TUNAS MUDA SCHOOL

3-PERIOD MOVING AVERAGE

PRACTICE WORKSHEET
(a)

(i) Sales trend

(ii) Yearly variation

Year Membership Sales trend Yearly Variation

Subscriptions (units)
2011 70,000
2012 72,000 73,667 ---1,667
2013 79,000 77,000 2000
2014 80,000 84,667 ---4,667
2015 95,000 94,000 1,000
2016 107,000 106,333 667
2017 117,000

Working:

Sales trend

2012: 70,000 + 72,000 + 79,000/ 3 = 73,667

2013: 72,000 + 79,000 + 80,000/ 3 = 77,000

2014: 79,000 + 80,000 + 95,000/ 3 = 84,667

2015: 80,000 + 95,000 + 107,000 = 94,000

2016: 95,000 + 107,000 + 117,000 = 106,333

Yearly Variation

2012: 72,000 – 73,667 = -1,667

2013: 79,000 – 77,000 = 2,000

2014: 80,000 – 84,667 = -4,667

2015: 95,000 – 94,000 = 1,000

2016: 107,000 – 106,333 = 667

 Streaming 4Ever Sales Forecast
160.000

140.000

120.000

100.000

80.000

60.000

40.000

20.000

0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Sales Sales trend Linear (Sales trend)

(iii) Cyclical variation

-1,667 + 2000 – 4,667 + 1,000 + 667 = -2,667

-2,667/5

= -533