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FINS1613
Tutorial
Week 6
Capital Budgeting III
Cash Flow Calculations & Advanced NPV Calculations
1
CONTACT DETAILS
Your Tutor + Tutor-in-Charge:
Peter Andersen
peter.andersen@unsw.edu.au
2
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOWS
So far in this course we’ve just given you the cash flows for each year.
Now it’s time to calculate them.
3
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOWS
CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS
Revenue
Less: Depreciation
Add: Depreciation
In addition to your OCF, in any year of the project you could also have changes in working
capital AND capital expenditure occurring. These things can happen anytime, not just at the
start/end of the project. 4
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW THEORY QUESTION 1
Q. Which of the following best defines incremental cash flows?
a) The cash flows from a particular project, evaluated independently from
how the project may affect a firm’s other lines of business
b) The cash flows arising from all projects that a company plans to
undertake in a fixed timespan
c) The net present value (NPV) of net operating profits that a firm is
expected to receive as the result of an investment decision
d) The amount by which a firm’s cash flows are expected to change as the
result of an investment decision
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 1
Q. The cost of demolishing the abandoned warehouse and clearing the lot.
A. Yes. This is an incremental cash outflow that will occur if the company decides
to build the new retail store, but that won’t occur if they don’t.
Q. The loss of sales in the existing retail outlet, if customers who previously
drove across town to shop at the existing outlet become customers of the
new store instead.
A. Yes. As these costs would only occur if the firm chose to develop the store,
they are incremental.
A. No, as this is a financing cash flow, which will be incorporated into our
weighted-average cost of capital (“WACC”... the discount rate). 10
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 2
Linksys is considering the development of a wireless home networking
appliance, called HomeNet, which will provide both the hardware and
software necessary to run an entire home from any Internet connection.
HomeNet’s lab will be housed in a warehouse space that the company could
have otherwise rented out for $214,000 per year during years 1 to 4. The tax
rate for Linksys is 38%.
Q. How does this opportunity cost affect HomeNet’s incremental earnings?
The easiest way to think of after-tax changes with a 38% rate is as follows:
• Every $1 of new revenue increases your earnings by $0.62
– There is no difference between increasing revenue by $1 or cutting expenses by $1
• Every $1 of lost revenue decreases your earnings by $0.62
– Losing $1 of revenue has the same effect as increasing expenses by $1
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 3
Your projected income statement shows:
• Sales of $992,000
• Cost of goods sold as $478,000
• Depreciation expense of $105,000
• Taxes of $122,700 (due to a 30% tax rate)
Q. What are your projected earnings? What is your projected free cash flow?
A. Generally, free cash flow (FCF) in a particular year can be calculated as:
FCF EBIT1 tax% Depreciation Working Capital Capital Expenditure
Costs Variable Costs Fixed Costs 55% $39,825, 000 $1,300, 000 $23,203,750
In the above, the total capital expenditure at t=0 of $9.95m is depreciated over
5 years (1/5 or 20% per year).
Capital Expenditure1-5
Depreciation1-5
# Years depreciable life
$9,950,000
$1,990,000
5
If there are other NON capital expenditure items at t=0 (e.g. changes in
working capital, lost revenue from production being interrupted, etc.), you
would NOT depreciate these.
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 4
A. The FCF calculation presented in table format:
Note that the $50k shipping and installation costs are capitalised onto the balance sheet at
t=0 and then depreciated $10k per year from years 1 to 5.
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
WORKING CAPITAL CHANGES
A lot of students get confused about how changes in operating working capital
(i.e. short-term non-cash current assets & liabilities) affect cash flow. The
below summarizes:
• If Current Assets (i.e. Accounts Receivable or Inventory) INCREASE in a particular
period, this is a USE of cash (or a cash OUTFLOW).
• If Current Assets (i.e. Accounts Receivable or Inventory) DECREASE in a particular
period, this is a SOURCE of cash (or a cash INFLOW).
Common mistakes:
The usual problem is that people think “Oh hey if Accounts Receivable went up I must have sold
more so that means a cash inflow”. No. If accounts receivable went up, some of whatever you did
sell wasn’t paid to you in cash and that’s why we subtract increases in AR from our working capital.
Other people think “Oh if Accounts Payable go up then I owe more money to people, which means
cash outflow”. No. If accounts payable increase, some of the money the stuff you bought from your
suppliers and recorded as an expense this year wasn’t actually paid for in cash by you this year, so
it’s a GOOD thing for cash flow. 18
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 5
Q. Suppose that Linksys’ receivables are 15.5% of sales and its payables are
15.8% of COGS. Forecast the required investment in net working capital for
HomeNet assuming that sales and cost of goods sold will be as below.
t=0 t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4
Sales revenue $23,644 $26,536 $23,946 $8,699
Cost of goods sold $9,558 $10,727 $9,680 $3,517
A.
Net Profit EBIT Interest 1 tax%
Net Profit EBIT 1 tax% NOPAT
...ONLY if Interest Expense = $0 like in this question
i.e. if a firm has no financing expenses like interest, then its net profit is also its operating profit.
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
NET SALVAGE VALUE: EXAMPLE 2
Q. Consider an asset that costs $1,000,000 and is depreciated straight-line to
zero over its ten-year useful tax life.
The asset is also to be used in a seven-year project, at the end of which the
asset can be sold for .
If the relevant tax rate is 35%, what is the after-tax cash flow from the sale of
the asset?
A. After seven years, we will have used 70% of the asset value, leaving 30% or
$300,000 of book value according to the tax office.
A. 3 out of the 7 years of the machine’s useful tax life have been depreciated.
This means 4/7 of its original $1.17m value is left.
i.e. the book value today is $668,571.43.
Incremental Cash Flow = Salvage Value Capital Gains Tax
= Salvage Value Salvage Value Book Value tax rate
= $735,000 $735,000 $668,571.43 0.40
$708, 428.57
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE 1
Kawazuki-Harlison, a major fictitious motorcycle manufacturer, is planning on
launching a new high-performance motororised unicycle appropriately called the
Crashcycle. You have the following information:
• To produce the Crashcycle, equipment will be purchased at the start of
the project (t = 0) for $150 million. It will be depreciated over a useful life
of 20 years.
• Without the Crashcycle, the firm expects annual sales to be $100 million
and annual costs of goods to be $80 million in the next fiscal year. With
the Crashcycle, sales are expected to be $122 million and costs to be $85
million.
• Total firm cash flows are expected to grow at 5% per year. Cash flows for
the Crashcycle are expected to grow at 6% per year. The project will end
after 20 years, requiring an expected shut- down cost of $15 million.
• The marginal tax rate for the firm is 32%.
Q. What is the NPV of the Crashcycle project if the project discount rate is 15%
annually? What does the NPV rule say you should do? 24
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE 1
A. This question can be broken down to several steps:
1. Work out the initial cash outlay/investment at time t=0.
2. Work out the first cash inflow at time t=1.
3. Turn the cash flow in Step 2 into a 20-year annuity that grows at 6%.
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE 1
Step 2: Cash inflow in year 1
INCREMENTAL CASH FLOWS (t=1)
+ Increase in Sales Revenue + $22 million
($122m – $100m)
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE 1
Step 3: PV of future cash flows as a 20yr growing annuity and NPV
1 1 g n
PV0,annuity CF1 1
r g 1 r
1 1 0.06 20
$13.96m 1 $129.96m is the PV today of the 20yr annuity
0.15 0.06 1 0.15
$15m
$150m $129.96m
(1 0.15) 20
$20.96m
At a discount rate of 15%, we would reject the above project as the negative NPV of
-$20.96m indicates that it would destroy value from our firm.
27
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 10
• One year ago, your company purchased a machine for $90,000
• You have learned that a new machine is avialable that offers many
advantages; you can purchase it for $150,000 today.
• It will be depreciated on a straight-line basis over 10 years and has no
salvage value.
• You expected that the new machine will produce a gross margin
(revenues minus operating expenses other htan depreciation) of $50,000
per year for the next ten years.
• The current machine is expected to produce a gross margin of $21,000
per year.
• The current machine is being straight-line depreciated over a useful life
of 11 years, and has no salvage value, so depreciation expense for the
current machine is $8,182 per year.
• The market value today of the current machine is $60,000.
• Your company’s tax rate is $40% and the cost of capital is 12%
Q. Should your company replace its year-old machine?
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 10
A. There are two cash flows you need to work out:
I. The net free cash flow that occurs at t=0 from buying the new machine
and selling the old machine
II. The net free cash flow that occurs in t=1 to t=10 from getting the new
machine’s FCF but giving up the old machine’s FCF.
• The old machine was bought one year ago with an 11 year life (i.e. 10 years
remaining) and the new machine will operate for 10 years.
• These identical remaining lifespans mean that there will be no difference
between the incremental FCF in t=1 to that in t=10.
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 10
I. The net free cash flow that occurs at t=0 from buying the new machine and
selling the old machine
Net Salvage ValueOld Salvage Value Capital Gains Tax
Salvage Value Salvage Value Book Value Tax%
$60,000 $60,000 ($90,000 $8,182) 0.40
$68,727.27
At t=0, you spend $150,000 to buy the new machine, receive $60,000 in the
market for disposing of the old machine, and save $8,727.27 in tax because of
the capital loss on the sale of the old machine.
30
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 10
I. The net free cash flow that occurs in t=1 to t=10 from getting the new
machine’s FCF but giving up the old machine’s FCF
NEW OLD
Gross Profit $50,000 $21,000
Less: Depreciation $15,000 $8,181.82
= EBIT $35,000 $12,818.18
Less: Tax @ 40% $14,000 $5,127.27
= NOPAT $21,000 $7,690.91
Add Depreciation $15,000 $8,181.82
Less: ∆WC - -
Less: Cap Exp - -
= FCF $36,000 $15,872.73
Going from the old machine to the new machine gives up $15,872.73 of FCF
per year in order to receive $36,000 per year, which is an incremental amount
of $20,127.27.
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
MFL QUESTION 10
A. Working out the NPV is the easy bit.
You have one incremental net cash outflow ($81,272.73) at time t=0, followed
by the same incremental cash inflow every year ($20,127.27) for 10 years from
t=1 to t=10 (i.e. an annuity)
1 1 0.12 10
NPV0 $81,272.73 $20,127.27
0.12
$32,450.83 i.e. NPV $0, therefore replace old machine
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE (MR SUDS)
Mr Suds is considering introducing a new detergent. The firm has collected
the following information about the proposed product from various
divisions within the firm and through a market research survey that cost
$45,000.
The project has an anticipated economic life of 4 years.
The machine for the project will cost (t = 0) $2 million. The machine will be
depreciated on a straight-line basis over 4 years. The company anticipates
that the machine will last for four years, and that after four years, its salvage
value will equal zero.
If the company goes ahead with the proposed product, it will have an effect
on the company's net operating working capital. At the outset, t = 0,
inventory will increase by $140,000 and accounts payable will increase by
$40,000. At t = 4, the net operating working capital will be recovered after
the project is completed.
(question continued on next slide) 33
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE (MR SUDS)
The detergent is expected to generate sales revenue of $1 million the first
year (t = 1), $2 million the second year (t = 2), $2 million the third year (t = 3),
and $1 million the final year (t=4). Each year the operating costs (not
including depreciation) are expected to equal 50 percent of sales revenue.
The company's interest expense each year will be $100,000.
The new detergent is expected to reduce the after-tax cash flows of the
company's existing products by $250,000 a year (t = 1, 2, 3, and 4).
The company's overall WACC is 10 percent. However, the proposed project is
riskier than the average project of the firm; the project's WACC is estimated
to be 12 percent.
The company's tax rate is 40 percent.
Q. What is the project's net present value (NPV)?
34
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE (MR SUDS)
DEPRECIATION SCHEDULE
0 1 2 3 4
Cost of Fixed Assets 2,000,000
Less: Depreciation 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
= Value of Fixed Assets 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE (MR SUDS)
INITIAL CASH FLOWS
at t = 0
36
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE (MR SUDS)
OPERATING CASH FLOW SCHEDULE
1 2 3 4
Revenue 1,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000
37
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE (MR SUDS)
NET CASH FLOW SCHEDULE
0 1 2 3 4
Initial Cash Outlay –2,100,000
Plus: OCFs (incl. side effects) 250,000 550,000 550,000 250,000
Plus: Terminal Cash Flows 100,000
= Net Cash Flows –2,100,000 250,000 550,000 550,000 350,000
38
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE
Consider the following proposal to enter a new line of business:
The new business will require the company to purchase additional fixed
assets that will cost $600,000 at t = 0. For tax and accounting purposes,
these costs will be depreciated on a straight-line basis over three years.
(Annual depreciation will be $200,000 per year at t = 1, 2, and 3.)
At the end of three years, the company will get out of the business and will
sell the fixed assets at a salvage value of $100,000.
The project will require a $50,000 increase in net operating working capital
at t = 0, which will be recovered at t = 3.
The company's marginal tax rate is 35 percent.
The new business is expected to generate $2 million in sales each year (at t =
1, 2, and 3). The operating costs excluding depreciation are expected to be
$1.4 million per year.
The project's cost of capital is 12 percent.
Q. What is the project's net present value (NPV)?
39
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE
DEPRECIATION SCHEDULE
0 1 2 3
Cost of Fixed Assets 600,000
Less: Depreciation 200,000 200,000 200,000
= Value of Fixed Assets 600,000 400,000 200,000 0
“For tax and accounting purposes, these costs will be depreciated on a straight line basis over
three years”
&
“Depreciation will be $200,000 per year at t=1, 2, and 3”
40
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE
INITIAL CASH FLOWS
at t = 0
41
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE
INITIAL CASH FLOWS
at t = 0
42
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE
OPERATING CASH FLOW SCHEDULE
1 2 3
Revenue 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000
Less: Operating Costs 1,400,000 1,400,000 1,400,000
Less: Depreciation 200,000 200,000 200,000
“Earnings Before Interest + Tax”
= EBIT (pre-tax operating income) 400,000 400,000 400,000
43
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER CASH FLOW & NPV EXAMPLE
NET CASH FLOW SCHEDULE
0 1 2 3
Initial Cash Outlay –650,000
Plus: Operating Cash Flows 460,000 460,000 460,000
Plus: Terminal Cash Flows 115,000
= Net Cash Flows –650,000 460,000 460,000 575,000
44
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.3.14
Beryl’s Iced Tea currently rents a bottling machine for $54,000 per year, including
all maintenance expenses. It is considering purchasing a machine instead, and is
comparing two options.
I. Purchase the machine it is currently renting today for $160,000. The machine
will require $24,000 per year in ongoing maintenance expenses.
II. Purchase today a new, more advanced machine for $260,000. The machine
will require $19,000 per year in ongoing maintenance expenses and will
lower bottling costs by $14,000 per year. $39,000 will be spent up-front in
training the new operators of the machine.
Suppose the appropriate discount rate is 9% per year. Maintenance and bottling
costs are paid at the end of each year, as is the rental of the machine. Assume
also that the machines will be depreciated via the straight-line method over
seven years and that they have a ten-year life with a negligible salvage value .The
marginal corporate tax rate is 38%.
Q. Should Beryl’s Iced Tea continue to rent, purchase its current machine, or
purchase the advanced machine?
45
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.3.14
Q. Should Beryl’s Iced Tea continue to rent, purchase its current machine, or
purchase the advanced machine?
A. Renting:
Each year the rent is a cash out flow of $54,000.
The rental expense also saves us $54,000 x 38% = $20,520 each year.
Thus the net cash out flow from renting is only $54,000 x (1 – 0.38) = $33,480
each year for the next 10 years.
As the cash flow is of constant magnitude each year, the NPV for this option
can be calculated as a 10-year annuity with the 9% discount rate:
1 1
NPV0,annuity CF1 1 1 r $33, 480 1 1 0.09 $214,863.2
n 10
r 0.09
46
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.3.14
Q. Should Beryl’s Iced Tea continue to rent, purchase its current machine, or
purchase the advanced machine?
A. Purchasing the current machine:
47
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.3.14
Q. Should Beryl’s Iced Tea continue to rent, purchase its current machine, or
purchase the advanced machine?
A. Purchasing the current machine:
The easiest way to NPV this project would be using 3 values:
I. The cash outflow at time t=0.
II. An annuity at time t=0 that present values the first 7 years of cash flows
III. An annuity at time t=7, that present values the three cash flows from
years 8–10, then discounted by 7 years back to time t=0.
CF810
3
1 1 r
CF17
1 1 r r
7
NPV0 CF0
r 1 r
7
$14,880
1 1 0.09
3
$6,194.29
1 1 0.09 0.09
7
$160, 000
0.09 1 0.09
7
$211,780
48
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.3.14
Q. Should Beryl’s Iced Tea continue to rent, purchase its current machine, or
purchase the advanced machine?
A. Purchasing the new advanced machine:
49
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.3.14
Q. Should Beryl’s Iced Tea continue to rent, purchase its current machine, or
purchase the advanced machine?
A. Purchasing the current machine: (same method as for current machine)
CF810
3
1 1 r
CF17
1 1 r r
7
NPV0 CF0
r 1 r
7
$3,100
1 1 0.09
3
$11, 014.29
1 1 0.09 0.09
7
$284,180
0.09 1 0.09
7
$233, 038
Comparing the NPV of the 3 options:
I. Rent: –$214,863
II. Purchase current: –$211,780
III. Purchase advanced: –$233,038
We choose to purchase the current machine as the NPV is the least negative,
implying it is the least expensive of the three options.
The 4th option would be to choose neither of the 3, but then we’d have no bottles to sell our iced tea in, and
therefore lose all of our expected revenue, which would be even more massively NPV than the 3 above
alternatives. So we choose the option for the essential machine with the smallest negative NPV. 50
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.5.23
Billingham Packaging is considering expanding its production capacity by
purchasing a new machine, the XC-750. The cost of the XC-750 is $3.00 million.
Unfortunately, installing this machine will take several months and will partially
disrupt production. The firm has just completed a $50,000 feasibility study to
analyse the decision to buy the XC-750, resulting in the following estimates:
• Marketing: Once the machine is operating, the extra capacity is expected to
generate $12m per year in additional sales, which will continue for the 10yr
life of the machine.
• Operations: The disruption caused by the installation will decrease sales by
$5m this year (0). As with their existing products, the cost of goods for the
products produced by the machine is expected to be 70% of their sale price.
The increased production will require inventory on hand of $1.5m, to be
added in year 0 and depleted in year 10.
• Human Resourced: The expansion will require additional sales and
administrative personnel at a cost of $2m per year.
51
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.5.23
Accounting: The machine will be straight-line depreciated over 10 years. The firm
expects receivables from the new sales to be 12% of revenues and payables to be
10% of COGS. The marginal tax rate is 28%
Q. Determine the incremental earnings from the purchase of the machine.
Q. Determine the free cash flow (FCF) from the purchase of the machine.
Q. If the appropriate cost of capital is 14%, compute the NPV of the expansion.
Q. While the expected sales will be $12m, estimates range from a worst case of
$9.6m to a best case of $14.4m. What is the NPV under these scenarios?
52
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.5.23
A. Earnings, FCFs, and NPV:
53
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PROBLEM 8.5.23
A. Earnings, FCFs, and NPV:
INCREMENTAL CFs YEAR 0 YEAR 1 YEARS 2-9 YEAR 10 YEAR 11
Revenue –5.0m 12m 12m 12m
Less: Operating Costs –3.5m 8.4m 8.4m 8.4m
Less: Personnel Costs 2.0m 2.0m 2.0m
Less: Depreciation 0.3m 0.3m 0.3m
= EBIT –$1.5m +$1.3m +$1.3m +$1.3m
$1.236m
1 1 0.14
8
$0.386m 0.14 $2.736m $0.60m
$5.33m
1 0.14 1 0.14 1 0.14 1 0.14
1 1 9 10
55
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER EXAMPLE (THE TRANSPORTER)
Q. CCL is considering an early replacement for an existing transporter that is
still in use by the firm. Given a discount rate of 15%, a tax rate of 30%, and
the following information, should it accept the replace the old transporter
with the new one?
New Transporter:
• Has an initial cost of $160,000 with depreciation of $22,000 per year and
a four-year life.
• The new transporter would increase revenue by $15,000 and cut cash
costs by $27,500 per annum.
• The estimated salvage value of the new transporter is $78,500 after year
4.
Old (current) Transporter:
• If sold today, the old transporter would have a salvage value of $37,500.
• But if sold after 4 years, the old transporter would be worthless.
• The current BV of the transporter is $36,000, with depreciation of $9,000
per annum. 56
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER EXAMPLE (THE TRANSPORTER)
INITIAL CASH FLOWS
57
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ANOTHER EXAMPLE (THE TRANSPORTER)
OPERATING CASH FLOWS
= EBIT = $29,500
– Taxes – $8,850
(EBIT x 30%)
= NOPAT = $20,650
58
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 1
A company is considering a project to enter a new line of business. We have the
following information:
• The new business will require the company to purchase a new machine that
will cost $930,000.
• These costs will be depreciated on a straight-line basis to zero over three
years.
Q: How much will the annual depreciation be? A: ($930,000 / 3) = $310,000 per annum
• At the end of three years, the company will get out of the business and will
sell the machine at a market value of $70,000.
• Working capital of $50,000 will be required from the outset, which will be fully
recovered at the end of year 3.
• The project is expected to generate $1.6 million in sales each year.
• The operating costs, excluding depreciation, are expected to be $1.15 million
per year.
• The company tax rate is 30%, and the project’s required rate of return is 12%.
Q. What is the net present value of the project?
59
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 1
INITIAL CASH FLOWS
at t = 0
60
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 1
OCF Sales Variable Costs Fixed Costs Depreciation1 tax rate Depreciation
OPERATING CASH FLOWS
t=1 t=2 t=3
Revenue 1,600,000 1,600,000 1,600,000
Less: Operating Costs 1,150,000 1,150,000 1,150,000
Less: Depreciation 310,000 310,000 310,000
“Earnings Before Interest + Tax”
= EBIT (pre-tax operating income)
140,000 140,000 140,000
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 1
NET CASH FLOWS
0 1 2 3
Initial Cash Outlay –$980,000
Plus: Operating Cash Flows $408,000 $408,000 $408,000
Plus: Terminal Cash Flows $99,000
= Net Cash Flows –$980,000 $408,000 $408,000 $507,000
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 2
In our evaluation of a new project, we have estimated the following
information:
The company estimates that the project will last for five years.
New machinery will be purchased that has an up-front cost of $300m. This
will be depreciated on a straight-line basis to zero over five years. The
machinery can be sold at an estimated price of $50m at the project’s end.
Production of the new product will take place in a recently vacated facility
that the company owns. Otherwise, the facility can be leased out to collect
$5m in rent per year for the company.
The project will require a $50m investment in inventory as well as an
increase in accounts payable of $10m. Both will be recovered at the project’s
end.
Sales of the new product will be $195m each of the next five years. The
operating costs, excluding depreciation, are expected to be $100m each year.
The company tax rate is 30%, and the project’s WACC is 10%.
Q. What is the net present value of the project? 63
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 2
INITIAL CASH FLOWS
at t = 0
Net Salvage Value Salvage Value Salvage Value Book Value tax rate
$50m $50m $0m 30%
$35m
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 2
NET CASH FLOWS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Initial Cash Outlay -$340m
Plus: Operating Cash Flows $81m $81m $81m $81m $81m
Plus: Terminal Cash Flows $75m
= Net Cash Flows –$340m $81m $81m $81m $81m $156m
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 2
NET CASH FLOWS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Initial Cash Outlay -$340m
Plus: Operating Cash Flows $81m $81m $81m $81m $81m
Plus: Terminal Cash Flows $75m
= Net Cash Flows –$340m $81m $81m $81m $81m $156m
1 1 0.15 75
340 81 $13.622m
1 0.1
5
0.1
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 3
To win a contract, Titanic Shipbuilding Company may need to pay an up-front
fee to O&P Shipping Company. Estimates of the project are as follows:
The ship will take three years to build.
It will generate total revenue of $3m, paid in equal instalments of $10m at
the end of each of the next three years.
The project will require immediate establishment of a new shipyard at a cost
of $4m. The capital cost of the new yard can be depreciated at 20% p.a.
straight-line. The yard can be sold in three years for an estimated $3m.
Working capital of $1m will be required from the outset, the value of which
will rise with the rate of inflation.
Operating costs are estimated at $7m for the first year and are forecast to
rise at the rate of inflation (10% p.a.) thereafter.
The real after-tax rate of return (adjusted for risk) required by Titanic’s
management is 5%. Tax is payable at the rate of 30%.
Assume that the salvage estimate of $3m is quoted in real terms.
Q. What is the NPV? 68
FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 3
INITIAL CASH FLOWS
at t = 0
Net Salvage Value Salvage Value Salvage Value Book Value tax rate
$3,000,0001 0.1 $3,000,0001 0.1 $1,600,000 30%
3 3
$3,993,000 $717,900 $3,275,100
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 3
OCF Sales Operating Costs Depreciation1 tax rate Depreciation
OPERATING CASH FLOWS
t=1 t=2 t=3
Revenue $10,000,000 $10,000,000 $10,000,000
Less: Operating Costs $7,000,000 $7,700,000 $8,470,000
Less: Depreciation $800,000 $800,000 $800,000
= EBIT $2,200,000 $1,500,000 $730,000
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 3
NET CASH FLOWS
0 1 2 3
–$5,000,000
Initial Cash Outlay
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
ADDITIONAL PRACTICE QUESTION 3
Q. Set out the cash flows of the project in nominal dollars.
A. Done!
Q. What is the maximum amount that Titanic could pay by way of a bribe,
before the project becomes uneconomical?
A. $2,253,035.22. The company could pay up to the positive NPV of the project
as a bribe before the project becomes negative NPV and unprotifable.
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)
SYDNEY ROOSTERS CHALLENGE PROJECT
The Sydney Roosters project has the following information:
The team expects to sell 20,000 roosters in the first year. Sales are expected
to grow by 40% each year until the third year. Rooster will sell for $100.
Variable costs, such as chicken coop maintenance and feed costs, are
expected to be $10 per each rooster sold.
The team will hire:
• Five chicken farmers at $75,000 per farmer annually
• Two geneticists (with questionable ethics) at $125,000 per geneticist
annually
The marketing group will be expanded from 20 to 22 employees, with an
average salary of $100,000 per year.
The firm will extend credit to buyers. It is expected that the ending year
accounts receivable balance will be 20% of annual sales.
NPV0 5,713.45
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FINS1613 — Peter Kjeld Andersen (2014-S1)