Professional Documents
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Instruction
Only change values in cells that are colored blue
Worksheet tabs that have been colored red are never to be altered
Worksheet tabs that have not been colored red contain some cells that are colored blue - refer to instruction 1
The model allows for changes in some values but any conclusions drawn from modified values are to be analyzed based on us
supplementary report hold no responsibility of validity of the outputs in that case
Different models (total 6) are not linked to each other
Instructions: Only change cells highlighted in Blue. All
other cells should not be altered
For farm of 450 max size one H20 is sufficient for milking. On average
24 it would take 2 hours to milk
7 min per batch, batch of 20 - meaning that there are 20 cups or 10-a
side
25 Area of silage per cow 0.25
26 Sex semen is only for heifers
27 No insemination by bulls
28 Milk wastage 1%
29 Lameness and Mestitis infection rate 5%
Standard (without
TMR) milk yield
per cow per day
per lactation
period
Year (life cycle of adult cow)
1 24
35
2 27
3 30
4 29
5 25
6 20
7 0
Average days of
Channel credit
Nestle 7
36
Engro 7
Owned Shop 15
Direct Delivery 1
37
Imported Heifers 350,000
Adult - 0 Calf 350,000
37
Adult - 1 Calf 400,000
Adult - 2 Calf 400,000
Adult - 3 Calf 350,000
Adult - 4 Calf 300,000
Adult - 5 Calf 250,000
Area Requirements
FCFF
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)
Milk
Feed
Revenue
Net present value: In finance, the net present value or n
flow depends on the interval of time between now and t
Dashboard
Area Requirements
Area Requirements
Capex and
Depreciation
Linked to
Herd
Movement
Cycle
Linked to Milk
Linked to
Revenue
Linked to Fair
Value of
Livestock
Linked to Fair
Value of
Livestock
Linked to
Revenue
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holder
Companies and investors review the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to evaluate the returns that a firm ne
e, the net present value or net present worth applies to a series of cash flows occurring at different times. The present value of a cash
l of time between now and the cash flow. It also depends on the discount rate. NPV accounts for the time value of money
NPV $34.36
age to all its security holders to finance its assets. The WACC is commonly referred to as the firm's cost of capital.
he returns that a firm needs to realize to meet all of its capital obligations, including those of creditors and stockholders. Beta is
esent value of a cash
f money
s and stockholders. Beta is critical to WACC calculations, where it helps “weight” the cost of equity by accounting for risk.
by accounting for risk.
Instructions: Only change cells highlighted in Blue. All other cells should not be altered
LIVESTOCK
Heifer 320
Limit on Herd Size 450
Target year for full capacity 3
PKR 80
FEED
TMR? Yes PKR 60
Percentage
Nestle 100%
PKR 20
Engro 0%
Local Distribution 0% Rs. -
Own Distribution 0%
Rs. (20.00)
LOCATION 1
Rs. (40.00)
Kasur 300,000
OUTPUT
NPV (45,192,566)
Discounted Payback Period MORE THAN 10 YEARS
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
-
0 1
Total Herd
not be altered
PKR 60
PKR 40
Percentage
PKR 20
Rs. -
Rs. (20.00)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Rs. (40.00)
Livestock Numbers
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
-
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Total Herd Size at end of year Total Adults (after culling) Total Heifers Female calves after culling Adults cul
ok
60%
50%
40%
PKR millions
30%
20%
10%
0%
7 8 9 10
-10%
e Cash Flows
7 8 9 10 11
Shed
Standard number of animals per shed 120
Number of sheds required 4
Standard area for one shed 15000 sq feet
Length 150 feet
Width 100 feet
Area per cow 125 sq feet
Total area for sheds 60000 sq feet
Silage Bunkers
Standard storage months for silage 5
Area of silage reserved for one cow per year 2.5 acre
Area of silage reserved for one cow per for 5 months 1.041667 acre
Total area of silage reserved for maximum number of cows 468.75 acres
Standard bunker size 2000 sq feet
Length 100 feet
Width 20 feet
Height 8 feet
Storage per bunker 16 acres
Bunkers required 30
Total bunker area 60000 sq feet
1.37 acres
1 acre= 43560 sq ft
A1
Capital Expenditure
Land
Shed
Milking Parlor
Other Buildings (Concrete buildings)
Silage Bunkers
Light Tractor
Heavy Tractor
Silage Machine
Generator
Geyser
TMR Machine
Lights
Office equipment (Computer, printer, dispenser, fridge, UPS)
Calf Feeder
Calf Cage
Humidity sensor
Grinder/Mixer
Water tubewell, tank, piping, turbine
Semen Storage Tank
Cooling fans
Cattle Crush
Chillers
Imported Cows
Total
Initial Investment
184,854,000
Description Book Value per Unit Units
Based on dashboard input of land 1,500,000
Standard rate per sq ft = 525 (10million divided by 15000 sq ft) 31,500,000 1
Turkish H20 for 450 animal farm 4,000,000 1
Standard rate per sq ft = 2000 (assumption: 15x10 ft room costs 300000) 10,330,000 1
Standard rate per sq ft = 200 12,000,000 1
50 horsepower 800,000 2
75 horsepower 1,000,000 2
2,500,000 -
150 KVA + 100 KVA 4,800,000 1
35,000 1
2.5 tonne capacity 1,900,000 1
40,000 1
700,000 1
2 liter capacity 2,500 10
1.5 meter cube 3,000 30
400 10
2 - 4 tonnes per hour 500,000 1
150,000 1
50 liter (5000 doses) + 2 liter (150 doses) 150,000 1
Standard no of cooling fans per shed = 10, diamter = 2 ft, throw = 30 ft 40,000 40
350,000 1
1000 liter per chiller 180,000 6
350,000 320
2020 2021 2022
Salvage Value per Unit Life (Years) Depreciation/Year 1 2 3
Historical
Year 2012 2013 2014 2015
Inflation 11.01% 7.36% 8.62% 4.53%
Inflation Multiplier
Inflation Cumulative Multiplier
Imported
All projections are based on exchange rate trends
Historical
Year 2012 2013 2014 2015
Exchange rate 93.4 101.6 101 102.8
% change
Exchange Rate Multiplier
Exchange Rate Cumulative Multiplier
Historical
Year 2012 2013 2014 2015
Exchange rate 93.4 101.6 101 102.8
% change
Exchange Rate Multiplier
Exchange Rate Cumulative Multiplier
xponential smoothing
2026 2027 2028 2029
197.5 208.5 216.8 229.1
5% 5% 4% 5%
1.05 1.05 1.04 1.05
1.39 1.47 1.52 1.60
d on linear trend
2026 2027 2028 2029
163.8 169.1 174.3 179.5
3% 3% 3% 3%
1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03
1.16 1.20 1.23 1.27
Component name
Canola meal
Soybean meal
Kernel palmcake
Molasses
Wheat bran
Rice polish
Maize powder
Urea
Total amount consumed (kgs)
Average price per kg
Component name
Minerals/Vitamins
DCP
Sodabicarbonate
Toxin binder
Yeast
Magnesium Sulphate
Bypass fat
NaCl
Heifer premix
Bio plex
Total amount consumed (kgs)
Average price per kg
Silage Price
Cheap
Expensive
Silage Mix
Cheap
Expensive
Type of animal
Female Calves (0-12 months)
Heifer
Adult
ount of Wanda
20%
190.00 per 40 kg
4.75 per kg
e best calf milk replacer
DiCalcium Phospate
Livestock feed toxin binders are a great way to reduce mycotoxicosis and improve livestock health and productivity.
Projections based on inflation
2019 2020 2021 2022
0 1 2 3
Female Calves (0-12 months)
Feed Quantity in kgs 8.75 8.75 8.75
Feed Price per kg 5.02 5.27 5.53
Feed Price per animal 43.93 46.12 48.42
Number of animals 109.00 93.00 45.00
Total Consumption per day 953.75 813.75 393.75
Total Cost per day 4,788.15 4,288.86 2,178.70
Total Cost per month 143,644.51 128,665.82 65,361.02
Total Cost per year 1,723,734.10 1,543,989.83 784,332.19
Heifer
Feed Quantity in kgs 15 15 15
Feed Price per kg 5.02 5.27 5.53
Feed Price per animal 75.31 79.06 83.00
Number of animals 0 98 84
Total Consumption per day - 1,470.00 1,260.00
Total Cost per day - 7,747.62 6,971.84
Total Cost per month - 232,428.58 209,155.25
Total Cost per year - 2,789,142.91 2,509,863.00
Adult
Feed Quantity in kgs 25 25 25
Feed Price per kg 5.02 5.27 5.53
Feed Price per animal 125.51 131.76 138.33
Number of animals 288 259 321
Total Consumption per day 7,200.00 6,475.00 8,025.00
Total Cost per day 36,146.46 34,126.42 44,403.99
Total Cost per month 1,084,393.67 1,023,792.54 1,332,119.75
Total Cost per year 13,012,724.04 12,285,510.46 15,985,436.96
Total Cost for All Animals per Year - 14,736,458.14 16,618,643.20 19,279,632.14
YEARS
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
4 5 6 7 8 9
15 15 15 15 15 15
5.88 6.26 6.65 7.08 7.53 8.04
88.19 93.88 99.81 106.17 112.94 120.63
41 41 40 41 124 77
615.00 615.00 600.00 615.00 1,860.00 1,155.00
3,615.65 3,849.07 3,992.59 4,353.06 14,005.04 9,288.87
108,469.60 115,472.25 119,777.82 130,591.78 420,151.06 278,666.01
1,301,635.22 1,385,666.98 1,437,333.78 1,567,101.36 5,041,812.68 3,343,992.14
25 25 25 25 25 25
5.88 6.26 6.65 7.08 7.53 8.04
146.98 156.47 166.36 176.95 188.24 201.06
365 365 365 212 228 270
9,125.00 9,125.00 9,125.00 5,300.00 5,700.00 6,750.00
53,646.89 57,110.26 60,720.70 37,514.17 42,918.66 54,285.59
1,609,406.69 1,713,307.74 1,821,620.94 1,125,425.09 1,287,559.69 1,628,567.60
19,312,880.23 20,559,692.93 21,859,451.27 13,505,101.12 15,450,716.29 19,542,811.22
8.75
8.61
75.36
86.00
752.50
6,480.80
194,423.88
2,333,086.60
15
8.61
129.19
93
1,395.00
12,014.23
360,427.00
4,325,124.00
25
8.61
215.31
272
6,800.00
58,564.00
1,756,920.14
21,083,041.70
27,741,252.29
YEARS
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
0 1 2 3 4 5
Total Cost 8,781,423 9,164,579 9,642,213 10,170,906 10,916,122
YEARS
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
0 1 2 3 4
Total Herd Size at end of year - 397 450 450 451
Over/Under target (organic) (450) (59) (5) 64 143
Excess Capacity (for next year - modified) 93 45 45 44
Culling
Male calves culled 73 66 81 92
Female calves culled - 5 77 93
Adults culled - - - -
Total culled 73 71 158 185
at year,1=need to start culling)
YEARS
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
5 6 7 8 9 10
450 450 391 438 450 451
232 334 301 407 494 593
45 198 98 103 86 64
37 37 36 37 112 69
68 33 33 32 33 101
71 61 30 30 29 30
0 64 55 27 27 26
189 0 58 50 24 24
0 170 0 52 45 22
0 0 153 0 47 41
365 365 365 228 317 313
365 365 212 228 270 272
41 40 41 124 77 93
0 0 0 0 0 0
41 40 41 124 77 93
8 4 4 4 4 11
8 7 3 3 3 3
21 0 6 5 3 3
0 19 0 6 5 2
0 0 17 0 5 4
4 4 4 4 12 8
15 15 15 10 13 13
10 10 6 6 8 8
66 59 55 38 53 52
92 92 53 58 68 68
94 93 - - 17 32
- - 153 - 47 41
186 185 206 58 132 141
LIVESTOCK
Type of animal at time 0 Number
Female Calves (0-12 months) 0
Heifer 320
Adult 0
Non-Lactating Non-Pregnant 0
Total (Including Non-Lactating Non-Pregnant) 320
Total (Excluding Non-Lactating Non-Pregnant) 320
270,000 270,000
77 93
20,790,000 25,110,000
350,000 350,000
112 69
39,200,000 24,150,000
400,000 400,000
33 101
13,200,000 40,400,000
400,000 400,000
29 30
11,600,000 12,000,000
350,000 350,000
27 26
9,450,000 9,100,000
300,000 300,000
24 24
7,200,000 7,200,000
250,000 250,000
45 22
11,250,000 5,500,000
350,000 350,000
- -
- -
113,205,000 123,890,000
4,095,000 10,685,000
Additional yield due to TMR 1
6 7 8 9 10
299,053 290,970 299,053 905,240 557,693
296,918 296,918 287,920 296,918 908,748
604,663 297,375 297,375 287,463 297,375
614,880 528,413 259,403 259,403 249,795
- 486,475 419,375 201,300 201,300
1,166,625 - 356,850 308,813 150,975
250
Number of heifers per Number of calves per
person person
25
15
Do not change any thing on this sheet
Dairy Revenue
2019 2020
0 1
Litres Sold - 1,586,693
Total Dairy Revenue - 96,835,862
Effective Price per Liter 61.03
YEARS
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2 3 4 5 6
2,307,049 2,990,664 3,309,221 3,167,908 2,952,316
146,059,271 196,157,637 224,596,831 222,228,776 213,836,257
63.31 65.59 67.87 70.15 72.43
YEARS
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2 3 4 5 6
66.00 81.00 92.00 92.00 92.00
- - - - -
66.00 81.00 92.00 92.00 92.00
5,548 5,824 6,189 6,588 7,005
- - - - -
119,834.28 125,807.67 133,672.42 142,302.13 151,298.29
5.00 77.00 93.00 94.00 93.00
5,547.88 5,824.43 6,188.54 6,588.06 7,004.55
393,899.72 920,259.80 1,144,879.55 1,225,379.44 1,295,841.86
- - - -
53.00 58.00 68.00 68.00
7,451 7,926 8,466 9,066
153.00 - 47.00 41.00
160,934.67 171,199.07 182,856.71 195,817.72
- - 17.00 32.00
7,450.68 7,925.88 8,465.59 9,065.64
25,017,890.62 459,701.21 9,313,840.55 8,935,090.25
177,290,815 191,008,543
9,313,841 8,935,090
186,604,656 199,943,633
123,322,631 131,547,719
1,570,106 1,878,037
61,711,919 66,517,877 $421,814,906.44
23,402,273 25,055,603
12,969,441 13,575,884
3,525,852 3,690,718
3,954,510 3,954,510
3,052,983 3,200,545
14,806,860 17,040,617
- -
4,095,000 10,685,000
- -
18,901,860 27,725,617
- -
18,901,860 27,725,617
1,575,155 2,310,468
33% 33%
10% 14%
Projections include impact of exchange rate on import of livestock
Rf 10.75%
Risk Premium 6%
Beta 1
Ke=WACC 16.75%
YEARS
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
3 4 5 6 7
57,786,625 69,575,749 56,547,327 39,495,779 34,137,384
3,954,510 3,954,510 3,954,510 3,954,510 3,954,510
- - - - -
- - - - -
95.01% 95.53%
4.99% 4.47%
100.00% 100.00%
66.09% 65.79%
0.84% 0.94%
33.07% 33.27%
12.54% 12.53%
6.95% 6.79%
1.89% 1.85%
2.12% 1.98%
1.64% 1.60%
7.93% 8.52%
0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00%
10.13% 13.87%
0.00% 0.00%
10.13% 13.87%
YEARS
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inventory
0 0 0 0 0 0
249 262 282 296 307 321
28 30 32 33 35 36
84 41 41 40 41 124
858,025 441,761 474,129 485,977 516,962 1,632,155
1 1 1 1 1 1
161 170 182 191 198 207
161 170 182 191 198 207
321 365 365 365 212 228
18,828,832 22,583,649 24,238,339 25,465,138 15,349,984 17,233,441
0 0
335 350
38 39
77 93
1,057,928 1,337,504
1 1
216 226
216 226
270 272
21,302,307 22,463,562
22,360,235 23,801,067
Projections based on inflation