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A MODEL-BASED APPROACH FOR A LIFE CYCLE
ASSESSMENT OF THE NITROGEN EMISSIONS OF
TOMATO PRODUCTION IN COLOMBIA
Rodrigo GIL
Supervisor(s):
Prof. Dr. E. Schrevens
Prof. Dr. C.R. Bojacá
December 2019
Doctoraatsproefschrift nr. 1618 aan de faculteit Bio-ingenieurswetenschappen van
de KU Leuven
Alle rechten voorbehouden. Niets uit deze uitgave mag worden vermenigvuldigd
en/of openbaar gemaakt worden door middel van druk, fotokopie, microfilm,
elektronisch of op welke andere wijze ook zonder voorafgaandelijke schriftelijke
toestemming van de uitgever.
All rights reserved. No part of the publication may be reproduced in any form by print,
photoprint, microfilm, electronic or any other means without written permission from
the publisher.
Acknowledgements
Education has been my choice to live a worthy life. Obtaining this Ph.D. degree, I
hope to be able to provide a deserving life to my family as well. However, an
achievement of this magnitude is the result of a sum of efforts. Throughout these
years, I received support from my promotors, colleagues and family, and also, I had
important institutional support. I want to express my gratitude to each of them.
First, I want to acknowledge my promotor Eddie Schrevens for opening the doors of
this wonderful University and for his support throughout these years. To my friend,
colleague and mentor Carlos Bojacá who has unconditionally supported this process
and from whom I learned most of my professional skills. I would have never achieved
it without his determined support and guidance. Thanks Carlos. To the members of
the examination committee for their constructive feedback that improved
considerably the quality of the work. To my colleagues and friends, Luz Stella, Luis
Alejandro, Hugo who with words of encouragement and advice have contributed to
the fulfillment of this attainment. My colleagues from the Department of Basic
Sciences and Modeling, especially Miguel Ángel, Gladys and Adelina, with whom I
shared fears and frustrations during the doctoral training process. My Belgian and
Peruvian colleagues, Reindert, Dries, Diego, Ximena, Cindybell, Diana, Marcos,
Eduardo and Karin with whom I shared special moments in these distant lands.
La familia que ha sido pilar fundamental de este proceso. Quiero reconocer el apoyo
de mi esposa Adriana, su amor ha sido fundamental para cumplir esta meta. A María
Paula quien pese a su corta edad ha comprendido lo que estoy haciendo, y me ha
apoyado con sus pequeños pero significativos gestos. A Juan y Nico por ser una
inspiración más. A mi mamá por su entrañable amor y devoción. A mis padrinos
Guillermo y Ayda, a Johana, Fabián, David, la tía Leonilde, a Katty, a Jorge, gracias
por ese cariño desinteresado. A mis suegros Beyer y Susana, a Marcela, Liceth,
Nelson, quienes me han acogido en el seno de la familia. A mi tía Esther, Paola y Juan
David quienes desde Santander siempre han estado al tanto de mis avances y
retrocesos. A mi abuelita Matilde. A quienes me apoyaron en el pasado pero partieron,
especialmente a mi abuelito Adán y mi tío Roberto. A mi papá, a Luis Eduardo,
Gloria, Diego, Oscar y Catherine, gracias, especialmente por el apoyo en los últimos
meses. Nuevamente a Carlos Bojacá a quien considero mi hermano y por lo tanto
parte de mi familia, espero que sigamos recorriendo juntos los caminos de la vida.
Finally, I want to acknowledge to the Flemish Interuniversity Council, Colciencias,
KU Leuven and the University of Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano for its financial support
that allowed the successful completion of the doctorate.
i
Summary
This thesis develops methodologies for a technical sustainability assessment of
agricultural systems through the integration of soil-crop modeling and standard life
cycle assessment (LCA). In addition, we propose a strategy to facilitate
communication of the results of the comparative LCAs to stakeholders. As case
studies, the proposed methods are applied to open field and greenhouse tomato
production systems in the Colombian Andes, focusing on nitrogen fertilization
practices.
The thesis begins with a detailed characterization of the selected tomato production
systems under both open field and greenhouse conditions. This characterization was
necessary since the information available for these smallholder-based cropping
systems is very limited in the Colombian context. This characterization included
biophysical factors related to climatic conditions and soil fertility level, and an
inventory of inputs, management practices, and productivity factors. Two data
collection tools, namely, surveys and a procedure based on direct observation of the
production cycles referred to as detailed follow-ups or input-output accounting, were
used to gather the information from two major production regions. Since local
growers usually do not keep records of their activities, detailed follow-ups are
recommended for obtaining reliable data under these conditions, despite their cost and
time-consuming nature. Nevertheless, as a first screening of the production systems,
surveys are very useful. As a result of this first phase, some features of the growers
were highlighted, such as a high dose of fertilizers without a proportional increase in
yield. Heterogeneity with respect to management practices and varying levels of yield
gaps, especially in the open field system, were also evident.
A comparative LCA between the two systems was carried out and included the
infrastructure, machinery, pest management, and fertilization subsystems. In this case
study, the field emissions derived from the nitrogen fertilizers were obtained through
standard methods based on empirical regression meta-analysis allowing the
modification of cropping parameters as a function of the production system. The
outcome of the LCA was not clear enough to differentiate the environmental
performance among the two production systems. For instance, the greenhouse system
showed better environmental performance according to indicators such as
acidification and eutrophication, while the opposite was observed with indicators such
as global warming potential and human toxicity potential. In this section, the
stochastic multi-attribute analysis (SMAA) was introduced as a way to build a single
indicator that would objectively rank the environmental performance of the two
systems. However, an important constraint not considered by the SMAA method had
to be overcome first, namely, the high degree of correlation between environmental
indicators. Thus, the copula method was introduced to fit the required joint-statistical
distributions for all environmental indicator based on the estimated marginal
distributions of the individual impact categories. The successful implementation of
the SMAA method, supported by the copula method, resulted in the better overall
environmental performance of the open field than the greenhouse system. In
conclusion, intensification of tomato production in Colombia by shifting to protected
ii
conditions has led to a relatively high environmental impact because of inadequate
and inefficient implementation of greenhouse technology. As a consequence, it is
necessary that greenhouse farmers optimize resource use and greenhouse
methodologies to achieve higher production and lower environmental impact.
To evaluate strategies that improve the environmental performance of tomato
production systems in terms of nitrogen fertilization, a tomato plant growth and
development model was calibrated and validated for open field and greenhouse
conditions. In the first stage, the growth and development of tomato plants under
Colombian conditions was effectively simulated by the calibrated model. This plant
model was adapted by incorporating modules to represent root growth and nitrogen
demand to couple it to a soil model. The soil model was previously calibrated and
validated under Belgian conditions and can represent water and nitrogen dynamics as
well as all N and C processes. The soil-plant model was validated for Colombian
conditions based on trials carried out on commercial fields. Although the validation
results presented varying degrees of fit, overall, the model showed a workable level
of accuracy. The resulting soil-plant model was driven by meteorological data, soil
and plant properties and management practices such as nitrogen fertilization and
irrigation. The model simulated, on a daily basis, crop growth and development, heat,
water and nitrogen flows through the soil profile, and soil nitrogen and carbon
dynamics, including emissions of environmental pollutants to the atmosphere and
groundwater.
Finally, the soil-plant model was used to evaluate a set of nitrogen fertilization
scenarios. The scenarios included currently applied strategies by commercial growers
and two alternative prospective scenarios. In the grower scenario, nitrogen
fertilization was applied based on a fixed dose, while the alternative scenarios applied
nitrogen as a function of plant demand over time. Each of the scenarios was evaluated
over 52 weather periods, corresponding to weekly plantings over a period of one year.
From each simulation, the predicted yield and the emissions of ammonia, nitrous
oxide, and nitrates were extracted and used as inputs for a posterior comparative LCA.
The results revealed that some scenarios showed better environmental performance
for some impact categories, while others performed better in a different set of
categories. Therefore, the SMAA method supplemented by the copula method was
applied again to rank the environmental performance of the scenarios. The results
showed that greenhouse production systems in which the fertilization strategy is based
on plant demands have the best environmental performance. The method proposed in
this thesis adds dynamic properties to the classic static LCA in terms of predicting
nitrogen emissions through integration with soil-crop modeling. Additionally, the
proposed framework incorporates an optimized single performance indicator method
to enhance communication of the LCA results to stakeholders and decision-makers.
iii
Samenvatting
Deze thesis ontwikkelde innovatieve methodologie voor de evaluatie van de
technische duurzaamheid van tuinbouwsystemen door integratie van bodem-gewas
interactiemodellen met standaard levenscyclus analyse (LCA). De methodologie
wordt toegepast op serre- en vollegronds tomatenteelt in twee concentratiezones in de
Colombiaanse Andes, waarbij de focus vooral ligt op de verschillende strategieën
voor stikstofbemesting.
De thesis gaat van start met een gedetailleerde beschrijving van beide systemen,
gezien er zo goed als geen data beschikbaar zijn met betrekking tot de kleinschalige
tuinbouw in de Colombiaanse Andes. Beide systemen werden biofysisch
gekarakteriseerd door een gedetailleerde beschrijving van het klimaat, de
bodemcondities en de cultuurtechnische beheersstrategie. Dit resulteerde in een
volledige boekhouding van alle biofysische in- en outputs van de systemen. Voor de
datacollectie werden enerzijds gestructureerde enquêtes en anderzijds
tweewekelijkse, directe metingen op bedrijfs- en veldniveau uitgevoerd. Als
belangrijkste resultaat werd gevonden dat in beide systemen de Colombiaanse
tomatenteler extreem hoge bemestingsdosissen gebruikt zonder dat dit resulteert in
hogere producties. Tevens werd een bijzonder grote heterogeniteit vastgested voor
managementpraktijken, vooral in de vollegrondsteelt.
In het tweede deel werd een vergelijkende LCA tussen beide systemen uitgevoerd
voor de volgende subsystemen: infrastructuur, mechanisatie, ziekte- en
plaagbeheersing en bemesting. De veldemissies veroorzaakt door de
stikstofbemesting werden met de standaard, empirische modellen, gebaseerd op meta-
data regressie-analyse, berekend. De serresystemen vertoonden een lager
eutrofierings- en verzuringspotentieel, terwijl ze duidelijk hoger scoorden dan de
vollegrondsteelt voor klimaatsopwarming en menselijke toxiciteit. In dit deel werd
‘Stochastic Multi-attribute Analysis’ (SMAA) geïntroduceerd als method om een
geïntegreerde milieu-impactindex te berekenen, waarmee de serre- en
vollegrondsteelt kunnen vergeleken worden, rekening houdend met de variantie- en
correlatiestructuur tussen de verschillende LCA impactcategorieën. Deze structuur
werd berekend met de copula methode, die de gemeenschappelijke kansdistributie
van alle milieu-indicatoren schat op basis van de geschatte marginale distributies van
de individuele impactcategorieën. De SMAA methode toonde aan dat de
vollegrondsteelt aanzienlijk minder milieu-impact genereerde dan de serreteelt. Er
kan geconcludeerd worden dat intensifiëren van de tomatenteelt, door gebruik te
maken van serres, niet de verhoopte productieverhoging, nodig om de milieu-impact
te reduceren per ton tomaten, heeft veroorzaakt. Dus het blijft hoogstnoodzakelijk om
de serretelers de nodige kennis en expertise bij te brengen zodat hun productie beter
aansluit bij de potentieel mogelijke productie in hun regio.
Voor de procesgebaseerde evaluatie van strategieën die de milieu-impact van de
stikstofbemesting in de tomatenteelt kunnen reduceren werd een gewasgroei- en
ontwikkelingsmodel voor tomaat gecalibreerd en gevalideerd voor serre- en
vollegrondsteelt. Dit gewasmodel werd uitgebreid met modules die de wortelgroei en
stikstofvraag van het gewas kunnen simuleren. Tevens werd dit gewasmodel
iv
gekoppeld aan een bodemmodel dat transport van stikstof, water en warmte samen
met de stikstof-koolstof processen kan simuleren. Dit bodemmodel werd voordien
gecalibreerd onder Belgische condities. Het bodem-gewasmodel werd gevalideerd
onder Colombiaanse condities op basis van potentiële productie-experimenten,
uitgevoerd bij verschillende telers zowel in serre als in volle grond. Dit model vertrekt
van metereologische-, bodem- en gewas-data en kan het effect van verschillende
bemestingsscenario’s voor stikstof simuleren op groei en ontwikkleing van de plant,
op verschillende toestandsvariabelen van de bodem, zoals water, stikstof en koolstof
concentraties in de verschillende bodemlagen en op de verschillende stikstofemissies
naar water en lucht.
Tenslotte werden met dit bodem-gewas interactiemodel de volgende
bemestingscenario’s voor stikstof gesimuleerd: de standaard bemesting van een
commerciële teler, twee scenario’s gebaseerd op de stikstofvraag van het gewas.
Ieder bemestingsscenario werd geëvalueerd bij 52 verschillende planttijdstippen ,
namelijk iedere week van het jaar, met als doel de klimaatseffecten op de teelt te
onderzoeken. Voor iedere simulatie werd de totale biomassa, de productie en de
fenologie gesimuleerd, alsook de bodemvariabelen en de emissies van ammoniak,
lachgas en nitraat. Deze emissies werden ingevoerd in een vergelijkende LCA
zodanig dat de empirische functies van deel twee nu vervangen kunnen worden door
dynamische, procesgebaseerde modelresultaten. De SMAA methode, gebaseerd op
een copula schatting van de gemeenschappelijke kansdistributie van all
impactcategorieën, berekende voor alle scenario’s één geïntegreerde milieu-indicator
om beide productiesytemen op een objectieve wijze te vergelijken. Uit de resultaten
blijkt dat een serreteelt onder optimale bemesting, gestuurd door de vraag van het
gewas, een aanzienlijk kleinere milieubelasting veroorzaakt dan de vollegrondsteelt.
De voorgestelde methode breidt de klassieke statische LCA uit met dynamische,
procesgebaseerde kennis op vlak van de predictie van stikstofemissies door de
koppeling van LCA met een bodem-gewas interactiemodel. Additioneel ontwikkelde
deze thesis een methode om de verschillende impactcategorieën te integreren naar één
globale milieu-indicator op basis van de copula- en SMAA methode.
v
List of abbreviations and symbols
!" Scale parameter for fruit dry matter function
!# Scale parameter for leaf dry matter function
!$" Scale parameter for dry matter function of ripe fruits
%& Empirical intercept for tropical climates (0.25)
%' Empirical slope for tropical climates (0.45)
%" Midpoint parameter for fruit dry matter function
%# Midpoint parameter for leaf dry matter function
%$" Midpoint to estimate the dry matter function of ripe fruits
(" Asymptote for the fruit dry matter function
(# Asymptote for the dry matter function
)* Covariance matrix
($" Asymptote for the dry matter function of ripe fruits
)+, Carbon dioxide concentration in air (ppmv)
-# Displacements parameter to leaf dry matter function
./$ Daily dry matter allocated to roots (g DM d-1)
.01 Deep percolation (cm) on the ith day
2345 Dry matter of ripe fruits (g DM)
607 Daily gross photosynthesis (g CH2O d-1)
603 Hourly gross photosynthesis (g CH2O h-1)
895 Extraterrestrial solar radiation (J m-2 day-1)
81 Water intercepted by the foliage (cm) on the ith day
85 Daily total solar radiation above plant canopies (J m-2 day-1)
:;<,1 Nitrogen inputs for inorganic fertilizers on the ith day
8>1 Irrigation (cm)
M@ Median from a sample
/ABC Maintenance respiration per day (g CH2O d-1)
/!DAEE5F9G53 Maximum rooting depth (cm)
/81 Nitrogen released by the mineralization process on the ith day
H;& Mineral N-soil content at beginning of the cycle
H;I Mineral N-soil content at the end of the cycle
;,,1 Dinitrogen volatilization (kg N ha-1) on the ith day
;, +1 Nitrous oxide (kg N ha-1) generated during the nitrification and
denitrification processes on the ith day
;J9KL3,1 Nitrogen losses due to leaching (kg N ha-1) on the ith day
;+M,1 Nitrogen oxides emitted (kg N ha-1) on the ith day
+1 Experimental observed value
vi
+N Experimental observations average
O;<,1 Nitrogen inputs for organic fertilizers on the ith day
01 Precipitation (cm) on the ith day
0*PQ Maximum leaf photosynthetic rate (μmol CO2 m-2 s-1)
0RK,1 Actual plant transpiration (cm) on the ith day
S9 Leaf quantum efficiency (μmol CO2 μmol-1 photon)
>;T1 Plant root N-uptake (kg N ha-1) on the ith day
>+1 Surface runoff (cm) on the ith day
U1 Model simulated value on the ith day
UVK,1 Actual soil evaporation (cm) on the ith day
UV;# Rate of senescence for leaves
UW)& Soil water content at the beginning of the cycle
UW)I Soil water content at the end of the cycle
R9" Daily effective temperature (°C)
R./" Total dry matter in fruits
R./X# Total dry matter of photosynthetically active leaves (g DM)
R./# Total dry matter in leaves
R./$ Total dry matter in roots
R./Y Total dry matter in stems
R/0K4X Daily average temperature (°C)
T21 Amount of fertilizer used by each grower (kg ha-1)
Z;[\,1 Ammonium volatilization on the ith day
]^ Light extinction coefficient
]_ Leaf light transmission coefficient
xN Arithmetic mean from a sample
a1 Yield obtained by the ith grower (kg ha-1)
µ Mean parameter
s Standard deviation parameter
a Shape parameter for gamma distribution
b Scale parameter for gamma distribution
l Scale parameter for Weibull distribution
AD Abiotic depletion (kg Sb eq)
AEF Agronomic efficiency of fertilizer use
AIC Akaike Information Criterion
AP Acidification potential (kg SO2 eq)
efgH Asymptotic depth (cm)
AT Air temperature (°C)
ATT Accumulated thermal time (°Cd)
BD Bulk density (g cm-3)
vii
Bias Model bias
BIC Bayesian Information Criterion
C d-dimensional copula function
c Soil clay content (%)
C Carbon
C:N Carbon nitrogen ratio
Capp Correction factor for the degree of dilution (dimensionless)
CEC Cation exchange capacity (cmolc kg-1)
)h Effect of vapor pressure deficit on photosynthesis (kPa-1)
Cr Current N-fertilization practices carried out by local growers
)i Coefficient of variation
Cx Correction factor indicating the crop parameters (dimensionless)
DAT Days after transplanting
DEM Digital elevation model
DL Day length (h)
./j Dry matter in fruits (g DM)
./k Dry matter in leaves (g DM)
./l Total dry matter produced that day (g DM d-1)
./f Dry matter in stems (g DM)
DSSAT Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer
ECss Electrical conductivity of saturated soil-pastes (dS m-1)
EF Model efficiency
EFAGRAMMON Ammonium emissions factor for the type of synthetic fertilizer
eN2O Potential emissions of nitrous oxide (kg N ha-1)
eN2ODEN nitrous oxide generated by denitrification (kg N ha-1)
eN2OFER Emissions due to organic and synthetic sources (kg N ha-1)
eN2ONIT Nitrous oxide generated by nitrification (kg N ha-1)
m;+3 Nitrate losses to water bodies
EP Eutrophication potential (kg PO4-3 eq)
er Ammonium emissions rate depending on the type of manure
2 d-dimensional cumulative density function
FAETP Fresh-water aquatic ecotoxicity potential (kg 1,4-DB eq)
FC Field capacity
Fr Application of a fixed dose of nitrogen
FWU Follow-up data collection strategy
GH Greenhouse production system
6>V2 Growth efficiency coefficient (g DM g-1 CH2O)
GWP Global warming potential (kg CO2 eq)
HTTP Human toxicity potential (kg 1,4-DB eq)
viii
IDEAM Colombian meteorological service agency
ieNH3 Emissions due to of inorganic fertilizers (kg NH3 ha-1)
iNF Nitrogen applied through inorganic fertilizers (kg total N ha-1)
K Potassium
k Shape parameter for Weibull distribution
KCl Potassium chloride
L Rooting depth (m)
LA Leaf area per plant
oe8 Leaf area index
LCA Life cycle assessment
LCI Life cycle inventory
LCIA Life cycle impact assessment
LL Lower limit
MAETP Marine aquatic ecotoxicity potential (kg 1,4-DB eq)
masl Meters above sea level
MCDA Multicriteria decision-support analysis
/. Mahalanobis distance
H:- Inflection point at ATT
N Nitrogen
Ncr Nitrous oxide emissions from the crop residues (kg N ha-1)
NH+4 Ammonium
NO-3 Nitrate
Norg Nitrogen applied through organic sources (kg N ha-1)
NSE Nash-Sutcliffe modelling efficiency
oeNH3 Ammonia emissions due to organic fertilizers (kg NH3 ha-1)
OF Open field production system
OLDP Ozone layer depletion potential (kg CFC-11 eq)
oNF Nitrous oxide emissions due to organic sources (kg N ha-1)
ONI Oceanic Niño Index
Op Fertilization based on the plant nitrogen demand
P Phosphorus
P Water inflows (mm)
PAR Photosynthetic active radiation
PBias Percent bias
PCA Principal component analysis
pdf Probability density function
06>V. A function that corrects the maximum leaf photosynthetic rate for
suboptimal temperatures
Pi Uncertainty-based preference
ix
0o/2 Plant density (plants m-2)
POP Photochemical oxidation potential (kg C2H4 eq)
002. Photosynthetic photon flux density (μmol photons m-2 s-1)
0i0. A function that corrects the maximum leaf photosynthetic rate for
the air vapor pressure deficit
Qi Uncertainty-based indifference
RAI Rank acceptability index
RH Relative humidity (%)
RLD Root-length density (cm cm-3)
>/>2 Respiration coefficient for growing fruits (g CH2O g-1 DM d-1)
>/>o Respiration coefficient for stem and leaves (g CH2O g-1 DM d-1)
RMSE Root mean square error
RSR Root mean square error – observed standard
f Duration of the sunshine (h day-1)
SAT Soil water saturation
f(!k Scale parameter for maximum root depth function
SLA Specific leaf area
SMAA Stochastic multiattribute analysis
SOC Soil organic carbon
UOk>!- Hourly solar radiation (J m-2 s-1)
SR Solar radiation (W m-2)
SRL Specific root length (cm/g)
SVY Survey data collection strategy
SWC Soil water content
t Ton
TAN Total ammonium content in the organic fertilizer (kg of NH+4 t-1)
TEP Terrestrial ecotoxicity potential (kg 1,4-DB eq)
R/0 Hourly mean temperature (°C)
U Nitrogen uptake by the crop (kg N ha-1)
i0. Air vapor pressure deficit (kPa)
i0.o Effect of vapor pressure deficit on photosynthesis (kPa)
WS Wind speed (m s-1)
Μ Multivariate arithmetic mean
r Carbon dioxide use efficiency (μmol CO2 m-2 s-1 ppmv-1)
x
Table of contents
Acknowledgements ............................................................................................... i
Summary .............................................................................................................. ii
Samenvatting ....................................................................................................... iv
List of abbreviations and symbols ...................................................................... vi
Table of contents ................................................................................................. xi
List of Figures ................................................................................................... xiii
List of Tables ..................................................................................................... xv
Chapter 1. General introduction and objectives ................................................... 1
1.1 Introduction ......................................................................................... 1
1.2 Objectives ............................................................................................ 4
Chapter 2. Study areas and data acquisition methods .......................................... 5
2.1. Introduction ......................................................................................... 5
2.2. Data ..................................................................................................... 7
2.3. Experimental Design, Materials, and Methods ................................. 11
Chapter 3. Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes .................... 15
Abstract .............................................................................................................. 15
3.1. Introduction ....................................................................................... 16
3.2. Materials and methods ...................................................................... 17
3.3. Results ............................................................................................... 22
3.4. Discussion ......................................................................................... 32
3.5. Conclusions ....................................................................................... 35
Chapter 4. Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems ..... 36
4.1. Introduction ....................................................................................... 37
4.2. Methods ............................................................................................. 39
4.3. Results and discussion ....................................................................... 44
4.4. Conclusions ....................................................................................... 54
Chapter 5. A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia ........ 56
Abstract .............................................................................................................. 56
5.1. Introduction ....................................................................................... 57
5.2. Materials and methods ...................................................................... 58
5.3. Results and Discussion ...................................................................... 66
5.4. Conclusions ....................................................................................... 72
Chapter 6. Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions ................ 73
6.1. Introduction ....................................................................................... 74
6.2. Materials and methods ...................................................................... 75
6.3. Results and discussion ....................................................................... 80
xi
6.4. Conclusions ....................................................................................... 90
Chapter 7. Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios .................................. 91
7.1. Introduction ....................................................................................... 92
7.2. Materials and methods ...................................................................... 93
7.3. Results and discussion..................................................................... 101
7.4. Conclusions ..................................................................................... 115
Chapter 8. General conclusions ....................................................................... 116
Chapter 9. Future works ................................................................................... 120
References ........................................................................................................ 122
xii
List of Figures
Figure 1. Overview of the greenhouse tomato production system in the province of
Alto Ricaurte (Boyacá, Colombia). ............................................................................. 8
Figure 2. Overview of the open field tomato production system in the province of
Guanentá (Santander, Colombia). ............................................................................... 9
Figure 3. Elevation profile of a cross-section (southwest-northeast direction) of the
Guanenta province showing the main types of parent materials. .............................. 10
Figure 4. Elevation profile between the massif of Iguaque and the Merchán
Mountains, including the main types of parent materials. ........................................ 10
Figure 5. Tomato crop cycles observed during the follow-up data collection period in
the (A) OF and (B) GH systems. Each segment represents the cycle length from
transplanting until the end of harvest. ....................................................................... 21
Figure 6. Average monthly precipitation (A), daily temperature (B), relative humidity
(C) and solar radiation (D) of the production regions of Boyacá and Santander. For
precipitation, error bars represent ± the standard deviation, while for the other
variables are the shaded area is that indicates ± the standard deviation. .................. 24
Figure 7. Scaled PCA-biplot showing the variation and correlational structure of
physical and chemical soil properties........................................................................ 27
Figure 8. Graphical representation of correlations between environmental indicators
for tomato production under greenhouse (a) and open field (b) conditions. ............. 50
Figure 9. Cumulative distribution functions of the rankings for each tomato
production system. .................................................................................................... 53
Figure 10. Rank acceptability index for the tomato production systems under
greenhouse and open field conditions. ...................................................................... 54
Figure 11. Schematics of the proposed tomato crop growth model for the open field
and greenhouse production systems, which is a simplification of the TOMGRO model
(Jones et al., 1991)..................................................................................................... 59
Figure 12. Daily average air temperature (A), relative humidity (B) and solar radiation
(C) during the calibration experiments carried out under greenhouse and open field
conditions. ................................................................................................................. 67
Figure 13. (A) Greenhouse and (B) open field tomato dry matter partitioning fractions
as a function of thermal time for each of the plant organs. ....................................... 69
Figure 14. Observed and simulated dry matter accumulation and distribution
throughout the plant organs for the calibration experiments carried out under
greenhouse and open field conditions. Vertical bars represent the estimated standard
deviations. ................................................................................................................. 70
Figure 15. Schematic representation of the nitrogen processes considered in the soil
model. Adapted from Heuts (2018)........................................................................... 74
Figure 16. Nitrogen content in the tomato plant organs as a function of the
accumulated thermal time. ........................................................................................ 81
xiii
Figure 17. Maximum rooting depth of tomato plants as a function of accumulated
thermal time determined for greenhouse and open field conditions. The points
represent the observations. The line corresponds to the fitted logistic function. ...... 82
Figure 18. Probability distribution to control the root dry matter allocated to each layer
with root presence as a function of the accumulated thermal time. .......................... 82
Figure 19. Observed and simulated dry matter accumulation and partitioning and
nitrogen content of the plant organs for the validation experiments carried out under
greenhouse (A, C) and open field (B, D) conditions. ................................................ 84
Figure 20. Observed and simulated water content of the four soil layers for the open
field and greenhouse trials......................................................................................... 87
Figure 21. Simulated (lines) and measured (± standard deviations) nitrate and
ammonium contents at a 20 cm depth throughout the experimental cycle. The modeled
nitrogen contents were obtained by adding the predicted values for the first two layers
(0-10 and 10-20). ....................................................................................................... 88
Figure 22. Observed and simulated soil temperature at different depths and the
goodness-of-fit statistics used to evaluate the model performance. .......................... 89
Figure 23. A schematic overview of the coupled soil-crop model and LCA to assess
the environmental performance of N-fertilization scenarios................................... 100
Figure 24. Kernel probability density functions describing the tomato yield of the
scenarios evaluated in the greenhouse (A) and open field (B) systems. ................. 101
Figure 25. Emissions of ammonia (NH3), nitrous oxide (N2O) and nitrate (NO3-)
during the crop cycles simulated for each scenario in the greenhouse and open field
systems. ................................................................................................................... 103
Figure 26. Effect of the transplanting date on emissions of nitrate in the greenhouse
and open field systems. ........................................................................................... 105
Figure 27. Kernel probability density functions for each impact category in the
scenarios evaluated for the greenhouse system. ...................................................... 107
Figure 28. Probability density functions for each impact category in the scenarios
evaluated for the open field system. ........................................................................ 108
Figure 29. Cumulative distribution functions of the rankings for each nitrogen
fertilization scenario. ............................................................................................... 112
Figure 30. Rank acceptability index for each of the scenarios evaluated regarding
nitrogen fertilization. ............................................................................................... 113
xiv
List of Tables
Table 1. Metadata of collected information in open field and greenhouse production
systems. ....................................................................................................................... 6
Table 2. Monthly averages and annual values (± standard deviations) for the climate
variables used to describe the weather in the provinces of Guanentá (Santander) and
Alto Ricaurte (Boyacá).............................................................................................. 11
Table 3. Fertility characterization in long-term fallow soils used for tomato production
in open field (Santander) and under greenhouse (Boyacá) production systems. The
coefficient of variation (CV) is expressed as a percentage. ...................................... 25
Table 4. Soil properties comparison between uncultivated soils and those used for
tomato production under the GH system. The coefficient of variation (CV) is
expressed as a percentage. ......................................................................................... 28
Table 5. Main features of the open field and greenhouse tomato systems determined
through surveys and detailed follow-ups. ................................................................. 31
Table 6. Inventory data (mean and standard deviation) for the subsystems considered
for the LCA, and all are allocated to one ton of tomatoes. ....................................... 46
Table 7. Emissions (kg t-1 functional unit) due to the field application of inorganic
products applied in both tomato production systems. ............................................... 47
Table 8. Average of potential environmental impacts per ton of tomato produced on
open field and greenhouse conditions in Colombian Andes. .................................... 49
Table 9. Properties of the fitted statistical distributions to the environmental indicators
distributions estimated for the greenhouse and open field tomato production systems.
................................................................................................................................... 51
Table 10. Log-likelihood, Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian
information criterion (BIC) of the estimated D-vine models for the environmental
indicators of the greenhouse and open field production systems. ............................. 52
Table 11. Parameters included in the tomato growth model ..................................... 62
Table 12. General characteristics of the on-farm experiments used to calibrate the
tomato crop growth model. ....................................................................................... 64
Table 13. Fitted parameters for dry matter allocation in leaves (DMl) and fruits (DMf),
leaf senescence rate (SENl) and ripening fruit rate (Fhvt). ......................................... 68
Table 14. Goodness-of-fit measures of the simulated dry matter per plant and per
organ by the calibrated tomato crop growth model................................................... 71
Table 15. Summary of the main crop management parameters used as inputs for the
model. ........................................................................................................................ 77
Table 16. Properties of the two soil profiles used in the validation process. ............ 78
Table 17. Goodness-of-fit statistics used to validate the model predictions. ............ 80
Table 18. Final water and mass balance predicted terms to confirm the appropriate
implementation of the water and nitrogen soil modules. .......................................... 83
Table 19. Model performance scores for dry matter accumulation and nitrogen content
for the whole plant and disaggregated per organ. ..................................................... 85
xv
Table 20. Emissions (kg t-1 functional unit) due to the field application of inorganic
nitrogen fertilizers in the scenarios evaluated for both open field and greenhouse
systems. ................................................................................................................... 104
Table 21. Median values for potential environmental impacts per ton of tomato
produced in the scenarios evaluated for open field and greenhouse conditions in the
Colombian Andes. ................................................................................................... 110
Table 22. Number of parameters, log-likelihood, Akaike information criterion (AIC)
and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) of the 36 bivariate copula estimated D-vine
models for the environmental indicators of the scenarios evaluated in greenhouse and
open field systems. .................................................................................................. 111
xvi
Chapter 1. General introduction and objectives
1.1 Introduction
Tomato production in Colombia is mainly carried out by smallholders and is mostly
marketed fresh for local customers, with an annual per capita consumption of 9.4 kg
(Bojacá et al., 2014). In Colombia, the varying agroclimatic conditions allow tomato
cultivation in a large part of the territory, as well as in open fields (OF) and
greenhouses (GH). Under OF conditions tomato production is carried out in lowlands
(warm tropics) where environmental conditions, especially in temperature terms,
allow cultivation throughout the year. In OF system small processing-type tomatoes,
locally known as chonto, are cultivated, while in GH system both, chonto and
beefsteak-type are planted. During the past few decades, tomato production has
changed from OF to GH systems, and this has been perceived as a technological
advance. Greenhouses have allowed to establish tomato crops in areas whose climatic
conditions limit open field production (cold tropics at high altitudes), and which
therefore have lower pressures of tomato pests and diseases. Greenhouses are
perceived by producers as an investment that allows them to avoid costs in pest
management issues and at the same time allows them to increase productivity by
employing higher plant densities per unit area. Currently, there is a perception among
OF tomato growers that the greenhouse production system is replacing them in the
markets.
In Colombia, the OF tomato system is rainfed and totally exposed to cold tropical
climate conditions. As a consequence, growers are constantly addressing pest and
disease issues, in addition to low soil fertility levels in some regions. Based on their
limited knowledge and resources, tomato growers are able to produce with intensive
overuse of agrochemicals. According to official statistics between 2007 and 2017, the
average area planted with OF tomatoes was 12670 ha y-1, with an average yield of
22.4 t ha-1 (Agronet, 2018).
On the other hand, the use of greenhouses has allowed the establishment of tomato
crops in low-temperature areas, regarded in the past as inadequate for tomato
production. These greenhouses are wooden structures without climate control systems
that protect the plants from adverse weather conditions such as rain or high wind
speeds, but they minimally improve the internal temperature and humidity conditions
to achieve optimum tomato yield. Despite the above, the use of low-tech greenhouses
for tomato production has boosted productivity compared to that in the open field
system. Between 2007 and 2017, the average greenhouse area with tomato production
was 1190 ha with an average yield of 115.6 t ha-1 (Agronet, 2018). However, despite
achieving a major increase in production capacity with respect to the OF system,
management practices are still considered to be suboptimal, resulting in yields far
from the potential yields and with a considerable environmental impact. As a
consequence, opportunities to optimize these systems exist from technical and
environmental points of view.
Concerns have arisen in the past regarding the environmental cost associated with the
tomato production, Bojacá et al. (2014) through a life cycle assessment (LCA)
General introduction and objectives
2
General introduction and objectives
3
General introduction and objectives
In accordance with the above, the present thesis has the following objectives.
1.2 Objectives
The general objective is to improve the LCA method for the agricultural sector by
means of two modifications. The first modification consists of coupling soil-crop
modeling to a LCA as an alternative to dynamically predict the emissions derived
from the use of nitrogen fertilizers. The second modification considers the integration
of a method to derive multivariate joint distributions for the impact categories and a
multicriteria decision-analysis method known as stochastic multiattribute analysis
(SMAA) to build a single performance indicator in the optional normalization and
weighting LCA steps. An overall indicator should improve the comparison and
decision processes related the environmental performance of production alternatives
or management practices.
Specific objectives
• To characterize the open field and greenhouse tomato production systems in
terms of biophysical conditions and management practices carried out by
Colombian growers with special emphasis on nitrogen fertilization.
• To compare the environmental performance of the open field versus the
greenhouse production system by applying a standard LCA based on a single
indicator that incorporates the intrinsic variation in each system and the
correlation structure between the impact categories.
• To develop a climate-based tomato model with the ability to simulate tomato
growth and development based on the growing patterns and management
practices applied by local farmers.
• To validate a soil-plant model for both tomato production systems in
Colombia, resulting from the integration of an adapted version of the tomato
model and a previously calibrated soil model.
• To objectively evaluate a set of nitrogen fertilization scenarios as alternatives
to improve the current environmental performance of the tomato production
systems in Colombia.
4
Chapter 2. Study areas and data acquisition methods
Published as: Gil, R., Bojacá, C. R., & Schrevens, E. (2019). Datasets of the
environmental factors and management practices of the smallholder tomato
production systems in the Colombian Andes. Data in brief, 24, 103844.
2.1. Introduction
Datasets presented here were employed in the main work “Understanding the
heterogeneity of smallholder production systems in the Andean tropics – The case of
Colombian tomato growers” (Gil et al., 2019a). In the Colombian Andes two tomato
production systems are prevailing: in the open field (OF) and using plastic covered
greenhouses (GH) both perceived to be of low technological input level. For OF, data
were acquired in five municipalities of the Guanentá province (Santander
department), while for GH, data belong to five municipalities of the Alto Ricaurte
province (Boyacá department). The data presented here includes information on soil
parental materials and climate variables (averages ± standard deviations) relevant
from the agricultural point of view, which were calculated from historical climate
series. Fertility data on long-term fallow soils, sampled in the production areas, are
also presented. After filtering the data, 67 soil samples were obtained for OF and 70
for the GH. For GH, a dataset with the results of 38 soil samples taken inside
greenhouses were paired with the results of samples taken outside these greenhouses
in uncropped fallow areas. In the case of these soil analyses, the data correspond to
tables with the results reported by the laboratory for both, chemical and physical
variables, for each location in which soil samples were taken. In this work, the main
dataset is one that contains the inputs of fertilizers and water, and the corresponding
yields of tomato production cycles managed by local growers. This information was
collected through two data collection tools: surveys (SVY) to growers about these
aspects in their last production cycle, and through detailed follow-ups of selected
production cycles (FWU). For the OF, we collected data from 71 cycles through the
surveys and 22 through the follow-ups, while for the GH, information from 138 and
38 tomato cycles was collected through surveys and follow-ups, respectively. The
Table 1 with the results aggregated by tomato cycle is attached.
Study areas and data acquisition methods
How data were acquired Government agencies, farmer’s interviews and on-field measurements
Data format Raw, filtered and analysed
Experimental factors We present a table and datasets that describes the environmental
heterogeneity in terms of the climate and the fertility in long-term fallow
soils for two representative tomato production areas in Colombia. In terms
of the soil fertility, the soil samples corresponded to uncultivated soils,
seeking to avoid that the results were influenced by the addition of
nutrients through fertilization or amendments. We also included data to
show the effect of continuous greenhouse tomato production on the soil
chemical and physical variables; in this case, the factor corresponds to the
place where the samples were taken, i.e. inside or outside the greenhouse.
Finally, a tomato production cycles dataset with aggregated inputs and
outputs, as well as some cultivation practices is included. This dataset has
two factors associated: the production zones and the tool used for data
collection, which correspond to surveys and a direct observation procedure
called follow-ups.
Experimental features Soil fertility dataset came from a systematic sampling of the soils in each
production region. Inside and outside, uncultivated fallow soil samples
were collected for selected greenhouse tomato production units. Finally,
an extensive data collection work was carried out using two data collection
tools to learn about the main management practices used by tomato
growers, as well as a quantification of the amount of fertilizers used and
the yield, they are able to obtain.
Data source location Data from open field tomato were collected in the Guanentá province
(latitude: 6º25’18.83’’ N, longitude: 73º10’03.18’’ W; average altitude:
1370 masl) located in the Santander department, 300 km northwest of
Bogotá, Colombia’s capital.
The main area dedicated to greenhouse tomato production is located in the
department of Boyacá, specifically in the Alto Ricaurte province (latitude:
5º39’37.30’’N, longitude: 73º34’57.46’’W; average altitude: 2070 masl),
located 165 km northwest of Bogotá. There data were collected.
6
Study areas and data acquisition methods
2.2. Data
The data presented in this article serve to describe the heterogeneity associated with
tomato production systems managed by small producers in the Colombian Andes.
Data used in this work came from two of the main tomato production areas in
Colombia, located in the provinces of Guanentá (Santander department) and Alto
Ricaurte (Boyacá department), where tomatoes are cropped under open field (OF) and
greenhouse (GH) conditions, respectively. The distance between the two production
zones is 115 km. An overview of both production systems is shown in Figure 1 for
GH and in Figure 2 for OF.
7
Study areas and data acquisition methods
8
Study areas and data acquisition methods
Figure 2. Overview of the open field tomato production system in the province of
Guanentá (Santander, Colombia).
9
Study areas and data acquisition methods
The landscape of the Guanentá province is formed by mountains and hills crossed by
rivers, which in some sectors form small riverbanks (Figure 3). For the GH zone, the
elevation profile of this study area, including the main soil parent materials, is
presented in Figure 4. In Table 2 the monthly variations of the main agroclimatic
variables are presented, from each production area. The datasets attached as
supplementary material in Gil et al. (2019a) corresponds to the fertility on long term
fallow soils defined based on a set of physico-chemical variables, see Appendix A in
Gil et al. (2019a), in both production areas (at 30 cm of depth). Also, a table with soil
analysis results of tomato production under greenhouse versus nearby uncultivated
lots is attached, see Appendix B in Gil et al. (2019a). Finally, we share data related to
crop management, fertilization and yield obtained from surveys and detail follow-ups,
collected on commercial tomato plots, see Appendix C in Gil et al. (2019a).
Figure 4. Elevation profile between the massif of Iguaque and the Merchán
Mountains, including the main types of parent materials.
10
Study areas and data acquisition methods
Table 2. Monthly averages and annual values (± standard deviations) for the climate
variables used to describe the weather in the provinces of Guanentá (Santander) and
Alto Ricaurte (Boyacá).
Province Month Temperature Relative Precipitation Solar radiation
(ºC) humidity (%) (mm) (MJ m-2 d-1)
Guanentá Jan 18.7 ± 0.58 78.5 ± 2.59 56.7 ± 5.54 17.9 ± 0.98
Feb 19.1 ± 0.72 77.5 ± 2.71 92.6 ± 7.82 18.0 ± 1.46
Mar 19.3 ± 0.66 78.5 ± 2.26 154.8 ± 9.89 17.1 ± 1.19
Apr 19.2 ± 0.52 80.9 ± 2.10 282.2 ± 13.28 15.8 ± 0.97
May 19.2 ± 0.50 82.5 ± 2.20 295.1 ± 12.37 15.2 ± 1.15
Jun 19.0 ± 0.56 82.2 ± 2.15 232.0 ± 10.95 15.2 ± 0.82
Jul 18.7 ± 0.53 81.7 ± 1.80 223.5 ± 11.08 16.2 ± 0.76
Aug 18.7 ± 0.56 81.7 ± 2.05 260.3 ± 11.63 16.7 ± 1.07
Sep 18.7 ± 0.59 81.9 ± 1.93 259.0 ± 11.50 16.6 ± 1.10
Oct 18.7 ± 0.51 82.6 ± 1.93 304.9 ± 12.52 15.9 ± 0.94
Nov 18.9 ± 0.53 82.6 ± 1.81 211.8 ± 10.77 15.8 ± 0.86
Dec 18.7 ± 0.51 81.2 ± 1.67 93.3 ± 7.86 16.8 ± 0.86
Annual 18.9 ± 1.0a 81.0 ± 2.10a 2466.3 ± 125.2b 197.3 ± 12.16b
values
Alto Jan 16.3 ± 0.50 74.0 ± 3.80 46.3 ± 4.72 17.0 ± 1.33
Ricaurte Feb 16.6 ± 0.61 73.5 ± 4.05 76.9 ± 6.04 17.1 ± 1.45
Mar 16.7 ± 0.55 75.5 ± 3.36 120.3 ± 7.91 15.9 ± 1.65
Apr 16.8 ± 0.43 76.8 ± 3.53 150.8 ± 8.71 14.9 ± 1.05
May 16.8 ± 0.33 77.1 ± 2.94 110.5 ± 7.35 14.6 ± 0.87
Jun 16.7 ± 0.42 74.0 ± 5.27 53.6 ± 4.89 14.6 ± 0.93
Jul 16.4 ± 0.29 72.6 ± 5.71 52.0 ± 4.67 15.3 ± 0.96
Aug 16.5 ± 0.34 71.8 ± 4.41 48.2 ± 4.71 15.8 ± 1.02
Sep 16.5 ± 0.50 71.9 ± 4.49 78.7 ± 6.32 15.7 ± 1.25
Oct 16.4 ± 0.38 77.0 ± 4.60 159.2 ± 8.55 14.8 ± 0.97
Nov 16.3 ± 0.33 78.8 ± 3.23 132.3 ± 7.59 14.4 ± 1.11
Dec 16.3 ± 0.44 76.7 ± 3.60 15.3 ± 1.58 15.3 ± 1.58
Annual 16.5 ± 1.1a 75.0 ± 4.00a 1115.1 ± 78.6b 185.4 ± 14.17b
values
a
Annual average
b
Annual sum
57 years for Santander (1958-2015), but both presented a high proportion of missing
data. From the dataset, we excluded years with strong or very strong affection of the
El Niño (1957, 1958, 1965, 1966, 1972, 1973, 1982, 1983, 1997, 1998, 2015, 2016)
and La Niña (1973, 1974, 1975, 1976, 1988, 1989), based on the Oceanic Niño Index
(ONI) calculated and published by the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration
(NOAA, 2016). With the filtered dataset, monthly averages (± standard deviation)
were calculated for four variables: precipitation (mm), temperature (ºC), relative
humidity (%) and solar radiation (MJ m-2 d-1). The solar radiation was estimated from
the hours of bright sunshine (hours day-1) since this variable was not included in the
original data. The incoming solar radiation was estimated from extra-terrestrial solar
radiation and relative sunshine hours, following the equation proposed by Angstrom
(1924)
f
85 = 895 t%& + %' v (1)
.o
where 85 is the daily total solar radiation above plant canopies (J m-2 day-1); 895 is the
extraterrestrial solar radiation (J m-2 day-1); %& and %' are empirical coefficients, f is
the duration of the sunshine (h day-1); DL is the day length (hours). The coefficients
%& and %' were determined according to dry tropical climate zones based on the values
proposed by Frere and Popov (1979) as 0.25 and 0.45, respectively. For extra-
terrestrial solar radiation and day length estimation, we followed the equations
proposed by Teh (2006), which take into account an eccentricity correction factor and
the local solar times.
Fertility in long-term fallow soils
Initially, in each production area, 75 soil samples were collected at 30 cm depth on
fallow plots between May and July 2015. Sampling spots were determined by a non-
aligned random sampling procedure and adjusted once on the field to sample only
uncropped soils. Based on the geographic coordinates of the sampling points, we
determined the altitude and slope using a 30 m digital elevation model (DEM). Soil
samples were processed at an accredited soil laboratory (ISO/IEC 17025:2005). The
analysis included chemical properties such as nitrate (NO-3 ), exchangeable ammonium
(NH+4 ), extractable phosphorus (P) and available potassium (K) contents, pH,
electrical conductivity of saturated soil-pastes (ECss), soil organic carbon (SOC); and
physical properties such as clay, silt and sand contents (%). Exchangeable NH+4 and
NO-3 were determined by extraction with KCl, and the solution was analyzed as
described by Bremner and Keeney (1966). Extractable P was determined by the Bray
II method, K was extracted with ammonium acetate (1:20) and determined by flame
photometry, pH in 1:1 soil:water suspension and ECss in soil saturated extract, SOC
by the wet oxidation method and texture was measured through a hydrometer. P and
K contents were transformed to P2O5 and K2O by multiplying them by 2.292 and
1.205, respectively.
Because some samples could correspond to recently cultivated soils and this would
cause over-estimates of the fertility level, a pre-treatment of the data were carried out
to detect and remove outlier records. For outlier detection the Mahalanobis distance
of each observation to the overall mean was calculated and thresholded. The
Mahalanobis distance was calculated using the following formula:
12
Study areas and data acquisition methods
13
Study areas and data acquisition methods
irrigation schedule, dosing and timing of inputs used in fertilization, as well as fruit
production. This procedure was conducted from soil preparation to the end of harvest.
In OF, we recorded data for 22 tomato cycles belonging to 10 farms, with four of them
being planted consecutively on the same plots. Under GH conditions, we recorded
data for 39 cycles established in nine farms, with 10 of them being consecutives. The
smaller number of consecutive cycles in OF is due to the crop rotations scheme
applied by each grower. Obviously, the FWU method is more time consuming than
the SVY method. FWU data collection took 16 months (from October 2011 to February
2013) for the OF and 30 months (from September 2010 to March 2013) for the GH.
From both data collection tools, the data recorded were aggregated in order to obtain
the total inputs (e.g. fertilizers) employed for the tomato production along with the
total yield achieved. For commercial fertilizers, the nutrient content was obtained
from the official information showed in the label. In the case of organic fertilizers,
samples were taken and analyzed to determine the concentration of nitrogen,
phosphorus and potassium.
All variables are georeferenced with coordinates in decimal degrees taken along to
the official geodesic datum for Colombia (MAGNA-SIRGAS).
14
Chapter 3. Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
Published as: Gil, R., Bojacá, C. R., & Schrevens, E. (2019). Understanding the
heterogeneity of smallholder production systems in the Andean tropics–The case of
Colombian tomato growers. NJAS-Wageningen Journal of Life Sciences, 88, 1-9.
Abstract
In developing countries, a common goal is to improve horticultural production
systems as a strategy to increase food security and to improve the living conditions of
these rural communities. However, smallholder-based agricultural systems are highly
heterogeneous due to the wide range of biophysical conditions to which the crops are
exposed, and the diversity in the management practices. In order to implement
programs aimed at improving the productivity of these systems it is necessary to
recognize its variability in quantitative terms. The main objective of this work was to
describe the heterogeneity associated to smallholder production systems, using as a
case study the Colombian tomatoes growers. Data were collected from two tomato
production zones located in the Colombian Andes and under two cropping systems
being the open field (OF) and the greenhouse (GH) production models. In both zones,
the climate was described based on historical records, soil samples were taken to
determine the long-term fallow soils fertility and the growers’ management practices
were inquired. We also compared two instruments for data collection, surveys and
detailed follow-ups. A higher heterogeneity in environmental conditions and
management practices was evidenced for the OF system compared to the GH system.
The fertilization strategies used by GH growers caused a significant increase in soil
nutrient content, electrical conductivity and acidity. We found a higher productivity
per square meter in the GH system, however the yield per plant was higher for the OF
system (47.5 t ha-1 cycle-1) in comparison with the GH system (87.5 t ha-1 cycle-1).
Results also indicated that follow-ups are an appropriate instrument to obtain accurate
inventories. Knowledge empowerment arises as the key point to improve the
smallholder’s productivities; in opposition to results elsewhere, where economic
constraints are highlighted as the important sources of variability and low yield.
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
3.1. Introduction
In developing countries, smallholder-based agricultural systems have great
importance from a socio-economic point of view. These low-tech systems are focused
on providing commodities demanded by domestic markets, at the minimum cost
without a proper business-oriented model in place. Moreover, on the technical side,
these production systems are characterized by a huge gap between actual and potential
yields (Ruben and Pender, 2004; Tittonell et al., 2008). This gap is due to multiple
factors, some of which are difficult to control, such as climate, while others rely on
decisions made by the growers related to crop management, especially factors such
as nutrient supply (Tittonell et al., 2008) and pest management. In addition, many
production areas have biophysical constraints such as low fertility in long-term fallow
soils, steep slopes, and strong climatic uncertainty, especially with regard to water
availability (Ruben and Pender, 2004). As a result, these production systems are
distinguished by a huge heterogeneity in relation to crop yields (Ruben and Pender,
2004), inputs employed (Bojacá et al., 2012) and the subsequent environmental
impact (Bojacá et al., 2014; Gil et al., 2017a). In this work, the term heterogeneity is
used to refer to a high-variation in quantitative variables, while the term diversity is
used to refer to the variability observed in categorical variables. Moreover, this
heterogeneity increases over time due to cycle-to-cycle variability in fertilization,
irrigation, pest and disease management and mechanization practices. This situation
threatens the existence of these production systems, especially when there is land use
competition for crops that offer higher profit margins and less susceptibility to
environmental factors, such as oil palm (Chenoune et al., 2016).
Currently, the need to increase food production to meet the demands of a growing
population (Licker et al., 2010), raises the interest to improve the productivity of
smallholder farming systems, as an alternative to reduce the expansion of the amount
of land under agriculture and inducing negative effects like deforestation and loss of
biodiversity (Vanlauwe et al., 2010). Smallholder systems have a greater potential to
increase productivity as compared to high-tech systems. In addition, improving the
productivity of those systems would also generate socio-economic benefits, such as
an increase in growers income, improvement of the rural infrastructure, and ultimately
raising the quality of smallholders’ lives (Ruben and Pender, 2004). However,
improving the productivity requires quantifying and understanding the current status
of the system, including its variability and uncertainty. This heterogeneity may
influence the variable performance of the new tools and technologies introduced to
improve productivity (Tittonell et al., 2010). On this basis, it has been proposed that
understanding the inherent heterogeneity of smallholder systems should be the first
task to properly orient agricultural innovations (Chenoune et al., 2016).
Acknowledging this heterogeneity will contribute to analyse other aspects such as the
environmental impact of these systems.
Nowadays, Colombia is recognized as an emerging economy with investment-grade
status; however, sectors such as agriculture still running on low technology
techniques, especially subsectors such as horticulture. The country seems to have
followed the standard policies of developing countries; which according to Ruben and
Pender (2004), has left aside investment in smallholders to focus entirely on high
potential agricultural production systems, seeking to promote rapid economic growth.
At present, with the recently signed peace agreement, a great deal of attention is
16
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
focused on the development of rural areas, not only those directly affected by the
conflict but the rural sector in general with special emphasis on smallholders
(Presidency of the Republic of Colombia, 2016). This will require investment in
research and development to improve these production systems. However, to allocate
resources in an efficient way, one must start with an up to date characterization
portraying how heterogeneous these systems are, while also explaining the causes of
this high-variation (Chenoune et al., 2016; Ruben and Pender, 2004).
The present work is a response to the limited body of information regarding the
diversity of smallholders’ agricultural systems in Latin America and with the certainty
that this type of knowledge helps to improve the overall performance of these systems.
We analysed the case of the tomato (Solanum lycopersicum L.) production system in
Colombia, which, in addition to being the main horticultural crop in the country, is
mostly developed by smallholders. Moreover, tomato is one of the main cropping
alternatives to promote the development of rural areas, since the country has extensive
agroclimatic zones suitable for this crop. Nowadays, tomato is mainly cultivated
under two production systems: open field (OF) and greenhouse (GH), whose planted
areas in 2014 were 14768 and 2305 ha, respectively (Agronet, 2018).
The main purpose of this work was to study the heterogeneity associated to
smallholder agricultural systems, using as a case study detailed data on Colombian
OF and GH tomato systems. The following three specific objectives are proposed: (I)
to describe the climate of the production zones under study as well as the spatial
variation of the soil properties driving its fertility; (II) to expose the variability in the
management practices under which tomato production is carried out by comparing the
information obtained from two sources of data: surveys and detailed follow-ups; and
(III) to analyse the agronomic efficiency of fertilizer use (nitrogen, phosphorus and
potassium) for each production system.
17
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
(Saccharum officinarum L.) while horticultural commodities, such as tomato, take the
second place. These two systems represent the extremes of smallholder tomato
production in Colombia, from the low input and low-tech production (OF) to a system
with higher inputs and higher technology level (GH) compared to OF, but low
compared to greenhouses in other latitudes.
Data related to climate, soil fertility and main characteristics of both productions
systems with emphasis on fertilization efficiency were employed for systems
description. Data analyses quantified the heterogeneity and compared its magnitude
between and within production systems depending on the data source. Special
attention was paid to the effect of the GH tomato production on soil fertility.
Climate
For each production zone, climate data were obtained from the Colombian
meteorological service agency (IDEAM). In Alto Ricaurte, the weather station was
located in the municipality of Villa de Leiva (5°39'12" N – 73°34'39" W; 2060 masl),
while in Guanentá the station was placed in the municipality of Mogotes (6°28'34" N
– 72°58'13" W; 1680 masl). For both regions, the climate records corresponded to
daily series spanning a 50-year period for Villa de Leiva station (1964-2014) and a
57-year period for Mogotes station (1958-2015); however, it is important to highlight
that these time series contain a high proportion of missing data. For climate
description purposes, we excluded the information of years with strong or very strong
El Niño or La Niña effects, based on the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI). The climate
variables included in the analysis were the monthly average precipitation (mm), daily
mean temperature (ºC), relative humidity (%) and solar radiation (MJ m-2 d-1). In
addition to the daily or monthly average, the standard deviation was calculated as a
measure of the intra-annual variation.
Fertility in long-term fallow soils
The fertility in long-term fallow soils was described based on 75 soils samples taken
within each production area between May and July 2015. The samples were collected
up to a 30 cm depth on fallow plots. Sampling spots were determined by a non-aligned
random sampling procedure and adjusted on the field to sample only uncropped soils.
Based on the geographic coordinates of the sampling points, we determined the
altitude and slope using a digital elevation model (DEM). Soil samples were
processed in the soil laboratory of the ‘Centro de Bio-Sistemas’, belonging to the
Universidad Jorge Tadeo Lozano. Soil samples were packed in plastic bags and
transported to the soil laboratory in around two days without refrigeration. The
analysis included chemical properties such as nitrate (NO-3 ), exchangeable ammonium
(NH+4 ) and extractable phosphorus (P), available potassium (K) contents, pH,
electrical conductivity of saturated soil-pastes (ECss), soil organic carbon (SOC); and
physical properties such as clay, silt and sand contents (%). Exchangeable NH+4 and
NO-3 were determined by extraction with KCl, and the solution was analysed as
described by Bremner and Keeney (1966). Available P was determined by the Bray
II method, K was extracted with ammonium acetate (1:20) and determined by flame
photometry, pH in soil:water suspension (1:1) and ECss in soil saturated extract, SOC
by the wet oxidation method and texture was measured through a hydrometer.
18
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
19
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
For the follow-ups, we selected among the surveyed growers a group of farmers to
carry out detailed inquiries on consecutive tomato production cycles. At the beginning
of each production cycle, we measured some crop features such as planted area, plant
density, and features associated to the available infrastructure. Remaining features
were recorded through weekly interviews with the growers, focused on crop
management practices including time and resources allocation, irrigation schedule,
dosing and timing for inputs used in fertilization, as well as fruit production. The
follow-ups were conducted from soil preparation to the end of harvest. In Guanentá,
we collected data on 32 production cycles, from October 2011 to February 2013.
Since OF tomato is rotated with other horticultural crops, just 22 of them
corresponded to tomato cycles. For the GH system we recorded activities on 39
tomato cycles located in nine farms from September 2010 up to March 2013. As no
crop rotation is involved under GH system, all information collected was related to
tomatoes. A schematic sequence of the production cycles of the follow-up dataset can
be seen in Figure 5.
20
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
Figure 5. Tomato crop cycles observed during the follow-up data collection period in the (A) OF and (B) GH systems. Each segment represents
the cycle length from transplanting until the end of harvest.
21
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
Finally, an agronomic efficiency of fertilizer use (AEF), in which, tomato yield was
divided by the amount of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium applied by each grower,
was calculated. For this purpose the approach proposed by Aujla et al. (2007) for
nitrogen, extended for phosphorus and potassium, was used, as shown below:
'$
!"#$% = (3)
(#$%
where, !"#$,% is the agronomic efficiency of fertilizer use for the jth fertilizer (j =
nitrogen, phosphorus or potassium) and for the ith grower, '$ is the yield obtained by
the ith grower (kg ha-1) and (#$% is the amount of fertilizer used by each grower (kg
ha-1). This !"# is reported as kg tomato yield per kg of fertilizer applied. The results
were used to compare the Colombian production systems to others elsewhere.
Data analysis was carried out in the same way as for the soil fertility dataset. After
outlier detection and exclusion, descriptive statistics such as the mean and median
were used to describe the centrality of the considered variables, while the *+ was
included to quantify the variability. As the is invariant to measurement units, it
allowed comparing the variation degree between data sources and production systems.
The final dataset for crop management contained 71 and 138 tomato cycles
characterized by surveys for OF and GH systems, respectively; while 22 (OF) and 38
(GH) cycles were characterized by detailed follow-ups. All statistical procedures
described above were implemented through the R statistical software (Team R Core,
2017).
3.3. Results
Climate
Figure 6 shows the average monthly precipitation and daily temperature throughout
an average year in both production zones. A bimodal rainfall pattern was observed for
monthly precipitation in both zones (Figure 6A). However, in Guanentá, average
(±standard deviation) annual rainfall is higher (2466.3 ± 125.2 mm) compared to Alto
Ricaurte (1115.1 ± 78.6 mm). In addition, rainfall seasons are more intense in
Guanentá province occurring between the strong dry season of December and
February and the mild dry season of June and August. This rainfall distribution
ensures a good water supply during most of the year; although topography in this zone
restricts the access to water near the mountain tops. Oppositely, the water supply is
drastically reduced in Alto Ricaurte during its two dry seasons, which occur between
December-February and June-August (Guerrero and Torres, 2016). Regarding
temperature, Guanentá has higher temperatures throughout the year as compared with
Alto Ricaurte (Figure 6B). In Guanentá, the average (±standard deviation) annual
temperature is 18.9±1.0ºC while in Alto Ricaurte is 16.5±1.1ºC. However, the
temperature exhibits a greater spatial variation, especially in Guanentá due to the
mountainous landscape. Simultaneous climatic records on two tomato crops, one
located at 1700 m (6°25'15" N, 73°11'56" W) and the other at 1150 m (6°28'55 "N,
73°06'54" O) and distanced by 11.5 km, presented average daily temperatures of 19.5
and 22.8ºC, respectively. The low average temperature in the Alto Ricaurte
production zone is the main reason why farmers use greenhouses structures for tomato
production. In contrast to precipitation, the temperature does not show a strong
seasonal trend, although the maximum temperatures are usually recorded between
22
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
February and March (26.9ºC in Guanentá and 23.6ºC in Alto Ricaurte). Regarding the
relative humidity (RH), the annual average (±standard deviation) is lower in Alto
Ricaurte province (75±4.1%) compared to Guanentá (81±2.1%) and variations
throughout the year follow the same trend as the rainfall (Figure 6C). Finally, solar
radiation exhibited a similar trend as the temperature (Figure 6D), without showing a
marked seasonality; however, the annual average (±standard deviation) is slightly
higher in Guanentá (16.44±1.01 MJ m-2 d-1) than in Alto Ricaurte (14.45±1.18 MJ m-
2 -1
d ).
23
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
Figure 6. Average monthly precipitation (A), daily temperature (B), relative humidity (C) and solar radiation (D) of the production regions of
Boyacá and Santander. For precipitation, error bars represent ± the standard deviation, while for the other variables are the shaded area is that
indicates ± the standard deviation.
24
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
Soils
The results of the mean differences test between both provinces indicated that all soil
properties showed significant differences with the exception of NO-3 content and SOC.
According to the results, the tomato production area in Guanentá province has sandier
textures, steeper slopes, higher content of NH+4 and higher soil acidity; but lower P
and K contents, as well as a lower ECss, as compared with Alto Ricaurte (Table 3).
Concerning data distribution, in both production areas, most of the variables had
positive skewness; that is, a higher data proportion with values below the mean were
observed.
Table 3. Fertility characterization in long-term fallow soils used for tomato production
in open field (Santander) and under greenhouse (Boyacá) production systems. The
coefficient of variation (CV) is expressed as a percentage.
Variable Unit Open field Greenhouse p-value
Mean Median CV Mean Median CV
-1
Ammonium mg kg 10.59 9.00 55 8.28 6.25 73 <0.05
(NH+4 )
25
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
asymmetry were NO-3 , NH+4 , P and K contents. The main difference between both
production zones, with respect to data distribution, was observed for terrain slope.
While in Guanentá the slope is distributed symmetrically, in Alto Ricaurte it has a
slight positive skewness. The only variables that consistently showed a symmetric
distribution were the content of clay and sand (soil texture).
Regarding the variation, the !" revealed that soil properties in both production zones
exhibited a high heterogeneity. However, with exception of the P, K and clay content,
other variables showed a greater variation degree in Alto Ricaurte. Although
variations are function of the production area, largest ones (in order of importance)
were detected for NO-3 , P, NH+4 and ECss, in both zones, but the latter with a
particularly high !" in Alto Ricaurte province (115 %). On the other hand, pH was
the variable that showed the lowest variation in both production zones; however, it
should be taken into account that pH is expressed on a logarithmic scale. The
skewness shown for most of the variables in both production zones, together with the
high !" indicate a huge heterogeneity in soil fertility, which is particularly low in
Guanentá province.
Regarding the PCA results, the total variance explained for the first two components
was 51.52% with 34.45% explained by the first component and 17.07% by the second
component. Figure 7 shows the biplot for the first two components describing the
correlational structure between soil properties. The first factorial axis discriminates
the soils by location and associates the characteristic properties to each zone.
However, data distribution on the factorial plane, moving away from the biplot center
in different directions, shows the soil heterogeneity, even within the same production
area. Different degrees of correlation were observed based on the cosine angle formed
between each pair of variables. A high positive correlation was observed between pH
and P availability; since in both zones, soils are acid (Table 3). The correlation
indicates that a lower soil acidity generates a greater availability of P. Also, a high
positive correlation was observed between the sand content and NH+4 ; this relationship
is observed because a higher proportion of sand limits the NH+4 nitrogen adsorption
by the clay fraction.
26
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
27
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
chemical properties on surface soil layers (0-30 cm) are more susceptible to being
modified by agricultural practices management; which agrees with what was reported
by Yemefack et al. (2005).
Table 4. Soil properties comparison between uncultivated soils and those used for
tomato production under the GH system. The coefficient of variation (CV) is
expressed as a percentage.
Uncultivated Soils under
Variable Unit soils greenhouses p-value
Mean CV Mean CV
Ammonium
mg kg-1 13.80 88 34.50 55 <0.05
(NH+4 )
Nitrate (NO-3 ) mg kg-1 10.66 133 71.82 82 <0.05
Bray-II
phosphorus mg kg-1 98.74 126 510.77 132 <0.05
(P2O5)
Exchangeable
mg kg-1 280.75 132 535.85 93 <0.05
potassium (K2O)
pH in soil:water
6.13 18 6.57 16 0.08
(1:1)
ECssa dS m-1 0.58 101 2.57 52 <0.05
Soil organic
% 1.73 67 1.95 64 0.42
carbon
Sand % 30.25 39 35.24 34 0.07
Clay % 41.76 23 41.83 22 0.97
a
Electrical conductivity of saturated soil-pastes
General characteristics of tomato production systems
The main characteristics of tomato production systems are described below; firstly,
as a general overview and afterwards the emphasis is on management practices,
particularly those related to NPK fertilization.
In the OF system, the small processing-type chonto tomato is cultivated while under
the GH system both, chonto and beefsteak-type tomatoes are cropped. In both
systems, production is carried out almost exclusively on soil (OF = 100%, GH =
99.28%), starting with four weeks old seedlings. In both zones, hybrid cultivars with
a high genetic potential are planted; under GH the two main cultivars are planted by
80.1% of the growers; while in OF there is a greater diversity of chonto cultivars, and
the chonto percentage drops to 38.1%. All tomato production is destined to fresh
consumption in the Colombian local markets. Under both systems, plants are guided
by a training system consisting of a wooden structure between which galvanized wires
are tightened. Because of crop rotation in the OF system, the training system is
installed and removed for each cropping cycle, while under the GH system a
permanent training structure is set-up. Greenhouses are naturally ventilated,
consisting of a wooden structure covered with a single sheet of polyethylene, without
28
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
active climate control systems. Most of the GH farmers prune stems (98.6%), to have
vigorous monopodial plants, but also senescent leaves (99.3%) and even fruits
(24.5%) are pruned; while the OF farmers omit all these practices. Unlike the GH
system, which is dedicated exclusively to tomato production, many OF smallholders
rotate tomato with other horticultural species (58.8%) such as corn (Zea mays), green
beans (Phaseolus vulgaris), cucumber (Cucumis sativus) and squash (Cucurbita spp.).
Tomato growers are also characterized by a low associativity level (no growers
associations or similar were found) and consequently, their trading power with
suppliers and customers is also low. The farmer’s educational level ranges from basic
to secondary levels (84.2%), but this does not imply that they have received
agricultural-oriented formation. Growers infrequently share information with each
other, but access to extension services is relatively high (OF = 55.3%; GH = 78.0%);
however, these services are mostly provided by agrochemical dealers (OF = 48.7%;
GH = 69.3%) whose impartiality is questionable due to their commercial interests. As
a consequence, each producer is basing his decision-making mainly on his own
experience. The growers have a relatively low experience in tomato cultivation, in the
OF system 90% of the producers have an experience less than 6 years, while in GH
this experience time reaches 10 years.
Tomato fertilization is carried out using both organic and inorganic sources. As
indicated by the detailed follow-ups, nitrogen (N) input comes mostly from inorganic
sources (OF = 83.1%, GH = 68.6%), while the remaining is applied in the form of
organic sources. In the OF system, the most used inorganic fertilizers are NPK multi-
nutrient solid fertilizers and the most frequent formula are 15-4-23 (22.8%), 10-30-
10 (20.6%) and 15-15-15 (11.0%). Under the GH system, the most used fertilizers are
soluble multi-nutrient represented by a great diversity of brands, along with nitrate
salts of calcium, magnesium, and potassium. In both systems, chicken manure (OF =
53.7%, GH = 45.7%) is the preferred organic fertilizer source. Growers commonly
use chicken manure because Guanentá province is an important area of poultry
production (Guerrero and Torres, 2016); consequently, manure is an abundant and
cheap organic source, which is used by both, OF and GH growers. The fertilization
method is different for each production area. In Guanentá, solid fertilizers are diluted
in water, sometimes mixed with organic sources or amendments such as lime, which
are manually applied per plant; this procedure is repeated several times along the
production cycle. In contrast, 100% of the GH growers apply highly soluble fertilizers
through basic fertigation systems.
Tomato production systems description
Table 5 presents the main characteristics of the two tomato production systems under
study. We emphasise on the #$% for NPK fertilizers. In the OF system, a lower
planting density is used, the production cycles are shorter, larger areas are planted and
the yield per hectare is lower as compared to the GH system. Regarding productivity,
although it is higher per square meter in the GH system, when standardized by the
planting density, we observed that the plant average yields were higher for the OF
system (4.88 kg plant-1) in comparison with GH system (2.84 kg plant-1). In the OF
system, the surveyed growers reported an average yield 18.8% lower than the one
calculated through the follow-ups; while for the GH system it was the opposite,
surveyed growers reported an average yield 38.22% higher than the one determined
with the follow-ups. Yield !" calculated from the follow-ups showed a lower
29
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
variability (OF = 66%, GH = 54%) than the one obtained by the surveys (OF = 120%,
GH = 75%). In the OF system the water supply by irrigation presented the lowest
median (Table 5) and simultaneously the highest !"; this is due to the dependence of
the crop on rainfall, which is highly variable. Under the GH system, the water input
comes entirely from the irrigation, and contrary to OF, it is a variable with relatively
low degree of variation. Based on these results, it was established that OF yields have
a greater degree of uncertainty in comparison to those of the GH system.
Table 5 demonstrates the unproportional amounts of fertilizers used by growers in the
production of tomatoes under greenhouses, up to 437, 410 and 665 kg ha-1 cycle-1 of
N, P2O5 and K2O respectively. The above values are given in relation to the median
of the AEF calculated on the basis of the data obtained from the detailed follow-ups.
These results justify the necessity to evaluate strategies that will lead to a reduction
in the amount of fertilizers applied (e.g. nitrogen) in order to improve the tomato
production profitability along with its environmental performance.
30
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
Table 5. Main features of the open field and greenhouse tomato systems determined through surveys and detailed follow-ups.
Open field Greenhouse
Production factor Unit Survey Follow-up Survey Follow-up
Mean Median CV Mean Median CV Mean Median CV Mean Median CV
Plant density plants m-2 1.3 1.2 27 1.1 1.1 28 3.0 3.1 17 3.0 3.0 15
Cycle duration days 116.0 112.0 9 114.0 109.0 15 186.0 183.0 16 166.0 166.0 12
Cultivated area m2 4986.4 4000.0 78 6004 3750 103 2522.7 2425 43 3000.6 2835 46
Yield t ha-1 43.6 35.9 53 53.7 47.5 50 117.9 111.1 45 85.3 87.5 37
-2
Irrigation lm 387.1 230.4 129 120.3 46.5 152 603.2 495.2 65 521.7 467.5 65
Precipitation mm 916.4 912.0 10 220.5 231.0 36 - - - - - -
-1
AEF, total kg kg N 645.6 254.8 215 370.1 264.5 77 241.7 183.3 82 272.6 200.2 66
nitrogen
AEF, phosphorus kg kg-1 701.6 207.5 258 278.7 183.2 79 249.8 168.9 211 435.0 213.6 123
P2O5
AEF, potassium kg kg-1 803.5 233.2 305 221.8 157.5 59 190.2 136.2 121 162.9 131.5 67
K2O
31
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
3.4. Discussion
In the study zones, the contrast in climatic conditions shows the heterogeneous
conditions in which horticultural production takes place in Colombia. While in
Guanentá province, the climate is warm and humid, in Alto Ricaurte it is cold and
dry; both zones have bimodal rainfall distributions and strong spatial variations in
temperature caused by the mountainous landscape, especially in Guanentá (Figure 4).
Although smallholders seem to be aware of constraints imposed by the climate, they
adapt trying to find genotypes able to tolerate rough weather conditions; in OF
systems, this is especially evident by the greater diversity of cultivars planted. They
also appeal to planting during favorable periods or building low-tech structures to
protect plants from extreme conditions. However, the use of climate control
technologies to create a comfortable environment for plants is not a priority, even for
farmers that use greenhouses. As a consequence of the low-tech greenhouses used,
the internal microclimate strongly depends on external conditions (Bojacá et al.,
2009). This means that Colombian smallholder farmers, as well as in other parts of
the world (e.g. Africa), are highly susceptible to the constraints imposed by the
climate (Tittonell et al., 2007).
32
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
The results of the present work showed low fertility soils, especially in the OF
production zone; associated to a high heterogeneity, mainly observed in Alto Ricaurte
where tomato is cropped under GH (see Table 3). In the OF production zone, the
tropical soils are characterized by high acidity levels and low concentrations of total
N and P, mainly due to the high precipitation regime during a large part of the year
(Haileslassie et al., 2005). This general description for tomato production systems
agrees with literature reports that associate smallholder agricultural production with
low fertility and heterogeneous soils (Haileslassie et al., 2005; Tittonell et al., 2007;
Yemefack et al., 2005). Given the scant information about the effect of low-tech
greenhouse production systems handled by smallholders on soil fertility, our results
are novel by showing an unbalanced nutrient enrichment of the soil top layer. This is
the opposite of the results reported for agricultural soils managed by smallholders in
other developing countries (e.g. in Africa), in which depletion of soil fertility has been
documented (Haileslassie et al., 2005). But this increase in nutrient soil stock does not
necessarily mean an increase of the tomato yield because other factors such as specific
nutrient deficiencies or too low pH’s values constrain the effects of fertilizer
application.
The high concentration of some nutrients such as total N and P on the topsoil layer
poses a risk to the environment (Kwong et al., 2002). While soils remain covered by
greenhouses, the mobility of these nutrients will be constrained by reduced water
inputs, however, emissions to the air by volatilization and denitrification can be
expected. However, if these soils return to OF production systems a flow of the
accumulated nutrients toward water sources during the rainy seasons by runoff and
leaching will certainly occur (Kwong et al., 2002).
Regarding the data sources employed, the results showed that the survey has a greater
uncertainty ($%>120% in OF and $%>75% in GH) compared with the follow-ups. It
is important to highlight that smallholders rely on their memory to keep record of the
management practices such as fertilization. Additionally, smallholders vary their
strategies from cycle to cycle making it difficult to characterize the system with a
snapshot instrument such as the survey. On the other hand, follow-ups are more time-
consuming, expensive and the numbers of observed cycles generally are lower.
Despite the above, the follow-ups offer a higher resolution, especially concerning
input and output inventories. We suggest the follow-ups as the collection instrument
in cases where, in addition to the socio-economic characterization, data will be used
to estimate system efficiency and environmental impacts where high accuracy is
required.
The results of the present study also expose the diversity of management practices
employed by growers, leading in interaction with climate, environment and genotype
to very different final yields (Tittonell and Gilller, 2013). The results show important
variations for both AEF (CV>59%) and application methods, ranging from the
dilution of solid fertilizers mixed with organic fertilizers and amendments in OF, to
the use of fertigation under GH. This diversity in fertilization practices, along with
pest and disease management, not included in this work, caused the observed
heterogeneity in yields; similar cases have been documented in other production
systems managed by smallholders (Bojacá et al., 2012; Tittonell et al., 2007, 2005).
In this regard, it should be noted that the lower variation found in the GH production
system has been associated with less dependency on environmental conditions,
33
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
achieved by the plastic isolation (Gruda, 2005). Regarding to the AEF, in absence of
a local reference that relates the potential tomato yield to the amounts of NPK-
fertilizers necessary to obtain it; we use as a reference the averages calculated from
Hatirli et al. (2006), Boulard et al. (2011), Torrellas et al. (2012), and Payen et al.
(2015) for greenhouse tomato crops grown in soil; which were 359.5 (kg kg-1 N),
433.5 (kg kg-1 P2O5) and 222.7 (kg kg-1 K2O), respectively. Comparing these values
with our results (medians) it is clear that a wide margin to improve the AEF in local
systems is still present. It is known that small farmers’ knowledge is a determining
factor to decide the amount of fertilizers used, and it seems that they have the pre-
established idea that a larger fertilizers application always leads to a yields increase
(Pishgar-Komleh et al., 2017; Tittonell et al., 2008, 2007). Therefore, these results
generate concerns from both an economic and environmental point of view. Tomato
growers seem to have a high-risk aversion and decide to invest in excessive
fertilization doses to be confident that no yield reduction will occur due to this
production factor. In Colombia, the inadequate fertilization strategy by tomato
growers not only decreases the efficiency of the system but also increase soil nutrient
stocks and therefore, increase the risk of environmental pollution, as was shown for
the GH system. On the other hand, in OF systems higher fertilization rates together
with a high precipitation regime create the ideal conditions for nutrient (N and P)
losses through leaching and runoff.
Contrary to the African scenario, where low efficiencies and heterogeneity observed
in smallholder systems are associated, additionally to climate and soil natural
variations, to low fertilization rates due to economic constraints (Ruben and Pender,
2004; Tittonell et al., 2005); high productive potentials seeds and high fertilization
rates show that farmer’s endowments are not the main cause of current low yields. In
this sense, our results show a huge potential to increase productivity in tomato
production in systems managed by smallholders in the Colombian Andes. However,
achieving this purpose is conditioned by understanding the biophysical constraints in
the production zones and diversity of management practices employed by growers.
This is a well-documented prerequisite to be able to define locally adapted alternatives
aimed at increasing farmer’s yields (Tittonell et al., 2010, 2007; Vanlauwe et al.,
2010). According to Vanlauwe et al. (2010), a realistic approach should be based on
agroclimatic zones delimitation and characterization to develop standardized
practices addressed to increase productivity and this aligned with farmer’s
endowments; and at the same time chasing an increase in the farmer’s knowledge
level.
The low knowledge level of smallholders is not only related to their education level
but is also associated with other shortcomings such as restricted access to truthful and
unbiased information sources, and the lack of cooperation amongst growers.
Regarding the sources of information, our results showed that small producers access
extension services mainly from agricultural input suppliers and to a lesser extend from
universities and research institutes; while extension services from governmental
agencies are almost no existing. Grower’s exposure to low-quality information
sources creates skepticism regarding the adoption of new technologies and/or results
of research processes. Recently, Weber and McCann (2015) found that knowledge
transfer is less likely to be adopted by growers when coming from agrochemical
dealers. On the other hand, the low organization level limits the flow of information
among producers, which has been recognized as an important factor to increase the
34
Tomato smallholder systems in the Colombian Andes
3.5. Conclusions
In Colombia, smallholder tomato growers face the commercial-oriented production
by planting high production potential genotypes, which they grow in heterogeneous
climatic conditions and on soils with low fertility levels, in some cases characterized
by properties (e.g. pH) that could limit the crop response to the fertilization. Despite
this, growers resort to excessive fertilization as the main strategy to increase
production, which results in highly variable yields.
With respect to data sources, surveys consistently showed greater variation in the
amount of inputs employed in the production cycle compared to follow-ups. This is
due to the fact that smallholders do not keep formal records about input-output
relations in their production cycles, as a consequence surveys are an ineffective
instrument to capture data concerning input-output inventories. As an alternative, we
evaluated and proposed to carry out detailed follow-ups on production cycles;
although, the sample size is reduced, and it is a time-consuming method compared to
surveys.
Despite the current low fertilizer use efficiencies, there is an enormous potential to
increase the yields of smallholders based on relatively small changes in the
fertilization practices. However, this increase seems to be strongly conditioned by an
increase in farmer’s knowledge. Yield improvements demand changes in the
fertilization strategy; leaving aside over-fertilization practices and instead, adopt a
soil management strategy based on soil analysis, plant requirements and amend the
soil factors that limit the plant nutrient uptake. Until this happens, mismanagement
practices carried out by growers could be increasing the risk by creating favorable
conditions for nutrients losses to the environment.
35
Chapter 4. Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse
systems
Gil, R., Bojacá, C. R., & Schrevens, E. (2019). Accounting for correlational structures
in stochastic comparative life cycle assessments through copula modelling. Submitted
to The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment
Abstract
In many cases, the univariate distribution of environmental indicators does not follow
the Gaussian distribution. Moreover, these environmental indicators are correlated,
therefore, it is necessary to build joint multivariate sampling spaces for life cycle
assessment (LCA) uncertainty analyses. The copula method allows to model any type
of multivariate joint distributions. This article integrates the copula and the stochastic
multi-attribute analysis (SMAA) methods to perform the normalization and weighting
steps in a comparative agricultural LCA. An attributional LCA was performed to
compare the environmental impact of two tomato production systems (GH:
greenhouse; OF: open field) with different intensification levels. The primary data
used for the inventory came from direct data collection carried out on tomato
production cycles from two of the main production regions in Colombia. To choose
the best environmental performance system, we implemented the outranking
procedure of the SMAA method. As required by the SMAA method, initially, we
fitted skewed multivariate distributions among the environmental indicators but
accounting for their correlation structure through the copula method. Afterwards, the
standard SMAA procedure was followed, leading to the calculation of overall scores
indicating the environmental performance of the systems under comparison. After
individual LCAs were performed for each grower, the variability observed in the
primary data was propagated to the environmental indicators. The marginal
distributions of the environmental indicators showed a right skewed trend which were
fitted to gamma, log-normal or Weibull distributions as applicable. The application
of the copula method for the environmental indicators of the GH and OF systems
resulted in D-vine models consisting of 46 and 45 bivariate copulae requiring 47
parameters each, respectively. Sampling the multivariate space configured by the D-
vine models and integrating it with the SMAA method, indicated that the OF system
is more likely to have a better environmental performance with a rank acceptability
index (RAI) of 57.6% than the GH system which resulted in a 42.4%. We applied a
stochastic unbiased approach to compare the environmental performance of
agricultural systems but recognizing the correlation structure of the indicators. The
copula method introduced here can be applied to uncertainty or multi-criteria decision
analysis where correlation needs to be accounted for. Joining the copula and the
SMAA methods to produce an unbiased preference indicator allows to evaluate
scenarios in a realistic way producing results that can easily be communicated.
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
4.1. Introduction
To date, life cycle assessments (LCA) have been established as the topmost method
to assess the environmental impact of a product, service or system. This method is
applied to all types of industries, technologies, locations, and scales of analysis. As
LCAs is governed by a series of ISO standards (ISO, 2006a, 2006b), the main stages
and components to carry out an LCA are well defined. However, the LCA method is
under constant scrutiny by a scientific community aiming to improve its reliability
and applicability, as observed by its dauntingly growing body of literature.
The optional normalization and weighting steps in the life cycle impact assessment
(LCIA) stage are among those issues under permanent debate (Kägi et al., 2016).
Normalization involves dividing the potential impact per unit of emissions by the
impact score of a reference situation per person per year (Huijbregts et al., 2003).
Weighting is carried out to obtain one single dimensionless indicator that represents
the overall performance of the indicators included in a LCIA (Kalbar et al., 2017).
Several approaches for performing the normalization and weighting steps are
available; however, the robustness and uncertainty of these approaches remain a
matter of concern by the LCA community (Pizzol et al., 2017).
Prado-Lopez et al. (2014) proposed an alternative approach to normalization and
weighting based on stochastic multi-attribute analysis (SMAA) using internal
normalization by outranking and stochastically exploring weight sets treating all
impact categories as equal. This proposal is intended to overcome the limitations,
biases and distortions produced by the current approaches. By performing a
comparative LCA of laundry detergents, the authors concluded that their approach
avoids masking criteria and includes multiple perspectives while generating better
information for decision makers. SMAA is a multicriteria decision-support analysis
(MCDA) based on the weight space, approximated by a very large sample of
randomly extracted vector of weights (Greco et al., 2017). The outcome of the method
is represented by an acceptability index, that is, the probability for a certain alternative
to become best, based on the weight distributions used by the method (Lahdelma et
al., 1998). As a stochastic approach, SMAA eliminates the subjectivity and value
judgment factors commonly present in many weighting tools, such as the standard
MCDA (Myllyviita et al., 2014).
Recently, SMAA has been considered, among the various MCDA methods available,
to support environmental decisions (e.g., Domingues et al., 2015; Islam et al., 2015;
Reza et al., 2014). However, to our knowledge, application of the SMAA method for
comparative LCAs has been minimal, at least based on the published scientific
literature (Dias et al., 2016; Reeb et al., 2016). This article builds upon the proposal
of Prado-Lopez et al. (2014) considering the implementation procedure described by
Prado and Heijungs (2018) and applied to the agricultural sector more specifically for
comparing the environmental performance of two tomato production systems,
namely, greenhouse (GH) and open field (OF) systems.
Agriculture is under permanent pressure; on the one hand, there is an increasing need
to feed the growing population worldwide; on the other hand, the current management
practices for most production systems lead to poor environmental performance (Van
Kernebeek et al., 2016). Therefore, globally, the agricultural community is working
to develop new means of production and technologies and to develop alternative
37
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
production systems that meet the demands of the population at all levels (Ponisio et
al., 2016). From an environmental point of view, a comparison of production systems
is a challenging task since agricultural production systems are subjected to natural
biophysical variability in time and space.
In their paper, Prado-Lopez et al. (2014) assumed lognormal distributions for each
inventory input, while in their article describing the implementation of the SMAA
method, Prado-Lopez and Heijungs (2018) assumed the distributions of the
environmental indicators were normal. The environmental performance of an
agricultural production system at a regional level entails inventory data collection for
a set of representative production units. The biophysical variability in these
production units is the one that defines the uncertainty in the inventory data and allows
the construction of actual probability density functions required by the outranking
procedure of the SMAA method instead of assuming theoretical probability
distributions.
On the other hand, the distributions of environmental indicators cannot be treated as
independent since they represent linear transformations of inventory data; therefore,
univariate sampling of these distributions does not consider the highly correlated
structure of the environmental indicators (Bojacá and Schrevens, 2010). For
comparative LCAs, it is important to address uncertainty properly because ignoring
the correlation between input parameters can lead to an incorrect estimation of the
output variance, which can result in an incorrect decision-making process (Groen and
Heijungs, 2017). Recognizing the dependence structure among environmental
indicators requires incorporating multivariate random sampling procedures for
methods such as SMAA, while recognizing that in many cases, the univariate
distribution of environmental indicators does not follow the well-known Gaussian
distribution (Bojacá et al., 2014; Heuts et al., 2012). Therefore, building multivariate
sampling spaces that consider the marginal probability distributions of the
environmental indicators are required.
To overcome the aforementioned issues related to the probability density functions of
environmental indicators, we introduce the copula method to generate multivariate
distributions that can be used in the outranking step of the SMAA method. The copula
method is a solution for the demand of non-Gaussian models in sectors such as
finance, climate research, environmental sciences, medicine and physics (Dißmann et
al., 2013). Modeling dependent observations through copulae allows combining
potentially different marginal distributions into a multivariate distribution, in which
the starting point is the marginal distributions rather than a derivation by integration
based on the parent multivariate distribution (Danaher and Smith, 2011).
The concept, and the name, of copulae was introduced in Sklar’s theorem (Sklar,
1959) as shown below. Consider a d-dimensional cumulative density function, F, with
marginal F1, …, Fd. There exists a copula C, such that:
#('1, … , '+) = .(#1('1), … , #+('+); q) (4)
where xi Î R; q Î R; i=1,…,d; with q being the copula parameters measuring the
dependence among marginal distributions. q parameters depend on the specific
copula shape selected. Therefore, the copula function acts as a binder between the
joint distribution and the marginal ones (Kayalar et al., 2017).
38
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
4.2. Methods
To fulfill the objectives of this work, we first present the procedure used to perform a
standard LCA for this case study, and then, when describing the normalization and
weighting steps, we highlight the procedure used to incorporate the SMAA method
and improve the method. The goal of the present attributional LCA was to compare
the environmental impact of two tomato production systems with different
intensification levels. The LCA was performed following the ISO 14040 and 14044
(ISO, 2006a, 2006b) standards that are described in the previous sections.
The two tomato production systems compared are GH and OF systems, which can be
established across several regions in Colombia year-round. Due to the wide range of
microclimates present in the intra- and inter-mountainous regions of Colombia, open
field and greenhouse tomato crops are cultivated without distinction. From a market
point of view, there is no product differentiation related to whether the tomato comes
from an open field or from a greenhouse for the consumer. In addition, consumers
prefer the processing type cultivars, locally known as “chonto” tomatoes, which
growers plant in both production systems.
39
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
40
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
41
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
42
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
MAETP were estimated using the uniform system for the evaluation of substances
adapted for LCA purposes from the Van Zelm et al. (2009) model, in the same way
as reported by Bojacá et al. (2014).
Normalization and weighting
To compare the environmental performance between OF and GH tomato production
systems considering the aforementioned impact categories, we implemented the
SMAA method as described by Prado-Lopez and Heijungs (2018). The outranking
procedure of the SMAA method generated an overall ranking of alternatives while
considering the uncertainty in the performances. In summary, the outranking
procedure steps were (1) defining a preference function, (2) calculating the outranking
scores, (3) generating stochastic weights, (4) calculating overall scores and (5)
defining a rank acceptability index. For the detailed description of these steps, the
reader can reference Prado-Lopez and Heijungs (2018).
The inputs for the outranking procedure were the distributions of the environmental
indicators of the alternatives under consideration. Since the primary data for the OF
and GH systems were collected for several production cycles, we had the variability
required to fit statistical distributions to the ten environmental indicators. However,
as indicated at the beginning of this article, the correlation structure among the
environmental indicators should be considered if a random sampling Monte Carlo
procedure is applied, as occurs with the SMAA method.
The first step was to fit theoretical statistical distributions to each environmental
indicator. Due to the skewed nature of the data, we selected the lognormal, gamma
and Weibull probability distributions as initial options to fit the observed data, using
the package fitdistrplus (Delignette-Muller and Dutang, 2015) from the R statistical
software package (version 3.5.1., R Core Team, 2018). The final selection of the
statistical distribution for each environmental indicator was based on the Akaike and
Bayesian information criteria.
To build multivariate distributions, the starting point is the recursive decomposition
of a multivariate density into products of conditional densities (Czado, 2010). The
pair copula decompositions are graphically represented through a sequence of nested
trees, or vine trees, with undirected edges. The tree edges indicate the indices
representing the conditional copula densities. Starting with the transformation of the
original data to uniform marginal distributions, we fitted a regular vine (R-vine)
copula model to the 10-dimensional data set. The method used a joint search of an
appropriate R-vine structure and its pair copula families and estimated their
parameters as a top-down strategy in an automatic way as developed by (Dißmann et
al., 2013). Starting with the first tree, all pairwise Kendall’s t values were calculated,
and their absolute values were used as edge weight to find a tree, maximizing the edge
weight sum among all possible trees. In the next step, the families and parameters for
all pair of copulae in the top tree were selected using the smallest AIC. These choices
were then used to estimate all pairwise Kendall’s t values for edges that were eligible
to be an edge in tree 2, maintaining the proximity condition necessary for the R-vine
tree structure. The corresponding copula families and their parameters were chosen
again by AIC. The complete R-vine specification was constructed by following this
procedure and by selecting the strongest pairwise conditional dependencies first
43
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
(Czado et al., 2013). This method was applied using the package VineCopula
(Schepsmeier et al., 2018) included in the R statistical software package.
Once the R-vine copula model was fitted, we performed the Monte Carlo procedure
for each environmental indicator considering a sample size of 10000. Since the
marginal distributions of the R-vine copula model were uniform, we transformed back
the sampled data to the aforementioned fitted distributions.
Next, we calculated uncertainty-based preference (Pi) and indifference (Qi) thresholds
based on the propagated uncertainty of the data. An outranking score was calculated
per pairwise comparison and per environmental indicator, and the net flow was
established as the sum of these scores. Then, we defined the weights for each
environmental indicator based on a stochastic procedure by assigning a distribution
to weight the factor values, resulting in an aggregated overall score that accounted for
all possible value systems (Prado-Lopez and Heijungs, 2018).
The final overall scores were calculated as weighted sums of the net flows with the
weight factors. These overall scores indicated the relative performance to other
alternatives in the comparison, with a higher overall score indicating a preferred
performance. Finally, a probability value per production system per rank was
configured based on ranking the production system per run.
44
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
fertilizers (81.7%). In this production system, these solid fertilizers were diluted in
water and manually applied to each plant.
The reduced pest incidence of fungal diseases, due to the protection given by the
greenhouse, also decreased the need to spray pesticides in terms of timing and dosing.
Since pest problems are common for both systems, growers share a wide range of
active ingredients. For fungicides, the most reported active ingredients by growers
were dimethomorph, chlorothalonil and mancozeb, while for insecticides, the most
reported were imidacloprid, thiocyclam and methomyl. Despite pesticide type, higher
spraying doses were reported by open field growers than by greenhouse growers. In
terms of fungicides, the plastic cover in the GH system in addition to the drip irrigation
system helped ensure the leaf area remained dry. However, free water due to
condensation can remain on the leaves, resulting in up to nine hours per day of a wet
leaf period (Gil et al., 2015), maintaining the need for fungicide applications.
Alternative pest control strategies such as biological or ethological control were not
applied in any system.
45
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
Table 6. Inventory data (mean and standard deviation) for the subsystems considered for the LCA, all are allocated to one ton of tomatoes.
Production Component Material Unit Greenhouse Open field
subsystem Lifespan Mean Standard Lifespan Mean Standard
(years) Deviation (years) Deviation
Infrastructure
Greenhouse Low-density kg 2.5 8.37 6.33 - - -
polyethylene
Sawn timber m3 10 0.025 0.019 - - -
Steel kg 15 1.23 1.38 - - -
Training system Wire kg 15 0.47 0.62 8 0.068 0.043
46
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
The emissions for N-fertilizers and pesticides are presented in Table 7. The emissions
of NH3 and N2O to the air were higher for the GH system than the OF systems,
although high variability in the results was observed for both systems. In the GH
system, 25.2% of the nitrogen comes from organic sources and is applied without
incorporation into the soil before transplanting. This fertilization practice favors NH3
losses since organic fertilizers have a higher volatilization potential than other
fertilizers (Bouwman et al. 2002). In the OF system, the application method is similar,
and the proportion of organic sources is lower; however, the urea applications result
in extra emissions and total NH3 emissions similar to those of the GH system. For
N2O, the higher input of nitrogen in the GH system than in the OF system directly led
to increased N2O emissions (Nemecek et al., 2016). On the other hand, the NO-3 losses
in the OF system were higher due to the accelerated water movement along the soil
profile as a consequence of the lower clay content compared to the GH system. Under
protected conditions, the increased topsoil NO-3 content was the result of the higher
N-application through the drip irrigation system on clayey soils. In comparison to the
GH system, in the OF system, the highest emissions into the soil and water were
directly linked to the larger use of pesticides, as shown above. The technological level
of the production system determined the emissions derived from the on-field use of
fertilizers and pesticides. Highly technological agricultural systems and accurate
dosing and timing of agrochemicals reduced their potential emissions, especially for
closed fertigation systems (Chen et al., 2008; Zhang et al., 2013). The two systems
under study represent opposing situations as characterized by the high use of
fertilizers and pesticides per functional unit, leading to an increased risk of emissions
to the environment.
Table 7. Emissions (kg t-1 functional unit) due to the field application of fertilizers
and pesticides in both tomato production systems.
Source Greenhouse Open field
and GWP, the share of this GH fertilization subsystem was above 90%, while for AD,
POP and TEP, the share was between 49% and 65%. For the OLDP category, the
potential impact was evenly distributed between the machinery, fertilization and pest
management subsystems. Overall, the contribution of the infrastructure subsystem
was low for most impact categories with shares equal to or below 10%.
For the fertilization subsystem, the results for the categories directly associated with
the use of fertilizers such as AP and EP indicated that they contributed up to 67 and
91%, respectively, of the field emissions. Nitrous oxide field emissions also
accounted for an important contribution of 35.5% to GWP. Regarding the pest
management subsystem, a similar situation was observed for the impact of the
pesticide field use that accounted for 76.3 and 96.6% in the FAETP and TEP
categories, respectively.
The fertilization and pest management subsystems were the main contributors to the
environmental impacts for all categories of the OF system. Within the fertilization
subsystem, the N-field emissions accounted for almost the same percentage reported
for the GH system in AP and EP. Of the six categories, the pest management
subsystem contributed the highest proportion, while of the remaining five, the
fertilization subsystem represented the highest share. The field emissions of pesticides
were the top contributor to TEP. Our results confirmed that mitigating field emissions
should be prioritized to improve the environmental performance of these production
systems (Zhang et al., 2013). The LCIA average values mask the wide range of
strategies used by growers in each production system, which in turn increases the
uncertainty of the environmental performance, as will be shown in the next section.
48
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
Table 8. Average of potential environmental impacts per ton of tomato produced in open field and greenhouse conditions in Colombian
Andes.
System/ Subsystem AD AP EP FAETP GWP HTTP MAETP OLDP POP TEP
(kg Sb eq) (kg SO2 eq) (kg !"#$% eq) (kg 1.4-DB eq) (kg CO2 eq) (kg 1.4-DB eq) (kg 1.4-DB eq) (kg CFC-11 eq) (kg C2H4 eq) (kg 1.4-DB eq)
Greenhouse 0.224 0.525 0.418 11.1 75.9 36.2 1.91E+04 2.82E-06 6.54E-03 0.608
Infrastructure 8.24E-03 5.69E-03 2.93E-03 0.52 1.14 0.809 1.59E+03 7.38E-08 2.45E-04 8.61E-03
Machinery 0.053 0.026 0.014 5.82 2.68 25.5 1.15E+04 8.56E-07 1.49E-03 0.068
Manufacture 0.015 0.016 0.012 5.69 1.86 24.9 1.09E+04 1.14E-07 9.37E-04 0.063
Field use 0.038 9.80E-03 1.42E-03 0.131 0.822 0.622 0.068 7.42E-07 5.56E-04 5.15E-03
Fertilization 0.142 0.478 0.393 1.26 0.697 3.62 3.65E+03 9.88E-07 3.72E-03 0.07
Manufacture 0.142 0.156 0.033 1.26 0.449 3.60 3.65E+03 9.88E-07 3.72E-03 0.07
Field use 0 0.322 0.360 0 0.247 0.02 0 0 0 0
Pest management 0.0201 0.0165 8.57E-03 3.49 2.38 6.29 2.27E+03 8.99E-07 1.08E-03 0.461
Manufacture 0.0201 0.0165 8.57E-03 0.827 2.38E+00 3.87 2.27E+03 8.99E-07 1.08E-03 0.014
Field use 0 0 0 2.67 0 2.42 5.50 0 0 0.447
Open field 0.283 0.555 0.452 8.35 58.1 21.9 1.41E+04 4.61E-06 9.79E-03 0.575
Infrastructure 2.23E-03 1.54E-03 7.92E-04 0.141 0.309 0.219 0.0430 2.00E-08 6.63E-05 2.33E-03
Machinery 0.103 0.0283 5.62E-03 0.896 3.11 3.53 3.19E+03 1.94E-06 1.71E-03 0.019
Manufacture 9.35E-03 4.35E-03 2.16E-03 0.575 1.10 2.01 1.52E+03 1.25E-07 3.48E-04 6.65E-03
Field use 0.094 0.024 3.47E-03 0.321 2.01 1.52 1.67E+03 1.82E-06 1.36E-03 0.013
Fertilization 0.117 0.408 0.422 0.800 47.6 2.46 2.37E+03 6.35E-07 2.42E-03 0.046
Manufacture 0.117 0.116 0.023 0.800 36.0 2.44 2.37E+03 6.35E-07 2.42E-03 0.046
Field use 0 0.292 0.399 0 11.6 0.02 0 0 0 0
Pest management 0.0602 0.117 0.024 6.51 7.06 15.70 0.311 2.01E-06 5.59E-03 0.507
Manufacture 0.0602 0.117 0.024 3.48 7.06 9.40 8.15E+03 2.01E-06 5.59E-03 0.059
Field use 0 0 0 3.03 0 6.30 0.303 0 0 0.448
49
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
50
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
Table 9. Properties of the fitted statistical distributions to the environmental indicators distributions estimated for the greenhouse and open
field tomato production systems.
Environmental indicator Greenhouse Open field
Abiotic depletion (AD) Log-normal µ = -1.632; s = 0.391 -83.63 -80.36 Log-normal µ = -1.571; s = 0.572 -27.22 -25.04
Acidification potential (AP) Log-normal µ = -0.817; s = 0.549 4.13 7.41 Log-normal µ = -0.775; s = 0.577 8.15 10.33
Eutrophication potential (EP) Log-normal µ = -1.136; s = 0.674 -4.56 -1.28 Log-normal µ = -0.991; s = 0.562 -2.54 -0.36
Fresh water aquatic ecotoxicity Weibull k = 1.746; l = 7.01 204.25 207.52 Gamma a = 4.026; b = 0.793 103.39 105.57
potential (AETP)
Global warming potential (GWP) Log-normal µ = 4.091; s = 0.696 395.21 398.49 Gamma a = 2.736; b = 0.048 216.50 218.69
Human toxicity potential (HTTP) Gamma a = 2.083; b = 0.086 312.22 315.49 Weibull k = 1.707; l = 16.57 156.24 158.43
Marine aquatic ecotoxicity potential Weibull k = 2.049; l = 16744.7 786.74 790.02 Weibull k = 1.712; l = 15036.8 455.62 457.80
(MAETP)
Ozone layer depletion (OLDP) Log-normal µ = -12.97; s = 0.501 -926.30 -923.03 Log-normal µ = -12.614; s = 0.57 -511.17 -64.77
Photochemical oxidation potential Log-normal µ = -5.262; s = 0.519 -337.90 -334.62 Log-normal µ = -4.832; s = 0.525 -174.52 -172.34
(POP)
Terrestrial ecotoxicity potential Gamma a = 1.978; b = 14.533 -80.14 -76.86 Gamma a = 4.521; b = 37.243 -62.97 -60.79
(TETP)
1
Parameters of the distributions: Log-normal: mean (µ) and standard deviation (s); gamma: shape (a) and scale (b); Weibull: shape (k) and
scale (l)
2
AIC: Akaike Information Criterion
3
BIC: Bayesian Information Criterion
51
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
The copula approach for the greenhouse and open field environmental indicator
datasets resulted in R-vine models consisting of 46 and 45 bivariate copulae,
respectively, requiring 47 parameters each. The R-vine structures for both greenhouse
and open field environmental indicators, including their corresponding pair-copula
families and Kendall’s correlations, are presented in Appendix 2. Each tree shows the
three components of the vine copulae: the tree structure, the copula family for each
edge in the tree structure and the corresponding dependence parameters for each
copula pair.
In both production systems, notably, after the second tree, a path line structure was
shown, which corresponds to a subclass of R-vines known as D-vines. This result
suggests the existence of a natural order among the impact categories (Czado et al.,
2013). Furthermore, in the third tree, the conditional dependencies started to be
captured, with the impact categories GWP, POP, MAETP, AETP and TETP
configuring the conditioning set. The same trend was observed for both production
systems. Starting with the first tree capturing the strongest pairwise dependencies, a
decrease in the magnitude of the pairwise conditional dependencies in the following
trees was observed until independence was reached between the edges of the last tree
(Czado et al., 2013).
Table 10 presents the log-likelihood and information criteria for the two D-vine
models fitted to the environmental indicators of each production system, indicating
similar performances. A slightly better fit was observed for the D-vine model of the
GH system than the OF system since the best AIC and BIC were found for this model.
Table 10. Log-likelihood, Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian
information criterion (BIC) of the estimated D-vine models for the environmental
indicators of the greenhouse and open field production systems.
Log-Likelihood AIC BIC
Although the theoretical foundations of copulae are complex, their algorithms have
already been developed in existing software packages, making them available and
relatively easy to couple with other methods, such as uncertainty analysis. Within the
LCA context, the use of copulae for uncertainty analysis enables the possibility of
working with a wide range of probability distributions, including the intrinsic
correlation of the input variables or the impact categories.
The final step of the SMAA method considers building a probabilistic rank that
compares the likelihood between alternatives, i.e., GH and OF production systems.
Figure 9 presents the cumulative distribution functions of the rankings for each tomato
production system. In this case, since the CDFs did not cross, we inferred a rank-
ordering with first-order stochastic dominance (Canis et al., 2010). This first-order
dominance means that the OF system prevailed over the GH system since the CDF
for the OF system was smaller, or at most equal, to that of the GH system. In this case,
a decision maker with a completely uncertain weighting preference should classify
the OF tomato production system as having the best environmental performance.
52
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
53
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
Figure 10. Rank acceptability index for the tomato production systems under
greenhouse and open field conditions.
These results also highlight that the Colombian tomato production system under
protected conditions has not been properly implemented since the intensification
inherent to a GH production system should lead to an optimized use of resources and
simultaneously boost productivity per unit area. The protection provided by the
greenhouse cover in conjunction with appropriate ventilation and auxiliary
mechanisms to limit the insect infestation (anti-insect meshes) should result in less
pesticide application and better environmental performance of the system. With
regard to the application of fertilizers, we hypothesize that a reduction in the quantity
and fractionation based on the plant's demands should be reflected in a better
environmental performance of the system, as will be demonstrated in the chapter
seven.
4.4. Conclusions
The present work demonstrated the application of the SMAA method to compare the
environmental performance of agricultural systems by deriving a single, unbiased
indicator that groups, in a stochastic way, the individual outcome of the categories
selected from the impact assessment method. A typical evaluation method based on
the comparison of averages or median values of the impact categories ignores the
inherent variability in agricultural production systems, as well as the correlation
between the impact categories. In contrast, the approach presented, overcomes these
limitations and improves the accuracy of detecting significant differences in different
LCAs. Additionally, the SMAA method avoids any bias in the weighing procedure,
resulting in an objective selection approach of the most appropriate alternative from
an environmental performance perspective.
To obtain results closer to reality, the dependence structure, considered in the copula
method, needs to be constructed based on local primary data if comparative
54
Comparative LCA between open field and greenhouse systems
55
Chapter 5. A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in
Colombia
Published as: Gil, R., Bojacá, C. R., & Schrevens, E. (2017). A tailor-made crop
growth model for the tomato production systems in Colombia. Agronomía
Colombiana, 35(3), 301-313.
Abstract
Potential crop models simulate the plant growth under nonlimiting biophysical
conditions with no other factor than the climate to which the plants are exposed to.
These models may fail to adequately represent the crop performance if they are not
adapted to the local conditions. The particularities of Colombian tomato systems
(greenhouse and open field) demand the recalibration of existing models to make a
more realistic representation of those systems. Therefore, a locally calibrated crop
model was proposed considering both production systems. For this purpose, four on-
farm calibration experiments were carried out, two under greenhouse conditions with
average temperatures of 17.4 and 17.9 ºC in Santa Sofía (Boyacá) and two under open
field conditions in Páramo and San Gil (Santander), with average temperatures of 20.6
and 24.0 ºC, respectively. The crops were commercially managed according to the
local practices. Plant data were collected through destructive measurements carried
out on a fortnightly basis, while climate data were collected for the entire crop growth
cycle. Independent calibration of the dry matter fractions allocated to the plant organs
in function of thermal time resulted in an acceptable model performance. The
calibration of the model under commercial conditions gave a better representation of
the local systems but at the expense of accuracy since on-farm experiments cannot be
controlled as well as those performed in research facilities.
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
5.1. Introduction
During the last 40 years, crop system simulations have evolved from a new science
with inadequate computer power to a robust and increasingly accepted science
supported by improved software and computing capabilities (Boote et al., 2010). Over
the last decade, the most significant demand for cropping system models has involved
assessing climate change impacts on agriculture and evaluating mitigation and
adaptation strategies, conducted over different spatial scales and degrees of
agricultural system complexity (Stöckle et al., 2014).
Most crop system models have evolved as compilations of crop and soil models
focusing on modeling a single point in space over time to explore variability in crop
responses to soil, management and weather (Jones et al., 2017). The crop modeling
component simulates phenology and partitioning and integrates processes of carbon
(C), nitrogen (N) and water balance from planting to maturity, providing a final yield
and production as well as daily values of crop components over time (Boote et al.,
2013). This potential yield of an adapted cultivar is solely determined by solar
radiation, temperature, carbon dioxide, and genetic traits that govern the length of the
growing period The light interception by the crop canopy and its conversion to
biomass results in the partition of biomass to the different organs (Grassini et al.,
2015). In this approach, crop growth is not constrained by factors such as water,
nutrients, diseases or pests.
In the developed world, single crop models are well established (Stöckle et al., 2014),
but the development of crop growth models for less developed agricultural production
areas remains an important study subject. In their overview of crop growth and yield
models, Di Paola et al. (2016) showed this unbalanced situation in which most of the
available models have been applied for temperate regions with a couple of references
for subtropical regions in Brazil and Mexico. Moreover, the development of such
models has been focused on staple crops such as cereals, sugar beet and potato.
Tomato is among the most important horticultural crops worldwide. A variety of
tomato growth models have been developed in the past (i.e., Heuvelink, 1999; Jones
et al., 1991; Scholberg et al., 1997; Soto et al., 2014; Valdés-Gómez et al., 2014) with
different levels of complexity and for different purposes. Tomato crop growth models
have been included in decision-support systems such as the world-renowned DSSAT
(Jones et al., 2003) as well as many others (Jizhang et al., 2006; Massa et al., 2013).
Moreover, 3D functional structural models of tomato plants have been developed for
purposes such as optimizing LED lighting to increase light absorption and crop
growth (de Visser et al., 2014).
In Colombia, Cooman (2002) evaluated the feasibility of protected tomato cropping
in the high-altitude tropics by locally calibrating the second version of the TOMGRO
model through controlled experiments on the Bogota Plateau. He modified the model
by reducing the leaf expansion rate at a low temperature and incorporating a direct
effect of temperature on the distribution of dry matter between the vegetative and
generative plant organs. This modified version of the TOMGRO model was later
applied by Bojacá et al. (2009) to evaluate the variability in greenhouse tomato yield
caused by spatial temperature variations.
57
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
However, most Colombian tomatoes are grown throughout the year in several Andean
Mountain valleys and hills in warmer climates at altitudes below those of the Bogota
Plateau. Tomato is a small-scale business represented by clusters of growers
cultivating tomato under one of the two established systems: open field or greenhouse
production. Under both systems, growers apply suboptimal practices despite the
differences in the demand for resources per unit area (Bojacá et al., 2014, 2013).
As process-based crop models closely reflect the behavior of particular crops, a
locally calibrated growth model is needed for the Colombian tomato systems.
However, this calibration is a highly data-demanding task and specific to the available
data, preventing broader applicability (Robertson et al., 2013). On the other hand,
most calibration experiments are carried out under controlled conditions, which in
some cases are not representative of those observed under natural field conditions
(Craufurd et al., 2013).
Thus, the objective of the present work is to propose a summary tomato crop growth
and development model with the ability to simulate open field and greenhouse
production, calibrated under potential conditions. Although the experiments were
carried out on-farms of local producers, it was guaranteed that the climate was the
main determinant of the plant growth.
58
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
Figure 11. Schematics of the proposed tomato crop growth model for the open field
and greenhouse production systems, which is a simplification of the TOMGRO model
(Jones et al., 1991).
Dry matter production
The amount of dry matter available for growth was calculated at the end of the day as
the difference between gross photosynthesis and maintenance respiration. Daily gross
photosynthesis resulted from the integration of the photosynthetic rates calculated on
an hourly basis. The photosynthetic rate depends mainly on the photosynthetic active
radiation (PAR) absorbed by the canopy leaf area (LAI), the air temperature and the
CO2 concentration, as modeled by Acock et al. (1978). The model considers
restrictions on the photosynthetic rate due to extreme temperatures and vapor pressure
deficits. The group of equations that govern the photosynthesis process are presented
below.
"%&' (1 − (1 ) × "%&' + 45 × () × ""67
!"# = × +, - =
() (1 − (1 ) × "%&' + 45 × () × ""67 × 8 9':×;&< (12)
× 3600
""67 = (AB+CDE × 0.47) × 4.57 (13)
"%&' = J × LMN × "O"7 × "!CP7 (14)
"O"7 = 8 QR)×(STU9STU;)V (15)
0, \] ^_" < 9ºL
⎧ ^_" − 9, \] 9 ≤ ^_" < 10ºL
⎪
"!CP7 = 1, \] 10 ≤ ^_" < 28ºL (16)
⎨−0.083 × ^_" + 3.33, \] 28 ≤ ^_" < 40ºL
⎪
⎩ 0, \] ^_" ≥ 40ºL
59
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
where !"# is the hourly gross photosynthesis (μmol CO2 m-2 h-1), "%&' is the
maximum leaf photosynthetic rate (μmol CO2 m-2 s-1), () is the light extinction
coefficient, (1 is the leaf light transmission coefficient, 45 is the leaf quantum
efficiency (μmol CO2 μmol-1 photon), ""67 is the photosynthetic photon flux density
(μmol photons m-2 s-1), ghi is the leaf area index, AB+CDE is the hourly solar radiation
(J m-2 s-1), J is the CO2 use efficiency (μmol CO2 m-2 s-1 ppmv-1), LMN is the carbon
dioxide concentration in air (ppmv), "O"7 is a function that corrects the "%&' for the
air vapor pressure deficit, Lj is a factor used to determine the effect of vapor pressure
deficit on photosynthesis (kPa-1), O"7 is the air vapor pressure deficit (kPa), O"7g
is a factor used to determine the effect of vapor pressure deficit on photosynthesis
(kPa), "!CP7 is a function that corrects the Plmn for suboptimal temperatures and
^_" is the hourly mean temperature (°C).
At the end of each day hourly gross photosynthesis is integrated, and the result is
transformed into the amount of carbohydrates synthesized by the plant at the current
day, following this formula:
Nq
30 × 109t
!"o = p !"# × (17)
"g_2
#rs
Where !"o is the daily gross photosynthesis (g CH20 d-1 per plant), !"# is the hourly
gross photosynthesis (μmol CO2 m-2 h-1), "g_2 is the plant density (plants m-2),
30 × 109t is used to transform the units from μmol to mol, and then from mol to
grams.
Total respiration per plant was represented by the maintenance respiration and the
growth efficiency. Daily maintenance respiration was calculated as a fraction of the
accumulated dry matter in stems, active leaves and growing fruits at a reference
temperature of 20°. Then, the maintenance respiration was corrected for temperature
using a Q10 value. Next, we presented the equations that describe this module.
_uvw = 410x.s×Qy%Tz{|9NxV (18)
× (C_Cg × (7_+ + 7_}) + C_C6 × 7_])
where _uvw is the maintenance respiration per day (g CH2O d-1 per plant), ^_"~Ä is
the daily average temperature (°C), C_Cg is a respiration coefficient for stem and
leaf tissues (g CH2O g-1 DM d-1 per plant), 7_+ is the dry matter in leaves (g DM per
plant), 7_} is the dry matter in stems (g DM per plant), C_C6 is a respiration
coefficient for growing fruits (g CH2O g-1 DM d-1), 7_] is the dry matter in fruits (g
DM per plant) and 20 is the reference temperature for the given respiration
coefficients.
Based on the above, the daily biomass production per plant was calculated using the
following expression:
7_Å = (!"o − _uvw ) × !CP6 (19)
where 7_Å is the total dry matter produced that day (g DM d-1 per plant), !"o is the
daily gross photosynthesis (g CH2O d-1 per plant), _uvw is the maintenance respiration
per day (g CH2O d-1 per plant) and !CP6 is a growth efficiency coefficient (g DM g-
1
CH2O), representing growth respiration.
60
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
61
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
where 6#ñ is the dry matter of ripe fruits (g DM per plant); ^7_à is the accumulated
dry matter in fruits throughout the crop cycle (g DM per plant); h^^ is the
accumulated thermal time (°Cd); and Dãà , çãà and Ñãà are the parameters that must be
fitted.
The leaf area (LA) per plant was calculated based on the DM allocated to leaves and
the SLA according to the following expression:
^7_ÄÇ = ^7_Ç × (1 − APéÇ ) (26)
gh = ^7_ÄÇ × Agh (27)
where gh is the plant leaf area (m2 plant-1); ^7_ÄÇ is total dry matter of
photosynthetically active leaves (g DM per plant); Agh is the specific leaf area (m2 g-
1
) estimated as 0.019 and 0.021 for greenhouse and open field tomatoes, respectively;
^7_Ç is total dry matter allocated in leaves (g DM per plant); and APéÇ is the
proportion of senesces for the leaves. Finally, the ATT was calculated as follows:
ío
0, \] ^_"~Ä ≤ ^Ö
^5à = ò (29)
^_"~Ä − ^Ö , \] ^_"~Ä > ^Ö
where h^^ is the accumulated thermal time (°Cd), ,E is the number of days of the
growing cycle, ^5à is the daily effective temperature (°C), ^_"~Ä is the daily average
temperature (°C) and ^Ö is the base temperature (10°C). The values of the parameters
included in the previous model equations are shown in Table 11, while the values of
the fitted parameter values (Då , çå , Ñå , and Eå ) for equations (20), (21), (24) and (25),
respectively, are shown in the Results section.
Table 11. Parameters included in the tomato growth model
Meaning Abbreviation Value Units
Air carbon dioxide concentration CO2 405 ppmv
Light extinction coefficient XK 0.58 Dimensionless
Leaf light transmission coefficient XM 0.091 Dimensionless
Leaf quantum efficiency 45 0.0645 μmol CO2 μmol-1 photon
Carbon dioxide use efficiency J 0.0693 μmol CO2 m-2 s-1 ppm-1
Sensitivity to temperature Q10 1.4 Dimensionless
Effect of VPD on photosynthesis VPDL 4.0 kPa
Effect of VPD on photosynthesis CK -0.8 kPa-1
Respiration rate for leaves and stems RMRL 0.015 g CH2O g-1 DM d-1
Respiration rate for fruit RMRF 0.01 g CH2O g-1 DM d-1
Growth efficiency GREF 0.75 g DM g-1 CH2O
62
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
Field experiments
The experimental work was conducted in 2016 in four commercial tomato production
plots, with two plots planted under open field conditions and the other two planted
under greenhouse conditions. The crops were planted and managed according to the
the best practices to ensure no effect of factors as water or nutrient stresses. The crops
were planted in two of the most representative tomato production areas of Colombia.
Alto Ricaurte Province in the department of Boyaca is one of the major tomato
greenhouse production areas in Colombia, while Guanentá Province in the department
of Santander is an important production area for open field vegetables, including
tomato. Table 12 describes the general characteristics of the experiments carried out
to calibrate the proposed crop growth and development model. Next, we present a
general description of the management practices applied in the experimental fields for
both production systems.
The protected experiments were carried out under plastic, naturally ventilated
greenhouses with wooden structures. Plants were grown on a single stem of
indeterminate length by periodically removing side shoots. Plants were trained
following a high wire system, and no fruit pruning was performed. The leaves located
under each of the harvested trusses were removed since they no longer contributed to
plant photosynthesis and were susceptible to infection by fungal diseases. Nutrients
were delivered through a fertigation system with the irrigation water.
For the open field experiments, determinate growth cultivars grew freely without any
leaf or fruit pruning, and the shoots were trained to an elevated wire. Solid fertilization
was carried out throughout the cropping cycle with the amounts and timing defined
by each grower. Under both systems, pest and disease management was entirely with
pesticides and with a spraying schedule defined according to the growers’ criteria.
63
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
Table 12. General characteristics of the on-farm experiments used to calibrate the tomato crop growth model.
Plot code Production system Location Altitude (masl) Planting date Cycle length Density Cultivar Plot area
(days) (plants m-2) (ha)
GH1 Greenhouse 5º 42’ 26.7’’ N – 73º 2346 28/01/2016 131 3.0 Libertador 0.28
36’ 4.1’’ W
GH2 Greenhouse 5º 44’ 8.0’’ N – 73º 2347 28/03/2016 113 3.9 Roble F1 0.28
36’ 13.1’’ W
OF1 Open field 6º 25’ 15.4’’ N – 73º 1703 27/01/2016 82 1.3 DRD 4.0
11’ 56.7’’ W
OF2 Open field 6º 28’ 55.4’’ N – 73º 1140 27/01/2016 97 1.3 Roble F1 1.0
6’ 54.7’’ W
64
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
Data collection
We collected the data for the model calibration through a series of destructive
biometrical measurements carried out for each experimental plot. Starting at
transplanting time and on a fortnightly basis, we removed the aerial parts of three
plants from each experimental plot. Under all conditions, the sampled plants were
surrounded by edge plants. Then, we divided the plant into its organs and weighed the
separate organs after being oven dried at 70°C for at least 72 hours. The leaf weight
included the weight of the blades and all petioles.
Once fruit harvest and leaf pruning began, we registered the amount of biomass
removed from the plant, and a sample was taken to determine its dry matter content.
The grower defined the frequency and amount of biomass harvested or removed
according to his/her criteria. We determined the leaf area by taking digital pictures of
all the active leaves present at the moment of the destructive measurement. From the
digital pictures, we extracted the number of pixels representing the leaves and those
of a reference object of known area also included in each picture. To determine the
leaf area, we implemented a decision tree algorithm, which was applied on images
including a reference square. All pictures were taken at the same height through a
fixed mount tripod. We estimated the corresponding leaf area through the relation
between the number of pixels of the reference object and the number of pixels
corresponding to leaf surfaces. This image processing step was carried out with the R
statistical software package (Team R Core, 2017). All the data collected from the fruit
harvest, leaf pruning and leaf area were later integrated on a per plant basis.
The calibration was a function of the grower’s decision to continue with his/her crop.
Therefore, the number of destructive measurements was variable and specific for each
experimental plot. Regularly, greenhouse growers are able to extend a cropping cycle
for a longer period than that of an open field system. For the greenhouse plots, we
were able to carry out ten and nine destructive measurements for GH1 and GH2,
respectively, while for the open field plots, we performed seven and eight destructive
measurements for OF1 and OF2, respectively. In all cases, the destructive
measurements were carried out until the end of the cropping cycle, ensuring that the
complete plant cycle was characterized through these measurements. Table 12
includes the duration of the crop cycle for each experiment.
As global radiation, air temperature and relative humidity are input variables for the
model, we collected these data by placing the required sensors within the experimental
plots. We recorded the hourly weather data using a Vantage Pro2 Weather System
(Davis Instruments, Hayward, CA, USA) for each of the open field experimental
plots. For the greenhouse plots, we installed two copper-constantan thermocouples
linked to a datalogger (Cox-Tracer Junior, Escort DLS, Edison, NJ, USA) to register
dry and wet bulb temperatures. Through the psychrometric relationship between these
two temperatures, we derived the air relative humidity. We placed the thermocouples
inside a ventilated white capsule to avoid the readings being affected by direct
radiation. The global radiation within the greenhouses was measured throughout the
growing period with a pyranometer (Model LI200RX, Campbell Scientific, Inc.,
Logan, UT, USA) placed at 2.5 m above the ground. A weather station (Model
Vantage Pro2, Davis Instruments, Hayward, CA, USA), placed outside the
greenhouses, registered the external hourly climate.
65
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
66
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
Figure 12. Daily average air temperature (A), relative humidity (B) and solar radiation
(C) during the calibration experiments carried out under greenhouse and open field
conditions.
The temperatures registered in the open field experiments were more suitable for
tomato cropping than those of the greenhouse experiments. Despite the use of plastic
coverings, the average temperatures for the night hours (18:00 – 5:00) were 15.4 and
14.8°C for the GH1 and GH2 experiments, respectively, while for the OF1 and OF2
67
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
experiments, they were 18.5 and 21.3°C, respectively. During the day hours (6:00 –
17:00), the GH1 experiment had an average temperature of 19.4°C, while the
temperature during the GH2 experiment was warmer, with an average of 21°C. Higher
daily temperatures were observed for the open field experiments than the greenhouse
experiments, with averages of 22.8 and 26.7°C for OF1 and OF2, respectively.
Dry matter distribution calibration
Dry matter allocation to plant organs is a process linked to the total dry matter
accumulation of a plant. Since the daily amount of assimilates produced by the
photosynthetic process is a function of climate conditions and the available leaf area,
the dry matter fraction allocated to leaves defines the daily dry matter produced by a
plant. Therefore, with the calibration of the dry matter distributed to leaves and fruits,
we simultaneously calibrated the total dry matter plant accumulation. The fitted
parameters of the functions defining the fractions of daily dry matter allocated to
leaves, Equation (20); fruits, Equation (21); senescent leaves, Equation (24); and ripe
fruits, Equation (25), as a function of ATT are presented in Table 13.
Table 13. Fitted parameters for dry matter allocation in leaves (DMl) and fruits (DMf),
leaf senescence rate (SENl) and ripening fruit rate (Fhvt).
Fraction Open field Greenhouse
a b c d a b c d
Because the dry matter distribution fractions were calibrated as a function of ATT, we
present the cumulated ATT of the four experiments. The highest accumulation of ATT
occurred in the OF2 experiment with a value of 1371.5°Cd, followed by that in the
GH1 experience at 972.5°Cd. The GH2 and OF1 experiments had similar ATTs of
888.7 and 885.6°Cd, respectively. Since the dry matter distribution fractions were
calibrated as a function of thermal time, we removed the time effect, allowing a more
general application of these temperature-dependent functions.
The graphical representation of the dry matter partitioning functions of the plant
organs is depicted in Figure 13. The initial calibration procedure considered of unique
dry matter distribution functions for both tomato types. However, the results of this
calibration procedure and the low values of the goodness-of-fit measures indicated
that independent calibration procedures should be followed for each tomato
production system.
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A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
Figure 13. (A) Greenhouse and (B) open field tomato dry matter partitioning fractions
as a function of thermal time for each of the plant organs.
As stated previously, the fraction allocated to the roots was fixed to 0.09, while for
the aboveground organs, the calibration was carried out for the leaves and fruits
fractions. The stem fraction was calculated as 1 minus the sum of the other fractions.
A marked difference in partitioning functions was found between the production
systems. Under greenhouse conditions, tomatoes showed a greater decline in the dry
matter allocated to the leaves and stems compared to the decline observed for the open
field tomatoes. Even under open field conditions, the plant started allocating a higher
proportion of assimilates to the leaves, and then, the stem fraction increased and
stabilized at a value of 0.2.
The observed behavior of organ fractions was defined by the growing habit of each
tomato type and the way each production system is handled by the growers. Under
open field conditions, tomato cultivars were mostly of determinate growth, and
growers did not apply any shoot pruning. Therefore, these plants had a higher stem
fraction than that of the indeterminate single-stem tomatoes planted under greenhouse
conditions.
After the vegetative growth stage, the photosynthetically active leaf fraction of the
open field plants declined to a minimum at the end of the growing cycle. Most of the
remaining leaves were part of the senescent fraction. On the other hand, a higher and
more constant fraction of active leaves was observed for the greenhouse plants than
for open field plants, a situation that is characteristic of their indeterminate growth
habit.
The fraction allocated to the fruits in the open field tomatoes showed a gentle slope
compared to the trend observed for the greenhouse conditions. However, at the end
of the growth cycle, the fraction of ripe and growing fruits accounted for
approximately half of the dry matter produced by the plant. While the same pattern
was observed for greenhouse tomatoes, in this case, the fruit fraction was stabilized
and remained constant at approximately 1000°Cd ATT. Under both production
systems, it is important to note the fraction of growing fruits that remained on the
plant. As the crop reached the end of its production cycle, the amount of harvested
69
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
fruit should have been higher than the amount remaining on the plant, especially for
open field tomatoes. Nevertheless, under local conditions, growers did not properly
balance the vegetative and generative growth of the plant or apply proper pollination
and pruning strategies.
Once the dry matter distribution functions for each tomato type were calibrated, we
incorporated them into the model. The observed and simulated total dry matter per
plant and its allocation to the plant organs are presented in Figure 14. In most cases,
the simulated dry matter closely followed the pattern depicted by the observed field
data. The observed data also included not only the average of the sampled plants but
also the standard deviation as a variability measure. Especially for the open field
experiments and in particular for the last destructive measurements, there was an
important variation in the data collected in the field.
Figure 14. Observed and simulated dry matter accumulation and distribution
throughout the plant organs for the calibration experiments carried out under
greenhouse and open field conditions. Vertical bars represent plus and minus one
standard deviations.
Table 14 presents the goodness-of-fit measures selected to establish crop growth
model performance compared to the observed field data performance. As the dry
matter allocation fractions to the plant organs were estimated independently for each
tomato type, we also presented the goodness-of-fit measures per type of production
system. Bias quantifies the average difference between measured and simulated
values, with the best fit indicated when the Bias index is closer to zero. According to
the results for the whole plant and for each organ, we observed a better model fit to
the open field condition since values were closer to zero than those obtained for
greenhouse tomatoes. In most cases, the Bias results were positive, indicating that the
model tended to underestimate values, especially for the fruit dry matter since a higher
Bias value was obtained for this organ and for both systems. The underestimation
70
A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
reported by this index was a common pattern observed in particular for the first
measurement dates (Figure 14). Only the Bias for the total dry matter per plant in the
open field condition was negative, indicating an overall overestimation of the model.
In general, the Bias was close to zero.
Table 14. Goodness-of-fit measures of the simulated dry matter per plant and per
organ by the calibrated tomato crop growth model.
Plant organ Greenhouse system Open field system
The model performance should be evaluated with more than one goodness-of-fit
measure. Therefore, we also included the RMSE as another measure that is commonly
used to check the agreement between measured and simulated results. The RMSE is a
measure of the average difference between simulated and observed values and is
expressed in the same units as the original variable. The highest RMSE was obtained
for the total dry matter per plant of the open field plants. The RMSE for the other plant
organs and for the results of the greenhouse plants yielded comparable RMSE values.
Looking only at the results for the organs, the simulated dry matter allocated to the
fruits had the lowest goodness-of-fit under both production systems.
The other goodness-of-fit criterion included to verify the model performance was the
EF, which is the most widely used distance measure, including upper and lower
bounds (Wallach, 2006). In this case, a model with an EF equal to one indicated a
perfect fit between observed and predicted values. For the present case, the crop
model obtained similar EF values when considering the simulated dry matter per plant
for both production systems. The lowest degree of agreement was observed for the
simulated stem dry matter allocated to the greenhouse plants. For both production
systems, the simulated fruit dry matter yielded a better fit than the one simulated for
the leaves.
Previous modeling efforts applied to Colombian greenhouse tomatoes, such as the one
carried out by Gil et al. (2017b), yielded an RMSE of 4.21 g DM plant-1 for the
simulated total plant dry matter. This potential crop growth model was calibrated
based on experimental crops planted on the Bogota Plateau and carried out under the
best possible management practices without any technical constraints.
The calibration of the present model yielded comparable results to those obtained for
other tomato model calibrations. For instance, Battista et al. (2015) calibrated a
modified version of the TOMGRO model for tomato growing in low-tech Italian
greenhouses. The plant dry matter calibration for three cultivars indicated RMSE
values ranging from 15.4 to 48.5 g plant-1 and EF values between 0.852 and 0.976.
The paper of Fan et al. (2015) described a knowledge- and data-driven modeling
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A tailor-made crop growth model for the tomato in Colombia
approach for simulating the growth of a tomato plant. In that case, the RMSE for the
plant dry matter simulated with different modeling techniques ranged from 20.95 to
35.73 g plant-1. Our results are comparable to these results, except for the plant dry
matter estimated for the open field tomatoes.
It is important to highlight that the on-farm calibration experiments were carried out
with the required rigor from the data collection point of view but were developed
under the current set of management practices applied by most growers in the included
zones. Research at experimental stations often does not reflect the crop yield of
surrounding commercial farms (Leeuwis, 2013). Therefore, we decided to carry out
the model calibration through on-farm experiments but keeping the crop under
optimal conditions respect to nutritional status and pest management.
The yield gap represented the difference between the yield achieved by farmers and
the potential yield (Guilpart et al., 2017). Different yield gaps can be established
depending on the reference point used to evaluate a current yield obtained by local
growers (Tittonell and Gilller, 2013). The first gap was obtained by comparing
potential yields, with no restrictions other than those imposed by climate conditions,
and those currently obtained by local farmers. Potential yields can be calculated based
on models calibrated with data obtained from perfectly controlled conditions. This
gap is narrow in areas where production is characterized by high technological levels
and where factors such as soil fertility and pest and disease pressure do not impose
major restrictions on crop development. Another driving factor to explain model
performance is the variability introduced by genetic factors. Mavromatis et al. (2001)
stated that successful use of crop models in technology transfer requires that
coefficients describing new cultivars be available as soon as the cultivars are
marketed. On the other hand, current market trends, including specialization, have led
to genetic differentiation in contemporary tomato varieties (Sim et al., 2010). While
genetic variation is recognized, we overlooked this factor since the purpose of the
proposed model is to be as generic as possible. Future improvements in model
performance can be achieved by including genetic variation since temperature effects
on crop yield are also recognized as cultivar-dependent (Vanthoor et al., 2011).
5.4. Conclusions
The specificities of cropping systems, such as Colombian tomatoes, demand local
calibration of crop growth models under potential conditions. In contrast to our
original expectations, we found differences in the dry matter distribution to the plant
organs among greenhouse and open field tomatoes; therefore, it was necessary to
derive independent functions to characterize each tomato type. Despite including
these two sets of functions, the crop model was conceived as one entity able to
simulate plant behaviors for both types of tomato.
The tomato model proposed in this study is characterized by a fair compromise
between representativeness and accuracy. The on-farm calibration experiments
entailed a series of challenges and technical issues, commonly addressed in
commercial agriculture, reducing the potential yield achievable by the crop. The
challenge is to ensure an optimal supply of nutrients, so this implies a slight overdose
in fertilization, and a zero tolerance to the presence of pests and diseases. This implies
leaving aside concepts such as the economic threshold.
72
Chapter 6. Soil-plant model validation under Colombian
conditions
In preparation for submission to the journal: Agronomía Colombiana
Abstract
The purpose of the present work was to validate a soil-plant model for both tomato
production systems in Colombia, resulting from the integration of an adapted version
of the tomato model and a previously calibrated soil model. We used a soil model
developed for temperate conditions coupled to a tomato growth model calibrated and
validated locally. The coupling of the tomato model to the soil model also required
the incorporation of functions to represent the plant N-demand as well as the rooting
system growth, since these are dependent on the species. The water interception by
the leaves and runoff modules were omitted for greenhouse production given that the
crop under this system is protected from the direct effect of rain. Additionally, the
evapotranspiration module was changed to the one of Stanghellini, which is
recognized as more appropriate to estimate the evapotranspiration inside greenhouse
crops, especially for tomato. The last significant modification corresponded to change
the soil temperature module since the original model version incorporates an approach
able to simulate the soil temperature only under temperate seasonal climate variations.
The model, which is programmed in the R statistical language, uses as inputs climate
data (solar radiation, air temperature, humidity and wind speed), soil characteristics
(e.g. pH, nitrogen content, bulk density and moisture, lower limit, field capacity and
saturation), crop management practices (e.g. planting date, plant density, cycle
duration), as well as irrigation and fertilization strategies. The field data for the
validation came from experiments carried out in the main greenhouse and open field
tomato production areas of Colombia. The model was validated by comparing the
simulated values against independent observed ones. Three goodness-of-fit measures
were used to evaluate the model fit: Nash-Sutcliffe modeling efficiency (NSE), root-
mean-square error (RSR) and percent bias (PBias). The plant model, soil water
movement and soil temperature showed satisfactory goodness-of-fit. Although the
experimental data demonstrated that the simulated soil nitrogen content follows the
observed tendency, the NSE score showed the poor soil N-module performance.
Based on the above, extra future calibration and validation experiments are needed to
improve the accuracy of the proposed model.
Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
6.1. Introduction
In agriculture, dynamic crop modeling has a wide range of applications, including the
assessment of potential pollutants such as nitrogen (N) emission released into the
environment. Among the most referenced models able to simulate yields and N-
emissions are the DNDC (Giltrap et al., 2010), DAYCENT (Del Grosso et al., 2005)
and CERES-EGC (Drouet et al., 2011). However, crop modeling applications in
horticultural crops are less referenced in the tropics than in temperate regions.
We used the calibrated soil model of Heuts (2018) coupled with a tomato crop model
that had been locally calibrated and validated for both greenhouse and open field
production systems (Gil et al., 2017c). The soil module allowed the simulation of soil
water content (SWC) based on water flow that was modeled as a ‘tipping bucket’
system, in which water moves from upper to deeper layers (Burns, 1974), carrying
ions, such as nitrates, dissolved in the solution. The N-dynamics in the soil were
simulated based on a submodel that integrated processes such as mineralization
(Bradbury et al., 1993; Coleman and Jenkinson, 1996; Jenkinson et al., 1987; Smith
et al., 2010), ammonium adsorption, urea hydrolysis (Jones, 1986), ammonia
volatilization (Génermont and Cellier, 1997; Shaffer et al., 2001), and (de)nitrification
(Bessou et al., 2010). Heuts (2018) carried out the soil model calibration and
validation by applying different N-treatments to a cauliflower-leek rotation
experiment. A list of all soil parameters is available in Heuts (2018). Figure 15 shows
the processes related to N-transformations that are included in the soil-plant model.
Figure 15. Schematic representation of the nitrogen processes considered in the soil
model. Adapted from Heuts (2018).
In the current model, we modified the soil temperature and evapotranspiration
modules. While Heuts (2018) used the temperature model proposed by Jury and
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
Horton (2004), which assumes a seasonal fluctuation throughout the year, we found
this unsuitable for tropical soils. In the present version, we incorporated the soil
temperature model proposed by Lei et al. (2011), which incorporates the asymmetric
oscillation of temperatures throughout the day, estimating the soil temperature under
tropical conditions better. The other change introduced for the greenhouse system was
the evapotranspiration model, changing from the Penman-Monteith FAO56 model
(Allen et al., 2006) to a model from Stanghellini (1987), which is adapted for low
wind speed conditions. The Stanghellini model has a better fit to estimate crop
evapotranspiration under greenhouse conditions (Prenger et al., 2002). The coupling
of the tomato model with the soil model also required the incorporation of functions
to represent plant N-demand as well as rooting system growth since these are
dependent on the species. The leaf water interception and runoff modules were
omitted for greenhouse production given that the crop under this system is protected
from the direct effect of rain.
Except for photosynthesis that occurs hourly, the model simulated the soil-plant
interactions on a daily basis and was driven by climate conditions, soil properties, and
crop management practices. The core modeled processes were crop growth and
development, soil temperature, water movement and N- and C-dynamics (Heuts,
2018). The hourly based climate inputs were solar radiation (SR, W m-2), air
temperature (AT, °C), relative humidity (RH, %) and wind speed (WS, m s-1). The
soil is divided into a number of horizontal layers characterized by their bulk density
(BD, g cm-3), pH, soil organic carbon content (SOC, %), cation exchange capacity
(CEC, cmolc kg-1), texture (clay, loam and sand contents, %), water content (SWC,
cm3 cm-3) at the lower limit (LL), field capacity (FC) and saturation (SAT) points.
Starting values on transplanting day for SWC and mineral nitrogen (Nmin, kg ha-1) are
also required per layer. For daily N-inputs, two main aspects must be defined: first,
the layer(s) to which the N enters. In the case of fertigation or broadcast applications,
N is added to the surface layer (kg N ha-1); however, for incorporated fertilizers, the
entering layers and their proportions should be defined. The second factor is the N-
source; for inorganic fertilizers, the model considers two sources: urea and
ammonium nitrate. For organic fertilizers and crop residues, the carbon content (%)
and the C:N ratio need to be specified. Finally, crop management includes information
about the planting date (Julian day), crop-cycle duration (days), plant density (plants
m-2), initial dry matter per organ (DM, g) and initial leaf area (LA, m2).
The aims of the present work were 1) to integrate an adapted version of the tomato
growth model into the soil model and 2) to validate the soil-plant model under
Colombian greenhouse and open field conditions, focusing on soil water movement
and N-dynamics throughout the crop cycle.
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
Validation datasets
The datasets for validation were extracted from the N-trials carried out within
commercial greenhouse (954 m2) and open field (523 m2) plots. From these trials, a
subset of treatments was selected for validation, while the other treatments were used
to calibrate the plant model as described by Gil et al. (2017c). The experiments were
carried out under a completely randomized statistical design with three replicates per
treatment and each replicat being a plant bed-row. Table 15 summarizes the main
characteristics of the experiments, including the DM in each of the organs of the plant
at transplant.
Table 15. Summary of the main crop management parameters used as inputs for the
model.
Parameter Unit Open field Greenhouse
Latitude Decimal Degrees 6°28'55.40"N, 5°42'26.05"N,
Longitude Decimal Degrees 73° 6'54.74"W 73°36'3.97"W
Altitude masl 1140.0 2346.0
Planting date MM/DD/YYYY 01/27/2016 01/28/2016
Plant density Plants m-2 1.3 3.3
Cycle length Days 110.0 131.0
Initial dry matter
Leaves g plant-1 0.179 0.0915
Stems g plant-1 0.063 0.0325
Fruits g plant-1 0.0 0.0
2 -1
Leaf Area m plant 0.005175 0.004983
An automatic weather station (Vantage Pro2, Davis Instruments®) was installed next
to the plots to record the climate variables required by the model. Additionally, inside
the greenhouse, a pyranometer SR sensor (Model LI200RX, Campbell Scientific, Inc.,
Logan, UT, USA) was installed above the plant canopy, and air temperature and RH
were recorded by dry- and wet-bulb copper-constantan (T-type) thermocouples placed
inside a ventilated capsule. The wind speed inside the greenhouse was estimated by a
linear regression that required the external wind speed and the coefficients proposed
by Wang et al. (2000). Concerning the soil, for validation, we assumed a 40 cm
profile, which was divided into four layers of 10 cm each. For each soil layer, the
parameters required by the model were determined following the standard methods in
a soil laboratory. A summary of the soil properties used in model validation is given
in Table 16.
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
Table 16. Properties of the two soil profiles used in the validation process in
greenhouse (GH) and open field (OF) conditions.
Sys Ly LT pH OC BD Nmin CEC CL LO SA LL FC SAT SWC
GH 1 10 6.3 1.26 1.24 81.68 20.5 40.2 30.2 29.6 0.22 0.33 0.35 0.25
2 10 6.3 1.32 1.32 81.68 20.5 40.2 30.2 29.6 0.21 0.32 0.33 0.23
3 10 6.3 1.39 1.40 81.68 20.5 40.2 30.2 29.6 0.17 0.30 0.27 0.19
4 10 5.7 1.55 1.56 49.01 18.0 30.0 38.6 31.4 0.19 0.27 0.30 0.21
5 10 5.7 1.55 1.56 49.01 18.0 30.0 38.6 31.4 0.19 0.27 0.30 0.21
OF 1 10 6.5 1.08 1.46 21.2 11.3 17.1 42.3 40.6 0.15 0.36 0.40 0.14
2 10 6.5 1.08 1.49 21.2 11.3 17.1 42.3 40.6 0.15 0.28 0.32 0.21
3 10 6.5 1.08 1.45 21.2 11.3 17.1 42.3 40.6 0.15 0.28 0.32 0.20
4 10 5.2 1.08 1.36 14.8 11.3 45.2 26.5 28.3 0.12 0.28 0.32 0.19
5 10 5.2 1.08 1.36 14.8 11.3 45.2 26.5 28.3 0.12 0.28 0.32 0.19
Sys: Production system; Ly: Soil layer; LT: layer thickness (cm); OC: organic carbon content (%); BD:
bulk density (g cm-3); Nmin: mineral nitrogen content (kg ha-1); CEC: cation exchange capacity (cmolc kg-
1
); CL, LO and SA: clay, loam and sand content (%), respectively; LL, FC and SAT: lower limit, field
capacity and saturation (cm3 cm-3), respectively; SWC: initial water content (cm3 cm-3).
hours at 70°C. Once dried, the samples were weighed on a precision scale to determine
their DM. Then, a subsample was taken to the laboratory to determine the N-content
through the Kjeldahl method (Bradstreet, 1954). The LA was determined through
digital pictures of the individual leaves taken with a commercial grade digital camera
and placed over a reference gridded surface. The LA was determined based on the
relation between the number of pixels of a predefined area (reference grid) and the
number of pixels corresponding to the leaf surface.
We measured soil temperature (ST), SWC, Nmin, and ammonium (NH+4 ) plus nitrate
(NO-3 ) in the soil. For ST, a platinum-probe wire thermistor (range: -40°C to 65°C;
accuracy: ±0.5°C) programmed to record hourly measurements was employed. The
SWC was indirectly measured using a sensor that converted an electrical resistance
signal into a soil water suction in the range of 0 to 200 centibars (Watermark®,
Irrometer). The sensor measurements were converted to volumetric water content
using a previously fitted soil moisture retention curve (pF-curve) following the
method proposed by Richards (1941). This method relates the soil water retention at
a given negative pressure head to fit the pF curve. The following negative pressure
heads (bars) were evaluated: -0.1, -0.3 (pF 2.54: FC), -1, -3 and -15 (pF 4.2: LL).
Inside the experimental area, four pairs of ST and SWC sensors were installed at each
layer. The soil was sampled for Nmin on a fortnightly basis at a depth of 20 cm
throughout the crop cycle.
Model validation
The first step in validating the model was to perform a mass balance for water and N
in the system to verify the correct model operation. The water balance was carried out
following an adaptation of the hydrological balance equation described by Neitsch et
al. (2005), as shown below:
Q
where %OPQ is the soil water content at the end of the cycle, %OPR is the soil water
content at the beginning of the cycle, ^ represents the crop cycle duration in days, U?
(cm) is the precipitation on the ith day, VW? is the irrigation (cm), V? is the water
intercepted by the foliage (cm) on the ith day, WY? is the surface runoff (cm) on the
ith day, %&F,? represents the actual soil evaporation (cm) on the ith day, UJF,? is the
actual plant transpiration (cm) on the ith day, and !U? represents the deep percolation
(cm) on the ith day. For the N-balance, we followed a similar approach, as shown in
the next equation:
Q
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
ammonium volatilization on the ith day; 'Y=,? represents the nitrogen oxides emitted
to the atmosphere (kg N ha-1) on the ith day; 'a Y? is the nitrous oxide (kg N ha-1)
generated during the nitrification and denitrification processes on the ith day; 'a,?
represents the dinitrogen volatilization (kg N ha-1) on the ith day; and 'e1FE),? is the
potential N-losses due to leaching (kg N ha-1) on the ith day.
The model validation aimed at determining the goodness-of-fit of the model using
both qualitative and quantitative criteria, such as those in Heuts (2018). The
agreement between observed and measured values in the figures was used as
qualitative criteria. From the quantitative point of view, a set of goodness-of-fit
statistics was calculated comparing the model estimates with observed data. These
statistics are shown in Table 17.
Table 17. Goodness-of-fit statistics used to validate the model predictions.
Statistic Abbreviation Equation Range Reference
value for
perfect fit
Nash-Sutcliffe NSE ∑Q?\](%? − Y? )a [-¥,1] 1
modelling 1 −
∑Q?\](Y? − Yh)a
efficiency
Root mean RSR i∑Q?\](%? − Y? )a [0, ¥] 0
square error –
observed j∑Q?\](Y? − Yh)a
standard
deviation ratio
Percent bias PBias 100 × ∑Q?\](%? − Y? ) [-100, 100] 0
∑Q?\] Y?
deviation
ratiodeviation
% h
? : is each simulated value; Y? : is each observed value and Y: is the observations average.
ratio)
The variables involved in the model validation were the plant DM accumulation and
distribution, N total uptake and accumulation per organ, ST, SWC, and the soil Nmin
content within the first 20 cm. The model validation was carried out using the R
statistical software package (R Core Team, 2018).
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
However, in this model approach we decided to fit a single curve for both systems in
order to simplify the model. This choice causes an overestimation of nitrogen demand
by the stems in plants under GH, and an underestimation for this variable in the case
of OF production.
Figure 16. Nitrogen content in the tomato plant organs as a function of the
accumulated thermal time.
Rooting system growth
According to the adjusted parameters for the logistic functions, for the greenhouse
experiment, the asymptotic depth for the maximum rooting depth was 49.9 cm, while
for the open field experiment, it was 54.4 cm (Figure 17). The inflection point
occurred earlier in the open field experiment than in the greenhouse experiment,
namely, at 155.8°Cd. For the greenhouse experiment, it occurred at 293.1°Cd. This
variation in root growth was mainly due to the different soil types. The slower and
more restricted root growth in the greenhouse experiment was due to the soil clay
texture, while in the open field experiment, the sandy texture of the upper layers
allowed faster development of the roots as well as expansion to greater depths.
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
Figure 18. Probability distribution to control the root dry matter allocated to each layer
with root presence as a function of the accumulated thermal time.
Water and nitrogen overall balances
For the open field treatment, the final water balance (right-hand side of Equation 31)
showed a difference of 0.09 cm with respect to SWCn, while for the N-mass balance,
this difference was only 6.52 kg ha-1, as indicated by the balance components
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
presented in Table 18. For the greenhouse treatment, the differences in the final
balances were 0.06 cm for water and 9.53 kg N ha-1 for the N-mass balance. These
negligible differences in the water and N-balances, mostly due to rounding
differences, confirmed appropriate implementation of the soil water and N-modules.
Table 18. Final water and mass balance predictions to confirm the appropriate
implementation of the water and nitrogen soil modules.
Abbreviation Open field Greenhouse
Water-balance (cm)
Final soil water content %OPQ +15.21 +14.25
Initial soil water content %OPR +11.25 +10.96
Precipitation U +63.60 +0.00
Irrigation VW +14.10 +41.68
Interception by foliage V -3.04 -0.00
Superficial runoff WY -3.40 -0.02
Soil evaporation %&F -17.13 -10.97
Plant transpiration UJF -10.81 -26.97
Deep percolation !U -39.45 -0.50
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
total plant DM accumulation. However, considering the results per organ, only the
DM allocated to fruits showed a similar trend, while the leaf DM was overestimated.
Overestimations of the total N-uptake and N-uptake for leaves and stems were
observed, while the model yielded a slight N-uptake underestimation for fruits.
Figure 19. Observed and simulated dry matter accumulation and partitioning and
nitrogen content of the plant organs for the validation experiments carried out under
greenhouse and open field conditions.
According to the goodness-of-fit measurements, the model showed a satisfactory
performance (NSE ≥ 0.92, RSR ≤ 0.28 and |UyH,5| < 22) for both total DM and
total N-uptake (Table 19). However, we found differences in the model performance
by examining the output for the plant organs. Of the organs, fruits showed the best fit
for both DM accumulation (NSE ≥ 0.95, RSR ≤ 0.22 and |UyH,5| < 9) and N-
allocation (NSE ≥ 0.92, RSR ≤ 0.28 and |UyH,5| < 22). For leaves, the model
overestimated both DM and N-accumulation; however, a higher overestimation
occurred for the stem DM than the other types of DM (Table 19).
Under the open field conditions, the DM was underestimated except for the leaf DM,
which showed the highest deviation from the observed values (Table 19). The stems
showed the least agreement, especially under the greenhouse condition for both DM
accumulation and N-allocation (NSE < −5, RSR > 2.5 and UyH,5 < 110). Although
under the open field condition, the stem DM showed a good adjustment, this did not
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
occur for N-allocation. Table 19 also includes the average DM and N-accumulation
per plant (-̅~ ), in addition to the model predicted values (6).
Table 19. Model performance scores for dry matter accumulation and nitrogen content
for the whole plant and disaggregated per organ.
Greenhouse Open field
Dry Matter (g
DM plant-1)
Plant 221.62 249.69 0.96 0.2 13.21 635.40 520.53 0.94 0.24 -10.01
Fruits 158.08 179.79 0.97 0.17 -1.96 406.16 325.00 0.95 0.22 -8.2
Leaves 51.92 92.46 -0.71 1.31 77.44 116.10 194.64 0.7 0.55 27.01
Stem 11.62 42.16 -5.35 2.52 110.99 113.14 128.66 0.97 0.17 -0.65
Nitrogen content
(g N plant-1)
Plant 9.86 8.89 0.97 0.16 -0.83 15.35 15.68 0.92 0.28 21.2
Fruits 6.56 5.63 0.95 0.22 -16.48 11.16 9.58 0.94 0.25 10.23
Leaves 3.05 2.36 0.79 0.46 8.13 2.83 3.81 0.74 0.51 26.95
Stem 0.28 0.9 -7.18 2.86 110.19 1.36 2.28 0.33 0.82 51.56
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
constant SWC values during a large part of the cycle, followed by a sudden increase
at the end (Figure 20). This situation was well represented by the model. The results
observed for this soil were probably due to its clay texture, historical use and tillage
management. This area was converted from livestock grazing to greenhouse
horticultural production approximately 5 years ago, and the regular soil preparation
consisted of plowing at no more than 20 cm. The tillage decreased the compaction of
the surface layer, and according to Hamza and Anderson (2005), the low observed
and simulated infiltration rates of the deeper layers indicated that these layers were
still compacted.
Additionally, the placement of the sensors with respect to the drip lines contributed
to the observed differences between the measured and predicted SWC. The sensors
placed at depths of 10-20 and 20-30 cm were closer to the drip lines, while the
remaining two sensors were further away from them. This scenario probably
introduced a slight bias in the soil moisture records with respect to the model
predictions given that the soil model followed a one-dimensional approach that
assumed moisture contents were homogeneous within each layer.
Figure 20 also includes the goodness-of-fit statistics used to evaluate model
performance. The model showed a better fit for the layers between 10 and 40 cm depth
under the open field condition compared to the greenhouse situation. However, in
comparison with the other layers, the first layer had a greater underestimation of the
model; nevertheless, the model satisfactorily represented the water content in the soil.
Based on the PBias, we established that the model overestimated the SWC in the first
layer (0-10 cm), while in deeper layers, the trend was to slightly underestimate the
SWC. For the greenhouse trial, the results were different; the predicted SWC with the
lowest agreement with the observations occurred for the deepest layers, exhibiting an
overestimation trend for most of the cropping cycle. In contrast, the predicted SWC
of the second layer showed the best agreement with the observations. The 0-10 and
20-30 cm layers showed good agreement with observations, although the SWC for
both layers were overestimated.
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
Figure 20. Observed and simulated water content of the four soil layers for the open
field and greenhouse trials.
Soil nitrogen
The model capability to predict the soil Nmin-content was evaluated by comparing
the predicted NH+4 and NO-3 in the first 20 cm against the records obtained from the
soil samplings. Figure 21 shows these comparisons in addition to the goodness-of-fit
statistics used to evaluate model agreement. In both the open field and greenhouse
trials, the PBias showed that the model overestimates the soil concentrations of NH+4
and NO-3 . Although the predicted values follow the trend of the experimental
measurements, the NSE and RSR score results showed the limitations of the model
performance (Figure 21). Nevertheless, both NH+4 and NO-3 showed a wide range of
variation for most sampling dates. Although all samples were taken before
fertilization and in a random pattern from the planting bed, it is important to note that
soil N-concentration is strongly influenced by the application method (Zhang et al.,
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
1996), especially in the upper layers. Without a sampling pattern based on the
irrigation lines as in the greenhouse trial, some subsamples were probably collected
closer to the drip than other samples, resulting in high N-concentrations, while other
samples probably were collected farther away with a lower N-concentration. As a
one-dimensional model, the soil model was not designed to account for any horizontal
spatial variation in the predicted variables.
Figure 21. Simulated (lines) and measured (± standard deviations) nitrate and
ammonium contents at a 20 cm depth throughout the experimental cycle. The modeled
nitrogen contents were obtained by adding the predicted values for the first two layers
(0-10 and 10-20).
Under open field conditions, of the factors, ammonium had the highest variation in
nitrogen content, while in the greenhouse system, nitrate measurements had the
highest variation in nitrogen content. In contrast to SWC, soil nitrogen dynamics are
governed by complex interactions of multiple processes, so their calibration and
validation are still a challenge (Heuts, 2018), especially for highly variable production
systems developed on tropical soils.
Soil temperature
The model closely reproduced the observed trend for soil temperature (Figure 22).
Based on the goodness-of-fit measures, the model performance for temperature was
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
good enough for all depths and under the two experimental conditions. According to
the measurements, the soil temperature variations were higher in the upper layers than
in the other layers. These variations were much higher under the open field conditions
than under the greenhouse conditions due to the use of plastic mulch in the greenhouse
and periodic precipitation. Regarding the time trend, the largest differences between
the measured and predicted soil temperatures were observed after the midpoint of the
cropping cycle and for the upper layers. Some authors (Heuts, 2018; Liu et al., 2013;
Sándor and Fodor, 2012) have associated this trend with the fact that these models do
not incorporate the shading effect generated by canopies, which remains a point to be
addressed in the model.
Figure 22. Observed and simulated soil temperature at different depths and the
goodness-of-fit statistics used to evaluate the model performance.
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Soil-plant model validation under Colombian conditions
6.4. Conclusions
The first step in this work was to adapt the plant model to respond to the N-demand
required to achieve optimum growth and development and to model root growth.
Given that roots penetrate soil layers, they determine the availability of N and water
to meet plant demands. When N and water in the rooting layers fulfill plant demands,
growth and development will be optimal; otherwise, they will be constrained.
In this section, we assessed the soil-plant model performance for DM production and
partitioning, N-allocation to plant organs, soil water content, soil temperature and
mineral soil N-content for the first 20 cm in depth. Although the results for the
performance of those variables varied depending on the production conditions, plant
organ or soil layer, in general, the soil-plant model was able to adequately reproduce
the N and water soil dynamics and their effects on tomato plant growth and
development.
Given that the variables involved in the present validation showed that the model
performed satisfactorily, it is reasonable to assume that the remaining predicted
variables, such as those directly related to nitrogen emissions, should perform equally
well. For this reason, we consider the performance of the soil-plant model to be
satisfactory and suitable for environmental assessments of current and prospective N-
fertilization scenarios.
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Chapter 7. Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
In preparation for submission to the journal: Journal of Cleaner Production
Abstract
Crop modelling and life cycle assessment (LCA) are sophisticated tools widely used
in the agricultural sector. However, combining modelling and LCA for the evaluation
of the environmental performance of prospective scenarios is still in an early stage.
The purpose of this work was to combine crop modeling with LCA but incorporating
the stochastic multi-attribute analysis (SMAA) method into the normalization and
weighting steps allowing an objective environmental assessment of alternative
production strategies. As a proof of concept, we assessed the environmental
performance of the current tomato production systems in Colombia and prospective
scenarios related to nitrogen (N) fertilization. The primary data were extracted
through a locally validated soil-plant model, which was used to simulate the effect of
weather seasonality on tomato production both for open field and greenhouse systems
under three N-fertilization scenarios. Secondary data related to the fertilizer
manufacturing were extracted from the Ecoinvent database (v.2.0). The following
three scenarios will be simulated:
1. The current N-fertilization practices carried out by local growers.
2. Applying a fixed dose of nitrogen.
3. N-fertilization depending on the simulated plant N-demand to achieve
optimal development.
The results showed significant effects of seasonal climatic variability on crop yield
as well as on the environmental impact. This work demonstrated the feasibility of
coupling soil-crop models with life cycle assessment to dynamically determine the
environmental impacts. Both the results of the evaluated scenarios and the feasibility
of the integrated methodology are presented and discussed.
Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
7.1. Introduction
The knowledge accumulated in recent decades in areas such as computer science,
applied mathematics, plant physiology, crop science, edaphology, and genetics has
boosted the development of crop modeling (Jones et al., 2017). As a result, crop
modeling is now a mature tool used in a wide range of applications ranging from crop
forecasting (Soler et al., 2007) to climate change effects on food production
(Rosenzweig et al., 2014), although this type of modeling is mostly restricted to
temperate zones. In this work, crop modeling was used to predict plant growth and
development in relation to climate, environmental factors and management practices;
more specifically, the constraints imposed by water and nutrient availability
throughout the crop cycle were investigated.
Currently, a wide range of these models is available, including ORYZA (Bouman and
van Laar, 2006), CERES-N (Quemada and Cabrera, 1995), WOFOST (Van Diepen
et al., 1989), SOYGRO (Wilkerson et al., 1983), and SUCROS2 (Van Keulen et al.,
1992). These models have been developed for specific purposes and are used to
simulate scenarios that are rarely under actual conditions due to their complexity or
high costs in terms of budget or time.
To simulate water and nutrient dynamics, soil processes must be linked to crop
processes. These processes drive the movement of water, the transformation of
organic and inorganic compounds and plant uptake of both water and nutrients
through the rooting system. Within this modeling framework, it is possible to
introduce algorithms representing the potential losses of polluting substances. Models
such as DNDC (Giltrap et al., 2010), CERES-ECG (Dufossé et al., 2013), STICS
(Brisson et al., 1998), EU-Rotate_N (Rahn et al., 2010) and the one proposed by
Heuts (2018) have the ability to simulate crop yields in addition to water dynamics in
the soil-plant system, including greenhouse gas emissions as well as ammonia and
nitrate emissions.
Special attention has been given to nitrogen (N). N is a key element to ensuring proper
yields and is consequently added through external sources; however, the application
of high amounts of N to the soil results in risk to the environment. The most important
N-pollutant molecules emitted from agricultural fields are ammonia (NH3) and nitrous
oxide (N2O), which are released into the air, and nitrate (NO-3 ), which is released into
water bodies (Brentrup et al., 2000). The processes to model soil N-dynamics, and
therefore the derived pollutant losses, include the flow of water out of a system
through leaching and runoff (if open field conditions) and the main N-processes, such
as decomposition/mineralization, ammonium adsorption, urea hydrolysis (if used),
ammonia volatilization, and (de)nitrification.
On the other hand, life cycle assessments (LCAs) of agricultural systems often
estimate on-field N-emissions within the life cycle inventory (LCI) step (Bojacá et
al., 2014; Brentrup et al., 2001). In most related literature, the methods used to
calculate these on-field emissions are static and result in aggregated scores per
production cycle using meta-regression analysis, with N-fertilization as the main
driving factor (Brentrup et al., 2000; Nemecek et al., 2016). These methods include
empirical correction factors to modify the amounts of N-released to the environment
depending on characteristics such as the type of fertilizer, edapho-climatic conditions
and, in some cases, crop characteristics and management practices (Nemecek et al.,
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
2016). As a consequence, these empirical models are easily calculated but have a high
uncertainty due to their generic parametrization.
This work contributes to a short list of studies that have recently been published
regarding the use of dynamic soil-crop models to calculate the emissions in a life cycle
assessment context (Dufossé et al., 2013; Goglio et al., 2018; Heuts, 2018; Liao et al.,
2014; Nitschelm et al., 2018; Perrin et al., 2017). These studies demonstrate the
advantages of crop modeling, such as the dynamic incorporation of local climatic and
soil conditions as well as fertilization and irrigation practices to more realistically
simulate the interactions in a soil-plant system. Goglio et al. (2018) reported good
agreement between the emissions calculated by the DNDC model and those measured
in the field by micrometeorological techniques, thereby demonstrating the validity of
the approach.
Although LCIAs result in a set of environmental indicators, integration of this
information into an overall index is still problematic. Thus, several multidimensional
methods have been applied for LCA normalization and weighting, with optional steps
to improve communication of the results to stakeholders (Zanghelini et al., 2018). The
present work proposes a method for agricultural LCAs by coupling soil-crop model
tools and LCA by integrating the stochastic multi-attribute analysis (SMAA) method
to generate a single dimensionless indicator that allows an unbiased environmental
evaluation of a system or production alternatives. This method was proposed by Prado
and Heijungs (2018); however, in its implementation, they assumed a single
symmetrical distribution for the hypothetical environmental indicators. The first step
in the SMAA method is to carry out Monte Carlo simulations of the environmental
indicators to build the joint probability distributions that later will be used to outrank
the alternatives. To take into account the correlation structure of the impact categories
caused by their linear relationship with primary data (Bojacá and Schrevens, 2010),
the copula method was applied to derive multivariate joint distributions (Czado et al.,
2013; Sklar, 1959) that represent the existing level of correlation among impact
categories. As a proof of concept, we assessed the environmental performance of the
current tomato production systems in Colombia and prospective scenarios related to
N-fertilization.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
N-fertilization scenarios
The soil-plant model was used to evaluate the following three N-fertilization scenarios
for the two production systems:
1. Current N-fertilization practices carried out by local growers (Cr).
2. Application of a fixed dose of nitrogen (Fr).
3. N-fertilization based on the simulated plant N-demand to achieve
optimal development (Op).
Planting densities of 1.1 and 3.0 plants m-2 and cycle lengths of 114 and 166 days
were used for the open field and greenhouse system simulations, respectively. The
phenological and physiological parameters driving the tomato model are presented in
Gil et al. (2017). In terms of the N-fertilization source, we assumed the application of
N (ammonium nitrate), P (phosphorus pentoxide) K (potassium oxide) was 13:6:40
and 15:4:23 for the greenhouse and open field systems, respectively, consistent with
the most used fertilizers by growers as reported by Gil et al. (2019b). The specific N-
fertilization scenarios in terms of timing and dosing are described in the next
paragraph.
Scenario 1 – Current N-fertilization strategy (Cr)
In the first scenario, the N-fertilization strategy currently applied by growers in each
production system was simulated. This scenario was based on the field data collected
by Gil et al. (2019b).
For the greenhouse system, a total of 272 kg N ha-1 was applied per production cycle
with 9.6% of that being applied on the transplanting day, while the remaining amount
was added proportionally on a daily basis until the end of harvest. This daily dose
corresponded to 1.5 kg N ha-1 (0.55% of the total dose) and was applied through
fertigation.
For the open field system, a total dose of 188.6 kg of N ha-1 was applied, distributed
over the crop cycle in eight applications (2, 21, 29, 36, 41, 49, 56, and 65 days after
transplanting) at varying amounts (6.6, 16, 26.4, 28.3, 30.2, 22.6, 22.6, and 35.9 kg N
ha-1, respectively). This is a generalization, since the detailed follow-ups revealed that
producers apply fertilizers with time intervals ranging from 4 days at the beginning
of the cycle to 20 days at the end of the crop.
The irrigation water for the greenhouse system was applied through the fertigation
system at a daily rate of 2.52 l m-2 from the transplanting day until the end of the
cycle, following the standard practice of Colombian growers (Gil et al., 2019b). Open
field production is mainly a rainfed system with occasionally extra irrigation input.
Scenario 2 – Fixed N-fertilization strategy (Fx)
For this scenario, both production systems received a fixed dose of 400 kg N ha-1.
This dose was derived from N-dose-response experiments carried out for open field
and greenhouse tomatoes planted under Colombian conditions (Gil et al., 2017b). This
dose produced the maximum yields for both production systems. The timing and
application schemes of this scenario were the same as those designed for the Cr
scenario. Irrigation strategies for both systems also remained the same for this
scenario.
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as the only water input, while for the greenhouse system, this variable was not
included.
For the greenhouse production system, the model calibrated and validated by Díaz-
Guevara (2015) for Colombian conditions was used to estimate the internal
greenhouse climate based on external weather conditions. The model implemented by
Díaz-Guevara (2015) was a set of nonlinear differential equations designed to predict
the air, soil, crop and cover surface temperatures as well as sensible and latent heat
fluxes as a function of radiation. Vapor pressure and CO2 concentration were also
considered in this approach. The model inputs were the external global radiation, wind
speed, relative humidity, air temperature, soil surface layer temperature, and leaf area
index (LAI). The LAI required a prediction of the vapor pressure inside the
greenhouse, which was obtained from the crop growth simulations.
Soil configuration
For all simulations, the soil profile was divided into four layers from 0 to 0.9 m (0-
10, 10-30, 30-60 and 60-90 cm), as suggested by Heuts (2018). An N-flow below 0.9
m was considered irreversible leaching to the aquifer. The initial values for the soil
N-content, pH, organic carbon, and soil texture were averaged from local soil data
from the aforementioned Colombian provinces as reported by Gil et al. (2019b). The
water content at the wilting point (-15 bar), field capacity (-0.3 bar) and saturation (0
bar) were calculated using pedo-transfer functions that require soil texture and organic
matter of each layer as inputs (Saxton et al., 1986). The initial soil water content was
assumed to be 90% of the field capacity for each layer, based on the standard
management practice of irrigating soil before transplanting. The soil parameters and
initial values used in the simulations are presented in Appendix 3.
Nitrogen fertilization emissions
The soil-plant model predicted the on-field emissions of NH3, N2O and NO-3 following
a process-based mechanistic approach as proposed in Heuts (2018). Hence, the NH3
emissions were generated as a result of a first-order kinetic approach for the
ammonium (NH+4 ) pool, which used mineral fertilization and the NH+4 flow from that
mineralization as inputs. In the present work, as in Heuts (2018), the pH of the soil
was assumed to have a relatively low effect on the volatilization of NH3, and this
process was also assumed to occur in the topmost soil layers (0-15 cm). An NH+4 pool
also feeds the nitrification process. N2O emissions are generated by both oxidation in
aerobic conditions of NH+4 into nitrite (NO2) and then from this compound to NO-3 as
well as by the reduction of NO-3 in anaerobic conditions. For both nitrification and
denitrification, the Michaelis-Menten approach was used to represent the enzymatic
kinetics of each process. The NO-3 from fertilizers and the resulting nitrification
process can potentially be lost by leaching as a result of the movement of water from
the superficial soil layers to the deepest layers due to gravity. Although the model also
estimated the losses of nitrogen in the form of NH+4 , these did not exceed 2% of the
total content of this element in the soil layers under consideration. These processes
are dynamically driven by biophysical factors such as fertilization, soil temperature,
water content and plant N-uptake. At the end of each simulation, the emissions were
aggregated from the daily results to represent the total emissions per production cycle.
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Once the R-vine copula model was fitted, we performed the Monte Carlo procedure
for each environmental indicator considering a sample size of 10000. Since the
marginal distributions of the R-vine copula model are uniform, we transformed back
the sampled data to the aforementioned fitted distributions.
Next, we calculated uncertainty-based preference (Pi) and indifference (Qi) thresholds
based on the determined uncertainty of the data. An outranking score was calculated
per pairwise comparison and per environmental indicator, and the net flow was
established as the sum of these scores. Then, we defined the weights for each
environmental indicator based on a stochastic procedure by assigning a distribution
to the weight factor values, resulting in an aggregated overall score that accounted for
all possible value systems (Prado-Lopez and Heijungs, 2018). These overall scores
represented the relative performance of the scenarios under comparison, with a higher
overall score indicating the best environmental performance. Finally, a probability
value per scenario per rank was configured based on ranking the scenario per run. A
schematic overview of the proposed method is presented in Figure 23.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Figure 23. A schematic overview of the coupled soil-crop model and LCA to assess the environmental performance of N-fertilization scenarios.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Figure 24. Kernel probability density functions describing the tomato yield of the
scenarios evaluated in the greenhouse (A) and open field (B) systems.
The results of the simulations were mainly driven by the climate as well as the
irrigation and N-fertilization strategies of the scenarios. While the applied N was
defined before the simulations for the Cr and Fx scenarios, the N-demands for the Op
scenario were predicted by the soil-crop model. In the open field system, the optimal
N-fertilization that matched the N-demand, ranged from 302 to 436 kg N ha-1, while
in the greenhouse system, it ranged from 431 to 498 kg N ha-1. For the greenhouse
system, the water demand was estimated from crop evapotranspiration, and the results
indicated that the plant required between 248 and 342 l m-2 per cycle. Water demand
is a function of development stage, starting at 0.5 l m-2 d-1 for the vegetative stage and
ending at 4.8 l m-2 d-1 when the plant was in the full production stage. In the open field
system, the water input from precipitation varied between 580.3 and 1233.1 mm per
cycle.
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The planting date had an important effect on yield (Appendix 4). In the case of the
greenhouse production system, the highest yields were obtained when the cycles were
established between the months of February and March, while the lowest yields were
obtained for cycles established between May and November. From a climatic
standpoint, the months in which the best yields were obtained were characterized by
periods of transition from the dry to rainy season, while the lowest yields occurred
when the crop was established in the dry season between June and August. In the case
of the open field production system, the highest yields were observed for the crops
established between October and December. This period was characterized by
decreased rainfall, which was accompanied by an increase in solar radiation. In the
open field production system, high rainfall throughout the year seemed to restrict
production, and only when the rainfall decreased an increased production was
possible. In the greenhouse production system, where the water supply was
controlled, the intense dry season characterized by low relative humidity appeared to
affect tomato yield. Notably, greenhouses do not have climate control systems, which
makes them highly dependent on external climatic conditions.
Nitrogen emissions
The simulated N-emissions also showed a high degree of variation, particularly in the
open field system (Figure 25), also as a result of the seasonal weather fluctuations.
Appendix 5 depicts the dynamics of the N-emissions for each scenario throughout the
52 simulated production cycles. In the open field system, a higher level of variation
occurred, especially for nitrate losses, which depend to a large extent on soil water
inputs and properties such as the sandy texture of the soils (Gil et al., 2019b). A higher
level of N-emissions was predicted in the open field scenarios than in the greenhouse
scenarios. This result was previously reported by Gil et al. (2018) who applied
standard methods such as the emissions factors proposed by Brentrup et al. (2000)
and the regression analyses method of Nemecek et al. (2016). The high emission
variability was also highlighted in previous studies, and this variability was mainly
associated with the great diversity in management practices involving fertilization
carried out by growers (Gil et al., 2018). However, the results presented here include
the seasonal effect of the weather on the predicted N-emissions in a more structured,
mechanistic way.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Figure 25. Emissions of ammonia (NH3), nitrous oxide (N2O) and nitrate (NO-3 )
during the crop cycles simulated for each scenario in the greenhouse and open field
systems.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Fx Air emissions
NH3 0.013 1.02E-03 0.030 9.83E-03
N2O 0.111 0.011 0.419 0.121
Water emissions
NO-3 4.02 0.41 13.72 4.76
Op Air emissions
NH3 0.011 9.23E-04 0.029 9.74E-03
N2O 0.027 1.64E-03 0.424 0.117
Water emissions
NO-3 0.000 0.0000 13.35 4.64
Comparing the results for the Cr scenario with those from previous works in which
standard methods were used to calculate emissions (Brentrup et al., 2000; Nemecek
et al., 2016), important differences can be seen. The predicted NH3 was one order of
magnitude lower than those reported for the same production systems but using the
standard methods (Gil et al., 2018). For N2O and NO-3 emissions, the model results
were higher by one order of magnitude for the greenhouse system than for the open
field system, while the modeled NO-3 emissions of the open field system were two
orders of magnitude higher than those previously reported (Gil et al., 2018). Although
the soil-plant model was calibrated and validated (Gil et al., 2017c; Heuts, 2018), the
simulated scenarios still represent a simplification of the practices carried out by the
growers. For instance, the scenarios did not include the use of organic fertilizers, and
only a single N-inorganic fertilizer product was used for the simulations, which
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Figure 26. Effect of the transplanting date on emissions of nitrate in the greenhouse
and open field systems.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Figure 27. Kernel probability density functions for each impact category in the
scenarios evaluated for the greenhouse system.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Figure 28. Probability density functions for each impact category in the scenarios
evaluated for the open field system.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Table 21. Median values for potential environmental impacts per ton of tomato produced in the scenarios evaluated for open field and
greenhouse conditions in the Colombian Andes.
System/Scenario AD AP EP FAETP GWP HTTP MAETP POP TEP
Greenhouse (kg Sb (kg SO2 eq) (kg PO-34 (kg 1.4-DB (kg CO2 eq) (kg 1.4-DB (kg 1.4-DB eq) (kg C2H4 (kg 1.4-DB
eq) eq) eq) eq) eq) eq)
Cr 0.010 0.037 2.064 2.15E-05 61.421 0.015 1.62E-04 2.05E-04 2.32E-06
Fx 0.014 0.040 1.827 2.91E-05 57.136 0.019 2.20E-04 2.78E-04 3.14E-06
Op 0.011 0.034 0.019 2.39E-05 17.192 0.016 1.81E-04 2.28E-04 2.57E-06
Open field
Cr 0.239 0.280 2.639 5.14E-04 168.937 0.316 3.89E-03 4.92E-03 5.55E-05
Fx 0.340 0.385 1.935 7.31E-04 182.953 0.448 5.53E-03 6.99E-03 7.88E-05
Op 0.313 0.356 1.940 6.73E-04 173.601 0.412 5.09E-03 6.43E-03 7.25E-05
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Open field
Cr 22 7007.00 -13942.01 -13871.76
Fx 23 7473.54 -14871.08 -14796.94
Op 25 7186.53 -14289.07 -14207.12
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
The last step, after the SMAA method, was the construction of the probabilistic rank
that allowed the comparison of the likelihood between the scenarios for both systems.
The cumulative distribution of the rankings for each considered scenario is shown in
Figure 29. The ranking order of the scenarios showed a first-order stochastic
dominance (Canis et al., 2010), meaning that in comparison to the other scenarios, the
Op scenario of the greenhouse system had a higher probability of ranking better, while
the opposite situation was observed for the open field Fx scenario. In this study, a
better ranking means better environmental performance; therefore, comparisons can
be made between inter- and intra-production system scenarios. For instance, in the
open field system, the alternative Fx and Op scenarios did not improve the
environmental performance of the current system, while in the greenhouse system,
these alternative scenarios showed the expected improvements.
Figure 29. Cumulative distribution functions of the rankings for each nitrogen
fertilization scenario.
Another way to consider the results of the SMAA method is through the rank
acceptability index (RAI). This index assigns an overall probability value to each
evaluated scenario based on the count of the ranking for each alternative obtained in
each run (Prado-Lopez and Heijungs, 2018). The RAI values allowed a
straightforward classification of the scenarios, as shown in Figure 30. According to
the RAI, the two scenarios with the best environmental performance were the Op and
Fx scenarios of the greenhouse system. The Cr scenario of the open field system
showed the highest probability of ranking last, i.e., the scenario with the lowest
environmental performance.
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Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
Figure 30. Rank acceptability index for each of the scenarios evaluated regarding
nitrogen fertilization.
The alternative Fx scenario demostrates what commonly occurs in the agricultural
sector at the local level, where fixed doses of inputs such as fertilizers are
recommended to growers. However, in the case of N-fertilization, this approach
overlooked the dependence on the timing and dosing of fertilizers and irrigation
throughout the production cycle. In Belgium, Van Loon (2018) concluded that
although vegetable production and nitrate emissions can be matched by an appropriate
fertilization strategy, ultimately, the weather conditions determine both aspects.
Therefore, in open field systems, the uncertain climatic conditions, particularly
rainfall, largely define the risk of nitrate losses in a production system (Van Loon,
2018).
On the basis of these findings, the greenhouse production system, despite its low
technological level, had the best prospects for environmental improvement. The
pathway to improve the environmental performance of crops managed by
smallholders involves implementing practices aimed at satisfying crop nutrient
demands by considering both local climate and soil characteristics. For instance, the
simulation results revealed the possibility of reducing the current volume of irrigation
water applied by growers without harming production but reducing the risk of nitrate
leaching into groundwater. The results of Gil et al. (2019b) showed that 467.5 l m-2
are currently used for a greenhouse tomato production cycle, but the Op scenario
reduced this amount to 300 l m-2 while simultaneously increasing yield. Water saving
in agriculture is recognized as one of the greatest challenges (Hamdy et al., 2003),
and in the case of systems such as greenhouse tomatoes, these savings can be
associated with lower potential emissions of harmful pollutants to the environment.
In contrast, the open field production system had greater limitations in terms of
improving its environmental performance due to its direct exposure to the elements,
113
Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
for instance to thunderstorms and high precipitation events that favor nitrate leaching
towards the aquifer. In the open field system, the climatic conditions of each cycle,
determined by the transplanting date, were the driving factors of the achieved yield
(Appendix 4) and the generated emissions (Appendix 5). Although the climatic
datasets were generated from historical data in the present work, the model can also
be used to evaluate the effect of prospective climate (change) scenarios. In the case
of the greenhouse system, the effect of modifications such as the inclusion of active
climate control systems can be evaluated in the future. Although this work focuses on
technical aspects, this approach could be coupled with participatory research methods
in which the community can weight environmental indicators based on local interests,
such as reducing the pollution risk to water bodies.
Favorable climatic conditions in tropical regions allow the establishment of crops
throughout the year. The results of the simulations showed an important effect of the
planting date on the environmental performance of the production. This effect
occurred because the climatic conditions of each cycle had a direct effect on
photosynthesis and thus on plant growth and development. In addition, climatic
conditions, e.g., precipitation in the open field system, affected the soil nitrogen
dynamics and thus the N-emissions and plant water availability. However, in the case
of the greenhouse system, where precipitation did not affect the crop directly, other
climatic variables (e.g., relative humidity) affected plant development and thus tomato
production as well as the environmental performance. In an ideal scenario, producers
should adjust fertilization practices according to the climatic conditions that occur
during a cycle. However, this type of approach requires constant monitoring of
climatic conditions, which does not occur in smallholder-based production systems in
countries such as Colombia.
The integration of soil-crop models with an environmental assessment of agricultural
systems allows an analysis of the dynamics of emissions in time and their impacts
throughout the production cycle. This approach helps to identify critical periods in
time where actions should be carried out to address pollution risks. In the case study
addressed in the present work, adequate management of fertilization and irrigation
can minimize the risk of NO-3 emissions in the greenhouse production system and
consequently reduce the impact on the environment. The proposed method can be
applied to multiyear crop rotations or perennial crops where the dynamic estimation
of emissions can be more informative because of the long cropping season, especially
in the tropics.
One of the main objections to using soil-crop models to calculate on-field emissions
is that they require a large amount of input data as well as the calibration of many
parameters, which may lead to a high uncertainty in the results (Nemecek et al., 2016).
However, currently, soil-crop models are well-developed and reliable tools that are
complex enough to adequately represent the main biogeochemical processes involved
in agricultural production (Brisson et al., 1998; Dufossé et al., 2013; Giltrap et al.,
2010; Rahn et al., 2010). On the other hand, the availability of climate and soil data,
which are the main input constraints for using these models, is increasing worldwide
through open access web-based platforms. The modular structure of soil-crop models
allows inclusion or improvement of the modules representing current or additional
processes as long as the knowledge is generated in related fields of study. For instance,
modules modeling the fate of other potentially polluting agrochemicals such as
114
Evaluation of nitrogen fertilization scenarios
7.4. Conclusions
This work demonstrated the feasibility of coupling soil-crop models with a life cycle
assessment to dynamically determine the environmental impacts of prospective
scenarios as an alternative to the standard evaluation of alternatives through field
experimentation. Once the model is calibrated and validated locally, regional
environmental assessments of production strategies are possible with a high degree of
confidence given the current soil-crop modeling development. Given the dynamic
nature of the model, it was possible to analyze in detail the effect of management
practices, e.g., fertilization, not only from a production perspective but also from an
environmental impact perspective. In the present work, the proposed method was
applied to a short-season crop; however, this method can also be applied to assess the
environmental performance of rotation schemes and annual or perennial crops. Being
able to gain information on the dynamics of pollutant emissions during a cropping
cycle, particularly for crop rotations or long-cycle crops, will help identify key points
in time where actions can be taken to reduce those emissions.
We must acknowledge that the soil modules defining N-emissions, such as NO-3
leaching, NH3 volatilization, and N2O losses, were not directly calibrated due to
missing data. The environmental assessment of production strategies by coupling crop
modeling and an LCA provides an opportunity to evaluate an abundance of scenarios
that, depending on the impact assessment method, can result in the interpretation stage
being an overwhelming task. To overcome this situation, we propose carrying out the
normalization and weighting stages through the SMAA method while recognizing the
correlation structure among the impact categories. Thus, we incorporated the copula
method, which constructs multivariate joint probability distributions based on relaxed
sample-size assumptions and in a computationally inexpensive way. Overall, the
SMAA method produced a stochastic ranking of the alternatives under consideration
without bias or subjective criteria. Thus, the outcome of the SMAA method can be
easily communicated to stakeholders or policy-makers.
115
Chapter 8. General conclusions
To characterize the open field and greenhouse tomato production systems in terms of
biophysical conditions and management practices carried out by Colombian growers
with special emphasis on nitrogen fertilization.
The present work began with a characterization of tomato production systems in open
field and greenhouse in Colombia. In Colombia tomato production takes place in
heterogeneous soils that are characterized by low levels of fertility, leading to
excessive applications of fertilizers. Due to favorable tropical climatic conditions, the
cultivation of tomatoes occurs throughout the year. Plantations are established in
small inter-Andean valleys or on mountain slopes, with great diversity in soil
properties, such as texture, minerals and organic matter content, which introduces an
additional source of variation in this agricultural production system. Finally, both
production systems are characterized by low technological levels and the lack of
adequate extension services, resulting in a wide range of management practices. The
characterization of these systems is rarely carried out for smallholders and therefore
constitutes valuable information about their current status, generating
recommendations to improve these systems considering that they produce most of the
locally consumed vegetables.
Both production systems intensively use agrochemicals, especially in relation to
fertilization. However, the results demonstrated that in comparison to the open field
system, the greenhouse system more intensively used fertilizer. In addition, the results
showed that yields per unit area were higher in the greenhouse production system than
in the open field system. Thus, the question arises as to whether, from an
environmental point of view, the higher production that occurred in the greenhouse
system effectively compensates for the larger use of agrochemicals and the use of
more complex and expensive infrastructure.
To compare the environmental performance of the open field versus the greenhouse
production system by applying a standard LCA based on a single indicator that
incorporates the intrinsic variation in each system and the correlation structure
between the impact categories.
A standard LCA was used to evaluate and compare the environmental performance
of each of these systems. A single environmental impact indicator was developed,
integrating all the impact categories. This indicator was an improvement proposed for
the LCA normalization and weighting stage due to the capability to include the
intrinsic variation in the production systems together with the existing correlation
structure among the impact categories. For this purpose the copula method was
introduced. During the development of this work, the stochastic multi-attribute
analysis (SMAA) method was successfully implemented to compare the
environmental performance of each production system. In relation to this last aspect.
This approach ensured that the SMAA could generate unbiased indicators that would
contribute to the identification of the most environmentally sound production systems.
Based on the indicator, it was determined that the open field production system had
better environmental performance than the greenhouse production system.
General conclusions
The model adopted the same structure as TOMGRO, but in terms of the outputs, it
was simplified to provide the necessary outputs for coupling with the LCA. The model
represents the dry matter (DM) production and its allocation to the different plant
organs. Hourly, the photosynthetic rate was determined for the canopy leaf area and
at the end of each day, gross photosynthesis was calculated as the sum of the hourly
photosynthetic assimilates. Daily maintenance respiration was calculated based on the
accumulated DM in stems, active leaves and growing fruits. DM availability for
growth was calculated at the end of the day as the daily gross photosynthesis minus
daily total respiration. The total DM is allocated to the plant organs in function of the
development stage using the accumulated thermal time (ATT) approach. This model
was calibrated for the local conditions of each production system. As a result, the
model was able to simulate the potential yields as a function of the current
technological level of each system and the restrictions imposed by the local climate
conditions. The model required specifying whether the crop was grown in open field
or greenhouse because although photosynthesis and respiration processes work the
same way, the functions that determine dry matter partitioning depend on the cropping
system.
To validate a soil-plant model for both tomato production systems in Colombia,
resulting from the integration of an adapted version of the tomato model and a
previously calibrated soil model.
With the calibrated plant model, the next step was to integrate it with the soil model,
previously calibrated for Belgian conditions. The adaptation consisted of adding
modules to the soil-crop models to estimate evapotranspiration, N-uptake and root
growth. The model was thus able to estimate the growth requirements of water and N
as well as plant root growth and uptake of these inputs from the soil layers. The plant
model was coupled to a soil model previously calibrated and validated for Belgian
horticultural production conditions (Heuts, 2018). The resulting soil-plant model was
validated for Colombian conditions by evaluating production variables related to plant
growth and development, as well as the soil water and N-dynamics. The result of the
validation process was acceptable, looking at the goodness of fit statistics. Thus, a
soil-plant model capable of simulating both the nitrogen- and water-processes that
occur in the soil as well as their interaction with the growth and development of a
tomato crop was obtained. The soil-plant model allowed the simulation of variables
such as soil temperature, water flow through the system and the dynamic
transformation of C and N and also included the potential emissions of pollutants such
as NH3, N2O and NO-3 . In addition, the model allowed the estimation of the impact on
the yield of deficient supplies of water and/or N.
117
General conclusions
118
General conclusions
Useful recommendations for local growers, derived from our results, are to leave aside
traditional practices such as application of fixed doses of fertilizers cycle after
production cycle and begin to adjust the fertilization using soil analysis results as a
reference. Fertilizer application should also be fractionated so that applications are
matching plant demands.
In the greenhouse system, it could be proposed that fractionation be done on a daily
basis using the fertigation system. This necessarily implies investment in new
technologies (irrigation controllers) and an increase in the producers' level of
knowledge for the preparation of nutrient stock solutions. Furthermore, considering
that tomato production under greenhouse is subject to external climatic conditions, as
demonstrated by simulations, another step that producers must take is to improve the
current greenhouse characteristics. A general recommendation is to increase control
over the climate within greenhouses, for example, by improving ventilation during
daylight hours, and closing them completely at night to retain heat. In recent years
new greenhouse designs specifically adapted to local conditions have been proposed
and evaluated (Villagrán et al., 2019), which are characterized by significantly
improved ventilation, and which could improve conditions for tomato production.
These recommendations are aimed to increase the tomato production profitability and
also to reduce the risk of negative impacts on the environment.
For the open field growers, direct exposure to ever more unpredictable weather
conditions restricts the usefulness of some recommendations. However, in this system
a more frequent fractionation in the application of fertilizers is also recommended (at
least once a week). If the weather presents a regular behavior it would be
recommended to synchronize the planting with the periods in which the conditions
are more favorable to obtain higher yields with lower negative environmental risks,
which in the case of the study area used in the present work corresponds to the period
between October and December. Although this recommendation ignore the market
conditions such as the prices.
119
Chapter 9. Future works
The results of this work allowed the coupling of the LCA method with soil-crop
modeling to dynamically predict emissions due to the use of nitrogen fertilizers and
their corresponding environmental impact. Additionally, it was possible to construct
a global indicator based on the set of impact categories resulting from the LCA, which
takes into account the existing correlation between them as well as their inherent level
of variation. However, as a result of the analyses carried out throughout the work, four
topics that could be the focus of future work. The first corresponds to subjects related
to work that will lead to methodological improvements, the second focuses on
applications in which the proposed model can be used, the third focuses on the need
for quality input data to use the model, and the last is how transfer the results to the
local growers.
From the methodological point of view, it is recommended to prioritize the calibration
of the parameters that control the biogeochemical cycles of nitrogen and carbon in the
soil. After this calibration, efforts should focus on the validation of nitrogen emissions
through field measurements. This work demands the use of specialized methods and
equipment; therefore, these activities could be developed in coordination with
institutions or groups with experience on the subject. From the plant modelling
viewpoint, it is necessary to increase the volume of data available to improve aspects
of the model, such as the dry matter compartment functions. A critical aspect that
needs to be addressed in future research is related to determining the expansion
patterns of the soil rooting volume (3D), as well as the root distribution within this
volume. This topic is of concern at the local level, and it has been recognized as
needed in the models developed by Van Loon (2018) for temperate regions in
developed countries. These methodological improvements will induce higher
precision of the prediction of the state variables of the model. From the standpoint of
the methodology applied for the construction of a single indicator based on the results
of the LCA, future work may explore the effect of assigning different relative weights
to each impact category, defining priorities by local communities. The SMAA method
would allow this modification, and it would not require major modifications to the
overall proposed framework.
From the standpoint of the model's application, there are a wide range of scenarios
that can be evaluated to design strategies to improve current production systems. The
model can be used to evaluate the long-term effect of fertilization strategies that, in
addition to inorganic fertilizers, also include the use of different sources of organic
matter. In relation to water use, the effect of strategies such as the use of deficit
irrigation on crop yields and simultaneously on the environmental performance of the
system can be evaluated. The model can be used to focus on the analysis of different
climate change scenarios. In this case, the model is a suitable tool to anticipate future
scenarios and to design and evaluate strategies that minimize the impacts on
production. In the specific case of greenhouse production, the models also enable the
evaluation of the effect of modifications to the infrastructure that will lead to better
control of climatic variables such as maintaining daily temperature and humidity
oscillations in ranges closer to the optimal range for plant development.
Future works
The lack of input data, especially regarding soil properties and climate variables, is a
major constraint for using this model under local conditions. We recommend that
future work focuses on the generation or systematization of climatic and edaphic
information to serve as a basis for the use of these models. Some of the information
required by the model is recorded, at least partially, by government agencies, but
accessibility to such information is not an easy process even when digital platforms
provide access to data in real time. Obtaining soil data involves an extensive effort
since the model requires variables that describe the flow of water through the soil
profile. Thus, future work should focus on the development or adaptation of methods
that allow the generation of these data from existing archives or their generation for
the principal agricultural areas of the country.
The method of successfully transferring the results of this and other research to a
smallholder is also a remainder of future work. Surely it is necessary to leave aside
traditional strategies focused on the results divulgation and involve directly the
growers in the research processes to ensure that they appropriate the new knowledge.
This effort will require interdisciplinary groups that include professional agronomists
as well as sociologists to help understand and overcome the reasons that block the
adoption of new technologies.
121
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Appendix 1
Appendix 1. Observed and simulated probability density functions for the environmental indicators of the two tomato production systems under
consideration: greenhouse and open field.
Greenhouse production system
135
Appendix 1
Open field production system
136
Appendix 2
Appendix 2. Tree structure showing the edge and node labels for the ten-dimensional R-vine fitted to the environmental indicators for each production
system. Edge labels indicate the pair-copula family abbreviations (1) and Kendal t correlation coefficient. At each node label, the environmental indicators
(2)
conditioned set is presented before the ‘;’ and the conditioning set is shown after the ‘;’.
Greenhouse production system
137
Appendix 2
138
Appendix 2
Open field production system
139
Appendix 2
140
Appendix 2
(1) (2)
Pair-copula family abbreviations Environmental indicators abbreviations
BB8_90: rotated BB8 copula (90 degrees) AD: abiotic depletion
C90: rotated Clayton copula (90 degrees) AP: acidification potential
C270: rotated Clayton copula (270 degrees) EP: eutrophication potential
F: Frank copula FAETP: fresh-water aquatic ecotoxicity potential
G: Gumbel copula GWP: global warming potential
G90: rotated Gumbel copula (90 degrees) HTTP: human toxicity potential
G270: rotated Gumbel copula (270 degrees) MAETP: marine aquatic ecotoxicity potential
I: independence copula OLDP: ozone layer depletion potential
J90: rotated Joe copula (90 degrees) POP: photochemical oxidation potential
J270: rotated Joe copula (270 degrees) TEP: terrestrial ecotoxicity potential
N: Gaussian copula
SBB1: Survival BB1 copula
SBB8: Survival BB8 copula
SG: Survival Gumbel copula
SJ: Survival Joe copula
t: Student t copula
Tawn: Tawn type 1 copula
Tawn90: rotated Tawn type 1 copula (90 degrees)
Tawn180: rotated Tawn type 1 copula (180 degrees)
Tawn270: rotated Tawn type 1 copula (270 degrees)
Tawn2: Tawn type 2 copula
Tawn2_90: rotated Tawn type 2 copula (90 degrees)
Tawn2_270: rotated Tawn type 2 copula (270 degrees)
141
Appendix 3
Appendix 3. Soil profile characteristics used to evaluate the scenarios in the two production systems.
System Layer LT pH OC BD Nmin CEC CL LO SA LL FC SAT SWC
Greenhouse 1 10 6.3 1.26 1.42 82 20.5 40.2 30.2 29.6 0.23 0.33 0.35 0.30
2 20 6.3 1.32 1.32 82 20.5 40.2 30.2 29.6 0.21 0.32 0.33 0.28
3 30 5.7 0.50 1.54 49 20.5 50.2 24.2 25.6 0.19 0.27 0.30 0.24
4 30 5.7 0.10 1.65 19 18.0 50.2 23.6 26.2 0.17 0.27 0.30 0.24
Open field 1 10 6.5 1.08 1.46 21.2 11.3 17.1 42.3 40.6 0.15 0.28 0.40 0.32
2 20 6.5 1.08 1.49 21.2 11.3 17.1 42.3 40.6 0.15 0.28 0.32 0.25
3 30 6.5 0.80 1.45 21.2 11.3 17.1 42.3 40.6 0.15 0.28 0.32 0.25
4 30 5.2 0.10 1.36 14.8 11.3 45.2 26.5 28.3 0.12 0.28 0.32 0.25
Where, LT is the soil layer thickness (cm), OC is the organic carbon content (%); BD is the soil bulk density (g cm-3), Nmin is the mineral nitrogen
content (kg ha-1); CEC is cation exchange capacity (cmolc kg-1); CL, LO and SA are the clay, loam and sand content (%), respectively; LL, FC and
SAT are the lower limit, field capacity and saturation (cm3 cm-3), respectively; and, SWC is the initial soil water content (cm3 cm-3).
142
Appendix 4
Appendix 4. Temporal dynamic of tomato yield according to the simulations carried out for the scenarios evaluates in the greenhouse
(A) and open field (B) systems
143
Appendix 5
144
Appendix 6
145
Appendix 6
146
Appendix 6
147
Appendix 6
148
Appendix 6
149
Appendix 6
150
Appendix 7
Appendix 7. Graphical representation of correlations between environmental indicators for tomato production under greenhouse
scenarios Cr (a), Fx (b)and Op (c) and open field Cr (d), Fx (e) and Op (f).
151
Appendix 8
Appendix 8. Observed and simulated probability density functions for the environmental indicators of the nitrogen scenarios
evaluated in the two tomato production systems
Greenhouse system, Current N fertilization strategy (Cr)
152
Appendix 8
153
Appendix 8
154
Appendix 8
155
Appendix 8
156
Appendix 8
157
Curriculum vitae and list of publications
Rodrigo Gil currently works at the Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Ingeniería,
Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano as Associate professor. He teaches
courses of statistics and research seminars to undergraduate and graduate students.
His main research interests are crop modeling, environmental impact derived from
the agricultural sector and horticultural production systems under protected
conditions.
Degrees
2006 B.Sc. in Agronomy. Faculty of Agronomy, National University of Colombia,
Bogotá. Dissertation title: Etiología y distribución espacio-temporal de la
deformación de hojas de la espinaca (Spinacia oleracea L.) en Cota (Cundinamarca).
[Etiology and spatiotemporal distribution of the deformation in spinach leaves
(Spinacia oleracea L.) in Cota (Cundinamarca)]
2011 M.Sc. in Geomatics. Faculty of Agronomy, National University of Colombia,
Bogotá. Dissertation title: Metodología para el estudio de la variabilidad espacio-
temporal caso de estudio: temperatura dentro de invernaderos naturalmente
ventilados. [Methodology for the study of spatiotemporal variability, case study:
temperature inside naturally ventilated greenhouses].
List of publications
International Journals
Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Schrevens, E., 2019. Datasets of the environmental factors and
management practices of the smallholder tomato production systems in the
Colombian Andes. Data Br. 103844.
Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Schrevens, E., 2019b. Understanding the heterogeneity of
smallholder production systems in the Andean tropics – The case of Colombian
tomato growers. NJAS - Wageningen J. Life Sci. 88, 1–9.
Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Schrevens, E., 2017c. Uncertainty of the Agricultural Grey
Water Footprint Based on High Resolution Primary Data. Water Resour. Manag. ,
31(11), 3389-3400.
Escobar, A., Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Jiménez, J. 2012. Modeling the eggs development
of the pest Clavipalpus ursinus (Blanchard) (Coleoptera: Melolonthidae) using a
temperature dependent approach. Insect Science. 19 (6) 657–665.
Bojacá, C. R., Casilimas, H. A., Gil, R., & Schrevens, E. (2012). Extending the input–
output energy balance methodology in agriculture through cluster analysis. Energy,
47(1), 465-470.
Bojacá, C. R., Wyckhuys, K. A., Gil, R., Jiménez, J., & Schrevens, E. (2010).
Sustainability aspects of vegetable production in the peri-urban environment of
Bogotá, Colombia. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World
Ecology, 17(6), 487-498.
Bojacá, C. R., Gil, R., Gómez, S., Cooman, A., & Schrevens, E. (2009). Analysis of
greenhouse air temperature distribution using geostatistical methods. Transactions of
the ASABE, 52(3), 957-968.
Bojacá, C. R., Gil, R., & Cooman, A. (2009). Use of geostatistical and crop growth
modelling to assess the variability of greenhouse tomato yield caused by spatial
temperature variations. Computers and electronics in agriculture, 65(2), 219-227.
Curriculum vitae and list of publications
National Journal
Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Schrevens, E., 2017a. A tailor-made crop growth model for the
tomato production systems in Colombia. Agron. Colomb. 35, 301–313.
Gil, R., Bojacá, C. R., & Rodríguez, M. Á.. 2015. Adaptation of a leaf wetness
duration model for tomato under Colombian greenhouse conditions. Agronomía
Colombiana, 33(1), 11-19.
Villagrán, E. A., Gil, R., Acuña, J. F., & Bojacá, C. R. (2012). Optimization of
ventilation and its effect on the microclimate of a colombian multispan greenhouse.
Agronomía Colombiana, 30(2), 282-288.
Gil, R., Luque, N. Y., & Bojacá, C. R. (2011). Effect of aluminized screens on
greenhouse tomato (Solanum lycopersicum L.) production systems at the high tropical
conditions. Agronomía Colombiana, 29(3), 423-431.
Rodríguez, M., Plaza, G., Gil, R., Chaves, B., & Jiménez, J. (2010). Propuesta de
manejo de arvenses en el cultivo de espinaca (Spinacea oleracea L.) basada en
aspectos agronómicos y socioeconómicos. [Proposal for weed control in spinach
crops (Spinacia oleracea L.) based on agronomic and socioeconomic aspects].
Agronomía Colombiana, 28(1).
Niño, N. E., Espinosa, L., Gil, R., Menza, G., & Jiménez, J. A. (2009). Enfermedades
de la espinaca (Spinacia oleracea L.) en Cota (Cundinamarca) y control del mildeo
velloso (Peronospora farinosa, Byford). [Diseases of spinach (Spinacia oleracea L.)
in Cota (Cundinamarca) and downy mildew management (Peronospora farinosa,
Byford)]. Revista Colombiana de Ciencias Hortícolas, 3(2), 161-174.
Gil, R., Smith, A., Chaves, B., Wyckhuys, K., Forero, C., & Jiménez, J. (2009).
Combined efficacy assessment of soil solarization and bio-fungicides for management
of Sclerotinia spp. in lettuce (Lactuca sativa L.). Agronomía Colombiana, 27(2), 193-
201.
Rodríguez, M., Plaza, G., Gil, R., Chaves, B., & Jiménez, J. (2008). Reconocimiento
y fluctuación poblacional arvense en el cultivo de espinaca (Spinacea oleracea L.)
para el municipio de Cota, Cundinamarca. [Recognition and population dynamics of
weeds in spinach crop (Spinacea oleracea L.) for the municipality of Cota,
Cundinamarca]. Agronomía Colombiana, 26(1), 87-96.
Gil, R., Carrillo, D., & Jiménez, J. G. (2007). Determinación de las principales plagas
de la espinaca (Spinacia oleracea) en Cota, Colombia. [Determination of the main
pests of spinach (Spinacia oleracea) in Cota, Colombia]. Revista Colombiana de
entomología, 33(2), 124-129.
Proceedings
Gil, R., Guerrero, A., Casas-Diaz, A.V., Bojacá, C.R. and Schrevens, E. (2019).
Availability of water resources for tomato production in Colombia: a basin
modeling approach. Acta Hortic. 1253, 429-436
Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Schrevens, E., 2018. Uncertainty on nitrogen emission data of
smallholder greenhouse tomato growers in the Andean tropics of Colombia. Acta
Hort. 1205, 865-870.
Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Schrevens, E., 2017. Environmental savings in tomato
production under optimal agrochemicals management: A modeling approach. Acta
Hort. 1154, 137-144.
159
Curriculum vitae and list of publications
Molina, J. F., Gil, R., Bojacá, C., Gómez, F., & Franco, H. (2014). Automatic
detection of early blight infection on tomato crops using a color based classification
strategy. In 2014 XIX Symposium on Image, Signal Processing and Artificial Vision
(pp. 1-5). IEEE.
Baquero, D., Molina, J., Gil, R., Bojacá, C., Franco, H., & Gómez, F. (2014). An
image retrieval system for tomato disease assessment. In 2014 XIX Symposium on
Image, Signal Processing and Artificial Vision (pp. 1-5). IEEE.
Molina, J. F., Gil, R., Bojacá, C., Díaz, G., & Franco, H. (2013). Color and size image
dataset normalization protocol for natural image classification: A case study in tomato
crop pathologies. In Symposium of Signals, Images and Artificial Vision-2013:
STSIVA-2013 (pp. 1-5). IEEE.
Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Schrevens, E. and Suay, R. 2012. Analysis of air temperature
distribution inside a cold store by means of geostatistical methods. Acta Hort. 945.
29-37.
Gil, R., Bojacá, C.R., Casilimas, H., Schrevens, E., Suay, R. 2011. Assessment of
sidewall and roof vents opening configurations to improve airflow inside
greenhouses. Acta Hort. 952. 141-146.
Bojacá, C.R., Gil, R., Casilimas, H., Arias, L.A., Schrevens, E. 2012.Modelling the
environmental impact of pesticides sprayed on greenhouse tomatoes: a regional case
study in Colombia. Acta Hort. 957. 61-68.
Gil, R., Bojacá, C. R., & Schrevens, E. (2009). Suitability evaluation of four methods
to estimate leaf wetness duration in a greenhouse rose crop. Acta Hort. 893. 797-804.
Bojacá, C. R., Gil, R., & Schrevens, E. (2009). The greenhouse effect in the high
tropics of Colombia: a modeling approach. Acta Hort. 893. 791-796.
160