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Jafar Afshar
Inha University
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Productivity Optimization of Manufacturing System Using Computer Simulation, Design of Experiment and Response Surface Methodology View project
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I. INTRODUCTION
Abstract— Design of Experiment is one of the powerful tools
with great capability in improving experiments performance. Design of experiment have been applied by many
DOE is a powerful Quality Engineering tool that can help manufacturers over the last fifteen years for improving process
managers and engineers to identify main variables which performance, decreasing process variability, enhancing
affecting the performance. Response Surface Methodology is process yield and etc. [1-3]. Investigations has shown that the
also used to determine the input combination of factors which application of design of experiment methods by engineering in
maximize or minimize the objective function. There is a both services and manufacturing industries is limited also
cognitive gap between the knowledge of statistics required by when used they are often conducted incorrectly [4]. It is
engineers due to lack of education and skills. The main goal of
because of that the statistical educations for engineers at
this paper is teaching the combination of DOE (one-half
fractional factorial) and response surface methodology to university are usually inadequate. There is not also enough
optimize the process performance. For simplicity the paper communication between the industrial and academics world so
helicopter is selected as a case study which is quite old and has it restricts the DOE application in many manufacturing and
been widely applied by many statisticians for teaching purpose. service industries. Another important issue is lack of skills and
The experiment was conducted to optimize the paper helicopter expertise needed by engineers to solve the problems. Thus
flight time. To achieve this aim the one-half fractional factorial many industrial engineers having conducted the statistical
and response surface methodology was adopted to investigate analysis would not know what to do with the results without
the effect of factors and the interactions between them by assistance from statistical consultants in this field [5]. So there
considering the minimum number of trials.
is a huge gap between the statistics knowledge needed by
engineers in applying DOE as a problem solving technique not only in engineering and physical, but also in the
[6]. The main objective of this paper is teaching the response biological, social and clinical science. In the most RSM
surface methodology along with design of experiment (one- problems the polynomial functions widely used for
half fractional factorial) to the industrial engineers. approximating. In other words, the form of relationship
One of the most well-known experiments among the between the response and the independent variables is
statisticians and engineers in both industrial parts and the unknown so it is approximated. Initially, a first order
academic is the paper helicopter experiment [7-9]. This paper polynomial is applied and after that a second order polynomial
is going to conduct design of experiment and response surface in the region of the optimum may be used. Next, Popular
methodology for paper helicopter experiment to optimize the optimization technique like Gradient method and steepest
performance. To achieve this goal one paper helicopter is descent method are applied to detect the optimum of the
designed by using A4 size paper. To do this, some simple approximated function [16].
items such as paper clip, scissors and paper is required.
Having made the paper helicopter, the experiment is done to II. RESEARCH METHODOLOTY
gather the data and then conduct the statistical analysis. Fig.1 A. Design of experiment
depicts a sample of the paper helicopter.
DOE includes several steps. First the factors and their
levels subject to the experiment should be chosen. After a
response variable should be determined to assess the result of
experiment. Next, the experiment should be designed and
then analysed by using the software.
90 F actor Name
BD
A A
80 AB B B
C C C
70 ACD D D
Percent
60 E E
50
Term Effect Coef SE T P 40
Coef 30
20
10
Constant 2.14979 0.02897 74.22 0.000 5
1
A 0.03792 0.01896 0.02897 0.65 0.517 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Standardized Effect
A*D 0.07625 0.03813 0.02897 1.32 0.197 Main Effects Plot for Response
Data Means
A*E -0.02458 -0.01229 0.02897 -0.42 0.674 2.24
2.22
B*D 0.31458 0.15729 0.02897 5.43 0.000
2.20
C*D 0.01708 0.00854 0.02897 0.29 0.770
2.18
2.14
A*B*D -0.04542 -0.02271 0.02897 -0.78 0.439
2.12
A*C*D 0.12708 0.06354 0.02897 2.19 0.036 2.10
2.06
-1 1
C
The normal probability of these effects is shown in the
Fig1. The effects which lie along the line are negligible, Figure 3. Main effect plot for factor C
whereas the significant effects are far from the line. The
significant effects that emerge from this analysis are the main
effects of D (body length), C (wing length), and AB, BD and
ACD interactions.
Main Effects Plot for Response Interaction Plot for Response
Data Means Data Means
2.4 2.30 A
-1
1
2.25
2.3
2.20
2.2
Mean
Mean
2.15
2.1
2.10
2.0 2.05
2.00
1.9
-1 1 -1 1
D B
2.2
2. Residual Analysis
Mean
2.1
The residual analysis is done to validate the regression
2.0 model. The residual, which are the difference between the
1.9 observed values and predicted values, should be lie on a
straight line in the normal probability plot. Fig.7 and Fig.8
1.8
respectively show the normal probability of the residuals and
1.7 the residual versus the predicted value. Fig.7 shows that
-1 1
D
residuals lie along a straight line. The residuals are considered
to be normal and therefore the validity of the model is
Figure 5. BD interaction plot investigated. Fig.8 illustrates the plot of residuals versus the
predicted response for the model. According to the Fig.8 there
is no obvious pattern and it is structure less. So it infers that
the suggested model is adequate.
Table IV. RESULT OF CONFIRMATION TEST
Normal Probability Plot
(response is Response) Average
99 of the
Actual
95 Replicate 1 2 3 Response
90 Actual Response 2.52 2.73 2.55 2.6
80
Predicted Response 2.76
70
*(100)=5.8%
Percent
60 Variance (%)
50
40
30
20 B. RSM performing
10
5
Having done fractional factorial experiment for the paper
1
helicopter, significant factors are Wing Length (C) and Body
-0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 Length (D). The following table shows the data of the
Residual
significant factors.
Levels
Versus Fits
(response is Response) Factor High Center Low Range
0.4 (1) (0) (-1)
Wing
0.3
Length 100 90 80 20
0.2 Body
0.1 Length 100 90 80 20
Residual
0.0
At phase 1, the process is going to be improved through
-0.1
the method “Path of Steepest Ascent (POSA)”. To do so, the
-0.2 other insignificant factors are set in such a way that can lead to
-0.3 better helicopter flight time. The insignificant factors are paper
-0.4
type, paper clip, and body width for which the best level that
1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00
lead to best response are 70 grams, 1, and 20 millimeter (mm),
Fitted Value respectively. For each run, the experiment is replicated 4
times. And a center point is also considered for which the
Figure 8. Plot of residual versus fitted value experiment is replicated three times.
3. Confirmation
The optimum solution by the regression model is
calculated. The optimum point is one that in which all of the
factors is at their high level. The regression model should be
confirmed at the achieved optimum point. To confirm the
regression model the experiment should be ran at the optimum
point predicted by the regression model. After that the result
of experiment is compared with the result of regression model.
Table IV shows the result of three experiments at the optimum
point predicted by the regression model. Variation between
the result of experiment and regression model outcome is less
than 10 % that is acceptable.
Table VI. PROCESS DATA FOR FITTING THE FIRST ORDER
MODEL For the other significant factor, the step size is calculated
using the below formula [3]:
Natural Variables Coded Variables
1 80mm 80mm -1 -1 3
3 3.1 2.8 3.1
The new experiment can be presented as follows:
2 100mm 80mm 1 -1 2.7
2.5 2.9 2.6 3
3 80mm 100mm -1 1 3 Table VII.NEW EXPERIMENTS
2.9 3 3.1 3
4 100mm 100mm 1 1 2.9 Coded Response
2.8 2.9 3 3.1 Natural Variable
Variable
5 90mm 90mm 0 0 2.9
2.8 3 3.1 X1 X2 ξ1 ξ2
0 0 90mm 90mm 3.2
Origin
Δ=Step Size 10 -9.6
In this experiment, the coded variables are defined as Origin - 1 Δ 80mm 99.6 3.4
below:
Origin - 2 Δ 70mm 109.2 3.5
Levels
= ( 3 + 3.1 + 2.8 + 3.1 + 2.5 + 2.9 + 2.6 + 3 + 2.9 + 3 Factor (1) (0) (-1)
+ 3.1 + 3 + 2.8 + 2.9 + 3 + 3.1 + 2.8 + 3 + 3.1 ) = 2.9316 Body Length 70 60 50
Wing Length 128.4 118.8 109.2
= (2.5 + 2.9 + 2.6 + 3 + 2.8 + 2.9 + 3 + 3.1 – 3 – The basic experimental designs to estimate second-order
3.1 – 2.8 – 3.1 – 2.9 – 3 – 3.1 – 3) = - 0.075 response surface models are central composite designs. A
two-dimensional central composite design is shown in Fig.9.
= (– 3 – 3.1 – 2.8 – 3.1 – 2.5 – 2.9 – 2.6 – 3 + 2.9
+ 3 + 3.1 + 2.8 + 2.9 + 3 + 3.1) = 0.07812
Having calculated the above parameters, the regression
model is as below:
-1 0 1 1
IV. CONCLUION
REFERENCES