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systematic review and meta-analysis
Diane Farrar,1 Mark Simmonds,2 Maria Bryant,3 Trevor A Sheldon,4 Derek Tuffnell,5
Su Golder,6 Debbie A Lawlor7
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Figure 1 Search process.
outcomes (defined in any way by the trials) were gesta- this combines direct and indirect data to improve the esti-
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tional age at birth, birth weight (BW), macrosomia, LGA, mation of the effectiveness of treatments and specifically
shoulder dystocia, preterm birth (less than 37 weeks gesta- to try to estimate which is the most effective of a number
tion), neonatal hypoglycaemia, admission to neonatal of different treatment options.25–28 Analyses were under-
intensive care unit (NICU), caesarean section (elective taken for each dichotomous outcome using a Bayesian
or emergency), pre-eclampsia, pregnancy-induced hyper- approach, based on the models originally created by Lu
tension (PIH), induction of labour, instrumental birth and Ades,29 using the OpenBUGS30 software. The model
(forceps or ventouse), Apgar score at 5 min and negative has a ‘binominal-normal’ structure; that is, events were
treatment effects (eg, gastrointestinal upset, well-being). assumed to follow a binomial distribution, with log odds
Data on side effects and quality of life measures were and random effects being normally distributed. Vague
also examined. Conference abstracts and letters to jour- normal priors (mean 0, variance 10 000) were used
nals were eligible for inclusion if they reported sufficient except for heterogeneity, where an inverse-gamma (0.1,
outcome data. 0.1) distribution was used. The model fit and consistency
were assessed by comparing the results to the meta-anal-
Data extraction and risk of bias assessment yses comparing each treatment directly.
Title and abstract screening and then full-text screening Each model generated a comparison between treat-
were performed by two reviewers (DF, MS, MB or SG) ments, expressed as an OR and as a percentage indicating
with disagreements resolved by consensus or by the the probability that the treatment was the best treatment
third reviewer. The risk of bias of the included trials was to reduce the incidence of the adverse outcome. ORs
assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool,22 which were used to ensure model stability because log ORs more
considers sequence generation, allocation concealment, closely follow a normal distribution than RRs. The proba-
blinding of participants and medical staff to treatment bilities of being most effective treatment were calculated
allocation, blinding of assessors, loss to follow-up, selec- from the posterior odds as part of the Bayesian model
tive reporting of outcomes and other sources of bias. developed by Lu and Ades.29 This approach was not
Each criterion was classified as being at low or high risk of possible for continuously measured outcomes and so was
bias or unclear. Two reviewers independently assessed all not undertaken for gestational age, BW and Apgar score.
criteria (DF, MS or SG). As there were no trials comparing diet modification to
pharmacological treatments, diet modification could not
Statistical analysis be included in the network meta-analyses.
Trials were divided into categories according to
the following included treatments: (1) insulin versus
metformin; (2) insulin versus glibenclamide (glybu- Results
ride); (3) metformin versus glibenclamide; (4) packages Details of included and excluded trials
of care: diet or dietary advice with or without exercise A total of 12 234 citations were identified by the orig-
or glucose monitoring, with or without supplemental inal and the two update searches. These citations were
metformin, glibenclamide or insulin, compared with combined with three additional citations identified by
routine antenatal care; and (5) comparisons of different previous systematic reviews conducted prior to our first
dietary modifications. searches.1–5 Following de-duplication and inclusion of
For dichotomous outcomes, the relative risk (RR) additional records, 6437 citations were reviewed. Of
comparing each group, with its 95% CI, was calculated these, 214 were judged potentially eligible based on title
from the numbers of outcome events in each randomised and abstract. After obtaining the full-text publications
group and the number randomised to each group. For and assessing eligibility, 42 trials were included, and 35
continuous outcomes, the difference in means between of these were combined in at least one meta-analysis
groups was calculated from the mean and SD of the (figure 1).
outcome. For each outcome and within each of the treat- Having extracted data from the RCTs assessing packages
ment categories, RRs or differences in means were pooled of care and dietary intervention comparisons (table 1),
in random-effects DerSimonian-Laird meta-analyses.23 we decided that it was not appropriate to pool results
Heterogeneity was assessed using I2. 24 Analyses were from trials comparing dissimilar dietary modification
performed to investigate differences in risk of outcomes interventions (table 1). Packages of care included various
across varying degrees of hyperglycaemia (defined by a combinations of interventions; however, all packages of
positive/negative GDM screening and diagnostic test). care compared with routine care trial results were pooled
Because of the large number of treatments and outcome in meta-analyses.
comparisons, pooled estimates only are presented in the We included eight publications not included in any
main paper. Tests for publication bias were considered, previous published review. One compared metformin
but not performed, because there were insufficient trials and insulin31; one, glibenclamide and insulin32; four,
in any meta-analysis for such tests to be reliable. packages of care with routine care33–36; and two
We also conducted a network meta-analysis to combine compared different dietary modification interven-
information across multiple treatments simultaneously; tions.37 38 Six of these trials were reported after the
Trials comparing a package of care (starting with dietary modification) to routine care
Bevier45 1999 USA 103 50 g OGCT >7.8 Positive OGCT, negative 100 g Dietary counselling and Routine care If needed Yes Apgar 5 min, BW,
OGTT, levels not reported home monitoring C-section, GA at
birth, induction,
instrumental birth,
macrosomia, pre-
eclampsia, shoulder
dystocia
Bonomo46 2005 Italy 300 Risk factors and 50 g Positive OGCT >7.8, negative 100 Dietary advice and Routine care Not reported Yes Apgar 5 min,
OGCT g OGTT ‘C&C criteria’ monitoring BW, C-section,
GA at birth,
LGA, macrosomia,
NN hypoglycaemia,
NICU admission
Crowther47 2005 UK/Australia 1000 Risk factors or 50 g 75 g OGTT fasting <7.8 and Individualised dietary Routine care If needed Yes Apgar 5 min <7,
OGCT 2 hours >7.8 and <11.1 advice, monitoring BW, C-section GA
and pharmacological at birth, induction,
treatments macrosomia, NN
hypoglycaemia,
NICU admission,
pre-eclampsia,
shoulder dystocia
Deveer33 2013 Turkey 100 Universal 50 g OGCT Positive OGCT, negative 100 g Calorie diet Routine care Not reported Yes BW, C-section,
>7.8 and <10.0 OGTT fasting <5.3, 1 hour <10.0, GA at birth, LGA,
2 hours <8.8 and 3 hours <7.8 macrosomia, NICU
admission, pre-
eclampsia, preterm
birth
Elnour48 2006 UAE 180 Not reported 100 g OGTT, ‘C&C criteria’ Diet education, Routine care If needed Yes C-section, LGA,
exercise, monitoring macrosomia, NN
and pharmacological hypoglycaemia,
treatments NICU admission,
pre-eclampsia,
preterm birth,
shoulder dystocia
Fadl34 2015 Sweden 66 Risk factors 75 g OGTT<7.0, >10.0, <12.2 Diet education, Routine care If needed in Yes BW, C-section,
exercise, monitoring intervention LGA, GA at birth,
and pharmacological group only macrosomia,
treatments pre-eclampsia,
instrumental birth,
induction, NICU
admission
Continued
Continued
5
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Open Access
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in 2014 or 2015; the remaining two trials (dietary modi-
BW, birth weight; C-section, caesarean section; DASH diet, dietary approaches to stop hypertension; GA; gestational age; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; LGA, large for gestational age;
Insulin use in In meta- Meta-analysis
fication interventions or packages of care) did not fulfil
other review’s inclusion criteria. Few trials reported side
analyses outcome
effects or measures of participant satisfaction or well-
being.
– Trials generally included women with GDM diagnosed
–
following a 75 or 100 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT)
using a variety of international39–41 and locally42 43 recom-
No
No
No
No
No
mended thresholds; although some included women with
‘mild or borderline’ GDM (positive oral glucose chal-
NICU, neonatal intensive care unit; NN, neonatal; OGCT, oral glucose challenge test; OGTT, oral glucose tolerance test; PIH, pregnancy-induced hypertension.
lenge test (OGCT), negative OGTT) and others included
diet group
If needed*
If needed
If needed
If needed
If needed
women with IGT, current diagnostic criteria16 44, however,
may now consider these women as having GDM rather
than a separate and milder condition.
moderate-GI
Control diet
Usual diet
Usual diet
High-fibre
Control
diet
poor with the result that risk of bias was generally unclear
or high (online supplementary table 1). The rando-
Low glycaemia load diet
DASH diet
50 g OGCT fasting
Not reported
50 g OGCT
124
No
99
83
33
Australia
China
Spain
trials.
2011
2015
2013
2000
2015
First author Year
Rae57
Yao38
Ma37
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Figure 2 Forest plots for treatment comparisons and perinatal outcomes. (A) Packages of care (starting with dietary
modification) versus routine care: dichotomous outcomes. (B) Packages of care (starting with dietary modification) versus
routine care: continuous outcomes. (C) Metformin versus insulin: dichotomous outcomes. (D) Metformin versus insulin:
continuous outcomes. (E) Glibenclamide versus insulin: dichotomous outcomes. (F) Glibenclamide versus insulin: continuous
outcomes. (G) Glibenclamide versus metformin: dichotomous outcomes. (H) Glibenclamide versus metformin: continuous
outcomes.
routine care. Data from these 12 trials are combined in at 1 and 2). None of these seven trials reported side effects
least one meta-analysis (figure 2A,B). or quality of life measures.
Seven trials37 38 53–57 evaluated a variety of dietary The composition of the dietary modification was
modifications and compared them to other dietary poorly reported in the ‘packages of care’ trials (the 12
modifications (table 1). The composition of each dietary trials included in the meta-analyses). Overall (in all pack-
modification was generally well reported; however, the ages of care and dietary modification trials), 10 out of
interventions and comparisons were too diverse to allow 19 trials reported that insulin was provided if required;
pooling of data. There was no evidence that one type of in one trial, insulin was only provided if needed in the
dietary modification was superior over another, although intervention group; and for the remainder, it was unclear
trials included few women (online supplementary figures or not reported if supplemental insulin was provided.
The screening and diagnostic tests, criteria and glucose
thresholds used to define GDM (and included/exclude outcomes (eg, LGA), only data from one of these trials
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women in the trials) varied across the trials (table 1). For are available; it is therefore not possible to make robust
the meta-analysis, the varying forms of dietary modifi- conclusions about the relative benefits of metformin and
cation and/or pharmacological treatment use were not glibenclamide from these direct comparisons. No trials
examined. reported side effects or quality of life measures.
Packages of care (starting with dietary modification
and possibly including monitoring and pharmacolog- Network meta-analysis comparing glibenclamide
ical interventions) reduced the risk of shoulder dystocia (glyburide), insulin and metformin
by 60%, LGA and macrosomia by around 50%, pre-ec- Figure 3 shows the relationship of treatment compar-
lampsia by 20% and the incidence of caesarean section by isons, and table 5 shows the estimated probability of
10% compared with routine care (figure 2A), although a treatment being the most effective at reducing the
for pre-eclampsia and caesarean section, the CIs included risk of each dichotomous outcome. Only dichotomous
the null value. BW was reduced by approximately 110 g in outcomes reported in at least two glibenclamide trials
the packages of care compared with routine care group (either in comparison to insulin or metformin) were
(figure 2B). The degree of heterogeneity (I2) varied by included in these analyses to ensure that there were suffi-
outcome from 0% to 77%. No ‘packages of care trial’ cient trials (and participants) included. When all three
reported side effects; two trials reported quality of life treatments are jointly compared, these analyses suggest
scores47 48 indicating higher (better) quality of life scores that, for all outcomes, with the exception of caesarean
for women in the intervention compared with the routine section, metformin is most likely to be the most effective
care group. treatment, with its probability of being most effective in
reducing risk being 96.3%, 94.0%, 92.8%, 84.0% and
Trials comparing metformin with insulin 61.2%, respectively, for neonatal hypoglycaemia, macro-
Eleven trials compared metformin with insulin somia, LGA, pre-eclampsia and admission to NICU (the
(table 2).31 43 58–66 However, most trials reported supple- probability of being most effective for reducing risk of
mental insulin use in the metformin group with the caesarean section was 9.7% for metformin, glibenclamide
exception of two trials.31 64 The risk of most outcomes, was most likely to be most effective at reducing the risk of
including LGA, macrosomia, NICU admission, neonatal caesarean section (79.9%)). The results of the network
hypoglycaemia, pre-eclampsia, PIH and induction of meta-analysis (figure 4) are consistent with the direct
labour, was lower in those randomised to metformin comparisons between treatments shown in figure 2A–H,
rather than insulin; instrumental delivery was greater in suggesting that metformin is more effective than insulin
those randomised to insulin (figure 2C). BW, gestational or glibenclamide at reducing the majority of adverse
age and Apgar score as continuous measurements did not outcomes. However, many of these comparisons are
differ notably between the two treatments (figure 2D). based on small numbers and have wide CIs that some-
Six trials reported the proportion of women with times include the null value.
metformin-associated gastrointestinal upset (between
4% and 46%).58–60 63 65 66 No trial reported quality of life
measures. Discussion
The key finding of our review is that, despite under-
Trials comparing glibenclamide (glyburide) with insulin standing of hyperglycaemia/GDM and its relationship
Nine trials compared glibenclamide with insulin to adverse perinatal outcomes having existed for at least
(table 3).32 67–74 Figure 2E shows the RRs of dichotomous seven decades78 and 42 RCTs completed on its treatment,
outcomes, suggesting that insulin may be relatively more trials are still being conducted that are of limited size
effective than glibenclamide in reducing the risk of several and of poor quality (with subsequent unclear or high
adverse outcomes; CIs are wide and include the null risk of bias), and therefore, which treatment is the most
value however. There was no difference between insulin effective remains unclear. Given the changing character-
and glibenclamide for continuous outcomes (figure 2F). istics of the population and the lower fasting diagnostic
One trial reported that glibenclamide was associated with threshold (compared with previous criteria)40 recom-
side effects in 3/48 (6%) of women.72 No trial reported mended by the International Association of Diabetes and
quality of life measures. Pregnancy Study Groups (IADPSG)44 and UK NICE,16
it is important to understand how treatments affect
Trials comparing glibenclamide (glyburide) with metformin outcomes for these women. Trials do not always report
Only three trials were identified that directly compared GDM diagnostic criteria clearly, and this is important
glibenclamide with metformin, and these were rela- considering the potential influence on GDM popula-
tively small trials including between 149 and 200 women tion size and the magnitude of effect.16 44 Our detailed
(table 4).75–77 Figure 2G shows the risk of dichotomous, review, including only evidence from RCTs, provides
and figure 2H shows continuous outcomes. These suggest some support for a ‘step up approach’ in the treatment
that metformin is more effective at reducing risk of LGA of hyperglycaemia, from dietary interventions, through
and possibly macrosomia. However, for several of the addition of metformin (in preference to glibenclamide
9
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Open Access
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BW, GA birth, macrosomia, hypoglycaemia, NICU
that hyperglycaemia in pregnancy has various causes and
BW, birth weight; C-section, caesarean section; GA, gestational age; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; LGA, large for gestational age; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit.
hypoglycaemia, pre-eclampsia
to be conducted that pay little attention to the influence
of non-pharmacological treatments for GDM and often
do not provide information on the severity of hypergly-
caemia in treatment groups.
We have taken a pragmatic approach to evaluating
the many trials examining treatment packages of care
for women diagnosed with hyperglycaemia/GDM so
Screening strategy* Outcome
Universal OGTT
50 g OGCT>7.3
No screening
Not reported
Not reported
96
60
97
68
64
the two largest, which are also the highest quality trials;
Location
Brazil
India
India
India
USA
USA
USA
Iran
2000
2015
2012
2007
2007
2013
Year
72
67
Langer70
Tempe74
Bertini68
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Apgar 5 min, BW, C-section, GA at birth, LGA, macrosomia,
recently recommended criteria. Hence, we feel that it is
BW, birth weight; C-section, caesarean section; GA, gestational age; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; LGA, large for gestational age; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit.
women with GDM.
The evidence to support metformin use, although
encouraging, has certain weaknesses. First, although
149
200
Location No
USA
2010
2012
Year
Moore75
George
Silva77
First
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Figure 3 Network meta-analysis, relationship of treatment
comparisons.
Research Council ((MC_UU_12013/5) and she holds a NIHR Senior Investigator 16. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Diabetes in
BMJ Open: first published as 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-015557 on 24 June 2017. Downloaded from http://bmjopen.bmj.com/ on April 12, 2021 by guest. Protected by copyright.
award (NF-SI-0611-10196).The views and opinions expressed therein are those of pregnancy: management of diabetes and its complications from
the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the HTA, NIHR, MRC, UK National preconception to the postnatal period. National collaborating centre
Health Service (NHS) or the Department of Health. for Women's and Children's Health 2015 https://www.nice.org.uk/
guidance/ng3.
Competing interests All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure 17. HigginsJPT, Green S. Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of
form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: no support from Interventions Version 5.1.0. Cochrane Library, 2011.
any organisation for the submitted work; no financial relationships with any 18. Centre for Reviews and Dissemination. Systematic reviews: CRD's
organisations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous guidance for undertaking a systematic review York: CRD, University
three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced of York, 2009.
19. PRISMA. Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-
the submitted work.
analyses. http://www.prisma-statement.org/
Patient consent Consent is not required when conducting a systematic review. 20. Farrar D, Simmonds M, Griffin S, et al. The identification and
treatment of women with hyperglycaemia in pregnancy: an analysis
Ethics approval This study did not require ethical approval as the data used have of individual participant data, systematic reviews, meta-analyses
been published previously, and hence are already in the public domain. and an economic evaluation. Health Technol Assess 2016;20:1-
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed. 348.
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Data sharing statement Extracted data are available upon request to the partnership to improve research: the experience of the
corresponding author. Cochrane Collaboration's Pregnancy and Childbirth Group. Birth
2001;28:133–7.
Open Access This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the 22. The Cochrane Collaboration. The Cochrane Collaboration’s tool for
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