Professional Documents
Culture Documents
La Ex International Relations Current Affairs
La Ex International Relations Current Affairs
INDEX
Sl. No. Chapter Name Page No.
1.3 India-Myanmar 9 10
1.5 India-Maldives 12 17
1.6 India-Pakistan 17 19
1.7 India-Afghanistan 20 22
1.8 India-China 23 28
1.9 India-Bangladesh 29 30
2. India-Central Asia
3. India-North America
3.1 India-USA 39 46
3.2 India-Canada 46 50
4. India-Europe
4.1 India-EU 50 54
4.2 India-UK 54 57
5. India-Russia 57 62
6. India-East Asia
6.1 India-Japan 62 67
6.2 India-Australia 67 71
7. India-Africa 76 81
8. India-South East Asia 81 86
9. India-South America
9.1 India-Brazil 86 88
10.2 India-Iran 93 97
13. Miscellaneous
13.1 Arctic Region 118 120
1.1 India-Bhutan
1. Diplomatic relations between India and Bhutan were established in 1968 with the
appointment of a resident representative of India in Thimphu.
2. 2018 was the 50th year of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two
countries.
3. India shares 605 kilometres (376 mi) border with Bhutan. It shares border with four
Indian States: Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, West Bengal and Sikkim.
Evolution of Ties between the Countries
1865: Bhutan came under the British suzerainty. Bhutan was a protectorate of British
India
1910: It signed the ‘Treaty of Punakha’ with the British. This allowed British to “guide”
its foreign affairs and defence.
1949: Indo-Bhutan Treaty of Peace and Friendship
Strategic: Bhutan acts as a buffer state between India and China. Chinese have
territorial disputes with, both, India and China. Thus, it is imperative for both the
countries work together against protecting sovereignty of their territories.
India-Bhutan Cooperation
Bilateral Trade:
o India is Bhutan's largest trading partner.
o India is Bhutan's largest trading partner. In the period from January- June, 2018,
trade between two countries stood at Rs. 4318.59 crore.
o Bhutan is the only south Asian country to have trade surplus with India. This is
because of India's pledge to buy surplus hydroelectric power
1.2 India-Nepal
International Cooperation:
o India and Nepal are engaged in the regional and sub-regional frameworks of
SAARC, BIMSTEC and BBIN for enhancing cooperation for greater economic
integration.
o Connectivity:
1. BBIN Initiative:
o Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Nepal (BBIN) had signed a framework MVA in
June 2015
o It enables movement of passenger and cargo vehicles across borders among the
four countries.
2. Motihari-Amlekhgunj Pipeline:
o Recently, India and Nepal have inaugurated a cross-border petroleum products
pipeline. This helps to deepen the trust between both the countries.
o It will be the South Asia’s first cross-border petroleum products pipeline from
Motihari (in Bihar) in India to Amlekhgunj in Nepal
Cultural Ties:
o Hinduism and Buddhism have served India’s soft power in Nepal. Lumbini is part
of the Buddhist circuit being developed.
o India has sister city agreements with Nepal
1. Kathmandu-Varanasi
2. Lumbini-Bodhgaya
3. Janakpur-Ayodhya
o Apart from these initiatives promote people-to-people linkages in the area of art &
culture, academics and media with different local bodies of Nepal.
o But, in due course of time, the river has changed its course and Susta now falls
on the left bank of the Gandak, which is controlled by India.
Growing Chinese Footprint in Nepal:
o Lately, Nepal has displayed hostility in India-Nepal relations while at the same
time there is growing warmth in Nepal-China relations. This is a matter of concern
for India.
o China has overtaken India in FDI to Nepal which was about $300 mn in 2018.
o Nepal declined to participate in the first BIMSTEC military exercise MILEX-18
organized by India. However, at the same time Nepal and China conducted their
first-ever joint military exercise "Sagarmatha Friendship 2017”
Nepal’s Participation in BRI:
o Nepal signed a Belt and Road framework agreement with China and is actively
participating in China’s Belt and Road initiative ignoring the India’s sovereignty
contention of China Pakistan economic Corridor.
o China-Nepal Economic Corridor is component of the Belt and Road Initiative.
Delay in Infrastructure Projects:
o India has failed to deliver the Infrastructural projects on time in Nepal. This has
forced Nepal to lean towards China especially in hydropower sector.
India’s Blockade over Madhesi Issue:
o India held that new Nepalese constitution did not address the concerns of the
people of the Terai and backed a blockade by Madhesis to cripple supplies to
generate pressure on Nepal.
o This has created bitterness among the India-Nepal relationship and also
generated anti-India feeling among the people in Nepal.
Nepal’s Insistence on Revision of Treaty of Peace and Friendship:
o Nepal wants to amend 1950 which enjoins it to consult India before buying
weapons or enter into any security relationship with a third country.
Way Forward
1. Nepal is strategically and economically important for India. Hence, India should
strengthen its ties with Nepal.
2. Various issues should be sorted out amicably and the 1950 agreement should be
renewed considering Nepalese interests.
3. The open border should be managed so that it does not affect the safety and
security of both nations.
4. India should effectively use its soft power to enhance its cultural ties and people-to-
people contact.
1.3 India-Myanmar
o The Advanced Centre for Agriculture Research and Education was set up with
the collaboration of ICAR for agricultural research.
Regional Co-operation: Myanmar's membership of ASEAN, BIMSTEC and Mekong
Ganga Cooperation has introduced a regional/sub-regional dimension to bilateral
relations
Trade and Economic Relations
o A bilateral Trade Agreement was signed in 1970. India is now fifth largest
trading partner of Myanmar and is presently the tenth largest investor.
o India has an approved investment of US$ 740.64 million by 25 Indian companies
(as of 30 June 2017). Most India’s investments have been in oil & gas sector.
Culture:
o India and Myanmar share close cultural ties and a sense of deep kinship given
India’s Buddhist heritage.
Building on this Shared Heritage India is Undertaking Some key Initiatives:
o Restoration of the Ananda Temple in Bagan and donation of a replica of the
Sarnath Buddha Statue which has been installed at the premises of Shwedagon
pagoda in Yangon.
o ICCR and Sitagu International Buddhist Academy organised an International
Conference on Buddhist Cultural Heritage
Challenges
Delay in Developmental Projects: Many of the projects that India has undertaken
in Myanmar are running behind the schedule. This has led to friction in the
bilateral relationship.
Chinese Footprint: China has invested heavily, economically and politically, in
Myanmar. This rising profile of China has created strategic and security issues for
India.
Way Forward
1. Economic Relations: There is a strong need to expand, diversify and upgrade
commercial ties in ways that also contribute to Myanmar’s development needs and
meet India’s $3 billion trade target set in 2012.
2. Faster Project Completion: It is crucial for India to focus on timely delivery of
projects to improve its legitimacy as a successful developmental assistance partner.
3. Security Partnership: India has undertaken several joint counter-insurgency
operations in the border regions in the past. It is necessary that such co-operation
is enhanced to ensure peace and security in the North-East India.
o The two countries have established a Joint Working Group (JWG) on fisheries to
help resolve the dispute and in future must evolve mechanisms for sustainable
fishing.
China Factor:
o In 2014 Sri Lanka allowed two Chinese submarines and a warship to dock at its
port in Colombo. This was seen as a major breach of trust between New Delhi
and Colombo.
o As part of the Maritime Silk Route (MSR) policy, China built two ports, one in
Colombo and another in Hambantota.
Self Government in N-E Tamil Dominated Region:
India stands for a “united Sri Lanka”, but wants an “early and full implementation of
the 13th Amendment” that provides for devolution in the Tamil majority Northern
and Eastern provinces.
Way Forward
1. Fishing Issues: India should persuade Colombo to permit licensed Indian
fishermen to fish in Sri Lankan waters for five nautical miles from the IMBL.
2. Maritime Cooperation: It "may include measures such as joint naval patrolling,
controlling of smuggling and piratical activities, and the strengthening of
communication networks."
3. Project Delivery: India must ensure that the project she has undertaken in Sri
Lanka must be completed on time to increase its legitimacy as a developmental
partner.
4. Co-operate with like-minded Countries: India must co-ordinate with like-minded
countries such as Japan to increase investment in Sri Lanka so as to address the
Chinese footprint as well as fulfil the developmental needs of Sri Lanka.
1.5 India-Maldives
India and Maldives share ethnic, linguistic, cultural, religious and commercial links
steeped in antiquity.
Except for a brief period between February 2012 to November 2018, relations have
been close, cordial and multi-dimensional.
India was among the first to recognize Maldives after its independence in 1965 and
to establish diplomatic relations with the country.
Geographical Location
Maldives is located south of India's Lakshadweep Islands in the Indian Ocean.
Maldives is located just 700 km from the strategic Lakshadweep island chain and
1,200 km from the Indian mainland.
Evolution of Relations:
o Both nations established diplomatic relations after the independence of Maldives
from British rule in 1966.
o India and Maldives officially and amicably decided their maritime boundary in
1976
o India and Maldives signed a comprehensive trade agreement in 1981.
1. Operation Cactus:
o In November 1988 speedboats carrying 80 armed militants of the People's
Liberation Organisation of Tamil Eelam landed in Maldives and along with allies
who had infiltrated the country, began taking over the government.
o The then-Indian Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi ordered 1,600 troops to aid the
Maldivian government.
o In a military operation codenamed "Operation Cactus," Indian forces arrived
within 12 hours of the request for aid being made, squashed the coup attempt
and achieved full control of the country within hours.
o Since then, relations between India and Maldives have expanded significantly.
However, the bilateral relations came under stress during the reign of President
Yameen (2013-18)
Election of Ibrahim Mohamed Solih in 2018 started a new chapter in the bilateral
relations
India undertook Operation Sanjeevani in 2020 in the wake of COVID-19 crisis
o Indian Air Force transport aircraft delivered essential medicines and hospital
consumables to Maldives.
India-Maldives Cooperation:
Bilateral Trade:
o India is Maldives’ 4th largest trade partner after UAE, China and Singapore.
o Indian imports from the Maldives primarily comprise scrap metals while Indian
exports to the Maldives include a variety of engineering and industrial products
like drugs and medicines radar apparatus, rock boulders, aggregates, cement
and agriculture products.
Defence Cooperation:
o Since 1988, defence and security has been a major area of cooperation between
India and Maldives.
o India provides the largest number of training opportunities for Maldivian
National Defence Force (MNDF), meeting around 70% of their defence
training requirements.
o A comprehensive Action Plan for Defence was signed in April 2016 to
consolidate defence partnership.
o Our defence cooperation also extends to the areas of Joint Exercises, Maritime
Domain Awareness, gifting of hardware, infrastructure development, etc.
Development Assistance to Maldives:
o India has provided extensive economic aid and has participated in bilateral
programmes for the development of infrastructure, health, telecommunications
and labour resources.
o India has established Indira Gandhi Memorial Hospital in Malé, the capital of
Maldives, expanded telecommunications and air links and increased
scholarships for Maldivian students.
o The State Bank of India has contributed more than US$500 million to aid the
economic expansion of Maldives.
Tourism:
o The Maldivian economy is heavily dependent on its tourism sector, which is the
major source of foreign exchange earnings
o Tourism directly accounts for about quarter of GDP of Maldives. In terms of
direct employment, tourism accounts for more than a third of job opportunities
for Maldivians
o In 2018, India was the 5th largest source of tourist arrivals in Maldives Out of
the total of 14,84,274 tourists, 6.1 % (over 90,474) were from India.
o However, in the first half of 2019, with 99% growth, India has moved to second
spot and is placed just below China.
Cultural Co-operation:
o Both the countries share long cultural links. Exchange of cultural troupes takes
place regularly between the countries.
2017: China and Maldives signed an FTA, which is China’s second FTA with a South
Asian country after Pakistan, while there is no FTA between India and Maldives.
2018:
o Maldives announced joint patrolling with Pak Navy to guard Maldivian Exclusive
Economic Zone, with an indirect reference to a perceived threat from India.
o India criticised the Abdulla Yameen government for imposing a 45-day
emergency earlier in 2018.
New Elected Government in Maldives (2018) and Stability in Relationship
o New Maldives Government re-affirmed commitment to “India First Policy.”
o India reciprocated by announcing an assistance of $1.4 billion.
Significance of Maldives to India:
Challenges
Low Bilateral Trade: Bilateral trade between both, which stands at US $200 million
annually, is below potential.
Growing Radicalisation: Recently, youth in Maldives is attracted towards terrorist
groups like ISIS mainly due to political instability and socioeconomic
underdevelopment. This has increased India’s security concerns.
China Factor in India-Maldives Relationship:
o Maldives became the second country in South Asia, after Pakistan, to enter into
an FTA with China.
1.6 India-Pakistan
India-Pakistan relations have been mired with conflict, mutual distrust and
suspicion.
Historical Background
1947/48: The first India-Pakistan war over Kashmir was fought, after armed tribesmen
(lashkars) from Pakistan invade J&K in 1947. The war officially ends on January 1, 1949,
when the UN arranges a ceasefire, with an established ceasefire line and a UN
peacekeeping force and a recommendation that the referendum on the accession of
Kashmir to India be held. That referendum has yet to be held.
1965: India and Pakistan fought their second war.
1966: On January 10, 1966, India and Pakistan signed an agreement at Tashkent (now in
Uzbekistan), agreeing to withdraw to pre-war lines and restoring economic and diplomatic
relations.
1971: India and Pakistan fought their third war over East Pakistan. The war resulted in
the independence of East Pakistan – now Bangladesh.
1972: Pakistan and India signed an agreement in Shimla to put an end to the conflict and
restore friendly and harmonious relationship Both sides agree to settle any disputes "by
peaceful means".
The Simla Agreement designates the ceasefire line of December 17, 1971, as new
"Line-of-Control (LoC)" between the two countries, which neither side is to seek to
alter unilaterally.
1988: The two countries sign an agreement that neither side will attack the other's
nuclear installations or facilities. Both sides agree to share information on the latitudes
and longitudes of all nuclear installations.
1992: A joint declaration prohibiting the use of chemical weapons was signed.
1999: India and Pakistan signed Lahore Declaration. Both countries reaffirm their
commitment to Simla Accord, and agree to undertake 'Confidence Building Measures'
(CBMs).
1999: Kargil conflict broke out. Pakistani forces and Kashmiri fighters occupy strategic
positions on Indian side of the LoC, prompting an Indian counter-offensive.
2008: Terrorist attack in Mumbai took place killing hundreds of Indian citizens. The
attackers came from Pakistan via sea route.
2014: India and Pakistan held bilateral talks in New Delhi. Both sides express willingness
to begin a new era of bilateral relations.
2016: India conducted “surgical strikes" on "terrorist units" in Pakistan-administered
Kashmir.
2016: Uri Attack: There was an attack in Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir. It was
reported as "the deadliest attack on security forces in Kashmir in two decades".
2019 Pulwama Attack: A convoy of security personnel was attacked in the Pulwama
district, J&K.
2019: India conducts air strike attacks against Pakistan-based terrorist groups inside
Pakistan’s territory.
Issues in Relationship
Territorial Disputes:
Siachen Glacier:
o Siachen Glacier is located in Northern Ladakh in the Karakoram Range. It is the
5th largest glacier in Karakoram Range and the 2nd largest glacier in the world.
o Most of the Siachen Glacier is disputed between India and Pakistan. Before
1984, neither of the two countries had any permanent presence on the glacier.
o When India got intelligence that Pakistan was going occupy Siachen Glacier, it
launched Operation Meghdoot and occupied the glacier. Thus, India has a
strategic advantage in this region.
Sir Creek Dispute:
o Sir Creek is a 96 km estuary in the Rann of Kutch. Rann of Kutch lies between
Gujarat (India) and Sindh (Pakistan). The dispute lies in the interpretation of the
maritime boundary line between the two countries.
o Pakistan claims the entire Sir Creek. India, on the other hand, claims that the
boundary lies mid-channel.
Water Disputes:
o The Indus Waters Treaty is the water distribution treaty signed between India
and Pakistan, brokered by World Bank (then the International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development).
o According to the treaty, three rivers, Ravi, Sutlej and Beas were given to India
for exclusive use and the other three rivers, Sindh, Jhelum and Chenab were
given to Pakistan.
o According to the treaty, India can exploit rivers under its control without
disturbing the flow or quantum.
Cross-Border Terrorism:
o Cross-border terrorism has been an issue since independence. Over past few
decades India has seen continuous export of terrorism from groups based and
backed by Pakistan.
Kulbushan Jadhav Case:
o Kulbushan Jadhav, a retired Naval Officer was arrested near the Iran-Pakistan
border in Baluchistan region by Pakistan. Pakistan accused him of espionage
and spying. He was sentenced to death by Pakistan’s military court.
o India approached International Court of Justice (ICJ) and court asked Pakistan
to allow consular access to India.
o The issue is still a contentious point in India-Pakistan relationship.
Terror Financing:
o Pakistan has been kept Pakistan on its terrorist financing watch list or the
“grey list” by Financial Action Task Force has put Pakistan.
Way Forward
India needs to keep the international pressure on Pakistan with the support of allies
such as US to force Pakistan to address the issue of cross border terrorism into
India.
Growing China & Pakistan security and economic relationship is posing security
threat for India. China Pakistan Economic Corridor, part of BRI, is passing through
Indian state of J&K, thereby, violating India’s sovereignty.
Indus Water Treaty allows both the countries to address recent challenges like
climate-induced water variability in the river flow. These new challenges require both
countries to acknowledge their dependence on each other and discuss joint
solutions.
1.7 India-Afghanistan
India and Afghanistan have a strong relationship based on historical and cultural
links. The relationship is not limited to government level but has its foundations in
historical contacts and exchanges between the people.
In recent past, India-Afghanistan relations have been further strengthened by the
Strategic Partnership Agreement, which was signed between the two countries in
October 2011
History of Indo-Afghanistan Relations
India has sought to establish its presence in Afghanistan from early days of its
independence in 1947.
In 1950, Afghanistan and India signed a “Friendship Treaty.”
Prior to Soviet Invasion in 1979, New Delhi had formalized agreements &
protocols with various pro-Soviet regimes in Kabul.
While India’s role in Afghanistan was constrained during anti-Soviet jihad,
between 1979 and 1989, India expanded its development activities in Afghanistan,
focusing upon industrial, irrigation, and hydroelectric projects.
After the Taliban consolidated their hold on Afghanistan in mid-1990s, India
struggled to maintain its presence and to support anti-Taliban forces. Working with
Iran, Russia, and Tajikistan, India provided important resources to the Northern
Alliance, the only meaningful challenge to the Taliban in Afghanistan.
Since 2001, India has relied upon development projects and other forms of
humanitarian assistance.
2001: Bonn Conference (This was the beginning of peace process for the region and the
country)
2002: India establishes a diplomatic mission in Afghanistan and begins soft diplomacy
2007: Afghanistan becomes member of SAARC
2011: India-Afghan Strategic Partnership signed
India Afghanistan Relations Since 2001
During Operation Enduring Freedom, the U.S.-led invasion of Afghanistan in 2001,
India provided intelligence and logistic support for Allied forces.
After the fall of the Taliban, India established diplomatic relations with the newly
established civilian government and participated in relief and reconstruction efforts.
India has provided humanitarian and economic aid, making it the largest regional
provider of aid for Afghanistan.
In 2005, India proposed Afghanistan’s membership in the South Asian Association
for Regional Cooperation (SAARC). In 2007, Afghanistan finally became the eighth
member of SAARC.
In December 2015, India donated three Mi-25 attack helicopters as part of the
bilateral strategic partnership to counter the Taliban insurgency.
In 2015, the new Afghan parliament constructed by India was inaugurated.
Significance of Afghanistan for India
Gateway to Central Asia: Afghanistan is situated at crossroads between South Asia
and central Asia and the Middle East. It may provide access to India to exploit the
natural resources in central Asia.
Security: Taliban is a religious extremist and terrorist group that sponsors
terrorism. India does not want Afghanistan to become the next Syria as it affects
security in the subcontinent including India.
Energy Security: India is participating in TAPI pipeline project which passes
through Afghanistan. It is important for India’s energy security,
Indian Investment: India has made significant investment in Afghanistan and it is
extremely important to protect these investment in Afghanistan
Resource Rich Country: Afghanistan is rich in natural resource like oil gas and
rare earth materials.
India-Afghanistan Relationship
Developmental Partnership:
India is the sixth largest donor to Afghanistan for development projects in
infrastructure, education and agriculture. Some of the developmental projects
India has undertaken are:
o India constructed new building for Afghanistan parliament.
o India is constructing zaranj-delaram highway.
o Salma irrigation and electricity project (or India-Afghanistan Friendship Dam)
Economic Relations:
o India is the second-largest destination for Afghan exports.
Connectivity:
o Air Freight Corridor: India and Afghanistan inaugurated a dedicated air freight
corridor service in 2017 which could provide Afghanistan greater access to
markets in India.
o Chahbahar Port: India is developing Chahbahar port in Iran along with Zaranj-
Delaram highway in Afghanistan. Once completed, this will allow India and
Afghanistan alternative route for trade and commerce.
Defence Relations:
o India provides training to Afghan Security Forces to fight against the evils of
terrorism, organized crime, trafficking of narcotics and money laundering.
o India donated three Mi-25 attack helicopters to Afghanistan as part of the
bilateral strategic partnership to counter the Taliban.
Issues
Connectivity:
o Afghanistan and Pakistan signed Afghanistan Pakistan Transit and Trade
Agreement (APTTA) in 2011 which gives each country equal access up to the
national boundaries of both.
o At present, Pakistan allows Afghan trucks carrying goods meant for India, only
up to its last checkpoint at Wagah. However, complementary access for India is
not allowed to India by Pakistan. This restricts Indian access to Afghanistan
as well as increases cost of business.
Security:
o Recently, the Taliban have made significant territorial gains. They have also
increased the number of terrorist attack in the country. There are concern that
they may gain significant power in any peace deal between Taliban and
Afghanistan government
Way Forward
1. An independent, sovereign, democratic, pluralistic and inclusive Afghanistan is
crucial for peace and stability in the region. The Afghan peace process should be
Afghan-led, Afghan-owned and Afghan-controlled.
2. India must ramp up its economic diplomacy in Afghanistan to bring immediate
benefits to Kabul amidst the deteriorating conditions in the country.
3. Delhi must step up security cooperation with Afghanistan, especially in the training
of its police and armed forces and intelligence sharing.
1.8 India-China
Introduction
With a combined market of over 2.7 billion people and a GDP of 20% of the world's
total, China and India enjoy huge potential and broad prospects for economic and
trade cooperation. However, their relationship is dotted with competition,
cooperation, and discord.
Growth in Relationship
1950: China and India established diplomatic relations. India was the first non-socialist
country to establish relations with the People's Republic of China.
1954: China and India signed the Joint Statement advocating the Five Principles of
Peaceful Coexistence (Panchsheel).
1962: War between India and China was a serious setback in bilateral relations.
1976: China and India restored ambassadorial relations.
Several high-level visits took place between both the countries within the next 25
years.
From 1980s, the two sides agreed to solve the boundary question through peaceful
and friendly consultation, established strategic and cooperative partnership for
peace and prosperity, and achieved all-round development of bilateral relations.
2003: Declaration on the Principles and Comprehensive Cooperation in India-China
relations was signed. This led to establishment of the special representatives meeting
mechanism on India-China boundary question.
2005: China and India declared the establishment of strategic and cooperative
partnership for peace and prosperity. The two sides also welcomed signing of the
Agreement on the Political Parameters and Guiding Principles for the Settlement of the
India-China Boundary Question.
2006: The two sides signed a Joint Declaration to formulate the ten-pronged strategy for
deepening the strategic and cooperative partnership.
2008: "A Shared Vision for the 21st Century" was agreed upon.
2012: This was the “Year of China-India Friendship and Cooperation”.
After 2013, Chinese President and Indian Prime Minister initiated the "hometown
diplomacy". Two informal summits were held in Wuhan and Chennai respectively.
2018: The first one edition of India-China informal summit was held at Wuhan, Hubei.
2019: The second edition of India-China informal summit was held at Mamallpuram,
Tamil Nadu.
2020: China and India celebrated 70th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic
relations.
2020: The recent clashes between the Indian and Chinese armed forces have proved to be
a major turning point in the relationship with India moving closer to US while attempting a
decoupling of its economic relationship with China.
India-China Relations
Political & Strategic:
o There are 50 dialogue mechanisms between China and India for exchanging
views on various topics of bilateral, regional and global concern.
o Since the establishment of Special Representatives' meeting on boundary
question in 2003, the two sides have held 22 rounds of meetings, which have
played an important role in promoting the settlement of boundary question and
maintaining peace and tranquillity in the border areas.
o Both the countries are part of groupings such as BRICS, the Shanghai
Cooperation Organisation (SCO), Russia-India-China (RIC) among others.
Trade and Commerce:
o Since the beginning of 21st century, trade between China and India has grown
from less than $3 billion to nearly $100 billion, an increase of about 32 times.
In 2019, the trade volume between China and India was $92.68 billion.
o Chinese companies’ cumulative investment in India is more than 8 billion US
dollars.
o Indian companies are also expanding in the Chinese market, with a cumulative
investment of nearly 1 billion US dollars in China. According to Indian
statistics, more than two-thirds of Indian companies investing in China are
making steady profits.
o India has emerged as the seventh largest export destination for Chinese
products and the 24th largest exporter to China.
Science and Technology:
o Indian companies have set up 3 IT corridors in China, which help promote
China-India cooperation in information technology and high technology.
Defence:
o China and India, till 2020, have held 8 rounds of "Hand-in-Hand" joint anti-
terrorist exercises to enhance mutual understanding and trust, exchange
training experiences and jointly improve anti-terrorism capabilities.
People to People Contact:
o The two countries have established 14 pairs of sister cities and provinces, and
will establish sister provinces and cities between Fujian Province and Tamil
Nadu State, Quanzhou City and Chennai City.
o Over 2,000 young Chinese are studying in India, and more than 20,000 Indian
youth are studying in China.
o The number of Indian pilgrims to Xizang Autonomous Region of China has
surged from several hundred in the 1980s to more than 20,000 in 2019
Education:
o Education Exchange Programme (EEP) in 2006: It is an umbrella agreement
for educational cooperation. Under this, scholarships are awarded to students,
by both sides, in recognized institutions of higher learning in each other’s
country.
Diaspora:
o Indian community in China is growing. Present estimates put the community
strength to around 35,500.
Issues
Pending Boundary Settlement:
o India and China share about 3,488-km long border, which is yet to be fully
delineated.
o China considers Arunachal Pradesh as a part of Tibet and calls it “South
Tibet”. It issued stapled visa to residents of Arunachal Pradesh. It had also
announced “standardised” names for six places in Arunachal Pradesh.
o Aksai China area is also a contentious region along the boundary between
India and China.
o The recent clashes between Indian and Chinese armed forces in Galwan valley
(Ladakh) have proved to be a major setback for the relationship.
Trade and Commerce:
o Trade imbalance between the two countries is skewed in China’s favour. China
enjoyed a trade surplus of around $50 billion in 2019.
China-Pak Axis:
o Kashmir Issue: China supported Pakistan’s viewpoint and called upon India
that its move to abolish Kashmir’s special status “not acceptable”.
o China-Pakistan-Economic-Corridor: India considers CPEC which is being
under development (part of BRI) in Gilgit-Baltistan region as interference in its
sovereignty and territorial integrity.
o Nuclear Suppliers Group: China has linked India’s entry into NSG with that of
Pakistan.
Strategic:
o String of Pearls: It is a Chinese policy to encircle India by building ports and
naval bases around India's maritime reaches.
o Ex: China is increasing its presence in the region, especially in the countries
such as Sri Lanka (Hambantota Port), Myanmar (Coco Island), Maldives,
Djibouti etc.
o Belt and Road Initiative: It is an initiative of China to increase its economic,
strategic and political footprints across the globe. India has opposed BRI
project consistently considering it as a threat to its security as well as strategic
interests.
India’s Growing Relationship with US:
o India has signed all the foundational agreements with USA, thereby,
strengthening strategic and security relationship with the US.
o India has been recognized by US as a Major non-NATO ally.
o India is participating in multilateral platforms such as QUAD group along with
US which are being viewed as a part of a strategy to contain China’s growing
footprint.
River Water Dispute:
o China has been building dams (Jiexu, Zangmu and Jiacha) on Brahmaputra
River. India has consistently objected to such construction as these negatively
interfere with water availability in Indian territory.
Way Forward
1. Trade and Commerce:
o India needs to press china for providing greater market access in IT and
Pharmaceutical sectors for Indian firms so as to address the problem of skewed
bilateral trade.
2. Confidence Building Measures:
o There is a need to strengthen the confidence building mechanisms so as to
prevent the incidents such as Doklam issues.
o The concept of informal summit is a good initiative in this direction.
3. Reforming Global Institutions:
o The combined global strength of India and China has been increasing over the
last few decades. Both the countries should leverage their combined strength to
reform global institutions such as WTO, WB etc.
1.8 India-Bangladesh
A Historical Background
1947: British colonial rule over India ends. A largely Muslim state comprising East and
West Pakistan is established, either side of India.
1949: The Awami League is established to campaign for East Pakistan’s autonomy from
West Pakistan.
1970: The Awami League, under Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, wins an overwhelming election
victory in East Pakistan. The government in West Pakistan refuses to recognise the results.
1971: India intervened in the civil war in East Pakistan and liberated it. It was proclaimed
as Bangladesh by Awami league leaders.
Importance of Bangladesh for India
Connectivity to N-E India: States in N-E India are land-locked; however, they have
a shorter route to the sea through Bangladesh. A Transit agreement with
Bangladesh has the potential to spur socio-economic development of North-East
India.
Addressing Insurgency in N-E: Several insurgent groups in N-E after attempting
attacks on Indian side take refuge in Bangladesh. Greater co-operation between the
two states would help addressing the issue of insurgency in N-E India.
National Security: The narrow chicken neck corridor makes India vulnerable in
case of conflict with China. Transit route through Bangladesh allows India to
address such a threat by allowing quicker men and material movement in case of
any conflict.
Regional Co-operation: India and Bangladesh are part of bodies like BIMSTEC and
SAARC. Greater co-operation between the two in multilateral forums will improve
regional integration.
Containing Chinese Footprint: China is expanding its footprint in India’s
neighbourhood through its string of pearls. In this context, it is important for India
to have good bilateral relationship with Bangladesh to thwart any Chinese designs
against Indian interest in the region.
Bilateral Co-operation
Space: South Asian Satellite (SAARC Satellite) has been launched to boost regional
connectivity.
Energy: India is undertaking Rooppur atomic energy project with the help of Russia
in Bangladesh. India will provide training, consultation and participate in
construction activity.
Connectivity: BBIN MVA agreement will facilitate movement of vehicles across the
four countries without the need for trans-shipment of goods.
o India has extended National Knowledge Network for digital connectivity of education
with Bangladesh.
Challenges
Bilateral Trade: The present level of bilateral trade is around $7 billion while the
potential is at least four times this level.
River Water Sharing Dispute: India shares 54 trans-boundary rivers. Both sides
despite some progress lack treaty framework for water distribution.
o Teesta River
o It is a major source of irrigation for Bangladesh. In 1983, an ad hoc arrangement
on sharing water was made. However, the transient agreement could not be
implemented.
o Bangladesh demanded an agreement for distribution of Teesta waters, on the
lines of Ganga Water Treaty of 1996.
o In 2011 India and Bangladesh finalized an arrangement but could not be
implemented till now to the opposition from West Bengal.
Border Management: The Indo-Bangladesh border is of porous nature which
provides pathway for smuggling, trafficking in arms, drugs and people.
Illegal Immigrants: India has seen continuous illegal immigration Since 1971 war
of independence. This has changed demography in N-E India causing political and
socio-economic conflict in India’s N-E.
Growing Radicalisation: Presence of radical groups like Jamaat-e-Islami fuel Anti-
India sentiments in Bangladesh. This poses serious security issues in border regions
of India.
Growing Chinese Footprint: China has been making inroads in Bangladesh.
o Bangabandhu-1, first communication satellite of Bangladesh, was financed
through help of China.
o China has extended its support to build Bangladesh Second Nuclear power
plant.
Way Forward
Greater People-to-People Contact: This would allow strengthening of economic and
trade relations, especially near the border areas, apart from building trust in the
relationship.
Resolve Thorny Issues: India needs to resolve issues such as Teesta water sharing treaty
among others to flush out thorny issues hindering growth in bilateral relationship.
2. India-Central Asia
Central Asian republics became independent in 1990s. India was among the first
countries to recognize the five Central Asian states and established diplomatic
relations with them.
Importance of Central Asia
(a) Energy Security:
Central Asian countries are bestowed with substantial hydrocarbon fields, natural
gas and oil reserves which make them an attractive point for investment.
There are 3 energy-rich states in Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and
Uzbekistan.
Kazakhstan, which has 15% of uranium reserves, is world’s largest producer of
this strategically critical mineral and accounts for more than a third of global
supplies. It also holds huge gas and oil reserves as well.
Turkmenistan has the fifth-largest natural gas reserves in the world.
Uzbekistan is also rich in gas, and is a significant local producer of gold together
with Kyrgyzstan.
Tajikistan has enormous hydropower potential
(b) Regional Security:
Central Asia is located in the neighbourhood of ‘Golden Crescent’ of opium
production (Iran-Pak-Afghan). Collaboration and cooperation in this regard with
India will benefits entire region.
Terrorism: Keeping a check on the rise of radical Islamist groups that may pose a
threat to India’s security.
Afghanistan: Central Asian nations and India can play effectively role in bringing
normalcy in Afghanistan.
(c) Strategic Location:
Central Asia’s geo-strategic location, connecting East with the West, is significant
for international transport communication and transit corridors.
Strategic location of Central Asia is a central point of geopolitical manoeuvring
affecting India’s relations with Pakistan, China, the US, Russia and other powers in
the region.
India’s only foreign military airbase is in Farkhor (Tajikistan), which is operated by
IAF and Tajik Air Force.
(d) Regional Cooperation:
Central Asian Nations and India are permanent members of SCO. These is a huge
potential to further mutual cooperation.
(e) Commercial:
Central Asia offers a relatively untapped market for Indian consumer goods. Indian
tea and pharmaceutical industries have acquired a foothold in the Central Asian
market.
India-Central Asia Relationship
India Deals with Central Asia at Multiple Levels:
1. At bilateral level
2. At multilateral level through platforms such as SCO and UN.
3. At multilayered engagement between India and Central Asia such as India-
Central Asia Dialogue at the foreign ministers level.
Contemporary Build-up in the Relationship
In 1991–92, all the heads of Central Asian countries visited New Delhi. India, in
turn, sent a semi-official delegation led by Union Minister to Tashkent (Uzbekistan)
and Almaty (Kazakhstan) to establish diplomatic relations.
Indian Prime Minister visited Central Asia in 1993 and provided a much-needed
financial support of US$10–15 million to each country in the region. Thus, during
the early 1990s, the India–Central Asia relations started to improve.
However, issues such as instability in Afghanistan and India– Pakistan discord
prevented India from reaping the benefits of its engagement with hydrocarbon-rich
and geo-strategically important region.
Political problems within Central Asian countries further hindered India’s outreach,
e.g. the civil war in Tajikistan; the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan; and authoritarian
regimes in Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.
India’s Minister of State for External Affairs unveiled “Connect Central Asia Policy”
(CCAP) at the first meeting of India-Central Asia Dialogue, a Track II initiative, held
in 2012 in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan to fast-track India’s relations with the Central Asian
states.
Ashgabat Agreement
This agreement allows India to use the existing land connectivity networks to facilitate
trade and commercial interaction with both Central Asia and Eurasia, by exploiting the
natural resources of the region and exporting products to Central Asia.
The first-ever India-Central Asia Dialogue at the foreign ministers level was held in
Samarkand, Uzbekistan, in January 2019.
Bilateral Relations
Kazakhstan:
o India was one of the first countries to recognize the independence of Kazakhstan.
Diplomatic relations were established in 1992.
o The India-Kazakhstan Inter-Governmental Commission (IGC) established in
1993 has been the main institutional mechanism in developing bilateral trade,
economic, scientific, technological, industrial and cultural cooperation.
o In 2009, a 'Joint Declaration on Strategic Partnership' was adopted.
o Kazakhstan was one of the first countries with which India launched civil
nuclear cooperation through a uranium purchase contract.
o Kazakhstan is India’s largest trading partner in Central Asia.
Kyrgyzstan:
o The Republic of Kyrgyzstan is a part of the Eurasian Economic Union and India
is working to increase trade with the Eurasian Union.
o The India-Kyrgyzstan Business Forum was launched in June 2019, during the
official visit of Prime Minister Modi to Bishkek.
o India and Kyrgyzstan have also given final shape to the Double Taxation
Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) and the bilateral investment treaty, which would
help in creating a proper atmosphere for bilateral trade.
Tajikistan:
o India’s overall share of overall trade of Tajikistan is only 0.5%, while Tajikistan’s
share in India’s overall trade is 0.03%. The main reason for underdeveloped
trade potential is the lack of direct access between both countries. Similar
scenario is visible in investments; India’s business and investment projects in
Tajikistan are a negligible 2%.
o In order to overcome the lack of connectivity and to enhance trade between India
and Tajikistan, Tajikistan fully supports Chabahar Project.
o Regional security and stability is an important component of India-Tajikistan
relations.
o India and Tajikistan share a rich cultural heritage; therefore, development of
tourism can complement the bilateral developmental partnership.
Turkmenistan:
o Security is one of the key areas where both countries have fruitful cooperation.
Combating terrorism and extremism is a priority area for security cooperation
between India and Turkmenistan.
4. Tourism:
o In 2019, total number of Indian visas issued to Central Asian tourists was around
48, 500, including E-visas, which is very low. India should encourage tourism
with Central Asia.
o A joint tourism council to promote tourism between India and Central Asia should
be established.
o Medical tourism has immense potential due to India’s cheap and proficient
medical services. Therefore, more advertisement and awareness is required to
promote this in Central Asia.
5. Security Cooperation:
o Terrorism remains a key concern for both India and the Central Asian republics.
o Cyber and narcotics dimensions are critical to the collective security of India and
Central Asia.
o Developments in Afghanistan have a direct impact on both India and Central Asia.
India and Central Asia, being stakeholders, must have regular exchanges and
common approaches to ensure that Afghanistan never again becomes a proxy of
someone else or a fountainhead of international terrorism.
6. Trade and Economic Cooperation:
o To improve trade between the two regions, India and central Asia have launched
the India-Central Asia Business Council at the first India-Central Asia Dialogue to
enhance prospects of joint business development.
o Eurasian Economic Union: India needs to speed up process of admission into a
free trade agreement (FTA) with Eurasian Economic Union, which include
Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan.
7. SCO:
o India’s full SCO membership is considered a forward movement in her
engagement with Central Asia. This has enhanced India’s strategic ‘presence’ in
the Eurasian region.
o India has been able to enhance cooperation with SCO member-states to combat
extremism and terrorism through the mechanism of Regional Anti-Terrorist
Structure (RATS) at Tashkent by sharing of information.
8. Promotion of Tourism and People to People Contact:
o Popularisation of Bollywood movies, songs and Hindi TV serials in Central Asia
have added to India’s positive image in the region.
o Central Asian countries have also been participating as international partners in
the Surajkund craft fair organized by the Haryana government.
o India also issues E-Visas to most of the CARs which enables more Central Asian
people to visit India.
9. Capacity Building:
o India is involved in capacity building in Central Asia, especially in defence sector.
Training is provided to Central Asia cadets in various defence institutes across
India. Over 200 Kazakh defence personnel have undergone military training in
India till date.
o Central Asian states have benefitted from ITEC Program that offers training
courses, infrastructure-related cooperation and disaster relief.
3. India-North America
3.1 India-USA
Introduction
India-USA relations remained a low level affair for first 50 years after India’s
Independence. It was only after India became a nuclear weapons power in 1998 that
the nature of India’s relationship with the US underwent a qualitative change.
Evolution of India-US Relations
Phase-I: Post independence till 1960s: This was a phase of conflict and co-operation.
a) Conflict: Examples include India becoming 1st non-communist country to recognise
communist china and India’s insistence on giving UNSC seat to china.
b) Co-Operation: Examples include USA helping India to overcome the crisis of food
security. Also, India approached USA in 1962 war which later agreed to send the help but
by that time china had declared unilateral ceasefire.
Phase-2: 1970s-1990s: This was a phase of only conflict and no co-operation. India
entered into a peace & friendship treaty with USSR. USA has build apathy against India
after Pokharan-I.
Phase-3: Since the end of Cold War: India and USA pursued close relation in this period
both countries decided to upgrade their relationship to ‘Comprehensive Global Strategic
Partnership’ in 2020.
Growing Relationship
India-US relationship has evolved progressively over the last 2 decades. A brief
overview of this evolution is presented below:
1998-2000: India and USA began serious and intensive high-level interaction between
Jaswant Singh and Strobe Talbott from 1998 to 2000.
2000: President Clinton’s visit to India in March 2000 signalled the higher priority given
by US to India. US’s mantra was to ‘cap, rollback and eliminate’ India’s nuclear weapons
programme. In return, it promised to lift its sanctions and give India access to high
technology. It was also very keen in strengthening India–US defence ties including through
sale of military equipment.
2002: An Indo-US High Technology Cooperation Group was set up. India thought this
might improve its access to ‘dual use’ items (items having both civilian and military
applications) from the US.
2004: The search for a mutually acceptable basis for a strategic partnership found
expression in the bilateral dialogue under the rubric of Next Steps in Strategic
Partnership (NSSP) which was intended to increase cooperation in civilian nuclear
activities, civilian space programmes, and high-technology trade. Later missile defence was
added as a fourth component to the NSSP.
2008: India-USA civil nuclear deal was signed. This was an important landmark in the
India-US relationship.
2010: India-US decided to hold institutionalized strategic dialogue.
2015: India-US decided to upgrade institutionalized strategic dialogue into India-U.S.
Strategic & Commercial Dialogue.
2016: The US recognised India as a "Major Defence Partner”. It will allow India to buy
more advanced and sensitive technologies from America at par with that of US' closest
allies.
2018: The 2+2 Dialogue: The inaugural dialogue was held in September 2018. It is the
highest-level institutional mechanism that provides for a review of security, defence and
strategic partnership between India and the United States.
2019: The US Senate has passed a legislation to accord India the same status as its
other NATO allies (non-member NATO ally). Till now, India was equivalent to Major
non-NATO allies (MNNA) of US but now the US will treat India as a non-member NATO
ally for purposes of Arms Export Control Act.
2020: India and USA decided to upgrade their relationship to ‘Comprehensive Global
Strategic Partnership’.
Bilateral Relationship
Defence & Security Cooperation:
o The defence partnership is a key pillar of India-US relationship and today
encompasses a broad spectrum of activities from intelligence sharing to mutual
port visits by naval ships, joint exercises; trade in military hardware and, most
importantly, co-production and co-development of military systems.
o USA increasingly regards India as a potential ally in dealing with emerging
challenges in Indo-Pacific, notably China’s growing economic and military
assertiveness.
o India’s importance as a market for arms supplies is also a major factor. Since
2008, India has purchased nearly US$ 18 billion worth of arms from US.
1995: India and USA signed defence framework agreement. This has been reviewed after
every 10 years.
2002: The first foundational agreement with US -- General Security of Military
Information Agreement (GSOMIA) was signed in 2002.
2005-06: Indo-US defence relationship has been growing since the signing of the New
Framework for Defence Cooperation in 2005 and more particularly after the US
Congress passed the Hyde Act in December 2006 to enable bilateral cooperation on
nuclear issues.
2012: The process of forging closer politico-military relations was set in motion with
the signing of Defence Technology and Trade Initiative (DTTI) in 2012.
2015
The India-US Defence Relationship regained its momentum following the signing of
“Joint Strategic Vision” in 2015 for a shared vision for peace, stability and
prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region.
Renewal of the ‘Framework for India-US Defence Relations’ in 2015
Defence Framework Agreement laid a blueprint for collaboration between the defence
establishments.
2016
India signed a military logistics agreement called Logistics Exchange Memorandum
Of Agreement (LEMOA) in 2016. LEMOA is a customized version of the LSA to
facilitate each other’s operations for purposes of refuelling and replenishment with
no obligations on India to provide any basing arrangements.
Indian Defence Minister and USA Secretary of Defence issued a joint statement
finalising India’s designation as a “major defence partner” of the US.
2018
The CISMOA has been re-christened as Communications, Compatibility, Security
Agreement (COMCASA), in order to reflect its India-specific character. It is meant to
facilitate the use of high-end secured communication equipment to be installed on
military platforms.
In August 2018, US granted to India the designation of Strategic Trade Authority
Tier 1. This authorisation is the equivalent of NATO allying with Japan, South Korea
and Australia.
India and USA held first edition of 2+2 dialogue involving Indian External Affairs and
Defence Ministers and their American counterparts.
2. ASEAN:
India has emphasized the centrality of ASEAN in its Indo-Pacific framework and
India’s ‘Act East’ policy provides strategic direction to several initiatives aimed at
increasing its cooperation with ASEAN members:
a. India upgraded its bilateral relationship to Comprehensive Strategic Partnership
with Vietnam in 2016 and with Indonesia in 2018.
b. India and Indonesia agreed on a plan of action to develop and manage the
Sabang Port located close to the strategic Malacca Strait.
c. India has concluded a logistics support agreement with Singapore for access to
change port and provided the city-state access to its missile testing facility in
Odisha.
3. India has begun to focus on its strategic partners in Western Indian Ocean:
a. India has a growing defence relationship with France and has decided to
conduct joint patrols in Indian Ocean.
b. India has also operationalized a mutual support logistics agreement with France
that would allow it to access French military bases in Djibouti, UAE, and French
Réunion.
c. India has been interested in building a naval facility in Seychelles’ Assumption
Island and entered into a bilateral agreement for the same in 2018.
2017: US President outlined a vision for a free and open Indo-Pacific, a bio-geographic
region comprising the tropical waters of the Indian Ocean, the western and central Pacific
Ocean.
2019: USA has Recently Unveiled its New Security Strategy (NSS):
It explicitly includes India in its definition of the Indo-Pacific, which stretches “from
the west coast of India to the western shores of the United States”.
It recognizes India as a “leading global power” and seeks to increase quadrilateral
cooperation with Japan, Australia, and India. This is an upgrade from “regional
provider of security” in 2015 and one of “21st century centres of influence” in 2010.
US had renamed its Pacific Command as US Indo-Pacific Command, an
acknowledgement of seamless connectivity that binds the Pacific and Indian
Oceans and India’s growing importance.
2020: US appreciated India’s role as a net provider of security in IOR and both countries
decided to propose a new partnership between USAID and India’s Development
Partnership Administration for cooperation in third countries.
Economic and Commercial Partnership
The US remains India's top trading partner in terms of goods and services, followed
by China. Goods dominate the bilateral trade between the US and India --
approximately 625 while it is 38% in services.
USA is India’s largest trading partner (With, the bilateral trade at USD 87.95 billion
in 2018-19).
Energy Exports: In 2018 India purchased 48.2 million barrels of U.S. crude oil, a
significant increase from 9.6 million in 2017.
2018: India US Strategic Energy Partnership launched in April 2018 seeks to
enhance energy security, bolster strategic alignment etc.
2019: USA has Recently Unveiled its New Security Strategy (NSS):
o It promotes a deeper partnership with India and asks Pakistan to crack down on
"transnational terrorists" operating from its soil.
2020:
India and USA called Pakistan to rein in cross-border terror threats and bring justice
for the victims of 26/11 attack and the Pathankot terror attack of 2016.
US supported designation of Jaish-e-Mohammed chief Masood Azhar as a global
terrorist under UN Security Council Resolution 1267, and played role placing of
Pakistan on the grey-list of the Financial Action Task Force.
Other Relationship
2019:
Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI): USA has announced its
commitment to be the founding member of the CDRI whose headquarters will be
located in India.
Signing of S&T Agreement: It updates and replaces 2005 Agreement and provides a
framework for collaboration between the two countries.
2020: US reaffirmed support for India’s permanent membership on a reformed U.N.
Security Council and for India’s entry to the Nuclear Suppliers Group at the earliest.
Afghanistan:
o Stable government in Kabul is essential to reduce terror activities across south
Asia also in Jammu and Kashmir. Thus, the most important goal for India
remains the prevention of Pakistan from regaining its central role in Afghan
affairs.
o Traditionally, India has called for “Afghan-led, Afghan-owned, and Afghan-
controlled” process, with participation of the Afghanistan government.
o Later, India shifted its negotiating position by pointing out that it is committed
to “any process” which can help Afghanistan emerge as a united, peaceful,
secure, stable, inclusive and a economically vibrant nation.
2020: US signed the “Agreement for Bringing Peace to Afghanistan” with the Taliban in
Doha, Qatar. Under the agreement US will move to UNSC to remove Taliban members from
the sanctions list.
Recently, USA has asked India to participate in the proposed peace process in the
light of new ground realities emerging in Afghanistan after the US-Taliban peace
agreement.
Challenges
Economic:
o India is a major exporter of steel and aluminium from USA. In March 2018, USA
imposed 25% import duty on steel and 10% on aluminium products.
India was the largest beneficiary of US’s Generalised System of Preferences (GSP)
as it provided duty-free access to $5.6 billion worth of products exported to US.
However, US accused India of preventing equitable access for Americans to its
markets. Consequently, India’s special trade designation that dated back to
1970s was suspended.
In return, India imposed retaliatory tariffs on several American imports, including
almonds, pulses etc.
Iran: USA’s Withdrawal from Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)
USA imposed unilateral sanctions on Iran after its withdrawal from Iran Nuclear
Deal. This has affected India’s oil trade with Iran which was its third biggest source
of oil in 2017.
It may affect the progress of INSTC and Chabahar port in Iran which India sees as
a gateway to Afghanistan and Central Asia bypassing Pakistan.
Russia: Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA)
This act was enacted in 2017 to counter the aggression by Iran, Russia & North
Korea through punitive measures.
This affects India’s arms procurement from Russia such as S-400 Triumf air
defence system and Ka226T helicopters.
It would also affect India’s purchase of spare parts, components and other
assistance for which Indian entities are dependent on Russia for maintenance of
existing equipment.
Indian Diaspora
Indians dominate the high-skilled visa category, at times making up over 70% of
H1-B visa holders.
2019: As a result of the more restrictive US policies, denial rates have increased
significantly from just 6% in 2015 to 24% in the third quarter.
Way Forward
Strategic Autonomy: India is a sovereign country and it needs to take all steps so
that no country could dictate to it regarding its defence cooperation or trade ties
with any other nations.
Pursue Multi-alignment: India should be wary of any attempts at being pitted as a
front in U.S.’s efforts to check China’s rise and jeopardise Sino-India relations.
Address Chinese Assertiveness in South China Sea and Indian Ocean Region:
India needs to work with all like-minded countries, particularly USA, to collectively
address the threats posed by Chinese assertiveness in political, military and
economic sphere.
Constructive Engagement: India needs to engage with USA to address the thorny
issues confronting their relationship on economic and trade front.
3.2 India-Canada
Introduction
Canada and India have longstanding bilateral relations built upon shared traditions
of democracy, pluralism and strong interpersonal connections.
Canada is home to one of the largest South Asian communities abroad per capita,
with approximately 5.6% of Canadians being of Indian heritage (1.9 million people).
India-Canada relations are strategically thin. Canada has little to offer in terms of
assisting India with core strategic objectives that include China, Pakistan, the
subcontinent, maritime security in the Indian Ocean rim and beyond.
History
Faultlines first emerged in 1948 when Canada supported a plebiscite, followed by a
ceasefire, in Indian state of Kashmir, a position that was antithetical to India’s
interests.
Canadian security interests were anchored with those of US; its strategic objectives
aligned closely to US’. Thus, despite considerable opportunity, Canada could not
foster closer relations with India owing to latter’s non-aligned status, which limited
its outreach towards the Western bloc countries.
In 1974, Canada was infuriated when India carried out nuclear tests.
In 1980s, India’s relevance in Canada’s foreign policy rose as Punjab accounted for a
significant number of immigrants to Canada. However, India soon expressed
concerns regarding activities of Khalistan sympathisers in Canada. Bilateral ties
reached one of its lowest ebbs in 1985, when Sikh extremists blew up Air India
Flight 182.
The cessation of Cold War hostilities provided an opportunity for India and Canada
to improve their relationship. In 1990s, India embraced gradual economic
liberalisation, rekindling Canada’s interest in its economic prospects.
In 1995, Ottawa released its “Focus India” document, identifying India as “an
emerging economic power.”
In 1997, both sides decided to create a bilateral Joint Working Group on Counter-
Terrorism (JWGCT) to coordinate against Khalistan separatist groups.
India subsequently conducted nuclear tests in 1998. In response, Canada
suspended talks on trade expansion, banned all military exports, suspended
tentative nuclear cooperation with India and opposed India’s bid for a permanent
seat at UNSC.
History: Re-Engagement
In 2000, Canada sought broader economic partnership with India, eventually
removing all economic sanctions in 2001.
Canada (2003–06) announced International Policy Statement that identified India as
an emerging economy with which Canada sought to broaden cooperation.
In 2009, both sides announced creation of a Joint Study Group to probe the
possibility of a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) and
initiated negotiations on a Foreign Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement
(FIPPA).
In 2010, India and Canada reached an agreement on civil nuclear cooperation. This
was a watershed in bilateral relations.
In 2015, Indian PM visited Canada and signed multiple MoU in areas including
space, railways, civil aviation, and S&T. Also, Saskatchewan’s Cameco industries
reached an agreement to supply 3,000 tonnes of uranium to India.
India-Canada Co-operation
During 2015 visit of Canadian PM Trudeau to India,Canada affirmed its support for
India’s entry into the Nuclear Suppliers Group.
Economic Relations:
o India is Canada’s 9th largest export market, and 10th largest trading partner
overall.
o Investment inflows from Canada, including portfolio investments, have crossed
$40 billion now, compared to $4.5 billion in 2014.
o Between 2018 & 2020, two-way trade in goods have hit record numbers, crossing
$10 billion compared to $6 billion five years ago, while trade in services has
touched $2.5 billion.
o Canada and India are undertaking bilateral negotiations toward both a
Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement and a Foreign Investment
Promotion and Protection Agreement (FIPA).
o The Joint Study Group formed in 2009 noted that there was sufficient ground
to start negotiations for a trade agreement in goods, services and
investments.
o The CEPA negotiation commenced in 2010, and the most recent round was
held in 2017 in New Delhi.
People to People Contact:
o In 2018, India was the largest source of international students for Canada’s
universities, colleges and schools.
2015 Visit of Canadian PM Trudeau to India:
Under Global Skills Strategy, both prime ministers agreed to facilitate the movement
of highly skilled individuals from India to Canada.
Energy:
o According to World Oil Outlook Report 2040, India’s oil demand will double by
2040.
o In 2009, Canadian oil reached India for first time. In times of growing pressure
from US to cut oil imports from Iran, Canada could be an alternative energy
source for India.
o Canada can also be a significant source of Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) for India.
Challenges
Khalistan Angle:
o Sikhs constitute make up less than 1% of Canada’s total population. Despite
this, Sikh diaspora commands a reasonable influence in Canada’s federal
politics. New Delhi wants to limit the influence of Canada-based Khalistan
sympathisers.
o Lack of a strategic core and proclivity of all Canadian political parties to associate
with pro-Khalistan elements allows bilateral relations to be easily captured and
hijacked by the thorny diaspora issue.
Economy:
o While India–Canada economic relations have made some progress, as is reflected
in the upward trajectory of bilateral trade and continuation of CEPA negotiations,
Canada remains an insignificant trading partner for India.
o In 2017, compared to other North American countries, Indian exports to Canada
stood at just over US$2 billion, behind US and Mexico. However, imports from
Canada were valued at more than US$4.5 billion in 2017, ahead of Mexico.
Way Forward
Depoliticise Relations: For India to overcome the longstanding hiatus in its
relations, it must divert its attention away from politically contentious issues.
Deeper bilateral engagement will not render Sikh separatism any less important for
India. But it might not consume the energy of the diplomatic corps and rock the
relationship every few years.
Conclude Trade Pacts: Pending trade and investment pacts — Foreign Investment
Protection and Promotion Agreement (FIPPA) and Comprehensive Economic
Partnership Agreement (CEPA) —will be beneficial for both New Delhi as well as
Ottawa to have these agreements ready.
4. India-Europe
4.1 India-EU
Introduction
The European Union is a group of 28 countries that operate as a cohesive economic
and political block.
The year 2017 marked 55th years of diplomatic relations between two largest
democracies -- European Union and India.
EU's partnership with India lies on the foundation of the values of “freedom,
democracy and a credible, rules-based global order”.
History
India-EU relations date to early 1960s, with India being amongst the first countries
to establish diplomatic relations with European Economic Community.
A cooperation agreement signed in 1994 took the bilateral relationship beyond trade
and economic cooperation.
Since 2000, India has belonged to a small group of countries including US, China,
Russia, Japan and Canada among others with whom the EU holds regular summits.
At 5th India-EU Summit at The Hague in 2004, the relationship was upgraded to a
‘Strategic Partnership’.
The two sides adopted a Joint Action Plan in 2005 that provided for strengthening
dialogue and consultation mechanisms in political and economic spheres, enhancing
trade and investment, and bringing peoples and cultures together.
The 13 th EU-India Summit in 2016 in Brussels endorsed India-EU-Agenda for
Action 2020 https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/india-and-major-powers-the-
european-union-54234/ - _edn3 and presented a clear roadmap for the next five
years of the strategic partnership.
India-EU Relationship
Trade:
o The EU is India's largest trading partner, accounting for 12.9% of India's overall
trade. Trade in goods between EU and India was estimated at EUR 90 billion in
2018, with a surplus of around EUR 2 billion in India’s favour.
o EU is largest destination for Indian exports and second largest investor in India
accounting for almost one-quarter of all investments flows into India between
2000 & 2017.
o There are more than 6,000 EU companies currently present in India, providing
direct and indirect employment to over 6 million people.
o Trade between EU and India has only grown since and introduction of
the Investment Facilitation Mechanism (IFM) for EU Investments in India in
2017 has led to a further increase in investments.
Terrorism:
o India and EU adopted a declaration to counter terrorism at 14th India-EU summit
(2017). The declaration is a joint statement and an action plan to combat
international terrorism.
o It was a landmark move in the history of India and European Union. It will
certainly help both sided comprehensively and will enhance the security of the
people of both sides.
Maritime Security:
o India-EU 14th Summit (2017):
India and EU decided to enhance cooperation on maritime security in Indian
Ocean and beyond.
It underlined the “importance of freedom of navigation and peaceful resolution of
disputes, in accordance with United Nations Convention on the Laws of the Seas
(UNCLOS) 1982. This was a statement against aggressive activities undertaken
by China in South China Sea.
o India and EU conduct maritime exercises between EU’s Naval Force Atlanta and
the Indian Navy in Gulf of Aden.
Renewable Energy and Climate Change:
o The EU-India initiative on clean development and climate change focuses on:
1. Clean technology
2. Clean Development Mechanism
3. Adaptation to climate change and sustainable development.
ICT Cooperation:
o EU-India Cyber Security Dialogue has been set up to exchange best practice on
addressing cybercrime and strengthening cyber security.
o EU and India aim to link ‘Digital Single Market’ with the ‘Digital India’.
o "Start-up Europe India Network" initiative was launched in 2016.
Energy Cooperation:
o Energy cooperation has been grown over time. Now, India and EU have instituted
EU-India Clean Energy and Climate Partnership.
o EU and India are fully committed to Paris Agreement and UNFCCC at the highest
political level despite withdrawal of US from Paris agreement.
Challenges
CAA and Article 370:
o New Delhi’s actions in J&K and passing of Citizenship Amendment Act, 2019,
have received significant attention from EU. This resulted in the visit of a 27-
member delegation of European Parliament members to the new UT of J&K in
October 2019.
o The visit was followed by introduction of six resolutions in European
Parliament on Article 370 and CAA. The resolutions – which collectively
represented views of 626/750 Members of European Parliament (MEPs) – was
significant because it presented a divergence from previous policy of non-
interference in matters declared to be internal affairs.
4.2 India-UK
Growth in Relationship
o After independence, India decided to remain in Commonwealth of Nations.
o India advocated non-alignment whereas UK allied with US during cold War.
Thus, initially, India and UK were at logger heads with each other, both politically
and ideologically.
o After the cold war, the relations have starts to improve. This trend has been
continued till now.
2004: India’s multifaceted bilateral relationship with UK intensified with its upgradation
to a Strategic Partnership.
2009: An All Party Parliamentary Group on Trade and Industry linkages with India was
set up by UK.
2010: The visit of UK Prime Minister to India saw the relations elevated to ‘Enhanced
Partnership for the Future’.
2010: India and UK agreed to establish India-UK CEOs Forum and an India-UK
Infrastructure Group to enhance trade and investment.
2015: New Defense and International Security Pact was agreed for curbing security
concerns.
2019: India and UK have agreed to set up 3 new bilateral working groups to tackle
barriers to trade in specific sectors of food and drink, healthcare and data services.
Economic Relations:
o India is the second largest investor into the UK
o UK is 4th largest inward investor in India accounting for around 7% of all foreign
direct investment into India.
o British companies now employ a staggering 800,000 people in India, representing
one in 20 jobs in India’s organised private sector.
o There are around 800 Indian businesses in the UK, employing 110,000, and
India is third largest investor in the UK.
S&T Relationship:
o The Newton Bhabha Fund co-created by UK and GoI is stimulating scientific
research into finding solutions to the challenges facing India’s economic
development and social welfare.
o India-UK Clean Energy R&D Centre has been setup with a focus on solar energy
storage and a collaborative R&D programme in energy efficient building
materials.
Industry-Academia Partnerships:
o Tata Motors-owned JLR and the Warwick Manufacturing group at Warwick
University are opening largest automotive R&D facility in Europe in 2018.
Industry-Industry Relations:
o These include a partnership between UK insurance major, Bupa, and Indian
firms Practo and 1mg. Together, they have created an easy to access and
customised holistic healthcare plan for Indians who currently can’t access
insurance and, therefore, quality healthcare.
o Rolls Royce-TCS partnership to explore the applications of IoT in expanding Rolls
Royce’s manufacturing.
Indo-Pacific:
o In 2019, British Royal Navy sent its representative to Indian Navy’s Information
Fusion Center in Gurgaon, as India and the UK edge closer on the Indo-Pacific as
part of an evolving strategy.
Other Relationship:
o International Collaboration: UK supports India’s proposal for permanent
membership of the UNSC and is also an important interlocutor for India in the
EU, G8, G20 and global contexts.
o People-to-People Contact: UK is 5th most popular destination for Indian
tourists.
o Education: Education is an important plank of India-UK bilateral relationship.
Over the last 10 years, the relationship has grown with the introduction of
bilateral mechanisms such as the India-UK Education Forum UK-India
Education and Research Initiative (UKIERI).
o Indian Diaspora: Approximately 1.5 million people of Indian origin are living in
UK equivalent to almost 1.8% of the population. They are contributing 6% to UK’s
GDP.
Issues
Immigration Policies: India believes that UK has been making its immigration
policies more and more restrictive. Hence, India has been asking for easing visa
rules for Indian immigrants to UK but not much success has been achieved on this
front. Ex: Exclusion of India by UK (in 2019) from a new list of low-risk countries
with relaxed student visa rules is a case in point.
5. India-Russia
Introduction
Relations between India and Russia are rooted in history, mutual trust and mutually
beneficial cooperation. This is a strategic partnership that has withstood the test of
time, and which enjoys the support of the people of both countries.
Indian prime minister invoked a Russian proverb to reaffirm India-Russia friendship
in a changing world: “An old friend is better than two new ones.”
Historical Background
After independence, the goal for India was attaining economic self-sufficiency
through investment in heavy industry. During India’s second Five Year Plan, of the
sixteen heavy industry projects set up, eight were initiated with the help of Soviet
Union. This included the establishment of the world famous IIT Bombay.
A watershed moment in relations between India and the Soviet Union was the
signing of the Treaty of Peace and Friendship in August 1971.
After the dissolution of Soviet Union, India and Russia entered into a new Treaty of
Friendship and Cooperation in 1993 and a bilateral Military-Technical Cooperation
agreement in 1994.
2000: India and Russia signed the “Declaration on the India-Russia Strategic
Partnership”. Under the Strategic Partnership, several institutionalized dialogue
mechanisms operate at both political and official levels.
2010: The Strategic Partnership was elevated to the level of a “Special and Privileged
Strategic Partnership.”
2017: India and Russia celebrated 70th anniversary of establishment of diplomatic
relations.
2019: Russia awarded Indian PM its highest state decoration - Order of St Andrew the
Apostle. The order was presented for distinguished contribution to the development of a
privileged strategic partnership between Russia and India and friendly ties between the
Russian and Indian peoples.
India-Russia Relations
Defence and Security Cooperation:
o The defence facet is one of the strongest pillars of the India-Russia relationship
and has withstood the test of time. India is the largest buyer of Russian military
equipment and, at the same time, Russia is India’s principal defence partner.
o The relationship is evolving from traditional buyer-seller one to that of joint
production and development, with emphasis on technology sharing. Russia is
committed to becoming a partner in the ‘Make in India’ programme.
a. BrahMos Missile System as well as the licensed production in India of SU-30
aircraft and T-90 tanks are examples of such flagship cooperation.
b. Lately, both sides concluded agreements on supply of S-400 air defence systems
& shareholders agreement on the formation of joint venture to manufacture Ka-
226T helicopters in India.
o 2019: India announced JV – Indo-Russian Rifles Pvt. Ltd. for production of AK
Series Assault Rifles at Ordnance Factory Korwa under ‘Make-in-India’ program.
o The two countries also hold exchanges and training exercises between their
armed forces annually: First-ever Tri-Services exercise –‘INDRA 2017’ in
2017.
Trade and Economic Relations:
o Trade between the two countries is an area which has been identified for special
focus by both countries. Bilateral trade in 2015 amounted to US$ 7.83 billion.
o Russian investment in India in 2017 has reached 18bn USD and India’s total
investment in Russia so far is 13 bn USD.
o The two countries have kept their targets of increasing bilateral investment to US
$ 50 billion and bilateral trade to US $ 30 billion by 2025.
Nuclear Energy:
o Russia is an indispensable partner in the sphere of nuclear energy and
recognizes India as a responsible country with an impeccable non-proliferation
record.
o In 2014, DAE and Russia’s Rosatom signed the Strategic Vision for strengthening
cooperation in peaceful uses of atomic energy.
o Eight years after India’s foreign collaborations in civil nuclear energy were
legitimised, Russia remains the only foreign country involved in nuclear power
production in India.
o Rosatom is building six units of nuclear reactors at Kudankulam site in Tamil
Nadu. Two units are already operational and the next four are in different stages
of implementation.
o Both sides are also cooperating in the implementation of Rooppur NPP
construction project in Bangladesh.
Space:
o India and Russia have a four-decade strong relationship in the field of space.
o USSR launched India’s first two satellites, Aryabhata and Bhaskar.
o Russia has provided India help in developing Cryogenic technology to build heavy
rockets.
o Currently, selected IAF pilots are undergoing training for India’s Gaganyaan
Mission in Russia.
Science & Technology:
o The Working Group on S&T functioning under IRIGC-TEC, the Integrated Long
Term Programme (ILTP) and the Basic Science Cooperation Programme are the
three main institutional mechanisms for bilateral Science and Technology
cooperation.
o A new High Level S&T Commission was established in 2017.
o India has also ramped up its engagement with other major powers like Japan,
Israel, Germany, Australia and France.
Differences Over Indo-Pacific Region:
o The Indo-US joint statement in 2017 officially included the nomenclature of
“Indo-Pacific” in the bilateral document. India’s main concern is with respect to
the unpredictable rise of China in the region. To address this challenge, India is
keen on collaborating with like-minded major global powers.
o Russia has expressed its displeasure over the idea of the Indo-Pacific, which it
calls an “artificially imposed construct” being promoted by US, Australia and
Japan to contain China. This makes it clear that Moscow’s interpretation of the
concept is different from that of New Delhi.
Russia-Pakistan Relationship:
o Russia’s increased engagement with Pakistan has not been received well in New
Delhi.
o In 2014, Moscow removed the arms embargo imposed on Pakistan and sale of Mi-
35 helicopters and engines for JF-17 Thunder went through.
o A gas pipeline between Lahore and Karachi was also funded by Moscow.
o The two sides also began joint military exercises—much to the dismay of India –
especially in 2016.
Divergence over Afghanistan:
o Russia has on record said that it would not be possible to eliminate terrorism
“without the cooperation of Pakistan.”
o India does not agree with Russia’s treatment of Pakistan as “part of the solution
rather than part of the problem.”
Defence Partnerships:
o India is currently in the process of diversifying its defence relations. Russia’s
share of Indian defence imports fell from 79% between 2008-2012 to 62%
between 2013 & 2017.
Trade:
o Russia comprised just 1% of India’s total trade while India accounts for 1.2% of
Russia’s overall trade. Further, the trade is mainly defence based.
o Bilateral trade remains meagre at only $10.7 billion in 2017-18. This is far below
potential in comparison to India’s trade with China ($89.7 billion), the United
States ($74.5 billion).
Way Forward
Economic Relationship:
o India should expedite negotiations of proposed India-Eurasian Economic Union
(EEU) FTA. This will help in improving trade relations between the two countries.
o Expeditious implementation of INSTC project as well as the launch of the ‘Green
Corridor’ project for Customs facilitation (by easing Customs norms) is required.
Russia-Pakistan Relationship:
o India should avoid raising Pakistan to the level of an over-riding preoccupation.
That’s because this also sets us up for both our friends and adversaries using
Pakistan as leverage against India.
There are enough reasons for India to remain deeply engaged with Russia:
o It will remain a key source of sensitive technologies and hardware, even as we
diversify
our sources of supply as we must in our own interest.
o It may well become a key energy partner as our own energy demand increases
and Russia looks for markets outside Europe.
6. India-East Asia
6.1 India-Japan
The friendship between India and Japan has a long history rooted in spiritual
affinity and strong cultural and civilizational ties. Bilateral ties have been singularly
free of any kind of dispute – ideological, cultural or territorial.
The dimensions of India-Japan relations have transformed in recent years into a
robust and matured partnership based on convergence in their strategic
geopolitical and security concerns regionally and beyond.
History
After India’s independence, the bilateral ties drifted apart as New Delhi moved closer
to the USSR while Japan became a strong ally of the US.
It was only after the end of the cold war and the break-up of USSR that they decided
to renew their ties in the wake of the new geopolitical realities.
India came up with its “Look East Policy” in 1992 which aimed at New Delhi re-
engagement with S-E Asia and East Asia.
2007: India and Japan concluded a strategic agreement.
2009: Action Plan to Advance Security Cooperation was agreed upon by the two
countries.
2010: India and Japan instituted 2+2 dialogue led by secretary level officers as per
the 2009 Action Plan
2014: India and Japan concluded a Special Strategic and Global Partnership.
2019: India and Japan held their inaugural 2+2 minister dialogue. Japan is only the
second country (after US) with which India has such a dialogue format. India-Japan
2+2 dialogue is an endorsement of the special strategic partnership.
Reasons for Closeness in Relationship
Regional environment in Indo-Pacific has contributed to growing ties between the
two countries. The rise of China has been an important factor, while India’s growing
closeness with US has also played a role, as the US and Japan already have a close
alliance.
India with its huge population and a growing middle class provides a market which
no Japanese company can ignore in the long term.
New Delhi is seeking massive investments in its infrastructure sector and Japan is a
major investor.
Being a developing country, pollution is a serious issue in major Indian cities.
Japanese green technologies can help India tackle this threat.
Japan’s ageing population (23% above 65 years) and India’s youthful dynamism
(over 50% below 25 years).
India’s prowess in services and Japan’s excellence in manufacturing
India-Japan Relationship
Strategic Connectivity:
o What makes Japan a reliable partner in the connectivity arena is its emphasis on
‘quality’. Unlike China’s BRI projects, Japanese infrastructure initiatives are
environmentally friendly and financially sustainable.
o Not only has Japanese development aid produced demonstrable results on the
ground, Tokyo’s insistence on transparency has generated enormous trust.
(a) Within India:
o Japan has been allowed to invest in India’s North-East, which has been a no-go
area for other countries. Two countries are working together on infrastructure
projects in the Northeast.
o Japan is supporting India’s mega infrastructure projects like Delhi-Mumbai
Freight Corridor, Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor, Chennai-Bangalore
Industrial Corridor and the Ahmedabad-Mumbai High Speed Rail system.
o India and Japan are also teaming up to set up a diesel power plant in Andaman
and Nicobar Islands (where New Delhi has not allowed other countries to invest).
Indo-Pacific:
o India and Japan annual summit 2018: The joint statement titled “India-Japan
Vision Statement”, talks about converging security and economic interests in
Indo-Pacific region, and the need for them to work together for a rules-based
world order that would ensure rule of law, unimpeded trade, and flow of people,
technology and shared prosperity.
o Both the countries see China’s approach in the region as being exclusivist. There
is a clear clash between these two visions of the region. In an era that has seen
an increasingly assertive China, India and Japan both increase their options by
collaborating with each other.
o India’s economic and security outlook — often articulated in terms of its ‘Act-
East’ outreach — fits well with Japan’s vision for a ‘Free and Open Indo-Pacific’.
Both countries want a regional order based on rules.
o The wavering US has made its allies unsure of its commitments toward the
region—a consideration for India-Japan partnership as well.
Trade:
o Japan is the third-largest source of FDI investment into India after Mauritius and
Singapore. India has received $28.160 billion in FDI from Japan between April
2000 and June 2018.
o In 2016-17, India-Japan trade reached $13.61 billion. India’s export to Japan for
2016-17 was $3.86 billion, whereas India’s import from the East Asian country
for 2016-17 was $9.76 billion.
o 13th Indo –Japan Annual Bilateral Summit:
1. The biggest take away was $75 billion currency swap that Japan Offered to India
(50% higher than the last swap).
Challenges
Trade & Economics:
o Trade ties which have remained underdeveloped when compared to India’s trade
ties with China. In spite of CEPA India Japan trade it has not produced the
anticipated results.
o The bilateral trade between New Delhi and Tokyo in 2017-18 stood at a meagre
$15.71 billion, whereas Sino-Indian bilateral trade in 2017 stood at $84.44
billion in spite of political tensions between India and China.
o India’s complex regulations, red tape, ad hoc nature of state-level interventions
have resulted in below potential economic relations between the two countries
Defence:
o India is one of the biggest arms importers in the world, while Japan has been
looking at arms exports. Despite this, the two sides have been unable to
collaborate in the defence sector in spite of huge potential.
o Despite repeated attempts, talks for the sale of the US -2i amphibious aircraft
have been deadlocked over issues of price and technology transfer. The deal
has been hanging fire since 2014.
o The progress with regard to the collaboration on the issue of Technology transfer
and joint production is slow.
Way Forward
1. Trade and Economic Relationship:
The trade and private sector capacity of India and Indian companies in S-E Asia
remain modest.
There are some 1,350 Japanese companies present in India, while over 13,000
Japanese companies remain active in Asean.
If India and Japan were to cooperate not only at a government-to-government but
also at government-to-government-to-business framework across Asean, the impact
would be exponential.
2. Development of N-E:
One of India’s perennially low-hanging fruits that has been infuriatingly just out of
grasp is the development potential of eight north-eastern states.
With a positive demographic profile, enormous horticulture and agricultural
potential, and proximity to Asean, this region could serve as the perfect platform
from which India and Japan approach Asean from the West.
India must Act East and act fast, to ensure that it remains not only relevant to the
region but also contributes to realizing a win-win situation.
3. Defence:
Opportunities in the areas of technology collaboration are significant. Defense
electronics is particularly important for India.
India’s domestic defense electronic manufacturing segment is still at a nascent stage
and it has to partner with its strategic partners in building a domestic capability
base but also direct procurement of those capabilities in the interim.
6.2 India-Australia
History
Australia and India for the first time established diplomatic relations in 1941 when
Consulate General of India was first opened as a Trade Office in Sydney.
India's first High Commissioner to Australia arrived in Canberra in 1945.
1950s: As part of Colombo Plan, many Indian students were sponsored to go and study
in Australia.
1992: The Australia-India Council (AIC) was established.
India-Australia relations touched a historic low when India conducted 1998 nuclear
tests.
2009: India and Australia elevated their partnership status to “strategic partners”.
2014: A Civil Nuclear Cooperation Agreement between the two countries was signed.
Australia agreed to supply uranium to India. It was for the first time that Australia is
supplying to a non-signatory to Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
2014: Social Security Agreement (SSA) was signed.
India-Australia Relationship
Political:
o India and Australia share the common concern of China’s expanding footprints in
the region. Both the countries see this as a threat to rule-based order in the
Indo-Pacific.
o Australia supports India’s candidature in an expanded UN Security Council
o Australia is an important player in APEC and supports India’s membership of
the organisation.
o Quadrilateral Security Dialogue on East Asia in which India-Australia play an
important role to discuss ways to balance China’s growing ambitions in the Indo-
Pacific region
Economic:
o The two-way trade between India and Australia hovers around $15 -$20 billion,
India is 9th largest trading partner of Australia and remains its 5th largest export
market.
o India occupies 17th position in Australia’s foreign investment and for India,
Australia is its 22nd largest investor.
o India and Australia are discussing about the Comprehensive Economic
Cooperation Agreement since 2012. Once completed, CECA is expected to
increase bilateral investments and goods and services trade between both
countries.
o Robust economic cooperation between India and Australia has the potential to
help India in its quest for sources of energy, as the later has reserve of high
quality coal, uranium and LNG.
Maritime Security:
o Indian Ocean binds India and Australia together and hence both India and
Australia are keen to preserve regional security architecture in the Indo-Pacific
region and work together, both at the bilateral and multi-lateral levels, to
maintain peace and balance in the region.
o Both Australia and India aims to uphold the idea of free navigation in the seas
and oceans in order to maintain their trading interest.
o In 2020, India has agreed to allow Australia to participate in the Malabar
Exercise which till recently only involved India, Japan and US naval forces.
Civil Nuclear Cooperation:
o Australia holds about 40% of world's uranium reserves. India is in need of
regular Uranium supply to ensure energy security.
o To get unrestricted Uranium supply India signed a Civil Nuclear Cooperation
Agreement with Australia in 2014.
o Australian Parliament passed “Civil Nuclear Transfer to India Bill 2016” in 2016
which allows Uranium mining companies in Australia to supply uranium to India
for civil use.
Defence and Security Cooperation:
2003: An agreement on counter-terrorism was signed.
2006: MoU on defence cooperation was signed.
2007: Agreement on information sharing on defence intelligence was signed
2014: Framework on Security Cooperation was signed.
2016: Australia and India signed the civil nuclear deal.
2015: First ever bilateral joint naval exercise (AUSINDEX) was conducted.
Introduction
After 46 years since the two countries established diplomatic relations, their ties
especially in the last decade or so have grown robust and multi-dimensional,
encompassing a wide range of interests including nuclear disarmament, maritime
security, regional economic cooperation, counterterrorism, and energy cooperation.
History
During Korean War (1950-53), the warring sides accepted a UN resolution sponsored
by India calling for a ceasefire; one was declared on 27 July 1953.
However, the relationship remained dormant for many decades for various reasons,
and it was only in 1962 that the two countries established consular relations. This
was then upgraded to Ambassador-level in 1973.
Much talked about Look East Policy (LEP) in 1990s failed to make any visible
traction in India-RoK relations.
A visit by Indian President to Seoul in 2006 opened a more vibrant phase in India-
RoK relations. It resulted in Joint Task Force to conclude a bilateral Comprehensive
Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), which was operationalised in 2010.
SK President visited India as Chief Guest at India’s Republic Day celebrations in
2010. It was then that the bilateral ties were raised to the level of Strategic
Partnership.
In 2011, Indian President Visited SK and both countries signed a Civil Nuclear
Energy Cooperation Agreement.
In 2014, South Korean President conducted a state visit to India. The “Joint
Statement for Expansion of Strategic Partnership” that was issued produced a
blueprint for further expanding the two countries’ relations in political, security,
defence, economic, scientific & technological, and IT spheres.
The watershed in bilateral relations came in 2014 when India unveiled its ‘Act
East’ policy signaling strong commitment to deepen relations with countries in Indo-
Pacific region such as Japan and RoK.
During Indian Prime Minister’s visit to South Korea in 2015, India-RoK bilateral
relations were upgraded to ‘special strategic partnership’.
In 2017, SK President Moon took over the South Korean presidency and took the
crucial decision of upgrading relationship equivalent to four traditional partners
under “New Asia Community Plus” framework.
India-South Korea Co-operation
The South Korean President who visited India in 2018 has coined a new acronym ‘3P
Plus’ for boosting bilateral ties between India and South Korea, through cooperation
for people, prosperity and peace.
Indo-Pacific
Like India's Act East policy (2014), South Korea has its 'New Southern Policy' (2017)
which gives primacy to the acceleration of RoK’s economic and strategic relations
with Southeast Asia, Australia, and India.
Economic
o South Korean Economy is heavily export dependent and its top two trade
partners are China and US. As the trade war between the two affects Chinese
economy major South Korean exporters (like Samsung and Hyundai) have seen
their profits decline.
o By strengthening ties with India and other ASEAN countries, South Korea
plans to reduce its over-dependence on its two traditional trade allies.
o To keep the export engine that drives its economy running, South Korea is now
targeting economies with the greatest growth potential and India (and its huge
consumer market) is projected to grow at more than twice of South Korea in the
coming years. That its companies already have a significant presence adds to
the comfort.
o Also, South Korea’s reliance on China’s market also arms Beijing with
considerable leverage over Seoul, which it has sometimes used to further its
political interests. China’s imposition of economic sanctions on South Korea in
2018 in response to US deployment of its anti-missile system forced Seoul to
rethink its China strategy.
o India and South Korea launched an initiative ‘Korea Plus’ in 2016 to promote and
facilitate Korean Investments in India.
Maritime Cooperation:
o Since early 2000s, India and South Korea have cooperated in search-and-rescue
and anti-piracy operations in Indian Ocean.
o New Delhi has welcomed South Korea’s recognition of India’s dominant security
role, and is seeking to promote closer naval ties with the latter.
o India has been reluctant to play a maritime role in Northeast Asia. While
supporting measures for establishment of a strong and unified Korea, Delhi has
desisted from playing a more direct role in Korean Peninsula.
o Seoul could also help boost Indian capacity to provide humanitarian aid and
disaster relief (HADR) in the neighbourhood.
Other Cooperation:
o The Indo-Korea Science and Technology Centre, established in Bengaluru in
2010 as a collaboration between the Indian Institute of Science and the Korea
Institute of Science and Technology.
o In 2018, South Korea inaugurated Samsung’s mobile manufacturing plant --
biggest in the world, in Noida.
Issues
South Korea’s Deteriorating Relationship with Japan:
o This might pose a problem for New Delhi. In 2019, a simmering conflict between
Japan and ROK erupted into a full diplomatic crisis, when Japan threatened to
slow down exports of materials essential to South Korean industries.
o Following the threats by Japan, thousands of protesters marched in the
streets of Seoul, accusing Japan of an “economic invasion”.
o This places New Delhi in a difficult position since Japan is a close partner of
India, and a prime collaborator in the Indian Ocean.
Trade:
o The trade target of $50 billion by 2030 is most likely to be missed.
o The trade deficit in South Korea’s favour has led India to be wary of further
opening up.
o Korean companies flag issues related with doing business in India, despite a
special “Korea Plus” desk set up by the Prime Minister’s Office in 2015.
Weak People to People Contact:
o The Indian Cultural Centre failed to reach out to common South Koreans.
o Social and economic discrimination against Indians working and living in South
Korea is still a regular occurrence.
Way Forward
Trade:
o Invoking “early harvest” clause in 2010 CEPA will allow both the countries to do
away with tariffs in 11 areas. This will benefit Indian seafood exporters and food
processing units, as well as South Korean petrochemical companies.
Strategic Cooperation:
Increasing Chinese aggressiveness and erosion in the commitment of USA to provide
security to its allies in Indo-pacific region has made South Korea wary. This provides a
window of opportunity for India and South Korea to work closely so as to secure their
interest in the region.
Investment:
o There is a need for India to ensure smooth business environment for Korean
companies to do business in India.
o This will help India in attracting the much needed financial capital required to
make India a $5 trillion economy by 2025.
7. India-Africa
Introduction
Africa has been gradually transformed itself from a “hopeless continent” to a
‘happening continent’ today. All major powers across the globe have recognized
this significant positive change across most of sub-Saharan Africa.
Africa is a continent of limitless possibility and India’s re-engagement with Africa
is taking place in a fast-changing and dynamic environment.
Global powers like Japan, China, Malaysia, and Singapore are stepping up their
presence in Africa. In this environment, it is imperative for India to be truly
recognised as an ‘alternative development partner’.
History
After its independence, India rapidly built up its political ties with the newly
independent countries and freedom movements in sub-Saharan Africa as well as
with the countries in northern Africa.
In 1950s, 60s and 70s, apart from strong political and brotherly bonds, India
was itself too heavily engrossed in solving its own socio-economic problems to be
a major partner in Africa's rebuilding and rejuvenation programmes.However,
even in those days of resource-crunch, India did share with Africa whatever it
could spare.
India's ties with Africa have been stepped up in the last two decades both bilaterally
and with regional economic communities, initially with the Southern African
Development Community (SADC) and Team-9 and continentally through the African
Union (AU).
Progress in Relationship
India’s engagement with Africa is consultative to a large extent is driven by the
demands of African countries. Further, India postulates that its partnership is an
amalgam of African development priorities in keeping with the African Union’s long
term plan and the Africa Agenda 2063, as well as India’s development objectives.
India engages with African countries at three levels:
o Bilateral
o Regional
o Multilateral: Multilateral engagement was launched with 1 st India Africa Forum
Summit (IAFS) in 2008.
Structured engagement with Africa took shape in 2008 with the First India Africa
Forum Summit (IAFS-I). IAFS-II was held in 2011. Both these events were, however,
limited to engagement with a few African leaders.
India hosted Third India Africa Forum Summit (IAFS-III) in 2015 – a landmark event
with delegations representing all 54 African countries. IAFS-III has been a 'great leap
forward' compared to our limited approach earlier.
From 2014 onwards, there have been a total of 29 visits to African countries
from the Indian side at various levels. From the African side, more than 32
Heads of State or Government have visited India in the last five years.
GoI had announced that 18 new embassies will be opened in the African continent
between 2018 and 2021. This will increase the number of Resident Indian
Missions in Africa from 29 to 47. The first of these resident missions opened in
Rwanda in July 2018.
Importance for India
(a) Economic:
Africa houses six of the world’s fastest growing economies as per World Bank
estimates.
African continent has a population of over one billion with a combined GDP of 2.5
trillion dollars making it a huge potential market.
Basket of goods imported from Africa is dominated by commodities, particularly
crude oil, gas, pulses, gold and other metals, all of which we lack in domestically.
Diverse sources in Africa provide protection against vulnerability of depending on
just one or two regions for supply.
Indian exports of manufactured products like medicines, automobiles, iron and
steel products, machinery petroleum products etc. Africa provides an alternate
destination as our exports to traditional destinations in Europe and North
America are on the decline.
(b) Multilateral Issues:
Multilateral and cross border global issues such as terrorism, UN reforms, public
health, peace keeping and security issues, climate change and international trading
regime (WTO) all require Africa's active participation.
African countries tend to take a unified stand on such multilateral issues after
discussions and deliberations at the AU. Hence, India needs to engage constructively
with the African countries.
(a) Economic:
India is currently Africa’s fourth-largest trading partner, and Africa’s third-largest
export destination. Bilateral trade volumes between India and Africa have grown
from a mere US$7.2 billion in 2001 to peak at US$78 billion in 2014, before falling
to US$62.66 billion in 2017–18.
India is currently the fifth-largest investor in Africa with cumulative investments of
US$54 billion. So far Indian companies have invested over $ 54 billion in Africa.
(b) Maritime Cooperation:
The Indian Ocean is a natural bridge connecting India with the African continent.
Therefore maritime cooperation is an important aspect of the relationship. This
includes maritime surveillance, anti-piracy operations and humanitarian and
disaster relief.
(c) Capacity Building:
India is investing in capacity building providing more than $1 billion in technical
assistance and training to personnel under the Indian Technical and Economic
Cooperation (ITEC) program.
India has invested $100 million in Pan-African E-Network to bridge the digital
divide in Africa, leveraging its strengths in information technology.
Challenges
(a) Terrorism:
A number of African Nations are mired with terrorist attacks or internal
disturbances. This is a major issue in expanding India’s footprints in the region. Ex:
Terrorist acts committed by Boko Haram in Nigeria.
(b) Political Instability:
Political instability in number of African Nation may impact India’s long-term
investment opportunities. Ex: South Sudan experiencing civil war since 2013.
(d) To strengthen the political and economic ties, steps should be taken towards
tailoring and funding joint projects for the sustainable development of the Africa.
In Disaster Management, India hosted the first Meeting of the 24×7 Points of Contact
among the National Disaster Response Agencies of East Asia Summit (EAS)
countries on 4-5 December 2014 in New Delhi.
Towards connectivity, India has always supported public-private partnership (PPP)
towards building connectivity. Towards Maritime co-operation India has called for a
more cooperative and integrated future via ocean based blue economy.
India and Mekong-Ganga Cooperation
The Mekong-Ganga Cooperation Initiative (MGCI) was set up on November 10, 2000
in Vientiane, Lao PDR.
The goal was to enhance cooperation amongst India and the 5 Mekong region
countries – Cambodia, Lao Peoples Democratic Republic, Myanmar, Vietnam and
Thailand.
Its establishment stressed on four areas of cooperation viz. tourism, culture,
education, and transportation linkage.
Going ahead, five working groups were established as follows:
o Working Group on Tourism (Thailand is the lead country)
o Working Group on Education (HRD) (India is the lead country)
o Working Group on Culture (Cambodia is the lead country)
o Working Group on Communication & Transportation (Laos PDR is the lead
country)
o Working Group on Plan of Actions (Vietnam is the lead country)
o So far, seven ministerial meetings of Mekong-Ganga Cooperation have been held.
India and CLMV
CLMV refer to Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam. These four countries are
the least developed ASEAN Countries. India’s current trade with CLMV countries
is still much below its potential and very low both in terms of absolute value and
relative share.
CLMV countries represent a bridge between India and ASEAN countries, and figure
prominently in the Look East Policy. Since they are a bridge between India and
ASEAN, the importance of a need of building overland, air and sea connectivity
between India and the CLMV countries also cannot be overlooked. The possibilities
in this regard are with Trilateral India-Myanmar-Thailand Highway Project and its
extension to Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam.
India, Myanmar and Thailand Highway
A 3,200-km highway linking India, Myanmar and Thailand is expected to be ready
by 2020 and will connect Moreh in Manipur to Mae Sot in Thailand through
Myanmar. The project will be a significant step towards establishing connectivity
between India and South East Asian countries. The highway, once completed, is
expected to accrue the following advantages for India:
It is important from India’s perspective as it will connect Manipur and other
northeastern states with Thailand through Myanmar.
It could substantially increase border trade with Myanmar, which has not picked up
the way it should have because of infrastructure bottlenecks on both sides of the
border but especially inside Myanmar.
It is expected to spur growth in trade and investment in the entire region.
India and ASEAN have become such close partners that the highway project
assumes greater significance.
Thailand is already well linked to Malaysia and Singapore, which means that the
trilateral highway to Mae Sot in Thailand could in effect connect India with four of its
Southeast Asian friends.
Since, connectivity through Myanmar is the bottleneck. The highway is expected to
address it, once completed. However, India and Thailand should work together with
Myanmar to ensure rapid completion of the missing link.
Challenges
China:
o In the rapidly evolving geopolitical scenario marked by China’s assertive military,
political and economic rise, the Act East Policy has imparted greater dynamism
to India’s ties with ASEAN.
o The issue of ownership, control, use and exploitation of oil, gas, and mineral and
fisheries resources in the South China Sea has emerged as a major dispute
between China and several ASEAN nations like Vietnam, Philippines, Brunei and
Malaysia.
o This issue has divided ASEAN and there is no unanimity amongst them.
o The South China Sea is of economic importance for India as more than 40% of
trade is dependent on this region. Fossil fuel resources in this region are also
being harnessed by India on a collaboration basis.
o Maritime security is essential in this region for the protection of India’s national
interest.
o However, India’s effort in this regard is meager when compared to China’s
dominance in the region.
Economic Challenges:
o India has an unfavorable balance of trade with the ASEAN nations.
o India has pulled out of the RCEP deal, as it would deepen its trade deficit with
China and the ASEAN nations.
o India should address the issue of land and labour laws so that there is an ease in
doing business within the country.
o Improving infrastructure and promoting technological growth can also solve this
problem exponentially.
Ineffective Negotiations:
o Many bilateral deals with these nations are yet to be finalised, leading to the
halting of various aspects of diplomatic ties.
Delayed Projects:
o India has committed to many connectivity projects like India-Myanmar-Thailand
trilateral highway.
o However, they have not been completed at the rate on par with China.
o China, on the other hand, through its BRI, is able to gain the trust of these
countries.
o Improving connectivity would mean improved business and tourism ties with the
South East Asia nations.
Way Forward
On Economic Front:
o India – ASEAN need to keep existing pathways up to date and relevant, including
the AIFTA.
o Streamlining rules and regulations will stimulate investments in both directions,
complement India’s ‘Act East’ policy and facilitate ‘Made in India’ exports to the
region.
Focus on Connectivity:
o Prompt completion of the India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway, which will
run from Moreh in Manipur to Mae Sot in Thailand via Myanmar, is the key.
o The plan is to extend this highway to Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam in an attempt
to project India’s role in the emerging transportation architecture.
o Improving air connectivity between India and ASEAN countries should also be
high on the agenda. Focus should be on expeditiously concluding the ASEAN -
India Air Transport Agreement.
o Digital connectivity is another important area of cooperation, and can shape
people-to-people connections for the future. India as a facilitator of the ASEAN-
wide digital economy would not only challenge China but also emerge as an
economic guarantor of its own.
o The three Cs of commerce, connectivity and culture have been highlighted but
a more granular perspective is needed in terms of a forging a forward-looking
approach.
o The cultural connect between the two needs strengthening. While India offers
scholarships to students from ASEAN states to study at Nalanda University, this
initiative should be extended to the IITs and the IIMs.
o Tourism too can be further encouraged between India and the ASEAN with some
creative branding by the two sides.
9. India-South America
9.1 India-Brazil
India and Brazil are two large economies with a combined GDP of around $4.5
trillion and having a total population of 1.5 billion. They share close and
multifaceted relationship at bilateral level as well as in plurilateral fora such as
BRICS, G-20, International Solar Alliance, Biofuture Platform and in multilateral
bodies such as UN, WTO, UNESCO and WIPO.
Significance of Brazil for India
Food Security:
o Brazil is among the largest producer of agricultural products like coffee, crop-
based ethanol, sugarcane etc. Thus it can play a crucial role in India’s food
security, in addition to manoeuvring inflation cycles.
Mineral Resources:
o Brazil is rich in mineral resources like gold, bauxite, iron ore, tin diamond,
Platinum copper etc which India struggles to meet from domestic production.
Energy Security:
o India imports over 80% of its oil consumption and over 45% of its natural gas
needs. Brazil, on the other hand, is 10th largest producer of oil, 2nd largest known
oil shale, 6th highest uranium reserves and has expertise in hydropower
production. It has also been a pioneer in ethanol production from crops.
Reforms in Global Governance:
o Both the countries are vocal advocates for reforms in Institutions of global
governance to give equitable weightage to the Global South. This includes IMF
quota reforms and securing for themselves a permanent seat at the UNSC.
South-South Cooperation:
o Being a victim of colonialism and neo-colonialism, both countries favour deeper
cooperation among the members of Third World including intra-Third World
Funding for socio-economic development projects.
o The South-South Cooperation Fund under IBSA Initiative, where both countries
are major contributors, seeks to realise this objective.
New Development Bank:
o Created by the BRICS, the Bank finances infrastructure projects in member
countries at non-exploitative terms, unlike the IMF which often demands
excessive course correction.
Bilateral Relationship
Political Relations:
o Both countries have played a pivotal role as leaders of the Global South or South-
South cooperation. The Brazilian foreign policy of reciprocal multilateralism is in
concurrence with India’s policy of strategic autonomy.
o Brazil and India (along with Germany and Japan) have jointly pursued
aspirations of permanent seats in UNSC and have worked towards a multipolar
world.
Bilateral Mechanism:
o A bilateral Joint Commission Meeting (JCM) exists between India and Brazil that
is co-chaired by the Foreign Ministers of the two countries. This mechanism
discusses the entire gamut of the bilateral relationship.
Economic Co-operation:
o Brazil is one of the most important trading partners of India. India was among
the top 10 trading partners of Brazil in 2017.
o The volume of bilateral trade in 2018-19 was USD 8.2 billion which included
USD 3.8 billion worth of Indian exports to Brazil and USD 4.4 million as imports
by India.
Defence Relations:
o Brazil and India signed a bilateral ‘Defence Cooperation Agreement’ in 2003 that
calls for cooperation in defence related matters like R&D, acquisition and logistic
support between the two countries.
1. Under the agreement, a ‘Joint Defence Committee (JDC)’ has been set-up that
meets at regular intervals.
Cultural Relations:
o Brazil has a strong community of Yoga and Ayurveda practitioners. The Brazilian
Association of Ayurveda (ABRA) is a non-profit association with offices in 9 states
of Brazil and has members all over Brazil.
o The third International Congress on Ayurveda was held from 12 to 15 March,
2018 in Rio de Janeiro.
Diaspora:
The Indian community of PIOs/NRIs in Brazil is small, numbering around 4700 people,
with a majority of them living in Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Manaus.
Way Forward
Both countries must create an environment conducive to trade and investment by
cutting into red-tapism and by providing stable social and political order.
The underutilised areas of trade in fields like agriculture, mining. IT,
Pharmaceuticals etc shall also be given a renewed push. A free trade agreement
favourable to both countries can be worked out in this direction.
The Bilateral Investment Treaty that has been under the table since 2016, needs to
be concluded on a priority basis, so as to ease and boost investment into each
other’s market.
India must utilise Brazil’s expertise in Hydropower generation to realise the
objectives of its New Hydroelectric Policy 2019. This can also help us in cutting our
GHGs emissions.
Brazil & India being two large democracies can cooperate across various multilateral
platforms to establish and ensure a just, equitable, and rule-based multilateral
world order.
From the Indian perspective, these two events and the Iran-Iraq War changed the
balance of power in West Asia by weakening Iran as a regional power and a potential
supporter of Pakistan, a situation favorable to India.
At the same time, proxy superpower competition in Afghanistan strengthened the
hand of India's adversary Pakistan by virtue of the military support Pakistan
received from the United States, China, and Arab states led by Saudi Arabia.
In the 1980s, India performed a delicate diplomatic balancing act. New Delhi took a
position of neutrality in the Iran-Iraq War, maintained warm ties with Baghdad, and
built workable political and economic relations with Tehran despite misgivings about
the foreign policy goals of the Khomeini regime. India managed to improve relations
with Middle Eastern countries that provided support to the Afghan mujahideen and
Pakistan by redirecting Indian petroleum purchases to Saudi Arabia and the Persian
Gulf countries. New Delhi, which traditionally had had close relations with Kabul,
condemned the Soviet invasion only in the most perfunctory manner and provided
diplomatic, economic, and logistic support for the Marxist regime.
In the early 1990s, India stepped back from its staunch anti-Israeli stance and
support for the Palestinian cause. Besides practical economic and security
considerations in the post-Cold War world, domestic politics-especially played a role
in this reversal.
In December 1991, India voted with the UN majority to repeal the UN resolution
equating Zionism with racism.
In 1992, following the example of the Soviet Union and China, India established
diplomatic relations with Israel.
During the 1990-91 Persian Gulf War, Indian policy makers were torn between
adopting a traditional nonaligned policy sympathetic to Iraq or favoring the coalition
of moderate Arab and Western countries that could benefit Indian security and
economic interests. India initially adopted an ambivalent approach, condemning
both the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and the intrusion of external forces into the region.
When the Chandra Shekhar minority government replaced the National Front
government led by V.P. Singh in November 1990, the Indian response changed. Wary
of incurring the displeasure of the United States and other Western nations on
whom India depended to obtain assistance from the International Monetary Fund
(IMF), New Delhi voted for the UN resolution authorizing the use of force to expel
Iraqi troops from Kuwait and rejected Iraq's linkage of the Kuwaiti and Palestinian
problems.
In January 1991, India also permitted United States military aircraft to refuel in
Bombay. The refueling decision stirred such domestic controversy that the Chandra
Shekhar government withdrew the refueling privileges in February 1991 to deflect
the criticism of Rajiv Gandhi's Congress (I), which argued that India's nominal pro-
United States tilt betrayed the country's nonaligned principles.
Prime Minister Narasimha Rao's September 1993 visit to Iran was hailed as
"successful and useful" by the Indian media and seen as a vehicle for speeding up
the improvement of bilateral relations. Key developments included discussions on
the construction of a pipeline to supply Iranian natural gas to India and allowing
India to develop transit facilities in Iran for Indian products destined for the
landlocked Central Asian republics. India also sought to assuage its concerns over a
possible Iranian-Central Asian republics nuclear nexus, which some saw as a
potential and very serious threat to India should Pakistan also join in an Islamic
nuclear front aimed at India and Israel.
When Iranian president Hashemi Rafsanjani visited India in April 1995 to sign a
major trade accord (the accord also was signed by the minister of foreign affairs of
Turkmenistan) and five bilateral agreements, India-Iranian relations could be seen to
be on the upswing.
India and the Middle East Until 1991 to 2014
India’s Look East policy began after the Cold War ended. The Soviet Union’s
disintegration removed it as India’s key global partner, obliging Delhi to work with
the United States, now the dominant power.
India’s state-led development model was also exposed to the demands of the market
and globalization, now the principal form of economic organization.
India’s need to develop economically made the Middle East increasingly important,
both as a source for fuel imports and for Indian labor and remittances. Saudi Arabia,
Iran and Qatar have all been vital suppliers of hydrocarbons.
Since the oil boom of the mid-1970s, the number of Indians living and working in
Arab Gulf states (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman and the UAE) has
grown rapidly. The bulk came from southern states like Andhra Pradesh, Tamil
Nadu and Kerala and while some found employment in white collar jobs, the
majority (70%) work in the low wage, low skilled sectors, like construction.
In response to the growing Indian diaspora, the government established the Ministry
of Overseas Indian Affairs in 2004. In the Arab Gulf states alone, the number of
Indians was estimated at around 5.7 million in 2012, rising to 8.5 million by 2018.
Many of the Indians based there were important contributors to the country’s
finances, accounting for a significant share of its global remittances, which climbed
from $64 billion to $79 billion in the 2012-18 period.
Over time, Indian political and business leaders realized that countries such as
Saudi Arabia and Qatar could supply more than oil and gas, respectively; the wealth
they and the UAE had accumulated also made them potential sources of foreign
investment.
Such interest may well have contributed to the then Manmohan Singh government’s
relative silence in relation to the Arab uprisings in 2011 and opposition to any
foreign intervention.
As a temporary member of the UN Security Council, India abstained on the vote to
impose a no-fly zone over Libya, which it saw as targeted against the Gaddafi regime.
Indian ambivalence was also apparent regarding Syria. As its uprising descended
into war, the Indian government continued its search for balance: it voted for
sanctions but also opposed any attempts at regime change.
2014 till now and the Look West Policy
The broad parameters of India’s Middle East policy were largely in place when new
government was elected in 2014. Rather than take a different path, the new
government followed the same course, but intensified what was becoming known as
the “Look West” policy, by focusing on three main axes: the Arab Gulf
countries, Israel and Iran.
As noted above, India’s relations with the Arab Gulf countries had already
undergone change and expansion since the 1970s. By contrast, India’s relations
with Israel and Iran are more recent, emerging largely since the 1990s.
In the case of Israel, India’s relationship had historically been cool. During the Cold
War, India had stood publicly with the Arab states and the Palestinian nationalist
struggle. Domestic considerations were important here. They included Arab states’
support — or at least absence of criticism — for their management of the Muslim-
majority Jammu and Kashmir and efforts to placate its sizeable Muslim minority.
Over time, both of these considerations became less relevant. Growing Arab-Israeli
dialogue during the 1990s and the Oslo peace process between Israel and the
Palestinians diminished that conflict’s centrality in the region and among Indian
Muslims.
In addition, India had to contend with increasingly critical resolutions against India’s
rule of Jammu and Kashmir from the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC),
which included a number of Muslim Arab states.
By contrast, Israel demonstrated greater sympathy for India in Kashmir. When the
US threatened an arms embargo over the Kargil crisis in 1999, Israel stepped up and
became a key supplier for India: between 2000 and 2015 the Israel-India arms trade
was worth over $2.2 billion.
Israel also showed appeal beyond the arms trade. As one of the most hi-tech and
advanced economies in the Middle East, it potentially offered greater value-added
trade and investment.
In July 2017, Modi became the first Indian prime minister to travel to Israel. During
the visit, Modi and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu signed agreements on
international development, agriculture and space cooperation.
The visit arguably reduced the status and influence of the Palestinians in India’s
foreign policy, which was compounded by a growing rapprochement in late 2018
between Arab Gulf Arab states, reflected in the hosting of Israeli leaders by Oman
and the UAE.
As with Israel, India’s relations with Iran contain both a national security and an
economic dimension. Indian policy makers see relations with Iran not only as a key
energy supplier but also as a way to contribute to enhancing India’s security in
Central and South Asia, by containing India’s main rival, Pakistan, while also
offering a counterweight to China is rising regional presence. For Iran and India
alike, the path to constraining Pakistan lies through Afghanistan, which has become
a base for militant groups whose threats transcend the country’s borders.
India and Iran first agreed to cooperate on the development of trade and transport
links through Central Asia and channel them towards Iran’s Chabahar port on the
Indian Ocean in 2003. However, it would take another decade before the two sides
were able to reach agreement with Afghanistan, in 2016.
The development of Chabahar port and its associated infrastructure is beneficial for
India in two main ways. One is that it will make it easier to access oil imports from
Iran. Another is that it may balance Chinese trade and development projects in
Central Asia and the Middle East, which are associated with its Belt and Road
Initiative (BRI). More specifically, Chabahar offers an alternative to China’s own
efforts to extend influence in the region, including through its own efforts at
improving the port of Gwadar, on the Pakistan side of the border.
10.2 India-Iran
Political:
o India-Iran relations span millennia marked by meaningful interactions. The two
countries shared a border till 1947 and share several common features in their
language, culture and traditions. Indian subcontinent and the Persian Gulf have
strong commercial, energy, cultural and people-to-people links.
o India and Iran established diplomatic links on March 15, 1950. In addition to
the Embassy in Tehran, India has two Consulates in Iran, one in Bandar Abbas
and other in Zahedan. Before the Iranian Revolution of 1979, the Shah of Iran
visited India twice (March 1956 and February 1978) and Prime Minister
Jawaharlal Nehru visited Iran in 1963. Prime Minister Indira Gandhi and Prime
Minister Morarji Desai visited Iran in April 1974 and June 1977 respectively.
o After the Iranian Revolution, Prime Minister Narasimha Rao visited Iran in
1993 and President Rafsanjani paid a visit to India in 1995. Indian Vice
President Shri K. R. Narayanan visited Iran in October 1996.
o The trend was enhanced at the turn of the millennium with the visit of Prime
Minister Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee to Tehran in April 2001 wherein the two
countries signed the “Tehran Declaration” which set forth the areas of possible
cooperation between the two countries.
o President Mohammad Khatami visited India from January 24-28, 2003 as the
Chief Guest at the Republic Day parade. Both sides signed “The New Delhi
Declaration” which set forth the vision of strategic partnership between India
and Iran.
o Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh visited Iran to attend the 16th Non-
Aligned Movement (NAM) Summit held in Tehran from August 28-31, 2012.
Prime Minister met Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President
Ahmadinejad.
o Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi paid a bilateral visit to Iran from May
22-23, 2016. 12 MoUs/Agreements were signed between India and Iran. A
Trilateral agreement on Transit and Transport was signed between India, Iran
and Afghanistan in the presence of Prime Minister
o Shri Narendra Modi, President Rouhani and Afghan President Ashraf Ghani.
Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi also inaugurated the International
Conference titled “India-Iran two great civilizations” in Vahdat Hall, Tehran
and released a Persian Manuscript “Kalileh Wa Dimneh”.
o Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi met the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei
and President Rouhani. A Joint Statement titled “Civilizational Connect,
Contemporary context” was released.
o Dr. Hassan Rouhani, President of the Islamic Republic of Iran, paid his first
State Visit to India at the invitation of Prime Minister of the Republic of
India, Shri Narendra Modi, from February 15-17, 2018. During the visit, Dr.
Rouhani was accompanied by a high-level delegation comprising Cabinet
Ministers, senior officials and business leaders.
o Delegation level discussions were held between Prime Minister Shri Narendra
Modi and President Dr. Rouhani. President Rouhani visited Hyderabad on
February 15-16, 2018. Wide-ranging and 2 constructive discussions on bilateral,
regional and multilateral issues were held in a cordial atmosphere. 13
MoUs/Agreements were signed between India and Iran. President Dr. Rouhani
and Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi agreed to further intensify and diversify
the existing high-level engagement through frequent and wider range of bilateral
exchanges at all levels.
o A Joint Statement titled “Towards prosperity through greater connectivity”
was signed during the visit. Foreign Minister Dr. Javad Zarif visited India on May
28, 2018 and held discussions with then External Affairs Minister Smt. Sushma
Swaraj.
o During the visit of Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi to Tehran in May 2016,
the contract on Chabahar was signed which, inter-alia, comprises investment of
$85 million for equipping the port.
o The contract also comprises of provision of credit of approximately USD 150
million for the development of the 1st Phase of Shahid Beheshti port at
Chabahar.
o The three transport ministers of India, Iran and Afghanistan in the presence of
Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi, President Dr. Rouhani and President Ashraf
Ghani signed the Trilateral Transit Agreement (Chabahar Agreement) in May
2016.
o The second Ministerial level trilateral meeting between Afghanistan, India and
Iran to discuss the implementation of Trilateral Agreement on Establishment of
International Transport and Transit Corridor was held at Chabahar, Iran on
December 3, 2017. Minister of Roads and Urban Development of the Islamic
Republic of Iran Dr. Abbas Ahmed Akhoundi, Minister of Commerce and
Industries of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan Humayoon Rasaw and
theMinister of State for Shipping P Radhakrishnan led the respective delegations.
The three Ministers welcomed the inauguration of Phase-1 of the Chabahar Port
by the President of Iran.
o The 1st Coordination Council meeting of the Chabahar Agreement took place in
Tehran on October 23, 2018. After detailed discussions on the full
operationalization of the trilateral agreement for international transit and
transport through Chabahar Port, all sides shared the view that full
operationalization of the trilateral Chabahar initiative will promote connectivity
and economic development of Afghanistan and the region.
o The 1st meeting of the Follow-up Committee for implementation of the trilateral
Chabahar Agreement between India, Afghanistan and Iran at the level of Joint
Secretary/ Director General was held on December 24, 2018 in the port city of
Chabahar in Iran. On the occasion, India Ports Global Limited (IPGL) Company
opened its office and took over operations at the Shahid Beheshti port at
Chabahar.
Cultural Relations:
o An Indian Cultural Centre is currently functioning within the Embassy premise,
which was inaugurated by Shri Salman Khurshid, the then External Affairs
Minister during his visit to Iran for the NAM summit in May 2013.
o During the visit of Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi to Tehran in May 2016,
MoUs on India-Iran Cultural Exchange Programme, ICCR and ICRO, Iran,
National Archives of India and the National Library and Archives Organisation of
Iran were signed.
o The Indian Cultural Centre was established in 2013 and renamed the Swami
Vivekananda Cultural Centre (SVCC) in 2018. The Embassy organizes
music/cultural/literary programmes/ seminars on cultural/literary issues
related to India and Iran on a regular basis.
o The International Day of Yoga was organized in 2018 and 2019. Weeklong
Yoga events were held for IDY-2019.
o In the run up to the 150th Birth Anniversary of Mahatma Gandhi (from
October 2018 to October 2019), two special events were organized on
October 02, 2018.
o Tree Plantation in setting up of Gandhi Vatika near iconic Tehran Milad Tower
(world’s 6th highest tower) was done in June 2019, led by Ambassador and
Iranian officers.
o President of Indian Council for Cultural Relations (ICCR) visited Iran from
November 30-December 2, 2018 to inaugurate the seminar on ‘Linguistic
Links between Persian and Sanskrit languages – with special reference to
Sanskrit Grammarian Panini’.
Indian Community:
o The Indian community in Iran comprises of around 4000 Indian nationals.
(This includes 80-100 families in Tehran and 13-15 families in Zahedan. There
are approx. 2800 Indian nationals in Qom, Esfahan and Mashhad consisting of
Indian students undergoing theological studies and their family members.
o There are also around 200 Indian nationals working in private companies in
Iran).
o There is an Indian school in Tehran run by the Kendriya Vidyalaya
Sangathan (KVS) under the aegis of Embassy of India.
Summing up
To conclude, it would not be incorrect to state that Iran’s unique geography, its
population and nature have bestowed upon it a unique strategic significance,
making it one of the important players in the global arena.
From India’s perspective, good relations with Iran are an essential imperative for
India’s sustained growth and development.
Its energy resources could easily speed up India’s growth and its landmass could
provide Indian manufacturers’ access to Central Asia and the Caucasus.
Political Relations:
o India and Saudi Arabia enjoy cordial and friendly relations reflecting the
centuries old economic and socio-cultural ties.
o The establishment of diplomatic relations in 1947 was followed by high-level
visits from both sides.
o King Saud visited India in 1955 and the Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru
visited the Kingdom in 1956. The visit of the Prime Minister Indira Gandhi to
Saudi Arabia in 1982 further boosted the bilateral relations.
o The historic visit of King Abdullah to India in 2006 resulted in signing of
‘Delhi Declaration’ imparting a fresh momentum to the bilateral relationship.
o The reciprocal visit by Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh to Saudi Arabia
in 2010 raised the level of bilateral engagement to ‘Strategic Partnership’ and
the ‘Riyadh Declaration’ signed during the visit captured the spirit of enhanced
cooperation in political, economic, security and defense realms.
o The visit of the then Crown Prince, His Royal Highness Prince Salman bin Abdul-
Aziz Al-Saud, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense of the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia (now King) to India in 2014 has further deepened the relations
between our two countries.
o The highly successful visit of Prime Minister Narendra Modi in April 2016
has consolidated the domains of the existing partnership. The conferring of the
highest civilian honor on Prime Minister Narendra Modi by the Saudi King is
an indication of the importance it attaches to its relations with India.
o Further, the ‘State Visit’ honor accorded to the visit of the Saudi Crown
Prince Mohammad bin Salman to India in February, 2019 cemented the ties
Cultural Relations:
o A cultural troupe from ICCR comprising of a Shehnai and a Qawwali group,
performed in Jeddah and Riyadh from 25-29 January 2012, coinciding with the
Republic Day celebrations.
o A 54-member cultural delegation visited the Kingdom to participate in the
‘Indian Cultural Week’, organized in Riyadh in collaboration with the Saudi
Ministry of Culture from November 3-7, 2012. In January-February 2017, an
ICCR sponsored 5-member Qawwali troupe performed in Riyadh, Dammam,
Jubail and Jeddah.
o India successfully participated as ‘Guest of Honor’ in the 32nd edition of the
prestigious Saudi National Festival of Heritage and Culture – Janadriyah
from February7 – 28, 2018.
o Former External Affairs Minister Smt. Sushma Swaraj jointly inaugurated the
India Pavilion with His Majesty King Salman. The India pavilion comprised the
friendship wall, traditional & contemporary India, business stalls, states
part, flavours of India and information desk.
o Yoga was announced as a ‘sports activity’ in November 2017. Since then, the
Embassy has been organizing the International Yoga Day celebrations in an open
area in the centre of Riyadh. The IDY 2018 and IDY 2019 witnessed participation
of large number of Saudi nationals, particularly the youth, in addition to the
Diplomatic Corps, Journalists and Indian diaspora.
Indian Community in Saudi Arabia:
o The 2.6 million (as of August 2019) strong Indian community in Saudi Arabia is
the largest expatriate community in the Kingdom and is the ‘most preferred
community’ due to their expertise, sense of discipline, law abiding and peace
loving nature.
o The contribution made by Indian community to the development of Saudi Arabia
is well acknowledged. In April 2013, His Majesty King Abdullah announced a
grace period allowing overstaying expatriates to correct the status, get new jobs
or leave the country without facing penal action until the end of the grace period
i.e. November 3, 2013. More than 1.4 lakh Indians availed the amnesty and
returned to home without facing penalty.
o Again, Saudi authorities announced amnesty (April – November 2017) during
which around 70, 000 undocumented Indians were issued travel documents to
return back to India.
o The Haj pilgrimage is another important component of bilateral relations. The
Hajj Quota was increased by 24, 975 in 2019, enabling 2, 00, 000 Indians
performing Hajj in 2019. Around 7, 00, 000 Indians also visit the Kingdom to
perform Umrah every year.
Way Forward
The India-Saudi Arabia relationship is important for a variety of reasons but New Delhi
should be careful not to make convergence on Pakistan and Afghanistan a litmus test for
making further progress.
Background
For first time, the term 'Indo Pacific' was used by Japanese PM Shinzo Abe in 2007
to emphasize that there is a connect between Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean.
Indo-pacific combines Indian Ocean Region and Western Pacific Region –into a
singular regional construct.
It refers to maritime space stretching from littorals of East Africa and West Asia,
across the Indian Ocean and western Pacific Ocean, to the littorals of East Asia.
Context
Recently, Ministry of External Affairs has setup a dedicated Indo-Pacific division for
the matters related to the Indo-Pacific.
Why “Indo-pacific” has Gained Importance in Recent Times
There is a growing understanding among global powers that the Indian and Pacific
Ocean are linked strategic theater.
Centre of global power has begun to shift towards the east, especially to Asia.
United States, India, Japan, and Australia — the “Quad” group — is emphasizing
“Indo-Pacific” as a new strategic space.
China’s increasingly active presence in the Indian Ocean region as well as its efforts
to expand geopolitical reach in Asia and beyond by the use of trade and military.
Significance of Indo-Pacific
About 3.5 trillion dollars international trade flows through the South China Sea.
Trade of some of the major economies like China, Japan, Korea or the west coast of
the United States goes through the South China Sea.
It is a very rich region in terms of natural resources (fisheries, oil, gas) as well as
mineral resources.
Significance of the Indo-Pacific for India
Greater Role in the Region: This concept is a shift from Asia-Pacific, where India
did not have a major role to play. However, India is a key player in the Indo-Pacific
region.
Role of a Net Security Provider: where India is expected to assume the
responsibility for stability in the region through capacity building, military
assistance and direct deployment.
Help Achieve Economic Potential: India is targeting a $5 trillion economy by 2025.
Indo-Pacific can aid India to achieve this objective: a) Presence of natural
resources: can help India diversify its import basket. b) Presence of high market
potential: for Indian exports.
Development of North Eastern States: Region can become a gateway for India to
integrate with East and South-East Asia.
It gives an extension to India’s ‘Act East Policy’
Containment of China: Indo-Pacific presents an opportunity to capitalise on
China’s key strategic vulnerability and to showcase Indian Navy’s capability to
dissuade China from any future aggressiveness.
Around 95% of India’s foreign trade comes by the Indian Ocean.
India’s Vision for Indo-Pacific
At Shangri La Dialogue, India embraced the concept of Indo-Pacific
India’s view on Indo-Pacific can be summarized into five S’si: Samman (respect);
Samvad (dialogue); Sahyog (cooperation), Shanti (peace) and Samridhi (prosperity).
SAGAR Approach: Security and Growth for All in the Region.
Indian Initiatives to Strengthen its Position in the Region
Defence Cooperation through military exercises such as Malabar, RIMPAC etc. to
improve inter-operability with other countries in the region.
Asia-Africa Growth Corridor: economic cooperation agreement between India,
Japan and African countries.
Project Mausam: to rediscover the cultural link of past with Indian Ocean littoral
countries.
4.
Background
Context
The last SAARC Summit was held in 2014. The 2016 SAARC Summit was cancelled
after India decided not to participate in the aftermath of Uri terrorist attack.
In the past few years, India has been pushing for regional cooperation under the
BIMSTEC umbrella.
BISTEC
It was formed on June 06, 1997.
Members include India, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and
Thailand.
It is a sector-driven cooperative organization, starting with six sectors but later
expanded to 8 more sectors
SAARC
It was founded in 1985
It has eight member countries: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India,
Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
It is aimed at promoting the welfare of the people; accelerating economic
growth, social progress and culture development; and strengthening
collective self-reliance.
Significance of BIMSTEC
Grouping comprises of 22% of world’s population with a combined GDP close to $3.5
trillion.
A fourth of the world’s traded goods cross the Bay of Bengal every year.
It has high economic potential, given the region’s economic dynamism, huge markets
and rich natural resources.
Grouping appears as a connector to multiple regional initiatives. Among seven-
member countries, five members of BIMSTEC are also members of SAARC, two
are part of ASEAN and six are part of SASEC.
For India, it is a natural platform to fulfil our key foreign policy priorities of
‘Neighbourhood First’ and ‘Act East’.
Issues with SAARC
Non Implementation of Agreements: Numerous agreements have been signed
under SAARC, but they have not been adequately implemented.
Lack of Regional Integration: South Asia Free Trade Agreement is often highlighted
as a prominent outcome of SAARC. Despite SAFTA coming into effect in 2006, intra-
regional trade continues to be at a meagre 5%.
Member Non-Cooperation: Pakistan’s non-cooperation has stalled some major
initiatives under SAARC.
o SAARC–MVA agreement was stalled following Pakistan’s reluctance.
Way Forward
India has to be open to Pakistan because India has investments in Afghanistan &
Pakistan is a key player there.
SAARC and BIMSTEC complement each other in terms of functions and goals ---
totally abandoning SAARC is not a viable option.
India must ensure timely implementation of infrastructural projects in neighbouring
countries.
Background
SCO is a Eurasian political, economic, and security organization formed in 2001
and headquartered in Beijing.
Its driving philosophy is known as The “Shanghai Spirit” which emphasizes
harmony, working by consensus, respect for other cultures, non-interference in
internal affairs of others, and non-alignment.
SCO comprises eight-member states, India, Kazakhstan, China, Kyrgyz Republic,
Pakistan, Russian, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.
Significance of SCO for India
SCO’s main objective of working cooperatively against “three evils” -- terrorism,
separatism and extremism – sits well with India’s focus on counter-terrorism.
SCO bolsters India’s status as a major pan-Asian player, which is boxed in South
Asian paradigm.
SCO countries comprise almost half of world population. Presently tourists from
SCO countries constituted only 6% of India’s total tourists, this can be doubled.
Security: India through RATS can improve its counterterrorism abilities by
working toward intelligence sharing, law enforcement and developing best
practices.
Cooperation on common challenges of terrorism and radicalisation.
Energy: India being an energy deficient country, SCO provides an opportunity to
meet its energy requirements through regional diplomacy.
Talks on construction of stalled pipelines like TAPI pipeline; IPI pipeline can get a
much needed push through SCO.
Trade: SCO provides direct access to Central Asia – overcoming the main hindrance
in flourishing of trade between India and Central Asia.
Geopolitical: Central Asia is a part of India's Extended Neighbourhood – SCO
provides India an opportunity to pursue the “Connect Central Asian Policy”.
Challenges Confronting India in SCO
Given existing deep differences, defence and security cooperation with Pakistan
and China would remain challenging for India.
Russia and China recognise Pakistan’s role in counter-terrorism, India’s position
here is at odds
US’s power struggle with China and adversarial attitude towards Russia (affects
India’s defence purchase like S-400) – India has to tread carefully here.
India has refused to endorse BRI project. Besides, Military standoff at Doklam
damaged the India-China relations.
India and Pakistan: Without any progress on Kashmir issue, mutual cooperation
seems difficult.
India-US-Japan-Australia quadrilateral has also been revived recently against the
backdrop of Chinese assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific.
India’s ability to assert itself would be limited and it may have to play second fiddle
since China and Russia are co-founders of SCO and its dominant powers.
India-Afghanistan and SCO
India has been invited to join SCO contact group on Afghanistan to discuss
prevailing security situation and economic potential of the landlocked country.
SCO membership put India into the heart of Eurasian geo-politics enabling a
larger say in Afghanistan that has direct bearing on security situation here.
A stable Afghanistan too is in India’s interest, and RATS provides access to non-
Pakistan-centred counter-terrorism information there.
Way Forward
SCO provides an opportunity for India and Pakistan to cooperate on issues of
mutual interest without bringing in their bilateral disputes.
With India indicating little use for SAARC, SCO provides only multilateral platform
for it to deal in close proximity with Pakistan and Afghanistan.
SCO’s relevance for India lies in geography, economics and geopolitics.
Multi-alignment: India needs to tread carefully to balance its relationship ties with
US, Japan etc. on one hand and Russia and China on the other – India needs to
pursue multi-aligned foreign policy.
India should follow the SECURE strategy for comprehensive security in the SCO
region.
Background
It was adopted by United Nations General Assembly in 1996.
So far, 184 countries have signed the treaty and 168 of them have also ratified it.
CTBT will come into force when all 44 countries which possess nuclear capability
and research reactors agree to sign and ratify it.
It has not come into force till now because eight countries have not signed or ratified
it as yet.
Treaty bans all nuclear explosions, for both civilian and military purposes, in all
environments.
India did not support the treaty based on its discriminatory nature.
Context
India has been invited to join Comprehensive Nuclear-Test Ban Treaty Organisation
in the capacity of an observer.
CTBTO has been trying to build trust with India and address its concerns which
have restricted India from joining it
Background
The distribution of waters of the Indus and its tributaries between India and
Pakistan is governed by the Indus Water Treaty (IWT).
The treaty brokered by World Bank, was signed on 19 September 1960.
The Permanent Indus Commission (PIC) was set up as a bilateral commission to
implement and manage the Treaty.
The World Bank’s role in relation to “disputes” is limited to the designation of
people to fulfil certain roles when requested by either or both of the parties.
Context
In light of recent terrorist attack in Uri, India has said that the “Blood and Water
cannot flow together”.
Government of India has set up a high level Task Force to look into all the strategic
aspects of the IWT with Pakistan.
Indus Water Treaty --- Success Story
It has been seen as one of the successful water treaty across the globe because it
has survived various India-Pakistan wars and other issues.
Most disagreements have been settled via legal procedures, provided for within the
framework of the treaty. [PIC and World Bank appointed neutral expert]
Renegotiating the Treaty: IWT has a clause for “future cooperation” which allows
the two countries to expand the treaty to address recent challenges like climate-
induced water variability.
13. Miscellaneous
Background
Arctic council is an intergovernmental forum for discussing and resolving issues
related to the Arctic region.
Arctic Council does not forbid commercial exploitation of natural resources in the
region. Engaging with regional actors will help in ensuring energy security of India.
Arctic melting will help in better understanding of Himalayan glacier melting and its
effects on Indian monsoon.
Indian Initiatives in Arctic Region
Himadri, India’s only research station in the region opened in 2008.
Norwegian Programme for Research Cooperation with India (INDNOR): India and
Norway’s bilateral research cooperation.
India and Russia have signed agreements and are cooperating on shared
production projects and offshore exploration.
India’s ONGC (Videsh) holds a 26-percent stake in Russia’s Vankorneft project.
Way Forward
India should try for a global commons approach, and the region being treated in
the same manner as Antarctica.
Collaboration to Diversify the Sources: Procurement of Natural Gas or newer
resources like methane hydrates, from Arctic region will diversify India’s energy
imports.
A Platform to Further its Global Standing: India’s relative absence in Working
Groups displays India’s underexploited potential in Arctic governance. India needs to
actively engage with Arctic Council.
Background
United Nations Security Council (UNSC) is one of the six principal organs of
UN, charged with ensuring international peace, accepting new members to UN and
approving changes to UN charter.
Out of a total 15 members, five are permanent --- China, United States, Russia,
France and United Kingdom (P5).
UNSC was established in 1945
Context
India has criticised the slow pace of UNSC reform process and opaque
methodologies and obfuscation of references by member states which are blocking
the early reform of the UN.
G4 (Japan, Brazil, Germany and India) has called for early reform of UNSC
What Constitutes Reform Agenda
Issues Identified by UN General Assembly for Reform: 1) Categories of
membership 2) Question of veto 3) Regional representation 4) Size of an enlarged
Council and its working methods 4) Security Council-General Assembly relationship.
Since 1993, UNGA has debated UNSC reform but has not been able to reach
agreement, primarily due to “institutional inertia”.
Need for UNSC Reforms
Changed Geopolitics: Security Council's membership and working methods do not
reflect the present geopolitics and realities as UNSC has changed relatively little
since 1945.
India has Created G4 with Brazil, Germany, and Japan: to negotiate reforms of
UNSC. The four nations support each other's bids for permanent seats on an
expanded Security Council.
Background
Belt and Road Initiative is a development strategy adopted by China to build a
trade, investment, and infrastructure network connecting 3 continents -- Asia,
Europe and Africa along the ancient trade routes.
BRI consists of two projects: a) Land based Silk Road Economic Belt b) Sea based
Maritime Silk Road.
BRI was announced in 2013.
China calls BRI as “a bid to enhance regional connectivity and embrace a
brighter future”.
The project has a targeted completion date of 2049, which coincides with 100th
anniversary of People’s Republic of China.
It covers about 65% of world population, 60% of world GDP and over 70 countries in
six economic corridors.
Objectives of BRI
Market for Excess Capacity: BRI will help China access new markets for its excess
capacity in the manufacturing and construction industries particularly steel, cement
and machinery.
Boost Trade: with the rich European markets by means of transportation links
Develop Western Region of China: particularly Xinjiang which is relatively
underdeveloped by increasing economic activities in those regions.
Creating Alternative Energy Supply Routes: to the choke points of Straits of
Hormuz and Malacca, through which almost all of China’s maritime oil imports pass.
Strategically Important as China utilizes its economic clout to build it soft power.
Counter Asia-Pivot: BRI is also seen as a strategic response to the military re-
balancing of the USA to Asia --- Asia pivot strategy
Internationalization of Renminbi: The massive overseas investment in BRI will
speed up the internalization of Renminbi.
New Investment Option: China has accumulated a large amount of capital over the
last few decades. It is not looking for new investment opportunities that preserve and
increase the value of that accumulated capital.
Who is Participating in BRI Project
China has signed a co-operation agreement on the BRI with 126 countries and 29
international organisations.
Most of the countries in Asia and all of India’s neighbours, except Bhutan have
taken part in the project.
India has rejected participation in BRI project.
Alliances: Japan has agreed to promote India’s “Act East” policy by developing
and strengthening reliable and sustainable infra that augments connectivity
within India and between India and other countries in the region.
Way Forward
India should cooperate with like-minded countries like Japan, US, Australia to
provide alternatives to BRI, e.g. Asia-Africa Growth Corridor etc.
India now needs to match ambition with commensurate augmentation of its
capacities that allows it to be a net security provider in the Indian Ocean region.
India needs to open free and frank discussion with China so as to address its
concerns regarding BRI.
13.4 Brexit
Background
A referendum was held in 2016, to decide whether UK should leave or remain in
European Union
Referendum went in the favour of UK leaving the European Union, popularly
called as BREXIT.
UK started the exit process by invoking Article 50 of EU's Lisbon Treaty. But
withdrawal agreement reached between EU and UK has been rejected three times
by UK MPs.
UK’s Exit from EU - an economic and political partnership of 28 countries —
brings an end to 46 years of British membership, since it joined six-nation
European Economic Community in 1973.
Why Britain Left EU
Brexit discourse became popular in UK after the Eurozone economic crisis.
Important factors for British Resentment: a) Economic insecurity b) Populist
nationalism c) British exceptionalism.
BREXIT: Consequences
On European Union:
o Trade Buoyancy: Disintegration of largest single market will negatively impact
global value chains.
o EU’s Share in: global exports of G&S will fall from 34% to 30%.
o Geopolitical Standing: Along with Germany and France, the UK has long been
viewed as one of the EU’s “big three”. Brexit could diminish the EU’s role as an
international actor.
o It may lead to increased xenophobia and de-globalization due to inward looking
political and economic policies of member countries in the wake Brexit.
On Britain:
o Studies have indicated that the economic costs of Brexit can be 2-2.5% of GDP.
o After 2016 Brexit referendum, many companies have shifted their operations to
continental Europe or other regions.
o As per WB, British exports to EU would be hit by $7.5 billion in new tariffs
annually under WTO framework.
o Impact on International Treaties: After exit, UK will need to renegotiate about
759 treaties in the sectors such as fisheries, trade and transport among
others.
On India:
o Bilateral Relations: Brexit will make the conclusion of a bilateral free trade pact
easier due to new simple procedures and processes.
o According to a report by Commonwealth: Brexit provides an opportunity to
India to strengthen its economic relationship with UK through India–UK trade
and investment agreement.
o Indian Companies in UK: At present, roughly 800 Indian companies operate in
the UK which serves as an entry point to the European market. Hard Brexit
would negatively impact this direct access of Indian companies to EU market.
o Indian professionals: will be able to compete on merit rather than on
nationality, as UK will no longer have to favour EU nationals.
Way Forward
India needs to expedite the negotiations to finalize the FTA with Britain.
Indian companies should take proactive decision --- to relocate to EU from UK or not
– so as to deal with the new realities after Brexit.
Background
Conceived by the then Russian foreign minister in 1998, RIC grouping has met
annually since 2002.
Together, RIC countries occupy over 19% of global landmass and contribute to over
33% of global GDP.
All three are nuclear powers and two, Russia and China, are permanent members of
the UN Security Council.
RIC is important as Russia, India and China carry important voices in
international politics and have the potential to significantly influence world
events.
Context
For the second year in a row, trilateral Russia-India-China informal meeting took
place on the side-lines of the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan.
Importance of RIC
Strategic: Despite differences India, China and Russia have converging interests in
Eurasia, like, peaceful and stable Afghanistan. RIC provides an important platform
for the three countries to work together towards this objective and by extension, in
Central Asia.
RIC forms the core of both the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and
BRICS. Also, Russia can act as bridge between India and China, as it enjoys strong
relations with both.
Economic: The trio could contribute to creating a new economic order, by
pushing reforms in global economic governance and international economic
cooperation.
Energy Security: Russia being a major exporter of energy and India and China
being major consumers -- three countries can discuss the creation of an Asian
energy grid, which could go a long way in ensuring energy security in the region.
Climate Change: RIC countries could work together on disaster relief and
humanitarian assistance.
RIC countries have emphasised on global issues --- reforms in UN, Global Counter-
Terrorism Strategy, addressing world drug problem, Prevention of arms race in outer
space etc.
RIC Relevance to Stakeholders
Russia: RIC becomes a tool to demonstrate to the West, that despite their shunning
Russia, it still has partners like India and China.
China: RIC provides a platform where it can push its interests in Eurasia.
China would also like to use RIC along with Russia to send a signal to West that
they are unhappy with its bloc-like approach to Asia-Pacific.
India: RIC summit is a reflection of its global power status aspiration as it is being
wooed by every forum today.
Outcomes of Recent Meet
RIC committed itself to multilateralism and principles of Charter of United Nations.
Countries called for reform of UN, including its UNSC, to making it more
representative, effective and efficient.
RIC strongly condemned terrorism in all its forms. It called for early adoption of
Comprehensive Convention on International Terrorism (CCIT).
RIC also called for adoption of convention against drug trafficking, peaceful uses of
outer space, prohibition of biological, chemical weapons.
RIC called for peace in Afghanistan through an Afghan-led, Afghan-owned peace
and reconciliation process.
Way Forward
RIC trilateral is a significant multilateral grouping, because it brings together the
three largest Eurasian countries which are also incidentally geographically
contiguous.
India is a member of diverse groupings like Quad, Japan-USA-India and RIC --- this
reflects India’s strategic autonomy and rising global stature.
Background
It is the second largest inter-governmental organization after the United Nations,
established in 1969 with a membership of 57 states spread over four continents.
Its administrative headquarter is in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.
OIC is the collective voice of the Muslim world.
It endeavours to safeguard and protect the interests of the Muslim world in the spirit
of promoting international Peace and harmony among various people of the world.
Context
Recently for the first time India’s External Affairs Minister, attended the inaugural
plenary of 46th session of Council of Foreign Ministers of Organisation of Islamic
Countries.
The invitation is seen as a major triumph for Indian diplomacy and a major setback
for Pakistan.
It also reflects recent boost in economic and security ties with West Asian nations.
o This is the first time that a leader of non-Muslim country has been invited to OIC
conference.
o It was recognition of third largest Muslims population in India and of India’s
contribution to Islamic world.
Negatives:
o A resolution was passed at the summit expressing “unwavering support for the
Kashmiri people in their just cause” and condemning the recent waves of
Indian “terrorism”.
o The resolution criticised the human rights excesses of Indian forces and called
for the implementation of UNSC resolutions on Kashmir.
o Despite holding the third largest Muslim population in the world, India was
never invited to any meeting of the OIC.It is mainly due to opposition from
Pakistan to admit India into OIC.
o Pakistan used OIC to oppose India’s rule in Jammu & Kashmir.
o For first time since OIC came into existence, India attended a meet of OIC.
o The significant shift in the policy of OIC from not considering India to inviting it
is due to the changing geopolitics of Middle East.
India and OIC
OIC can become another important forum where India can showcase its diversity
and equal treatment of all its citizens with their diverse religious believes.
OIC’s growing economic and energy interdependence with India has become
important in recent times.
Presence of Pakistan: Pakistan has always objected India’s entry into the group.
OIC’s stance on Jammu and Kashmir: OIC has been issuing statements supporting
Pakistan and criticizing alleged atrocities and human rights violations by India.
Position on Israel: OIC condemns any arbitrary steps by Israel which undermine
international efforts to reach the two-states solution. Though traditionally, India has
been a supporter of two-State solution, its deepening relation with Israel can be a
challenge.
India and OIC Membership
India’s Stand: India had shown an interest in joining OIC as a member state at the
time of its formation. However, India has never made a formal application to that effect.
View of OIC Members on India’s Membership
Former Saudi ruler Abdullah had, in 2006, proposed that India become an
observer in OIC.
Pakistan's is opposed to India’s membership and threatened to boycott OIC. This
is a major obstacle in India's inclusion in OIC as a member.