INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANALYSIS The study of economics has identified a host of objective measures that help systematize evaluation. However, although economics champions many scientific principles, it still relies on various behavioral assumptions to interpret activity. As a result, the assessment of economic environments is often more conditional than universal because: 1. System Complexity 2. Market Dynamism 3. Market Interdependence 4. Data Overload ECONOMIC FREEDOM ◎ Economic freedom is the absolute right of property ownership, fully realized freedoms of movement for labor, capital, and goods, and an absolute absence of coercion or constraint of economic liberty beyond the extent necessary for citizens to protect and maintain liberty itself. ◎ The greater degree of economic freedom, the greater freedom the individuals have to decide how they wish to work, produce, consume, save and invest. ECONOMIC FREEDOM ◎ Economic Freedom Index estimates the extent to which a government constrains free choice and free enterprise for reasons that go beyond the need to protect property, liberty, safety, and efficiency. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS THE VALUE OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM ◎ Economic freedom helps explain a country’s development, performance, and potential. ◎ Higher-rated countries generally outperform laggards on a variety of measures. TYPES OF ECONOMIC SYSTEMS MEASURES OF ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ◎ The expanding barrage of data spurs managers to streamline market evaluation. ◎ Many anchor analysis in comprehensive single-item measures that provide a quick indicator of whether an economy (1) is expanding or contracting, (2) needs a boost or should be constrained, and (3) is threatened by recession or inflation. Gross National Income (GNI) ◎ Gross National Income is the broadest measure of a country’s economy. ◎ It measures the value of all production in the domestic economy together with the income that the country receives from other countries (mainly interest and dividends), less similar payments it has made to other countries. Gross National Product (GNP) ◎ GNP is the value of all final goods and services produced within a nation in a given year, plus the income earned by its citizens abroad, minus the income earned by foreigners from domestic production. ◎ Conceptually, world GNP and world GNI are equal. However, their slightly different calculation can result in a small discrepancy at the country level. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ◎ The total market value of all output produced within a nation’s borders, no matter whether generated by a domestic or foreign-owned company, is reported as a nation’s GDP. ◎ It the most commonly used estimator of the true performance ◎ of an economy given that it measures income, not wealth. ◎ GDP estimates the flow of economic activity within a country, not simply its stock of productive assets. PERFORMANCE AND POTENTIAL: ALTERNATIVE INTERPRETATIONS ◎ Sustainability ○ Green economics holds that each country is a component of, and dependent on, the natural world. ○ Presently, there is no consensus in how to greenify GNI, GNP, or GDP. Current candidates include ◉ Net National Product (NNP) ◉ Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) ◉ Human Development Index (HDI) PERFORMANCE AND POTENTIAL: ALTERNATIVE INTERPRETATIONS ◎ Stability ○ Happynomics calls for moving from the concept of financial prosperity to the idea of emotional prosperity. ○ An ongoing paradox is that people in rich countries are not significantly happier than people in poor countries. INFLATION ○ The sustained rise in prices measured against a standard level of purchasing power. ○ Deflation is the opposite of inflation – prices for products go down, not up. It occurs when the annual inflation rate is less than zero. ○ Reflation – increasing the money supply and reducing taxes to accelerate economic activity – to combat deflation. UNEMPLOYMENT ○ The unemployment rate is the share of out-of-work citizens seeking employment for pay relative to the total civilian labor force. ○ Misery index – the sum of a country’s inflation and unemployment rates. DEBT ○ Debt, the total of a government’s financial obligations, measures what the state borrows from its citizens, foreign organizations, foreign governments, and international institutions. ○ The larger the total debt, the more uncertain an economy’s performance and potential are. DEBT ○ Internal debt: Portion of the government debt that is denominated in the country’s own currency and held by domestic residents. ○ External debt: Debt owed to foreign creditors and denominated in foreign currency. ○ Growing public debt is a leading indicator of • Tax increases • Reduced growth • Rising inflation • Increasing austerity INCOME DISTRIBUTION ○ Income distribution estimates the proportion of the population that earns various levels of income. ○ There is a growing gap between the rich and poor in virtually every country in the world. POVERTY ○ Poverty is a multidimensional condition whereby a person or community lacks the essentials for a minimum standard of well-being and life. ○ Poverty is the state of having little or no money, few or no material possessions, and limited access to education, health, and community. THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS ○ A country’s balance of payments (BOP) officially known as the Statement of International Transactions, reports its trade and financial transactions (as conducted by individuals, businesses, and government agencies) with the rest of the world. ○ The BOP tracks two different kinds of transactions: the current account, which tracks cross-border payments for goods and services (i.e., exports and imports) and the capital account, which tracks loans for cross-border payments for assets. “ THANK YOU!