Professional Documents
Culture Documents
DOI 10.1007/s11269-010-9686-9
W. Wang (B) · S. Hu
State Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, Sichuan University,
Chengdu 610065, China
e-mail: wangws70@sina.com
W. Wang · Y. Li
Chengdu Institute of Plateau Meteorology, CMA, Chengdu 610072, China
S. Hu
Department of Geography, East Stroudsburg University of PA, 200 Prospect Street,
East Stroudsburg, PA 18301-2999, USA
42 W. Wang et al.
1 Introduction
stations. On the basis of kernel density estimation, Tarboton et al. (1998) developed
a nonparametric disaggregation (NPD) model for stochastic hydrology. Wang et al.
(1999) examined the effectiveness of NPD model in simulating monthly discharge
time series. The advantage of nonparametric models is that the models could avoid
prior assumptions as to the form of probability distribution (Normal or Pearson III)
and the form of dependence (linear or non-linear).
Wavelet analysis is a recently developed method for signal processing, image
compress and encoding, tongue encoding, and mode identification. The important
feature of wavelet analysis exists in its multi-resolution characteristics for processing
both stationary and non-stationary time series. The wavelet analysis has been widely
utilized in hydrology (Kumar and Foufoula-Georgiou 1993; Smith et al. 1998; Li
et al. 1999; Labat et al. 2000; Bayazit and Aksoy 2001; Wang and Ding 2003; Unal
et al. 2004; Anctil and Coulibaly 2004; Wang et al. 2005, 2009). Smith et al. (1998)
applied wavelet analysis to study stream flow features. Labat et al. (2000) separated
sub-processes of pumping and naturally intermittent runoff processes. Using wavelet
analysis several researchers have made efforts to explain inter-annual and inter-
decadal variability and detect quasi-periodicities of precipitation and runoff time
series (Wang et al. 2005; Kang and Henry 2007). Wavelet analysis has also been
applied to hydrological forecasting and prediction. Coulibaly et al (2000) employed
recurrent neural networks and wavelet analysis to establish the climate index of
low-frequency, and predict the annual runoff. Li et al. (1999) proposed a hybrid
model with wavelet and ANN for predicting annual runoff. Wang and Ding (2003)
presented a wavelet neural network hybrid model for predicting groundwater level
and daily discharge. Chou and Wang (2004) proposed a multi-model method using a
wavelet-based Kalman filter. Wang et al. (2009) developed a wavelet network model
to predict the inflow of Three Gorges dam in Yangtze River, China.
Several studies have been performed in applying wavelet analysis to generate
streamflow sequences. The method based on Haar wavelet, normal distribution
data and randomly combination (called BA method thereafter) was first presented
by Bayazit and Aksoy (2001). They simulated annual and monthly streamflow
series generation by using BA method. The method was later applied to generate
streamflow data (Bayazit et al. 2001) and compared to the AR2 (2-order auto-
regressive model) processes to see the performance of BA method in water resources
design and operation. Aksoy (2001) extended its use to river reservoir storage
simulation. In another study performed by Unal et al. (2004), BA method was
proposed as a tool to alternate the classical data generation schemes for simulation of
annual and monthly rainfall data. This conclusion was achieved after an application
of the method was made on a 64-year rainfall data and a comparison was performed
to five more models including the modified method of fragments of Srikanthan and
McMahon (1980). BA method was obviously the best in preserving the mean value
of the sequence and the correlation structure between months of the series (Aksoy
and Unal 2007). Heng et al (2002) presented a hybrid model that combines wavelet
transform and autoregressive model for generating annual runoff series. There is no
more reported study yet using wavelet analysis to generate the hydrological time
series.
There are only a few wavelet methods available for simulating streamflow, and
most of them have their disadvantages. For example, BA method is a successful one
in simulating streamflows, but has certain limitations: (1) BA method is sensitive to
44 W. Wang et al.
the data length. The wavelet method requires the data length to be a power of 2. This
means that the data length must be 16, 32, 64, 128, etc., and therefore, up to half of
the data may not be used by BA method; (2) The wavelet function of BA algorithm is
only Haar wavelet, which is not suitable for other wavelet functions; (3) It is difficult
for BA method to generate sequences longer than the historical record (Srikanthan
et al. 2007); and (4) BA method is only suitable for a normal distribution hydrological
series. Therefore, it is very necessary to develop new methods to avoid the above-
mentioned limitations based on wavelet analysis for simulating streamflows.
The objective of this study is to propose a wavelet transform method for gener-
ating daily streamflow sequences. The proposed method does not need to estimate
parameters, and it is able to avoid prior assumptions as to the form of probability
function and the form of dependence structure. The organization of the study is
as follows. Section 2 gives a brief description of wavelet transform and wavelet de-
composition and reconstruction algorithm. Section 3 discusses the wavelet transform
method for daily streamflow. A case study of Jinsha River watershed in China is
used to illustrate the procedures in Section 4. Finally, the conclusions are drawn in
Section 5.
2 Wavelet Analysis
where a is scale factor (frequency); b is time shift; R is the domain of real number; t is
time; f (t) is successive processes; ψ̄(t) is the complex conjugate of wavelet function
ψ(t). Wavelet function ψ(t) is called mother wavelet that has shock properties and
can reduce to zero rapidly.
In real application, the input data f (t) is generally discretely sampled, such
as annual runoff time series, monthly precipitation time series and water quality
time series (nitrate, chloride, and sodium concentrations). The successive wavelet
j j
transform is often discrete. Let a = a0 , b = kb 0 a0 , a0 > 1, b 0 ∈ R, k, j are integer
number, then, discrete wavelet transform of f (t) could be written as
− j/2 −j
W f ( j, k) = a0 f (t)ψ̄ a0 t − kb 0 dt (2)
R
Wavelet transform is the decomposition of f (t) under different resolution scales (also
called level) a. This means that wavelet analysis is a multi-resolution analysis (MRA)
method. Using MRA the observed time series could be decomposed into various
time series at respective resolution levels.
The decomposition of time series can be performed efficiently using Mallat algorithm
(Mallat 1989) and Trous algorithm (Shensa 1992; Aussum et al. 1997). Chou (2007)
discussed the merits of the Trous algorithm. In this paper, the Trous algorithm was
adopted to decompose and reconstruct the observed hydrological time series.
The Trous algorithm is a redundant wavelet transform and is stable. Let us have a
hydrological time series C0 (t). The Trous decomposition algorithm works as follows:
k
Ci (t) = h(l)Ci−1 (t + 2i l) i = 1, 2, · · ·, P (4)
l=−k
P
C0 (t) = C P (t) + Wi (t) (6)
i=1
Most methods and models generate daily streamflow time series with the original
data alone. In general, each daily streamflow time series includes several frequency
components. Using the component at only one resolution level to simulate daily
streamflow sequences makes the internal mechanism difficult to understand. There-
fore, a new wavelet transform method for generating daily streamflow sequences is
46 W. Wang et al.
The low-pass filter h(l), which is a B3 spline, defined as h(l) = (h−2 , h−1 , h0 , h1 , h2 ) =
(1/16, 1/4, 3/8, 1/4, 1/16), is used in this study as an example. B3 spline is of
compact support and point-symmetric. First, the maximum resolution level P must
be determined. In general there are int[lgn] resolution level number, where n is the
length of daily streamflow sequences and lg denotes the logarithm to base 10. The
P may be selected from the range of 2 and int[lgn], that is, 2 ≤ P ≤ int[lgn]. The
historical daily streamflow sequences are standardized as
xi, j − x j
zi, j = (7)
σ̂ j
where xi, j is the historical daily streamflow data for j day of i year; zi, j is the
standardized daily streamflow data for j day of i year; x j and σ̂ j are mean and
standard deviation of calendar day j, respectively; zi, j is written as the long time
series C0 (t) for the convenience.
The standardized daily streamflow sequences C0 (t) can be decomposed with the
Trous decomposition algorithm. The wavelet coefficients and scale coefficients of the
standardized daily steamflow sequences at Pingshan gauging station of Jinsha River
in upper stream of Yangtze River, China are shown in Fig. 1 (only listed 5 years
of 1940–1944 as an example, and here 2 is selected for P). In Fig. 1, W1 (t) and
W2 (t) denote wavelet coefficients at the resolution level 1 (Fig. 1a) and 2 (Fig. 1b),
respectively. C2 (t) denotes scale coefficients at the resolution level 2 (Fig. 1c).
In order to verify the accuracy of the Trous algorithm, the reconstruction of daily
streamflow sequences is needed. The reconstruction of daily streamflow sequences
may be acquired using Eq. 6 with wavelet transform W1 (t), W2 (t),..., W P (t) and C P (t),
which have no change in time order. The reconstructed data of daily streamflow
sequences at Pingshan station z are plotted in Fig. 2b based on W1 (t), W2 (t) and
C2 (t). It can be seen from Fig. 2 that there is no difference between observed data
of standardized daily streamflow sequences z (Fig. 2a) and reconstructed ones z
(Fig. 2b). Thus, it can be concluded that the Trous algorithm does not loss any
information.
Wavelet Transform Method for Synthetic Generation of Daily Streamflow 47
(a)
0.6
0.4
0.2
W1(t)
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1 147 293 439 585 731 877 1023 1169 1315 1461 1607 1753
t (day)
(b)
0.8
0.6
0.4
W2(t)
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1 147 293 439 585 731 877 1023 1169 1315 1461 1607 1753
t (day)
(c)
3
2
1
C2(t)
0
-1
-2
1 147 293 439 585 731 877 1023 1169 1315 1461 1607 1753
t (day)
Based on the wavelet transform W1 (t), W2 (t),..., W P (t), C P (t), a large number of
synthetic daily streamflow time series have been generated. These synthetic daily
streamflow time series are similar to the historical data in the aspect of the statistical
properties and stochastic variation rules. The major procedures in this study could
be explained as follows.
1. The historical daily streamflow time series are decomposed into the wavelet
coefficients W1 (t), W2 (t),...,W P (t) at the resolution level P and the scale
coefficients (the residual) C P (t);
2. According to the yearly period T of the observed data, wavelet transform W1 (t),
W2 (t),...,W P (t), C P (t) is divided into m sub-series (short series), respectively,
where m = n/T, T = 365, and m is the number of years, n is the number of days;
3. Randomly select single sub-series of wavelet coefficients and scale coefficients
at each resolution level (see Fig. 3), and assure that not all the sub-series are
48 W. Wang et al.
(a)
7
5
3
z
1
-1
-3
01-01-40 12-30-44 12-29-49 12-28-54 12-27-59 12-25-64 12-24-69 12-23-74 12-22-79 12-20-84 12-19-89
date
(b)
7
5
3
z’
1
-1
-3
01-01-40 12-30-44 12-29-49 12-28-54 12-27-59 12-25-64 12-24-69 12-23-74 12-22-79 12-20-84 12-19-89
date
Fig. 2 Comparison between observed and reconstructed data of standardized daily streamflow
sequences at Pingshan station. a Observed sequences z; b reconstructed sequences z
Fig. 3 Sketch of wavelet transform method for generating daily streamflow sequences (if i, j, k are
equal, then the reconstructed series is same as original series. If i, j, k are not equal simultaneously,
then the reconstructed series is a newly simulating series)
Wavelet Transform Method for Synthetic Generation of Daily Streamflow 49
k (i, j, k = 1, 2, ..., m) can not be equal at the same time. Lastly, reconstruct a large
number of synthetic daily streamflow time series of period T with Eq. 6.
This is a new wavelet transform method for synthetic generation of daily
streamflow based on unconditional stochastic combination.
The suggested method must satisfy that W1 (t), W2 (t),..., W P (t) and C P (t) are
independent of each other for different lag time. This is a basic premise for synthetic
generation with wavelet transform method. In general, this premise is valid. For the
Pingshan station, the lag k cross-correlation coefficients of wavelet coefficients W1 (t),
W2 (t) and scale coefficients C2 (t) are calculated each other and plotted in Fig. 4.
Under the confidence level 1-α = 95%, it indicates that W1 (t), W2 (t) and C2 (t) are
independent of each other. The conclusion mentioned is correct for any resolution
level P.
The essences of the proposed method are: (1) the observed daily streamflow
sequences are decomposed into wavelet transform time series W1 (t), W2 (t),..., W P (t)
and C P (t), which have different properties of time and frequency; (2) these wavelet
transform time series W1 (t), W2 (t),..., W P (t) and C P (t) are independent of each other,
therefore, through unconditional stochastic combination of the wavelet coefficients
sub-series and the scale coefficients sub-series, the synthetic daily streamflow se-
quences are able to reflect various characteristics of historical data. This uncon-
ditional stochastic combination could generate many kinds of daily streamflow
sequences which are different from historical sequences.
The proposed wavelet transform method avoids prior assumptions as to the form
of probability distribution (Normal or Pearson III) and the form of dependence
(linear or non-linear), so it is a non-parametric approach. It also can extrapolate the
observed data to a much large range. The proposed new method is relatively simple
for generating daily streamflow.
The similarities between the proposed method in this paper and BA method are:
(1) the procedures of these two method are same, which is that the observed time
series is decomposed into components at various frequencies and then randomly
0.25
ra
cross-correlation coefficient
0.2
rb
0.15
rc
0.1
0.05
0
-0.05
-0.1 lag k
-0.15
-0.2
-0.25
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
Fig. 4 Cross-correlation coefficient of W1 (t), W2 (t) and C2 (t) ra is the lag k cross-correlation
coefficients of W1 (t) and W2 (t), rb is the lag k cross-correlation coefficients of W1 (t) and C2 (t), rc
is the lag k cross-correlation coefficients of W2 (t) and C2 (t)
50 W. Wang et al.
reconstructed a new synthetic series; (2) both methods are based on wavelet analysis;
and (3) both methods are relatively simple for simulating a hydrological time series.
The dissimilarities between the proposed method in this paper and BA method
are as follows: (1) BA algorithm is sensitive to the data length. The wavelet method
requires the data length to be a power of 2. This means that the data length must
be 16, 32, 64, 128, etc., and therefore, up to half of the observed data may not
be used by BA method. The proposed algorithm in this study is not sensitive to
the data length, which means that all the measured data could be included in the
analysis. (2) The formulas and ideas about on how to decompose and reconstruct
the time series in these two algorithms are different. (3) The wavelet function of BA
algorithm is only Haar wavelet, which is not suitable for other wavelet functions. The
wavelet function of our proposed algorithm is a kind of discrete low-pass filter, which
provides more choices. (4) It is difficult for BA method to generate sequences longer
than the historical record. It is easy for our algorithm to generate longer synthetic
sequences than the historical record in extrapolation. (5) BA method is only suitable
for a normal distribution hydrological series, while our method is suitable for any
hydrological sequences.
4 Case Study
The case study is to demonstrate that the wavelet transform method is applicable
to synthetic generation of daily streamflow by selecting the Jinsha River in China
as case study area. The Jinsha River is located between 90◦ ∼105◦ E longitude and
24◦ ∼ 36◦ N latitude, and it is the upstream of Yangtze River in southwestern China
with a drainage area of 500,000 km2 . The length of mainstream is 3,481 km. There is a
discharge gauging station, Pingshan, at the outlet of the Jinsha Watershed. The mean
annual runoff is 1,440 billions m3 . The daily average discharges data-sets from 1940
to 1992 at Pingshan are collected. These datasets are considered consistent because
there is no significant change in local climate and human activities in general. This
can be seen from Fig. 5, which shows the daily streamflow time series xi, j during
1940–1992 at Pingshan station.
30000
20000
x(m3/s)
10000
0
01-01-4 12-30-44 12-29-49 12-28-54 12-27-59 12-25-64 12-24-69 12-23-74 12-22-79 12-20-84 12-19-89
date
Fig. 5 The observed daily streamflow time series during 1940–1992 at Pingshan station in Jinsha
River, China
Wavelet Transform Method for Synthetic Generation of Daily Streamflow 51
In this study there is 53-years record of daily streamflow. Then, the length of the
daily streamflow sequences xt is 19,345 days (i.e., n = 48 × 365). Here, P = 2 and
C0 (t) = x(t). In fact, 2, 3 and 4 would be selected for P. A higher value for P can
generate more daily streamflow hydrogragh with more variation in modes. Based on
the proposed wavelet transform method many synthetic daily streamflow sequences
have been generated.
The mean value, standard deviation (S), coefficient of variation (Cv), coefficient
of skew (Cs), lag-1 autocorrelation coefficient r1 , lag-2 autocorrelation coefficient
r2 , maximum and minimum of daily streamflow for each day are major statistical
parameters concerned by most hydrologists. Table 1 shows the ratios of the days
of each observed statistical parameter, which falls inside its corresponding interval
to all days (that is 365) in a year. Table 1 shows that the generated sequences
could preserves the main characteristics of statistical parameters mentioned above.
The interval for each statistical parameter is two standard deviations away from
the mean of each generated parameter. The mean and standard deviation of each
generated parameter could be calculated based on the 100 generated samples. For
example, considering that Lag-1 autocorrelation coefficient r1 ( j), j = 1, 2, ..., 100 for
the generated sample j, the mean and standard deviation are respectively
1
100
r̄1 = r1 ( j) (8)
100 j=1
and
⎛ ⎞1/2
1
100
S=⎝ r1 ( j) − r1 ⎠
2
(9)
99 j=1
The maximum 1-, 3-, 7-, 15-, and 30-day flood volume (W1 , W3 , W7 , W15 , W30 ) are
concerned statistics, too. The statistical parameters (such as mean value, Cv and Cs
of various flood volumes) are obtained from the generated sequences and observed
ones (see Table 2). From Table 2, it can be seen that the observed parameters of all
kinds of flood volume fall inside their corresponding intervals, hence, the observed
characteristics of flow sequences can be preserved well in the newly generated
sequences.. The interval for each statistical parameter is one standard deviation (S in
Table 2) away from the mean of each generated parameter. The mean and standard
deviation of each generated parameter can be calculated by Eqs. 8 and 9.
Fig. 6 Comparison of observed and simulated daily streamflow sequences (Vertical coordinate is
flow in m3 /s; horizon coordinate is time in day)
5 Conclusion
series. The advantages of proposed wavelet transform method in this study are
summarized as follows.
The number of generated sequences of the proposed method depends on the size of
the historical data and the reasonable choice of the resolution level P, so adequate
observed data must be available for this method.
Validation and verification of synthetic generation of daily streamflow sequences
at Pingshan station have shown that the proposed method is functional and feasible.
The proposed method could be widely applied to other hydrological time series in
the future. Future studies will be opened up about the choice of the filters suitable
for hydrological time series and the resolution level P.
Acknowledgements The work was partly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation
of China (No: 50739002), Ministry of Technology & Science of China (grant No:2009IM020100),
Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University of China and Open Research Fund
Program of State key Laboratory of Hydraulics and River Engineering, Sichuan University, China
(No. 0703). The authors also wish to thank the anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments.
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