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Articles

Roles of cyberbullying, sleep, and physical activity in


mediating the effects of social media use on mental health
and wellbeing among young people in England: a secondary
analysis of longitudinal data
Russell M Viner, Aswathikutty Aswathikutty-Gireesh, Neza Stiglic, Lee D Hudson, Anne-Lise Goddings, Joseph L Ward, Dasha E Nicholls

Summary
Background There is growing concern about the potential associations between social media use and mental health Lancet Child Adolesc Health 2019
and wellbeing in young people. We explored associations between the frequency of social media use and later mental Published Online
health and wellbeing in adolescents, and how these effects might be mediated. August 13, 2019
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
S2352-4642(19)30186-5
Methods We did secondary analyses of publicly available data from the Our Futures study, a nationally representative,
See Online/Comment
longitudinal study of 12 866 young people from age 13 years to 16 years in England. The exposure considered was the http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
frequency of social media use (from weekly or less to very frequent [multiple times daily]) at wave 1 (participants aged S2352-4642(19)30233-0
13–14 years) through wave 3 of the study (participants aged 15–16 years). Outcomes were mental health at wave 2 Population, Policy, & Practice
(with high 12-item General Health Questionnaire [GHQ12] scores [≥3] indicating psychological distress), and Programme, University College
London Great Ormond
wellbeing at wave 3 (life satisfaction, feeling life is worthwhile, happiness, and anxiety, rated from 1 to 10 by
St Institute of Child Health,
participants). Analyses were adjusted for a minimal sufficient confounding structure, and were done separately for London, UK (Prof R M Viner PhD,
boys and girls. Cyberbullying, sleep adequacy, and physical activity were assessed as potential mediators of the effects. A Aswathikutty-Gireesh BSc,
N Stiglic MSc, L D Hudson PhD,
A-L Goddings PhD,
Findings Very frequent use of social media increased from wave 1 to wave 3: from 34·4% (95% CI 32·4–36·4) to
J L Ward MBBS); and Centre for
61·9% (60·3–63·6) in boys, and 51·4% (49·5–53·3) to 75·4% (73·8–76·9) in girls. Very frequent social media use in Psychiatry, Imperial College
wave 1 predicted a high GHQ12 score at wave 2 among girls (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1·31 [95% CI 1·06–1·63], School of Medicine,
p=0·014; N=4429) and boys (1·67 [1·24–2·26], p=0·0009; N=4379). Persistent very frequent social media use across Hammersmith Hospital,
London, UK (D E Nicholls MD)
waves 1 and 2 predicted lower wellbeing among girls only (adjusted ORs 0·86 [0·74–0·99], N=3753, p=0·039 for life
satisfaction; 0·80 [0·70–0·92], N=3831, p=0·0013 for happiness; 1·28 [1·11–1·48], N=3745, p=0·0007 for anxiety). Correspondence to:
Prof Russell M Viner, Population,
Adjustment for cyberbullying, sleep, and physical activity attenuated the associations of social media use with GHQ12 Policy, & Practice Programme,
high score (proportion mediated 58·2%), life satisfaction (80·1%), happiness (47·7%), and anxiety (32·4%) in girls, University College London Great
such that these associations (except for anxiety) were no longer significant; however, the association with GHQ12 Ormond St Institute of Child
Health, London WC1N 1EH, UK
high score among boys remained significant, being mediated only 12·1% by these factors.
r.viner@ucl.ac.uk

Interpretation Mental health harms related to very frequent social media use in girls might be due to a combination
of exposure to cyberbullying or displacement of sleep or physical activity, whereas other mechanisms appear to be
operative in boys. Interventions to promote mental health should include efforts to prevent or increase resilience to
cyberbullying and ensure adequate sleep and physical activity in young people.

Funding None.

Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

Introduction and negative) can result in changes in brain activation, as


Young people are growing up in a media-saturated world.1 documented in imaging studies.1 Although it remains
In the UK, more than 90% of teenagers use the internet for unclear whether these influences are positive, negative, or
social networking.2 Concern about the influence of social neutral for adolescent brain development,1 young people
media use on mental health and wellbeing among young (aged 10–19 years) appear to be more sensitive to social
people is growing;2 however, the evidence on this topic media experiences than are other age groups.1
remains contradictory,3 especially with regard to social Social media use has been shown to positively influence
media use rather than other forms of digital screen use.4 health through increasing interactions, reducing social
Social media is a technology that enables online inter­ isolation, and providing information, especially if this use
actions between young people and can be used in solitary takes the form of active engagement rather than passive
and sedentary environments.5 Emerging evidence suggests monitoring of content.6 However, the literature to date
that online social media use that involves rejection and has mainly focused on health harms. A major limitation
acceptance experiences and peer feedback (both prosocial of current knowledge is the paucity of longitudinal

www.thelancet.com/child-adolescent Published online August 13, 2019 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(19)30186-5 1


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Research in context
Evidence before this study Added value of this study
The literature describing associations of digital screen and social We found that strong, longitudinal associations between very
media use with poorer mental health and wellbeing is scarce, frequent social media use and mental health and wellbeing in
largely cross-sectional, and contradictory. We drew upon two girls were largely mediated by cyberbullying and the
recent systematic reviews to identify relevant literature. The first displacement of sleep and physical activity. The same factors
was a systematic review of reviews in which Medline, Embase, mediated this relationship in boys, but to a much smaller
PsycInfo, and Cinahl were searched in February, 2018, using the degree. Our paper is the first longitudinal mediation analysis
terms “(child OR teenager OR adolescent OR youth) AND (screen of data from a nationally representative cohort, and suggests
time OR television OR computer OR sedentary behaviour OR that much of the harm attributed to social media is unlikely
sedentary activity) AND health”, with publication type limited to to be directly related to social media use, but instead related
systematic review, with or without meta-analysis (Stiglic and to the content consumed (eg, cyberbullying) or the
Viner, 2019). We updated this search for this study on displacement of healthy amounts of sleep and physical
May 3, 2019. We also drew upon a systematic map of reviews activity.
(done in August 2018) from 12 databases, searched with multiple
Implications of all the available evidence
search terms and including publications from 2007 (Dickson et al,
Our data suggest that very frequent social media use in young
2019). These reviews identified some evidence for an association
people is unlikely to have directly harmful effects, but that
between screen use and depression in young people, and showed
harms are related to watching harmful content or by
a paucity of longitudinal studies of the effects of social media on
displacement of healthy activities that promote wellbeing
later mental health and wellbeing among children and young
(eg, sleep and physical activity). Interventions to reduce social
people, as well as suggesting that pre-existing mental health
media use to improve mental health might be misplaced;
problems lead to greater social media use. We identified no
interventions to prevent or increase resilience to cyberbullying
longitudinal mediation studies that examined whether the
and ensure adequate sleep and physical activity in young people
effects of social media were transmitted through cyberbullying or
should be considered.
displacement of sleep and physical activity.

studies.3,7 Findings from the few longitudinal studies are In the first wave of LSYPE2, which commenced in 2013,
contradictory,8,9 and some suggest that pre-existing mental 12 866 young people in secondary school year 9 (age
health problems lead to greater social media use.3,9 13–14 years) in 886 schools across England were
A further limitation is that few studies have examined interviewed. Wave 2 (10 963 interviewed) was conducted in
the potential mechanisms by which social media might 2014 (school year 10; age 14–15 years), and wave 3
harm health. Potential mechanisms include direct effects (9797 interviewed) in 2015 (school year 11; age 15–16 years).
See Online for appendix (eg, on brain development);1 effects of exposure to certain Further details are provided in the appendix (p 1). From
types of content, such as exposure to cyberbullying10 and the publicly available dataset provided by the UK Data
harmful content (eg, promotion of unhealthy body Service,14 we obtained cohort data on social media use,
images);11 or indirect effects through the displacement of mental health and wellbeing, and potential mediators of
activities that are important for wellbeing, such as sleep,12 the effect of social media use (selected on the basis of the
physical activity,13 and real-world social interaction.6,12,13 literature10,12,13,15 and availability of data for the cohort).
In this study, we used longitudinal data from a These mediators comprised cyberbullying, sleep adequacy,
contemporary population-based national survey of and physical activity.
English young people and a causal epidemiological No additional ethics permissions were sought for these
framework to examine whether the frequency of social secondary analyses.
media use in early adolescence can influence later mental
health and wellbeing. We hypothesised that more Social media use
frequent social media use would be associated with Young people reported the frequency with which they
poorer mental health or wellbeing. We also examined habitually accessed or checked social media networks in
whether associations between social media use and later each wave of the Our Futures study. Social media was
poor mental health or wellbeing were mediated by defined as any of the major social media networks
cyberbullying, sleep adequacy, and physical activity. (eg, Facebook, Twitter, or Instagram), instant messaging
or photo-sharing services (eg, WhatsApp, Blackberry
Methods Messenger, Snapchat, or Tumblr), or other social media
Data sources networks, with example sites quoted and updated at each
We used data from the first three waves of the Our Futures wave. Frequency of use was reported as never, weekly,
study, the second cohort of the nationally representative every few days, daily, two to three times per day, or
Longitudinal Study of Young People in England (LSYPE2). multiple (ie, more than three) times daily. Hereafter, we

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refer to multiple times daily as very frequent social media provided in the dataset, categorised as less than 8 h,
use. In our analyses, never and weekly use were 8 h to 9 h 29 min, and 9 h 30 min or more. For our
combined due to small numbers. We created variables analysis, we defined the less than 8 h category as
for persistence of use across waves. To assess persistent inadequate sleep.
use across waves 1 and 2, young people were categorised
as using social media daily or less frequently, Physical activity
two to three times per day, or very frequently at both Physical activity was assessed at wave 2 with a question
waves, with those who reported differences in use asking young people how often they participated in
between waves assigned to the less frequent of the sports or physical activities such as football, aerobics,
two reported categories. For persistent use across all dance classes, or swimming. We grouped responses as
three waves, we created a binary variable, where most days, weekly, and less than weekly (which included
1 equalled very frequent use at all waves, and 0 equalled the “once a week”, “hardly ever”, and “never” categories
any other frequency of use. from the original survey).

Mental health and wellbeing Confounding structure


Self-reported data on mental health and wellbeing were We used the literature on causal inference19,20 to identify a
only available in waves 2 and 3. minimal sufficient confounder set for use in longitudinal
In wave 2, young people completed the 12-item General analyses. First, we used the literature on associations
Health Questionnaire (GHQ12), a widely used standard between social media use and mental health and
composite measure of psychological distress used in wellbeing in adolescence10,12,13,15 to construct a directed
adolescents16 and adults. Scale scores were added and acyclic graph (DAG) including all variables likely to
dichotomised at a threshold of 3, high scores (3 or higher) confound or mediate the relationship between social
indicative of psychological distress and probably psychiatric media use and later mental health or wellbeing. We then
caseness.17 To reduce misclassification bias, those who removed all variables that were descendants of the
responded “don’t know” to one or more questions were exposure. We used Dagitty software to build the DAG For more on Dagitty see
assigned to a “don’t know” category. and identify which variables to condition upon to close http://dagitty.net/

In wave 3, young people completed four questions on all biasing paths. The variables remaining formed the
personal wellbeing, drawn from Office for National minimal sufficient set: small-area measures of overall
Statistics (ONS) wellbeing surveys:18 i) “overall, how deprivation (index of multiple deprivation [IMD]21
satisfied are you with your life nowadays?”; ii) “overall, quintiles derived from the young person’s postcode);
to what extent do you feel the things you do in your life ethnicity (self-reported main ethnic group); parental
are worthwhile?”; iii) “overall, how happy did you feel education (age at which the main interviewed parent left
yesterday?”; and iv) “overall, how anxious did you full-time education); sex; school type (whether attending
feel yesterday?”. a state-maintained or independent [eg private] school);
Young people were asked to answer each question with and peer relationships, as two proxy variables (the young
a score from 0 (minimal) to 10 (high). For the first person’s report of whether they had had friends visit
three questions, 10 represented a high degree of wellbeing. their house in the past week [yes or no]; and the number
For the fourth question, regarding anxiety, 10 represented of times the young person went out with friends in the
a low degree of wellbeing. Correlation between the four previous week [range 0–4 times]).
wellbeing questions was moderate (appendix p 2). We The final DAG, identifying variables in the minimal
used each question as a separate outcome. sufficient set, is shown in the appendix (p 3).

Cyberbullying Statistical analyses


Cyberbullying between waves 1 and 2 was assessed by We first descriptively examined the associations of social
three questions in wave 2, which asked young people media use at wave 1 with later mental health and
whether they had “experienced any cyberbullying wellbeing by use of multinomial logistic regression for
through the internet, mobile phone use, or other source GHQ12 score category, and ordinal logistic regression
since the last interview”. These responses were combined for wellbeing (wave 3). Analyses were done using the
before publication of the dataset to produce a composite survey (svy) commands in Stata 15 to account for survey
cyberbullying variable with possible responses “no”, design effects and weights. All analyses were done
“yes”, or “don’t know”. separately for boys and girls because previous studies
have reported different associations between social
Sleep adequacy media use and mental health or wellbeing by sex.5 No
At wave 2, young people were asked to report their usual attempt was made to impute missing data. Significance
weekday bed-time and wakening time during the past was defined a priori as p<0·05.
month, and the duration of sleep (assumed to be the Where associations were significant, mediation by
entire period between bed time and wake time) was cyberbullying, sleep and physical activity was explored by

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first assessing the association of each potential mediator access to all the data in the study and had final
with the exposure and outcome, and then examining responsibility for the decision to submit for publication.
whether associations were attenuated when the potential
mediator was included in adjusted models. To estimate Results
the proportion of the effect mediated in non-linear Data on the frequency of social media use at wave 1 and
regression models, we used the khb command in Stata, GHQ12 scores at wave 2 were available for 9552 (74·2%) of
which compares coefficients of nested, non-linear the 12 866 total respondents in wave 1 of the Our Futures
probability models to estimate direct and indirect effects.22 study. For the wellbeing analyses, data on the persistence
of frequency of social media use across waves 1 and 2 were
Role of the funding source available for 7922 (72·3%) of the 10 963 interviewed in
The sponsor of the study had no role in study design, wave 2, and for waves 1 to 3 for 7805 (79·7%) of the 9797
data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or interviewed in wave 3. 10 361 (94·5%) of the 10 960 young
writing of the report. The corresponding author had full people who responded to the question reported having

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3


n % (95% CI) n % (95% CI) n % (95% CI)
Social media use
Frequency social media use at N=9552 ·· N=9259 ·· N=7864 ··
each wave
Weekly or less 1047 10·5% (9·3–11·9) 374 3·8% (3·4–4·2) 129 1·5% (1·2–1·8)
Every couple of days 901 9·3% (8·7–10·0) 437 4·7% (4·2–5·1) 238 2·9% (2·5–3·3)
Once daily 1594 17·8% (16·9–18·7) 971 10·7% (10·0–11·4) 621 8·0% (7·4–8·7)
2–3 times daily 1806 19·8% (18·8–20·7) 1888 21·5% (20·5–22·5) 1439 19·1% (18·1–20·1)
Regularly multiple times daily 4204 42·6% (41·2–44·2) 5589 59·4% (58·1–60·7) 5437 68·5% (67·3–69·7)
Persistent frequency of social ·· ·· N=9264 ·· N=7922 ··
media use wave 1 to 2
Daily or less often ·· ·· 3923 42·6% (41·0–44·3) 3336 42·4% (40·9–44·0)
2–3 times daily ·· ·· 2043 22·8% (21·8–23·9) 1789 23·1% (22·1–24·1)
Regularly multiple times daily ·· ·· 3298 34·6% (33·2–36·0) 2797 34·5% (33·1–35·9)
Mental health and wellbeing outcomes
GHQ12 category ·· ·· N=9552 ·· ·· ··
Normal (score 0–2) ·· ·· 5092 55·3% (54·1–56·6) ·· ··
High (score ≥3) ·· ·· 1761 19·0% (18·0–20·0) ·· ··
Unknown ·· ·· 2699 25·7% (24·4–26·9) ·· ··
Wellbeing scores ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· ··
Life satisfaction ·· ·· ·· ·· 7703 7·86 (7·81–7·91)*
Feels life is worthwhile ·· ·· ·· ·· 7628 7·79 (7·73–7·84)*
Happiness ·· ·· ·· ·· 7922 7·69 (7·64–7·74)*
Anxiety ·· ·· ·· ·· 7601 2·97 (2·89–3·04)*
Potential mediators (measured at wave 2)
Cyberbullying experienced ·· ·· N=9552 ·· N=7922 ··
between waves 1 and 2
No ·· ·· 8012 84·6% (83·8–85·4) 6691 84·9% (84·0–85·8)
Yes ·· ·· 1095 11·1% (10·4–11·8) 892 11·0% (10·3–11·8)
Unknown ·· ·· 445 4·3% (3·9–4·8) 339 4·1% (3·6–4·6)
Usual amount of sleep per night ·· ·· N=9460 ·· N=7859 ··
Less than 8 h ·· ·· 3107 31·9% (30·9–33·1) 2616 32·5% (31·3–33·7)
8 h to 9 h 29 min ·· ·· 5688 61·5% (60·5–62·6) 4721 61·3% (60·1–62·4)
9 h 30 min or more ·· ·· 665 6·5% (6·0–7·1) 522 6·2% (5·7–6·9)
Usual frequency of physical ·· ·· N=9540 ·· N=7915 ··
activity (sport or exercise)
Most days ·· ·· 2917 31·8% (30·4–33·2) 2403 31·6% (30·2–33·0)
Weekly ·· ·· 4222 44·7% (43·6–45·9) 3547 45·1% (43·9–46·4)
Less than weekly ·· ·· 2401 23·5% (22·4–24·7) 1965 23·3% (22·1–24·5)
(Table 1 continues on next page)

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Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3


n % (95% CI) n % (95% CI) n % (95% CI)
(Continued from previous page)
Demographic and confounding variables
Sex N=9552 ·· N=9552 ·· N=7922 ··
Male 4712 50·0% (48·4–51·5) 4712 50·0% (48·4–51·5) 3764 48·7% (47·0–50·4)
Female 4840 50·0% (48·5–51·6) 4840 50·0% (48·5–51·6) 4158 51·3% (49·6–53·0)
Index of Multiple Deprivation N=9544 ·· N=9544 ·· N=7914 ··
(wave 1)
Quartile 1 (least deprived) 2163 26·9% (24·7–29·1) 2163 26·9% (24·7–29·1) 1895 27·3% (25·1–29·5)
Quartile 2 2097 25·2% (23·8–26·7) 2097 25·2% (23·8–26·7) 1794 25·6% (24·1–27·1)
Quartile 3 2383 24·2% (22·8–25·6) 2383 24·2% (22·8–25·6) 1970 24·3% (22·9–25·8)
Quartile 4 (most deprived) 2901 23·7% (21·8–25·7) 2901 23·7% (21·8–25·7) 2255 22·9% (21·0–24·9)
Ethnicity (wave 1) N=9479 ·· N=9479 ·· N=7881 ··
White British 7165 79·8% (77·7–81·9) 7165 79·8% (77·7–81·9) 6090 80·6% (78·7–82·5)
White other 298 3·7% (3·2–4·3) 298 3·7% (3·2–4·3) 239 3·7% (3·2–4·3)
Mixed ethnicity 393 3·8% (3·4–4·2) 393 3·8% (3·4–4·2) 336 4·0% (3·6–4·5)
South Asian 656 5·9% (4·9–7·1) 656 5·9% (4·9–7·1) 482 5·2% (4·3–6·2)
Black 748 4·3% (3·7–4·9) 748 4·3% (3·7–4·9) 574 4·2% (3·7–4·9)
Other 219 2·5% (2·0–3·1) 219 2·5% (2·0–3·1) 160 2·2% (1·8–2·7)
Age that main parent left N=9476 ·· N=9476 ·· N=7878 ··
full-time education (wave 1)
<15 years 1249 11·0% (10·3–11·7) 1249 11·0% (10·3–11·7) 957 10·5% (9·7–11·3)
15–16 years 3506 35·1% (33·7–36·5) 3506 35·1% (33·7–36·5) 2879 35·4% (33·9–36·9)
17–18 years 2651 29·0% (28·0–30·1) 2651 29·0% (28·0–30·1) 2258 29·1% (27·9–30·3)
19–21 years 1153 13·6% (12·7–14·5) 1153 13·6% (12·7–14·5) 988 13·6% (12·7–14·6)
≥22 years 890 11·1% (10·0–12·3) 890 11·1% (10·0–12·3) 780 11·3% (10·2–12·5)
Unknown 27 0·2% (0·1–0·3) 27 0·2% (0·1–0·3) 16 0·2% (0·1–0·3)
Number of times out with N=9464 ·· N=9464 ·· N=7863 ··
friends in the past week (wave 1)
1 2694 28·2% (27·1–29·4) 2694 28·2% (27·1–29·4) 2253 28·4% (27·2–29·7)
2 3567 38·8% (37·6–40·0) 3567 38·8% (37·6–40·0) 3042 39·5% (38·2–40·7)
3 2051 21·8% (20·9–22·8) 2051 21·8% (20·9–22·8) 1706 21·7% (20·6–22·8)
4 1152 11·2% (10·4–12·0) 1152 11·2% (10·4–12·0) 862 10·4% (9·6–11·3)
Had friends visit house in the N=8895 ·· N=8895 ·· N=7434 ··
past week
No 7212 81·2% (80·2–82·1) 7212 81·2% (80·2–82·1) 6032 81·2% (80·2–82·2)
Yes 1683 18·8% (17·9–19·8) 1683 18·8% (17·9–19·8) 1402 18·8% (17·8–19·8)
School type N=9552 ·· N=9552 ·· N=7922 ··
Independent 393 7·5% (5·2–10·7) 393 7·5% (5·2–10·7) 348 7·7% (5·3–11·0)
State-maintained 9159 92·5% (89·3–94·8) 9159 92·5% (89·3–94·8) 7574 92·3% (89·0–94·7)
Unless otherwise specified, data are unweighted number of participants and weighted proportion (95% CI). The sample for wave 1–2 analyses was defined as participants who
had data on frequency of social media use at wave 1 and GHQ12 scores at wave 2; therefore, the characteristics of the sample were the same at waves 1 and 2. Unknown
categories represent questions for which the participant refused to provide or did not know the answer. GHQ12=12-item General Health Questionnaire. *Data are mean
(95% CI) of participant scores ranging from 0 to 10.

Table 1: Characteristics of the surveyed sample of young people at waves 1–3

their own mobile phone at wave 1, with internet access boys 34·4% [32·4–36·4]); girls 51·4% [49·5–53·3]) in
reported by 10 739 (98·0%) of 10 963 at wave 2. wave 1 to 59·4% (58·1–60·7; boys 50·7% (48·8–52·5);
Table 1 shows the characteristics of all variables in the girls 67·5% (65·7–69·2)) in wave 2 and 68·5% (67·3–69·7;
analytical sample for waves 1–3. Sample characteristics boys 61·9% [60·3–63·6]; girls 75·4% [73·8–76·9]) by
were highly similar across waves. Frequency of use wave 3. Psychological distress (GHQ12 score ≥3) was
of social media differed by sex and increased with reported by 19·0% (18·0–20·0) of participants at wave 2.
age. Very frequent social media use (ie, use multiple A dose–response relationship between the frequency
times daily) increased from 42·6% (95% CI 41·2–44·2; of social media use and a high GHQ12 score at wave 2

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N* Proportion, % (95% CI) Unadjusted analyses† Adjusted analyses‡


Low or normal “Don’t know” High GHQ12 score “Don’t know” High GHQ12 score “Don’t know” High GHQ12 score
GHQ12 score
OR (95% CI) p value OR (95% CI) p value OR (95% CI) p value OR (95% CI) p value
Frequency of social media use among boys
Weekly or less 734 68·1% (64·5–71·4) 21·7% (18·7–25·0) 10·2% (8·0–12·9) 1·16 (0·92–1·47) 0·22 1·02 (0·73–1·43) 0·90 0·89 (0·68–1·17) 0·42 1·02 (0·69–1·51) 0·91
Every couple of days 569 73·2% (69·5–76·6) 16·4% (13·7–19·6) 10·4% (7·9–13·6) 0·81 (0·61–1·06) 0·13 1·06 (0·74–1·50) 0·76 0·74 (0·56–0·96) 0·027 0·99 (0·65–1·51) 0·98
Once daily 854 69·8% (66·4–72·9) 20·5% (17·7–23·7) 9·7% (7·8–12·1) 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
2–3 times daily 887 68·3% (64·8–71·5) 20·6% (17·8–23·8) 11·1% (9·2–13·4) 1·08 (0·86–1·35) 0·53 1·13 (0·83–1·55) 0·44 1·01 (0·78–1·29) 0·96 1·18 (0·84–1·65) 0·35
Multiple times daily 1668 60·1% (58·1–63·1) 24·5% (22·4–26·7) 14·9% (13·1–16·8) 1·42 (1·16–1·73) 0·0006 1·63 (1·24–2·14) 0·0003 1·17 (0·92–1·49) 0·20 1·67 (1·24–2·26) 0·0009
Frequency of social media use among girls
Weekly or less 277 49·1% (42·8–55·5) 31·0% (25·8–36·7) 19·9% (15·3–25·5) 1·21 (0·89–1·64) 0·22 0·81 (0·57–1·15) 0·24 1·06 (0·74–1·52) 0·75 0·68 (0·43–1·01) 0·10
Every couple of days 332 52·0% (46·3–57·6) 25·3% (20·7–30·4) 22·8% (18·2–38·1) 0·88 (0·64–1·20) 0·41 0·90 (0·65–1·24) 0·51 0·87 (0·61–1·24) 0·45 0·87 (0·61–1·24) 0·44
Once daily 740 48·9% (45·2–52·7) 26·1% (22·8–29·7) 25·0% (21·9–28·3) 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
2–3 times daily 919 48·0% (44·6–51·4) 26·8% (23·9–30·0) 25·2% (22·3–28·3) 1·02 (0·81–1·28) 0·88 1·03 (0·81–1·32) 0·79 1·01 (0·78–1·30) 0·96 0·99 (0·77–1·27) 0·92
Multiple times daily 2536 38·3% (36·3–40·4) 34·2% (32·1–36·3) 27·5% (25·6–29·5) 1·60 (1·32–1·94) <0·0001 1·35 (1·10–1·66) 0·0041 1·43 (1·18–1·79) 0·0016 1·31 (1·06–1·63) 0·014
GHQ12 scores were dichotomised into low or normal (score 0–2) and high (score ≥3, indicating psychological distress). GHQ12=12-item General Health Questionnaire. OR=odds ratio. *Unweighted. †N=4712 for boys and N=4840 for girls. ‡Adjusted for the
minimal sufficient confounder set (N=4379 for boys and N=4429 for girls).

Table 2: Associations between frequency of social media use at wave 1 and mental health at wave 2

Life satisfaction Feels life is worthwhile Happiness Anxiety


Mean (95% CI) Adjusted OR* p value Mean (95% CI) Adjusted OR* p value Mean (95% CI) Adjusted OR* p value Mean (95% CI) Adjusted OR* p value
(95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI)
Frequency of social N=3715 N=3498 ·· N=3648 N=3435 ·· N=3764 N=3544 ·· N=3575 N=3369 ··
media use among
boys (waves 1–2)
Daily or less often 8·14 (8·07–8·21) 1·00 (ref) ·· 7·96 (7·88–8·04) 1·00 (ref) ·· 8·05 (7·96–8·14) 1·00 (ref) ·· 2·28 (2·15–2·41) 1·00 (ref) ··
2–3 times daily 8·21 (8·10–8·33) 1·01 (0·87–1·18) 0·88 7·98 (7·84–8·12) 1·02 (0·87–1·19) 0·81 8·05 (7·92–8·19) 0·96 (0·83–1·11) 0·56 2·41 (2·18–2·65) 1·10 (0·93–1·30) 0·24
Multiple times daily 8·06 (7·94–8·18) 0·88 (0·75–1·02) 0·10 8·02 (7·888–8·15) 1·06 (0·91–1·25) 0·46 7·98 (7·83–8·13) 0·92 (0·78–1·07) 0·27 2·41 (2·20–2·62) 1·10 (0·94–1·30) 0·24
Frequency of social N=4075 N=3753 ·· N=4023 N=3713 ·· N=4158 N=3831 ·· N=4060 N=3745 ··
media use among
girls (waves 1–2)
Daily or less often 7·61 (7·49–7·73) 1·00 (ref) ·· 7·63 (7·52–7·75) 1·00 (ref) ·· 7·48 (7·35–7·61) 1·00 (ref) ·· 3·34 (3·17–3·52) 1·00 (ref) ··
2–3 times daily 7·64 (7·52–7·76) 0·99 (0·84–1·16) 0·90 7·59 (7·46–7·72) 0·96 (0·82–1·11) 0·52 7·50 (7·34–7·65) 1·01 (0·87–1·19) 0·86 3·54 (3·33–3·74) 1·16 (0·98–1·36) 0·078
Multiple times daily 7·48 (7·38–7·58) 0·86 (0·74–0·99) 0·039 7·53 (7·43–7·63) 0·91 (0·75–1·05) 0·18 7·23 (7·11–7·34) 0·80 (0·70–0·92) 0·0013 3·71 (3·56–3·87) 1·28 (1·11–1·48) 0·0007
OR=odds ratio. *Adjusted for the minimal sufficient confounder set.

Table 3: Associations between persistent frequency of social media use in waves 1–2 and wellbeing at wave 3

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was apparent among girls, with 27·5% (25·6–29·5) of 1–3 in 29·6% (28·3–31·0). The associations of persistent
girls who regularly used social media multiple times a frequency use of social media across waves 1 and 2 with
day scoring highly on the GHQ12 compared with GHQ12 score were similar to those for wave 1 use alone;
19·9% (15·3–25·5) of those who used social media persistent very frequent use increased risk of having a
weekly or less. This gradient was less pronounced high GHQ12 score among boys (OR 1·74 [1·36–2·21],
among boys (table 2). In logistic regression analyses, p<0·0001) and girls (1·50 [1·19–1·76], p<0·0001)
very frequent social media use was associated with compared with use once daily or less often. Among girls,
increased risk of having a high GHQ12 score in boys compared with once daily or less frequent use, very
(odds ratio [OR] 1·63 (95% CI 1·24–2·14]) and girls frequent social media use persistently across waves 1–2
(1·35 [1·10–1·66]), with little attenuation of these was associated with decreased life satisfaction (OR 0·86
associations after adjustment for the minimal sufficient [0·74–0·99]), decreased happiness (0·80 [0·70–0·92]),
confounder set (table 2). In sensitivity analyses, the and increased anxiety (1·28 [1·11–1·48]) at wave 3; no
addition of further wave 1 variables to the confounding such associations were seen for other frequencies of
set (ie, presence of a long-term condition, parental social media use or other wellbeing outcomes among
connection with school, substance use, and truancy) girls or boys (table 3). When persistent social media use
made little difference to the findings in either sex (data across waves 1–3 was examined as the exposure,
not shown). persistent very frequent use was again associated with
Persistent very frequent use of social media across decreased life satisfaction (OR 0·85 [0·75–0·95],
waves 1 and 2 was found in 34·6% (33·2–36·0) of young p=0·006), decreased happiness (0·78 [0·69–0·88],
people, with persistent very frequent use across waves p<0·0001), and increased anxiety (1·17 [1·03–1·32],

Single-mediator models Three-mediator model


Cyberbullying Sleep Physical activity OR (95% CI) p value
OR (95% CI) p value OR (95% CI) p value OR (95% CI) p value
Boys
Frequency of social N=4379 ·· N=4343 ·· N=4375 ·· N=4340 ··
media use
Weekly or less 1·03 (0·69–1·54) 0·87 1·03 (0·70–1·52) 0·87 1·01 (0·68–1·49) 0·96 1·02 (0·69–1·53) 0·90
Every couple of 1·04 (0·68–1·59) 0·86 0·99 (0·65–1·51) 0·96 0·98 (0·64–1·49) 0·92 1·02 (0·67–1·56) 0·92
days
Once daily 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
2–3 times daily 1·14 (0·80–1·61) 0·47 1·16 (0·82–1·64) 0·40 1·20 (0·85–1·68) 0·30 1·14 (0·80–1·62) 0·47
Multiple times 1·58 (1·17–2·16) 0·0032 1·59 (1·18–2·16) 0·0026 1·68 (1·25–2·27) 0·0008 1·53 (1·13–2·08) 0·0063
daily
Cyberbullying N=4379 ·· N=4343 ·· N=4375 ·· N=4340 ··
No 1·00 (ref) ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
Yes 3·92 (2·81–5·49) <0·0001 ·· ·· ·· ·· 3·86 (2·77–5·39) <0·0001
Didn’t 4·33 (2·61–7·21) <0·0001 ·· ·· ·· ·· 4·11 (2·46–6·87) <0·0001
know or refused
Sleep N=4379 ·· N=4343 ·· N=4375 ·· N=4340 ··
Less than 8 h ·· ·· 1·45 (91·17–1·80) 0·0006 ·· ·· 1·36 (1·10–1·70) 0·0041
8 h to 9 h 29 min ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
9 h 30 min or ·· ·· 0·85 (0·55–1·33) 0·48 ·· ·· 0·87 (0·55–1·36) 0·53
more
Physical activity N=4379 ·· N=4343 ·· N=4375 ·· N=4340 ··
Most days ·· ·· ·· ·· 0·86 (0·70–1·06) 0·16 0·86 (0·69–1·06) 0·16
Around weekly ·· ·· ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
Less than weekly ·· ·· ·· ·· 1·42 (1·06–1·90) 0·19 1·38 (1·03–1·86) 0·032
Proportions N=4379 ·· N=4343 ·· N=4375 ·· N=4340 ··
mediated
Cyberbullying 10·4% ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· 9·4% ··
Sleep ·· ·· 4·8% ·· ·· ·· 4·1% ··
Physical activity ·· ·· ·· ·· –5·9% ·· –1·3% ··
Total ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· 12·1% ··
(Table 4 continues on next page)

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Single-mediator models Three-mediator model


Cyberbullying Sleep Physical activity OR (95% CI) p value
OR (95% CI) p value OR (95% CI) p value OR (95% CI) p value
(Continued from previous page)
Girls
Frequency of social N=4429 ·· N=4388 ·· N=4422 ·· N=4384 ··
media use
Weekly or less 0·67 (0·42–1·06) 0·089 0·72 (0·45–1·13) 0·16 0·68 (0·43–1·07) 0·092 0·70 (0·44–1·11) 0·13
Every couple of 0·85 (0·60–1·22) 0·37 0·89 (0·62–1·29) 0·54 0·86 (0·60–1·24) 0·43 0·87 (0·60–1·25) 0·45
days
Once daily 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
2–3 times daily 0·95 (0·74–1·21) 0·67 0·97 (0·76–1·25) 0·83 0·98 (0·76–1·26) 0·86 0·92 (0·72–1·18) 0·53
Multiple times 1·19 (0·96–1·49) 0·11 1·26 (1·01–1·57) 0·038 1·28 (1·03–1·60) 0·025 1·12 (0·90–1·40) 0·30
daily
Cyberbullying N=4429 ·· N=4388 ·· N=4422 ·· N=4384 ··
No 1·00 (ref) ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
Yes 3·40 (2·70–4·28) <0·0001 ·· ·· ·· ·· 3·35 (2·65–4·24) <0·0001
Didn’t know or 2·81 (2·47–5·88) <0·0001 ·· ·· ·· ·· 3·72 (2·40–5·76) <0·0001
refused
Sleep N=4429 ·· N=4388 ·· N=4422 ·· N=4384 ··
Less than 8 h ·· ·· 2·00 (1·68–2·38) <0·0001 ·· ·· 1·96 (1·64–2·34) <0·0001
8 h to 9 h 29 min ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
9 h 30 min or ·· ·· 0·74 (0·61–1·01) 0·11 ·· ·· 0·74 (0·50–1·08) 0·12
more
Physical activity N=4429 ·· N=4388 ·· N=4422 ·· N=4384 ··
Most days ·· ·· ·· ·· 0·85 (0·69–1·06) 0·16 0·82 (0·66–1·02) 0·078
Around weekly ·· ·· ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref) ··
Less than weekly ·· ·· ·· ·· 1·20 (0·99–1·46) 0·058 1·20 (0·99–1·47) 0·065
Proportions N=4429 ·· N=4388 ·· N=4422 ·· N=4384 ··
mediated
Cyberbullying 35·7% ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· 33·4% ··
Sleep ·· ·· 17·0% ·· ·· ·· 15·8% ··
Physical activity ·· ·· ·· ·· 13·4% ·· 9·0% ··
Total ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· ·· 58·2% ··
All models are adjusted for the minimal sufficient confounder set. Proportions mediated indicate the proportion of the total effect of social media use at wave 1 on GHQ12 at
wave 2 that is mediated through the specified mediator. The total proportion is the proportion mediated across all three mediators in the model including all mediators together.
The proportion for each mediator is lower in the three-mediator model than in the individual models because the three-mediator model accounts for some overlap in effects of
each mediator owing to associations between mediators. GHQ12=12-item General Health Questionnaire. OR=odds ratio.

Table 4: Mediation of the association of social media use in wave 1 with GHQ12 high score in fully adjusted models in wave 2, by cyberbullying, sleep, and
physical activity

p=0·01) among girls, with no significant associations in predictors of high GHQ12 score, with 12·1% of the
boys (data not shown). association mediated by the three mediator variables
Each of the hypothesised mediators was strongly collectively (and 9·4% by cyberbullying specifically).
associated with social media use and later mental health Among girls, in the model including all three mediators,
and wellbeing in boys and girls (appendix p 5). We cyberbullying and inadequate sleep were significant
therefore proceeded to mediation analyses. Table 4 predictors of high GHQ12 score, whereas associations
shows the association of social media use in wave 1 with with very frequent social media use and with physical
GHQ12 category in wave 2 in the baseline (adjusted but activity were attenuated and non-significant. The overall
unmediated) model and after the addition of each proportion of the effect mediated by cyberbullying,
mediator to the models, together with the proportion of sleep, and physical activity was 58·2%, with cyber­
the association between social media use and GHQ12 bullying again the largest contributor (33·4%). Findings
score mediated by each variable. In models including all were similar when analyses were repeated using
three mediators, among boys, very frequent social persistent frequency of social media use across
media use, cyberbullying, inadequate sleep, and low waves 1–2, with 11·8% (in boys) and 47·5% (in girls) of
(less than weekly) physical activity remained significant the association between very frequent social media use

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and high GHQ12 score mediated by cyberbullying, association between very frequent social media use and
sleep, and physical activity. life satisfaction, happiness, and anxiety among girls. In
For the association of persistent social media use with models that included all three mediators, the association
later wellbeing (table 5), mediation analyses were of very frequent social media use with later life
explored only where we previously identified significant satisfaction was fully attenuated, with the mediators
relationships. Each of cyberbullying, inadequate sleep, estimated to account for 80·1% of the association. By
and physical activity appeared to mediate part of the contrast, the mediators together were estimated to

Cyberbullying Sleep Physical activity All mediators


Life satisfaction
Social media use N=3753 N=3727 N=3750 N=3725
Daily or less 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref)
2–3 times daily 1·01 (0·86–1·19) 1·01 (0·86–1·18) 1·00 (0·85–1·17) 1·04 (0·88–1·22)
Multiple times daily 0·90 (0·78–1·04) 0·89 (0·77–1·03) 0·89 (0·77–1·03) 0·96 (0·83–1·11)
Cyberbullying N=3753 N=3727 N=3750 N=3725
No 1·00 (ref) ·· ·· 1·00 (ref)
Yes 0·50* (0·42–0·60) ·· ·· 0·51* (0·42–0·61)
Didn’t know or refused 0·54* (0·42–0·70) ·· ·· 0·56* (0·43–0·72)
Sleep N=3753 N=3727 N=3750 N=3725
Less than 8 h ·· 0·57* (0·51–0·65) ·· 0·58* (0·51–0·66)
8 h to 9 h 29 min ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref)
9 h 30 min or more ·· 1·11 (0·86–1·44) ·· 1·10 (0·85–1·43)
Physical activity N=3753 N=3727 N=3750 N=3725
Most days ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref)
Around weekly ·· ·· 0·72* (0·62–0·85) 1·40* (1·19–1·65)
Less than weekly ·· ·· 0·55* (0·46–0·66) 0·77* (0·66–0·89)
Proportions mediated N=3753 N=3727 N=3750 N=3725
Cyberbullying 34·3% ·· ·· 29·7%
Sleep ·· 33·9% ·· 31·2%
Physical activity ·· ·· 23·8% 19·1%
Total ·· ·· ·· 80·1%
Happiness
Social media use N=3831 N=3801 N=3827 N=3798
Daily or less 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref)
2–3 times daily 1·03 (0·88–1·21) 1·03 (0·88–1·20) 1·02 (0·87–1·19) 1·05 (0·90–1·23)
Multiple times daily 0·84† (0·73–0·95) 0·84† (0·73–0·95) 0·82† (0·72–0·94) 0·88 (0·76–1·01)
Cyberbullying N=3831 N=3801 N=3827 N=3798
No 1·00 (ref) ·· ·· 1·00 (ref)
Yes 0·59* (0·49–0·72) ·· ·· 0·59* (0·49–0·72)
Didn’t know or refused 0·63† (0·48–0·88) ·· ·· 0·65† (0·48–0·88)
Sleep N=3831 N=3801 N=3827 N=3798
Less than 8 h ·· 0·66* (0·58–0·76) ·· 0·67* (0·59–0·76)
8 h to 9 h 29 min ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref)
9 h 30 min or more ·· 1·24 (0·95–1·63) ·· 1·23 (0·94–1·61)
Physical activity N=3831 N=3801 N=3827 N=3798
Most days ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref)
Around weekly ·· ·· 0·78† (0·66–0·91) 1·29† (1·10–1·52)
Less than weekly ·· ·· 0·68* (0·57–0·82) 0·88 (0·76–1·01)
Proportions mediated N=3831 N=3801 N=3827 N=3798
Cyberbullying 18·1% ·· ·· 17·7%
Sleep ·· 22·3% ·· 21·5%
Physical activity ·· ·· 9·2% 8·5%
Total ·· ·· ·· 47·7%
(Table 5 continues on next page)

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Cyberbullying Sleep Physical activity All mediators


(Continued from previous page)
Anxiety
Social media use N=3745 N=3717 N=3741 N=3714
Daily or less 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref)
2–3 times daily 1·14 (0·97–1·34) 1·15 (0·98–1·35) 1·15 (0·98–1·35) 1·13 (0·97–1·33)
Multiple times daily 1·23† (1·07–1·42) 1·25† (1·08–1·45) 1·26† (1·09–1·45) 1·19‡ (1·02–1·37)
Cyberbullying N=3745 N=3717 N=3741 N=3714
No 1·00 (ref) ·· ·· 1·00 (ref)
Yes 1·62* (1·36–1·93) ·· ·· 1·61* (1·35–1·90)
Didn’t know or refused 1·70* (1·32–2·18) ·· ·· 1·66* (1·29–2·14)
Sleep N=3745 N=3717 N=3741 N=3714
Less than 8 h ·· 1·35* (1·18–1·54) ·· 1·33* (1·17–1·52)
8 h to 9 h 29 min ·· 1·00 (ref) ·· 1·00 (ref)
9 h 30 min or more ·· 1·01 (0·75–1·35) ·· 1·03 (0·76–1·38)
Physical activity N=3745 N=3717 N=3741 N=3714
Most days ·· ·· 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref)
Around weekly ·· ·· 1·21‡ (1·02–1·43) 0·82‡ (0·69–0·97)
Less than weekly ·· ·· 1·37† (1·13–1·66) 1·12 (0·98–1·28)
Proportions mediated N=3745 N=3717 N=3741 N=3714
Cyberbullying 16·1% ·· ·· 15·3%
Sleep ·· 12·0% ·· 11·0%
Physical activity ·· ·· 7·0% 6·2%
Total ·· ·· ·· 32·4%
Data are OR (95% CI). *p<0·001. †p<0·01. ‡p<0·05.

Table 5: Mediation of the association in girls between persistent social media use across waves 1 and 2 and wellbeing at wave 3 by cyberbullying, sleep,
and physical activity

explain 47·7% of the association of social media use By contrast, among boys, cyberbullying, sleep, and
with happiness, and 32·4% of its association with physical activity were responsible for only 12% of the
anxiety. effect of very frequent social media use on psychological
distress, suggesting that other mechanisms are
Discussion responsible for most of the effect of social media use on
This study showed that, although very frequent social later mental health. Furthermore, social media use
media use predicted later poor mental health and frequency did not affect wellbeing variables (happiness,
wellbeing in both sexes, independently of adjustment for life satisfaction, anxiety, or feeling that life is worthwhile)
carefully chosen confounders, this association among in boys. This finding could be partly explained by the
girls appeared to be largely mediated through positive association between the frequency of social
cyberbullying and inadequate sleep, with inadequate media use and the frequency of physical activity
physical activity playing a more minor role. Indeed, observed in boys (in contrast to the inverse association
inclusion of cyberbullying and inadequate sleep in found in girls), suggesting that social media use does
models using data from girls entirely attenuated the not displace physical activity in boys in the way it does
associations between frequent daily social media use in girls. Taken together, these findings suggest that that
and later psychological distress, life satisfaction, and there are other mechanisms by which frequent social
happiness scores. This finding suggests that the harmful media use impairs mental health in boys, but that these
effects of frequent social media use on mental health and mechanisms do not affect aspects of wellbeing in this
wellbeing in girls are mainly driven by the enablement of sample. Our data do not allow us to identify these other
cyberbullying and by disruption of sleep. Moreover, the mechanisms. However, given that the majority of the
ORs for cyberbullying and inadequate sleep were notably effect of social media on mental health and wellbeing
larger than those for social media use in mediated among girls was indirect, it would be implausible to
models for psychological distress and models for well­ suggest that social media significant directly affects
being, supporting previous suggestions that sleep and mental health in boys.
bullying are more powerful determinants of well­being in Our finding that frequent social media use was
young people than is digital screen use.12 predictive of later psychological distress is consistent

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with the results of some small longitudinal studies,3,5,6 limitations are common to nearly all studies of social
although others have reported no consistent relationship.9 media in larger cohorts.
The clear sex differences in the use of social media, and Additionally, the use of GHQ12 score as a measure of
the associations of social media use and mental health psychological distress in adolescence has limitations;29 to
and wellbeing that we observed, are also consistent with minimise classification bias, we included those who
other reports.5,23,24 The apparent sex differences might replied “don’t know” as an additional category. Analyses
simply reflect higher use among girls than boys,3 as was were also limited by data availability. Mediator variables
also found in our study. They might also reflect higher were obtained from wave 2 data, which meant that
baseline levels of anxiety and psychological distress only associations using wave 1–3 data could be truly
among adolescent girls than boys,25 a greater prevalence longitudinal. However, the cyberbullying variable
of cyberbullying among girls,26 and that cyberbullying is specifically related to cyberbullying occurring between
more associated with distress among girls than boys.26 waves 1 and 2. The cyberbullying variable used also did
However, more detailed studies of the mechanisms of not allow examination of the type or frequency of
social media effects by sex should be undertaken. cyberbullying. Another limitation was that questions on
We are aware of no similar longitudinal mediation social media use, cyberbullying, sleep, and physical
studies that have simultaneously examined cyberbullying, activity were direct questions in the survey and had not
sleep, and physical activity as potential mechanisms for been previously validated. Furthermore, the lack of mental
the association of social media use with mental health or health or wellbeing data in wave 1 meant that we were
wellbeing. Our findings are consistent with those of a unable to examine whether earlier psychological distress
large, national, cross-sectional study12 in which we showed could have led to later social media use. However, although
that the association between high frequency of digital earlier mental health problems might have been causally
screen use and lower wellbeing was markedly attenuated related to social media use in wave 1 of our study, our
in both sexes when adjusted for bullying, sleep, and findings suggest that causal links exist thereafter between
physical activity, and a cross-sectional mediation analysis23 social media use and mental health and wellbeing. The
that showed that adjusting for online harassment, sleep, direction of bias from missing data for mental health and
self-esteem, and body image reduced coefficients for wellbeing outcomes is unclear. Finally, as proportions of
associations between social media use and depressive missing data were low, and it is unlikely that data were
symptoms. Our findings for cyberbullying are consistent missing at random, imputation was not done. However,
with those of a number of studies that have shown there was some excess attrition among boys between
associations between social media use, cyberbullying, waves 1 and 3, which might have been a source of bias.
and poor mental health.10,27 Similarly, our finding that In conclusion, the mental health harms related to very
sleep plays a role in mediating associations between frequent use of social media among girls appear to be
social media use and mental health and wellbeing is largely due to exposure to cyberbullying or displacement
consistent with previous reports that inadequate sleep is of sleep and physical activity, or a combination of these
associated with greater use of electronic media among factors. These same factors were operative among boys,
children and adolescents.28 Cross-sectional studies have although to a smaller degree. Further work is needed to
also shown that physical activity levels are lower among examine which other mechanisms might be operative
young people who are more frequent users of social among boys, such as social exclusion, emotional engage­
media.13 ment with social media,30 and effects related to content or
This study used a causal framework to study type of site. Our data suggest that interventions to reduce
associations between potentially modifiable social media social media use to improve mental health might be
exposures, mediators, and mental health and wellbeing misplaced. Preventive efforts should consider inter­
in a large nationally representative contemporary cohort, ventions to prevent or increase resilience to cyberbullying
and used mediation methods appropriate to non-linear and ensure adequate sleep and physical activity in young
models. We also did sensitivity analyses, examining use people.
of different sets of confounders as well as use of Contributors
persistent frequency of social media use across multiple RMV and DEN conceptualised the paper. RMV downloaded and
waves of the study as the exposure, neither of which prepared the data and undertook all analyses. All authors contributed
to preparation and editing of the manuscript.
materially changed the findings. The main limitation of
the study was the degree to which the exposure variable Declaration of interests
RMV is the President of the Royal College of Paediatrics & Child Health.
reflected the complexity of social media use. Our All other authors declare no competing interests.
exposure was frequency of social media use, which is a
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