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Stage 1 introduction: product decision is critical and need to be develop that meet the
demands to gain competitive advantage. The characteristics is: Cost is very high, slow
sales on the start, sales revenue becoming growth but the rates of growth is very slow.
Stage 2 growth: sales and profit increased very rapid.
Stage 3 maturity: high marketing cost, falling prices, lower profit.
Stage 4 decline: sales volume and profits are declined.
Stage 5 abandon: finally the product will be abandon, but the company will introduce
the new product and repeat the product life cycle.
Product and service design steps:
Week 2 Monday
Project Management
Life cycle activity stage:
1. Inicial concept: project manager need to identified the need for the project.
2. Visibility study: project manager evaluated cost, and benefit of the project.
3. The planning of project: project manager analyzed the work to be done, and develop
time estimate for the completion each of the activity.
4. Execution of the plan: project manager carries out the activity may up the project.
5. The termination of the project: project manager will end the project.
Program Evolution and Review Technic (PERT): is a planning network technic that use for
determine project plan, completion date and identified the project critical path.
Critical ptah: is a planning network technic that use for determine project plan, completion date
and identified the project critical path.
Network planning technique:
How to computing slack time:
Week 2 WEDNESDAY
Capacity and Forecasting
STRATEGIC CAPACITY
3 things that are considered in operations management:
1. Capacity: the capability of an object wheter it’s a machine, work center or operator to
produce output for specific time periode which is can be 1 hour or 1 day. Example:
number of passangers on train, number of patients that can accepted in the hospital or
number of car that can be produced in a week by a factory.
How to measuring capacity? Using input, output and combination of the two.
Example for input measuring:
Capacity Constraint:
Importance of Forecasting:
o Human Resource. Human resource manager forcecast the demand in the future
to find out how many man power he need. This imply: Hiring, training, laying off
workers.
o Capacity. Business development manager need demand forcast and economic
forecast to determain phisicaly capacity to have. This is related to the future target
market share and customer satisfaction. This imply: loss of customers and loss
market share.
o Supply chain mansgement. Good supplier and price advantages.
Time horizon:
o Medium (1 year - 3years) and long range (more than 3 years). Forecast deal
with more comprehensive issues and support management decision regarding
planning and products, plants and process. Such as market share,
technologydevelopment , business environment.
o Short term (less than 1 year). Forecasting usually employs quantitative method
and deal with daily operational decisions.
Types of forecasting:
o Economic forecast: that addres business cycle such as inflation rate, money
supply, etc.
o Technological forecast: predict the rate of technological progress that has deep
implication to the development to the new product.
o Demand forecast: predict the sales of existing product and services.
Qualitative forecasting:
Delphi method:
o Iterative group process, continues until consensus is reached.
o 3 types of participants: decision maker, stakeholder, customers.
o commonly use by education insititute to determain future curriculum.
Market survey:
o Ask customers about purchasing plans.
o What cosumer lsay, and what they do often different
o Sometimes difficult to answer.
o During this suervey the company realize that what the customer say is different
with the company did.
Quantitative approach:
Quantitative approach usually use to predict future performance the existing product
with the current technology.
Components of the time series is random variation, trend, and seasonal.
Times series commonly known as black box method. But the assosiative method
commonly known as glass box method.
Asociative:
WEEK 3 MONDAY
Process Design and analyisis
Process Strategy:
o The main focus of Process focus category is many inputs - many outputs.
o Repetitive process category usuallu run in mode speed compare to the process
focus. In this category a company take raw materian and modul input, then
creating output.
o Product focus category is taking few input and produce high variety of product.
o Mass customization category is represent the demand. It’s a rapid low cost good
and services that fulfill increasingly unique costomer desire. This usually have
high variety volume. They have many parts and component inputs and then
turning it into many output version.
The comparison:
o Process focus have low cost but high variable cost
o Product focus have high cost but low variable cost
o Repetitive product jus like between two above.
Terminology:
Lead time vs process time:
Lead time longer than process time and process time there are in middle of work in idle.
Process representation:
Process stage:
Process type:
This map especially usefull in designing lean system that have main purpose to reduce
any kind of waste including time.
Terminology:
o Buffer side effect is increase inventory level. So the process designer have to
make a process so the process can continue flow and minimum inventory in
buffer.
Process performance rumus:
Example process performance:
little law:
Service process degree customization and degree of labor:
WEEK 3 WEDNESDAY
QUALITY MANAGEMENT
Quality: define as fitnes for use. This contain 2 aspect: design quality and conformance
quality.
o Quality of design: refers to the inheren value of the product in the market place.
For example we can difference laptop for business and gaming. So the quality of
design is based on their design.
o Conformance quality: refers to the degree to which the product or the services
design specification are made. For example laptop for busines people must be
light as possible.
5 determinant for service quality:
o Realibility: is the ability to perform promiss services accurately
o Assurance: is the knowlage of the coutesy of employees and the ability to
contarint trust.
o Tangibles: appearance of the phycically facilities, equipment, and
communication material.
o Empathy: individually attend to customer
o Responsiveness: : the willingness to help customer
Quality dimensions by prof garfin 1987:
o Performance
o Features
o Ralibility
o Conformance
o Durability
o Servicabilitty
o Aesthethics
o Perceived quality
Six sigma: same as taguchi see the quality is inversely proportional to variability.
Variability is our enemy to produce the product however its not measure by loss function
by measure by how many defect projected in long term with the variation of the process.
The ultimate goal of six sigma is: to reduce defect of the product until 3.4 defect per
million oppurtinities.
Cost of quality:
3 criteria calue added analysis:
o Customer is willing to pay for it. Will the customer pay for waiting for the
services?
o There has to be physically changed. does inspection change the items
inspected?
o Done right at the first time. Correcting measn we failed doing right at the
first time.
Quality can be a strategy for company to win the competion since the quality of the
pproduct increasing the profit. Because happier customer will increase sales and at the
same time reduces cost.
Quality management system
o The QMS was coined by ken croucher in 1991
o A collection of business process focused on consistenly meeting customer
requirement and enhanching their satisfatction.
TQM
o As management approach to long term success through customer satisfaction
o Keybords:
customer satisfaction is the he ultimate goal, becase no matter how good
the the company do for the quality, the customer will determain the quality
level.
management approach, total.