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Submitted by:
SANDEEP SHRESTHA
Westcliff University
Submitted to:
Abstract
This paper analyses the monthly return of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.(BRK-B), Cisco System
Inc.(CISCO), and The Boeing Company (BA) based on adjusted closing price from last past 10
years. Mean, variance and standard deviation are used to measure the risk and return of
individual stock as well as the portfolio. Value at risk is also calculated based on the investment
on portfolio as well as efficient frontier is used to identify the optimum portfolio weight to get
stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and cash equivalents. It is said that, don’t put all your
eggs in one basket. Likewise, portfolio formation invests the capital in different investment
instruments to diversify risk and to maximize the overall return on investment. A stock portfolio
comprises of different stocks from various sectors according to the need of the investors such as
aggressive investors will have more fluctuating stock in his portfolio while defensive investors
will have more amount allocated to stocks providing consistent dividends. The portfolio
To make a portfolio with optimum risks, I have chosen three stocks from different
sectors, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., Cisco Systems Inc., and The Boeing Company. Berkshire is
from conglomerate type of industry, Cisco is from networking, hardware & software industry,
and Boeing is from aerospace and defense industry. I have chosen this company based on their
nature of business, their growth future potential in the market as well as their price history from
past 10 years.
Company Profiles
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is a holding company incorporated on June 16, 1998, that has
been investing in the equities of various business from different industries. The company's
segments include Insurance, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, LLC (BNSF), Berkshire Hathaway
Energy, Manufacturing, McLane Company, Service and retailing, and Finance and financial
products (Berkshire Hathaway Inc, n.d.). Its headquarter is located in Omaha, Nebraska, United
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STOCK PORTFOLIO FORMATION: BRK-B, CSCO & BA
States. The company’s CEO is Warren Buffet who is the third richest person in the world
according to the Forbes 400, 2018. The company is known for having well diverse portfolio of
investment that is earning an average annual growth in its book value by 19%, since 1965. The
company has been trading with the stock symbol of BRK-A (class A shares) and BRK-B (class B
shares).
Cisco Systems, Inc. is a leading brand in networking for the internet headquartered in San
Jose, CA. It has been designing and selling a range of technologies across networking, security,
collaboration, applications and the cloud based products in the market since 1984 (Cisco Systems
Inc, n.d.). It is doing business in three geographical segments; Americas; Europe, Middle East,
and Africa (EMEA); and Asia Pacific, Japan, and China (APJC). The company has been
providing both hardware and software support to its customers. The company has been trading
Boeing is the world's largest aerospace company and leading manufacturer of commercial
jetliners, defense, space and security systems, and service provider of aftermarket support
(Boeing, n.d.). It is the largest manufacturing exporter of America doing business across 150
countries. The Company operates in four segments: Commercial Airplanes (BCA); Defense,
Space & Security (BDS); Global Services (BGS), and Boeing Capital (BCC) (Boeing Co, n.d.).
To form a stock portfolio, you should always be careful on picking individual stocks.
Based on the picking of individual stocks, the overall portfolio returns and risk changes.
Analyzing the past trend in returns based on their stock price is essential. For analyzing the three
mentioned company, I have calculated the monthly rate of return based on their adjusted closing
price from past 10 years i.e. Sep 2009 – Aug-2019. Analyzing past data will help to expect the
Table 1
Monthly closing price and return of BRK-B, CSCO & BA of past ten years
Mean, variance and standard deviation are the standard tool to measure risk and return of
any given stock. In statistical terms, mean is a measure of central tendency while variance and
standard deviation are a measure of dispersion. Mean is the average of any data. Variance and
standard deviation measures the deviation of return from the average mean.
Table 2
BRK-B CSCO BA
Mean 1.01% 1.03% 1.19%
Variance 0.19 0.51 0.76
Standard Deviation 4.32 7.13 8.71
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STOCK PORTFOLIO FORMATION: BRK-B, CSCO & BA
Looking at the data of past 10 years, the average return on BRK-B is 1.01%, CSCO is
1.03% and BA is 1.19%. We can observe that the BA has the highest return among the three
stocks but also high variance and standard deviation meaning higher risk. Also, BRK-B has low
Correlation Coefficient
Correlation coefficient measures the relation between any two variables. Correlation
Table 3
Correlation Coefficient
Between BRK-B and CSCO 0.35
Between CSCO and BA -0.08
Between BRK-B and BA 0.07
It shows that there is an average positive relationship between BRK-B and CSCO, weak
positive relationship between BRK-B and BA, and weak negative relationship between CSCO
and BA.
In a stock portfolio, the weight of each stock in the overall portfolio affects the overall
risk and return of the portfolio. It is very essential to distribute weight to each stock in a portfolio
such that we get optimum returns. Further, the risk appetite of the investor vastly affects the
For forming the portfolio from BRK-B, CSCO, and BA, I have chosen different weight
distribution based on their individual mean return, nature of their business and their future
30% in Cisco Systems (CSCO), 30% in The Boeing Company (BA). Berkshire Hathaway has a
very good dividend history. Further, it has the lowest variance and S.D. thus, 40% of the
investment is in it. Cisco Systems and the Boeing company has also good dividend history but
the price fluctuation in these stocks are comparatively higher than Berkshire thus they are given
30% weight. Nonetheless, I am not an aggressive investor and want to distribute risk and return
Table 4
Weight Portfolio
BRK-B 40% Mean 1.07%
CSCO 30% Variance 0.17
BA 30% S.D. 4.09
By distributing the above mentioned weight in individual stock, we get the mean return in
portfolio of 1.07%, and variance and S.D. of 0.17 and 4.09 respectively. Comparing with the
individual risk and return of the stock, the portfolio has higher return than BRK-B, and CSCO on
individual basis. Also, the variance and standard deviation of the portfolio is lower compared to
individual stocks. The portfolio has higher return than two individual stocks and lower risk than
Assuming my portfolio return follows normal distribution, the chance of losing 10%
Using MS-Excel,
= 0.3%
Thus, the chance of losing 10% value of my portfolio is 0.3% which is very low. So,
there is less probability of losing money in my portfolio which is formed by distributing above
mentioned weight in above mentioned stocks. This, also shows that my portfolio is less risky and
well balanced.
Using MS-Excel,
= 10.6%
Thus, it is found that 10.6% of my portfolio value is at risk assuming 99% confidence
level. 10.6% of my portfolio value means $10,584.26 (10.6% of $100,000) is at risk. This means
that there is 99% probability that 10.6% i.e. $10,585 value of my portfolio is at risk and I should
mentally prepare myself to lose that sum of amount. Value at risk helps to estimate and expect
The efficient frontier is the set of optimal portfolios that offer the highest expected return
for a defined level of risk or the lowest risk for a given level of expected return (Ganti, 2019).
For calculating it, I have taken 100 random weights of these stocks; BRK-B, CSCO, and BA, and
also calculated mean, variance and standard deviation of each combination. It is given as;
Table 5
Random 100 Portfolio weight distribution, and its risk and return
The right sides of the efficient frontier are the one with higher risk and higher return
while the left sides are the one with low risk and low returns. Here, M is the point which is at the
least risk i.e. 4.31%. Portfolios below these point are not acceptable. It all depends on the risk
appetite of the investors. Portfolio to the right are more suitable for highly risk-tolerant investors
while portfolio to the left are for more risk averse investors.
Conclusion
For forming an optimum portfolio of 3 three stocks, I have selected Berkshire Hathaway
(BRK-B), Cisco Systems (CSCO), and The Boeing Company (BA) based on their nature of
business, historic returns, price trend and their future growth potential. For analysis risk and
return of these stocks, mean, variance, and standard deviation is calculated. Further, to form a
portfolio 40%,30%, and 30% are given to BRK-B, CSCO, and BA respectively which resulted in
portfolio return being more than individual return of two stocks while risk being lowest
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STOCK PORTFOLIO FORMATION: BRK-B, CSCO & BA
compared to all three stocks. Value at risk is also calculated which is calculated which is 10.6%
of total portfolio value. I should be able to risk 10.6% value of my investment for gaining
through this portfolio. Portfolio weight distribution can also be estimated with the help of
efficient frontier.
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STOCK PORTFOLIO FORMATION: BRK-B, CSCO & BA
References
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https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/BRKa.N
profile/BA.N
https://money.cnn.com/quote/profile/profile.html?symb=CSCO
profile/CSCO.O
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/efficientfrontier.asp
Karanovic, G., Bogdan, S., & Baresa, S. (2010). Financial Analysis Fundament For Assessment
The Value Of The Company. UTMS Journal of Economics, 1(1), 73-84. Retrieved from
https://search.proquest.com/docview/761447654?accountid=158986
Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., & Jordan, B. D. (2016). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance
Weygandt, J., Kimmel, P., & Kieso, D. (2013). Financial accounting. IFRS ed. . United States :