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Abstract: Performance-based earthquake engineering aims to quantify performance of facilities using metrics that are of immediate use
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to both engineers and stakeholders. A rigorous yet practical implementation of a performance-based earthquake engineering methodology
is developed and demonstrated for an idealized building. The methodology considers seismic hazard, structural response, resulting
damage, and repair costs associated with restoring the building to its original condition, using a fully consistent, probabilistic analysis of
the associated parts of the problem. The methodology can be generalized to consider other performance measures such as casualties and
down time, though these have not been pursued. The proposed procedure is consistent with common building design, construction, and
analysis practices such that it can be readily adopted in earthquake engineering practice today.
DOI: 10.1061/共ASCE兲0733-9445共2009兲135:10共1146兲
CE Database subject headings: Seismic analysis; Earthquake engineering; Evaluation; Facilities.
冕
λ ( im ) G ( edp | im ) G ( dm | edp ) G ( dv | dm )
im: intensity
measure
edp: engineering
demand parameter
dm: damage
measure
dv: decision
variable
共dv ⬍ DV兲 = G共dv兩im兲兩d共im兲兩 共1兲
im
Fig. 1. Performance-assessment framework where we have used the absolute value in account of the negative
value of the derivative of the hazard curve. The conditional prob-
ability G共dv 兩 im兲 is obtained by use of total probability as fol-
With ground motion records selected based on the seismic lows:
hazard analysis, the responses of structural and nonstructural
G共dv兩im兲
components to seismic excitations are quantified in the response
冕冕
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analysis step. The outcomes are response statistics that relate en-
gineering demand parameters, such as drift or stress, to the earth- = G共dv兩dm,edp,im兲dG共dm兩edp,im兲dG共edp兩im兲
dm edp
quake hazards experienced by the facility, measured using the
selected seismic intensity measure.
The third step of the performance-assessment is damage analy-
sis. Damage analysis uses experience gained from laboratory test-
= 冕冕
dm edp
G共dv兩dm兲dG共dm兩edp兲dG共edp兩im兲 共2兲
ing, published data, post earthquake reconnaissance reports, where use has been made of the assumptions of conditional inde-
engineering judgment, or a combination of these to quantify the pendence described earlier. In the above expression, dG共x 兩 y兲 de-
structural and nonstructural component damage based on an ap- notes the derivative of the conditional complementary cumulative
propriate edp. The outcome of the damage analysis is usually distribution function, which is identical to the negative of the
presented in fragility curves that represent the conditional prob- conditional probability density function. Substituting Eq. 共2兲 into
ability of occurrence of different damage states given the value of Eq. 共1兲, we obtain the mean annual rate of the decision variable
the edp. Using the edp value obtained from the response analysis, 共e.g., total dollar loss or down time兲 exceeding a threshold value
building structural and nonstructural component damage mea-
sures can be quantified using the fragility curves. 共dv ⬍ DV兲
冕冕冕
Last, a loss analysis is performed to translate damage quanti-
ties to decision variables that can be used by building owners, = G共dv兩dm兲dG共dm兩edp兲dG共edp兩im兲兩d共im兲兩
engineers, or other stakeholders to make risk management deci- im dm edp
sions. This calculation is based on data such as material unit
共3兲
quantities for repairs, labor costs, repair times, and casualties as-
sociated with damage states defined during damage analysis. The The four stages of performance assessment are evident in the
outputs of the loss analysis can be, for example, the mean rate of above formula. Specifically, 共im兲 requires hazard analysis,
exceeding a certain threshold repair cost for a set period of time, G共edp 兩 im兲 requires response analysis, G共dm 兩 edp兲 requires dam-
the cumulative expected monetary loss for repair of the facility age analysis, and G共dv 兩 dm兲 requires loss analysis. Because no
using continuous hazard scenarios, and the total monetary loss for account is made of the state of a damaged or deteriorated struc-
the facility for a specified hazard level. ture being subjected to subsequent earthquakes, the derivation is
The procedure to integrate the components of the done assuming the facility is nondeteriorating and that it is re-
performance-assessment framework is based on the following stored to its original condition immediately after a damaging
simplifying assumptions: earthquake 共Der Kiureghian 2005兲. The result in Eq. 共3兲 is iden-
1. G共dm 兩 edp , im兲 = G共dm 兩 edp兲, i.e., for a given edp, dm is sta- tical to the formulation presented earlier by researchers in the
tistically independent of im. In other words, for measuring Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center 共Moehle and
damage, im does not provide information that is not already Deierlein 2004; Cornell and Krawinkler 2000兲. However, we be-
contained in the edp. lieve the derivation here is clearer and more rigorous.
2. G共dv 兩 dm , edp , im兲 = G共dv 兩 dm兲, i.e., for given dm, dv is sta-
tistically independent of edp and im. In other words, for
measuring losses, edp and im do not provide information that Implementation of the Performance-Assessment
is not already contained in the dm. Framework for Repair Cost Evaluation
3. The facility is immediately restored to its original condition
after each damaging earthquake. Without this assumption, The performance assessment framework can serve as the basis for
one would have to account for the state of a damaged struc- a rigorous performance assessment. The challenge is to imple-
ture being subjected to subsequent earthquakes. ment the assessment in a manner that is suitable for practitioners
Based on the above assumptions, the mean annual rate of to use in a design office setting. Two issues must be addressed to
events 兵dv ⬍ DV其 is derived as follows: achieve this goal: 共1兲 the performance measures 共dv, dm, and
Let 共im兲 denote the mean rate of events 兵im ⬍ IM其 per year. edp兲 and their conditional probabilities, G共x 兩 y兲, must be quanti-
Noting that this function decreases with increasing im, fied and formulated in a straightforward way using data readily
−d共im兲 / dim dim = −d共im兲 represents the mean rate of events available to practicing engineers; and 共2兲 the extensive computa-
兵im ⬍ IM ⱕ im + dim其 per year. Let G共dv 兩 im兲 = Pr共dv ⬍ DV 兩 IM tions required to integrate Eq. 共3兲 must be encapsulated in proce-
= im兲 be the conditional probability of DV exceeding dv for given dures that are transparent and easy to implement. An
IM = im. This probability represents the fraction of the events with implementation that fulfills these two goals is presented in the
兵im ⬍ IM ⱕ im + dim其 that cause DV to be greater than dv. Thus, following six steps: 共1兲 Define structural and nonstructural com-
the corresponding mean annual rate of events 兵dv ⬍ DV其 is ponent PGs. 共2兲 Conduct seismic hazard analysis and ground mo-
共b兲 Repair
Welding protection sq ft 0 1,500 1,500 1,500
Shore beams below and remove locations 0 0 0 12
Cut slab at damaged connection sq ft 0 70 150 1,600
Carbon arc out weld lin. Ft 0 40 50 50
Remove damaged element sq ft 0 0 100 100
Replace weld—from above lin. ft 0 40 40 40
Remove/replace connection Lb 0 0 0 3,000
Replace slab sq ft 0 70 70 1,600
共c兲 Put-back
Misc. MEP and clean-up locations 0 2 4 6
Wall frame 共studs and drywall兲 sq ft 0 800 800 6,000
Replace exterior skin 共salvage兲 sq ft 0 0 0 5,600
Ceiling system sq ft 0 2,000 3,000 5,000
28' ft
shows the fragility relation defined for PG 1, PG 2, and PG 3,
5 @28
which are drift-sensitive structural components; the fragility rela-
5@
tions for the other PGs are presented in Yang 共2006兲. Associated
Z
Y X
repair quantities for each PG at different DSs were prepared.
77@
@ 28'
28 ft Table 1 shows the repair quantities for PG 1, PG 2, and PG 3;
Steel moment resisting frames Steel gravity frames quantities for the other PGs are presented in Yang 共2006兲. Unit
a) Global view b) Plan view repair costs were idealized using the trilinear function shown in
Fig. 4, with parameters summarized in Table 4.
Fig. 5. View of the prototype building Three discrete hazard levels, 50% probability of exceedance
in 50 years 共50/50兲, 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years
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Step 6, are plotted in Fig. 6. The results indicate the median total
An analytical model of the building incorporating inelastic re- repair costs for the prototype building are $0.72 million, $1.13
sponse characteristics for this framing type was implemented million, and $1.85 million dollars for ground shaking at the 50/50,
using OpenSees 共2007兲 and dynamic responses were calculated 10/50, and 5/50 hazard levels, respectively.
for the scaled ground motions. Table 7 lists median and standard The repair cost and the seismic hazard relations can be com-
deviation values of the peak edps. The symbols dui and ai repre- bined to determine the mean annual rate of the repair cost exceed-
sent the interstory drift ratio at the ith story and the total accel- ing a threshold value. This result is obtained by first computing
eration at the ith floor, respectively. the complement of the cumulative distribution function shown in
A MATLAB-based program was developed to carry out the Fig. 6, then multiplying it by the slope of the hazard curve at the
calculations involved in Step 3 through Step 6 of the performance corresponding ground motion intensity level, and finally integrat-
assessment 共Yang 2006兲. Input data include the PGs, the repair ing the resulting curves across the seismic hazard interval consid-
quantity table, the repair cost function, the edp matrices obtained ered in the seismic hazard analysis. Repeating this process for all
by running a limited number of response history analyses, and the repair cost values produces a loss curve that represents the mean
total number of repair cost simulations to compute the loss func- annual rate of the repair cost exceeding a threshold value. Fig. 7
tion. Given these input quantities, the program generates edp re- shows the result for the example building.
alizations, damage, and repair cost loss data, and presents it in a Following the derivation presented by Der Kiureghian 共2005兲,
variety of formats, including those described below. 关The ATC 58 the expected cumulative value of a cost X resulting from all earth-
project has implemented these routines, along with additional rou- quakes over the period of one year is
tines and a user interface in its computer program PACT 共Applied
冕 冕
⬁ ⬁
Technology Council 58 2008兲.兴 E关兺X兴 = x兩d共x兲兩 = 共x兲dx 共5兲
Table 8 presents a sample of the edp vectors 共realizations兲 0 0
generated by the MATLAB program for the 10/50 hazard level.
The complete set of generated edp vectors has the same statistical where the last expression is obtained from integration by parts.
distribution as the seed data obtained from nonlinear dynamic Thus, the area under the loss curve represents the mean cumula-
analyses. In this example, 10,000 edp vectors were generated in tive total repair cost for all earthquake events in one year time. In
0.070013 s using a 1.4 GHz Intel Pentium M processor with 521 the example presented in Fig. 7, the mean cumulative annual total
MB of RAM. repair cost for this facility is $31,300. This value has relevance to
The cumulative distribution functions of the total repair cost the premium one would be willing to pay to insure the building
for the prototype building, calculated following Step 4 through against the repair cost of future earthquakes.
The repair cost information can be dissected by PGs. This
information can be viewed in terms of bar charts as shown in
Table 6. Summary of the Ground Motions for 10/50 and 5/50 Hazard Fig. 8. Such breakdown provides insight into how different PGs
Levels contribute to the total repair cost and how these contributions
vary with the change of seismic hazard level. Such informa-
Distance Soil
Earthquake Mw Station 共km兲 type
Loma Prieta, 7.0 Los Gatos Present Center 3.5 C Table 8. Sample of Generated edp Vectors for 10/50 Seismic Hazard
October 17, 1989 Saratoga Aloha Ave. 8.3 C Level
Corralitos 3.4 C
edp Number Number Number Number Number
Gavilan College 9.5 C 共units兲 1 2 3 4 ... N
Gilroy Historic Building Unknown C
du1 共%兲 1.26 1.41 1.37 0.97 . . . 1.73
Lexington Dam Abutment 6.3 C
du2 共%兲 1.45 2.05 1.96 1.87 . . . 2.55
Kobe, Japan, 6.9 Kobe JM A 4.4 C
January 17, 1995 du3 共%兲 1.71 2.43 2.63 2.74 . . . 2.46
Tottori, Japan, 6.6 Hino 1.0 C ag 共g兲 0.54 0.55 0.75 0.55 . . . 0.45
October 6, 2000 a2 共g兲 0.87 0.87 1.04 0.92 . . . 0.57
Erzincan, Turkey, 6.7 Erzincan 1.8 C a3 共g兲 0.88 0.77 0.89 1.12 . . . 0.45
March 13, 1992 aR 共g兲 0.65 0.78 0.81 0.75 . . . 0.59
0.9
1.0 1.0
Probability
Probability
P(Total repair cost ≤C) 0.8
0.5 0.5
0.7
0.0 0.0
0.6 15 15
0.5 0.5
6 10 10
x10 6
0.5 1.0 5 x10 1.0 5
1 1
Cost, C [dollar] Performance Performance
0.4 Cost, C [dollar]
group number group number
0.3 a) Hazard level = 50/50 b) Hazard level = 5/50
50/50
0.2
10/50 Fig. 8. Deaggregation of total repair cost at different hazard levels
0.1 5/50
0.0
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Summary and Conclusions This work was supported in part by the Earthquake Engineering
Research Centers Program of the National Science Foundation
An evolving approach to performance-based earthquake engineer- under Award No. EEC-9701568 through the Pacific Earthquake
ing aims to express performance of a facility in terms of the risk Engineering Research Center 共PEER兲. The performance-
of repair cost, down time, and casualties. A performance- assessment framework, developed by PEER researchers, was in-
assessment framework is presented that separates the risk- troduced by A. Cornell 共Stanford University兲. Concepts of the
assessment task into four analysis steps: seismic hazard analysis, performance-assessment implementation were developed in col-
seismic demand analysis, damage analysis, and loss analysis. The laboration with C. Comartin 共Comartin Associates兲 and M. Com-
conceptual advantage of such approach is that each analysis step erio 共University of California, Berkeley兲. A. Dutta and R.
can be handled by different groups of experts, and separately Hamburger 共Simpson Gumpertz and Heger兲 designed the example
developed analysis modules can be assembled as appropriate for building per code minimum requirements, and R. Bachman, C.
the performance-assessment of a facility. A challenge of the meth- Comartin, G. Hecksher, and A. Whittaker 共ATC-58 project team兲
odology has been to develop a practical procedure for integrating provided associated fragility, repair method, and repair cost infor-
the four analysis steps to produce a quantitative performance as- mation. Any opinions, findings, and conclusion or recommenda-
sessment that is both rigorous and practical. tions expressed in this work are those of the writers and do not
A practical implementation of the performance-assessment necessarily reflect those of the organizations or individuals noted
methodology is presented in this paper. The principal innovation here.
in the proposed implementation is the method for generation of
seismic demand information. Instead of conducting a prohibi-
tively large number of dynamic analyses, data from a smaller References
number of analyses are used to establish the characteristics of
demand distribution functions and the correlation structure among Abrahamson, N. A. 共2006兲. “Selecting and scaling accelerograms for dy-
different demand random variables. These distribution and corre- namic analysis.” Proc., 1st European Conference on Earthquake En-
gineering and Seismology 共CD-ROM兲, Swiss Society for Earthquake
Engineering and Structural Dynamics, Geneva.
Loss curve Applied Technology Council 58. 共2008兲. Development of next-generation
0.04
performance-based seismic design procedures for new and existing
buildings, Applied Technology Council, 具http://www.atcouncil.org/
Annual rate of exceeding
atc-58.shtml典.
total repair cost = C