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Abshar
Abshar
INVESTMENT
Investment is the sacrifice of certain present value for the uncertain future reward. It deserved
arriving at numerous decisions such as type, mix, amount, timing, grade etc of investment
and disinvestments. Further such decisions making has not only to be continuous but rational
too. Instead of keeping the savings idle you may like to use savings in order to get return on it
in the future, which is known as ‘investment’. There are various investment avenues such as
Equity, Bonds, Insurance, and Bank Deposit etc. A Portfolio is a combination of different
investment assets mixed and matched for the purpose of achieving an investor's goal. There
are various factors which affects investors' portfolio such as annual income, government
policy, natural calamities, economical changes etc.
2. WHAT IS INVESTMENT?
Investment is the employment of funds with the aim of achieving additional income or
growth in value. The essential quality of income is that, it involves ‘waiting ‘for a reward. It
involves the commitment of resources which have been saved or put away from current
consumption in the hope that some benefits will occur in future. The term ‘investment’ does
not appear to be a simple as it has been defined. Investment has been categorized by financial
experts and economists. It has also often been confused with the term speculation.
Investment is the allocation of monetary resources to assets that expected to yield some gain
or positive return over a given period of time. These assets range from safety investment to
risky investments. Investments in this form are also called ‘Financial Investments’. To the
economists, ‘Investment’ means the net additions to the economy’s capital stock which
consists of goods and services that are used in the production of other goods and services. In
this context the term investment implies the information of new and productive capital in the
form of new construction, new producers’ durable equipment such as plant and equipment.
Inventories and human capital are included in the economist’s definition of investment. In
simple words investment means buying securities or other monetary or paper (financial)
assets in the money markets or capital markets, or in fairly liquid real assets, such as gold as
an investment, real estate, or collectibles. Valuation is the method for assessing whether a
potential investment is worth its price. Types of financial investments include shares or other
equity investment, and bonds (including bonds denominated in foreign currencies). These
investments assets are then expected to provide income or positive future cash flows, but may
increase or decrease in value giving the investor capital gains or losses.
4. INVESTMENT AVENUES
In India, numbers of investment avenues are available for the investors. Some of them are
marketable and liquid while others are non-marketable and some of them also highly risky
while others are almost risk less. The investor has to choose Proper Avenue among them,
depending upon his specific need, risk preference, and return expected.
1. Corporate securities
a. Equity shares
b. Preference shares
c. Debenture/Bonds
d. GDR’s/ADR’S
7. Real estate
1. Corporate securities:
a. Equity share
Total equity capital of a company is divided into equal units of small denominations, each
called a share. The holders of such shares are members of the company and have voting
rights. When company makes profit shareholder receives their share of the profit in form of
dividends. In addition, when company performs well and the future expectation from the
company is very high, the price of the companies share goes up in the market. Investor can
invest in shares either primary market offerings or in the secondary market.
b. Preference shares
Preference share as that part of share capital of the Company which enjoys preferential right
as to: (a) payment of dividend at a fixed rate during the lifetime of the Company; and (b) the
return of capital on winding up of the Company. It is lie in between pure equity and debt. But
preference shares cannot be traded, unlike equity shares, and are redeemed after a pre-
decided period. Also, Preferential Shareholders do not have voting rights. These are issued to
the public only after a public issue of ordinary shares. Preference shares also get traded in the
market and give liquidity to investor. Investor can opt for this type of investment when their
risk performance is very low.
It is a fixed income (debt) instrument issued for a period of more than one year with the
purpose of raising capital. The central or state government corporations and similar
institutions sell bonds. A bond is generally a promise to repay the principal along with a fixed
rate of interest on a specified date, called the Maturity Date. Many types of debenture and
bonds have been structured to suit investors with different time needs. Though having higher
risk as compared to bank fixed deposits, bonds and debentures do offer higher returns.
Debenture instruments require scanning the market and choosing specific securities that will
cater to investment objectives of the investor.
Global depository receipts are the instrument in the form of a depository receipts or
certificate created by the overseas depository bank outside India and issued to non-resident
investors against ordinary shares. A GDR issued in America, is an American Depositary
Receipts. As investors seek to diversify their equity holdings, the option of GDRs and ADR’s
is very lucrative, while investing in such securities, investors should identify the
capitalization and risk characterizes 0f the instrument and the companies’ performance in the
home country.
e. Warrants
A warrant is a certificate giving its holder rights to purchase securities at a stipulated price
within a specified time limit. The warrants act as a value addition because holder of the
warrant has the right but not the obligation to investing in equity at the indicated rate. An
option contract often sold with another security. For instance, corporate bonds may be sold
with warrants to buy common stock of that corporation. Warrants are generally detachable.
Options generally have lives of up to one year. The majority of options traded on exchanges
have maximum maturity of nine months. Longer dated options are called Warrants and are
generally traded over-the counter.
Bank deposit is the simple investment avenue open for the investors. Commercial banks
provide to the investor both deposits which are liquid in nature, which has stability and which
also given an element of security. The following kind of deposits is provided by the bank.
a. Savings bank deposit
The most liquid form of investment is the maintenance of a saving bank account. The
deposits may be made at any time through the introduction of a person already having a bank
account or through the manager of the bank on completion of the formalities of filling a form
and having it certified, the investor can begin to operate association.
b. Current account
An investigator is also given the option of having a current account in the bank for
maintaining liquidity. A current account is usually open a business house of this current
account, the account holder is permitted to draw according to a fixed limited provided by the
bankers in agreement with the account opening association.
c. Recurring deposit
Recurring deposit is a made by which an investor may at regular intervals deposit a fixed sum
of money in bank.
Each bank has certain special schemes. These schemes vary from bank to bank but the
maturity value is normally the same and the interest at a fixed deposit is specified from time
to time by the RBI. Fixed Deposits with Banks are also referred to as term deposits. Fixed
Deposits in banks are for those investors, who have low risk appetite. Bank F Ds is likely to
be lower than money market fund returns. Fixed deposits may be recurring deposits where in
savings are deposited at regular intervals or fixed deposits of varying maturities or with the
varying notice periods such as 15 days, etc. The interest rates on these deposits vary
depending on the maturity period, from 4 to 900. In general, it is lower for fixed deposits of
shorter term and higher for fixed deposits of longer term. If the deposit period is less than 90
days, the interest is paid on maturity; otherwise it is paid quarterly.
Commercial banks in India have also started mutual fund schemes. The first bank takes this
step was in 1987.
For a manufacturing company the term of deposits can be one to three years, whereas for
non-banking finance company it can vary between 25 months to five years. A manufacturing
company can mobilize, by way of fixed deposits, an amount equal to 25 percent of its net
worth from the public and an additional amount equal to 10 percent of its net worth from its
share holders. A non banking finance company, however can mobilize a higher amount. The
interest rates on company deposits are higher than those on bank fixed deposits.
4. Post Office Time Deposits (POTDs):
Post Office Monthly Income Scheme is a low risk saving instrument, which can be availed
through any Post Office. It provides an interest rate of 8% per annum, which is paid monthly.
Minimum amount, which can be invested, is Rs. 1,000/and additional investment in multiples
of Rs. l, 000/-. Maximum amount is Rs. 3, 00,000(if Single) or Rs. 6, 00.000/-(if held jointly)
during a year. It has a maturity period of 6 years. A bonus of 5% is paid at the time of
maturity. Premature withdrawal is permitted if deposit is more than one year old. A deduction
of 1% is levied from the principal amount if withdrawn prematurely. The 5% bonus is also
denied.
Insurance companies offer many investment schemes to investors. These schemes promote
saving and additionally provide insurance cover. LIC is the largest life insurance company in
India. Some of its schemes include life policies, convertible whole life assurance policy,
endowment assurance policy, Jeevan Saathi, money back policy etc. Insurance policies, while
catering to the risk compensation to be faced in the future by investor, also have the
advantage of earning a reasonable interest on their investment insurance premiums.
It is a fixed income (debt) instrument issued for a period of more than one year with the
purpose of raising capital. The central or state government, corporations and similar
institutions sell bonds. A bond is generally a promise to repay the principal along with a fixed
rate of interest on a specified date, called the Maturity Date. The government issues securities
in the money market and in the capital market. Money market instruments are traded in
Wholesale Debt Market (WDM) trades and retail segments. Instruments traded in the money
market are short term instruments such as treasury bills and convertible bonds.
9. Mutual Fund:
These are funds operated by an investment company, which raises money from the public and
invests in a group of assets (shares, debentures etc.), in accordance with a stated set of
objectives. It is a substitute for those who are unable to invest directly in equities or debt
because of resource, time or knowledge constraints. Benefits include professional money
management, buying in small amounts and diversification. Mutual fund units are issued and
redeemed by the Fund Management Company based on the fund's net asset value (NAV),
which is determined at the end of each trading session. NAV is calculated as the value of all
the shares held by the fund, minus expenses, divided by the number of units issued. Mutual
Funds are usually long term investment vehicle though there some categories of mutual
funds, such as money market mutual funds, which are short term instruments. On the basis of
objective we can categories mutual funds as equity funds/growth funds, diversified funds
sector funds, index funds, tax saving funds, debt/income funds, liquid funds/money market
funds, gift funds, balanced funds. And on the basis of flexibility we can categories them as
open-ended funds, close-ended funds and interval funds.
10.Real Estate:
Investment in real estate also made when the expected returns are very attractive. Buying
property is an equally strenuous investment decisions. Real estate investment is often linked
with the future development plans of the location. At present investment in real assets is
booming there are various investment source are available for investment which are directly
or indirectly investing real estate.
11.Bullion Investment:
The bullion offers investment opportunity in the form of gold, silver, and other metals;
specific categories of metals are traded in the metal exchange. The bullion market presents an
opportunity for an investor by offering returns and the end value of future. It has been absurd
that on several occasions, when stock market failed, the gold market provided a return on
investments.
a. Gold:
Gold is one of the most valuable assert in the economy. It has been used in India primarily as
the form of saving by the house vice although it is said to appreciate many times yet in India
it is more of a sense of security and fixed assets rather than for the use of sale or for the
purchase of making profit or income on this investment. Gold may be invested into either in
the form of gold shares, gold coins, gold bars and gold jewelleries.
b. Silver:
Silver is sold in the form of weight by kilograms in India. Silver may be owned in the form of
coin, utensils, glasses, bowels, plates, trays and jewellery. This like gold has been a hedge
during inflation. The price of silver although less than gold, also keeps on rising in the same
way as gold.
In choosing specific investments, investors will need definite ideas regarding features, which
their investment avenue should possess. These features should be consistent With the
investors’ general objectives and in addition, should afford them all the incidental
conveniences and advantages, which are possible under the circumstances. The following are
the suggested features as the ingredients from which many successful investors compound
their selection policies.
1. Safety of principal
The investor, to be certain of the safety of principal, should carefully review the economic
and industry trends before choosing the types of investment. Errors are avoidable and
therefore, to ensure safety of principal, the investor should consider diversification of assets.
Adequate diversification involves mixing investment commitments by industry,
geographically, by management, by financial type and maturities. A proper combination of
these factors would reduce losses.
2. Liquidity
Even investor requires a minimum liquidity in his investment to meet emergencies.
Liquidity will be ensured if the investor buys a proportion of readily saleable securities out of
his total portfolio. He may therefore, keep a small proportion of cash, fixed deposits and units
which can be immediately made liquid investments like stocks and property or real estate
cannot ensure immediate liquidity.
3. Income stability
Regularity of income at a consistent rate is necessary in any investment pattern. Not
only stability, it is also important to see that income is adequate after taxes. It is possible to
find out some good securities, which pay particularly all their earnings in dividends.
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4. Appreciation and purchasing power stability
Investors should balance their portfolios to Fight against any purchasing power
stability. Investors should judge price level inflation, explore their possibility of gain and loss
in the investments available to them, limitations of personal and family considerations. The
investor should also try and forecast which securities will possibly appreciate. A purchase of
property at the right time will lead to appreciation in time. Growth stock will also appreciate
over time. These, however, should be done thoughtfully and not in a manner of speculation.
5. Legality and freedom from care
All investments should be approved by law. Law relating to minors, estates, trusts,
shares and insurance be studied will bring out many problems for the investor. One way of
being free from care is to invest in securities like Unit Trust of India, Life Insurance
Corporation or Saving Certificates. The management of securities is then left to the care of
the Trust who diversities the investments according to safety, stability and liquidity with the
consideration of their investment policy. The identity of legal securities and investments in
such securities also help the investor in avoiding many problems.
6. Tangibility
Intangible securities have many times lost their values due to price level inflation,
confiscatory laws or social collapse. Some investor prefers to keep a part of their wealth
invested in tangible properties like building, machinery and land. It may, however, be
considered that tangible property does not yield an income apart from direct satisfaction of
possession or property.
Liquidity/
Return/Current Capital Tax
Particulars Risk Marketabilit
yield appreciation benefits
y
Equity
High Nil High High High
Shares
Bank
Low Low Nil High Nil
Deposit
Life
Insurance Nil Nil Low Low Moderate
Policies
High in
Real Estate Low Low Moderate
Long-term
The distinction between investments and speculations is given in the table below:
Investment Speculation
Short-term planning holding
Long-term time framework
Time Horizon assets even for one day with
Beyond 12 months.
the objective.
There are high profits and
Risk It has limited risk. There are
Gains.
It is consistent and moderate High returns, though risk of
Return
Over a long period. loss is high.
Use of funds Own funds through savings Own and borrowed funds.
1. Capital
The distinction between investment and speculation emphasizes that if the motive is
primarily to achieve profits through price changes, it is speculation. If purchase of securities
is preceded by proper investigation and analysis and review to receive a stable return over a
period of time, it is termed as investment. Thus, buying low and selling high, making large
capital gain is associated with speculation.
2. Time Period
The second difference is the consideration of the time period. A longer-term fund
allocation is termed as investment. A short-term holding is associated with trading for the
‘quick turn’ and is called speculation.
The distinction between investment and speculation is helped to identify the role of the
investor and speculator. The investor constantly evaluates the worth of a security through
fundamental analysis, whereas the speculator is interested in market action and price
movement. These distinctions also draw out the fact that there is a very fine line of division
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between investment and speculation. There are no established rules and loss, which identify
securities, which are permanent for investment. There has to be a constant review of
securities to find out whether it is a suitable investment. To conclude, it will be appropriate to
state that some financial experts have called investment ‘a well grounded and carefully
planned speculation’, or good investment is a successful speculation. Therefore, investment
and speculation are a planning of existing risks. If artificial and unnecessary risks are created
for increased expected returns, it becomes gambling.
3. Risk
The word ‘risk’ has a definite financial meaning. It refers to possibility of incurring a
loss in a financial transaction. In a broad sense, investment is considered to involve limited
risk and is confined to those avenues where the principal is safe. ‘Speculation’ is considered
as an involvement of funds of high risk. An example may be cited of stock brokers’ lists of
securities which labels and recommends securities separately for investments and speculation
purposes. Risk, however, is a matter of degree and no clear-cut lines of demarcation can be
drawn between high risk and low risk and sometimes these distinctions are purely arbitrary.
No investments are completely risk-free. Even if it safety of principal and interest are
considered, there are certain non manageable risks which are beyond the scope of personal
power. These are (a) the purchasing power risk In other words, it is the fall in real value of
the interest and the principal and (b) the money rate risk or the fall in market value when
interest rate rises.
These risks affect both the speculator and the investor. High risk and low risk are, therefore,
general indicators to help and understanding between the terms investments and speculation.
3.10 What causes the risks?
The risks are caused by the following factors:
Wrong decision of what to invest in.
Wrong timing of investment.
Nature of the instrument invested say, the category of assets like corporate shares or
bonds, Chit funds, Nidhis, Benefit funds etc. are highly risky, as they are in the
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unorganized sector. Some instruments as bank deposits or PO Certificates are less
risky, due to their certainty of payment of principal and interest.
Creditworthiness of the issuer: The securities of Government end semi-Government
bodies are more credit worthy than those issued by the corporate sector and much less
secure are those in the unorganized sector like indigenous bankers, shroffs, chit funds
etc. private limited companies share and shares of unlisted companies are more risky.
Maturity period are length of investment: The longer the period, the more risky is the
investment normally.
Amount of investment: The higher the amount invested in any security the larger is
the risk, while a judicious mix of investments in small quantities may be less risky.
Method of investment, namely, secured by collateral or not.
Terms of lending such as periodicity of servicing, redemption periods etc.
Nature of the industry or business in which the company is operating.
National and international factors, acts of god etc.
Reference was made to two types of Risk of investor:
1. Systematic Risks
2. Unsystematic Risks
1. Systematic Risks
Systematic Risks are out of external and uncontrollable factors, arising out of the market,
nature of the industry and state of the economy and a host of other factors. In other words
systematic risk refers to that portion of the total variability of the return caused by common
factor affecting the prices of all securities alike through economic, political and social factors.
2. Unsystematic Risks
Unsystematic Risks emerge out of the known and controllable factors, internal to the issuer of
the securities or companies. In other words unsystematic risk refers to that portion of the total
variability of the return caused due to unique factors, relating that firm or industry, through
such factors as management failure, labour strikes, raw material scarcity etc.
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While the systematic risk is common to all companies and has to be borne by the investor and
compensated by the Risk Premium, The unsystematic risk can be reduced by the investor
through proper diversification and planning a proper investment strategy for the purpose.
Examples of Systematic Risks:
1. Market Risk:
This arises out of changes in Demand and Supply pressures in the markets, following the
changing flow of the information or expectations. The totality of the investor perception and
subjective factors influence the events in the market which are unpredictable and give rise to
risk, which is not controllable.
2. Interest Rate Risk:
The return on an investment depends on the interest rate promised on it and changes in
market rates of interest from time to time. The costs of funds barrowed by companies or
stockbrokers depend on interest rates. The market activity and investor perceptions change
with the changes in interest rates. These interest rates depend on nature of instruments,
stocks, bonds, loans etc maturity of the periods and the creditworthiness of the issuer of
securities. But basically the monetary and credit policy, which is not controllable by the
investor, affects the riskiness of investments due their effects on returns, expectations, and
the total principal due to be refunded
3. Purchasing Power Risk:
Inflation or rise in prices lead to rise in costs of production, lower margins, wage rises and
profit squeezing etc. The return expected by the investors will change due to change in real
value of returns. Cost pushed inflation is caused by rise in the costs, due to wage rise or rise
in input prices. Demand-pull forces operate to increase prices due to inadequate supplies and
rising demand. The increase in demand may be caused by changing expectation of future
interest rates and inflation or due to increase in money supply or creation of currency to
finance the deficits of the government. This element of purchasing power risk is inherent in
all investments and cannot be controlled by him.
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Examples of Unsystematic Risks
1. Business Risk:
This relates to variability of business, sales income, profits etc., which in turn depend
on the market conditions for the product mix, input supplies, strength of competitors etc. This
business risk is sometimes external to the company due to changes in government policy or
strategy of competitors or unforeseen market conditions. They may be internal due to fall in
production, labour problem, raw materials problem or inadequate supply of electricity etc.
The internal business risk leads to fall in revenues and in profit of the company, but can be
corrected by certain changes in the company’s policies.
2. Financial Risk:
This relates to the method of financing, adopted by the company, high leverage
leading to larger debt servicing problems or short-term liquidity problems due to bad debts,
delayed receivables and falls in current assets or rise in current liabilities. These problems
could no doubt to be solved, but they may lead to fluctuations in earnings, profits and
dividends to share holders. Sometimes, if the company runs in to losses or reduced profits,
these may lead to fall in returns to investors or negative returns. Proper financial planning and
other financial adjustments can be used to correct this risk and as such it is controllable.
3. Default or Insolvency Risk:
The barrower or issuer of securities may become insolvent or may default, or delay
the payments due, such as interest instalments or principal repayments. The barrower’s credit
rating might have fallen suddenly he became default prone and in its extreme form it may
lead to insolvency or bankruptcies. In such cases the investor may get no return or negative
returns. An investment in a healthy company’s share might turn out to be a waste paper, if
within a short span, by the deliberate mistakes of management or acts of God, the company
became sick and its share price tumbled below its face value.
4. Other Risks
In addition to the above major risks both in controllable and uncontrollable categories,
there are many more risks, which can be listed, but in actual practice, they may vary in form,
size and effect.
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Some of such identifiable risks are:
1. Political Risks:
Political risks, following the changes in the government, or its policy shown in fiscal or
budgetary aspects etc. through changes in tax rates, imposition of controls or administrative
regulations etc.
2. Management Risks:
Management Risks, due to errors or inefficiencies of management, causing losses to the
company.
3. Marketability Risks:
Marketability Risks, involving loss of liquidity or loss of value in conversions from one asset
to another say, from stocks to bonds, or vice versa. Such risks may arise due to some features
of securities, such as capability; or lack of sinking fund or Debenture Redemption Reserve
fund, for repayment of principal or due to conversion terms, attached to the security, which
may go adverse to the investor.
All the above types of risks are of varying degrees, resulting in uncertainty or variability of
return, loss of income and capital losses, or erosion of real value of income and wealth of the
investor. Normally the higher the risk taken, the higher is the return. But sometimes the risk
is caused by acts of God and there may be no return at all.
3.11 Investment and Gambling
The difference between investment and gambling is very clear. From the above discussion, it
is established that investment is an attempt to carefully plan, evaluate and allocate funds in
various investment outlets which offers safety of principal, moderate and continuous returns
and long-term commitment. Gambling is quite the opposite of investment. It connotes high
risk and the expectation of high returns. It consists of uncertainty and high stakes for thrill
and excitement. Typical examples of gambling are horse racing, game of cards, lottery etc.
Gambling is based on tips, rumours and hunches, it is unplanned, non-scientific and without
knowledge of the exact nature of risk. These distinctions between investment, speculation and
gambling give us a basic idea of their nature, purpose and role.
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3.12 Investment and Arbitrage
Investment is usually a planned method of safely putting ones savings into different outlets to
get a good return. Arbitrage is the mechanism of keeping one’s risk to the minimum through
hedging and taking advantage of price differences in different markets. The simultaneous
purchase of the same or similar security in two different markets would be an arbitrage
transaction. Short-term gains can be expected through such transactions. An investor can also
be an arbitrageur if he buys and sells securities in more than one stock exchange to take
advantage of the price differentials in such exchanges. Derivatives introduced in the Indian
market have a great potential for arbitrage transactions. Arbitrage transactions help in
enhancing efficiency and liquidity in the stock market and in increasing the volume of trade.
Hedgers, speculators and arbitrageurs can make riskless profits through the arbitrage process.
1. Real Assets
Real assets refer to tangible assets, which are in the form of land and buildings, furniture,
gold, silver, diamonds, or artefacts. These assets have a physical appearance. They may be
marketable or non-marketable. They may also have the feature of being movable or non
movable. These assets are used to produce goods or services.
2. Financial Assets
A financial asset is a claim represented by securities. These assets are popularly called paper
securities. Shares, bonds, debenture, bills, loans, lease, derivatives and fixed deposits are
some of the financial assets. Therefore, financial assets represent a claim on the income
generated by real assets of some other parties. F inancial assets can be easily traded, as they
are marketable and transferable. Financial assets are usually between two parties, for
example, if a person buys a bond of Rs. 10,000 of ICIC I Bank. The bond is liabilities of
ICICI, but an asset of the person buying a bond because he has a claim over the bank to
receive the principal sum with interest.
3. Commodity Assets
Commodities are a new form of investment in India. Commodity assets consist of wheat,
sugar, potatoes, rubber, coffee and other grains. Commodities are also in the form of metal
like gold, silver, aluminium and copper. It also consists of items like cotton oil and foreign
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currency. Importers and exporters invest in commodities to diversify their portfolios. Traders
hedge or transact in commodities to make gains. A National Commodity and Derivatives
Exchange Ltd. (NCDEX) have been set up in India in 2003 as a public limited company to
transact in commodities.
The promoters of NCDEX were ICICI Bank Ltd., National Bank for Agriculture and Rural
Development (NABARD), Life Insurance Corporation of India, (Punjab National Bank,
Canara Bank, CRISIL Ltd., Indian Farmers Fertilizer, Co-operative Ltd. (IFFCO) and
National Stock Exchange of India Ltd., (NSE). All these institutions subscribed to the equity
shares of NCDEX.
3.13 Factors Favourable For Investment
The investment market should have a favourable environment to be able to function
effectively. Business activities are marked by social, economic and political considerations. It
is important that the economic and political factors are favourable. Generally, there are four
basic considerations, which foster growth and bring opportunities for investment. These are
legal safeguards, stable currency and existence of financial institutions to aid savings and
forms of business organization.
1. Legal Safeguards
A stable government, which frames adequate legal safeguards, encourages
accumulation of savings and investments. Investors will be willing to invest their funds if
they have the assurance of protection of their contractual and property rights.
In India, the investors have the dual advantage of free enterprise and control. Freedom,
efficiency and growth are ensured from the competitive forces of private enterprises.
Statutory control exerts discipline and curtails some element of freedom. In India, the
political climate is conducive to investment since the new economic reforms in 1991 leading
to liberalization and globalization.
2. A Stable Currency
A well-organized monetary system with definite planning and proper policies is a
necessary prerequisite to an investment market. Most of the investments such as bank
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deposits, life insurance and shares are payable in the currency of the country. A proper
monetary policy will give direction to the investment outlets. As far as possible, the monetary
policy should neither promote acute inflationary pressures nor prepare for a deflation model.
Neither condition is satisfactory.
Price inflation destroys the purchasing power of investments. Thrift is also penalized when
the net interest after taxes received by the investor is less than the rise in the price level,
leaving the investor with less total purchasing power than he had at the time of saving.
Inflation occurs generally in unstable conditions like war or floods but in the last decade, it
also discernible in peace conditions especially in developing countries because of huge
government deficit in creating infrastructure. Deflation is equally disastrous because the
nominal values of inventories, plant and machinery and land and building tend to shrink. An
example of the evil effects of deflation can be cited for the period 1929-1933 in the United
States when the shrinkage in nominal values came to a point of producing wholesale
bankruptcy.
A reasonable stable price level, which is produced by wise monetary and fiscal management,
contributes towards proper control, good government, economic well being and a well
disciplined growth oriented investment market and protection to the investor.
3. Existence of Financial Institutions and Services
The presence of financial institutions and financial services encourage savings, direct
them to productive uses and helps the investment market go grow. The financial institutions
in existence in India are mutual funds, development banks, commercial banks, life insurance
companies, investment companies, investment bankers and mortgage bankers. The fmancial
services include venture capital, factoring and forfeiting, leasing, hire purchase and consumer
finance, housing finance, merchant bankers and portfolio management. Investment bankers
are merchants of securities. They buy bonds and stocks of companies for re-sale to investors.
The investment bankers are distinguished from security brokers who act as agents in buying
and selling already issued securities for commission. Mortgage bankers sometimes act as
merchants and sometimes as agents on mortgage loans generally on residential properties.
They serve as middlemen between investors and borrowers and perform collateral service in
connection with loans. Commercial banks and financial institutions also act as mortgage
bankers in giving mortgage loans and servicing the loans.
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In India, there are a large number of financial institutions under Central Government and
State Governments and rural bodies that have encouraged the growth of savings and
investment. The Life Insurance Corporation and Unit Trust of India offer a wide variety of
schemes for savings and give tax benefits also. Apart from these, there is a well-organized
network of development banks such as the Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI),
Industrial Credit Investment Corporation of India (lCICl) and Industrial Finance Corporation
of India (IFCI). At the state level, there is State Financial Corporation, for rural areas and
agriculture, the National Bank of Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD). These
financial institutions and development banks offer a wide variety of policies for encouraging
savings and investment. These institutions lend an element of strength to the capital market
and promote discipline while encouraging growth.
Since 1991, there has been a development of the private corporate sector. Many new financial
institutions have emerged in the private sector. Insurance companies, mutual funds and
venture capitalists leasing companies have been opened up to private financing agencies.
Foreign banks have been allowed to do business.
Thus, there is the presence of a large number of institutions and services, which channel the
funds in productive directions.
4. Choice of Investment
The growth and development of the country leading to greater economic activity has
led to the introduction of a vast array of investment outlets. Apart from putting aside savings
in savings banks where interest is low, investors have the choice of a variety of instruments.
The question to reason out is which is the most suitable channel? Which media will give a
balanced growth and stability of return? The investor in his choice of investment will have to
try and achieve a proper mix between high rate of return and stability of return to reap the
benefits of both. Some of the instruments available are equity shares and bonds, provident
fund, life insurance, fixed deposits and mutual funds schemes.
The three golden rules for all investors are:
Invest early
Invest regularly
Invest for long term and not short term
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One needs to invest for
Earn return on your idle resources
Generate a specified sum of money for a specific goal in life
Make a provision for an uncertain future
To meet the cost of inflation
3.14 Fundamental analysis of various investment alternatives:
Before investing in various investment alternatives fundamental analysis is very necessary. A
fundamental analysis believes that analyzing the economy, strength, management,
production, financial status and other related information will help to choose investment
avenues that will outperform the market and provide consistent gain to the investor.
Fundamental analysis is the examination of the underlying forces that affect the interests of
the economy, industrial sectors, and companies. It tries to forecast the future movement of
capital market using signals from the economy, industry, company. Fundamental analysis
requires an examination of the market from broader prospective. It also examines the
economic environment, industrial performance, and company performance before taking an
investment decision.
1. Economic Analysis
The economic analysis aims at determining if the economic climate is conductive and is
capable of encouraging the growth of business sector, especially the capital market. When the
economy expands, most industry groups and companies are expected to benefit and grow and
when the economy declines, most sectors and companies usually face survival problems.
Hence, to predict scrip prices, an investor has to spend time exploring the forces operating in
the overall economy. Economic analysis implies the examination of GDP, government
financing, government borrowings, consumer durable goods market, non-durable goods and
capital goods market, saving and investment pattern, interest rates, inflation rates, tax
structure, foreign direct investment, and money supply.
The most used tools for performing economic analysis are;
Gross Domestic Product
Monetary policy and liquidity
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Inflation
Interest rate
International influences
Consumer behaviors
Fiscal policy etc
2. Industry Analysis:
It is very important to see how the industry to which the company belongs is faring. Specifics
like effect of Government policy, future demand of its products etc. need to be checked. At
times prospects of an industry may change drastically by any alterations in business
environment. For instance, devaluation of rupee may brighten prospects of all export-oriented
companies. Investment analysts call this as Industry Analysis. Companies producing similar
products are subset (form a part) of an Industry/Sector. For example, National Hydroelectric
Power Company (NHPC) Ltd., National Thermal Power Company (NTPC) Ltd., Tata Power
Company (TPC) Ltd. etc. belong to the Power Sector/Industry of India.
Tools for industry analysis
Cross study of performance of the industry. 0 Industry performances over times.
Differences in industry risk.
Prediction about market behaviors,
Competition over the industry life cycle
a) Company Analysis:
Company analysis involved choice of investment opportunities within a specific industry that
consists of several individual companies.
How has the company been faring over the past few years? Seek information on its current
operations, managerial capabilities, growth plans, its past performance vis-a-vis its
competitors etc.
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b) Financial Analysis:
If performance of an industry as well as of the company seems good, then check, if at the
current price, the share is a good to buy or not. For this, look at the financial performance of
the company and certain key financial parameters like Earnings per Share (EPS), P/E ratio,
current size of equity etc. for arriving at the estimated future price. This is termed as
Financial Analysis. For that you need to understand financial statements of a company i.e.
balance Sheet and Profit and Loss Account contained in the Annual Report of a company.
3.15 Types of investment:
1. Short term Investment
It is an investment made by the investor for very short period of time i.e. for one to three
years. Such as investment in bank, money market, liquid funds etc.
2. Long Term Investment
When investor invests money for more than three to five years then it is called long term
investment. Such as investment in bonds, mutual funds, fixed bank deposits, PPF, insurance
etc
3.16 INVESTOR
Investor is a person or an organization that invest money in various investment sources for
specific objective. Attitude of investment is different in each alternative. E.g. financial market
have different attitude towards risk and return. Some investors are risk averse, while some
have an affinity of risk. The risk bearing capacity of investor is a function of personal,
economical, environment, and situational factors such as income, family size, expenditure
pattern, and age. A person with higher income is assumed to have higher risk bearing
capacity. Thus investor can be classified as risk skiers, risk avoiders, or risk bearers.
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3.17 Categories of Investors
While there are as man)r investing styles as there are investors, most people fall more or less
into one of three broad categories: conservative, moderate, aggressive.
1. Conservative investors
Generally, conservative investors feel that safeguarding what they have is their top priority.
These investors want to avoid risk particularly the risk of losing any principal (their original
investment) even if that means they’ll have to settle for very modest returns.
Conservative investors allocate most of their portfolios to bonds, such as Treasury notes or
high rated municipal bonds, and cash equivalents, such as CDs and money market accounts.
They’re generally reluctant to invest in stocks, which may lose value, especially over the
short term. When conservative investors do venture into stocks they‘re often inclined to
choose blue chips or other large-cap stocks with well-known brands because they tend to
change value more slowly than other types of stock and often pay dividend income.
2. Moderate investors
Moderate investors want to increase the value of their portfolios while protecting their assets
from the risk of major losses.
For example, a moderate investor might use an allocation model that has 6000 in stock, 3000
in bonds, and 10% in cash equivalents. While they will tend to favor blue chip and other
large-cap stocks, they may be willing to invest a modest portion of their principal in higher
risk securities such as international stock, small-caps, and volatile sector funds in order to
increase their potential for higher returns.
3. Aggressive investors
Aggressive investors concentrate on investments that have the potential for significant
growth. They are willing to take the risk of losing some of their principal, with the
expectation that they will realize greater returns.
Aggressive investors might allocate from 75 to 95% of their portfolios to individual stocks
and stock mutual funds. While large and small-cap stocks and funds may make up the core of
their portfolios, many aggressive investors will have significant holdings in more speculative
stocks and funds, such as emerging market and sector mutual funds. Since aggressive
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investors focus on growth, they are usually less inclined to hold income producing securities,
such as bonds.
An aggressive investing style is definitely not for the faint of heart. It’s best suited for
investors with a long-term investing horizon of 15 years or more, who are willing to make a
long-term commitment to the stocks they buy. But history has shown that an aggressive
investing approach, combined with a well diversified portfolio, and the patience to stick to a
long-term buy-and-hold investing strategy through inevitable market downturns, can be the
most profitable in the long run.
Before making any investment, one must ensure to:
Obtain written documents explaining the investment
Read and understand such documents
Verify the legitimacy of the investment
Find out the costs and benefits associated with the investment
Assess the risk-return profile of the investment
Know the liquidity and safety aspects of the investment
Ascertain if it is appropriate for your specific goals
Compare these details with other investment opportunities available
Examine if it fits in with other investments you are considering or you have already
made
Deal only through an authorized intermediary Seek all clarifications about the
intermediary and the investment
Explore the options available to you if something were to go wrong, and then, if
satisfied, make the investment.
3.18 Sources of study for investors:
A look out for new investment opportunities helps investors to beat the market. There are
many sources from which investors can gather the required information. Such as;
1. Financial institutions
Corporate house, government bodies and mutual funds are the main source of investment
information. Many of these enterprises have their own website and post investment related
information on their websites.
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2. Financial market
Stock exchange and regulated bodies also provide useful information to investor to make
their investment decisions. With respect to secondary market, the Securities and Exchange
Board of India uses various modes to promote investors education and takes great effort to
achieve an investor friendly secondary market in India. The Reserve Bank of India also
provide useful information relating to the prevent interest rates and non-banking financial
intermediaries that mobiles money through deposit schemes.
3. Financial service intermediaries
These are intermediaries who promote securities among the public. Many of these
intermediaries are the agencies of specific instruments especially tax saving instruments.
These intermediaries offer to share their commission from there concerned organization with
the individual investor thus investor get additional advantages while investing through
intermediaries.
4. Media
Press sources such as financial newspapers, financial magazine, business news channel,
websites etc. provide information related to investment to the public. Besides information on
securities, these sources also provide analysis of information and in certain instance suggest
suitable investment decisions to be made by investor.