Saeed Rahimi

Ratky
Email: saeedrahimiratky@gmail.com

Export Potential report

Regarding Potatoes, prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid (excluding
frozen) (HS code: 200520) as considered product
Considering Iran as exporting country
CONTENTS

Executive Summary .................................................................................................. 1

Top Importing countries ........................................................................................... 2
Iran’s target countries............................................................................................... 6
Export potential surveys ......................................................................................... 10
Reverse revenue stream suggestion........................................................................ 12
Other information .................................................................................................. 13
 1
Executive Summary

• Globally speaking, considered product annual

trading value is around $2.4 billion.
• Regarding considered product, Iran’s export worth
about $107.4 million which composes 4% of
international trade.
• Iranian exporters can enhance their activity by
market expand by focusing on “Armenia”, “Italy”,
“United Arab Emirates”, “Azerbaijan” and
“Turkey”.
• To optimize benefits, we propose exporters to
import products those are listed below:
o Butter (040510)
o Birds' eggs in shell (0407)
o Cashew nuts, shelled (080132)
o Fresh or dried almonds in shell (080211)
o Fresh or dried almonds, shelled (080212)
o Hazelnuts, in shell (080221)
o Hazelnuts, shelled (080222)
o Walnuts, in shell (080231)
o Apples, fresh (080810)
o Peaches, pears, papayas, etc., unmixed, dried (081340)
o Coffee, roasted, not decaffeinated (090121)
o Black tea, packings <=3kg (090230)
o Black tea, packings >3kg (090240)
o Pepper (Piper), not crushed, not ground (090411)
o Semi-milled or wholly milled rice (100630)
o Sunflower seeds (120600)
o Cotton seeds (1207)
o Vegetable seeds for sowing (120991)
o Vegetable fats, oil & fractions, hydrogenated, inter-
esterified, etc. (151620)
o Cocoa powder (180500)
o Olives (200570)
o Coffee preparations (210112)
o Bran, sharps & other residues of wheat (230230)
o Oilcake of soya-bean oil (230400)
o Oilcake of cotton seeds (230610)
o Insecticides, rodenticides, fungicides, herbicides &
similar (3808)
 2
Top Importing countries
 Importing 200520's Imported value (US Dollar thousand) 200520's Imported value from Iran (US Dollar thousand)
countries 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total
World 2,077,262 2,161,055 2,385,207 2,513,410 2,406,077 11,543,011 52,270 79,102 123,301 123,658 425 378,756
France 200,812 224,709 244,495 255,645 246,320 1,171,981 - - - - 5 5
Germany 151,489 171,423 197,477 197,183 196,522 914,094 11 1 1 19 14 46
United States
165,212 162,278 173,083 196,221 204,554 901,348 - 14 7 - - 21
of America
Canada 118,668 123,656 131,485 131,460 126,473 631,742 2 8 8 7 3 28
Netherlands 98,451 107,495 116,137 113,904 131,679 567,666 - - 19 - - 19
United
71,755 68,384 92,272 116,090 85,330 433,831 37 38 7 4 5 91
Kingdom
Iraq 53,128 79,094 120,710 122,159 2,579 377,670 49,706 75,479 118,343 120,015 - 363,543
Hong Kong,
61,463 65,929 55,829 57,122 56,239 296,582 - - - - - -
China
Spain 55,720 59,518 54,560 63,304 61,746 294,848 - - - - - -
Belgium 57,688 54,908 59,269 61,438 59,285 292,588 - - - - - -
Ireland 54,262 55,798 57,655 59,192 48,456 275,363 - - - - - -
Italy 52,993 53,102 51,538 54,279 62,058 273,970 27 10 10 - - 47
Denmark 50,379 44,669 53,356 52,424 56,331 257,159 - - - - - -
Sweden 48,385 41,301 42,763 37,838 39,912 210,199 2 1 1 - 1 5
Mexico 51,399 42,068 38,378 37,150 40,330 209,325 - - 2 - - 2
Austria 25,781 26,367 28,840 32,689 31,455 145,132 1 5 2 3 5 16
Singapore 19,538 20,220 25,181 36,634 40,654 142,227 - - - 19 - 19
Russian
21,570 23,989 32,269 32,823 27,417 138,068 - - - - 12 12
Federation
Japan 19,893 21,492 31,690 27,508 29,846 130,429 - - - - - -
Lithuania 16,742 17,329 25,470 30,848 32,142 122,531 - - - - - -
 Total imported value (US Dollar thousand) Total imported value from Iran (US Dollar thousand)
Importing
countries
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total

World 16,560,186,024 16,069,177,983 17,786,915,498 19,680,314,583 19,084,935,199 89,181,529,287 60,040,642 78,267,311 91,737,444 96,617,521 30,256,565 356,919,483

France 563,204,454 559,283,575 609,088,414 660,155,685 637,949,069 3,029,681,197 18,848 37,626 42,286 27,614 51,980 178,354

Germany 1,053,388,444 1,056,664,804 1,164,586,085 1,286,008,402 1,236,217,435 5,796,865,170 321,839 319,761 359,713 254,478 232,283 1,488,074
United States
2,315,252,992 2,249,113,117 2,406,362,556 2,612,379,157 2,568,396,449 12,151,504,271 10,001 102,016 132,632 45,186 1,439 291,274
of America
Canada 420,159,798 402,638,900 432,857,718 460,109,333 453,157,225 2,168,922,974 19,912 64,571 67,355 33,382 22,262 207,482

Netherlands 412,644,304 408,052,966 461,902,679 521,035,628 514,857,688 2,318,493,265 60,355 127,542 84,798 41,041 15,490 329,226
United
630,251,058 636,367,936 640,907,689 671,694,258 692,494,170 3,271,715,111 35,836 41,426 48,549 29,021 27,074 181,906
Kingdom
Iraq 47,137,939 42,078,482 51,549,067 53,667,745 49,754,994 244,188,227 6,214,059 6,131,482 6,425,016 8,960,694 - 27,731,251
Hong Kong,
559,305,500 547,124,448 589,317,440 627,327,031 578,590,151 2,901,664,570 325,467 519,987 379,480 202,573 46,469 1,473,976
China
Spain 304,708,111 302,931,265 341,421,161 391,056,705 375,485,170 1,715,602,412 188,750 244,082 182,782 117,830 103,544 836,988

Belgium 371,025,047 379,298,335 409,024,844 454,713,801 426,489,085 2,040,551,112 55,809 90,257 123,999 69,769 43,123 382,957

Ireland 77,795,266 82,028,942 88,828,357 106,931,073 101,473,370 457,057,008 121 385 143 171 606 1,426

Italy 410,933,398 406,670,670 453,583,034 503,581,134 473,562,250 2,248,330,486 644,038 460,693 422,898 276,366 170,542 1,974,537

Denmark 85,327,361 84,427,761 92,117,788 101,663,501 97,209,694 460,746,105 10,296 8,830 12,557 7,289 9,124 48,096

Sweden 138,360,517 140,983,635 154,195,426 170,591,780 158,958,869 763,090,227 14,021 14,096 18,748 13,032 11,182 71,079

Mexico 395,232,368 387,064,500 420,369,150 464,276,595 455,289,486 2,122,232,099 4,330 55,960 34,554 4,727 2,076 101,647

Austria 147,927,653 149,987,386 166,475,081 184,195,201 176,596,131 825,181,452 13,647 11,062 28,282 19,705 17,378 90,074

Singapore 296,773,959 283,045,050 327,492,650 370,940,515 359,008,256 1,637,260,430 11,006 309,147 42,680 37,618 3,952 404,403
Russian
177,292,663 182,261,656 226,966,395 238,151,375 243,780,553 1,068,452,642 173,149 218,952 285,656 280,510 391,357 1,349,624
Federation
Japan 648,436,326 608,071,912 672,100,069 749,092,205 720,964,445 3,398,664,957 38,164 1,138,565 425,217 241,284 1,164,593 3,007,823

Lithuania 28,176,442 27,391,399 30,978,718 36,501,414 35,759,416 158,807,389 5,052 7,628 8,405 2,180 1,760 25,025
“United States of America”, “Germany”, “Netherlands”, “Denmark”,
“Singapore”, “Italy” and “Lithuania” are export potential countries for Iranian
exporters.
 6
Iran’ s target countries
 200520's Imported value (US Dollar thousand) 200520's Imported value from Iran (US Dollar thousand)
3
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total
World 2,077,262 2,161,055 2,385,207 2,513,410 2,406,077 11,543,011 52,270 79,102 123,301 123,658 425 378,756
Iraq 53,128 79,094 120,710 122,159 2,579 377,670 49,706 75,479 118,343 120,015 - 363,543
Afghanistan - - - - 1,764 1,764 - - - - 226 226
Turkmenistan 1,931 1,777 1,736 1,154 269 6,867 1,189 1,047 1,378 838 - 4,452
Qatar 2,336 - 3,320 4,746 8,288 18,690 3 150 62 - 215
Pakistan 305 181 188 91 18 783 - 33 5 9 - 47
Syrian Arab
2,283 1,887 1,405 1,646 1,232 8,453 - - 39 113 - 152
Republic
Turkey 3,449 3,039 3,466 3,767 5,999 19,720 - - - 45 76 121
Oman 1,089 1,070 1,096 839 893 4,987 - 6 26 55 - 87
Kuwait 3,498 3,278 2,474 3,789 4,705 17,744 17 10 3 19 24 73
United Arab
9,036 11,233 11,885 13,864 14,446 60,464 33 - 5 5 5 48
Emirates
Italy 52,993 53,102 51,538 54,279 62,058 273,970 27 10 10 - - 47
Armenia 1,514 1,224 1,731 2,427 2,965 9,861 - 13 - 2 29 44
Azerbaijan 6,189 4,694 4,859 6,183 8,466 30,391 - 10 2 19 8 39
Germany 151,489 171,423 197,477 197,183 196,522 914,094 11 1 1 19 14 46
Canada 118,668 123,656 131,485 131,460 126,473 631,742 2 8 8 7 3 28
Bahrain 1,464 1,581 1,723 2,101 1,830 8,699 2 2 7 10 1 22
Australia 6,366 9,554 11,296 8,664 10,349 46,229 1 10 5 5 - 21
United States
165,212 162,278 173,083 196,221 204,554 901,348 - 14 7 - - 21
of America
Singapore 19,538 20,220 25,181 36,634 40,654 142,227 - - - 19 - 19
Netherlands 98,451 107,495 116,137 113,904 131,679 567,666 - - 19 - - 19
 Total imported value (US Dollar thousand) Total imported value from Iran (US Dollar thousand)
Importing
countries
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total

World 16,560,186,024 16,069,177,983 17,786,915,498 19,680,314,583 19,084,935,199 89,181,529,287 60,040,642 78,267,311 91,737,444 96,617,521 30,256,565 356,919,483

Iraq 47,137,939 42,078,482 51,549,067 53,667,745 49,754,994 244,188,227 6,214,059 6,131,482 6,425,016 8,960,694 - 27,731,251

Afghanistan 7,722,865 6,534,140 7,792,600 7,406,590 6,776,781 36,232,976 2,562,510 2,458,333 2,791,259 2,926,662 1,247,102 11,985,866

Turkmenistan 6,717,433 5,603,487 4,408,008 2,798,927 3,022,721 22,550,576 719,548 547,395 417,961 399,805 - 2,084,709

Qatar 32,610,464 - 29,896,357 31,695,930 29,178,065 123,380,816 146,583 103,052 248,535 225,250 214,174 937,594

Pakistan 43,989,645 46,998,269 57,518,651 60,391,133 50,134,812 259,032,510 639,135 795,900 930,165 1,247,234 532,615 4,145,049

Syrian Arab
5,564,062 4,864,825 6,267,263 6,828,539 5,723,516 29,248,205 149,422 256,324 326,104 158,808 - 890,658
Republic

Turkey 207,235,628 198,601,934 233,799,651 223,046,879 200,658,596 1,063,342,688 1,314,723 3,247,488 3,990,399 2,367,251 3,100,087 14,019,948

Oman 29,007,335 23,147,560 26,434,873 25,770,092 31,679,489 136,039,349 375,857 543,999 520,712 728,569 - 2,169,137

Kuwait 31,909,234 30,826,337 33,569,729 35,866,655 33,530,893 165,702,848 238,062 188,639 248,081 253,121 227,481 1,155,384

United Arab
287,024,695 270,779,149 273,710,850 261,510,757 267,937,296 1,360,962,747 4,894,456 7,417,422 6,696,657 5,949,220 1,235,103 26,192,858
Emirates

Italy 410,933,398 406,670,670 453,583,034 503,581,134 473,562,250 2,248,330,486 644,038 460,693 422,898 276,366 170,542 1,974,537

Armenia 3,256,965 3,218,458 3,893,455 4,849,935 5,071,644 20,290,457 102,110 179,228 205,895 158,990 324,702 970,925

Azerbaijan 9,214,281 8,472,500 8,767,799 11,460,338 13,649,269 51,564,187 231,959 358,627 323,773 410,530 452,628 1,777,517

Germany 1,053,388,444 1,056,664,804 1,164,586,085 1,286,008,402 1,236,217,435 5,796,865,170 321,839 319,761 359,713 254,478 232,283 1,488,074

Canada 420,159,798 402,638,900 432,857,718 460,109,333 453,157,225 2,168,922,974 19,912 64,571 67,355 33,382 22,262 207,482

Bahrain 16,377,718 14,721,614 17,390,914 20,591,586 18,589,050 87,670,882 9,766 11,346 11,618 11,806 11,278 55,814

Australia 201,212,236 189,223,659 221,108,910 227,703,770 214,273,705 1,053,522,280 30,143 51,016 39,428 31,815 16,349 168,751

United States
2,315,252,992 2,249,113,117 2,406,362,556 2,612,379,157 2,568,396,449 12,151,504,271 10,001 102,016 132,632 45,186 1,439 291,274
of America

Singapore 296,773,959 283,045,050 327,492,650 370,940,515 359,008,256 1,637,260,430 11,006 309,147 42,680 37,618 3,952 404,403

Netherlands 412,644,304 408,052,966 461,902,679 521,035,628 514,857,688 2,318,493,265 60,355 127,542 84,798 41,041 15,490 329,226
“Qatar”, “Turkey”, “Kuwait”, “United Arab Emirates”, “Italy”, “Armenia”,
“Azerbaijan”, “United States of America”, “Singapore”, “Germany” and
“Netherlands”are export potential countries for Iranian exporters.
 10
Export potential surveys
Importing countries Export Potential Untapped Potential Remaining Applied tariff to 200520
Iraq $99.8 mn - 0.0%
Afghanistan $4.9 mn $2.4 mn 10.0%
China $3.7 mn $3.7 mn 5.0%
Azerbaijan $2.3 mn $2.2 mn 15.0%
Kazakhstan $2.1 mn $2.1 mn 9.0%
Tajikistan $1.8 mn $1.8 mn 15.0%
Turkmenistan $1.8 mn $688.5 k 0.0%
Georgia $1.8 mn $1.7 mn 12.0%
Russian Federation $1.7 mn $1.7 mn 9.0%
Hong Kong SAR $1.7 mn $1.7 mn 0.0%
Thailand $1.4 mn $1.4 mn 30.0%
Uzbekistan $1.4 mn $1.4 mn 20.0%
United Arab Emirates $1.2 mn $1.2 mn 5.0%
Armenia $1.2 mn $1.1 mn 9.0%
Kyrgyzstan $934.8 k $933.5 k 9.0%
Syrian Arab Republic $787.3 k $730.4 k 20.0%
Turkey $715.0 k $709.0 k 39.0%
Jordan $625.1 k $625.1 k 15.0%
Italy $443.1 k $440.5 k 9.4%
Ukraine $375.9 k $375.9 k 12.0%
 • Sunflower seeds (120600)
• Vegetable seeds for sowing (120991)
Vegetable fats, oil & fractions,
hydrogenated, inter-esterified, etc.
(151620)
Cocoa powder (180500)
• Cashew nuts, shelled (080132)
• Fresh or dried almonds in shell (080211)
• Fresh or dried almonds, shelled (080212)
• Walnuts, in shell (080231)
• Black tea, packings <=3kg (090230)
• Black tea, packings >3kg (090240)
• Pepper (Piper), not crushed, not ground (090411)
• Semi-milled or wholly milled rice (100630)
• Insecticides, rodenticides, fungicides,
herbicides & similar (3808)
• Semi-milled or wholly milled rice (100630)
• Vegetable seeds for sowing (120991)
suggestion
Reverse revenue stream
• Butter (040510)
• Birds' eggs in shell (0407)
• Hazelnuts, in shell (080221)
• Hazelnuts, shelled (080222)
• Apples, fresh (080810)
• Black tea, packings <=3kg (090230)
• Black tea, packings >3kg (090240)
• Sunflower seeds (120600)
• Cotton seeds (1207)
• Vegetable fats, oil & fractions, hydrogenated, inter-
esterified, etc. (151620)
• Bran, sharps & other residues of wheat (230230)
• Oilcake of soya-bean oil (230400)
• Oilcake of cotton seeds (230610)
• Peaches, pears, papayas, etc., unmixed,
dried (081340)
• Coffee, roasted, not decaffeinated (090121)
• Olives (200570)
• Coffee preparations (210112)
12
 Other information
Italy's import time trend (average monthly import for 2016-2020)
6,000

5,000

4,000
unit : US thousend dollar

3,000

2,000

1,000

13
-
jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec
 Turkey's import time trend (average monthly import for 2016-2020)
600

500

400
unit : US thousend dollar

300

200

100

-
jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec
 United Arab Emirates's import time trend (average monthly import for 2015-2019)
1,400

1,200

1,000
unit : US thousend dollar

800

600

400

200

-
jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec
 Armenia's import time trend (average monthly import for 2015-2019)
250

200
unit : US thousend dollar

150

100

50

-
jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec
 Azerbaijan's import time trend (average monthly import for 2015-2019)
800

700

600

500
unit : US thousend dollar

400

300

200

100

-
jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec