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MACROECONOMICS
Lecturer: DANG HUYEN ANH
Email: Huyenanh098@gmail.com
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Chapter 4
Money growth and Inflation
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Reading materials
! How
does the money supply affect inflation and
nominal interest rates?
! Does
the money supply affect real variables like real
GDP or the real interest rate?
! Inflation
a. Currency
b. Checks
c. Deposits in checking accounts
(“demand deposits”)
d. Credit cards
10
+ Active learning: Answers
A. Currency - yes
B. Checks - no, not the checks themselves, but the funds in checking
accounts are money.
The The
The The
Federal State
Bank of Bank of
Reserve - Bank of
England Canada
FED Vietnam
+ Two-tier Banking system
Issuing money
Central Bank
MONETARY
BASE
1. Issue currency/ banknotes.
Cash (C )
Monetary
Economy
base
Reserves
in the
banking
system
Commercial banks (R)
Monetary base is
the money issued
by the central
bank, including Monetary base, MB = C + R
Cash and Reserves MB is controlled by the central bank
Money creation and Money supply (MS)
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Cash (C)
Economy
Reserves
(R)
Commercial banks
give Demand
deposits
loans
Receive in
Money Supply includes deposits banking
system
Cash and Demand Deposits (D)
in banking system
MS = C + D
or
MS = mm*MB Economy
+ Money creation mechanism
MS= MB * mm
Then:
MS
mm = = cr + 1
MB cr + rr
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Example
! Calculate MS:
MS = C + D = 0 + 1000 = 1000
+ Monetary policy
Monetary
policy is the Contractionary
decrease MS
policy to monetary policy
MS = mm * MB cr +1
m =
mm
cr + rr
2. Reserve requirement: regulations on the minimum amount of reserves that banks must
hold against deposits
$ If the Central bank increases Reserve requirement ratio# actual reserve ratio increases #
money multiplier decreases# MS decreases
$ If the Central bank decreases Reserve requirement ratio# actual reserve ratio decreases #
money multiplier increases# MS increases
3. Discount rate: the interest rate on the loans that Central bank makes to commercial banks
! If Central Bank lowers discount rate# commercial banks will borrow less # Monetary base
(MB) reduces # MS decrease
! If Central Bank raises discount rate# commercial banks will borrow more# Monetary base
(MB) increase# MS increase
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Active learning
Controls of Money supply - Monetary policy
Fill in blanks
Inflation
31
+ Inflation
! Inflation is an Increase in the overall level of prices
In 1970, a cup of coffee cost 0.25USD, that means, 1 USD = 4 cup of coffee
...Due to inflation…,
that cup of coffee in 2019 cost 1,59 USD, that means, 1 USD = 0,6 cup of coffee
33
This theory asserts that the quantity of money determines the price
level, and then, the value of money
The quantity theory was
developed by some of the
The quantity theory of money: earliest economist: discussed
Prices rise when the government in 18th-century by David
Hume and was advocated
prints too much money. more recently by the famous
economist Milton Friedman
MS = mm * MB cr +1
m =
mm
cr + rr
Question: Who can determine Money supply?
Therefore:
Quantity of money demanded is positively related
to P and negatively related to the value of money
(1/P), other things equal.
P ' (or 1/P & ) % MD'
½ 2
¼ 4
(Low) (High)
Quantity of Money
The money supply-demand diagram 39
MS
Value of Price
Money
Money, 1/P Level, P
Supply
(High) (Low)
MS1
1 1
¾ 1.33
MD
Value of Price
Money, 1/P A fall in value of money (or Level, P
(High)
increase in P) increases the (Low)
quantity of money
1 demanded: 1
¾ 1.33
½ 2
Money
demand
¼ 4
MD1
(Low) (High)
Quantity
of Money
The equilibrium price level 41
Value of Price
Money, 1/P Level, P
MS1
(High) (Low)
1 1
¾ 1.33
eq’m
value eq’m
of
A price
½ 2
money level
¼ 4
MD1
(Low) (High)
$1,000 Quantity
of Money
Eq’m = equilibrium
The effects of a monetary injection 42
! People get rid of their excess money: spend it on goods and services or give
loans to others, who spend it.
( Result: increased
demand for goods
and services.
( Therefore, the
quantity of money
demanded increases
because people are
using more money for
every transaction
The Quantity Theory of Money 44
= P smartphone / P pizza
! The
nominal wage, W = $15/hour (the price of
labor), and the price level, P = 5 (the price of goods
and services, so it’s $5/unit of output).
! Real wage = W / P
!
The Neutrality of Money 51
! Velocity of money:
! The rate at which money changes hands (how many times
that a currency is used for)
! Notation:
P x Y = nominal GDP = (price level) x
(real GDP)
M = money supply
V = velocity
PxY
! Velocity formula:
V =
M
EXAMPLE 4: The velocity of money 54
Explaination
Assume that V is relatively stable over time.
! First,
calculate velocity because it is constant from
2019 to 2020. For 2019: P x Y = M x V, so 8 × 1,800 =
3,600 × V, therefore V= 4
! Inflation
rate 2019-2020 = (8.80 – 8.00)/8.00 = 10%
(same as money supply)
Active Learning 3: Answers, B
61
2019: Y = 1,800 bushels; P = $8 per bushel, MS = $3,600.
In 2020, MS increases by 10%. V = 4 (constant)
! Fisher effect
! One-for-one adjustment of nominal interest rate to inflation
rate
! When the Fed increases the rate of money growth, the long-
run result is:
! Higher inflation rate
! Higher nominal interest rate
© 2021 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license
distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
U.S. nominal interest & inflation rates, 1960–
2019
Inflation rate
© 2021 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license
distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use. 66
67
The Inflation Fallacy
! Inflation fallacy
! “Inflation robs people of the purchasing power of his hard-
earned dollars”
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distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
U.S. average hourly earnings & the CPI 1965 -
2019
Inflation causes
the CPI and Nominal
nominal wages wage
to rise together CPI
over the long
run.
© 2021 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license
distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use. 68
69
Shoeleather Costs
! Inflation
! Is like a tax on the holders of money
! Shoeleather costs
! Menu costs
! Costs of changing prices
! Inflation increases menu costs firms
must bear
! Deciding on new prices
! Printing new price lists and catalogs
! Sending the new price lists and
catalogs to dealers and customers
! Advertising the new prices
© 2021 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license
! Dealing with customer annoyance
distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
Relative-Price Variability 71
© 2021 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license
distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
Inflation-Induced Tax Distortions 72
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distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
Active Learning 4: Tax distortions 73
Inflation…
! raises nominal interest rates (Fisher
effect) but not real interest rates
! increases savers’ tax burdens
© 2021 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license
distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use. 77
Confusion and Inconvenience 78
© 2021 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license
distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
Arbitrary Redistributions of Wealth 79
! Unexpected inflation
! Redistributes wealth among the population
! Not by merit
! Not by need
! Redistribute wealth among debtors and creditors
© 2021 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license
distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
Deflation May Be Worse 80
! Friedman rule
! Prescriptionfor moderate inflation
! Small and predictable amount of
deflation may be desirable