Professional Documents
Culture Documents
4th Edition
CA Final
CMA Final
(New & Old Scheme)
Strategic Financial
Management (SFM)
Concept Summary
Every effort has been made to avoid errors or omissions in this edition. In spite of this, error may creep in. Any mistake,
error or discrepancy noted may be brought to our notice which shall be taken care of in the next edition.
No part of this book may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any means without the written permission of the
publishers. Breach of this condition is liable for legal action.
About Author
CA Nagendra Sah is a widely acclaimed Chartered Accountant in the field of Financial
Management, qualified Chartered Accountancy with highest Marks in Strategic Financial
Management (SFM). He teaches SFM to CA/CMA Final Students and Cost and Management
Account and FM & Eco for finance to CA-Inter Students. He has cleared all the levels of CA
examinations in first attempt. He completed 12th as well as Graduation in Science with
Statistics honours from the esteemed Tribhuvan University. He has been a University Topper
and awarded by University for securing highest marks in Statistics as well as Mathematics.
He is the premier author who wrote Strategic Financial Management (SFM) book for CA
Final, Cost and Management Accounting (CMA) and Financial Management & Economics for finance for CA
Intermediate.
His summary book is one of the most popular book among CA Students which is beneficial to revise whole syllabus
in less time with concept.
CA Nagendra Sah is a firm believer of conventional and customary practices being adopting in training and
coaching for over many years. He is a Chartered Accountant who took up teaching as profession, who believes in
a teaching methodology that relates to human brains.
His goal is not only to enable students to pass in CA Exam but also to provide tips and knowledge to earn money
from stock Market by trading in Equity, Bond, Derivative, Currency, commodity and unit of Mutual Fund. He is a
consistent profit maker in Stock market and he got winner’s certificate many times from reputed broker Zerodha.
His students get a practical linkage of concept with actual financial data of company and economy. They get
awareness of government policy, RBI policy, Fed policy, global market that affects Indian stock exchange.
CONTENTS
CHAPTER PAGES
Chapter - 1
TIME VALUE OF MONEY
Contents
TYPES OF INTEREST
(1.) SIMPLE INTEREST
Interest of each period calculated on initial principal amount is known as simple interest. Simple interest of every
period remains same.
Example:
1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y
Types of Compounding:
Period of Conversion of No. Of Conversion Periodic interest rate
Name of compounding
interest into Principal in a year (n) (‘PIR’ OR ‘i’)
Compounded annually Every Year 1 Annual rate (AR)
Compounded semi-annually Every 6 Month 2 AR ×
6
12
Compounded quarterly Every 3 Month 4 AR ×
3
12
Compounded Monthly Every Month 12 AR ×
1
12
Compounded daily Every Day 365 AR ×
1
365
Compounded continuously Every very small period Very large ( ∞) Near to Zero
(Like 1hr, 1min, 1 Sec, etc.)
We know, FV = PV × (𝟏 + 𝒊)𝒏
𝐹𝑉 1 𝟏
Or, PV = (𝟏+ 𝒏 = (𝟏+ 𝟏 Hence, PVIF (10%, 1) = (𝟏+
𝒊) .𝟏𝟎) .𝟏𝟎)𝟏
𝟏
Similarly, PVIF @10% for 2 period [i.e. PVIF (10%,2)] = (𝟏+ 𝟎.𝟏𝟎)𝟐
𝟏
Formula: PVIF (i, n) = (𝟏+ 𝒊)𝒏
1
www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah
a b FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
ON 10 2 12 Auto Saved
20 = 22
www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah
30 = 32 FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Note:
Auto save works in all functions (+, -, × & ÷). However, in multiplication, calculator saves value pressed before
multiplication sign unlike others where it saves number pressed after function sign.
ON 2 10 12 Auto Saved
20 = 22 www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah
30 = 32 FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Note:
Auto save works in all functions (+, -, × & ÷). In all function sign it saves number pressed before function sign.
3. GT (Grand Total) : It provides sum of all results come after pressing “=” button starting from ON/AC.
4. Memory Function: It is a combination of “M+” “M-“& “MRC” button. Before using memory function, erase existing
value saved in memory. To clear existing value, either press “ON” or “MRC” 2 times.
5. Use of “C”/”CE”: It clears all values displaying on calculator without disturbing calculations in continuation
STAGEWISE COMPOUNDING/DISCOUNTING
(a) FV-5 =?
Case (i) FV-2 is given
www.fmguru.org
FV-5 = FV-2 × (1+i) 3 CA Nagendra Sah
Case (ii) FV-3 is given FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
FV-5 = FV-3 × (1+i) 2
Case (iii) PV given but first 3 years interest rate and remaining period interest rate are different
First calculate FV-3 and then FV-5
FV-3 = PV × (1+i 1)3
FV-5 = FV-3 × (1+i2)2
(b) PV to be calculated
Case (i) FV-5 is given but interest of first 2 years and remaining years are different
First calculate FV-2 and then PV
FV-2 = FV-5/(1+i1)3 OR FV-5 × PVIF (i 1,3)
PV = FV-2/ (1+i2)2 OR FV-2 × PVIF (i 2,2)
ANNUITY
Sequence of equal amount at equal time interval is known as annuity.
Example:-
0 Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period n Period
X X X
PV
=
?
X X X
Present Value =
(1 + i)1
+ (1 + i)2 + (1 + i)3 www.fmguru.org
1 1 1 CA Nagendra Sah
=X× [(1 + i)1 + + ] FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
(1 + i)2 (1 + i)3
= X × [ PVIF (i, 1) + PVIF (i, 2) + PVIF (i, 3) ]
= X × [ PVIFA (i, 3)]
Where, PVIFA (i, 3) = Present Value interest factor for an annuity at ‘i’ rate for 3 period.
It is also known as Sum of PV factor Or, Annuity factor for PV Or, Cumulative Present
value factor.
Note:
PVIFA is nothing but sum of PV factor which is also known as annuity factor or cumulative discount factor, etc.
If nothing is specified, assume period end annuity.
X X X
FV = ?
Where,
FVIFA (i, 3) = Future Value interest factor for an annuity at ‘i’ rate for 3 period.
It is also known as Sum of FV factor or Cumulative value factor or Annuity factor for
FV]
Note: If nothing is specified, assume period end annuity.
Situation-2: Annuity Due [i.e. Cashflows at beginning of period]
X X X
FV at
3Y End
Future Value at 3rd year end
= X × (1 + i)3 + X × (1 + i)2 + X × (1 + i)1 www.fmguru.org
= [X × (1 + i)] × [(1 + 𝑖)2 + (1 + 𝑖)1 +1] CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
= [X × (1 + i)] × [(1 + 𝑖)2 + (1 + 𝑖)1 +(1 + 𝑖)0 ]
= [X (𝟏 + 𝐢)] × [FVIFA (i, 3)]
SINKING FUND
It is an account opened with objective to replace an asset at end of its life where equal amount is invested at
equal time interval. (Refer Q-2.1)
INTERPOLATION TECHNIQUE
Sometimes, it becomes very difficult to calculate unknown value from an equation.
For example: www.fmguru.org
(a) Calculation of value of ‘x’ from following: 3x 3 + 2x2 + x = 100 CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
(b) Calculation of value of ‘i' from following:
100 100 300 500
+ + + = 700
(1 + i)1 (1 + i)2 (1 + i)3 (1 + i)4
Interpolation is the process of using known value to estimate unknown value where known value is assumed
value on trial & error basis.
Let us calculate value of ‘x’ of following equation to understand entire concept:
3x3 + 2x2 + x = 100
Assume ‘x’ = 3 then Assume ‘x’ = 2.9 then
3(3)3 + 2(3)2 + (3) 3(2.9) 3 + 2(2.9) 2 + (2.9)
= 81 + 18 + 3 = 102 = 81 + 18 + 3 = 92.887
It is not equal to desired value 100. It is again not equal to desired value 100.
It means our assumption is wrong. It means our assumption is again wrong.
Hence, assume another value slightly lower than 3. Now, use interpolation technique.
Now, use unitary method to match the differences and calculate value of ‘x’. www.fmguru.org
Using Interpolation technique: CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Method – I Method - II
Value Diff 9.113 = ‘x’ Diff 0.1 Value Diff 9.113 = ‘x’ Diff 0.1
0.1 0.1
Or, Value Diff 2 = ‘x’ Diff ( × 2) = 0.0219 Or, Value Diff 7.113 = ‘x’ Diff ( × 7.113) = 0.0781
9.113 9.113
Hence, x = (3-Difference) = (3-0.0219) = 2.9781 Hence, x = (2.9+Diff) = (2.9+0.0781) = 2.9781
Verification: As X = 2.9781
3(2.9781)3 + 2(2.9781)2 + (2.9781) = 99.9553 (Almost equal to 100)
PERPETUITY
Series of cash flows for indefinite period is known as perpetuity.
A. CONSTANT PERPETUITY:
Series of equal cash flows at equal time intervals for indefinite period of time is known as constant
perpetuity.
It is an constant perpetuity.
Here, 100 is a perpetuity amount. www.fmguru.org
Perpetuity Amount CA Nagendra Sah
PV of Constant Perpetuity: PV= Discount Rate FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
B. GROWING PERPETUITY:
Series of growing cash flows for indefinite period of time is known as growing perpetuity.
EFFECTIVE RATE
Annual compounded interest rate calculated from other compounded rate/simple rate is known as effective
interest rate.
In other words, at effective interest rate, FV of annual compounded interest rate is equal to FV of other
compounded interest rate.
Chapter - 2
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE AND
RISK MANAGEMENT
Contents
RBI FEDAI
(Reserve Bank of India) (Foreign Exchange Dealers Association of India)
Established in accordance with the provisions Established under Section-25 of Companies Act
of RBI Act 1934 1956
Manage FEMA Act 1999 & maintain Foreign Regulate Inter-bank foreign exchange business
exchange market Website: www.fedai.org.in
Website: www.rbi.org.in
EXCHANGE RATE
Exchange Rate: Relationship between values of two currencies is known as Exchange Rate.
Practically, stronger currencies are quoted for 1 unit of foreign currency and weaker currencies are quoted for 100
units of foreign currency.
How to identify stronger currency & weaker currency?
Stronger Currency Small Quantity Eg: ¥100 = 65
Weaker Currency High Quantity Here, ¥ is weaker & is stronger.
Depreciation of Currency (Discount): A currency depreciates when price of that currency decreases.
Spot rate: 1 = ¥1.54;
Depreciation on = ¥0.04 Appreciation on Yen ≠ ¥0.04
6M forward rate: 1 = ¥ 1.50
` 2
3B 3A
Mr. USA has to pay $ 100 at 3 www.fmguru.org
month time. CA Nagendra Sah
$ FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Indian Bank
[Buy $, sell ]
3 2B 2A
www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah $
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1 Mr. USA has to make payment at 3
month time in ‘’ Currency USA Bank
Buy $ & Sell
www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah 3
4B 4A FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1 2B 2A
€ € $
Mr. USA has to make payment in €
Indian Bank at 3 month time. USA Bank
Buy €, sell Buy $, sell €
Mr. India has risk of low inflow in . Mr. USA has risk of high outflow in $.
It is possible when € currency will It is possible when € currency will
depreciate. appreciate.
Spread: The difference between Ask and Bid rate is called the spread.
Mathematically, Spread = Ask rate – Bid rate
𝐀𝐬𝐤 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 – 𝐁𝐢𝐝 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐀𝐬𝐤 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 – 𝐁𝐢𝐝 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞
% Spread = × 100 OR % Spread = × 100
𝐁𝐢𝐝 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐀𝐬𝐤 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐞
Case-I: When bank quotes rate of $ [Indian Bank] Case-II: When bank quotes rate of [USA Bank]
Net benefit to bank (Spread) = 1.00 Net benefit to bank (Spread) = $0.00019
SELECTION OF BID RATE AND ASK RATE IN CONVERSION OF CURRENCY [MOST IMPORTANT]
(1) Identify amount payable or receivable?
(2) Choose applicable Bid or Ask rate
At same time, bank buys one currency and sells another currency. First, identify the currency which is quoted in per
unit term and then select bid or ask rate.
$ $
www.fmguru.org
Bank CA Nagendra Sah Bank
Buy and sell $ FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Buy $ and sell
Case-I: When bank quotes rate of $ [Indian Bank] Case-I: When bank quotes rate of $ [Indian Bank]
As bank sells $, ask rate of $ is applicable for As bank buys $, bid rate of $ is applicable for
conversion. conversion.
Rate: $ 1 = 70.2500 / 71.2500
Rate: $1 = 70.2500/ 71.2500
Case-II: When bank quotes rate of [USA Bank] Case-II: When bank quotes rate of [USA Bank]
As bank buys, bid rate of is applicable for As bank sells , ask rate of is applicable for
conversion. calculation.
`
0.0000 0.0012 0.0013 0.0025 0.0037 0.0038 0.0050
Example-2:
Given exchange rate is $1 = 65.5189/02
It means rate is: $1 = 65.5189/ 65.5202
Interpretation-1 Interpretation-2
When pair of currencies are in symbol When pair of currencies are in ISO code
/$ : XXX USD/INR : XXX
Second currency (i.e. $) is in per unit First currency (i.e. $) is in per unit
term (i.e. $1 = XXX) term (i.e. USD1 = INR XXX)
Notes:
(i) If exchange rates are among £, €, $ & CHF then ignore strength and apply above interpretation because strength of
these currencies changes time to time.
(ii) If exchange rates are in following currencies “£ with ”, “$ with ”, “€ with ”, “¥ with ” then keep strength in
mind and ignore above interpretation if above interpretation gives illogical rate.
(iii) Use same interpretation (either second currency in per unit or first currency in per unit) in all exchange rate of a
question.
1 1
Indirect quote: 1 = / i.e. 1 = 0.0140 / 0.0143 (Bid rate < Ask rate)
71.50 70
Logic of above conversion: At same time, bank buys one currency and sells another currency. Hence, bid rate of one
currency becomes ask rate of another currency or vice versa.
www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah Customer Bid rate of $ because
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
bank buys $
$1 70
Ask rate of
because bank sells $1/70 1
SPOT TRANSACTION: -
SPOT TRANSACTION IN OTC (I.E. IN BANK): Transaction for immediate settlement (i.e. conversion in Bank)
SPOT TRANSACTION ON EXCHANGE (i.e. NSE, MCX, NCDEX): Retailers are not allowed for spot transaction on
exchange. However, big trader (like: Oil Marketing company (IOC, BPCL, HPCL), IT Companies…) can do spot
transactions but settlement takes place in T+2days.
FUTURE CONTRACT:
Forward contract entered on exchange (NSE/MCX/NCDEX) is known as future contract.
⦿ Future contracts are also available for maximum 1 year period in monthly basis.
Note:
In all transactions, exchange rate is decided today and settlement being made at different dates. For different time
period, different forward rate is applicable.
Longer Period Forward Rate > Shorter Period Forward Rate > Spot Rate
Normally, we use spot rate transaction for current settlement and forward transaction for future Settlement.
= 4% = 3.84%
Low price 70.00
If above movement is in 6 month then annual % increase = (4×2) = 8% and Annual % decrease = (3.84%×2) = 7.68%
To calculate % increase, we have to use lower price as base (i.e. 70.00) as price increase from 70 to 72.80
To calculate % decrease, we have to use higher price as base (i.e. 72.80) as price decrease from 72.80 to 70
Hence, % increase and % decrease differ due to different base.
Notes
At same time, when one currency appreciates, another currency depreciates. But % appreciation and % depreciation
differs due to different bases.
65
Forward $1 www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah
Bank FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
EXPECTED VALUE
In statistics, average calculated using probability as weight is known as expected value.
Similarly, we can calculate expected exchange rate if different rates are given with their probabilities.
Expected exchange rate = ∑ (Different exchange rate × Probability)
DISPUTE:
In one question, ICAI mentioned swap point in decreasing order but specially mentioned it as premium.
ICAI Question: [RTP-Nov-2011] [Nov-2011-8M] [RTP-Nov-2015] [SSM-2016] [PM-2017]
6M Forward premium: 0.60/0.55 Euro Cent
SR: £1 = €1.1750/1.1770
Institute Solution:
RTP 2011 Assumed discount & deducted swap point from SR to calculate FR.
2011 Exam Assumed premium & added swap point in SR to calculate FR.
SSM-2016 Assumed discount & deducted swap point from SR to calculate FR.
PM-2017 There are two questions: (i) In one, assumed discount; (ii) In another, assumed Premium
Recommendation (NS):
Logically it is discount. Hence, Assume discount and deduct from SR to calculate forward rate.
Also write note: Alternatively, we may assume premium also ignoring decreasing order as it is specially
mentioned in question.
Example: www.fmguru.org
Swap point for 2M end = 20/35 CA Nagendra Sah
Swap point for 3M end = 50/75 FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Customer needs swap point for 80 days to calculate 80 days forward rate.
Particulars For Bid Rate For Ask Rate
60 Days Swap point 20 35
90 Days Swap point 50 75
30 Days Swap point after 60 Days 30 40
20 Days Swap point after 60 Days 30
[ × 20] = 20
40
[ ∗ 20] = 26.67
30 30
Rounded off 20 27
80 Days swap point (60 Days Swap Point + 20 Days Swap Point after 60 Days) (20+20) = 40 (35+27) = 62
Therefore, 80 Days Swap Point: 40/62.
MONEY MARKET:
Market where short-term debt instruments are traded is known as money market.
For example: Commercial paper, Treasury bill, Call money, etc. are some money market instruments.
1
Indian Supplier US Importer
Inflow at 6 Month Outflow at 6 Month
5
DEPOSIT 6274.56
2
WITHDRAW 6525.5
3 www.fmguru.org
4 CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Repay $ borrowing out of receipt from foreign customer. Both amount should be $100 (equal to invoice
5
amount).
Hence, Amount receivable under money market operation at 6 month time is equal to 6525.5/-
5
R E P A Y () at 6M
B O R R O W ()
4 2 www.fmguru.org
3 CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
6,305.28
6,589.02
1 Import goods
Convert @SR
3
$98.52 = (64 × 98.52) = 6305.28
TAX ON EXCHANGE GAIN / TAX SAVING ON EXCHANGE LOSS OR TAX SAVING ON INTEREST
Any expenditure which is allowable under income tax act generates tax saving. Similarly, tax is also payable on any
income.
If information of tax rate is available, then consider income net of tax & Expense net of Tax saving in decision making.
⦿ Net of tax expense (i.e. Exchange loss/ Interest) = Expense × (1-T)
⦿ Net of tax income (i.e. Exchange gain/ Interest) = Income × (1-T)
⦿ Suppose, following two rates are available in different Process to complete transaction
markets/bank:
Mr. India Payable in NPR10,000
Bank-1: $1 = 65
NPR104
Bank-2: $1 = NPR 104 65 $1 $1
` ⦿ Now, we can calculate exchange rate of with NPR using
above two exchange rates which is known as Cross Rate. But Bank-1 Bank-2
this is only notional calculation to find equivalent amount.
Cross Rate: 65 = NPR 104
Desired Rate: NPR1 = (?) [i.e /NPR = ?] Net Position: 65 = NPR104
Now, we can derive exchange rate of any one
$ currency from above.
= [ × ]
NPR $ NPR
NPR Rate: Rate:
NPR1 = 65/104 1 = NPR104/65
Desired LHS Rate of $1 in Rate of NPR1 in
NPR1 = 0.625 1 = NPR1.60
per NPR $
1
Using these rates, we can calculate equivalent
NPR
= 65 × (104) NPR1 = 0.625 currency for NPR10,000.
Equivalent = 10000 × 0.625 = 6,250 Equivalent = 10000 × 0.625 = 6,250
⦿ Same method can be applied to calculate rate of NPR/ where we get 1 = NPR1.60
Rate quoted by bank is: (i) £ 1 = ¥ 130 / 131 (ii) £ 1 = 72 / 72.5
1 1 1 1
OR, ¥1 = £ / OR, 1 = £ /
131 130 72.5 72
Using these rates, we can calculate any one of following rates:
Calculate required rate using following relationship:
£ £ 1 1
(i) ¥ = [ £ × ¥] / [ £ × ¥] = [72 × 131] / [72.5 × 130] = 0.5496 / 0.5577
For Bid For Ask
¥ ¥ £ ¥ £ 1 1
(ii) = [ £ × ] / [£ × ] = [130 × 72.5] / [131 × 72] = ¥1.7931/1.8194
For Bid For Ask
Hence, required rate: ¥1 = 0.5496 /0.5577 & 1 = ¥1.7931/1.8194.
Forex Transaction
Exchange rate applicable for Exchange rate applicable for transaction between
transaction between two retail customer & bank is known as Merchant rate.
banks/forex dealers is known as In India, merchant rates are quoted up to 2 digits
Inter Bank Rate. after decimal place.
Normally, inter-bank rates are As per FEDAI rule, settlement of all merchant
quoted up to 4 digits after decimal. transactions shall be affected on the principle of
rounding off the Rupee amounts to the nearest
whole Rupee i.e. without paisa.
EXCHANGE MARGIN
Difference between inter-bank rate & merchant rate is known as Exchange Margin. We can calculate merchant rate from
inter-bank rate by adjusting margin.
Inter Bank Bid Rate XXX Inter Bank Ask Rate XXX
(-) Margin (XXX) (+) Margin XXX
Merchant Bid Rate XXX Merchant Ask Rate XXX
Inter Bank Bid Rate XXX Inter Bank Bid Rate XXX
(-) Margin
LOGIC BEHIND (XXX)
ADDITION AND DEDUCTION (-) Margin (XXX)
Merchant
For Bid Rate: Bid
Bid rate of Rate XXXof a currency must be lesser than
Merchant Rate Merchant Bid bid
inter-bank Rate XXX bank makes
rate otherwise
loss.
$100L
Customer Bank
(?)
@65.25 $100L
This rate must be lesser than 65.25 otherwise bank
makes loss. Say, exchange margin is 0.25% then
Bid Rate of $: 65.25 - (65.25 ×0.25%) www.fmguru.org Inter Bank
= 65.09 CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
$1 = 65.25/65.80
65.25/65.8065.25/65.
For Ask Rate: Ask rate of Merchant Rate of a currency must be higher than inter-bank ask rate otherwise bank makes
8065.25/65.80
loss.
$100L
Customer Bank
(?)
@65.80 $100L
This rate must be higher than 65.80 otherwise bank
makes loss. If exchange margin is 0.25% then
Ask Rate of $: 65.80 + (65.80×0.25%) www.fmguru.org Inter Bank
= 65.96 CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
$1 = 65.25/65.80
65.25/65.8065.25/65.
Note: If exchange margin is given in question then assume given exchange rates are inter-bank rate and hence adjust it
8065.25/65.80
to calculate merchant rate.
Interest Rate Parity Theory Purchasing Power Parity International Fishers Effect
(IRTP) Theory (PPPT) (IFE)
EXPLANATION-1: IRPT
Borrow in $100 1
Repay $
2
Deposit in Indian Mr. USA/ Borrowing
Bank in 6500 Convert @ SR: $1= 65 India
5
3
4 Convert @ FR
Withdraw deposit At fair rate,
=6500×(1 + 0.6) FR must be: equivalent $ should
= 6890 $102 = 6890 be $102 (i.e. No P/L)
6890
$1 = [ ] 6500 × (1 + 0.06)
102
=67.5490 [ ]
$ 100 × (1 + 0.02)
1+PIR() n
SR (/$)× [ ]
1+PIR($)
Verification: SR: $1= 65;FR: $1 =67.5490
(67.5490−65.00)
Premium on $ = × 100 = 3.92% (Approx. equal to 4% i.e. difference between interest rate)
𝟔𝟓.𝟎𝟎
(65.00−67.5490)
Discount on = × 100 = -3.77% (Approx. equal to 4% i.e. difference between interest rate)
𝟔𝟕.𝟓𝟒𝟗𝟎
EXPLANATION-2: PPPT
Spot Rate Determination:
Price in India ABC Price in USA
490 Product $7
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN HOME CURRENCY RETURN (HCR) & FOREIGN CURRENCY RETURN
(FCR)
(i) (1+ FCR) = {(1+ HCR) × (1+ Premium on HC)} OR {(1+HCR) × (1- Discount on HC)}
(i) (1+ HCR) = {(1+ FCR) × (1+ Premium on FC)} OR {(1+ FCR) × (1- Discount on FC)}
EXPLANATION:
Mr. India has 6500 SR: $1 = 65 Bought share of Apple Inc. @ $100
ARBITRAGE
Arbitrage is an act or process to earn risk free profit. The act may be:
(i) Sale at high rate & purchase at low rate (Geographical Arbitrage); or
(ii) Borrow at low rate & invest at high rate (Cover interest arbitrage)
Arbitrage
⦿ Action: Buy at small rate in one market & ⦿ Action: Borrow from one country & deposit in
sale at high rate in another market. another country.
⦿ For everyone, there are maximum 2 possible ⦿ For everyone, there are maximum 2 possible
routes. In one route, we get profit and in routes. In one route, we get profit & in another route,
another route, we get loss. [See explanation] we get loss. [See Explanation]
⦿ Can we find profitable route directly? ⦿ Can we find profitable route directly?
Yes, see explanation. Yes, see explanation.
Route-1
$1 = 65 100 = $1.55
$
Mumbai New York
Route-1
$1 = 65 100 = $1.55
$ $
Mumbai New York
Example-2:
Given,
Mumbai: £1 = 96/98 www.fmguru.org
London: £1 = ¥140/142 CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Japan: 1 = ¥1.50/1.60
Comparison:
Rate-1: Mumbai: £1 = 96/98
Rate-2: London & Japan Cross rate
¥ ¥ 1 1
[/£] = [ × ] /[ × ] =[ × 140] / [ × 142] = 87.50/94.67
¥ £ For Bid ¥ £ For Ask 1.60 1.50
Profitable Route:
Route-1: Buy £ @ 98 in Mumbai & sale £ @ 87.50 in London/Japan.
Arbitrage is not possible as there is loss.
Route-2: Buy £ @ 94.67 in London/Japan & sale £ @ 96 in Mumbai.
Arbitrage is possible as there is gain.
Note:
(i) If face difficulties in finding profitable route, proceed randomly from any one route. If first route provide profit then
no need to check from another route as gain from both routes is not possible. However, if first route provide loss
then again check arbitrage from another route.
(ii) In two way quote, we may find loss in both routes due to spread.
Route-1 India UK
UK Bank
Borrow in £ 1
Repay £
2
Deposit in Indian Mr. UK/ Borrowing
Bank in India
Convert @ SR 5
3
4
Withdraw deposit Equivalent £
Convert @ FR
Surplus of 5th step (If any) = Arbitrage
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FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Route-2 India UK
Indian Bank
1 Borrow in
Repay
Borrowing 2
Mr. UK/ Deposit in UK Bank
India in £
5 Convert @ SR
3
4
Equivalent Withdraw £ deposit
Convert @ FR
Surplus of 5th step (If any) = Arbitrage
(3) LORO A/C: [OUR ACCOUNT FOR THEIR MONEY WITH YOU]:
Current account of one domestic bank opened in foreign bank in foreign currency referred by another domestic bank
for its own transaction is known as Loro Account.
For Example: SBI opened Current Account with Swiss bank. If PNB refers that account of SBI for its own transaction
then it is called Loro Account for PNB and it is Nostro Account for SBI.
India Switzerland
SBI opened a Current Account in
Swiss Bank in CHF currency.
Indian Bank (SBI) Swiss Bank
Current Account of
SBI in CHF
Nostro Account of
3 Indian bank
2
DD in CHF 6 5
1 CHF
Import DD
Indian Importer Swiss Exporter
4
Pay by way of DD
Nostro Account of
4 Indian bank
3
2
Received by way of B/R
LETTER OF CREDIT
➢ Documents issued by banker to foreign supplier which provides assurance of payment of full amount on due date is
known as letter of credit.
➢ Supplier provides credit period to importer only when he transfers LC to supplier.
➢ Bank charges following two commissions for LC:
a. Opening charges payable at beginning on equivalent amount calculated at spot rate
b. Commission payable on due date on equivalent amount calculated at FR.
Types of LC:
1. Revocable LC: Terms & conditions can be changed without permission of supplier. Practically revocable LC is not
in use.
2. Irrevocable LC: Terms & conditions cannot be changed without permission of supplier.
(At 6M)
LC
Enter
Agreement Bank
Today
Receivable $ 100 at 3M
Mr.
Mr India
India Mr. India
70 $100 X $100
Forward contract
Bank has already been Bank
entered which
3MFR: $1 = 70 can’t be completed
Applicable Rate: $1=X
due to default of
foreign customer.
Original Contract Cancellation Contract
⦿ If X > 70, Loss to Mr. India & gain to Bank (Differential amount payable by Mr. India to Bank)
⦿ If X < 70, Gain to Mr. India & loss to bank (Differential amount payable by Bank to Mr. USA)
In case of Cancellation after due date or automatic cancellation on due date +15 days:
⦿ Loss to customer under cancellation: Payable by customer
⦿ Gain to Customer under cancellation: Bank is not bound to pay
Note: Bank Position after Cancellation:
Bank’s existing position doesn’t change due to cancellation. In other words, gain recorded by bank at the time of
original forward contract with the help of Interbank transaction remains unchanged even customer cancels existing
forward contract.
1
Forward contract Exporter US Customer
entered on15-June
for 3M Expiry 4
2
65 $100
⦿ As per contract: Delivery on 15- Sept
5 ⦿ But Actual: Delivery on 15- Aug (Early Delivery)
Cancellation on Bank
15- Aug @ 1M FR
6 $100 1 2 3 ⟹ On 15-June, 2018
67 $100
4 5 6 ⟹ On 15-Aug, 2018
3 64
65.5 $100
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CA Nagendra Sah
3M Forward contract FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
already entered on Inter-Bank-1 Inter-Bank-2
15-June for 3M which
can’t be completed 1M FR on 15- Aug SR on 15- Aug If this is inflow, bank has
due to early delivery $1 = 66.00/67.00 choice to pay interest.
$1 = 64.00/64.50
(i) Bank has to take delivery at agreed rate 65 [Inflow to exporter 6500]
(ii) Outlay of fund to bank on 15-Aug due to early delivery (65-64)×100 = 100
Interest on outlay of fund receivable from exporter @ 12% (say) on 100 for 30 days = 0.986
(iii) Swap loss of bank receivable from exporter = (67 - 64)×100 = 300
Cancel original
1
Contract on approach Importer US Supplier
date or (DD+15) @ SR
6
62 $100
Say, Importer approach for Cancellation or
2 extension or execution on 25 Sep (after 10 days)
65 $100
Forward contract
entered on15-June for www.fmguru.org
⟹ On 15-June, 2018
3M Expiry Bank CA Nagendra Sah 1 2 3
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
4 5 ⟹ On 15-Sep, 2018
New 1M forward 5 62.5
contract on 15-Sep to 67 $100 ⟹ On Approach day
6 Or, DD+15Days
hedge uncertainty 4
3 $100
63.5 $100
3M Forward contract
entered on 15-June
Inter-Bank-1 Inter-Bank-2
for 3M. But it can’t be
If this is inflow, bank has
executed as customer 1M FR on 15- Sept SR on 15- Sept choice to pay interest.
didn’t come
$1 = 66/67 $1 = 62.50/63.00
(i) Outlay of fund of bank on 15-Sep to execute forward contract of interbank = (63.5-62.5)×100 = 100
Interest on outlay of fund recoverable from importer @ 12% (say) on 100 for 10 days = 0.329
(ii) Swap loss of bank recoverable from importer = (67 - 62.5)×100 = 450
(iii) Cancellation Charges payable by importer = (65 - 62)×100 = 300;
(iv) Common charges = 750.329
LEADING/LAGGING
LEADING:
⦿ Payment before due date is known as lead payment or leading.
⦿ No discount is allowed for early payment.
⦿ Lead payment is beneficial when “opportunity benefit of interest during credit period” is lesser than
“exchange loss” in same period.
LAGGING:
⦿ Delaying the payment beyond due date is known as lag payment or lagging.
⦿ Supplier charges interest for late payment.
⦿ Lag payment is beneficial when interest charges by supplier is lesser than “exchange gain & opportunity
saving of interest”.
India USA
Indian Subsidiary of
US Company US Company
US company willing to fund its
Indian subsidiary in currency
which is equivalent to $ 1,00,000
Figure showing Parallel loan between two companies
IMPORTANT NOTES
Chapter - 3
MUTUAL FUND
Contents
1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 2
2. COMPARISON BETWEEN COMPANY & MUTUAL FUND ................................................................................................................ 2
3. CATEGORIES OF FUND ................................................................................................................................................................................. 2
4. OPEN ENDED SCHEME & CLOSE ENDED SCHEME .......................................................................................................................... 3
(A) OPEN ENDED SCHEME: ........................................................................................................................................................................ 3
(B) CLOSE ENDED SCHEME: ....................................................................................................................................................................... 3
5. ENTRY LOAD & EXIT LOAD ........................................................................................................................................................................ 3
6. INVESTMENT CHAIN ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 3
7. NAV (NET ASSETS VALUE) ......................................................................................................................................................................... 4
8. RETURN FROM MUTUAL FUND................................................................................................................................................................ 4
9. RETURN FROM DIFFERENT PLANS OF MUTUAL FUND ............................................................................................................... 4
(A) DIVIDEND DISTRIBUTION PLAN...................................................................................................................................................... 4
(B) DIVIDEND RE-INVESTMENT PLAN ................................................................................................................................................. 4
(C) BONUS PLAN .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 5
(D) GROWTH PLAN ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 5
10. SYSTEMATIC INVESTMENT PLAN (SIP) ............................................................................................................................................... 5
11. INDIFFERENCE POINT .................................................................................................................................................................................. 5
INTRODUCTION
Mutual Fund is a trust established uder Indian Trust Act.
The objective of Mutual Fund is to raise fund by way of issuing units capital and invest that fund in capital
market/money market.
Capital Where long financial instrument are traded.
Market Eg: Equity share, pref. share, Bond, Debenture, etc.
Money Market Where short term debt instrument (Life less than 12 months)
Eg: Commercial paper, Treasury paper, Call Money, Notice Money, Certificate of deposit,
etc.
Retail investor have following two routes for investment in securities market.
Route-1: Direct Investment (Own Investment)
CATEGORIES OF FUND
Categories of Fund
Mutual fund collects Mutual fund collects Mutual fund collects Mutual fund collects
money from investor money from investor money from investor money from investor
to invest in equity to invest in bond, debt, to invest in both to invest in Index
risk free govt. bond. equity & debt. (ETF), Gold, etc.
Note
Before selecting above fund, first analyse for risk & return.
Equity fund provides more return but undertakes more risk.
Debt fund is less risky but provides less return. Risk free Debt Fund is also termed as Gilt Fund
Hybrid fund is moderate risk & return fund.
Special fund performance depends upon linked underlying.
Index Fund is also termed as ETF (Exchange Traded Fund)
INVESTMENT CHAIN
BALANCE SHEET OF INVESTOR BALANCE SHEET OF MUTUAL FUND BALANCE SHEET OF A Co.
ASSETS LIABILITY ASSETS
LIABILITY
Investment in units X Scheme-1: Equity X
of mutual fund Unit capital X Equity share X
Debenture X
Reserve X Debenture X
CL/ CA/Short
X X
Provision term receivable
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TOTAL X TOTAL X
CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1 Scheme-2:
Gov. Sec.
Unit capital X X
(Bond, T-Bill)
CA/Short
Reserve X X
term receivable
CL/Provision X
TOTAL X TOTAL X
RETURN
(c) Bonus Plan In this plan, mutual fund issues bonus units from reserve.
In this plan also, no. of units increases.
www.fmguru.org (No.of units at end.×NAV1 )−(No.of units at beg.×NAV0 )
CA Nagendra Sah
Return = × 100
No.of units at beg. × NAV0
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Where,
No. of units at end = No. of units at beg. + Bonus units
(d) Growth plan In this plan, mutual fund retains all of its earning.
Only NAV will increase in this plan.
No. of units at beg. & end remains same of an investor.
NAV1 −NAV0
Return = × 100
NAV0
FV= 10000
R%
INDIFFERENCE POINT
At indifference point, return of investor remains same under following two:
(a) Direct Investment on his own. www.fmguru.org
(b) Investment through mutual fund. CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Investment =100
INVESTOR MARKET
Investment =100 Investment =98
Mutual Fund
Return = 15% Return > 15%
Formula:
Return of investor = (Return of Mutual fund – Recurring expenses) × (1 - % Initial expenses)
Important Notes
Chapter -4
INTRODUCTION TO DERIVATIVE
Derivative is a contract whose value depends upon performance of underlying (i.e. stock, index, currency,
commodity, interest rate etc.)
Derivative contract may be traded on exchange or OTC (Over the counter)
Exchange: where price negotiation is made publicly among various parties. E.g. NSE, BSE, MVX, NCDEX etc.
OTC (Over The Counter): where price negotiation is made privately between two parties. E.g. Contract with Bank.
Refer Interest Rate
Derivative Contract
Risk Management
UNIT-I
FUTURE CONTRACT
On 31st March
CASE-I [Price 510] CASE-II [Price 492]
On expiry, Price of Share increased to ₹510 and hence On expiry Price of Share decreased to ₹492 and hence
future price also increased to ₹510 future price also decreased to ₹492
Mr. A (Buyer) Mr. A (Buyer)
Buy share at ₹500 (i.e Contracted Price) even market Buy share at ₹500 (i.e Contracted Price) even market
price is ₹510. price is ₹492.
As delivery is not possible, Mr. A receives ₹10 (gain per As delivery is not possible, Mr. A has to pay ₹8 (loss Per
share) from Mr. B Share) to Mr. B
Mr. B (Seller) Mr. B (Seller)
Sale share at ₹500 but share price is ₹510. Sale share at ₹500 but share price is ₹492.
As delivery is not possible, Mr. B has to pay ₹10 (Loss As delivery is not possible, Mr. B will receive ₹8 from
per Share) to Mr. A. Mr. A (Gain per share)
Note: Derivative trade is zero sum game.
Gain of one party = Loss to another party
Summary:
Delivery of underlying is not possible under F&O segment (or FNO segment). Hence, we can say that Future
contract is contact to receive upside difference or pay downside difference and contract to receive downside
difference or pay upside difference.
Market Price on
Expiry (510)
(Mr. A) Buyer Gain 10
(Mr. B) Seller Loss 10
Agreed Future Price
(500)
(Mr. A) Buyer Loss 8
(Mr. B) Seller Gain 8
Market Price on Expiry
(492)
MARGIN REQUIREMENT
Buyer and seller of future contracts are required to deposit the initial margin in a margin account which is
fixed by exchange on the basis of contract value. Simply, Security money payable by trader (Buyer & seller) of
future contract to exchange & broker is margin money and it is payable at the time of entering into contact.
This amount will be refunded on the expiry or at the time of square off of contract (i.e. exit before expiry).
Margin money depends upon the volatility of the price of the underlying which differs from stock to stock,
broker to broker & time to time.
(A) INITIAL MARGIN
Initial margin is calculated by using following formula:
Initial Margin (Index) = [Average daily absolute change in the contract value + (3 x σ)]
Initial Margin (Stock) = [Average daily absolute change in the contract value + (3.5 x σ)]
OR
Initial Margin = Contract value × % of Initial Margin (If question provides initial Margin percentage)
Where,
σ (Read as Sigma) = Standard deviation of stock/Index
Recent Update:
Exchange increased margin on future contract which is calculated using Two days absolute change instead of one
day. However, students are advised to calculate margin using one day absolute change and write notes regarding
recent updates.
Loss or gain from Future Contract = Difference between buy & Sale Value (i.e . Sale value – Buy value)
Example:
(i) At 9:20 AM (1 Jan)
Price of ABC Share = ₹500; Price of ABC march future = ₹510 [Approx. 3 months’ time value]
(Approx. 3M Future) ⟶ 3M Time Value
Buy @510 Sale @₹510
Mr. A NSE Mr. B
March future of ABC March future of ABC
Assume Lot size = 1000
Both Paid margin = 86700 each (17% on Contract Value. Online rate from NSE)
Mr. C Position:
Sale Price (Notional) ₹505
Buy Price ₹527
Gain per share -₹22
OR
Downside difference is loss to buyer.
Total loss = ₹22 × 1000 = ₹22000
Total transaction cost around ₹125
Net Position:
Mr. A +17000
Mr. B +5000
Mr. C -22000
Zero
Buy Sale
Mr. A NSE Mr. B
1 Lot [75 units] 1 Lot [75 units]
NIFTY March FUT
Open Interest (OI) at 9:30 AM = 75
Buyer Seller
A = 75 B = 75
C = 150 D = 150
225 225
Sale Buy
Mr. C NSE Mr. E
1 Lot [75 Units] 1 Lot [75 Units]
NIFTY March FUT
Open Interest (OI) at 12:30 AM = 225
Buyer Seller
A = 75 B = 75
C = 150 -75=75 D = 150
E =75
225 225
Sale Buy
Mr. C NSE Mr. D
1 Lot [75 Units] 1 Lot [75 Units]
NIFTY March FUT
Open Interest (OI) at 1:00 PM = 225-75 = 150
Buyer Seller
A = 75 B = 75
E = 75 D = 75
150 150
Note: We cannot predict expected movement on the basis of open interest of future because both parties are equally
strong.
EXPLANATION:
Let us suppose Mr. Ram wants to buy 160 gm Gold on 10th Aug for his marriage and he expects that price of
gold to rise up. Today is 1 st July.
In this case he can hedge this transaction by purchasing Gold Aug Future today.
Contract detail from MCX: 1 Unit = 10 gm & 1 Lot = 10 Units i.e. 100 gm
Note:
If number of contracts is a whole number and spot price & future price on delivery date are same then effective
cost to buy underlying must be contracted future price.
Suppose, 1 lot = 16gm, then NO of contracts = 10 (whole number); and
Future price on 10th Aug = 32,000 (Equal to Cash price)
In this case effective cost to buy Gold must be agreed future price 30450.
Note:
Ex- date is one day before record date. If we assume there is no time value of money & no movement in share
price due to other factors then share will be traded at ₹475 after Ex- date. (i.e. Ex- dividend price)
Due to dividend, shareholder’s wealth does not change if there is no movement in price due to other factors.
Verification:
On 1 day before Ex-date: Bought at ₹500
On record date: Received dividend of ₹25 and
Holding share worth ₹475
(i.e. Total worth = ₹500; equal to buy price)
NIFTY point as on today is Hence, Dividend Yield of NIFTY This NIFTY point must be Ex-
Cum-Dividend due to cum =
1,00,000 𝐶𝑟
×100 dividend due to ex-dividend
dividend share price of group 80,00,000 𝐶𝑟 shares price of group
companies. =1.25% companies.
It means spot price 11,000 is 101.25% including 1.25 % dividend. Hence, Ex-Dividend spot price of index
𝐶𝑢𝑚 𝐷𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 11000
should be : (i.e. = ₹10864.20)
1+ % 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑 1+0.0125
𝑆𝑃 www.fmguru.org
Formula: EDSP= (1+𝑃𝐷𝑌) CA Nagendra Sah
𝒐𝒓 𝑒 𝐷𝑌.𝑡
Where, FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
EXPLANATION 1:
0 Year 1 Month 2 Month
Less: PV of Dividend
EXPLANATION 2:
FV of Spot Price
Less: FV of Dividend
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FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1 Fair Future Price
Note: Practically Short position in equity (Cash Segment) is possible in intraday only due to “T+2days” delivery
settlement.
EXPLANATION-1:
Mr. X is holding the portfolio worth ₹ 2,00,000. Due to bad news, market is expected to move down.
He wants to hedge portfolio using NIFTY future. Assume, Beta of portfolio = 2.5 times. He wants perfect hedge
position (i.e. 100% hedging) using NIFTY future.
β = 2.5 times
Portfolio value
NIFTY
₹ 2,00,000
Portfolio Value is expected to move In this case NIFTY will move down
down by 5% by 2% (i.e. 5%/2% = 2.5 times)
Loss from port.=₹2,00,000×5% For perfect hedging, Mr. X has to
=₹ 10,000 (Expected) earn profit of ₹ 10,000 by taking
action on NIFTY.
EXPLANTION-3:
Objective to increase beta
Trader wants to increase beta when price is expected to move in favor of trader position (i.e. to increase profit)
Objective to decrease beta
Trader want to decrease beta when price is expected to move adversely (i.e. to reduce loss)
Action to increase/decrease beta of existing portfolio
Entering into same position on index future as portfolio increases the beta of portfolio and taking inverse
position decreases the beta of the portfolio.
In above example suppose Mr. X wants to increase beta to 4 times using NIFTY future.
Assume, NIFTY is expected to increase by 2%.
Portfolio value = 200000 (long), Existing Beta = 2.5 times
In this case portfolio will increase by 5% (i.e. 2% × 2.5)
Action: As beta is to be increased, buy NIFTY future.
Value = value of portfolio × change in beta = 200000 × (4 – 2.5)
= ₹300000
Verification:
(i) Existing value of portfolio = ₹ 200,000
(ii) Value of New portfolio after taking position in NIFTY future when NIFTY increase by 2% and portfolio by 5%.
Share portfolio value (old) 2,00,000
Note: If company pays dividend before maturity, then it is opportunity loss to arbitrageur as he sold share. Hence,
consider it as outflow in calculation of arbitrage.
Arbitrage = Withdrawal – Outflow – Dividend foregone (i.e. opportunity loss)
Note: If company pays dividend before maturity, then it is gain to arbitrageur as he bought share. Hence, consider it
as inflow in calculation of arbitrage.
Arbitrage = Withdrawal – Repayment of Borrowing + Dividend Received
LOG FUNCTION
Log is a mathematical function useful for some complex calculation.
Let us suppose an equation, 𝑎𝑏 = 𝑦,
this equation using log function is written as: log 𝑎 (𝑦) = b
Where, a is base of logarithmic function.
Log Function
HEDGE RATIO
Beta of a portfolio is also known as hedge ratio.
𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 𝑓𝑢𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒
Beta of a portfolio or Hedge ratio =
𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑜
𝜎𝐴× 𝑟 (𝐴,𝑚)
Beta of a security A (β A) = [Refer portfolio chapter]
𝜎𝑚
Where, A= Security A
M= Market/ Index
UNIT-II
OPTION CONTRACT
INTRODUCTION TO OPTION CONTRACT
OPTION COONTRACT is a type of derivative contract which provides right to buy/sell underlying at agreed
rate on agreed future date.
There are two parties to option contract. One is buyer of option (or Holder of option) and another is seller of
option (or Writer of option)
The person who gets right to buy or sale an underlying at agreed rate is called Buyer of option (i.e. Holder of
option).
The person who has the obligation to sale or buy an underlying at agreed rate is called seller of option (i.e.
Writer of option)
The options are of two types:
Option
CALL OPTION
The contract which provides right to holder of option to buy an underlying, is known as Call option. However,
writer of option (Opposite party) has obligation to sell underlying.
If at 3-month time (i.e. on expiry date) price of a share is more than 600 then buyer exercise his right and
seller is bound to sell share at 600 (i.e. at strike price) even actual market price is higher.
If at 3-month time (i.e. on expiry date) price of a share is less than 600 then right lapses (i.e. buyer does not
exercise his right).
NET PAYOFF GRAPH OF CALL OPTION FOR BOTH HOLDER AND WRITER
50
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40
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FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
30
20 Profit (H)
High Probability
Net Profit/Loss
10 Low Probability
Profit (W)
0
₹ 580 ₹ 590 ₹ 600.0 610 ₹ 620 ₹ 630 ₹ 640 ₹ 650
Loss (H)
-10 (BEP)
Loss (W)
High Probability
-20 Low Probability
-30
H HOLDER
-40
W WRITER
-50
Price of share on Expiry
PUT OPTION
The contract which provides right to sell an underlying, is known as Put Option.
In other words, Put Option provides right to receive downside difference.
If at 3-month time (i.e. on Expiry date) price of a share is less than 600 then buyer of put option exercise his
right and seller of put option is bound to buy share at 600 (i.e. at strike price) even actual market price is less.
If at 3-month time (i.e. on Expiry date) price of a share is higher than 600 then option lapses
NET PAYOFF GRAPH OF PUT OPTION FOR BOTH HOLDER & WRITER
50
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FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
30
20
Profit (H) High Probability
Net Profit/Loss
10 Low Probability
Profit (W)
0
₹ 550.00 ₹ 560 ₹ 570 ₹ 580.0 590 ₹ 600 ₹ 610 ₹ 620
(BEP) Loss (H)
-10
Loss (W) High Probability
-20 Low Probability
-30
H HOLDER
-40
W WRITER
-50
Price of share on Expiry
Example 2:
SP = 10300 (NIFTY)
Strike = 10450
Intrinsic value of call = NIL
Intrinsic value of put = 150
Note:
On expiry at 3: 30PM
Intrinsic Value = Premium = Payoff
STRATEGY IN OPTION
BEP
Profit: Short Call
High Probability
Loss: Long Call
Call Strike Price
STRANGLE STRATEGY
LONG STRANGLE Portfolio of
(i) 1 Long call at high strike price
(ii) 1 Long put at low strike price
for same underlying and same expiry date is known as long strangle strategy.
In fact, it is a combination of out of the money call and put.
(Logic to buy out of the money (OTM) call and put option is to reduce the cost of
contract)
Beneficial when there is high movement either up or down. ( High volitality)
Followings are some events which increases volatility:
Budget, Election, Monetary policy, Quarter result, etc.
Outflow at beginning = Call premium + Put premium
Inflow at expiry = Either call payoff or put payoff
Net profit/loss = [Inflow – Outflow]
BEP-1 [for up movement] = Call strike + Total premium
BEP-2 [for down movement] = Put strike - Total premium
SHORT STRANGLE Portfolio of
(i) 1 short call at high strike price
(ii) 1 short put at low strike price
for same underlying and same expiry date is known as short strangle strategy.
It is also a combination of out of the money (OTM) call and put.
Beneficial when there is low movement either up or down. (Range bound
trade.)
Inflow at beginning = Call premium + Put premium
Outflow at expiry = Either call payoff or put payoff
Net profit/loss = [Inflow - Outflow]
BEP-1 [for up movement] = Call strike + Total premium
BEP-2[ for down movement] = Put strike - Total premium
PROFIT/LOSS RANGE
IN STRANGLE: Profit: Long Strangle
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Loss: Short Strangle
CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
BEP-1
BEP-2
Profit: Long Strangle
Loss: Short Strangle
STRADDLE STRATEGY
LONG STRADDLE Portfolio of
STRATEGY (i) 1 Long call
(ii) 1 Long put
at same strike Price for same underlying and same expiry date is known as long
straddle strategy.
It is a combination of At-the-money (ATM) call and put or near ATM Call &Put
Due to high premium it is more expensive than long strangle strategy.
Beneficial when there is high movement either up or down. (High volatility)
Meanwhile both long strangle and long straddle are beneficial in same situation but
the only difference is in cost.
Outflow at beginning = Call premium + Put premium
Inflow at expiry = Either call payoff or put payoff
Net profit/loss = [Inflow – Outflow]
BEP-1 [for up movement] = Call/Put strike + Total premium
BEP-2 [for down movement] = Call/Put strike - Total premium
PROFIT/LOSS
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RANGE IN
Profit: Long Straddle CA Nagendra Sah
STRADDLE FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
STRATEGY Loss: Short Straddle
BEP-1
BEP- 2
Profit: Long Straddle
Loss: Short Straddle
BUTTERFLY STRATEGY
LONG Portfolio of
BUTTERFLY (i) 1 Long call at high strike price
STRATEGY:
(ii) 2 Short call at mid strike price
(iii) 1 Long Call at low strike Price
for same underlying and same expiry date is known as Long butterfly strategy.
Beneficial when price remains within a range. (i.e. Low movement)
Outflow at beginning = Premium on Long calls – Premium on short calls
Inflow at expiry = Payoff received on Long call – Payoff paid on short call
Net profit/loss = [Inflow – Outflow]
BEP 1 =[High Strike price - Net Premium]
BEP 2= [Low Strike price + Net Premium]
SHORT Portfolio of
BUTTERFLY (i) 1 Short call at high strike price
STRATEGY:
(ii) 2 Long call at mid strike price
(iii) 1 Short Call at low strike Price and
for same underlying and same expiry date is known as Long butterfly strategy.
Outflow of strategy = Premium on Long call – Premium on short call
Inflow of strategy = Payoff received on Long call – Payoff paid on short call
Net profit/loss = [Inflow – Outflows]
BEP-1 =[High Strike price - Net Premium]
BEP-2=[Low Strike price + Net Premium]
PROFIT/LOSS
RANGE IN Profit: Short Butterfly
BUTTERFLY Loss : Long Butterfly
High K Long Call
STRATEGY
BEP - 1
Profit: Long Butterfly
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CA Nagendra Sah
Loss : Short Butterfly
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
BEP - 2
Low K Long Call
Profit: Short Butterfly
Loss : Long Butterfly
When one or more Expected market Price of When Expected market Price of underlying
underlying is/are given is Not given
Valuation of Option
General Method Put Call Parity Method Binomial Model Black Scholes Model
When other methods i.e. When underlying, It is useful when It is useful for option
strike & expiry of both expected price of valuation when expected
1 2 & 3 call and put are same underlying has only price of the underlying is
are not applicable use and call premium to be two possibility on not given but standard
Normal Method calculated when put expiry (i.e. either deviation of price is given.
premium is given or high price or low
vice versa. price.)
Explanation:
PCP Method is derived by keeping in mind arbitrage where arbitrageur has to take delivery of underlying.
At PCP,
Today Expiry
High price
Spot Price
Low Price
In this situation, we can use any one of following two methods to calculate call/put Premium.
(A) Risk Neutralization Method
(B) Risk Less Hedge Portfolio Method
Future Value
Invest
@12% p.a for 6 M = 200 × (1 + .12 × 0.5)
₹200
= 212
HP = ₹240 Prob. x
SP = 200
LP = ₹180 Prob. (1- x)
Now 6M
HP = ₹240
SP = 200
LP = ₹180
Strike Price of call = ₹216
STEP 1: Create risk less hedge portfolio by purchasing underlying.
Diffence in payoff
Hedge ratio (Option Delta) =
Diffence In share price
In our example,
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Payoff at HP−Payoff at LP
Hedge ratio = CA Nagendra Sah
HP−LP FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
24 − 0
= = 0.40
240−180
It means writer has to buy 0.40 shares for each 1 call option.
Explanation / Derivation of Formula:
Riskless Hedge Portfolio is combination of share and call where portfolio value remains equal at
both high price and low price.
Assume number of shares = X
HP
HP
LP
SP
HP
L LP
LP
To calculate value of option under two period binomial model we may use Risk neutralization method or
Replicating portfolio method (Risk less hedge portfolio Method)
However, Risk neutralization method is less time consuming.
B
E
A
F
C
(ii)Probability of price of NIFTY remains within a range 10500 to 11500 Here, range is 10500 to 11500
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CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
z OR -∞ z
-∞ 0 +∞ 0 +∞
For +ve Z For -ve Z
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CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
OR
-∞ 0 z +∞ -∞ z 0 +∞
For +ve Z For -ve Z
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CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
-∞ 0 z +∞ -∞ z 0 +∞
For +ve Z For -ve Z
This table provides prob. of this area This table provides prob. of this area
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CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
z
-∞ 0 z +∞ -∞ z 0 +∞
This table provides prob. of this area This table provides prob. of this area
BLACK-SCHOLES MODEL
Black-Scholes have given a model for valuation of European option. It is also referred as Black-Scholes –Merton
Model. Black Scholes model is used for option valuation when expected price of underlying is not given but
Standard deviation is given.
Black Scholes Model
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CA Nagendra Sah
Table FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
z
-∞ 0 z +∞ -∞ z 0 +∞
(i) Standard N(d1) / N(d 2) = [Table Value + 0.5] N(d1) / N(d2) = [ 0.5 – Table Value]
Normal table
(ii) One tail table N(d1) / N(d 2) = 1 – Table value N(d1) / N(d2) = Table value
(iii) Two tail table N(d1) / N(d 2) = First calculate one tail N(d1) / N(d2) = First calculate one tail value
value by dividing by 2 and by dividing by 2 and do
do same adjustment as one same adjustment as one tail
tail
(iv) Cumulative N(d1) / N(d 2) = Table value N(d1) / N(d2) = Table value
table
Arbitrage
By comparing actual option premium with fair option By comparing actual option premium with fair option
premium calculated using general method. premium calculated using PCP method.
Situation – 1 Situation-1
Actual Call Premium < Fair Call Premium Actual Call Premium < Fair call Premium
Actions: In this case, there must be:
(i) Buy call Option Actual Put premium > Fair put premium
(ii) Sale share in cash market Actions:
Situation- 2 (i) Buy call option
Actual Call Premium > Fair Call Premium (ii) Write Put option
Arbitrage is not possible as writer cannot earn risk (iii) Sale share in cash Market
free profit.
Situation – 3 Situation-2
Actual Put Premium < Fair Put Premium Actual Put Premium < Fair Put Premium
Actions: In this case there must be:
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(i) Buy put option CA Nagendra Sah
Actual Call Premium > Fair Call Premium
(ii) Buy share in cash market. FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1 Actions:
Situation- 4 (i) Buy Put option
Actual Put Premium > Fair Put Premium (ii) Write Call Option
Arbitrage is not possible as writer cannot earn risk (iii) Buy share in Cash Market
free profit.
UNIT – III
CURRENCY FUTURE
&
CURRENCY OPTION
INTRODUCTION TO CURRENCY OPTION AND CURRENCY FUTURE
Option and future whose underlying is currency ($, €, ¥ & £) is known as currency option & currency future.
Currency future contract of currency is available for maximum 1 year period.
Delivery of currency is not possible under derivative contract but we can hedge foreign currency transaction
using currency option and currency future with the help of cash market.
⦿ Buy future or
⦿ Buy call option of [Because call provides right to buy underlying (i.e ₹) and
Mr.India has to buy ₹.]
Where,
NSE: National Stock Exchange (India)
NYSE: New York Stock Exchange (USA)
SITUATION 2:
Import $100
⦿ Sale future or
⦿ Buy put option of [Because Put provides right to Sell underlying (i.e.) and
Mr. India has to Sell .]
Chapter - 5
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
Contents
1. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 2
2. RETURN BASED ON CASH FLOWS .................................................................................................................................................................. 3
(A) RETURN OF A SECURITY ............................................................................................................................................................................. 3
(B) RETURN OF A PORTFOLIO .......................................................................................................................................................................... 4
3. RISK OF A SECURITY OR A STANDARD DEVIATION OF A SECURITY ............................................................................................. 4
4. CO-EFFECIENT OF VARIATION (CV) .............................................................................................................................................................. 4
5. DATA ANALYSIS FOR CORRELATION, SYSTEMATIC RISK AND UNSYSTEMATIC RISK .......................................................... 5
(A) POSITIVE CORRELATION ............................................................................................................................................................................ 5
(B) NEGATIVE CORRELATION .......................................................................................................................................................................... 5
(C) ZERO CORRELATION ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 6
6. CO-VARIANCE BETWEEN TWO SECURITIES ............................................................................................................................................. 6
7. CORRELATION COEFFICIENT BETWEEN TWO SECURITIES/MARKET......................................................................................... 6
8. STANDARD DEVIATION OF A PORTFOLIO .................................................................................................................................................. 6
9. BETA ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 7
(A) BETA OF A SECURITY .................................................................................................................................................................................... 7
(B) BETA OF A PORTFOLIO ................................................................................................................................................................................ 7
(C) BETA OF MARKET OR BETA OF NIFTY.................................................................................................................................................. 7
(D) BETA OF RISK FREE SECURITY ................................................................................................................................................................ 7
10. SYSTEMATIC RISK OF A SECURITY ................................................................................................................................................................. 8
11. UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF A SECURITY .......................................................................................................................................................... 8
12. SYSTEMATIC RISK OF A PORTFOLIO ............................................................................................................................................................. 9
13. UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF A PORTFOLIO ...................................................................................................................................................... 9
14. TOTAL RISK OF A PORTFOLIO .......................................................................................................................................................................... 9
15. RISK OF PORTFOLIO CONTAINING THREE SECURITIES [HARRY MARKOWITZ FORMULA] .............................................. 9
16. MEASURES FOR EVALUATING THE PERFORMANCE OF MUTUAL FUND ..................................................................................... 9
(A) SHARPE RATIO OR REWARD TO VARIABILITY ................................................................................................................................ 9
(B)TREYNOR RATIO OR REWARD TO VOLATILITY ................................................................................................................................ 9
(C) ALPHA OR JENSEN ALPHA .......................................................................................................................................................................... 9
17. FAIR EXPECTED RETURN OF A SECURITY OR RETURN BASED ON RISK FACTOR ............................................................... 10
(A) CAPM .................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 10
(B) APT OR APTM................................................................................................................................................................................................. 10
18. EXPECTED RETURN OF A PORTFOLIO....................................................................................................................................................... 11
(A) USING CAPM ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 11
INTRODUCTION
Bundle of securities/ assets/ liabilities is known as portfolio.
Under portfolio management, our objective is to maximize return and minimize risk.
Portfolio management is also known as risk-return analysis.
Value of Portfolio
Objective:
Maximize return & minimize
risk of this portfolio.
OR
(D1+ P1 )− P0
Return = ×100
P0
Sometimes, we find data of more than one year/period. In this case, calculate average return for security
return.
SECURITY RETURN
Note:
In fact, above both returns are average return and hence word “average return” and “expected return” are
interchangeable.
Analysis:
For return normally we calculate compound return. However, period wise return misses when we calculate
compound return but we need period wise return to calculate volatility (i.e. risk of security). Hence, calculate
period wise return first and then average, if question requires to calculate both risk and return.
Explanation:
0Y 1Y 2Y 3Y
If we have to calculate “only return” then calculate compounded return. However, if we have to calculate risk
and return both then go for simple return because we need more than one return to check volatility.
∑( x−x)2
SD (σ) = Square root of Variance = √ OR √∑( x − x)2 × Probability
n
Notes:
Unit of Standard deviation is same as unit of input data.
Standard deviation of same stock for different input may differ. Hence read question carefully to find input data.
(i.e. Price or return)
If question is silent, we may use either price or return as input.
If probability is given then calculate average (i.e. average of input data and average of square of deviation) using
probability.
• Here, behaviour of movement on price of stock and NIFTY is in same direction but
movement is not exactly same.
• Correlation of above data must be lesser than “+1” (i.e. Fall between 0 to +1)
• It indicates, there is effect of Individual factor (i.e. unsystematic factor) also in movement
of stock-A price.
Note: Practically, negative correlation between stock and market is not possible. In
short run, we may see negative correlation between IT Stock and NIFTY. Correlation
between $ and NIFTY remains negative in most of the time.
(ii) Other Perfect Market Condition NIFTY Point Stock-A Price
negative Bad 10700 500
correction Good 11000 440
Normal 10850 440
• Behaviour of movement in price of stock-A and NIFTY is not exactly same but in
inverse direction.
• Correlation of this data must fall between “-1 to 0”
• It indicates there is effect of unsystematic factor also.
BETA
(A) BETA OF A SECURITY
Beta is a “sensitivity of systematic risk” of a stock in relation to market.
Formula:
r ×σ Covariance (A.M)
(i) βA = AM A OR
σ𝑀 σM × σM
Note:
(i) Security with beta higher than 1 is also known as aggressive stock.
(ii)Security with beta lower than 1 is also known as defensive stock.
(iii)Security with beta equal to 1 is also known as neutral stock.
Explanation:
rAM = 0.80
Stock-A Market
σ = 10% σ = 5% All systematic
NS Opinion:
Systematic risk can also be mitigated through diversification if securities are negatively correlated (i.e. correlation
negative).
Formula:
(a) Systematic risk of a stock-A = σ𝐴2 × r𝐴,𝑚
2
OR
(b) Systematic risk of a stock-A = σ𝑚2 × B𝐴2
Note:
Normally, systematic & unsystematic risk are calculated in square term as Sharpe suggested formula is square term.
However, we can’t interpret value in square term. For interpretation, first do square root then interpret.
Caution:
Do not do weighted average of systematic risk for calculation of portfolio systematic risk. First calculate beta of portfolio
and then systematic risk of portfolio. [For Logic recall class discusstion]
Note:
Above formula is also known as “Sharpe Index Model”.
All concepts of systematic and systematic risk are given by “Sharpe”.
Above formula of "σ(portfolio) ” is applicable for any number of securities in a portfolio.
(A) CAPM uses beta factor or sensitivity of systematic risk to calculate expected return.
CAPM As it uses single risk factor, it is also determined as single factor model to calculate
expected/required return.
Formula: www.fmguru.org
𝐸𝑅𝐴 = 𝑅𝐹 + 𝛽𝐴 (RM - RF) CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Where,
R F = Risk free return
βA = Sensitivity of systematic risk of stock-A
R M = Return of market
(R A − R F ) = Market risk premium
[Sometimes, it may be called risk premium]
Explanation:
Alternatively,
ER A = R F + βA (RM - RF) = 6% + 1.5(10-6) = 12%
(B) APT uses both systematic risk factor and unsystematic risk factor in calculation of expected
APT return.
OR As it uses more than one risk factor, it is also termed as “Multi factor model”
Formula:
APTM
𝐸𝑅𝐴 or 𝑅𝑅𝐴 = 𝑅𝐹 + 𝛽1 (RM1 - RF) + 𝛽2 (RM2 - RF) + 𝛽3 (RM3 - RF)
Where,
1,2 & 3 indicates different factors like inflation, GDP, GNP, price of product, quality of
product, etc.
𝛽1 , 𝛽2 , 𝛽3 Sensitivity of factor-1,2 & 3 respectively.
(R 𝑀1 − R F ) = Market risk premium due to factor -1 and so on…
Second Formula:
ER A or RR A = λ0 + β1 λ1 + β2 λ2 + β3 λ3 +…
Where,
λ0 = Risk free return
𝛽1 , 𝛽2 , 𝛽3 Sensitivity of factor-1,2 & 3 respectively.
λ1 , λ2 , λ3 = Change in market return due to factor 1,2 and 3 respectively.
Example:
An equation of straight line:
y = 0.5x + 4
Here, slope of line is “0.5”. It means if x change by 1 then y change by 0.5 (i.e. if x change by 2 then y change by 1)
Intercept is 4. It means line starts from point 4 of y-axis (i.e. y is 4 when x is zero)
(A) SECURITY MARKET LINE (SML) (B) CAPITAL MARKET LINE(CML) (C) CHARACTERISTICS LINE (CL)
Relationship between expected Relationship between expected Relationship between Rs & mkt.
return & beta return & SD (𝜎) return
E.g.: ER = 0.5 𝜷 + 4 E.g.: ER = 0.5𝝈+ 4 E.g.: Rs = 0.5 𝑹𝑴 + 4
SML CML CL
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AR
ER
ER
CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Beta SD Rm
(A) Security Market Line (SML) (B) Capital Market Line (CML) (C) Characteristics Line (CL):
APT EQUATION
It provides relationship between “expected return” and “beta of different factors”.
Equation:
As per APT,
𝐸𝑅𝐴 = 𝑅𝐹 + 𝛽1 (RM1 - RF)
+ 𝛽2 (RM2 - RF)
+ 𝛽3 (RM3 - RF)
Where,
ER, 𝛽1 , 𝛽2 , 𝛽3 are variables.
𝑅𝐹 , (RM1 - RF), (RM2 - RF), (RM3 - RF) are constant.
PORTFOLIO REBALANCING
Maintaining proportion of equity investment (aggressive investment) and risk free bond investment (or conservative
investment) at equal time interval (i.e. each 15 days or each 1 month, etc.) or any fixed percentage change is known as
portfolio rebalancing.
Objective of portfolio rebalancing is to maintain risk.
There are different types of strategies.
RE-BALANCING STRATEGIES
(A) VARIABLE RATIO PLAN (B) CONSTANT RATIO PLAN (C) CONSTANT PROPORTION
PORTFOLIO INSURANCE
Maintain different ratio for Maintain same proportion POLICY (CPPIP)
different securities every time.
Say: 70:30, 60:40, etc. Normally, 50:50 See Below
σB2 −Covariance(A,M)
(a) WA =
σB2 +σA2 −2 Covariance (A,B)
(b) WB = (1- WA)
(Above formula is derived from “σ𝑃𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑜 ” formula using concept of minimization (mathematic concept).
Note:
To incorporate tax saving, we used D × (1 − T) in calculation of weight. Here, T = Tax Rate
Unless otherwise stated, Assume 𝛽𝐷 = 𝑍𝑒𝑟𝑜
Analysis:
When there is debt:𝛽𝐸 > 𝛽𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
When there is no debt: 𝛽𝐸 = 𝛽𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
If increase debt proportion: 𝛽𝐸 increase.
𝛽𝐸 depends upon 𝛽𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 and capital mix.
𝛽𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 depends upon performance of business.
B/S OF A COMPANY
Particulars Amount Particulars Amount
𝛽𝐸 Equity XXX Project A XXX 𝛽𝐴
𝛽𝐷 Debt XXX
TOTAL XXX TOTAL XXX
IV Calculate cumulative value of point (III) for each stock in above order.
V Calculate
𝛽2
for each stock in above order.
𝜎Є2
VI Calculate cumulative value of point (V) for each stock in above order.
VII Calculate: (Ci Value) =
𝛔𝟐
𝐌 × 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭 (IV) 𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞
for each stock in above order
𝟏 +(𝛔𝟐
𝐌 × 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭 (VI)𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞)
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
S.N. SITUATION ACTION
1 If actual return (Based on cash flow) is
higher than fair return (Based on risk factor) Buy security because it is undervalued.
In this case, Alpha is Positive
2 If actual return is lesser than fair return Sell security because it is overvalued.
In this case, Alpha is Negative
3 If actual return is equal to fair return Hold security as it is fairly priced.
In this case, Alpha is Zero
FORMULA SUMMARY
1. PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
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RETURN CA Nagendra Sah RISK
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Actual Return (Cash Flows Based) Required Return (Risk Based) Overall Risk (σ or 𝛔𝟐 )
Std. Dev.(σ) measures overall risk. However, calculate variance (σ2) as
Inflow−Outflow CAPM APTM overall risk for segregation in systematic risk and unsystematic risk.
Return = × 100
Outflow [For calculation of Standard deviation see next page]
[Capital Assets Pricing [Arbitrage Pricing Theory
𝐃𝟏 + 𝐏𝟏 −𝐩𝟎 Variance of a security/Port (𝝈𝟐 )
= Model] OR Model] OR
𝐏𝟎
Single Factor Model [Multi Factor Model]
Sys risk of a security Un-Sys risk of a sec A [𝛔𝟐𝐞(𝐀) ]
Return of a Security ER of a Security ER of a Security
2 = σ2A - Sys Risk of A
Case-I: Expected Return of A Expected Return (ER) = (σ2A × rs,m ) OR (σ2M × β2A )
Future Data with Probability ER A = R F + βA (RM - RF) = R F + βF1 (R M1 − R F ) Where, Or
2 2
Expected Return of Security A + βF2 (R M2 − R F ) rs,m = Coefficient of determination = σ2A × (1- rs,m )
= (R1 × P1 ) + (R2 × P2 ) + (R3 × Where, + βF3 (R M3 − R F ) + …
R F = Risk Free Return Sys risk of a Portfolio Un-Sys risk of a Port [𝛔𝟐𝐞(𝐏𝐨𝐫𝐭) ]
P3 ) + …
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βA = Beta of Security A OR
CA Nagendra Sah = σ2M × β2Port = (σ2e(A) wA2 ) + (σ2e(B) wB2 ) +
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1 [Sensitivity of ER = λ0 + βF1 λ1 + βF2 λ2 +…
Case-2:
Systematic Risk in
βPort = βA WA + βB WB + βC WC (σ2e(C) wC2 ) + ⋯ …
Past data without Probability
relation to Market] Where,
Average Return of security A
RM = Market Return λ0 = Risk Free return This risk can’t be mitigated This risk can be mitigated
R1 + R2 + R3 +⋯
= RM - RF = Market Premium λ1 = Change in market return through portfolio diversification. through portfolio diversification.
n due to factor -1 It is also known as diversifiable
It is also known as Non-
Diversifiable risk or Market risk risk or unique risk or Residual
Return of a Portfolio ER of a Portfolio ER of a Portfolio or variance explained by Market variance or random error or
ER Port ER Port Index. variance not explained by Market
Rport = R A WA + R B WB + R C WC + …. Index.
= ER A WA + ER B WB + ER C WC =ER A WA + ER B WB + ER C WC
OR OR We can also say: 𝜎𝐴2 = Sys Risk of A + UnSys risk of A
Where,
ER P = R F + βPort (RM − RF ) ER P = RF + βF1 (port.) (RM1 - RF) [It is also known as Sharpe Index Model]
R A , R B & R C = Return on security A, + βF2 (port.) (RM2 - RF)
B &C Comparison between β and Systematic risk
Where, + βF3 (port.)(RM3 - RF) Suppose, EBT is 1.5 times of EAT, and EAT is 12% then EBT is
WA , WB & WC = Weight of Where,
investments in A, B & ER A , ER B & ER C = Expected = (1.5 X 12%) = 18%.
return of A, B and C using ER A , ER B & ER C = Expected
C respectively return of A, B and C using Here we can say, EBT is 18% and sensitivity of EBT is 1.5 times.
CAPM
APTM In same way we can interpret β as sensitivity of systematic risk
Of a security Of a portfolio
∑(𝐗 𝐀 − 𝐗 𝐀 ) ×(𝐗 𝐁 − 𝐗 𝐁 )
=√ or√∑((𝐗 𝐀 − 𝐗 𝐀 ) × (𝐗 𝐁 − 𝐗 𝐁 ) ) × 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲
𝐧
CO-VARIANCE (A, B)
= 𝝈𝑨 × 𝝈𝑩 × 𝒓𝐀,𝐁
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= 𝛃𝑨 × 𝛃𝑩 × 𝝈𝟐𝒎 CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT =
[𝑪𝒐𝒗𝒂𝒓𝒊𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆 (𝑨,𝑩)]
4. BETA
BETA OF A SECURITY βA =
𝐫𝐀𝐁 ×𝛔𝐀
OR
𝐂𝐨𝐯𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 (𝐀.𝐌)
𝛔𝑴 𝝈𝟐
𝒎
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BETA OF A PORTFOLIO βPortfolio = βA×WA + βB×WB + …… CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
MARKET OR NIFTY BETA 1
RISK-FREE SECURITY BETA Zero
7. PORTFOLIO REBALANCING
VARIABLE RATIO PLAN Maintain different ratio for different securities
CONSTANT RATIO PLAN Maintain same proportion every time.
CONSTANT PROPORTION Equity Investment Value = (Total Portfolio Value – Floor Value) × m
PORTFOLIO INSURANCE POLICY
(CPPIP) Risk free Bond invest. = (Total Port. Value – Equity Invest. Value)
STOCKS Proportion of Invest.: Z1: Z2: Z3 (Assuming Selected Security are 1,2 & 3)
Chapter - 6
SECURITY VALUATION
Contents
1. INTRODUCTION TO SECURITY VALUATION ..................................................................................................................................... 3
(A) FUTURE INFLOWS:................................................................................................................................................................................ 3
(B) FAIR EXPECTED RETURN (OR REQUIRED RETURN): ............................................................................................................ 3
(C) CALCULATION OF FAIR PRICE .......................................................................................................................................................... 4
UNIT-I
BOND / DEBENTURE VALUATION
2. INTRODUCTION TO BOND ......................................................................................................................................................................... 5
3. BASIC TERM OF BOND: ................................................................................................................................................................................ 5
4. VALUE OF DIFFERENT TYPES OF BOND ............................................................................................................................................. 5
(A) VALUE OF ANNUAL EQUAL COUPON BOND: .............................................................................................................................. 5
(B) VALUE OF SEMI-ANNUAL INTEREST BOND: .............................................................................................................................. 5
(C) VALUE OF ZERO COUPON BOND OR VALUE OF DEEP DISCOUNT BOND ....................................................................... 5
(D) VALUE OF VARIABLE COUPON BOND ........................................................................................................................................... 5
(E) VALUE OF PERPETUAL BOND [IRREDEEMABLE BOND]: ..................................................................................................... 6
(F) VALUE OF OUTSTANDING BOND/ VALUE OF OLD BOND/ VALUE OF BOND AFTER ISSUE DATE: .................... 6
(G) VALUE OF BOND ON MID OF TWO INTEREST PAYMENT DATE [DIRTY PRICE]: ....................................................... 6
(H) VALUE OF CONVERTIBLE BOND...................................................................................................................................................... 6
5. EXTENSION OF LIFE OF BOND ................................................................................................................................................................. 7
6. RETURN OF BOND OR YIELD OF BOND ............................................................................................................................................... 7
(A) USING ONE YEAR/ONE PERIOD CASH FLOWS: ......................................................................................................................... 7
(B) USING CASH FLOWS OF MORE THAN 1 YEAR/1 PERIOD: .................................................................................................... 7
7. DIFFERENT TYPES OF RETURN OF BOND ......................................................................................................................................... 8
(A) CURRENT YIELD (CY):................................................................................................................................................................................. 8
(B) HOLDING PERIOD RETURN: ......................................................................................................................................................................... 8
(C) YIELD TO MATURITY (YTM)/ANNUAL REDEMPTION YIELD: .............................................................................................................. 8
(D) YIELD TO CALL (YTC): ................................................................................................................................................................................ 9
8. COMPARISON AMONG COUPON RATE, REQUIRED RETURN AND ACTUAL COMPOUND RETURN (YTM) .......... 9
9. ACTUAL REALISED YIELD OR MODIFIED YTM OR ACTUAL YIELD WHEN RE-INVESTMENT IS MADE AT
SPECIFIED RATE .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
10. BOND INDIFFERENCE BETWEEN TAXABLE BOND & TAX-FREE BOND: .......................................................................... 11
11. SOME CONCEPTS RELATED TO CONVERTIBLE BOND .............................................................................................................. 11
(1) CONVERSION PREMIUM: .................................................................................................................................................................. 11
(2) PREMIUM PAYBACK PERIOD:........................................................................................................................................................ 11
(3) PREMIUM DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD: .......................................................................................................................... 12
(4) CONVERSION PARITY PRICE OF SHARE: .................................................................................................................................. 13
(5) PERCENTAGE OF DOWNSIDE RISK FOR OPTIONAL CONVERTIBLE BOND:.............................................................. 13
(6) PREMIUM OVER FLOOR VALUE OR PREMIUM OVER STRAIGHT VALUE OF BOND: .............................................. 13
Fair price of this security depends upon types of instrument and issuer credit worthiness (i.e. associated ri sk
factor with 1000 inflow).
Case-(i): Above instrument is T-Bill issued by RBI
It means there is no any uncertainty in 1000 inflow at 1 year end. In other words, it is risk free
securities.
On market research, we find risk free return is 7% (i.e. return on fixed deposit)
Hence,
1000 1000
Fair Price = = = 934.58
(1+𝑖)𝑛 (1+0.07)1
Case-(ii): Above instrument is Bond issued by SBI [Zero coupon bond]
In this case also, there is no risk in 1000
Fair expected return = 7%
1000 1000
Fai price = = = 934.58
(1+𝑖)𝑛 (1+0.07)1
Case-(iii): Above instrument is Bond issued by DHFL (Diwan Housing Finance Limited)
Back Ground: Share Price 52Week High: 691 & 52Week Low Price: 97 It shows High risk
It means there is high uncertainty involved in 1000 inflow.
In this case, buyer expects high return from above securities.
We can calculate fair expected return using CAPM or APT if risk factor is available
Say, Fair Expected Return is 20%. In this case,
1000 1000
Price = = ̅ (Low price due to high required return.)
= 833.𝟑
(1+𝑖)𝑛 (1+0.2)1
Relationship Between Price and Inflow
High future inflows = High price
Low future inflows = Low price
Relationship Between Price and Required Return
High required return = Low price
Low required return = High price
In other words, future inflows are directly related with price but required return are in versely related with
price.
SECURITY VALUATION
Unit-I Unit-II
BOND VALUATION
SHARE VALUATION
DEBENTURE VALUATION
UNIT-I
BOND / DEBENTURE VALUATION
INTRODUCTION TO BOND
Bond/Debenture is a long-term debt instrument which carry fixed interest payable at each year/each 6 month and
maturity value at end of life.
BASIC TERM OF BOND:
A. Face value/par value:
It is the value stated on the face of the bond. Unless otherwise stated, bond is ass umed to be issued at
face value/par value. The face value/par value may be 10 or 100 or 1,000 near to market price.
Coupon interest is calculated on face value irrespective of market price.
B. Redemption value/Maturity value:
The value which the bond holder will get on maturity is called redemption value. If no information
about redeemable value is given, the bond is always assumed to be redeemed at par value. Otherwise
it is redeemed at redeemable value.
C. Coupon rate:
A bond carries a specific interest rate known as the coupon rate. The interest may be paid annually,
semi-annually or even monthly. Coupon rate may be fixed rate (Say 10 % or 12 %)or may be variable
rate (say MIBOR or LIBOR) which fluctuates according to market condition.
Interest payable to bond holder = Par/Face value of bond × Coupon rate
D. Call value:
If bond contains call feature then company can redeem bond before maturity.
Pre-maturity redemption value also termed as call value.
E. Conversion value OR Stock value of Bond:
Convertible bond where bond converted into pre-determined number of equity shares. Value of those
equity shares is known as conversion value.
Conversion Value = Number of Shares per bond × Share price
(F) VALUE OF OUTSTANDING BOND/ VALUE OF OLD BOND/ VALUE OF BOND AFTER ISSUE DATE:
AI AI Price =? AI AI AI AI+RV
PV
These interests are irrelevant = B0
for price because these were
received by previous buyer.
Concept: Current buyer of this bond will receive only four
www.fmguru.org remaining year’s interest & RV. Hence, PV of remaining life
CA Nagendra Sah inflows is considered as price of bond.
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
In our example,
Bond Price = [Annual interest × PVIFA (RR, 4)] + [Redeemable value × PVIF (RR, 4)]
(G) VALUE OF BOND ON MID OF TWO INTEREST PAYMENT DATE [DIRTY PRICE]:
1Y 4M Ago 4M Ago 0M 8M 1Y 8M 2Y 8M
AI AI AI
Price= PV
Discount + +RV
@ RR for Value @ RR for 1Y
It includes 4M `
0.667Y at 8M
accrued interest
@ coupon rate. end Discount @ RR for 2Y
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CA Nagendra Sah
Process: FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
First calculate price at 8M end excluding interest receivable at 8M end.
After that, add interest receivable on 8M end. It means, we calculated cum interest price on 8M end.
Discount it for 0.667 year (8 Months).
Where,
Future Inflows (p.a.) = Annual interest + Annual Amortizable Value
Value of Bond
Annual Amortizable Value =
Life
Issue Date Purchase Date Conversion Date Sale Date Call Date Maturity Date
CY
HPY
YTM
YTC www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
(A) Current yield (CY):
The rate of return over next one year on the amount invested is called current yield.
AI AI AI AI AI
P +SV
V
@ R% (?)
HPY
Use interpolation technique to calculate R%
For calculation, use same technique as discussed above. First calculate approximate YTM. If PV of inflows is equal to PV
of outflow at that rate then no need to use interpolation otherwise use interpolation.
Redemable Value – IP/PP/CP
Where,
Annual Interest+[ ]
Approximate YTM = Life of bond
Redemable Value+IP/PP/CP × 100 IP= Issue price
2 PP= Purchase Price
CP= Current Price
Note:
In examination, you may calculate approximate YTM instead of calculating exact YTM, if question carry low
mark or you have shortage of time.
When issue price & maturity value are Then coupon rate itself is YTM rate.
face value:
When issue price & maturity value are Then YTM is equal to approximate YTM. In other words,
same but not face value: approx. YTM itself is exact YTM.
0Y 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y nY (Call Date)
AI AI AI AI AI
+CV
P
V
Note: In all returns, use “average return” as assumption for interpolation technique.
COMPARISON AMONG COUPON RATE, REQUIRED RETURN AND ACTUAL COMPOUND RETURN
(YTM)
(a) Coupon rate:
It is useful to calculate annual cash flows. Coupon rate is applicable on face value.
AI AI AI AI AI
+RV
P
V
Discount @RR%
May be or may not be equal to (?) www.fmguru.org
Actual price of bond CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
AI AI AI AI AI
+RV
P
V
Discount @YTM
Actual price
of bond
Note:
If initial price and redeemable value are face value then “coupon rate” itself is “YTM”.
(a) IF fair price is equal to actual price then “RR = YTM”.
(b) If fair price and actual price both are face value and also RV is face value then “coupon rate = RR = YTM”.
Example:
Suppose, following are cash flows of amortizable bond:
0Y 1Y 2Y
(1000.86) 600 Inflow 600 Inflow
PV = ?
@R%
Assume, R = 13% www.fmguru.org
1 1 CA Nagendra Sah
PV = ( + )= 1000.86 FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
(1+.13) (1+.13)2
It means Return = 13% p.a. compounded annually
[Condition: At 1 year end inflow should be re-invested at 13% itself.]
Verification:
0Y 1Y 2Y
(1000.86) 600 Inflow 600 Inflow
@13%
678
1278
It means, Investment = 1000.86 and Inflow at end = 1278
1000.86 × (1+R)2 =1278
or, (1+R) =
1278
1000.86
∴R = 1.13-1 = 0.13 (13%) Verified.
Suppose, in our example above, re-invested rate is 8%. In this case, realized yield of investor should be:
0Y 1Y 2Y
(1000.86) 600 Inflow 600 Inflow
@8%
648
1248
1000.86 × (1+R)2 =1248
or, (1+R) =
1248
1000.86
∴R = 1.1167-1 = 0.1167 (11.67%)
0Y 1 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y
B0 = 1200 I = 80 I = 80 I = 80 I = 80 I = 80
CV0 =1000 D =20 D =20 D =20 D =20 D =20
200 60 60 60 60 60
Conversion premium
Favourable Income Difference www.fmguru.org
(Additional investment in bond) CA Nagendra Sah
Where, FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Note:
In premium payback period, we ignore time value of money.
It is also known as Break even period (i.e. no profit, no loss period)
0Y 1 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y
(200) 60 60 60 60 60
54.55 @10%
49.59 @10%
45.08 @10%
40.98 @10%
37.26 @10%
In other words, at conversion parity, there is no difference between purchasing share or bond today.
(6) PREMIUM OVER FLOOR VALUE OR PREMIUM OVER STRAIGHT VALUE OF BOND:
BOND DURATION
Bond duration is an average time period during which present value of bond is recovered from future inflows. In fact it
is weighted average time period where PV of inflows are used as weight.
Mathematically,
𝚺(𝐘𝐞𝐚𝐫 × 𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬) (𝟏×𝑾𝟏 )+(𝟐×𝑾𝟐 )+(𝟑×𝑾𝟑 )+ …
Bond Duration = =
𝚺 𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝑾𝟏 +𝑾𝟐 +𝑾𝟑 + …
Where,
W1 = PV-1; W2 =PV-2; W3 = PV-3 and 1,2,3 indicates no. of years.
Note:
Bond duration of coupon carrying bond is always lesser than its life because of part recovery of bond value during
initial period.
Bond duration of zero-coupon bond is equal to life because of no recovery of bond value during life time.
When coupon rate increases, bond duration decreases because of higher part recovery of bond value during initial
period.
When YTM increases, bond duration decreases because of higher part recover of bond during initial period.
[In other word, Lesser PV of bond value to be recovered from same future inflows.
BOND IMMUNIZATION
Bond immunization is an investment strategy used to minimize the interest rate risk of bond by adjusting the portfolio
duration to match the investment time horizon.
Normally, interest rates affect bond price inversely. But when bond portfolio is immunized, the investor gets a specific
rate of return over a given time period regardless of interest rate.
Portfolio will be immunized when:
Investment time period = Average bond duration (i.e. weighted average bond duration)
= (BD1×W1)+(BD2×W2)+(BD3×W3)+ ……
BOND REFUNDING
CALL FEATURE:
Call feature allow the bond issuer to redeem the bond and repay them at a pre-determined price before maturity.
Bond issuers use this features to protect themselves from paying more interest.
Some bonds offer “call protection” i.e. it would guaranty not to be called before maturity period and it will affect the
“bond price”.
Example:
Suppose IDBI had issued 16 Years 1000 bonds 10 year ago @14% p.a. But now interest rate in market is around
9% to 10%.
If the issuer wants to take the benefit of the call features, it will call back the earlier issued bonds and re-issue it
around 9% to 10% p.a.
The new proceeds from new bonds may be used to re-pay the existing bonds. In this way, IDBI now enjoy lower
cost for its borrowed money.
(3) Calculate net present Value using given discount rate. If discount rate is not given use new interest rate net of
tax as discount rate.
NPV = Annual saving × PVIFA (PIR, n) – Net initial outflow
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Decision: CA Nagendra Sah
If NPV is + ve then bond refunding is beneficial. FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
If NPV is –ve then bond refunding is not beneficial
UNIT-II
SHARE VALUATION
₹ 180
SUMMARY OF RATIOS
ROE
Logic:
On investment, company earned 12.6%. But company’s cost of debt net of tax saving is
= 10% × (1- 0.30) = 7%. It means, saving to equity share holder from debt = (12.6%-
16.80
7%) on ₹300 =₹ 16.80. This earning is ( ×100) = 3.36% for equity as investment of
500
equity share holder is ₹500.
(iii) Saving from (𝐑𝐎𝐂𝐄−𝐊𝐩)×𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐟
× 100
(12.6%−12%)×200
× 100 = 0.24%
Preference 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 500
Logic:
www.fmguru.org On investment, company earned 12.6%. But company’s cost of preference is 12 %. It
CA Nagendra Sah means, saving to equity share holder from preference = (12.6%- 12%) on ₹200 =₹ 1.20.
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1 1.2
This earning is ( ×100) % = 0.24% for equity as investment of equity share holder is
500
₹500.
Verification
ROE = 16.2%
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CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
PARTICULARS 1Y end (₹) 2Y end (₹) 3Y end (₹)
Total EBIT ₹ 180 195 211.937
Less: Interest on debenture ₹ 30 30 30 Share of debenture holder in profit
EBT ₹ 150 165 181.937
Less: Tax @ 30% ₹ 45 49.5 54.581 Share of Govt in profit
EAT ₹ 105 115.5 127.356
Less: Pref dividend Share of Preference share holder
₹ 24 24 24
(12% of ₹200)
Less: Pref Dividend Tax NIL NIL NIL
EAE ₹ 81 91.5 103.356 Earning of Equity share holder
Less: Equity Dividend ₹ 16.20 18.3 20.671 Distributed profit to EH
Less: Equity dividend tax NIL NIL NIL
Retained Earning ₹ 64.80 73.2 82.685 Co. retains EH’s profit on the
expectation of re-investment at
CALCULATION OF EPS, DPS & ROE min. 16.2% (post-tax) or
PARTICULARS 1Y end (₹) 2Y end (₹) 3Y end (₹) 23.1429% (pre-tax) return
EPS (EAE/No. of shares) 1.62 1.83 2.067
DPS 0.324 0.366 0.4134
SFM CONCEPTS SUMMARY
(Dividend/No. of shares)
ROE (Post tax) 16.2% 16.2% 16.2% BY CA NAGENDRA SAH
𝑬𝑨𝑬 www.fmguru.org
( × 𝟏𝟎𝟎) )
𝑬𝒒𝒖𝒊𝒕𝒚
This growth can also be calculated directly using formula: Retention ratio × ROE = 0.8 × 0.162 = 0.1296 (12.96%).
Notes:
(1) Above annual increase in EPS is also termed as earning growth.
(2) Above annual increase in DPS is also termed as dividend growth.
COST OF CAPITAL
Percentage expenditure of company on fund raised for long term (i.e. capital employed) is known as cost of capital. It
is also known as overall cost of capital (K0) or weighted average cost of capital (WACC).
(2) If issue price, market price & redeemable value is face value then coupon rate is itself K d [i.e. Kd = Coupon
rate × (1-T)]
(2) If issue price, market price & redeemable value is face value then coupon rate itself is K d.
[i.e. Kd = Coupon rate × (1-T)]
III. Cost of Preference share when there is Dividend Tax:
When there is corporate dividend tax, then Annual dividend in above formula will be increase by Tax amount
because both dividend and tax is expense for Company. Dividend tax is calculated on Grossed up Dividend
amount.
Suppose, dividend amount is 100 and tax on dividend is 15%.
In this case,
Grossed Up Dividend =
100
= 117.65
0.85
Dividend Tax = Grossed Up Dividend × 15%
= 117.65 × 15% = 17.65
And total expense for company is (100+17.65) = 117.65.
𝐑𝐞𝐝𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 – 𝐍𝐞𝐭 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐜𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬
𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐔𝐩 𝐃𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐝 +[ ]
𝐑𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐋𝐢𝐟𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞
In this case, we can use formula: Kp = 𝐑𝐞𝐝𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 + 𝐍𝐞𝐭 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐜𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 × 100
[ ]
𝟐
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CA Nagendra Sah
II. Dividend Price Approach Kd =
𝐃𝐏𝐒
×100 FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
𝐍𝐞𝐭 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐜𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬
Note: EPS and DPS of every year remains constant as growth is NIL.
Note:
There is no question of book value weight and market value weight for calculation of marginal WACC as there is no
book value and no market value.
Use “fund to be raised” to calculate weight.
D1 D2 D3 D4
Present
Value
(P0)
@ RR
𝐃𝟏
Share Price (P0) = It is PV of Growing Perpetuity. (Refer time value of money)
𝐑𝐑−𝐠
(3) When there is different First calculate discounted value of cash flows having constant growth for
growth rate indefinite period and then calculate PV of no trend cash flows plus
discounted value.
Explanation:
No Trend cash flows Constant growth cash flows
D1 D2 D3 D4
Present
Value
(P0) @ RR @ RR
P3
𝐷4
P3 = Discounted value of constant growth cash flows i.e. PV of growing perpetuity
𝑅𝑅−𝑔
𝐷1 𝐷2 𝐷3 𝑃3
P0 = + + + www.fmguru.org
(1+𝑅𝑅)1 (1+𝑅𝑅)2 (1+𝑅𝑅)3 (1+𝑅𝑅)3
CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Explanation:
Fair Price of share EPS
Fair P/E ratio = & Fair Price of share (No Growth Case) =
EPS RR
EPS
1
∴ Fair P/E ratio = RR
=
EPS RR
Summary:
Fair price of share can be calculated using any one of following 2 methods when there is no growth:
𝐸𝑃𝑆
(i) Fair Price of share = OR
𝑅𝑅
1
(ii) Fair price of share = EPS × = EPS × Fair P/E ratio
𝑅𝑅
Note:
Fair P/E ratio may be or may not be equal to actual P/E ratio. Normally, we find actual P/E ratio higher than
fair P/E ratio because actual P/E ratio is derived using actual price of share which considers growth but fair
P/E ratio is derived using fair price of share which ignores growth.
ADR & GDR are denominated in foreign currency but when they are incorporated in Balance Sheet, they are
converted in domestic currency and hence not shown separately in Balance Sheet.
EVALUATION METHOD 2 :
Compare inflow with outflow and take decision.
Net present value = PV of inflow – PV of outflow
Case 1: NPV = +ve (Accept the project)
Case 2: NPV = -ve (Reject the project)
Case 3: NPV = 0 (Accept the project)
RIGHT ISSUE
Equity share issued to existing shareholders at concessional rate is known as right issue.
After right issue, price of share decreases.
Balance Sheet of a Company
LIABILITY ₹ ASSET ₹ www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah
Equity 600 Net Assets of equity holder 600 FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
(60 share of ₹10)
TOTAL 600 TOTAL 600
For example:
ABC Co. has issued right share in the ratio of 1:4 at issue price of 5. Then,
Right share = 60 ×
1
= 15 Shares
4
New total number of share = 60 + 15 = 75 Shares
Total net assets = (600+ 15×5) = ₹675
Share price after right issue =
675 = ₹ 9 per share (Ex-right price of share)
75
Formula:
(Existing price × Existing no. of share) + (Issue price of right share × Right share)
Ex- right price =
(No. of Existing share + No. of right share)
Note:
There is no effect of right issue on shareholder’s wealth if investor exercise his right and gets right share.
If investor ignores right then shareholder’s wealth decreases.
In our example, it decreases by 1% per share.
RIGHT CERTIFICATE AND PRICE OF A RIGHT SHARE AND VALUE OF THE RIGHT
There are three dates associated with right issue. They are:
(i) Right Announcement date
(ii) Record date
(iii) Expiry date
Company issues “right certificate” to all those investors who hold share on record date.
For each share, company issues one certificate and the value of this certificate is known as “value of a right”.
Right
Announcement Date Record Date Expiry Date
NOTE: -
We assume Pre-Right price and Cum-Right price should be same.
After record date, if the ex-right price increases due to any good news for the company then the value of the right
certificates will also increase.
S R Investor gets
one Right
S R share on the
S R basis of these 4
Rights
S R (Certificates)
S 4 Share
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S R CA Nagendra Sah (At Ex-Right
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
S price) 9 each
S R
S
S R
S
S R 4 Rights 1 Right share
+ Issue Price (5) RS
( 9)
New Value of Shareholder when he uses Right: [In this case he will receive Right share]
5 Share (Existing 4 and 1 RS) at 9 each = 45
Less: Existing Value = 40
Increase in Value = 5
(for this investor added additional 5 (i.e. Issue Price)
Conclusion:
There is no effect of right issue on shareholder’s wealth if the investor exercises his right or sells right.
However if investors ignores “Right” then shareholder’s wealth gets decreased.
LEVERAGE
Risk associated with fixed cost is also known as leverage. There are two types of fixed cost:
There are 2 types of fixed cost:
FIXED COST
Fixed cost related to main business. Fixed cost related to financing fund.
E.g.: Depreciation, Rent, Time based E.g.: Interest on deb. & Dividend on
salary, etc. preference
Risk associated with operating fixed Risk associated with financial fixed
cost is known as operating leverage. cost is known as financial leverage.
Coverage ratio:
It determines whether the profit of the company is available to cover the claim of investors or not.
1. Instalment coverage ratio or Debt service coverage ratio = 𝐸𝐵𝐷𝐼𝑇
𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡
2. Interest coverage ratio =
𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇
𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡
3. Preference coverage ratio =
𝐸𝐴𝑇
𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝐷𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑
ANALYSIS OF LEVERAGE:
High coverage ratio = High risk
Low coverage ratio = Low risk
Debt holder uses “Debt service coverage ratio” and “Interest coverage ratio” for risk analysis
Preference holder uses “preference coverage ratio” for risk analysis.
P0 – CV0
% Conversion Premium = × 100
CV0
Where,
P0 = Preference share as on today
𝐶𝑉0 = Conversion value as on today
Chapter -7
MERGER AND ACQUISITION
Contents
In the case of Cairn India and Vedanta, the latter is the larger parent company, making this a simple merger.
P Ltd. V Ltd.
Purchasing co. Vendor company
⦿MPS = 100 ⦿MPS = 80
⦿EPS = 10 ⦿EPS = 10
⦿BVPS = 80 ⦿BVPS = 50
SYNERGY BENEFITS
Extra benefits without any additional investment arise due to:
(i) Utilization of spare capacity after merger.
(ii) Reduction of cost after merger
(iii) Use of brand value/ technology of one company by another company after merger.
(iv) Effective management of Purchasing Co.
(v) Sharing of resources
In other words, purchasing company’s P/E ratio can be used for merged company.
DE-MERGER
Division of one entity into two or more entities is known as de-merger.
ABC Ltd.
ABC Ltd.
IMPORTANT NOTES
Chapter - 8
INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT
Contents
1. INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 3
2. FAIR FORWARD INTEREST RATE .................................................................................................................................................................... 3
(A) NAME OF FORWARD INTEREST RATE ................................................................................................................................................... 3
(B) CALCULATION OF FORWARD INTEREST RATE (FAIR FORWARD INTEREST RATE) ...................................................... 4
(C) CALCULATION OF FORWARD INTEREST RATE USING CASH FLOWS .................................................................................... 5
3. FORWARD RATE AGREEMENT (FRA) ............................................................................................................................................................ 5
(A) MEANING ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 5
(B) NAME OF FRA .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 6
(C) FRA QUOTATION / RATE OF FRA ............................................................................................................................................................. 6
(D) DIFFERENT NAME OF INTEREST RATES .............................................................................................................................................. 7
(E) VARIOUS DATES USED IN FRA ................................................................................................................................................................... 7
(F) SETTLEMENT AMOUNT OF FRA ................................................................................................................................................................ 7
4. ARBITRAGE IN FRA:................................................................................................................................................................................................ 8
5. INTEREST RATE FUTURE (IRF)......................................................................................................................................................................... 9
(A) MEANING ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 9
(B) VALUATION OF INTEREST RATE FUTURE (IRF) ............................................................................................................................... 9
(C) ACTION IN IRF ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 9
6. INTEREST RATE SWAP (IRS) .............................................................................................................................................................................. 9
(A) MEANING ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 9
(B) CALCULATION OF FIXED INTEREST OR INTEREST ON FIXED LEG ....................................................................................... 10
(C) CALCULATION OF FLOATING INTEREST OR INTEREST ON FLOATING LEG .................................................................... 10
(C) TYPES OF IRS ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
(D) SETTLEMENT AMOUNT OF IRS .............................................................................................................................................................. 11
(E) IRS RATE QUOTATION:.............................................................................................................................................................................. 11
(I) FIXED RATE QUOTE .............................................................................................................................................................................. 11
(II) FLOATING RATE QUOTE ................................................................................................................................................................... 11
(F) BUYER/SELLER OF IRS ............................................................................................................................................................................... 12
7. USES OF IRS ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 12
(A) FOR SPECULATION: ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 12
(B) HEDGING EXISTING BORROWING COST & DEPOSIT INCOME:................................................................................................ 12
(C) REDUCING NEW BORROWING COST USING IRS ............................................................................................................................. 13
8. CURRENCY SWAP .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 15
// CA NAGENDRA SAH // WWW.FMGURU.ORG
Not for Circulation
Page 8.2 SFM (CONCEPT SUMMARY) Personal Copy of sandeep Goyal
INTRODUCTION
Following are some derivative contract of interest rate which are traded in OTC (Over-the-counter) market:
Interest Rate
Forward contract Forward contract Guarantee
for Currency for Interest rate
Refer Forex Forward Rate
Agreement (FRA)
0M 3M 9M
6 Months
Borrowing/deposit period
Rate contracted
Today for this B/D
(ii) Second year Forward Rate OR 1 Year Forward Rate at 1 Year Forward
0Y 1Y 2Y
1 Year
Borrowing/deposit period
Rate contracted
Today for this B/D
0Y 1Y
1 Year
Borrowing/deposit period
Rate contracted
Today for this B/D
0M 3M 9M
=
Explanation: 3M 9M
0M
Route-A ₹1 8%p.a. (2% for 3M) 6 month fair forward rate (Say ‘R’) ₹1.09
₹1.02
Route-B ₹1 ₹1.09
12% p.a. (i.e. 9% for 9 month)
At fair forward rate, investor should be at indifference between route A and route B.
It means investing/borrowing at 8% p.a. for first 3 months and investing/borrowing again at R% p.a. for next 6
months is equal to investing/borrowing at 12% p.a. for 9 months period.
Route-A FV = Route-B FV
www.fmguru.org
or, 1.09 = 1.09 CA Nagendra Sah
6 FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
or, 1.02 × (1 + R × 12) = (1+0.09)
3 1 6 1 9 1
or, (1 + 0.08 × 12) × (1 + R × 12) = (1 + 0.12 × 12)
Hence,
(𝟏 + 𝐏𝐈𝐑 𝐨𝐟 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐭 𝐩. )𝐧 × (𝟏 + 𝐏𝐈𝐑 𝐨𝐟 𝐅𝐑)𝐧 = (𝟏 + 𝐏𝐈𝐑 𝐨𝐟 𝐋𝐨𝐧𝐠 𝐩. )𝐧
Note:
Calculation of forward interest rate is nothing but segregation of long period interest rate into different short
period interest rates. In other words, merging different short period interest rates results to long period interest
rate.
1 YEAR INVESTMENT
0Y 1Y
10%
Invest FV = 1155
(1050)
2 YEARS INVESTMENT:
Percentage return of 2 year investment is not available. We can calculate it using interpolation technique but it
consumes a lot of time. Hence, segregate total into two parts where first year return is 10% and balance return in
second year.
0Y 1Y 2Y
Interest = 120
Invest (1050) Interest = 120
RV = 1000
CALCULATION:
Assume first period return is 10% (as given) and balance return is available in second year. In this way, we can
calculate 2nd year forward interest rate:
0Y 1Y 2Y
@10% FR=?
@10%
Invest (1050) FV = 1155
Less: Interest received = 120 Interest+ RV
Balance investment = 1035 @ FR=? = 1120
0M 3M 9M
Z
6M Borrowing/Deposit Period
Difference between actual rate and contracted forward rate is loss/gain of FRA.
Note: Actual borrowing/deposit under forward contract is not possible. Hence settlement is made by differential
amount.
ON 3M TIME:
CASE-I INTEREST RATE =12% CASE-II INTEREST RATE =10%
(A) For He can borrow amount @ contracted (A) For He has to borrow fund @ 10% p.a. under
Borrower rate of 10% even actual interest rate is Borrower contract but actual rate is 9% p.a.
(Mr. A) 12%. (Mr. A) Contract Loss = (10-9) % = 1% p.a.
Contract Gain = 2%p.a.
(B) For He has to deposit fund @10% but (B) For He has to deposit fund @10% p.a. under
Depositor actual interest rate is 12%. Depositor forward contract but actual interest rate is
(Mr. B) Contract Loss = (12-10)% = 2% p.a. (Mr. B) 9% p.a.
Contract gain = [10-9] % = 1% p.a.
Summary:
When interest rate moves up borrower earns profit and depositor makes loss and vice-versa.
Borrower/Buyer Gain 2%
Depositor/Seller Loss 2%
Actual rate at 3M = 9%
NOTE:
1. Buyer of FRA:
Borrower is also known as buyer of FRA as borrower earns profit from up movement and buyer also earns profit
from up movement.
2. Seller of FRA:
Depositor is also known as seller of FRA as depositor earns profit from down movement & seller also earns profit
from down movement.
IF Actual rate > Contract rate Receivable for Borrower/Buyer and payable for depositor/seller.
IF Actual rate < Contract rate Receivable for depositor/seller and payable for Borrower/Buyer.
Explanation:
Suppose, it is 3×9 FRA. Contracted rate: 10% p.a. www.fmguru.org
Actual rate on 3M time for 6M borrowing/deposit = 12% p.a. CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
0M 3M 9M
6 Months Borrowing/deposit period
ARBITRAGE IN FRA:
Act to earn risk free profit is known as arbitrage.
Arbitrage is possible by borrowing at low interest rate and depositing at high interest rate. Both borrowing and
depositing rate should be risk free.
FRA arbitrage is possible when Fair Forward rate ≠ Actual Forward Rate quoted under FRA.
0M 3M 9M
Route-1 8% p.a. Actual FRA (Deposit) > Fair FRA Amt. High
Route-1 8% p.a. Actual FRA (Borrowing) < Fair FRA Amt. Low
Route-2 12% p.a. Amt. High
Example: IRS
IRS
Floating interest rate decides at beginning of period but interest due at end of period.
0M 6M 12M 18M 24M
In the above example, 6M is reset period (or revision period of interest) and above MIBOR rate is based on 6M
instrument.
Floating interest amount = Notional principal × Floating Interest Rate× Period
𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠
Floating Leg (Generic, Non-generic, Plain Vanilla) (360
𝑜𝑟 365)
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Difference = Settlement amount CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
X >Y Gain to Mr. A
Y >X Gain to Swap dealer
(E) IRS RATE QUOTATION:
Normally, swap dealer is bank. Swap dealer keep margins in interest rate. It pays low interest and receives
high interest.
Swap dealer may quote fixed interest with margin or floating interest with margin
(I) FIXED RATE QUOTE
In this quote, swap dealer keeps margin in floating rate.
(a) 10%/12% against MIBOR
It means swap dealer is willing to pay 10% against MIBOR & willing to receive 12% against MIBOR.
Here, Benefit of Bank (Swap dealer) = 2%
Interpretation
MIBOR
Customer-1 Swap Dealer
12% Receive - High
Pay - Low
MIBOR
Customer-2 Swap Dealer
10%
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(b) 9% Gov. security + 50/125 bps against T-Bill
CA Nagendra Sah
IRS rate: FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
(9% + 0.50%) + 9% +1.25%) against T-Bill
∴ 9.5%/10.25% against T-Bill
It means swap dealer is willing to pay 9.5% against T-Bill and receive 10.25% against T-Bill.
T-Bill
Customer-1 Swap Dealer
10.25% Receive -High
% Pay - Low
T-Bill
Customer-2 Swap Dealer
9.5%
Note: Fixed rate quote for floating flat is known as AIC (ALL IN COST)
Above quotes are AIC quote.(i.e no margin with floating)
LIBOR+75bps
Customer-1 Swap Dealer
10% Receive - High
(LIBOR+25bps) Pay - Low
Customer-2 Swap Dealer
10%
(3) Floating deposit Falling floating Enter IRS agreement to pay floating and receive fixed.
Interest rate BR
Interest C C Swap Dealer
sBR-1% 10%
Say Swap dealer quoted following rate:
www.fmguru.org 10%/11% against BR
Here, CA Nagendra Sah Net income to customer after IRS = [(BR-1%)-BR] +10% =
Existing income = FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1 9%
Floating In all conditions, net income of customer after IRS should
New Income = Fixed be 9%
IRS is beneficial when BR<10%.
(4) Fixed deposit Rising floating Enter IRS to pay fixed interest and receive floating
interest interest rate interest.
Interest Risk of Opportunity
C loss 11%
s 9.5% C Swap Dealer
BR
H High rating
Low rating borrowers L Low rating
11% BR+3.2%
(Weak financial position) FX Fixed interest choice
FL Floating interest choice
Objectives: www.fmguru.org
Borrower-1: Cost of borrowing less than 10% CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
but fixed cost (not floating)
Borrower-2: Cost of borrowing less than
BR+1% but floating cost Borrower approaches to Swap Dealer for
Borrower-3: Cost of borrowing less than 11% Reducing Cost
but fixed cost
Borrower-4 Cost of borrowing less than
BR+3.2% but floating cost Combination-1: Combination-2:
Mr. HFX & LFL Mr. HFL & LFX
Net Saving:
Total Swap Deal cost = Floating cost for HFL+ Fixed cost for LFX
= BR+1% + 11% = BR+12%
Total saving = Own choice cost - Swap deal cost = (BR+13.2%) - (BR+12%) = 1.2%
Net cost after swap deal (HFX) = Own choice cost – Saving = 10%-0.40% = 9.60%
Net cost after swap deal (LFL) = (BR+3.2%-0.40) = BR + 2.80%
Note: There are unlimited combinations of swap rates which swap dealer can quote to “HFX & LFL”.
Objective:
Net cost of HFX = 9.6%
Net cost of LFL = BR+2.8%
Saving of SD = 0.40%
CURRENCY SWAP
Exchange of sequence of one currency for another currency is known as currency swap.
Under currency swap, amount of each settlement remains same.
Sequence of currency may be for:
(a) Initial principal and period end repayment amount.
(b) Periodic fixed amount at every equal time interval.
(c) Initial principal period end repayment & periodic fixed amount.
Example:
Initial Repayment at 1
Payment Year end www.fmguru.org
CA Nagendra Sah
$100 6500 FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Mr. India Mr. USA
6500 $100
Diagrammatic Representation
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0M 3M CA Nagendra Sah
12M FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Payoff = 2% Payoff
Confirmed (Settlement date)
2% of NP for 9M
Note:
In call & put, settlement is made at due date (i.e. due date of interest payment on borrowing/deposit) but rate is fixed
on beginning of period (i.e. Borrowing/deposit date).
0M 1P 2P 3P 4P
SWAPTIONS
Option of interest rate swap is termed as swaption.
There are two types of swaption.
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SWAPTION CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
H FX W H FX
FX W
FL FL
It is beneficial when FL>FX. It is beneficial when FL<FX.
When FL<FX then option lapses. When FL>FX then option lapses.
Holder has to pay premium to writer. Holder has to pay premium to writer.
IMPORTANT NOTES
Chapter - 9
CORPORATE VALUATION
Contents
VALUE OF COMPANY/BUSINESS
Process to calculate value of whole company /firm will be known as business valuation.
Value of company may be calculated using any of following methods.
Method-1
Value of Company
Method-2
Value of company = Value of equity + Value of preference + Value of debt
(i.e. growth) Ke Ke
Value of preference
Operating It consists only profit from operative activities (i.e. Main revenue generating activity)
EBIT Non-Operating Profit/Loss is:
Profit/Loss from investment in share for company other than investment Company
Interest from Loan and advances for company other than banking company
Profit/Loss from Fixed Assets for company other than capital goods trading
company
OPERATING Consists Capital invested in operative activities (Main revenue generating activity)
CAPITAL Capital Employed = Equity + Preference + Long term Debt – Loan & Advances –
EMPLOYED Investment in Share
Equity = Equity Capital + Reserve – Accumulated Loss
Non-Operating Investment is:
Investment in share for company other than investment company
Loan and advances for company other than banking company
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Example:
CA Nagendra Sah
Market value of Bajaj Finance = 170,000 Cr FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
Equity capital with reserve = 17000 Cr
Therefore, MVA of Bajaj Finance is given by:
Market value in equity - Book value of equity
= 170,000 Cr. – 17,000 Cr = 153,000 Cr
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CA Nagendra Sah PV of Surplus inflows.
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
EVA is Surplus inflows
PV of EVA
(1) EVA Without growth (i.e. Same EVA for Infinite time) EVA1
WACC (Ko)
(2) EVA With constant growth for infinite time EVA1
(K 0 – g)
(3) EVA for finite time
Chapter -10
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
Contents
1. INVESTMENT DECISION/CAPITAL BUDGETING ..............................................................................................................2
(A) INVESTMENT IN PROJECT OR PV OF OUTFLOW ......................................................................................................2
(B) CALCULATION OF ANNUAL FUTURE CASH INFLOWS: ...........................................................................................2
(I) ANNUAL CASH INFLOWS ..................................................................................................................................................2
(II) CASH FLOWS AT THE END OF LIFE OF PROJECT: ..................................................................................................3
(C) REQUIRED RETURN ............................................................................................................................................................3
2. EVALUATION OF PROJECT ......................................................................................................................................................3
(A) NPV (NET PRESENT VALUE) ...........................................................................................................................................3
(B) PROFITABILITY INDEX (PI) .............................................................................................................................................3
(C) INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR) ..............................................................................................................................4
(D) MIRR ........................................................................................................................................................................................4
3. EFFECT OF INFLATION ON INVESTMENT DESION .........................................................................................................4
CALCULATION OF MONEY CASH FLOWS & MONEY RATE ............................................................................................5
4. EVALUATION OF FOREIGN PROJECT OR INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL BUDGETING..............................................5
METHOD-1 [HOME CURRENCY APPROACH] ....................................................................................................................5
METHOD-2 [FOREIGN CURRENCY APPROACH] ...............................................................................................................5
5. RELATIONSHIP AMONG DIFFERENT RATES OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES ..............................................................6
Project
Capital Budgeting decision depends upon various factor. Some factors may be:
A. Investment in project (i.e. Initial investment in project
B. Future Cash inflow
C. Required return of project (Based on Risk)
EVALUATION OF PROJECT
(A) NPV (NET PRESENT VALUE)
Calculate NPV using RR as Discount Rate and take decision
NPV = PV of inflows – PV of outflow
Decision on the basis of NPV
(a) NPV = +ve Accept the project
(b) NPV = -ve Reject the project
(c) NPV = 0 Accept the project [As project still provides return desired by investors]
Decision:
If PI > 1 Accept the Project
If PI < 1 Reject the Project
If PI = 1 Accept the project
Decision: www.fmguru.org
If IRR > RR Accept the Project CA Nagendra Sah
FCA, B. Sc. (H), CFAL1
If IRR < RR Reject the project
If IRR = RR Accept the project
(D) MIRR
Calculation of IRR assumes that intermediate period inflows are reinvested as IRR rate itself.
When reinvestment rate changes actual return also changes and that changed return is also termed as MIRR
[For detail refer modified YTM concept of Bond Valuation.]
Where, Where,
PIR = Periodic interest rate PIR = Periodic inflation rate
Risk Premium#
Risk Free
Return *
Inflation*
Real Rate