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The Future-Ready

University
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Introduction
Universities have existed lectures and study online. This Future research will look
Key trends shaping the higher education sector
in some form for over a once in a generation event has to expand both the breadth
millennium. In that time, they accelerated certain trends that and depth of engagement, Hybrid teaching
have had to continuously were already emerging, and particularly in geographies such the move to enhance learning with digital methods and materials
evolve in response to external triggered a wholescale rethink of as Africa and South America.
events, from wars to plagues to what we really want from higher Net Zero
changing economic systems. education. Our research and interviews the increasing need to address the climate crisis
This ability to adapt is one of identified six key factors shaping
Resilience
their greatest strengths. This report aims to think the future of the higher education
developing capacity to withstand shocks and stresses
about how higher education is sector (right). We first look
Today, the higher education changing, and what this will at how these issues vary by Commercial pressures
sector is going through another mean for the design, operation geography, before delving into new commercial models to increase business resilience
period of significant change, and experience of universities each in greater detail.
with social, technological, in the coming decades, both in Campus operations
environmental and economic terms of the physical layout of better management of facilities
trends shaping how, what and campuses and buildings, but also The physical campus
where students learn. This report in terms of how education is how physical campuses and spaces will adapt
aims to elucidate these factors delivered.
and explore what they mean for
the future of universities and Arup has a strong network
tertiary education institutions. of partnerships with tertiary
institutions predominately in the
The most immediately UK, Europe, North America,
pressing factor is, of course, Australia, and Asia. We have
the COVID-19 pandemic, conducted interviews with
which has had a particularly experts at partner universities
profound impact. It caused worldwide to identify key issues
major disruptions to campus affecting higher education, and
activity, and transformed the learn how individual institutions
way students learn, pushing are addressing them.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Snapshots of regional challenges


facing universities
This report examines a variety of trends, experiences, Key insights from Europe Increased workload, stress and
and new issues facing academic institutions around Many universities are thinking anxiety, coupled with the further
hard about resilience when blurring of the boundaries
the world to understand their responses to change. faced with an uncertain future. between work and home life,
Every country has its own unique culture and history Despite the incredible success of have been challenges at all
of higher education. It is therefore valuable to COVID-19 vaccines, risks and institutions. Students have had
consider how these issues interact with local contexts. uncertainty remain. The disease’s a particularly difficult time.
continued global spread, the rise They have experienced solitude
Based on our interviews with experts in local higher of new variants and disparate and isolation, in addition to the
education institutes, different regions highlighted impacts across swathes of the strains of relentless screen-based
different issues. global population give reason to education. All this at a time they
be cautious. should have been immersed in
a stimulating, enjoyable and
With education being defined highly social community-based
by interaction in this region – environment, and those in fee-
collaboration and conversation paying countries feel they are not
among educators, students and getting value for money.
their peers – the pandemic has
challenged the fundamental Our respondents expect a hybrid
business models and delivery of blended physical and digital
methods across all forms of learning to remain central to the
higher education in Europe. student offer. This is shaped not
The pandemic forced many only by the current pandemic,
universities to reconfigure their with the risks of a resurgence
operations and adapt, almost and the potential for reinfection,
overnight, to a fully remote but also by the digital transition
model of learning. that was already underway.
The shift to remote working
quashed the persistent myth that

© iStock
“shirking from home” was both
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

undesirable and unworkable. As a return to ‘normality’ came Key insights from Australia
Instead, a new culture of trust earlier to East Asia than most and New Zealand
and transparency has emerged parts of the world, universities To date, Australia and New
around digital education. New were able to open up sooner, Zealand have been successful
challenges have emerged, not enjoying strong demand for in limiting infection and death
least the increased risks in terms the on-campus experience, in rates of COVID-19 relative to
of cyber security. addition to the hybrid lectures other OECD counties. This has
experience. been achieved through closing
Key insights from East Asia borders early and enforcing
Asian universities were less The nature of East Asian cities is strict quarantine measures for all
severely impacted by COVID-19 an important factor. Apartments entering. The benefit of distance
than their counterparts are generally small, home from other parts of the world and
elsewhere. Governments in to multiple generations and being island nations has helped
these countries, having learned unlikely to contain dedicated with these actions.
lessons from the SARS outbreak office space – making it more
of 2002-2004, were able to enact desirable to return to campus. Strict international travel
measures with high compliance The density and co-location restrictions have had a significant
quickly and isolate themselves that universities depend on will impact on the arrival of
relatively well from COVID-19. need to be continually assessed international students resulting
and managed. The ongoing in disruption to academic
All major universities took operations of lecture theatres, programmes and major cash flow
measures to control access to offices and residences will need challenges for universities in this
campus and implemented early to remain agile, with processes region. Universities have had to
remote learning protocols. and protocols put in place to prove their resilience; adjusting
Local enrolments remained enable executive bodies to to an online learning model
relatively high, particularly from respond rapidly to the ongoing while proactively controlling
(mostly) local undergraduate dynamics of current and future capital spend and reducing
students. The bigger hit came to pandemics. operating costs. The situation
postgraduate programs due to the remains strained while borders
© Andy Wang, Unsplash

constraints around international remain closed and there is a


travel. strong desire to welcome back
students from overseas.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Lockdowns have varied from and storms putting further


state to state – including length pressure on the region. For
and restrictions. These have been these reasons and a general
very disruptive for the education high awareness of the impact
sector. While extended and re- of climate change, tertiary
occurring lockdowns across institutions continue to be
the country have advanced the industry leaders in sustainability,
technical quality and delivery setting targets and driving
of online learning material; the sustainable outcomes for the
overwhelming feedback from benefit of all who work, learn
students is a desire to return and and visit on campus.
have the campus experience.
The importance of campus as a Other topics concerning
“haven” for students to study, Australian and New Zealand
spend time and connect may universities include re-evaluating
be particularly key in a country the student mix to be more
where many do not live away resilient given possible future
from home. border closures, developing
aligned government and industry
Access to quality data to partnerships to help fund
inform decision making has research and capital investment,
also accelerated throughout the and re-orienting certain research
pandemic. Improvements in data agendas to tackle climate
collection driven by the need to change. There is also a renewed
report on contact tracing, agile emphasis on the campus as a
timetabling and coordination of place of collaboration and social
campus movement will provide connection - shaped by better
ongoing benefits for campus integrated First Nations’ insights
operations. - as well as consideration of

A number of extreme weather


long-term hybrid models of
student and faculty care.
“The overwhelming feedback from
© Leon, Unsplash

events have affected Australia


and New Zealand with
students is a desire to return and
unprecedented bushfires, floods have the campus experience.”
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

and how both these spaces


Key Insights from In the longer term, real structural can be leveraged to optimise
North America and institutional innovation is results. A key hurdle for North
Higher education across North now being discussed in earnest. American universities will be
America has been profoundly This includes the idea of lifelong the preservation of institutional
impacted by the COVID-19 learning ‘subscription’ models “brand” in a hybrid environment,
crisis. In the spring of 2020, with universities developing 60- especially when part of the
colleges across the continent year curriculums tailored to suit student population may only
found themselves racing to people’s evolving needs over the receive a virtual experience. This
design hybrid curriculums and span of their lives. Pivotal to this is not an easy challenge, and
implement or extend the virtual ambition is the need to lower the is the focus of many ongoing
learning platforms necessary to barriers of entry for populations conversations among university
support them – all while facing for whom higher education has faculty and campus planners.
increasing uncertainties. traditionally been out of reach.
In the following chapters, we
With these programs now in The industry is also experiencing delve into the issues affecting
place, university decision makers an explosion in highly reputable higher education in greater
and designers alike are focused on third-party online learning detail, and explore what
how this cultural inflection point platforms which are aligned implications they have for the
can be used to make educational with the continent’s – and the design of buildings, operations
institutions more agile and world’s – leading universities. and management.
resilient, and better able to deliver The goal of these alliances is to
high quality education within share knowledge and intellectual
the context of a rapidly evolving resources across the world,
pedagogy. and to engage a global student
body wherever they are – all via
Faculty members have largely low-cost or free online course
embraced digital learning and offerings.
virtual platforms overnight.
Education is transitioning from It is essential that research-
a resource that students must go informed decisions are made
and collect at a specified location about which educational
© iStock

to something that can be delivered activities happen virtually


to them on demand, wherever and which occur on campus,
they are, via the internet.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Hybrid teaching:
a blended offer
Hybrid teaching refers to a model where universities The way hybrid teaching looks professional-grade software and
provide part of their teaching in person on campus, will depend on the course, but hardware to provide engaging,
also on individual students’ enriching, useful, productive,
and part online via the internet. This trend was already and lecturers’ preferences. In a accessible and collaborative
emerging prior to the pandemic but was massively chemistry degree, for example, learning environments.
accelerated as countries went into lockdown. we can expect students to For instance, institutions
spend several hours each week such as the University of
in the laboratory performing Wollongong in Australia and
experiments. But it might be Harvard Business School in
common to offer theory lectures North America invested heavily
over a digital learning platform in high tech teaching spaces.
that students log into from home. Students were given multiple
Meanwhile, students on a history monitors, tracking devices
course might have the option of and touch screens to interact
either going to lectures in person with tutors and other students
or watching a live stream from remotely and have a professional
home, but are obliged to attend and polished experience. By
small seminars where ideas are furnishing students, lecture halls
discussed with peers. and seminar rooms with smart
technology, these universities
Before the pandemic, most are better able to deliver a truly
universities’ online learning hybrid experience that breaks
environments were fairly down the barriers between
limited, existing predominantly those in the room and those
as a kind of virtual library and connecting remotely. It also

© Brooke Cagle, Unsplash


timetable system. The pandemic prepares students for the kind of
has provided an opportunity to technology they will be using at
expand and improve what can be work once they graduate.
done with these environments.
Universities are starting to use
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

What hybrid teaching will particularly younger students, factors are in providing choice,
mean for students according to an ethnographic convenience, and accessibility
For many students, the on- study carried out by University for all.
campus experience has College London (UCL). Being
been severely compromised on campus provides international Mature students, many of
throughout the pandemic, with a students developing skills whom juggle competing
sudden shift to remote learning in a second language, a very responsibilities, also benefit
and interaction. What will a important opportunity to do so, from the flexibility that remote
hybrid university experience through networking, interaction learning provides. Online
mean for students? and learning. Digital platforms lectures offer benefits from a
do not facilitate or encourage neurodiversity standpoint too.
In a hybrid future, face-to-face interaction in the same way that For example, students that dislike
engagement may be prioritised a face-to-face discussion can – physical proximity or who feel
for the more discursive, although this could improve as uncomfortable in crowded places
collaborative and practical technology advances over time. can attend lectures remotely in a
sessions in smaller groups Universities will need to be more comfortable environment
(e.g. seminars) and one-on- conscious of these issues when where they can focus without
one or two-on-one meetings planning courses. distraction and anxiety.
(e.g. tutorials). However, this
“concentrate at home, collaborate That being said, the digital Remote teaching modalities can
on campus” approach could well transition has offered a number easily facilitate the engagement
prove too simplistic. Digital of benefits. Lectures that are of a wider, more international
technology will only improve broadcast online give students pool of lecturers and presenters
online collaboration as it evolves. more control and flexibility. too, no longer space-bound to
What is more, many students Students watching live can a physical campus location.
will prefer studying in university still ask questions and interact Academics could even ‘call in’
libraries over cramped and noisy remotely. They can also drop from the field, to give students
student accommodation. in and out, pause or replay key an inspiring view of the most
passages. And it can be popular. cutting-edge research.
© The Lens, Kim Johnsen

In honing the hybrid offer, the Lecture attendance was reported


very real impacts of online by some universities as being
learning need to be recognised. higher during COVID-19. This
Online interactions can feel points to the end user experience
very transactional to students, and how important these
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Besides the learning experience periodic training and upskilling


itself, it is also clear that students as more technologically
around the world want the advanced methods for hybrid
opportunity to socialise and teaching come on stream.
interact within a vibrant campus-
Hybrid teaching: key points
based community. International Over time, more technology
students also want the social and will be introduced into the A mix of digital and in-person teaching will become the norm
cultural immersion that comes classroom or lecture hall. New
from living and studying abroad. digital solutions will cater for Investment in digital technologies will make hybrid teaching
University is an opportunity to those joining remotely. As these smoother
build life-long friendships and become more embedded and
Students will expect universities to continue offering ways to interact
have fun too, so institutions must robust, those joining online could
face to face
provide space to support this. enrich and energise the in-person
lecture hall experience – through Issues such as IP and equity of access need to be addressed sooner
What hybrid teaching will lively Q&A sessions or via tools rather than later
mean for staff and faculty such as real-time polling to
As a result of the pandemic, canvas opinion, for example.
many faculty members are now
trained in the use of digital tools One emerging challenge that
and platforms for teaching. comes from the accelerated
Lessons have been learned from use of hybrid learning could
market leaders in e-learning such be intellectual property (IP).
as the Open University, and from Some academics fear that their
personal experience – staff now job security could be threatened
know more about how best to should their employer accrue
manage, or avoid, long hours an archive of their lectures over
and prolonged periods of screen- time. Considerations are needed
based teaching. should a lecturer decide to move
on or retire – what would happen
Ongoing hybrid learning will to their recordings and who
require that academics build would own the IP? These and
on their familiarity with digital other questions relating to the
platforms and functionality. value of digital content will need
Faculty members will need to be addressed.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Net Zero:
responding to the climate crisis
Many higher education institutions have declared a What does the climate crisis mean additional greenhouse gas
climate emergency, setting targets to reach ‘net zero’. for universities as they plan for the emissions.
future?
Some have put in place Climate Emergency executive Consideration also needs to be
boards with a remit to look at everything, from Perhaps most pressing is the topic given to the carbon savings or costs
capital projects and estate rationalisation, to resource of new construction on campus. that could accrue from the blended,
efficiency and procurement. The preparation, planning Capital works programmes hybrid model. At first sight, remote
typically feature an abundance of learning appears to promise lower
and execution of effective strategies is no small new buildings which will result emissions, since fewer people
challenge given the complexity involved. in significant greenhouse gas are on campus, and therefore
emissions being produced in their using less energy. However, we
development. Universities may have seen from the experience
reconsider their focus on building of many universities that energy
new developments and could loads and requirements persisted
instead look for options to improve despite having minimal people on-
their existing buildings through site during lockdowns. This is in
refurbishment, energy efficiency, some instances due to controlled
electrification and procurement of research environments needing to
renewable electricity. be maintained.

They will also need to think about Capital assets and infrastructure
how they are run. As part of day also continued to require powering
to day on-campus operations, regardless, to either maintain
universities procure extensive servers or to keep buildings secure
inventories of goods and services and habitable for a much smaller

© Callum Shaw, Unsplash


and this procurement carries a number of users. Furthermore,
carbon cost. Universities also students would be increasing
generate substantial volumes of energy use off campus and
waste for which collection and therefore having an increased
remediation processes produce impact on the planet.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Wageningen University & Research

One example of a university New approaches to campus - Build less University of Oxford
that is prioritising net zero construction Once a new build is deemed
is the National University of Many universities expect rising necessary, we must consider University of Nottingham
Singapore, which is taking great student numbers in the coming how we can build less while still
strides to become a sustainable, years (see following chapter), meeting the basic objectives of Nottingham Trent University
carbon neutral and ‘cool’ campus and many plan to expand their the planned asset. For instance,
by 2030. The university has footprint with new facilities. designing for multiple flexible University of California, Davis
set up taskforces to tackle the However, construction is a uses to maximise utilisation, or Umwelt-Campus Birkenfeld
sustainability challenge across major cause of carbon emissions reducing mass or materiality (Trier University of Applied Sciences)
water, energy, waste, and green and biodiversity loss, so how to reduce the accumulation
space. The use of integrated can universities address these of greenhouse gas emissions University of Groningen

photovoltaics is replacing competing pressures? associated with an asset.


traditional cladding, while Leiden University

natural ventilation and district One method is to reassess how - Build clever
University College Cork
cooling systems have been rolled universities approach new Once a new asset’s design has
out across the campus, especially construction using the following been optimised, embodied
Universita di Bologna
targeting ‘transient spaces’ such value hierarchy: carbon can be further reduced
as walkways. Green canopies are through clever design strategies.
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000
also being developed to promote - Build nothing When designing, we must
microclimates around buildings Before we explore reducing ask: can low carbon design Greenmetric score

and public spaces. For instance, greenhouse gas emissions in considerations, materials,
Setting & infrastructure Energy & climate change Waste
the University has committed design and construction, it technologies, and products
to plant 10,000 trees per year, is essential that universities be used to minimise resource Water Transport Education & research

with planting events becoming first re-examine the need to consumption and greenhouse gas
an opportunity for students to build anything new at all. emissions during the lifecycle
socialise. Reusing or repurposing existing stages of the asset? Top 10 most sustainable
superstructure and materials universities globally
saves resources, saves cost, - Build efficiently According to the UI GreenMetric World
and saves carbon. However, The final step in reducing University Rankings 2020
refurbishment often involves a embodied carbon associated with
complex reworking of existing new construction is to improve
structures and services. efficiency using low carbon
construction technologies and
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

techniques. Active measures are flat, and use the savings made
those which seek to improve through efficiency gains to
the efficiency of mechanical invest in further energy-saving
cooling, heating, ventilation and mechanisms.
lighting. District heating and/or
district cooling can be applied Meanwhile Arup’s masterplan
across campuses. The move to for Cyprus International
passive design where possible University provides a fully
– using a building’s layout, automated, naturally ventilated
fabric and form to reduce or building. The building is also
remove the need for mechanical self-sufficient from an energy
cooling, heating, ventilation and point of view with a large-
lighting demand – offers massive scale solar farm built in tandem
opportunity. with the development. Other
initiatives include a biogas plant
While they come with an to collect waste from local dairy
inevitable carbon cost, new and poultry farms and waste
buildings can and must redirected from landfill. The
achieve the best standards output will be heat, electricity
of sustainability (including and fertiliser, demonstrating the
international standards such as range of energy options available
BREAM, LEED, Green Star to a campus operator.
and WELL). Existing assets
can be made more efficient, and
it is worth considering novel
approaches to funding and
financing.
“While they come with an
For example, University of
inevitable carbon cost, new
Oxford is investing in energy buildings can and must
© Arup

efficiency measures across its


asset portfolio. The university achieve the best standards of
plans to keep the cost of
Cyprus International University
Nicosia, Cyprus energy to their departments sustainability ”
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Business travel Besides the environmental


Travel to conferences, seminars impact, the cost of academic
and similar events are an travel can amount to tens of
important aspect of academia, millions of dollars each year for
offering opportunities to network some universities, so reducing it
Net Zero: key points
and disseminate new research would save money. University
findings. However, the carbon College London, for instance, Universities must find ways to reduce capital and energy expenditure
emissions associated with aims to cut academic staff travel on assets
academic travel are significant by up to 50%.
and universities will need to find Institutions will aim to minimise new construction, and build ‘green’
ways to reduce its impact. when it is inevitable
Reducing travel to conferences and networking events will cut
To achieve net zero, universities
university carbon footprints
will need to reduce business
travel, at least until mobility
decarbonisation is achieved
at scale globally and airlines
transition to low carbon aviation
fuels. Some universities are
limiting non-essential air travel,
asking academic staff who wish
to fly to justify the cost in greater
detail. Others are prioritising
international travel for early
stage career staff, for whom it is
much more difficult to network
with peers and build important
relationships without some face-
to-face engagement (while their
more experienced peers already
have reasonably large networks).
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Resilience:
looking to the future
As the past year has shown, unexpected and As the past year has shown, Preparing for robust demand
challenging events can prove highly disruptive to unexpected and challenging Global demand for higher
events can prove highly education is predicted to increase
universities. Institutions can benefit by developing disruptive to universities. from 160 million students in
plans and protocols for various threats and risks Institutions can benefit by 2015 to over 414 million by
which could arise at any time. developing plans and protocols 2030, according to UNESCO,
for various threats and risks driven by growth in middle
which could arise at any time. classes in developing countries
across Asia, Latin America
Future threats to universities and Africa. And in developed
include extreme weather events, countries, demand for education
cyber-attacks and civil unrest, will remain high. For example,
will impact operations in regional community colleges
geographies and regions globally across the United States are
to differing levels. seeing an uptake in student
enrolment as the current financial
How universities bolster recession places increasing
resilience in a world that is pressure on wages.
volatile and unpredictable is a
key question that will need to The growing demand for higher
be considered by leaders and education represents a significant
decision makers. At the same opportunity for higher education
time, they need to develop institutions. We are already
resilience plans for slower seeing academia, employers,
moving trends, such as climate and industry “unbundling”

© Lagos Techie, Unsplash


change or a rising global degrees into shorter-form
population. micro-credentials. These can
stack into a larger curriculum,
moving away from “one-and-
done” degrees in support of
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

lifelong learning and upskilling. New and emergent models


This trend could give some In recent years we have seen
universities access to a much the emergence of a variety of
larger pool of students in the new educational models and
future. partnerships that will affect
how universities are run. These
Universities such as Queen’s models are disrupting traditional
University Belfast are looking notions of what university is,
at shorter courses and different and established providers will
formats such as 10-week courses, need to consider new ways of
to be more responsive to the responding.
demands of the market. This may
mean using estates and facilities Some universities are developing
in new ways. innovative responses here.
For example, the University
Another critical question to be of Arizona’s ‘micro-campus’
addressed is how universities and network, which has been
their offers will remain relevant developed and expanded over
in a fast-changing world. the past few years, pairs the
Business and industry leaders university with an institution
have important views about abroad so that students can
future skills and capabilities take online classes from the
which need to be heard and University of Arizona and have a
addressed, as market dynamics
continue to evolve. Entirely
local faculty mentor to meet with
in person. “Business and industry leaders
new courses may be required
have important views about
© Procreator UX Design Studio, Unsplash

to meet their changing needs. There are also a growing


For example, we could see a
growth in technological colleges,
number of partnerships between
businesses and universities. One future skills and capabilities
reversing a trend away from
vocational education seen in
example here is a joint venture
between Guangdong Machinery
which need to be heard and
some countries. Technician College, a top
vocational school in China, and
addressed, as market dynamics
German industrial conglomerate continue to evolve.”
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Siemens that launched in This is especially true given Other even more radical
Guangzhou in late 2018. the seismic changes seen propositions see blockchain
Siemens sends teachers from its over the past year. Some of and other transactional digital
technical academy in Berlin to our interviewees predict a services as a way to ‘tokenise’
train Chinese teachers, with a transformational near-term a student’s education, whereby
focus on smart manufacturing. shift in pedagogy towards a individuals or institutions “buy
The company also offers students subscription model of education into” a student’s education and
internships and job opportunities. which offers enrolment akin to receive a small portion of their
The two institutions will also membership. Instead of making income across their lifetime.
work together to establish an a large upfront investment for Rather than having to prove the
innovation and entrepreneurship three or four years of education creditworthiness of a student,
programme, as well as training during one’s late teenage years, their prospects and attainment
for the World Skills Competition, a student could instead pay a would define their value as an
a world championship relatively modest monthly fee investment.
of vocational skills. to retain access to in-person and
virtual instruction for as long as
A subscription model they like.
Online education providers have
not yet revolutionised higher The logic that underpins this
education, as was routinely innovative model is that an
forecast at the start of the 2010s. individual’s educational needs
Nevertheless, providers such as evolve across their lives and
Coursera have carved out a niche careers. Such an approach could
offering in the market, mostly be adapted to suit one’s specific
by providing business-focused needs over time. Moreover,
classes to older students. Once this model affords the higher
again, universities will need education provider with a steady,
to respond to this potentially continual revenue stream.

© Campaign Creators, Unsplash


disruptive trend.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Cyber security The rise of the Chief Information


An increasingly important Officer, a new role in some
concern from a resilience universities, points to the need
perspective is digital security to think strategically, working
in the context of the digital across multiple departments
Resilience: key points
transformation and the hybrid, including IT and Estates or
blended university offer. All Facilities Management. Success Universities benefit by defining protocols for a variety of potential
universities are grappling with here depends on investments in risks and changes
the cyber threat, which took on resilient cyber-security measures
renewed significance with the needed to provide security and Adopting new business models will help respond to changing
reliance on digital platforms and resilience. demand and expectations of a university education
remote learning in 2020. Many
higher education institutions Much of this is relates to data
have already been the victim of protection formalisation and the
targeted attacks. application of good practice,
e.g. two-factor authentication
Universities hold valuable and security awareness. At the
intellectual property and are other end of the scale, there is
vulnerable to malware and the maintenance and resilience
ransomware attacks, or even of server farms, and the design
espionage. For example, in the of spaces to enable effective 5G
early months of the pandemic, and Wi-Fi penetration at higher
the University of Oxford saw bandwidths.
significant cyber-attacks relating
to the vaccine it was researching.
Insurers are now excluding cyber
security risks from some policies
and institutions are having to go
to additional lengths to ensure
their operations are protected.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Commercial pressures

All educational institutions were negatively impacted While many governments role in shaping future demand
by the pandemic and had to compensate for losses provided short-term support, over the short-to medium-term.
long-term cuts in government For example, UK universities
and unplanned expenditure by drawing from reserves, funding reinforces the need for have found it harder to attract
especially in countries where university education universities to diversify revenue students from the European
is privatised. Institutions that entered the pandemic streams beyond student fees. continent, now that the UK has
in a weak financial position could face significant left the European Union.
How are universities responding The disproportionate reliance
economic challenges or insolvency. to these commercial pressures? on any one demographic or
international cohort can be risky,
International fees especially in light of the ongoing
For many universities pandemic. Some universities
worldwide, international students are reviewing their international
contribute disproportionately to student intake to ensure that
university income. The higher dependence on these students is
fees they pay help to fund capital reasonable and doesn’t leave the
works and research budgets university overly vulnerable to
aimed at improving university disruption in their numbers.
rankings. These resulting higher
rankings in turn help to attract State support
more international students. In the aftermath of disasters,
wars and pandemics, there
However, while the pandemic is historically more taste
persists, international travel will for state involvement in
continue to be restricted and various parts of society,

© Alex motoc, Unsplash


will only be able to truly return including higher education.
to ‘normal’ if a global vaccine Some universities and higher
programme provides a long education providers may find
lasting solution to the pandemic. they are eligible for additional
Other geopolitical forces play a support in the coming years.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

For example, the US Department Partnership and collaboration


of Education has announced A key trend across the
more than US$36 billion in higher education sector is a
emergency grants for post- greater emphasis on building
secondary education under the partnerships with the private
American Rescue Plan Act. sector, through research,
These grants will help over 5,000 development and innovation
higher education institutions programmes and activities
and provide emergency designed to solve real-world
financial aid to millions of problems, drive value creation
students, with approximately and deliver commercial returns.
half of the funding to be used In the 1970s and 1980s, as
by each institution to provide corporations shifted their focus
direct relief to students. to shorter-term results, many
companies closed their in-house
The Irish government has also R&D labs. Today, with some
seen the need to step in with a notable exceptions such as
support package, offering a €225 Microsoft, IBM and Procter &
million investment in further Gamble, few companies maintain
education, higher education their own in-house, early-stage,
and research under a National exploratory scientific research

US$36bn
Recovery and Resilience programs. Instead universities
Plan. This includes significant are the place where innovation
dedicated funding in support happens and partnerships are key of emergency grants has
of upskilling and reskilling to bringing ideas to market. been announced for post-
aimed at equipping workers secondary education under the
whose jobs are redundant, An example can be seen in the American Rescue Plan Act
© ThisisEngineering RAEng, Unsplash

including a focus on digital Oxford Science Innovation and


skills transition and a new Green Bio-Escalator. It invests in ‘spin-

50%
Skills Action programme. outs’, operationalising nascent
ideas in the real world. The
Bio-Escalator is associated with of this funding is to be used
Oxford’s medical campus, and by each institution to provide
is about to build a new 6000m2 direct relief to students
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

building on its science park, to There is increasing appetite


enhance interaction between for universities to fund new
scientists and the world of development through external
industry. An example of a project partnership models. One
that floated on the stock market example is Melbourne Connect,
Commercial pressures: key points
is Knight Star, a company that a new innovation precinct for
has developed a cure to a form of the School of Engineering at University finances have been negatively affected by the pandemic, a
genetic eye disease by injecting University of Melbourne, built drop in international travel and government funding
DNA into the back of the eye to and operated in partnership with
cure blindness. a consortium led by Lendlease. Applying for all available state support will be essential
For many universities, research
Exploring new business models, including start ups and spinouts can
Meanwhile, the University of is a fundamental part of
provide a new revenue stream
Technology Sydney’s faculty the commercial model that
of Transdisciplinary Innovation brings in significant revenue.
has established private sector Innovation programs, technology
partnerships to align with their ‘spin-outs’ or ‘spin-ins’, or
undergraduate degrees. Private commercialisation of intellectual
industry has been brought on property (IP) are all important
to set capstone projects for sources of income.
the students as well as offer
internships as part of their
university curriculum. This
engagement with industry aims
to establish a stronger connection
between students completing
their study or research, and
organisations who can benefit
from these students who are
entering the workforce.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

The future of operations

Since the beginning of the pandemic, university Going forward, operations


operations have been severely disrupted, with will have to remain agile,
with protocols and processes
start-stop classes and students stuck in their in place to enable executive
accommodation. How will this affect bodies to rachet up the response
university operations? to COVID-19, if necessary,
as variants emerge. For many,
this will include extensive
testing regimes, track and
trace, as well as working with
local municipalities, cities
and government to assist in
keeping potential outbreaks to a
minimum.

Scenario planning will be needed


to ensure that decision-makers
are well informed of the potential
pathways for the pandemic and
other key factors shaping the
sector.

How will universities manage


their operations going forward?

© Parker Gibbons, Unsplash


Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Reassessing capital projects A new awareness of wellbeing


Post-pandemic, capital projects During the pandemic, mental and
that had been on hold will mostly physical health and wellbeing
resume. Potential asset disposal measures were shown to be of
will have been earmarked in case utmost importance to campus Future of operations: key points
there is a need to raise capital, staff and students. An increase
Universities will need to perform more scenario planning
but the mood more broadly is in the provision of wellbeing
buoyant as institutions recognise support will need to continue Increased data collection due to COVID-19 reporting will allow
their role in building back the post-pandemic. Even before the improved performance of campus operations
economy post-pandemic. pandemic, many universities had
invested significantly in student Increased attention to physical and mental wellbeing will be
However, in response to the mental health services. important for campus and curriculum design
climate crisis, costed projects
need to be evaluated and As the campus and student body
prioritised, taking into account evolves, so must the support staff
a broad set of operational that maintain it.
developments, considerations
and needs. These include, but
are not limited to, projections
for student and staff numbers,
timetabling, and the degree
to which different courses are
blended and therefore what space
can be reclaimed and repurposed.
See chapter 3.1 for more detail.


Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

The physical campus

Although a wide range of social and physical More remote working should Continued consolidation of
distancing interventions will likely remain, the help to free up space to be physical space across university
repurposed for other uses. Some campuses is likely. Departments
physical campus has an important role to play supporting departments and will begin to share common
in bringing people back together. This is clearly administrative staff groups (e.g. spaces rather than custom-
demonstrated in the transformation of Macquarie IT support) could continue with building unique spaces per
University where the new central courtyard has a degree of remote and flexible discipline. Moreover, campus
working. planners and designers can
visibly become the campus heart, a space that is anticipate an increased emphasis
activated, alive with the buzz from students, visitors In the case of practical or on the flexibility and adaptability
and all campus users. vocational degree subjects, of space.
students and faculty will
continue to need access to Another issue could be
research facilities and specialist ‘vaccination passports’
equipment (for example, which would define access
laboratories for medical students to certain spaces. But these
or model-making studios for are problematic, due to the
architecture students). Cutting- discrimination inherent in
edge digital tools such as 3D mandating vaccines in return
printing or immersive virtual for access, and the associated
reality require expensive setups, administrative and operational
meaning that collective use in costs necessary to enforce

© Fidel Fernando, Unsplash


an accessible, campus-based such restrictions. The disparity
location makes financial sense. in vaccination uptake across
These facilities, along with the demographics presents another
social spaces, are key to the challenge.
university experience.

Macquarie University
Sydney, Australia
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Finally, the campus’ role in infectious agent transmission in


defining a university brand building ventilation and space
identity must evolve beyond planning. Ventilation design and
the physical campus to be recommend interventions such
truly effective. A university’s as operational improvements to
unique brand must be able existing mechanical ventilation
to be as clearly defined and systems or by adopting space
expressed online as it is on a planning and routing in a way that
physical campus. Ideally, the minimises direct transmission.
two environments must become
seamless and must reinforce The designing out of high-
each other. With a generation frequency touch surfaces is
of students who have grown up another important trend, given
with the synergy of physical and how disruptive flu seasons are, as
digital, the same will be expected well as other disease outbreaks
of the campus environment. common on campuses and
And the university benefits by student accommodation (such
being able to expand its global as norovirus). The addition of
reach, both virtually and via UV lights for deeper disinfection
international satellite campuses. of high-traffic environment and
high-touch surfaces at night, auto-
Hygiene planning on campus running lifts, material selection
With airborne transmission being for easy cleaning with anti-
the primary vector of COVID-19, microbial high-touch surfaces all
the physical design of campuses offer co-benefits for an overall
takes on additional importance.
How both people and air move
sense of hygiene.
“With a generation of students who
around a structure must be
critically considered.
As with pedagogical uses,
hygiene during other uses of
have grown up with the synergy
Advanced computer modelling
campus spaces is also being
questioned. The future of
of physical and digital, the same
can be used to track the conferencing is uncertain with will be expected of the campus
© iStock

dispersion, dilution and the cost and time associated in


removal of pathogens and question. environment”
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Student residences all, students want choice, so lectures or seminars remotely


Universities must provide a high- a modular approach may be at all times. Universities will
quality residential offering, not required. Apprentices or first- need to be aware of this and
just because of the role it plays year students will always have support those that need access to
in establishing campus life, but different needs compared to post- quiet spaces if they are unable
also because of the heightened graduate or mature students. or unwilling to travel into the
role student accommodation has university. Some universities are
played throughout the pandemic. A Higher Education Design investing in city centre spaces
Quality Forum (HEDQF) that provide an off-campus
Where lockdowns were enforced survey on social learning spaces environment with spaces to work
for long periods, many students revealed that 80% of students quietly.
found themselves in their would study in their bedroom
residential accommodation for outside of teaching hours
periods far beyond what they and this could be projected
were ever designed for. While to increase in the era post-
physically they may have been pandemic.
adequate, the psychological
challenges of being confined to The traditional Student Centre
small and shared accommodation building typology is expected
was always going to be a to evolve considerably as the
challenge. learning model transitions from
one where students ‘go to collect’
Shared accommodation is their education to one where
unlikely to be in demand on students ‘receive’ their education
account of a possible pandemic where they are. As such, the
resurgence. Students typically Student Centre will need to adapt
want en-suite units, rather than to become a space for respite,
shared facilities. What will recreation, and learning.
be important is shared social
© Adrien Olichon, Unsplash

space, with access to spaces for


social events or entertainment
When considering digital
connectivity, many students, 80%
together with services such as especially those living off- of students would study in
laundry, post collection, advisory campus, may not have the right their bedroom outside of
services and other uses. All in environment at home to join teaching hours
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

The value of public space resilience by establishing open Lecture halls


Surveys have shown students environments for discussion and The foundational role of the
value external spaces for social learning while taking advantage large lecture hall in pedagogy is
contact and learning. The of technology and virtual now under question with some
pandemic has heightened our platforms that many could access universities suggesting that
awareness of the benefits of time for free. The hybrid model of lecture theatres are very much
spent outside, in the fresh air learning will require hybrid a thing of the past. Historical
and in contact with nature. The considerations of space. and cultural context makes a
physical campus environment huge difference in how they
offers a setting for social The academic office are seen, with some institutions
interaction and the exchange Single occupancy, cellular viewing them as instrumental to
of ideas. Surveys have shown offices, synonymous with the setting the tone and defining the
students have a preference for professorial lifestyle, may not student experience, others see
the physical campus setting endure to the same extent in a them as archaic, inefficient and
over virtual alternatives and post-pandemic future. Lack of underutilised spaces that stifle
there are a range of issues that resources, inefficient utilisation interaction and collaboration.
need attention through good of valuable space, and inability
design to improve the university to modify are some reasons this
experience. approach may change.

Universities, in their role One alternative to small


providing sports facilities individual offices is open plan
and maintaining grounds for or shared offices, with systems
example, can also take a lead and in place to allocate a limited
set the agenda for how we use number of hot desks according
our public spaces, particularly to supply and demand. Open
post-pandemic. The School of plan must be accompanied by
Architecture at The Chinese sufficient space for peer-to- “The pandemic has heightened

© William Murphy
University of Hong Kong peer collaboration, informal
undertook an initiative to study socialising, side meetings and our awareness of the benefits of
a year without public space one-to-one discussions.
with the COVID-19 pandemic. time spent outside, in the fresh
The study highlighted the
need to build social and health air and in contact with nature.” University of Maynooth
Maynooth, Republic of Ireland
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Where they persist, as new Scooters on campus, micro-


experimental learning styles are mobility, demand responsive
tested and refined, a blended Uber-style electric bus services,
approach will see more seamless cycle path routes and pedestrian
technology in lecture halls, walkways all need consideration
The physical campus: key points
allowing remote attendance. The together to give users choice.
opportunities to dial in eminent Where cars are required, fleets Physical campuses will remain an important feature of higher
professors from around the world can be outsourced in order to education
are significant, and will greatly take advantage of the latest,
enrich the student experience, most efficient electric or hybrid Universities will see greater use of mixed use spaces
whether attending in person or cars. Some universities, like the
Buildings around the university may change
virtually. University of Maynooth, have
invested in smaller, narrower
University transit electric vehicles that can pass
Travel is typically a sizeable between bollards for use by
proportion of a university’s maintenance and facilities
carbon footprint. While the management staff.
pandemic has shown that
collaboration and conferencing For suburban campuses, pricing
can continue remotely, essential strategies for car parks will
travel, both locally and continue to be key, to increase
internationally, will continue. pricing over time, as more
alternatives and choice become
With regards to ground available. As electric vehicle
transportation, higher education uptake increases, supporting
institutions will need to provide charging facilities will need
greater choice and modal to grow, which will have
shift, which can be a particular implications for peaks in demand
challenge on suburban campuses. and the wider grid.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Key characteristics
of the future campus

flexible, modular spaces


and environments
shared community spaces
technology for digital
collaboration

quiet spaces
on-site renewable energy

sensors and data


improved ventilation
contactless interactions
passive design
drop-in health and wellness
centres
sanitation points sustainable transport
options

physical collaborative
creative space
access to green space

walking and cycle ways


Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Conclusion
As with most other sectors of Universities’ reputations will All transformational change
the economy, many aspects of continue to rest on the quality comes with a degree of
university life will have changed of the student experience, resistance, anxiety and friction.
permanently in the aftermath of wider academic performance University leadership will
the pandemic. and increasingly, factors such need to manage the cultural
as sustainability. Institutions change required to bed in new
Perhaps most significantly, the that invest in sustainability will behaviours around hybrid
emergence of hybrid learning attract a generation of students learning and the technological
will become deeply entwined that is especially conscious of transition.
with how universities operate. the risks of climate change.
Expanded remote learning Now is an opportune moment to Our aim in producing this report
and assessment, appear very reconsider capital investment, is to help summarise the state of
likely to stay. Universities will mobility strategies and energy the higher education sector and
increase their provision of online procurement. to share insights and strategies
learning environments and offer being tested in universities
students more software for video We can expect a shift in who around the world. This report
calls, collaboration and group students are, where they are looks to start a conversation
work. They will also invest in from, and what they expect from about how higher education
more hardware, from digital education too. Universities will campuses can be resilient to
whiteboards to high quality need to adjust to these shifts and future change and act as a source
cameras to new meeting rooms. find ways to provide education of knowledge for those seeking
That said, many kinds of learning that truly responds to people’s to take fullest advantage of
will still require dedicated spaces expectations – be that lifelong coming opportunities.
and capacity to flourish. These learning or more vocational
may need to be redesigned for training.

© John Gollings Photography


the purpose of hygiene but
also collaboration with those
connecting remotely.
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Appendix

The United Nations’ Sustainable the profound challenges that the University Belfast is looking library services and quiet spaces SDG 15 Life on land:
Development Goals world is facing. Academics need at mission-based activities to for those who don’t want to come In every built development
The focus on climate action as to think more entrepreneurially in address the learning deficit; and into campuses that serve a wider universities deliver, and the
an urgent priority should not all their activities to leverage new Oxford University has education community). The University of grounds they maintain, there is
eclipse the imperative to address opportunities. As the pandemic programmes for school children Queensland (UQ) has a “sticky an opportunity to embrace design
wider sustainability challenges response has shown, institutions and an initiative in place that twins campus” strategy where local that is regenerative in its impact
in parallel. Looking at the three can work more closely together colleges with primary schools. communities are encouraged on the natural environment.
pillars of sustainability together than ever before through research to engage in campus activities Preserving diverse forms of life
– environmental, societal, and and innovation ecosystems that SDG 11 Sustainable cities in order to activate the campus on land requires targeted efforts
economic - the United Nations’ span the whole globe. and communities: and engage students and others. to protect, restore and promote
17 Sustainable Development There are a number of other There has always been a strong UQ has an emphasis on physical the conservation and sustainable
Goals and their 169 targets are key goals that speak directly civic link between universities and activity on campus to promote occupation of ecosystems.
designed to end global poverty, to the role of universities in the communities that host them. health and wellbeing for all. Regenerative design and
stop environmental destruction society and how they can focus Covid has seen these linkages design for biodiversity are key
and improve human health and their development in the 21st strengthen in many cases. For SDG 9 Industry, innovation approaches for universities who
well-being by 2030. century to delivery positive and example, universities working and infrastructure: campuses have significant land
intersectional change: with healthcare providers to run Precedents exist where holdings.
SDG 4 aims towards inclusive vaccination centres on campus. universities successfully deliver
and equitable quality education SDG 10 Reduce inequalities: Many universities have porous not just their core business, The Times Higher Education
and to promote lifelong learning Diversity and multicultural borders, allowing the public access but also help to develop their Impact Rankings
opportunities for all. For the experiences offer opportunities to grounds and facilities such surrounding communities. The Times Higher Education
UN, much of this relates to the for all. A merit-based admissions as theatres and gallery spaces. Newcastle University’s Impact Rankings measure
removal of barriers to primary system makes it hard for Significant space is becoming Margaret’s Technology Centre universities against the SDGs to
education in the developing universities to attract the best available in different urban supports skills development in provide comparison of university
world. Worldwide, partnership talent from more deprived contexts. This off the back of the the community. Likewise, the performance across four broad
working and action through communities while scholarships decline in retail and reconsidered University of Nottingham is areas: research, stewardship,
mutually beneficial university- are costly. Universities are office use post-pandemic. This supporting a new centre called outreach and teaching.
industry-civil society-government working with the secondary presents an opportunity for campus Digital Nottingham to develop https://www.timeshigher
collaboration has a pivotal role school system to help raise universities to gain or further new technology skills to aid the education.com/rankings/
to play in addressing many of standards. For example, Queens develop a city-centre presence (e.g. region’s recovery post-Covid. impact/2021/overall
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

With thanks

Universities interviewed Acknowledgements


American University of Sharjah, United Arab Emirates The University of Edinburgh, Scotland, UK
Cardiff University, Wales, UK The University of Queensland, Australia Authors
Chiu Hai College of Higher Education, Hong Kong University College London, England, UK Anne Kovachevich
Columbia University, USA University of California, Berkeley Haas School of Business, USA Yannick Lenormand
Cyprus International University, Cyprus University of Cape Town, South Africa Tristan More
Indian School of Business, India University of Exeter, England, UK Marcus Morrell
Macquarie University, Australia University of Melbourne, Australia Finola Reid
Maynooth University, Ireland University of Nottingham, England, UK Paul Webber
National University of Singapore, Singapore University of Oxford, England, UK
Newcastle University, England, UK University of Warwick, England, UK Design
Northeastern University, USA University of Wollongong, Australia Eleanor Tomlinson
Princeton University, USA
Queen’s University, Belfast, UK Marketing
Queensland University of Technology, Australia Annabel Rabbets
Riverside Community College District (California), USA Laura Tomas
Swinburne University of Technology, Australia
The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong
The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong
The Pennsylvania State University, USA
Introduction Hybrid teaching Net zero Resilience Commercial pressures Campus operations The physical campus Conclusion

Contacts

Education Foresight Advisory

Paul Webber Josef Hargrave


Education Lead, UKIMEA Global Foresight Leader
e: education@arup.com e: foresight@arup.com

Foresight Regional Leads


Anne Kovachevich (Australasia)
Yannick Lenormand (East Asia)
Marcus Morell (UKIMEA)
Martin Pauli (Europe)

Finola Reid
Education Lead, Australasia
e: education@arup.com

Education Regional Leads


Alexis Lee (East Asia)
Patrick McCafferty (Americas)
Adrian Ryan (Europe)

www.arup.com

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