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African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and

Development

ISSN: 2042-1338 (Print) 2042-1346 (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/rajs20

Blockchain and catching-up in developing


countries: The case of financial inclusion in Africa

Roberto Mavilia & Roberta Pisani

To cite this article: Roberto Mavilia & Roberta Pisani (2019): Blockchain and catching-up
in developing countries: The case of financial inclusion in Africa, African Journal of Science,
Technology, Innovation and Development, DOI: 10.1080/20421338.2019.1624009

To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/20421338.2019.1624009

Published online: 03 Aug 2019.

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https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=rajs20
African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, 2019
https://doi.org/10.1080/20421338.2019.1624009
© 2019 African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development

Blockchain and catching-up in developing countries: The case of financial inclusion in Africa
1,2,3* 2,3
Roberto Mavilia and Roberta Pisani
1
ICRIOS – Invernizzi Center for Research on Innovation, Organization, Strategy and Entrepreneurship – Bocconi University, Via Sarfatti
25 – 20136, Milan, Italy
2
MEDAlics – Research Center for Mediterranean Relations – Via del Torrione 95 – 89125, Reggio Calabria, Italy
3
Department of Management and Technology, Bocconi University, Via Sarfatti 25 – 20136, Milan, Italy
*Corresponding author email: roberto.mavilia@unibocconi.it

Blockchain technology, born as a tool to support Bitcoins (the most popular and controversial cryptocurrency in the world)
has set itself in a very short time as a disruptive technology able not only to revolutionize existing businesses but also to
create new ones. This work illustrates the main characteristics of the blockchain and its functioning, and then focuses on the
potential applications that can be implemented for developing countries. More specifically, the work, considers the case of
financial inclusion in Africa, on the basis of the Global Findex 2017 data, the World Bank Survey on financial inclusion. The
empirical analysis identifies the weaknesses in the current financial system in Africa and constitues the basis to discuss
potential blockchain solutions to reduce the current level of financial exclusion and pursue sustainable development for
African countries.

Keywords: blockchain, catching-up, developing countries, Africa, financial inclusion, innovation management

Introduction
leaving room for further opportunities for improvement
Quite often, new technologies have the potential to guide
(Zhao, Fan, and Yan 2016).
businesses and society towards increasing levels of devel-
An unanimously accepted definition of the blockchain
opment. Blockchain technology, created as a tool to oper-
has still not been achieved; some authors define it as a dis-
ationalize bitcoins, has generated particular interest in the
tributed data structure, database or system (Garay, Kiayias,
traditional sectors of economy for its wide potential of
and Leonardos 2015; Wang, Chen, and Xu 2016), whereas
applications in fields very far from the one in which it
others refer to it as a decentralized network (Kosba et al.
was originally developed and the opportunity it provides
2016). In practical terms, the bitcoin blockchain is a
to create an inclusive, transparent, responsible digital
digital chain of blocks: its first block (Block 0) was
economy (Maupin 2017).
created in 2009 (Nakamoto 2009). In each block there
This paper aims to investigate how blockchain tech-
are a nonce, a timestamp and a merkle tree in which all
nology can be a valuable support for catching-up of devel-
transactions are stored. The result is a sequence of trans-
oping countries, by looking at the specific issue of
actions which are linked to each other, since each block
financial inclusion in Africa and using the Global Findex
contains the hash – a digital fingerprint of some binary
2017 data, the World Bank Survey on financial inclusion,
input (Antonopoulos 2014) – of the previous block
complemented by information about the impact of new
(Böhme et al. 2015) and in which the time stamped trans-
technologies. This theme is highly topical, as showed by
actions (Zyskind and Nathan 2015) are registered and
the decision of the South African Reserve Bank to
shared among people participating in the P2P network
launch the Khokha Programme, an experimental project
(Wang, Chen, and Xu 2016) and stored in the sequential
about the use of blockchain solutions to support the
append on the blockchain.
current African financial system, and by the 2030
All these transactions have to be authenticated and ver-
Agenda for Sustainable Development, drawn up by the
ified for correctness by more than half of these participants
United Nations, which places particular emphasis on
– the miners – solving complex mathematical operations
financial inclusion as a means of alleviating poverty and
(Böhme et al. 2015). The consensus mechanism allows
contributing to social inclusion.
the creation of new blocks which are added to the block-
chain (Beck et al. 2016; Kraft 2016). Security is guaran-
Literature review teed by the fact that no single participant is allowed to
Blockchain technology modify independently the data included into an unpub-
Blockchain technology can be considered as a relevant lished block in the blockchain and by a public-key crypto-
innovation within general Information Systems Research graphy (Cucurull et al. 2016).
(Morisse 2015). The concept of blockchain was intro- Five main elements characterize a blockchain
duced on 31 October 2008 by Satoshi Nakamoto, the (Hileman and Rauchs 2017): (1) Cryptography, to
unknown person who designed Bitcoin and developed protect information; (2) P2P network, to allow peer dis-
blockchain technology as the underlying instruments to covery and data sharing; (3) Consensus mechanism, to
his cryptocurrency, a new electronic cash system fully order the transactions through an algorithm; (4) Ledger,
peer-to-peer (P2P) without trust in any third party (Naka- i.e. a list of transactions; (5) Validity rules, to check its
moto 2008). Due to its recent introduction, this technology correct functioning. A blockchain can be either public or
is still in the emerging phase (Wright and De Filippi 2015), private (Sharples and Domingue 2016). Both types of

African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development is co-published by NISC Pty (Ltd) and Informa Limited (trading as Taylor & Francis Group)
2 Mavilia and Pisani

blockchain can be segmented into three permission the automation of existing processes; (3) Risk manage-
models (Hileman and Rauchs 2017): (1) Read: partici- ment benefits from liquidity increases and reduction of
pants can only see the transactions; (2) Write: participants balance sheet risks; (4) Higher compliance due to a
can see the transactions and also generate them; (3) more transparent ledger (Brennan and Lunn 2016).
Commit: participants can also update the ledger state by Outside the financial segment, blockchain could be
mining a new block. implemented in health-related sectors: it would contribute
Two important features of any blockchain are trust and to reduce data manipulation and mistrust in medical
decentralization (Seebacher and Schüritz 2017). Trust is a research (Nichol 2016), and to increase the security and
necessary element to facilitate a collaborative process reliability of medical records shared through innovative
(Weber et al. 2016). In the blockchain, trust is obtained services such as Healthbank in Switzerland and Noser in
through the transparency of shared and public relations Germany that enable control of personal data. Other
(Zhao, Fan, and Yan 2016) that ensure a total disclosure non-financial applications are linked to smart contracts
of the network activities (Garman, Green, and Miers and smart properties. Smart contract are identified by the
2014) and the lack of intermediaries that reduce frictions following process (Lewis 2016): (1) A computer
in information providing (Sun, Yan, and Zhang 2016). A program is pre-written and self-executed; (2) It is saved
strong contribution to trust is generated by data integrity into the blockchain; (3) It is accomplished by the
and security obtained through cryptography (Wang, network participants; (4) The data are stored into a block-
Chen, and Xu 2016) and peer verification of transactions chain and updated. Smart properties incorporate digital
(Idelberger et al. 2016). Finally, database immutability is capacity and allow transactions and correspondence
also very important to obtain trust (Weber et al. 2016): it between humans and machines, under human control,
consists in the impossibility of altering the databases algorithms or AI (Atzori 2015). These are only few
(Cucurull and Puiggalí 2016). examples of the numerous applications of this technology.
Decentralization is strictly related to trust (Heilman,
Baldimtsi, and Goldberg 2016), because the elements
used to ensure trust are fundamental in the creation of a Objectives and applications of blockchain for catching-
decentralized network. Decentralization can be decom- up of developing countries
posed into three main sub-elements: privacy, reliability, We will explore this possibility by considering how block-
and versatility (Idelberger et al. 2016). Privacy is guaran- chain technology can help developing economies in catch-
teed by the use of pseudonyms for network participants ing-up, and whether these countries are already using
(Heilman, Baldimtsi, and Goldberg 2016). Reliability is blockchain technology for this or other purposes.
reached through data redundancy (Beck et al. 2016) and The theory of convergence (Abramovitz 1986) states
automation (Zhao, Fan, and Yan 2016). Versatility consists that all economies can converge in terms of per capita
in the participation of peers into the process of develop- income if poorer economies grow more rapidly than
ment (Xu 2016). those of developed and rich countries, by replicating
Potential applications of blockchain technology can be methods, technologies and institutions of advanced
identified in the many sectors, including banking, trading, countries and eventually catch-up with them. However,
insurance, data protection, intellectual property, voting, Abramovitz’s predictions will fail in cases of missing
leasing, identity verification and government services social and technological capabilities. Therefore, the demo-
(Dai and Vasarhelyi 2017). More generally, these appli- cratization of technology is a prerequisite to a proper func-
cations can be divided into two main segments: financial tioning of the catching-up effect (Lee 2017).
and non-financial. Financial applications of the blockchain More specifically, the introduction of new technol-
are clearly attractive for banks, due to the capability of ogies can have a significant impact on developing
simplifying the payments system and of reducing risks countries in terms of improvements in living conditions
and costs associated to customer knowledge (Skinner (Schmidt and Sandner 2017). The blockchain, in particu-
2016). In asset management, the blockchain can simplify lar, can represent a solution to many problems of develop-
the trade cycle by automating the processes in which the ing countries (Swan 2015), taking into account that
parties involved in the transactions have the same infor- blockchain solutions in developing countries are still at a
mation (Skinner 2016). In trade finance, the blockchain very preliminary stage and only a minimum number of
could potentially revolutionize the supply chain by remov- them are currently realized (Zambrano, Seward, and
ing middleman and their fees (Petrasic et al. 2016. In the Sayo 2017). Moreover, other factors should be considered
case of international payments, blockchain technology to properly evaluate the impact of blockchain in these
gives the opportunity of reducing the expenses and countries: (1) Infrastructure: most people do not have
increasing the traceability, through a system of instan- internet access and data security is often not guaranteed;
taneous payments (MacDonald, Allen, and Potts 2016). (2) Development capacity: although blockchain tools can
Furthermore, it is an alternative instrument for concluding also be used by low-skilled people, their socioeconomic
transactions between banks and their counterparts, and it exclusion can be an issue; (3) Policy and regulation:
can be used to facilitate the reconciliation process of the these measures can help or hinder the deployment of
ledgers of a financial institution. Summing up, the main blockchain applications; (4) Institutions and governance:
advantages of blockchain technology in the financial institutional capacity can be useful to enlarge the distri-
sector are represented by: (1) Cost reduction, due to bution and ensure long-term sustainability of blockchain
reduced duplication of costs; (2) Smart contracts, allowing solutions.
African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development 3

Although a particularly important role can be played which individuals and companies are not precluded
by decentralization, this still cannot guarantee a complete access to basic financial services for reasons that go
removal of hierarchy and inequality due to the mining beyond the efficiency criterion (Amidžić, Massara, and
process. It follows that limited usability can be a relevant Mialou 2014). In recent years, lack of financial inclusion
obstacle; however, a possible solution could be rep- (i.e. financial exclusion) has been recognized as one of
resented by the support to the end-user by intermediaries the causes contributing to the increase in the risk of
providing access to cryptographic tools. These intermedi- poverty (Shiimi 2010).
aries could be enterprises, non-profit organizations or gov- From an entrepreneurial point of view, greater and
ernments, with the final aim to find the best approach for easier access to credit represents a strong support for econ-
developing countries. This way, governments can use omic activity, facilitating the entry of new companies into
blockchain solutions as supplemental and complementary the market (Klapper and Love 2004). From a macro per-
instruments for their projects linked to the provision of spective, an inclusive financial system would make it
public goods, although sometimes this requires the invol- possible to have a greater volume of resources available
vement of private partners (Zambrano, Seward, and Sayo for investment and, in particular, for the promotion and
2017). development of small and medium enterprises (Kim
Some of the areas affected by blockchain solutions in et al. 2017). This would reduce the vulnerability of a
developing countries are: (a) E-governance: it includes country, by increasing financial stability and reducing
government services, especially those requiring personal the risk of poverty (Morduch and Haley 2002).
interactions and individual identification (Mougayar For all these reasons, the creation of an inclusive finan-
2016); (b) Land titles: it refers to the assignation of cial system is a desirable objective for many countries, as
private property, and is used in developing countries like it allows to emphasize and pursue efficiency in economic
Ghana; (c) Identity services: there is a huge number of terms but also in terms of welfare, providing to increas-
start-ups working on it (Zambrano, Seward, and Sayo ingly large segments of the population a safe access to
2017), a good example is represented by India’s Aadhaar saving practices and to numerous financing solutions
bibliometric ID card system (Gupta and Knight 2017); (Sarma and Pais 2011), despite not having sufficient guar-
(d) Anti-corruption: the Blockchain Trust Accelerator antees and a significant credit history. Financial exclusion
project aims at increasing government transparency (Zam- quite often is caused by imperfections of the capital
brano, Seward, and Sayo 2017); (e) Virtual governments: market, problems of information asymmetry, high trans-
blockchain can favour the emergence of new forms of action costs and inadequate legal solutions.
governments (Gupta and Knight 2017), as in the case of For these reasons, financial inclusion is mainly a pre-
Bitnation (Zambrano, Seward, and Sayo 2017); (f) Elec- rogative of developed countries. In fact, the problems
toral processes: blockchain could allow a voting process mentioned above are often exacerbated in developing
without frauds and identity theft (Zambrano, Seward, countries, where almost the entire population cannot
and Sayo 2017); (g) Aid and development: the United access basic financial services (Kim et al. 2017). Financial
Nations World Food Program implemented a pilot block- inclusion is pursued through the development and
chain application to give financial support in Jordan implementation of highly diversified banking products,
(Higgins 2017); (h) Remittances: it is a highly competitive in line with customer needs that reduce the overall level
and high profitability application of blockchain (World of risk assumed by the bank and, in addition, make it poss-
Bank 2016), for example the United Nation Development ible to contribute to the stabilization of the economic
Programme launched a remittance pilot project in Serbia system (Mehrotra and Yetman 2015).
(Begovic, Pašičko, and Petrović 2016) and UNICEF has Financial exclusion of the population can be divided
proposed some related application to reduce child into (Allen et al. 2016): (a) Voluntary: the population
poverty (Higgins 2016). chooses not to have a bank account for reasons such as
These areas can be grouped in a more compact way by lack of money or even cultural and religious reasons.
referring to their main purposes (Schmidt and Sandner The last motivation is the main cause of exclusion of
2017). The first group has the purpose of overtaking insti- women from the financial sector, determining a gender
tutional weakness through property registry, digital docu- gap (Aterido, Beck, and Iacovone 2013); (b) Involuntary:
ments, and budget-tracking mechanism: it gives the the population is unable to access basic financial services
possibility of tracking all expenditures. The second one due to market failures.
has the purpose of empowering people and reducing Further subdivision can be carried out to identify the
power asymmetry, by exploiting the sharing dimension main dimensions of financial inclusion (Stein, Randhawa,
of blockchain. The third one has the purpose of increasing and Bilandzic 2011): (1) Accessibility: it consists of the
financial inclusion, providing citizens of developing availability of formal and regulated financial services,
countries with access to basic financial services like and can be measured through proximity and availability
bank accounts, loans or insurance. of access at advantageous market conditions; (2) Usabil-
ity: it refers to the regular use of existing financial products
Financial inclusion and services, and it is measured through regularity, fre-
Financial inclusion means access to financial services at quency and duration of use; (3) Quality: the products
affordable and sustainable costs by individuals or low- available are made to better meet the needs of corporate
income companies (Muzigiti and Schmidt 2013); in and retail customers; it can be achieved through a strategy
more technical terms, it is the economic condition in that allows the segmentation of the target customers in
4 Mavilia and Pisani

order to profile products in line with customer requests. probability of selection based on the size of the family
This classification offers increased insight, since it con- and non-response error. Post-stratification weights use
siders also the regularity with which customers use the population statistics, economy, gender and age, and edu-
available financial products, the frequency of use, the dur- cation or socioeconomic status where reliable data are
ation and, above all, allows an understanding of whether available. The 2017 version is the most suitable for our
the products offered to the market fit in order to customer analysis as it includes new indicators to take into
needs. account formal and informal financial services to take
Financial inclusion is a problem that affects African into due consideration the use of Financial Technology
countries much more than other developing countries, (FinTech) practices, including the intention of the World
since the African banking system is less inclusive than Bank to achieve universal financial access by 2020.
the others (Beck et al. 2016). The World Bank Report Another relevance source of data is the Alliance for
2012 shows that the African continent is lagging behind Financial Inclusion (AFI) that provides indicators about
in terms of financial inclusion compared to other develop- the main variables of financial inclusion on both the
ing countries, despite the fact that many solutions have demand and supply side. This set of indicators created
been implemented over the past few decades – including by and for political actors is focused on the first two
state reforms in the financial sector – in order to reduce dimensions of financial inclusion. Additional indicators
the gap, first of all with other developing countries. are provided by the G-20 Global Partnership for Financial
In recent decades, the African continent has increased Inclusion (GPFI) that builds on the AFI data, but also con-
its performance in terms of development and access to siders additional aspects of the two dimensions analysed.
financial services but not all African states have achieved To analyze the corporate perspective, we refer to the
the same level of development. The main exception is rep- World Bank Enterprises Surveys (WBES), which is sub-
resented by South Africa, the most advanced country on mitted to more than 130,000 companies in 127 countries.
the continent, which sees in the financial system one of From a geographical point of view, African countries
the strengths of its economy as it represents a crucial junc- are grouped into the following sub-regions: (1) North
tion towards sub-Saharan Africa. This is also confirmed by Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco and
the Global Competitive Index. Tunisia; (2) Central Africa: Cameroon, Central African
Republic, Chad, Democratic Republic of Congo, Congo,
Empirical analysis Equatorial Guinea and Gabon; (3) Eastern Africa:
Research question, methodology and data Burundi, Comoros, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya,
An unexplored research question emerges from the litera- Rwanda, Seychelles, Somalia, Sudan, South Sudan, Tan-
ture review conducted so far: are blockchain applications zania and Uganda; (4) West Africa: Benin, Burkina
also feasible at a macro level, i.e. moving the attention Faso, Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea,
from a single enterprise or sector to a country? Guinea Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Sao Tome
The data available on financial inclusion in Africa are and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone and Togo; (5)
classified into the demand side – corporate and retail custo- Southern Africa: Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Madagas-
mers – and the supply side – banks and financial insti- car, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, South
tutions. Data collected on the demand side were obtained Africa, Swaziland, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
through surveys and interviews with end users, while data
on the supply side were collected by Central Banks. Results
The data from the supply side provide detailed and The first variable to analyze is the number of accounts.
reliable information about the financial services offered, Globally, 69% of the adult population are holders of at
but do not allow an overview of the second and third least one account, seen as a tool to save money for
dimensions of financial inclusion. In addition, some cat- future expenses. In the Findex 2017 the label ‘account’
egories of data are not available for all areas of the refers to two different categories: firstly, an account at a
African continent (in particular Central Africa) and, more- bank or another formal financial institution; secondly,
over, the data collected in the different areas do not have some services provided by financial organizations differ-
the same level of granularity. ent from banks or formal financial institutions. Holding
The data on the demand side are more interesting as an account is much more common in developed countries
they are relatively more robust and constantly updated. (94% of the adult population) than in developing countries
The Global Findex from the World Bank can be con- (63% of the adult population). The distribution of account
sidered one of the most relevant contributions in this holders shows a non-homogeneous trend, which can be
field as it provides financial data from 148 countries of seen in Figure 1: African regions present the lowest
which 42 are part of the African continent. The first values of number of accounts expressed as a percentage
version of the World Bank dataset goes back to 2011 of the population (only 40% of the adult population has
and has been regularly updated every three years since an account at a formal financial institution or through
then. It is the most complete database on the habits of mobile payment systems).
adults about savings, payments, loans, and financial risk Figure 2 shows that even within the African continent
management; it is also quite representative due to the accounts are not distributed homogeneously in the popu-
envolment of about 150,000 individuals. Data are lation. In fact, South Africa, the most developed country
weighted to ensure a nationally representative sample for on the continent, presents the highest levels, in percentage
each economy, with corrections for the different terms, on the total population.
African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development 5

Figure 1: Percentage of adult population holding an account at a


formal financial institution in world regions. Figure 4: Percentage of male and female population holding at
least one account, African sub-regions.

Figure 2: Percentage of adult population holding an account at a


formal financial institution, African sub-regions.
Figure 5: Percentage of population (divided by age group)
holder of at least one account.

reduced to 56% for younger people. This trend character-


izes both developed and developing countries, even if the
gap varies considerably within the macro category of
developing countries.
Level of education. This variable plays an important
role, although it is closely related to the level of income.
The financial culture of individuals, their understanding
of tools for managing savings, the knowledge of their
rights and their ability to exercise them are often very
limited in developing countries. Furthermore, the low
level of financial literacy of people is often accompanied
by an overestimation of their basic financial knowledge.
Figure 3: Percentage of male and female population holding at
least one account. At the global level, the possession of an account has
lower percentages for people with the lowest levels of edu-
cation. As a matter of fact, only 56% of the population
Further details emerge if we segment the population with a primary or lower level of education is an account
along the following dimensions: (a) Gender; (b) Age; (c) holder, compared to 76% of the population with secondary
Education; (d) Income; (e) Urban area. education and 92% of the population with a university
Gender. Figure 3 shows a relevant gender gap in bank level of education (Figure 6).
accounts at a global level; the possibility of having a Income level. The income level is a discriminating
mobile money account, however, has created new oppor- factor in the decision to open an account; in fact, as
tunities to serve the female population that was excluded income increases, the average percentage of account
from the formal financial system. Therefore, the current holders also increases (Figure 7). Although this holds at
gender gap can be explained in part by cultural and reli- the global level, the effect is stronger in developing
gious reasons. Figure 4 shows how this gap between the countries, and especially those countries where the rate
male and female population is distributed across the of possession of an account is very low, such as Egypt,
African sub-regions. Ethiopia and Nigeria.
Age group. In Figure 5, two macro bands are identified Urban and rural area. The rural population is less
in order to cover the entire population. From a global point inclined, compared to the urban one, to open an account
of view, 72% of the adult population – aged 25 years or (Figure 8). This trend holds for all developing countries
older – are holders of an account and this percentage is and is difficult to quantify, especially in a context such
6 Mavilia and Pisani

Figure 9: Percentage of male and female population holding at


Figure 6: Percentage of population (segmented by level of edu- least one account in banks or formal financial institutions.
cation) holder of at least one account.

Figure 7: Percentage of population (segmented by level of Figure 10: Percentage of population (divided by age group)
income) holder of at least one account. holder of at least one account in banks or formal financial
institutions.

Figure 8: Percentage of population (segmented by territorial Figure 11: Percentage of population (segmented by educational
areas) holder of at least one account. level) holder of at least one account in banks or formal financial
institutions.
as Africa. It can be attributed primarily to high transpor-
tation costs and the lack of adequate infrastructure. Rural Gabon, Kenya, Senegal, Tanzania, Uganda and Zim-
areas or particularly degraded and peripheral neighbour- babwe) where at least 20% of adults have a mobile
hoods, characterized by the lack of bank branches or money account (Figure 9), it emerges that this gender
other intermediaries and their physical distance from gap is low for six of these eight economies considered
urban centres, also discourage any requests from potential (with the exception of Burkina Faso and Tanzania). In
users. terms of age group, the trend highlighted in Figure 5
The value reported so far refers to accounts at banks remains unchanged (Figure 10). Also, in terms of edu-
and financial institutions as well as accounts through cational level the same trend appears (Figure 11). From
mobile money services. To get a clearer overview of the the data, it emerges that more than 10% of the people,
situation of accounts only with formal financial insti- due to their low level of education, do not have confidence
tutions, it is possible to consider only the data relating to in the banks and in the financial institutions and this per-
the first category. Regarding gender and considering centage reaches 16.75% of the total non-account holder.
eight African countries (Burkina Faso, Ivory Coast, Another reason that emerges is the inability to have the
African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development 7

necessary documentation to be an account holder (26.86% but imperfect, is however influenced by the different
of the total adult population that is a non-account holder). access and use policies that the countries decide to
In the case of income level (Figure 12), it emerges that rel- implement.
evant motivation is that the costs to be incurred are too Figure 15 shows that financial inclusion is positively
high for their income, with this percentage reaching and significantly correlated with the presence of ATMs –
29.09% of the total number of people who do not hold Automated Teller Machines – that provide customers of
an account with formal financial institutions. This is a financial institution with the possibility of accessing
because the 51.07% of the sample considers the lack of financial transactions in a public place. The data,
sufficient income an element for not having an account grouped by geographical area to allow a better visualiza-
and this percentage reaches 70.31% of the total sample tion of the resulting trend, were calculated as a percentage
who does not have an account at a formal financial insti- of the total adult population of the country analyzed.
tution. Finally, analysing the data with the subdivision It is highlighted that Africa is in the lower part of the
between rural and urban area (Figure 13) it emerges that graph and this contributes to the lack of financial
there is a 10% gap due to the fact that the financial services inclusion. A greater level of access to the financial
offered through non-traditional ways allow, even if only sector makes it possible to widen opportunities for the
partially, people to remedy the problem of distance that whole population, allowing them to enjoy a greater
is considered by 18.02% of the sample a reason for not number of financial services, with a consequent reduction
having an account and reaches 24.48 of the population in the obstacles for the financing of people and businesses.
that has no accounts with formal financial institutions. Owning an account is a first important step towards
In terms of use, there is a positive but imperfect corre- financial inclusion, but in order to benefit fully from it,
lation with indicators such as domestic credit (disbursed the population must be able to use it safely and con-
by the banking sector, primarily banks and monetary auth- veniently. To analyze the second dimension, usability,
orities) to the private sector in terms of share of GDP. The we must identify the habits of the population in terms of
level of credit is a fundamental element in the circulation depositing money, and making withdrawals and payments.
and transmission of money. This is because it allows the In detail, on average, 58.68% of the African population
financing of production, consumption, and capital pro- holding an account with a formal financial institution
duction with a positive impact on economic activities. has deposited money in the previous 12 months, while
The relationship that emerges from Figure 14, positive

Figure 14: Correlation percentage of adult population holding an


account and domestic credit to the private sector (as a percentage
Figure 12: Percentage of population (segmented by level of of GDP) – comparison between Africa and RoW.
income) holder of at least one account at banks or formal finan-
cial institutions.

Figure 13: Percentage of population (segmented by territorial Figure 15: Correlation between percentage of adult population
areas) holder of at least one account in banks or formal financial holding at least one account and number of commercial banks
institutions. per 100,000 adults – comparison between Africa and RoW.
8 Mavilia and Pisani

59.3% of those with an account did not make cash with- age and savings aimed at creating, implementing or
drawals typically during the month and 26.48% of those expanding a business. This second goal is predominant
with a formal account have neither withdrawn nor depos- on the African continent where, in Ethiopia, Kenya,
ited money in the previous 12 months. Liberia, Nigeria, Uganda and Zambia, it is 29% – almost
A further good proxy to recall is the number of ATMs, double the global average – and about half opts for infor-
which are the primary tool for withdrawing money in the mal savings. Globally, on average, 48% of the population
southern and eastern parts of Africa. On the rest of the con- has saved in the previous 12 months, and specifically 71%
tinent, OTC withdrawals are carried out at banks and in developed countries and 43% in developing countries.
financial institutions. It should also be noted that, on In the case of Africa, around 49% of the population
average, only 4.4% of the sample has a credit card and saved money in the previous 12 months, but only
10.79% claims to have used it in the previous 12 11.81% has deposited the savings in banks or financial
months. In detail, there are higher values for men institutions. The latter value is much lower than the
(5.45%) than for women (3.37%) for the adult population global average (27%) and the developing countries
(4,68%), compared to the young (3.64%), for the most average (21%). Also, in this case, the situation on the
trained population (5.96%) compared to the less trained African continent is uneven. Figure 16 shows a classifi-
(2.96%), for the medium-to-high income population cation by geographical area of the saving behaviour of
(5.36%) compared to the low-income population the population – more precisely, the average of the adult
(2.95%). It is clear that this happens for the reasons pre- population in percentage – with a special division
viously extensively analyzed. It should also be noted between savings in financial institutions and other kinds
that credit cards have a strong impact on short-term of savings. The latter, however, are very common in all
credit applications. developing countries, where 25% of savers used alterna-
The percentage of the adult population that, on tive semi-formal kinds in 2017 such as a saving club or
average, uses an account to receive remittances is through people outside the family. Figure 16 allows the
around 10%, much higher than rest of the world average identification of a significant difference between the
(7%). More in detail, it emerges from the analysis of the areas of Africa: in Central Africa we find the lowest per-
analyzed sample that around 42% of people made or centage of savings at financial institutions, while the
received remittances in the previous 12 months with a eastern area is characterized by the greater use of alterna-
prevalence of the male population over the female, of tive informal solutions for savings. In detail, in Kenya and
the adult population over the young, and higher income South Africa, 30% of the population uses formal savings
groups over lower ones. This percentage is over the 60% methods, while 20% of population uses informal
for countries such as Gabon, Kenya, Namibia and solutions.
Uganda. The population makes or receives remittances In addition, it is noted that the choice between savings
through different instruments, and only 13.83% used at banks and financial institutions and other methods is
banks or formal financial institutions. This shows how based not only on the geographical area of reference –
the population tends to prefer mobile operations. In fact, which can be explained by assessing the socioeconomic
it is noted that 47.51% of those who made this type of pay- characteristics of the single area considered – but also on
ments in the previous 12 months used mobile devices. the basis of individual characteristics as shown by
Thanks to this aspect, we can see the important role Figure 17. The practice of saving at banks and formal
played by this type of payment for the African economy. financial institutions is more common in the male popu-
This trend can be seen, in general, for payments made lation, with at least secondary education level, in the
via mobile or internet devices and for access to financial range of age 25–64, living in urban areas and within the
services via mobile or internet devices.
A special focus is required for digital payments, due to
their significant growth (11%) recorded between 2014 and
2017. Globally, 70% of the population holding an account
in developing countries has made or received at least one
digital payment in the previous 12 months. In the case of
Africa, the percentage is actually lower, and non-homo-
geneous across countries. Overall, 27.75% of the
African population made at least one digital payment,
while 23.68% received at least one digital payment in
the previous 12 months. However, in Kenya this type of
payments is almost totally diffused among account
holders, whereas in countries such as Ethiopia it is used
only by a third of the population.
Another element to be considered is the savings habits
of the account holders. In general, individuals tend to save
money for future expenses, for training or business pur-
poses, while they tend to borrow to deal with unexpected
short-term expenses. Therefore, Findex 2017 focuses Figure 16: Distinction between types of savings – comparison
mainly on two purposes of saving: expenses in mature between African sub-sectors.
African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development 9

Figure 17: Preferences for formal and informal savings methods.

fifth quintile of the income distribution. The motivations This can be explained by the existence of stringent
that lead to these choices are the same ones that have access requirements that many people are unable to
pushed the same population groups to open an account achieve and by high interest rates. This element emerges
at a bank or formal financial institution. The informal clearly from Figure 18 that allows the segmentation of
saving methods are more common among the female credit source on the basis of the classifications already
population, among the population with a lower level of adopted (by gender, level of education and income
education, among those who live in rural areas and those level). This graphic visualization highlights that the male
who have low incomes. It should be noted that these are population, with a high level of education and a high
also the categories that make less use of accounts in income, use formal banking channels to obtain loans.
banks and formal institutions for the reasons identified Regarding the purpose for which the loan was contracted,
earlier that act as barriers to financial inclusion and even if with different percentages, the priority in all
which often prevent some categories from accessing African sub-regions is given as health expenses, followed
basic financial services such as the activation of an by education and expenses for weddings and funerals.
account that represents a necessary but not sufficient con- Moving to the corporate perspective, from the WBES
dition for the use of formal savings methods. it emerges that about 50% of African companies are not
A further aspect to consider is the credit behaviour. financially served. This means that they do not contract
Globally, 47% of the adult population borrowed money loans, and do not have credit lines or overdrafts.
in the previous 12 months through both formal and infor- Through a regional comparison on access to finance for
mal channels. This percentage reaches 64% in developed SMEs, we note the existence of a credit gap of USD100
countries and 44% in developing countries. The survey billion. In particular, the financial constraint is higher for
shows how the rate of debt generation – at formal small and medium enterprises and for non-formalized
banking institutions and through alternative channels – businesses. Further limitations, mainly due to cultural
is 46.4%, much higher than the global average. The and religious reasons, are identified for companies that
common element in all African sub-regions is the preva- see the presence of women in their social structure
lence of the requests to relatives and friends rather than (about one third of companies). In addition, African com-
to institutional channels for money. However, this is a panies are considered at high risk of default, because of the
common element in almost all developing countries. limited collateral they provide. As a matter of fact,

Figure 18: Credit sources.


10 Mavilia and Pisani

financial institutions and banks do not grant loans or lines insurmountable problem for individuals in developing
of credit to those sectors that are not considered suffi- countries, because of huge documentation requirements
ciently profitable. This determines that the main source and the guarantee of an initial deposit. Account mainten-
of financing for African companies is self-financing ance costs and additional costs related to distance and dif-
achieved through the reinvestment of revenues or the ficulty in reaching bank branches further reduce access.
non-distribution of dividends. The use of blockchain technology would solve some of
The high risk associated with SMEs means that even these problems: for example, it would reduce travel
when eligible for financing, interest rates would be on costs, by allowing an account creation procedure via
average 20% higher than the rate applied to borrowers mobile. The problems regarding the use of an account
with a high credit score. In addition, these kinds of finan- (e.g. high transactions costs for money transfers,
cing are short-term and this may represent a further minimum amounts for the transactions, timing of
obstacle for companies. Therefore, African SMEs resort execution) could also be mitigated by blockchain technol-
to alternative sources of credit such as micro finance insti- ogy that would allow almost instantaneous payments and
tutions or informal savings and loan associations. the use of variable fees.
However, these solutions are characterized by further Blockchain technology would also allow a reduction
restrictions typical of their nature such as internal limit- in the costs that banks and formal financial institutions
ations in terms of maximum available budget and high bear to offer their services through the national payment
refinancing costs through the traditional credit system or system and physical branches, since these tools would
high randomness linked to particular industrial sectors or become unnecessary. More services could be offered,
particular geographical areas. increasing the quality of financial services and reducing
Therefore, it can be said that the difficulty in accessing the difficulties of customers in making both national and
credit is a substantial obstacle to pursuing company cross-national payments. Virtual currencies using block-
growth. In addition, the difficulty of access to credit by chain technology with secured and encrypted databases
SMEs is also due to the high level of concentration and can have a high impact for all those businesses that
the limited level of observable competition in the require the verification of payments and the verification
African financial sector. Finally, the low level of financial of achieved performances. A successful example was the
education often represents an additional obstacle to the launch of E-Dinar, carried out by the Tunisian Post
identification of a correct business strategy. Office in October 2015 in collaboration with Fintech
In summary, the analysis conducted so far shows that Start-up, which using a blockchain allowed the realization
the level of financial exclusion in Africa is on average of a payment system through mobile networks that is very
high even if heterogeneous across the different sub- cheap and allows instant payments.
regions of the continent. This can be explained by the As reported by the African Fintech Start-up Ecosystem
socioeconomic conditions of the different African sub- Report, the 301 African start-ups existing in 2017 are dis-
regions as well as by the individual characteristics of the tributed unevenly across the territory with a particular
population. What emerges is the need to undertake sol- presence in South Africa and potential for expansion in
utions not only at the micro level but also at the macro areas such as Ghana. This because in Ghana blockchain
level in order to reduce the degree of financial exclusion. technology is already in use, by NGOs, through Bitland,
a tool that provides the possibility to have land manage-
Discussion ment procedures that are more effective and efficient.
Blockchain for African financial inclusion This use is worthy of attention because about 90% of
The analysis carried out in the previous section clearly the rural areas in Ghana and elsewhere in Africa are not
shows that the level of financial inclusion achieved by registered in an official database. The blockchain provides
African countries is quite low. A reduction of all barriers a solution to this problem through the creation of virtual
that hinder the achievement of an inclusive financial registers of property and land based on smart contracts
system would be useful to reduce the level of financial that are written in public form and based on cryptographic
exclusion, contributing to the development of industrial mechanisms ensuring ownership. The blockchain can also
enterprises and, more generally, to economic growth. be validly used as a tool to manage the bond issue pro-
Blockchain technology is potentially able to create a cedures. This emerges from the agreement between six
more transparent, more efficient and frictionless system major South African banks that have decided to use a
through the use of an immutable activity ledger. This private blockchain to make the equity and bond procedure
objective is also shared by existing financial institutions; of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange more immediate and
a clear example is offered by the decision of the South easier. Another use that can be guaranteed through block-
African Reserve Bank (SARB) to implement a Fintech chain technology is the management of remittances. The
Programme for financial innovation to outline a frame- use of a cryptocurrency guarantees a significant reduction
work that can direct policymakers to the use of new tech- in costs (close to zero) thus creating an incentive for indi-
nologies in the financial field, in an organized and viduals and businesses to increase the inflow of capital in
structured way, taking into account regulatory the country. An example is provided by Bitpesa.
implications. It is useful to reflect on the diffusion potential of block-
From the previous analysis, we have seen how chain technology by referring to the Rogers Everett (1995)
opening a bank account, which is a simple operation for classification of the five characteristics of a new technol-
people living in developed countries, can be an ogy that are determine its diffusion path: (1) Relative
African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development 11

Advantage: it applies to the costs reduction, the increase in before a favourable environment for the blockchain
the speed of transactions, and the greater level of security emerges.
compared to existing solutions; (2) Compatibility: market The first detectable limit is about infrastructures: to
frictions can be overcome by creating a P2P network; (3) operate on a large scale, a high level of connectivity is
Complexity: its three fundamental elements – decentrali- required because blockchain solutions use the internet to
zation, consensus and cryptography – are difficult to work. Another problem is the considerable energy con-
implement; (4) Observability: although still in the early sumption necessary for equipment. In developing
stage in fields different than cryptocurrency one, the countries with sufficient energy resources, this is not an
results of the numerous other applications are evident; insurmountable obstacle, but many countries in Africa
(5) Trialability: It is identified in the application of cannot afford these expenses, also considering that more
small-scale blockchain solutions before moving to than half of them have an electrification rate of less than
formal adoption and then to large-scale application. 20%. Further challenges are the need of technical skills
Despite having some limitations and requiring some to create a digital blockchain ecosystem, and to prevent
clarifications in terms of recommendations and policy the risk of an incorrect management of privacy, and,
choices the solutions presented allow to exploit the poten- most importantly, the potential distortions of use of the
tial of blockchain technology. The advantages that derive blockchain in order to derive undue advantages such as
from the use of the solutions exposed are: (a) They allow money laundering or tax evasion. However, public block-
access to financial services at affordable costs; (b) They chains are characterized by a high degree of transparency
allow access to credit through smart contracts and reim- that allows the tracing and avoidance of any improper
bursement procedures with costs close to zero, for small practices. For example, some hackers in Kenya who
and medium African enterprises that fail to have access asked for a ransom in bitcoins, were actually identified
to traditional financing procedures; (c) They allow by using the blockchain that had traced their operations.
access to the market by eliminating barriers (e.g. need To make sure that the solutions outlined can have an
for intermediaries, high transaction costs, time to carry impact, it is necessary for an intervention in the regu-
out procedures) and attracting a greater number of inves- lations by policymakers. This is necessary because while
tors; (d) They facilitate cross-border payments by increas- cryptocurrencies are equipped with self-regulatory mech-
ing the speed of execution of the necessary operations, anisms, companies that provide blockchain solutions
increasing the level of transparency and reducing the must also comply with national laws that can differ sub-
changes in exchange rates between the different currencies stantially across countries. Existing regulations that have
involved; (e) They allow overriding of regulatory differ- proved useful in some countries could be adopted by
ences between various countries in Africa; (f) They other countries. For example, empirical evidence shows
reduce the high costs for remittances by using cryptocur- how in Kenya the BitPesa start-up was able to leverage
rencies that do not require a trust relationship with third the existing financial system, by profiling a connection
parties and make the procedures more efficient, less between the M-Pesa cryptocurrency network and tele-
expensive and less risky compared to traditional transfers; phone companies and providers.
(g) They ensure an adequate level of privacy through the Some recommendations can be drawn from this
possibility for users to store their data on the blockchain picture. Firstly, there is a need for greater connectivity in
and limit and control access by third parties; (h) They many African countries (only a few of these, such as
improve the existing level of governance by making the South Africa, Egypt and Kenya outperform the average
data completely transparent and accessible to the public; African country) that requires more effort by national gov-
(i) They improve the existing economic environment as ernments. Secondly, policymakers could identify some
a consequence of all the advantages listed above. common guidelines to encourage companies to use this
technology, and therefore to attract more capital and
provide SMEs access to credit. For example, a step
Limits, challenges and policy recommendations forward has taken place with the launch of the pilot pro-
The picture that emerges from possible applications of gramme (Khokha programme) devised by the South
blockchain technology is substantially positive, but there African Reserve Bank (SARB) and an excellent result
are still difficulties and obstacles to their actual implemen- was achieved with this launch. Thirdly, governments
tation. In many African countries, unlike other developing should also identify tax guidelines to remove the actual
countries, there is a widespread lack of financial infra- lack of substantial incentives and the existing mechanisms
structures and culture associated with a high level of pol- that do not encourage the adoption of blockchain sol-
itical instability. However, as previously noted, we must utions. Last but not least, governments should invest
take into account the structural differences (in socioeco- more in training for employees. This training could be
nomic and political terms) of the different countries that carried out with the support of some of the most important
make up the African continent. In fact, it is evident that African Technical Universities (especially in South Africa)
some countries such as South Africa, Kenya and Egypt that are approaching, albeit from an academic point of
are above the average of the African continent in terms view, blockchain technology and, more generally, Fintech.
of infrastructures such as the level of connectivity that is
fundamental for blockchain solutions. These elements Conclusion
place important limits on the implementation of the sol- The blockchain and its applications have a high potential
utions examined above and are challenges to be faced because they make it possible to create and implement a
12 Mavilia and Pisani

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