgt acquisition/utility/tpt 2 with Aeritalia G-91Y.
(On order SP-70, M-109 155mm how, 20 FIROS 6 Tac 3 sqns.
51mm MRU Milan ATGW; FIM-92A Stinger SAM + 1 It attack with Aermacchi MB-339;
msls; 45 A-129 Mangusta heL) 2 It attack/recce with G-91R/R1/R1A/R1B (to be
replaced).
FJn 7 sqns with F-104S.
NAVY: 47,200, incl 1,500 air arm, 750 marines Recce: 2 sqns with F/RF-104G.
(25,500 conscripts). MR: 2 sqns with Breguet Atlantic (Navy-assigned;
Bases: La Spezia, Tarante, Ancona, Brindisi, Augusta, being increased).
Messina, La Maddalena, Cagliari, Naples, Venice. ECM: 1 ECM/recce sqn with Aeritalia G-222VS and
Subs: 9: 4 Sauro, 4 Toti, 1 US Tang. Piaggio PD-808.
72 NATO
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: ASW hel: 1 sqn with Westland Lynx SH-14B/C
Regular 105,134 (ind 3,909 Royal Military Constabu- SAR hel: 1 sqn with Lynx UH-14A.
lary); 1,450 women; 48,482 œnscripts. Equipment: combat 13 ac, 17 hel.
Terms of service. A m y 14—16, Navy and Air Force Aircraft
14—17 months. P-3: 13 (MR).
Reserves: 171,300 (men to ags 35, NOOs to 40, officers to Helicopters:
45). Army 145,300 (some (at the end of their period of Lynx 22.
conscription) on short leave, immediate recall), Home SH-14B/C: 17 (ASW).
Guard (4,300), Navy some 20,000 (7,500 on immedi- UH-14A: 5 (SAR).
ate recall), Air 6,000 (immediate recall). MARINES: (2,800).
2 amph cdo gps.
ARMY: 66,200 (42,250 conscripts), though see Reserves. 1 mountain/arctic warfare coy.
1 Corps HQ, 3 mech div HQ. (Reserve): 1 amph cdo gp.
2 armd bdes.
4 mech inf bdes. (On order 4 Walrus SS; 1 Heemskerk, 8 Zeven
1 SSM bn with Lance. Provinden frigates; 6 Alkmaar MCMV.)
3 hel sqns (Air Force manned).
(3 AD bns forming). AIR FORCE 17,957 (4,500 conscripts).
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Reserves: 1 armd, 2 mech inf bdes, corps troops and 1 FGA: 5 sqns:
indep inf bde would be completed by call-up of 3 with General Dynamics F-16;
reservists; some inf bdes could be mobilized for ter- 2 with Northrop NF-5A (converting to F-16).
ritorial defence. Ftn 2 FGA/ftr sqns with F-16A.
Home Guard: 3 sectors; inf weapons. Recce: 1 sqn with F-16B.
Equipment: MR: 2 F-27 (assigned to Navy).
Tks: 913: 468 Leopard 1A4, 445 Leopard 2. Tpt 1 sqn with Fokker F-27.
A P C 744 M-113, 718 YP-408 (to retire 1986-9), OCU:2sqns:
1,490 YPR-765. 1 with NF-5B;
Arty. how. 476: 105mm: 42 M-101; 155mm: 140 1 with F-16B (temporarily integrated with 1 F-16A
M-114 (85 to be mod), 218 M-109; 203mm: 76 ftrsqn).
M-110A2SP. SAR heb 1 fit with SA-316 Alouette ffl.
SSKôLanœ. AD: SANE 14 sqns: 12 with Improved HAWK (8 in Ger-
mar. 81mm: 333; 107mm: 195; 120mm: 152. many); 2 with Nike Hercules, 100 Stinger, guns: 25
ATK: RCL Carl Gustav 84mm, 175 106mm. VL4/41 Flycatcher radar, 40 L-70 40mm systems.
ATGW 359 Dragon, 322 TOW. Equipment: 210 combat ac.
AD: guns 40mm: 541^70 towed; 35mm: 95 Gepard SP. Aircraft
Avru het 64 SA-316 Mouette m (to be replaced), 30 NF-5: 89. -A: 61 (FGA), -B: 28 (OCU).
MBB BO-105. F-16:119.-A 75 (FGA); -B: 44 (26 ftr/OCU, 18 recce).
Marine: 1 tk tpt, 3 coastal, 15 river patrol boats. F-Z7: 14 (12 tpt; 2 MR).
(On order. 644 YPR-765 APQ 486 Sänger SAM.) Helicopters:
Alouette: 4 (SAR).
NAVY: 17,068, ind naval air arm and marines (On order 81 F-16A/B FGA ac; 20 Patriot SAM
(1,390 conscripts). launchers, 160 msls.)
Bases. Den Hdder, Flushing, Curacao.
Subs 5: 2 Zwaaravb, 2 Potvis, 1 Dolfijn. INTER-SERVICE ORGANIZATION: 1,050 (232
Frigates 17, all with 8 Harpoon SSM: conscripts).
2 Tramp (flagships);
1 Van Heemskerk with SM-1 Standard, octuple Sea Forces Abroad-
Sparrow SAM, 1 Westland Lynx hel; Germany: 5,500. 1 armd bde, 1 recce, 1 engr bns, spt
10 Kartender ASW with octuple Sea Sparrow SAM, dements.
1—2 Lynx hel; Egypt (Sinai MFO): 105: 1 sigs det
4 Van Spdjk ASW with 2 quad Seacat SAM, 1 Lynxhd. Netherlands Antilles: 1 frigate, 1 amph combat det, 1
MCMV: 20: 11 Dokkum coastal, 9 Alkmaar. MR det with 2 F-27MPA ac.
Arnpfc LCA/LCVR 12(. Iceland: 1 P-3C Orion, 30 personnd (at Keflavik).
Mise 2 Poolster combat support, 3 survey (2 Buyskes,
1 Tydeman). PARA-MILITARY: 8,700:
NAVAL AIR ARM: (1,682); Royal Military Constabulary (Koninklijke Mare-
MR: 3 sqns (1 trg) with P-3C Orion n, Fokker F-27 (see haussee): 3,909 (342 conscripts); 3 'divs' comprising 9
Air Force). districts with 87 Tries'.
74 NATO
Civil Defence {Corps Mobiele Cobmesy. 22,000 on APC MICK NM-135 (M-113/20mm).
mobilization; disaster relief under Army command. APE M-l 13, 200 Bv-206 over-snow vehs.
Arty: 405: how: 105mm: M-101; 155mm: M-l 14 towed,
130 M-109 SP. mon 81mm, 107mm.
ATK: RCU 57mm M-18; 84mm: Carl Gustav, 106mm:
NORWAY M-40A1. RL 66mm: M-72
ATCW: TOW.
GDP 1984: kr 45273 bn ($55,471 bn) AD: guis 20mm: FK20-2; 40mm: L60/70.
1985: kr 497.84 bn ($57,907 bn) SAM: 108 RBS-70.
growth 1984: 3.8% 1985E 3.1% Aviu It ac 20 Cessna O-1E, 8 Piper L-18C
Inflation 1984: 62% 1985: 5.7% (On order 36 M48A5 MBT; 60 M-l 13 APC (44 with
Debt 1984: $29.5 bn 1985: $34.0 bn TOWy, 1,800 Bv 206 over-snow veh; 300 TOWU
Defbdgt 1985: kr 14.751 bn ($1,716 bn>, ATGW; RBS-70 SAM.)
NATO dem $1.795 bn
1986: kr 15.901 bn ($2102 bn);
NAVY: 7,600, ind 2000 coast artillery (5,500 conscripts)i
NATO dem a a
Bases: Horten, Haakonsvem (Beigen), Ramsund,
$1 = kr (1983): 72964 (1984): 8.1615
(1985): 8.5972 (1986): 7.5660 Oavsvem (Tromso).
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AIR FORCE 13,800 ind 2,000 para (4,600 oonsoipts). 18-30 31-45
1 combat command, 5 administrative wings. Men: 4,085,000 3,557,000
PGA:4sqns Women: 3,968,000 3,616,000
2 with A-7P Corsair,
1 with AeritaHa G-91RVT3; TOTAL ARMED FORCES
1 with G-91R4/T3. Regular 320,000 (214,000 conscripts) (to be reduced).
Recce 1 sqn with CASA G212B. Terms of service. 12 months.
Reserves 1,085,000 (au services) (to age 38 (men)).
1 with
1 with C-212 ARMY: 230,000 (160,000 conscripts); being reduced
SAR:3sqns:
1986-90.
1 with G212 ac; 6 Military Regions (Regional Operational Commands), 2
2 vàâiSA-330 Puma ht±
Overseas Commands.
liaison: 4 scpjs
1 armd div (1 armd, 2 mech (1 reserve) bdes).
2 ac with Rrims<jessna FIB-337G;
1 mech div (1 mech, 2 mot (1 reserve) bdes).
2 utility hd with SA-315 Alouette IL
1 mot div (3 mot (1 reserve) bdes).
OCÜ: 1 with Northrop T-38 Talon.
2 mountain divs (each 2 bdes).
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1ig:3 sqns:
1 armd cav bde.
1 with G212 ac, SA-316 Alouette III hd; 8 inf bdes (7 to be disbanded).
1 with Cessna T-37Q 1 airportàble bde (3 bns).
1 with DH Chipmunk 1 Spanish Legion (3 regts, spt units (overseas forces), 1
Para: 1 para bde (3 bns), Milan.
dept regt, 1 Special ops gp).
Equipment: 101 combat ac
Genera! Reserve Force:
Aircraft
1 para bde (3 bns).
A-7: 48 (42 PGA, 6 Irg).
1 arty msl bde (ind 1 HAWK SAM gp, 1 Nike
&81:49. -fö 19 (PGA), -Rt 20 (FGA>, -T3t 10 (irg).
T-38: 12 (OOJ). Hemdes bry).
C-212: 24 (12 tpt, 6 SAR; -ft 2 (tig); -ft 4 EUNT). 1 arty bde (1 locating, 1 fd rocket, 1 It AA regts).
C-130: 5 (tpt). T-37: 20 (Irg). Cessna 337:26 (liaison). 2 hy arty regls.
7 coast/AA arty regts.
Ctipmrk. 25 (trg).
1 engr, 1 sigs regts.
Hefcoptere:
1 chemical/audear defence regt
ftraa-12 (SARX
Special Task Units:
/Uoueöe Il/lit 40 (37 liaison, 3 trg). 1 engr, 2 railway engr regts.
(On order 3 C-130 tpt ac; 12 A-109 hd (4 with TOW)) 1 sigs regt
Independent Units
PARA-AfflJTARY: Army HQ inf gp.
National RepubBcan Guard 15^10, Commando Mk III APC Royal Guard Regt (ind inf, naval, air force coys and
Public Security Police 13,000. escort cav sqn).
Border Security Guard 8,853. Army Aviation (FAMEI): 40 armed heL
HQ with 1 hd, 1 spt, 1 trg sqns.
1 attack bn.
1 tpt bn (1 med, 1 hy coys).
SPAIN 3 utility units.
GDP 1984: pts 25,935 bn ($161.327 bn) Tks 883:319 AMX-30,400 M47E, 164 M-48 (105mm).
1985E pts 28,762 bn ($169.148 bn) 1127 M-41.
growth 1984: 23% 1985: 1.7% AFV: MOE 510 BMR-600. recce 140: 60 AML60, 90
Inflation 1984: 113% 1985: 8.8% VEC, 80 AML-90. APC 1,1% M-113.
Debt 1984: $37.0 bn 1985: $35.5 bn Arty: gins 19ft 122mm: 178 122/46 towed; 175mm: 12
Defbdgt 1985: pts 816.144 bn ($4.800 bn>, M-107 SP.
NATO dem n a coast 88mm: 200 Preserve); 6m. (1524mm): 127;
1986: pts 842397 bn ($5.939 bn>, 203mm: 24; 12-in. (305mm): some 14; 15-in.
NATO ddh oa. (381mm): some 15.
FMA 1984: $400.0 m 1985: $415.0 m haw 1,078:105mm: 858:810 M-26 and M-56 pack, 48
$1 = pts (1983): 143.43 (1984): 160.76 M-108 SP, 155mm: 192 84 M-114, 12 M-44, %
(1985). 170.04 (1986): 141.83 M-109A SP, 8-in. (203mm): 28: 24 M-l 15 towed, 4
pts = pesetas M-55 SP.
Population: 39,778,000 m: R-2B 105mm, 12 Tend 140mm.
NATO 77
irar 1,200 81mm, 107mm; 400 120mm. ASWC 2 sqns: 1 with Hughes 50O, 1 with Sikorsky
ATK: ROI 106mm: 350. RL 88.9mm: 42 M-65; 90mm: SH-3D/G Sea fang.
C-90G ATGW 50 Milan, 50 Cobra, 18 Dragon, HOT, tac 1 sqn with AH-1G Cobra.
12 TOW. comd/recce 1 sqn with Agusta-Bdl AB-212
AD: gins 20mm: GAI-BOI; 35mm: 64 GDF002 twin; Saison: 1 sqn with Bell 47G.
40mm: 260 L-7O, 90mm 90 MA. Equipment 10 combat ac, 43 h d
SAW 9 Nike Hercules, 24 Improved HAWK Aircraft
AMI: het 59 HU-8/-10B (Bett UH-1B/H), 3 HA-16 (SA- AV-a 10 (8 AV-SA; 2 TAV-SA) FGA,
316 Alouette HI), 72 HA-15 (MBB BO-105; 12 with Comanche: 2 (liaison). Citation Ib 2 (liaison).
20mm guns, 28 with # 0 7 ) , 3 Agusta-Bell AB-206A, 6 Helicopters:
AB-212, 17 HR-12B (Bell OH-58B), 12 HT-17 (CH- A&-212: 14 (comdAecce).
47C Chinook). Sea King: 14 (ASW).
Hughes 500: 11 (AS\V).
(On order (?145) VEC recce, 650 BMR-600 MICV; SB
AH-1G: 4 (tac).
155/39 155mm how, 1,100 G90C 90mm RL, 540
BeB 47G: 10 (liaison).
TOW, 250 Milan, 150 # 0 T ATGW; 18 AS-332, 6
CH-47C, 28 AB412,18 OH-58A hel; 18 Roland SAM MARINES: (11,500).
launchers (500 msls>, 13 Skyguard/Aspiae SAM 1 marine regt (3,000): (2 inf, 1 spt, 1 log bns; 3 arty btys).
launchers (100 msls).) 5 marine garrison regts.
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Equipment
DEPLOYMENT Tlac 18 M-48S.
Regional Operational Commands: 6: AFV: 17 Scorpion It te, 19 LVTP-7 amph.
Centre, South, East and West Pyrenees, North West Arty: how: 105mm: 12 OTO Melara M-56 pack, 8
Ceuta and M e l k 21,000, M-52A1 SP. mor 81mm.
2 annd cav, 2 Spanish Legion, 2 coast/AA arty, 2 engr, ATK: RCL 72 106mm RL M-72 66mm,
4 Reguläres inf regts, 2 special sea coys. ATGW. TOW, Dragon.
Overseas Forces Comas. 2
Balearic Islands: 5,800; (On order 1 It carrier (1986), 5 FFG-7 frigates (1 in 1986),
3 inf, 2 coast/AA regis; 1 engrbn; 1 ttcavgp; 1 cdocoy. 4 322-m patrol craft, 20 15.9-m patrol vessels; 12 Brow
Canary Islands: 10,000, (AV-8B) ac, 18 Sikorsky SH-60 hd; 80 RGM-84A
2 inf regts (1 cadre); 1 Spanish Legion (2 bns, 1 It cav Harpoon SSM, SM-1 Standard SAM.)
gp); 2 coast/AA arty regts; 1 engr gp (2 bns); 1 sea coy.
AIR FORCE 33,000 (to be reduced):
NAVY: 62,500, ind marines (44,000 conscripts). Air Combat Command (MACOMf. 3 wings.
Bases: Ferrol (Galiria), Cadiz (San FemandoyRota, Ftn 6sqns
Cartagsna, Majorca. 2 with McDonndl-Dougbs F-4C Phantom,
9 Commands (Fleet, Naval Air, Submarine, Mine War- 2 with Dassault Mirage UJEE/EB;
fare, Marines, 4 Naval Region HQ). 2 with Mirage F-1CE/BE
Subs 8: 4 Agosta, 4 Daphne. liaison: 1 fit with Dornier Do-27.
Carrier 1 Dedab (9 AV-8A, 24 hel). Tactical Command (MATA0: 2 wings.
Destroyas 11: 1 deLauria, FGA: 2 sqns with Northrop F-5A, F-5B, RF-5A.
5 US GearingvA&i 1 ASROC, 1 Hughes 500 hel; MR: 1 sqn with Lockheed P-3A Orion.
5 US Fletcher (3 to retire). liaison: 2 fits with Cessna O-1E, Do-27, Do-28.
Frigates 11: AAM: Sparrow, Sidewinder, R.-550 Magic
5 Baléares (F-70) with 2 quad Harpoon SSM, 16 Stan- Air Command, Canary Islands (MACAN):
dardSAM,\ octuple ASROC, . FGA: 1 sqn with Mirage¥-\C
6 Descubierta (F-30) with 2 quad Harpoon SSM, 1 Tpfc 1 sqn with C-212 Aviocar, Do-27.
octuple Sea Sparmw/Aspiae SAM. SAR 1 sqn with Fokker F-27 ac, Agusta-Bdl AB-
Corvettes 4 /4/rewab (1 to retire). 205 heL
FAC(P> 12 6 lozqgo, 6 Barceb. Transport Command (MATRA)-. 3 wings.
Patrol craft 85: 14 large (3 ex-minesweepers), 38 coastal, Tpt 5 sqns with G130 Hercules, KC-130, CASA
33 inshore(. C-212, 12 DHC4 Caribou, Do-27.
MCMV: 12 4 US Aggressive ocean, 8 „ t a r coastaL Training Command (MAPER):
Amph: ISO: 1.1ST. 3. LET 6. LCUt 2 ICK 12 CCU: 2 sqns with F-5A/B, Do-27.
Tp«s:2 Trgac 14 sqns with Piper (Aztec, Navap), Beech (Bon-
NAVAL AIR anza, Baron, King Air), CASA C-101 Avbjet, C-212
PGA: 1 !qpvtäAV^Matador(ßA£HamerlI),TAV-8A. CASA 1-131 (Bucker 131A Jungmanri), T-6 Texan.
Liaison: 1 sqn with 7 Piper Comanche, Cessna Citation. ht* 2 sqns with AB-205, Hughes 300C, Bdl UH-1H
Hefc5sqns: Air Force HQ Group (ACGAjr.
78 NATO
Tpfc 2 scps with Dougbs DC«, C-212, Dassault $1=TL (1983): 225.46 (1984): 366.68
Mystère-Fakon 20, Navqjo. (1985): 521.98 (1986): 689.74
Spfc 3 sqns wffli Canadair CL-215, Do-27, C-212, TL = Turkish liras
DHC4A,T-7.
Population: 51,421,000t
SAR 2 seps with G212, Do-27 ac, SA-332 Super Puma,
18-30 31-45
AB-205, AB-206, AB47, SA-316 Mouette ffi h d Men: 6,186,000 4,165,000
liaison: 1 hd sqn with SA-330 Puma.
Women: 5,877,000 4,011,000
Tig 1 sep with C-101, G212
Equipment: some 175 combat ac.
Aircraft TOTAL ARMED FORCES
F& 35: -A: 13 (FC3A>, -B: 6 (PGA), RF-5A: 16 (reoœ). Regular 654375 (575,825 conscripts).
Mirage: 94: MC: 21 (FGA); MCE 44 (fut, MCÇtëE 3 Terms of service: 18 months.
(flr); IDŒ: 20 (mt, BEB: 6 (fir). Reserves: 951,000 to age 46 (all). Army 808,000, Navy
M C 38 (34 flr, 4 RF4C recœ). 73,000, Air 70,000.
F-1& (bang delivered mid-86).
M A : 6 (MR). ARMY: 542,000 (497,000 conscripts)4
DC-8-52: 2 (tpt, to be replaced in 1987). 4 army HQ 10 corps HQ.
C-130H: 11: 5 (tpt); KC-130H: 6 (tanker). 2mechdivs.
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O-212: 82 (55 tpt, 4 SAR, 5 spt, 2 tig-E 14 tig TR-12D: 14 inf divs.
2EW). 6 indep armd bdes.
C-101: 86(trg). 2 indep mech bdes.
CL-215: 12 (spt). DHC-4 32 (30 Ipt, -A: 2 spt). 11 indep infbdes.
Mystèœfakxn 20:4 (tpt). F-27:3 (SAR). Do-27/-2& 1 parabde.
60. -27:40 (12 Ipt, 4 SAR, 24 spt); -Z7/-28:20 (liaison). ledobde.
T-6: 45 (trg). 0-1: 6 (Baison> Other 48 {Aztec 6, 5 Fortress Defence regts (coastal).
Navqjo 2, Bonanza 29, King Air 6, Boron 5). 1 SAM bty forming {Rapier).
Helicopters: Corps units: 10 tk, 30 hy/med, 20 AA arty bns.
AB-205C 20 (SAR). AB-206: 4 (SAR). /Wouette lib 3 Equipment:
(SAR). Ama: 5 (liaison) SLper Puna: 11 (SAR). Tks some 3,700: 900 M-47 (700 in reserve, 200 in store),
Hu^ies 300C: 18 (tig). Bel 47:25 (trg). 1,085 M-48A1 (to be -AS), 1,615 M-48A5, some 77
(On order some 72 F-18 Hornet ftr (fiom mid- 1986), 2 Leopard 1A3.
P-3C OKW MR, 2 Boeing 707 tkr/tpt, 40 T-35C Tamz It (100 M41 in store).
(PiBän) ac; 6 CH47 Chinook hd; SiperSidewickrAAM.) AFV: recce (M-8 in store).
APC 3,750: 700 M-59,2250 M-113, some 800 M-2/-3
PARAMILITARY: (perhaps 300 in store).
Guardia CM 65,000: 25 inf teroas (regts), 3 reserve Arty: some 2,000.
mobile comds, 1 rauway securily, 1 traffic security gps, guis 186: 155mm: 150 M-59 towed; 175mm: 36
1 antkerrorist special gp (UAR>, BLR APC, 1 B-11T M-107 SP.
(BK-117) h d (On oiden 20 BO-105, 3 BK-117 hd) IKMT 75mm: 100 M-l 16A1; 105mm: 600 M-101A1,72
PoUda Naäonal 47,000: 26infbns,2cavsqngps,3cav M-108 SP, (108 M-7 SP and 216 M-52 in storeX
tps, 1 special ops cdo gp (GBOX civil security gps. 155mm: 144 M-44 SP (some in storeX 378
Ministry of Transportation and Communications: Mari- M-114A1; 203mm: 104 M-l 15, (81 M-55 (US) SP
time SurveiÈmce Force, some 54 patrol boats (10 320- in store), 16 M-l 10A2 SP.
ton, 4 32-m, 16-ni), many aimed. mor 1,800. 81mm: M-l, M-4A1 (M-2/-3 APC) SP,
SöHam M-125A1 SP, 107mm (vod 42-ii> M-2,
M-30, M-84 (M-59 APC) SP, M-106A1 SP, 120mm:
10ft Sattem, TOSAM Mk E HY12-DL
TURKEY ATK: no: 57mm: 1,400 M-18; 75mm: 1,000 M-20;
106mm: 12004- M-40. ATGw: 85 Cotm, SS-11, TOW
GDP 1984: TL 18,188 bn ($49.602 bn)
1985e TL 27,282 bn ($51266 bn)
AD: guK 20mm: 30ft HSS20, Mk 20 RH-202 twin;
growth 1984: 5.9% 1985: 4%
Inflation 1984: 48.4% 1985: 442% 35mm; 40mm: 900 M-1A1, L/60, M-42; 75mm: M-51;
Debt 1984: $25.9 bn 1985: $28.5 bn 90mm:M-117/-118.
Defbdgt 1985: TL 860.8 bn* ($1.649 bn>, SAM: Redeye, some 4 Rapier launchers with 54 msls.
NATO dem $1295 bn Avœ ac 2 DHC-2 Beaver, 100 U-17 (Cessna 185), 70
1986: TL 1,307 bn ($1.895 bn>, O-1E, 8 Cessna 206,20 Cessna 421, 5 Domier Do-27,
NATO dem aa. 5 Do-28, 15 Beech Baron, 5 T42 (Beech CocHse\ 40
FMA 1984: $660.9 m 1985: $750 m Champion Citabria 150S trg
NATO 79
Aircraft
6 Dogan (Luissen FPB-57) whh 2 quad Harpoon, 9 F& 91: -A: 30 (R3A>, -ft 16 (FGA>, -tyB: 24 (OCUX
Äizrtä/ (/öguor-type) with 4 Penguin 2 SSM; RF6A: 18 (recce), RF5& 3 (recce).
FAC(I> 11: 5 S-141 Jaguar, 6 Zobeltyps.
Patrol traft 28: F-100D/R 40 (PGA).
24 large (1 Giro; 1 US AshevŒe, 12 AB-25,6 PC-1638, F 4 E 97: 90 (PGA), RRE 7 (recce).
4 PGM-71); F-104 22ft -0/G: 160 (FGA>, -& 32 (ftr>, TF-104: 28: 20
4 coastal 83-ft(. (FGAX4(flrX4(OCU).
Minelayers: 7:1 Nusret, 6 coastal C-130: 7 (tpt). Transal C-160D: 20 (tpt). Viscaunb 3
Minesweepers: 26:12 US Adjutant, 4 Cdn, 6 FRG f^esacfc (VIP). O47: 44+(40tpt,2viP, 2baseflt + comms
coastal; 4 US Cape inshore; 8 minehunting craft. fit, Hg school ac). CHaOav 2 (VIP tpt). AT-11: 18.
Ample 1ST. 7 (4 are duatpurpose mindayers); UX. 40. UM Beech 18: 2 (tpt). T-33: 82 (48 trg/OCU, 34-A
13. LCM 20. liaison/OCU). T-37:35 (OCU). T-34:15. T-41:30 (trg).
Auxiliary ships ind 1 HQ ship; 1 destroy tender, 1 sub HeBoopters:
tender, 2 repair ships; 4 depot ships; 1 fleet, 6 spt, 3 har- UH-1rt 15+(15 tpt, others in Bason, base fits, tigschools)i
bour tankers; 38 tpts. UH-19& 5 (base fits, trg schools).
NAVAL AVIATION: 15 combat ac 6 combat heL Missiles
ASW: 1 sqn with 15 S-2A/E Tracker ac 3 Agusta-Bell SAM: 72 Nike Hercules, 24 Rapier.
AB-204B, 3 AB-212 heL (On order 160 F-16 fir, 18 S-2E Trader ASW, 2 Citation
MARINES 1 bde (4,000). HQ, 3 bns, 1 arty bn (18 guns), n tig ac; 15 AH-1S Cobra hâ, Super Sidewinder, Spar-
spt units. row AAM; AGM-65 Maverick, 24 Rapier SAM msls.)
(On order 1 Type 1200 SS, 4 Meko-200 frigates, 12 LCT.) Forces Abroad: Cyprus 1 corps of 2 inf divs (23,000>,
150 M-47/-48 MET, 100 M-59 APQ 108 107mm mar,
AIR FORCE 57^75 (36,825 conscripts).
2 tac, 1 tpt, 1 air trg commands. 150 105mm, 155mm, 203mm guns/how, 72 40mm
PGA: 19sqns AAguns.
2 with Northrop F-5A/B;
2 with F-100D Super Sabre, PARAMILITARY. Gendarmerie 125,000 (md 3 mobile bdes
5 with McDonnell-Douglas F-4E; with V-150, UR-416 APC> Coastguard 1,1(0 36 large, 9
10 with Lockheed F-104G/TF-104.
coastal patrd craft, 4 tpts. (On order 4 SAR-33 FAC)
Ftn 2 sqns with F-1O4S/TF-1O4G.
Recce 2 sqns:
1 whh F5A, RF-5A; *Exd some TL 100 bn for military police and internal security,
1 with RF4E t Based on prdiminary results of October 1985 census.
Tï>fc5sqns: % About half the divs and bdes are below strength.
80
ern Cyprus'; it is this entity which is shown as 'Northern Cyprus' on p. 83. A numerical error
appeared in this entry in the 1985—6 edition and has now been corrected. The United
Nations has interposed a peace-keeping force (UNFICYP) between the communities since
1964. The United States has a signals establishment on the island.
Finland: Finland pursues a policy of neutrality. Under the 1948 Treaty of Friendship,
Co-operation and Mutual Assistance, Finland is committed to repel aggression against itself
or against the USSR through Finnish territory. In such a case, Finland can, if needed,
request assistance from the USSR, subject to special agreement. Finland maintains a perma-
nent UN peace-keeping force and has provided personnel for UN duties since 1956.
Finland's own defence industry provides nearly half its needs. Its major arms systems have
been acquired from the USSR and Sweden, together with special equipment from Britain,
France and the United States.
Ireland: Independent since 1922, Ireland plays an active role in UN peace-keeping oper-
ations. With no significant arms industry, it has bought arms from many sources, including
Britain, France, Sweden and the US.
Malta: After independence in 1964, Malta had a defence agreement with Britain. The island
was a NATO base from 1972 to 1979. In September 1980 Malta undertook to remain neutral,
outside any alliances, and banned foreign troops and bases, including Soviet warship docking
facilities. In 1980 Italy agreed to consult if Malta were attacked and to guarantee its indepen-
dence; this agreement was not renewed (1984). In December 1981 France and Algeria also
agreed to support and guarantee Maltese neutrality. In November 1984, and despite disputes
over territorial waters, Libya signed a five-year Treaty of Friendship and Co-operation under
which Malta agreed to exclude foreign military bases and Libya to answer requests for assist-
ance against aggression.
Sweden: Neutral in both World Wars, Sweden has a permanent peace-keeping organization
which has provided personnel for UN duties since 1964. Its self-defence organization is
largely supported by a domestic defence industry but some external purchases have been
made, mainly from the United States.
Switzerland: Neutral since 1815, Switzerland belongs to no defence alliance. Its small arms
industry produces most of its equipment and plays a small but significant role in exports.
Yugoslavia: Expelled from the Cominforrn in 1948, Yugoslavia has since been a leading force
in the Non-Aligned Movement, maintaining a balanced relationship with each Bloc. It has
no defence alliances, though a limited naval repair agreement exists with the USSR. It has its
own defence industry but has bought most of its major military equipment from the USSR.
OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES 81
Reserves: 155,000 (to age 56): Army 150,000, Inflation 1984: 5.7% 1985: 3.3%
Navy/Air 5,000. Debt 1984: $11.8bn 1985: $12.5 bn
Defbdgt 1985: OS 17.875 bn ($863.944 m)
ARMY: 31,500 (20,000 conscripts). 1986: OS 18.768 bn ($1.204 bn)
1 tk bde. $1=OS (1984): 20.009 (1985): 20.690
4 inf bdes. (1986): 15.588
3 arty regts. OS = schilling
6 It coastal arty bhs.
Equipment:^ Population: 7,565,000
Tks: 190:T-34, T-54. 18-30 31-45
AFV: recce: 13BRDM-1. Men: 802,000 772,000
APC: 80: BTR-40/-50/-152, K-63. Women: 776,000 762,000
Arty: guns: 76mm: M-1942, SU-76 SP; 85mm:
D-44, Type-56; 122mm: M-1931/37; TOTAL ARMED FORCES (Air Services form
130mm: Type-59-1. part of the Army):
gun/how: 122mm: M-1938, Type-60; 152mm: Regular: 54,700 (27,300 conscripts, some
M-1937,Type-66. 70,000 reservists on refresher training).
Terms of service. 6 months recruit trg; 60 days
how: 152mm: D-l.
reservist refresher trg during 15 years (or 8
MRU 107mm: Type-63. months trg, no refresher), 30—90 days
mor: 120mm, 160mm.
additional for specialists.
ATK: RCU 82mm: T-21. guns: 45mm: M-1942;
Reserves: 186,000; 970,000 (being increased)
57mm: M-1943; 85mm: D-44, Type-56.
AD: guns: 50: 37mm: M-1939; 23mm: ZU-23 twin. have a reserve commitment (men to age 51,
specialists, NCOs, officers 65).
NAVY: 3,300 (1,000 conscripts), f
Bases: Dürres, Valona, Sazan Island, Pasha liman. ARMY: 50,000 (25,000 conscripts).
Subs: 2 Sov W-class (1 trg). Army HQ.
Patrol craft: 2 Sov Kronshtadt large. Standing Alert Force (some 15,000):
FAC: 6 Ch Shanghai-ll. 1 mech div of 3 mech bdes (3 tk, 3 mech inf,
FAC(T): 12ChP-4. 3 SP arty, 2 SP ATK bns); 3 comd/spt, 1 AA,
Hydrofoil: 32 Ch Huchwan(. 1 engr, 1 sigs bns.
MCMV: 2 T-301 inshore, 6 PO-2 utility. Field Units (regional defence force — cadre units):
(Plus, in reserve: 1 W-class sub, 2 Kronshtadt Army: 1 HQ, 1 recce bns; 1 sigs, 1 log regts.
patrol craft, 2 T-43, 4 T-301 minesweepers). Corps:
2 HQ, 1 air-mobile, 2 mountain, 1 guards,
AIR FORCE: 7,200 (1,400 conscripts); some 100 2 arty, 1 SP ATK, 2 AA, 2 engr, 2 sigs bns.
combat ac.f 2 log regts.
Ftrs: 6 sqns with 20 Mikoyan-Guryevich 9 Regional (county) Commands.
MiG-15/F-2, 20 MiG-17, 40 MiG-19/J-6, 30 Landwehrstammregimente (trg regts):
20 Shenyang J-7. Peacetime: trg and maintenance.
82 OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
Recce: 1 fit with 8 BAe Hawk Mk 51. 12 inf bns (3 with MICV coy; 1 UNIFIL bn ad
Tpt: ac: 1 sqn with 3 Fokker F-27-100, 3 Gates hoc — dets from other bns).
Lear jet 3 5 A. hel: 1 fit with 7 Mil Mi-8 (also 1 tk sqn.
SAR), 2 Hughes 500. 4 recce sqns (1 armd).
Trg: 41 Hawk Mk 51, 27 Valmet L-70 Vinka. 3 fd arty regts (each of 2 btys); 1 indep bty.
Liaison: 14 Piper (8 Cherokee Arrow, 6 Chief- 1 AD regt (1 regular, 3 reserve btys).
tain). 3 fd engr coys.
AAM: AA-2 Atoll, RB-27, RB-28 (Falcon). 1 Ranger coy.
(On order: AD system.) Reserves:
4 Army Gps (garrisons).
Forces Abroad: 961 (UN only, not within Force 18 inf bns.
totals). Cyprus (UNFICYP) 10. Syria (UNDOF) 6 fd arty regts.
1 bn (402). Lebanon (UNIFIL) 1 bn (514). 3 motor sqns.
Other Mid-East (UNTSO) 22. Pakistan 3 engr sqns.
(UNMOGIP) 4. 3 supply, 8 tpt coys.
3 sigs coys.
3 AA btys.
PARA-MILITARY: Equipment:
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weeks over an 8-year period between ages Trg: incl 40 PC-7 Turbo-Trainer, 37 DH-100
20—32 for Auszug, 2 weeks over 3-year Vampire T-55, 65 Vampire Mk 6, 4 Mirage
period (33—42) for Landwehr, 1 week over IIIBS, 68 Pilatus P-3.
2-year period (43—50) for Landsturm. AAM: Sidewinder, AIM-26B Falcon.
Reserves (all services): 625,000 (45,000 officers, ASM: AS-30.
110,000 NCOs, 3,000 women auxiliaries). 1 air force fd bde (3 fd regts, 1 para coy, 1 It
ac wing).
ARMY: War establishment: 580,000 on 1 airbase bde with 3 AA arty regts, each with
mobilization. 4 batteries of 20mm and 35mm guns.
3 fd corps, each of 1 mech, 2 inf divs: 1 AD bde with 1 SAM regt (2 bns, each of 2 btys;
Corps tps:
3 inf, 3 cyclist, 3 engr regts (3 bns); 3 sigs, 64 B/l^64 (Bloodhound), 60 Rapier SAM); 7 AA
3 traffic control bns; 3 hel sqns, 3 It ac fits. arty regts (each of 3 btys; 20mm and 35mm
1 mountain corps of 3 mountain inf divs: guns, Skyguard fire control).
Corps tps: 3 comd and comms, 1 log regts.
1 mountain inf, 1 engr, 1 sigs regts; 7 indep (On order: 500 AGM-65 Maverick ASM.)
inf, 2 pack horse bns; 1 traffic control bn,
1 hel sqn. PARA-MILITARY:
17 indep bdes (11 frontier, 3 fortress, 3 re-
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2 air corps each 1 air def div, incl ac, AA arty, SAM.
155mm: 426 M-65, M-l 14.
FGA: 12 sqns: 25 P-2 Kraguj, 90 SOKO Galeb/
MRU 128mm: 122 M-73, M-63.
mor 3,215 82mm, 2,703 120mm. Jastreb, some G-4 Super Galeb.
SSM: 4 FROG-1. Interceptors: 9 sqns: 120 Mikoyan-Guryevich
ATK: guns: 75mm: 748: M-l943, PAL-40; 90mm: MiG-21F/PF/M/bis, 20 MiG-21U.
540: M-63B2 (incl SP); 100mm: 511 T-12. Recce: 4 sqns: 45 Galeb/Jastreb RJ-1, 25 SOKO
RCL 57mm: 1,418; 82mm: 1,838 M-60PB SP; Orao MR.
105mm: 526 M-65. OCU: 30 Galeb/Jastreb J-1/Ty-l, some Orao.
ATGW: Bov-1 veh with ATGW, AT-1 Snapper, ASW hel: 1 sqn with 10 Kamov Ka-25 (Navy-
AT-3 Sagger. assigned).
AD: guns: 20mm: 2,178: M-55/-75, Bov-3 SP triple; Tpt hel: 1 sqn with 20 Mil Mi-8, SA-341
30mm: 540: M-53, M-53/59, Bov-3 SP; 37mm: Gazela (Navy-assigned).
418 M-1939; 40mm: 128: M-l, 1770; 57mm: Tpt: 6 sqns:
304: S-60, ZSU-57-2 SP; 85mm: 260 M-l944; ac: 2 sqns: 6 Yakovlev Yak-40, 2 Antonov
90mm: 210 M-l 17; 3.7-in. (94mm): 46. An-12, 15 An-26, 2 Douglas DC-6B, 2 Das-
SAM: SA-6/-7/-9.
Reserves: some 250 T-34/85, 400 M-4 MBT, AA sault Mystère-Falcon 50 (VIP), 3 Canadair
guns; 300 M-18 Hellcat 76mm, M-36B2 90mm CI^215, Pilatus PC-6 Porter,
SP ATK guns in store. hel: 4 sqns: 70 Mi-8, 45 Gazela, 2 Agusta
(On order. M-84 MBT, some 200 M-80 MICV.) A-109 (some 20 hel (2 sqns) are armed).
Trg: ac incl 80 Galeb/Jastreb, 100 UTVA-75,
NAVY: 12,500 incl 1,500 marines, 2,300 coast UTVA-66; hel: 15 Gazela.
defence (5,500 conscripts). AAM: AA-2 Atoll.
Bases: Lora/Split, Pula, Sibenik, Kardeljevo, Kotor. ASM: AGM-65 Maverick.
Subs: 7: 15 AA arty regts.
2 Sava; 14 SAM bns (8 SA-2, 6 SA-3).
3 Heroj; 1 AB bde (Air Force-manned, Army offrs and trg,
2 Sutjeska (trg).
2 S-l 1 (Una) two-man diver veh. HQ control).
Frigates: 3 Koni with 4 SS-N-2B SSM, 1 twin (On order: Super Galeb, some 180 Orao FGA,
SA-N-4 SAM. PC-6A Turbo Porter It tpt ac, some 94
Corvettes: 3: 2 Momar, 1 Le Fougueux. SA-341 H Gazela hel.)
FAC(G): 16: 6 Rade Koncar, 10 Osa-1 with
2 and 4 SS-N-2A/B respectively.
FAC(T): 15 Shershen. PARA-MILITARY (under Army):
Patrol craft: 16 large: 10 Kraljevica, 6 Type 131 Frontier Guards 15,000; 9 Mima patrol craft.
(retiring); some 60 Type 80, 11 Mima. Territorial Defence Force (militia): 1 million:
MCMV: 21 minesweepers: 4 Vukov Klanac mobile inf bdes, arty, AA bns, TAB-71/-72
coastal, 10 inshore (4 Ham, 6 M-l 17), 7 Nestin APC, arty incl SU-76/-100, AA.
river( (some in reserve). Civil Defence 2 million on mobilization.
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To cite this article: (1986) The Middle East and North Africa, The Military Balance, 86:1, 89-112, DOI:
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89
refused to accept this abrogation. A 20-year Treaty of Friendship between the USSR and
North Yemen was signed in October 1984; details are not known.
Bulgaria and the People's Democratic Republic of Yemen (PDRY; South Yemen) signed
a Protocol for Co-operation in April 1980 and a Treaty of Friendship and Co-operation on
14 November 1981. Similar agreements with Hungary were reported in April and Novem-
ber 1981. Libya signed treaties of Friendship and Co-operation with Bulgaria and
Romania in January 1983. Sudan and Romania signed an agreement providing technical
co-operation and training in November 1982.
The United States concluded a mutual defence agreement with Israel in July 1952. A sub-
sequent strategic co-operation understanding, reported in early 1982, led in March 1984 to
a series of agreements covering aid and support, details of which have still not been pub-
lished. A 1981 agreement enables the US to use Egyptian bases, but only under strict con-
ditions. A similar agreement was reached with Morocco in May 1982. An agreement has
been concluded with Oman to provide economic and military aid in exchange for per-
mission conditionally to use Salalah and Masirah as staging bases. An agreement with
Bahrain permits the US Navy to use port facilities. In November 1981, a strategic
co-operation agreement was signed with Tunisia.
Britain concluded Treaties of Friendship with Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates
(UAE) in August 1971 and a Defence Co-operation Agreement with Oman in June 1985. It has
supplied arms to Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan and the
UAE. France has continuing arms-supply arrangements with Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya,
Morocco, Sudan and Tunisia. West Germany provided technical training assistance to Sudan
under a 1982 agreement. Spain has reached a defence agreement with Morocco enabling its
navy to use Moroccan ports; the benefits to Morocco have not been identified.
China signed a Treaty of Friendship with North Yemen in 1964, under which minor arms
were provided. Arms and spare parts have been sent to Egypt under agreements signed in
1978/9 and 1983. A military co-operation agreement was signed with Sudan in January
1982 and arms supplied. North Korea and Libya signed a Treaty of Alliance or Friendship
and Co-operation in November 1982 which permits exchanges of military data, specialists
and supplies.
Peace-Keeping Forces
The United Nations (UN) withdrew the 4,000-man Emergency Force (UNEF) from the Sinai
on 24 July 1979; its duties were temporarily assumed by the Truce Supervisory
Organization (UNTSO), 298 officers (including Observer Group Beirut of some 50 officers).
It has monitored the cease-fire on Israel's northern border since 1949. The Egyptian-Israeli
border is now patrolled by the 2,642-man Multinational Force and Observers (MFO) under
the Israeli-Egyptian Peace Treaty; contingents come from the US (1,186), Australia (which
90 MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA
is being replaced by Canada in 1986) (109), Britain (37), Colombia (500), Fiji (500), France
(43), Italy (90), the Netherlands (102) and Uruguay (75).
The UN also deploys in the Golan Heights the 1,317-man Disengagement Observer Force
(UNDOF), made up of contingents from Austria (532), Canada (226), Finland (402) and
Poland (157).
The UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) consists of some 5,827 men from France
(1,391), Fiji (627), Finland (514), Ghana (690), Ireland (746), Italy (51), Nepal (800), Nor-
way (864) and Sweden (144).
Arab Supreme Defence Council, comprising Foreign and Defence Ministers (set up in
1950), the Permanent Military Committee of Army General Staffs (1950), which is an
advisory body, and the Unified Arab Command (1964).
Syrian and Palestine Liberation Army forces, initially deployed as the Arab Deterrent
Force, remain in parts of northern Lebanon. Syria has reinforced its component and main-
tains a measure of control over the Arab guerrilla group elements in the Beqa'a Valley and
northern Lebanon. Israeli forces, supported by a Lebanese Christian militia and a Home
Guard, exercise a measure of control over a strip of territory in the south of Lebanon.
Algeria and Libya signed a defence agreement in 1975. Egypt and Sudan signed a joint
defence agreement in 1977. The Egyptian-Sudanese Joint Defence Council's minutes of
December 1981 were tantamount to another agreement, and in October 1982 an 'Inte-
gration Charter' was signed covering, inter alia, military policy; these are probably no
longer in effect. Saudi Arabia has long supported Morocco against Polisario guerrillas; the
two countries signed a security pact in February 1982. A Mutual Defence Agreement
between Libya and Morocco was ratified in September 1984; no change in Saudi policy is
reported. Libya signed a 'Strategic Agreement' with Iran in June 1985; no details have been
released. An understanding between Saudi Arabia and Iraq is believed to have been signed
in 1979. Jordan and Iraq ratified a defence agreement in March 1981. The Gulf
Co-operation Council (GCC), created in May 1981 by Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi
Arabia and the UAE, is developing a mutual defence structure to include a joint 'rapid
deployment' force, air defence, transport and procurement. It is being reinforced by internal
security pacts between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, Qatar, Oman (1982) and the UAE. A
draft Gulf security agreement is being considered.
Morocco has loaned forces to the UAE. Libya, South Yemen and Ethiopia formed the
Aden Treaty Tripartite Alliance in 1981; it included a joint defence commitment but
nothing has since been reported, and the commitment has probably lapsed. North and
South Yemen have agreed in principle to a merger (1981, 1986); the details remain obscure.
Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and North Yemen have announced the departure of unspecified
numbers of'volunteers' to assist Iraq in the war against Iran, but no formed units have been
despatched. Iraq has stated that multinational composite units have been formed; their
roles are obscure. Sudan and Ethiopia agreed a regime of security, stability and non-
interference in each other's internal affairs in July 1982. Actions since the coup in Sudan in
April 1985 suggest the possibility that this agreement is being implemented.
Arms movements in the region are peculiarly complex. Egypt has supplied arms to
Morocco, Sudan and Iraq. Algeria and Libya have supplied arms to Polisario, and most Arab
countries have supplied Palestinian guerrillas with arms. In some cases a third nation funds
the recipient's foreign arms purchases. Iran has reportedly received arms, supplies and spares
from, inter alia, Israel, North Korea and Eastern Europe and is also buying material on the
open market in Western Europe. Some Chinese weapons have been identified in Iranian ser-
MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA 91
vice, and more are reported as being delivered. Iraq has apparently recently received arms
from Egypt, the USSR, China, North Korea, France, Portugal and Brazil.
In 1975 an Arab Organization for Industrialization (AOI) was set up in Egypt, under the
aegis of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE and Sudan, to encourage indigenous Arab arms pro-
duction. Arab involvement ended in 1979 following Egypt's rapprochement with Israel.
Egypt replaced the AOI with an existing Egyptian Arab Military Industries Organization and
with foreign aid. Some of this aid is from Saudi Arabia for limited specific projects. Egypt
also has been entering into co-production agreements with Britain, France, the US and
Yugoslavia. For their part, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar and the UAE agreed in 1979
to replace the AOI with an $8-billion arms industry in the UAE. This proposal is still before
the GCC and may now be moribund.
Military Developments
North Africa has been a main area of conflict over the past year, with combat in Libya,
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Western Sahara, Chad and the Sudan. Libya received Soviet SA-5 SAM late in 1985. These
were being installed at the time of the US air strikes against Libya but were inadequate to
protect Libyan airspace. It is not known whether they are fully operational, nor whether
these systems have been modified to bring them to the latest specifications. Libyan actions
in Chad were intermittent and not very successful. Polisario continues to operate in West-
ern Sahara; the Moroccan defensive wall limits those operations to hit-and-run raids which
are being contained. Losses occur on both sides and there are indications that budgetary
constraints have delayed some of the purchases of replacements by the Moroccan Forces.
The civil war in the Sudan continues to frustrate national development and any improve-
ment of military capability. The transfer from interim military rule to a civil adminis-
tration has not brought with it the hoped-for reconciliation between the North and South.
No major arms purchases have been noted.
The Gulf War continues, with no apparent change in the balance between Iranian numeri-
cal superiority on the one hand and Iraqi material superiority on the other. Reports of
losses and confusing indications of resupply make evaluations of strength difficult and of
limited reliability. The 'Tanker War' also goes on but without any major impact on exports.
The Iraq-based Kurds have taken advantage of the War to strengthen their position. The
apparent increase in total Iranian personnel strength stems largely from our inclusion this
year of the Revolutionary Guards as Regulars, reflecting their actual position.
Israeli financial constraints appear to have caused delays in naval equipment programmes
and may interfere with the export sales plans for the indigenously-designed Lavi fighter.
Despite financial constraints, Saudi Arabia has gone, ahead with its order for Tornado FGA
and air defence aircraft and Hawk and Pilatus trainers. Oman, on the other hand, has post-
poned the delivery of Tornado — presumably for financial reasons. Decisions by the United
States Congress and Senate to oppose further orders for equipment has Saudi Arabia
seeking alternative sources. The political conflict in Southern Yemen resulted in bitter
fighting and the destruction of a considerable proportion of its military equipment; reports
on replacement continue to be inconclusive and conflicting.
Economic Factors
The Middle East is experiencing the worst economic recession in recent history. After dra-
matic economic growth on the part of the oil-exporting countries, and substantial economic
improvements in many non-oil-producing states (e.g Jordan) during the 1970s, all states of
the region are now having to come to terms with economic difficulties until recently confined
to the western hemisphere and Africa: large external debts, a drastic reduction in income; and
massive trade deficits and deficit financing, which is being partially offset by drawing down
reserves. Moreover, the Middle East and North Africa are experiencing significant population
92 MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA
growth and urbanization which may have unforeseeable economic consequences and serious
implications for regional security, especially in the Gulf.
The drastic decline of oil prices (in many cases by over 50%), an equally drastic fall in
petroleum output, due to conservation measures by the consumer countries and the world-
wide recession, are only some of the reasons for this economic malaise. The Iraq—Iran War
(and its concomitant economic effects on the GCC), the continuing crisis in the Lebanon and
Syria's expensive involvement there, the instability of Sudan, Egypt's expensive moderniz-
ation of the military, and Libyan and Moroccan military involvement in the Saharan belt
are also contributing factors. Moreover, massive infrastructure development projects over
the past decade, especially in the major oil-producing countries, have committed these
states to their upkeep, forcing them to abandon, or at least to curtail, further development
projects. Finally, due to the severe manpower shortage in the Gulf states, Iraq and Libya,
many regional states with surplus manpower (e.g. Egypt and Pakistan) have become depen-
dent on hard-currency remittances, and during the past two years these have been drasti-
cally reduced.
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Regional debt, excluding Iran, Iraq and Israel, is estimated to amount to about $110 bn.
Iran's debt is negligible in comparison to those of other Middle Eastern states, amounting to
well under $1 bn. Iraq's debt, on the other hand, is somewhere between $65 bn and $85 bn
(three times its GDP), $50—60 bn of which is owed to the GCC states and probably will have
been written off; the rest consists of debts to western and Asian creditors and especially to
its arms suppliers: the USSR, France and Brazil. Israel's debt — one of the highest in per-
centage terms of GDP and servicing ratios — amounts to over $30 bn. Of the other states,
Sudan, Egypt and Morocco continue to have the highest total national debts, but Jordan,
Tunisia, and the Yemen Arab Republic are also dangerously over-exposed (with debts rep-
resenting about 70% of GDP).
Regional GDP growth for 1984 was expected to be about 2.5%; in reality, however, it fell
to under 1%, while in 1985 GDP actually declined by at least 1.6%, or probably more. With
the oil price collapse in 1986, the region will have entered a steep decline (probably around
-10%) in terms of GDP output. While the rich oil producers (especially members of the
GCC) have sufficient capital reserves to deal with the fall in income in the short run, the
poorer states (Jordan, Egypt, Sudan, etc.) will have to find other means to finance their
budget deficits.
With some of the world's highest population increases (between 3 and 5%), economic pro-
gress is constantly being eroded; there has been a constant annual rate of decline, ranging
from 3% to 5%, in real per capita GDP in the 1980s. The seriousness of the economic
situation is further indicated by the decline in trade. Regional exports declined from $253
bn in 1980 to $131 bn in 1985, while imports remained more or less unchanged (falling
from $129 bn in 1980 to $116 bn in 1985), and this has caused serious balance-of-payments
difficulties in some countries (e.g. Libya, Egypt and Sudan). Some countries, such as Sudan,
are near financial collapse, while Israel, with the highest inflation rate and debt exposure,
has to be supported financially by Western powers, especially the United States. Their bur-
dens are accentuated by involvement in external conflicts (Morocco, Syria, Iraq, Iran,
Israel and Libya) or by serious internal problems (Sudan). Political and military insecurity,
and high population growth, therefore remain the greatest obstacles to economic advance-
ment in the Middle East.
NAVY: 7,000.
Bases: Algiers, Annaba, Mers el Kebir. BAHRAIN
Subs: 2 R-class.
Frigates: 3 Koni with 1 twin SA-N-4 SAM. GDP 1984: D 1.89 bn ($5.027 bn)
Corvettes: 4 Nanuchka with 4 SS-N-2b/c SSM, 1985e: D 1.68 bn ($4.468 bn)
1 twin SA-N-4 SAM. growth 1984: 3.0% 1985: 2.4%
94 MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA
FAC(G): 8 Kaman {La Combattante II) with a deliveries possible but unconfirmed; MRL identified. Oper-
total of 7 Harpoon SSM (?3 serviceable). ational status of US-source eqpt impossible to confirm.
Patrol craft: large: 7:
3 Improved PGM-71, 4 Cape, 2 BH-7
hovercraft?.
MCMV: 2 US MSC 292/268 coastal. IRAQ
Amph: LST: 4 Hengam; LCT: 4 Neth.
Spt: 1 replenishment, 2 fleet supply, 1 repair ship. GDP 1984e:D 8.4 bn ($27.018 bn)
Marines: 3 bns. 1985e:D 7.0 bn ($22.515 bn)
(On order: 6 Type-1200 subs.) growth 1984: -10.0% 1985: -14%
Inflation 1984: 22.0% 1985: 25.0%
NAVAL AIR: 2 combat ac, 12 combat hel. Debt* 1984: $45-50 bn 1985: $55-75 bn
MR: 1 sqn with 2 P-3F Orion Def exp 1984e: D 4.3 bn ($13.831 bn)
(?non-operational) may 1985e:D 4.0 bn ($12.866 bn)
ASW: 1 hel sqn with ?12 have $1=D (1982): 0.2984 (1983/4/5): 0.3109
Sikorsky SH-3D combined. D = dinar
MCM: 1 hel sqn with 2 Sikorsky RH-53D.
Tpt: 1 sqn with 4 Rockwell Shrike Commander, 4 Population: 15,400,000
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MRU 200: ind 122mm: BM-21; 127mm: 60 Recce: 1 sqn with 5 MiG-25.
ASTROS II; 132mm: BM-13/-16. Tpt: ac: 2 sqns:
SSNi: 30 FROG-1, 20 Scud B. 10 Antonov An-2 Colt, 10 An-12 Cub, 6 An-24
mor: 120mm, 160mm. Coke (retiring); 2 An-26 Curl, 13 Ilyushin
ATK: RCU 73mm: SPG-9; 82mm: B-10; 107mm. 11-76 Candid, 2 Tu-134 Crusty, 13 11-14
guns: 85mm; 100mm towed; 105mm: 100 JPz Crate, 1 DH Heron.
SK-105SP. Trg: incl MiG-15/-21/-23U, Su-7U, BAe Hunter
ATGW: AT-3 Sagger, SS-11, Milan, HOT. T-69; 16 Mirage F-1BQ; 50 L-29 Delfin, 40
Avn (Army Air Corps): (7150) armd hel. L-39 Albatros, 50 PC-7 Turbo Trainer, 11
attack (?40) Mil Mi-24 Hind; 50 SA-342 Gazelle EMB-312 Tucano.
(some with HOT); 10 SA-321 Super Frelon, AAM: R-530, R-550 Magic, AA-2/-6/-7/-8.
some with Exocet AM-38 ASM; some 30 ASM: AS-30 Laser, Armât, Exocet AM-39, AS-4
SA-316B Alouette III with AS-12 ASM; some Kitchen, AS-5 Kelt.
44 MBB BO-105 with SS-11 ATGW. (On order, no confirmed information.)
tpt (hy): 10 Mi-6 Hook, (med:) 100 Mi-8, 20
Mi-4, 10 SA-330 Puma.
PARA-MILITARY:
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t Does not include captured PLO equipment: T-34, Patrol craft: 6 (2 armed().
T-54 MBT, APC, 130mm guns, BM-21 MRL, ZSU-23-4 (On order: patrol craft.)
AA guns, SA-9 SAM.
AIR FORCE: 7,200; 119 combat ac, 24 armed hel.
FGA: 3 sqns with 67 Northrop F-5E/F.
Interceptor 2 sqns with 34 Dassault Mirage
JORDAN F-1CJ/EJ.
OCU: 1 sqn with 15 F-5A, 3 F-5B.
GDP 1984: D 1.523 bn ($3,965 bn) Tpfc 1 sqn with 6 C-130B/H Hercules, 2 North
1985e: D 1.675 bn ($4,252 bn) American Sabreliner 75A, 2 CASA C-212A.
growth 1984: 2.3% 1985: 4.8% VIP: 1 sqn with 2 Boeing 727, 3 Dassault
Inflation 1984: 3.8% 1985: 5.5% Mystère-Falcon 20, 1 T-39 Sabreliner ac, 4
Debt 1984: $2.9 bn 1985: $4.2 bn Sikorsky S-76 hel.
Defbdgt 1985: D 206.0 m ($522.807 m) Hel: 4 sqns:
1986: D 243.7 m ($735.365 m) 2 with 24 Bell AH-1S (with TOW ASM; for
FMA 1984: $400.0 m
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MILITIAS: Equipment:
Lebanese Forces Militia (Kata'eb = Phalange): Tks: M-48, 50 T-54/5.
4,500 regulars, 30,000 reservists. AFV: recce: Saladin. APC: VAB, BTR, M-l 13.
Equipment: Arty: guns: 130mm. how. 105mm, 122mm,
Tks: 110 T-34, 50 M-48; 5 M-4, 55 T-54. 155mm. MRU 107mm, 122mm.
It:some20AMX-13tks. ATK: guns: 85mm, 100mm. ATGW: AT-3 Sagger.
APC:M-113. AD: guns: 23mm ZU-23. SAM: SA-7.
Arty: some 100: 122mm, 130mm, 155mm.
Al Amal al Islam (Islamic Amal; break-away
mor 60mm, 81mm, 120mm.
ATK: RPG-7. faction, links with Iranian Revolutionary
AD: 12.7mm, 14.5mm, 23mm guns. Guard Corps): (600).
Patrol boats: 1 Tracker, 2 Yatush. Equipment incl
Arty: 130mm. mor.
Guardians of the Cedars: (Right-wing): ?300. ATK: RU RPG-7.
Marada Brigades (Zehorta Liberation Army) AD: guns: 20mm ZPU-2.
(pro-Syrian): ?200. Hizbollah ("The Party of God'; fundamentalist,
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152mm: 48 M-1973, DANA SP; 155mm: 200 sault Mystère-Falcon-20, 2 C-140 Lockheed
Palmaria, 18 M-109 SP. Jetstar, 2 Canadair CL-44, 15 Ilyushin 11-76
MRU some 600: 122mm: BM-21/RM-70; Candid, 1 Aerospatiale Corvette 200, 2
130mm: M-51. Beech King Air, 6 Fokker F-27-600, 16
SSM: 48 FROG-1, 70 Scud B. TurboletiAXO.
mor: 450: 81mm, 120mm, 160mm, 240mm. Hel: 9 sqns:
ATK: RCU 200 106mm. ATGW: 3,000: Vigilant, attack: 2 with 30 Mil Mi-24 Hind;
Milan, AT-3 Sagger (ind BRDM SP). ASW: 2 with 30 Mi-14 Haze,
AD: guns: 600: 23mm: ZSU-23-2, ZSU-23-4 SP, SAR: 1 with 8 SA-321 Super Frelon.
30mm: M-53/59 SP; 40mm: L/70; 57mm. tpt: (hy): 1 with 19 CH-47C Chinook, (med): 1
SAM: SA-7, 30 quad Crotale. with Mi-8, 2 Agusta-Bell AB-212; (It): 1
(On order MBT, BMD AB MICV, Fiat 6616 recce, with 5 AB-206, 1 with 10 SA-316B^/ot/e«e
/ISraOS II SS-40MRLS.) III, 9 AB-47.
Trg: 4 sqns:
NAVY: 6,500. 2 with 61 Soko G-2 Galeb ac; 2 with 20 Mi-2
Bases: Tarabulus, Benghazi, Darnah, Tubruq, {Hoplite) hel; 2 Tu-22 Blinder D, 100 Aero
Bardiyah, Al Khums. L-39ZO, 12 CM-170 Magister, 139
Subs: 6 Sov F-class; 2 R-2 'Afa/a'-class submersible. SIAI-Marchetti SF-260WL.
Frigates: 2: AAM: AA-2 Atoll, AA-6 Acrid, AA-7 Apex, AA-8
1 Vosper Mk 7 with 4 Otomat SSM, 4 Aphid, R-550 Magic.
Albatros/Aspide SAM; ASM: Swatter ATGW (hel-borne).
1 ATom'-class with 4 SS-N-2C SSM. AD Comd: (13,000).
Corvettes: 7: 3 SA-5A bdes: each 2 bns of 6 launchers, some
4 Assad with 4 Otomat SSM (1 with 1 quad 4 AA gun bns; radar coys, 2 AD schools.
Aspide SAM); 3 Regional Sections: 2 bdes each 18 SA-2,
3 Sov Nanuchka II with 4 SS-N-2C SSM, 1 twin 2—3 bdes each 12 twin SA-3, ?3 bdes each
SA-N-4 SAM. 20/24 SA-6/-8.
FAC(G): 24: (On order MiG-25, MiG-23 ftrs; 25 EMB-121
9 Sharara {La Combattante II) with 4 Xingu tpt, 50 SF-260M trg ac; SA-342 Gazelle,
Otomat SSM; 2 Agusta A-109 hel; Super 530 AAM.)
12 Sov Osa-II with 4 SS-N-2C SSM;
3 Susa with 8 SS-12M SSM. Forces Abroad:
Patrol craft: 8:
Chad: some 5,000; 2 mech bns, 2 tk bns: T-55 tks,
4 Garian, 3 100-ft Benina large;
1 78-ft coastal. BMP-1 MICV, MRL, AD guns, SAM, 5 SF-260W
MCMV: 7 Sov Natya. ac, 3 Mi-24
Amph: LST: 2 PS-700; LSM: 3 Polnocny,
LCU: 20 C-107.
Mise 1 tpt (could use as minelayer). PARA-MILITARY:
Drone craft: 50. Liwa Haris Al-Jamahiriya (Revolution Guard
(On order 2 Rade Koncar-Xype FAC(G), 1 Benina Corps). Eqpt MBT: T-54/-55. AFV: armd cars, APC
patrol craft.) Arty: MRL. AD: ZSU-23-4, SA-8 (Army inventory).
104 MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA
PARA-MIUTARY: 35,000 ind Gendarmerie Arty: guns: 105mm: 39 ROFlt; 130mm: 12 M-1946.
Royale, Force Auxiliare and Mobile Interven- gun/how: 18 25-pdr (88mm).
tion Corps: 2 Socata Rallye ac; 8 SA-315/-316 how: 155mm: 12 FH-70, 12 M-109A2 SP.
Alouette II/III, 6 Gazelle, 6 Puma hel. mon 60mm; 81mm: L-16; 4.2-in. (107mm): 12
M-30; 120mm: 12.
OPPOSITION-.
ATGW: 10 BGM-71A TOW, Milan.
Polisario: 15,000 (perhaps 4,000 'Regulars') org in AD: guns: 4 ZU-23-2 23mm. SAM: Blowpipe.
bns, spt elms.
Eqpt: MBT: T-55; AFV: MICV: BMP-1, some 20—30 NAVY: 2,000.
EE-9 Cascavel; Arty: how: M-1931/37 122mm; Bases: Muscat, Raysut, Ghanam (Goat) Island;
MRL BM-21 122mm; mon 120mm, 160mm. AD: WadamAlwi(1986).
guns: 23mm ZSU-23-2; SAM: SA-6, SA-7. FAC(G): 4 with Exocet SSM:
(Captured Moroccan eqpt incl AML-90, Eland 3 Province (2 with 2 quad, 1 with 2 triple MM-40);
AFV, Ratel-20, Panhard APC, Steyr SK-105 1 Brook Marine with 2 MM-38.
105mm SP ATK guns.)
Patrol craft: 4 inshore(.
Amph: 1ST: 2 (1 comd); LCM: 3; LCU: 2.
Trg ship: 1.
(On order. 1 Province-class FAQG).)
OMAN
GDP 1984: R 3.047 bn ($8.822 bn) AIR FORCE: 3,000; 52 combat ac.
1985: R 3.400 bn ($9.844 bn) FGA: 2 sqns with 20 Sepecat Jaguar S(O) Mk 1,
growth 1984: 11.0% 1985: 2% 4T-2.
Inflation 1984: -2.0% 1985: -1.1% FGA/recce: 1 sqn with 12 BAe Hunter FGA-73,
Debt 1984: $2.0 bn 1985: $2.0 bn 4T-7.
Defbdgt 1985: R 717.0 m ($2.076 bn) COIN/trg: 1 sqn with 12 BAC-167 Strikemaster
1986E: R 601.0 m ($1.561 bn)
FMA see note* Mk82.
$1=R (1983/4/5): 0.3454 (1986): 0.3850 Tpt 3 sqns:
R = rial 1 with 3 BAC-111,1 Dassault Mystère-Falcon 20;
2 with 7 BN-2 Defender/Islander, 15 Short
Population: 1,000,000— 1,600,000t Skyvan 3M, 3 C-130H Hercules.
18-30 31-45 Hel: 2 sqns:
Men: 135,000 118,000 tpt (med): 20 Agusta-Bell AB-205, 4 AB-212, 2
Women: 120,000 92,000 AS-332 Super Puma, 5 AB-214B.
(It): 3 AB-206.
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: AD: 2 sqns with 28 Rapier SAM.
Regular 21,500 (excl Royal Household tps, but AAM: AIM-9 Sidewinder, R-550 Magic.
incl some 3,700 foreign personnel). (On order 8 Panavia Tornado ftr, 1 C-130H, 2
Terms of service, voluntary. DHC-5D Buffalo tpts; 6 Bell 214ST hel; 300
Reserves: National Volunteer Reserve Force AIM-9P Sidewinder AAM; 2 S-713 (3-D radar)
(Army): 1,000; obligation to age 35—45. systems, 28 Blindfire radars.)
106 MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA
Musandam Security Force (Shikuk Tribal Militia) 85. (On order 6 SA-330 Puma hel.)
* $1.8 bn military subsidy from GCC between 1984 PARA-MILITARY; Police: 3 Lynx, 2 Gazelle hel.
and 1994.
t Breakdown based on World Bank projections and
total population of 1.3 m.
SAUDI ARABIA
QATAR
GDP 1984: R 371.25 bn ($105.355 bn)
GDP 1984: R 12.377 bn ($3.400 bn) 1985: R 339.22 bn ($93.653 bn)
1985: R 11.100 bn ($3.050 bn) growth 1984: 0.9% 1985: -7.5%
growth 1984: -10.0% 1985: -7.5% Inflation 1984: -1.1% 1985: -3.4%
Inflation 1984: 3.5% 1985: 3.0% Debt 1984: $13.3 bn 1985: $14.7 bn
Debt 1984: $650.0 m 1985: $1.1 bn Def bdgt 1984/5: R 79.90 bn ($22.674 bn)
Def bdgt 1983/4e: R 604.0 bn ($ 165.939 bn) 1985/6: R 64.085 bn ($17.693 bn)
$1 = R (1983/4/5): 3.6399 (1986): 3.6410
R = rial $1=R (1983): 3.4548 (1984): 3.5238
(1985): 3.6221 (1986): 3.7510
Population: 300,000 (incl foreigners; indigenous R = rial
population est 80,000) Population: 8—12 million (based on 1986 World
Bank projection of 11.6 million)
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: 18-30 31-45
Regular. 6,000. Men: 1,450,000 1,250,000
Terms of service, voluntary. Women: 1,100,000 772,000
ARMY: 5,000. TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
1 Royal Guard regt. Regular 67,500 (incl 10,000 National Guard).
1 tk bn.
3 inf bns. Terms of service, voluntary; conscription, males
1 arty bty. aged 18—35, authorized.
1 SAM bty with Rapier.
Equipment: ARMY: 40,000.
Tks: 24 AMX-30. 2 armd bdes.
AFV: recce: 10 Ferret. Micv: 30 AMX-10P. APC: 25 4 mech bdes.
Saracen, 136 VAB, 8 Commando Mk 3. 1 inf bdes.
Arty: gun/how: 8 25-pdr (88mm). how: 6 Mk F-3 1 AB bde (2 para bns, 3 special forces coys).
155mm SP. mon 81mm. 1 Royal Guard regt (3 bns).
AD: SAM: 18 Rapier, Blowpipe. 5 arty bns.
18 AAartybtys.
NAVY: 700 incl Marine Police. 17 SAM btys:
Base. Doha. 12 with 105 Improved HA WK{2\(, msls);
FAC(G): 3 La Combattante IIIB with 8 Exocet 3 with 12 Shahine (48 msls) and AMX-30SA
MM-40 SSM. 30mm SP AA guns.
MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA 107
1 SAM bde (3 btys) with SA-2. eqt and internal security expenditure — est as high as
Equipment.-^ $500 m; 1985/6 budget est as high as ?S 875.0m).
Tks: 120 T-54/-55, 20 M-60A3. t Eqpt serviceability questionable.
It 78 Ch Type-62.
AFV: recce: 6 AML-90, 48 Saladin, 55 Ferret,
BRDM-1/-2. APC: 50 BTR-50/-152, 30
OT-62/-64, 30 M-l 13, 48 Walid.
Arty: guns: 85mm: 30 D-44; 25-pdr (88mm): 55; SYRIA
100mm: 25 M-l944; 122mm: Type-60; 130mm:
36 M-46 and Ch 59-1; 155mm: 11 Mk F-3. GDP 1983: ?S 73.049 bn ($ 18.611 bn)
how: 105mm: 18 M-101 pack; 122mm: 64 1984: ?S 75.126 bn ($19.140 bn)
M-1938/Type-54/D-30. growth 1983: 3.1% 1984: 3.0%
MRU 122mm:^/5fl^r-30. Inflation 1983: 6.0% 1984: 9.6%
mor 120mm: 30. Debt* 1984: $3.5 bn 1985e: $4.0 bn
ATK: guns: 85mm: 20 D-48. ATGW: Swingfire. Def bdgt 1985: ?S 13.672 bn ($3.483 bn)
AD: guns: 20mm: M-l67 towed, M-l63 SP; 23mm: 1986e: ?S 14.220 bn ($3.623 bn)
ZU-23-2; 37mm: 100 M-1939/Type-63; 40mm: $1=?S (1983/4/5/6): 3.925
80 1760; 85mm: KS-12; 100mm: KS-19 towed. Population: 11,250,000
SAM: 20 SA-2, SA-7. 18-30 31-45
Men: 1,270,000 680,000
NAVY: 7504 Women: 1,164,000 660,000
Base. Port Sudan.
Patrol craft: ?11:
large: 7: 4 Yug PBR, 3 70-ton; TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
coastal: 4 10-ton; Regular. 392,500.
river (3 reported). Terms of service. 30 months.
Amph: LCr. 2 Yug DTM-221. Reserves (to age 45): 272,500. Army 270,000
active, Navy 2,500.
AIR FORCE: 3,000; 35 combat ac4
FGA/intercepton 1 sqn with some 8 Mikoyan- ARMY: 320,000 (135,000 conscripts, 50,000
Guryevich MiG-21. reservists).
FGA: 1 sqn with 8 Shenyang J-5 (MiG-17 type), 6 HQ: 2 corps.
Shenyang J-6 (MiG-19 type), 10 MiG-17. 5 armd divs (each 3 armd, 1 mech, 1 arty bdes).
COIN: 1 sqn with 3 BAe/BAC-167 Strikemaster 3 mech divs (each 2 armd, 2 mech, 1 arty bdes).
(forming). 2 indep armd bdes.
MR: 2 CASA C-212. 2 indep mech bdes (may be reorg as new mech div).
Tpt: 1 sqn with 6 C-130H Hercules, 1 Dassault 2 indep inf bdes.
Mystère-Falcon, 3 DHC-5D Buffalo, 8 PC-6A 3 arty bdes.
Turbo-Porter, 6 EMB-110P2 Bandeirante. 1 special forces div (9 para/cdo bdes).
Hel: 1 sqn with 8 IAR/SA-330 Puma, 10 MBB 3 SSM bdes:
BO-105, 5 Bell 212. 2 (each 3 bns) with FROG, Scud;
Trg: incl 3 BAe Jet Provost Mk 55,3 MiG-15UTI, 2 1(2 bns) with SS-21.
MÏG-21U, 2 JJ-5 (2-seat J-5), 2 JJ-6 (2-seat J-6). 9 SAM bns (27 btys) with SAM-6.
MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA 109
3 AlphaJet FGA/trg, 1 G-222, 1 C-130H-30 tpt, ATK: miLAW.WX. 75mm: M-20; 82mm.
2 MB-339, some 24 Hawk (8 Mk 61,16 Mk 63) trg ATOM 20 Vigilant, BGM-71A TOW, 24 M47 Dragon.
ac; 30 A-129 Mangusta, 4 AS-332F Super Puma, AD: guns 20mm: 52 M-167, 20 M-163 Vulcan SP,
Westland Lynx hel; Skyguard AD system with twin 23mm: ZU-23, ZSU-23-4; 37mm: M-1939; 57mm:
35mm guns.) S-60. SAMT SA-2/-6/-9.
NAVY: 550.
PARA-MILITARY: Coastguard (Ministry of the Base. Hodeida.
Interior): 57 coastal patrol boats/craft. Patrol crafb 6(:
3 Sov (2 Zhuk, 1 Poluchat);
* The Union Defence Force and the armed forces of the 3 US Brvadsword (Tnon-operauoaai).
United Arab Emirates (Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Ras Al Khaimah MCMV: 2 Yevgenya inshore.
and Shaijah) were formally merged in 1976; Abu Dhabi and Ampk ICK 4: 2 T-4, 2 Ondatra.
Dubai still maintain a degree of independence. Non-nationals
ind some 500 Moroccans. AIR FORCE 1,000; 95 combat ac*
Ftrs:5sqns:
2 with 40 Mikoyan-Guryevich MiG-21;
1 with 20 MÏG-17F;
1 with 11 Northrop F-5E;
YEMEN ARAB REPUBLIC (NORTH) 1 with 20 Sukhoi Su-22.
Tpts 2 C-130H Hercules, 2 C47 (Douglas DC-3), 2
GDP 1983c R 16.10 bn ($3.353 bn) Short Skyvan, 3 Antonov An-24 Coke, 3 An-26 Curl
1984: R 17.95 bn ($3.362 bn) Trg: 4 F-5B, 4 MiG-15UTL
growth 1983: 4.2% 1984: 5.0% HeL 20 Mfl Mi-8, 6 Agusta-Bell AB-206, 5 AB-212, 2
Inflation 1983: 5.3% 1984: 6.0% SA-315 Alouette.
Debt 1984: $1.7 bn 1985: $2.4 bn AD: 1 regt with 12 SA-2 SAM.
Defbdgt 1983: R 2.879 bn ($628.781 m) AAM: AA-2 Atoll, AIM-9 Sidewinder.
Defexp 1984: R 3.200 bn ($597.762 m)
$1=R (1983): 4.5787 (1984): 5.3533 PARA-MILITARY:
(1985): 6.4144 (1986): 0.5150 Ministry of National Security Force 5,000.
R = rial Tribal levies at least 20,000.
Population: 9,300,000
• Some 15 ac in storage.
18-30 31-45
Men: 845,000 450,000
Women: 965,000 710,000 YEMEN: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC
REPUBLIC (SOUTH)
TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
Regular 36,550 (perhaps 25,000 conscripts). GDP 1983e D 326.8 m ($946.149 m )
Terms of service, conscription, 3 years. D 378.2 m ($1.095 bn)
1984E
Reserves: Army: perhaps 40,000. growth 1983: 1.5% 1984E 4.5%
112 MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA
ARMY: 24,000 (perhaps 18,000 conscripts). Tpt 1 sqn with 3 Antonov An-24, 3 G47 (Douglas
1 armd bde. DC-3).
1 mech bde (status uncertain). Hefc 1 sqn with 15 Mil Mi-24, 30 Mi-8.
10 inf 'bdes' (regts) (some being mechanized). S A M 1 regt with 48 SA-2.
1 arty bde. Trg: 3 MiG-15UTL
lOartybns. AAM.-AA-2 AUM.
2 SSM bdes with FROG-1 and Scud B. ASM: AT-2 Sagger.
2 SAM btys with SA-2/-3.
Equipment:*
Tfes 470 T-34/-54/-55/-62. PARA-MILITARY:
AFV: recce: BRDM-2; Micv: some 100 BMP-1. APC People's Mflitia 15,000.
300 BTR-40/-60/-152. Public Security Force 30,000 (increasing);
Arty: guns 350: 85mm: EM4; 130mm coastal M-46, 1 Tracker 2,4 Spear, 1 Interceptor patrol craft.
SM-4-1. how: 122mm: M-38, D-30. MRL 122mm:
BM-21; 140mm: BM-14. SSW 12 FROG-1, 6 Scud * Reports suggest that 145 tanks and up to 80% of Naval and
B. mor. 120mm, 160mm. 90% of Air eqpts were destroyed or seriously damaged as a
AD: guns 200: 23mm: ZU-23, ZSU-23-4 SP; 37mm: result of the civil war. Data on resupply is inadequate. Some
M-1939; 57mm: S-60; 85mm: KS-12. SAW 6 SA-2,3 eqpt believed in storage; some ac believed flown by Soviet
SA-3, SA-6/-7/-9. and Cuban crews.
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Sub‐Saharan Africa
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1986) Sub‐Saharan Africa, The Military Balance, 86:1, 113-139, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459975
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113
Sub-Saharan Africa
Zimbabwe form and train her forces, and heads a Commonwealth Training Team (Aus-
tralia, Britain, Canada, Guyana, Jamaica, Kenya, Sierra Leone and Tanzania) which is
helping to rebuild the Ugandan defence forces.
France has signed defence agreements with Cameroon (February 1974), the Central Afri-
can Republic (August 1960), the Comoro Islands (October 1978), Djibouti (June 1977,
including permission to deploy forces), Gabon (August 1974, 1985), Ivory Coast (April
1961), Senegal (March 1974) and Togo (July 1963). Agreements with Chad have led tem-
porarily to French military deployment and continued support. France has signed technical
military assistance agreements with 23 countries, including the above.
Belgium has a military co-operation agreement with Zaire. Spain has a military agreement
with Equatorial Guinea (1981) and has provided training since 1979 and some equipment.
Portugal signed a Protocol on Military Co-operation with Mozambique in April 1982.
Cuba has some 27,000 men in Angola, training the Angolan armed forces and assisting
with internal security, and 5,000 in Ethiopia. Cuban, Soviet and East German advisers are
present in a number of other African countries.
Some military links exist between Israel and both South Africa and Zaire, and between
both Mozambique and Angola on the one hand, and East Germany, Bulgaria, Romania
(1982) and Yugoslavia (1982) on the other. Hungary signed a Friendship Treaty with
Ethiopia and with Mozambique in September 1980. North Korea signed a Treaty of Friend-
ship and Co-operation with Togo in October 1981 and supplied a 100-man training team
to Zimbabwe (1981—84) and a 6-man team in 1985; reports persist of North Korean teams
in Angola and seven other countries (Benin, Congo, Malagasy, Mozambique, Seychelles,
Tanzania, Zambia), and a 200-man training team is in Uganda. Ethiopia signed a Treaty of
Friendship with Libya and South Yemen in 1981.
Multilateral Regional Agreements
The Organization of African Unity (OAU), constituted in May 1963 to include all
internationally-recognized independent African states except South Africa, has a Defence
Commission — responsible for defence and security co-operation and the defence of the
sovereignty, territorial integrity and independence of its members. In 1979 this approved in
principle an African Intervention Force and ordered planning for its formation, funding and
equipping, but little progress has been reported. It did agree in 1981 on an Inter-African
Force for Chad, with troops from Nigeria, Senegal and Zaire. OAU financing was inadequate
and the Force was withdrawn in June 1982.
114 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
In 1961 the Central African Republic, Chad, the Congo and Gabon formed the Defence
Council of Equatorial Africa, with French help. Chad's present position in relation to the
Council is unclear.
In May 1981 the Economic Community of Western African States (ECOWAS) adopted a
Protocol on Mutual Assistance on Defence Matters calling for a joint Defence Commission,
comprising Defence Ministers and their Chiefs of Defence Staff, and a Defence Council of
the Heads of State. It is intended to create a joint force, using assigned units of the national
armies, which could serve as an intervention or peace-keeping force. Of the then 16
ECOWAS members (Benin, Cape Verde, The Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Ivory
Coast, Liberia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Togo and Upper
Volta), 12 have signed; Cape Verde, Guinea-Bissau and Mali declined, and Mauritania
signed only after the Protocol was amended to call for the withdrawal of foreign troops once
ECOWAS could guarantee mutual defence.
der incursions. Sierra Leone and Guinea signed a Defence Agreement in 1971 and a
Mutual Defence Pact in August 1981. In December 1981 Senegal and The Gambia signed a
confederation pact which united the two countries as Senegambia. There is now a
confédéral army with one Gambian company. Each government has its own Gendarmerie.
Djibouti signed a Friendship Treaty with Ethiopia and with the Somali Republic in early
1981. Nigeria and Benin signed a military co-operation agreement in January 1983 provid-
ing for joint exercises and unspecified 'other things'. Tanzania had provided instructors for
Uganda under a defence pact signed in August 1981; present status of this arrangement is
unclear. Zaire trains Chadian forces. In March 1984 South Africa signed one agreement
with Mozambique mutually to curb insurgency and another with Angola providing for dis-
engagement by South African forces and mutual supervision of guerrilla activity. Angola
and Zaire agreed a Treaty of Security and Defence in February 1985; each guarantees not to
let its territory be used as a base for attacks on the other.
The only country in the area with an indigenous arms industry is South Africa, which
builds equipment both under licence and of its own designs.
Military Developments
Conflicts during the year included border incidents between Burkina Faso and Mali and the
continuing internal conflicts in Angola, Chad, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Uganda and South
Africa. The conflict between Burkina Faso and Mali could not be sustained, and there has
been no report of any major change to organization or equipment of the miniscule armed
forces of the two countries. The data on Burkina Faso has been revised, but the information
leading to the amendments predates the conflict. Uganda has seen the overthrow of the pre-
vious (Obote) government and the collapse of that government's armed forces. The new
government's National Resistance Army has taken over some of the previous inventory and
may be absorbing some of the personnel who have not fled to the Sudan. Future plans and
programmes for this reconstituted force are unknown but a short-term increase in strength
is expected. The armed forces of Chad have received a modest amount of aid from France
in the form of APCs. There has been a reorganization in Chad's para-military structure with
the amalgamation of the National and the Territorial Military Police which had absorbed
the former Nomad Guard component. Details on the Opposition forces remain scanty; the
changes shown represent re-evaluation of data.
Details of the fighting in Angola have supported earlier reports of equipment deliveries.
More recent reports suggest that additional equipment has been sought by the Angolan Gov-
ernment from the USSR; deliveries cannot be confirmed. It is still difficult to assess how
much of the equipment reported is actually serviceable. In Mozambique the National
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 115
Resistance Movement (MNR or Renamo) appears to retain the initiative and has inflicted
major defeats on Government forces. Troops from Zimbabwe and Tanzania have been
deployed in varying strengths to protect communications links vital to those two countries'
economies. They have succeeded intermittently in establishing relatively secure zones in
their respective sectors but the Mozambique Government seems unable always to hold
them. Economic shortcomings exacerbate the military situation.
Arms procurement throughout the area continues to be inadequately reported and
difficult to verify. Deliveries seem to have slowed, but it could be that the arrival of equip-
ment is unreported. A possible exception is Nigeria, where a number of naval vessels are
reported to have been ordered. Some of these may, in fact, be intended for para-military
use. For most of the countries of the region, spares would appear to be more important than
major equipment items. Much of the equipmerit in use is not new, and a large proportion of
the respective inventories is probably no longer operable.
Economic Factors
Except for Nigeria and South Africa, the economic performance of Sub-Saharan African
Downloaded by [RMIT University] at 02:38 15 March 2015
countries generally continues to be disappointing. Real GDP growth rates in 1982 and 1983
hovered around 0.5%, rising only to 2% and 3% in 1984 and 1985. However, as population
growth continued to outstrip economic performance, per capita real GDP growth rates were
negative between 1981 and 1984, resulting in a marked fall in living standards. Figures for
1985 suggest that per capita GDP growth was around 1% — not enough to make up for the
3—4% p.a. decline over the previous four years.
Economic growth is expected to remain below 3% in 1986 (lower than projected population
growth), bringing little hope of immediate improvement. The drought that devastated
agriculture receded in 1985, but its effects will be long felt. Although food production rose by
some 30% in 1985 the increase was from the very low base of 1983—4, and over one third of
the population is still dependent on imported grain for sustenance. Notably, out of the six
countries singled out by FAO as requiring emergency relief in 1986, four — Angola,
Mozambique, Sudan and Ethiopia — face internal conflicts. Many low-income countries have
introduced economic adjustment policies as prescribed by international lending bodies, and
some (like Ghana and Zaire) implemented austerity programmes which, though unpopular,
have shown positive results. Other countries (for instance, Guinea, The Gambia, Ghana and
Mauritania) have realigned their foreign exchange, while others (like Tanzania, Mauritania,
Cameroon and Guinea), have reduced subsidies on food commodities, and increased prices
paid to farmers for export crops. However, as the outgoing President of the World Bank has
warned, 'adjustment through further economic contraction is not a feasible alternative in a
continent where per capita income levels are today no higher than they were 20 years ago'.*
Another major problem facing the region is the massive $ 110.5 bn debt, of which Nigeria and
South Africa account for $21.5 bn and $24 bn respectively. Debt service ratios continue to
deteriorate, increasing from 15.6% in 1980 to 20.2% in 1982 and 23.3% in 1984, reaching
29% in 1985 and being expected to exceed 30% in 1986. The situation for some countries is
extremely serious. Ghana, for instance, budgeted 50% of its export earnings for debt
servicing, while Nigeria estimated this ratio at 43%. Terms of trade for the region as a whole
are expected to worsen in 1986, making the debts of many countries unserviceable.
While West African countries might benefit from improvements in coffee prices (if they
do not over-supply and so depress prices, which remains a distinct possibility), the fall in oil
prices might be a mixed blessing for importing countries — on one hand, leading to a
reduction in the import bills; on the other, possibly causing a further reduction in funds
available for investment. Substantial external resources will be necessary if the regions'
economies are to recover and prosper. The shortfall in external financing is estimated at
between $4 bn and $7 bn p. a. A reversal in the trend towards restricting soft loans in favour
of short-term commercial credit, and a more generous attitude by Western creditor nations
(such as the cancellation of government-to-government debt) will be essential. Some signs of
116 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
a change in the attitudes of Western nations began to emerge in 1986, and if sufficient funds
become available and appropriate structural adjustments are undertaken, then the bleakest
years might be at an end.
* A.W. Clausen, foreword to Financing adjustment with growth in Sub-Saharan Africa 1986-90 (Washington DC:
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 1986).
PARA-MILITAR Y: 2,100:
BURKINA-FASO Gendarmerie 650; 6 coys (2 mobile).
Security Company (CRG) 250.
GDP 1983: fr 429.4 bn ($1.127 bn)
1984E: fr 510.0 bn ($1.167 bn) • Est from initial results of 1985 census.
growth 1983: 4.5% 1984: 4.1%
Inflation 1984: 4.8% 1985: 6.9%
Debt 1984: $500.0 m 1985: $560.0 m BURUNDI
Defbdgt 1984: fr 12.5 bn ($28.607 m)
1985e: fr 15.3 bn ($34.078 m) GDP 1984: fr 115,954 bn ($968.624 m)
$l=fr (1982): 328.61 (1983): 381.06 1985: fr 132,368 bn($ 1.097 bn)
(1984): 436.96 (1985): 449.26
fr = francs CFA growth 1984: -1.2% 1985: 7.0%
Inflation 1984: 14.3% 1985e: 3.0%
Population: 7,920,000* Debt 1983: $290.0 m 1984: $350.0 m
18-30 31-45 Defexp 1984: fr 3.90 bn ($32.579 m)
Men: 816,000 458,000 1985e: fr 4.20 bn ($34.800 m)
Women: 792,000 637,000 $l=Bfr(1982) 90.00 (1983) 92.95
(1984) 119.71 (1985) 120.69
fr = Burundi francs.
TOTAL ARMED FORCES (all services incl
Gendarmerie form part of the Army): Population: 4,917,000
Regulan 4,000. 18-30 31-45
Terms of service, voluntary. Men: 571,000 301,000
People's Militia 2 years part time; men and Women: 579,000 346,000
women 20—35 (military and civic duties);
40,000 trained. TOTAL ARMED FORCES (all services incl
Gendarmerie form part of the Army):
ARMY: 3,900. Regular. 7,200 (incl Gendarmerie).
6 Military Regions. Terms of service, voluntary.
5 inf 'regts': HQ, 3 'bns' (each 1 coy of 5
platoons). ARMY: 5,500.
1 AB 'regt': HQ, 1 bde, 2 coys. 2 inf bns.
1 tk 'bn': 2 platoons. 1 para bn.
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 119
CHAD
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC GDP 1982: fr 181.0 bn ($550.805 m)
1983: fr 210.0 bn ($551.094 m)
GDP 1983e: fr 139.0 bn ($364.772 m) Debt 1983: $130.0 m 1984: $140.0 m
growth 1983: -2.3% 1984: 1.0% Def exp 1984e:fr 24.0 bn ($54.925 m)
Inflation 1983: 13.0% 1984: 12.4% 1985e: fr 17.0 bn ($37.840 m)
Debt 1984: $300.0 m 1985e: $355.0 m FMA 1984: $5.0 m 1985: $5.0 m
Def exp 1982e: fr 5.0 bn ($ 15.216 m) $l=fr (1982): 328.61 (1983): 381.06
1983e:fr 6.5 bn ($17.058 m) (1984): 436.96 (1985): 449.26
FMA 1983: $15.50 m fr = francs CFA
$l=fr (1982): 328.61 (1983): 381.06
(1984): 436.96 (1985): 449.26 Population: 5,100,000
fr = francs CFA 18-30 31-45
Men: 544,000 416,000
Population: 2,601,000 Women: 552,000 432,000
18-30 31-45
Men: 280,000 164,000 TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
Women: 279,000 212,000 Regular. 14,200 (perhaps 6,000 conscripts).
Terms of service, conscription, 3 years.
TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
Regular: 2,300. ARMY: 14,200; comprises regular and rejoined
Terms of service, conscription (selective), 2 rebel groups; mostly org as coys.
years, personnel have a Reserve obligation 3 inf bns.
thereafter, term unknown. 16 inf coys, 3 para coys.
1 recce sqn (Sahara).
ARMY: 2,000. 2 recce tps (camel).
1 regt HQ. 3 Nomad coys.
1 mech bn. 3 sigs coys.
1 inf bn. Presidential Guard (400 men).
1 engr coy. 1 armd bn.
1 sigs coy ('bn'). 2 indep para coys.
1 tpt coy. 2 arty btys.
Equipment: 1 tpt coy.
Tks: 4 T-55. Numerous indep cdo (guerrilla) 'bns' (gps).
AFV: recce: 22 BRDM-2, 10 Ferret. Equipment:
APC:4BTR-152. AFV: recce: 4 Panhard ERC-90, some 50
Arty: mor: 81mm; 120mm: 12 M-1943. AML-60/-90.
ATK: RCL: 14 106mm. Arty: guns: 76mm: 6 M-1942; 105mm: 6 M-101.
River patrol craft: 9<. mon 81mm: M-61; 120mm: AM-50.
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 121
ATK: BL: 68mm, 89mm. RCL 106mm: M-40; Defexp* 1985: fr 25.0 bn ($55.647 m)
112mm: APILAS. ATGW: Milan. $l=fr (1982): 328.61 (1983): 381.06
AD: guns: 20mm, 30mm. (1984): 436.96 (1985): 449.26
AIR FORCE: 200; 2 combat ac. fr = francs CFA
COIN: 2 PC-7 Turbo-Trainer (armed). Population: 1,791,000
Tpt: 1 Douglas DC-4, 2 C-130A Hercules, 9 C-47 18-30 31-45
(Douglas DC-3), 1 Nord Noratlas, 1 Aéro- Men: 200,000 113,000
spatiale Caravelle 6R (VIP), 1 CASA C-212, Women: 204,000 132,000
2 PC-6B Turbo-Porter, 2 MH-1521 Broussard;
It: 4 Reims Cessna 337.
Hel: 10 SA-315B/316C Alouette II/III, 4 TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
SA-330 Puma. Regulan 8,700.
Terms of service, voluntary (2 years).
PARA-MILITARY: perhaps 5,700.
National Military Police (PMN) and Territorial ARMY: 8,000.
Military Police (PMT). 1 armd bn (5 sqns).
2 Security Companies 1,000: 17 sub-units; 2 inf bn gps (each It tk tp, 76mm gun bty).
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Arty: gun/how: some 700 incl: 75mm: M-l 16 pack; t Incl internal security budget, but excl capital expendi-
105mm: 40; 122mm: 370 (incl SP); 130mm: ture (est at $275 m for 1983/4).
M-46; 152mm: D-20, 12 towed; 155mm: 6 $ Some 1,400 Soviet, 500 Cuban, 300 E. German tech-
M-l09 SP. nicians and advisers operate ac and hy eqpt. Some 4,000
MRU 122mm: BM-21. (?bde) Cuban military personnel (?to be withdrawn).
mor: 60mm, 81mm, 82mm, 120mm: 100 M-38; § War situation makes equipment data suspect; older
4.2-in. (107mm): 100 M-2/-30; 120mm. US eqpt probably unserviceable.
ATK: guns: 100mm: M-1955.
ATGW: AT-3 Sagger.
AD: guns: 23mm: ZU-23; 37mm towed, 23mm:
ZSU-23-4; 57mm: M-l950, ZSU-57-2 SP.
SAM: 18 SA-2, 18 SA-3, SA-7. GABON
NAVY: 3,000.§
GDP 1983: fr 1,320.0 bn ($3.464 bn)
1984: fr 1,455.6 bn ($3.331 bn)
Bases: Massawa, Assab.
Frigates: 2 Petya II. growth 1982: 2.5% 1983: 1.6%
FAC(G): 4 Sov Osa-II with 4 SS-N-2A SSM; Inflation 1984: 5.9% 1985e: 8.0%
Debt 1984: $1.0 bn 1985: $1.3 bn
FAC(T): 2 Sov Mol.
Patrol craft: 14: 7 large (1 Yug Kraljevica, 3 US Defbdgt* 1984: fr 29.364 bn ($67.201 m)
1985E: fr 35.500 bn ($73.232 m)
PGM, 3 Swiftships), 7 coastal< (4 Sewart, FMA 1984: $3.0 m 1986: $5.2 m
1 Poluchat, 2 Zhuk). $l=fr (1982): 328.61 (1983): 381.06
Amph: LSNi: 2 Polnocny B; LCVP: 4 T-4, 2 EDIC. (1984): 436.96 (1985): 449.26
Spt: 1 6,615-ton. fr = francs CFA
Trg: 1 US Barnegat.
Population: 1,011,000
AIR FORCE: 4,000; perhaps 145 combat ac; some 18-30 31-45
Men: 76,000 62,000
30 armed hel. Women: 79,000 65,000
FGA: 8 sqns: 1 with 10 Mikoyan-Guryevich MiG-
17; 6 with 100 MiG-21; 1 with 35 MiG-23.
Tpt: 1 sqn with 12 Antonov An-12. TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
Trg: MiG-21 U, 10 Aero L-39; some 10 SIAI- Regular 2,700.
Marchetti SF-260TP. Terms of service, voluntary.
Hel: incl 32 Mil Mi-8 (some may be armed),
24 Mi-24, some Chetak (Alouette III). ARMY: 1,900.
(On order: some 10 Chetak hel.)
Presidential Guard bn gp (1 recce/armd, 3 inf
coys, arty, AA btys).
PARA-MILITARY: 169,000. Border Guard. 8 inf coys.
Mobile emergency police force (9,000). 1 engr coy.
124 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
ARMY: 20,000.
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: 2 bn gps.
Regular. 6,750. 1 engr regt.
Terms of service, voluntary; militia conscrip- 1 sigs regt.
tion authorized, not in force. 1 service regt.
Reserves: 750,000 males 16—45. 7 construction regts.
Equipment:
ARMY: 6,300. Tks:lt 12PT-76.
1 Executive Mansion Guard bn. AFV: recce: 8 M-8, (?20) M-3A1, 10 Ferret,
6 inf bns. (?35) BRDM-2. APC: (?30) M-3A1 half-track.
1 arty bn. Arty: guns: 76mm: 12 ZIS-3. how: 122mm:
1 engr bn. 12 D-30. mor 81mm: 24; 120mm: 8.
128 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
$1=N (1983): 0.7234 (1984): 0.7642 15.8-m, 2 Damen 14.5-m patrol craft, 4 FPB-512
(1985): 0.8924 (1986): 0.8770 RTK assault landing craft.)
N = naira
Population: 97,251,000 AIR FORCE: 9,000; 53 combat ac.
18-30 31-45 FGA/interceptor. 3 sqns: 1 with 16 Breguet/Dornier
Men: 10,667,000 7,034,000 AlphaJet; 2 with 17 Mikoyan- Guryevich MiG-
Women: 10,856,000 7,302,000 2IMF (to be replaced); 18 Sepecat Jaguar (14
-5N, 4 -BN).
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: SAR: 1 sqn with: ac: 2 Fokker F-27MPA MR;
hel: 20 MBB BO-105C/D.
Regular 94,000. Tpt: 2 sqns with 9 C-130H-30 Hercules, 3 F-27,
Terms of service, voluntary. 5 Aeritalia G-222, 1 Gulfstream Aerospace
Reserves: none organized.
Gulfstream III (VIP), 3 Dornier Do-228 (VIP), 1
ARMY: 80,000. Beech Super King Air.
1 armd div (4 armd, 1 mech bdes). Spt 3 sqns with 13 Domier Do-28D, 12 Do-128-6.
1 composite div (ind 1 AB, 1 air portable, Hel ind 14 SA-330 Puma.
Trg: ac 2 MiG-21U, Piaggio P-149D, 12 Aer-
1 amph bdes).
2 mech divs (each 3 mech bdes). macchi MB-339, 4 Jaguar, 25 BAe Bulldog;
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NAVY: 5,000.
Bases: Apapa (Lagos; HQ Western Command),
Calabar (HQ Eastern Command). RWANDA
Frigate: 1 Meko 360H with 8 Otomat SSM, 1 GDP 1983: fr 141.9 bn ($1.504 bn)
octuple Aspide SAM, 1 Lynx hel. 1984c fr 153.8 bn ($1.535 bn)
Corvettes: 4: growth 1983: 1.0% 1984: 2.9%
2 Hippo (Vosper Thornycroft Mk 9) with 2 Inflation 1984: 5.4% 1985s 4.0%
triple Seacat SAM; Debt 1983G $250.0 m 1984G $330.0 m
2 Dorina (Mk 3) (?operational). Defexp 1983e fr 2.70 bn ($28.620 m)
FAC(G): 6: 1984c fr 3.00 bn ($29.949 m)
3 Liirssen Type-57 with 4 Otomat SSM; $l=fr (1982): 92.84 (1983): 94.34
3 La Combattante IIIB with 2 twin Exocet (1984): 100.17 (1985): 101.26
MM-38. fr = Rwanda francs
Patrol craft:
Population: 5,766,000
5 large: 4 Makurdi (Brook Marine), 1 Yan-Yan;
4 Argungu (Abeking & Rasmussen), 2 18-30 31-45
Men: 731,000 351,000
Swiftships 20-m, 4 Damen 14.5-m, 14 Inter- Women: 725,000 407,000
marine coastal(.
Amph: LST: 2 Ro-Ro 1300 (Crocodile); LCU: 2.
Trg: 1 ex-Neth yacht. TOTAL ARMED FORCES (all services form part
Hel: 3 Westland Lynx Mk 89 MR/SAR. of the Army):
(On order 2 Lerici MCMV; 10 Swiftships 20-m, 2 Regular 5,150.
Watercraft P-2000, 6 SM-5115 Simoneau Terms of service, voluntary.
132 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
on transfer to the National Reserve where they 9 MOD {Minister of Defence) (ites/zç/7Saar-4-type)
may elect to serve to age 65. with 6 Skorpioen {Gabriel-type) SSM;
3 Dvora-type with 2 Skorpioen.
ARMY: 76,400. Regulars: 18,400 (12,000 White, Patrol craft: 4 Br Ford, 4 mod Ton, 1 other large; 30
5,400 Black and Coloured, 1,000 women). Namacurra armed harbour.
National Service: 58,000. Part-time Citizen Force MCMV: 6: 3 Br Ton minesweepers, 3 Ton mine-
and Commando. hunters.
11 territorial commands. 1 fleet replenishment ship (with hel deck; 2 hel).
1 Corps HQ 1 ocean (2 hel), 1 inshore hydrographie ships.
1 corps arty bde (2 med, 2 loc regts). (On order 3 MOD, some 3 Dvora-typs FAQG).)
1 armd div HQ. MARINES: (900; 600 conscripts).
1 armd bde (2 tk, 2 armd car, 1 mech inf bns).f 9 local harbour defence units.
1 mech bde (1 tk, 1 armd car, 2 mot inf bns).f
1 mot bde (2nd to form) (3 inf, 1 armd car bns)t AIR FORCE: 13,000 (2,000 conscripts); 372 combat
3 fd arty bns, 1 It AA arty regt (-). ac (ind 93 with Citizen Force), some 16 armed hel.
1 engr regt (+), 5 fd engr sqns. 3 Territorial Area Commands; Trg, Tac Spt, Log
1 inf div HQ Commands.
3 mot bdes (each with 3 inf, 1 tk, 1 armd car bnsVf Bbrs: 2 sqns:
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Commandos 130,000, inf brrtype protective units in for- 1 SAM bn with SA-3, SA-6.
2ATKbns.
mations of 5+; 12 months initial, 19 days annual trg.
Air Commando 20,000; 13 sqns with private ac. 2 sigs bns.
Equipment
South African Police 35,500 (19,500 White, 16,000
Non-white), Police Reserves 20,000. Tks 30 Ch Type-59.
Coastguard to form; 7 MR ac planned It 30 Ch Type-62, 36 Scorpion.
AFV:recCK20 BRDM-2. APC 50 BTR-40/-152.
OPPOSITION: Arty: guns 76mm: 40 ZIS-3; 122mm: 200; 130mm:
South West African People's Organization (SWAPO) 50. MRU 122mm: 50 BM-21.
combat wing People's liberation Army of Namibia mon 350: 82mm; 120mm.
(PLAN): (?8,900) 90% Ovambo. Deployment most ATK: RCL 75mm: 540 Ch Type-52.
units in central Angola against UNITA and on rail line AD: guns 14.5mm: 280 ZPU-2/-4; 23mm: 40 ZU-23;
security, remainder (?1,500) in southern Angola. 37mm: 120 Ch Type-55.
Possibly 7 field bns APC BTR. ATGW: RPG-7. SANE 9 SA-3, 12 SA-6, SA-7.
SAM: SA-7.
African National Congress (ANC): combat wing: NAVY: 850.
Umkhonto we Sizwe. perhaps 10,000 trained; up to Bases. Dar es Salaam, Zanzibar.
3,000 based in Angola. FAG 6 Ch Shanghcd-IL
Paöol craft 14 coastal(: 1 GDR Schwalbe, 2 GDR
Pan Africanist Congress (PAC): Azanian People's lib- MB-13 50-ton, 3 Ch Yulin, 4 N. Korean Nampo
eration Army: Tinactive. mod LCA; 4 Vosper Thornycroft 75-ft in Zanzibar.
* Exd intelligence and internal security force budget
t At partial strength; divs would be brought to full strength AIR FORCE 1,000; 29 combat ac.
Fte 3 sqns with 11 Xian J-7,18 Shenyang (15 J-6,3 J-4).
on mobilization of Citizen Force.
Tpt 1 sqn with 3 BAe (1 HS-125-700, 2 HS-748), 6
DHC-5D Buffalo, 1 Antonov An-2.
Tig: 2 Mikoyan-Guryevich MiG-15UTL. 6 Piper
Cherokee, 8 Cessna (6 310, 2 404), some Piaggjo
P-149D.
TANZANIA Hefc 2 Bell 47G, 16 Agusta-Bell (7 AB-205,
9 AB-206).
GDP 1982/3: sh 65.976 bn ($6.758 bn) (On order An-26, An-32 tpt ac.)
1983/4: sh 75.658 bn ($5.983 bn)
growth 1983: -0.4% 1984: 2.5% Forces Abroad: Mozambique 50 (trg team); up to
Inflation 1983: 26.0% 1984: 36.0% 3,000 reported on border in combat patrols.
Debt 1983: $1.8 bn 1984: $2.1 bn
Defexp 1983/4E sh 1.55 bn ($122.578 m)
1984/5K sh 1.85 bn ($103.497 m) PARA-MILITARY:
$l=sh (1981/2): 8.6468 (1982/3): 9.762 Police Field Force 1,400.
(1983/2): 12.6450 (1984/5): 17.875 Police Marine Unit (100).
sh = Tanzanian shilling Citizen's Militia; 100,000.
SUBSAHARAN AFRICA 137
TOGO UGANDA
GDP 1983: fr 284.20 bn ($745.814 m)
1984: fr 292.10 bn ($668.482 m) GDP 1983s sh 541.36 bn ($4.901 bn)
growth 1982: -2.3% 1983: -7.9% 1984s sh 778.50 bn ($3.355 bn)
Inflation 1984: -3.6% 1985: -1.8% growth 1983: 5.0% 1984: 5.8%
Debt 1984G $900.0 m 1985E $1.0 bn Inflation 1984: 38.0% 1985s 150.0%
Defbdgt 1985e fr 8.20 bn ($18.252 m). Debt 1984: $820.0 m 1985: $1.0 bn
1986c fr 8.50 bn ($24.035 m) Defexp* 1983/4E sh 20.40 bn ($87.905 m)
$l=fr (1983): 381.06 (1984): 436.96 1984/5E sh 1923 bn ($37.859 m)
(1985): 449.26 (1986): 353.65 $l=sh (1981/2>. 84.158 (1982/3): 110.458
fr = francs CFA (1983/4): 232070 (1984/5): 507.905
sh = Ugandan shillings
Population: 2,961,000
18-30 31-45 Population: 15,224,000
Men: 281,000 195,000 18-30 31-45
Women: 340,000 231,000 Men: 1,540,000 1,047,000
Women: 1,578,000 1,064,000
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2 indep inf bdes (each 3 inf bns, 1 spt bn). Terms of service, voluntary.
Equipment:
T k s some 50 Ch Type-62
AFV: recce 95 AMLr60, 60 -90. ARMY: 15,000.
APC 12 M-l 13,12 K-63, 60 M-3. 1 armd regt (ind 1 armd recce bn).
Arty: 9 inf bns (3 Reserve).
guns/how. 75mm: 30 pack; 85mm: 20 Type 56; 3 arty btys, 2 AA arty btys.
122mm: 20 M-1938/D-30; 130mm: 8 Type 59. 1 engr bn, 2 sigs sqns.
MRL 107mm: 20 Type 63.
mor 81mm; 42-in (107mm); 120mm: ?100. T k s 3ft T-54/55, Ch Type-59. It 30 PT-76.
RCU 57mm, 75mm, 106mm, 107mm. AFV: recce 60 BRDM-1/-2 APC 13 BTR-60.
AD: guns: 12.7mm, 14.5mm, 20mm, M-l 939 Arty: guns 76mm: 30; 130mm: 25.
37mm, 40mm. how: 105mm: 18 pack; 122mm: 25 D-30.
MRL 122mm: 50 BM-21.
ATK: RCL 57mm: 12 M-l 8; 75mm: M-20; 84mm: Carl
NAVY: 900 ind marines.
Bases: Banana, Matadi (coast), Kinshasa (river),
Gustav. ATGVK AT-3 Sagger.
AD: guns 20mm: 50 M-55 triple; 37mm: 40 M-1939;
Kalémié (lake).
57mm: 55 S-60; 85mm: 16 KS-12 SAW SA-7.
FAG 4 Ch Shanghai EL
Patrol craft: 4 Huchuan hydrofoils(.
AIR FORCE: 1200,43 combat ac.
MARINES: (600). FGA:2sqns:
1 with 12 Shenyang J-6;
AIR FORCE; 2,500; 20 combat ac 1 with 13 Mikoyan-Guryevich MiG-21.
Ftn 1 sqn with 8 Dassault Mirage 5M/5DM. COIN/toç
COIN: 2 sqns with 6 Aermacchi MB-326K, 6 North 1 sqn with 18 Aermacchi MB-326GB.
American AT-6G. Tpt 2 sqns:
Tpt 1 wingwith6&130HHerc«fes;2DHC-3Cter,2 1 with 9 Domier Dcv28;
DHC-5 Buffalo, 8 G47 (Dougbs DC-3X 2 1 with 6 DHC-2 Beaver, 5 DHC-4 Caribou, 6 DHC-
Mitsubishi MU-2J, 1 Dassault Fakon-20. SDBuffakr,
HeL- 1 sqn with 3 SA-319B Alouette m , 9 SA-330 1 VTP fit whh 2 Yakovlev Yak-40,1 BAe/HS-748.
Puma, 1 AS-332L Super Puma, 1 SA-321 Super Tig: ind 8 SIAI-Marchetti SF-260MZ, 20 SAAB Safari,
2 Ch BT-3,10 SOKO JastrA/Gdéb.
Frelon (VIP).
Hefc 1 sqn with 8 Agusta-Bdl (3 AB-205A, 3 AB-206,2
Tig: ind 21 Cessna (9 310, 12 150), 8 MB-326GB, 9
AB-212X 20 Bell 47G, 11 Mil Mi-8.
SIAI-Marchetu" SF-26OMC
SAM: lbn;3btvs:SA-3 Goo.
(On order SAIS211 œiN^4FokkerF-27-500tptac.)
Regular 42,000. Tpfc 1 sqn with 6 CASA C-212-200 (VTP) (2), 12 C-47
Terms of service, conscription; term unknown. (Douglas DC-3) (6), 6 BN-2 Islander (6).
ARMY: 41,000. Het 2 sqns with 10 SA-315B/316 Abwette D/ffl, 6 BeD/AB
7 bde HQ (ind 1 Presidential Guard). 205A (4 afl types), 10 Agusta-BeD AB412 (VIP) (4).
1 armdregt Security: 2 sqns.
23 inf bns (ind 3 Guard, 1 mech, 1 odo, 2 para). (On order 6 SF260 COIN/trg ac.)
1 arty regt.
1 AD regt (2 btys). Forces Abroad: Mozambique: some 5,000 (varies).
7 engr, 7 sigs sqns.
Equipment:
Tfcs8T-54,35ChT-59. PARA-MILITARY: 38,000:
AFV: recce 90 EB-9 Cascavel(90mm gun), 28 AML-90 Zimbabwe Republic Police Force, ind Air Wing, 15,000.
Eland, 4 Ferret, BRDM-2 Police Support Unit 3,000.
APC 15 BTR-152,10 Ch Type-63. National Militia 20,000.
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To cite this article: (1986) Asia and Australasia, The Military Balance, 86:1, 140-173, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459976
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140
(1) CHINA
Chinese defence policy long maintained a balance, at times uneasy, between two concepts:
nuclear force to deter strategic attack, and People's War, involving large scale mobilization,
to deter or repel conventional invasion.
Though some conservatives remain, most of today's leadership has recognized that coun-
tering a Soviet limited thrust is probably the most difficult problem facing the People's Lib-
eration Army (PLA). The need to modernize has been recognized. Re-equipment and reor-
ganization programmes are being implemented. Older officers are being retired and a
greater degree of professionalism is being encouraged.
The conventional arms inventory of the PLA, technically much less advanced than that of
wealthier nations, is being gradually updated by replacing Soviet and Soviet-type equipment
with indigenous designs, often incorporating some Western technology, or by renovating
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 15:47 27 December 2014
older equipment. China has also purchased computers and radars from western countries
and is negotiating the purchase of a wide range of military equipment. Brazil has licenced
China to produce APCs. Britain has sold aircraft engines, artillery and fire control equip-
ment and radar. France has sold helicopters, ASW systems and radar. The United States
has agreed to sell helicopters, naval engines, artillery ammunition components and blue-
prints and designs for an artillery ammunition plant. Purchases are often small, represent-
ing little more than 'samples'. China appears to wish to examine not only the operational
characteristics of the Western systems but also the technologies involved in their manufac-
ture. Given the magnitude of the task of modernization, and the competing demands for
foreign exchange, large-scale procurement of foreign equipment appears unlikely. The PLA
does need knowledge of the latest foreign military technology. Should China decide to
initiate domestic production of modern weapon systems, details of materials technology
must also be acquired. Small samples can do much to provide this but complex systems
could be most cheaply provided only if Beijing were to seek licence co-production contracts
which included advice and assistance in the production of the basic raw materials as well as
in the manufacture and assembly of individual systems. Such contracts would carry with
them political and economic costs insofar as relations between the Western supplier and
other Far Eastern nations are concerned.
Despite the period of economic readjustment which has led to a succession of cuts in the
defence budget since 1980, this year's budget again shows a small increase (which will cer-
tainly be swallowed by inflation). Thus the pace of modernization will continue to be slow,
although much is being done to make the forces more professional and efficient — through
reorganization, better training and scrapping of civil production quotas. The PLA is also
benefiting from the general modernization of Chinese industry.
Nuclear Weapons
The Military Affairs Committee (MAC) of the Chinese Communist Party directly controls
the Strategic Rocket Forces which include ICBMs, SLBMs and bombers. Modernization con-
tinues but appears to be concentrating on propulsion and, perhaps, guidance. No new
nuclear tests have been recorded since 1984. By that time 27 tests had been atmospheric;
there may have been as many as five underground tests. China announced in March 1986
that it would not again test in the atmosphere.
Two types of ICBM are deployed in only small numbers, one (DF-5) with a range of some
15,000 km, the other (DF-4) some 7,000 km. No indication has been received of the deploy-
ment of multiple warheads, but a missile — the Long March (CZ)-2 — has been successfully
used (and thus tested) as a launcher for three space research satellites, and a DF-5 was
reported in September 1985 to have been tested with a multiple warhead. So far all ballistic
missiles have been liquid-fuelled. Solid propellants, being developed, are reported to have
ASIA AND AUSTRALASIA 141
fuelled the 1980 ICBM test vehicle, may fuel the DF-5 ICBM and probably fuel the SLBM.
China's first SSBN are boats of the Xia class with 12 Julang-l (CSS-NX-4 = Giant Wave)
SLBM — a variant of the DF-3 IRBM — the range of which is reported to be of the order of
2,200—3,000 km (probably closer to the lower figure). Four more SSBN are said to be under
construction, some — perhaps a distinct Daqingyu class — being reported to have 16 launch
tubes. Some 3 Han-class nuclear-powered submarines with six missile tubes are now in ser-
vice; the cruise missile they are said to carry has been tested to a reported range of 1,600
km. Reports continue to appear of the existence of tactical nuclear munitions: artillery,
rockets and mines. A version of the Soviet FROG-1 SSM is said to be under development. If
such munitions were available, fighter aircraft could be used for tactical delivery of air-
dropped variants of them, and for longer ranges some of the Air Force's 120 H-6 medium
bombers, with a combat radius of up to 3,000 km, may be nuclear-capable.
Conventional Forces
The PLA embraces all arms and services, including naval and air elements. Essentially a
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 15:47 27 December 2014
defensive force, the PLA continues to lack facilities and logistic support for protracted large-
scale operations at any significant distance outside Chinese borders.
Military Developments
The Armed Forces reductions continue, with the ground forces taking the brunt of the
initial cuts, while those for the Navy and Air are still to come. A 1982 programme of reor-
ganization is also in progress. The Field Armies (yezhanjun) are now 'Group Armies'
(Jituanjuri). The Regional Army has been reorganized into 7 Military Regions (MR) with 29
Military Districts (MD; or 'Provincial Military Regions'). In peacetime these Regions serve
largely an administrative function. In wartime the frontier MRs might become Fronts
(zhanxian) or combined into Strategic Sectors (zhanlu'egu). The Field Armies' Main Force
(MF) divisions are commanded by the General Staff at the Ministry of National Defence. In
wartime, command will be transferred to the Front or Strategic Sector corresponding to the
MR in which the divisions are stationed and which are already responsible for their adminis-
tration. Artillery, engineer and railway units which, until 1983, were independent are now
controlled by Departments within the Ministry of National Defence.
The Navy has added six more Type-033 diesel submarines and three Jianghu frigates. The
construction programmes for Hainan patrol craft and Shantou fast attack craft continue,
with some 60 of each now in service, but the Shanghai FAC, Huchwan hydrofoil and smaller
coastal types have all shown a varying decrease. There is a new Haiju-class fast missile craft
in service; details of its armament are still unclear. The naval air arm continues to be shore-
based, and the independent Coastal Defence Force appears to be receiving the HY-4 SSM.
The naval component remains essentially a coastal defence force, incapable of long-range
force projection. The air component of the PLA is organized into 8 Regions and 3 minor
geographic commands; combat organization is similar to the Soviet system, with air armies
of divisions of three regiments each with some 45 aircraft. It, too, remains essentially a force
with limited defence capabilities.
Major weapons systems include Type-59 MBT, Type-60/-63 amphibious and Type-62
light tanks and Type-531 APC; modified R- and W-class medium-range diesel submarines,
SSM destroyers, frigates, fast patrol boats, amphibious transports and landing craft; J-6/-7
and Q-5 fighters, SA-2-type SAM. Much of the older foreign equipment is reportedly retiring,
although its retention for training or Reserve duties is probable. Production rates are, at
best, broad estimates only. Actual rates in some categories may be considerably lower than
many such estimates suggest.
Bilateral Agreements
There is a mutual defence agreement with North Korea, dating from 1961, and an agree-
ment to provide free military aid. There are friendship and non-aggression pacts with
142 ASIA AND AUSTRALASIA
Afghanistan, Burma, Nepal (1960) and Kampuchea (Khmer Rouge). Chinese military equip-
ment and logistic support have been offered to a number of countries. Major recipients
include Albania, Egypt, Iraq, Iran, Pakistan and Tanzania.
efficiency, but also the rapidly expanding indigenous military industries — for national con-
sumption and, especially, for export — it is difficult to assess the real costs of the defence
sector. The Central Intelligence Agency* has argued that the decreasing defence expenditure
reflects the sector's 'diminished priority' in the economic reform programme; but, while this
is true to the extent that defence remains only the fourth priority in the modernization
plans, it is also true that other sectors of the economy carry considerable military burdens,
ranging from improved health programmes to updated industrial machinery. The official
budget figures, therefore, must be seen as an indicator of the increasing efficiency of the
military administration, rather than a measurement of the actual expenditures. It would
seem likely that the process of 'streamlining', together with substantial manpower
reductions, will permit significant modernization, even with constrained budgets.
* CIA, 'China: Economic Performance in 1985', a Report presented to the Subcommittee on Economic Resources,
Competitiveness, and Security Economics of the Joint Economic Committee (Washington DC, 17 March, 1986).
CHINA
GDP 1984: yuan 1,388.0 bn ($598,276 bn) Technical volunteers can serve 8—12 more
1985: yuan 1,624.0 bn ($553,002 bn) years to maximum age 35.
growth 1984: 12.0% 1985: 10.0% Reserves: 75,377,000 (obligation to age 45). Army
Inflation 1984: 2.7% 1985: 6.0% 75,000,000; Navy 144,000; Marines 7135,000;
Debt 1983: $5.1 bn 1984: $7.2 bn Air (AD) 200,000; See also Para-military.
Def bdgt 1985: yuan 18.670 bn ($6,357 bn)
1986: yuan 20.020 bn ($6,252 bn)
STRATEGIC FORCES:
Def exp 1984: yuan 18.730 bn ($8,073 bn)
1985: yuan 19.148 bn ($6,520 bn) Offensive (Strategic Rocket Units): (100,000).
$1 =yuan(1983): 1.9757 (1984): 2.3200 (a) Missiles: org in 6 (perhaps 7) divs, regts and
(1985): 2.9367 (1986): 3.2020 bns; org varies by tnsl type.
ICBM: 6:
Population: 1,052,700,000
2 DF-5 (Dong Feng = East Wind; CSS-4);
18-30 31-45
Men: 133,180,000 103,173,000 mod tested with MIRV.
Women: 126,753,000 194,911,000 4 DF-4 (CSS-3).
IRBM: 60 DF-3 (CSS-2).
TOTAL ARMED FORCES:* MRBM:50DF-2(CSS-l).
Regular: some 2,950,000 (perhaps 1,350,000 (b) Subs:
conscripts) (being reduced; men and women 2 Xia SSBN each with 12 JL-1 (Julang = Giant
ages 18-22). Wave, CSS-NX-4; mod DF-3. Range est in
Terms of Service: selective conscription; Army, 2,200—3,000 km range — possibly 1 x 2MT
Marines 3 years; Navy 5 years, Air 4 years. warhead; in development).
ASIA AND AUSTRALASIA 143
(On order: ?4 SSBN; some Waqingyu, may how: 122mm: Type-54, Type-54-1 SP (Type-
have 16 launch tubes). 531 chassis); 152mm: Type-54, Type-66
Defensive:
towed; Type-81, Type-83 SP.
(a) Tracking stations: Xinjiang (covers central MRL: 4,500: 12 x 107mm: Type-63/-81 (being
Asia) and Shanxi (northern border) and a lim- replaced by 122mm); 40 x 122mm: Type-
ited shipborne anti-ship capability. 81; 24 x 122mm: Type-83, Type-81 mine-
(b) Phased-array radar complex. Ballistic missile layer; 19 x 130mm: Type-63 (incl Type-70
early warning. SP); 30 x 130: Type-82; 16 x 132mm:
(c) Air Force AD system: BM-13-16; 16 x 140mm: BM-14-16; 10 x
over 4,000 naval and air force fighters, 284mm: Type-74.
about 100 HQ-2JC Hongqi-2 {Red Flag; SA-2- mor: 14,000: 82mm: Type-53/-67, and SP;
type) SAM units 100mm: Type-71; 120mm: Type-55;
over 16,000 AA guns; 160mm: Type-56, M-160 (?Type-60).
capable of limited defence of key urban and (SSM: FROG-1 type reported under
industrial areas, military installations and development.)
weapons complexes. ATK: grenade launchers: 40mm: Type-56, -69;
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3 SSN, 113 SS/SSG, 44 major surface com- Msls: SSM: HY-2 (Haiying = Sea Eagle, Styx-
batants. type); HY-3 (7/C-101); HY-4 (Styx-type med-
Subs: range coast def msl); HY-5 (7/C-801).
SSGN: 3 Han; 6 SY-2 cruise missiles. SAM: HQ-61 (Hongqian = Red Arrow); rail-
SSG (trials): launched, radar-guided ship- and truck-
1 Type-200 'Wuhan' (Sov G-class), mounted msl (?mod HQ-2J).
1 Type-031 (Sov R-class mod), 6 - 8 C-801/ SLCM: SY-2 (SY = ? Ying) sea skimmer
SY-2 SSM. (lExocet-type) reported; may be HY-5.
SS: 112: (On order (tentative): 3 Han SSN; 9 R-class SS;
90 Type-033 (Sov R-class), 4 Liida DDG; 6 Jianghu (4 mod), 2 Jiangdong
20 W-class IV/V (?trg; 5 in reserve), FFG; H-3, Hegu FAC; 2 Cougar Marine patrol
2 Ming (mod R-class) trg. catamarans, 2 Qiongsha assault tpts, 2
Destroyers: GW: 15: Yukan LST.)
11 Type-051 Liida (Kotlin-type) with 2 triple Coastal Defence Forces: (38,000).
HY-2 SSM; Indep arty and SSM regts deployed near naval
4 Anshan (ex-Sov Gordy) with 2 twin HY-2. bases, offshore islands and other vulnerable
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Mise: some 60 It tpt ac; JJ-5/-6 (2-seat) trg ac. Basic Militia: some 4.3 million; men and
Naval fighters are integrated into the national women aged 18—28 who have had, or will
AD system. have, military service, grouped in the
Armed Militia; serve with the Regulars for
AIR FORCE: 490,000, incl strategic forces and
30—40 days per year; org into about 75
220,000 AD personnel (160,000 conscripts);
cadre divisions and 2,000 regts, a Naval
some 5,300 combat ac4
7 Military Air Regions, HQ Beijing. (Maritime) Militia with armed trawlers, and
Combat elms org in Armies of varying numbers a major AD component.
of air divs (each with 3 regts of 3 sqns of 3 fits Ordinary Militia: up to 6 million (ages 18—
of 4—5 ac, 1 maintenance unit, some tpt and 35), incl the Urban Militia, receive some
trg ac). basic training but are generally unarmed.
Tpt ac in regts only. Some play a local AD role; all support the
Med bbrs: 120 H-6 (some may be nuclear capable), security forces.
some reported with 2 x C-601 (sub-sonic ALCM, People's Armed Police Forces (Ministry of
HY-2 SSM derivative) anti-ship msls. Security): ex-soldiers and personnel trans-
Lt bbrs: some 500 H-5. ferred from some 4 LF divs;
FGA: ?500 MiG-15 and QiQiang = attack) -5. Internal Defence divs and 30 indep regts;
Ftrs: ?4,000, incl 400 J-5, some 60 regts with
about 3,000 J-6/B/D/E, 200 J -7/J-7M, 30 J-8. border security, patrol and internal security
Recce: 130? J-5, 90 JZ-6 (J-6 variant), 40 HZ-5 duties.
(H-5 variant) ac. Small arms; Shanghai II FAC, Hainan patrol
Tpts: some 550, incl ?300 Y(Yun = tpt)-5/An-2, craft.
?20 Y-7 (An-24), 12 Y-8 (An-12), ?75 ex-Sov
Li-2 (DC-3 type), 11-14, U-18 (to be retired), 18 * The term 'People's Liberation Army' comprises all
BAe Trident. services; the Ground, Naval and Air components of the
(It is reported that some 200 tpt ac, of PLA are listed separately for purposes of comparison,
unspecified types, are to be transferred (with t There are 2—3 divs worth of border tps in these MR.
crews) to civil aviation.) % Many Chinese aircraft designs stem from Soviet
Hel: 400: incl Z-5/-6 (mod Z-5), Z-9 (SA-365N
types. Using Chinese terms, H-5 = 11-28, H-6 = Tu-16,
Dauphin), SA-316B Alouette III, SA-321 Super
Frelon, 4 Bell 214-ST, 6 AS-332 Super Puma, J-5 = MiG-17, J-6 = MiG-19, Q-5 = MiG-19 deriva-
24 Sikorsky S-70. tive, J-7 = MiG-21 derivative, J-8 = MiG-23 deriva-
Trainers: 1,500 (some OCU) incl CJ-5/-6 (mod tive, Y-5 = An-2, Y-7 = An-24, Y-8 = An-12, CJ-5 =
CJ-5), MiG-15UTI, JJ-4/-5/-6 (mod J-4/5/6), Yak-18A ac; Z-5 = Mi-4 hel. In export models the J is
HJ-5 (H-5 trg). generally read as F.
146
meet the common danger' in the event of attacks on either metropolitan or island territory
of any one of them, or on their armed forces, public vessels or aircraft in the Pacific.
The 1985 refusal of the New Zealand Government to permit visits by nuclear-propelled or
nuclear-armed warships was interpreted by the US as being contrary to the spirit of the
ANZUS alliance. Direct co-operation between the US and New Zealand was suspended by the
Reagan Administration, which has stated that, as the New Zealand Government has legis-
lated to ban visits by nuclear warships, it regards itself as free of obligations under ANZUS
towards New Zealand for as long as that legislation remains in effect. Bilateral co-operation
continues between Australia and New Zealand. US—Australian links remain close.
Five-Power Defence Arrangements (Australia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore and
Britain), relating to the defence of Malaysia and Singapore, came into effect on 1 November
1971. In the event of any externally organized or supported armed attack or threat of attack
against Malaysia or Singapore, the five governments would consult together for the purpose
of deciding what measures should be taken, jointly or separately. Britain withdrew its forces
in March 1976, but New Zealand troops remain in Singapore, as do Australian air units in
Malaysia and Singapore, with a small army component attached. Australian and New Zea-
land naval units visit Malaysia and Singapore regularly.
The Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), set up in 1967 by Indonesia,
Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand and joined by Brunei in 1984, is
intended to foster regional economic development, not military co-operation. Under the
rubric of the promotion of regional peace and security it is concerned with the Vietnamese
presence in Kampuchea. It supports the Kampuchean resistance movements politically, but
reported arms transfers to the rebels are believed to result from national, rather than multi-
lateral, initiatives.
The Soviet Union has Treaties of Friendship, Co-operation and Mutual Assistance with
Afghanistan (1978), India (1971), Mongolia (1966), North Korea (1961) and Vietnam
(1978). It concluded a Stationing of Forces Agreement with Afghanistan in April 1980.
Bulgaria has Friendship Treaties with Cambodia (1960), Laos (1979), Mongolia (1967) and
Vietnam (1979), as have Czechoslovakia with Laos (1980) and Vietnam (1980) and Afghan-
istan (1981), Hungary with Afghanistan (1982), and East Germany with Vietnam (1977),
Kampuchea (1980) and Afghanistan ( 1982).
The People's Republic of China has Friendship and Non-Aggression Treaties with
Afghanistan, Burma and Nepal (all 1960), and Kampuchea {Khmer Rouge) and a Treaty of
Friendship, Co-operation and Mutual Assistance with North Korea (1961).
Cuba and Vietnam signed a Treaty of Friendship and Co-operation on 5 October 1982.
Libya and North Korea signed a Treaty of Alliance or Friendship and Co-operation in
November 1982, which permits exchanges of military data, specialists and supplies. North
Korea and Tanzania have an agreement covering defence and security matters.
ASIA AND PACIFIC 147
Bilateral Agreements
The Soviet Union signed an agreement with India in December 1982 which provides for
collaboration on design and manufacture of naval vessels; other and subsequent
co-production arrangements exist. The US also has military co-operation agreements with
Australia (1951, 1963, 1974 and 1980); and a military aid agreement with Thailand. Arms
supply and production arrangements with Taiwan continue under the 1979 Taiwan
Relations Act. The US also provides continuing military aid to Indonesia, South Korea,
Malaysia, Pakistan, the Philippines and Thailand. There are major US bases in Japan,
South Korea and the Philippines (agreement renewed 1983), and air (B-52) and naval
refuelling facilities in north and west Australia respectively.
In 1965 Britain separated the Chagos Archipelago (which included Diego Garcia) from
Mauritius and, together with three smaller groups, established it as the British Indian Ocean
Territory (BIOT). A small British naval contingent is deployed on Diego Garcia. Agreements
in 1966, 1972 and 1976 have provided for the development of a major US naval and air
support facility with an indefinite tenure. The three smaller groups of islands have since
been turned over to the Seychelles.
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Britain has a Defence Agreement with Sri Lanka (1974) and one with Brunei which pro-
vides the latter with Gurkha troops and the British forces with a training area.
Australia has an agreement and subsidiary arrangements for the development of and
assistance to the Papua New Guinea Defence Force, and currently 135 Australian personnel
are on loan to Papua New Guinea. Under a number of arrangements Australia has supplied
defence equipment to the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia and most
of the smaller Pacific Island states.
In July 1977 Vietnam and Laos signed a series of agreements which contained military
provisions and a border pact, and may have covered the stationing of Vietnamese troops in
Laos. A similar series of agreements seems to have been negotiated between Vietnam and
the Heng Samrin regime in Kampuchea in February 1979 and December 1982.
Military Developments
There is little real evidence on the state of Afghanistan's forces. Reports suggest they play an
increasingly active role against the Mujaheddin, which would argue that they will receive
more and perhaps better equipment. The only evidence that this has happened is the
replacement of the Su-7 by Su-22 FGA. Earlier assessments of Mi-24 Hind strengths appear
to have been high. On the other hand, reports of desertions and of failure to report for mili-
tary service when conscripted continue to indicate that morale is low. On the guerrilla side,
efforts are being made to unify guerrilla forces and co-ordinate their actions. The
Mujaheddin have suffered severe casualties in pitched battles with Government and Soviet
forces. The latter's 'scorched earth' policies have reduced the guerrillas' ability to live and
conceal themselves in the populated areas. The Mujaheddin still have trouble getting
adequate arms, particularly anti-air weapons; there is no firm evidence that the much-
heralded Stinger SAM have actually reached the groups in the field. The Government and
its Soviet ally still have not won the war. Nor have the guerrillas lost it. Yet Government
consolidation continues to improve, and the rebels are coming under increasing pressure.
The Dibb Report on the future role of the Australian forces is too recent for its impact to
be reflected in force structure changes. The roles of the Army and Air Force have received
special emphasis, and a strengthening of the Navy's submarine capability is also possible as
a result of the report.
Burma's Army has increased its efforts against the many rebel forces. Some local suc-
cesses have been reported, but no end to thé conflict is in sight, and the Government has
not been able to procure the equipment necessary to give its field units the mobility and
firepower they lack.
The Indian Army entry this year has been expanded on the basis of additional knowledge —
not as the result of any expansion ofthat Service. Deliveries of the T-72 tank order continue.
148 ASIA AND PACIFIC
The purchase of 400 Bofors FH-7B 155mm howitzers from Sweden adds a new source to
India's list of suppliers. Its Navy has bought the British Hermes ASW carrier, which will per-
haps use a mix of Sea Harrier and Sea King. The Air Force continues to replace its Marut
FGA with MiG-23BN; the Ajeet fighter earlier reported as being phased out, appears to have
earned a reprieve, with additional orders being placed. Pakistan has added some 50 M-48 and
perhaps another 50 Type-59 tanks. The Army has also received a small quantity of RBS-70
SAM. No significant deliveries are reported for the other two Services.
The internal security challenge faced by the Sri Lankan government has resulted in the
procurement of a greater quantity and variety of equipment than at almost any time in the
country's history. Because the process is continuing, quantities of individual items are
difficult to confirm. There is no doubt, however, that the expanding force will take time to
absorb the armour, artillery, patrol craft, aircraft and helicopters reported.
Malaysia has received some 120 SIBMAS reconnaissance vehicles, and the second A-4
FGA squadron is now operational. The long-reported Naval Air element is still expected, but
there is no evidence that aircraft for it to use have been received. There has been no
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significant change reported for Singapore or for Indonesia. The role of the Philippines'
forces remains that of internal security. Reports that reorganization is to take place have not
so far been translated into visible change. There appears to have been a substantial increase
in the Thai Marine force; it may be that an earlier increase was missed.
Little change has been reported in Vietnam, or in Laos. In Kampuchea, the Heng Samrin
Government appears to be continuing its slow development of the armed forces. An
additional infantry division has apparently been formed, and there are reports of increases
in the inventories of tanks, artillery and aircraft. The opposing Coalition of Democratic
Kampuchea is confining its operations to small-scale raids and sabotage. These appear, how-
ever, to be quite deep inside Kampuchea and relatively widespread.
In North-east Asia, North Korea is apparently also carrying out a measure of reorganiz-
ation. Details are as yet unavailable, apart from some details of the artillery field structure
which represent new information rather than evidence of change. The Navy lost a submar-
ine last year; it has probably been replaced from domestic production. Reports have also
appeared of the existence of perhaps five midget submarines which could be used to
infiltrate agents. A new Fast Attack Craft type has been reported; no details are available.
The Air Force has received some 50 MiG-23 interceptors which will significantly enhance
the mix of MiG-19 and -21 already in inventory.
South Korea has received additional M-48A5 tanks and some M-110 203mm SP howit-
zers. The naval HDF-2100 frigate programme is well under way, with two Harpoon-
equipped Ulsan-class now in service. The Japanese modernization programmes continue.
The Type-74 tank continues to replace the Type-61. Additional Type-73 APC are in inven-
tory, and the 155mm FH-70 SP howitzer is now being delivered. One new Type-171 and
two new Type-122 guided missile destroyers are now in service.
Economic Factors
After the economic recovery of 1983—4, the region's economic growth fell from just under
5% in 1984 to just above 3.5% in 1985. Although international trade rose by some 9%,
trading patterns were very uneven, in particular within the Asian region. Equally uneven
was regional economic output. China led with a remarkable growth rate of 10—11%, while
the Philippines suffered another decline in growth of-5%.
At least four countries achieved growth rates of 6—7% (Burma, South Korea, Pakistan
and Papua New Guinea), while those of most others ranged between 4% and 5%. Only New
Zealand appears to have achieved no growth at all, while at the same time increasing its
debt to some $16.0 bn.
In comparison to other developing regions in the world, Asia is still far better off —
despite occasional economic downturns. Unlike Africa, which in 1985 experienced a per
capita real GDP decrease of 1.3%, Asia achieved a regional increase of 3.8%. Even the states
ASIA AND PACIFIC 149
with low per capita income (India, Pakistan and Bangladesh) have achieved notable econ-
omic growth.
Some economies, however, experienced contractions as a result of their dependence on
oil-generated revenues. The incomes of Brunei, Malaysia and Indonesia were seriously
affected as oil demand and prices fell drastically (Indonesia lost about 20% of its sales rev-
enue over 1984, and Brunei about 30%). The international oil price collapse had positive
effects on the oil importers; if, as many observers believe, prices stabilize over the next few
years at around $15—18 per barrel, this would have a substantial impact on their econom-
ies. (Last year the non-industrialized Asian states spent some $35 bn on oil imports, so a
50% reduction in oil prices would significantly affect their foreign trade balances).
Unlike the situation in Latin America and some African states, inflation has also been
well contained, with the Philippines (22%),. New Zealand (17%) Pakistan (10%) and
Bangladesh (10%) the worst cases in the region. Debt, however, has also become a major
issue. Asia's toial debt has reached $239 bn, an increase of some 12% over 1984. Again, the
weakest state is the Philippines, with a gross external debt/GDP ratios of over 80%, followed
by South Korea, Malaysia and New Zealand with about 60% debt/GDP ratios. Although in
relation to Africa and the western hemisphere the debt issue has not yet reached crisis pro-
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portions, some countries are heading for repayment problems: the Philippines at present
has a debt/service ratio of 190%, followed by Australia, South Korea, New Zealand and
Thailand with some 60%. Until the US and European economies attain a higher growth rate
the newly industrializing countries of the region will continue to experience a slowdown in
growth, if not actual recession.
As the principal oil producers in the Gulf reduce their spending — due to drastically
reduced incomes — and with the US Congress becoming more protectionist, the Asian
countries (especially ASEAN) will be forced to accelerate their trade and industrial
co-operation negotiations. In the short run, greater regional co-operation may well be the
salvation of the rather fragile economies of the region.
BRUNEI
BURMA
GDP 1984: $B 8.052 bn ($US 3.775 bn)
1985: $B 7.200 bn ($US 3.272 bn) GDP 1983/4: K 49.730 bn ($6.130 bn)
growth 1984: 2.1% 1985: -6.2% 1984/5: K 54.042 bn ($6.314 bn)
Inflation 1984: 3.1% growth 1983/4: 4.7% 1984/5: 6.6%
Def exp 1983s: $B 5 50.00 m ($US 260.281 m) Inflation 1984: 4.8% 1985: 6.8%
1984e: $B 650.00 m ($US 304.721 m) Debt 1984: $3.7 bn 1985: $3.9 bn
$US1=$B(1982): 2.140 (1983): 2.113 Def exp 1985/6: K 1.863 bn ($228.253 m)
(1984): 2.133 (1985): 2.200 Defbdgt 1986/7: K 1.800 bn ($247.518 m)
$B = Brunei dollars FMA 1984: $1.4 m 1985: $1.7 m
$1 = K (1983/4): 8.1124 (1984/5): 8 .5584
Population : 247,000 (1985/6): 8.1620 (1986): 7.2722
18-30 31-45 K = kyats
Men: 31,900 27,500
Women: 24,000 15,900 Population: 40,481,000
18-30 31-45
Men: 4,289,000 2,820,000
TOTAL ARMED FORCES (all services form Women: 4,302,000 2,913,000
part of the Army):
Regular: 4,050 incl 150 women.
Terms of service, voluntary. TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
Regular: 186,000.
ARMY: 3,380. Terms of service, voluntary.
2infbns.
1 armd recce sqn. ARMY: 170,000.
1 AD bty: 8 dets with Rapier. 8 Regional, 1 Garrison, commands.
1 engr sqn. 6 It inf div HQ (under central control):
1 sigs sqn. 3 with 3 Tactical Operational Comds (= bdes);
ASIA AND PACIFIC 153
3 with 1 or 2 TOC; each TOC up to 10 bns. Palaung State Liberation Army: some 500.
16 Tactical Operational Comds (bdes). Pa-O National Army: some 500.
91 inf bns (some 25 indep). Shan State Army: some 3,500.
2 armd bns. Shan United Army: 3,000.
4 arty bns. Shan United Revolutionary Army: 900—1,200.
1 AA bty. Wa National Army: some 300.
Equipment; Most of the smaller groups are grouped loosely
Tks: 24 Comet. under the National Democratic Front (NDF).
AFV: recce: 40 Humber, 45 Ferret.
Arty: guns: 25-pdr (88mm): 50. guns/how: 5.5-in. * Spares are short; most eqpt unserviceable.
(140mm). how: 76mm: 120 M-1948; 105mm:
80 M-101. mor: 120mm: 80.
ATK: RCL Carl Gustav 84mm. FIJI
guns: 50 6-pdr (57mm) and 17-pdr (76.2mm).
AD: guns: 10 40mm.* GDP 1984: $F 1.231 bn ($US 1.139 bn)
1985e:$F 1.272 bn ($US 1.103 bn)
NAVY: 7,000 incl 800 Marines. growth 1984: 9.4% 1985:-1.7%
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40,000. Air Force (Regular, Air Defence, Fleet: Vishakapatnam, Port Blair.
Auxiliary) exist, strengths unknown. Subs: 8 Sov F-class.
Carrier: 1 Br Majestic (capacity 18 attack, 4
ARMY: 1,100,000. ASW ac/hel).
HQ: 5 Regional Comd (=Fd Army), 8 Corps. Destroyers: 3 Sov Kashin II GW with 4 Styx SSM,
2 armd divs (Type: 2 tk, 1 mech bdes, SP arty, 2 twin SA-N-1 SAM, 1 Kamov Ka-25 hel.
engr regts). Frigates: 23:
1 mech div (Type: 3 mech bdes, SP arty, 2 Godavari (mod Leander) with 2 Styx SSM,
engr regts). 1 SA-N-4 SAM, 2 Westland-Sikorsky Sea
22 inf divs (Type: 3 inf bdes (9 bns), arty, engr King hel;
regts; hy divs may have 4 or 5 bdes). 6 Br Leander (4 with 2 quad, 2 with 1 quad
7 mountain divs (Type: 3 bdes, mountain Seacat SAM, 1 Alouette or Sea King hel);
arty.engrs). 2 Br Whitby with 3 Styx SSM, 1 SA-316B
19 indep bdes: 7 armd, 10 inf, 1 mountain, Alouette hel;
1 para/cdo. 10 Sov Petya II;
4 army arty bdes. 3 Br Leopard (trg).
4 AD bdes. Corvettes: 4:
3 army engr bdes. 3 Sov Nanuchka II with 4 SS-N-2 SSM, 1
These formations comprise: SA-N-4 SAM;
46 tk regts. 1 Veera.
17 mech, 329 inf bns. FAC(G): 14:6 Sov Osa-l, 8 Osa-U with 4 Styx SSM.
9 para/cdo bns. Patrol craft: 9: 6 SDB-2, 2 Osa-1, 1 Abhay.
164 arty regts: 1 hy, 5 MRL, 50 med (incl 5 SP), MCMV: 18:
69 fd (incl 3 SP), 39 mountain. 8 Sov Natya ocean; 4 Br Ham, 6 Sov
29 AA arty regts, perhaps 10 SAM groups (3—5 Yevgenya{ inshore hunters.
btys each). Amph: LST: 1; LCT: 7 (2 Sov, 5 Pol Polnocny);
Avn: 29 air observation/fire control fits (hy hel LCU: 4 .
units to form).
Equipment: NAVAL AIR FORCE: (2,000); combat: some 25
Tks: 2,790 (?500 in reserve): 1,040 T-54/-55 ac, 25 hel.
(800 to be mod), 350 T-72, 1,250 Vijayanta. Attack: 1 sqn with 8 BAe Sea Harrier FRS
It: 150PT-76. Mk-51,2T-60trg.
AFV: MICV: 600 BMP-1. ASW: 1 ac sqn with 5 Breguet Alizé 1050 (4 in
APC: 400 OT-62/-64, 360 BTR-60. carrier); 5 hel sqns with 5 Kamov Ka-25 Hor-
Arty: guns: some 2,230 (some 90 SP): 76mm: 200 mone A (in Kashins), 9 Westland-Sikorsky Sea
Yug M-48; 25-pdr (88mm): 800 (retiring); King, 11 SA-316B Alouette III (in frigates).
100mm: 185 M-1944; 105mm: 340 incl 60 MR: 2 sqns: 4 Lockheed L-1049 Super Constel-
Abbot SP; 130mm: 500 M-46 (some 100 SP); lation, 3 Ilyushin 11-38 May, 3 Tupolev
5.5-in. (140mm): 140 (retiring). Tu-142M Bear.
how: 1,658: 75mm: 75/24 mountain; 105mm: Comms: 1 sqn with 18 BN-2 Defender {12 MR).
(incl M-56 pack). SAR: 1 hel sqn with 10 Alouette III.
ASIA AND PACIFIC 155
Trg: 2 sqns: 7 HAL HJT-16 Kiran, 2 BAe Sea AAM: R-23R/T Apex, R-60 Aphid, R-550 Magic,
Hawk FB-5, 10 BN-2 Islander ac; 4 Hughes AA-2 Atoll.
300 hel. ASM: AS-30; AS-1 IB (ATGW), AS-7 Kerry
Other ac inch 5 Alizé 1050, 4 Sea King. (with MiG-27).
(On order: 4 Sov F-class, 2 Type-1500 subs, SAM: 30 bns: 280 Divina V75SM/VK (SA-2),
1 ASW carrier, 3 Kashin GW destroyers, 1 SA-3.
Godavari FFG (1986), 3 Nanuchka, 5 Tarantul (On order some 40 MiG-29, some 18 Dassault
corvettes, 4 Ataya MCMV, 4 Polnocny CLCT, 1 Mirage 2000H, 31 Jaguar (to be locally
survey ship, Exocef SSM; 10 Sea Harrier Mk assembled), some 165 MÏG-27M, MiG-21bis
51, 1 T-60; 3-5 Tu-142M Bear MR, 24 ftrs; 69 An-32, some 17 11-76, 116 Do-228 tpts;
Dornier Do-228 MR ac; 12 Sea King Mk 42B 90 Kiran Mk 2, some 120 HPT-32 trg ac; 6
ASW hel; Sea Eagle SSM; Exocet AM-39 ASM.) SA-365 Dauphin, 21 Westland W-30, Mi-17,
10 Mi-26, 45 Chetak hel; R-23R Apex, R-60
AIR FORCE: 113,000; combat: 728 ac; some 60 hel. Aphid AAM.)
5 Air Commands.
Bbrs: 3 sqns (1 maritime role):
35 BAe Canberra B(I)58/B(I)12 (to be PARA-MILITARY:
National Security Force: 112,000.
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Equipment:
Tks: It: some 195 AMX-13, 41 PT-76. Alouette II, 4 MBB BO-105.
AFV: recce: 56 Saladin, 58 Ferret. MICV: 200
AMX-VCI. APC: 56 Saracen, 60 V-150 Com- MARINES: (12,000).
mando, 80 BTR-40, 24 BTR-152. 5 regts: 2 inf (each 6 bns), 1 combat spt, 1 admin
Arty: guns/how: 76mm: some 30 M-1938 pack; spt, 1 trg.
105mm: 170M-101. Equipment:
mor: 81/82mm: 480; 120mm: M-43. Tks: It: 30 PT-76.
ATK: RCU 90mm: 480 M-67; 106mm: M-40. AFV: MICV: 40 AMX-10 PAC-90.
AD: guns: 20mm: 20; 40mm: 90 M-l; 57mm: APC: 57 incl 25 AMX-10P, BTR-50P.
200 S-60. SAM: RBS-70, Rapier. Arty: how: 122mm: 40 M-38.
Avn: 8 NC-212 Aviocar, 2 Rockwell Aero Com- MRL 140mm: BM-14.
mander 680, 1 Beech Super-lS ac; 16 Bell 205, AD: guns: 40mm, 57mm.
4 SA-316B Alouette III, 16 MBB BO-105 hel. (On order. 1 Type-1300 sub, 2 Neth Van Speijk
Amph: LST: 1; LCU: 20 300-ton. frigates, 4 PSMM-5 FAC(G), 6 PB-57 FAC,
Marine spt: 14 tpts. 1 Aus Attack patrol, 2 Tripartite (Alkmaar)
(On order: 6 Bell 212, AS-332 Super Puma hel; MCMV, 1 Jetfoil 429 patrol boat,* 30 patrol
Rapier SAM.)
launches; 1 survey ship; 18 NC-235 tpt ac;
DEPLOYMENT: E. Timor: 15,000; 20 inf bns. some 20 Super Puma hel,* Harpoon SSM.)
NAVY: 38,000 incl naval air and marines. AIR FORCE: 27,000; 84 combat aircraft.
Bases: Jakarta-Tanjung Priok (HQ), Surabaya 2 Air Operations Areas:
(HQ), Belawan, Bintan, Ujung Pandang (to be FGA: 2 sqns: 32 McDonnell-Douglas Skyhawk
HQ), Ambon. A-4 (30 -4E, 2 TA-4H).
2 Fleets. Interceptors: 1 sqn with 15 Northrop F-5 (11 -E,
Subs: 2 Cakra (Type-1300); 1 W-class (trg, 4-F).
non-operational). COIN: 1 sqn with 13 OV-l OF Bronco.
Frigates: 13: MR: 1 sqn with 3 Boeing 737-200, 5 HU-16
4 GW with 4 Exocet MM-38 SSM: Albatross.
3 Fatahillah (1 with 1 Westland Wasp hel);
1 Hadjar Dewartana (Yug; trg, 1 hel); Tpt: 4 sqns:
2 with 21 C-130B/H/HS, 1 L-100-30;
3 Br Tribal with 2 quad Seacat, 1 Wasp hel;
4 US Jones; 2 with 1 C-140 Jetstar, 7 C-47 (Douglas
2 Sov Riga. DC-3), 1 SC-7 Skyvan, 9 Fokker (1 F-28, 8
FAC(G): 4 PSMM-5 Mandau (Dagger) with F-27), 5 NC-212A4, 1 Boeing 707, 12
4 Exocet SSM. Cessna 207/401/402.
FAC(T): 2 Beruang (Lürssen TNC-45). Hel: 3 sqns:
FAC(P): 2 Andau (Lürssen PB-57). 1 with 9 Sikorsky S-58 (UH-34T);
Patrol vessels: 31 : 2 with 5 Bell 204B, 12 SA-330L Puma, 12
3 Pandorong (Sov Kronshtadt (?2 in reserve)), Hughes 500; 6 Nurtanio-MBB NBO-105
1 Hiu (US PC-461), 3 Layang (Yug Kral- (with Forestry).
jevica), 8 Sibarau (Aus Attack), 2 Kelabang, Trg: 3 sqns: 16 BAe Hawk T-53, 15 Beech
1 US PGM-39, 1 Jalasena, 2 Akabri, 1 T-34C1, 20 AS-202 Bravo ac; 12 Bell 47G hel.
ASIA AND PACIFIC 157
Quick Reaction Forces: TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
5 COIN bns. Regular: 243,000.
Spt vessels: 6: 600-ton RoRo cargo ships. Terms of service, voluntary.
Reserves: Army 43,000; Navy 600.
(On order: 8 General Dynamics F-16 FGA; 8
NC-212-200, 32 NC-235, 3 Transall C-160 tpt ARMY: 155,000.
ac; NBO-105, SA-332 Super Puma, Bell 412, 5 Army HQ (Regional Commands).
MBBBK-117hel.) 1 armd div.
12 inf divs (5 at 7,000, 7 at 9,000 men each).
Other Ha: 2 composite bdes (1 hel-borne, 1 trg).
KOSTRAD = Strategic Reserve Command: 1 AB bde.
(16,500—19,000 men); main national force 1 arty bde, 2 arty gps; 8 SAM gps (each of 4 btys).
under direct control of the Commander of the 1 sigs bde.
Armed Forces; 2 divs, cav bde, special force 5 engr bdes.
gps, spt arms and services. Avn: 1 hel bde: 24 sqns. 2 ATK hel platoons
K.OPKAMTIB = Command for the Restoration of forming.
Order and Security; no forces assigned. Equipment:
KOPPASSANDHA = Special Forces Command: Tks: some 470 Type 61 (retiring), some 600
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 15:47 27 December 2014
2 Haruna (Type 141) with 1 octuple 6 combat air wings; 1 combat air gp; 1 recce sqn.
ASROC, 3 ASW hel; FGA: 3 sqns: 50 Mitsubishi F-l.
9 Hatsuyuki (Type 122) with 2 quad Harpoon Interceptors 11 sqns:
SSM, 1 Sea Sparrow, 1 octuple ASROC, 1 4 with some 83 Mitsubishi/McDonnell-
ASW hel; Douglas F-l 5J/DJ;
3 Tachikaze (Type 168) with 1 Tartar/ 6 with 110 Mitsubishi/McDonnell-Douglas
Standard SAM, 1 octuple ASROC; F-4/EJ;
1 Amatsukaze (Type 163) with 1 Standard 1 with 30 Mitsubishi/Lockheed F-104J.
SAM, 1 octuple ASROC; Recce: 2 sqns:
4 Takatsuki (Type 164) with 1 octuple ASROC; 1 with 10 RF-4 EJ; 1 EWng with 6 Grumman
6 Yamagumo (Type 113) (2 to be modernized) E-2C.
Aggressor trg: 1 sqn with 5 Mitsubishi T-2, 6
with 1 octuple ASROC;
Lockheed T-33.
3 Minegumo (Type 116) with 1 octuple ASROC;
Tpt: 1 tactical wing: 3 sqns: 20 Kawasaki C-l, 10
1 Akizuki (Type 162);
2 Ayanami (Type 103). NAMC YS-11, 4 C-130H Hercules.
Frigates: 18: SAR: 1 wing (9 dets) with Mitsubishi MU-2 ac,
32 Kawasaki-Vertol KV-107 hel.
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AD: guns: 8,500: 23mm; 37mm: Type-55, SAM: 4 bdes (12 bns, 40 btys) with 800 SA-2 in 45
M-1939; 57mm: S-60, Type-59; 85mm: KS-12; sites.
100mm: KS-19 towed; ZSU-23-4 and ZSU-57-2 Some 30 SA-3 Goa (based round Pyongyang).
SP.
SAM: SA-7. Forces Abroad Iran (300); 10 African countries ind
Angola (1,000; plus some 3,000 rivilians),
NAVY: 35,000. Madagascar (100); Seychelles (50).
Bases: East Coast: Wonsan, Cha-ho, Chongjin,
Kimchaek, Toejo. West Coast: Nampo, Haeju, PARA-MILITARY:
Pipaqo, Sagwon-ri. Security forces and border guards: 38,000.
2 Fleet HQ. Workers-Peasants Red Guards (militia); some 3 million.
Subs: 25: Red Youth People's Security Forces Guards some
4 Sov W-class; 700,000.
4 Ch, 12 local-built (Type-033/R-class); Instruction force (Reserve Military units): ex-Regular
(?5) miniature subs reported, characteristics and selected Militia staflftrg cadre.
unknown. HQ (corps equivalent) in each of 9 Provinces and 3
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 15:47 27 December 2014
Frigates: 2 Najin (1 may have 1 twin Styx SSM). towns; bde HQ in towns; bns, coys/platoons at vil-
FAC(G): 32: lage, farm, factory, eta, some with small arms, mor
8 W j t o l type) to 120mm, some AA arty.
8 Komar{,
with 2 Styx SSM. * Official exchange rate. Trade-weighted rate calculated at
6 Sohung (Komar-typë) about$l = 2wong.
FAC(T): 136:
45 Sov (3 Shershen, 34 P-6(, 8 P-4<), 91 < (15
Iwon, 6 An Ju, 70 Ku Song/Sin Hung).
FAC: 167: KOREA: REPUBLIC OF (SOUTH)
15 Shanghai I/II, 4 Chodo, 4 K-48, some 144(
(20 Sov MO-V, 8 Shantou, 66 Chaho, 40 Chong- GDP 1984: won 67,126.0 bn ($83.285 bn)
Jin (Chong-Ju-class reported); ?10 Sinpo). 1985: won 72,362.0 bn ($83.173 bn)
Patrol craft growth 1984: 7.9% 1985: 5.1%
35 large: 15 SO-1 (6 Sov), 2 Sov Tral, 3 Sariwan, Inflation 1984: 2.3% 1985: 2.5%
6 Ch Hainan, 9 Taechong; Debt 1984: $45.0 bn 1985: $46.7 bn
30(: 10 Sov KM-4 coastal, 20 mise inshore). Def bdgt 1985: won 3,827.0 bn ($4.399 bn)
Amph: LSM: 6 Hantae, LCU: 9 Hanchon, 95 Nampo 1986: won 4,309.0 bn ($4.854 bn)
assault/landing craft; LCM: 18(. Def exp 1984: won 3,690.0 bn ($4.578 bn)
Coast defence: 2 msl regts: Samlet in 6 sites; FMA 1985: $262.7 m 1986: $500.0 m
guns: 122mm: M-1931/-37; 130mm: SM-4-1; $1= won (1983): 775.75 (1984): 805.98
152mm: M-1937 guns. (1985): 870.02 (1986): 887.70
(On order (?3) miniature SS, 2 Sohung, 2 Soju Population: 43,050,000.
FAC(G), 1 Taechong patrol craft, Hantae LSM). 18-30 31-45
Men: 5,800,000 3,895,000
AIR FORCE: 55,000; some 854 combat ac. Women: 5,425,000 3,770,000
Bbrs: 3 It sqns with 80 Ilyushin 11-28.
FGA:10sqns:
1 with 20 Sukhoi Su-7; TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
6 with some 280 Mikoyan-Guryevich MiG-15/-17; Regular 601,000.
3 with some 100 MiG-19/Q-5. Terms of service, all Services, 30—36 months.
Interceptors: 12 sqns 160 MiG-21, some 60 MiG-19, Reserves: 4,822,000. Army: Regular Reserves
some 50 MiG-23. 1,400,000, Homeland Reserve Defence
Tpt perhaps 25 sqns Force 3,300,000. Navy 7,000. Marines
250 Antonov An-2, 10 An-24, 5 D-14, 4 D-18, 2 60,000. Air 55,000.
TupolevTu-154B, 1D-62.
HeL 170 ind 40 Mil Mi-4, 20 Mi-8, 80 Hughes -300, ARMY: 520,000.
-500 (some 60 reported to be armed). HQ: 3 Army (1 Reserve), 5 Corps (each 4 divs).
Tig ind 4 Mig-23, 120 Yakovlev Yak-18, 2 mech inf divs (each 3 bdes: 3 mech inf,
100 MiG-15UTI/-19Un/-21U, n-28, 30 3 mot, 3 tk, 1 recce bns; 1 fd arty bde).
Nanchang CJ-6. 19 inf divs (each 3 inf regts, 1 recce, 1 tk,
AAMi AA.-2 Atoll. 1 engr bn, arty gp).
ASIA AND PACIFIC 161
Arty: guns: 130mm: 10 M-46. 9 inf bdes, consisting of 36 inf bns (1 APC), 4
how: 75mm: 40 M-116; 76mm: 20 M-1942; cav, 5 fd arty, 2 AA arty, 5 sigs, 5 engr regts;
105mm: 25 M-101; 122mm: 40 M-1938 admin units.
and D-30. 1 Special Service regt (3 bns).
mon 81mm: M-l; 82mm: M-37; 120mm: M-43. Equipment:
ATK: RCL: 57mm: M-18/A1; 75mm: M-20; Tks: It: 26 Scorpion (90mm).
107mm: B-ll. AFV: recce: 186 SIBMAS, 140 AML-60/-90, 60
AD: guns: 23mm: ZSU-23-4 SP; 37mm: M-1939; Ferret (to retire). APC: 140 AT-105, 134 V-100/
57mm: S-60. SAM: SA-7. -150 Commando, 25 Stormer, 460 Condor.
Arty: how: 105mm: 60 Model 56 pack, 56
NAVY: 1,000.
Patrol craft(: 20 riven most ex-Vietnamese, M-102A1. mor: 81mm.
some Sov Shmel. ATK: RU 89mm: M-20. RCL: 106mm: 150;
(Perhaps 20 more vessels incl 3 LCM, 6 tpts in 120mm: 5. ATGW:SS-11.
reserve, probably inoperable.) AD: guns: 12.7mm: 70; 40mm: 35 L-70.
NAVY: 9,000.
AIR FORCE: 2,000; 24 combat ac.
FGA: 1 sqn with some 20 Mikoyan-Guryevich Bases: Lumut (HQ), Tanjong Gelang, Kuantan
MiG-21. (HQ Naval Region), Labuan, Sungei Aute
Tpt: 1 sqn: 2 Yakovlev Yak-40, 5 Antonov (Sarawak), Woodlands (Singapore; trg base).
An-24, 2 An-26, 6 An-2, C-47 (Douglas DC-3), Frigates: 4:
Douglas DC-4. 2 Kasturi FFG (FS-1500) with 4 Exocet MM-38
Hel: 1 sqn with 10 Mil Mi-8, 2 Mi-6. SSM, 1 hel;
Trg: 10 MiG-15 UTI/MiG-17, 4 MiG-21 UTI, 2 Yarrow FF.
8 Yak-18. FAC(G): 12 with Exocet MM-38 SSM:
AAM: AA-2 Atoll. 8 Handalan (Spica-M) (4 msls);
(On order: 12 MiG-21 ac.) 4 Perdana (La Combattante II) (2 msls).
FAC: 6 Jerong.
Patrol craft: 21 large:
PARA-MILITARY: Militia, Self-Defence forces. 1 Musytari, 2 Kedah, 4 Sabah, 14 Kris.
Minehunters: 4 Lerici.
Amph: LST: 2 US 511-1152, 29 small vessels.
Spt: 3 comd/comms/cargo ships.
MALAYSIA (Naval Air Wing to form 71986.)
(On order 1 1,300-ton offshore patrol vessel.)
GDP 1984: $M 79.634 bn ($US 33.979 bn) AIR FORCE: 11,000; 61 combat ac.
1985: $M 78.000 bn ($US 31.415 bn)
growth 1984: 7.6% 1985: 2.8% 2 Commands.
Inflation 1984: 3.9% 1985: 0.3% FGA: 3 sqns: 2 with 39 McDonnell-Douglas
Debt 1984: $US 16.7 bn 1985: $US 18.5 bn A-4PTM; 1 with 19 Northrop F-5 (13 -E, 4 -F,
Def bdgt 1985: $M 4.381 bn ($US 1.764 bn) 2 RF-5E).
1986: $M 4.700 bn ($US 1.788 bn) MR: 1 sqn with 3 C-130HMP Hercules.
ASIA AND PACIFIC 163
Tpt: 5 sqns: ac: 3: 1 with 6 C-130H; 2 with 2 Terms of service: Conscription: males 18—40
BAe/HS-125, 2 Fokker F-28, 2 HU-16 Alba- years; 3 years authorized, actual service may
tross, 11 Cessna 402B; hel: 2 with 36 Sikorsky only be 2.
S-61A-4. Reserves: Army 200,000.
Liaison: 4 sqns: ac: 2 with 13 DHC-4A Caribou;
hel: 2 with 24 SA-316B Alouette III. ARMY: 22,000 (perhaps 17,000 conscripts).
Trg: 3 sqns: ac: 12 Aermacchi MB-339, 40 4 motor rifle divs.
Pilatus PC-7; hel: 7 Bell 47, 2 Alouette. Equipment:
AAM: Sidewinder. Tks: 650 T-54/-55/-62.
AFV: recce: 135 BRDM-2/-RKH.
(On order: 4 NC-212 Aviocar tpt, 2 HU-16 Alba- MICV: 350 BMP, 20 BMP M-1976.
tross ac (1986); Super Sidewinder AAM. APC:350BTR-40/-60/-152.
Arty: guns: 650: 122mm: D-30; 130mm: M-46;
PARA-MILITARY: 152mm: ML-20.
Police Field Force 18,000; 4 Bde HQ: 21 bns MRL: 122mm: BM-21; 132mm: BM-13-16;
(incl 2 Aboriginal); Shorland armd cars, 140mm: BM-14-16, BM-14-17.
SB-301 APC, 53 armed patrol boats incl 9 mor: 82mm, 120mm, 160mm.
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Brooke Marine 25m (27(), 4 Cessna 206 ac. ATK: guns: 100mm: T-12.
(On order: 2 cutters with hel.) ATGW: BRDM-2 with AT-3 Sagger.
Area Security Units (Home Guard): 3,100 men AD: guns: 200: 14.5mm: ZPU-4; 37mm:
in 89 units. M-1939; 57mm: S-60.
Border Scouts (in Sabah, Sarawak) 1,200. SAM: 300 SA-7.
People's Volunteer Corps (RELA) over 350,000.
AIR FORCE: 3,500 (100 pilots); Soviet tech-
OPPOSITION: some 2,100. nicians; 17 combat ac.
Communist Party of Malaya (CPM) (some 1,200). (Operates civil air line.)
Communist Party of Malaya (CPMAL) (800) incl Ftrs: 1 sqn with 17 Mikoyan-Guryevich MiG-21.
CPM Marxist and Leninist Faction (CPM Tpt* at least 2 sqns:
(ML)) (750), CPM Revolutionary Faction (CPM 20 Antonov An-2,19 An-24, 1 An-26, 1 An-32.
Hel: 1 sqn with Mil Mi-8, 10 Mi-4.
(RF)) (50). Trg: Yakovlev Yak-11/-18, 3 PZL-104 Wilga utility.
North Kalimantan Communist Party (NKCP) —
East Malaysia (60).
PARA-MILITARY:
* Excl ringgits 2.8 bn for defence in 5-year plan 1986— Ministry of Public Security (15,000): Militia
90. 1981—85 plan had allocated M$ 6.0 bn. All figures (Police), internal security troops, frontier
incl internal security budget/expenditure. guards; BTR-60/-152 APC.
NEPAL
MONGOLIA
GDP 1983/4: NR 38.184 bn ($2.502 bn)
GDP 1984B: t 6.65
bn ($1.900 bn) 1984/5: NR 41.738 bn ($2.347 bn)
1985e:t 7.13 bn ($2.123 bn) growth 1983/4: 7.4% 1984/5:2.8%
growth 1983: 8.3% 1984: 4.5% Inflation 1984: 2.8% 1985: 8.1%
Defbdgt 1984: t 763.80 m ($218.229 m ) Debt 1984: $430.0 m 1985e: $520.0 m
1985e: t 783.00 m ($233.348 m ) Def bdgtl984/5: NR 530.0 m ($29.805 m)
$l=t (1982/3): 3.30 (1984): 3.50 1985/6: NR 660.8 m ($34.521 m)
(1985): 3.36 Def expl 983/4Ë: NR 660.0 m ($43.250 m)
t = tugrik 1984/5e:NR 374.0 m ($21.032 m)
Population: 1,954,000 $ 1 = N R (1983/4): 15.2602 (1984/5): 17.7822
75-50 31-45 (1985/6): 19.1417 (1986): 20.5000
Men: 217,000 153,000 NR = rupees
Women: 218,000 152,000 Population: 16,950,000
18-30 31-45
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: Men: 1,850,000 1,300,000
Regular: 25,500 (Perhaps 17,000 conscripts). Women: 1,745,000 1,300,000
164 ASIA AND PACIFIC
SAR: 1 sqn with 6 GAF N-24A Searchmaster L New People's Army (NPA; Maoist) 16,500 (per-
ac, 5 MBB BO-105 hel. haps 11,000 armed; 20,000 more
Spt: 2 Presidential yachts, 3 repair ships, 1 spt supporters).
ship, 2 tankers. Cordillera People's Liberation Army (breakaway
MARINES: (9,500): from NPA) few hundred; small arms.
3bdes(10bns). Figures must be used with caution.
Equipment:
APC: 30 LVTP-5, 55 LVTP-7.
Arty: how: 105mm: 150M-101. SINGAPORE
mor: 4.2-in. (107mm): M-30.
Coastguard: (2,000). GDP 1983/4: S 35.171 bn ($16.571 bn)
Equipment: Some 65 patrol craft incl 3 large SAR, 1984/5: S 38.733 bn ($17.901 bn)
growth 1984/5: -1.7% 1985/6: -2.4%
2 It ac.
Inflation 1984: 2.6% 1985: 0.4%
(On order: 2 ex-US destroyers, 3 PSMM-5 Debt 1984: $2.0 bn 1985: $3.7 bn
FAC(G); 6 Kagitingan (status of order unclear) Defbdgt 1984/5: S 2.263 bn($ 1.046 bn)
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large, 50 small patrol boats (some 19 Swift- 1985/6: S 2.614 bn ($1.201 bn)
type for Coastguard); 1 LCVP amph.) $1 = S (1983/4):: 2.1225 (1984/5): 2.1637
(1985/6):: 2.1762 (1986): 2.2188
AIR FORCE: 17,000; combat: 71 ac, 17 hel. S = $ Singapore
FGA: 1 sqn with 20 Republic F-8H.
AD: 1 sqn with 16 Northrop F-5A, 3 F-5B. Population: 2,631,000
COIN: ac: 2 sqns with 32 North American 18-30 31-45
T-28D; hel: 1 wing with 62 Bell UH-1H, 17 Men: 368,000 301,000
Sikorsky S-76. Women: 347,000 292,000
Presidential tpt: 1 sqn with:
ac: 1 Boeing 707, 1 BAe/BAC-111, 1 NAMC TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
YS-11, 1 FokkerF-28; Regular 55,500, (34,800 conscripts).
hel: 1 Sikorsky S-62A, 2 Bell UH-1N, 1 SA-330 Terms of service, conscription; 24—30 months.
Puma, 2 Sikorsky S-70AS. Reserves: Army 170,000; annual trg to age 40
Tpt: 5 sqns: for men, 50 for officers. Navy (?4,500), Air
ac: 1 with 3 C-130H Hercules; Force (?7,500).
1 with 5 C-47 (Douglas DC-3), 11 Fokker
(8 F-27, 3 F-27MR); ARMY: 45,000 (30,000 conscripts).
1 with 9 GAF N22B Missionmaster, 1 divHQ.
1 with 22 BN-2 Islander, 1 armd bde (1 recce, 1 tk, 2 APC bns).
hel: 1 with 11 MBB BO-105. 3 inf bdes (each 3 inf bns).
Liaison: 1 sqn with Cessna O-1E, 1 Cessna 6 arty bns.
U-17A/B, 3 Cessna 210. 1 cdo bn.
Trg: 3 sqns: 6 engr, 3 sigs bns.
1 with 10 Lockheed T/RT-33A, 12 Cessna Reserves:
T-41D; 2 div, 1 armd bde, 6 inf bde HQ; 18 inf, 1 cdo,
1 with 46 SIAI-Marchetti (30 SF-260MP, 16 12 arty, 6 engr, 3 sigs bns.
SF-260WP); Equipment:
1 with 10 Beech T-34A. Tks: some 6 M-60 (trg). II: 270+ AMX-13.
Weather 1 sqn with 3 GAF N-22B Missionmaster. APC:720M-113.
AAM: Sidewinder.
Arty: how: 155mm: 54: 38 Soltam M-71, 16
PARA-MILITARY: M-114A1 (other types incl M-68 and 1 dom-
Ministry of Defence 42,000. estic production reported).
Philippine Constabulary (50,000); 13 Regional mon 60mm; 81mm; 120mm: 50 (some SP in
Commands, 225 provincial coys. M-113).
Civil Home Defence Force 65,000. ATK: RU 89mm.
Army Reserve Comd: 18 inf bns. RCU 84mm: Carl Gustav, 106mm: 90.
AD: 2 sqns with 23 Northrop F-5E, 3 F-5F. ARMY: 30,000 incl active Reservists.
SAM: 4 sqns: 5 'Task Forces' (inf bdes: 5 regular, 6 reserve bns).
1 with 28 Bloodhound 2; 2 recce regts (bns) (1 reserve).
1 with 10 Rapier, 2 fd arty (1 reserve), 1 AA regts.
1 with 6 Improved HAWK; 1 fd engr, 1 engr plant regts.
1 with Bofors RBS-70. 1 sigs bn.
guns: 20mm; 35mm; 40mm: L-70. 1 Special Forces Task Force, 4,000 men.
APC: 280: 30 V-100, 250 V-150/-200 Com- Support services: log units.
mando. Equipment:
Recce: 1 sqn with 7 Hunter FR-74S, 4 T-75S, AFV: recce: 18 Saladin, 15 Ferret, 12 Daimler
2 Grumman E-2C Hawkeye AEW. Dingo.
Tpt/SAR: 1 sqn with 8 C-130B/H Hercules, 6 APC: 160:10 BTR-152, 6 SAMIL 100, 144 other.
Short Skyvan. Arty: guns: 76mm: 16 Yug M-48; 85mm: 30
Trg: 11 SIAI-Marchetti SF-260W, 12 -260MS. Type-56; 25 pdr (88mm).
Hel: 2 sqns: mor: 82mm: 12; 4.2-in. (107mm): 12.
36 Bell UH-1B/H, 3 Agusta-Bell AB-212, 6 ATK: RCL: 82mm: M-60; 106mm: M-40.
AS-350B Ecureuil, 6 AS-332 Super Puma. AD: guns: 40mm: 24; 3.7-in. (94mm): 24.
AAM: AIM-9J/P Sidewinder. (On order: 6 Saracen APC.)
(On order 8 General Dynamics F-16, 70 A-4SI
(being rebuilt), some 26 SIAI S-211, 2 E-2C ac; NAVY: 3,960.
16 AS-332 hel (local production); Rapier/ Bases: Trincomalee, Karainagar, Colombo,
Blindfire SAM; 200 AGM-65 Maverick ASM.) Tangalla, Kalpitiya.
Forces Abroad: Brunei: (500); trg school. Comd: 3 ships, 3 tenders.
Patrol craft: large: 2 Jayesagara 40-metre;
coastal(: 42: 11 Pradeepa, 6 Dabur-cl&ss,
PARA-MILITARY: 9 Cougar Marine 32-ft, 16 other; harbour<: 4.
Police/marine police 7,500; 56 patrol craft (10 FAC: 6 Sooraya (Ch Shanghai-ll).
armd). Amph: 4: 2 LCM, 2 It LCU.
Gurkha guard bn some 700. (On order: 3 Jayesagara large, 2 coastal patrol
People's Defence Force, some 30,000. craft(, 6 landing craft (2 late 86).)
AIR FORCE: 3,700; 2 combat hel.
Tpt: 1 sqn with 1 BAe/HS-748, 2 Douglas DC-3,
SRI LANKA 2 Riley Heron, 1 DH Heron, 3 Cessna 337,
GDP 1984: Rs 152.615 bn ($5.999 bn) 1 Beechcraft, 1 Cessna 421C.
1985: Rs 171.081 bn ($6.298 bn) Hel: 1 sqn with 10 Bell (8 206, 2 212 attack),
growth 1984: 4.1% 1985: 5.1% 2 SA-365 Dauphin.
Inflation 1984: 16.6% 1985: 1.4% Trg: incl 6 Cessna 150/152, 8 DH (5 Chipmunk,
Debt 1984: $3.7 bn 1985: $4.1 bn 3 Dove).
Defbdgt 1985: Rs 6.196 bn ($228.104 m) Reserves: Air Force Regt, 3 sqns; Airfield Con-
1986: Rs 8.700 bn ($311.159 m)* struction Regt, 1 sqn.
ASIA AND PACIFIC 169
Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE). M-108 SP; 155mm: 250 M-109A1 (T-69) SP;
People's Liberation Organization of Tamil 203mm: 150M-110SP.
Eelam (PLOT). MRU 65mm: Kung Feng (Worker Bee); 45 x
(Eelam Revolutionary Communist Party 117mm: (Mark VI); 40 x 126mm: (Mark III/
IV) towed and SP.
reported, status, strength unknown).
Total strength est 5,000 activists, perhaps 8,000 SSM: Hsiung Feng (Drone Bee = Gabriel-type)
supporters/reserves; small arms, RPG-7 RL, coastal defence SSM, Ching Feng (Green Bee
SA-7 SAM. = lance-type) SSM/SAM. mor: 81mm.
ATK: RCU 90mm: M-67; 106mm: 500 M-40.
* Incl extra allocation of Rs 2.5 bn to meet internal guns: 76mm: 150 M-l 8 SP. ATGW: Kun Wu (Fire
security expenditure. God= rOW-type), TO W (some SP).
AD: guns: 40mm: 300 (incl M-42 SP). SAM: 400
Nike Hercules, 800 HAWK, 420 Chaparral.
Avn: hel: 118 UH-1H, 2 KH-4, 7 CH-34.
TAIWAN (On order: 75 M-60 MBT, 164 M-l 13 APC (incl
variants); 1,000 TOW, Kun Wu ATGW; 16
GNP 1984/5: $NT 2,388.4 bn($US 57.5 bn) launchers, 366 MIM-72F Chaparral msls;
1985/6e:$NT 2,445.0 bn ($US 62.7 bn) 370 Improved HAWK, Tien Kung I (Patriot-
growth 1984: 10.9% 1985:5.0% type) SAM.)
Innation 1984: 0.0% 1985:-0.2%
Debt 1984: $US 11.5 bn 1985: $US 8.5 bn DEPLOYMENT: Quemoy 55,000, Matsu 18,000.
Defbdgt 1985/6: $NT 161.3 bn($US 4.1 bn)
1986/7e:$NT 160.3 bn ($US 4.2 bn)* NAVY: 38,000.
$1 =$NT( 1983/4): 41.60 (1984/5): 41.53 Bases: Tsoying, Makung (Pescadores), Keelung.
(1985/6): 39.00 (1986): 38.10 Subs: 2 Guppy-ll.
$NT = New Taiwan dollars Destroyers: 26:
13 Gearing (3 ?non-operational) with 1 hel
Population: 20,210,000 (fitting 3 Hsiung Feng (HF) SSM, 10 with 1
75-30 31-45 octuple ASROQ;
Men: 2,560,000 1,842,000 8 Sumner (1 with 1 triple, 2 with 2 twin HF);
Women: 2,450,000 1,766,000 4 Fletcher (3 with 1 sextuple Sea Chaparral SAM);
1 Gearing radar picket with 3 HF.
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: Frigates: 9: 3 Lawrence, 6 Crosley.
Regular: 424,000. Corvettes: 4: 1 domestic, 3 Auk.
Terms of service: 2 years. FAC(G): 53 with HF SSM:
Reserves: 1,457,500. Army: 1,300,000 have 2 Lung Chiang (PSMM-5),
some Reserve obligation to age 30. Navy 1 Suikiang with 4,
32,500, Marines 35,000, Air 90,000. 50 Tzu Chiang( (mod Dvora) with 2.
Patrol craft(: 28 coastal.
ARMY: 270,000. MCMV: 8 Adjutant, 2 MSC-268 and 3 MSC-
3 Army, 6 Corps, 1 Special Force HQ. 289 coastal.
170 ASIA AND PACIFIC
Amph: LPD: 1; LSD: 2; LST: 22 (1 comd); LSM: 4; Inflation 1984: 0.9% 1985: 2.4%
LCU: 22; ICM: some 250; LCVP: 150. Debt 1984: $14.7 bn 1985: $15.8 bn
Spt: 1 repair ship, 3 tpts, 7 tankers. Def bdgt 1984/5:b 41.422 bn ($1.752 bn)
Hel: 1 sqn with 12 Hughes 500MD ASW 1985/6:b 41.200 bn ($1.517 bn)
Defender. FMA 1985: $100.0 m 1986: $85.3 m
(On order: 2 mod Zwaardvis subs; 3 Lung $l=b (1983): 23.000 (1984): 23.639
Chiang, 4 Tzu Chiang FAC(G), 8 PSMM-5 (1985): 27.159 (1986): 26.340
FAC(G); 10 ASW hel; ASROC ASW; 170 Stan- b = baht
dard SM-1, 284 Improved Sea Chaparral SAU.) Population: 52,850,000
MARINES: 39,000. 18-30 31-45
3 divs. Men: 6,643,000 4,600,000
Spt elms. Women: 6,455,000 4,500,000
Equipment:
APC: LVT-4/-5. TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
Arty: how: 105mm, 155mm. RCL: 106mm. Regular. 256,000.
Terms of service. 2 years.
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 15:47 27 December 2014
NAVY: 42,000 (some conscripts) incl naval air Tpt: 3 sqns incl Royal fit:
and marines. 1 with 10 C-47, 2 Fairchild Merlin IVA;
Bases: Bangkok, Sattahip, Songkla, Phangnga. 2 with 10 Fairchild C-123B, 4 C-130H
Frigates: 6: Hercules; 8 BAe/HS-748; 1 Boeing 737-200;
1 Br Yarrow-type with 1 quad Seacat SAM; 5 Nurtanio-CASA NC-212; 20 N-22B
2 Tapi (US PF-103); Nomad Missionmaster.
2 Tachin (US Tacoma); Liaison: 3 sqns: 4 Helio U-10, 30 Cessna O-l.
1 Cannon (trg). Hel: 2 sqns: 18 CH-34C (Sikorsky S-58), 29 Bell
FAC(G): 6: (27 UH-1H, 2 412).
3 Ratcharit (Breda BMB-230) with 4 Exocet SSM; Trg: incl 25 Cessna (10 T-37B, 6 O-1A,
3 Prabparapak (TNC-45) with 5 Gabriel SSM. 9 T-41A), 16 SIAI-Marchetti SF-260MT, 23
FAC: 3 Chonburi (Breda MV-400). CT-4 Airtrainer, some 4 V-400, -600 Fantrainer.
Patrol craft: 98: AAM: AIM-9 Sidewinder.
25 large: 6 Sattahip (PSMM-5), 6 Sarasin Airfield defence troops: 4 bns; Blowpipe SAM.
(PC-461), 10 T-ll (PGM-71), 3 T-81 (On order 8 General Dynamics F-16A, 4 -16B
(Cape); 33 coastal; 40 river(. FGA, 8 F-5E, 6 RC-47, 3 NC-212, 2 Merlin
MCMV: 2 Liirssen 48-m minehunters, 4 Ladya IVA, 4 N-24 Nomad, 6 HS-748, 1 C-130H-30
tpt, some 29 V-400, 14 V-600 Fantrainer trg ac;
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 15:47 27 December 2014
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: AIR FORCE: 15,000; some 293 combat ac, 65
Regular: 1,155,000. combat hel (plus many in store).§
Terms of service. 3 years, specialists 4 years, 4 Air Divs.
some ethnic minorities 2 years. FGA: 2 regts:
Reserves (all services): 'Tactical Rear Force' 1 (3 sqns) with 38 Mikoyan-Guryevich
500,000: semi-mobilized first-line quick MiG-21MF.
reinforcement org. Militia Self Defence 1 (3 sqns) with 45 Sukhoi Su-20/-22.
2,500,000. Ftrs: 4 regts with 200 MiG-21 bis/F/PF.
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 15:47 27 December 2014
% Men beyond normal military age; unit strength omic role; most in northern Vietnam.
about 3,000 each, fully armed, with military and econ- § Much US, some Soviet eqpt probably inoperable.
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 15:47 27 December 2014
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To cite this article: (1986) Caribbean and Latin America, The Military Balance, 86:1, 174-197, DOI:
10.1080/04597228608459977
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174
Caribbean and Latin America
tive self-defence should any member be subjected to external attack. It came into force on
3 December 1948, has been applied some fourteen times since and was expanded in July
1985. Cuba withdrew in March 1960.
defence forces. The US has also provided equipment and training. Under the 'Common-
wealth Pact' (October 1981), if a threat to Belize's independence occurs, Britain, Barbados,
Bahamas, Canada, Guyana, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago will meet and consult
together regarding appropriate action to be taken.
The Central American Defence Council (CONDECA) was formed in 1965 by El Salvador,
Guatemala, Honduras and Panama to contain subversion. In November 1981 El Salvador,
Guatemala and Honduras agreed an informal alliance against Cuba, Nicaragua and domestic
guerrilla movements in each member country. The US provides assistance to Honduran-
based rebels against Nicaragua and to the Government against rebels in El Salvador.
A similar regional grouping, the Central American Democratic Community (Costa Rica,
Honduras and El Salvador; observers: Colombia, the US and Venezuela) agreed in January
1982 to provide mutual aid in case of external aggression.
Argentina and Peru reportedly entered into a military pact in late 1982.
In July 1981 Antigua-Barbuda, Dominica, Grenada, Montserrat, St Kitts-Nevis, St Lucia,
and St Vincent and the Grenadines formed the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States
(OECS). Its goals included adopting common points of view on international issues and the
Downloaded by [134.117.10.200] at 01:09 31 December 2014
promotion of unity and solidarity among the members while defending their sovereignty,
territorial integrity and independence. A Defence and Security Committee was formed.
On 29 October 1982 a Regional Security System (RSS) was created following a Memor-
andum of Understanding signed by Antigua-Barbuda, Barbados, Dominica, St Lucia and
St Vincent. They were joined by St Kitts-Nevis on 8 February 1984 and Grenada in June
1985. With US support a beginning has been made on the creation of a Regional Coast
Guard and a number of 80-man national police Special Service Units. Joint exercises have
been held involving Antigua-Barbuda, Barbados, Dominica, Grenada, Jamaica, St Kitts-
Nevis and St Lucia and small US forces. The US has given military aid to the RSS.
The US has had a bilateral agreement with Cuba for jurisdiction and control over
Guantânamo Bay since 1934. In 1960 the US stated that this could be modified or abro-
gated only by mutual agreement and that it had no intention of giving such agreement. It
has also leased 2.3 square miles from Bermuda for a naval and air base since 1941. The US,
which has bilateral military sales arrangements at varying levels with most countries of the
region, concluded a status-of-forces agreement with Antigua in 1977/8 and a defence treaty
with Honduras in May 1985.
The USSR has no known formal defence agreements with any of the states in the area.
Cuba signed a 25-year Treaty of Friendship and Co-operation with Vietnam in October
1982, and a similar 20-year treaty with North Korea in March 1986. Cuba and the USSR
supplied arms to Grenada before October 1983 and to Nicaragua.
Most countries in the region, however, have obtained their major equipment from West-
ern, rather than Communist, countries. Argentina signed and ratified a Treaty of Peace and
Friendship with Chile in early 1986, and an agreement with Israel for the joint production
of TAM medium tanks. Belize signed a training agreement with Canada in June 1985.
the government forces. A similar situation exists in El Salvador, where a stalemate seems to
exist. Here the Navy and Air Force have shown some increase. The Opposition elements'
strengths are said to have fallen slightly in almost all groups. Data is still contradictory, and
earlier totals may have been high. The Honduran forces seem to have been significantly
increased, though equipment levels remain at about the same level.
In South America generally, economic constraints continue significantly to affect force
levels. Argentina is perhaps the worst case, with an overall drop in personnel of 27%. The
Navy has been worst affected, losing about half its strength; a number of vessels, including
some still under construction, are reported as being for sale, though attempts are being
made to reverse this decision. The Chilean forces remain roughly the same, although some
reorganization is reported. The Brazilian armed forces are also undergoing a reorganization;
the Air Force shows an increase in both strength and combat aircraft.
There is one change in presentation in this section. The Venezuelan National Guard, pre-
viously cited as a para-military Force, is part of the Armed Forces. New totals reflect that fact.
Economic Factors
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After its decline in 1982 and 1983, the region's GDP grew in 1984 and 1985, by 3.2% and
2.8% respectively. However, this translates into a meagre 0.5% increase in GDP per capita.
Per capita GDP is still 9% below the level of 1980.
If the above-average performance of Brazil (7%) is excluded, this sombre picture turns
bleaker, with GDP per capita falling by around 1%. Economies which had shown growth in
1984 were stagnant in 1985, as was the case for Chile and Colombia. Others suffered dra-
matic falls (8% for Bolivia and 4% for Argentina). Apart from Brazil, only Cuba, Mexico
and Paraguay returned some economic growth, according to the UN Economic Commission
for Latin America and Caribbean.
The inflation record is not much better, with just five countries out of 21 showing figures
below 10%. However, in the second half of 1985 the introduction of anti-inflationary pack-
ages in the three countries with highest rates — Argentina, Bolivia and Peru did bring
inflation under some control there. Nevertheless, Bolivia still registered the highest inflation
rate (over 11,000%), followed by Argentina (460%), Nicaragua (233%), Brazil (218%), and
Peru (170%).
The region's massive $368-bn foreign debt continues to pose the main constraint to econ-
omic growth. Debt-service ratios leave few resources for domestic investment, and have
converted Latin America into a net capital exporter in 1985. Brazil overtook Mexico as the
largest debtor, both of them having debts exceeding $100 bn, followed by Argentina with
$52 bn. Given the low level of GDP growth and the vagaries of primary commodity markets,
on which most of the region's economies depend for their export income, there seems to be
little prospect of a rapid economic recovery. Oil exporters are being badly affected, whilst
oil importers benefit only slightly. Most of the countries in the region have been involved in
debt renegotiation talks, successful conclusion of which has been dependent on their accept-
ance of IMF-modelled economic packages.
The poor economic performance is reflected in attempts to control defence budgets.
Argentina's shows a small increase after two years of major readjustments, but is still below
the levels registered between 1978 and 1983. Peru and Colombia are fighting insurgencies
and, despite limited funds, seem likely to allocate additional resources for this purpose. At
the same time, their Defence Departments will be asked to economize where possible; Peru,
for example, is understood to be trying to sell some of its air inventory. Brazil, however, has
started an ambitious modernization of its forces, which might lead to increased expendi-
tures over the rest of the decade. Finally, no end to the conflicts in Central America is in
sight; defence expenditure and military aid will probably continue to grow.
CARIBBEAN AND LATIN AMERICA 177
Attack: 3 sqns with 6 A-4Q Skyhawk, 14 DHC-6 Twin Otter, 18 IA-50 Guarani II, 2
Dassault Super Etendard. Fairchild Merlin TVA;
MR/ASW: 2 sqns: hel: 2 Sikorsky S-58T (VIP).
1 with 9 S-2E Tracker, 1 with 4 L-188E Electra. Antarctic: 1 sqn with:
ASW hel: 1 sqn with 5 Sikorsky SH-3D/H. ac: 1 DHC-6, 1 LC-47;
I S-61D Sea King, 10 Agusta-Bell AB-212, hel: 2 Sikorsky S-61R/NR, 4 UH-19 (Sikorsky
9 A-103 (SA-316 Alouette III). S-55), 2 CH-47C Chinook (SAR); 15 Bell
Tpt: 2 sqns with 7 Beech Super King Air B-200, (3UH-1D, 4 47G.8 212).
3 L-188A Electra, 1 BAe HS-125, 3 Fokker Comms: 1 sqn with 13 Rockwell Shrike
F-28/3000ac;3S-61Dhel. Commander.
Liaison: 1 sqn with 5 Beech B-80 Queen Air, Air Training Command:
3 Pilatus PC-6 (Antarctic fit). 1 demonstration fit with F-86F Sabre.
Trg: 3 sqns: 24 MS-760 Paris, 12 EMB-326GB Xavante,
I1 EMB-326GB Xavante, 6 Aermacchi 48 Beech T-34C.
MB-326B, 5 MB-339A; 11 Beech T-34C. Msls: AAM: R-530, R-550.
(Store: 1 Beech C-45, 5 MB-339A, 12 North ASM: AS-11/-12, ASM-2 Martin Pescador.
American T-28 ac; 6 Hughes 500 hel.) (Store: 37 A-4P FGA, 70 IA-58 Pucarâ COIN).
ASM: 20 Exocet AM-39E/H, ASM-2 Martin (On order 1 Boeing 707-131 ELINT ac, some 12
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* Inflation estimates range between 11,000%, and 106mm. RL: 3.5-in. (89mm). ATGW: 300 Cobra.
some as high as 50,000%. AD: guns: 12.7mm: M-55 quad; 35mm: 30;
40mm: 60; 57mm: some 180; 90mm: M-1A1.
SAM: 4 RolandII.
Avn: Army Air Arm to be formed.
BRAZIL (On order: EE-T1 Osorio MBT; GH N-45 155mm
gun/how (some to be SP), SS-60 (FGT-X40)
GDP 1984: Cz$ 386.968 bn ($209.398 bn) 300mm MRL, T O W A T G W , 40mm L/70 BOFI
1 9 8 5 E : C Z $ 1,331.17 bn ($214.705 bn) AD system, M-55 mod quad 12.7mm.)
growth 1984: 4.5% 1985: 7.0%
Inflation 1984: 223% 1985: 237.5% NAVY: 49,800 (2,200 conscripts) incl naval air
Debt 1984: $100.2 bn 1985: $104.5 bn and marines.
Defbdgt 1983: Cz$ 753.2 m ($1.305 bn) Bases: Rio de Janeiro, Aratu (Salvador, Bahia)
1984: Cz$ 1.95 bn ($1.055 bn) Val de Caes (Belem, Para), Rio Grande (do
$ l = C z $ (1983): 0.577 (1984): 1.848 Sul), Natal (Rio Grande do Norte); river:
(1985): 6.2 (1986): 12.741 Ladario (Mato Grosso), Manaus (Amazonas).
Cz$ = cruzados* Naval Districts: 7 (1 Comd).
Population: 139,443,000 Subs: 7: 3 Oberon;
18-30 31-45 4 US Guppy II/III (to be replaced).
Men: 16,866,000 11,945,000 Carrier: 1: 19,900-ton ASW (capacity 20 ac: 7—8
Women: 16,784,000 11,965,000 S-2E ASW ac; 8 SH-3D/ASH-3H Sea King hel).
Destroyers: 10:
5 Sumner (1 with 1 quad Seacat SAM, 4 with
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: 1 Wasp hel);
Regular: 283,400 (137,700 conscripts). 2 Gearing with ASROC ASW, 1 Wasp hel;
Terms of Service. 12 months (can be extended 3 Fletcher.
by 6 months). Frigates: 6 Niteroi with 2 triple Seacat SAM,
Reserves: Trained first-line 1,115,000; 400,000 1 Lynx hel (2 GP with 2 twin MM-30; 4 ASW
subject to immediate recall. Second-line (lim- with Ikara).
ited trg) 225,000; state military police Corvettes: 9 Imperial Marinheiro.
schools, centres. Para-Military (q.v.) 240,000. River ships: 6:
patrol: 5: 2 Pedro Teixeira, 3 Roraima;
ARMY: 182,900 (to be 296,000); (135,500 monitor: 1 with 1 x 3-in. (76mm), 2 x 47mm, 2
conscripts). x 40mm, 6 x 20mm guns.
HQ: 7 military comd, 12 military region; 8 div. Patrol craft large: 6 Piratini.
1 armd cav bde. MCMV: 6 Aratu (Schiitze-type) minesweepers.
3 armd inf bdes. Amph: 1ST: 2 US;
4 mech cav bdes. LCU: 3 US 1610, 28 landing craft(.
10 motor inf bdes (2 indep). Spt: 7 trg ships (3(); 1 fleet spt, 2 river tankers;
2 'jungle' bdes (7 bns). 26 tpts (2 12,000-ton, 4 7,300-ton, 18 har-
1 AB bde (3 AB, 1 Special Forces bns). bour, 2 river), 1 repair, 1 sub rescue ship; 8
CARIBBEAN AND LATIN AMERICA 181
service bn).
Reinforcement Comd: Ac: 80 T-25 Universal (being replaced), some
5 bns incl 1 engr, supply. 100 T-27 Tucano, 60 AT-26, some EMB-
Internal Security Force: 110, 5 EMB-C-42/U-42;
6 regional, 1 special ops gps. Hel: 16 Bell 47 (H-13J, to be replaced), 8
Equipment: Bell UH-1D.
AFV: recce: 6 EE-9 Mk IV Cascavel. Calibration unit: 1 with 2 HS-125 (EC-93,
APC: 40 M-113, 5 EE-11 Urutu, 12 LVTP-7A1. U-93), 2 C-95A, 4 EC-95.
Arty: how: 105mm: 8 M-102, 155mm: 8 M-114. AAM: R-530, Piranha (MAA-1).
MRL: 108mm: SS-06. mor: 81mm: M-29. (On order 79 AMX FGA, 4 Boeing 707 tkrs, 12
ATK: RL: 3.5-in. (89mm): M-20. EMB-120 Brasilia tpts, 100 YT-17 (A-123)
Tangarâ, some 30 T-27 (EMB-312) trg ac;
HCL: 106mm: M-40.
8 AS-332 Super Puma, 15 AS-350 Ecureuil,
AD: guns: 40mm: 8 M-l towed.
some 32 UH-1H hel; Piranha AAM.)
(On order 2 Tupi (Type 1400) subs, 4 V-28 frig-
ates, 2 river patrol ships, 1 gunboat, 2 log spt
ships; 12 Exocet AM-39 SSM; Sea Skua ASM; PARA-MILITARY: Some 240,000 Public Secur-
ity Forces in state, military police orgs (State
60 Tigerfish torpedoes; 6 AS-332M Super Militias) under Army control and considered
Puma, 11 AS-355F Ecureuil hel.) an Army Reserve.
AIR FORCE: 50,700; 180 combat ac. * On 1 March a new currency unit called the Cruzado
AD Command: 1 Gp (17 combat ac): replaced the 'Cruzeiro' (1 cruzado = 1,000 cruzeiros).
Interceptors: 2 sqns with 15 F-103E (Dassault
Mirage IIIEBR), 2 F-103D {Mirage IIIDBR).
Tactical Command: 10 Gps (130 combat ac).
FGA: 3 sqns with 31 Northrop F-5E, 4 F-5B. CHILE
COIN: 3 sqns with 75 AT-26 (EMB-326) GDP 1984: pC 1,893.4 bn ($19.191 bn)
Xavante. 1985: pC 2,576.6 bn ($ 15.996 bn)
Recce: 2 sqns with 8 RC-95 Bandeirante, 12 growth 1984: 5.5% 1985:2.0%
RT-26 Xavante. Inflation 1984: 23% 1985:30.7%
Spt/observation/Iiaison: 6 sqns: Debt 1984: $20.4bn 1985:$21.1 bn
1 ac with 7 T-25A Universal (to be replaced Def exp 1984e: pC 160.0 bn ($ 1.622 bn)
with 8 T-27 Tucano); 1985e: pC 200.0 bn ($1.242 bn)
5 hel with 6 SA-330 Puma (to be replaced), $ l = p C (1982): 50.91 (1983): 78.84
30BellUH-lH;Bell47. (1984): 98.66 (1985): 161.08
All sqns with some EMB-810 (Piper Seneca II) pC = pesos Chilenos
for liaison. Population: 12,307,500
Maritime Command: 4 Gps (33 combat ac). 18-30 31-45
ASW (afloat): 1 sqn with 8 S-2E Tracker, Men: 1,508,000 1,182,000
7 S-2A (trg). Women: 1,485,000 1,197,000
182 CARIBBEAN AND LATIN AMERICA
(ELN), Popular Liberation Army (ELP), Free Debt* 1984: $3.5 bn 1985: $3.9 bn
Fatherland, Quintin Lame (Indian)). Defbdgt 1984: pC 1.167 bn ($1,357 bn)
(2) Colombian Revolutionary Armed Forces 1985: pC 1.471 bn ($1,612 bn)
(FARC) some 12,000: Ricardo Franco Front. FMA: see note t
$ l = p C (1982): 0.7910 (1983): 0.8471
(1984): 0.8602 (1985): 0.9123
COSTA RICA pC = pesos Cubanos
Population: 10,211,000.
GDP 1984: C 158.674 bn ($3.563 bn) 18-30 31-45
1985: C 183.556 bn ($3.626 bn) Men: 1,261,000 983,000
growth 1984: 7.5% 1985: 1.6% Women: 1,207,000 959,000
Inflation 1984: 12% 1985: 15%
Debt 1984: $4.1 bn 1985: $4.5 bn
Defbdgt 1983: C 1.15 bn ($27.985 m)* TOTAL ARMED FORCES:
Defexp 1984e: C 900 m ($20.21 m)* Regular: 162,000 (99,500 conscripts).
FMA 1985: $13.0 m 1986e: $3.7 m Terms of service. 3 years.
$1 = C (1982): 37.407 (1983): 41.094 Reserves: 7165,000. Army: 120,000 Ready
(1984): 44.533 (1985): 50.62 Reserves (serve 45 days per year) to fill out
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NAVY: 13,500 (8;500 conscripts). S. Yemen 500, Nicaragua 3,500 (incl 3,000
Bases: Cienfuegos, Cabanas, Havana, Mariel, civilian), Afghanistan (reported).
Punta Movida, Nicaro.
3 Territorial, 3 operational (FAC(G), -(T), PARA-MILITARY:
-(ASW)) Flotillas. Ministry of Interior: State Security 15,000. Fron-
Subs: 3 F-class. tier Guards 3,500, some 100 craft.
Frigates: 2 Koni with 1 twin SA-N-4 SAM. Ministry of Defence: Youth Labour Army
FAC(G) with Styx SSM: 23:
100,000; Civil Defence Force: 50,000; Terri-
5 Osa-l, 13 Osa-ll, 5 Komar{.
FAC(T): 8: torial Militia 1,200,000.
4 P-6(, 4 P-4(.
FAC(P): 44: * Excl debt to COMECON countries and the USSR (est
9 Turya, 35 Zhuk(. at $7—22 bn and $7—8 bn respectively),
Patrol craft: 20: t The economy is heavily subsidized through Soviet
aid est at $4 bn in 1983). In 1985 Granma reported
4 SO-1 large, 4 Stenka; 12 coastal (. that Cuba would receive Roubles 8.2 bn in aid but the
MCMV: 15 minesweepers: level of military assistance is unknown.
4 Sony a, 11 Yevgenya(.
Amph: 2 Polnocny LSM, 6 T-4 LCM.
Spt: 1 replenishment ship.
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(In store: 3 English Electric Canberra B-6 bbrs.) Patrol boats: 20, incl 3 31-m Camcraft, 1 20-m
(On order: 25 Lockheed T-33 ODIN, 1 Fokker Sewart, 1 20-m Swiftships, 2 40-ft coastguard
F-28-4000 tpt.) utility.
ARMY: 30,300.* * National Armed Forces are combined; the Army pro-
HQ: 4 Regional bdes. vides logistic support to the Navy and Air Force.
1 armd bn.
12 inf bns.
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AIR FORCE: 200; 7 combat ac. AIR FORCE: 1,500 (700 conscripts); 28 com-
COIN: 7 Cessna 337. bat aircraft.
Tpt: 3 C-47 (Douglas DC-3), 2 DHC-2 Beaver, FGA: 1 sqn with 13 Dassault Super Mystère B2.
190 CARIBBEAN AND LATIN AMERICA
18-30 31-45
Men: 9,452,000 5,815,000
Women: 9,287,000 5,979,000
JAMAICA
TOTAL ARMED FORCES: 259,500.
GDP 1983: $J 6.75 bn ($US 2.916 bn) Regular: 139,500 (?120,000 rural militia).
1984: $J 9.37 bn ($US 2.132 bn) Terms of service. Regulars, voluntary; militia:
growth 1984: -0.4% 1985: -3.0% part-time conscription (by lottery).
Inflation 1984: 31.0% 1985: 25.7% Reserves: 300,000.
Debt 1984: $US 3.0 bn 1985: $US 3.2 bn
Defbdgt 1983/4e: $J 90.0 m ($US 38.877 bn) ARMY: 105,000 regular (760,000 reservists).
1984/5e: $J 112.3 m ($US 25.557 bn) 1 mech inf bde (Presidential Guard) (3 bns).
FMA 1985/6: $US 5.0m. 1986/7: $8.0m 2 inf bdes: each 2 inf, 1 armd recce, 1 arty bns.
$ 1 = $J (1982/3): 1.7814 (1983/4): 2.3150 3 armd regts.
(1984/5): 4.3942 (1985/6): 5.6261 36 Zonal Garrisons inch 21 indep mot cav, 3
Population: 2,349,000 arty regts, 75 indep inf bns.
18-30 31-45 AA, engr and spt units.
Equipment:
Men: 295,000 122,000 Tks: It: 45 M-3/-8.
Women: 296,000 146,000 AFV: recce: 40 Panhard ERC-90F (Lynx), 40
Panhard M-l 1 VBL, DN-3/-4/-5 Caballo.
TOTAL ARMED FORCES APC:40HWK-ll,30M-3.
(all services form part of the Army): Arty: how: 75mm: 23: 18 M-l 16 pack, 5 M-8 SP;
Regular: 2,100. 105mm: 50 M-101.
Terms of service, voluntary. mor: 1,500 60mm, 81mm; 120mm: 60.
Reserves: some 1,030 (1 inf bn, some 400 may ATK: guns: 37mm: 30 M-3. RCL: 106mm.
be serving with the regular units). ATGW: Milan (incl 8 Panhard M-l 1 VBL).
AD: guns: 40 12.7mm.
ARMY: 1,780.
2 inf bns, 1 spt bn. NAVY: 28,000, incl naval air force and marines.
APC: 15 V-150 Commando. 2 Areas (Gulf, Pacific) of 6 Zones (8 Sectors) and
Arty: 12 81mm mor. 11 Zones (6 Sectors) respectively.
Bases: Gulf: Vera Cruz, Tampico, Chetumal,
NAVY: 150. Ciudad del Carmen, Yukalpetén.
Patrol boats: 1 107-ton, 3 60-ton coastal. Pacific: Acapulco, Ensenada, La Paz, Puerto
Cortés, Guaymas, Mazatlân, Manzanillo,
AIR FORCE: 170. Salina Cruz, Puerto Madero, Läzaro Cardenas.
Ac: 2 BN-2 Islander, 1 Beech King Air, 4 Cessna: Destroyers: 2 Gearing.
1 210 Centurion, 1 337,2 185. Frigates: 6: 4 US Lawrence/Crosley, 1
Hel: 7 Bell: 4 202, 3 212. Durango, 1 US Edsall (trg ship).
CARIBBEAN AND LATIN AMERICA 191
COIN: 1 sqn with 3 Lockheed AT-33A, 2 SIAI- FMA 1985: $10.0 m 1986: $14.4 m
Marchetti SF-260 Warrior, 9 Cessna (7 337, $1=B (1983/4/5/6): 1
2 185). B = balboas
Tpt: 1 sqn with 2 Antonov An-26, 2 CASA
Population: 2,147,000
C-212A, 1 IAI-201 Arava, 3 C-47 (Douglas
18-30 31-45
DC-3), 6 An-2.
Men: 253,500 180,000
Hel: 1 sqn with 2 OH-6A (Hughes 500M), 6 Mil
Women: 241,500 169,500
Mi-2, 18 Mi-8/-17, 10 Mi-24 Hind, 1 Sikorsky
S-58T, 1 Hughes 300.
AD (Army/Air Force): radar: 4 installations. TOTAL ARMED FORCES: Regular. 12,000.
(On order: 6 An-2, 5 An-26 ac; Mi-8/-17 hel.) Terms of service, voluntary (conscription
authorized).
PARA-MILITARY:
Border Guard (Tropas Guardafronteras (TGF): ARMY (National Guard): 11,500.
some 5,000; 6 bns (under Army). 7 It inf coys (1 Special Forces; 1 AB (1,500 men)).
Civilian Militia (Milicia Popular Sandinistd): Equipment:
perhaps 50,000. AFV: recce: 28: 16 V-150, 12 V-300 Com-
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NAVAL AIR FORCE: (390); 7 combat ac. ARMY: 34,000 (incl conscripts).
ASW: 1 fit with 6 S-2A/G Tracker. HQ: 5 div (regional) incl 1 cav.
MR: 1 fit with 1 Beech Super King Air B-200T. 1 armd bde (2 med, 1 It tk, 1 SP arty, 1 AD bns).
Tpts: 2 Beech Expeditor (C-45J); 1 Piper Super 6 inf bdes (2 mech, 11 hy, 13 It inf bns).
Cub utility. 1 cav regt (5 sqns).
Trg: 5 North American T-28, 1 Beech T-34B, 7 arty bns.
1 T-34C ac. 2 AA arty bns (1 SP), 3 indep AA arty gps (2 more
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Tables
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1986) Tables, The Military Balance, 86:1, 200-215, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459978
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Downloaded by [Carnegie Mellon University] at 10:14 21 January 2015
TABLES
2
200
1. NUCLEAR-CAPABLE DELIVERY VEHICLES: WORLD-WIDE
First Throw- Launcher
year Range weight CEP total Warhead details* (aircraft:
Category" and type deployed (km)* (000 lb)f 7/86 ordnance load) and comments
UNITED STATES
LAND-BASED
Strategic
ICBM
LGM-25C Titan II 1963 12,000 8.3 1,300 10 1 x Mk 6 RV with W-53 warhead
(5—9MT). TO be withdrawn by
Nov 1987.
LGM-30F Minute- 1966 11,300 1.6 370 450 1 x Mk 11C RV with W-56 war-
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o
to
to
LGM-30G Minute- 1970 14,800 2.2 250 3 x Mk 12 MiRV with W-62 war-
man III heads (each 170KT).
to
to
1980 12,900 2.4 300 3 x Mk 12A MiRV with W-78
o
warheads (each 335KT).
LGM-118 1986 11,000 7 100 - 10 x Mk 21 (mod 12A) MIRV with
Peacekeeper W-78 warheads (each 335KT).
Intermediate-/medium-range
GLCM
BGM-109G 1983 2,500 - (20) 128 1 x W-84; 200KT.
MRBM
Penning U 1983 1,800 3 40 150 1 x W-85; 5-50KT selectable.
Tactical
SRBM
MGM-52C Lance 1972 110 0.5 150-400 144 1 x W-70; 1—IOOKT selectable;
dual-capable.
Artillery (dual-capable)
M-110A1/A2 203mm 1977/9 21.6 - 170 Ï 1W-33
fW-33 ((M-422); 0.5 or 10KT
SP how 1,046 { interchangeable
interc
(Ditto) 1981 29 200—5Ool lW-79-1 (M-753);0.5, 1, 2KT
selectable.
M-109 155mm SP how 1963 18/24/30 - n.a. 2,200 1 x W-48 (M-454) O.lKT (W-82
to replace).
M-198 155mm how 1979 1.6-14 - n.a. 900 1 x W-48 (M-454) 0.1 KT (W-82
to replace).
SEA-BASED
Strategic
SLBM
UGM-73A 1971 4,000 3. 450 256 10 x Mk 3 MIRV with W-68 war-
Poseidon C-3 heads (each 40KT), or max 14
x MIRV with W-76 warheads
(each IOOKT)
Trident C-4 1980 7,400 3. 450 384 8 x Mk 4 MIRV with W-76 war-
heads (each IOOKT).
Tactical
SLCM
BGM-109A Toma- 1983 2,500 - 280 164 1 x W-80 200KT; submerged-
hawk (TLAM-N) launch.
ASW
UUM-44A SUBROC 1965 50 - 316 1 x W-55 1—5KT range; homing
torpedo, inertial guidance.
RUR-5A ASROC 1961 11 - 1,120 1 x W-44 IKT dual-capable Mk
17 depth charge or Mk 46
homing torpedo.
201
SAM (dual-capable)
RIM-2D Terrier 1956 37 — — ±300 1 x W-45 IKT. (Standard-2 with
(BT-3A(N)) W-81 to replace.)
AIR
Strategic
Long-range bombers
B-52G 1959 12,000 0.95 45 90 Internal: 8 SRAM or 12 B-53/-43/
-61/-83 bombs. External: 12
ALCM.
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Medium-range bombers
FB-111A 1969 4,700 2.5 37.5 55 4 SRAM, 2 x B-43/61 bombs.
Tactical
Land-based strike
F-111E/F 1967 4,700 2.2/2.5 25 280 3 x B-43/-57/-61 bombs.
F-4E 1969 2,100 2.4 16 392 1 x B-28RG/-43/-57/-61 bombs.
F-16 1979 3,800 2+ 12-15 510 1 x B-61 (also 1-2 x B-43)
bombs.
Carrier-based strike
A-6E 1963 3,200 0.9 15 120 3 x B-28/-43/-57/-61 bombs.
A-7 1966 2,800 0.9 15 262 4 x B-28/-43/-57/-61 bombs.
F/A-18 1982 1,000 2.2 13.7 174 2 x B-57/-61 bombs.
S-3 1974 73,700 0.6 n.a. 110 1 x B-57 depth charge.
ASW
P-3 1961 2,500 0.66 19 322 2 x B-57 depth charges.
ALCM
AGM-86B 1982 2,400 0.66 60 1,380 W-80 200KT; on 90 B-52G,
B-52H converting.
Rockets (SRAM)
AGM-69A 1972 56 or 160 3.5 (0.03) 1,170 W-69 170 KT; on B-1B, B-52G/
H, FB-111A.
Bombs
B-28 1960s — — — n.a. Strategic: 1.45MT, ?28MT.
Tactical: 70, 35OKT, 1.1 MT.
Being replaced.
B-43 1960 — n.a. Strategic and tactical: IMT.
B-53 1962 „ n.a. W-53 9MT type. May now have
been replaced in B-52.
B-57 1967 — — — n.a. Tactical, incl ASW; sub-KT to 10
(720) KT.
B-61 mod 1 1968 — — — n.a. Strategic: MT range.
mods 2/3/4/5 71975 n.a. Tactical: 100—500KT.
B-83 1984 (250) 1.1 MT. To replace B-28/-43/-53.
LAND-BASED*
Intermediate-range
IRBM
SSBS S-3 D/TN-61 1980 3,500 n.a. n.a. 18 1 x IMT. France.
Tactical
SRBM
MGM-31A/B 1962 160-720 (0.8) 400 72 1 x W-50; 60-400KT inter-
Pershing IA changeable. FRG (Air Force).
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Artillery (dual-capable)
M-l 10 203mm SP 1962 16.8 - 170 373 W-33; 0.5 or 10KT interchange-
how able. Belgium (11), Britain
(16), FRG (226), Greece (32),
Italy (12), Netherlands (76).
M-l09 155mm SP 1964 18 - n.a. 1,659 1 x W-48; up to 2KT. Belgium
how (168), Britain (101), Canada
(50), Denmark (72), FRG
(586), Greece (108), Italy
(220), Netherlands (218),
Norway (130), Portugal (6).
(1,755 incl Spain (96).)
SAM (dual-capable)
1962 140 1.12 443 W-31 1—20KT interchangeable.
Hercules Belgium (36), FRG (216),
Italy (96), Netherlands (23),
Turkey (72).
SEA-BASED*
Strategic
SLBM
Polaris A-3 1967 4,600 1.5 900 64 3 x MRV with Chevaline; W-58
warheads (each 200KT).
Britain.
MSBS M-20/TN-60 1977 3,000 n.a. n.a. 80 1 x 1 MT. Replacing with M-4/
TN-70. France.
MSBS M-4/TN-70 1985 4,400+ n.a. n.a. 16 6 x 1 50KT MIRV. France.
Max Weapon
AIR speed load
(Mach) (000 1b)
Tactical''
Land-based strike
F-I04G/S 1958 2,400 2.2 2.5 271 1 xB-28/-57/-61,sub-KTto
500KT range. FRG (90),
Greece (66), Italy (18),
Turkey (97).
F-4E/F 1967/73 2,200 2.4 16 167 1 x B-61; 100-500KT. FRG (60),
Greece (47), Turkey (60).
203
CHINA
Throw-
LAND-BASED weight CEP
Strategic (000 lb)c (m) d
ICBM
Dong Feng (DF)-5 1981 15,000 n.a. n.a. 2 1 x 5MT.
DF-4 1978/9 7,000 n.a. n.a. 4 1 x 3MT.
IRBM
DF-3 1970 2,700 n.a. n.a. 60 1 x 2MT.
MRBM
DF-2 1970 1,200 n.a. n.a. 50 1 x 20KT.
SEA-BASED
Strategic
SLBM
J1>1 (CSS-NX-4) 1983/4 2,200- n.a. n.a. 24 1 x ?2MT.
3,000
Max Weapon
AIR speed load
(Mach) (000 Ib)
Strategic
Medium-range Bombersf
H-6 1968/9 5,000 0.80 8,000 up to Perhaps 2 bombs.
120
Chinese tactical nuclear weapons have been reported, but not identified.
NORTH KOREA
LAND-BASED
Tactical
Artillery
D-20 152mm towed n.a. 17.4 — n.a. n.a.
gun/how
No nuclear warheads are known
SSM to be held for these weapons.
FROGS/-I n.a. 70 n.a. n.a. 54 As ex-Soviet materiel, they
have a theoretical nuclear
ScudB n.a. 300 n.a. 900 15 capability only.
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Aircraft
Su-7 Fitter A n.a. 1,400 1.7 5.5 20
SOUTH KOREA
LAND-BASED
Tactical
Artillery
M-110 n.a. 21.6 _ 170 ?12
M-109 155mm SP n.a. 18/24/30 n.a. 100
how No nuclear warheads are
SSM held for those weapons.
MGR-IB Honest n.a. 40 n.a. n.a. 12 As ex-US materiel, they
have a theoretical nuclear
John capability only.
SAM
MIM-14B Nike n.a. 140 1.12 100
Hercules
SOVIET UNION
LAND-BASED
Strategic
ICBM
SS-l\ Sego modi 1966 9,600 2.2 1,400 28 1 x 950KT. SS-25 replacing.
mods 2/31973/5 13,000/ 2.5 1,100 420 1 X lMT,J 3 X 100—300KT
10,600 (500KT also reported).
SS-13 Savage mod 2 1968 n.a. 1.3 1,800 60 1 X 600KT.
SS-17(?RS-16) mod 3 1982 10,000 6.4 400 150 4 x 500KT.
SS-18(RS-20) mod 4 1982 11,000 16.7 250 308 10 X 500KTMIRV.
(cold launch) (mod 5) (?) (9,000) (16) (250) _ (?10 X 750KT) MIRV.
SS-19(RS-18) mod 3 1982 10,000 7.5 300 360 6 X 550KT MIRV.;
(hot launch)
(SS-X-24 1985/6 10,000 ?8 200 8-10 x IOOKT. Solid fuel.)
SS-25 1985/6 10,500 ?1.6 200 72 1 x 550KT. Solid fuel.
Intermediate-/medium-range
I/MRRM
l/fnnofrf
SS-4 Sandal 1959 2,000 3 2,000 112 1 x IMT. Retiring.
SS-20 mod 1 1977 5,000 n.a. n.a. 1 x 1.5MT. (?in service.)
mod 2 1977 5,000 n.a. 400 441 3 x 150KT.
205
Tactical
SRBM
FROG-1 1965 70 n.a. 400 (500) 1 x 200KT. SS-21 replacing.
SS-21 1978 120 n.a. 300 (300) 1 x IOOKT.
SS-lcScttt/B 1965 300 n.a. 900 395 1 x KT. SS-23 replacing.
SS-23 1979/80 500 n.a. 350 (240) 1 x IOOKT.
SS-12 mod 1979 900 n.a. 300 130 1 x IMT. (Shown in 1985 as
SS-22.)
GLCM
SS-C-lb Sepal 1962 450 n.a. n.a. (100) 1 x 350KT. Coast defence.
Artillery
M-1976 152mm 1978 27 n.a. (1,500) ?2—5KT, also cw. Front.
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towed gun
2-S5 152mm SP gun 1980 27 — n.a. (2,100) 2—5KT, also cw. Front
D-20 152mm 1955 17.4 n.a. (2,500) 2KT, also cw. Front, Army.
towed gun/how
2-S3 152mm SP how 1972 27 n.a. 3,500+ Sub-KT—5KT. Div, Front.
M-1975 203mm SP 1975 18+ (200) (200) 2—5KT, also cw. Front.
how
M-1975 240mm SP 1975 12.7 _ n.a. (200) Nuc and cw. Front.
mor
SAM
ABM-IB Galosh 1964 320 n.a. _ 32 1 x 3MT. MOSCOW only.
SH-04, SH-08 1983/84 n.a. n.a. — n.a. 1 warhead. Being deployed.
SA-10 1981 100 n.a. 735 1 HE/nuc warhead.
SA-5 Gammon 1967 300 0.132 — 2,050 1 HE/nuc warhead.
SEA-BASED
Strategic
SLBM
SS-N-5 Serb 1964 1,400 n.a. 2,800 39 I X I M T . (Theatre role.)
SS-N-6 mod 1 1968 2,400 1.5 1,300 \ 1 x 500KT—IMT.
Sawfly mod 3 1974 3,000 1.5 1,300 / 304 { 2 x ?500KT MRV.
SS-N-8 mod 1 1972 7,800 1.5 1,500 \ 1 X 500KT-1MT.
mod 2 1973 9,100 n.a. 900 / 292 | 1 X 800KT.
SS-N-17 1977 3,900 . 2.5 1,400 12 1 x 500KT. Solid-fuel.
SS-N-18 mod 1 1977 6,500 n.a. 1,400 \ 3 X 500KT MIRV.
mod 2 1977 8,000 n.a. 900 > 224 I 1 X 500KT—IMT.
mod 3 1978 6,500 n.a. 900 ) 5 X 500KT MIRV.
SS-N-20 1981 8,300 n.a. 500 80 6 x IOOKT MIRV.
SS-N-23 1985 8,300 n.a. 900 32 n.a.
Tactical
SLCM
SS-N-3 Shaddock 1962 450 n.a. 244 1 X 350KT.
SS-N-7 1968 n.a. n.a. 80 1 X 200KT.
SS-N-9 Siren 1968/9 100 n.a. 218 1 X 200KT.
SS-N-12 Sandbox 1973 550 n.a. 120 1 X 350KT.
SS-N-19 1980 550 — n.a. 112 1 x 500KT warhead.
ASW
SS-N-14 Silex 1974 55 — n.a. 228 ?1 to 5KT.
SS-N-15 torpedo 1982 45 n.a. (396) ?5KT range1» Reload
SS-N-16 torpedo 1962 n.a. _ n.a. (306) ?KT range / capability.
SS-N-22 1981 400 n.a. 52 1 x 200KT warhead. ?Dual-
capable.
AIR
Strategic
Long-range bombers
Tu-95 Bear B/C/G/H 1956 12,800 0.9 40 140 1-2 AS-3/-4, 4 AS-15 ALCM,
2 - 3 bombs. 40 Tu-95 H: 6
AS-15.
Mya-4 Bison 1956 11,200 0.94 20 20 4 bombs.
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Medium-range bombers
Tu-16 Badger 1955 4,800 0.85 20 480 1—2 AS-2/-3/-6 ALCM, 1 bomb.
(Badger G carries (?6) AS-5.)
Air Force (240), Navy (240).
Tu-22 Blinder 1962 6,200 1.4 12 165 1 AS-4 ALCM, 1 bomb. Air Force
(130), Navy (35).
Tu-22M Backfire 1974 11,000 1.92 17.5 260 1 or 2 AS-4 ALCM, 2 bombs.
Air Force (140), Navy (120).
Tactical
Land-based strike
Su-7 Fitter A 1959 1,450 1.6 8.8 80 2 bombs.
MiG-21 FishbedL 1970 1,100 2.1 2 135 2 bombs.
MiG-27 Flogger D/J 1971 1,400 1.7 8.8 810 2 bombs.
Su-17 Fitter D/H 1974 1,300 2.1 7 900 2 bombs.
Su-24 Fencer 1974 3,600 2.3 24 700 2 bombs. (450 in Strat Avn.)
ASW
Tu-142 Bear F 1972 11,500 0.7 60 2 bombs.
11-38 Afcy 1970 7,200 0.6 50 (?2) bombs.
Be-12 Ms// 1965 7,500 0.5 — 95 2 bombs.
ALCM (dual-capable)
AS-2 Kipper 1961 200 2.2 — 90 1 x KT range/HE. (?in service.)
AS-3 Kangaroo 1961 500 2 (100) 1 X 1MT.
AS-4 Kitchen 1962 300 3.3 up to 470 1 X 1MT.
AS-6 JKf/jg/isA 1977 300 3 up to 820 1 x IMT/HE.
AS-15 1984 1,600 0.6 — up to 240 1 x 250KT. 4 - 6 on Tu-95 H.
AIR
Tactical
Land-based strike
Su-7 Fitter A 1959 1,400 1.6 8.8 90 2 bombs. Czechoslovakia (50),
Poland (40).
Su-20 Fitter C 1974 1,300 1.6 7 40 2 bombs. Poland (40).
MiG-23 Flogger F/H 1975/6 2,600 1.2 4.4 109 2 bombs. Bulgaria (45), Czecho-
slovakia (40), E. Germany (24).
e
" ICBM = range of over 5,500 km; IRBM = 2,400-5,500 Warhead yields vary greatly; figures given are esti-
km; MRBM = 800—2,400 km; SRBM = 800 km or less. mated maxima. KT range •= under 1 MT; MT range =
Long-range = over 9,000 km; medium-range = over 1 MT. Yield figures for dual-capable weapons
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5,600—9,000 km; bomber = aircraft primarily designed (which can deliver conventional or nuclear warheads)
for bombing missions. refer to nuclear warheads only.
* Ranges given in km; for nautical miles, divide by f All the types listed are dual-capable. Total actually
1.852. Use of maximum payload may reduce a available as nuclear strike aircraft may be lower than
missile's operational range by up to 25% of figures the figure shown.
shown. Figures for aircraft are theoretical maximum * Except for British and French weapons, nuclear war-
unrefuelled range at optimum altitude and speed. heads for these delivery vehicles are held in American
Higher speeds, lower altitudes and full weapons loads custody. No nuclear warheads held on Canadian,
reduce range, especially with strike ac; for instance an Danish or Norwegian soil. In few cases is the M-109
A-6, at operational height and speed and with maxi- likely to have a nuclear role.
mum weapons load, has a combat radius of some 1,870 * AU NATO missiles of US origin, except SSBS, Pluton
km, compared with max ferry range of 4,700 km. and MSBS (French).
c
Throw-weight is the weight of post-boost vehicle ' Nimrod of British origin; F-4, F-16, F-104, P-3
(warhead(s), guidance systems, penetration aids) deliv- American; Mirage, Super Etendard, Atlantic French;
erable over a given range. Jaguar Anglo-French; Tornado British-German-
d
CEP (circular error probable) = the radius of the Italian.
circle around a target within which there is a 50% > Variable range; some for peripheral targeting.
probability that a weapon aimed at that target will fall. * Nuclear warheads held in Soviet custody. Ac all of
For obvious reasons, this is a figure with a rather large Soviet origin. It is uncertain how many are nuclear
degree of uncertainty attached to it. capable.
Launcher Launcher
Countries total total Countries
Category and type deploying 7/86" 7/86 deploying Type
LAND-BASED
ICBM
b USSR SS-11/-17/-19
IRBM
SSBS S-3 D/TN-61 France 18 112 USSR SS-4
270 USSR SS-20
GLCM
BGM-109G USA 128
MRBM
Penning II USA 108
SRBM
(350) USSR SS-2UFROG
Pershing IA FRG 72 (375) USSR SS-23/ScudAJB
Lance USA 108 77 USSR SS-12 mod
Lance Allies' 55 214 Allies FROG-3/-5/-7
Pluton France 44 143 Allies Scud B/C
Artillery*
f M-1976, 2-S5, S-23,
M-110 USA 500 T TÇÇR . M-1955 (D-20),
M-110 Allies 373 (3,500) M-1973/2-S3, M-1975
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Agree-
Primary ment Cost Expected
Recipient supplier date System Quantity ($m) delivery
Jordan Spain 3/86 CASA ac (14 C-101 COIN/
trg, 1 C-212, 2 CN-235
tpt) 17 90 1987
Libya Czecho-
slovakia 6/85 L-410UVP Turbolet tpt ac 6 •
delivered
Morocco Spain 10/85 Vigilance-class patrol boats 6 104 —
Oman Britain 8/85 Tornado F-2 ADV inter-
ceptor ac 8 350 1992
1/86 Province-class FAC(G) 1 56.96 1989
USA 9/85 AIM-9P4 Sidewinder AAM 300 22
Saudi Arabia Britain 9/85 Tornado IDS bbr ac 48 \ 1986-8
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Sub-Saharan Africa
Congo France 7/85 SA-365 Dauphin hel 1 delivered
1/86 Noratlas N-2501 tpt ac 1 delivered
Ethiopia Italy 10/85 SF-260TP trg ac 10 — —
Gabon France 8/85 AS-350 Ecureuil hel 2 —
8/85 SA-342 Gazelle hel (3
armed) 5 — —
8/85 Panhard AFV 24 — —
Malawi France 8/85 AS-35OL Ecureuil hel 1 delivered
FRG 12/85 Do-228 It tpt ac 3
Niger FRG 12/85 Do-228 It tpt ac 1
Nigeria Britain 8/85 Watercraft P-2000 patrol
craft 2 — 1986-
France 10/85 ERC-90 AFV 40 — —
12/85 Simoneau 15.8-m patrol
craft 6
1/86 SA-330L Puma hel 12 —
FRG 12/85 DO-228 It tpt ac 3 1986
Nether-
lands 1985 Damen 14.5-m patrol craft 6 — 1986-
8/85 Fokker F-27 MR ac 2
USA 8/85 Swiftships 20-m patrol craft 12 —
Senegal France 8/85 EDIC-700 LCT 1 — 1986
Zimbabwe Italy 9/85 AB-412 hel 10 30 1986
Agree-
Primary ment Cost Expected
Recipient supplier date System Quantity ($m) delivery
India Singapore 5/86 200-ton inshore patrol
vessels for Coastguard 6 — 1987
Sweden 4/86 FH-77B 155mm how 400- 992-
(local production) 1,500 3.5 bn —
Indonesia Britain 12/85 Rapier SAM — 120 —
Nether- 8/85 Alkmaar MCMV 1 — 1988
lands 4/86 Van Speijk-c\&ss frigates 2 136.9 1986
USA 6/86 F-16A/BFGAac 8 200 —
Japan France 7/85 AS-332 Super Puma hel 3 25 1986
S. Korea USA 9/85 AH-IS Cobra hel 21 178 —
Malaysia USA 10/85 HU-16B Albatross MR ac 2 8 1986-7
New Zealand Britain 7/85 Seacat SSM — 13 —
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Latin America
Argentina Brazil 4/86 EMB-312 Tucano trg ac 44 52.8 —
Israel 10/85 Boeing 707-131 ELINT ac 1 —
Colombia USA 1/86 Hughes 500MG Scoutl-
500E hel 6/2 9.46 delivered
Ecuador USA 10/85 T-33 ac (refurbished) 25 5.1 completion
1988
Haiti Italy 9/85 SIAI S-211 trgac 4 6 delivered
Honduras USA 12/85 Bell 412 hel 5 13.4 1986
Mexico Switzerland 10/85 PC-7 COIN ac 25 —
USA 10/85 Beechcraft Bonanza F-33C
trgac 21 4.9 1986
Venezuela Brazil 1/86 EMB-312 Tucano trg ac 30 52.8 1986-
212
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Sri Lanka 55 75 102 4 5 7 3.8 3.9 5.1 1.2 1.7 14.8 21.6 21.6 16.1 26.0
Taiwan 3,600 3,398 3,417 199 182 478 36.8 42.0 40.0 6.8 5.9 451.0 444.0 424.0 1,457.5 25.0
Thailand 1,665 1,652 1,752 35 33 35 25.5 21.5 21.7 4.6 4.2 238.1 235.3 256.0 500.0 86.0
Vietnam n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,029.0 1,027.0 1,155.0 3,000.0 1,560.0
Latin America
Argentina 3,573 2,337 2,282 129 81 77 12.8 16.5 17.1 2.9 3.3 185.5 108.0 73.0 377.0. 22.0
Bahamas 7 8 9 35 36 37 2.6 2.3 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.5
Belize n.a. 3 4 n.a. 20.0 23 n.a. 3.3 4.0 n.a. 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3
Bolivia 186 196 230 34 34 37 16.7 28.2 21.7 2.8 2.6 26.6 27.6 27.6 14.0
Brazil 1,559 1,305 1,055 12 10 8 2.2 2.1 5.8 0.6 0.5 272.6 276.0 283.4 1,115.0 240.0
Chile 2,103 1,649 1,622 188 141 135 20.9 26.1 25.2 6.4 8.5 92.0 101.0 101.0 100.0 27.0
Downloaded by [Carnegie Mellon University] at 10:14 21 January 2015
Colombia 374 456 427 14 17 15 8.2 10.4 10.0 1.0 1.1 70.0 66.2 66.2 116.6 87.5
Costa Rica 21 28 20 9 11 8 3.8 3.7 3.6 0.8 0.6 — 3.0 9.5
Cuba 1,272 1,338 1,357 128 134 134 9.6 10.1 10.3 7.7 7.9 227.0 161.5 162.0 150.0 1,368.5
Dominican Rep 118 129 156 20 22 26 10.0 10.6 12.2 1.6 1.5 22.5 22.2 21.3 _ 1.0
Ecuador 248 215 224 30 25 25 9.9 10.3 13.1 1.8 1.8 38.8 42.5 42.0 0.2
El Salvador 116 158 205 27 32 39 16.7 22.3 23.1 3.4 4.5 9.8 41.7 42.6 18.6
Guatemala 91 170 180 13 22 22 6.3 14.2 15.0 1.1 1.9 15.1 31.7 32.0 10.2 911.6
Guyana 22 21 40 25 23 43 5.6 5.5 8.7 3.9 9.0 7.0 6.6 5.5 5.0
Haiti 24 28 30 5 5 6 8.2 9.9 8.9 1.6 1.6 7.5 6.9 6.9
Honduras 45 70 90 12 17 21 4.6 5.6 6.6 1.7 2.9 11.2 16.6 19.2 50.0 5.0
Jamaica 36 39 26 17 17 11 2.6 3.2 3.1 1.2 1.2 4.0 2.1 2.1 1.0 1.0
Mexico 1,403 600 562 20 8 7 1.2 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.3 369.5 129.1 139.5 300.0 120.0
Nicaragua 192 348 625 67 112 195 20.0 16.6 23.2 7.5 11.7 6.7 62.9 72.0 250.0 57.0
Panama 40 67 88 21 32 42 2.9 5.7 7.7 1.0 1.9 12.0 12.0
Paraguay 88 104 76 30 34 23 23.8 16.1 17.1 1.6 1.4 16.0 14.4 16.0 36.3 6.0
Peru 403 1,405 1,327 22 74 67 9.3 29.9 27.0 5.7 7.8 130.0 128.0 127.0 175.0 51.6
Suriname n.a. 41 43 n.a. 112 116 n.a. 9.2 9.9 n.a. 4.3 n.a. 2.0 2.5 0.9
Trinidad & Tobago 43 81 75 41 75 68 1.6 2.1 2.0 0.6 n.a. n.a. 2.1 2.1 2.0
Uruguay 365 181 148 129 63 51 18.5 16.9 12.0 3.2 2.8 29.7 31.9 31.9 2.7
Venezuela 907 954 1069 59 58 63 4.6 5.3 8.7 1.4 2.2 40.8 49.0 71.0 — 22.0
" Statistical data is constantly under review. Differences between figures in this issue of GDP/GNP figures were either unavailable or seemed unreliable.
e
The Military Balance and those in previous issues may be due as much to re-evaluation as Countries' systems vary. Thefiguresgiven may include reservists with recent training,
to new information. Defence expenditure and government spending figures are often active territorial militia and forces available for later mobilization.
revised by governments years later. f The difficulty of calculating suitable exchange rates makes conversion to dollars and
* Current US dollars. These figures are subject to exchange rate fluctuations and do not international comparisons imprecise and unreliable. It is important to refer to individ-
represent the true value. Some military expenditures include internal security expenses; in ual country entries and to defence expenditures and the size of the economy in local
other cases research costs are borne by other ministries' budgets. currencies.
c
Calculation based on local currency. This series is designed to show national trends only. « See country entry.
International comparisons may be invalidated by differences in the scope of government * Defence expenditures are based on NATO definition. For Spain NATO-definition expendi-
sector and in budgetary definitions. Where possible, total government outlays (including tures are not yet available (previous editions estimated NATO-definition figures).
development or capital expenditure) have been used. ' Exd aid to West Berlin (DM 13,8OOmin 1981,DM 14,300 min I983, and DM 15,100m
d
Based on local currency. See country entries. For most countries GDPfiguresare given; in in 1984), which is considered part of West Germany's security policy expenditures.
their absence GNP figures are used. For Warsaw Pact countries GNP figures derived from i Government spending is the total of Federal Government budget, plus state and regional
NMP are given. In some cases commercial bank estimates have been used where offical government budgets. Gross Material Product is used instead of GDP.
This article was downloaded by: [University of Sussex Library]
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Analyses
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1986) Analyses, The Military Balance, 86:1, 218-238, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459979
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ANALYSES
3
218
tarily superior. But in order to assess the likeli- What follows is an introduction to how to
hood of nuclear war (in terms of the incentives estimate the Soviet—American strategic nuclear
for either side to strike first in a crisis), or to balance, using static measures. An estimate of
determine how successful US nuclear forces the Soviet—American strategic nuclear balance
might be in carrying out their strategic objectives for 1986 is presented in a Table at the end of
in the face of known Soviet capabilities, a this essay.
dynamic analysis involving nuclear exchanges
may be needed. And if the purpose is to evaluate Assumptions
the record of past arms-control agreements and In this analysis, as in all others, it is important to
the implications of current proposals, it will be define critical assumptions explicitly. These tend
necessary to count the number of weapons to fall into three categories:
according to the rules which have been defined — what nuclear systems will be included and
to verify those agreements. excluded?
— which of these systems will be counted?
Static and Dynamic Measures — what number of weapons will be assigned to
Many would argue that only dynamic analyses of each nuclear system?
nuclear exchanges should be used in estimating
the strategic nuclear balance. These take into Systems Included
account the accuracy, reliability and operational In estimating the strategic nuclear balance, the first
readiness of each side's nuclear forces, their question is what nuclear systems to define as
basing modes (and so their survivability), and 'strategic'. Over the past twenty years the United
the functioning of command-and-control sys- States and the Soviet Union have differed on this
tems, as well as the different target sets in the point. The Soviet Union has argued that all
United States and the Soviet Union. But such nuclear systems that can strike the territory of the
models of nuclear exchanges present difficulties. other side should be included; specifically, it has
They all involve a very large number of assump- sought to include US forward-based systems
tions, not only about offensive nuclear forces deployed in Europe and Asia, as well as British,
but also about defences, and their outcomes are French and Chinese nuclear forces. The United
particularly sensitive to the assumptions made States has instead sought to define a class of cen-
concerning several key variables: warning times, tral strategic systems which serve primarily to
which side attacks, and whether ICBM are deter attacks against the homelands of the two
launched under attack. super-powers. In the SALT I and SALT II treaties,
Static comparisons of numbers of missiles and the Soviet Union accepted the American position.
bombers, and of missile warheads and bomber Agreed Statement A to the SALT I Interim
weapons, simplify and distort reality. But they Agreement on Strategic Offensive Arms defined a
do provide a general sense of the size and the land-based ICBM launcher as having a range 'in
characteristics of nuclear force postures. They excess of the shortest distance between the
suggest the character of the offensive capability northeastern border of the continental US and the
(for example, silo-based ICBM have quick hard- northwestern border of the continental USSR'.
target kill capability) and the survivability of The SALT II Treaty (Article II) went on to define
the overall force posture (for instance, sea-based this range as being 'in excess of 5,500 kilometres'.
systems provide greater survivability). They also SLBM were defined in the SALT II Treaty
enable judgments about survivability to be made (Article II, Paragraph 2) as 'launchers of ballistic
219
missiles installed on any nuclear-powered sub- The ICBM on both sides are in a very high state
marine or launchers of modern ballistic missiles of readiness or alert, being powered by solid fuel
on any submarine, regardless of its type'. Both or storeable liquid fuel. But some will always be
are adequate as definitions for 'strategic' ballistic undergoing maintenance. In the case of the
missiles. In the case of SLBM, there is no doubt United States, up to 8 Minuteman II may be
about the propulsion system of a class of sub- reserved for communications.
marines, and 'modern' is further denned as any For SLBM a considerable difference exists
missile deployed after 1965 (SALT II Treaty, between the forces in the inventory and those on
Agreed Statement to Article II, Paragraph 2). alert (estimates of the figure for alert forces vary
Bombers present a more complicated prob- widely, depending upon assumptions about the
lem, for it is difficult to define their range, amount of strategic warning that would be
which varies with payload, flight profile and received — and acted upon). About 60% of US
re-fuelling. Consequently, the SALT II Treaty SSBN are assumed to be at sea at all times,
(Article II, paragraphs 3—5) provided detailed whereas the Soviet Union, because of its single
definitions of the heavy bombers to be covered. crewing and deployment pattern, may have no
Some aircraft were designated by type: for the more than 15% of its boats at sea in peacetime.
United States the B-52 and B-l bombers, and for Both countries could, however, increase their
Downloaded by [University of Sussex Library] at 08:25 06 February 2015
the Soviet Union the Tupolev-95 (Bear) deployments; submarines in port, changing
and Myasishchev-4 (Bison) bombers. Heavy crews or undergoing minor repairs and routine
bombers were also defined as any equipped with maintenance, could be deployed within days.
air-to-surface ballistic missiles (ASBM) or cruise Moreover, an increasing fraction of US and Sov-
missiles capable of ranges in excess of 600 kilo- iet SLBM consists of missiles with sufficient
metres. As a result, the US FB-111A was range to reach the territory of the other side
excluded. After considerable controversy, the from their ports (for the Soviet Union, the SS-N-
Soviet Backfire bomber was also excluded, but 8, SS-N-18 and SS-N-20 missiles; for the United
was separately limited in a side agreement. In States the Trident I or C-4 missile). Submarines
estimates of the strategic nuclear balance, the on long refit are not operationally ready for sea
Reagan Administration will include the Backfire and could be discounted.
bomber, while the USSR will generally include Some bombers will always be undergoing
US forward-based systems in Europe and Asia overhaul, repair and modernization. Given the
and omit the Backfire as well as its other nuclear high costs, bombers are not maintained on
forces threatening Europe and Asia. airborne alert, but rather depend upon warning
to take off from their bases. Bombers can also
Another issue involves whether to include deliver conventional as well as nuclear weapons
long-range cruise missiles as 'strategic' systems. and may not be planned for nuclear missions. In
In SALT II, air-launched cruise missiles (ALCM) fact the United States has changed the mission
were covered and limited in connection with of some 60 of its B-52 bombers to a conven-
heavy bombers. In the SALT II Treaty Protocol, tional role.
sea- and land-based cruise missiles with a range In determining which nuclear systems should
in excess of 600 kilometres were banned for be included, the SALT I and SALT II Treaties
three years. Subsequently, the US and the Soviet required that all launchers for 'strategic' systems
Union decided that ground-launched cruise be counted, except those for testing and training.
missiles (GLCM) were appropriate for nego- In the case of missiles, it is important to recog-
tiation not with strategic nuclear systems but nize that the treaties only limited the number of
rather with other intermediate-range nuclear launchers, so that the number of missiles in the
forces. Whether sea-launched cruise missiles inventory of each side will exceed the number of
(SLCM) should be included in the strategic launchers (the extra missiles providing spares
nuclear balance is still a matter of debate. and test vehicles). Since the treaties counted
bombers as launchers, this rule would bring into
Counting the Systems Included the calculation the 200+ old moth-balled
In estimating the strategic nuclear balance, bombers in the United States.
assumptions may be made to reflect the fact that
not all the launchers belonging to systems which Weapon Numbers Assigned to Included
meet the definition of strategic are operationally Systems
ready and on alert at any one time. The alterna- In estimating the overall number of strategic
tive, which the SALT treaties adopted, is to nuclear warheads it will first be necessary to
include all strategic systems launchers which are decide how to count warheads on ICBM which
theoretically available — except those for testing have been modified to carry MIRV. Second, a
and training. decision will be needed on whether to make
220
characteristics (weight, yield, accuracy). In the did, however, impose a maximum permissible
case of the Soviet SS-18, for example, four ver- number of MIRV warheads on ICBM and SLBM.
sions (mods) are believed to have been According to Article IV, Paragraph 10, 'each
deployed with from one to ten warheads. This party undertakes not to flight test or deploy
fact is known from the observation of testing, ICBM of a type flight tested as of 1 May, 1979
but it is not possible to know with any confi- with a number of re-entry vehicles greater than
dence how many of which mods are deployed. the maximum number of re-entry vehicles with
The SALT I Treaty did not assign numbers of which an ICBM ofthat type has been flight tested
weapons to individual nuclear systems, since it as ofthat date'. For SLBM, Article IV, Paragraph
did not seek to constrain warheads — only 12, states that 'each party undertakes not to
launchers. In SALT II, constraints were placed on flight test or deploy SLBM with a number of
the number of launchers with MIRV warheads, re-entry vehicles greater than the maximum
and so rules were devised for taking number of re-entry vehicles with which an SLBM
modifications of missiles into account. The First of either Party has been flight-tested as of 1 May
Agreed Statement to Paragraph 5 of Article II 1979, that is, fourteen'.
stated: 'if a launcher has been developed and One way of assigning numbers of nuclear war-
tested for launching an ICBM or an SLBM with heads to ballistic missile launchers is to use
MIRV, all launchers of that type shall be con- these SALT II counting rules. These numbers will
sidered to have been developed and tested for not in some cases be the actual operational
launching ICBM or SLBM equipped with MIRV'. loadings, and for the USSR they will not be the
theoretically possible numbers, given the throw
(b) Operational Loadings weight of Soviet missiles. These counting rules
The number of weapons actually deployed on present a problem in the particular case of the
individual nuclear systems will vary depending US Poseidon C-3 missile, for it was tested with
upon the mission and the deployment areas from 14 warheads but is assumed to carry on average
which they would fire their weapons. For only 10. For other systems in the US and Soviet
example, the Poseidon missile has been tested arsenals, the number of warheads tested approxi-
with 14 warheads, but its actual loading has to mates to the actual loadings.
take account of the fact that missile range will
vary with the number of warheads (the farther (d) Bomber Weapons
from the Soviet Union a missile is deployed, the For heavy bombers, SALT II only established the
fewer warheads it will carry). Depending on the number of ALCM to be deployed on cruise miss-
target and the capabilities of Soviet defences, ile carriers. Article IV, Paragraph 14, limits the
warhead numbers might also be reduced to make number of ALCM to 28, with the Second Agreed
room for penetration aids. With bombers the Statement establishing that no bomber of the
problem is even more complex, since an individ- B-52, B-l, Bear or Bison type will be equipped
ual aircraft can deliver ALCM and SRAM war- with more than 20 ALCM. Twenty ALCM is more
heads as well as gravity bombs. The loading will than the most likely average loading of the
depend upon whether the bomber will stand-off B-52G/H and Bear H bombers, but is less than
from or seek to penetrate Soviet territory, and the theoretical maximum that the B-l could
also on whether it will be part of the early stage carry (though, in its initial deployment, the B-l
221
will be a penetrating bomber carrying gravity debate, we give overleaf a table providing an esti-
bombs and SRAM). mate of the strategic nuclear balance in 1986. The
Assigning weapons to bombers is the most table is designed primarily for arms-control pur-
difficult task, because bombers are capable of poses, and is based on the following
delivering a mix of weapons which cannot be assumptions:
verified by national technical means. SALT II did — the nuclear systems defined as 'strategic' are
not address this issue, since it placed no con- those so defined in SALT I and SALT II, with the
straints on gravity bombs or SRAM. Various FB-111A and Backfire bombers excluded, as well
formulae have been suggested for counting as SLCM and US forward-based systems. (The
bomber weapons, relying primarily on aircraft conflicting intelligence estimates of the
gross take-off weight, but they each require some- Backfires unrefuelled range that originally
what arbitrary assumptions. There is the served as a basis for its inclusion as a strategic
additional problem that bombers confront air system appear to have been resolved in favour of
defences which are not constrained by any arms- a shorter range, which would suggest
control regime. Many, therefore, argue that the exclusion.)
counting rules for bomber weapons should take
— all launchers for strategic nuclear systems are
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ICBM ICBM
Minuteman II 450 1 450 SS-11 448 1 448
Minuteman III 550 3 1,650 SS-13 60 1 60
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SLBM SLBM
Poseidon C-3 256 14 3,584 SS-N-6 304 1 304
Trident C-4 384 8 3,072 SS-N-8 292 1 292
SS-N-17 12 1 '12
SS-N-18 224 7 1,568
SS-N-20 80 9b 720
SS-N-23 32 10* 320
Sub-total (ICBM & SLBM): 1,650 8,766 Sub-total (ICBU & SLBM): 2,342 9,636
Bombers Bombers
B-52G/H (non-ALCM) 121 12 1452 Bear H (ALCM) 40 20 800
B-52G/H (ALCM) 120 20 2,400 Bear (non-ALCM) 100 2 200
B-l 19 12 228 Bison 20 4 80
" Warheads per launcher are taken from SALT II Treaty, currently assigned the missile in this Table and is taken from
Article IV, Paragraph 10, First Agreed Statement and Com- Table 1.
mon Understanding. The Trident C-4 had been tested with The number of ALCM assigned to each heavy bomber is 20
only 7 re-entry vehicles at the time of the signing of SALT II in (SALT II Treaty, Article IV, paragraph 14, Second Agreed
1979, but it had space for an additional re-entry vehicle, which Statement).
had been demonstrated earlier in a test. Under the Second * For missiles deployed since the signing of the SALT II Treaty,
Agreed Statement to paragraph 10 of Article IV, the missile the following warheads are assigned: SS-25, one; SS-N-20,
would be counted as having 8 warheads. This is the number nine; SS-N-23, ten.
223
all actually in Europe or available for immediate division. In all cases 'Tank' includes tank and
reinforcement. The total of entries in both regions armoured divisions; 'Mech' includes motorized
is given. The Warsaw Pact is grouped similarly: and motor rifle as well as mechanized divisions
non-Soviet forces in the north and south and the (both are 'heavy' divisions in US terms). 'Other'
Soviet Union's forces also in those regions are includes infantry, airborne, air-portable, air
included, as they are in the overall totals. assault, mountain, amphibious and marine and
'light' infantry (in US terms 'light divisions'). An
Geographical: artificial equivalent to a division is taken to be
The regions are denned as follows: three brigades (some nine battalions of armour,
NATO, North: Norway, Denmark, West Ger- infantry, or a mix of them). It must be remem-
many, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Bel- bered that this grouping would often lack essen-
gium; forces deployed from Britain, Canada, tial support such as engineer, artillery and logis-
US (Atlantic deployments) and France (Army, tic elements. These appear in the 'other'
Navy, Air, deployed Atlantic). divisional category.
Warsaw Pact, North: East Germany, Poland,
Czechoslovakia; Soviet forces in those Deployment:
countries and in the Leningrad, Baltic, The NATO divisions (or equivalents) listed as
Belorussian and Carpathian MDS. 'deployed in Europe' are those actually at or near
NATO, South: Turkey, Greece, Italy, Spain, Por- full combat readiness in the forces of the Conti-
tugal, France (Navy deployed Mediterran- nental states adjacent to the NATO fronts:
ean), US Sixth Fleet, and forces deployed in Britain's BAOR, the Canadian brigade group, the
Southern Europe. French corps, and the US Army in Europe. For
Warsaw Pact, South: Hungary, Bulgaria and the Warsaw Pact the total includes all the Soviet
Romania and Soviet forces in Hungary and and East European Pact formations at Category
the Odessa, Kiev, North Caucasus and Trans- 1 level (i.e. fully manned in peacetime) in Eur-
Caucasus MDS. ope and in the relevant MDs in the Soviet
Union. 'Divisions available for reinforcement'
Manpower includes those cadre and reserve formations in
The total number of men in uniform for all the same regions. Mobilization times obviously
countries in both Pacts is given, followed by the vary; we have made no attempt to estimate the
total of all Reserve forces. The totals then given actual state of readiness of these formations or
for the ground forces and their reserves are a the time required to deploy them. Details of the
proportion of — not in addition to — these Soviet formation deployments are contained in
totals. The strengths shown for the ground forces the USSR country entry.
actually in the regions described must be used
with caution. For the European NATO and War- Equipment:
saw Pact countries it includes all non-combat Totals are based on operational equipment inven-
HQ, logistic and base personnel. The Soviet tories in the national entries. They include
totals are estimated. The British, Canadian and equipment available to the Reserves where such
French figures for NATO in Europe and the Sov- totals-are known. The totals do not include equip-
iet figures in North and South Europe (shown in ment shown as 'in store' because of the
brackets), are forces specifically stationed in the incompleteness of such data. For those countries
region in peacetime. Spanish forces are shown outside the European theatre, stocks refer only to
224
those holdings known, or estimated to be in Eur- otage and interception than comparable sys-
ope. Naval strengths for NATO are those vessels tems in NATO territories.
presumed normally to be in the Atlantic, Chan- The Warsaw Pact has long had an advantage
nel, North Sea and Mediterranean. The NATO in numbers of surface-to-surface missiles to
South entry includes the US Sixth Fleet; the 'US' deliver high-explosive, nuclear and chemical
column lists the Atlantic-based vessels only. For weapons against targets deep in NATO rear areas.
the Warsaw Pact, we include the Soviet Northern, These could not be intercepted; replacement sys-
Baltic and Black Sea Fleets and the non-Soviet tems entering service are certainly more accu-
navies in the Baltic and Black Seas. The Soviet rate and may be more reliable. The Pact inven-
Mediterranean Squadron comprises submarines tory of modern fighter-bombers (many
from the Northern Fleet and surface vessels nuclear-capable) continues to grow, providing an
detached from the Black Sea Fleet. Their num- increasingly significant and more flexible long-
bers are reflected in the 'South' totals of the range air threat to NATO. The Pact's defence
USSR. Classification of ships and naval aircraft against air attack combines a large number of
reflects the usage in the country entries. The interceptors with extensive deployment of
surface-to-air missiles and artillery. Electronic
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most unwise to predict the outcome of a war in Eur- forces, while no worse, is certainly no better than
ope. NATO would not necessarily be defeated, nor before.
would the Warsaw Pact necessarily see its numeri- Our conclusion remains that the conventional
cal advantages as being sufficient to risk an attack. It military balance is still such as to make general
may depend critically upon warning time and how military aggression a highly risky undertaking for
this is used. One can conclude that there is still either side. Though possession of the initiative in
sufficient danger in the trend to require remedies by war will always permit an aggressor to achieve a
the Western Alliance, particularly as manpower local advantage in numbers (sufficient perhaps to
shortages become more of a problem for many allow him to believe that he might achieve limited
countries towards the end of the 1980s. One can tactical success in some areas), there would still
also conclude that any significant raising of the appear to be insufficient overall strength on either
nuclear threshold, through NATO acquisition of side to guarantee victory. The consequences for
markedly greater conventional capabilities, would an attacker would still be quite unpredictable, and
appear to be out of reach for the time being, due the risks, particularly of nuclear escalation,
mainly to budgetary constraints. The ratio of remain incalculable.
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CANADA
' R.Meadei T
6 Afesfa
25 Hawaii
Example
xx It T/ie US Army Reserve includes a further 12 Training Divisions.
ARNGI(5dl35 -35th Mechanized Infantry Division 2. HQ 3rd Army is located at Ft. McPherson in support of Central Command (CENTCOM).
Army National Guard
SOVIET REGIONAL THEATRES AND MILITARY DISTRICTS
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FAR / E A S T TVD
ÇENJRAL%RESERVE TRAN^L'AYKAL
GSFG = Group of Soviet Forces in [East] Germany (HQ: Zossen WUnsdorf) CGF = Central Group of Forces (Czechoslovakia.HQ:Tabor)
NGF = Northern Group of Forces (Poland. HO: Legnica) SGF a Southern Group of Forces (Hungary. HOL' Budapest)
to
: Headquarters to
CHINESE MILITARY REGIONS AND DISTRICTS
o
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USSR USSR
} •'.; • .. ,
—' '••Jiangsu
Nanjing
weapons against its targets from any of a large the form of circular arcs concave to the Pole.
number of firing-positions, the arcs of SLBM The variation in scale which accompanies the
coverage are target-centred and drawn to cover portrayal of large areas is indicated and compen-
what we believe to be the ranges of the weapons sated for by the addition to each of the maps of a
involved. These arcs, labelled to show both tar- scale of distance in kilometres. Any measure-
get and weapon, define the sea areas from which ment of distance should be made by reference to
a specific target could be struck. Thus, the arcs the portion of the marked scale at (or near) the
marked 'Moscow/Poseidorf enclose the sea areas latitude of the mid-point of the track.
232
reporting method, and the data for our charts from 43% to 47%. Even conservative govern-
comes from The Government Finance Statistics ments like those in the US, Britain and West
Yearbook, vol IX (Washington DC: IMF, 1985), Germany seem unable to withstand the press-
which uses this.* Government revenue includes ures for increased social spending.
grants. Government expenditure is defined as Interest payments, which have mirrored
'non-repayable payments'. The Social Security declines in revenue and increases in government
element of Health, Education and Social Secur- spending, have doubled — and in some cases
ity expenditure (H/E/SS) includes welfare pay- tripled — between 1973 and 1983. The US and
ments and state pensions schemes (including Sweden devoted almost 15% of 1983 govern-
military) but excludes housing and community ment expenditure to interest; ten years earlier
expenditure. Interest outlays represent all pay- they had spent 6.1% and 3.6% repectively. The
ments by government for money it has bor- lowest spenders in this category are West Ger-
rowed. Defence expenditure exclude pension many and France, with 5.2% and 3.4% (com-
schemes (shown as social security) — and, for pared with 1.6% and 2.1 %).
this reason, should not be compared with the These upward trends are not reflected in
NATO-definition defence expenditures used else- defence spending. Here South Korea and the US
where in this volume (which include military led with 32% and 24% of government spending
pension schemes). The IMF Manual on Govern- respectively — but the former is continuing a
ment Finance Statistics (Washington DC: IMF, downward trend, while US defence spending
1986) provides more detailed definitions. increases appear to have ended in 1986. For
Our charts show trends in government spend- France the proportion remained stable at
ing from 1973 to 1983 (1975 to 1982 for between 7.5% and 7.3%, but all the other
France). The total of H/E/SS, interest and defence countries show downward trends.
expenditures as a proportion of total govern-
ment expenditure has in many cases risen to the * The 1983figuresfor Britain are adapted from State-
point where it is difficult to see further increases ment on the Defence Estimates 1986 (Cmnd 9763).
Key
Total government revenue Healfh/Education/Social Security
Interest
o o o g S8 o
o o o o
V///////////A IS 5
l
\\ 64.7 sI
1.5
Q.
V//////////////////A Y/////////////////////,
3
24.1 70.1
T3
V//////////////////A.
69.4
234
130
i:
80
120
110 m 70
Hi
100 S8B
60 m
90
m
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-m
80
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81
m
82 83 84 85
50
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
7.0
Britain
6.5 (billion £)
6.0
5.5
5.0 I m
4.5 1
4 0 m 2 5
1973 74 75 76 "77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
7.0 80
Denmark France
6.5 ' (billion kroner) (billion francs)
70
6.0 I 1
60
5.5
m m
5.0
4.5
50 m
m
4.0 1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
m 40
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 81 82 83 84 85
45 60
Germany - Federal Republic Greece
(billion DM) (billion drachma)
50
40
m m
40
35
m 30
m
30 20
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
235
Netherlands
(billion guilders)
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83
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4
-° 1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
40
Turkey
(billion lira)
30
20
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 84 85 10 1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
2.5
Japan
(thousand billion yen)
2.0 -
n 1 I
m
—
: I
1.5
1
•aü 1
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
1.0
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85i
236
of sub-Saharan Africa comprises less than 1.5% because the civilian/military industrial sector is
of the total (the largest spenders in the region not reflected in the government budgets. In the
being South Africa, Nigeria and Ethiopia). case of Brazil, for instance, defence outlays as a
percentage of the GDP have been reduced by two
Between 1983 and 1985 global GNP/GDP thirds in the last decade, from 1.6% to just under
growth averaged 3.3%. Defence expenditure 0.5%, whereas the military industrial sector grew
increases kept pace with this growth, averaging from less than 1% in the mid-1970s to over 2.5%
2.9% world-wide. NATO Europe's average GDP/ in 1984, earning at least $3.5 bn in export rev-
GNP growth was 2.5%, and its defence expendi-
tures showed an increase of just below 2% for enues during the latter year.
the period. The non-Soviet Warsaw Pact's three-
year NMP growth average was 3.5%, and its The Arms Trade
defence expenditure growth about 3%. Estimates The past ten years have witnessed an ostensibly
for the increase in Soviet defence expenditure steady decline in international arms trade, at
range between 3% and 5%, compared to NMP least as measured in terms of dollar value and of
growth of 3%. Only in the United States did identifiable items of trade. Most observers agree
defence expenditures exceed the GNP/GDP aver- that the global arms trade has declined in dollar
age growth, with three-year average increases of terms since 1981, and that arms deliveries from
over 6% (9% in 1985), and 4% respectively. the industrial to the developing countries have
Despite the drastic reduction of petrol- been declining since 1977/8. But such a con-
eum-generated income, the Middle East con- clusion needs to be qualified by four factors.
tinued to show high growth in defence expendi- First, arms trade values, especially those of
tures, not only because of the Gulf War but also transactions involving the Communist bloc, are
because some countries (e.g. Egypt, Saudi very difficult to estimate in dollars. They are
Arabia) are in the process of buying considerable thus subject to a high degree of error.
quantities of new weapon systems, especially for Second, observers are for the most part only
their air forces. Moreover, while some countries able to report identifiable equipment. Small arms,
(e.g. Oman) indicate a nominal decline in illegal and unoffical arms transfers (e.g. Israeli
defence outlays, and have even postponed deliv- supplies to Iran) often cannot be documented.
ery of some of the systems ordered, real defence Third, and most important, counter- and
outlays (especially procurement costs) are no offset-trade practices have distorted the inter-
longer necessarily reflected in the defence national trade accounts and patterns. According
budgets. This stems from the evolution of com- to international economic organizations (GATT,
plex counter-trade agreements, a pattern which OECD, etc.), about 50 countries engage in mili-
has accelerated over the past decade. tary and/or non-military offset agreements to
Asia (excluding China), however, registered an varying degrees. According to the US National
average growth rate of 3.5—4% per annum. With Foreign Trade Council, about 20% of electronic
the exception of Japan, Singapore, Indonesia and and defence sector exports involve counter-trade
Thailand, the other Asian states have started to agreements; in the US aerospace sector almost
cut their military expenditures and are expected half the exports involve one form of counter-
to continue to do so until the end of the decade. trade or another. This practice has made moni-
The remaining regional countries collectively toring the value of the international arms trade
show a pattern of declining defence expenditures very difficult.
237
Fourth, the development of third-world arms wide range of systems, and Brazil has become
industries has cut into the arms trade of the tra- the largest exporter of all the third-world arms
ditional suppliers in the West and the East. producers. Of the fifteen Asian producers, India,
Today there are over fifty third-world arms pro- North and South Korea, Indonesia and Singa-
ducers capable of competing with the industrial- pore have become substantial exporters, while
ized countries. Sub-Saharan Africa has ten pro- Taiwan is also capable of sophisticated arms
ducers (of which only South Africa is capable of production. At present ten third-world countries
producing sophisticated weapon systems). In the manufacture or assemble fighter aircraft, eight
Middle East, eleven producers exist, with Egypt produce helicopters, eight produce missiles, six
and Israel producing a wide range of systems, produce main battle tanks, and six produce
some of which are highly sophisticated. Of the major fighting ships, including destroyers and
fifteen Latin American producers, five export a submarines.
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238
Editorial board
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1986) Editorial board, The Military Balance, 86:1, ebi-ebi, DOI: 10.1080/04597228608459967
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THE MILITARY BALANCE 1986-1987
Published by
The International Institute for Strategic Studies
23 Tavistock Street, London WC2E 7NQ