Professional Documents
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Bakery & Confectionery (Rs. 2.04 Million)
Bakery & Confectionery (Rs. 2.04 Million)
Note: All SMEDA Services / information related to PM's Youth Business Loan are Free of Cost
December, 2013
Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 DISCLAIMER ................................................................................................. 2
2 PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT .................................................................. 3
3 INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA ........................................................................ 3
4 INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME ..................................................................... 4
5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY................................................................................ 4
6 BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT & PRODUCT ..................................... 4
7 CRITICAL FACTORS ..................................................................................... 5
8 INSTALLED & OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES................................................ 5
9 POTENTIAL TARGET MARKET .................................................................... 5
10 PROJECT COST SUMMARY ........................................................................ 6
10.1 PROJECT ECONOMICS ............................................................................. 6
10.2 PROJECT FINANCING ............................................................................... 6
10.3 PROJECT COST....................................................................................... 7
10.4 SPACE REQUIREMENT ............................................................................. 7
10.5 MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT REQUIREMENTS ........................................... 8
10.6 FURNITURE & FIXTURES AND OTHER EQUIPMENTS .................................... 9
10.7 RAW MATERIAL REQUIREMENTS ............................................................... 9
10.8 HUMAN RESOURCE REQUIREMENT ......................................................... 10
10.9 REVENUE GENERATION ......................................................................... 10
10.10 UTILITIES AND OTHER COSTS................................................................. 11
11 CONTACT DETAILS OF EXPERTS & CONSULTANTS ............................. 11
12 ANNEXURES ............................................................................................... 12
12.1 INCOME STATEMENT ............................................................................. 12
12.2 STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW .................................................................. 13
12.3 BALANCE SHEET ................................................................................... 14
12.4 USEFUL PROJECT MANAGEMENT TIPS .................................................... 15
12.5 USEFUL LINKS ...................................................................................... 16
13 KEY ASSUMPTION ..................................................................................... 17
13.1 RAW MATERIAL ASSUMPTIONS ............................................................... 17
13.2 SALES ASSUMPTIONS ............................................................................ 24
Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
1 DISCLAIMER
This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a
general idea and information on the said subject. Although, the material included
in this document is based on data / information gathered from various reliable
sources; however, it is based upon certain assumptions which may differ from
case to case. The information has been provided on ‘as is where is basis’ without
any warranties or assertions as to the correctness or soundness thereof.
Although, due care and diligence has been taken to compile this document, the
contained information may vary due to any change in any of the concerned
factors, and the actual results may differ substantially from the presented
information. SMEDA, its employees or agents do not assume any liability for any
financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in consequence of
undertaking this activity. The contained information does not preclude any further
professional advice. The prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to
carry out additional diligence and gather any information which is necessary for
making an informed decision; including taking professional advice from a
qualified consultant / technical expert before taking any decision to act upon the
information.
For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website:
www.smeda.org.pk
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
3 INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA
The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) was
established in October 1998 with an objective to provide fresh impetus to the
economy through development of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).
With a mission "to assist in employment generation and value addition to the
national income, through development of the SME sector, by helping increase
the number, scale and competitiveness of SMEs" , SMEDA has carried out
‘sectoral research’ to identify policy, access to finance, business development
services, strategic initiatives and institutional collaboration and networking
initiatives.
Preparation and dissemination of pre-feasibility studies in key areas of
investment has been a hallmark of SME facilitation by SMEDA.
Concurrent to the pre-feasibility studies, a broad spectrum of business
development services is also offered to the SMEs by SMEDA. These services
include identification of experts and consultants and delivery of need based
capacity building programs of different types in addition to business guidance
through help desk services.
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
4 INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME
‘Prime Minister’s Youth Business Loan’, for young entrepreneurs, with an
allocated budget of Rs. 5.0 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide
subsidised financing at 8% mark-up per annum for one hundred thousand
(100,000) beneficiaries, through designated financial institutions, initially by the
National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and the First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL).
Small business loan up to Rs. 2 million with tenure up to 8 years inclusive of 1
year grace period, and a debt : equity of 90 : 10 will be disbursed to SME
beneficiaries across Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwah,
Balochistan, Gilgit Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir and Federally Administered
Tribal Areas (FATA).
5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Bakery and Confectionery business is growing in both urban and semi-urban
areas. This pre-feasibility study encompasses the bakery business located in
commercial neighborhood surrounding and middle income residential localities.
Major products include cakes, snacks, sweets, nimko, biscuits, bread and
general confectionery items, which will be sold to target customers of the vicinity.
The sales outlet will be supported by an in house production facility. Selections of
adequate product mix and business location, supported by marketing efforts are
the critical success factors.
This Bakery & Confectionery business will be started as sole proprietorship with
an investment of Rs. 2.04 million. This project is based on 90% debt and 10%
equity ratio. Projected NPV, IRR and Payback of this project are Rs. 8.29 million
51% and 2.77 years respectively. The business will provide employment
opportunity to 06 individuals including the owner manager.
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Maximum sales are expected during Eid seasons and in winters. First year
revenues of the project are estimated to be Rs 11.24 million. It is expected that
production growth rate will be 5% per annum along with 10% per annum increase
in sales price.
7 CRITICAL FACTORS
As mentioned, the sales of bakery items are 70 % of total sales revenue. The
installed capacity of bakery depends on the variety of the products being
produced. Installed capacity of major production items is cakes 23,785 pounds,
40,470 pieces of snacks, 6,035 kgs of sweets and nimko, and 5,325 kgs of mixed
biscuits.
Starting capacity utilization is 70% of the installed capacity growing at the rate of
5% per annum.
Smaller cities with growing middle income group such as Sargodha, shekhupura,
Gujrat, Sukkur, Hyderabad, Nowshehra, Charsadda, Quetta, Khuzdar and Gilgit
are some of the prospective cities for setting up this business.
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Project returns are based on the margins of the items sold. Profitability of the
business is highly dependent on raw material cost. Moreover, in bakery or food
item businesses the probability of wastage is higher, hence the reduction of
wastage through demand and supply analysis will play a vital role in profit
maximization. In this regard, efficient supply chain management will be an
appropriate strategy for this venture.
Another crucial factor for the success of this project is to maintain the hygienic
standards and clean environment to avoid customer complaints.
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
recommended that a rented place of maximum 3,600 sqft (i.e. 2,700 sqft for
production space and 900 sq.ft for outlet) would be acquired on rent basis in the
vicinity of newly developing housing societies in the major cities. The production
space and bakery outlet could be acquired at separate places. However, it
should be ensured that both the facilities are located closely for easy supply of
produced goods to the outlet.
Table 4: Space Requirement
Estimated Area
Description Monthly Rent (Rs.)
(Sqft)
Production Space 2,700 30,000
Outlet Space 900 45,000
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
The required machinery is easily available in the local markets. Used and new
machinery can be purchased from different whole sale markets including Lahore,
Karachi, Peshawar, Gujranwala, etc. These requirements are based on the
proposed production plans as mentioned elsewhere.
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
The above sales revenues are based on following key operational assumptions:
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
12 ANNEXURES
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Revenue 11,238,910 13,419,982 15,747,024 18,405,275 21,437,705 24,892,570 27,401,857 30,142,043 33,156,247 36,471,872
Cost of sales
Cost of goods sold 1 7,681,843 9,172,615 10,763,159 12,580,085 14,652,764 17,014,179 18,729,288 20,602,216 22,662,438 24,928,682
Operation costs 1 (direct labor) 236,667 263,756 290,148 319,179 351,113 386,240 425,175 467,692 514,461 565,907
Operating costs 3 (direct electricity) 240,000 264,000 290,400 319,440 351,384 386,522 425,175 467,692 514,461 565,907
Operating costs 4 (direct water) 20,708 24,727 29,015 33,913 39,500 45,866 50,489 55,538 61,092 67,202
Operating costs 5 (direct gas) 345,139 412,118 483,580 565,213 658,337 764,433 841,491 925,641 1,018,205 1,120,025
Total cost of sales 8,524,357 10,137,216 11,856,301 13,817,829 16,053,098 18,597,240 20,471,618 22,518,780 24,770,658 27,247,723
Gross Profit 2,714,552 3,282,766 3,890,722 4,587,445 5,384,607 6,295,329 6,930,239 7,623,263 8,385,589 9,224,148
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes 248,594 569,951 907,448 1,305,188 1,771,843 2,317,220 2,569,616 2,842,175 3,141,990 3,471,786
Interest expense on long term debt (Project Loan) 152,495 139,611 122,676 104,337 84,475 62,964 39,668 14,439 - -
Subtotal 152,495 139,611 122,676 104,337 84,475 62,964 39,668 14,439 - -
Earnings Before Tax 96,099 430,340 784,772 1,200,851 1,687,368 2,254,256 2,529,947 2,827,736 3,141,990 3,471,786
Tax - 3,034 40,216 102,628 184,973 298,351 354,987 429,434 507,997 590,446
NET PROFIT/(LOSS) AFTER TAX 96,099 427,306 744,556 1,098,224 1,502,395 1,955,905 2,174,961 2,398,302 2,633,992 2,881,340
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Operating activities
Net profit 96,099 427,306 744,556 1,098,224 1,502,395 1,955,905 2,174,961 2,398,302 2,633,992 2,881,340
Add: depreciation expense 143,975 143,975 143,975 143,975 143,975 143,975 143,975 143,975 143,975 143,975
amortization of pre-operating costs 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000
Deferred income tax - 3,034 40,216 102,628 184,973 298,351 354,987 429,434 507,997 590,446
Finished goods inventory (120,061) (20,864) (23,889) (27,257) (31,061) (35,352) (25,844) (28,433) (31,276) (34,404)
Equipment inventory - - - - - - - - - - -
Raw material inventory (106,692) (33,445) (40,744) (51,676) (65,403) (82,617) (80,258) (96,775) (117,098) (141,689) 816,396
Pre-paid building rent (225,000) (22,500) (24,750) (27,225) (29,948) (32,942) (36,236) (39,860) (43,846) (48,231) 530,538
Accounts payable 321,451 62,939 67,488 77,356 88,574 100,343 74,461 81,782 90,489 59,583
Cash provided by operations (331,692) 397,519 562,897 905,446 1,311,574 1,785,298 2,358,727 2,597,904 2,876,116 3,167,259 4,999,875
Financing activities
Project Loan - principal repayment - (204,028) (220,962) (239,302) (259,164) (280,674) (303,970) (329,199) - -
Additions to Project Loan 1,837,298 - - - - - - - - - -
Issuance of shares 204,144 - - - - - - - - - -
Cash provided by / (used for) financing activities 2,041,442 - (204,028) (220,962) (239,302) (259,164) (280,674) (303,970) (329,199) - -
Investing activities
Capital expenditure (1,559,750) - - - - - - - - - -
Acquisitions
Cash (used for) / provided by investing activities (1,559,750) - - - - - - - - - -
NET CASH 150,000 397,519 358,869 684,484 1,072,273 1,526,134 2,078,053 2,293,934 2,546,916 3,167,259 4,999,875
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Assets
Current assets
Cash & Bank 150,000 547,519 906,388 1,590,872 2,663,144 4,189,278 6,267,331 8,561,265 11,108,182 14,275,440 19,275,315
Finished goods inventory 120,061 140,925 164,814 192,071 223,132 258,484 284,328 312,761 344,037 378,441
Raw material inventory 106,692 140,137 180,881 232,557 297,960 380,576 460,834 557,610 674,708 816,396 -
Pre-paid building rent 225,000 247,500 272,250 299,475 329,423 362,365 398,601 438,461 482,307 530,538 -
Total Current Assets 481,692 1,055,217 1,500,444 2,287,717 3,482,598 5,155,352 7,385,251 9,841,664 12,577,958 15,966,412 19,653,756
Fixed assets
Machinery & equipment 1,124,750 1,012,275 899,800 787,325 674,850 562,375 449,900 337,425 224,950 112,475 -
Furniture, fixtures and Office Equipment 270,000 243,000 216,000 189,000 162,000 135,000 108,000 81,000 54,000 27,000 -
Office vehicles 45,000 40,500 36,000 31,500 27,000 22,500 18,000 13,500 9,000 4,500 -
Total Fixed Assets 1,439,750 1,295,775 1,151,800 1,007,825 863,850 719,875 575,900 431,925 287,950 143,975 -
Intangible assets
Pre-operation costs 120,000 108,000 96,000 84,000 72,000 60,000 48,000 36,000 24,000 12,000 -
Total Intangible Assets 120,000 108,000 96,000 84,000 72,000 60,000 48,000 36,000 24,000 12,000 -
TOTAL ASSETS 2,041,442 2,458,992 2,748,244 3,379,542 4,418,448 5,935,227 8,009,151 10,309,589 12,889,908 16,122,387 19,653,756
Other liabilities
Deferred tax - 3,034 43,250 145,877 330,851 629,202 984,188 1,413,622 1,921,619 2,512,065
Long term debt (Project Loan) 1,837,298 1,837,298 1,633,270 1,412,308 1,173,007 913,843 633,169 329,199 - - -
Total Long Term Liabilities 1,837,298 1,837,298 1,636,304 1,455,558 1,318,884 1,244,694 1,262,371 1,313,387 1,413,622 1,921,619 2,512,065
Shareholders' equity
Paid-up capital 204,144 204,144 204,144 204,144 204,144 204,144 204,144 204,144 204,144 204,144 204,144
Retained earnings 96,099 523,405 1,267,961 2,366,185 3,868,580 5,824,485 7,999,445 10,397,747 13,031,740 15,913,080
Total Equity 204,144 300,243 727,549 1,472,106 2,570,329 4,072,724 6,028,629 8,203,590 10,601,892 13,235,884 16,117,224
TOTAL CAPITAL AND LIABILITIES 2,041,442 2,458,992 2,748,244 3,379,542 4,418,448 5,935,227 8,009,151 10,309,589 12,889,908 16,122,387 19,653,756
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Marketing
• Product Development & Packaging: Expert's help may be engaged for
product/service and packaging design & development.
• Ads & Point of Sales Promotion: Business promotion and dissemination
through banners and launch events is highly recommended. Product
brochures should be acquired from good quality service providers.
• Price - Bulk Discounts, Cost plus Introductory Discounts: Price should
not be allowed to compromise on quality. Price during introductory phase may
be lower and used as promotional tool. Product cost estimates should be
carefully documented before price setting. Government controlled prices shall
be displayed.
Human Resources
• Adequacy & Competencies: Skilled and experienced master chef should be
considered an investment and be retained on better terms, if necessary
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
13 KEY ASSUMPTION
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Dry cakes
Qty
Qty Qty
Ingredients
Units of % Qty Ingredients Ingredients
Raw material: Quantity Rate Cost For Making
measure ingredients Ingredients in grams For For Making 1
1 Pound
Making 1 Kg Kg (gms)
(gms)
Butter Kg 357 450 160,629 22.167% 545 225 225
Sugar Kg 63 60 3,807 3.941% 545 40 40
Flour (Maida) Kg 436 50 21,814 27.094% 545 275 275
Baking powder Kg 16 60 952 0.985% 22 10 10
Eggs Pcs 14,492 7 101,446 35.468% 16,364 9 360
Flavour Ltr. 8 500 3,966 0.493% 1.09 5 5
Cream + Honey Kg 159 400 63,458 9.852% 100 100
356,072 100.00% 18,023 1015
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Chicken Bread
Qty
Qty Qty
Ingredients
Units of % Qty Ingredients Ingredients
Raw material: Quantity Rate Cost For Making
measure ingredients Ingredients in grams For For Making 1
1 Pound
Making 1 Kg Kg (gms)
(gms)
Flour (Maida) Kg 416.02 50 20,801 14.648% 336.00 150 150
Oil Ltr 55.47 190 10,539 1.953% 33.60 20 20
Yeast Kg 5.55 180 998 0.195% 1.68 2 2
Sugar Kg 69.34 60 4,160 2.441% 33.60 25 25
Salt Kg 5.55 8 44 0.195% 3.60 2 2
Chicken Kg 970.70 275 266,943 34.180% 480.00 350 350
Onion Kg 346.68 40 13,867 12.207% 720.00 125 125
Masala Kg 138.67 84 11,648 4.883% 84.00 50 50
Cheese Kg 277.34 800 221,875 9.766% 180.00 100 100
Mayonnaise &
Kg 138.67 90 12,480 4.883% 120.00 50 50
Ketchup
Mix Vegetable Kg 416.02 80 33,281 14.648% 120.00 150 150
2,840 596,639 100.000% 2,112 1024 1024
Fresh Cream cakes
Qty
Qty Qty
Ingredients
Units of % Qty Ingredients Ingredients
Raw material: Quantity Rate Cost For Making
measure ingredients Ingredients in grams For For Making 1
1 Pound
Making 1 Kg Kg (gms)
(gms)
Butter Kg 491 450 221,135 12.207% 545 80 125
Sugar Kg 393 60 23,588 9.766% 545 100 100
Flour (Maida) Kg 491 50 24,571 12.207% 545 100 125
Baking powder Kg 8 60 472 0.195% 22 2 2
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Biscuits etc
Qty
Qty Qty
Ingredients
Units of % Qty Ingredients Ingredients
Raw material: Quantity Rate Cost For Making
measure ingredients Ingredients in grams For For Making 1
1 Pound
Making 1 Kg Kg (gms)
(gms)
Butter Kg 873 450 392,828 16.393% 303 170 170
Sugar Kg 770 60 46,215 14.465% 333 150 150
Flour (Maida) Kg 1,797 50 89,863 33.751% 393 350 350
Baking powder Kg 26 60 1,541 0.482% 12 5 5
Eggs Pcs 47,925 7 335,475 34.716% 7,261 9 360
Flavour Ltr. 10 500 5,135 0.193% 1 2 2
871,056 100% 8,302 1037
Snacks
Per Piece
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Chicken Pizza
Qty
Qty Ingredients
Units of % Qty Ingredients
Raw material: Quantity Rate Cost For Making 1 Kg
measure ingredients Ingredients in grams For
(gms)
Making 1 Kg
Flour (Maida) Kg 930.58 50 46,529 19.417% 336.00 200 200
Oil Ltr 69.79 190 13,261 1.456% 33.60 15 15
Yeast Kg 4.65 180 838 0.097% 1.68 1 1
Sugar Kg 93.06 60 5,583 1.942% 33.60 20 20
Salt Kg 18.61 15 279 0.388% 3.60 4 4
Chicken Kg 1,395.87 275 383,865 29.126% 480.00 300 300
Onion Kg 930.58 40 37,223 19.417% 720.00 200 200
Masala Kg 186.12 84 15,634 3.883% 84.00 40 40
Cheese Kg 465.29 800 372,233 9.709% 180.00 100 100
Mayonnaise &
Kg 232.65 90 20,938 4.854% 120.00 50 50
Ketchup
Mix Vegetables Kg 465.29 80 37,223 9.709% 120.00 100 100
4,793 933,607 100% 2,112 1030
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Dry cakes
Dry cakes Pounds 10 3,550 180 639,000
Fruit cakes large Pounds 3 1,065 140 149,100
Fruit cakes small Pounds 5 1,775 140 248,500
Plain cakes large Pounds 3 1,065 120 127,800
Plain cakes small Pounds 5 1,775 120 213,000
Total 9,230 1,377,400
Snacks
Chicken pizza large Pcs 5 1,775 380 674,500
Chicken pizza medium Pcs 10 3,550 200 710,000
Chicken pizza small Pcs 14 4,970 100 497,000
Chicken bread Pcs 8 2,840 380 1,079,200
Chicken drum stick leg
Pcs 10 3,550 65 230,750
piece
Chicken leg piece Pcs 12 4,260 90 383,400
Chicken shami Pcs 15 5,325 30 159,750
Chicken sandwich Pcs 5 1,775 50 88,750
Chicken patties Pcs 25 8,875 25 221,875
Chicken bread roll Pcs 10 3,550 30 106,500
Total 40,470 4,151,725
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Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery
Biscuits
Cake Rusk Kgs 2 710 320 227,200
White Biscuits Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Coconut Biscuits Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Macaroon Coconut Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Almond Macaroon Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Cheese Finger Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Salty Zeera Plus Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Plain Khatai Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Baker Khani Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Finger Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Jam Wafer Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Special Biscuit Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Chocolate Biscuits Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Round Almond Biscuit Kgs 1 355 320 113,600
Total 15 5,325 1,704,000
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