4.

a) P(A)=3/9=1/3

b) P(A’)=6/9=2/3

c) P(A and B)=1/9

d) P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A and B)=3/9+3/9-1/9=5/9

4.9

a) P(Yes)= 358/954

b) P(Millennials and Yes)=175/954

c) P(Millennials or Yes)=(175+206)/954+(175+183)/954-175/954=564/954

4.13

a) P(Yes)= 1,070/2,000

b) P(X and Yes)= 440/2,000

c) P(X or Yes)= (1,070+1,000-440)/2,000

4.17

a) P(A|B)=P(A and B)/P(B)=10/100/(35/100)=10/35

b)P(A’/B’)=P(B’ and A’)/P(B’)=35/65

c)P(A/B’)=P(A and B’)/P(B’)=30/65

d)

Two events, A and B, are independent if and only if: P(A|B) = P(A) or not?

=> Not independent

4.19

Independent => P(A|B) = P(A)

P(A and B)=P(B)*P(A|B)=P(B)*P(A)=0.7*0.6=0.42

4.21

a)P(M|Y)= P(M and Y)/P(Y)=175/954 / (358/954)

4.30.

P(B|A)=P(A|B)*P(B) / [ P(A|B’)*P(B’) + P(A|B)*P(B) ]

=0.8*0.05 / (0.4*0.95 + 0.8*0.05)=0.095238

4.31.

P(B|A)=P(A|B)*P(B) / [ P(A|B’)*P(B’) + P(A|B)*P(B) ]

=0.6*0.3/(0.5*0.7+0.6*0.3)= 0.339623

4.32.

P(D)=0.03 P(D’)=0.97,

P(T/D’)=0.01 P(T|D)=0.9

a) P(D|T)=P(T|D)*P(D) / P(T|D)*P(D) + P(T|D’)*P(D’)

=0.9*0.03/ (0.9*0.03 + 0.01*0.97)

=0.735695

b) P(D’|T’)= P(D’ and T’)/P(T’)

P(D’|T’)=P(T’|D’)*P(D’)/ P(T’|D’)*P(D’) + P(T’|D)*P(D)

P(T’|D’)=0.99*0.97 / (0.99*0.97 + 0.1*0.03)

= 0.996886

4.63

a) P(P)=347/536

b) P(P or T)=347/536+222/536-156/536=413/536

c) P(C’ and Pu)= 72/536

d) P(C’ or Pu)= (291+ 189 – 72)536

g) Is “talent management is a priority” independent of “sector”?

Independent: P(A|B) = P(A)

P(T)*P(S)=222/536*100/100=222/536= P(T and S)

4.64

a) P(C)=82/276
b) P(C or I)=82+33/276

c) P(Bu or OS)= 129+ 45- 32/276

d) P(Bu and OS)= 32/276

e) P(OB|Per)=4/275 / 147/275= 4/147

4.65

26% content market - 42% docu

74% not content market – 19% docu

P(Content|Doc)=P(Content and Doc)/P(Doc)

=(42/100*26/100)/ {(42/100*26/100) + (19/100*74/100)}

=546/1249

4.66.

a) P(Process)= 125/ 386

b) P (Process|B2B)= P(Process and B2B)/P(B2B)

= 90/386 / 272/386

=90/272

c)P(Process|B2C)= P(Process and B2C)/P(B2C)

= 35/ 114

d) P(People)= 111/386

e) P(People|B2B)= P(People and B2B)/P(B2B)

= 75/386 / 272/386

=75/272
f) P(People|B2C)= P(People and B2C)/P(B2C)

= 36/386 / 114/386

= 36/114