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All content following this page was uploaded by Amber John on 26 June 2020.
To cite this article: Amber John, Jennifer Rusted, Marcus Richards & Darya Gaysina
(2020): Bidirectional relation between affective symptoms and cognitive function from
middle to late adulthood: a population-based birth cohort study, Aging & Mental Health, DOI:
10.1080/13607863.2020.1758916
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The sample with at least one measure of affective symp- significantly associated with poorer verbal memory function
toms or cognition available at any time point (Verbal at age 69 (b ¼ 0.60, SE ¼ 0.25, p ¼ .02).
memory: N ¼ 3125; Processing speed: N ¼ 3127) was com- The fully adjusted model also fit the data well (v2(2) ¼
pared on key childhood and adulthood variables with the 7.03, p ¼ .03; CFI ¼ 1.00, TLI ¼ 0.99; RMSEA ¼ 0.03). The
sample with missing data on all assessments of cognition fully adjusted model showed that all autoregressive path-
and affective symptoms (Verbal memory: N ¼ 2237; ways were significant. Results also revealed that there was a
Processing speed: N ¼ 2235). The sample with key data significant association between verbal memory and affective
available did not differ from the sample with missing data symptoms at age 53 (b ¼ 0.18, SE ¼ 0.04, p < .001), but
on anxiolytic medication use (p ¼ .08). However, the sam- this cross-sectional effect no longer persisted over time at
ple with missing data had significantly more males and ages 60–64 (b ¼ 0.03, SE ¼ 0.02, p ¼ .20) and age 69 (b ¼
fewer females than the sample with complete data avail- 0.03, SE ¼ 0.02, p ¼ .06). Additionally, higher affective
able (p < .001). The sample with missing data also had symptoms at age 53 significantly predicted lower verbal
significantly lower socioeconomic position at age 15 (p ¼ memory performance at age 60–64 (b ¼ 0.58, SE ¼ 0.27, p
.02), lower cognitive scores at age 15 (p < .001), lower ¼ .03), and higher affective symptoms at age 60–64 were
educational level (p < .001), higher affective symptom significantly associated with poorer verbal memory at age 69
scores at age 36 (p ¼ .01), higher affective symptom (b ¼ 0.64, SE ¼ 0.29, p ¼ .03). There were no significant
scores at age 43 (p ¼ .03), and lower antidepressant longitudinal associations between verbal memory scores and
usage in adulthood (p < .001). Due to differences subsequent level of affective symptoms (Figure 2).
between the sample with complete covariate data and
the sample with missing data, a sensitivity analysis was
conducted using a multiple imputation approach to Processing speed
impute all covariate data. Further information about the The cross-lagged processing speed model was also a good
multiple imputation process is available in Supplementary fit to the data (v2(2) ¼ 0.81, p ¼ 67; CFI ¼ 1.00, TLI ¼ 1.00;
Materials 1. Table 1 shows basic information for the sam- RMSEA ¼ 0.00). The unadjusted model revealed that as
ples included in the analysis. with the verbal memory model, all autoregressive pathways
were statistically significant, showing stability in constructs
over time. In this unadjusted model, there were no cross-
Longitudinal measurement model for sectional or longitudinal associations between affective
affective symptoms symptoms and processing speed.
A second-order CFA of the GHQ measurements over time The fully adjusted model was also a good fit to the data
was fitted to ensure this was an appropriate fit to the data (v2(2) ¼ 1.76, p ¼ .41; CFI ¼ 1.00, TLI ¼ 1.00; RMSEA ¼
for subsequent analysis. The second-order CFA fit the data 0.00). In the fully adjusted model, all of the autoregressive
well (v2(3387) ¼ 17,138.88, p < .001; CFI ¼ .915; TLI ¼ pathways remained significant. There was a significant
.912; RMSEA ¼ .036). Indicators all loaded significantly onto association between affective symptoms and processing
the factors (p < .001). Measurement invariance of the first- speed present at age 53 (b ¼ 0.13, SE ¼ 0.06, p ¼ .05),
order factors was assessed by constraining factor loadings but not at ages 60–64 (b ¼ 0.02, SE ¼ 0.03, p ¼ .52) or
to be equal across time over the first order. There was not 69 (b ¼ 0.02, SE ¼ 0.02, p ¼ .31). Additionally, results
a significant deterioration in model fit after constraining from the fully adjusted model showed that higher level of
according to a chi-square difference test (Supplementary affective symptoms at age 60–64 significantly predicted
Table S2). Next, factor loadings were constrained to be worse processing speed performance at age 69 (b ¼
equal over the first and second-order factors. Again, model 1.27, SE ¼ 0.41, p ¼ .002). No other cross-lagged path-
fit did not significantly deteriorate (Supplementary Table ways were statistically significant (Figure 3).
S2). Therefore, it was concluded that the GHQ captured the
same latent construct over the three waves for both the
Sensitivity analysis
first- and second-order factors.
As a sensitivity analysis, the main models were re-run after
excluding participants who died by age 69 from the ana-
Cross-lagged models lysis, to ensure results were not influenced by mortality.
Verbal memory These models fit the data well (Verbal memory: v2(2) ¼
The cross-lagged verbal memory model showed good fit to 6.86, p ¼ .03; CFI ¼ 1.00; TLI ¼ 0.99; RMSEA ¼ 0.04.
the data (v2(2) ¼ 5.39, p ¼ .07; CFI ¼ 1.00, TLI ¼ 1.00; Processing speed: v2(2) ¼ 1.76, p ¼ .42; CFI ¼ 1.00; TLI ¼
RMSEA ¼ 0.02). The unadjusted model showed that all 1.00; RMSEA ¼ 0.00). Results from verbal memory models
autoregressive pathways were significant, demonstrating including the sample alive by age 69 remained consistent.
stability in constructs over time for both verbal memory The fully adjusted model showed a significant cross-sec-
and affective symptoms. There were significant cross-sec- tional association between affective symptoms and verbal
tional associations between verbal memory and affective memory at age 53 (b ¼ 0.16, SE ¼ 0.05, p ¼ .001), and
symptoms at all ages (Age 43: b ¼ 0.09, SE ¼ 0.05, p ¼ significant lagged pathways between affective symptoms
.05; Age 60–64: b ¼ 0.04, SE ¼ 0.02, p ¼ .03; Age 69: b ¼ at age 53 and verbal memory at age 60–64 (b ¼ 0.65, SE
0.03, SE ¼ 0.01, p ¼ .04). Poorer verbal memory function ¼ 0.28, p ¼ .02) and between affective symptoms at age
at age 53 significantly predicted higher affective symptoms 60–64 and verbal memory at age 69 (b ¼ 0.64, SE ¼
at age 60–64 (b ¼ 0.002, SE ¼ 0.001, p ¼ .004). 0.29, p ¼ .03). No other pathways reached statistical signifi-
Additionally, higher affective symptoms at age 60–64 was cance. Results from processing speed models excluding
4 A. JOHN ET AL.
Figure 2. Cross-lagged model of affective symptoms and verbal memory from age 53 to 69. Fully adjusted model. GHQ 99 and Memory 99 are measures col-
lected in 1999 (at age 53); GHQ 09 and Memory 09 - between 2006-2009 (at age 60-64); and GHQ 15 and Memory 15 - in 2015 (at age 69).
people who died by age 69 were also similar to those from Main models were re-run excluding people taking anxio-
the main models. Specifically, affective symptoms at age lytic or antidepressant medication. Results from this ana-
60–64 significantly predicted poorer processing speed at lysis were similar to main models. The models fit the data
age 69 (b ¼ 1.27, SE ¼ 0.41, p ¼ .002). Again, no other well (Verbal memory: v2(2) ¼ 4.82, p ¼ .09; CFI ¼ 1.00; TLI
pathways were statistically significant. ¼ 0.99; RMSEA ¼ 0.03. Processing speed: v2(2) ¼ 1.22, p ¼
AGING & MENTAL HEALTH 5
Figure 3. Cross-lagged model of affective symptoms and processing speed from age 53 to 69. Fully adjusted model. GHQ 99 and Processing Speed 99 are
measures collected in 1999 (at age 53); GHQ 09 and Processing Speed 09 - between 2006-2009 (at age 60-64); and GHQ 15 and Processing Speed 15 - in 2015
(at age 69).
.54; CFI ¼ 1.00; TLI ¼ 1.00; RMSEA ¼ 0.00). Results from age 69. However, verbal memory function did not predict
verbal memory models showed that there was a cross-sec- subsequent affective symptoms at any time point. Results
tional association between affective symptoms and verbal for processing speed models were similar; higher affective
memory function at age 53 (b ¼ 0.14, SE ¼ 0.05, p ¼ symptoms at age 60–64 significantly predicted poorer proc-
.002), and a longitudinal association between affective essing speed at age 69. Processing speed did not predict
symptoms at age 53 and verbal memory function at age later affective symptoms at any time point assessed.
60–64 (b ¼ 0.63, SE ¼ 0.31, p ¼ .04). No other cross-sec- Overall, these results are consistent with previous research
tional or lagged pathways reached statistical significance. showing that affective symptoms can predict subsequent
Results from processing speed models showed no signifi- cognitive function (James et al., 2018; John, James, et al.,
cant cross-sectional associations between affective symp- 2019; John, Patel, et al., 2019). These findings extend previ-
toms and processing speed function. However, affective ous evidence by demonstrating that this relationship does
symptoms at age 60–64 significantly predicted lower proc- not operate in the opposite direction over the period
essing speed scores at age 69 (b ¼ 1.38, SE ¼ 0.46, p ¼ of 16 years.
.003). No other longitudinal pathways were significant. There are four primary hypotheses that can explain
Finally, a sensitivity analysis was run, using multiple associations between affective symptoms and cognitive
imputation to impute missing covariate data. Again models function over time. First, affective symptoms may be a risk
fit the data very well (Verbal memory: v2(2) ¼ 2.88, p ¼
factor for poorer cognitive ageing outcomes (Bennett &
.24; CFI ¼ 1.00; TLI ¼ 1.00; RMSEA ¼ 0.01. Processing
Thomas, 2014; Butters et al., 2008). Second, affective symp-
speed: v2(2) ¼ 1.29, p ¼ .53; CFI ¼ 1.00; TLI ¼ 1.00; RMSEA
toms may be a prodromal symptom of cognitive impair-
¼ 0.00) and results were consistent with main models. The
ment (Bennett & Thomas, 2014; Butters et al., 2008; Byers &
fully adjusted verbal memory model showed significant
Yaffe, 2011). Third, there may be a common cause factor
cross-sectional associations between affective symptoms
which increases the risk of both affective disorders and
and verbal memory function at age 53 (b ¼ 0.15, SE ¼
poorer cognitive function (Bennett & Thomas, 2014;
0.04, p < .001) and age 60–64 (b ¼ 0.04, SE ¼ 0.02, p ¼
.03), but not at age 69 (b ¼ 0.02, SE ¼ 0.01, p ¼ .10). Djernes, 2006). Finally, affective symptoms may emerge as
Affective symptoms at age 60–64 also significantly pre- a response to awareness of verbal memory impairment
dicted poorer verbal memory at age 69 (b ¼ 0.73, SE ¼ (Vinkers et al., 2004). The temporal sequencing over an
0.25, p ¼ .004). No other longitudinal pathways were sig- extended time frame which emerges in this study does not
nificant. The fully adjusted processing speed model support the fourth possibility that affective symptoms
revealed a significant cross-sectional association between reflect a subjective response to cognitive impairments.
affective symptoms and processing speed at age 53 (b ¼ Instead, these results indicate that affective symptoms may
0.16, SE ¼ 0.05, p ¼ .003) but not at ages 60–64 (b ¼ precede cognitive impairments by several years and that
0.01, SE ¼ 0.02, p ¼ .68) or age 69 (b ¼ 0.03, SE ¼ increased affective symptoms predict later cogni-
0.02, p ¼ .12). Affective symptoms at age 60–64 signifi- tive function.
cantly predicted poorer processing speed at age 69 (b ¼ The finding that affective symptoms predicted subse-
0.73, SE ¼ 0.36, p ¼ .04), but no other pathways reached quent processing speed at the later time point only sug-
statistical significance. gests that the effects of affective symptoms on processing
speed, may not be observed until later in the life course.
This is consistent with previous research showing that adult
Discussion affective symptoms can predict poorer midlife verbal mem-
There was a cross-sectional inverse association between ory function at age 50, but no effects were observed on
affective symptoms and both verbal memory and process- information processing speed at this age (John, James,
ing speed at age 53, but not at ages 60–64 or 69. Higher et al., 2019). This finding is inconsistent with work that sug-
affective symptoms at age 53 significantly predicted lower gests processing speed may be an important component
verbal memory scores at age 60–64, and affective symp- in verbal memory processing (Salthouse, 1996). This can
toms at age 60–64 also predicted lower verbal memory at potentially be explained by the digit checking task
6 A. JOHN ET AL.
containing a motor component, compared to the verbal Davis, D., Bendayan, R., Muniz Terrera, G., Hardy, R., Richards, M., &
component within the verbal memory task. Kuh, D. (2017). Decline in search speed and verbal memory over 26
years of midlife in a British birth cohort. Neuroepidemiology, 49(3–4),
Future research should focus on identifying biological
121–128. doi:10.1159/000481136
and socio-behavioural mechanisms of the longitudinal Djernes, J. K. (2006). Prevalence and predictors of depression in popu-
association between affective disorders and cognitive func- lations of elderly: A review. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 113(5),
tion. Future research should also investigate whether 372–387. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0447.2006.00770.x
effective treatment of affective symptoms can reduce the Gale, C. R., Allerhand, M., & Deary, I. J. (2012). Is there a bidirectional
relationship between depressive symptoms and cognitive ability in
risk of poorer cognitive outcomes later in life.
older people? A prospective study using the English Longitudinal
Study of Ageing. Psychological Medicine, 42(10), 2057–2069. doi:10.
1017/S0033291712000402
Strengths and limitations Gulpers, B., Ramakers, I., Hamel, R., Ko €hler, S., Oude Voshaar, R., &
Verhey, F. (2016). Anxiety as a predictor for cognitive decline and
The key strength of the study is a large, nationally repre- dementia: A systematic review and meta-analysis. The American
sentative, and prospective sample, with 16-year follow-up. Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry, 24(10), 823–842. doi:10.1016/j.jagp.
An additional strength of the study is the use of consistent 2016.05.015
measures of affective symptoms and cognitive function. Hatch, S., Feinstein, L., Link, B. G., Wadsworth, M., & Richards, M.
However, sample attrition is a problem in all long-running (2007). The continuing benefits of education: Adult education and
midlife cognitive ability in the British 1946 birth cohort. Journal of
cohort studies. In the present study, missing data were Gerontology, 62(6), 404–414.
addressed using FIML methods and an additional supple- Jajodia, A., & Borders, A. (2011). Verbal memory predicts change in
mentary analysis was conducted using multiple imputation. depression in older adults: A bidirectional longitudinal study. The
Another limitation of the study is that single cognitive tests Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social
were used to measure verbal memory and processing Sciences, 66B(5), 571–581. doi:10.1093/geronb/gbr035
James, S.-N., Davis, D., O’Hare, C., Sharma, N., John, A., Gaysina, D., …
speed, rather than more comprehensive cognitive batteries. Richards, M. (2018). Lifetime affective problems and later-life cogni-
Results from the present study show that affective tive state: Over 50 years of follow-up in a British Birth Cohort
symptoms can predict poorer cognitive outcomes over a Study. Journal of Affective Disorders, 241, 348–355. doi:10.1016/j.jad.
16-year period. Understanding longitudinal associations 2018.07.078
between affective symptoms and cognitive function offer John, A., James, S.-N., Patel, U., Rusted, J., Richards, M., & Gaysina, D.
(2019). Longitudinal associations of affective symptoms with midlife
insights into maintaining better cognitive health for longer. cognitive function: Evidence from a British birth cohort. British
Journal of Psychiatry, 215(5), 675–682. doi:10.1192/bjp.2019.24
John, A., Patel, U., Rusted, J., Richards, M., & Gaysina, D. (2019).
Acknowledgements Affective problems and decline in cognitive state in older adults: A
systematic review and meta-analysis. Psychological Medicine, 49(3),
We would like to thank the Economic and Social Research Council
353–365. doi:10.1017/S0033291718001137
(ESRC) for supporting this project (Grant number: ES/J500173/1). We
Jorm, A. F. (2001). History of depression as a risk factor for dementia:
also acknowledge the MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL
An updated review. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry,
for making NCDS data available. Finally, we would like to thank the
35 (6), 776–781. doi:10.1046/j.1440-1614.2001.00967.x
NSHD cohort members who have dedicated their time to make this
Kaplan, G. A., Turrell, G., Lynch, J. W., Everson, S. A., Helkala, E.-L., &
research possible.
Salonen, J. T. (2001). Childhood socioeconomic position and cogni-
tive function in adulthood. International Journal of Epidemiology,
30(2), 256–263. doi:10.1093/ije/30.2.256
Disclosure statement Kearney, M. W. (2017). Cross-lagged panel analysis. In M. R. Allen (Ed.),
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors. The SAGE encyclopedia of communication research methods (pp.
1–6). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Kuh, D., Pierce, M., Adams, J., Deanfield, J., Ekelund, U., Friberg, P., …
Data availability statement NSHD Scientific and Data Collection Team. (2011). Cohort profile:
Updating the cohort profile for the MRC National Survey of Health
Data can be accessed upon application to MRC Unit for Lifelong and Development: A new clinic-based data collection for ageing
Health and Ageing at UCL. research. International Journal of Epidemiology, 40(1), e1–e9. doi:10.
1093/ije/dyq231
Kuh, D., Wong, A., Shah, I., Moore, A., Popham, M., Curran, P., …
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