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SECTION- A
ANSWER ANY FOUR QUESTIONS:
1. a) Cross Rates
Cross rate is the price of any currency other than the home currency. It is the direct
relationship between two non-home currencies in a foreign exchange market used in
transactions in a country to which none of the currencies belongs.
b) Forward Premium= forward rate- spot rate/ spot rate
=47.91-47.13/47.13=0.016*100=1.65%
c) Methods of Forecasting Exchange Rates
Technical Approach
Fundamental Approach
Market based Approach
Mixed forecasting Approach
BOP Approach
Monetary Approach
2. a) Balance of Payment
The balance of payment of a country is a systematic accounting record of all
economic transactions during a given period of time between the residents of the country
and resident s of foreign countries.
b) Deficit in BOP
If the total debts are more than total credits in the current account and capital accounts,
including errors and omissions, the net debit balance is the deficit in the BOP of a country.
Tis deficit can be settled with an equal amount of net credit balance in the official settlement
account.
Surplus in BOP
If the total credits are more than the debit balance in the current and capital account,
including errors and omissions the net credit balance is the surplus in the BOP of a country.
This surplus can be settled with an equal amount of net debit balance in the official settlement
account.
c) Structure of BOP/Components
Current Account
Visible trade/ merchandise trade
Invisible trade/service trade
Factor income
Unilateral transfers
Capital Account
Direct investment
Portfolio investment
Other investment
International loans
Errors and Omissions
Official Reserve Account
c)
5. a) International Fisher Effect
The fisher effect states that an increase in the expected inflation rate in a country
will cause a proportionate increase (or decrease) in interest rate in the country. The
relationship between the percentage change in the spot exchange rate over the time and the
differential between interest rates in different countries is known as the international fisher
effect.
b) Convertibility of Indian Rupee
convertibility of rupee means that, it can be freely converted into any other currencies
without prior permission of monetary authority. The ease with which country’s currency can
be converted in to gold/another currency through global exchange.
2 types
Current account convertibility
Capital account convertibility
Advantages
Encourage exports
Gives real value of rupee
Helps in international diversification
Disadvantages
Speculative activities
Full convertibility causes rupee appreciation that causes bop deficit.
c) Portfolio Balance Model
The portfolio approach is an extension of the monetary exchange rate models focusing on
the impact of bonds. According to this approach, any change in the economic condition of a
country will have a direct impact on the demand and supply for domestic and foreign bonds.
This shift in the demand / supply of bonds will in turn influence the exchange rate between
the domestic and foreign economies.
Assumptions
The purchasing power parity does not hold
The uncovered interest parity does not hold
The exchange rate is expected unchanged
Bonds are not perfect substitutes
Narrow or lower transaction cost
High competition in the money market
There is a perfect capital market
6. a) CHIPS And CHAPS
CHIPS - Clearing House Interbank Payments System: is the primary clearing
house in the US for large banking transactions that links US banks through
computerized networks.
CHAPS – Clearing House Automated Payments System: is a company that
facilitates large money transfers denominated in British Pounds.
b) SWIFT – Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication
transfer between international banks are accomplished through a network of
telephone lines leased by the SWIFT. It replaces paper by electronic fund transfer
Done by secure SWIFT codes, there by reducing transaction costs.
Used a common language for financial transaction and a shared data processing system and
worldwide communication network.
c)
7. a) Difference between foreign exchange exposure & foreign exchange risk
Foreign exchange exposure is the degree to which a company is affected by
changes in exchange rates.
Foreign exchange risk is the change of value in one currency relative to
another which will reduce the value of investments denominated in a
foreign currency
Foreign exchange exposure is difficult to control
Foreign exchange risk can be controlled through the use of hedging
techniques and using a less volatile currency to report results.
b) Interest Rate Exposure
chance that a security’s value will change due to a change in interest rates. It is the
risk of loss due to a change in interest rates.
Types
Price risk
Reinvestment risk
c)
8. a) Spread
Difference between buying rate and selling rate in an exchange rate quotation or an
interest quotation.
(65 – 26.45)=38.55
Indirect quote=0.0154-0.378
c)
SECTION B
9. a) International Monetary Fund
IMF is an international organization that oversees the global financial system by observing
exchange rates and BOP and also offers financial and technical assistance. It is the central
institution in the international monetary system.
Objectives of IMF
To promote international monetary cooperation
To ensure stability in foreign exchange rates
To eliminate exchange control
To establish a system of multilateral trade and payment system
To help member nations to achieve balanced economic growth
To eliminate or reduce BOP disequilibrium
To promote investment in backward and underdeveloped countries
Functions of IMF
Give advice to member countries
Created monetary reserve fund
Stabilizes foreign exchange rates
Reduces tariffs and other trade restrictions among member countries
Conduct research studies
Provide machinery for international consultancy
Conduct short term training courses
Operations or working of IMF
Financial resources
Subscription quotas
Lending
Other credit facilities
Buffer Stock Financing Facility
Extended Fund Facility
Supplementary Reserve Facility
Structural Adjustment Facility
Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility
CCFF
STF
CCL
Emergency Assistance
SBA
PRGF
Determination of par values
Other services
b) value liberally
c) International Liquidity
international liquidity is defined as the aggregate stock of generally acceptable assets held by
the central bank to settle BOP deficit or international obligations. It is the ability of a country
to meet international debt.
Measures to solve the problem of international liquidity
Reduce BOP deficit by promoting export
Ban non-essential consumer goods and limit import of specific goods
Developed countries should reduce their BOP surplus
IMF should expand international reserve
Developing countries should follow restrictive monetary and fiscal policy