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COVID Impact on

Prisons
By: Bhavana Chamarthi
COVID in Facilities
*correctional facilities = prisons, halfway houses, etc

- Inmates → released from facilities


- temporary house confinement
- other housing options

- Employees → still work to run facilities


- **essential employees**
- impact spread of COVID
- Department of Corrections (DOC)
- funds all public, state-owned prisons
- in all states
QUESTION
How does DOC funding ANSWER
impact the presence of COVID
within correctional facilities?
Well… data visualization + a lot
of google searches! :)
METHODS

1 2 3
Analyze COVID present in Analyze COVID present in Record amount of $$
facilities each state budgeted for DOC

FACILITY STATS STATE STATS FUNDING STATS


From each state’s DOC From CDC database From each state’s official
website (COVID + health-related Budget Report for FY:
deaths in each county) 2019-2020
CHOOSING THE SAMPLE

Size
Diverse in population size

Political Affiliation
3 Democratic, 3 Republican

Incarceration Rates
Varied by inmate population

COVID Zones
Picked from hot zones + “colder” zones
SAMPLE REVEAL!

New Jersey Georgia


VARIABLES STUDIED:

- Total Positive Cases


- Total COVID Deaths
New York Texas - Total Recovered
Cases

California Alabama
How? DEMO
HTML Live demo here :)
CSS + Flexbox + Bootstrap
JavaScript + jQuery Click here:
Pandas/Numpy/Seaborn/Plotly/SkLearn/Matplotlib https://covidinprisons.he
rokuapp.com
GRAPHS

% Breakdown - Facilities
- 3 R states had larger
positive cases
- Low death count
overall
- 3 D states had larger
recovery rates
- COVID hot + cold
zones weren’t
influential
GRAPHS

COVID + Health - States


- COVID hot + cold
zones are apparent
- Large states = More
Cases

**other → not confirmed


to be COVID, but could be
tied to symptoms
commonly displayed by
COVID patients
GRAPHS

DOC Funding - State


- Varied across the
board
- California + Texas
have highest
incarceration rates

**all displayed values


are in $M
REGRESSION

Avg Input: $4000-5000 Million Somewhat linear? 2 outliers…


REGRESSION

Same idea for these graphs...


PREDICTIVE MODEL
Input: DOC Funding → to predict # of Recovered Cases
REGRESSION
Input: DOC Funding → to predict # of Positive Tests
REGRESSION
Input: DOC Funding → to predict # of COVID Deaths
But with K-Values... to accommodate for outliers…
CONCLUSIONS

1 2 3
As DOC funding increased, Political party can have an State policy + timing (halt
the overall positive cases, affect how inmates + inmate transfers, and limit
recovery rates, and deaths employees react/are visitations) greatly
increased. subjected to the virus affected COVID presence
REFLECTION
only 6 data points, but model
1
predicted the general trend

2 improve website +
include more graphs + expand dataset to
visualization all 50 states
3

study crime rates after


4 inmates were released
during quarantine
Examine additional variables
5 + expand research overall
THANK YOU
:)
Contact for any more questions:
@brchamarthi29@gmail.com

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