სახელმწიფო ბიუჯეტი

მლნ. ლარი
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
შემოსავლები 802.7 933.3 1,732.9 2,213.0 3,293.3 4,293.6 5,517.7 4,917.0 5,421.5 6,388.8 7,058.2 6,839.5 7,434.6
გადასახადები 567.9 602.3 975.3 1,407.3 2,130.3 3,010.5 4,541.6 4,161.8 4,592.4 5,802.0 6,311.1 6,287.7 6,847.0
საშემოსავლო გადასახადი 18.5 20.0 16.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,218.3 1,053.2 1,119.0 1,439.5 1,636.6 1,795.1 1,790.3
მოგების გადასახადი 9.3 11.8 11.3 0.0 324.9 533.1 592.1 517.7 576.0 832.2 850.9 806.6 829.0
დღგ 370.9 368.5 598.7 987.4 1,332.7 1,973.7 2,069.0 2,051.8 2,203.1 2,784.3 3,040.3 2,847.8 3,298.5
აქციზი 118.3 135.7 213.1 295.1 335.6 428.6 518.4 443.2 560.8 615.2 659.4 722.2 810.2
იმპორტის გადასახადი 50.9 66.3 131.8 124.2 132.4 52.0 51.9 35.9 70.4 93.2 90.1 89.5 94.9
ქონებაზე გადასახადი 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 - - 0.0 - -
სხვა არაკლასიფიცირებული გადასახადები 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.6 4.7 23.1 91.8 60.0 63.1 37.6 33.8 26.5 24.1
სოციალური შენატანები 154.8 222.7 402.2 428.8 502.8 722.1 - - - - - -
გრანტები 22.6 48.4 160.1 104.5 194.0 208.6 617.2 387.7 471.4 263.1 323.0 238.9 278.7
სხვა შემოსავლები 57.4 59.9 195.3 272.4 466.2 352.4 359.0 367.6 357.7 323.7 424.1 312.9 308.9
ხარჯები 839.7 915.6 1,432.2 2,012.7 2,669.4 3,890.0 5,554.7 5,367.2 5,466.5 5,926.9 6,641.5 6,545.6 7,479.5
შრომის ანაზღაურება 93.9 131.5 233.0 336.7 451.5 603.5 913.1 941.6 993.5 1,012.5 1,049.4 1,187.6 1,296.2
საქონელი და მომსახურება 183.1 169.3 319.2 420.2 678.5 1,483.8 1,508.8 879.9 881.6 989.0 1,061.0 765.8 875.4
პროცენტი 146.7 168.5 142.4 120.1 100.5 97.4 119.3 167.2 200.7 282.7 248.3 233.0 244.9
სუბსიდიები 92.0 57.0 112.7 421.5 419.0 267.3 362.5 447.3 196.3 196.7 253.1 242.6 274.5
გრანტები 65.1 69.8 128.2 181.4 222.7 197.3 858.9 861.2 1,099.6 1,220.1 1,285.9 1,083.3 1,067.8
სოციალური უზრუნველყოფა 258.9 319.5 480.5 466.0 597.2 892.5 1,286.1 1,419.9 1,481.1 1,540.9 1,710.3 2,083.0 2,547.7
სხვა ხარჯები 0.0 0.0 16.2 66.8 200.0 348.2 506.1 650.1 613.7 685.0 1,033.5 950.3 1,173.0
ბიუჯეტის საოპერაციო სალდო -37.0 17.7 300.7 200.3 623.9 403.6 -37.0 -450.2 -45.0 461.9 416.7 293.9 -44.9
არაფინანსური აქტივების ცვლილება 100.0 94.2 248.1 23.1 278.7 274.0 324.7 746.8 873.6 755.8 537.7 690.2 617.7
ბიუჯეტის მთლიანი სალდო -137.0 -76.5 52.6 177.2 345.2 129.6 -361.7 -1,197.0 -918.6 -293.9 -121.0 -396.3 -662.6
ფინანსური აქტივების ცვლილება -4.5 64.2 93.6 110.7 264.4 144.1 600.5 -499.5 357.4 289.3 487.8 -172.2 347.4
საშინაო -4.5 64.2 93.6 110.7 264.4 144.1 600.5 -499.5 357.4 289.3 487.8 -172.2 347.4
საგარეო 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
მონეტარული ოქრო და ნასესხობის სპეციალური
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
უფლება
ვალდებულებების ცვლილება 132.5 140.7 41.0 -66.5 -80.8 14.5 962.2 697.5 1,276.0 583.2 608.8 224.1 1,010.0
საშინაო 47.6 50.0 12.5 -32.0 -25.9 -20.0 -52.4 26.4 123.5 35.2 14.1 89.9 516.5
საგარეო 84.9 90.7 28.5 -34.5 -54.9 34.5 1,014.6 671.1 1,152.5 548.0 594.7 134.2 493.5

მემორანდუმის მუხლები
მთლიანი ხარჯები 939.7 1,009.8 1,680.3 2,035.8 2,948.1 4,164.0 5,879.3 6,113.9 6,340.0 6,682.6 7,179.2 7,235.8 8,097.2
ვალის ნაშთი საანგარიშო პერიოდის ბოლოსათვის 4,843.3 4,608.0 4,306.6 4,076.1 3,855.4 3,919.6 5,153.6 6,225.2 7,633.5 7,901.9 8,512.4 9,106.8 10,313.0
საშინაო 1,520.3 1,567.9 1,575.8 1,535.3 1,510.9 1,489.9 1,458.9 1,693.2 1,818.3 1,881.0 1,895.2 2,016.9 2,570.4
საგარეო 3,323.0 3,040.1 2,730.8 2,540.8 2,344.5 2,429.7 3,694.7 4,532.0 5,815.2 6,020.9 6,617.2 7,089.9 7,742.6
*წინასწარი მონაცემები.
წყარო: საქართველოს ფინანსთა სამინისტრო.
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.724513
R Square 0.52492
Adjusted R 0.438541
Standard E 1719.836
Observatio 14

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 35949458 17974729 6.076988 0.016681
Residual 11 32536186 2957835
Total 13 68485644

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 252.2719 2331.768 0.108189 0.915794 -4879.916 5384.459 -4879.916 5384.459
X Variable 8.093193 2.336951 3.463141 0.005304 2.949598 13.23679 2.949598 13.23679
X Variable 2.587798 4.23456 0.611114 0.553543 -6.732405 11.908 -6.732405 11.908
 Column 1 Column 2
Column 1 11826.21
Column 2 20033.48 4891832
 Column 1 Column 2
Column 1 38829.6
Column 2 -1306.082 11826.21
 Column 1 Column 2
Column 1 38829.6
Column 2 310875.6 4891832
 x2 x1^2 x2^2
Y
2006 324.9 194.0 3,293.3 105560.01 37636
2007 533.1 208.6 4,293.6 284195.61 43513.96
2008 592.1 617.2 5,517.7 350604.910161 380878.072640532
2009 517.7 387.7 4,917.0 267964.31781729 150293.92154176
2010 576.0 471.4 5,421.5 331776 222239.592129627
2011 832.2 263.1 6,388.8 692559.00372169 69244.18582041
2012 850.9 323.0 7,058.2 724030.81 104329
2013 806.6 238.9 6,839.5 650603.56 57073.21
2014 829.0 278.7 7,434.6 687241 77673.69
2015 1,025.2 315.6 8,170.5 1051035.04 99603.36
2016 1,055.9 296.8 8,580.0 1114924.81 88090.24
2017 756.6 289.9 9,750.3 572443.56 84042.01
2018 736.6 339.4 10,595.6 542579.56 115192.36
2019 866.3 420.2 10,675.0 750475.69 176568.04
ჯამი 10,303.1 4,644.5 98,935.6 8,125,993.9 1,706,377.6
საშუალო 735.9 331.7 7,066.8 580,428.1 121,884.1
sashkv 541,598.5 110,057.9 49,940,048.7 336,896,819,211.4 14,855,738,048.8

var(x1)= 38,829.6
0.10413920556
0.04694465339 108.74839691 var(x2)= 11,826.2

2211.7485666 var(y)= 4,891,831.7

240524.11099

cov(x1;y)= 310875.5524783

cov(x2;y)= 20033.47516437
0.1
cov(x1;x2)= -1306.081913519

cov(x1y)*var(x2)= 3676480759 459207122.4441

1704543.882908
cov(x2y)* -26165359.58
457502578.5612
3702646118

8.09316994400285
rx1x2^2 0.0609 98

0.74074287037 ryx1^2= 0.50879 0.51572

0.00044146873351 0.9391
ryx2^2= 0.00693 0.51527853126649

0.548693995598435
R^2= 0.5487

1-R^2= 0.4513
6.0357
0.1818182 0.46664545 RXAZ^2 0.9026

0.0820545
6.68701528916463
y^2 x1*y x2*y x1x2

10845824.89 1069993.17 638900.2 63030.6

18435000.96 2288918.16 895644.96 111204.66
30444973.4345624 3267132.86780302 3405263.98438481 365428.135808436
24177246.958925 2545317.16845828 1906224.87066464 200682.35636952
29392206.4189868 3122759.78532864 2555799.67257714 271539.615744
40816664.4970224 5316761.09104973 1681165.28069109 218987.86346577
49818187.24 6005822.38 2279798.6 274840.7
46778760.25 5516740.7 1633956.55 192696.74
55273277.16 6163283.4 2072023.02 231042.3
66757070.25 8376396.6 2578609.8 323553.12
73616400 9059622 2546544 313391.12
95068350.09 7377076.98 2826611.97 219338.34
112266739.36 7804718.96 3596146.64 250002.04
113955625 9247752.5 4485635 364019.26
767,646,326.5 77,162,295.8 33,102,324.5 3,399,756.9
54,831,880.5 5,511,592.6 2,364,451.8 242,839.8
3,006,535,115,324,105.0 30,377,652,486,536.1 5,590,632,094,398.8 58,971,156,370.2

2331.768
197.052270860758

108.748396913792 324.9 3,293.3

533.1 4,293.6
2211.74856656504 592.1 5,517.7
517.7 4,917.0
576.0 5,421.5
832.2 6,388.8
850.9 7,058.2
806.6 6,839.5
829.0 7,434.6
1,025.2 8,170.5
0.083290922818032 1,055.9 8,580.0
0.006937377823879 756.6 9,750.3
736.6 10,595.6
866.3 10,675.0
b0 252.271901283327
b1 8.09319304851318
0.089093432155713 b2 2.58779763871721
b1talgh= 7.20765866139716

0.049168516963338
0.127238172096953 0.127238172096953
x1^2-x1sash^2 x2^2-x2sash^2 y^2-ysash^2 y^ e=y-y^

-436,038.5 -72,421.9 -39,094,223.9 3382.591 -89.3

-257,402.9 -66,543.9 -31,505,047.8 5104.6992 -811.1
-190,993.6 270,820.2 -19,495,075.3 6639.0900392 -1,121.4
-273,634.2 40,236.0 -25,762,801.8 5443.0042942 -526.0
-209,822.5 112,181.7 -20,547,842.3 6131.6831561 -710.2
150,960.5 -40,813.7 -9,123,384.2 7665.5311993 -1,276.7
182,432.3 -5,728.9 -121,861.5 7971.654 -913.5
109,005.0 -52,984.7 -3,161,288.5 7395.7003 -556.2
145,642.5 -32,384.2 5,333,228.4 7679.8789 -245.3
509,436.5 -10,454.5 16,817,021.5 9362.5972 -1,192.1
573,326.3 -21,967.7 23,676,351.3 9562.3246 -982.3
30,845.0 -26,015.9 45,128,301.3 7123.1373 2,627.2
981.0 5,134.5 62,326,690.6 7089.3938 3,506.2
208,877.2 66,510.1 64,015,576.3 8347.6964 2,327.3
543,614.4 165,567.0 68,485,644.1 98898.981389 36.6
38,829.6 11,826.2 4,891,831.7 7,064.2 2.6
1,507,737,638.2 139,859,333.6 23,930,017,593,455.1 49,903,104.7 6.8

5129.8896 -4877.617699

2628.441
501.878
3382.591 2.95179304851318

tbo= 0.108189092944 13.2345930485132 ryx1=

tb1= 3.463141439363
tb2= 0.611113757909
-6.72832236128279
11.9039176387172
-4877.6176987167

1.292492262827
1.670536249467

0.6111137579089
e^2

7972.88268099995
657881.912240638
1257523.72000095
276642.225729181 var€= 2,324,013.7
504419.828305968
1630062.72768138
834398.210116001 Se^2= 2957835.59077672
309358.773720089
60161.7387852106 1.27272727
1421095.73424784
964961.61976516
6901983.85227129 rx1x2= -0.060948933088328
12293481.9169184 r^2 0.003714772444606
5416342.04657297
32536287.1890361 459207122 0.060948933088328 tb0= 0.108189
2,324,020.5 21,429.1
5,401,071,347,180.8

sb1= 5.46134252649185
13.9479932 2.33695154560206
541594.961