Professional Documents
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BASICS OF FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
SUBMITTED TO
PROF. MANISHA SANGHVI
AKSHITA SHEKHAWAT
DIVISION : E
ROLL NO. : 05
PRN: 20020441032
ICICI BANK LTD.
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Table 1.1
Capital structure refers to the amount of debt and/or equity employed by a firm to fund its
operations and finance its assets. A firm’s capital structure is typically expressed as a debt-to-
equity or debt-to-capital ratio. The concept is extremely important because it can influence
the return a company earns for its shareholders and whether or not a firm survives in a
recession or depression. As we can see from Table 1.1 the number of shares offered has shot
up tremendously in the past 10 years resulting in reduced ownership while giving up equity,
which helps in lowering the interest paid.
SHAREHOLDER PATTERN
Promoters 0 0 0 0
Pledged 0 0 0 0
Table 1.2
Shareholding pattern shows how the total number of shares equity outstanding in the
company is divided between various owners (individuals and institutions). It shows how the
ownership is split among the entities that make up its owners.
Here its noticeable that the FII confidence is increasing even during the pandemic. This is a
clear indicator of the confidence in the company with regards to good future growth. Also,
the holding are diverse in nature as seen in the table displayed above.
Shareholding Pattern
FII/FPI
8% Fin.Insts
6%
45% Insurance Co
27% MF
Fig 1.1
STOCK PRICE ANALYSIS
Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By
studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in
the markets by making informed decisions.
There are two basic types of stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
Fundamental analysis concentrates on data from sources, including financial records,
economic reports, company assets, and market share. While technical analysis focuses on the
study of past and present price action to predict the probability of future price movements.
The share price of the company has consistently been moving upwards until February-March
of 2020 where prices fell tremendously due to the stock market crash as a result of the Covid-
19 pandemic. To draw a year by year timeline, beginning of 2016 all Indian banks were
trading at their 52-week lows. As for ICICI Bank regulatory tightening by RBI had an impact
on investor sentiment. The bank however had the highest non-performing assets in the large
private banking space and gross NPA was hovering around 3.8% mark. Fall in the bank’s
share price reflected the pessimism and the stock trades were near its 52 week low price of Rs
239. Another element that remotely affected the stock price in 2016 was the alleged concerns
about loan irregularities by Arvind Gupta, an investor in both ICICI Bank and Videocon
Group against Chanda Kochhar, the then MD and CEO of ICICI Bank. However, his
complaint garnered no attention at that time. The rest of 2016 the prices gradually and
steadily moved upwards.
ICICI Bank reported 8% year-on-year fall in net profit at Rs 2,049 crore as a result of which
shares of ICICI fell over 3% for the quarter ended June 30, 2017. The scrip however touched
its fresh 52-week high of Rs 314.50 on July 27, 2017.
In March 2018, the CEO and MD Chanda Kochhar allegedly favoured Videocon Group in
lending practices. These allegations led to probes by multiple agencies and questioning of
Chanda Kochhar’s family. A Videocon promoter provided crores of rupees allegedly to
NuPower Renewables Pvt Ltd (NRPL), a firm set up with Kochhar’s husband, Deepak
Kochhar and two relatives six months after the Videocon group got Rs 3,250 crore as loan
from ICICI Bank in 2012. In the same month, the bank came out in defence of Chanda
Kochhar and said it had full faith in her. All of these activities did not reflect well on the
bank’s image an as a result ICICI Bank slumped to a historic loss in the quarter ended June
2018 due to a rise in provisions as the bank set aside more money to comply with the Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) guidelines on old nonperforming assets (NPAs) referred to the
bankruptcy courts. The bank reported a loss of ₹120 crore in June 2018 versus a profit of
₹2,049 crore a year before. This had a direct impact on the stock price and it fell to 261.20.
Shares of ICICI Bank Ltd in August 2018 surged as much as 8.6% after the lender clarified to
exchanges that the bank had made full disclosures about its loans and non performing assets
in its annual report, investor presentations and analysts calls.
Fig 1.2
ICICI Bank Ltd., with a 45% climb in 2019 was the most among a gauge of the nation’s
financial stocks. Quarterly Net Profit was at Rs. 1,908.03 crore in June 2019 up by 1696.01%
from Rs. 119.55 crore in June 2018.
In 2020, the stock market crash (Coronavirus Crash) was a major and sudden global crash
that started on 20 February and ended on 7 April. Due to this crash ICICI Bank share price
has crashed around 34 per cent in one month, from Rs 541.20 per stock levels to current Rs
355. According to stock market experts, ICICI Bank share price was at a high valuation and it
one of the top shares to buy at the time in then’s market price in one-year time horizon. The
share price was expected to rise up to Rs 600 in 12-months. On November 2nd shares of ICICI
Bank climbed 6 % after a host of brokerages raised the targets on the stock following the
private lender's better than expected September quarter results. While a multifold jump in
profit in ICICI Bank's September quarter results was expected, a 6.5 times jump in year-on-
year profit beat analysts estimates. The Rs 4,251 crore profit reported by the bank was its
highest ever quarterly profit so far.
RATIO ANAYSIS OF BANK
The relevance of certain turnover ratios don’t hold for the BFSI sector since banking firms
don't have a lot of working capital as they are not manufacturing firms holding inventory
Table 1.3
KEY FINANCIAL
RATIOS OF ICICI
BANK (in Rs. Cr.) Mar-20 Mar-19 Mar-18 Mar-17 Mar-16
PER SHARE
RATIOS
Basic EPS (Rs.) 14.81 6.61 12.02 15.91 17.53
Dividend/Share (Rs.) 0 1 1.5 2.5 5
KEY
PERFORMANCE
RATIOS
ROCE (%) 2.6 2.39 3.1 3.75 3.46
Return On Assets (%) 0.69 0.34 0.68 1.03 1.1
Interest Income/Total
Assets (%) 6.8 6.57 6.25 7.01 7.31
Non-Interest
Income/Total Assets
(%) 1.49 1.5 1.98 2.52 2.12
Return On
Equity/Networth (%) 7.98 3.82 7.16 10.03 11.15
Interest
Expenses/Total Assets
(%) 3.78 3.77 3.63 4.2 4.37
VALUATION
RATIOS
Enterprise Value (Rs.
Cr) 1,189,399.91 1,110,725.30 960,910.09 830,408.35 781,750.90
Price To Book Value
(X) 1.75 2.31 1.66 1.59 1.51
Price To Sales (X) 2.48 3.57 2.88 2.65 2.32
Earnings Yield (X) 0.05 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.07
PE Ratio 26.48 75.3 24.84 19.33 14.14
best for the bank since it recorded it’s highest EPS at Rs. 17.53. A higher EPS indicates
higher profitability and greater value because investors will pay more for a
company's shares if they think the company has higher profits relative to its share price. In
the next 3 years the ratio continuously reduced from Rs. 17.53 to Rs. 15.91 in 2017, further to
Rs. 12.02 and the lowest in the 5 year timeline at Rs. 6.61 in 2019. A declining trend can
signal to investors that a company is in trouble, which can lead to a decline in the stock price.
Finally, in 2020 there has been a rather big jump up to EPS at Rs. 14.81 which as mentioned
indicates that the bank now has a greater value than it did in the past two years.
Dividend/Share (Rs.):
Dividend per share (DPS) is the sum of declared dividends issued by a company for every
ordinary share outstanding. DPS is an important metric to investors because the amount a
firm pays out in dividends directly translates to income for the shareholder.
(Sum of dividend over a period – Special, one-time dividends in the period) / Shares
outstanding for the Period
ICICI bank’s dividend/share price was the highest in FY ending March 2016 at Rs. 5 per
share following which in the next 4 years it only dropped. This reflects poorly on the bank
since lower dividend per share translates to lower income for the shareholder.
PE Ratio:
The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) is the ratio for valuing a company that measures its
current share price relative to its per-share earnings (EPS).
P/E Ratio=Market Value Per Share ÷ Earnings Per Share
In the FY ending 2016, ICICI Bank recorded a PE Ratio of 14.14 which in the 5 year analysis
is the lowest meaning the bank got more earnings for their investment hence making a low
PE stock a good value. However, it could also indicate that investors weren’t very confident
about the company's prospects. From Table 1.3 we can see that the PE for the next three FYs
continuously rose from 19.33 (2017) to 24.84 (2018) and finally to a huge jump at 75.3 in the
year ending March 2019. ICICI Bank and the then CEO and MD Chanda Kochhar in 2018
faced allegations of loan fraud and this resulted in a profitability fall. However, this didn’t
make the investors lose hope. They continued to believe that the future prospects of the bank
would be uphill, hence the high PE ratios. On the other hand a high PE ratio can indicate that
the stock is being over valued which may have been the case at them time. In 2020 March,
the PE ratio stabilised at 26.48
INDUSTRY COMPARISON
As for ICICI’s stand in the industry with respect to ratios, their stand is comparatively
moderate. Looking at the PE ratios of the rest of the banks ICICI is at 27.41 while the highest
is Axis bank at 59.04 and lowest going till -38.4 indicating that the bank is neither being
overvalued or undervalued currently. If we look at the ROCE of other banks such as Kotak
Mahindra, Axis Bank, HDFC; ICICI is at 2.67% which is moderate and almost same as two
of the three mentioned indicating that the bank has a good return on capital, however, HDFC
is on the higher side with a 3.33% FY ending March 2020. Taking Operating Profit Margin
into consideration, in comparison to the above mentioned banks ICICI is in negative at
11.38% indicating that the bank is not earning enough money from business operations.
However, ICICI has a moderate return of assets and return on equity percent while some
banks are above it, some are below too. As for the net profit margin, ICICI is not as well off
as HDFC and Kotak at a 10.6% however, investors see good future prospect for the bank and
expect the stock price to go back to Rs. 500-600 soon.
FINDINGS
Across-the board, whether private or PSU, banks have been making a strong comeback.
Looking at figures of ICICI Bank from the first week of November, they were at a very good
set of numbers. Their book is at almost Rs 8.36 lakh crore of deposits which includes saving,
current and term deposits. The cost of funds is the lowest in the industry at 4.22%. ICICI was
one of the shareholder funds at almost zero cost at Rs 1.36 lakh crore. NII grew by about
16%. Asset quality has been stable and they have done the highest provisioning on a
percentage basis. As the macro environment improves, ICICI Bank can get back to the pre
Covid levels of Rs 550-600 over a period of time.
REFERENCES
https://www.moneycontrol.com/financials/icicibank/ratiosVI/ICI02?classic=true
https://ticker.finology.in/company/ICICIBANK
https://www.icicicareers.com/website/know-us/history-and-facts/2015/Dec/history.html
https://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/l-t-sbi-bhel-axis-bank-icici-bank-at-52-
week-lows-is-there-hope-in-2016-116011200114_1.html
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/icici-bank-falls-8-on-decline-in-
q1-net-profit/articleshow/59804099.cms?from=mdr
https://www.livemint.com/
https://www.zeebiz.com/india/news-icici-bank-share-price-to-rise-70-pct-money-making-
opportunity-say-these-experts-122135
https://greyhouse.weissratings.com/ROA-ROE-and-What-These-Key-Measures-Mean-for-
YOUR-Bank
https://www.icicibank.com/annual-report-microsite/index.html
BALANCE SHEET
Deposits 770,968.99
Borrowings 162,896.76
Investments 249,531.48
Advances 645,289.97
INCOME STATEMENT
CASHFLOW STATEMENT
CASH FLOW OF ICICI BANK (in Rs. Cr.) MAR 20
12 mths