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Lecture 3
Theory of Demand and Supply
Key Terms
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• A supply and demand graph enables the relationship between price and quantity to be explored from
the consumers’ (demand) perspective and the producers’ (supply) perspective.
Ceteris Paribus
• Latin phrase ceteris paribus, which means other things being equal or constant.
This is an important assumption to make when dealing with a graph showing two
variables. The ceteris paribus assumption approximates to the scientific method of a
controlled experiment
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• Demand and supply curves: When using supply and demand curves to illustrate our
analysis, they will frequently be drawn as straight lines. Although this is irritating from
a linguistic point of view, it is easier for the artist constructing the illustrations and
acceptable to economists, since the ‘curves’ very rarely refer to the plotting of
empirical data.
• Price is right: there is a point at which the two curves must cross. This point
represents the market price. The market price in Figure is P0 and this reflects the
point where the quantity supplied and demanded is equal, namely point Q. At price P
the market clears. There is no excess supply; there is no excess demand.
Consumers and producers are both happy. Price P is called the equilibrium price:
the price at which the quantity demanded and the quantity supplied are equal.
Concept of Equilibrium
Equilibrium in any market may be defined as: “ a situation in which the plans of buyers
and the plans of sellers exactly Mesh”.
• Stable Equilibrium : If the price drifts away from this equilibrium point—for whatever
reason—forces come into play to find a new equilibrium price. If these forces tend to
re-establish prices at the original equilibrium point, we say the situation is one of
stable equilibrium.
• Unstable Equilibrium : An unstable equilibrium is one in which if there is a
movement away from the equilibrium, there are forces that push price and/or quantity
even further away from this equilibrium (or at least do not push price and quantity
back towards the original equilibrium level).
Shock to the system:
• The shock can be shown either by a shift in the supply curve, or a shift in the
demand curve, or a shift in both curves. Any shock to the system will produce a new
set of supply and demand relationships and a new price-quantity equilibrium.
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Law of demand
• The shape of the demand curve for most goods or service is not surprising when one considers the
basic law of demand. This may be stated formally as: “at higher prices, a lower quantity will be
demanded than at lower prices (and vice versa), other things being equal”
• Demand curve has a negative slope. It moves downward from left to right.
Law of Demand
1. Substitution effect:
When the price of a good rises, other things remaining the same, its relative price –
opportunity cost –rises. When the price of a good rises people buy less of that
good and more of its substitutes.
2. Income effect:
When the price of a good rises, other things remaining the same, the price changes
relative to peoples incomes. So, people can not afford to buy all the things they
previously bought.
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Clearly there are many non-price determinants of demand, such as the cost of financing
(interest rates), technological developments, demographic make-up, the season of the
year, fashion, and so on. We shall the consider the following four generalized
categories
• income,
• price of other goods,
• Expectations, population, preferences and
• Government
taking each in turn and assuming ceteris paribus in each case.
• An increase in demand causes the demand curve to shift rightward.
• A decrease in demand causes the demand curve to shift leftward.
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• Demand also depends on the size and the age structure of the population. The larger the
population the greater the demand for all goods and services and vs. Also the age
distribution of the population affect the demand for goods consumed by each group.
• Demand also depends on preferences. Preferences are an individual’s taste and choice.
Attitudes toward goods and services
When income increases consumers buy more of most goods, and when income
decreases, they buy less of most goods. Increase in income does not increase
demand for all goods. It increases demand for normal goods and it decreases
demand for inferior goods. Eg. air travel vs bus trips.
• A NORMAL GOOD has a positive income elasticity of demand
an increase in income leads to an increase in the quantity demanded e.g., dairy
produce
• An INFERIOR GOOD has a negative income elasticity of demand
an increase in income leads to a fall in quantity demanded e.g., coal, demand for
private rented houses falls as people would buy their own.
• A LUXURY GOOD has an income elasticity of demand greater than 1
• e.g., wine
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D0 D1 D1 D0
Quantity Quantity
Demand curve Demand curve
moves to the right moves to the left
• Legislation can affect the demand for a commodity in a variety of ways. For example,
changes in building regulations may increase the demand for double glazed window
units, regardless of their present price and demand curve will shift to right.
• Demand curve for all the code compliant products will shift to right and implying that
greater quantities are demanded at each and every price. It will take time for
suppliers to adjust, so prices might at first rise and then decrease with the technology
catch-up.
• The government can also influence the level of demand by changing taxes or
creating a subsidy
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• When we first introduced the idea of holding other things constant, it may have
appeared that these ‘other things’ were unimportant.
• Indeed the ceteris paribus assumption enables economists to emphasise the fact
that price and a host of other factors determine demand.
• Whenever you analyse the level of demand for any construction product there will
always be a need to consider both the price and many other related factors.
• To clarify this important distinction between the price determinant and the non-price
determinants, economists are careful to distinguish between them when they discuss
changes in demand.
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Change in Demand
a 1 9
Assume the original price of
b 2 6 Walkmans is $200. The
demand schedule shows
the Price-Quantity
c 3 4 relationship for tapes.
d 4 3
e 5 2
Change in Demand
a 1 9 a' 1 13
b 2 6 b' 2 10
c 3 4 c' 3 8
d 4 3 d' 4 7
e 5 2 e' 5 6
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Demand
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Quantity (millions of tapes per week)
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Changes In Demand
Changes In Demand
Changes In Demand
The demand for tapes
Increases if:
The price of a substitute rises.
The price of a complement falls.
Income rises (a tape is a normal good).
The population increases.
The price of a tape is expected to rise in the future.
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Price
demand curve, which Decrease in
results from a change in quantity
demanded
price, shows a change in
the quantity demanded. Increase in
Decrease in
If some other
deman
influence on buyers’ d deman Increase
d in
plans changes, holding quantity
price constant, there is a demand D1
ed D0
change in demand. D2
Quantity
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Construction Market
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Elasticity of Demand
• Micro Findings In our micro-study of the determinants of housing Demand, we profiled the borrowers
in terms of Location, Gender, Age, Income, House Size etc based on large sample data obtained from
HFCs and Banks. Some Key findings are listed below:
• A typical borrower would most likely to be a male in the age group of 40 to 50 having an average
monthly income of Rs.10000 who prefers to buy a house of the size of 100 square meters. • Though
most of the borrowers are in the age group of 40-50, a significant 25% are below 35 years of age. It is
also found that there is a falling trend in average age profile of the housing demand. It is found that
income and price elasticity of demand is less than unity. An increase in house price by 10%,
ceteris paribus, results in a 4.6% decrease in housing demand as affordability comes down.
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Elasticity of Demand
It is defined as:
% change in quantity demanded
% change in price
• For example we may wish to know that change in price of petrol will cause the quantity of
demand for petrol to change, other things held constant. Petrol prices rise by 10% and this
leads to reduction in demand by 1%. Then elasticity would be = -1%/10% = - 0.1.
• The theory of demand states that quantity demanded is inversely related to the relative price,
consequently price elasticity is always a negative number – if price rises, which is a positive
percentage change, the quantity demanded falls, which is a negative percentage change
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Elasticity of Demand
• EXAMPLE:
• Consumers can readily substitute one brand of detergent for another if the price
rises,
• so we expect demand to be elastic,
• but if all detergent prices rise, the consumer cannot switch,
• so we expect demand to be inelastic.
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• Demand thus tends to be more elastic in the long run but relatively inelastic in the
short run.
•The cross price elasticity of demand for good i with respect to the price
of good j is:
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The income
elasticity may be
positive or
negative.
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ELASTICITIES OF DEMAND
Linear Demand Curve ● linear demand curve Demand curve that is a straight line.
ELASTICITIES OF DEMAND
● infinitely elastic demand Principle that consumers will buy as much of a good as
they can get at a single price, but for any higher price the quantity demanded drops
to zero, while for any lower price the quantity demanded increases without limit.
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ELASTICITIES OF DEMAND
Theory of Supply
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Law of Supply
“The higher the price the greater the quantity offered for sale, the lower the price,
the smaller the quantity offered for sale, all other things being held constant”
• The law of supply, therefore, tells us that the quantity supplied of a product is
positively (directly) related to that product’s price, other things being equal.
• The supply curve slopes upwards from left to right, demonstrating that as price rises
the quantity supplied rises and, conversely, as price falls, the quantity supplied falls
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• The market supply of a product is given by the sum of the amounts that individual
firms will supply at various prices.
• We see from the data that as price increases suppliers are willing to produce greater
quantities. At the other extreme, low prices may actually discourage some firms from
operating in the market. By combining the supply from each firm within the industry,
we can identify the total market supply at each price; we do this in the final column.
• At low prices, producers B and C offer nothing at all for sale; most probably because
high production costs constrain them
• At higher prices, the law of increasing opportunity costs imposes constraints. By
adding up each individual firm’s output, at each specific price, we can discover the
total supply that firms would be willing and able to bring to the market.
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• Many firms contribute to the supply of construction products, including large national
contractors, material manufacturers, plant hirers and local site labourers. So while it
may be theoretically possible to estimate construction supply by summing what the
firms in the market are willing to supply at various prices, the huge range of private
contractors involved in construction complicates the process of simply aggregating
individual supply curves.
• Industry is not clearly one simple market and there are separate markets
• It should be pointed out that the labour, capital and management resources
employed on any one construction project could transfer to another.
• Firms move from one site to another upon completion and some stay for the whole
duration of project. There is an overlapping effect.
• It is this overlapping nature of the sectors comprising construction that give rise to
some common reference points for factor rewards across the industry. In other
words, rates of profit, wages and material prices tend towards some kind of
equilibrium.
• As the law of supply states: more goods are supplied at higher prices, other things
being held constant. This is because at higher prices there is greater scope for firms
to earn a profit.
• Firms already in the market have an incentive to expand output, while higher prices
may also enable those firms on the fringes of the market to enter the industry.
• At higher prices, therefore, the increased quantity supplied is made up by existing
firms expanding output and a number of new firms entering the market.
• As shown in previous table, higher prices enticed other firms into the market and total
supply increased
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• Till now, we have discussed supply curve based on the assumption that only price
changes other things being constant (ceteris paribus qualification).
Some of these ‘other things’ assumed constant are
• the costs of production,
• technology,
• government policy,
• weather,
• the price of related goods,
• expectations,
• the goals of producers
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• It would be a very rare for a contracting firm to be able to complete any construction
activity entirely alone
• Most construction activity normally involves integrating and managing a whole host
of activities and processes to reach the final product, including subcontracting skilled
work and purchasing materials.
• The larger firms, especially the huge conglomerates, ensure their clients are
provided with prompt and reliable services by diversifying into other businesses to
extend their range of operations.
• This emphasizes that construction firms not only produce different products but they
also operate outside their immediate business and, to understand the supply
implications, we find ourselves considering changes in many related markets as well
as the conditions in the construction industry
• A change in the expectations about future prices or prospects of the economy can
also affect a producer’s current willingness to supply.
• For example, builders may withhold from the market part of their recently built or
refurbished stock if they anticipate higher prices in the future.
• In this case, the current quantity supplied at each and every price would decrease,
the related supply curve would shift to the left.
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Increase in
S2 S0
Price
quantity S1
supplied
Decrease in Increase in
supply supply
Decrease in
quantity
supplied
Quantity
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Elasticity
Elasticity
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Elasticity
Unit-elastic supply
• This is the most hypothetical case, as it describes a situation in which a percentage change in price
leads to an identical percentage change in supply.
• This will always produce a coefficient value of 1, since the same figure appears on both the top and
bottom lines of the price elasticity of supply formula
The estimates taken from different time periods suggested that PES of housing is always less than 1. It
ranges from 0.3 to 0.8.
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Determinants of PES
• Time lag: How soon the cost of increasing production rises and the time elapsed
since the price change influence the Es. The more rapidly the production cost rises
and the less time elapses since a price change, the more inelastic the supply. The
longer the time elapses, more adjustments can be made to the production process,
the more elastic the supply.
• Storage possibilities: Products that cannot be stored will have a less elastic supply.
For example, produces usually have inelastic supply due to the limited shelf life of
the vegetables and fruits.
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Elasticity
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Equilibrium price
6
The equilibrium price D S Surplus at 2
is the price at which
Price
5 units
the quantity
demanded equals 4 • •
the quantity
supplied. The
3 • Equilibrium
equilibrium quantity 2 • •
is the quantity
1 Shortage at 3
bought and sold at
units
the equilibrium
price. 0 2 4 6 8 10
Quantity
Market Equilibrium
1 9 0
2 6 3
3 4 4
4 3 5
5 2 6
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Market Equilibrium
1 9 0 -9
2 6 3 -3
3 4 4 0
4 3 5 2
5 2 6 4
Market Equilibrium
Price as a Regulator
If the price is too low, quantity demanded exceeds quantity
supplied.
If the price is too high, quantity supplied exceeds quantity
demanded.
Price Adjustments
A shortage forces the price up.
A surplus forces the price down.
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S
• When demand
increases, both 5
Price
the price and the 4
quantity increase
3 •
• When demand
2
decreases, both
the price and the 1 D0 D1
quantity
decreases 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Quantity
Changes in Supply
6 S0 S1
1. When supply increases,
Price
0 2 4 6 8 10
Quantity
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Price
quantity increases and the 5
5
increases, decreases, or
4
remains constant.
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Case
The demand for housing is often described as being highly cyclical and very sensitive to
housing prices and interest rates. Given these characteristics, describe the effect of
each of the following in terms of whether it would increase or decrease the quantity
demanded or the demand for housing. Moreover, when price is expressed as a function
of quantity, indicate whether the effect of each of the following is an upward or
downward movement along a given demand curve or involves an outward or inward
shift in the relevant demand curve for housing. Explain your answers for the below.
• A. An increase in housing prices
• B. A fall in interest rates
• C. A rise in interest rates
• D. A severe economic recession
• E. A robust economic expansion
Case solution
A. An increase in housing prices will decrease the quantity demanded and involve an
upward movement along the housing demand curve.
B. A fall in interest rates will increase the demand for housing and cause an outward
shift of the housing demand curve.
C. A rise in interest rates will decrease the demand for housing and cause an inward
shift of the housing demand curve.
D. A severe economic recession (fall in income) will decrease the demand for housing
and result in an inward shift of the housing demand curve.
E. A robust economic expansion (rise in income) will increase the demand for housing
and result in an outward shift of the housing demand curve.
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Problem 1
• Qd = 8 - P
• Qs = - 4 + P^2
• Calculate the market equilibrium.
• Sketch this market.
Qd = Qs
8 - P = - 4 + P^2
- P^2 - P + 12 = 0
- (P^2 + P - 12) = 0
- (P + 4)(P - 3) = 0
[P1 = - 4] [no solution because P < 0]
P2 = 3 [because if P = 3 ® (3 - 3) = 0]
Qd = 8 - P = 8 - 3 = 5 ® Q = 5
Demand: P = 32 - 8Qd
Supply: P = 12 + 2Qs
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Problem 2
Solution 2
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Problem 3
'No tax'-situation :
Demand: P = 32 - 8Qd
Supply: P = 12 + 2Qs
Now a 10%-tax is introduced. It has to be paid by the seller out of the gross
receipt P* (= 100 %).
• Formulate the new supply function (P* = ...).
• Calculate the market equilibrium with tax.
• Who bears how much of the new tax (tax incidence)?
• Calculate total tax receipt.
Solution 3
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Below are Supply and demand shocks and identify the new equilibrium in each case.
Price
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Tutorials
Each group has to identify the non price determinant factors that would affect the
demand for
A. The owner occupied sector
B. The private rented sector
C. Social Housing
D. Industrial Buildings
E. infrastructure and public sector construction
F. Repair and maintenance
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Problem 1
Suppose the total demand for wheat and the total supply of wheat per month in the Kansas City
grain market are as follows:
a. What is the equilibrium price? What is the equilibrium quantity? Fill in the surplus-shortage
column and use it to explain why your answers are correct.
b. Graph the demand for wheat and the supply of wheat. Be sure to label the axes of your
graph correctly. Label equilibrium price P and the equilibrium quantity Q.
c. Why will $3.40 not be the equilibrium price in this market? Why not $4.90? “Surpluses drive
prices up; shortages drive them down.” Do you agree?
Solution 1
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Problem 2
• To protect consumers, the government sets a maximum price (ceiling) of 9. Add the
maximum price to the graph .
• Calculate the excess demand.
Solution 2
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Problem 3
All variables refer to the supplier of good X, except PY (= Price other goods).
• Calculate Price elasticity of demand (e), cross-price elasticity of demand (Ce) and
income elasticity of demand (Ie)
• Characterize the good
Solution 3
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Problem Solution
• Explain Income Elasticity of Demand and characterize the below goods. À Good X: +
0.5, Á Good Y: + 2.6, Â Good Z: - 0.4. Cross Price Elasticity of P and Q is +1.9,
Characterize P&Q
Sol:
• Income Elasticity is % change in quantity demanded w.r.t % change in Income.
• X – Normal & necessity, Y- Normal & Luxury, Z- Inferior, P&Q are Substitutes
Problem
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Problem
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Solution
References
• Myers, Danny (2013) Construction Economics – a new approach, third edition, Routledge, London
and New York.
• Ball, M Fraschi, M and Grilli, (2000), Competition and the Persistence of Profits in the UK Construction
Industry, Construction Management and Economics, 18: 733-45.
• Bon, R. and Crosswaithe, D. (2000) the Future of International Construction, Thomas Telford: London.
• De Valence, (ed) (2001) Modern Construction Economics: Theory and application. Spon Press:
London and New York.
• Salvatore. D., “Managerial Economics”, Tata McGraw Hill.
• Google and Wikipedia sites
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Thank You
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