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07/04/2021 Global Financing to End the Pandemic by Jeffrey D.

Sachs - Project Syndicate

Global Financing to End the


Pandemic
Apr 6, 2021 | JEFFREY D. SACHS

NEW YORK – This week’s spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and
the World Bank offer a historic chance for financial cooperation. The major
economies, including the United States, the European Union, China, and other G20
countries, have already signaled their support for a new allocation of $650 billion
worth of the IMF’s reserve asset, special drawing rights (SDRs), to ensure that
governments in low-income and middle-income countries have the means to
combat the COVID-19 pandemic and start on the path of investment-led recovery.
With leadership, boldness, and creativity, this global financial cooperation can
help to end the pandemic.
Mass immunization is key. Less than a year after SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes
COVID-19, was first identified and sequenced, financial backing by governments –
including the US, United Kingdom, Germany, Russia, China, and India – enabled
several companies to roll out safe and effective vaccines. Rich countries that
quickly negotiated favorable deals with vaccine makers have received most of the
doses so far. But ending the pandemic requires that all countries achieve
comprehensive vaccine coverage as soon as possible. In practical terms, the target
should be no later than the end of 2022.

Such an unprecedented global undertaking requires strong cooperation, including


financial support. Yet the urgency should be clear to all. As long as COVID-19
persists at high rates of transmission anywhere in the world, the pandemic will
continue to disrupt global production, trade, and travel, and will also give rise to
viral mutations that threaten to undermine previously acquired immunity from
past infections and vaccinations. Still worse, on the current trajectory, COVID-19
could well become endemic in many regions of the world, imposing high health
and economic costs for years to come. As US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen
emphasized this week, all countries, therefore, share a strong interest in ending
the pandemic everywhere. 

The world’s governments established the Access to COVID-19 Tools Accelerator


(ACT-A), which includes the COVID-19 Vaccine Global Access (COVAX) facility, the
vaccine pillar of ACT-A, to ensure universal control of SARS-CoV-2. But while ACT-
A and COVAX have established global plans for vaccines, tests, and treatments, the
plans need urgently to be strengthened for two closely related reasons.

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07/04/2021 Global Financing to End the Pandemic by Jeffrey D. Sachs - Project Syndicate

First, the operational target currently used by COVAX – a minimum of 27% of all
eligible countries’ population immunized by the end of this year – must be raised
to vaccination of all adults by the end of 2022. This is necessary to end the
pandemic and to reduce the chances of new mutations.

Second, planning until the end of 2022 is urgently needed, given the lead times for
scaling up the production and supply chains of vaccines and other crucial
commodities. Yet ACT-A and COVAX remain underfunded even for 2021: the $11
billion governments have allocated to date leaves a financing gap of $22 billion
for this year – a shortfall that has so far delayed necessary planning through the
end of 2022. In the meantime, the current vaccine shortfall is leading countries to
scramble to jump the queue, including by paying premium prices. This
underscores the urgent need to ensure that all countries, including the poorest,
can achieve comprehensive vaccine coverage in a fair and timely manner. 
The additional sums needed to ensure universal vaccine coverage by the end of
2022, and other COVID-19 supplies, are modest – perhaps $50 billion for ACT-A.
That is a negligible amount relative to the enormous global benefits of ending the
pandemic and the massive pandemic-related spending by governments of high-
income countries around the world. The US government alone has spent roughly
$5 trillion in emergency outlays between March 2020 and March 2021.

To do its job, ACT-A (including COVAX) needs front-loaded funding to cover


vaccine needs through 2022. Given that scaling up the production of vaccines (and
some other commodities) requires a lead time of 6-12 months, the $50 billion
should be guaranteed within the coming weeks, so that ACT-A and COVAX can
work with manufacturers to ensure the necessary supplies. The IMF’s allocation of
new SDRs offers a unique – and perhaps the only – opportunity to get this funding
in hand.

When the new SDRs are issued, around $20 billion of new reserves will go directly
to the poorest countries. In addition, around $100 billion or more that is allocated
to rich countries will be recycled to the IMF to be used for long-term, low-interest
loans. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has been working closely and
creatively with G20 governments to design this novel, promising approach. One
excellent idea is to use the SDRs to bolster the IMF’s Poverty Reduction and
Growth Trust (PRGT), the Fund’s financing window for poor countries.
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There is an important precedent here. In 2015, the IMF created a Catastrophe and
Containment Relief Fund to help provide emergency Ebola-control financing to
Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone. This time, the PRGT financing could be made
conditional on its use for ACT-A and COVAX-related procurements and for other
COVID-19 control measures that the borrowing government documents to the IMF

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07/04/2021 Global Financing to End the Pandemic by Jeffrey D. Sachs - Project Syndicate

(such as reimbursements for COVID-19 vaccines that have been contracted by the
member state outside COVAX).

ACT-A is now preparing estimates of the financing that the world’s 92 low- and
middle-income countries eligible for COVAX support will need for vaccines,
testing, therapeutics, and other supplies until the end of 2022. Based on the
estimated financing needs, an ACT-A financial plan can be established for each
country, to be supported by the SDRs and the expanded PRGT funds.

In the next few weeks, a rational plan to finance all countries’ COVID-19 balance-
of-payments needs until the end of 2022 should emerge. The IMF was created to
handle such a balance-of-payments emergency. Access to IMF financing will
protect the well-being and macroeconomic stability of individual countries and
the world as a whole. We must seize this critical opportunity for the United
Nations, the IMF, and key governments – including the US, China, Russia, the EU,
Japan, the UK, and others – to cooperate effectively for the sake of humanity.

JEFFREY D. SACHS
Jeffrey D. Sachs, University Professor at Columbia University, is Director of the
Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University and President of the
UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network. He has served as adviser to three
UN Secretaries-General, and currently serves as an SDG Advocate under
Secretary-General António Guterres. His books include The End of Poverty,
Common Wealth, The Age of Sustainable Development, Building the New American
Economy, A New Foreign Policy: Beyond American Exceptionalism, and, most
recently, The Ages of Globalization.

https://prosyn.org/cj58Tfo

© Project Syndicate - 2021

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