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Macroeconomics 2 (PMAK)

Discussion Session 5

Bopjun Gwak

Goethe University Frankfurt

June 18, 2018

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 1 / 17
Today’s Agenda

1 Aggregate Demand

2 Consumption

3 Government Spending /Ricardian Equivalence

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Aggregate Demand

Yt = Ct + It + Gt + (EXt − IMt )

US - aggregate demand Germany - aggregate demand


0%

8%
20%
Priate Consump5on Priate Consump7on
20%
Private Investment Private Investment

Public consump5on + Public consump7on +


16% 54%
investment investment

Net Exports 64% Net Exports


19%

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Private Consumption

Model from lecture:


2 periods: today and tomorrow
No uncertainty
No constraints on saving/borrowing
Income: Y1 , Y2
Consumption: C1 , C2
Real interest rate: r
Lump-sum taxes T1 , T2

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Consumption-Saving Decision

Lifetime utility of households:

U(C1 , C2 ) = u(C1 ) + βu(C2 ) (1)

where 0 < β < 1 is the discount factor.

Intertemporal budget constraint:

C2 = (Y1 − T1 − C1 )(1 + r ) + (Y2 − T2 ) (2)


or:
C2 Y2 − T2
C1 + = Y1 − T1 + (3)
1+r 1+r
| {z } | {z }
PV of lifetime consumption PV of lifetime net income

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 5 / 17
A simple model of the consumption-saving decision
Optimal consumption-saving decision
C2

Y2
C2*

Y1 C1* C1

Mirko Wiederholt (Goethe University Frankfurt) Macroeconomics 2 Lecture 7 11 / 25


In the optimum, the slope of the indifference curve is equal to the slope of
the budget constraint.

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 6 / 17
Consumption-Saving Decision
1. Graphical Solution

1 Slope of the budget constraint: −(1 + r ).


2 Along the indifference curves dU = 0:
∂U
∂U ∂U dC2 ∂C
dU = dC1 + dC2 = 0 ⇔ = − ∂U1 = MRS
∂C1 ∂C2 dC1 ∂C 2

The slope of the indifference curve is equal to the marginal rate of


substitution.
u 0 (C1 )
U = u(C1 ) + βu(C2 ) : MRS = −
βu 0 (C2 )

⇒ Optimality condition (combining 1 & 2):

u 0 (C1 )
=1+r
βu 0 (C2 )

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 7 / 17
Consumption-Saving Decision
2. Analytical Solution

Maximization problem:

max U(C1 , C2 ) = max u(C1 ) + βu(C2 )


C1 ,C2 C1 ,C2
C2 Y2 − T2
s.t. C1 + = Y1 − T1 +
1+r 1+r

Solve by substituting the budget constraint into U(.):

C2 = (1 + r )(Y1 − T1 ) + (Y2 − T2 ) − C1 (1 + r )
⇒ max u(C1 ) + βu[ (1 + r )(Y1 − T1 ) + (Y2 − T2 ) − C1 (1 + r ) ]
C1 | {z }
C2

FOC: u 0 (C1 ) + βu 0 (C2 )(−(1 + r )) = 0


u 0 (C1 )
⇔ =1+r
βu 0 (C2 )
Alternative approach: Lagrange.
Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 8 / 17
Consumption-Saving Decision

Optimality condition:

u 0 (C1 ) = β(1 + r )u 0 (C2 )

1 + r is the relative price of present consumption. It measures the


amount of future consumption which must be given up to enable the
consumer to increase present consumption by one unit.
C1
What happens to C2 if β increases?

Remember (from lecture): u 0 (.) > 0, u 00 (.) < 0. Then:


if (1 + r )β = 1 : u 0 (C1 ) = u 0 (C2 ) ⇒ C1 = C2
0 0
if (1 + r )β < 1 : u (C1 ) < u (C2 ) ⇒ C1 > C2
0 0
if (1 + r )β > 1 : u (C1 ) > u (C2 ) ⇒ C1 < C2

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 9 / 17
Exercise: Log-utility

Exercise
Consider log-utility:
U(C1 , C2 ) = ln(C1 ) + β ln(C2 )
Suppose that β(1 + r ) = 1.
(a) Calculate analytically the optimality condition.
(b) Calculate C1 and C2 as a function of total life-time income (in present
value terms).

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 10 / 17
Different Tax policies

Exercise
Consider the following two different tax policies:
1 Raise taxes today and tomorrow by one unit.
2 Leave taxes today unchanged, and raise taxes tomorrow by 2 + r units.
How is consumption in period 1 (period 2) affected?

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 11 / 17
Government Spending

Intertemporal government budget constraint:

G2 T2
D1 + G 1 + = T1 + (4)
1+r 1+r
Dt : real stock of public debt at the beginning of period t
Tt : real net tax revenue in period t
Gt : real government spending in period t
2 periods: at the end of period 2 the government pays back all debt.
(No-Ponzi condition as for households)

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 12 / 17
Government Spending

Exercise
Suppose that the government cuts taxes in period 1, i.e. dT1 < 0. Current and
future government spending G1 and G2 is unchanged. Calculate the change
in current consumption dC1 .

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Ricardian Equivalence

Exercise
Suppose that the government wants to increase its government expenditure
by one unit each period, i.e. dG1 = dG2 = 1. Consider the following two
different tax policies:
1 dT2 = 0
2 dT1 = 0
How is dC1 affected under both policies?

Bopjun Gwak (Goethe University Frankfurt) PMAK - Discussion Session 1 June 18, 2018 14 / 17
Ricardian Equivalence

Ricardian Equivalence Theorem


A cut in current taxes which is not accompanied by a cut in present or
planned future public spending will have no effect on private consumption.
Financing current public spending by debts rather than by taxes leaves
private consumption unaffected.
Taxes and debts are equivalent methods of public finance (Ricardian
equivalence).

Why Ricardian equivalence may fail?

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Ricardian Equivalence: Discussion

Reasons why Ricardian equivalence may fail:


Finite horizons and intergenerational distribution effects
Different interest rates for private and public debt
Intragenerational redistribution
Distortionary taxes
Credit constraints

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