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This workbook contains a two-part valuation of a manufacturing "Company" with two operating units and an corporate
The Company-level Rollup includes a Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of the business. The tabs are color-coded as follow
The "Comparables" tab contains financial information about a "peer-group" of 3 public companies, whose Price-to-Earn
Comparables
Peer companies 1, 2, & 3
Similar stats for Company
Finally, the Presentation tab contains a brief introduction to the methodology, calculations of the two Valuations, and su
Select the "Print Preview" option in the Presentation tab to see a slideshow version:
Presentation
Introduction & methodology
Cost of Capital calculation
Valuations (DCF & EV/EBITDA)
Summary graphs
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TABLE OF CONTENTS `
Background Exhibits:
Valuation Approaches Four methods to calculate Market Value………………………………….1
Comparison of Methodologies Which methodology is most appropriate?................................................. 2
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation How to determine a company's NPV………………………………...… 3
Selected Approach Two methodologies for Company……………….…………………... 4
Valuation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital Company's WACC…………………………………...…………………. 5
Market Comparables Company's Market Comps Valuation………………………………… 6
Discounted Cash Flows Company's DCF Valuation……………………………………………… 7
1
Valuation Approaches Comparison o
Four Approachs to measuring Market Value
Income Discounted Cash Flow Period cash flows Company financials, Companies with stable
Ʃ (1+WACC) ^ Period Management estimates or estimable growth
Market Market capitalization $ Share Price x WSJ, Yahoo! Finance Public companies
# Shares outstanding
Earnings multiple of Average of peers' P/E ratios WSJ, Yahoo! Finance Privately-held cos.
comparable "peer group" x Company Earnings and Company financials Individual business units
Other Option pricing models Various WSJ, Yahoo! Finance Companies whose assets
Economic Value Added Company financials, are valued like options
Contingent claim models Management estimates
2
Comparison of Methodologies Discounted C
Which is most appropriate?
Market capitalization • Easily to obtain; "quick & dirty" • Does not capture true intrinsic value
• Easy to relate to • Markets can be inefficient and slow to equalize
• Requires fewer assumptions • Trading can be emotional, momentum-based
Earnings multiple of • In reality, the most commonly-used method • Precise comparables rarely exist
comparable peer group • Easily to obtain; "quick & dirty" • Does not account for growth, strategy, change
• Market has final say in what something's worth • Easy to manipulate and misuse
Liquidation value, • Accurate in short term • Does not account for growth, strategy, change
Acquisition value • Easy to relate to • Whole may be more valuable than sum of parts
• Easy to support with data • May leave money on the table in short sales
Option models • Allow for management to quickly assimilate, • Can easily lead to overvaluation when options
react to, and learn from real-time data argument does not hold up
• Some assets' values derive entirely from their • Bad for long-term options on non-traded assets
option-like characteristics (e.g. biotech patent)
3
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Selected Approa
How to determine a company's Net Present Value
In a DCF valuation, a company's value (V) is deemed to be the present value of all future cash flows (CF)
Cash flows are 'discounted' by the company's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) each year (t) out they occur
A terminal year (n+1) and a cash flow growth rate (g) are chosen, to represent the company's cash flow in perpetuity
n
CF in period t … CF / (WACC-g)
V= Ʃ (1+WACC) ^ t + (1+WACC) ^ n+1
t=0
Given constant cash flows, the further out the period, the less its cash flow contributes to V
The higher the terminal growth rate, the higher perpetuity component will be. However…
… The termianl growth rate cannot exceed the growth rate of the economy as a whole
4
Selected Approach Company We
Two methodologies chosen:
Earnings multiple of • Provides powerful check on DCF method • Peer groups for each Business Unit
comparable peer group • Greater accuracy than typical P/E approach • Market cap, debt, cash, and EBITDA of each
by using different peer groups for each B.U. company in peer groups
• Includes market sentiment as component of • EV/EBITDA multiples of peer groups to apply
end-product Valuation to Company's Business Units' EBITDA
• Company EBITDA by Business Unit
Market Capitalization • Basis of comparison for both Valuations • Determine market Over/Under Valuation
5
Company Weighted Average Cost of Capital Company Marke
Cost of Equity (using CAPM) Cost of Debt (from Company financials)
Company Beta 3.35 $ million: 2011 2012 2013 (F) 3 yr avg
Risk Free Rate Principal Balance 324,620 228,493 235,204 262,772
10-year Treasury-Bond 2.00% Total Interest Expense 23,382 20,969 20,214 21,521
Equity Risk Premium * 3.99% Average annual cost 7.20% 9.18% 8.59% 8.19%
Company Cost of Equity 15.37% Company Cost of Debt 8.19%
Estimates of Equity Risk Premium (ERP) for the United States in 2012: (Aswath Damodaran- http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/)
Approach ERP Source
Survey: CFOs 3.07% Campbell and Harvey (2010); Avg. estimate. Median = 2.7%
Survey: Global Fund Managers 4.08% Merrill Lynch (Jan., 2012)
Historical - US 4.10% Geometric avg - Stocks over T.Bonds: 1928-2011
Average Implied premium 3.99% Avg. of implied equity risk premium: 1960-2011 ← Selected estimate
Implied premium adj. for T.Bond rate and term 3.50% Using regression of implied premium on T.Bond rate
6
Company Market Comparables Valuation Company DC
Public Comparable sym Multiple Calculation Company Bus. Units Apply multiple in $ mil…
Ent Val ($ mil) EBITDA (ttm) EV/EBITDA Operations EBITDA Ent Val
Comp1 COMP1 $462.7 $80.3 5.76 Biz1 $45,621 $337.4
Comp2 COMP2 $4,740.0 $608.8 7.79 Biz2 $1,429 $10.6
Comp3 COMP3 $122.3 $30.9 3.96
Weighted Avg. Multiple: 7.40 Total Operations $47,050 $348.0
Enterprise Value is equal to: Enterprise Value Market Comp Enterprise Value: $348.0
+ Value of Equity Discounted Cash Flow Valuation: $24.5
+ Value of Debt Debt (3-yr avg) Company financials: $262.8
- Cash Cash Yahoo! Finance: $40.7
hence…
Equity Value is equal to: Equity Value Market Comparables model: $125.9
Enterprise Value - Debt + Cash Discounted Cash Flow model: ($197.6)
Note: Market data from Yahoo! Finance
7
Company DCF Valuation Conclusion
By Business Unit
Discounted Cash Flows ($ mil):
Forecasted Fiscal Years: Terminal Years
Business Unit WACC 2012* 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Stage 1 Stage 2 Valuation
Operations
Biz1 13.1% 58.3 (33.7) 45.1 31.8 35.7 11.5 0.0 30.2 178.9 0
Biz2 13.1% 4.6 (8.3) 3.1 0.2 0.4 (0.4) 0.0 (1.0) (1.4) 0
Total, Operations 62.9 (41.9) 48.2 32.1 36.1 11.1 0.0 29.2 177.5 ###
Corporate Overhead 13.1% (3.6) (21.1) (21.0) (20.5) (21.7) (19.1) 0.0 (46.1) (153.0)
###
Total, Company 59.3 (63.0) 27.2 11.6 14.5 (8.1) 0.0 (16.9) $24.5
0 ###
8
Conclusion Summary of F
Company is Undervalued by the Market
Overall Dollars
($ mil) per share Δ
Market Comparables model $374 $14.03 297%
Discounted Cash Flow model $698 $26.16 -353%
Book (Shareholders Equity) $286 $10.73 134%
9
Summary of Findings (pt. 1) Summary of
Business Unit contribution to Enterprise Value ($ mil)
$
$337
$
$179
$0 ($1)
($153)
($
($
15%
7.0x 6.9x
0%
6.0x 2011 2012 2013 2008
Biz1 2.5x 5.3x1.7x 1.8x
Biz2 5.3x 6.9x 4.3x
(15%)
5.0x
4.3x
4.0x Biz1 (30%)
Biz2
3.0x
2.5x $20
1.0x ($20)
($40)
0.0x
2011 2012 2013
($60)
Note: Operating Leverage measures the effect on EBIT of a change in Revenue
11
Summary of Findings (pt. 3) Summary of F
Business Unit performance (historical & forecasted)
50.0%
0% Biz1
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F) Biz2
7.9%
0.0%
(15%)
(50.0%)
(30%)
(100.0%)
Economic Profit ($ mil)
$20
(150.0%)
$0 Biz1 (49) (57) (39) (19) (6) (14) (13) (16) (23) (38)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F) Biz1
Biz2 (0) 6 2 (1) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (2) Biz2 (200.0%)
($20) Free
($40)
|
($60)
Note: Economic Profit measures the dollar amount returned in excess of the Required Return (per the Cost of Capital)
12
Summary of Findings (pt. 4) Summary of
Business Unit return, 2012
Biz1 Biz2 Corporate Overhead
100.0%
69.2% 600,000
EBITDA FCF N.I. Mkt CompDCF
50.0%
Biz1 45.6 26.6 12.7 337.4 178.9
25.5% 500,000
Biz2 19.9% 1.4 2.1 (0.9) 10.6
14.9% (1.4) 20% 20%
7.9% 7.1%
Corporate (30.3) (1.7)
3.8% (30.3) 0.0 (153.0)
1%
0.0%
400,000
(9.0%)
(50.0%) 300,000
Note: Return on Enterprise Value (i.e. Return on Market Value) is an imperfect measure, since it lacks a hard baseline, such as invested capital
Growth opportunities are already priced into market value, making RoEV somewhat subjective. Nevertheless, it is useful for BU comparisons.
13
Summary of Findings (pt. 5)
Net Working Capital- Historical & Forecasted ($000's)
Total Mfg
400,000 37,767 10,066 4,052 19,005 11,583 70,479 105,176 142,795 183,018 207,292
Biz1
300,000 Biz2
COR
200,000
COR 522,362 489,581 444,184 416,700 319,080 196,210 166,491 135,135 98,387 61,639
100,000
Total 560,129 499,647 448,236 435,706 330,664 266,689 271,667 277,930 281,404 268,931
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
(100,000)
Δ
1320.7%
6.3 7.3 8.3 9.3 10.3 11.3 12.3 13.3 14.3 15.3
LIABILITIES
Revolving notes 0 0 0 2,630 16,858 (7,115)
A/P and other accrued 0 146,604 71,543 64,040 147,448 187,945
Losses in ex. of inv. of de-con sub 0 15,313 15,313 0 0 0
Deferred revenue 0 17,628 15,400 9,102 7,410 6,286
Deferred income taxes 0 0 0 0 0 0
Notes payable 0 306,750 306,750 308,166 307,762 235,608
Other liabilities 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL LIABILITIES 0 486,295 409,006 383,937 479,478 422,724
EQUITY
Company
Preferred stock 0 0 0 0 0 0
Common stock 0 17 17 22 26 26
Additional paid-in capital 0 99,677 117,060 172,404 240,906 247,298
Retained earnings 0 199,767 113,116 20,961 (45,645) (51,137)
Accum. other comprehensive loss 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Equity Company 0 299,461 230,193 193,387 195,286 196,186
Noncontrolling interest 0 8,618 8,724 11,469 13,570 17,563
TOTAL EQUITY 0 308,079 238,917 204,856 208,856 213,749
TOTAL LIABILITIES + EQUITY 0 794,374 647,923 588,793 688,333 636,473
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
168,485 168,485 168,485 168,485 188,537 214,911 222,312 219,167 212,545
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6,286 6,286 6,286 6,286 7,015 8,061 8,608 8,608 8,608
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
235,608 235,608 235,608 235,608 235,204 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
410,379 410,379 410,379 410,379 430,756 457,972 465,919 462,775 456,154
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26
247,298 247,298 247,298 247,298 253,690 260,082 266,474 266,474 266,474
(58,264) (58,275) (58,286) (58,298) (56,699) (58,351) (58,901) (56,179) (68,607)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
189,060 189,049 189,037 189,026 197,016 201,757 207,598 210,321 197,892
17,563 17,563 17,563 17,563 20,620 24,746 29,709 29,709 29,709
206,623 206,611 206,600 206,589 217,636 226,503 237,308 240,030 227,602
617,001 616,990 616,979 616,968 648,392 684,475 703,227 702,805 683,755
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Use of (investment in) restricted cash 0 0 148 (1,442) 552
Proceeds from sale of equipment 0 0 0 0 0
Investment in and advances to unconsol sub. 0 858 0 (927) (479)
Acquisition 0 (91,166) 0 0 0
Other investing items 0 0 0 0 0
Capital expenditures 0 (26,491) (11,807) (12,359) (22,455)
Capital expenditures 0 0 0 0 0
NET CASH +/(-) INVESTING ACTIVITIES 0 (116,799) (11,659) (14,728) (22,382)
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Change in Revolver 0 0 0 2,630 14,228
Proceeds (Repayment) of borrowings 0 0 0 1,416 (404)
Repayment of Subdebt 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Investment by joint venture partner 0 0 0 0 0
Stock options & restr. stock awds exercised 0 0 0 0 0
Equity Re-purchase/Retirement 0 0 0 0 0
Equity Issuance Proceeds 0 0 0 0 0
Excess Tax Benefit of stock options exercised 0 0 0 0 0
Other financing items 0 0 0 0 0
NET CASH +/(-) FINANCING ACTIVITIES 0 0 0 4,046 13,824
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(100) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(21,456) (3,750) (3,750) (3,750) (3,750) (16,500) (17,500) (17,500) (16,500)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(21,556) (3,750) (3,750) (3,750) (3,750) (16,500) (17,500) (17,500) (16,500)
(23,973) 0 0 0 0 7,115 0 0 0
(72,154) 0 0 0 0 (404) (204) 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(96,127) 0 0 0 0 6,711 (204) 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(90,456) (5,247) (3,999) (3,999) (3,999) (45,829) (4,047) (12,144) (8,351)
301,871 211,415 206,168 202,169 198,169 194,170 148,341 144,294 132,150
211,415 206,168 202,169 198,169 194,170 148,341 144,294 132,150 123,799
(29,426)
0
14,750
0
0
3,652
2,974
5,164
0
0
(6,621)
0
(9,508)
0
0
0
0
0
(16,500)
0
(16,500)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
(26,008)
123,799
97,791
104,115
Consolidated Company View
Historical & Projected Ratios & Analysis Fiscal Years:
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
RATIOS
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin 1.5% -3.4% 5.2% 6.7% 8.1%
EBITDA Margin -7.7% -15.2% -16.1% -1.1% 1.7%
Return on Equity (ROE) -43.1% -25.7% -15.2% -9.5%
Ret. on Invested Capital (ROIC) -41.3% -8.1% -1.6% 2.9%
Cash ROIC -35.3% -1.3% 4.4% 8.7%
Turnover / Efficiency Ratios
Asset Turnover 0.71x 0.52x 0.37x 0.91x 1.41x
Inventory Turns - COGS/Invntry 6.16x 9.41x 5.37x 5.67x 7.70x
Days Receivable - AR/Revenue 36 days 28 days 28 days 23 days 21 days
Days Payable - AP/COGS 89 days 68 days 102 days 84 days 75 days
Liquidity Ratios
Debt-to-EBITDA (6.5)x (5.4)x (7.9)x (42.6)x 13.7x
Net Debt-to-EBITDA 3.4x 2.0x 1.5x 3.4x (2.7)x
EBITDA-to-Interest Expense (1.2)x (1.4)x (1.0)x (0.3)x 0.8x
Times Interest Earned (1.6)x (3.1)x (1.0)x (0.9)x 0.2x
Current Ratio 3.49 4.80 5.72 2.97 2.41
Quick Ratio 2.95 4.40 5.15 2.31 1.78
Leverage Ratios
Debt / Equity 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.2
Net Debt / Equity (0.5) (0.5) (0.3) (0.1) (0.2)
Long-Term Debt / Equity 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.2
Debt / Total Capitalization 0.5 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.0
Net Debt / Total Capitalization (2.1) (4.3) (4.0) (1.3) (0.4)
(4.2)x
Consolidated Company View
Historical & Projected Debt Schedule ($000's) Fiscal Years:
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
NOTES PAYABLE
Proceeds / (Repayments)
Term Loan #1 0 (71,750)
Senior Notes 0 0
Term Loan #2 1,416 (404) (404)
Term Loan #3 0 0
Total Proceeds & Repayments 0 0 1,416 (404) (72,154)
Principal Balance
Term Loan #1 71,750 71,750 71,750 71,750 0
Senior Notes 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000
Term Loan #2 1,416 1,012 608
Term Loan #3 0 0 0
Total Principal Balance 306,750 306,750 308,166 307,762 235,608
Interest Expense
Term Loan #1 31,592 32,789 35,255 2,770 345
Senior Notes 19,681 19,681
Term Loan #2 297 339
Term Loan #3 0 0
Total Interest Expense 31,592 32,789 35,255 22,748 20,366
REVOLVING NOTES
Draws / (Paybacks) of Revolvers
Revolver 0 18,250 (8,250)
Line of Credit 2,630 (1,392) 1,135
Ending (outstanding) Balance 0 0 2,630 16,858 (7,115)
0 0
0 0
(404) (204) 0
0 0 0
0 0 0 0 (404) (204) 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000
608 608 608 608 204 (0) (0)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
235,608 235,608 235,608 235,608 235,204 235,000 235,000 235,000 235,000
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4,920 4,920 4,920 4,920 19,681 19,681 19,681 19,681 19,681
14 14 14 14 14 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4,935 4,935 4,935 4,935 19,695 19,681 19,681 19,681 19,681
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capital Expenditures
Maintenance $13,000 $14,000 $14,000
Growth $0 $0 $0
Total Capital Expenditures $13,000 $14,000 $14,000
Revenue Facility
Product 1 BBB $238,284 $302,685 $333,745
Product 2 CCC $2,486 $0 $0
Product 3 CCC $41,438 $43,130 $44,431
Product 4 CCC $133,722 $151,711 $140,756
Small Product 5 CCC $0 $0 $0
Small Product 5 AAA $92,343 $75,370 $66,917
Medium Product 5 CCC $0 $0 $0
Medium Product 5 AAA $321,917 $376,372 $389,698
Large Product 5 CCC $0 $0 $0
Large Product 5 AAA $0 $0 $0
Product 6 AAA $23,796 $43,681 $53,999
Other #1 $0 $0 $0
Other #2 $0 $0 $0
Other #3 $0 $0 $0
Total Revenue $853,986 $992,948 $1,029,545
P&L
4,946 1,625 Revenue
Cost of revenues
325 325 Gross margin $
837 837 Gross margin %
7.0% 7.0%
8% 8%
7% 7%
9% 9%
9% 9%
7% 7%
9% 9%
$14,000 $14,000
$0 $0
$14,000 $14,000
$340,420 $114,085
$0 $0
$45,319 $46,226
$93,321 $95,188
$0 $0
$68,255 $69,620
$0 $0
$397,492 $256,804
$0 $0
$0 $0
$55,079 $93,634
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$999,886 $675,556
$316,591 $106,099
$0 $0
$41,694 $42,528
$86,789 $88,525
$0 $0
$62,112 $63,354
$0 $0
$361,718 $233,691
$0 $0
$0 $0
$50,122 $85,207
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$919,024 $619,403
$23,829 $7,986
$0 $0
$3,626 $3,698
$6,532 $6,663
$0 $0
$6,143 $6,266
$0 $0
$35,774 $23,112
$0 $0
$0 $0
$4,957 $8,427
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$80,862 $56,152
Fiscal Years:
2016 2017 2018 2019 2017
WACC 13.1%
Valuation 178,909 337,419 88.6%
DCF Comps Δ
LIABILITIES
Revolving notes 0 0 0 18,250 (8,250)
A/P and other accrued 98,208 47,311 44,793 129,475 164,360
Losses in ex. of inv. of de-con sub
Deferred revenue 4,407 3,850 2,275 1,852 1,571
Deferred income taxes
Notes payable 0 0 1,416 1,012 608
Other liabilities
TOTAL LIABILITIES 102,615 51,161 48,485 150,589 158,289
EQUITY
Company
Preferred stock
Common stock
Additional paid-in capital
Retained earnings 176,008 135,784 126,583 157,715 187,286
Accum. other comprehensive loss
Total Equity Company 176,008 135,784 126,583 157,715 187,286
Noncontrolling interest
TOTAL EQUITY 176,008 135,784 126,583 157,715 187,286
TOTAL LIABILITIES + EQUITY 278,623 186,945 175,068 308,304 345,575
Check 0 0 0 0 0
Ratio Toggles
Inventory Turns - COGS/Invntry 6.17x 9.42x 5.38x 5.68x 7.71x
Days Receivable - AR/Revenue 37 days 28 days 28 days 23 days 21 days
Days Payable - AP/COGS 89 days 67 days 101 days 84 days 75 days
Quarters, FY2013 Fiscal Years:
Nov30 Feb28 May31 Aug31 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
20,623 26,914 33,205 39,497 37,477 77,077 112,461 157,597 181,899 (plug to tie Cash Flo
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
144,899 144,899 144,899 144,899 162,546 188,248 194,986 191,516 185,233
185,327 191,618 197,909 204,201 242,204 279,182 319,613 357,256 379,748 (plug to Balance)
(plug to Balance)
Business Unit 1
Historical & Projected Statement of Cash Flows ($000's) Fiscal Years:
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net Earnings (22,885) (41,304) (28,495) 552 12,670
Deferred income taxes 0 0 0 0
Depreciation & amortization 8,435 9,556 9,151 8,361 8,800
(Gain)/Loss on sale of equipment
Impairment & special charges 0 0 0 0 0
Other operating items (3,182) (1,472) 4,054 2,101 3,993
Change in Assets:
Accounts receivable 22,736 4,910 (26,000) (11,548)
Inventories 38,300 (2,795) (69,362) (4,550)
Assets held for sale 0 0 0 0
Intangibles & Other Assets 0 0 0 0
Change in Liabilities
A/P and other accrued (50,897) (2,518) 84,681 34,885
Deferred revenue (557) (1,575) (423) (281)
NET CASH +/(-) OPERATING ACTIVITIES (17,632) (23,638) (17,267) (90) 43,969
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Use of (investment in) restricted cash 0 0 0 0
Proceeds from sale of equipment
Investment in and advances to unconsol sub.
Acquisition
Other investing items 0 0 0 0
Capital expenditures (maintenance) (19,719) (8,029) (7,702) (19,150) (18,500)
Capital expenditures (growth)
NET CASH +/(-) INVESTING ACTIVITIES (19,719) (8,029) (7,702) (19,150) (18,500)
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Change in Revolver 0 0 18,250 (26,500)
Proceeds (Repayment) of borrowings 0 1,416 (404) (404)
Repayment of Subdebt
Dividends
Investment by joint venture partner
Stock options & restr. stock awds exercised
Equity Re-purchase/Retirement
Equity Issuance Proceeds
Excess Tax Benefit of stock options exercised
Other financing items
NET CASH +/(-) FINANCING ACTIVITIES 0 0 1,416 17,846 (26,904)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
746 746 746 746 2,984 4,591 4,942 5,088 3,652
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(3,250) (3,250) (3,250) (3,250) (13,000) (14,000) (14,000) (14,000) (14,000)
0 0 0 0 0
(3,250) (3,250) (3,250) (3,250) (13,000) (14,000) (14,000) (14,000) (14,000)
0 0 0 0 8,250 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 (404) (204) 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7,846 (204) 0 0 0
Production by Type
Product 1 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
Product 2
Product 3
Total 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
Gross Margin %
Product 1 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%
Product 2
Product 3
Capital Expenditures
Maintenance $2,000 $2,500 $2,500 $2,500
Growth $0 $0 $0 $0
Total Capital Expenditures $2,000 $2,500 $2,500 $2,500
Revenue (USD)
Product 1 $138,220 $141,853 $145,399 $145,399
Product 2 $0 $0 $0 $0
Product 3 $0 $0 $0 $0
Total Revenue $138,220 $141,853 $145,399 $145,399
Gross Margin $
Product 1 $12,072 $12,401 $12,711 $12,711
Product 2 $0 $0 $0 $0
Product 3 $0 $0 $0 $0
Total Cost of Revenues $12,072 $12,401 $12,711 $12,711
Fiscal Years:
2014 ### 2016 2017 2018
P&L
1,200 Revenue 138,220 141,853 145,399
Cost of revenues 126,148 129,452 132,689
Gross margin $ 12,072 12,401 12,711
1,200 Gross margin % 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%
OpEx (SG&A $7,764 $8,153 $8,560
Biz2 Mgmt Fee $380 $380 $380
$363 Other $1,122 $1,178 $1,237
Total OpEx $9,266 $9,711 $10,177
8.7%
3.00
$2,500
$0
$2,500
$145,399
$0
$0
$145,399
$132,689
$0
$0
$132,689
$12,711
$0
$0
$12,711
cal Years:
2019 2017
145,399 145,399
132,689 132,689
12,711 12,711
8.7% 8.7%
$8,560 $8,560
$380 $380
$1,237 $1,237
$10,177 $10,177
Business Unit 2
Historical & Projected P&L ($000's) Fiscal Years: Quarters, FY201
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Nov30
Periods out ► -6.4 -8.4
Revenue 209,873 143,868 80,734 88,535 124,787 34,555
Cost of revenues 198,972 131,166 69,329 78,283 114,899 31,537
Gross margin $ 10,901 12,702 11,405 10,252 9,888 3,018
Gross margin % 5.2% 8.8% 14.1% 11.6% 7.9% 8.7%
Operating expense (G&A) 8,415 7,380 6,991 8,331 8,459 2,317
EBITDA 2,486 5,322 4,414 1,921 1,429 701
Impairment & special charges 0
Dep'n & amort. 2,832 1,914 1,909 1,583 1,798 500
EBIT (346) 3,407 2,505 338 (369) 201
Interest expense/(benefit) 5,909 4,665 1,843 330 117 119
Earnings before taxes (6,255) (1,258) 662 8 (486) 83
Income taxes 0 (2,501) (312) 463 462 15
Earnings before unconsol. affil. (6,255) 1,243 974 (456) (948) 68
Earnings from unconsol. affil. 0
Earnings, Internal (6,255) 1,243 974 (456) (948) 68
Earnings attrib to non-contr ints 0
Net earnings (6,255) 1,243 974 (456) (948) 68
NOPAT (346) 5,908 2,817 (125) (831) 187
Capital expense (net) (4,393) (1,080) (1,012) (1,806) (1,456) (500)
Working capital delta 0 3,431 (1,631) (2,261) 2,591 0
Free cash flow (1,907) 10,173 2,083 (2,609) 2,102
Discounted FCF 4,599 0
WACC 13.1%
Valuation (1,369) 10,572 -872.1%
DCF Comps Δ
LIABILITIES
Revolving notes 0 0 2,630 (1,392) 1,135
A/P and other accrued 48,396 24,232 19,247 17,973 23,586
Losses in ex. of inv. of de-con sub
Deferred revenue 6,611 5,775 3,413 2,779 2,357
Deferred income taxes
Notes payable
Other liabilities
TOTAL LIABILITIES 55,006 30,007 25,289 19,360 27,078
EQUITY
Company
Preferred stock
Common stock
Additional paid-in capital
Retained earnings (1,736) 2,257 6,038 6,942 8,134
Accum. other comprehensive loss
Total Equity Company (1,736) 2,257 6,038 6,942 8,134
Noncontrolling interest
TOTAL EQUITY (1,736) 2,257 6,038 6,942 8,134
TOTAL LIABILITIES + EQUITY 53,271 32,263 31,327 26,302 35,212
Check 0 0 0 0 0
Ratio Toggles
Inventory Turns - COGS/Invntry 6.17x 9.42x 5.38x 5.68x 7.71x
Days Receivable - AR/Revenue 37 days 28 days 28 days 23 days 21 days
Days Payable - AP/COGS 89 days 67 days 101 days 84 days 75 days
Quarters, FY2013 Fiscal Years:
Nov30 Feb28 May31 Aug31 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
13,612 14,090 14,568 15,046 11,157 14,488 16,365 18,517 20,007 (plug to tie Cash Flo
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
23,586 23,586 23,586 23,586 25,991 26,663 27,326 27,651 27,313
9,747 10,225 10,703 11,181 12,249 13,858 15,588 17,415 19,242 (plug to Balance)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2.12x 2.12x 2.12x 2.12x 6.48x 6.98x 6.98x 6.98x 6.98x
76 days 76 days 76 days 76 days 27 days 27 days 27 days 27 days 27 days
273 days 273 days 273 days 273 days 75 days 75 days 75 days 76 days 75 days
(plug to tie Cash Flow)
(plug to Balance)
Business Unit 2
Historical & Projected Statement of Cash Flows ($000's) Fiscal Years:
2010 2011 2012 2013
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net Earnings (6,255) 1,243 974 (456)
Deferred income taxes 0 0 0
Depreciation & amortization 2,832 1,914 1,909 1,583
(Gain)/Loss on sale of equipment
Impairment & special charges 0 0 0 0
Other operating items 0 0 0 0
Change in Assets:
Accounts receivable 10,084 4,674 554
Inventories 18,346 1,042 (907)
Assets held for sale 0 0 0
Intangibles & Other Assets 0 0 0
Change in Liabilities
A/P and other accrued (24,164) (4,985) (1,274)
Deferred revenue (836) (2,362) (634)
NET CASH +/(-) OPERATING ACTIVITIES (3,423) 6,589 1,253 (1,134)
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Use of (investment in) restricted cash 0 0 0
Proceeds from sale of equipment
Investment in and advances to unconsol sub.
Acquisition
Other investing items 0 0 0
Capital expenditures (maintenance) (4,393) (1,080) (1,012) (1,806)
Capital expenditures (growth) 0 0 0 0
NET CASH +/(-) INVESTING ACTIVITIES (4,393) (1,080) (1,012) (1,806)
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Change in Revolver 0 2,630 (4,022)
Proceeds (Repayment) of borrowings 0 0 0
Repayment of Subdebt
Dividends
Investment by joint venture partner
Stock options & restr. stock awds exercised
Equity Re-purchase/Retirement
Equity Issuance Proceeds
Excess Tax Benefit of stock options exercised
Other financing items
NET CASH +/(-) FINANCING ACTIVITIES 0 0 2,630 (4,022)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(1,456) (500) (500) (500) (500) (2,000) (2,500) (2,500) (2,500) (2,500)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(1,456) (500) (500) (500) (500) (2,000) (2,500) (2,500) (2,500) (2,500)
2,527 0 0 0 0 (1,135) 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2,527 0 0 0 0 (1,135) 0 0 0 0
10,036 10,446 10,856 11,266 11,676 13,316 14,956 16,801 18,646 20,491
Corporate Overhead Business Unit
Historical & Projected P&L ($000's) Fiscal Years: Quarters, FY201
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Nov30
Periods out ► -6.4 -8.4
Revenue 644 1,095 893 600 316 123
Cost of revenues (395) (438) (437) (491) (282) 0
Gross margin $ 1,039 1,533 1,330 1,091 598 123
Gross margin % 161.3% 140.0% 148.9% 181.8% 189.2% 100.0%
Operating expense (G&A) 32,148 31,169 33,441 27,038 30,911 9,315
EBITDA (31,109) (29,636) (32,111) (25,947) (30,313) (9,192)
Impairment & special charges 2,302 55,667 (11,870)
Dep'n & amort. 668 1,544 2,063 2,678 2,906 2,750
EBIT (34,079) (86,847) (22,304) (28,625) (33,219) (11,942)
Interest expense/(benefit) 31,592 32,789 35,255 22,451 20,027 4,920
Earnings before taxes (65,672) (119,635) (57,559) (51,076) (53,245) (16,862)
Income taxes (27,678) (30,649) (25,874) (21,571) (22,973) (6,745)
Earnings before unconsol. affil. (37,993) (88,986) (31,685) (29,506) (30,272) (10,117)
Earnings from unconsol. affil. 0 0 46 0 0 0
Earnings, Internal (37,993) (88,986) (31,639) (29,506) (30,272) (10,117)
Earnings attrib to non-contr ints
Net earnings (37,993) (88,986) (31,639) (29,506) (30,272) (10,117)
NOPAT (6,401) (56,197) 3,570 (7,054) (10,246) (5,197)
Capital expense (net) (2,379) (2,698) (3,645) (1,500) (1,500) 0
Working capital delta 0 1,324 3,861 7,431 7,185 0
Free cash flow (8,112) (56,028) 5,849 1,556 (1,655)
Discounted FCF (3,622) 0
WACC 13.1%
Valuation (153,045) 0 -100.0%
DCF Comps Δ
Quarters, FY2013 Fiscal Years: Terminal Years:
Feb28 May31 Aug31 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
-8.2 -7.9 -7.7 -5.4 -4.3 -3.3 -2.3 -1.3 -0.3 0.7
123 123 123 492 555 814 814 814
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
123 123 123 492 555 814 814 814
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
9,315 9,315 9,315 37,259 40,279 42,280 42,280 42,280
(9,192) (9,192) (9,192) (36,767) (39,724) (41,466) (41,466) (41,466)
LIABILITIES
Revolving notes 0 0 0 0
A/P and other accrued 0 0 0 0
Losses in ex. of inv. of de-con sub 15,313 15,313 0 0
Deferred revenue 6,611 5,775 3,413 2,779
Deferred income taxes
Notes payable 306,750 306,750 306,750 306,750
Other liabilities
TOTAL LIABILITIES 328,674 327,838 310,163 309,529
EQUITY
Company
Preferred stock
Common stock 17 17 22 26
Additional paid-in capital 99,677 117,060 172,404 240,906
Retained earnings 25,495 (24,924) (111,660) (210,302)
Accum. other comprehensive loss
Total Equity Company 125,188 92,153 60,766 30,630
Noncontrolling interest 8,618 8,724 11,469 13,570
TOTAL EQUITY 133,806 100,877 72,235 44,199
TOTAL LIABILITIES + EQUITY 462,480 428,715 382,398 353,728
Ratio Toggles
Inventory Turns - COGS/Invntry 0.00x 0.00x 0.00x 0.00x
Days Receivable - AR/Revenue 0 days 0 days 0 days 0 days
Days Payable - AP/COGS 0 days 0 days 0 days 0 days
: Quarters, FY2013 Fiscal Years:
2014 Nov30 Feb28 May31 Aug31 2015 2016 2017 2018
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,631 3,023 3,228 3,228
26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26
247,298 247,298 247,298 247,298 247,298 253,690 260,082 266,474 266,474
(246,557) (253,338) (260,118) (266,898) (273,679) (311,152) (351,390) (394,101) (430,849)
64,867
66,840
0
0
3,228
235,000
238,228
26
266,474
(467,597) (plug to Balance)
(201,097)
29,709
(171,388)
66,840
61,639
0
0.00x
0 days
0 days
Corporate Overhead Business Unit
Historical & Projected Statement of Cash Flows ($000's) Fiscal Years:
2010 2011 2012 2013
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net Earnings (37,993) (88,986) (31,639) (29,506)
Deferred income taxes 0 0 0 0
Depreciation & amortization 668 1,544 2,063 2,678
(Gain)/Loss on sale of equipment
Impairment & special charges 2,302 55,667 (11,870) 0
Other operating items 0 0 0 0
Change in Assets:
Accounts receivable 0 0 0
Inventories 0 0 0
Assets held for sale 0 0 0
Intangibles & Other Assets 2,159 6,223 8,066
Change in Liabilities
A/P and other accrued 0 0 0
Deferred revenue (836) (2,362) (634)
NET CASH +/(-) OPERATING ACTIVITIES (35,023) (30,452) (37,585) (19,396)
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Use of (investment in) restricted cash 148 (1,442) 552
Proceeds from sale of equipment
Investment in and advances to unconsol sub. 858 0 (927) (479)
Acquisition (91,166) 0 0
Other investing items 0 0 0
Capital expenditures (maintenance) (2,379) (2,698) (3,645) (1,500)
Capital expenditures (growth)
NET CASH +/(-) INVESTING ACTIVITIES (92,687) (2,550) (6,014) (1,426)
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Change in Revolver 0 0 0
Proceeds (Repayment) of borrowings 0 0 0
Repayment of Subdebt
Dividends
Investment by joint venture partner
Stock options & restr. stock awds exercised
Equity Re-purchase/Retirement
Equity Issuance Proceeds
Excess Tax Benefit of stock options exercised
Other financing items
NET CASH +/(-) FINANCING ACTIVITIES 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7,606 0 0 0 0 3,427 3,281 3,433 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(421) 0 0 0 0 273 392 205 0
(20,182) (7,367) (7,367) (7,367) (7,367) (29,069) (30,970) (32,250) (35,888)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(100) 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(1,500) (1,500) (1,000) (1,000)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(71,750) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(71,750) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(37,888)
0
2,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
(35,888)
0
0
(35,888)
77,143
41,255
(41,255)