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(Work and Welfare in Europe) Martin Schröder (Auth.) - Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research - A Unified Typology of Capitalisms (2013, Palgrave Macmillan UK)
(Work and Welfare in Europe) Martin Schröder (Auth.) - Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research - A Unified Typology of Capitalisms (2013, Palgrave Macmillan UK)
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Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS, England
Integrating Varieties of
Capitalism and Welfare
State Research
A Unified Typology of Capitalisms
Martin Schröder
University of Marburg, Germany
© Martin Schröder 2013
Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2013 978-1-137-31029-3
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Contents
Introduction 1
1 Welfare State Research and Varieties of Capitalism 5
1.1 Welfare state research 5
1.1.1 Weaknesses of Esping-Andersen’s welfare
regime typology 13
1.2 Varieties of capitalism 15
1.2.1 Complementarity 23
1.2.2 The coordination index 25
1.2.3 Weaknesses of Hall and Soskice’s varieties
of capitalism typology 25
1.3 Why it makes sense to combine nations into regimes 28
2 Empirical Indicators and Existing Typologies 31
2.1 Verifying diversity empirically 31
2.2 Combining the country clusters of
existing typologies 37
2.2.1 Three capitalisms: Schmidt’s typology 38
2.2.2 Four capitalisms: Boyer’s typology 39
2.2.3 Five capitalisms: Amable’s typology 41
2.2.4 Again five capitalisms: Ebbinghaus’ typology 44
2.2.5 Ever more diversity: Crouch and
Streeck’s typology 47
2.3 Dealing with outlier countries 50
2.4 A methodological interlude – how to build typologies 55
3 A Unified Typology of Capitalisms 58
4 How Complementarities Stabilize Three Capitalisms 63
4.1 Welfare regimes and industrial relations 64
4.2 Welfare regimes and corporate governance 68
4.3 Welfare regimes and skills creation 70
4.4 Welfare regimes and employer associations 74
4.5 Varieties of capitalism and decommodification 77
4.6 Varieties of capitalism and retirement policy 81
v
vi Contents
Notes 176
References 181
Appendix 210
A Data used 210
B Factor loadings 217
Index 221
List of Figures and Tables
Figures
viii
List of Figures and Tables ix
Tables
x
Introduction
Even though most scholars acknowledge that welfare states interact pro-
foundly with the organization of the economy, there is no typology that
combines the analysis of welfare states and production systems. Instead,
‘neither students of the welfare state nor students of political economy
viewed the welfare state as an integral part of national economies’
(Pierson 2000: 793; for a similar argument, cf. Deeg and Jackson 2006:
31; Soskice 2007: 92). Since about 10 years, efforts exist to connect
welfare regimes1 and modes of economic coordination to make up for
this (Ebbinghaus and Manow 2001a; also cf. Huber and Stephens 2001a;
Pierson 2000). But existing attempts stop short of offering a typol-
ogy that indeed unifies the study of production and welfare regimes
(cf. the attempts in Cusack, Iversen and Soskice 2007; Iversen and
Soskice 2006). Thus, whereas most scholars agree that welfare and pro-
duction regimes ‘tend to coincide’ (Esping-Andersen 1990: 159), there
has not yet been an attempt to integrate welfare and production regimes
into one unified typology, which captures the diversity of production
and distribution in one framework. Therefore, this book develops such a
typology, combining the study of production systems with the study of
welfare states. To do this, it combines the two (arguably) most common
typologies of advanced capitalist countries, ‘varieties of capitalism’2 (see
Hall and Soskice 2001a) and the ‘three worlds of welfare’ (see Esping-
Andersen 1990, 1999).
It might seem surprising that these two typologies can be integrated
in one. Whereas varieties of capitalism analyses how firms coordinate
with their environment, welfare state research asks how citizens are
confronted with incentives and duties in the distribution of welfare.
Thus, on the micro level, the approaches analyse different depend-
ent variables: varieties of capitalism analyses firms; Esping-Andersen’s
1
2 Integrating Welfare and Production Typologies
against social risks. These different class struggles led to three welfare
regimes: a ‘liberal’, a ‘conservative’ and a ‘social democratic’ one.2 The
table above sums up their main characteristics.
In the liberal regime, markets are the central means of allocation.
Welfare programs are largely limited to means-tested poor relief (cf.
Bradshaw et al. 1997), distinguishing between one’s ability and one’s
willingness to work. Thus, only the undeserved poor (those that are not to
blame for their situation) constitute the deserving poor (deserving social
assistance). As the bulk of the pensions, unemployment and health
system is therefore based on private provision, decommodification3 is
low – the state does not protect against the market. The United States
is seen as the paramount case for this regime type. Canada, Australia,
Ireland, New Zealand and the United Kingdom are more ambiguous but
fall more in the liberal category than in any other.4
The social democratic regime can be seen as the conceptually opposed
model, as it is ‘committed to comprehensive risk-coverage, generous
benefit-levels, and egalitarianism’ (Esping-Andersen 1999: 78). The
model nonetheless embarked from the same starting point as the liberal
one. It preferred a ‘Beveridge’ system of flat-rate citizen entitlements to
a ‘Bismarckian’ system, which calculates benefits based on prior earn-
ings. However, whereas the liberal system progressively moved towards
residualism, limiting benefits as much as possible, the social demo-
cratic countries enlarged their welfare programs towards universalism,
taking in the entire population. Accordingly, these countries decom-
modified workers; they reduced their market dependency to maximize
Welfare State Research and Varieties of Capitalism 7
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
er s
Ire nd
w Sp d
a n
rtu d
na l
Ja da
rm n
st y
d ra a
ng e
m
e y
Ne No den
er ay
Fi nds
lg d
Au ium
nm ia
k
Ca ga
Sw Ital
ar
itz ate
Au an
lan
Ze ai
Po lan
Ge pa
ite F rali
Ki nc
Be n
De str
do
th rw
nla
la
la
Sw d St
ite
Ne
Un
Un
Figure 1.1 Taxes and social security contributions for different average
production workers in 2011
Source: OECD (data from 2012). URL: http://stats.oecd.org.
clearly more or less heavy deductions than the other. The same average
production worker who has to give up a varying share of his wage would
probably be happy to hear that he also gets something back. The fol-
lowing chart draws out average replacement rates for the first year of
unemployment of a worker aged 40 with an uninterrupted employment
record before unemployment, averaged for four different stylised family
situations (single and one-earner couple, with and without children)
as well as for two earning levels (67% and 100% of average full-time
wages).
Again it is the liberal countries, together with Italy and Japan, which
replace wages the least in case of unemployment. In short, it is these
Welfare State Research and Varieties of Capitalism 9
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Ki tes
Ze ly
Au nd
Ire n
Ca nd
Fi a
Au d
ia
Be y
Sw m
Fr n
De ce
k
th ain
No ds
Po ay
itz gal
d
an
ar
ali
pa
d
n
lan
Ita
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do
an
lan
rw
ala
la
na
nla
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Sw tu
a
lgi
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er
ite St
ng
r
er
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Un ited
w
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Un
countries which tend to collect the least in the form of taxes and social
security contributions, but which also give the least in terms of unem-
ployment benefits. It is conceivable that these welfare state differences,
some favouring redistribution more than others, go along with different
income structures. The chart on the next page illustrates that this is the
case. The bars show the Gini index of household incomes after taxes
and transfers; thus they show how unequally income is distributed
between households after these have paid for whatever the welfare state
costs and received whatever it hands out.
The social democratic welfare states stand out as having the most egal-
itarian income distribution. The liberal welfare states are on the other
side of the figure, they are most unequal, together with Portugal, Italy
and Japan. Ireland is an exception to the liberal regime; it is more equal
than many conservative countries. Most of the conservative countries are
between the two extremes of egalitarian social democratic welfare states
and inegalitarian liberal ones. As different welfare regimes exert system-
atically different charges on employment, while also creating employ-
ment in the public sector, they also generate different employment rates.
Figure 1.4, which is also on the next page, illustrates this, showing what
percentage of all that are of working age are in employment.
Countries with the lowest employment rates are conservative, together
with Ireland, meaning they use their labour pool the least. For a liberal
10
0.4
0.38
0.36
0.34
0.32
0.3
0.28
0.26
0.24
0.22
0.2
No rk
Fi n
Be nd
Sw ay
um
Fr ia
ce
nd
Ge nds
itz ny
d
ain
da
Ze n
Au nd
ng ly
P om
St l
es
a
e
lan
pa
ali
Ita
str
ite ug
a
rw
an
Sw rma
at
ed
nla
Ne ela
na
ala
Sp
nm
lgi
d
str
la
Ne Ja
Au
er
Un ort
Ca
er
r
De
Ki
d
th
d
ite
Un
Figure 1.3 Gini index of household incomes (total population) after taxes and
transfers in the late 2000s
Source: OECD (data from 2012). URL: http://stats.oecd.org.
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
ly
Ire n
Be d
um
ce
St l
Fi s
d
Ki an
Ca m
Au a
ia
Ze y
Au nd
De alia
k
en
No s
y
d
a
e
an
ar
a
ai
lan
lan
Ita
ite ug
str
do
an
at
lan
Sw rw
nla
na
ala
Ne wed
Sp
lgi
nm
str
Ne erm
Ja
Un ort
er
ng
Fr
er
itz
S
P
th
G
w
d
ite
Un
Figure 1.4 Employment rates of the working population (aged 15–64) in 2011
Source: OECD (data from 2012). DOI: 10.1787/emp-table-2012-1-en.
Welfare State Research and Varieties of Capitalism 11
welfare state, the US also has a very low employment rate. Contrary
to this, the three social democratic countries of Norway, Sweden and
Denmark have the second, fourth and fifth highest employment rates.
Switzerland has the highest employment rate and the Netherlands have
the third highest, but this is mainly because the Netherlands has a lot
of part-time employment. Liberal countries have intermediate employ-
ment rates. However, not only is the rate of employment structured
through welfare regimes; employment also takes place in different sec-
tors in different welfare regimes. The conservative countries have few
service-sector jobs, as their welfare states tax these price-sensitive jobs
heavily, financing costly transfers, instead of public service sector jobs,
so that overall employment in the (public and private) service sector is
low. Figure 1.5 shows this, plotting what percentage of the entire work-
force is employed in the service sector.
While conservative countries (together with Finland, New Zealand
and Ireland) have the lowest proportion of their workforce in the
service sector, liberal and social democratic welfare states (together
with the Netherlands and France) have the largest service sectors.
While both social democratic and conservative welfare states are costly
and thereby make work more expensive, depressing work in the cost-
sensitive service sector, the charges of the social democratic welfare
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
l
ly
Ge pan
Au y
ia
ain
Ze nd
nd
itz nd
Be nd
Au um
No lia
Ca ay
Fr a
Sw ce
Un De den
Ki ark
th om
St s
es
ga
an
ite and
d
Ita
str
a
rw
an
at
la
ala
Sw rela
la
na
tu
Sp
lgi
nm
Ne ngd
str
rm
Ja
e
Ne Fin
er
r
Un erl
Po
d
w
d
ite
25
20
15
10
05
00
Sp l
ain
ly
Au e
ia
Ze n
Au nd
C lia
itz da
Ge and
y
d
m
Be s
Fi m
S nd
er n
De ds
ay
No rk
ga
an
e
c
pa
lan
e
Ita
str
ite do
a
a
an
at
lan
rw
ala
Sw ana
nla
Ne wed
rtu
lgi
nm
str
rm
Ne Ja
l
er
ite Ire
St
U n ng
Fr
Po
Ki
th
w
d
Un
Figure 1.6 Health and social sector employment as share of total employment
(civilians only) in 2009 (2008 for some countries, 2006 for France)
Source: OECD (data from 2011). URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888932524032.
Welfare State Research and Varieties of Capitalism 13
Japan, also constitute the conservative regime (see Table 1.1). Southern
European welfare states and Japan can therefore be seen as a subvariety
of the conservative welfare regime. On these grounds, Esping-Andersen
(1999: 93ff.; also cf. Bernard and Saint-Arnaud 2003) refused to split up
the group of conservative countries.
Esping-Andersen’s typology explains why members of a society have
social rights and how these rights contribute to (or hinder) economic
development. His typology sums up the ‘deal’ a society offers its indi-
viduals concerning rights and duties in the form of social entitlements
on the one side and social obligations on the other. This is why, even
though there is important and well taken criticism against Esping-
Andersen’s typology, I share the view that ‘as an organizing principle
for comparative studies of welfare states the typologies have proven to
be a very robust and convincing tool’ (cf. Arts and Gelissen 2002: 155).
Consequently, studies stress that the stability of welfare regimes has not
been eroded (cf. de Beer, Vrooman and Wildeboer 2001; Bernard and
Saint-Arnaud 2003; Scharpf and Schmidt 2000a; b; Starke, Obinger and
Castles 2008). So even though Esping-Andersen’s typology has some-
what come of age, it is still the gold standard:
A case can be made for extending the number of welfare state regimes,
perhaps to four or even five, with a Mediterranean grouping the most
consistently suggested extension. [However,] extending the typology
to five or more models would sacrifice the explanatory parsimony of
his [Esping-Andersen’s] original thesis and that being so one might
as well return to individual country comparisons. A principal value
of Esping-Andersen’s three ideal-types of welfare regimes is that it
provides abstract models, so that deviations from the ideal types can
be noted and explained.
(Arts and Gelissen 2010: 577, 581)
What is specific, one might even say revolutionary, about Peter Hall and
David Soskice’s (2001a) typology is that it places the organization of
firms at the centre of analysis. This is also what contrasts their typology
to Esping-Andersen’s.
Driffill 1988). With this logic, the typology is often seen as being rooted
in a functionalistic explanation of institutions: these are upheld as long
as they support the competitive advantage of firms. In turn, what firms
are interested in is either a completely ‘coordinated’ or a completely
‘liberal’ institutional environment. Hall and Soskice (2001b) look at
five institutional areas to distinguish between economic liberalism and
coordination: 1) industrial relations – the setting of wages and work-
ing conditions, which can either be organized through liberal market
principles or negotiated and in this sense coordinated, 2) vocational
training – which can also be structured according to liberal market
principles or organized through the state or associations, 3) corporate
governance and financing – relations between firms and their investors,
which can be governed through short-term stock investments or strate-
gic long-term stakeholders, 4) inter-firm relations, which can again be
governed through market mechanisms or strategic cooperation between
firms and 5) relations of firms with their employees, which can again
be based on short-term calculations of economic advantage on each
side or by strategic, long-term cooperation. In distinguishing these five
fields, Hall and Soskice establish a dualistic classification of production
systems, which they name liberal and coordinated market economies.
An important starting point of varieties of capitalism was the observa-
tion that countries with what Hall and Soskice call coordinated institu-
tions show superior performance in industries that are mainly based on
improving and upgrading established technology, while liberal countries
show comparative advantage in emerging industries, in which innova-
tion is not linked to prior product development. Companies that con-
tinue improving existing products require a workforce which must be
able to perform complicated tasks autonomously with little managerial
control. As crucial resources such as knowledge, expertise and skills are
concentrated in the hands of employees, relations between companies
and their workforce often take the form of a game-theoretic – and there-
fore fragile – cooperation. Firms invest in the skills of their employees and
guarantee stable employment. In turn, workers refrain from using their
high skills to ‘hold up’ management. This cooperation between workers
and their firms is liable to break down unless other institutions support
it. Notably, cooperation is only possible if companies refrain from poach-
ing qualified workers from other companies, thereby free riding on the
qualification efforts of competitors by using the workers that these other
firms trained. To prevent this, centralized bargaining levels out wages,
while associations or the state monitor firm behaviour (cf. Lauder, Brown
and Ashton 2008: 23). As firms know that workers and competitors have
Welfare State Research and Varieties of Capitalism 17
0
Ze lia
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a
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Figure 1.8 Level of wage bargaining in 1990 (grey) and 2010 (black)
Source: ICTWSS Database 2011.
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Au nd
Fi ly
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No um
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Figure 1.9 Market capitalization of stock-noted companies as percentage of GDP
in 2007 (grey) and 2009 (black)
Source: World Bank (data from 2011), World Development Indicators Database.
3.5
3
2.5
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1.5
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1.2.1 Complementarity
Institutions support each other’s functioning, which is commonly
understood as complementarity. One prominent example is that bank-
based financing, centralized wage bargaining and long-term employ-
ment go together, as each of these contributes to the long-term stability
that the other institution needs for its functioning. For example, a com-
pany strategy of improving a product over the long term relies not only
on patient investors, but also on a long-term oriented labour force and
long-term cooperation with supplier-firms. If one of these is lacking, the
other elements function less well. Crucially, each of these aspects sup-
ports the other, forming a fully coordinated system.
Conversely, it makes more sense for a firm to use a flexible short-term
market strategy if it has access to flexible labour and flexible capital.
Thus, the central idea of the varieties of capitalism approach is that
coherence, understood as uniformly flexible or uniformly long-term
oriented institutions, leads to complementarity, understood as positive
effects of institutions towards each other.9 In short, either fully liberal or
fully coordinated countries are economically successful, so that ‘nations
with a particular type of coordination in one sphere of the economy
24 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
100
y = 3,9711x + 24, 941
90
R2 = 0,595
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
es
da
l
n
ly
ce
No n
Be y
m
er y
s
ga
ar
n
nd
an
ali
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ai
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at
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na
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tu
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nm
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al
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nl
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Fr
Ca
Sw
Ze
Fi
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Po
Au
itz
De
Ki
d
th
G
ite
Sw
w
d
Ne
Un
ite
Un
Figure 1.11 Level and coverage of collective bargaining and degree of co-
determination in 2010
Source: ICTWSS Database 2011.
Welfare State Research and Varieties of Capitalism 25
it for virtually every causal influence they describe. Thus, the approach
should not – but is often – criticized for a rigidity that it does not
embody. This is how Peter Hall (2009) replied to criticism by Wolfgang
Streeck (2009). Hall (2009: 491) claimed that:
Thus, while critics claim that the varieties approach, in short, makes
the world too simple, proponents of the approach claim that its critics
ascribe a rigidity to it that it was never meant to have. However, even
proponents of the varieties school admit that the approach is not good
at conceptualizing gradual change (cf. Hall and Thelen 2009). As later
chapters will show, a combination with welfare state research can com-
pensate for this problem. Therefore, I advocate combining the original,
namely dualistic varieties approach, with welfare state research. Two
more reasons exist to use the original, dualistic varieties approach. First,
most scholars criticize the approach vigorously, but in the end still
adopt its central distinction between coordinated and liberal market
economies (cf. the discussions in Hancké, Rhodes and Thatcher 2007a;
Hancké 2009; Crouch and Voelzkow 2009). In this sense, most scholars
take ‘an easy way out’ of the varieties of capitalism debate. On the one
hand, they (rightly) criticize that the world is more complex than the
varieties of capitalism approach portrays. On the other hand, the very
same scholars often fall back on the same coordinated versus liberal mar-
ket economy distinction that they criticize, implying that there must be
something to this ‘all-too simplistic’ distinction after all. Thus, if one
likes the typology or not, even critics admit that – similar to Esping-
Andersen’s typology – the ‘attention to institutions as building blocks
for coordination, and the coordinated market economy – liberal market
economy typology that resulted, have become the stock in trade of
political economists everywhere’ (Hancké, Rhodes and Thatcher 2007b:
36; empirically, cf. Schneider and Paunescu forthcoming). Second, as
even many critics of the varieties approach argue, there is a deeper,
theoretical reason, why a twofold approach is useful. As coarse as such
an approach is, a twofold differentiation makes it possible to distinguish
28 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
between market-led forms of capitalism and all other forms. That scholars
bemoan that ‘all other forms’ is too broad a category is a valid objection
and indeed this book will argue that it is helpful to distinguish between
two types of coordination: conservatively- and social-democratically
coordinated capitalisms. But such a more fine-grained distinction into
different types of coordination only makes sense in the shadow of a
typology which has established that all coordinated countries are dif-
ferent from all liberal countries in the first place, as the former types of
countries circumvent the market. That this circumvention happens in
different ways is another question, which the original varieties typology
does not contradict, but provides the foundation for.
In fact, the varieties approach lays the foundation for most other
recent typologies of capitalist diversity, as the following chapters will
show. Here, it is enough to bear in mind that I will use the most basic
distinction, notwithstanding acknowledgement that it can be broken
up into more fine-grained analytical units. Before proceeding however,
section 1.3 will give some information as to why in spite of all the valid
criticisms against Hall and Soskice’s varieties typology it makes sense
to use typologies at all and why it consequently also makes sense to
combine them. Readers who have little doubt about this can skip to
Chapter 2.
and Soskice 2001a; Kenworthy 1997; Kitschelt et al. 1999a; Pierson 1994,
1996, 2001a; Scharpf and Schmidt 2001b, c; Soskice 1999; Streeck and
Thelen 2005a; Whitley 1998; Wood 2001b). Using path dependency
and complementarity as underlying theoretical tools, empirical studies
reveal that convergence towards an Anglo-American variety of capital-
ism has indeed not taken place (Starke, Obinger and Castles 2008; Beyer
2002; Cerny, Menz and Soederberg 2005b; Crouch 2000: 33; Crouch
and Farrell 2002; Höpner 2001; Kitschelt and Streeck 2004: 3; Schneider
and Paunescu forthcoming 2012). Rather, studies show a surprising
‘unintended institutional fit’ (Aoki 1998: 235) of old institutions with
new governance modes, so that differences persist. Indeed, one can even
make the argument that, while all countries liberalize, the form that this
liberalization takes is different from one type of capitalism to another
(Martin and Swank 2012; Thelen 2012). So it is not so much that liber-
alization destroys capitalist varieties. It is also and possibly much more
the case that differences in capitalism shape trajectories of liberalization.
The end of the book will elaborate on this.
A second problem of the varieties approach is that national institu-
tions are punctured by diverging regional arrangements (cf. Crouch
2005a: 450; Crouch et al. 2001; Herrigel 1993; Hollingsworth 1998;
Piore and Sabel 1984; Whitley 1999; Crouch and Voelzkow 2009;
Crouch, Schröder and Voelzkow 2009). How can one speak of national
differences, when countries themselves are not internally coherent?
By claiming that systematic differences between as well as systematic
similarities within welfare and production regimes exist, this book does
not belittle the importance of regional intra-country variation. Instead,
it aims to show that the nation state is not the only, but one impor-
tant level of analysis, as a great share – for many purposes the most
important one – of the legislative body still emanates from this level
(Steinmo 2010: 222ff.).
A third problem is the (lack of) homogeneity of institutional arrange-
ments within nations. Individual institutions, such as the bargaining
system or labour market regulation, do not always come with the ideal-
typical model that they ‘should’ be assigned to (reflecting the embed-
ding welfare or production regime). For example, Denmark’s liberal
employment protection exists in a social democratic country. England’s
social democratic national health system exists in a liberal country.
However, as Esping-Andersen (1990: 2) notes, the salience of a typology
does not stand or fall with individual institutions, but with their com-
plex interplay. Nonetheless, this book will devote a section (2.3) to that
problem to understand its magnitude and how it can be dealt with.
30 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
31
32 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
2.00 Norway
Degree of welfare socialism (Hicks and Kenworthy 2003: 33)
Sweden
Denmark
1.00
Finland
France
–1.00 Canada Switzerland Italy
Japan
15
10
Eigenvalue
0
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
Component Number
CASE 0 5 10 15 20 25
Label Num
France 10
Austria 20
Belgium 16
Netherlands 9
Portugal 13
Italy 18
Spain 8
Germany 19
Sweden 11
Denmark 12
Finland 14
Norway 17
United Kingdom 3
New Zealand 5
Australia 1
Canada 4
Ireland 6
United States 2
Switzerland 7
Japan 15
This section will show that most typologies depict a similar picture of
capitalist diversity, which is not only congruent with the cluster analy-
sis of the preceding section, but also with varieties of capitalism and
Esping-Andersen’s welfare regime typology. The problem is however,
that existing typologies either do not recognize that they fit with others
or do not consider the implication – namely that the most important
current typologies of capitalism can be unified into one encompassing
typology of capitalist diversity. This chapter will show why and how
existing typologies can be combined. Due to space constraints, I limit
myself to the most important typologies of capitalist diversity, to show
that all of these portray a similar picture. I do not consider the early
distinction by Wilensky and Lebeaux (1958) between ‘residual’ and
‘institutional’ welfare states. This is because Titmuss (1974) took up
this distinction, and his work has been refined by Esping-Andersen.
I will also not use Katzenstein’s (1985) distinction between liberal, sta-
tist and corporatist countries, as he refers to the beginning of the 1980s,
only looks at small states and because Schmidt (2000, 2002) largely
reproduced his typology. I will also not use typologies based on the
corporatism-literature (cf. Lehmbruch and Schmitter 1979, 1982; also
cf. Shonfield 1969) because these were refined by varieties of capitalism
through Hall and Soskice. The same is true for Albert’s (1992) distinc-
tion between a ‘Rhine model’ and an Anglo-American model of capi-
talism which has also been taken up by Hall and Soskice. I also leave
out Whitley’s (1999) distinction between different business systems,
as he does not provide a typology of national capitalisms, but of local
production systems. In Whitley’s (2007) later work, he does jump on
the bandwagon of differentiating national capitalism and distinguishes
between ‘arm’s length’, ‘dominant developmental’, ‘business corporat-
ist’ and ‘inclusive corporatist’ types of national capitalisms. But even
while this is reminiscent of a juxtaposition of a liberal model to differ-
ent coordinated models, Whitley never states what country belongs to
which of his types, which is why I cannot use his work here. As I am
interested in how other typologies connect to Esping-Andersen’s (1990)
38 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
welfare typology and Hall and Soskice’s (2001) varieties typology, and
since I have discussed these already in section 1, I will not discuss them
again here. Neither will I use the typologies based on ‘social systems of
production’ (Hollingsworth 1997a), as these are further refined by – and
contained in – Amable (2003). This leaves me with Vivien Schmidt’s
(2002), Robert Boyer’s (2004b), Bruno Amable’s (2003), Bernhard
Ebbinghaus’ (2006) and Crouch and Streeck’s (1997b) typology. I will
show how these existing attempts to classify capitalist diversity can be
integrated into one typology, together with Esping-Andersen’s welfare
regimes and Hall and Soskice’s varieties of capitalism. I will begin with
the typology that uses the smallest number of cases, which is Vivien
Schmidt’s.
1. For the United Kingdom, she analyses the development from a crisis-
ridden country to an (until recently) successful market-led configura-
tion of the 1990s. She does this by tracing the efforts of the Thatcher
government. Being depicted as market-led, the United Kingdom is
seen as close to what varieties of capitalism considers a liberal market
economy, in which the state acts as arbiter over market-rules. She
presents the United States as a similar case.
2. For Germany, she describes the market-induced erosion of what was
once known as ‘Rhenish capitalism’. She still sees association-led
Germany as close to a coordinated market economy, where the state
promotes coordination between associations. She sees Sweden and
the Netherlands as similar cases.
3. For France, she describes the change from state-led to state-enhanced
capitalism. Even though the state still acts as a direct facilitator
towards business (different from its role in the United Kingdom and
Germany), its role is increasingly retrenched. She presents Italy as a
similar case, yet does not overlook Italy’s different inter-firm rela-
tions and state-led corporatist labour relations.
Empirical Indicators and Existing Typologies 39
Schmidt (cf. 2002: Chapter 3) herself sees her approach as part of the
broader literature on varieties of capitalism. Yet, her crucial point is that
countries cannot be aligned to two types. Notably France constitutes its
own model, a point on which Hall and Soskice (2001b: 21) tentatively
agree. Yet, an enlarged notion of what constitutes a coordinated market
economy (being coordinated regardless of what actor coordinates, as
presented in section 1.2) could conceptualize France as coordinated,
since the state coordinates. This might be a ‘hierarchical direction rather
than joint-decision or unilateral action’ (Schmidt 2002: 144), but one
can still call it coordination in that it helps companies to cooperate in
prisoner-dilemma situations.
cluster analysis on them, separately for each of the five domains. The
great point about Amable’s analysis is that he refrains from forming any
country-groupings ad-hoc or on a theoretical base. Instead, he performs
his statistical analysis with an open outcome. Nonetheless, his approach
leads him to distinguish five country-families that are reminiscent of
existing typologies.
have market arrangements not only in their welfare, but also in their
production system and in their labour relations. In turn, Japan’s firms are
not only responsible for economic coordination; they are also the locus
of cooperative labour relations and provide social services that the welfare
state provides in other countries. In stark contrast to this, the universal
nation-wide welfare state of the Nordic countries is flanked by equally
universal (central, as Ebbinghaus calls it) economic coordination in the
production system. In between, cooperation in the Centre countries is
consistently on a middle level, manifesting itself in a conservative wel-
fare state that keeps everyone where he is socially without redistributing
much, and cooperative social partnership that extends above the firm-
level but is not nationwide.
In this sense, one can argue that a certain ‘policy style’ within coun-
tries and country regimes not only permeates the welfare, but also the
production system and aligns both to a common principle. For example,
if a country uses market-arrangements in one sphere, other spheres seem
to be governed according to the same logic. We will come back to this
observation in Chapter 3, as it contains the seeds for a unified typology
of capitalisms. Second, what is interesting about Ebbinghaus’ typology is
that it reconciles the demand for parsimony (a small number of regimes)
versus that of exactness (fitting countries into a type where they fit). He
does so by arguing that countries can be subtypes of the same regime. In
that sense, Ebbinghaus follows Esping-Andersen’s classification in that
both Germany and the Netherlands on the one side and France and Italy
on the other side have a conservative welfare state. Yet, whereas the first
group has a conservative-corporativist welfare state, the second group has
a conservative-subsidiaristic welfare state. Similarly, all countries apart
from the Anglophone ones have some form of coordination, but they can
be subdivided into sectoral-, state-, central- and firm-coordination.
This offers a fruitful route out of the dilemma between parsimony
versus exactness, by stressing that proponents of both views have
a point. In fact, their views are not mutually exclusive, since more
exact divisions are ‘nested’ in broader ones. This insight will be used
to argue why different typologies are not mutually contradictory, but
show essentially the same picture, even though they delineate different
numbers of country families. The more fine-grained differentiations of
more exact typologies are the building blocks for broader distinctions.
Conversely, these broader distinctions of capitalist typologies can be
subdivided into finer groups.
The question then arises why Ebbinghaus’ typology is not already the
combination of varieties of capitalism and welfare state research, which
Empirical Indicators and Existing Typologies 47
a social market economy and, such as Dore (1997), Streeck (1997b: 39)
stresses the role of a ‘traditionalist’ culture with high savings rates, a
preference for quality and security, as well as technical knowledge being
highly valued. Even though he sees the German model as possibly being
swept away by external pressures, he describes it as desirable due to its
economic and social outcomes.
Pontusson (1997) presents Sweden as a case that is distinctly different
from Germany, even though the two share many characteristics when
compared with Anglo-American economies. However, a predominance
of large firms, a more encompassing (national) wage bargaining system
and a larger public sector, combined with a more inclusive welfare state
are key differences between Sweden and Germany. Even though the two
models produced similar results concerning social outcomes, Pontusson
claims that they diverged since the mid-1970s – with Germany presented
as the more successful case (cf. Pontusson 1997: 56).
Boyer presents France as an essentially state-driven variety of capitalism.
He explains that ‘the distinguishing mark of the French model has to do
with the intervention of central government exercising, first, a strategic,
then a permanent, function with the object of piloting a modernization
programme which seldom reflected compromise actually achieved between
management and unions’ (Boyer 1997: 78). He therefore explicitly con-
trasts this state-driven variety of capitalism with a market-oriented,
corporatist and social democratic variety.4
Regini (1997: 108) holds Italy to be a distinctive case, where the weak
regulatory capacity of the state leads to ‘voluntaristic ad-hoc regulation’
in social networks. He argues that this brings a structural advantage
for small firms based on two main factors. 1) Regulation such as taxa-
tion and employment protection can be enforced more easily in bigger
companies and thus reduces their flexibility. 2) Other aspects, which
the state is unable to enforce in any case, bring an uncertainty and
instability that is problematic for big firms, while small firms can more
flexibly adapt to this uncertainty. He thus argues that the same lack of
regulation that is problematic for large firms is an advantage for small
firms, as it allows them to flexibly rearrange production to fulfil volatile
demand.
Andrew Graham (1997: 119) elaborates on how the United Kingdom
found its way back to ‘orthodox capitalism’ based on ‘small firms, free
trade and free markets’. He finds that this sets the United Kingdom
apart from Germany, Japan, but also from the United States. The change
of economic policy in the United Kingdom between 1980 and 1995
included a switch to supply-side politics as well as privatization and
Empirical Indicators and Existing Typologies 49
If this book were a play, divided into the five classical acts, then this
chapter would make for a great second act, in which the escalation of the
conflict takes place after the principal actors (varieties of capitalism and
welfare state research), the supporting actors (other typologies) and their
relation to each other have been introduced. This chapter thus illustrates
the breadth of the problem (lets the conflict materialize). This is neces-
sary because, as the last chapter showed, capitalism comes in a consider-
able variety. Yet, while some countries provide emblematic cases, and
even those are debatable, more often than not countries are difficult to
clearly place into a regime-type. It is relatively easy to see that Germany
is the typical case of a coordinated market economy and of a conserva-
tive welfare state, whereas the United States and the United Kingdom are
often cited as key examples of liberal market economies and of liberal
welfare arrangements. To challenge this simplicity and to show that
almost all countries exhibit more complicated institutional structures
than typologies can fully account for, Table 2.4 on the following page
sums up how countries’ institutions diverge from ‘their’ regime-type.
Given this much diversity that sets countries apart from ‘their’
regime, a slight depression can befall every scholar that tries to classify
countries. Indeed, the institutions that set countries apart from ‘their’
regime-type are a powerful argument that regimes, on which typologies
rely for classifications, do not have a deterministic impact on countries’
institutional arrangements. It is therefore certainly true that a crude
usage of typologies can blind scholars towards important national spe-
cificities (cf. Crouch 2001, 2005a, 2005b). This illustrates the necessity
of Crouch’s ‘analysing’, as opposed to a ‘labelling’ approach. Indeed,
whether the ‘labelling’ approach still makes sense at all can be ques-
tioned when almost every country is an exception in some way. I claim
that for a number of reasons however, the high complexity and diver-
gence of institutional arrangements is less of a problem than it might
seem at first. The following paragraphs show why this is the case.
The number of outlier countries is already reduced if we follow Esping-
Andersen’s (1999: 88) dictum that ‘one programme does not define a
regime’. This implies that even if a country shows some divergence
from ‘its’ regime type, it has to be checked whether this is an isolated
exception of one institution or a rule that changes the structure accord-
ing to which the production or welfare regime of a country functions.
In this sense, divergent institutions can provide functional equivalents
to what could be seen as ‘typical’ institutional set-ups. Therefore, that
Table 2.4 Incoherencies in welfare and production regimes
Australia Historically: Regulated labour markets, strong labour courts Some coordinated wage bargaining (cf. OECD 2004: 145)
pursued decommodification until the 1990s (cf. Castles 1996;
Castles, Gerritsen and Vowles 1996; Castles and Mitchell 1993)
Austria
Belgium Aspects of contestation5 alongside corporatist structures,
some equity-based financing (cf. Pontusson 2005a: 207)
Canada Universal health care system (cf. Esping-Andersen 1999: 18)
Denmark Low employment protection combined with high wage
replacement rates (flexicurity)
Finland Latecomer in the Scandinavian cluster Strength in telecommunications (cf. Crouch 2005a: 444)
France Childcare arrangements close to the Scandinavian model Low unionization rate, associations contestational,
(cf. Marc and Zajdela 2005) state takes up coordinating role (cf. OECD 2004)
Germany Some movement away from the insurance system Strong local and sectoral variation of production
(for example, with the ‘Hartz IV’ legislation) system (cf. Casper 2002; Herrigel 1993, 1996). General
demise of ‘German model’ (Streeck 2009)
Ireland Centralized bargaining since the 1980s, now some
neo-corporatism (cf. Amable 2003: 17; Soskice 1999: 124)
Italy Mediterranean welfare state, low redistribution of income Union structure contestational (cf. OECD 2004)
(cf. Ferrera 1996; Leibfried 1992; Lessenich 1994) Strong regional variations in production systems perforate
a weak national model (cf. Piore and Sabel 1984)
‘Hindering’ role of the state (cf. Regini 1997)
Japan Welfare state plays a marginal role, very low public provision Weak unions on an economy-wide level, which stems
of social welfare in terms of share GDP spent, social protection from a weak organized labour movement in general
in conglomerates. Ambiguous ranking by Esping-Andersen as (cf. OECD 2004)
‘liberal’ (1990: 74) and ‘conservative’ (1999: 90f.) Does not fit into empirical grouping of countries
Does not fit into empirical grouping of countries (cf. Figure 2.3) (cf. Figure 2.3)
(continued)
Table 2.4 Continued
Finland, which found its way into the Scandinavian cluster or for Spain
and Portugal, which established a conservative welfare state.
This does not mean that a country is bound to stay in its regime type
forever. Countries can fit uneasily with their regime type for long peri-
ods of time. Such cases cannot be treated as mere exceptions to the rule.
However, there is reason to believe that, as Schumpeter (2003 [1943]: 12)
said: ‘Social structures, types and attitudes are coins that do not readily
melt’ so that what stands behind welfare and production regimes will per-
sist over time and even revert countries to their regime-types. As mentioned
above and as Chapter 5 will show, there seem to be ‘hegemonic belief sys-
tems’ or ‘policy-paradigms’ (cf. Lehmbruch 2001: 41; Hall 1993) that span
country-regimes and work towards aligning individual countries to their
regime-type, even if this does not preclude divergence during significant
time periods. For example, when Germany cut unemployment benefits in
2005, this was a divergence towards its conservative regime logic, because
it ended the principle of status-protection. However, such moves triggered
widespread popular protests in Germany, as they go against normative
orientations that were previously in accordance with institutional arrange-
ments and now work to realign the country towards a more conservative
welfare regime. Such protests against the principle of status-stabilization
would be unlikely in liberal countries such as the United Kingdom or the
United States. This does not mean that institutional changes never go
against regime-typical policy. It does however mean that change indeed
is less likely to occur when it has to take the hurdle of being normatively
undesirable. Chapter 5 will show in how far this aligns countries to their
regime type in production and welfare arrangements.
Then there are also the Mediterranean countries of Italy, Spain and
Portugal that do not fit easily into the continental group. However,
evidence that there are significant structural similarities between them
and the conservative regime type is provided by the hierarchical cluster
analysis in section 2.1 and theoretical arguments by Esping-Andersen
in section 1.1. Yet, if we further want to subdivide the group of conti-
nental countries, the Mediterranean countries would be a good candidate
for a separate subgroup. But especially where to put the Netherlands,
Switzerland or Japan (cf. Aoki 2000) is highly – and rightly – contested. At
least Switzerland and Japan do not fit into the groups that the hierarchi-
cal clustering (cf. Figure 2.3) indicates. They are also recurring outliers in
Chapter 1. So even though some outlying cases provide less of a problem,
the remaining ones bring up some methodological implications as to
what a typology can (and cannot) accomplish and how it should therefore
be constructed. The following section elaborates on these aspects.
Empirical Indicators and Existing Typologies 55
Thus, we distinguish roses from orchids or pansies and even divide the
group of ‘roses’ into different subgroups. We have no problem in doing
so as long as we bear in mind on what analytical level we operate and
as long as we do not forget that any flower is at the same time unique
and pertaining to a group. The same thing should be true for how we
deal with typologies. Different typologies group capitalist countries
in a varying number of categories. However, these categories are not
mutually exclusive but rather complement each other, as section 2.2
showed.
This chapter integrates the empirical findings of the past chapters and
the image that emerges from the literature into a unified typology of
capitalisms. It thus takes up the thread from section 2.2. Notably, it
shows how the different typologies of the preceding chapters amount to
a common picture of capitalist diversity. So based on what the existing
literature agrees on, what does a unified typology of capitalist diversity
look like?
Complications (that the previous chapters dealt with) notwithstand-
ing, virtually all scholars see Ireland, New Zealand, Australia, Canada,
the United States and the United Kingdom as pertaining to a liberal
or market-based regime. This is the case regardless of whether scholars
looked at the welfare state or the production system. But how many
other regimes should be distinguished from this? The most parsimoni-
ous classification is that of varieties of capitalism, which labels Austria,
Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark,
Norway, Finland and Japan as coordinated market economies. Esping-
Andersen (1999) then simply splits Sweden, Denmark, Norway and
Finland out of the group of coordinated market economies and calls
these the social democratic regime, whereas he sees other coordinated
market economies and the mixed cases in the varieties typology as con-
servative. However, Esping-Andersen (cf. 1999) is not certain where to
assign the Netherlands and Japan.
What is crucial however is that Esping-Andersen distinguishes welfare
states, but still arrives at a similar grouping of countries as varieties of
capitalism, which distinguishes production systems. The only difference
is that he splits the group of coordinated market economies into two sub-
groups, one with a social democratic and one with a conservative welfare
state. If we further split Japan out of the group of coordinated-conservative
58
A Unified Typology of Capitalisms 59
Capitalist countries
The basic point behind this is that we can split the same image of
capitalist variety in two, three, four or five different varieties, yet these
models do not contradict each other. The typologies only differ in
that they split broader groups into finer ones (or by aggregating finer
groups into broader ones). Instead of fundamentally disagreeing on
the underlying picture of capitalist diversity, the different approaches
and typologies are ‘nested’ in each other like Russian Matryoshka dolls.
Open a country regime in one typology and you find the smaller coun-
try regimes of other typologies in them.
Not only do the different typologies fit into each other. They also fit
well with the empirical cluster analysis of section 2.1. As the typologies,
the cluster analysis showed that the broadest distinction runs between
the liberal countries and all other ones. Japan and Switzerland are two
exceptional cases in the cluster analysis. They are equally exceptional
in the typologies, where they are classified ambiguously or not at all.
The cluster analysis, as the typologies, then splits up the coordinated
countries. Existing typologies likewise agree that the four Scandinavian
countries are different from all other coordinated economies. Within
the group of coordinated non-social democratic countries, the cluster
analysis singles out Germany, which is unsurprising because most
typologies also assign it a special place as the archetypical coordinated
market economy and as the archetypical conservative welfare state.
Further, the cluster analysis splits the three Mediterranean countries out
of the group of coordinated countries, which in turn is what Amable’s
typology does and what has been suggested as a further differentiation
of Esping-Andersen’s typology. In this sense, we are confronted with a
strikingly homogeneous image: typologies of welfare and production
see the world similarly; both classify countries similarly to the empirical
analysis of section 2.1. The ever-repeated result is that on the broad-
est level, it makes sense to distinguish liberal countries from all other
ones. Then, one can subdivide non-liberal countries into those with
conservative and social democratic welfare states. Within the countries
with a conservative welfare state, one can further see Japan and south-
ern European countries as a special case of this broader category. In this
sense, both empirical data and existing typologies support an effort to
integrate existing typologies, as there is no fundamental disagreement
on country families. The only question is how many subgroups non-
liberal countries should be divided into.
Until this point, I tried to show that different typologies can be
integrated into one unified typology, since neither existing typologies
nor empirical data disagree fundamentally on how countries should
62 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
Indeed this is largely the image that empirical data showed earlier (cf.
Figure 1.11). However, it would imply that the strength of organized
labour correlates with the form of the welfare state. Table 4.1 uses two
indicators of the historical strength of organized labour to test this: 1)
the power of a unified union movement and 2) the long-term prevalence
of collective bargaining (cf. Martin and Swank 2001: 899). For a measure
of welfare arrangements, I use Esping-Andersen’s original (1990) scores
on regime types and dummy variables for his welfare regimes.
As Table 4.1 illustrates, countries with a high union power density
were either non-liberal or social democratic. However, indicators of a
conservative welfare state do not exhibit a high correlation with indica-
tors for organized labour, which is logical. Countries with a conservative
How Complementarities Stabilize Three Capitalisms 65
Fitted values
Central Union Power Density – Average
for 1979–1995 (Martin and Swank 2001: 899)
AT
1.5
SWE
NOR
1
DK
.5
FIN
BE
IT
0
IRE
NL AUS
NZ UK
–.5
GER CA
JA CH
US
–1
FR
0 5 10 15
Liberalism (Esping–Andersen 1990: 74)
Yet the important question remains: Why is this so? What connects
organized industrial relations to strong welfare states? One answer is
that if welfare states provide more than poor relief, the question arises
who should be eligible and how schemes should be administrated.
Organized unions have a privileged position to judge workers’ needs,
so it makes sense to let them administer welfare schemes. When they
take this crucial position in the governance of the welfare state, they
can use it to press for their demands. They can press for a strong welfare
state and economic coordination. Therefore, a good explanation for the
correlation between coordinated industrial relations and strong welfare
states is the underlying third variable of a strong and organized labour
movement, which historically not only pushed for coordinated indus-
trial relations, but also for extensive welfare states. This so-called power
resources approach will be further discussed in section 4.7.
Another mechanism that connects strong welfare states with coor-
dinated industrial relations is that the welfare state can provide social
benefits, making it difficult for companies to poach workers from each
other by using company-based social benefits. That this element of
competition between companies falls away can make it easier for com-
panies to cooperate, also by negotiating wages collectively, leading to
organized employers and a coordinated wage bargaining system, which
further removes wage competition between companies and thereby
again lowers the threat that companies poach workers from each other,
which in turn makes it easier to cooperate. This is why employers
can even cling to extensive welfare arrangements; they make strategic
cooperation between companies easier (cf. Thelen 2000; Martin and
Swank 2001).
However, it is not necessary to discriminate which of these mecha-
nisms links organized industrial relations to strong welfare states,
because they are not mutually exclusive and most likely work together.
While it must remain unclear how strong each mechanisms is, it is
obvious that there are good correlations between indicators of organ-
ized industrial relations and strong welfare states, as well as plausible
mechanisms that can explain the correlation.
Not only are strong welfare states and organized industrial relations
systematically linked; a similar claim can be made for welfare regimes
and certain types of corporate financing. Why is this? The high-income
stratum of a population has a greater capacity to absorb financial risks. It
69
250.0
200.0
(World Bank 2006)
Canada Australia
Sweden United Kingdom
Netherlands
100.0 Finland France Spain
Japan Belgium
Denmark Ireland
Norway
50.0 Germany Italy New Zealand
Austria Portugal
0.0
250.0
Switzerland
percentage of GDP – Data for 2004, 2000 for Belgium
Overall size of the stock market in US dollars as a
200.0
(World Bank 2006)
150.0
United Kingdom
Canada United States
Sweden Netherlands Australia
100.0 Finland France Spain
Japan
Denmark Belgium Ireland
0.0
can therefore invest in riskier and more lucrative assets, which is why it
shows a preference for stock-investments, whereas middle-income groups
prefer credit- and thus bank-based investments (cf. Deeg and Jackson
2006: 14). The availability of long-term bank-based versus short-term
stock market-based capital, on which respectively coordinated market
economies and liberal market economies rely, could thus depend on the
stratification of society. Since social democratic and conservative welfare
regimes have a more egalitarian income structure (cf. Figure 1.3), the
stock market in these countries is ‘dried out’ (cf. Vitols 2001a). Inversely,
welfare regimes with a high-income stratum (usually accompanied by
a low-income one), should show a greater prevalence of equity-based
corporate financing. This in turn should lead to shareholder-oriented
corporate governance in liberal welfare regimes as more financing is
available through shares than through banks (Deeg 2001; Höpner and
Jackson 2001; Lütz 2003; Vitols 2001b). But do countries with a rich
high-income stratum really have more equity-based financing? The
graphs of Figure 4.2 on the preceding page plot how much of a country’s
income and consumption goes to the richest 10 or 20 per cent against
the size of the stock market as a measure of a country’s GDP.
There is no apparent link. Two of the societies with the highest
share of income for the richest 10/20 per cent of the population (the
United States and the United Kingdom) also have high rates of market-
capitalization. Yet, other societies in which the upper 10/20 per cent
of the population receive a high share of incomes (Portugal and New
Zealand) score rather low. Then there is – as always – the outsider
Switzerland. There might be a hidden bias however, because it is also
overall economic development that influences market capitalization,
possibly more than income distribution. Yet, even when controlling
for GNI/person, no significant correlations emerge (not shown here).
One might nonetheless not fully want to discard the claim that a dis-
proportionately rich high-income group leads to a greater prevalence of
equity-based financing, as there might be variables that hide the effect.
However, it is definitely not an obvious connection.
Portugal
Employment laws index to measure the protection of 0.80
Netherlands France
employed workers (Porta et al. 2004: 1362f.)
Norway Italy
0.60 Denmark
Belgium Austria
Switzerland
0.40
Ireland
United Kingdom
Canada
0.20 United States
New Zealand Japan
R Sq Linear = 0.455
Portugal
3.50
Spain
restrictions on the ability of employers to lay of or fire
Employment protection (composite index of legal
3.00 Sweden
France
regular employees) – Data for 2003
Germany
2.50 Norway
Belgium
Italy
(OECD 2004: 117)
Netherlands Finland
Austria
2.00
Denmark
Switzerland Japan
1.50
New Zealand
United States
R Sq Linear = 0.564
0.50
As mentioned above, not only unions, but also employers can have
an interest in a strong welfare state. As Wood (2001a: 250f.) states,
‘employers will look to public policy to maintain and reinforce the vari-
ety of institutional competitive advantage upon which they rely’. While
collective bargaining limits wage-competition, the welfare state can
level social benefits (cf. section 4.1). The resulting absence of poaching
by company-related social benefits can level the ground for company-
cooperation and economically efficient coordination. As already
outlined, a decommodifying welfare state can also promote a high
skills equilibrium of the workforce (cf. section 4.3). Thus, to the degree
that companies see coordination as beneficial, and to the degree that
they need a workforce with firm- or industry-specific skills, they have an
How Complementarities Stabilize Three Capitalisms 75
other so that – as they already have the same earnings – they can also
agree to pay similar wages. This means that a relatively egalitarian distri-
bution of wealth among employers leads to collective bargaining so that
‘levels of inequality in a country are the most important determinant of
coordination in the labor market’ (Beramendi and Rueda 2008: 3). The
more the welfare state levels gains at the top (one would assume with
high taxation), the more employers are willing to give in to coordinated
bargaining and organize accordingly.
Another explanation for the concurrence of strong employer organi-
zations and welfare state strength may be cultural. When countries
How Complementarities Stabilize Three Capitalisms 77
Scholars have long wondered why those welfare states that traditionally
provided the least protection for workers were often the ones that also
liberalized (that is, commodified labour) the most (Pierson 2001b: 435;
also cf. King and Wood 1999). This section argues that this happened
because liberal production systems are complementary to commodify-
ing welfare arrangements, while coordinated production systems are
complementary to decommodifying labour arrangements.
One reason is the ‘productivity whip’ of strong welfare states. Decom-
modifying welfare states are expensive. The more expensive the welfare
state, the more an individual worker has to pay to finance it, especially
in conservative welfare states, which are financed through payroll taxes.
Almost by definition, payroll taxes increase with the cost of the welfare
state. High payroll taxes make low-wage employment unattractive,
especially if the welfare state provides a high reservation wage. In this
sense, strong welfare states promote high-productivity jobs. Conversely,
they crowd out low-productivity employment in the private sector,
which most often relies on commodified labour (Scharpf and Schmidt
2000b, c; also cf. Chapter 6). Thus, conservative and social democratic
welfare states tend towards highly productive employment, avoiding
the low-skills/low-wage equilibrium of liberal market economies, which
relies on the commodification of labour. But they also have an inherent
tendency to produce unemployment, as only highly productive work-
ers can find a private-sector job. Liberal market economies are different.
Their welfare states do not make labour expensive. They therefore have
78 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
This is more the case for an unemployment insurance that replaces high
wages. Yet it is not the case for a means-tested system of poor relief
(also cf. section 4.3). Therefore, liberal countries, which already had the
most commodifying welfare states, might have become even more com-
modifying because this was complementary to their liberal production
system, which relies on cheap and readily available labour. Whereas
the competitiveness of liberal production regimes depended on the re-
commodification of workers, coordinated economies have an interest
to uphold some decommodification, not only for social reasons, but to
preserve their competitive advantage (cf. Vogel 2001; Wood 2001b).
Another way how decommodifying welfare states go together with
the organized employer associations that coordinated market econo-
mies rely on is based on control. Liberal, means-tested unemploy-
ment insurances give out low benefits that are usually tax-financed
and therefore state-controlled. Mares (2001a; b) argues that business
associations are tempted to ‘trade’ such a liberal tax-financed unem-
ployment insurance (in which they have no control) against a more
expensive scheme, that they can control somewhat.5 However, if there
are no corporatist business associations that are organized enough to
exert some control over unemployment insurance in the first place, as
in liberal production systems, the chance for more than means-tested
unemployment insurance remains meagre.6 To check whether – for
one reason or another – economic coordination and decommodifica-
tion indeed go together, I correlate Esping-Andersen’s (1990) decom-
modification index with Hall and Gingerich’s coordination-index and
a dummy variable for coordination.
80 Denmark
Switzerland
APW wage – Data for 1999 (Allan and Scrugge 2002)
Netherlands
Sweden
Norway
70 France
Canada Germany
Finland Austria
Belgium
60 United States
Japan
50
Italy
New Zealand
Ireland
40
United Kingdom
30
Austria
90 Spain Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
80
for 2003 (OECD 2005a)
Finland
Germany
70 Sweden
Switzerland
Norway
France
60 Belgium Japan
Canada
Denmark
United States
50
United Kingdom
New Zealand
40
R Sq Linear = 0.508
Ireland
30
This section stresses what is probably the most fundamental link between
strong welfare states and economic coordination. Namely, it argues that
a strong organized labour movement explains both. If organized labour
occupies a privileged position in governing the economy, it will use
this to also push for a strong welfare state and to resist its retrench-
ment. This view extends the famous claim of Walter Korpi (1985, 2006)
that the welfare state relies on the ‘power resources’ of labour. It argues
that the stronger the labour movement, the more it forges welfare and
production arrangements (cf. Hicks and Swank 1992; Lehmbruch 1984;
Martin and Swank 2001; Streeck 1992b). The following reasons can
account for this.
If a welfare state limits itself to means-tested poor relief, then chances
are high that these will be financed by taxes, which the state controls
(Mares 2001b: 55). However, more extensive welfare arrangements involve
complex questions of eligibility and necessitate knowledge of workers’
status. Such more complex arrangements are therefore more likely to
be administrated by unions (cf. section 4.1), which in turn strengthen
them. Where unions administered a system of unemployment insurance
(Ghent System), rising unemployment increased their membership, even
if it was already high in the first place (Rothstein 1992; also cf. Kitschelt
et al. 1999b). This argument follows the logic of a genie that escaped its
How Complementarities Stabilize Three Capitalisms 85
bottle. Once freed, it follows its own goals – and does anything not to get
back in (also cf. Olson 1984); in more scientific language, we can call it a
principal-agent problem.
Iversen and others (Cusack, Iversen and Soskice 2007; Iversen and
Soskice 2006) argue that the organized labour movement is also con-
nected to a strong welfare state through the political system. Notably,
organized labour pushes for a political system of proportional represen-
tation, which tends to enact more redistributive policy than majori-
tarian political systems. Concerning welfare state expansion, there
are therefore good arguments why organized labour (and organized
employers in coordinated market economies – cf. section 4.4) breed
social democratic or conservative welfare states. However, in liberal
market economies, there is no organized labour movement to push for
coordination or a strong welfare state in the first place.
The argument is quite straightforward concerning the extension of
the welfare state; it is more complicated for its retrenchment. Whereas
welfare state expansion consists of distributing manifest benefits that
incur diffuse costs (a higher contribution rate), welfare state retrench-
ment means cutting manifest benefits for diffuse gains (cf. Pierson
1994). Once an institution exists, it becomes a power resource in its
own right; the welfare state can therefore become its best protector,
by forming a group that relies on it and is therefore willing to pro-
tect it (also cf. Streeck 2001b: xix). Therefore, the logic ‘strength of
the labour movement determines welfare state size’ cannot simply
be turned on its head to explain welfare state retrenchment. Instead,
Pierson (1994) argues that it is the strength of groups that have gained
a vested interest in preserving the welfare state, rather than the
strength of the labour movement in general, which explains welfare
state retrenchment. However, the crucial point is that welfare state
retrenchment was resisted in policy fields where those that were con-
cerned by retrenchment could organize resistance. This should make
it more difficult to retrench the welfare state in coordinated market
economies. Consequently, Swank (2002: 41) argues that countries with
an organized labour movement were better able to mount organized
resistance against welfare retrenchment. Indeed, labour and even busi-
ness associations use power that they have in the production system
to resist, or at least adapt, welfare state retrenchment (cf. Amable
2003: 96; Anderson 2001; Crouch 2001: 115; Martin 2005: 62; Swank
2001: 208f.). An extension of Pierson’s initial argument showed that
the more labour coordinated the economy, the more it could prevent
86 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
(Hirschman 1977: 69). With such a view in mind, Castles (1993c: xvii)
maintains that
DK
PT
80 FI ES
SE NO
CH
70 JP
FR DE
60
AU
50
US
NZ
40
40 60 80
% definitely or probably: Government should provide
job for everyone (ISSP 2006)
system more than all liberal countries support either of the two. What is
particularly striking is the high correlation (r=.75) between values about
market mechanisms in the welfare state and in the production system.
However, using survey-based evidence about values does not get us
very far, for we can never know whether values result from or result
in welfare and production institutions. I therefore do not argue that
culture is an ‘ultimate’ independent variable. It is itself structured by
material circumstances, such as Castles claims in the paragraph above
(also cf. Dore 1997: 27f.; Rothstein 1998: 135). Therefore, I prefer the
concept of ‘policy style’, which is less demanding about the assump-
tions necessary to sustain it. A policy style can be seen as resulting from
culture, which in turn results from material conditions, which in turn
result from culture, and so on. It is not important to find an ‘ultimate’
independent variable. Cultural values are influenced by institutions.
But even while, in the very long run, culture changes, there are, over
very long stretches of time, policy styles, which can be reasonably
explained through culture, even if this culture in turn results from insti-
tutions over long periods (also cf. ‘metatraditions’ in Sorge 2005). The
more important point is, rather, that such a concept of ‘policy style’ is
96 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
In this view, which builds on the work of Sigrun Kahl (2005, 2009),
Manow and van Kersbergen (Manow 2009; Kersbergen and Manow
2009; also cf. Iversen and Soskice 2006; Cusack, Iversen and Soskice
2007), religiously influenced cultures, filtered through class coalitions
and voting systems, not only influenced the welfare, but also the pro-
duction system, aligning both to a common principle within a country,
but also within a regime type. This argument also builds on the claim of
Arts and Gelissen (2010: 571) that ‘welfare states with similar patterns of
resource mobilization, dominant ideologies, and political coalitions will
have relatively similar institutional structures’. It takes this view one
step further, arguing that welfare states with similar patterns of resource
mobilization, dominant ideologies, and political coalitions will not
only have similar welfare states, but also similar production systems.
To substantiate this claim, the following chapters trace the influence of
material and cultural conditions in three groups of capitalist countries.
For each of the 20 countries discussed, I show how material and cul-
tural conditions aligned the production and welfare system to a similar
principle. I use a similar approach as Steinmo (2010) in that ‘in each of
the narratives I emphasize different factors when trying to explain how
each system evolved. This is simply because different factors mattered
in each of these cases’. Factors such as social cleavages and religion play
a role in the development of every country. Since I will cite a different
amount of evidence from different times in the different countries, I do
not aim for an exhaustive welfare and production system history for
any country. Rather, I try to illustrate in how far each country is similar
to others in its regime due to similar influences. I start with the liberal
countries, showing how each followed the ideal of liberalism, both in
its welfare and in its production system regulation.
we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own self-interest’. In
this conception, the economy works best under a liberal policy, where
the government merely sets the rules, so that the market can func-
tion (but cf. Smith 1979 [1759]). Closer to the area of welfare, Thomas
Robert Malthus (1766–1834) famously argued that poor relief raises
the number of paupers and thereby lowers the average living standard.
Jeremy Bentham (1748–1832) and (the young) J. S. Mill (1806–1873)
prominently advocated liberalism by arguing that the greatest happi-
ness for the greatest number could be achieved by a utilitarianism that
leaves much leeway for individual liberty. David Ricardo (1821) in turn
applied this to economic regulation. He maintained that individuals
and countries should pursue their self-interest through peaceful trade.
This backbone of British social thought was reinforced by the Calvinist
idea that ‘God helps those that help themselves’ (Weber 2002 [1905]:
115; also cf. Kahl 2005; 2009). Calvinism also brought the belief that
poverty resulted from ‘idleness and intemperance’, so that it was under-
stood as an individual, not a social problem (Ogus 1982: 161).
The United Kingdom was not only the first country to demand
that all citizens shall be free to compete on markets, unhindered by
privileges for the nobility or clergy. It also internationalized this liberal
view of how social relations should be organized. Due to its religious,
philosophical and social conditions, which all militated in favour
of individual liberty and state-abstention, the United Kingdom led
Western countries in its commitment to liberalism in the nineteenth
century (Mann 1993: 286ff.). For Goodin et al. (1999: 40), this is there-
fore where and when the liberal regime started. Its main aspects were
the same as now: free markets and residualist welfare policies. The
Speenhamland poor relief system assured that wages rose with family
size and the price of bread, to ‘make work pay’. On the other hand,
the Poor Law Amendment Act made the conditions under which one
received welfare aid so miserable, that only the truly desperate would
ask for help (cf. Polanyi 1944: 77ff.). The United Kingdom not only has
this liberal tradition in welfare matters. The same longstanding tradi-
tion of liberal thought influenced its production system, which led to
the most radical industrial innovation, the industrial revolution itself.
Scholars claim that ‘the Protestant ethic, the strength of the individual-
ist doctrine, a stable constitutional and legal system, and an open social
structure which allowed for upward mobility’ supported the innovation
and entrepreneurialism that started the industrial revolution in England
(Ogus 1982: 156). In this liberty-cherishing environment, the insight
arose early that institutionalized social policy above the level of poor
100 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
structure of associations could not arise, because the United States saw
‘economic self-determination as integral to economic order’, which is
the opposite of representation through associations (Dobbin 1994: 20;
also cf. Mann 1993: 486f.; Scheurell 2003: 28). Again, social- and eco-
nomic policy moved in tandem. When, following the Great Depression,
the United States strengthened welfare provisions, it also increased eco-
nomic coordination (Steinmo 2010: 177). But this was only a temporary
exception in both fields (cf. Block 2006). Dobbin (1994: 10f.) sees the
free-market regulation of the United States as a durable policy style, so
strong that it even allows for predictions.
What kinds of policies will the United States adopt to govern a new
industry? Place your money on policies that enforce price competi-
tion […]. One needs to know nothing about interest groups, micro-
economic patterns, or state organizational resources to make these
broad predictions. One need only grasp the logic underlying current
policies to be able to guess what future policies will look like, because
policies in different countries follow fundamentally different logics.
the United States, but also for the remaining countries that now form
the group of liberal capitalisms. Ireland takes up a somewhat ambiguous
position however, which the next section elaborates on.
5.1.3 Ireland
With the United States and the United Kingdom, we leave the two
countries behind that are unambiguously liberal. Ireland is a hybrid of
two main influences, liberal from the United Kingdom, conservative
from the Catholic Church. This shows in both its welfare and produc-
tion system. When Ireland became an independent dominion in 1922
it had inherited the United Kingdom’s social policy: the liberal Poor
Law and policy in ‘public health, housing and educational provision’
(McLaughlin 2001: 228; Kiely 1999: 2; cf. Crouch 1993: 311; Burke 1999:
11ff.). Even after its formal independence, Ireland still looked to the
United Kingdom as a guiding model (Cousins 1997: 228f.; Ebbinghaus
2006: 58).
However, it also diverged from the United Kingdom. Ninety per cent
of its population was Roman Catholic. The Catholic Church claimed
the poor had to be taken care of and that families and communities,
but not the state, should provide welfare (Burke 1999: 26). The Irish
state refrained from active welfare provision to satisfy both influ-
ences (McLaughlin 2001: 228f.; Kahl 2005: 113f.). Ireland was not only
liberal; it was liberal in a ‘deeply conservative’ way (Burke 1999: 26).
This strange mixture, together with poor economic performance, led
to a ‘dearth of social legislation and provision’ (Kiely 1999: 2; Conroy
1999: 44). Indeed, it was not until 1933 and the Great Depression that
Ireland introduced means-tested unemployment insurance. The British
Beveridge plan influenced the country. But the Catholic Church blocked
universal health insurance, even for mothers and children; its subsidi-
arity principle spoke against it (Burke 1999: 27ff.). This conservative
legacy lasted into the 1970s. When Ireland joined the European Union,
it even tried to derogate from the EU principle that men and women
doing the same work should be paid equally (Conroy 1999: 40).
Ireland regulated its production system with a similar mix of con-
servatism and liberalism as its welfare state. Similar to social policy,
Irish economic regulation was ‘dominated by an emphasis on free trade,
limited government spending and taxation, modest state intervention
in productive sectors, and parity’ (Doherty 2001: 139). Catholic teaching
promoted ‘a society in which socio-professional groups organize them-
selves into corporations and collaborate in decision making, and in
which the independence of the family and voluntary organizations from
Diversity’s Source 107
the state is guaranteed’ (McLaughlin 2001: 226, citing Peillon, 1982: 96).
Different from purely liberal countries, this led to a slow but more thor-
ough acceptance of unions. The 1946 ‘Trade Union Act licensed unions
for the purposes of collective bargaining’ (McLaughlin 2001: 233). Within
this relatively cooperative arrangement, Ireland used a typically liberal
policy of low taxes to attract foreign investment after 1956 (Doherty
2001: 141f.). The country became richer and in the 1970s developed
social insurance schemes above subsistence levels, causing welfare
expenditure to rise steeply (McLaughlin 2001: 235). Together with the
oil price shocks of the 1970s, this resulted in an unemployment rate
of 19 per cent and a public debt of 131 per cent of GNP (Roche 2007:
396). In 1987, Ireland started to counter its economic problems partially
by typical liberal measures, such as social cuts. Untypical for a liberal
market economy however, it secured public and especially working-class
consent for the social cuts, by negotiating them with trade unions and
employer associations (Doherty 2001: 147ff.; McLaughlin 2001: 239ff.;
O’Donnell 2004: 54f.; Allen 2000). Scholars therefore mention that
5.1.4 Canada
Canada also has a liberal policy style that influenced both its welfare
and production system. However, similar to Ireland, Canada’s liberalism
is more diluted than that of the United Kingdom or of the United States.
From the second half of the nineteenth century until the 1930s, Canada
was a laissez-faire state. It not only punished the ‘undeserving poor’ in
the style of the English Poor Law. Also, the state limited itself to provid-
ing minimal public goods necessary for the production system. The idea
behind this was that ‘the state – whether federal or provincial – should
not interfere in matters naturally governed by the invisible hand of the
market’ (Brodie 2003: 11). Similar to the United States, where welfare
legislation hardly proceeded until the Great Depression; the state’s
involvement in the welfare and production system was limited (McBride
2005: 107).
I begin by the principles that governed Canada’s approach to welfare
legislation, then I will look at the production system. Scholars often
classify Canada as a latecomer in terms of social legislation. Indeed,
it often followed the United States. For example, Canada established
industrial accident insurance in 1930, the same year as the United
States and much later than other countries (Germany: 1884, France
and Italy: 1898, Sweden: 1901). It introduced means-tested old-age sup-
port in 1927 (United States: 1935, Germany: 1889, France: 1910, Italy:
1919, Sweden: 1913) and unemployment insurance in 1940 (United
States: 1935, Germany: 1927, France and Italy: 1914, Sweden: 1934, for
all dates, cf. Kudrle and Marmor 1981: 83). Timing and content often
followed the United States, so Canadian social legislation was marked
by low benefits, market and family reliance, as well as general means-
testing (Birch 1955: 177; Myles 1996: 116; Lightman and Riches 2001:
46; Brodie 2003: 9).
Canada’s first minimum wage legislation and unemployment protec-
tion in 1935 was ruled as unconstitutional. In 1940, it started a national
unemployment program, basically emulating the British scheme (Birch
1955: 193f.). After 1943, it drew inspiration from the Beveridge report
Diversity’s Source 109
and introduced many welfare measures that were roughly similar to the
United Kingdom’s until the 1970s (cf. Lightman and Riches 2001: 51).
In 1945, it started to pay mothers a small universal monthly benefit;
in 1952, every person over 70 got a monthly pension that was almost
enough to live off (cf. Lightman and Riches 2001: 51f.; Myles 1996: 119).
By 1966, Canada had introduced a contributory pension scheme, a social
assistance scheme and a national health insurance, which was ‘remark-
able even by European standards for the virtual absence of private provi-
sion of health care services’ (Myles 1998: 349; also cf. Brodie 2003: 15).
After the Second World War, Canada also relaxed the means-testing of its
schemes (Myles 1996: 122f.). During this time, not only was the welfare
state extended, but the economy was also more regulated: ‘[t]he new
governing philosophy […] held that economic activity should be pub-
licly regulated in order to maximize economic stability and the collective
well-being of Canadians’ (Brodie 2003: 14). After this movement towards
more public welfare provision, which was similar to the United States and
the United Kingdom, around the 1980s, and again following (this time
the neoliberal turn in) the United States and Britain, Canada started to
retrench its welfare programs. Brodie (2003: 24; also cf. Myles 1998: 346f.)
claims that this ‘asserted the primacy of the market’ over the notion of
collective responsibility. Values centred on individualism and market
justice replaced ideas of social solidarity (Lightman and Riches 2001: 45).
Thus, not only the creation, but also the retrenchment of Canada’s welfare
schemes followed the United States and the United Kingdom.
Canada’s similarity to the United States is often seen as stemming
from similar structural characteristics. Scholars claim that the ‘social
backgrounds of the two countries were essentially similar’; both had
unexploited open land and were territorially as well as socially mobile
societies (Birch 1955: 177). Some even claim the two countries have
‘most similar societies’ (Kudrle and Marmor 1981: 88). Differently from
the United States however, French settlements and French non-liberal
thought influenced Canadian thinking. So ‘while the predominant
social doctrine in both countries was that of laissez-faire, it seems to
have been less rigorously adhered to in Canada’ (Birch 1955: 178).
Basically, Canada followed the liberal approach, but less strictly than
the United States or the United Kingdom (cf. McBride 2005: 107; Myles
1996: 121). It had more extensive welfare arrangements than the United
States before the 1980s and its subsequent retrenchment was less severe
than in the United States under Reagan or in the United Kingdom under
Thatcher. Similar to its welfare system, Canada also followed such an
attenuated liberalism in its production system.
110 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
Before 1930, the Canadian state was hardly involved in the produc-
tion system. When welfare legislation was introduced during and after
the Great Depression, Canada also started to regulate its production
system (cf. Brodie 2003: 14, 18). Again, it oriented its policy towards the
United States. Block (2006: 25) mentions that: ‘The industrial relations
systems in the United States and Canada are like siblings; they have
similar origins and reflect similar values’. For example, Canada used the
US 1935 National Labour Relations Act ‘as the model for labour legisla-
tion’ (Block 2006: 26; Rogow 1993: 70). Both countries eschew the idea
that collective bargaining should influence workplace conditions or
that unions should in principle represent employees (Block 2006: 27;
Rogow 1993: 68). Hacker and Pierson (2010: 161) see the US influence
as so strong, that they label it a ‘contagion effect’. Indeed, not only did
Canada follow the United States in retrenching its welfare system in the
1980s. It also followed suit in the deregulation of its production system
(cf. Brodie 2003: 14, 18).
Yet, even though Canada’s social policy and production system regu-
lation broadly followed the liberal policy of its regime, Canada’s liberal-
ism, not only in its welfare, but also in its production arrangements, was
always attenuated compared to the United States (cf. McBride 2005). Not
only is Canada’s coverage of collective agreements twice as high (Rogow
1993: 34; Venn 2009: 17ff.). Also, it regulated its financial system more.
Konzelmann, Fovargue-Davies and Schnyder (2010: 12) argue that US
liberalism is influenced by Hayek’s ideas, according to which the state
merely sets rules for the economy, unconcerned about their outcomes
in terms of social inequality or economic coordination. Canada never
followed such a pure liberalism, so that for example dispersed owner-
ship of companies – and therefore hostile takeovers – never became as
prevalent as in the United States or the United Kingdom (Konzelmann,
Fovargue-Davies and Schnyder 2010: 17f.).
Kudrle and Marmor (1981: 98) claim that this attenuated liberalism in
comparison to the United States, which shows in Canada’s welfare and
production system, is due to a stronger influence by French settlers, so
that Canada is ‘more open and supportive to the notion of state action
for national and provincial development’. Nonetheless, the same lib-
eral ideology that one can find in the United States (and in the United
Kingdom) influenced Canada’s welfare and production system, align-
ing both to a similar principle. Second however, in both subsystems,
liberalism was attenuated in comparison especially to the United States.
Canada – similar to other liberal countries – follows a liberal policy style
in its welfare and production system, but in an attenuated version.
Diversity’s Source 111
The same is true for the remaining two liberal countries: New Zealand
and Australia.
were family benefits and tax-financed medical and hospital care (Davey
1999: 87). Pensions were universal, flat-rate and income-related but not
means tested. While New Zealand is broadly liberal, some acknowl-
edged that it had social democratic universalist schemes in health and
family assistance (Boston 1999: 8; Higgins 1999: 274f.).
The same broadly liberal policy style, with social democratic elements,
is evident in the production system. While New Zealand historically
modelled its industrial relations system on the United Kingdom’s, it was
more interventionist. In 1894, New Zealand’s Industrial Conciliation
and Arbitration Act established so-called Arbitration Courts. These state-
run courts ‘set wages at socially defined levels rather than leaving them
to market forces or free collective bargaining’ (Schwartz 2000: 72f.). In
practice, if unions and employer associations failed to agree on sector-
wide wage increases, the courts imposed minimum working conditions
and approximately proportional wage gains for all earners (cf. Schwartz
2000: 78f.; Harbridge and Walsh 2002: 198). The courts’ minimum
wages were high enough to support a family of four, thus their designa-
tion as ‘social’. Court rulings also extended wage agreements to indus-
tries and occupations, sowing the seeds for compulsory trade union
membership, which was enacted in 1936. Different from other welfare
states, New Zealand influenced the primary wage distribution to achieve
its welfare goals, famously becoming known as a ‘wage earner welfare
state’ (cf. Davey 1999: 86; Arts and Gelissen 2001: 286; Boston 1999: 9;
Cheyne, O’Brien and Belgrave 2008: 23; Castles 1996; Castles, Gerritsen
and Vowles 1996).
It was not only with compulsory union membership and mandatory
wage increases that New Zealand regulated its production system more
than other liberal countries. The country also controlled ‘exchange
transactions, domestic credit, interest rates, incomes and prices, import
licenses and tariffs’ (Davey 1999: 87). Taken together, this implied more
economic coordination than in the United Kingdom or the United
States (McAllister and Vowles 1994: 387). Again, when New Zealand
showed a greater commitment to welfare measures, it also showed a
greater commitment to intervene in its economy (Schmidt 2000: 237).
However, when economic growth declined and unemployment rose
in the 1970s, not only did support for extensive welfare state arrange-
ments decline (Harbridge and Walsh 2002: 199f.). Lowered support
for the welfare state reflected a general ‘growing ascendancy of market
liberalism’, mainly imported from the United Kingdom and the United
States (Boston 1999: 3; Davey 1999: 94; Higgins 1999: 272). Starting in
1984, New Zealand not only dismantled welfare arrangements, but also
Diversity’s Source 113
two subsystems moved in tandem. When one was liberalized, the other
was liberalized. A similar phenomenon occurred in Australia.
5.1.6 Australia
Australia was a British colony until 1901, starting as a penal colony
where Britain sent its outcasts. In Australia, these increasingly demanded
the same civil rights that citizens in England had become accustomed
to. They demanded the right to own and trade property on formally free
markets. Later, as in other liberal countries, Australia’s ‘British heritage
of the majority of free settlers infused the nature of the markets, chari-
table organizations and informal support systems’ (Bryson 2001: 66).
This influence of British liberalism aligned Australia’s welfare and pro-
duction system to a common principle. Yet, Australia is in some ways
exceptional in the liberal regime. In 1910, it had the world’s first labour
government. It introduced a federal means-tested, non-contributory old
age pension as early as 1908 and invalidity-pensions in 1910 (cf. Kuhnle
and Sander 2010: 68). Public pensions were generous and tax-financed;
they catered to about 30 per cent of an age cohort and redistributed
income (Bryson 2001: 75). In 1912, Australia was also the first country
to introduce maternity benefits. In these aspects, it was a social policy
forerunner (cf. Castles and Mitchell 1993: 93f.).
Similar to New Zealand, Australia instituted a ‘wage earner’ welfare state.
This started with the 1907 Harvester Judgment, establishing the right of
male workers to a ‘living wage’, high enough to support a family of four
(Schwartz 2000: 76; Bryson 2001: 67). As in New Zealand, arbitration
courts set wages at socially defined levels (Schwartz 2000: 72f.). The effect
of this approximated sectoral collective bargaining, since employees who
did the same work received the same wage, regardless of their employer. It
also reduced pressure to redistribute through welfare measures, since pri-
mary income was already fairly evenly distributed. Even though Australia’s
(and New Zealand’s) welfare states were smaller and more targeted than
Europe’s, workers were more protected and decommodified than in the
United Kingdom or in the United States (McAllister and Vowles 1994:
387). Australia relied on social wages even more than New Zealand. In fact,
they constituted Australia’s main social policy (cf. Castles and Mitchell
1993: 93f.). However, even though this created a relatively egalitarian sys-
tem, it is not fundamentally different from the minimum wage typical for
liberal countries, even if Australian social wages were generally on a higher
level. Conversely, workers and employers could not be brought to pay the
payroll taxes that European social security schemes rely on; they perceived
them as pay cuts (Bryson 2001: 73).
Diversity’s Source 115
enabling people to overcome it’ (Kahl 2005: 114). Following this doc-
trine, the main thrust of Catholicism was to stabilize social structures.
It fulfilled this role for about 1,000 years during the Middle Ages. The
central belief behind trying to keep everyone where he is, is that indi-
viduals should not try to find fulfilment in this world anyways, as it is
only a transitory stage to afterlife, where true fulfilment waits.
Additionally, these societies’ strong social cleavages meant that
‘nation-building had been rendered difficult by religious and cultural
heterogeneity’ (Crouch 1993: 336f.). Long and expensive wars desta-
bilized these countries – with the exception of Switzerland (Knudsen
and Rothstein 1994: 203). Apart from Japan, they were all involved in
the continuous struggle for power between European nation states. In
this continuous social turmoil and under the influence of the Catholic
Church, the overarching aim of these countries was to stabilize the
social order (cf. Mann 1993: 281). Palier (2010d: 37f.) argues that this is
an enduring trait, so that stability and security is still what populations
and elites in these countries aim for. Indeed, the dominant policy style
of these countries never tried to fundamentally change the income dis-
tribution, but to secure people’s position within it, making these coun-
tries deeply conservative in trying to guarantee social peace. Fittingly,
Goodin et al. (1999: 55) describe this regime type as essentially con-
servative, because: ‘Its basic goal is to preserve the existing social order,
and the existing pattern of distributions within it’.
The stability-biased policy style behind the welfare state spills over
into how these countries regulate their production system. For example,
ensuring ‘[j]ob security for the core male breadwinner […] is a welfare
value that also spills over into the work realm’ (Schmidt 2000: 267f.).
Indeed, many of these countries allowed organized labour and business
only to the degree that they sustained political and social stability (cf.
Crouch 1993: 301). Social partnership was ‘to address the issue of the
social and political integration of industrial workers […] and a guaran-
tee of social peace’ (Palier 2010a: 604). In this way, the goal behind a
conservative welfare state is mirrored by conservative economic coor-
dination. This means that the social groups, which these countries pre-
serve through their welfare state, also coordinate the economy, through
occupational collective bargaining, to cite one example (cf. Palier
2010a: 607; Goodin et al. 1999: 51). Thelen (2010: 195f.) calls this form
of economic coordination ‘group based’, which she distinguishes from
the ‘solidaristic coordination’ of the Scandinavian countries. However,
there is considerable variety within this regime type, even more than
in the two others. The following sections show how conservatism and
120 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
5.2.1 Germany
Germany was unified late (in 1871) under Prussian leadership. Its cleav-
ages were numerous and overlapping. They ran between regions (North
and South), religions (Catholics and Protestants) and, cross-cutting other
cleavages, between bourgeois liberals and lower classes (Ebbinghaus
2006: 60; Mann 1993: 321f.). Conservative German Chancellor Otto
von Bismarck pioneered social insurance to protect industrial work-
ers against sickness (1883), industrial injury (1884), disability and old
age (1889). Lutheranism and Catholicism inspired him (cf. Kahl 2005:
115). Different from Scandinavian countries, Bismarck’s policy did not
reflect or aim at widespread solidarity. Instead, he wanted to prevent a
working-class revolution and to stabilize the young state by building
‘worker loyalty towards the imperial regime’ (Kuhnle and Sander 2010:
65; Baldwin 1989: 6, 23; Manow 2001a: 110). Different from social
democratic policy, social benefits were tightly coupled to prior earnings
in the German welfare state. Different from liberal policy, the system
was dictated from above and compulsory, so that it was actually ‘a radi-
cal break with liberalism’ (Kuhnle and Sander 2010: 65f.). The basic aim
of this system was ‘to maintain an individual’s relative position in the
social hierarchy’, thereby conserving the social order (Bode 2003: 158;
also cf. Leisering 2001: 172; Mann 1993: 675). Fittingly, to the degree
that industrialists feared social uprisings, they supported the new social
insurance (Bueck 1905: 791ff.; Baldwin 1989: 5).
The conservative welfare state that emerged from this made work-
ers dependent on a stable working career, as only this could guarantee
the steady contributions, on which benefits were calculated. This gave
employees an incentive for ‘cooperation and coordination in the work-
place, which in turn supported the evolution of a specifically German
production regime’ (Streeck 2001a: 31f.; Ebbinghaus 2006: 70; Manow
1997: 33; 2001a: 114). Because the welfare state promoted stable
employment in this way, Germany’s ‘[s]ocial policy and industrial rela-
tions are interwoven and act in tandem’ (Bode 2003: 158).
Interestingly, Germany’s economic coordination is segmented along
similar social cleavages as its welfare state. It stems from the same
‘authoritarian alliance to restrain socialism’ (Martin and Swank 2012:
126). Because economic coordination in Germany was segmented along
Diversity’s Source 121
the social groups that composed German society, it does not reflect
national, but group-based solidarity. As Martin and Swank (2012: 111)
argue: ‘Germany’s failure to rise above sectoral coordination, rather than
the fact of coordination itself, may well reflect the deep divisions in the
economy’. German coordination is segmented into occupations, regions
and industries (Goodin et al. 1999: 72). Different from the Scandinavian
countries, with their nationwide solidarity, redistribution and national
coordination in Germany are rare, to the degree that ‘no institutional-
ised tripartite or bipartite economic and social council exists at national
level’ (EIRO 2009f: 8). While the welfare state documents little national
solidarity in the form of redistribution, associations tend to be similarly
unable to agree nationally (cf. Bispinck and Schulte 2000; Trampusch
2009a: 132ff.; Hassel and Schiller 2010).
While Germany did not adopt a neoliberal course in the 1980s, its con-
servative welfare state and coordinated production system came under
pressure afterwards. As long as they could, ‘German leaders expressed
a normative preference for the status quo’ (Cox 2001: 491). But under
increasing pressure from low-cost countries and with a service sector
that was unable to shoulder Germany’s high labour costs, the Hartz
IV legislation finally diverged from the status stabilization of previous
policy (cf. Palier 2011: 45). While this happened, the industrial relations
system was fragmented as well (Baccaro and Howell 2011: 21ff.; Menz
2005a; Streeck 2009). The tricky part about these changes is that they
have often taken place under an institutional structure which – from
the outside – appeared relatively stable, but from which ever more
firms defected (Hall and Thelen 2009: 20). However, segmentalization
of industrial relations is actually what should be expected for a country
that has always had a group-based segmented production system, owed
to solidarity contained in social groups. Indeed, current reforms in wel-
fare and production, which stabilize the inner core of manufacturing
workers, while the fringe around them expands, are exactly what we
would expect from a conservatively coordinated country, which does
not aspire to egalitarianism, but tries to protect social inequality as it is.
As Martin and Swank (2012: 209) argue, such ‘dualist tendencies [are]
embedded in the logic of sector coordination’.
At the same time, liberalization in the welfare and production sys-
tem does not go as far as in liberal countries. German companies still
have a more stable stockholder structure than Anglo-American ones.
Associations still negotiate wage agreements for their fragmented mem-
bers, guaranteeing wage-stability for some years. Most companies still
aim for long term, if somewhat lower and less volatile profits than
122 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
5.2.2 Austria
What is true for Germany is truer for Austria. Predominantly Catholic
and segmented into regions and languages, Australia was historically
a multi-ethnic state, especially before the First World War (cf. Mann
1993: 330ff.). Faced with deep social divisions, it was hard to envision
universalistic welfare policy and nationwide economic coordination.
This does not mean that social policy was late or weak. But it was
socially segmented, just as the coordination of the economy.
In 1887 and following Bismarck, the Austro-Hungarian Empire intro-
duced compulsory industrial accident insurance. It introduced compul-
sory sickness insurance for industrial workers in 1889, and compulsory
pensions insurance for white-collar workers in 1906. In 1920, it was
the third European country to introduce compulsory unemployment
insurance and extended compulsory pension insurance to blue-collar
Diversity’s Source 123
workers in 1927 (Alber 1981: 156; Flora and Alber 1981: 59). But the
segmentations of these social programs mirrored social cleavages, which
ran even deeper than in Germany. In 1934, they even erupted into
a civil war. Eastern workers fought mainly (Western) capital-owners
(Hemerijck, Unger and Visser 2000: 187f.). On the one side, the country
desperately needed a policy to bind worker loyalty to the state. On the
other side, the solidarity necessary for nationwide redistribution did
not exist between a people fighting a civil war. Thus, Austria’s welfare
arrangements were and are divided between occupations and strictly
oriented towards replacing prior wages. They stabilize an individual’s
position in the social hierarchy and in consequence stabilize the social
order itself. They also tie worker loyalty to the state, from which work-
ers receive their pension and status-conserving welfare benefits (cf.
Hemerijck, Unger and Visser 2000: 186ff.; Katzenstein 1984: 64f.; Mann
1993: 341).
Austria allowed the labour movement to the degree that it stabilized
state and society. Redistribution, which could change the social order,
is and was not an aim of the Austrian labour movement (Katzenstein
1984: 36; EIRO 2009a: 5). This laid the groundwork for an associational
structure that could coordinate and stabilize economic transactions
(Crouch 1993: 149). In this, Austria was again very similar to Germany.
Both countries historically aimed to ‘integrate most people into one
corporation or another’ (Sorge 2005: 129f.). In these social groups,
redistribution and economic coordination take place. This contributes
to and relies on another form of solidarity than the Scandinavian
countries. Instead of promoting national solidarity, it conserves people
within their social group and their economic association, not allowing
upward, but also preventing downward mobility. What it does allow for
is social and economic security and stability (Busch 1993: 36; also cf.
Katzenstein 1984: 30, 44). This conservative policy style, keeping people
where they are, shows not only in German but also in Austrian welfare
and production arrangements (cf. Katzenstein 1984: 38). Austria may
even be more conservative than Germany (cf. Crouch 1993: 14). Even
though it has a central union confederation, its collective bargaining
reflects social divisions, as negotiations about working conditions are
mostly sectoral (Hemerijck, Unger and Visser 2000: 194; cf. Katzenstein
1984: 61f.).
Recently, Austria has – again much like Germany – liberalized its
welfare and production system. It reduced social insurance benefits,
encouraged private pension savings, tightened eligibility criteria for
unemployment benefits and promoted private health-care payments
124 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
(cf. Palier 2011: 45f.). Parallel liberalization took place in industrial rela-
tions. However, the country is still a far cry from liberal ones in both its
welfare and production arrangements (EIRO 2009a: 3; Kelly and Hamann
2008: 144f.). It is also different from the Scandinavian countries in spite
of its high degree of economic coordination however, because coordina-
tion is – similar to the welfare state – not nationally universal. The social
cleavages that are underlying this not only prevent national economic
coordination, but also universal social policy, which could lead to national
redistribution (Katzenstein 1984: 78). Overall, Austria has a similar social
cleavage structure as Germany, resulting in a conservative welfare state
and conservative economic coordination, stabilizing individuals within
social groups, but not redistributing or coordinating between them. With
different shades, this conservative coordination – strong within, but weak
between social groups – also characterizes other countries that had strong
cleavages between, and strong solidarity within, social groups.
5.2.3 Switzerland
Switzerland is unusual. On the one hand, it is similar to other con-
servatively coordinated countries, as it is historically marked by cleav-
ages between languages, religions and cantons. This would lead one to
expect a conservative policy, keeping everyone in their well-entrenched
group, while preventing nationwide solidarity (cf. Schmidt 2000: 268f.).
On the other hand, Switzerland shares traits with liberal countries.
Calvinism is strong, while labour and social democracy are weakly
organized (Trampusch 2010b: 59). Following these two influences, the
country’s production and welfare system is marked by a strange mix of
liberalism and conservatism (Lipset and Rokkan 1967: 42; Katzenstein
1984: 28; also cf. Obinger 2009). This shows in both the welfare and the
production system.
Around the turn of the nineteenth century, the Swiss state supported
employer-run training schemes and helped establish a peak association
for workers (Crouch 1993: 84; Trampusch 2010a: 212f.). It also helped
establish an employer confederation, so that Switzerland developed
an early capacity for economic coordination, which was hindered by
social segmentation however (Crouch 1993: 89ff.). Notably, employers
were split between large and small companies and labour was divided
by ‘cross-cutting linguistic, religious, rural-urban and citizen-foreigner
cleavages’ (Trampusch 2010a: 213; also cf. Katzenstein 1984: 112ff.).
Encompassing coordination was possible during moments of national
unity, such as in 1937, when the country had to stand united against
fascist Germany, so that Swiss employers and unions reached a peace
Diversity’s Source 125
5.2.4 Belgium
When Belgium was founded in 1830, hopes were high that it would be a
unified country. However, Belgium was and is marked by cleavages that
are typical for a conservatively coordinated country. It is split in two. In
the northern part live the Dutch-speaking Flemings, who are Catholic
and were agricultural. The South is the Walloon part of the country,
French-speaking, secular and historically industrial (Lipset and Rokkan
1967: 42). Political parties, trade union confederations and health
insurance funds were segmented along these mutually reinforcing
socio-economic, regional and linguistic cleavages. The central state had
limited power and had to adapt economic coordination and the welfare
system to these existing cleavages (Pasture 1993: 708; Hemerijck, Unger
and Visser 2000: 189f.; Schmidt 2000: 268).
Belgium therefore developed a segmentalized welfare state, with a
strong Catholic influence. It pioneered the famous ‘Ghent system’ of
unemployment insurance, where unemployment payments and ben-
efits are redistributed within trade unions, which in turn are organized
along social cleavages (cf. Pasture 1993: 698). In 1920, the Belgian state
Diversity’s Source 127
5.2.5 France
France is not a clear-cut case. It is conservative because its pension and
unemployment schemes establish proportionality between payments
and benefits, keeping people where they are socially. However, France
deviates from other conservatively coordinated countries as its state,
instead of associations – or, broadly speaking, social groups – coordinates
welfare schemes and production. What made the French state so power-
ful? Similar to other European states, France fought out a fierce conflict
with the Catholic Church at the end of the nineteenth century about
state-funding of churches and the control of education. This resulted in
the 1905 law on the Separation of the Churches and the State. Other
South European states were unable to gain such a decisive victory against
the authority of the church (cf. Crouch 1993: 302f.). Resulting from
this, the state did not have to share authority with the Catholic Church,
nor with other any other groups that could have intervened in welfare
schemes or economic coordination. The French state thus instituted
social insurance schemes (unemployment in 1905 and 1914, old age
pensions in 1910 and 1930) that were not run by associations, but cen-
trally administered by the Ministry of the Interior. This led to a ‘preemi-
nence of public action over any private forms of welfare provision’
(Manow and Palier 2009: 151f.; Alber 1981: 153; Kudrle and Marmor
1981: 83; Flora and Alber 1981: 59; Schmidt 2000: 269). However, the
insurance-based system still reflects a Bismarckian tradition in that it
keeps everyone in their place socially through proportionality between
Diversity’s Source 129
payments and benefits (cf. Levy 2000: 318f.). In this regard, France is no
less conservative than other countries. The aim of social legislation was
to stabilize the social order. What distinguishes France from other con-
servatively coordinated countries is the degree of state involvement in
welfare schemes (Palier 2010b: 73f.). So while aims were similar, means
were different. The state not only administered welfare schemes, but
also coordinated the economy, reflecting deeply held beliefs that only
Paris could bind the nation together:
5.2.7 Italy
In a fundamental sense, Italy was and is similar to other conserva-
tively coordinated countries. It is divided by ethnicities, ideologies and
regional differences. It also had to endure a strong Catholic influence
(cf. Crouch 1993: 304). The Catholic Church sees the family as the basic
unit of society. In Italy’s south, this led to an ‘amoral familialism’, as
Edward Banfield (1958) famously called it or, in Robert Putnam’s (1993)
words, to a lack of social capital. People were unwilling to extend soli-
darity beyond their most limited social group: their own family. Yet in
spite of these cleavages, Italy somehow had to establish a functioning
state and social stability (cf. Lipset and Rokkan 1967: 42f.; Schmidt
2000: 269).
This led to conservative social policy when Italy adopted ‘Bismarck’s
programs in Germany as a direct model’ to construct a welfare state
that conserves social positions, instead of redistributing (Lynch 2009:
97; Fargion 2001: 183ff.; Kudrle and Marmor 1981: 83; Flora and Alber
1981: 59). This basic architecture still shows in that Italy protects its
core labour force and the elderly, while social investments, such as
‘family benefits, social services, and housing benefits are underdevel-
oped’ (Maino 2003: 200; Fargion 2001: 184). For example, Italy has
a generous state-pension scheme, while it still has no national social
assistance (Fargion 2001: 189; Kahl 2005: 113). In this sense, and typi-
cal for Catholic social policy, the Italian welfare state preserves social
status, but – different from social democratic countries – does not help
people to improve their social situation. Instead, it stabilizes social
groups, mainly families, through social security schemes (Jessoula and
Alti 2010: 157; Fargion 2001: 185f.; Goodin et al. 1999: 52). At the
same time, the welfare state relies on the family for the provision of
social services (Karamessini 2008: 46). An exception to this is the health
system, which is universal since 1978 (Fargion 2001: 189f.).
134 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
higher level. But mainly, what marks Italy is a policy style where pro-
duction and distribution are based on small-scale social groups, above
which coordination and solidarity do not extend, so that both social
policy and coordination are not nationally universalistic, but conserva-
tive, limited to supporting family structures.
5.2.8 Spain
Similar to other countries in the conservative group, but different from
most social democratic or liberal countries, Spain’s history is marked by
social unrest. This left Spain in need of social stability, so that ‘every
political shift has been characterized by the preservation of the previ-
ously existing institutional design and by the expressed will of policy-
makers to enlarge it and make it more efficient’ (Guillén 1992: 120).
However, even if such a conservative desire existed, it was still difficult
to indeed achieve social stability, as Spain was – and is – marked by
cleavages along regional and linguistic identities (Catalan, Basque and
Castilian), so that identification with one’s social group was high, while
national identification was weak. This obviously makes it difficult to
construct a stable state (cf. Lipset and Rokkan 1967: 42; Linz 1967: 198).
These cleavages, plus a desire to stabilize the social order in spite of
them, plus Catholicism, influenced the welfare and production system
along similar lines.
The Spanish welfare state started with the introduction of compul-
sory old age insurance in 1919. The next steps were maternity benefits
in 1926 and compulsory labour accident insurance in 1932, which
left many risks uncovered however (Guillén 1992: 121). During this
early welfare expansion, the production system also became more
coordinated. In 1925, the dictator Miguel Primo de Rivera formed an
alliance with socialists and their trade union, the Unión General de
Trabajadores (UGT), after he had made enemies among traditional con-
servatives, the Church, the liberal bourgeoisie, and the anarchist and
communist movements. In exchange for their support, he instituted
comités paritarios, where workers and employers were represented and
consulted on collective bargaining and employment regulation (Crouch
1993: 134f.). After Spain’s social cleavages erupted in a civil war, the
victorious General Franco formed a government in Spain in 1939 and
united ‘a heterogeneous alliance of conservative and fascist groups, whose
paramount concern was law and order. Their legitimacy was founded on
the support of both the army and the Catholic Church’ (Moreno 2001:
101). Strongly influenced by Catholicism and conservatism, Franco
aimed to uphold social stability, not least to stabilize its own regime.
136 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
meant that trade unions restrained wage demands, wherefore the gov-
ernment committed to a progressive tax system and universal social
coverage. However, this was conservative in that it aimed towards social
stability to avoid a coup d’état after social unrest (Moreno 2001: 103).
While during this moment of national unity concertation could be
reached to consolidate democracy, the country’s social cleavages erupted
again after the transition to democracy was successful (Lucio 2000: 440;
Royo 2007: 49). Again, the numerous social groups into which society
at large, but also associations were split, hindered not only national eco-
nomic coordination, but also universal welfare legislation (Guillén 1992:
133; Meer 1996: 325; Pérez 2000: 343).
Namely, ‘health care, education and social services, were left largely
in the hands of the Comunidades Autonomas’ (Gallego, Coma and
Subirats 2005: 105; Moreno 2001: 105; Arriba and Moreno 2005: 147).
Instead of universal social policy, ‘special schemes continued to be cre-
ated for specific categories of citizens’ (Guillén 1992: 127). The resulting
difference between well-protected insiders and outsiders is all but social
democratic (Glatzer 2005: 115). Instead, it is typical for a conservative
country, aiming to maintain a stable social structure by keeping insiders
and outsiders where they are. Spanish welfare is and was thus highly
fragmented. Indeed, scholars claim that ‘[p]erhaps the most relevant
factor conditioning welfare development in Spain is the importance of
decentralization both at the level of planning and policy implementa-
tion’ (Arriba and Moreno 2005: 142). Similarly, Spain now has regional
and sectoral economic cooperation between labour and governments
(Royo 2007). However, similar to other conservatively coordinated coun-
tries, divisions along regional, political and class lines kept on hindering
nationwide coordination (Pérez 2000: 345ff.). At the end of the 1990s,
there was again some national concertation in welfare and production
regulation (McVeigh 2005: 100f.). However, this is not a divergence from
a conservative model, in that it ‘aimed principally at reinforcing the
contributory nature of the Spanish system of social security’ (Moreno
2001: 107; Pérez 2000: 343ff.). Spain can thus not only be considered
conservative because its reforms were driven by a desire to achieve social
stability (Royo 2007: 51). It is also conservative because ‘segmentation
between insiders and outsiders has been a constant feature’ (McVeigh
2005: 100).
There again appears a similarity between, on the one hand, con-
servative welfare legislation, centred on contributions and on uphold-
ing existing social structures (Gallego, Coma and Subirats 2005: 104)
and, on the other hand, a production system where coordination is
138 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
5.2.9 Portugal
When Portugal’s monarchy was overthrown and a republic established
in 1910, Portugal was, similar to other countries that are now in the
conservative group, ‘beset by political factionalism, economic strife
and social unrest’ (Chuliá and Asensio 2007: 607). In 1933, António de
Oliveira Salazar, a devout Catholic, established a de facto dictatorship.
He ‘perceived his mission as restoring the social order’ – a phrase famil-
iar from other countries under Catholic leadership (Hampson 1997:
154). By abolishing all autonomous labour and employer organizations,
he did restore order, for better or worse (Crouch 1993: 136; Chuliá and
Asensio 2007: 623). His declared aim was to keep Portugal ‘traditional,
rural, and Catholic’, basically: keeping it as it was (Crouch 1993: 177). In
1935, he introduced a mandatory rudimentary social insurance scheme
for sickness, invalidity and old age. In accordance with ‘the tenets of
exclusionary corporatism, each professional group was responsible for
the protection of its members against social risks, and consequently
each profession had to establish its own scheme’ (Chuliá and Asensio
2007: 624; Capucha et al. 2005: 207ff.). The schemes introduced were
in that sense strictly conservative, solidarity was limited to in-group
solidarity, as the state refused to support the schemes (Hampson 1997:
154). This remained so until the revolution of 1974, making Portugal
an extreme latecomer in terms of welfare development (cf. Chuliá and
Asensio 2007: 625). Just as the state wanted to keep the social structure
as it was, it also militated ‘against the modernization of economic and
social structures’ and rejected organized industrial relations (Capucha
et al. 2005: 211).
Similar to Spain, the most universal legislation came during a
moment of national unity. When the Carnation Revolution established
democracy in 1974, Portugal introduced a pension system, which was
the country’s ‘first non-contributory element of state income support’
(Hampson 1997: 155). The minimum statutory pension now had to
amount to at least half the minimum wage, establishing some redis-
tribution to the poor. Portugal also introduced social pensions for the
Diversity’s Source 139
5.2.10 Japan
Why should Japan, a country that is not Catholic, not European and
not socially fragmented, be similar to other conservatively coordinated
countries? The answer is that Japan took Germany and other conserva-
tive countries as an example when modernizing its welfare state and
production system. In 1867, Japan experienced the Meiji Restoration.
Running the risk of being colonized, it wanted to modernize its welfare
and production system to catch up industrially and militarily (Steinmo
2010: 89ff.). Itō Hirobumi, future prime minister of Japan, visited
Germany to receive week-long instructions from German chancellor
Otto von Bismarck and Lorenz von Stein. As the two countries pursued
similar aims of catching up with early industrializers, Japan used ‘inte-
gral parts of an early Modell Deutschland […] to reconcile two main
objectives of the Meiji elite: a policy of accelerated modernization and
the preservation of stability and social harmony’ (Lehmbruch 2001:
60). Similar to Germany, it granted ‘privileges to groups whose coop-
eration in economic modernization and nation building was deemed
indispensable’ (Streeck 2001a: 12). Both countries therefore instituted
status-oriented welfare states and integrated ‘labour and capital into the
welfare state at either the enterprise or sectoral level’ (Manow 2001a:
118; Esping-Andersen 1997: 183).
When Japan started a health insurance system in the 1920s, unem-
ployment insurance in the 1930s, and when it extended its social
security schemes for sickness, unemployment, old-age and accidents
to the entire population in the 1940s, it not only followed Germany in
the substantive construction of these schemes; it also adopted reforms
for the same reason as Germany: to foster social stability (Aspalter and
Diversity’s Source 141
Lai 2003: 245; Uzuhashi 2001: 106; Peng and Wong 2010: 660; Streeck
2001a: 11). Redistribution took place within social groups, mainly
within occupations or companies, to preserve the social order (Uzuhashi
2001: 109f.). Also similar to Germany, welfare schemes were not residual,
but targeted to skilled workers, helping to ‘establish a production model
based on shop-floor cooperation, stable career paths, and high skill
levels’ (Manow 2001a: 98). Japan’s insurance system relied on long job
tenure and stable employment. This in turn promoted peaceful relations
between labour and employers, so that Japan’s welfare system ‘supported
the evolution of a range of powerful mechanisms of economic coordi-
nation that are today regarded as defining elements of the German and
Japanese models of embedded capitalism’ (Streeck 2001a: 11). Aiming to
achieve social stability in this sense not only influenced the construction
of the welfare state, but also of the production system.
The conservative coordination of the production system, within
social groups, but hardly beyond them, took place in ‘keiretsus’. These
vertically integrated conglomerates upheld stable ties to each other and
to their workforce. Workers became a ‘member’ of a company for life-
time and were socially insured through it (Aspalter and Lai 2003: 252;
Steinmo 2010: 133). It is also within conglomerates that vocational
training takes place (Busemeyer and Trampusch 2011: 21; Lauder, Brown
and Ashton 2008). These vertically integrated companies are functional
equivalents to German social and economic legislation, because they
‘reward long working careers, […] buffer the employment relationship
from cyclical economic swings, and […] provide economic agents with
a stable institutional framework’ (Manow 2001a: 119). However, while
unquestionably helping insiders, this system exposes outsiders to an
inflexible labour market, keeping both groups where they are in society,
again making this country deeply conservative (cf. Dore 1997: 20ff.).
The same conservative approach, focused on stabilizing the social order,
in this sense characterizes the welfare and production system (cf. Tricker
2009: 187).
The main difference from other conservative-coordinated countries
is that in economic matters, Japan established stability on the level of
the company, not through industry-wide associations (cf. Ebbinghaus
2006: 67f.). In terms of its welfare state, Japan ‘never developed a
modern “state centered” welfare system, but instead subsidized families
and encouraged companies to provide many of the services that in
other countries are provided by the state’ (Steinmo 2010: 91; Aspalter
and Lai 2003: 248). Organizing solidarity within social groups, while
not extending it beyond them, is typical conservative policy however.
142 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
5.3.1 Sweden
Sweden was less torn apart by war and social conflicts than continental
European nations (Steinmo 2010: 46). The country overcame social
cleavages more easily and the strong feeling of national identity, which
this entailed, led to social democracy and an egalitarian conception
of social justice (Ahn 1996; Mann 1993: 711; Steinmo 2010: 11). This
egalitarian conception of social justice characterizes Sweden’s welfare
and production system.
As early as the late seventeenth century, the Swedish monarchy took
land rights away from the nobility and distributed them to small-scale
farmers (Valocchi 1992: 193). With their small and irregular earnings,
these peasants never developed an interest in a Bismarck-style insurance
system, whose benefits depended on stable employment and contribu-
tions. As ‘Sweden was the only unified European state in which peasants
were represented in parliament’ (Knudsen and Rothstein 1994: 207),
their interests had to be taken into account, leading to universalistic
tendencies in welfare legislation even before social democrats rose
to power in the 1930s (cf. Manow 2009: 107). A second aspect that
promoted Sweden’s national unity was Lutheranism, whose guiding
philosophy was to improve the situation of the poor, instead of sustain-
ing it through transfers, which contrasted starkly with the almsgiving
doctrine of the Catholic Church. Lutheran legitimation of state aid also
differentiated Sweden from the Calvinism of liberal countries (Anderson
2009: 213). In short, Lutheranism supported solidarity in the form of
an empowerment of the poor, which both Catholicism and Calvinism
discouraged.
The nationwide solidarity that marks Sweden was inscribed in its
welfare institutions. When Sweden introduced accident insurance
in 1901 (made compulsory in 1916), sickness insurance in 1910 and
compulsory pension insurance in 1913, these programs ‘went further
146 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
than any existing national law in the world: insurance was made
universal, so that, with minor exceptions, the entire population was
covered […], which was a far more radical idea than proposed in the
German law’ (Kuhnle 1981: 129; Valocchi 1992: 193f.; Anderson 2009:
225; Kudrle and Marmor 1981: 83; Flora and Alber 1981: 59). When
social democrats came to power in 1932, they introduced the concept of
the ‘Folkhemmet’, the ‘people’s home’. This meant that solidarity was
not confined to society’s different groups, but comprised the nation as
a whole. Not only did it mean that all individuals were to be treated
equally – instead of treating them according to the social group that
they were in. It also meant that society should cooperate on a nation-
wide level (Salonen 2001: 146). There are some exceptions to strong
national cooperation. Sweden adopted national subsidized voluntary
unemployment insurance as late as 1934. However, it had extensive
public employment schemes to make up for this, foreshadowing the
idea of the modern Swedish welfare state, where public employment
instead of transfers reduces unemployment (Alber 1981: 153, 156;
Edling 2006: 120).
The same national unity that was necessary to construct a nation-
ally universal welfare state also led to national economic coordination
(cf. Swenson 2002: 15; Steinmo 2010: 11, 47). The Swedish production
system has been ‘the Mecca of north European corporatist industrial
relations’ (Teague 2009: 502; Baccaro and Howell 2011: 27). Its bargain-
ing was more centralized and more redistributive than in continental
European countries (Crouch 1993: 141, also cf. Pontusson 1997: 56;
Steinmo 2010: 23). Just as Sweden’s welfare state differs from con-
servative ones in that it does not segregate benefits into occupations,
Sweden’s traditional bargaining system was similarly inclusive, capable
of nationwide coordination (cf. Crouch 1993: 89; Pontusson 1997: 64).
Most relevant in this respect is the Saltsjöbaden compromise between
the Swedish social democrats, the Swedish Trade Union Confederation
and the Swedish Employers Association in 1938 (cf. Edling 2006: 118;
Valocchi 1992: 146; Ervasti et al. 2008: 9ff.; Steinmo 2010: 50ff.).
Sweden reached another compromise in 1951, with the Rehn-Meidner
model. This was a system of solidaristic nationwide wage bargaining,
which followed the same logic as the welfare state in equalizing incomes
across the nation, as it tied all wages to increases in national productiv-
ity and raised low wages disproportionately (Hall 2007: 48; Ebbinghaus
2006: 66; Steinmo 2010: 54ff.; Dølvik and Martin 2000: 296ff.). Similar
to welfare arrangements, which redistributed not within occupations,
but across the nation, economic cooperation was not restricted to
Diversity’s Source 147
industries or regions, but took place nationally (Steinmo 2005: 151; for
vocational training, cf. Busemeyer and Trampusch 2011: 13).
Until the 1970s, Sweden thus not only coordinated its economy in a
way that reflected nationwide solidarity; the welfare state reflected the
same policy style of national solidarity by providing public services to
all and redistributing secondary incomes (Valocchi 1992: 148; Pontusson
1997: 62; Steinmo 2010: 33). Ervasti et al. (2008: 9f.) claim that national
wage solidarity is not only complemented by the welfare state, but also
by similarly cooperative arrangements in the workplace. They argue that
status differences between workers and management are less important
than in liberal or coordinated conservative countries. This similar princi-
ple behind regulation of the welfare and production system can be called
social democratically coordinated, since both the production and the
welfare system attest to national solidarity. Such a system is obviously
different from liberalism, which eschews interference in the market –
either through the welfare state or through the production system. It is
also different from the coordination that exists in countries with a con-
servative welfare state, where redistribution and coordination take place
within social groups below the national level.
In 1983 however, this system changed. The Swedish Engineering
Employers Federation reached an individual agreement with the
Swedish Metalworkers Union, sidestepping a national agreement
between the Swedish Employer Confederation and the Trade Union
Confederation (Dølvik and Martin 2000: 293f.). National bargaining
eroded, as across the board wage increases became harder to implement
for ever more heterogeneous workers (Valocchi 1992: 148). The main
difference was between public- and private-sector employees (Steinmo
2010: 61ff.). During the 1990s, first with the Industry Agreement, then
with the Mediation Authority, industry-wide bargaining gained accept-
ance. While decentralizing its industrial relations, Sweden also deregu-
lated its financial and corporate governance market and cut welfare
programs (Valocchi 1992: 149). However, the Swedish industrial sector
still sets the pace for bargaining in the rest of the economy and the
government mediates the different industry agreements, so that these
‘avoid the free-rider danger and proceed on the basis of a common view
of the wage growth consistent with macroeconomic stability’ (Dølvik
and Martin 2000: 313; EIRO 2009j: 5f; also cf. Baccaro and Howell 2011:
26ff.; EIRO 2009k: 3; Martin and Thelen 2007: 7).
Most interesting, the direction of change was similar for the pro-
duction system and the welfare state. While economic coordination
decreased, the welfare state was retrenched. However, Sweden liberalized
148 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
5.3.2 Denmark
After Denmark lost the regions of Schleswig and Holstein to Prussia and
Austria in 1864, it had a fairly homogeneous population (cf. Mann 1993:
711). Its religious denomination further supported its social homogene-
ity. The dominant Lutheran church understood the state as the uncon-
tested provider of welfare. As a result of this, by ‘the beginning of the
19th century, the Danish government saw itself as ultimately responsi-
ble for the poor, and [in 1849] the duty of the state to provide relief was
even written into the constitution’ (Kahl 2005: 106; 2009: 273).
Similar to Sweden, Denmark took land rights away from the nobility
and gave them to small farmers, who received a substantive voice in
parliament. As in other Scandinavian countries, these independent peas-
ants shifted public policy to the left (Manow 2009: 107). Exceptionally
in Europe, Denmark’s early capacity of national concertation meant
that there was no revolutionary unrest in the nineteenth century, but a
peaceful settlement on a democratic constitution, which took the peas-
ants’ interests into account (Knudsen and Rothstein 1994: 214). Their
modest landholding size inclined them to sympathize with low-income
groups and blue-collar workers (Knudsen and Rothstein 1994: 215; also cf.
Diversity’s Source 149
Nørgaard 2000). But, similar to Sweden, their interests were not served by
welfare measures that relied on prior contributions from industrial work,
as conservative occupationally segmented schemes do, so the peasant’s
political influence leaned towards universalism (Sørensen 1998: 367ff.).
Due to Denmark’s homogeneous society and its policy of social inclu-
sion and Lutheranism, scholars speak of ‘national values, or ideological
foundations, or a fundamental mind-set which lay behind Danish social
legislation [in that] society’s different groups are bound together by
mutual responsibility’ (Levine 1978: 54, 68; Sørensen 1998: 367). And
indeed, Denmark legislated early and inclusive social policy. In 1862,
even before Germany, it appointed commissions that recommended
sickness insurance. In 1891, it passed a non-contributory pensions law
for the destitute, which, exceptional for the rest of the world, while typi-
cal for what was later to be called a social democratic welfare regime,
was financed by taxes. Denmark set up a sickness fund in 1892, only
preceded by Sweden and Germany (Flora and Alber 1981: 59). Equally
early, it passed an accident insurance scheme in 1898, which became
compulsory in 1916 (Kuhnle 1981: 129). It was also one of the first coun-
tries to provide national subsidized voluntary unemployment insurance,
in 1907 (Alber 1981: 153; Edling 2006: 100). The administration of the
unemployment insurance encouraged trade unions to centralize. This
in turn gave rise to an institutional structure that could later coordinate
the production system (Trampusch 2010a: 205; Edling 2006: 107). Since
all could pay into the system, yet skilled workers had a lesser chance
of becoming unemployed and paid higher contributions, they sup-
ported unskilled workers through this scheme. In this sense, nationwide
unemployment insurance redistributed income beyond the confines of
social groups. This is contrary to conservative unemployment schemes,
which are occupationally segmented. Social provision moved away from
means-testing to providing security for all. In 1922, the country revised
its old age pensions. It started to cover disability in 1933. In the same
year, it also made health-insurance semi-compulsory (cf. Flora and Alber
1981: 59). After Denmark passed this law, it had ‘the world’s most exten-
sive coverage of social risks’ (Kuhnle and Sander 2010: 69).
After this, protection increased, as social benefits became statutory
rights. At the same time, recipients of social assistance were ‘exposed to
strict control from the authorities and they still lost franchise, [but] fewer
were regarded as not deserving poor’ (Abrahamson 2003: 115). Denmark’s
modern unemployment assistance still replaces up to 90 per cent of prior
earnings and about 70 per cent of an average production worker’s wage.
But the unemployed are still strongly pressured to seek and accept work
150 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
5.3.3 Finland
Finland is not as clear-cut as Denmark and Sweden. It was not as homo-
geneous as either of the two countries and has travelled a bumpier
road to social democratic coordination. Until 1809, Finland was part
of Sweden; 600 years of shared history ‘had a deep impact on Finnish
society and left durable traces on the governance of modern Finland’
(Pesonen and Riihinen 2002: 20). Not only was Finland influenced by
Swedish Lutheranism; its peasants were also freed much like the Swedish
(and Danish) ones (Pesonen and Riihinen 2002: 24ff.). From 1809 until
1917, Finland became part of the Russian Empire. Before the beginning
of the twentieth century, it was therefore not autonomous (Crouch
1993: 310). It nonetheless got an accident insurance law in 1895, which
was only semi-compulsory however, and, untypical for Nordic countries,
not supported by state subsidies (Kuhnle 1981: 130f.). Being trapped
between Russia and Sweden, the country experienced a strong cleavage
between Finnish natives and a Swedish minority. A second cleavage
formed when a nationalistic movement (Fennomania) united against
Russian rule. This movement wanted to unify Finland along the lines
of the Nordic countries. It ‘resisted the prevailing class society’ and
‘agreed on the necessity of preserving the social system of Nordic ori-
gin’ (Pesonen and Riihinen 2002: 27). The Sweden-friendly movement
stressed national solidarity and equality; it represented a strong labour
movement and encompassed social democrats and socialists (Kautto
2010: 589). In this environment, Finnish employers ‘were developing, in
direct imitation of the Swedes, centralized power, but had few dealings
with a government that was mainly concerned with issues of national
independence and agrarian policy’ (Crouch 1993: 114). Around the same
152 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
Social pacts have a long history in the Finnish labour market, begin-
ning from the Winter War in 1939–1940, when the employees’ and
employers’ central organisations agreed to solve their disputes through
negotiation, […] employers acknowledged employees’ right to unionise
and employees acknowledged employers’ right to direct work (Haataja,
1995). After the Second World War, the Finnish social partners started
to negotiate social pacts on the level of the main organizations.
(Kauppinen 2000: 162)
5.3.4 Norway
Norway was part of the Danish Kingdom between 1375 and 1814;
afterwards it was under the Swedish crown until 1905, although it
had its own constitution and independence in domestic matters
(Knudsen and Rothstein 1994: 204). Similar to other Scandinavian
countries, Norway’s population shared a strong feeling of national
unity and a ‘historical-cultural story of the state as furthering integra-
tion’ (Christensen 2005: 726; Mann 1993: 711). Also similar to the
other Scandinavian countries, Norway’s peasants were independent
and politically represented. They blocked non-universalistic policy (cf.
Manow 2009: 107):
The farmers maintained that other groups lived under equally as bad
conditions as industrial workers and that there should be equality
before the law in the sense that everyone with the same social needs
and with an income under a certain level should be insured, and
thereby be part of the “state care” originally intended for factory
workers.
(Bjørnson 2001: 202f.)
Thus, from early on, Norway not only had passed early welfare leg-
islation. It was also one of the countries with the highest capacity for
national economic coordination (Crouch 1993: 89). Since then, ‘Norway
has always been ranked as one of the most corporatist and centrally co-
ordinated economies in the world’ (Dølvik and Martin 2000: 280). Thus,
not only the welfare state but also the Norwegian production system was
influenced by a notion of nationwide solidarity. In fact, when Sweden’s
national pacts broke down in the 1980s, Norway largely managed to
uphold its own nationally negotiated social pacts. Its welfare state is also
largely intact. In this sense, it is now probably the most typical social
democratically coordinated country, both in terms of its welfare, as in its
production system, which are both marked by a social democratic policy
style that mirrors a commitment to nationwide egalitarianism.
broke down in the 1980s. Denmark was and remains more liberal than
the other three countries. Norway is by now probably the most typical
representative of a social democratically coordinated country. But it can
also buy its way out of fiscal problems with its oil and gas revenues.
Common to all these countries is a general mindset however, that
social solidarity and economic success can mutually entail, rather than
prevent each other. Each of these countries shares a strong believe that
‘everyone pulls on the same string’; so each of them tries to gain competi-
tive advantage by empowering individuals (cf. Rothstein 1998: 192ff.).
Accordingly, the high cost of the welfare state of these countries is paid by
income and consumption taxes, rather than charges on capital (cf. OECD
2005c). Production is built on incremental and some radical innovation
(cf. Crouch 2005a: 444). The huge public sector employs – and pro-
vides social services for – a large share of the population. High quality
production thrives because the state delivers an excellent infrastructure
for research and to conciliate work and life. For these reasons, scholars
conclude that ‘[d]espite globalization and industrial restructuring, the
Scandinavian countries have largely retained “macrocorporatism” [while]
in Germany and other continental European countries, economy-wide
negotiations are on the decline, although economic sector-based coordi-
nation is resilient’ (Martin and Swank 2012: 28).
A common social identity and an ensuing national solidarity allowed
for social transfers and empowerment of weak members through the
welfare state. It also allowed for national coordination in the produc-
tion system. This explains why all social democratic welfare states are
coupled with coordinated market economies, which were traditionally
coordinated nationally and remain so to a higher degree than in other
countries. Since cooperation is nationwide and concerned with level-
ling inequalities, both in the welfare state and in the production system,
these countries deserve the label social democratically coordinated.
The difference of these countries from the liberal ones is obvious.
But their policy style is also different from conservative countries, even
though both are coordinated. Indeed, the Scandinavian countries ‘are
often described as defining the end of the spectrum of possible devel-
opments farthest from Bismarck. Where his intentions were to preserve
the existing order, co-opt the working class and restrict redistribution,
socialist social policy was universal and egalitarian, concerned with
solidarity’ (Baldwin 1990: 43). What made the conservative countries
different is that their overarching goal was not nationwide solidarity,
but stability. The following section summarizes the three policy styles
connected to welfare and production in each of the three regime types.
Diversity’s Source 157
It also shows the limits of a unified typology that looks at welfare states
and production systems through one lens.
liberal and non-liberal countries, coupled with his observation that the dis-
persion of welfare benefits distinguishes ‘Nordic (social democratic) welfare
states from their continental (conservative) counterparts’. One only has to
take up all the disparate threads that already exist in the literature, to arrive
at a two-by-three typology of liberal, conservatively and social democrati-
cally coordinated capitalism. The same distinction is alluded to in recent
publications that look at varieties of coordination. These split non-liberal
countries into a sectorally and a nationally coordinated variety (Martin
and Thelen 2007; Thelen 2010, 2012; Martin and Swank 2012).
Summing up crudely, the liberal regime type links the welfare of its cit-
izens as well as its production system to the market; the social democrati-
cally coordinated regime links both to the state and the conservatively
coordinated regime to those social groups, into which society is divided.
Production and distribution is therefore governed through markets,
states or social groups. The essence of an overarching policy style is thus
that the state, specific social groups or markets are seen as legitimate and
this shows in the regulation of production and distribution.
This argument squares well with studies that show how capitalist
regimes go along with different value orientations (Svallfors 1997: 295;
cf. Blekesaune and Quadagno 2003; Arts and Gelissen 2001). It also has
an affinity to Castles’ ‘Families of Nations’ approach, which stresses cul-
tural proximity in terms of language and religion to explain similar insti-
tutions between countries (Castles 1993b; Castles and Obinger 2008). My
argument also extends a power resources approach (Korpi 1985; 2006).
Simply put, when organized labour was successful in creating a strong
welfare state, it also influenced the production system. While welfare
regimes have long been acknowledged to rely on such political power
distributions, the varieties of capitalism approach was so far vulnerable
to the criticism that its functionalism cannot explain capitalist origins
(cf. Streeck 2009). In response, proponents of a new varieties approach
use power coalitions to explain where capitalist diversity comes from
(Hall and Thelen 2009: 13; Thelen 2012). Such arguments can build on
the scheme developed here, to explain why power coalitions in some
countries were able to build the production system and the welfare state
along certain policy styles, while this was impossible in other countries.
At the same time, while the varieties of capitalism approach got us think-
ing in terms of a dichotomous approach of liberal/inegalitarian versus
coordinated/egalitarian capitalism, a combination with welfare state
research promotes a view in which coordinated capitalism comes with
different sorts of equality, contrasting within-group equality to nation-
wide equality.
160 Integrating Varieties of Capitalism and Welfare State Research
This book was in many ways structured like a play. We have been intro-
duced to the main protagonists: the two typologies. We have seen what
keeps them apart, and how they can nonetheless be brought together.
But while it is usually self-evident that we want a play’s protagonists to
come together, one question must be answered here, which Paul Pierson
(2000: 808f.; also cf. Korpi 2000: 28) summarizes pointedly: ‘Much
discussion has focused on whether there were more than three regimes
and whether particular countries were correctly categorized. Less atten-
tion has been paid to the question of why it makes sense to talk about
regimes or worlds of welfare at all’. Similarly, Arts and Gelissen (2010:
572) emphasize that typologizing is useless unless it helps to explain
what we are interested in. So even if we can integrate typologies of pro-
duction and welfare into a unified two-by-three typology of capitalist
diversity, the question remains why we should do so. What is the added
explanatory value of a unified typology?
There is one obvious reason why it makes sense to combine the two
typologies. If reality is such that production and distribution regimes
form one coherent and unified system in each country, then so too
should the typologies that describe this system, giving rise to a unified
typology of welfare and production regimes. Neither varieties of capital-
ism, nor welfare regime typology can provide this so far. Specifically, a
typology named ‘varieties of capitalism’ (and not ‘varieties of produc-
tion systems’) must include the welfare state in its analysis because
the term ‘capitalism’ is commonly understood not only as a mode of
production, but also of distribution. Second, being able to focus on
‘vertical’ connections of Figure 3.1 (which linked the different typolo-
gies) allows us to ask new questions: How do non-liberal capitalisms
relate to each other? Why are they always a stable subgroup? How are
162
What Can a Unified Typology Explain? 163
the social democratic and the conservative welfare states different in the
economic coordination that they entail?
But this chapter goes further than these arguments. It indicates that
the proposed unified typology helps to answer contentious questions:
First, it helps to understand why some countries are hard to classify. If
a certain culture – that in turn stems from a particular historical experi-
ence and social structure – stands behind the welfare and production
systems of each regime type, then we can understand better why some
countries (especially Switzerland and Japan) combine welfare and pro-
duction arrangements that do not seem to fit: their institutions reflect
less coherent influences than those of other countries. But the explana-
tory value of a unified typology goes beyond this. It can explain produc-
tion regulation through the welfare state, and it can explain the welfare
state through production regulation. The following section illustrates
this. It shows how coupling welfare state research with research on pro-
duction systems increases the explanatory power of the former and of
the latter, bringing order into hitherto disorderly empirical facts.
New Zealand
1.00 United States
Canada
0.80 Japan
United Kingdom
Switzerland
Spain Sweden
0.60 Portugal
Finland
Denmark
0.40
Ireland
Austria
0.20 Norway
Germany
Netherlands
R Sq Linear = 0.481
Belgium
Italy
0.00 France
48
47
46
45
44
43
42
41
40
39
38
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No n
De ay
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the two typologies also makes predictions that can guide further
research.
worker mobility is not only allowed but even stimulated. Workers are
not supposed to stay within one sector or social group. State-sponsored
training and costly active labour market policy encourage workers to
move between sectors and social groups. These countries therefore
clearly introduced market mechanisms for the entire population –
different from the conservatively coordinated ones – but they avoided
the social segmentation of the conservatively coordinated countries,
because they also introduced skills training for everyone, instead of
passive support to retain people where they already are socially. Instead,
these countries’ labour market policy and comprehensive skill training
preserved an egalitarian society that is upwardly (and downwardly)
mobile (Martin and Swank 2012: 128).
In this sense, conservatively coordinated countries moved towards dual-
ization, while upholding strong economic coordination – for a shrink-
ing core of industrial workers. This ended the historical co-occurrence
between coordination and egalitarianism, which marked these countries
after the Second World War. But it fits the conservatively coordinated
policy style of these countries, which had always separated society into
social groups. The social democratically coordinated countries sustained
egalitarianism, while coordination declined. Here, workers are encour-
aged to re-learn skills through continuous state-sponsored education
and re-education. That social democratically coordinated countries let
go off some coordinated arrangements cannot be accounted for by a
straightforward variety of capitalism model, which conflates coordina-
tion with egalitarianism. But it is fully fitting with the social demo-
cratically coordinated policy style of Scandinavian countries, which
has always stressed national solidarity and a nationally coordinated
approach to social problems, over the dualization into social groups.
Only in the liberal countries did liberalization mean a simultaneous
decline of egalitarianism (in the sense of attacking the welfare state)
and coordination (in the sense of attacking economic coordination).
This in turn is fully consonant with the historical policy style of these
countries.
Thus, enduring policy styles of conservatism, social solidarity and lib-
eralism not only explain contemporary liberalization trajectories better
than a continuous scale of more or less. Also, while a simple continuum
cannot explain different forms of liberalization, a combination with
welfare state research shows that coordination and egalitarianism must
be analytically decoupled from each other, even if they tended to coin-
cide historically. Social democratically coordinated countries have been
and remain more egalitarian than conservatively coordinated ones,
What Can a Unified Typology Explain? 171
172
Summary and Conclusion 173
Introduction
1. ‘Regime’ is defined here as ‘a set of norms, rules, procedures and institutions
that constrains the behavior of [its] members’ (Esping-Andersen 1990: 2). My
additional definition is that a regime stretches over a number of countries
and extends to families of countries. To give an illustrative example: Sweden
possesses a production system and a welfare state, whereas the group of coor-
dinated market economies constitute a production regime and the group of
social democratic countries a welfare regime.
My definition of a ‘production system’ is borrowed from Soskice (1999:
101f.): ‘By a production system is meant the organization of production
through markets and market-related institutions. It analyzes the ways in
which the microagents of capitalist systems – companies, customers, employ-
ees, owners of capital – organize and structure their relationships, within a
framework of incentives and constraints of “rules of the game” [reference
to North 1990 and Aoki 1994] set by a range of market-related institutions
within which the microagents are embedded. […] The most important of the
institutions contributing to the institutional frameworks are the financial
system, the industrial relations system, the education and training system, and
the intercompany system (the latter governing relations between companies –
competition policy, technology transfer, standard setting and so on)’.
I follow Esping-Andersen (1999: 73) for my definition of welfare arrange-
ments: ‘the ways in which welfare production is allocated in between state,
markets and households’. This includes decommodification, financing
modes, rights and entitlements.
2. I refer to Hall and Soskice’s (2001b) introduction, when I refer to the ‘varieties
of capitalism’ typology. I do not mean other typologies that are sometimes
grouped under this label, for example Amable (2003) or Boyer (2004b, 2005),
but I will address these in later chapters.
3. The grouping of countries in welfare regimes that I will use is based on
Esping-Andersen’s (1999: 20, 77) refined typology in Social Foundations of
Postindustrial Economies. Japan and the Netherlands are classified somewhat
differently in his first book (cf. 1990). In this book, both countries are seen as
conservative welfare states. The grouping of countries for production systems
follows Hall and Soskice (2001b: 19f.).
4. For a further explanation of the terms used, see sections 1.1 and 1.2.
5. This obviously means that many countries will have to be left out of the
picture. This is mainly because they have hardly been categorized (but com-
pare Witt 2010; Redding and Witt 2009 for China; Adam, Kristan and Tomsic
2009; Cook 2010; Lane and Myant 2007; Nölke and Vliegenthart 2009 for
Eastern Europe; Schneider 2009 for Latin America; Tipton 2009 for Asia).
6. My definition of an ‘ideal type’ is borrowed from Max Weber (1949: 90, 43):
‘An ideal type is formed by the one-sided accentuation of one or more points
176
Notes 177
of view and by the synthesis of a great many diffuse, discrete, more or less
present and occasionally absent concrete individual phenomena, which are
arranged according to those one-sidedly emphasized viewpoints into a uni-
fied analytical construct. […] Its function is the comparison with empirical
reality in order to establish its divergences or similarities, to describe them
with the most unambiguously intelligible concepts, and to understand and
explain them causally’.
states (cf. Huber and Stephens 1996; also cf. Bernard and Saint-Arnaud 2003),
the Netherlands can confidently be put into the conservative group.
7. My definition of ‘institution’ is borrowed from Peter Hall (1986: 19): ‘The
concept of institutions is used here to refer to the formal rules, compliance
procedures, and standard operating practices that structure the relationship
between individuals in various units of the polity and economy. As such, they
have a more formal status than cultural norms but one that does not neces-
sarily derive from legal, as opposed to conventional standing’.
This has to be understood in the sense of Douglass North (1990: 3): ‘Institutions
are the rules of the game in a society or, more formally, are the human devised
constraints that shape human interaction. In consequence, they structure
incentives in human exchange, whether political, social, or economic’.
8. One prominent exception, where the market does not govern even liberal coun-
tries, is coordination within hierarchies, which structures companies. Such hier-
archies complement markets when they save transaction costs (cf. Williamson
1975; critically: Granovetter 1985).
9. For an in-depth discussion on the subject of coherence and complementarity,
cf. Amable et al. (2005) and Höpner (2005a, b).
2. For a call to enlarge the dual varieties of capitalism distinction for much the
same regime types, also compare Hay (2005: 114f.) and Pontusson (2005a:
167).
3. Yet, as Schmidt only provides case studies of three countries (Germany, France
and the United Kingdom), we cannot be sure to what extent her scheme fits
the one drawn out above.
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Appendix
A Data used
Hall and 1.00 0.74 0.13 0.51 0.70 0.57 0.72 0.69
Gingerich
coordination1
Hicks and 0.96 0.67 0.04 0.55 0.72 0.88 0.97
Kenworthy
corporatism2
Traditional 1.48 –1.23 1.22 –0.90 –1.39 –0.94 0.46 1.16
conservative
Hicks and
Kenworthy3
Social –0.13 –0.58 0.35 –0.88 –0.88 0.98 0.81 –0.73
democratic
Hicks and
Kenworthy4
Conservatism 8 0 8 2 0 2 6 8
Esping-Andersen5
Liberalism 4 10 4 12 12 6 4 8
Esping-Andersen6
Socialism 2 4 4 4 4 8 6 2
Esping-Andersen7
Dummy for 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1
coordination
Dummy for 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
liberal welfare
state
Dummy for 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
social democratic
welfare state
Dummy for 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1
conservative
welfare state
Gini World 29.1 35.2 33.0 32.6 33.7 24.7 34.7 26.9 32.7
Bank8
Gini CIA9 31.0 35.2 25.0 33.1 33.1 23.2 32.5 26.9 32.7
Lowest 1010 3.3 2.0 3.4 2.6 2.9 2.6 2.6 4.0 2.8
Lowest 2011 8.6 5.9 8.5 7.2 7.6 8.3 7.0 9.6 7.2
Richest 2012 37.8 41.3 41.4 39.9 41.3 35.8 42.0 36.7 40.2
Richest 1013 23.0 25.4 28.1 24.8 25.9 21.3 26.6 22.6 25.1
Unemployment14 5.3 5.5 7.4 7.2 4.4 5.3 11.0 8.9 9.6
Labour 70.2 73.6 65.3 78.2 81.0 80.2 69.7 73.8 69.5
participation15
Share industry16 27.8 21.4 24.9 22.3 23.7 23.7 30.5 25.7 23.0
Share service17 67.2 74.9 73.1 75.0 72.6 73.1 64.0 69.3 72.6
ISIC 118 17.6 13.6 13.8 13.6 15.4 13.5 18.9 11.9 12.4
ISIC 619 13.9 15.4 16.5 14.0 8.6 20.2 14.6 17.1 15.5
210
211
0.95 0.29 0.87 0.74 0.66 0.76 0.21 0.72 0.69 0.07 0.00
0.80 0.07 0.44 0.77 0.58 0.96 0.14 0.40 0.10 0.02
1.06 0.65 1.58 0.01 –0.35 0.03 –0.10 –0.95 –0.91 –0.87
0.04 0.17 –0.90 –1.04 0.20 1.89 0.63 1.88 0.03 –1.83
8 4 8 4 4 4 2 0 0 0
6 2 6 10 8 0 2 0 6 12
4 2 0 2 6 8 4 8 4 0
1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0
0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0
1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
28.3 34.3 36.0 24.9 30.9 25.8 36.2 38.5 25.0 36.0 40.8
28.3 35.9 36.0 37.9 30.9 25.8 36.2 38.5 25.0 36.8 45.0
3.2 2.9 2.3 4.8 2.5 3.9 2.2 2.0 3.6 2.1 1.9
8.5 7.4 6.5 10.6 7.6 9.6 6.4 5.8 9.1 6.1 5.4
36.9 42.0 42.0 35.7 38.7 37.2 43.8 45.9 36.6 44.0 45.8
22.1 27.2 26.8 21.7 22.9 23.4 27.8 29.8 22.2 28.5 29.9
9.9 4.4 8.1 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.0 7.0 6.6 4.7 5.6
72.7 68.6 62.5 72.2 76.6 79.1 76.6 72.9 78.7 76.2 75.4
31.0 27.7 31.0 28.4 20.3 20.9 22.7 31.4 22.6 22.3 20.0
66.6 65.9 64.5 67.1 76.6 75.6 69.8 56.5 75.2 76.4 78.4
11.8 12.0 16.4 12.7 14.2 10.4 15.4 17.2 12.0 15.4 15.5
15.7 13.3 14.3 17.4 17.2 17.9 13.0 17.7 20.3 17.4 15.8
(continued)
212
Appendix A Continued
17.05 20.80 17.10 22.70 19.85 18.80 21.90 19.10 16.60 19.70 21.90
15.70 20.02 14.96 8.70 26.48 37.64 19.81 14.27 34.37 19.98 16.60
1.11 –0.09 –0.09 –0.09 –0.09 1.11 –0.09 1.11 –0.09 –1.68
1.13 –1.13 –1.13 0.00 0.00 1.13 –1.13 1.13 –1.13 –1.13
0.90 –1.01 1.04 1.48 –0.92 0.44 –1.01 0.44 –0.92 –0.89
–0.60 –0.08 0.07 –0.71 –0.18 1.24 –0.34 1.47 –0.32 –0.95
–0.30 –0.30 1.10 –0.30 0.58 1.60 –1.40 1.35 –0.52 –1.15
25 38 35 22 23 54 23 24 79 31 13
90 80 15 80 70 25 80 90 30 14
66 43 47 56 76 70 43 73 32 58
1.441 1.646 1.591 1.801 1.354 1.338 1.813 1.678 1.563 1.672 1.822
32.6 12.8 35.6 20.4 32.4 27.2 16.8 24.2 41.1 17.8 19.4
50.7 25.8 46.2 24.2 42.3 37.0 19.6 32.5 48.6 29.7 30.0
29 38 34 8 53 34 28 41 39 16 14
72 37 89 59 84 65 40 80 69 48 51
50.7 23.8 45.7 26.6 43.6 36.9 20.7 32.6 48.0 31.2 29.6
35.5 29.7 43.1 25.3 38.8 43.4 34.9 37.1 50.6 35.6 25.6
27.39 13.75 24.45 16.89 21.75 23.90 18.53 21.10 29.78 21.82 14.73
9.6 26.6 4.3 3.7 11.4 3.7 100.0 8.8 12.4 15.8 39.8
0.22 0.25 0.25 0.18 0.38 0.16 0.21 0.30 0.24 0.17 0.56
55.04 50.25 50.97 46.68 57.04 63.83 39.04 42.32 78.15 19.90 42.87
2.50 1.30 2.40 1.80 2.30 2.60 1.30 3.50 2.90 1.10 0.70
1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0
1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0
51 49 59 37 54 41 32 79 50 28 22
0.50 0.75 0.25 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.75 0.25 0.00 0.00
(continued)
214
Appendix A Continued
Index 0.83 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.67 0.50 0.33
codetermination47
Investors 2 8 8 8 1 7 4 6 10
protection48
Bank credit49 0.83 0.47 0.37 0.48 1.44 0.42 0.66 0.67 0.82
Market 29.4 121.8 79.9 120.4 231.0 62.7 90.5 98.8 90.7
capitalization
200450
Market 0.07 0.43 0.26 0.46 0.71 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.20
capitalization51
Employment 0.50 0.35 0.51 0.26 0.45 0.57 0.74 0.74 0.74
laws52
Collective 0.36 0.37 0.42 0.20 0.42 0.42 0.59 0.32 0.67
relations laws53
Social security 0.71 0.78 0.62 0.79 0.82 0.87 0.77 0.79 0.78
laws54
Left power55 0.24 0.35 0.09 0.69 0.69 0.74 0.31 0.79 0.34
Factor 156 0.589 –0.897 0.734 –1.232 –0.654 1.149 0.227 1.178 0.506
Factor 257 –0.468 0.138 –0.379 0.831 0.790 1.550 –1.583 0.460 –0.316
Factor 358 0.283 –0.690 –0.997 –0.143 3.001 –0.744 0.560 –0.043 –0.114
Factor 459 0.425 0.181 0.304 0.371 1.138 0.028 0.746 –0.261 0.059
1. Degree of coordination for different economies (Hall and Gingerich 2004: 14).
2. Degree of corporatism for different societies (Hicks and Kenworthy 1998).
3. Degree of conservatism for different societies (Hicks and Kenworthy 2003: 33).
4. Degree of socialism as opposed to liberalism for different societies (Hicks and Kenworthy
2003: 33).
5. Degree of conservatism for different societies (Esping-Andersen 1990: 74).
6. Degree of liberalism for different societies (Esping-Andersen 1990: 74).
7. Degree of socialism for different societies (Esping-Andersen 1990: 74).
8. Gini Index – data for 1993–2000 (World Bank 2006).
9. Distribution of family income, Gini index – data for 1993–2000 (CIA (data for 2006),
URL: http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/fields/2172.html).
10. Percentage share of income or consumption for the poorest 10 per cent of the population –
data for 1993–2000 (World Bank 2006).
11. Percentage share of income or consumption for the poorest 20 per cent of the population –
data for 1993–2000 (World Bank 2006).
12. Percentage share of income or consumption for the richest 20 per cent of the population –
data for 1993–2000 (World Bank 2006).
13. Percentage share of income or consumption for the richest 10 per cent of the population –
data for 1993–2000 (World Bank 2006).
14. Unemployment rate – data for 2004 (OECD 2005b: 238).
15. Labour force participation rate for persons aged 15–64 years – data for 2004 (OECD
2005b: 238).
16. Employment in industry as share of all employment – data for 2004 (OECD (data for
2005), URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/808800743257).
17. Employment in the service sector as share of all employment – data for 2004 (OECD
2005c, URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/808800743257).
18. Contribution to total economy gross value added: wholesale and retail trade, restaurants
and hotels (ISIC 1) – data for 2003 (OECD 2005c, URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/8728
52212688).
215
1.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.67 0.33 0.00 0.50 0.67 0.00 0.00
5 9 7 6 4 7 10 7 2 10 7
0.86 0.51 1.04 0.74 0.48 0.41 0.63 0.44 0.74 0.65
43.6 62.8 47.1 79.6 107.5 56.6 44.2 43.8 108.8 132.6 139.4
0.19 0.27 0.12 0.73 0.41 0.15 0.40 0.08 0.38 0.76 0.58
0.70 0.34 0.65 0.16 0.73 0.69 0.16 0.81 0.74 0.28 0.22
0.61 0.46 0.63 0.63 0.46 0.65 0.25 0.65 0.54 0.19 0.26
0.67 0.71 0.76 0.64 0.63 0.83 0.72 0.74 0.84 0.69 0.65
0.29 0.00 0.32 0.01 0.26 0.71 0.46 0.09 0.85 0.28 0.71
0.839 –0.775 0.421 –0.683 0.359 1.003 –1.455 0.213 1.526 –1.267 –1.781
–0.654 –0.695 –1.568 0.042 0.107 1.226 0.214 –2.143 1.427 0.494 0.527
0.891 –0.827 –0.420 1.702 0.396 –0.417 –1.403 –0.115 –0.134 –0.812 0.024
–0.931 –1.141 0.090 –3.050 1.315 –0.801 –0.434 0.452 0.361 –0.323 1.470
19. Contribution to total economy gross value added: education, health, social work and
other services (ISIC 6) – data for 2003 (OECD 2005c, URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/
872852212688).
20. ISIC 6 employment (CE and DE) – data for 1997–2003. (OECD 2006, URL: http://www1.
oecd.org/scripts/cde/DoQuery.asp).
21. Employment in the public sector (government, social security institutions, non-profit
sector and public enterprises) as share of all employment – data for 1997–2003 (ILO data
for 2003, http://laboursta.ilo.org).
22. Employer centralization – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2002: 899).
23. Employer coordination – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2002: 899).
24. Enterprise cooperation – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2002: 899).
25. Central union power density – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2002: 899).
26. Collective bargaining – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2002: 899).
27. Trade union members as percentage of total workforce – data for 2000 (OECD 2004:
145).
28. Coverage of collective wage bargaining – data for 2000 (OECD 2004: 145).
29. Average net income replacement rate for fully ensured single worker with APW wage
and couple with two children and one APW wage – data for 1999 (Allan and Scruggs
2004).
30. Average annual hours actually worked per person in employment – data for 2003 (OECD
2005b: 255).
31. Deduction (per cent) of wage due to taxes and social security contributions for mar-
ried couple, two children, one average wage – data for 2001 (OECD, URL: http://www.
nationmaster.com/graph-T/tax_tot_tax_wed_sin_wor).
32. Deduction (per cent) of wage due to taxes and social security contributions for single
worker, no children, average wage – data for 2001 from (OECD, URL http://www.
nationmaster.com/graph-T/tax_tot_tax_wed_sin_wor).
33. OECD summary measure of unemployment benefit as percentage of old wage – data for
2003 (OECD, URL: http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/25/31/34008592.xls).
216
34. Pension replacement rate – net mandatory pension programs replacement rates as per-
centage of pre-retirement net-earning for men with average wage – data for 2003 (OECD
2005a).
35. Taxes (including all social security contributions) on the average production worker
(average wage, no children) – data for 2004 (OECD 2006).
36. Total tax revenue (no social security payments) as share of GDP – data for 2003 (OECD
2006, URL: http://puck.sourceoecd.org/vl=7267625/cl=26/nw=1/rpsv/factbook/data/
09-03-01-t01.xls).
37. Public social expenditure (cash benefits, provision of goods and services and tax breaks
with social purposes) – data for 2001 (OECD 2006, URL: http://thesius.sourceoecd.org/
vl=30620998/cl=14/nw=1/rpsv/factbook/data/09-02-01-t01.xls).
38. Share of means-tested social transfers on all social transfers in per cent – data for second
half of 1990s (Eurostat data for 2003 and Gough et al. 1997 for non-European countries).
39. Private healthcare expenditure as share of total healthcare expenditure – data for 2003
(OECD 2005c – http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/530538806724).
40. Total government expenditure as share of GDP – data for 2004 (CIA World Factbook
2005, URL: www.cia.gov).
41. Employment protection (composite index of legal restrictions on the ability of employers
to lay off regular employees) – data for 2003 (OECD 2004: 117).
42. Index: Employees appoint board members, 1 yes; 0 no – data for 2002 (OECD Survey data
for 2003, URL: www.oecd.org/dataoecd/58/27/21755678.pdf, page 47f.).
43. Index: Employee participation required by law 1 yes; 0 no – data for 2002 (OECD Survey
data for 2003, URL: www.oecd.org/dataoecd/58/27/21755678.pdf, page 47f.).
44. Index: Works council decision power 0 none; 0.5 consultation; 1 co-decision – data for
2002 (OECD Survey data for 2003, URL: www.oecd.org/dataoecd/58/27/21755678.pdf,
page 48f.).
45. Employment law rigidities, index by Porta et al. (2004).
46. Index of dominant level of bargaining: 0 company or individual; 25 company/plant; 50
industry; 75 industry and central; 100 central. Data for 2004 – (EIRO data fo 2005, URL:
http://www.eiro.eurofound.eu.int/ and OECD 2004: 151).
47. Co-determination index, made of indices: employees appoint board members; employee
participation required by law; works councils decision rights – data for 2002 (OECD
Survey 2003, URL: www.oecd.org/dataoecd/58/27/21755678.pdf, page 47f.).
48. Index of protection for investors (ownership disclosure, measures that reduce expropria-
tion, and disclosures to help investors) – data for 2005 (World Bank 2006).
49. Deposit money bank credits to the private sector as a percentage of GDP – average for
1980–1995 (Levine 2000: 43).
50. Overall size of the stock market in US dollars as a percentage of GDP – data for 2004,
2000 for Belgium (World Bank 2006).
51. Value of domestic equities listed on domestic exchanges divided by GDP – average for
1980–1995 (Levine 2000: 43).
52. Employment law rigidities, index by Porta et al. (2004).
53. Collective relations laws index to measure the power of labour unions over working
conditions (Porta et al. 2004: 1362f.).
54. Social security laws index to measure decommodification by the pension- health- and
unemployment system (Porta et al. 2004: 1362f.).
55. Years in which chief executive and largest party in congress have left or centre political
orientation from 1928–95 (Porta et al. 2004: 1362f.).
56. First factor of principal factor analysis.
57. Second factor of principal factor analysis.
58. Third factor of principal factor analysis.
59. Fourth factor of principal factor analysis.
B Factor loadings
1 2 3 4
Labour force participation rate for persons aged 15–64 – data for 2004 –.116 .767 .211 .154
(OECD 2005b: 238).
Employment in industry as share of all employment – data for 2004 .264 –.781 .209 –.316
(OECD data for 2005. URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/808800743257)
Employment in the service sector as share of all employment – data for 2004 –.178 .813 –.114 .266
(OECD 2005c, URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/808800743257)
Contribution to total economy gross value added: wholesale and retail trade, –.273 –.545 .095 .480
restaurants and hotels (ISIC 1) – data for 2003 (OECD 2005c, URL: http://dx.
doi.org/10.1787/872852212688)
Contribution to total economy gross value added: education, health, social work .494 .244 –.386 –.186
and other services (ISIC 6) – data for 2003 (OECD 2005c, URL: http://dx.doi.org/
10.1787/872852212688)
Isic 6 employment (CE and DE) data for 1997–2003 (OECD 2006, –.754 .081 .362 –.013
Employment protection (composite index of legal restrictions on the ability of .770 –.462 .092 .054
employers to lay off or fire regular employees) – data for 2003 (OECD 2004: 117).
Employment law rigidities, index by Porta et al. (2004). .411 –.704 .040 .073
Social security laws index to measure decommodification by the pension, health, .348 .384 –.025 .128
regulation
and unemployment system (Porta et al. 2004: 1362f.).
Labour market
Employment laws index to measure the protection of employed workers .845 –.278 .068 .279
217
(continued)
Appendix B Continued
218
1 2 3 4
Gini Index – data for 1993–2000 (World Bank 2006). –.661 –.491 –.192 .456
Percentage share of income or consumption for poorest 20 per cent of .587 .346 .304 –.540
population – data for 1993–2000 (World Bank 2006).
Income
Percentage share of income or consumption for richest 20 per cent of –.634 –.450 –.248 .406
distribution
population – data for 1993–2000 (World Bank 2006).
Employer centralization – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2001: 899). .740 .034 .060 –.339
Employer coordination – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2001: 899). .704 .355 .401 –.077
Enterprise cooperation – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2001: 899). .637 –.088 .436 –.390
Central union power density – average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2001: 899). .649 .202 –.276 .036
Collective bargaining – Average for 1979–95 (Martin and Swank 2001: 899). .751 .146 –.109 .002
Trade union members as percentage of total workforce – data for 2000 .645 .459 –.331 –.106
(OECD 2004: 145).
Coverage of collective wage bargaining – data for 2000 (OECD 2004: 145). .839 –.280 –.171 .194
Index of dominant level of bargaining: 0 company or individual; .25 .601 –.389 –.036 .042
company/plant; .5 industry; .75 industry and central; 1 central. Data for 2004 –
(EIRO data for 2005, URL: http://www.eiro.eurofound.eu.int/ and OECD Employment
Industrial relations
Outlook 2004: 151).
Co-determination index, made of indices: employees appoint board members; .814 –.083 –.009 .163
employee participation required by law; works council’s decision rights –
Data for 2002 (OECD Survey 2003, URL: www.oecd.org/dataoecd/58/27/
21755678.pdf, page 47f.).
Collective relations laws index to measure the power of labour unions .561 –.429 .265 –.284
over working conditions (Porta et al. 2004: 1362f.).
Average net income replacement rate for fully insured single worker with APW .598 .333 .444 .320
wage and couple with two children and one APW wage – data for 1999
(Allan and Scruggs 2004: 500)
Deduction (per cent) of wage due to taxes and social security contributions for .848 –.057 –.046 .166
married couple, two children, one average wage – data for 2001 (OECD 2006,
URL: http://www.nationmaster.com/graph-T/tax_tot_tax_wed_sin_wor
Deduction (per cent) of wage due to taxes and social security contributions for .835 –.071 –.039 .216
single worker, no children, average wage – data for 2001 (OECD 2006, URL:
http://www.nationmaster.com/graph-T/tax_tot_tax_wed_sin_wor
OECD summary measure of unemployment benefit as percentage of old wage – data .660 –.096 –.149 .356
for 2003 (OECD 2006, URL: http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/25/31/34008592.xls).
Pension replacement rate – net mandatory pension systems replacement rates as .604 –.439 .353 .312
percentage of pre-retirement net-earning for men with average wage – data for 2003
(OECD 2005a).
Taxes (including all social security contributions) on the average production worker .814 –.081 –.035 .214
Welfare state
(average wage, no children) – data for 2004 (OECD 2006).
Total tax revenue (no social security payments) as share of GDP – data for 2003 .835 .166 –.383 .174
(OECD 2006, URL: http://puck.sourceoecd.org/vl=7267625/cl=26/nw=1/rpsv/
factbook/data/09-03-01-t01.xls).
Public social expenditure (cash benefits, provision of goods and services and tax .785 .216 .135 .163
breaks with social purposes) – data for 2001 (OECD 2006, URL: http://thesius.
sourceoecd.org/vl=30620998/cl=14/nw=1/rpsv/factbook/data/09-02-01-t01.xls).
Share of means-tested social transfers on all social transfers in per cent – data for second –.569 .080 –.368 .017
half of 1990s (Eurostat data for 2003 and Gough et al. 1997 for non-European countries).
Private health care expenditure as share of total health care expenditure – –.398 –.059 .296 .679
data for 2003 (OECD 2005c, URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/530538806724).
219
(continued)
Appendix B Continued
220
1 2 3 4
Total government expenditure as share of GDP – data for 2004 .790 .236 .113 .005
(CIA World Factbook 2005, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
factbook/, www.cia.gov).
Index of protection for investors (ownership disclosure, measures that reduce –.396 –.077 –.697 –.300
expropriation, and disclosures to help investors) – data for 2005 (World Bank 2006).
Deposit money bank credits to the private sector as a share of GDP – average –.162 –.064 .888 –.077
for 1980–95 (Levine 2000: 43).
Overall size of the stock market in US dollars as a percentage of GDP – data for –.376 .421 .502 .408
Financial system
2004, 2000 for Belgium (World Bank 2006)
Value of domestic equities listed on domestic exchanges divided by GDP – –.667 .446 .351 –.098
Average for 1980–95 (Levine 2000: 43).
Years in which chief executive and largest party in congress have left or .159 .724 .048 .363
centre political orientation from 1928–95 (Porta et al. 2004: 1362f.).
power
Political
Index
221
222 Index