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Weather window analysis of Irish west coast wave data with relevance to
operations & maintenance of marine renewables
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Renewable Energy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/renene
Weather window analysis of Irish west coast wave data with relevance to
operations & maintenance of marine renewables
M. O’Connor*, T. Lewis, G. Dalton
Hydraulics and Maritime Research Centre (HMRC), University College Cork, Cork, Ireland
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: This paper presents the results of a weather window analysis of wave data from the west coast of Ireland
Received 27 March 2012 in order to quantify the levels of access to marine renewables for operation and maintenance activities.
Accepted 19 October 2012 Operating and maintaining marine renewables offshore requires suitable weather windows when
Available online 20 November 2012
devices can be accessed. It is important to quantify what the levels of access are off the Irish west coast,
given its high wind and wave resource. Wave data from two wave buoys are analysed to quantify the
Keywords:
levels of access that exist off the west coast. The general wave regimes at both sites are quantified. The
Access
levels of access at various operations and maintenance (O/M) access limits are presented together with
Availability
Exceedance
waiting periods between windows. The levels of access observed off the west coast are then compared to
Persistence levels of access observed at other marine renewable locations. The results indicate that the levels of
access off the west coast are far below those observed at other marine renewable locations. The
implications of these low levels of access suggest that maintaining wave energy converters, off the west
coast, may not be feasible and devices will need to be brought ashore for O/M activities.
Ó 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction To quantify the levels of access that exist off the west coast, wave
data from two wave buoys located off the west coast of Ireland have
This paper presents the results of a weather window analysis of been analysed and the data used to quantify the following:
wave data from the west coast of Ireland in order to quantify the
levels of access to marine renewables, which may be deployed 1. Wave energy resource at both sites.
there for operation and maintenance (O/M) activities. Once marine 2. Annual mean exceedance at both sites by showing the
renewable devices, such as offshore wind turbines or wave energy percentage of the year that the wave heights are above a certain
converters (WEC) have been deployed at sea, maintaining them will level.
not be as simple as for maintaining similar devices onshore. There 3. Wave height frequency by highlighting the annual percentage
are many factors in an offshore environment that make operating each individual wave height makes up of the total wave regime
and maintaining a device more difficult, costly and time at both sites.
consuming. The main factor is that of access. In order to operate and 4. The seasonality of the wave regimes by showing the number of
maintain offshore marine renewables, a device will have to be hours each month, as well as annually, which the wave height
accessible for a certain period of time. This will require a weather is below a certain level.
window consisting of a consecutive period of wave heights low 5. The number of weather windows for various access limits both
enough and long enough for the device to be accessed to undertake as a number of windows occurring in a year as well as the
the required O/M task. Wind speeds may also be a factor, particu- percentage of the year that these windows make up.
larly for work involving cranes. However as wave heights are the 6. The waiting periods between windows, by showing the longest
predominant factor for accessing offshore renewables this report waiting period, or worst case scenario, between windows of
will only consider wave heights. a certain length that occur each winter, as well as showing the
mean waiting periods between windows of certain lengths.
0960-1481/$ e see front matter Ó 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2012.10.021
58 M. O’Connor et al. / Renewable Energy 52 (2013) 57e66
weather windows for installation or decommissioning of offshore turbines and wind farms, and onshore turbines have availability
marine renewables will not be discussed in this paper. levels of 98% or more. However once these wind turbines are placed
offshore the restricted accessibility of the site can make things
2. Literature review much worse. Van Bussel states [5] “This is dependent upon the
wave and wind conditions of the location of the offshore wind farm,
Maintaining offshore marine renewables, such as WEC’s, will but also upon the way in which access is obtained to the wind
not be as simple as maintaining similar devices onshore or in a near turbines”.
shore environment. According to Wolfram [1] “As wave energy An example of this is the large North Sea wind farm at Horns
converters will be deployed in regions of high waves and hence Rev, the availability drops to around 90% with accessibility by vessel
high winds, there may be times when access is not possible by at around 65% [5]. This is significantly lower than for the two other
either boat or helicopter”. There are two main options discussed by farms situated in the Danish inner seas [5]. Van Bussel mentions
Wolfram for carrying out repairs for offshore devices. that one method to increase the accessibility is by using a heli-
copter for maintenance crew transfers to the turbine, which in the
1) To maintain and repair the device on location case of Horns Rev results in availability going up to 95%. However
2) To disconnect them and return to a shore base the use of helicopters for offshore wind farm transfers is not very
straightforward and is also quite expensive. In the case of Horns Rev
It was concluded by Wolfram that a corrective or breakdown the wind turbines had to be equipped with a platform on the
maintenance strategy would be a less viable option for many wave nacelle, in order to enable maintenance crews to land down from
energy converters, and a planned maintenance programme would a hovering helicopter.
be the preferred option. In order to ensure high availability of offshore turbines or other
These planned maintenance activities will likely be scheduled marine renewables, fast on-site repairs or device recovery must be
for the periods of calmest weather conditions, usually around mid- carried out. It is therefore important that devices have as high
summer. Given that access will be limited during the winter a level of accessibility as possible and also important to quantify
months, it would appear, according to Wolfram that “the most what the levels of access are for marine renewables off the Irish
practical maintenance interval for many devices would be 1 year. coast. Another important reason for quantifying the levels of access
This could be extended to several years for major maintenance is that of economics. According to Dalton [6] more detailed research
tasks. However some subsystems will need routine annual main- is required to determine specifics of device service times as well as
tenance, such as oil or fluid changes, to reduce the risk of wear out weather windows before more reliable cost estimates for wave
failures during the normal service life”. Therefore WEC’s and other energy projects can be confidently assessed. Walker et al. [7]
marine renewables “should be designed to have very high overall assessed the cost implications of weather windows for wave
system reliability for at least one year, which is likely to involve energy device deployment at UK test sites. They conclude that the
redundancy in many components”. It is highly likely that during the primary influencing factor on the installation capital expenditure is
initial deployment of a WEC when reliability is still improving, it the downtime due to weather windows and when planning oper-
may be difficult to avoid relying on an unplanned breakdown ations, an understanding of weather windows is essential.
maintenance scheme, as was the case with the offshore wind
industry [1]. 2.2. Access methods & limits
The selection of a suitable maintenance strategy is, according to
Cruz [2] “vital to ensure the long term reliability of the components, 2.2.1. Offshore wind
in particular for wave energy converters. The design for reliability The conventional and most commonly used access method to
and the initial maintenance schedules must be cautious because offshore wind turbines is the so called boat-to-ladder transfer.
systems failures can be aggravated and there may be no suitable According to Salzman [8], “Over 90% of all maintenance actions only
weather window immediately available to retrieve the machines in require the transfer of personnel and of parts which can be carried
the event of any given failure”. by man or lifted by a turbine’s permanent internal crane”. The
simple boat to ladder method allows the personnel to walk directly
2.1. Access & availability up to the turbine ladder from a vessel’s bow. Safe transfers are
enabled by intentionally creating frictional contact between the
The issue of accessibility, the percentage of time that a device vessel’s bow and the turbine’s boat landing aiming to have no
can be accessed [3], will therefore be a major issue that will affect vessel translations at the point of contact [3]. Obviously, the
the operations of wave energy converters and other marine downside of this method is that it is limited to calm weather
renewables such as offshore wind. As offshore wind farms are conditions. According to Rademaker & Braam [9] this trans-
already in operation, their experience can be used to highlight the portation of personnel can be done in significant wave heights of
access problem and its effect on device availability. Availability is Hs ¼ 2.0 m1.
defined as the amount of time the turbine or WEC is on hand to More recently Salzman [8] states that “Although manufacturers
produce electricity [4]. Availability is dependent on a number of of vessels built specifically for this purpose state a workability up to
factor such as failure rates, downtimes for recovery after failure, a significant wave height of Hs ¼ 2.0 m, operators claim a more
non-accessibility, lack of spare parts and logistical problems which practical limit of Hs ¼ 1.5 m”.
influence availability [4]. Non-accessibility will affect the failure As well as conventional single hulled vessels there are also
rate and ultimately the availability, as a turbine which can be access vessels on the market of multihull form. One such multihull
accessed more will have more regular maintenance and as a result access vessel is catamarans which can provide safe transfers in seas
tend to have lower failure rates. It will also affect the downtimes “between 1.5 and 2.0 m” [10].
after failure as reduced access may affect the length of time
required to carry out the repair.
According to Van Bussel [5] “for a 150 unit wind farm consisting
of 2 MW wind turbines at least 600 visits have to be paid each year
1
to keep it in full operation”. This is not a problem for onshore wind Hs ¼ Significant Wave Height.
M. O’Connor et al. / Renewable Energy 52 (2013) 57e66 59
Table 1
Summary of current access limits for offshore maintenance activities.
Table 3
2
Small Water Plane Twin Hull http://www.bard-offshore.de/en/more-company- North sea levels of access [3,17].
news/110-taufe-swath-tender.
3
www.ampelmann.nl. Distance to shore Year-round accessibility %
4
MI; http://www.marine.ie/home/ResearchþVessels.htmwww.marine.ie. Hs ¼ 1.0 m Hs ¼ 1.5 m Hs ¼ 2.0 m Hs ¼ 2.5 m Hs ¼ 3.0 m
5
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine/guide/beaufortscale.html.
6 37 km 45 68 83 91 95
http://www.pelamiswave.com/our-technology/pelamis-wechttp://www.
100 km 36 60 76 87 93
pelamiswave.com/.
60 M. O’Connor et al. / Renewable Energy 52 (2013) 57e66
Table 4 Table 5
Wave height persistence Col river bar (40 km offshore) [18]. Wave height persistence grays harbour (9 km offshore) [18].
The average hourly wave power flux per metre of wave front at
M1 and M3 during 2003, 2004 and 2005 is calculated using10
7
M-Buoys: wave data buoys of the Irish Marine Weather Buoys Network. http://
www.marine.ie/home/publicationsdata/data/buoys/DataBuoyHome.htm.
8
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station¼62090.
9
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station¼62092.
10
Modified power formula due to recent work at HMRC [20]. Fig. 1. Map showing location of M-buoys (Source: [19]).
M. O’Connor et al. / Renewable Energy 52 (2013) 57e66 61
3.2. Caveats
Fig. 3. Mean annual exceedance showing the percentage of the year that the wave heights are above a certain level at M1 & M3 averaged for 2003e2005.
62 M. O’Connor et al. / Renewable Energy 52 (2013) 57e66
locations have similar profiles. It can be observed that 70% of the Table 6
wave height incidence is above 2.0 m. In general M1 has higher Persistence table for M1, showing the percentage of the year that the wave height is
within a window of at least a certain time length and wave height limit during 2003,
waves heights than M3. What is not shown however is that during 2004 and 2005.
2003, M3 had higher wave heights than M1 and that during 2004 &
2005 M1 had higher wave heights than M3 as well as the higher
average wave heights over the three years. This was observed in
Fig. 2.
700
600
500
1m
400
Hours
1.5 m
300 2m
2.5 m
200
100
r
ne
ly
ry
y
ch
ril
r
r
st
er
ay
be
be
be
ar
Ju
Ap
a
gu
ob
ar
Ju
M
em
ru
nu
em
em
M
Au
ct
b
Ja
ov
Fe
ec
O
pt
N
Se
D
Fig. 5. The average number of monthly hours for which the wave height is below the wave height limit at M1. The data is shown for wave height limits of Hs 1.0, 1.5, 2.0 & 2.5 m with
data analysed in 2003, 2004 & 2005.
increases as the window length is shortened, although the largest the wave height limit decreases from 1.6 m down to 1 m, the
increase is attained by increasing the wave height limit. longest waiting periods tend to increase sharply.
Fig. 6. Expanded version of the data summarised in the cells highlighted in Table 8 showing cumulative maximum and minimum number of windows that are at least a certain
length together with the average annual frequency of windows M1 for a wave height limit of 1.5 m during 2003, 2004 & 2005. The upper value in the band shows the most number
of windows observed that are at least a certain number of hours. The lower edge of the band shows the least number observed. The columns show the average annual frequency of
windows.
coast. Wave data from two sites M1 and M3 was analysed over for the Irish west coast range from 60% for Hs 3 m to a low of only
a three year period from 2003 to 2005. The total wave energy over 2% if Hs 1 m is required. This contrasts significantly to the Irish and
the three years showed that M1 had slightly higher wave energy North Sea results where the worst case scenario (Hs 1 m) is
resource than M3. The exceedance and frequency distribution approximately equal to the best case scenario (Hs 3 m) off the west
graphs also demonstrated that the general wave regime at both coast of Ireland. Access values for the Irish and North Sea range
sites were quite similar, although overall, there were slightly higher from 45% accessibility at Hs 1 m up to almost total access 95% at Hs
wave height at M1 than M3. The results from these data sets alone 3 m.
would suggest that in general there would be slightly more access Other less detailed studies on accessibility were discussed in the
and lower wave energy resource at M3 than M1. literature section of this paper and demonstrate similar findings.
To compare the levels of accessibility found at M1 and M3 with Van Bussel’s North Sea study [16] quoted 71% accessibility at a wave
those found in the offshore wind industry, Fig. 8 compares the year- height limit of 1.5 m and 84% accessibility at 2.0 m. The workability,
round accessibility at two North Sea sites, the Irish east coast M2 which is assumed to be the same as accessibility, in the North sea of
site with the west coast M1 and M3 sites. The levels of accessibility the Ampelmann system was given in [3] as 85% workability at
that are compared include all times that the device can be accessed, a wave height limit of 2.0 m and 93% at a wave height limit of 2.5 m.
including periods as short as 1 h long where a device may be According to Salzman [17] “ For a typical offshore wind farm in the
accessed but there may be insufficient time for significant work to North Sea, a threshold of 1 m significant wave height limits the
be carried out. The values for M1 and M3 are those that were used accessibility to 50%. When a system can work up to 2.5 m significant
to compile the exceedance charts (Fig. 3). The values for M2 are wave height, it can be used during more than 90% of the year”.
taken from [23]. Results show that there is far lower levels of access These figures are consistent with those mentioned for other North
off the Irish west coast compared to the Irish Sea and North Sea, the Sea sites shown in Fig. 8.
latter two having similar result statistics. Percentage access values
Table 9
The longest annual individual waiting period in weeks between windows of at least
6, 12, 24 & 48 h at M1 at wave height limits of Hs 1.0, 1.5, 2.0 & 2.5 m. These waiting
periods are shown above as the least longest, mean longest & most longest waiting
periods observed. For example at a wave height limit of 1.5 m and windows at least
12 h long the table reads (9-16-26). This shows over the three years, the least longest
annual waiting period was 9 weeks, the longest annual waiting period was 26 weeks
and the average longest annual waiting period was 16 weeks over the three years.
Table 10 Table 11
The intervals between windows of at least 6, 12, 24 & 48 h at M1, at wave height This table shows, at M1, M3, Col river bar and grays harbour the percentage of the
limits of Hs 1.0, 1.5, 2.0 & 2.5 m showing the average number of intervals between year that the wave height is within a window of at least a certain length at a certain
the windows of various lengths. At each wave height limit and window length the wave height limit. These percentages are the average values taken at M1 and M3
data is presented in three columns. The ‘A’ columns are the number of waiting during 2003, 2004 and 2005. The values Col river bar and grays harbour are taken
periods less than a week long, the ‘B’ columns are the number of waiting periods from [18].
between a week and a month long and the ‘C’ columns are the number of waiting
periods over a month long.
A B C A B C A B C A B C
At least 6 h long 3 2 4 21 10 3 39 9 2 59 7 1
At least 12 h long 1 1 4 10 8 3 28 10 2 44 8 0
At least 24 h long 0 1 2 5 6 3 14 10 2 28 9 1
At least 48 h long 0 0 1 1 2 3 5 5 3 12 8 2
100%
Year round accessibility (%)
80%
NorthSea 37km
60% North Sea 100km
M2 Irish Sea
M1 71km
40%
M3 36 km
20%
0%
1m 1.5m 2m 2.5m
Fig. 8. Summary comparison of year-round accessibility of two north sea sites [3,17], Irish east coast M2 [23], M1 and M3.
66 M. O’Connor et al. / Renewable Energy 52 (2013) 57e66
Table 12 accessibility off the west coast of Ireland and other global marine
Summary table of number of windows and longest waiting period at wave height renewable locations. Another area of future work will be in
limits of 1.0 m, 1.5 m, 2.0 m and 2.5 m Hs. The results are the average values for both
M1 and M3.
assessing the accuracy of weather window forecasts to determine
the level to which they can support the operational planning of
Wave height limit (Hs)
installation and O/M procedures. Finally, the limiting data set
1.0 m 1.5 m 2.0 m 2.5 m available in this case study was not conducive to statistical analysis.
Windows at least Number of windows 10 35 54 68 It is recommended that a larger data set be used to analyse inter-
6 h long Longest waiting period 36 17 9 9 annual or inter-decadal trends.
(weeks)
Windows at least Number of windows 5 23 43 54
12 h long Longest waiting period 48 26 10 9 References
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