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Safer and Cheaper

An Enhanced Milestone-Based Return to Play


Program After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction
in Young Athletes Is Cost-Effective Compared
With Standard Time-Based Return to Play Criteria
Christopher J. DeFrancesco,* MD, Drake G. Lebrun,* MD, MPH,
Joseph T. Molony Jr,y PT, MS, SCS, CSCS, Madison R. Heath,* BS,
and Peter D. Fabricant,*z MD, MPH
Investigation performed at the Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, New York, USA

Background: Safe return to play (RTP) after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction is critical to patient satisfaction. Enhanced
rehabilitation after ACL reconstruction with appropriate objective criteria for RTP may reduce the risk of subsequent injury. The cost-
effectiveness of an enhanced RTP (eRTP) strategy relative to standard post-ACL reconstruction rehabilitation has not been investigated.
Purpose: To determine if an eRTP strategy after ACL reconstruction is cost-effective compared with standard rehabilitation.
Study Design: Economic and decision analysis.
Methods: A decision-analysis model was utilized to compare standard rehabilitation with an eRTP strategy, which includes addi-
tional neuromuscular retraining, advanced testing, and follow-up physician visits. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated from a payer
perspective. Costs of surgical procedures and rehabilitation protocols, risks of graft rupture and contralateral ACL injury, risk
reductions as a result of the eRTP strategy, and relevant health utilities were derived from the literature. An incremental cost-
effectiveness ratio of \$100,000/quality-adjusted life-year was used to determine cost-effectiveness. Sensitivity analyses were
performed on pertinent model parameters to assess their effect on base case conclusions. In the base case analysis, the
eRTP strategy cost was conservatively estimated to be $969 more than the standard rehabilitation protocol. Completion of the
eRTP strategy was considered to confer a 25% risk reduction for graft rupture in comparison with standard rehabilitation.
Results: The eRTP strategy was more cost-effective than standard rehabilitation alone. Based on 1-way threshold analyses, the
eRTP strategy was cost-effective as long as its additional cost over standard rehabilitation was \$2092 or the eRTP strategy
decreased the incidence of contralateral ACL rupture by .13.8%.
Conclusion: The eRTP strategy in this study adds additional neuromuscular retraining and additional physician follow-up—as
well as advanced testing goals upon which RTP is contingent—to traditional physical therapy. Our data suggest that these addi-
tions are cost-effective, even assuming only modest associated decreases in ACL graft failure. This study also determined that
the only variable that had the potential to change the cost-effectiveness conclusion based on predetermined ranges was the addi-
tional cost of rehabilitation based on 1-way sensitivity analysis.
Clinical Relevance: This study provides evidence of cost-effectiveness for payers, supporting the use of enhanced RTP pro-
grams. The sensitivity analyses herein may be used to determine if any given RTP program going forward is cost-effective,
regardless of the exact components of the program.
Keywords: economic and decision analysis; ACL; knee; sports; utility

The number of anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) recon- in children and adolescents, with recent investigations
structions (ACLRs) has increased over recent decades, indicating that the number of ACLRs in that population
with .100,000 cases performed annually in the United increased at almost 3 times the rate of orthopaedic surger-
States.13,15,18 ACL injury has been increasingly recognized ies in general over the time period 2004-2014.30
In addition to the physical morbidity of ACL injury and
the associated meniscal and chondral damage, ACL rup-
ture in this population is associated with high financial
The American Journal of Sports Medicine
morbidity. When managed with physical therapy (PT)
1–8
DOI: 10.1177/0363546520907914 alone, the societal cost of 1 ACL rupture is estimated at
Ó 2020 The Author(s) $88,538.19 Intervention with ACLR is associated with an

1
2 DeFrancesco et al The American Journal of Sports Medicine

incremental cost savings of $50,417 per case.19 This sur- were standard post-ACLR rehabilitation and eRTP reha-
gery restores joint kinematics12,27 and improves patient bilitation, which includes additional neuromuscular
quality of life,4,27 but patient satisfaction after surgery, retraining, advanced testing, and clinical visits; see Table
especially in younger patients, is strongly linked to the 1 for a detailed example of an eRTP strategy. The decision
patient’s ability to return to playing sports.24 The short- tree model was chosen over other economic models (eg,
to midterm financial burden after ACLR and subsequent Markov) to focus on the discrete time period during which
return to play (RTP) is dominated by 2 major costs: (1) young athletes are engaged in sports. Additionally, a
the cost of revision surgery in the approximately 8% of similar decision tree model was used in previous cost-
patients who suffer graft failure and (2) the cost of ACLR effectiveness analyses of ACL injuries in young athletes.29
for contralateral ACL rupture in the approximately 12% An initial decision node depicts the decision to use stan-
of patients who experience contralateral ACL injury.16,21 dard postoperative rehabilitation or the eRTP rehabilita-
Recent research has shown that programs aimed at pri- tion strategy. Downstream from this decision node are
mary prevention of ACL rupture can be effective,29 reduc- multiple chance nodes, which reflect the idea that each
ing ACL rupture risk by up to 50%.32 This suggests that patient can fall into 1 of 3 groups: (1) ipsilateral ACL
targeted neuromuscular retraining and testing in post- (graft) rupture requiring revision ACLR, (2) contralateral
ACLR rehabilitation programs may be worthwhile in sec- ACL rupture requiring primary ACLR, or (3) no subse-
ondary prevention—that is, reducing the risk of graft rup- quent ACL injury. This tree is shown in Figure 1.
ture and contralateral ACL injury after primary ACLR. Direct medical costs were calculated by analyzing cost-
Additional measurement-based and functional testing dur- effectiveness from a payer perspective. Rather than model-
ing rehabilitation may provide objective checkpoints for ing costs from a societal perspective, the payer perspective
RTP and thereby reduce the risk of repeat injury. Despite was selected as a more relevant strategy for this study
the availability of these programs, there is no consensus because cost and reimbursement decisions by insurance
among surgeons for their use in rehabilitation or for crite- companies, Medicare, and other stakeholders are based on
ria for safe RTP after ACLR in young athletes5 and no a health care sector (ie, payer) perspective. Additionally,
understanding of their cost-effectiveness. assessing cost-effectiveness from a payer perspective pro-
Although an enhanced RTP (eRTP) strategy—including vides a more conservative estimate of cost, as the cost of
a traditional PT regimen along with supplemental neuro- a revision surgery to society would be higher than for the
muscular retraining, advanced testing, and additional payer. Therefore, the true cost-benefit of implementing
follow-up visits with the surgeon—can reduce the risk of eRTP programs is, if anything, even greater than our con-
post-ACLR complications, financial limitations regarding its servative model concludes. Outcomes were defined in
application must be better understood. For example, it may quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), which account for the
not be cost-effective to universally use expensive testing to quality of life differences among unique health states.
assess readiness for return to sports, but functional testing According to guidance published by the Panel on Cost-
with a physical therapist may be affordable and effective. Effectiveness in Health and Medicine,22 the analysis was
In this study, we used a decision tree model to investigate carried out using an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio
the cost-effectiveness of an eRTP strategy. Specifically, we (ICER) of \$100,000/QALY as the threshold for cost-
aimed to define acceptable parameters between program effectiveness. One-way threshold analyses and 2-way sensi-
cost and the relative risk of repeat injury in a pediatric, ado- tivity analyses were performed on pertinent model parame-
lescent, and young adult population. By doing so, stakehold- ters to measure their effect on base case conclusions.
ers may better understand what additional training, testing, Relevant assumptions in the model are that all patients
and surgeon follow-up would be appropriate for inclusion in (1) are young (14-22 years old), otherwise healthy, cutting
future RTP programs while maintaining cost-effectiveness. and pivoting sport (eg, football, soccer, lacrosse, handball,
volleyball, basketball) athletes, who underwent an uncom-
plicated primary ACLR; (2) are appropriate candidates for
METHODS postoperative rehabilitation; and (3) desire to return to cut-
ting and pivoting sports.
Model Design Base case values, cost ranges for sensitivity analyses,
transition probabilities, and utility values were derived
This was an economic evaluation study using a decision from the literature. In circumstances in which costs and tran-
tree model that was developed using TreeAge Pro 2019 sition probabilities were not defined by the current literature,
(TreeAge Software, Inc). The 2 strategies being compared these values were estimated with input from multiple

z
Address correspondence to Peter D. Fabricant, MD, MPH, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Hospital for Special Surgery, 535 East 70th St, New
York, NY 10021, USA.
*Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, New York, USA.
y
Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, New York, USA.
Submitted September 9, 2019; accepted January 2, 2020.
One or more of the authors has declared the following potential conflict of interest or source of funding: P.D.F. has received travel, education, and hos-
pitality payments from Smith & Nephew and Medical Device Business Services (DePuy). AOSSM checks author disclosures against the Open Payments
Database (OPD). AOSSM has not conducted an independent investigation on the OPD and disclaims any liability or responsibility relating thereto.
AJSM Vol. XX, No. X, XXXX ACLR eRTP Cost-Effectiveness 3

TABLE 1
Example of an Enhanced Return to Play Rehabilitation Strategy

Protocol Element Description and Examples

Neuromuscular retraining Squats, single-leg squats, step downs, jumping and running/agility with feedback regarding
alignment and control
Advanced testing Occurs approximately 6 months after surgery
Quantitative tests Patient-reported outcome measures, KT-1000, handheld dynamometer strength testing, isokinetic testing
(a variety of speeds are utilized), hop testing, agility tests
Qualitative tests Single-leg squat, 8-inch forward step-down, lateral step-down, drop jump, Landing Error Scoring
System, video analysis
Clinical visits Visits approximately 2 weeks, 6 weeks, 3 months, 6 months, 9 months, and 1 year after surgery

experienced physical therapists from across the United patients were set to 0.10 and 0.15, respectively, based on
States with particular expertise in clinical care and costs previous literature.16,21 Completion of the eRTP strategy
associated with ACLR rehabilitation. was assumed to reduce the risk of contralateral ACL rup-
ture by a magnitude similar to that seen in primary preven-
Model Inputs tion of ACL injuries (50% risk reduction).32 The eRTP
strategy was also assumed to reduce the risk of ACL graft
Costs. The base case cost of primary ACLR was set at rupture in the base case. A previous study found that the
$8000 based on a previous cost-effectiveness study using risk of graft rupture after ACLR was 67% less likely in par-
data from the Pediatric Health Information System data- ticipants who passed an eRTP functional testing battery.14
base.29 The cost of a revision ACLR was estimated to be While this work suggests that an eRTP strategy may reduce
110% of that for a primary ACLR based on previous the risk of graft rupture after ACLR by 50% or more, few
research showing that costs in the 9 months starting studies have replicated these results, and their eRTP pro-
with ACLR were approximately 10% higher for patients grams differ slightly from the strategy described in this
who had a previous ACLR.10 study. Therefore, this study opted to use a conservative
A full course of basic PT after ACLR was estimated to 25% risk reduction to ensure results were not exaggerated.
cost $2200 based on previous work by Zhang et al34 and Utilities. Utility, a measure of relative quality of life, was
De Carlo and Sell.3 Another previous study estimated the determined for each of the 3 possible postsurgical outcomes
cost of a follow-up visit with the surgeon at $381.2 Costs considered. Previous studies have indicated that common
of surgery and postoperative visits were modeled discretely pediatric orthopaedic knee injuries can be associated with
instead of as a global fee plus extra care, consistent with exceedingly low utility values, showing just how debilitating
previous studies.20,28 Furthermore, differences in postopera- such problems might be. Adjei et al1 described utility scores
tive visit frequency between the 2 study groups would occur as low as 0.15 in pediatric patients with osteochondritis dis-
outside a 90-day global period, and therefore modeling extra secans lesions of the knee. In another study, adolescent
visit charges as discrete costs rather than under a global fee patients with recurrent patellofemoral dislocations after
does not affect the marginal cost differences between treat- treatment reported median utility scores of 0.20.23 In this
ment strategy groups. Using these values, we estimated the study, for patients with no subsequent injury, the expected
total cost of enhanced rehabilitation (including 6 follow-up International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC)
physician visits) to be $4486 in the base case. grade distribution was set according to a previous study
Although the eRTP strategy was expected to include addi- that provided utility values for each associated IKDC
tional neuromuscular retraining, we expected the incremental grade,29 with utility values as low as 0.233 for IKDC grade
cost of the eRTP strategy over standard rehabilitation to stem D knees. For patients who had graft rupture and underwent
only from (1) advanced testing and (2) additional physician fol- revision ACLR, the subsequent distribution of IKDC grades
low-up. Advanced testing includes functional tests (hop test- was defined according to work by Grassi et al.9 For the sub-
ing, agility testing, drop jump, etc) and measurement-based group of patients who had contralateral ACL rupture and
tests, such as KT-1000 arthrometry and isokinetic testing. underwent bilateral ACLRs, 1 study has described the
This testing would be performed after at least 6 months of Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score in similar
rehabilitation, when the physical therapist and/or surgeon patients.6 Data from this paper were extrapolated to esti-
thought the patient was ready. This advanced testing battery mate the weighted mean health state utility for these
would cost an additional $588 in the base case (Joseph T. Mol- patients using a published regression model.25 These values
ony Jr, PT, MS, SCS, CSCS, personal communication and are shown in Table 3.
internal billing data, 2019). Clinical follow-up in the eRTP
strategy was estimated to require 1 additional clinic visit
with the surgeon, making the eRTP strategy $969 more Sensitivity Analyses
expensive than standard rehabilitation in the base case. Table
2 further details all input values for the model. One- and 2-way sensitivity analyses, including tornado
Transition Probabilities. The baseline risks of ACL graft diagrams, were utilized to determine thresholds at which
rupture and contralateral ACL injury after ACLR in young the eRTP strategy became more or less cost-effective.
4 DeFrancesco et al The American Journal of Sports Medicine

Figure 1. Decision tree model used to compare the cost-effectiveness of (1) standard post–anterior cruciate ligament reconstruc-
tion (ACLR) rehabilitation versus (2) enhanced return to play (eRTP) rehabilitation strategy. IKDC, International Knee Documenta-
tion Committee; RR, relative risk; RTP, return to play; s/p, status post.

RESULTS our analysis given that it was both more effective and less
costly than standard postoperative rehabilitation.
Base Case Analysis
In the base case analysis, the eRTP strategy was more effec- Sensitivity Analysis
tive (0.764 QALYs vs 0.756 QALYs) than standard postoper-
ative rehabilitation and was less costly ($7388 vs $7687). The eRTP strategy remained cost-effective when cost, util-
The eRTP strategy was therefore the dominant strategy in ity, and transition probabilities varied across predefined
AJSM Vol. XX, No. X, XXXX ACLR eRTP Cost-Effectiveness 5

TABLE 2
Input Values for the Cost-Effectiveness Modela

Values

Description Base Case Low High Supporting Studies

Costs
Surgical cost—primary ACLR $8000 $5000 $17,000 Swart et al29
Surgical cost—revision ACLR $8800 $5500 $18,700 Swart et al29
Herzog et al10
Cost of standard rehabilitation $4486 $2143 $9810
Cost of basic PT $2200 $1000 $6000 Zhang et al34
De Carlo and Sell3
Cost of clinical follow-up $381 3 6 = $2286 $1143 $3810 Armstrong et al2
(3-10 visits)
Additional eRTP program cost $969 $100 $2583
Additional clinical follow-up $381 3 1 = $381 $0 $1143 Armstrong et al2
(0-3 extra visits)
Functional testing $588 $100 $1440 Joseph T. Molony Jr, PT, MS, SCS, CSCS
(personal communication and internal
billing data)
Probabilities
Risk of ACL graft failure 0.10 0.05 0.20 Wiggins et al33
Risk of contralateral ACL rupture 0.15 0.10 0.25 Morgan et al21
Magnussen et al17
Webster et al31
Hettrich et al11
Faunø et al7
RR of injury with eRTP program
ACL graft failure 0.75 0.50 0.95 Webster and Hewett32
Contralateral ACL rupture 0.50 0.40 0.80 Sadigursky et al26

a
ACL, anterior cruciate ligament; ACLR, ACL reconstruction; eRTP; enhanced return to play; PT, physical therapy; RR, relative risk.

TABLE 3
Utility Values for the 3 Possible Postsurgical Outcomes Analyzed in This Studya

Percentage in Each IKDC Grade (Utility)

ACLR Study A (1.0) B (0.697) C (0.328) D (0.233) Weighted Mean Utility


29
Primary Swart et al 45.3 39.5 13.1 2.1 0.78
Revision Grassi et al9 27 51 18 4 0.69
Bilateral Faltstrom et al6, Odum25 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.50

a
The 3 possible postsurgical outcomes analyzed are (1) only primary reconstruction needed, (2) revision surgery needed, and (3) contra-
lateral knee injured so bilateral reconstruction needed. ACLR, anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction; IKDC, International Knee Docu-
mentation Committee; N/A, not available.

ranges (tornado diagram) (Figure 2). Based on a 1-way DISCUSSION


threshold analysis, the eRTP strategy was cost-effective at
a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY as long This study determined the cost-effectiveness of an eRTP
as the additional cost of further neuromuscular retraining, program after ACLR in young patients. Such an approach
advanced testing, and additional physician visits was can reduce the risk of repeat injury by improving dynamic
\$2092. Similarly, with costs held constant, the eRTP strat- strength and balance, neuromuscular control, functional
egy remained cost-effective as long as it decreased the inci- kinematics, and protective proprioception. Further,
dence of contralateral ACL injury by .13.8%. The eRTP patients participating in an eRTP strategy would be with-
strategy also remained cost-effective across all considered held from sports until meeting advanced predefined objec-
rates of graft rupture during 1-way sensitivity analysis. tive criteria (rather than clearance for sports competition
6 DeFrancesco et al The American Journal of Sports Medicine

Figure 2. Tornado diagram illustrating how variations in


costs, transition probabilities, and utility scores affect
whether the enhanced return to play (eRTP) strategy is Figure 3. Two-way sensitivity analysis of cost-effectiveness
cost-effective. ACL, anterior cruciate ligament; ACLR, ACL for the enhanced return to play (eRTP) strategy compared
reconstruction; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; with standard rehabilitation, accounting for surgical costs
IKDC, International Knee Documentation Committee; RTP, and the relative risk of postoperative graft rupture. The
return to play. enhanced area depicts scenarios in which the eRTP strategy
is more cost-effective, while the standard area depicts sce-
narios in which it is cost-prohibitive (and a standard time-
based on low level factors such as time since surgery, full based RTP program would be favorable). The horizontal dot-
pain-free range of motion, normal walking gait etc.) thus ted white line indicates the base case relative risk of graft
reducing the overall exposure to those at highest risk for rupture with the eRTP strategy versus standard rehabilita-
rerupture. To that end, this study showed that subsequent tion alone (0.75). The vertical black dotted line indicates
decreases in the risk of ACL graft rupture and contralat- the base case additional cost of the eRTP strategy relative
eral ACL rupture attributable to an eRTP program likely to standard rehabilitation alone ($969). An additional cost
would offset any associated extra costs expected with the of up to $2092 would still produce an eRTP that remained
eRTP program, making it cost-effective for a young cost-effective over a standard postoperative rehabilitation
sports-active patient population. In fact, in the base case, program (star).
the eRTP strategy dominated standard rehabilitation.
That is, despite the additional up-front expense associated
with the eRTP strategy, it was both more effective and less that program can be determined by the relationship shown
costly because of lower risks of repeat injuries and their in Figure 3.
associated costs. According to the model, any RTP program This study has several limitations, which are typical of
that decreases the risk of graft failure by 25% could cost an cost-effectiveness analyses. First, it is not possible to
additional $2092 and still remain cost-effective. Even if account for all costs associated with ACLR, such as the
a more conservative willingness-to-pay threshold was cost of time that a patient and his or her family invest dur-
used (defined using an ICER of \$50,000 rather than ing rehabilitation. Such costs might be slightly higher for
\$100,000), this margin would still be $1681. the eRTP group, especially if their rehabilitation periods
Using 1-way sensitivity analyses, this study also deter- are longer. Also, we considered health states as endpoints
mined that the only variable that had the potential to and did not account for improved quality of life in the
change the cost-effectiveness conclusion based on predeter- interim between ACLR and any subsequent injury. The
mined ranges was the additional cost of enhanced rehabili- effects of this are expected to be similar regardless of treat-
tation. This suggests that, even though there is uncertainty ment strategy and, therefore, would not be expected to influ-
in some variables used in the model, the only one that ence conclusions from our analyses. We also assumed that
makes a critical difference is the price of rehabilitation. including advanced neuromuscular retraining in post-
Finally, this study also showed how the acceptable margin ACLR PT might require protocol adjustments but would
for increased cost increases with the effectiveness of the not incur additional financial costs as it would not require
eRTP strategy. an increase in the cost of the physical therapy visit (the
One of the greatest strengths of this study is that, activities within the visit would simply change). If addi-
although the base case utilized a strategy with key compo- tional neuromuscular retraining resulted in additional
nents (Table 2), the study findings can be referenced and costs, these would likely be small, as previous work has esti-
are externally generalizable for a young sports-active mated the cost of similar primary prevention programs at
patient population regardless of the specific training exer- \$25 per patient.29 Such small costs would not affect the
cises or tests used in any current or future RTP program. validity of the study conclusions.
Whatever additions to standard rehabilitation are made Additionally, we did not account for the cost of extra
to constitute an eRTP program, the cost-effectiveness of rounds of advanced testing batteries that would be indicated
AJSM Vol. XX, No. X, XXXX ACLR eRTP Cost-Effectiveness 7

when a patient had a failed first battery and required later effective. As future research defines and optimizes RTP pro-
retesting before returning to sports. The proportion of grams, the model in the current study may be used to assess
patients that would require such additional testing is not cost-effectiveness based on program cost and relative risk
known and may vary based on the tests included, the sur- reductions for graft failure and contralateral ACL rupture.
geons and therapists involved, and the timing of testing. At
any rate, we expect the proportion requiring extra testing
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