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SOME PERSPECTIVES ON 5G /

SATELLITES AT MM WAVE

February 28, 2018

Acknowledgement: ESOA

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ITU WRC-2019 AI 1.13 – Spectrum For IMT/5G

AI 1.13
WRC-19 To consider identification of frequency bands for the
future development of IMT including possible additional
WRC-15 – Future Agenda allocations, in accordance with Resolution 238

IMT Identifications • 36 GHz of spectrum have been identified at


IMT in New MS WRC-15 as candidate bands for further
in GHz Allocations in GHz studies for 5G/IMT.
24.25–27.5 • Sufficient spectrum from which to find
31.8–33.4
37–40.5 “more” spectrum for IMT/mobile/5G
40.5–42.5
42.5–42.5 47–47.2 • Important to consider ONLY these bands,
45.5–47 which were identified on the basis of global
47.2–50.2 consensus at WRC-2015.
50.4–52.6 • Global harmonization of spectrum is key to
66–76 the development of satellite and terrestrial
81–86 wireless telecommunications
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‘Key mmwave Bands For Satellite / Space Services’

Frequency Band WRC-2019 Satellite Context


(GHz) Agenda Item Industry Use
for 5G/IMT
24.25 –27.50 Yes Existing & Some GEO and Non-
Planned GEO systems
27.5 – 29.5 No Existing & Many GEO and Non-
Planned GEO systems
37.0 - 52.6 ‘Yes’ Existing & Various GEO and
Planned Non-GEO systems
66.0 – 71.0 / Yes ‘Planned’ TBD
71.0 – 76 / Some government
81 - 86 systems
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‘Potential mmwave Bands For Terrestrial 5G/IMT’

Frequency Band WRC-2019 Use for Terrestrial 5G / IMT-2020


(GHz) Agenda
24.65 –27.50 Yes ESOA can support*
66.0 – 71.0 / Yes ESOA fully supports for 5G/IMT-2020
71.0 – 76 GHz /
81- 86 GHz
40.5 – 43.5 Yes ESOA can support* in ITU R1
* - subject to ensuring proper technical / regulatory
conditions to enable long term viable and sustainable
access by satellite / space services without undue
constraints.

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‘Is 5G A Myth’
Professor William Webb, deputy chair at
Cambridge Wireless, CEO of Weightless, general
all-round wireless communications and regulatory
expert (spent seven years with UK regulator,
Ofcom)

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‘Business Case For 5G ?’
5G business cases don't exist, says BT Group CEO in grim assessment of tech
Mobile Europe / 16 November 2017

The difference between those developing 5G and the ones counting the cost of deployment has
been throw into stark contrast with the CEO of BT Group claiming there are no business cases
for the next generation technology.

Speaking at Huawei's Global Mobile Broadband Forum in London today (16 November), Gavin
Patterson also claimed 5G would cause more security risks and potentially affect jobs.
The CEO’s remarks either amounted to a stark reality check amid excitable predictions and
industry hopes, or a gloomy prognosis that 5G could stutter in the same way 3G did.
Given Patterson's typically upbeat assessments of the telecom industry's future over the years,
his stance could set alarm bells ringing that getting investment in new technologies may prove
harder than tech teams might expect.
The CEO repeatedly talked about the uncertainty of 5G’s return on investment. He said: "We
need to build the business case for 5G. Innovation is there...but ultimately as carriers we need to
make significant investment and put capex down."
He added: "From 3G to 4G the case was underpinned by going from what was a pretty poor
performance to one that opened up the opportunity for mobile. We haven't found that for 5G. It
will be a better performance, no doubt about that, but the business case isn't there."
© Avanti Communications Group plc
‘Business Case For mmwave 5G Terrestrial ?’

ROM COST ESTIMATE FOR CAPEX FOR MMWAVE 5G ROLLOUT IN A MAJOR CITY

GREATE
CITY R GREATER GREATER
LONDO
N MANCHESTER WEST MIDLANDS

https://en.wikipedi
a.org/wiki/List_of_u

AREA km2 1737 630 598 rban_areas_in_the_


United_Kingdom

5G CELL SIZE (typical) m 200 200 200 From 5G industry sources

125663.706
AREA OF 5G CELL m2 125664 1 125663.7061 Assume 5G cell coverage is circular

5013.38070
NO. OF CELLS NEEDED 13823 7 4758.732798

5G BASE STATION
COST US$ k 75 75 75 Estimate

TOTAL COST US$ million 1036.7 376.0 356.9


(per 5G Operator) US$ billion 1.0 0.4 0.4

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‘5G Ecosystem / Terrestrial + Satellite’

High risk for new 5G Digital Divide between


 Dense Urban v Urban / Suburban
 Urban v Rural

 Very high economic cost of mmwave 5G network will be disincentive to invest

 There is need for 5G Ecosystem to support a mix of terrestrial licensed (4.X G, 5G) ,
terrestrial unlicensed (WIFI, WIGIG) and satellite systems (GEO / Non-GEO)

 Satellite systems will be very important in enabling wide-area coverage 5G services.


including but not limited to:

 In sub-urban areas
 Along motor-ways / roads (e.g. for connected cars)
 Rural areas

 Collaboration / cooperation between terrestrial operators and satellite operators


will be essential to deliver a viable 5G ecosystem
© Avanti Communications Group plc

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