Professional Documents
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Stock Details
Market cap (Rs mn) : 105684
ARVIND LTD
52-wk Hi/Lo (Rs) : 479 / 353 PRICE RS. 398 TARGET RS. 500 BUY
Face Value (Rs) : 10
3M Avg. daily vol : 1,737,962 Arvind Ltd promoted by Lalbhai family, is a leading textiles company with
Shares o/s (m) : 259 presence in textiles, branded apparel and engineering business. Its branded
Source: Bloomberg apparel business has a portfolio of 15 international licensed brands (such as US
Polo, Arrow, Tommy Hilfiger, Calvin Klein, etc) and 12 in-house brands (such as
Financial Summary
Flying Machine) which are managed by qualified professionals. We expect all its
Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY18 FY19E FY20E
brands to be profitable in FY19E, resulting in 230 bps improvement in EBITDA
Revenue 108261 121495 139008
margins of the branded apparel business between FY18-20E. Further, its
Growth (%) 17.2 12.2 14.4
EBITDA 9650 11464 14723
verticalization strategy in its textiles business by focusing on garmenting business
EBITDA margin (%) 8.9 9.4 10.6 would positively impact the RoCE of the business. We believe that Arvind being a
PAT 3158 4211 6506 major player in branded apparel business and having long history in textiles
EPS 12.2 16.3 25.2 business would be benefited by rising disposable income, growth in retail sector
EPS Growth (%) (1) 33 54 and increasing preference towards branded apparels. We believe that the
Book value (Rs/share) 158 172 194 demerger of branded apparel and engineering business would unlock value of
Dividend per share (Rs) 2.4 2.4 2.4
each of the businesses post listing. We initiate coverage on the stock with BUY
ROCE (%) 8.8 10.2 13.3
ROE (%) 8.1 9.9 13.8
recommendation and SOTP based target price of Rs 500.
P/E (x) 32.6 24.4 15.8
EV/EBITDA (x) 13.8 11.6 9.0
Key investment argument
P/BV (x) 2.5 2.3 2.1
Largest portfolio of brands managed by qualified professionals. Arvind
Source: Kotak Securities - PCG; Company
has a portfolio of 15 international licensed brands and 12 in-house brands
Shareholding Pattern (%) targeting different segments and are managed by qualified and experienced
(%) Jun-18 Mar-18 Dec-17 professionals. The company has delivered robust track record in certain brands
Promoters 42.9 42.9 42.9 in terms of their sales performance in India and built relationship of over 20
FII 21.9 27.1 27.1
years with the brand owners. Based on this, the company registered revenue
DII 18.6 13.8 14.1
and EBIT CAGR (organic + inorganic) of 22.3% and 32.1%, respectively in
Others 16.6 13.8 15.9
branded apparel business in FY13-18. We expect that the trend to continue
Source: Company
with 20.6% CAGR in revenue and 41.2% CAGR in EBITDA in FY18-20E.
Price Performance (%)
Margins to improve with all brands business turning profitable. Over the
(%) 1M 3M 6M
years, Arvind had built up strong portfolio of licensed international brands and
Arvind Ltd (1.5) (5.2) (11.0)
has been investing in growing them. The rise in scale of operation of these
Nifty 2.2 4.2 1.1
Source: Bloomberg
brands resulted in increased contribution to the bottomline. At the end of
FY18, barring three brands, all others were EBITDA positive. The balance three
Price chart brands are expected to be profitable in FY19E led by increased scale of
500 operation. In addition, its Power brands like Arrow, US Polo and Flying
Machine which command higher margins should maintain their pace in terms
450
of growth. Based on this, we expect 230 bps improvement in EBITDA margins
400 of branded apparel business in FY18-20E.
Kotak Securities Limited has two independent equity research groups: Institutional Equities and Private Client Group. This report has been prepared by the Private Client Group. The
views and opinions expressed in this document may or may not match or may be contrary with the views, estimates, rating, target price of the Institutional Equities Research Group
of Kotak Securities Limited.
JULY 23, 2018
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JULY 23, 2018
COMPANY BACKGROUND
Arvind Ltd, founded in 1931 by Lalbhai family, is a leading textiles company with
interest in Textiles, Branded Apparel and Accessories, Engineering, etc. The
company manufactures and sells about 300 million meters (mn mtr) of fabrics and
over 30 mn pieces of garments (FY18). In branded apparels business, the
company’s own brands such as Flying Machine, Colt, Ruggers and Excalibur, etc.
It also has a portfolio of licensed brands which includes US Polo Association,
Arrow, Tommy Hilfiger (TH), Gap, Calvin Klein (CK), Hanes, Gant, Nautica, Izod, Ed
Hardy, Elle, Cherokee, The Children’s Place, Aeropostale, etc. It also owns the value
chain ‘Unlimited’ and is the franchise partner of the world’s largest beauty retailer
‘Sephora’. In engineering business, it designs and manufactures critical process
equipment for petrochemical, fertilizer, power and other process industries.
History
Year Event
1931 The Lalbhai family founded Arvind Mills
1980 Flying Machine was launched
1986 First Denim Plant at Naroda Road, Ahmedabad
1987 Started High Value cotton shirting
1993 Tie-up for Global brands Arrow
1996 Set up modern textile manufacturing units at Santej, Ahmedabad
1998 Set up of shirting facility at Santej, Ahmedabad
2008 Name changed from Arvind Mills to Arvind
2010 Arvind Stores was setup for Selling its brands
2011 Expanded fglobal; brands portfolio by adding Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Gap, Ed Hardy,
Hanes, Nautica and Elle
2014 Global patent for Polymeric Film Evaporation Technology by Arvind Envisol
2014 Launched Create brand
2016 Tied up with Sachin Tendulkar to launch True Blue
2017 launches its own Ready-To-Wear brand
2017 Announced demerger and listing of its branded apparel (Arvind Fashions) and Engineering
(Anup Engineering) businesses
Source: Company
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JULY 23, 2018
Business verticals
Textiles: The textiles business is operated by parent company Arvind limited and
involves manufacturing of wide variety of fabrics including, woven, knitted, denim
etc. The company has positioned itself as a leading fabrics and apparel supplier
to world’s top brands. The company has manufacturing capacity of 100 mn meter
per annum of denim, 132 mn mt p.a. of woven fabrics, 12,000 tonnes p.a. of
knitted fabric and garmenting capacity of ~30mn pieces per annum. The company
is focused on verticalization of textiles business by manufacturing garment with
large focus on exports. Its garmenting facilities are located in India and Ethiopia.
The company intends to expand its garment facilities to 3x in next 3 years by
adding capacities in Jharkhand and Ethiopia. The company is also focusing on
next generation clothing segment such as activewear, sportswear, etc using man
made fibers and blends.
Brand & Retail Business: Arvind has a portfolio of 15 international brands and
12 owned brands which would be part of Arvind Fashions Ltd (AFL) post
demerger. Its brand CK and TH which was earlier controlled by JV company would
now be part of AFL. These two brands contribute Rs 4.8 bn or 12.5% to AFL
revenue. Out of its 12 owned brands, Flying Machine is sold through multiple
channels while balance 11 inhouse brands are sold through its own value retail
store ‘Unlimited’. In terms of distribution of brands, ~25-30% of brand business
comes from wholesale channel, while balance are through EBOs, departmental
stores (large format stores) and online. The company categorizes its large size
high growth brands with higher margins (at 12.2% in FY18) as Power brand which
includes US Polo, Arrow and Flying Machine. Power brands contributed 59% of
FY18 brand revenue and have been growing a CAGR of ~24% in terms of revenue
and 26% in terms of EBITDA.
Engineering business: Anup Engineering would take care of engineering and
fabrication business post demerger. It is the 3rd largest heavy fabrication player
in India. The company manufactures critical process equipment like Heat
Exchangers, Pressure Vessels, Reactors, Columns/Towers, Centrifuges, etc.
Other business: The company is also present in technical textiles through its
Advance Materials division and is part of parent company Arvind Ltd. The division
caters to sectors such as infrastructure, healthcare, energy, aviation, and industrial.
Arvind’s subsidiary, Arvind Envisol Ltd. is specialized on supply of water and waste
water treatment plants for Industrial Process and provides environmental
solutions.
New businesses: The new business which are B2C and retail are part of Arvind
Ltd. But post demerger, these businesses would be merged with AFL. Under this,
the company has two businesses which includes 1) footwear where it has three
own brands along with 2 international brands, and 2) customized premium
clothing under the brand ‘Creyate’. These businesses are expected to be profitable
in FY19E.
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Top management
Name Designation Details
Sanjay S. Lalbhai Chairman and MD Under his leadership, Arvind has become one of the largest manufacturers of woven textiles
in India, and one of the largest denim fabric manufacturers in the world. He was also
responsible for acquiring India’s first denim brand ‘Flying Machine’ in 1981. He also serves on
the board of several premier educational and research institutes.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Punit Lalbhai Executive Director He has done MBA from INSEAD and a Masters of Environmental Science from Yale University.
He leads Arvind's Advanced Materials, Engineering, and Agribusinesses. He also spearheads
initiatives in sustainability, CSR, and innovation at Arvind.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Kulin Lalbhai Executive Director He holds an MBA from the Harvard Business School, and a BSc in Electrical Engineering from
the Stanford University. Prior to his current role, he has also been a management consultant
at Mckinsey & Co. He is driving new initiatives in the consumer businesses of the group. He
has been instrumental in setting up several new retail concepts and also spearheads the
group’s digital initiatives. He also plays an active role in the overall corporate strategy.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jayesh Shah Whole-time Director and CFO He is an associate member of ICAI and a Commerce Graduate from Gujarat University. He was
working with the group in its various business divisions since 1985 and in the year 2002,
became Director on the Board. Mr. Shah has extensive administrative, financial regulatory and
managerial expertise with his vast experience in the field. He successfully undertook a financial
restructuring of the company during the period 2000-02.
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JULY 23, 2018
INVESTMENT RATIONALE
Largest portfolio of brands managed by qualified professionals
Arvind has a portfolio of 15 international licensed brands and 12 in-house brands.
The international brands include 3 retail brands GAP, The Children’s Place and
Sephora which are part of specialty retail segment and balance 12 licensed brands
and one own brand (Flying Machine) are sold through multiple channels. The
channel wise mix for these brands includes 40% from EBOs, 25% from
LFS/departmental, 25% from wholesale and 10% from online. Two third of its EBOs
are based on franchisee and balance are owned stores. Further, its 12 own
branded are sold through own retail Unlimited. The brand business is managed
by qualified and experienced professionals who have vast experience in consumer
and fashion industry.
The company has delivered strong track record in certain brands in terms of their
sales performance in India and built relationship of over 20 years with the brand
owners. This is well evident from the track record of its brand and retail division.
In the last 5 years (FY13-18), the company registered revenue and EBIT CAGR
(organic + inorganic) of 22.4% and 32.1%, respectively in branded apparel
business. Its major brands like US Polo, Arrow and Flying Machine are categorized
as power brands which grew at 24% CAGR with consistent double digit margins
in the last five years (of 12.2% in FY18). Based on this strong portfolio of brands,
the company is prepared to encash on the emerging opportunity in Indian
branded apparel space.
Licensed Brands
Brand Brand Details
Arrow Arrow is the premium menswear brand and known for its classic American styling and is owned by
Phillips-Van Heusen (PVH). Arvind continued to remain sole licensee of the brand in India despite the
brand getting acquired by PVM. The brand's heritage is in dress shirts, and its offerings have expanded
to include sportswear.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
US Polo The U.S. Polo Assn. brand carries clothing for men, women and children, as well as accessories,
luggage, watches, shoes, home furnishings and more. Since its first store opened in 2011, US Polo
achieved Rs 10 bn plus sales within 5 years.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Excalibur It is British Formal Brand and offers wardrobe solutions from work to after hours, with a youthful flavor
and cementing its position as an arbiter of taste and style.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ed Hardy Ed Hardy is an alternative lifestyle fashion brand that celebrates the classic American tattoo as an art
form.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cherokee American family-lifestyle brand, offering classic, casual comfort at affordable prices
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Izod American brand was founded in 1937 and is a mid-range clothing company that produces dressy
casual clothing, sportswear for men. It is part of PVH, forming part of its Heritage Brands division.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ELLE ELLE, the largest selling fashion magazine in the world and is based in France. The group, now in
partnership with Arvind Lifestyle Brands, brings to India the ELLE range of French fashion wear.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Grant GANT, is an international clothing brand based in Sweden. It is recognized as skilled shirt makers and
is now also in making jeans, wool sweaters, outerwear and polo shirts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Nautica An American brand, founded in 1983, Nautica is a leading water-inspired global lifestyle brand
including men’s, women’s and children’s apparel, accessories and a complete home collection. Nautica
products are classics that are rich in performance, color and authentic style.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hanes Founded in 1991 in US, Hanes caters across men’s, kids’ and women’s intimate apparel and innerwear
categories.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GAP Gap is global mega brand which is over 110 years and serves to value-conscious customers with
exclusively-designed collections for Gap Outlet and Gap Factory Stores and includes Gap, Banana
Republic, Old Navy, Athleta and Intermix. Gap is the namesake brand for leading global specialty
retailer, Gap Inc. Gap targets Women's and Men's apparel and accessories
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Aéropostale It is primarily mall-based, specialty retailer of casual apparel and accessories, principally targeting
young women and men through its Aéropostale stores. It provides customers with a focused selection
of high quality fashion and fashion basic merchandise at compelling values in an exciting store
environment
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The Childrens Place The Children’s Place is the largest pure-play children’s specialty apparel retailer in North America. The
Company designs, contracts to manufacture, sells and licenses to sell fashionable, high-quality
merchandise at value prices, primarily under the proprietary “The Children’s Place,” “Place” and “Baby
Place” brand names.
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JULY 23, 2018
20000
12.0%
15000
11.5%
10000
11.0%
5000
0 10.5%
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
Kotak Securities – Private Client Research Please see the Disclosure/Disclaimer on the last page For Private Circulation 8
JULY 23, 2018
Source: Company
Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research
60
50
50
37
40
31 31
30 24
19
20 15
12
10
0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E
Kotak Securities – Private Client Research Please see the Disclosure/Disclaimer on the last page For Private Circulation 9
JULY 23, 2018
mn pcs per annum capacity in Ethiopia. Further, the company is also investing in
India in states where government has given sops. It is investing in Jharkhand
where the government is giving labour incentive upto 50% which would make it
competitive against other countries like Bangladesh. We believe that the
company’s focus towards low cost destination would help it in competing against
international peers.
Transaction detail
Source: Company
Existing structure: Businesses under divisions and subsidiaries Proposed structure: Independent Listed companies
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JULY 23, 2018
Textile and apparel industry in India (US$ bn) Textiles and apparel exports from India (US$ bn)
300 100
250 82
250
80
200
150 60
137
150
108 36.75 36.66 37.85
40
100
50 20
0 0
2015 2016 2017 2019F FY16 FY17 FY18 2021F
1400
Organized Trade Unorganized Trade
1200 100%
1000
80%
800
600 60% 76%
92%
400
40%
200
0 20%
24%
0% 8%
2015 2020
Source: IBEF, BCG , KPMG- indiaretailing.com, Deloitte Report Source: IBEF, BCG , KPMG- indiaretailing.com, Deloitte Report
Kotak Securities – Private Client Research Please see the Disclosure/Disclaimer on the last page For Private Circulation 11
JULY 23, 2018
Source: Census
Trends in per-capita income in India (US$) Changing economic fortunes by income segments
100%
2500 15%
30% 26%
80%
2000 32%
60%
40%
1500 43%
40% 29%
1000 20% 25%
23% 17%
3% 6% 7%
500 0% 1% 3%
2015 2020 2030
0 Globals(>22065.3) Strivers(11032.7-22065.3)
Seekers(4413.1-11032.7) Aspirers(1985.9-4413.1)
Deprived(<1985.9)
Source: IBEF, IMF, Mckinsey Global Institute, TechSci Research Source: IBEF, IMF, Mckinsey Global Institute, TechSci Research
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JULY 23, 2018
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JULY 23, 2018
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Revenue to grow at 13.4% CAGR in FY18-20E
We expect Arvind’s revenue and PAT to grow at a CAGR of 13.4% and 43.8%
respectively in FY18-20E. The growth in revenue is driven by 9% CAGR in textiles,
21% CAGR in branded apparels and 17.5% CAGR in engineering business. In
textiles business, we expect garment volumes to grow at a CAGR of 27% in FY18-
20E which would result in increased consumption of inhouse fabrics. We expect
17% CAGR in EBITDA for the segment in the period. We have assumed improved
performance in branded apparel segment with 20.6% CAGR in revenue and 41.2%
CAGR in EBITDA during the period driven by 230 bps improvement in EBITDA
margins for the segment in FY18-20E. We have estimated 17.5% CAGR in
engineering business with EBITDA margins of 24-25% in FY18-20E.
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Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research
EBITDA Margin & PAT Margin (%) RoCE & RoE (%)
10.0 15
8.0
10
6.0
4.0
5
2.0
0.0 0
FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research
0.60 3000
6,000
2000
0.50 4,000
1000
0.40 2,000 0
0.30 0 -1000
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research
Kotak Securities – Private Client Research Please see the Disclosure/Disclaimer on the last page For Private Circulation 15
JULY 23, 2018
SOTP valuation
Segment Parameter FY20E Multiple Value Per Share
Textiles EV/EBITDA 9,263 8 74,100 287
Apparels EV/EBITDA 4,683 16 74,930 290
Engineering EV/EBITDA 773 13 10,046 39
Others 1.5x BV 572 1.5 858 3
Net Debt 30,730 119
Value 129,204 500
Source: Kotak Securities - Private Client Research
Peer Comparison
Comparative Mcap FY13-18 FY13-18 FY20E FY20E FY18 FY18 FY18
(Rs bn) Sales PAT P/E (x) EV/EBITDA RoE RoCE Net D/E
CAGR (%) CAGR (%) (x) (%) (%) (x)
Arvind 103 13 44 15.8 11.6 8.1 8.8 0.8
Raymond 49 12 40 20.5 12.6 8.1 6.2 1.3
ABFRL 104 16 5 34.6 15.8 11.5 6.0 1.5
Source: Company, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research, Bloomberg Estimates
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Oct-11
Feb-12
Oct-12
Feb-13
Oct-13
Feb-14
Oct-14
Feb-15
Oct-15
Feb-16
Oct-16
Feb-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Source: Capitaline, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research Source: Capitaline, Kotak Securities - Private Client Research
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JULY 23, 2018
Financials: Consolidated
Profit and Loss Statement (Rs mn) Balance sheet (Rs mn)
(Year-end March) FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E (Year-end March) FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E
Revenues 92,355 108,261 121,495 139,008 Equity 37,184 40,881 44,366 50,145
% change yoy 15.3 17.2 12.2 14.4 Equity Share Capital 2,584 2,586 2,586 2,586
Raw Materials 42,094 52,738 58,455 66,881 Other Equity 33,086 35,242 38,727 44,506
Employees expenses 10,963 12,647 13,912 15,303 Liabilities 49,496 61,703 59,719 63,529
Other Expenses 29,893 33,227 37,663 42,100 Non-current liabilities 10,207 10,655 10,655 10,655
Total Expenditure 82,950 98,612 110,030 124,285 Financial Liabilities 8,016 8,927 8,927 8,927
Provisions 407 618 618 618
EBITDA 9,406 9,650 11,464 14,723 Other non-current liabilities 355 402 402 402
% change yoy (1.0) 2.6 18.8 28.4 Current liabilities 39,289 51,048 49,064 52,874
Depreciation 2,943 3,593 3,976 4,327 Financial Liabilities 37,892 48,800 46,541 49,987
Provisions 168 258 289 331
EBIT 6,463 6,056 7,488 10,396 Other current liabilities 1,229 1,990 2,233 2,555
Other Income 780 626 726 826 Total Equities & Liabilities 86,680 102,584 104,085 113,674
Interest 2,884 2,579 2,722 2,722 Non-current assets 45,846 47,190 47,845 48,154
Profit Before Tax 4,197 3,904 5,520 8,528 Property, Plant and Equipment 34,801 36,255 36,779 36,952
% change yoy (4.8) (7.0) 41.4 54.5 Capital work-in-progress 497 897 897 897
Tax 997 746 1,308 2,021 Goodwill, intangible & Others 2,381 3,632 3,632 3,632
as % of EBT 23.7 19.1 23.7 23.7 Investmnt & other financl assets 5,183 3,392 3,522 3,659
Deferred Tax Assets (Net) 2,242 2,205 2,205 2,205
PAT 3,201 3,158 4,212 6,507 Other non-current tax assets (Net) 742 808 808 808
% change yoy 1.2 (1.3) 33.4 54.5 Current assets 40,834 55,394 56,240 65,519
Shares outstanding (mn) 258 259 259 259 Inventories 23,828 26,194 29,396 34,276
EPS (Rs) 12.4 12.2 16.3 25.2 Financial Assets 12,622 22,220 25,009 29,143
DPS (Rs) 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 Receivable 7,948 17,670 19,830 22,688
CEPS (Rs) 23.8 26.1 31.7 41.9 Cash & Bank Balance 209 395 825 1,837
Others 4,465 4,156 4,356 4,620
BVPS (Rs) 143.8 158.1 171.6 193.9 Other current assets 4,384 6,980 1,836 2,100
Source: Company, Kotak Securities – Private Client Research Total Assets 86,680 102,584 104,085 113,674
Source: Company, Kotak Securities – Private Client Research
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JULY 23, 2018
RATING SCALE
Definitions of ratings
BUY – We expect the stock to deliver more than 12% returns over the next 12 months
ACCUMULATE – We expect the stock to deliver 5% - 12% returns over the next 12 months
REDUCE – We expect the stock to deliver 0% - 5% returns over the next 12 months
SELL – We expect the stock to deliver negative returns over the next 12 months
NR – Not Rated. Kotak Securities is not assigning any rating or price target to the stock. The
report has been prepared for information purposes only.
RS – Rating Suspended. Kotak Securities has suspended the investment rating and price target
for this stock, either because there is not a Sufficient fundamental basis for determining, or
there are legal, regulatory or policy constraints around publishing, an investment rating or
target. The previous investment rating and price target, if any, are no longer in effect for this
stock and should not be relied upon.
NA – Not Available or Not Applicable. The information is not available for display or is not
applicable
NM – Not Meaningful. The information is not meaningful and is therefore excluded.
NOTE – Our target prices are with a 12-month perspective. Returns stated in the rating scale are our
internal benchmark.
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Disclosure/Disclaimer
Kotak Securities Limited established in 1994, is a subsidiary of Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited. Kotak Securities is one of India's largest brokerage and distribution house.
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Kotak Securities Limited has two independent equity research groups: Institutional Equities and Private Client Group. This report has been prepared by the Private Client
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Kotak Securities – Private Client Research Please see the Disclosure/Disclaimer on the last page For Private Circulation 19