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Random Variable
Name: _______________________________ Date: ________________
Grade & Section: ___________________ Week: One
First Semester S.Y. 2020-2021
LEARNING OUTCOME(S): At the end of the lesson, the learner is able to:
a. Illustrate the mean, variance, and standard deviation of a discrete random variable; and
b. Calculate the mean, variance, and standard deviation of a discrete random variable.
The mean of a discrete random variable X is also called the expected value of X. It is the
weighted average of all the values that the random variable X would assume in the long run. The
discrete random variable X assumes vales or outcomes in every trial of an experiment with their
corresponding probabilities. The expected value of X is the average of the outcomes that is likely
to be obtained if the trials are repeated over and over again. The expected value of X is denoted
by E(X).
The mean or expected value of a discrete random variable X is computed using the
following formula:
E(X) = ∑ [ xP(x) ¿ ] ¿
Example 1 | A researcher surveyed the households in a small town. The random variable X
represents the number of college graduates in the households. The probability
distribution of X is shown below:
x 0 1 2
P(x) 0.25 0.50 0.25
x P(x) xP(x)
0 0.25 0
1 0.50 0.50
2 0.25 0.50
∑ [ xP( x)¿ ]¿= 1.00
E(X) = ∑ [ xP( x) ¿ ]¿
= 1.00
The expected value is 1. So, the average number of college graduates in the
household of the small town is one.
Example 2 | A random variable X has this probability distribution:
x 1 2 3 4
P(x) 0.10 0.20 0.45 0.25
Calculate the expected values.
Solution:
x P(x) xP(x)
1 0.10 0.10
2 0.20 0.40
3 0.45 1.35
4 0.25 1.00
∑ [ xP(x) ¿ ] ¿= 2.85
So, E(X) = 2.85
Example 3 | A security guard recorded the number of people entering the bank every hour
during one working day. The random variable X represents the number of people
who entered the bank. The probability distribution of X is shown below.
x 0 1 2 3 4 5
P(x) 0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
What is the expected number of people who enters the bank every hour?
Solution:
x P(x) xP(x)
0 0 0
1 0.1 0.1
2 0.2 0.4
3 0.4 1.2
4 0.2 0.8
5 0.1 0.5
∑ [ xP( x)¿ ]¿= 3.0
So, E(X) =3.0
Therefore, the average number of people entering the bank every hour during that
working day is three.
Variance and Standard Deviation of a Discrete Random Variable
The variance of a random variable X is denoted σ 2. It can likewise be written as Var (X).
The variance of a random variable is the expected value of the square of the difference between
that assumed value of random variable and the mean. The variance of X is:
σ = √ ∑ [( x−μ)¿ ¿ 2 P(x)]¿
Example 4 | Determine the variance and the standard deviation of the following probability
mass function.
x P(x)
1 0.15
2 0.25
3 0.30
4 0.15
5 0.10
6 0.05
Solution |
Steps
1. Find the expected value.
2. Subtract the expected value from each outcome. Square each difference.
3. Multiply each difference by the corresponding probability.
4. Sum up all the figures obtained in Step 3.
x P(x) xP(x) x-μ ( x−μ)2 ( x−μ)2 P( x )
1 0.15 0.15 1-2.95= -1.95 3.8025 0.570375
2 0.25 0.50 2-2.95= -0.95 0.9025 0.225625
3 0.30 0.90 3-2.95= 0.05 0.0025 0.000750
4 0.15 0.60 4-2.95= 1.05 1.1025 0.165375
5 0.10 0.50 5-2.95= 2.05 4.2025 0.420250
6 0.05 0.30 6-2.95= 3.05 9.3025 0.4651125
∑ [ xP( x)¿ ]=2.95 ¿ ∑ [( x−μ)¿ ¿ 2 P( x)]¿ = 1.8475
x 0 1 2 3 4
P(x) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
Solution:
x 0 1 2 3 4
P(x) 0.12 0.25 0.18 0.35 0.10
Variance:
2
σ 2 =∑ [ x P ( x ) ] - ¿
= 5.72 – (2.06)2
= 5.72 – 4.2436
= 1.4764 or 1.48
Standard Deviation
σ = √ 1.4764 = 1.22
MODULE 1: LESSON 4
Name: _________________ Year & Section: _______________
A. DIRECTION: Find the expected value or the mean of each probability mass function
below. Show your solution.
1.
x 0 1 2 3
P(x) 0.15 0.32 0.37 0.16
2.
x 0 1 2 3
P(x) 0.17 0.33 0.36 0.14
3.
x 0 1 2 3
P(x) 0.20 0.30 0.32 0.18
B. DIRECTION: Find the mean, variance and standard deviation of each of the
following probability distribution. Show your table. Use the long method and alternative
method.
1.
x 0 1 2 3 4
P(x) 0.09 0.19 0.39 0.22 0.11
2.
x 0 1 2 3 4 5
P(x) 0.10 0.41 0.19 0.15 0.110 0.05
LESSON 5 Applied Problems Involving the Mean and the
Variance of a Discrete Probability Distribution
Name: _______________________________ Date: ________________
Grade & Section: ___________________ Week: One
First Semester S.Y. 2020-2021
LEARNING OUTCOME(S): At the end of the lesson, the learner is able to:
a. Interpret the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable; and
b. Solve problems involving mean and variance of probability distributions.
The mean or expected value of a probability distribution tells the value of a random
variable that we expect to get if the experiment is done repeatedly. In other words, if the
experiment or process is repeated long enough, there is likelihood or chance that the average of
the outcomes will begin to approach the expected value or the mean value.
The standard deviation of a probability distribution indicates how far, on the average, is
an observed value of a random variable X from its mean. The smaller the standard deviation, the
more likely that an observed value of the random variable will be close to its mean
Use the concepts to solve the problems involving the mean and the variance of
probability distribution as in the examples that follow
Example 1:
The following data show the probability distribution of the number of computers sold
daily in a computer shop during the past several months.
Questions
1. What is the probability that on a given day ---
a. Fewer than three computers will be sold?
b. At most, two computers will be sold?
c. At least, four computers will be sold?
d. Exactly three computers will be sold?
Solution
1. To find the probabilities –
a. To find the probability that fewer than three computers will be sold, use
X = 0,1, and 2.
P(X <3) = P(0) + P(1)+ P(2)
= 0.10 + 0.20 + 0.45
= 0.75
b. To find the probability that , at most, two computers will be sold, use X=0,1, and 2.
X P(X) X.P(X)
0 0.10 0.00
1 0.20 0.20
2 0.45 0.90
3 0.15 0.45
4 0.05 0.20
5 0.05 0.25
μ = ∑ [ xP(x) ¿ ] ¿
= 0.00 + 0.20 + 0.90 + 0.45 + 0.20 + 0.25
= 2.00
The mean of the probability distribution is 2. This implies that in the long run, we
expect that the average number of computers that will be sold on a given day will be
two.
3. The standard deviation is computed as follows:
X P(X) X2 X 2 . P(X)
0 0.10 0 0.00
1 0.20 1 0.20
2 0.45 4 1.80
3 0.15 9 1.35
4 0.05 16 0.80
5 0.05 25 1.25
Variance:
2
σ 2 =∑ [ x P ( x ) ] - ¿
= 5.40 – (2.)2
= 5.40 – 4
= 1.40
Standard Deviation
σ = √ 1.40 = 1.18
MODULE 1: LESSON 5
Name: _________________ Year & Section: _______________
Questions
1. What is the probability that exactly four tellers are busy at 12:00 noon?
2. What is the probability that, at least, two tellers are busy at 12:00 noon?
3. What is the probability that fewer than five tellers are busy at 12:00 noon?
4. What is the probability that at least two, but fewer than fives tellers are busy at 12:00
noon?
5. What is the mean of the probability distributions?
6. What is the standard deviation of the probability distributions?
GINREY E. DACER
Teacher
Checked by:
ROMALYN V. CABABAT
School Principal
Approved by:
LEA S. LONTOC, Ed. D.
School President/ Director