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There is another case study to explain how hypothesis testing can be a tool to determine
the effectiveness of serum.
Case Study 2: Serum for Leukemia
This description is taken from Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 9th ed.
—Walpole et al.
To find out whether a new serum will arrest leukemia, 9 mice, all with an advanced
stage of the disease are selected. Five mice receive the treatment and 4 do not. Survival
times, in years, from the time the experiment commenced are as follows:
Treatment | 2.1 53 14 46 09
‘No Treatment | 1.9 05 2.8 31
At the 0.05 level of significance, can the serum be said to be effective? Assume the two
populations to be normally distributed with equal variances.
Consider:
A= mice who got treatment
B = mice who did not get treatment
Step 1 : Set the hypothesis that want to be tested
From the data given, it explains about survival time of each mice either the one who got
treatment and the one who did not get a treatment. The effectiveness of the serum can
be measured by comparing the mean survival time between treated mice and untreated
mice. So, we can set the hypothesis like the following statement.
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+ Hi: WA-jiB > 0 (rate survival time of treated mice is higher than rate survival time
of untreated mice)
Step 2 : Set testing criteria
. From
From the hypothesis null, we decide which the suitable statistical approach it is
the information in description, we know that the two populations to be normally
distributed with equal variances. But we have no clue about exac value of the population
variance either from treated mice or untreated mice. From the table of hypothesis
testing, we can use these statistical tests to prove the hypothesis.
(mg — DS4 + Og — 15
(a —1) + Ge —D
Step 3 : Set the significant level and critical value
After we set the testing criteria, we set the significant level and critical value. From the
information on the question, we set the significant level at 0.05 or 5%. According to the
testing criteria we set, the critical value would be t-value with significant level 5% and 7
degree of freedom. From the t-value table with 7 degree of freedom, we get the critical
value at to.os = 1.895. From the alternative hypothesis, we get the critical region at t >
1.895.
Step 4 : Evaluate the statistic value
By using the formula statistic that we have set before, we can calculate and evaluate
with the formula to get the statistic value.
First, we calculate XA and XB.
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ip veseegene = 2.075
After that, we calculate the sample variance for treated mice and untreated mice. By
using sample variance formula,
We get
S% = 3.883
53 = 1.3625
We use those value to calculate Sp”.
(mg — 1)S3+ (ng — 15% _ (S— 193.883 + (4 — 1)1.3625
533 - G tt Ge =D G-D+ @-D
3.6071
Put all needed calculation into the t-value statistic formula.
Ga—%g)—dy | (2.86 —2.075)-—0
2f1 1
Se lng tag
Step 5 : Draw a conclusion
= 1.274
Now we get the statistic value and critical value to decide the acceptance of null
hypothesis, We see that the critical region is t > 1.895. However, the statistic value we
get is 1.274 so that 1.274< 1.895. Therefore, the statistic value is not on the critical
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of survival time between the one who used the serum and not.
Closing Statement
From two case studies that have been explained above, we can see that hypothesis
testing can be the tool to determine the effectiveness of the medicine or serum that have
been developed. However, to increase our confidence about the hypothesis testing, we
need more data to get more accurate result, The bigger data obtained; the more accurate
result of the effectiveness.
References
1. https://www.statisticssolutions.com/hypothesis-testing/
2. Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 9th ed. — Walpole et al.
3. McLeod, S. A. (2018, August 10). What is a hypothesis . Simply Psychology.
hutps://www.simph
chology.org/what-is-a-hypotheses.html
Probability Distributions Hypothesis Testing Medicine Effectiveness,
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