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Dividend Policy - Jan 2012
Dividend Policy - Jan 2012
i. Stable Monetary amount per share: Also known as stable dividend policy. A
constant dividend amount is paid per share.
iii. Regular and Extra Dividend Policy: The company following this policy would set a
regular dividend at a level that can be maintained by the company. In addition in
periods of prosperity the company may declare an extra dividend. This policy gives
company flexibility but it leaves investors somewhat uncertain about what their
dividend income will be.
In establishing a dividend policy, number of factors may be taken into consideration. The
factors may include:
i. Funding Needs of the Firm: A firm having different projects to undertake may
refrain from paying more dividends to finance the proposed projects from retained
earnings. So the greater the funding needs of the firm, the lesser dividends the
firm is likely to pay.
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7. RETAINED EARNINGS AND DIVIDEND DECISION
ii. Liquidity Considerations: Dividend presents a cash outflow, the greater the cash
position and overall liquidity of the company, the greater is its ability to pay
dividends.
iii. Ability to Borrow: If the firm has ability to borrow from money or capital
market, then it may be relatively financially flexible, thus, the greater the ability
of the firm to borrow the greater its financial flexibility and greater its ability to
pay cash dividend.
iv. Rate of Firm Expansion: The more rapid the rate at which the firm is growing,
the greater will be its needs for financing assets expansion. The greater the future
needs for funds the more likely the firm to retain earnings rather than pay them
out.
This is the maintenance of the position of the firm dividend payment in relation to a trend
line, preferably one that is upward sloping.
1. Lead to higher stock price. Fluctuating dividends are riskier than stable dividend; this
means a firm with stable dividend will have a lower cost of equity than one whose
dividends fluctuate.
A stock dividend involve a bookkeeping transfer from retained earnings to the capital stock
account:
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7. RETAINED EARNINGS AND DIVIDEND DECISION
Stock Split represents an increase in the number of shares by reducing the par value of the
stock. e.g in a 2 for 1 stock split,
Under passive dividend policy, the payment of cash dividend is a passive variable i.e the
dividend policy is treated as strictly a financing decision. Dividends are only to be paid out if
the company can not make better use of the fund for the benefit of the shareholders thus the
active decision variable is retained earnings, i.e we decide how much to retain and the
residue is paid out as dividend.
With active dividend policy, dividend become an active decision variable, while earning
retention is a passive variable i.e we decide how much to pay as dividend and the residue is
retained.
The objective of the Dividend Policy should be to maximize the shareholders returns or
wealth. The return to shareholders consist of two components:
i. Dividend, and
ii. Capital gains
Dividend Policy has a direct influence on these two components. On the relationship between
dividend and the value of the firm, different theories have been advised. These theories can
be grouped into two classes:-
a) Walter’s Model
Maintain that the choice of dividend policy almost always affect the value of the firm i.e. the
dividend policy is very relevant to the determination of the value of the firm and the wealth
of shareholders.
Assumptions:
The firm finances all investments through retained earnings i.e. debt or new equity
not issued
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7. RETAINED EARNINGS AND DIVIDEND DECISION
The Walter’s formula to determine the market price per share is given as
According to Walter the market price per share is the sum of the PV of two sources of
income
b) Gordon’s Model
Is very popular maintain that dividend play a significant role in the determination of the
value of the firm and the wealth of the shareholder, so dividend policy affect the value of the
firm, the value of the share and the wealth of the shareholders
Assumptions:
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7. RETAINED EARNINGS AND DIVIDEND DECISION
Po = D1 + D2 + ………… + D∞
(1 + ke)1 (1 + Ke)2 1 + Ke)∞
Po = Do (1 + g) Po = D1
Ke – g Ke – g Ke > g
rb model (g=rb):
If retention ratio = b,
Then, dividend payout ratio = 1 – b
Thus, Do = EPSo (1 – b)
D1 = EPS1 (1 – b)
D1= EPSo(1 – b)(1 + g)
g = rb
where: r = return on investment
= internal rate of return
= Return on equity
= Return on capital employed
Ke – g = Ke - rb
r = Net Income
Total Assets
EPS = Total Assets x r
No of shares in issue
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7. RETAINED EARNINGS AND DIVIDEND DECISION
According to M&M dividend policy of a firm is irrelevant because it does not affect the
wealth of the shareholders. M&M ague that the value of the firm depend on the firm earning
which result from its investment policy thus the split of earnings between dividend and
retained earnings is of no significance in determining the value of the firm.
M&M started their Model by defining the rate of return for a share held for one year.
According to the hypothesis that rate of return (r) is defined as
r = D1 + (P1 – Po)
Po D1 = Dividend per share at period 1
Po = Market price per share at period 0
P1 = Market price per share at period 1
According to M&M the required rate of return (r) will be equal to the cost of equity ke
r = Ke
The M&M valuation model is derived by expressing the Po in terms of the other valuables,
thus
Po = D1 + P1 = D1 + P1
1+r 1 + Ke
The total value of the firm if no new financing exist is obtained by simply multiplying Po by
number of shares outstanding (n), thus
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7. RETAINED EARNINGS AND DIVIDEND DECISION
If the firm sales m number of new shares at time 1 at a price of P1 the value of the firm at
time 0 is calculated as follows:
Investment program of the firm in a given period of time can be financed either by retained
earnings or by the issuance of shares or both, the number of shares issued to finance an
investment program can be deduced from the following relation:
Example:
The market value of a company is Tsh. 100 per share. Normally the company pays a dividend
of Tsh. 5 per share. The return required by ordinary shareholders is 10%.
a) Calculate the price of the share at the end of the year if dividend is not declared;